Category: Segun Gbadegesin

  • A beautiful day!

    A beautiful day!

    As I type this piece on my laptop, it’s still Wednesday, May 27, 2015. By the time you get to read it, however, it will be Friday, May 29, 2015 when history is made and the aspiration for change becomes the reality of a new beginning.

    You don’t have a tree in the garden without having a good knowledge of its fruit. I have a good knowledge of Opalaba, my good friend. I know what he is capable of doing and what to expect from him. With his awareness of my location an ocean away and therefore an unavoidable absence from all the festivities of this day, I expect Opalaba to arrogantly show off his closeness to the heart of the show and rub it in on my face. By 5am Eastern Time and 10 am Lagos time on May 29, I know that Opalaba will wake me up and taunt me about what I am missing. I am sure that I will be treated to his baritone rendition of the famed Mr. Roger’s Neighborhood theme song:

    “It’s a beautiful day in Nigeria

    A beautiful day for my nation

    Would you join us?

    Could you join me?”

    “It’s democracy day in Nigeria

    True democracy for my nation

    Would you join us?

    Could you join me?”

     

    That is my friend, only being true to his sadistic pastime. And you better believe that my preempting him with this piece will not alter the course of events that has been predicted.

    It’s surely a beautiful day in Nigeria. Its beauty is not in the cool breeze of the wind or the brightness of the sun. It is not in the gentle drizzle or the showers of blessing. This day is beautiful on account of what it represents. Even the humidity of the air cannot take away that beauty.

    Like many patriotic Nigerians, Opalaba has looked to this day with great excitement. He has invested a great deal of hope and cannot be more ecstatic about the outcome. He welcomed the unambiguous mandate that citizens handed Buhari and Osinbajo. It was a mandate for change, the rallying cry of Nigerian electorates on March 28, 2015. But that mandate was not only for a change of actors. It was also for a change of outlook and direction. Therefore, for Nigerians to be satisfied that real change has truly occurred there must be change of outlook and direction.

    The change of actors is the purview of the people themselves. By voting out the outgoing administration on grounds of incompetence, impunity, corruption and moral decay, the people have performed their own side of the contract. They must now hold the incoming administration responsible for fulfilling its own side of the bargain: provide strong and effective leadership for a change of outlook and direction. Our people respect strong leaders. They appreciate focused attention on the challenges facing the nation. But they are rightly contemptuous of leadership from behind.

    With respect to a change of outlook, the Buhari/Osinbajo administration must proceed with the understanding that every citizen matters and deserves respect. They must know that the politicians’ sacrifice is no greater than citizens’ sacrifice. Therefore, there is no moral justification for jumbo compensation for political appointees and elected officials. And any legal impediment against corrective measures must be speedily removed so that morality is reconciled with legality.

    This administration must pay serious attention to the needs of the smallest among us and invest in the development of human talents. The beginning of political wisdom in the matter of a change of outlook is the avoidance of all the terrible isms: egocentrism, ethnocentrism, sectarianism, and nepotism, in word and deed. For heaven’s sake, real change must occur in these areas that have badly tainted our politics in the most recent past.

    There is always the political temptation to use and abuse the symbols of political power. It is not a coincidence that power is the battle cry of PDP and it abused it to the point that Nigerians became thoroughly disillusioned and demoralised. This administration must avoid such an outlook. It must make transparently conscious efforts towards the restoration of our people’s confidence in the police, DSS, and other security agencies.

    It is imperative that the likes of Ekitigate be consigned to the dustbin of history. And it is certainly a positive development that the governors have redeemed their image away from the infamous “16 is greater than 19” election verdict. Now they must join hands with the new administration as moral forces in a nation that is thirsty for a commonsense moral revolution. Today, we must start a new tradition of morally sanctioned politics, a politics of virtue that abhors greed and self-centeredness. The administration must strengthen our democratic structures and allow the free flow of ideas in the political marketplace.

    The country has headed in the wrong direction in the past 16 years. Education which ought to be given the utmost priority was sadly placed at the back burner of government’s attention as private institutions took precedence even in the attention of public officials saddled with the responsibility of advancing our public schools. The consequence is mass failure because teachers who secured employment on political grounds and party affiliation can hardly read or add. You cannot feed garbage in and expect a different output.

    It is worse. Children and young adults have become apprentices in the workshop of the devil, and cultism is a national embarrassment. Politicians use the young ones during elections and dump them thereafter. But the used and dumped don’t evaporate into thin air. They are absorbed into the world of crime and into the enclaves of militants and terrorists. Do we care for the future of the youth and of the nation?

    We need a change of direction in our approach to the education of the youth. We must offer them functional and quality education and prepare them for good life prospects. If we do, we will experience a great relief from the tragic dehumanisation and unfortunate loss of our youth population to drug addiction, cultism, and thuggery. And from the fruit of good education, our youths can start making useful contributions to the economy and inculcating the values of discipline and moral rectitude. I am sure that these ideas are consistent with the change agenda of the APC and the Buhari/Osinbajo manifesto.

    Investing in human assets is a no-brainer. It has the potentials for a multiplier effect not only on the economy but also on those intangibles that make a society great and livable. The rot that pervades the Nigerian landscape is odious and revolting.

    Someone told me that it is not possible to eradicate corruption because it has become so entrenched in the system and that the President must not waste his political capital on that impossible task. I disagree. If the APC government campaigned on its ability and will to fight corruption, it cannot afford to be discouraged or disenchanted. If it doesn’t look back, it can count on the support of ordinary Nigerians who see corruption as the major obstacle to their personal progress.

    Corruption is fingered as the culprit in most if not in all the challenges facing the nation, whether it has to do with the collapse of the power sector, fuel subsidy scam, security challenges, electoral fraud, or waste in public service. It is time that we confronted the tumor before it consumes the nation.

    As President Buhari takes over the mantle of leadership of this great nation today, he must lead by example and with the fear of Almighty God who has smiled on his fourth attempt. He must resolve to repay the kindness of God to him by putting the nation first in all that he does. It’s only by so doing that he can bring the much deserved change to a nation that is in desperate need of a new direction.

    It’s a beautiful day in the land that pleases God to locate us all. Let us make the best of it.

    Good morning!

  • So long, Dr. Jonathan

    So long, Dr. Jonathan

    THE came. He saw. Too bad, he failed to conquer. Certainly, he had some useful initiatives and managed to perform some symbolic acts. However, in his most important self-imposed task of transformation, the verdict of objective observers is that Dr. Jonathan failed woefully.

    President Jonathan’s failure may be due to certain contradictions within the system which he wasn’t able to resolve. It may also be due to his limited understanding of the task that he assigned himself. The lesson here is that leaders must have a thorough understanding not only of the society they lead but also of the goal they labour to achieve. In the case of Dr. Jonathan, this means an understanding of Nigeria and of the meaning and requirements of transformation.

    The dictionary meaning of transformation is “alteration, conversion, change, revolution, renovation, makeover, etc.” To transform is to alter or to change completely. To preserve, on the other hand, is its polar opposite. The object of transformation or preservation is a pre-existing condition—human, place, or thing. Transformation and its opposite are equal opportunity descriptors.

    From the foregoing, we may infer that continuity or preservation politics is the opposite of transformational politics. While the former preserves the status quo, presumably on the belief that it has worked well and no need to rock the boat, the latter opts for fundamental changes away from the status quo, and by definition, towards a better society. To transform is to achieve a better quality of the entity in question. This is what Dr. Jonathan claimed he wanted to achieve for Nigeria.

    The 2011 presidential election was a clear mandate for Dr. Goodluck Jonathan. With support from the north to the south, there wasn’t a shortage of tremendous goodwill and lots of advice from supporters, opponents, and neutral voices. As one of the neutral voices, I wrote a three part column on transformational times, transformational leadership, and transformational followership urging him to seize the moment and establish a lasting legacy.

    I suggested that we were in transformational times when fundamental changes were desirable and required. I defined fundamental changes as those that go down to the foundation and fix its rottenness and argued that cosmetic changes will not be a fitting substitute.

    I made reference to the United States which in 1787 went through a fundamental transformation after the revolutionary war. Adopting a constitution which agreed on a federal structure was a huge deal. The confederalists lost out, and that solid foundation has taken the greatest democracy on earth places ever since. With respect to that change, subsequent changes would appear less fundamental.

    Yet with regard to what they replaced, these other changes could also be fundamental and transformational. The American Civil War was fought and won by the union government to end slavery and keep the country together. It was a fundamental change to this extent. But it was to restore a value and a nation to its prior status. The Civil Rights Act in the last half of the last century belonged to the same category. It was a change to restore the national value enshrined in the constitution, a value that had been destroyed by racism. It was fundamental to the extent that it reconciled political principles and political practice.

    Get the fundamental right, and whatever desirable transformations occur should be a good fit. It is the fundamental that Nigeria has not got right, and what is needed therefore is a fundamental change to get it right. Cosmetic changes cannot do the job.

    I made reference to some items on the list of Jonathan’s priorities. Power was one of them. I observed that the reason the nation has failed after 50 years in the matter of power has to do with the wobbly limbs on which it stands. We hear of gas line saboteurs, generator importer saboteurs, etc. There are reasons why these thrive. We have not got the fundamental right. Why, for instance, do we have to insist on a central approach to powering a nation with more than 360 square miles of landmass in the first place?

    I wagered that the black gold was the mainstreamer-in-chief.  In spite of the various close-calls we’ve had recently; in spite of the warnings that we’ve received; in spite of the apocalyptic predictions; we have not moved an inch towards a genuine diversification of the economy. Nor have we used the proceeds of oil revenue for the development of our human resources or our infrastructure. Now, with dwindling oil revenue, Jonathan is leaving the treasury empty for his successor.

    I thought that we were in transformational times and that the stars were well aligned for fundamental changes in our body politic. I prayed that the political will be summoned so we can still nurse the hope for the country becoming a great nation, which is much more than being one of the advanced 20 economies in 2020. The greatness of a nation is a combination of several factors, including its system of justice, its democratic credentials, its welfare system, and its promise and practice of human rights.

    I concluded that piece by noting that it was the right time for the transformation of Nigeria with a deliberate effort at rebuilding her from the foundation up.

    The president came up with a so-called transformation agenda, one that focused not on the foundational problem of structure and its attendant alienation and moral degeneration. Rather, by transformation, Jonathan embarked on the cosmetics of economic growth, including the mechanics of procurement to prevent corruption. As Ben Nwabueze, the respected constitutional lawyer, puts it:  “National or social transformation implies the creation of a new society. The creation of such a new society would entail change of two types – a radical transformation of the material conditions of society and what has been called an “inner mutation”, i.e. a spiritual or mental transformation in the attitudes and behavoural patterns of the individual members of society. The “inner mutation” called for goes beyond transformation in mental attitudes, and must extend to radical change away from the present prevailing moral degeneracy or moral bankruptcy, as manifested in crimes involving fraud or dishonesty, like examination malpractices and certificate racketeering; corrupt practices in all its forms, including bribery and money laundering; sexual immorality; juvenile delinquency; etc, all of which, in the main, originated or become accentuated in the unbridled quest for money and the money culture it gave rise to.”

    Unfortunately, for four years Jonathan did nothing of the sort and corruption became a badge of honour with the president declaring that “stealing is not corruption.” The government itself promoted ethnic and religious bigotry with the president appealing directly to southerners and Christians for support. Impunity was at its highest and while the security of the nation was severely compromised (more than 200 school girls are still in captivity) security chiefs were in collaboration with the presidency over the shift in the date of the just concluded elections.

    Double standard prevailed and was glorified by Team Jonathan who relished the power to do evil. While they used the police to prevent democratic institutions to operate in Ekiti State, in Ondo the impeachment of the deputy governor was carried out without the police raising a finger. Now, a candidate who scored big in the 2011 elections has suffered woeful defeat in the 2015 elections. And he’s heading back to Otuoke.

    Did he learn any lessons? Unfortunately, I think not. Hiding behind the legal façade of still being in charge, Jonathan chose his last days to launch what amounts to unethical conduct, the type that caused him the presidency, firing old hands and hiring new ones to work with the new administration. Can anyone go lower than this? It just confirms the marketplace belief that what we had thought of as a heroic concession of defeat was anything but, having being forced by powers outside the nation’s boundaries.

    The Buhari/Osinbajo team must learn from this tragic outcome. Don’t gamble with Nigerians’ goodwill! Don’t take our people for granted!

    So long, Dr. Jonathan!

  • Statism, regionalism and nationalism

    Statism, regionalism and nationalism

    I take advantage of a concern addressed to me and a couple of other compatriots early Wednesday morning by a leader whom I trust and respect for his dedication and commitment to the progressive agenda. His concern was about regional development agenda and the effort we make in their pursuit. The concern is apt and timely, especially because we are just transitioning to a new administration which needs all the help it can get in terms of ideas and suggestions.

    Why “regional development agenda?” you may ask? “Is focus on such agenda not inimical to national integration and development?” These are pertinent questions. And as Opalaba would observe, he who asks a question deserves an answer that probes the foundation of the issue.

    The questions are answerable in few sentences. We are regional beings. We were born regional. We grew up regional. We matured regional. Regional development was the source of national development before the reverse gear  was engaged and national development, slow and unpredictable as it was, became the driver of (negative) regional development. But even as we prioritised national development and focus on regional development took a retreat, we were still thinking regional.

    From 1966 till 1979 at the height of national unity discourse and practice, regionalism as a habit of the mind never retreated. Military Governors as representatives of the Commander-in-Chief from Gowon to Obasanjo and from Buhari to Abacha were not immune to the sentiment behind regionalism. Even when they came from different regions or states, they lived among regionalists. They imbibed the ideas that animated the people. They had regionalists in their cabinets. And more importantly, they were under pressure to improve the conditions of life in their areas of jurisdiction.

    Between 1979 and 1983 when different political parties more or less controlled different regions, regional thinking held sway with the Southwest leading the pack and UPN Governors churning out ideas, including the four cardinal programmes of the party, which they aimed at the development of the region.

    Since 1999, regionalism has been championed not just by the Southwest but also by the Southsouth, Southeast and the entire North, which has always considered the North as one indivisible region. Instructively, Arewa Consultative Forum has been more united and more focused than Afenifere or Yoruba Council of Elders.

    In spite of all the available and incontrovertible evidence that we are regional beings, at various times, there has been an incomprehensible ambivalence attitude of affirmation and denial towards the regions. This comes in various forms and from multiple sources.

    On the one hand, every region or zone has lamented its perceived marginalisation one time or the other since 1999. Recently, there has been an unsubstantiated allegation of some zones ganging up against others. This confirms our fixation on regions or zones. Significantly, states have not been particularly vocal in this matter of marginalisation.

    On the other hand, however, some of the same regional advocates who complain about regional marginalisation have confusedly bashed regional (aka zonal) arrangements as extra-constitutional and therefore unacceptable, using regional platform to carry out their assault on region. This came up especially during the Constitutional conferences of 2005 and 2014.

    Now, it is possible to explain such volte-face in charitable terms. There is no constitutional provision for regional or zonal arrangements or institutions for regional development. “Regions or zones are not known to the 1999 Constitution”, they insist. Therefore any regional arrangements or institutions must be private and without governmental imprimatur.

    The reasoning is legalistic; but it fails in two respects. First, it is common knowledge that not every arrangement that we have made since 1999 is constitutionally mandated. We have created institutions and organisations with full budgetary allocations even when they have not been part of the constitutional provisions. We did so because there were urgent problems to be solved that were not anticipated in the groundnorm; and the legislative branch, in its wisdom, gave the proper legal backing.

    Second, we know that states, with their constitutional mandate, have not been up to the task with regards to the development and welfare of their various constituencies. Just last week, we heard about the sorry state of the financial condition of most states and their inability to pay workers’ salaries, and their appeal to President-elect Buhari for federal assistance. The constitution prioritises states as political and administrative units of the federation, but they are severely handicapped because they are practically unequal in their relationship with the Federal Government which controls a disproportionate amount of resources.

    Statism is the belief, sometimes advanced to the level of doctrine, that since states are constitutionally recognised as political and administrative units of the federation, they have a legal autonomy which cannot be compromised and no other arrangements can be allowed or recognised.

    In view of our experience since 1999, it is abundantly clear that statism is wrong and it is the major obstacle to the survival and development of states. It is time to think outside the box of static statism toward a dynamic agenda for national development.

    No one can deny that regions contributed to national development in the 50s and 60s. Groundnut pyramids and cotton sacks in the North, cocoa stores in the West, palm oil barrels in the East, and the various Marketing Boards were the foremost foreign exchange earners even well into the 70s. Development plans in each region benefitted from these sources of regional wealth as was the case in the West which saw a boom in infrastructural development and social welfare programs.

    No one denies the legal reality of states. But thinking out of the box of statism requires the acknowledgement of the present ugly reality which makes it impossible for states to extract a sustainable development from the meager resources accruable to them internally, without running cap in hand to the Federal Government.

    Regionalism doesn’t pose any danger to nationalism. On the contrary, it benefits the nationalist agenda by promoting equitable regional development throughout the nation. We know, for instance, that in the 50s, regions exchanged useful development strategies even when they were controlled by different political parties. But when states are left to their fate, and resources are meager and inequitably distributed, the resentment thus generated could be inimical to national harmony and national development.

    Here then is the choice facing the Buhari administration: encourage regional ideas for national development or dismiss them as unconstitutional. For a progressive administration that focuses on equitable development, the right choice is not difficult to identify in the light of the foregoing.

    How does the administration go about it? There are various strategic options. States still hold all the aces. Already some regions have prototype ideas with the setting up of institutions such as Development Agenda for Western Nigeria (DAWN) in the Southwest and Strategic Agenda for Northern Development (STAND) in the North. While DAWN is a creation of Southwest leadership, including the Governors, it appears that STAND is a creation of the intellectual and political vanguards for Northern development. DAWN is set up as a Commission in which each Governor has a representative Commissioner. Now existing as extra-constitutional entities, each of these development institutions can be given legal backings by an Act of the National Assembly.

    I can then imagine the following scenario. The President invites the Governors to a round table session on regional development and its centrality to national development. Assume that infrastructure, education, and energy are in play. Surely, a good number of the challenges we have had in these areas can best be addressed with a regional strategy.

    Consider for instance the Lagos-Ibadan expressway which had been in a state of disrepair since 1999 until just last year when the Jonathan administration decided it had to do something. The Southwest could have addressed the matter a long time ago if it was ceded to the region with appropriate resource allocation for infrastructural development. To the objection that it is a federal road, I answer that this objection begs the question: Shouldn’t such roads be regional roads for which regions have responsibility that they can discharge more effectively than the Federal Government?

  • Disturbing developments

    Disturbing developments

    Election is to democracy what oxygen is to life. Without periodic elections a democracy cannot survive. But while nobody resents oxygen because of its indispensability to life, the opposite appears to be the case with regard to elections and democracy. Many “democrats” would wish elections were not that essential. Without worrying about seeking voters’ periodic endorsement, many politicians would probably still deliver the proverbial dividends of democracy. But they would not have the mandate of the electorates. Not a problem for those politicians claiming to know better than the wearer where the shoe pinches. Too bad, therefore, democracy demands citizens’ input.

    When a candidate loses an election which he or she was sure of winning because of assurances of campaign aides, party leaders, and a strong conviction of having out-performed others in office, it can be a humbling and traumatic experience. This is especially true in the case of an incumbent with enormous powers and material resources to dispense. But it does happen.

    Elections are to be won and lost. Losers just accept the verdict of the people and move on, either to come back at a later time, as Buhari did on three occasions, or to retire into the role of an elder statesman, as Jimmy Carter did in 1980 and the world has been a lot better for it. This latter option is even more glorifying when it is approached without leaving behind any baggage of political actions and activities that may raise moral eyebrows.

    President Jonathan gracefully accepted his defeat and heroically averted disaster for the country. He deserves a lot of credit for this. Though some would argue that it is what is expected, I learnt in my Sunbeam class a long time ago that people deserve credit not because of the good they perform but because of the evil that they avoid. For avoiding the evil of a sit-tight-till-heaven-falls loser, I give him credit.

    Now, I am disturbed by two developments. One is from the President’s activities since the elections. The other is from his supporters’ actions. Let me start with the second, an aspect of which I touched on a couple of weeks ago in “Conspiracy Theories.”

    Since the end of the elections, there has been a civil war within the Peoples Democratic Party. It is natural and reasonable to ask the question “why?” after such a disastrous thumping of the largest party in Africa. So I perfectly understand the rationale behind the call for a post-election assessment. What worries me is that even before the beginning of such an assessment, some party members and presidential aides have been able to identify the answer to the question “why?” and they laid it squarely at the doorstep of the leaders, especially the Chairman.

    Of course, we have to be fair and accept the truism that the buck always stops at the desk of the leader. But in the run-up to the election, PDP had two parallel leaders—the NWC and the Campaign Organisation with its Chairman and Directors of different departments. If there was no coordination between the two such that the Party Chairman was the overall head of both, how is he to blame for what the campaign did or didn’t do? And how will the call for his head now solve the major problem of disconnect between the party and the electorate which was the reason for its loss?

    The Chairman has identified the major mistake that the party made over which he appeared to have no control again because the campaign team was different from the NWC which he led. The campaign team ran a campaign that was fit for the 60s. It was a hate campaign; it was a campaign of crude power reminiscent of the NNDP days in the old Western Region.

    PDP campaign failed to realise that we are now dealing with Millennias, and it didn’t count on the pledge of INEC to use technology to block rigging.  When INEC didn’t buckle under threats of fire and brimstone, the game was over. Why should we all be concerned? We want a democracy with at least two strong parties that present candidates with real choices. Let PDP go back to the drawing board and learn from its corporate mistakes. It cannot do this with finger-pointing that only escalates the civil war and promotes fratricide.

    I am aware that President Jonathan is still in charge until 12am on May 29 and his presidential powers are still enormous. But he can use it for good or for ill. Certainly, he can use it to cement his newly found image as a statesman and a graceful loser. On the other hand, however, he can use his remaining days in office to confirm the belief of many that voted against him as a crafty and divisive leader. I am worried that the latter image may stick with his new actions and activities.

    When we woke up to the announcement that IGP Abba had been relieved of his position, many had an ambivalent attitude to the news. What does it matter? He was used and dumped. Too bad, but Abba didn’t deserve any pity. What goes round comes round. That was the general feeling. It wasn’t that the President was right or wrong. People just didn’t care because of Abba’s inglorious record as a partisan law enforcement officer.

    Then more shocking news about firing and hiring followed. First, was the hiring of former Governor Peter Obi as Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) barely a month to the end of the President’s term in office. Obi had defected from APGA to PDP in 2014. Is this payback for his support before and during the elections? We recall the role played by Obi in the infamous Nigerian Governor’s Forum election. Still, what does this political appointment mean? Does the President expect that a President Buhari will retain Obi to appease the Southeast? Is it a sort of booby trap? What was the motive?

    On the same day the announcement of Obi’s appointment was made, the firing of Femi Thomas, the Executive Secretary of the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS), was announced and Olufemi Akingbade was tapped as Acting Executive Secretary. The same questions as above arise here. How is the public to take this hiring and firing at the dusk of life in Aso Rock?

    There is more. On April 29, the announcement was made of the appointment of Sanusi Lamido Ado Bayero as the Managing Director of the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) and the firing of Habib Abdullahi who had served in that position. There was no reason offered for the change.

    That wasn’t all. On May  5,  the Presidency announced the Presidential approval of the appointment of a serving Minister of State for Agriculture and Rural Development, Asabe Asmau Ahmed as the new Executive Secretary of the Petroleum Equalisation Fund (PEF) and the firing of Sharon Adefunke Kasali who had been in that position since 2007. A second appointment that was approved on the same day was that of Denzil Amagbe Kentebe as the Executive Secretary of the Nigerian Content Management Development Board (NCDMB) and the firing of Ernest Nwapa who has been in that position since 2010.

    For each of these new appointments, the President’s expectation is that the appointees will be in their posts long enough to (as he is reported to declare in the case of the new Secretary of PEF) put their years of public service to good use in “re-engineering, repositioning, and re-invigorating” their various agencies “for present and future challenges.”

    These are relevant questions: Did President Jonathan confer with President-elect Buhari before making these appointments? If not, is Buhari morally and politically obligated to retain these new hires? I would think not. If the President made these appointments because he believed that he had the power, then Buhari also has the moral authority to reverse the appointments when he takes over power unless he believes, not only in their abilities to perform, but also in their loyalty to his mission. Thankfully, Nigerians didn’t elect a naïve President.

  • The mission and the call to action

    The mission and the call to action

    It is time for action. That was the import of the message that President-elect Muhammadu Buhari delivered to the members of the 8th National Assembly at their induction ceremony early this week. It is a timely message to an arm of government that has had an ambivalent relationship with the executive wing since the beginning of this republic. Even when the same party controls the legislature and the executive, it has not always been a positive working relationship. Now we stand at the threshold of history as the President-elect observed and the question is: will the legislature be a dependable ally of the executive in the making of the change that is deserved and desired?

    Reading the text of Buhari’s clarion call to action is reassuring. It is clear and simple. It is logic-driven and integrity-motivated. Yet it is important to see the fundamentals of the address for what they are. I see three broad areas touched by the President-elect.

    First, there is a fundamental assumption which underlies everything else. The assumption must be true or at least its truth must be pursued for everything else to follow. The assumption is that Nigerians are a united people and they stand resolute to protect their growing democracy. I will come back to this fundamental assumption.

    Second, there is a declaration of fact and a statement of belief. The fact is that the “legislature is a critical component and necessary ingredient of democracy and good governance.” This fact can be understood in various ways, the most straightforward of which is that the constitution makes an unambiguous provision for the legislature as an oversight institution in our democracy. Without the legislature, we run a dictatorship not a democracy. I think this is also the understanding of the President-elect. But of course, it doesn’t follow that a legislature guarantees that we run a democracy. If the legislature is in dictatorial cahoots with the executive we would effectively have a dictatorship on our hands.

    It appears to me that the President-elect also has this ugly side of the fact in mind when he noted an additional point concerning the democratic credential of the legislature. The “legislature by nature is inherently democratic in the sense that all members are equal and are elected representatives of the Nigerian people.” While I understand the sentiment behind this statement, I would like to observe that it is only half true. What do I mean?

    It is true that the members of the legislature in our system are elected representatives of the Nigerian people. I am not even going to qualify this with any provisos regarding free and fair elections. Let’s take it as a matter of fact. Yet, that Nigerians freely elect their representatives is only the beginning. The legislature that is constituted by these Nigerians thus elected may choose to jettison democratic norms and embrace dictatorship in their dealings with one another and with the Nigerians who elected them.

    The metamorphosis of a legislature elected democratically into a dictatorial body is not unique to our political system. About two centuries ago, Rousseau noted it in his characterisation of the British parliament and the freedom of Britons. For him, British people were only free on the day of election. Thereafter, he opined, they became slaves to their legislators.

    We have seen Rousseau’s observation confirmed in many instances in our own clime. Therefore, I interpret this aspect of Buhari’s declaration as a statement of belief. And this is confirmed when in the next paragraph he observes thus: “As President-elect, I recognise this fact and believe (my emphasis) that legislators carry this heavy burden of representation with all the seriousness it deserves.” It is on the basis of this belief that Buhari can conscientiously pledge his commitment to “working with the legislature as development partners motivated by the desire to deliver good governance.”

    Why is this important? We have seen even in advanced political systems that legislators sometimes pander to very narrow and parochial interests at odds with the interest of the nation as a whole. These interests may include their own misconceived egoistic interests, sectional interests, and business interests. These are misconstrued in the sense that if the national interest in say, security, transparency, economic buoyancy, and freedom from corruption is not secured by the concerted efforts of all branches of government working with citizens, the parochial or selfish interests are in jeopardy.

    This is where the fundamental assumption of President-elect Buhari that Nigerians are “a united people” who “stand resolute to protect its growing democracy” is crucially relevant to his mission and clarion call to action. As Buhari also noted, going by “the doggedness of Nigerians and their commitment to ensuring that their wishes are represented and respected”, I think it is clear from the just-concluded election that they are resolute to protect their growing democracy.

    The last election tested the unity of the country and she undoubtedly passed the test in flying colours. While there are still pockets of frustration and angst over the results, I think we have turned the corner. It is now important for the fragile unity to be strengthened not with platitude but with genuine action. This makes the clarion call from the President-elect a timely one.

    This takes me to the third broad area of Buhari’s message, the proverbial meat of the text where he identifies the fundamentals of his mission. He emphasises three specific areas: security, including human, physical and environmental; economy, including youth employment; and corruption, including high cost of governance. Anyone that has followed the campaign promises of the President-elect and the manifesto of APC will not be surprised by this statement of mission which features the three priority areas that both the party and the President-elect have always emphasised.

    The challenge of security includes tackling the insurgency in the Northeast and environmental degradation in the Southsouth. The President-elect will need the National Assembly to objectively and dispassionately examine his proposals without bringing sentimental sectional interests to bear. Thus, as an example, I do not expect a Southwest legislator to bring up the matter of OPC when considering a legislation that targets insurgency in the Northeast. Neither would it be appropriate for a Northern legislator to bring up the matter of Lake Chad when considering the matter of environmental degradation due to the activities of oil and gas companies in the Niger Delta. Comparing apples and oranges in such matters would be a disservice to the progressive agenda.

    The economy is in serious crisis despite assurances from the outgoing administration. With dwindling oil revenue and our inability to break out of a mono-economy despite warnings, it is now certain that unless we come up with new ideas and develop new economic agenda, our hope for the future of our children is in jeopardy. The realisation of this important fact must stir every political office holder to action.

    The President-elect has called for appropriate policies to be put in place and translated into laws. Now is the time to revisit those actions and policies that have not worked thus far. Why do we still have so much failure in the energy sector despite billions of investment? Why do we still feed the fat and greedy fuel importation industry despite dismal results? Can we now build on the tangible results that we are experiencing in the agricultural sector as a foundation for our economic take-off?

    Whatever we try to do towards the rejuvenation of the economy will amount to naught unless we block the leakages that the President-elect has referenced ad nauseam during the campaign. In the restatement of his mission to the 8th Assembly, he reiterated the centrality of this matter when he invited the legislators to “collaborate on the budget process and restructuring of the public sector so as to collectively tackle the menace of high recurrent cost at the expense of capital and human development”(my emphasis).

    On this last matter, a good place to start is for the National Assembly to work with the Executive Branch to review and trim the recurrent budgets, including compensation and allowances, of all branches of government. That is progressivism in action.

  • Conspiracy theories

    Conspiracy theories

    Let us start with a couple of definitions.

    Theory: an idea or thought deployed to account for some fact, situation or the outcome of some event.

    Conspiracy: a covert plan by a group of people to do something unlawful or harmful. Thefreedictionary.com more specifically defines conspiracy as “an agreement to perform together an illegal, wrongful, or subversive act.”

    Conspiracy theory: “a theory that explains an event or a set of circumstances as the result of a secret plot by usually powerful conspirators.”—Merriam-Webster. The covert or secret plan need not be criminal but the objective of the conspiracy theorist is to present the object of his or her theory as evil and therefore condemnable.

    There are many examples of conspiracy theories in history ranging from the theory that the assassination of President J. F. Kennedy was not a lone act of Lee Oswald but a conspiracy by some powerful actors to the one that explains the 9-11 terrorist attacks as a government insider job. Recently, there is a conspiracy theory claiming that polio vaccine is a ploy by some evil powers to effectively sterilise children of the Third World.

    Not all conspiracy theories lack evidence and some of them may be self-explanatory or self-justifying. Many intelligent people believe that some Western powers implicitly supported the Apartheid regime of South Africa for a long time with their refusal to impose economic sanctions.

    Nigerians too are adept in theorising and where two or three Nigerians are gathered, you can expect a theory of everything from Ebola to labour, from corruption to education, and from soccer to cancer. The average Nigerian is a Monday Quarterback. On Saturday before the Sunday game, he lacks the prospective insights for a winning formula for his team. On the Monday after, however, he has an enormous capacity for retrospective analysis for why his favorite team lost the game.

    We have seen a large number of Monday Quarterbacking since the elections, and they all conspiracy theories. These theorists don’t dig around the reality of the loss of the ruling party for fear of the truth. For them the party did not lose because it underperformed. PDP did not lose because Nigerians from north to south are tired of a government of impunity and endemic corruption.

    In the inner recesses of its theorists, PDP did not lose because a large number of its party leaders felt marginalised and therefore discouraged, leaving the party in droves or staying put but without any enthusiasm to work for its victory. For our conspiracy theorists, PDP lost because there was a conspiracy against President Jonathan and by extension against the Southsouth and Southeast.

    First, in the delusionary realm occupied by some PDP leaders and their armchair theorists, including professorial columnists and professional activists, the loss of the party was because of a secret plot, a gang-up of sort by four zones—Northwest, Northeast, North-central and Southwest—against two zones—Southsouth and Southeast. It was an evil plot, even if not criminal.

    Second, there is a theory of a criminal plot as well and it was between INEC and APC against PDP. This was criminal in the sense that INEC, as an independent entity, is constitutionally responsible for free, fair and impartial elections. But, the conspiracists argue, it did none of these.

    There is a third theory about an internal evil plot akin to the Brutus conspiracy against Caesar. We are told that PDP lost because even the Chairman of the party and some of his leadership team were in deplorable evil cahoots against the party and its candidate.

    Finally, we are now just being treated to another category of conspiracy between the outgoing IGP and APC and its presidential candidate on the one hand against PDP and its presidential candidate on the other.

    Let me make a couple of preliminary observations on this new development. First, my initial reaction after the announcement of the results of the presidential election was to move on. I thought there was no point revisiting all the nauseating actions and inactions of candidates and their supporters during the campaign. It was time for a new beginning based on a new social contract as I later remarked. But since then many PDP supporters have refused to let go even when the President himself conceded gallantly.

    Second, while I think that it is natural and indeed reasonable to ask the “why” question in the face of such a disastrous thumping of a party that arrogantly vowed to be in power for 60 years, it appeared to me that it would have been more beneficial to look into those of its policies, actions and, more importantly, attitudes and behaviors, that turned Nigerians off.

    Instead, the same analysts who misled the party and its candidates with incredibly erroneous permutations even up to the last minute on Election Day still have the audacity to pontificate about what went wrong. It is truly amazing. What it means is that much as it is good to have a strong two-party system, PDP may never get its act together and correct its mistakes to compete effectively in future presidential elections.

    Now, I invite our PDP conspiracy theorists to the impartial chamber of ethical reasoning for a candid interrogation. They must prepare to answer fundamental questions that scream for answers.

    One: You claim that there was a conspiracy of four zones in the North and Southwest against the Southsouth and Southeast. Where were you in 2011? Was there a conspiracy then? If not, what makes you think that there is one now? Are ordinary Nigerians not able to decide what is best for them without a charge of conspiracy hanging over their heads? By the way, comparing the number of votes that your candidate received in the North and Southwest with the number of votes that the APC candidate received in the Southsouth and Southeast, which party has a more legitimate claim to the allegation of a disturbing gang-up against its candidate?

    Two: You claim that INEC Chief and his team conspired against your candidate and the party. Was it the same INEC Chief that conducted the 2011 elections? Was this the same Jega that your analysts in 2011 considered a credible candidate for a 2019 presidency slot on account of his impartiality? Were there the same two candidates in that election? If INEC Chief didn’t conspire when your candidate won, is it fair to charge him for conspiracy when your candidate lost? More importantly, how was the use of PVC and Card Readers which were introduced to improve credibility an element of conspiracy? Don’t you want electoral credibility?

    Three: I wouldn’t know if there was an internal plot within PDP. But if there was, doesn’t that tell us more about the dysfunction in your party? How is that a problem for the rest of us? Can you then put your house in order?

    Four:  Can you really substantiate the charge of a conspiracy by the IGP against your party in light of public knowledge about the atrocities committed by the IGP against the opposition? Do you forget so soon his stridency against Speaker Tambuwal even after a court verdict? How about his order for voters to leave the polling areas even after INEC’s affirmation of voters’ right to remain there? Or his deployment of partisan AIGs to the areas you wanted to capture? Or his complicity in the Ekiti saga?

    I have a humble advice for PDP because I really want there to be a strong two-party system. Borrow a leaf from the proactive stance of Bola Tinubu and the ACN. In 2011, its candidate lost woefully. But it didn’t come up with any conspiracy theory. Rather, licking its wounds, ACN went back to the drawing board of political organisation. With a vow not to join a discredited train of retrogression, a strong determination to compete effectively, and confidence in their ability to build a progressive party to take on the PDP behemoth, Team Tinubu went to work. The rest is history.

    Can you please stop whining and hurry back to the basics of attitudinal change and organisational restructuring?

  • A new social contract

    A new social contract

    Since its debut in 2006, this column has been concerned with the fat lie that we tell ourselves regarding our democratic credentials as a country. It has invited critical attention to the failure in leadership, especially at the federal level. I have often sought an analogy between the state of affairs we champion and the Hobbesian state of nature which leads to the war of all against all because of the reign of ego in climes lacking an impartial authority in command.

    If we are honest with ourselves, we must agree that we missed the boat right from the beginning. This means that the Jonathan administration, far from being its originator, only pursued its inheritance of impunity with more zap. The Obasanjo administration mocked the rule of law in a spectacular and odious manner in the way it contemptuously ignored the judgment of the Supreme Court regarding the Lagos State Local Government fund.  Odi was the predecessor of Baga, and Ekitigate only reminded us of the perversion orchestrated by partisan election umpires and security agents in the first eight years of this republic.

    What Hobbes taught us, which we have hitherto neglected to our detriment, was simply that the state of nature is a metaphor for lawlessness. It is a condition in which the rule of law exists only in name. Therefore it can be experienced in a civil society even with a government in place.

    Hobbes’s insight is ingenuous in three respects. First, he taught us that egoism is part of human nature and therefore not necessarily bad. Second, he explains how egoism impels us to quit the state of nature and create a political community based on mutual interests. Third, Hobbes suggests to us that once out of the state of nature egoism admonishes us to do whatever we can to remain in the political community we created because it is unwise to go back to the state of nature.

    There are different ways to conceive the state of nature. In our case, we have also experienced it in various forms, in the “might makes right” mentality that characterised our previous conditions from pre-colonial societies to colonial rule, to military dictatorship. The naturalness of egoism—individual or national— was manifested in each of those moments of our national journey. When we finally confronted colonialism and initiated a new contract of association as a republic, we failed to be guided by the admonition of Hobbes to do whatever we can to remain in the political community we created because it is unwise and against our egoistic interests to go back to the state of nature. That was the reason for the fall of our former republics.

    Before I am accused of unfairness, I should clarify. It is certainly not the generality of the citizens that is included in the “we” that failed to be guided by the admonition of Hobbes and those included know themselves. They are the ones who went back to the state of nature mentality of “might is right” even when we have ideologically and constitutionally established the notion that right is not a question of might and that everyone is equal before the law. Living in the political community governed by the rule of law but operating with the mentality of the rule of might has been the narrative of our national existence in the last 16 years. How has it been possible?

    If everyone did it, it would have been utterly disastrous because it would have meant the clash of egos in a most pervasive and anarchical way. But a few to whom we granted the authority to govern on our behalf and moderate the egos of everyone for the mutual advantage of us all decided to play a fast one on the rest of us. At every turn, they acted on behalf of their ego, abusing the power that we gave them, marginalising everyone else, and in the process alienating all. They were helped by the fact that the majority still hung on the spirit of the social contract and still reined in their ego, while the few ruthlessly advanced theirs.

    What the few failed to pay attention to is the law of nature to which even the mentally unbalanced responds. Extend a piece of elastic as much as you care; when it reaches its limit of endurance, it would snap. Push a crazy man against the wall and he quickly realises that to survive he must turn back and challenge your audacity. On March 28, Nigerians realised that they had been pushed to the wall and they can’t take it anymore. That was the meaning of the defeat they handed the ruling party.

    Now that we have a new ruling party, do we also have a new social contract? There are two primary areas of concern. First from the outcry against the current ruling party in the last 16 years, our people have clearly indicated that they contracted for a republic and not a fiefdom. Therefore they would rather be governed in accordance with the rule of law which they themselves established and in accordance with the norms of human decency. Second, and along with this first point is that the people also want their government to pay undivided attention to their well-being. What they did with their votes in the just concluded elections was a rebuke of the current ruling party for failing to deliver on these two areas, and at the same time, a brand new contract with the opposition which has now become the new ruling party.

    I would like to believe that the new contract is based on the attraction to the people of the manifesto of the APC and the President-elect’s Covenant with Nigerians. If I am right, then the people have a right to expect that APC will deliver on its own side of the contract. I also think that the incoming administration has a keen understanding of its obligations to the people and the nation.

    In his Covenant statement, President-elect Muhammadu Buhari was clear about the challenges facing the country: “building a country that is fair to all of its citizens; a country in which all individuals feel and know that they are valued members of the society with constitutionally guaranteed rights; a country that respects human dignity, promote human development, foster human equality and advance human freedom.” This recognition of the basic minimum of governmental responsibility to citizens is the starting point. For many of our people, this is all they want to be assured of. They can deal with other matters themselves.

    It is reassuring therefore that Candidate Buhari pledged to “lead a government founded on values that promote and protect fundamental human rights and freedoms… promote the supremacy of the Constitution and the rule of law, affirm separation of the powers of government and support an independent judiciary.” The fulfillment of this pledge is the most important of all the tasks that the President will be faced with because it is the foundation of our democratic system from which every other matter follows. Get this right and you cannot be wrong. But it is certainly human to be distracted.

    Of all distractions that can get in the way of delivering fully on this pledge, ego is still the most destructive. It could be personal ego. It could be the collective ego of party, cabinet, National Assembly, governors, or leaders and advisors. Ego is destructive if it succumbs to irrationality. Fortunately, ego is also constructive if it submits to rationality. In the moment when ego rears its destructive head, assuring the new power brokers that they are all-in-all, it is hoped that rationality will prevail and the voice of reason will come to their rescue with a forceful reminder that it is in their egoistic interest to suppress destructive egoism and deliver on their covenant with the people.

  • Closing argument

    As the curtain falls on the 2015 elections, we are at a place where closing argument is in order. The analogy is telling. In the last five months, political parties and candidates have conducted their affairs as if they were on trial. In a sense, they were; albeit in the court of public opinion. Each party or candidate put on its best case with witnesses of various shades, some credible, some lacking integrity. Character witnesses have not been missing even when a good number of them are character-deficient. There have been merchants of death and purveyors of evil.

    When all is said and done, 2015 will go down in the history of Nigeria as a most exciting election year, not only because of the outcome of the most coveted of all the prizes, but because in 2015 the voter is in charge and, despite some hiccups, and obvious sabotage by a few bad eggs, INEC as an institution discharged itself commendably. One hopes that the country will not go back to the days of the locust!

    Not so fast, some would interject. There is one more Rubicon to cross before we can reasonably crow. With the governorship elections set for tomorrow, and a lot at stake for the ruling party that is not prepared to be dumped in the dustbin of history, and a new change agent prowling the nation’s landscape triumphantly, what can we expect at dawn?

    While PDP is still a force to reckon with, I think one can reasonably predict that the momentum is in favor of APC. The new reality is not lost on the leadership of PDP who have in the last few days lamented the rate of defection from its fold, not just among the rank and file, but tragically for the party, among party leaders and political office holders, including deputy governors, gubernatorial aspirants, local government chairs, etc. plus their supporters. It is as if these decampees just woke up to the realization that the APC tsunami is unstoppable, that the PDP umbrella is too fragile to protect them from angry killer waves, and that the PDP ship is sinking fast.

    In the states with such mass defections, one doesn’t need the talent of sooth-saying to predict the results for tomorrow’s election. All politics is local and almost all of the defections have been triggered by dissatisfaction with state or local politics. It is therefore predictable that APC governorship and state assembly candidates are in good shape in those states which have witnessed mass absconding from PDP.

    The southwest, as volatile as ever, is still considered the proverbial battleground, thanks to the sophistication of the voters. This is where they take your money and betray you. This is where they promise you six million votes and are not able to deliver six thousand. This is a zone where so-called followers allow their self-appointed leaders as much time as they want in vain-glorious trumpet-blowing at arranged press conferences only to vote their conscience behind the curtain. It is a zone where haters abound and envy takes residence. This is a zone where unforgiving spirits thrive but where in the end, the one who sits on the Throne of Grace pardons sinners and permits them a second chance.

    The southwest typifies the place where God works in mysterious ways, His wonders to perform. When the likes of Doyin Okupe pontificated about the “fatal mistake” committed by Bola Tinubu, and predicted that APC will not last till October 2014 and that if it did he (Okupe) must be called a bastard, was he playing God or what?

    Chief Awolowo was right after all and Okupe and his like, including many of those closest to the avatar failed to understand what Awo knew so well about the Yoruba. According to the sage, the “truth about the people of the Western Region is that they are sufficiently enlightened and bold to refuse to be led by the nose by any person or group however sophisticated such a person or group may appear. They are slow to anger, robust in contentions, alert to their rights, and will fearlessly resist and combat evil whenever they discern it, with all their might and resources.” That was what they did on March 28.

    What then will the Southwest do on Saturday? How will they as rational egoists calculate their interests in light of known relevant facts so as to ensure their maximisation? Politics requires the wearing of our thinking caps to benefit ourselves to the maximum extent. The textbook definition of politics as the study and practice of who gets what, where and when is apt. Since at least 1999 and indeed some would rightly say since 1959, the Southwest has been derided for not having a good pragmatic understanding of politics in this sense. This is because we have stuck to the progressive ideal and would rather not have it polluted even if it means suffering in silence while others without conscience or principle rig the system to our disadvantage. It turned out that we have been right all along.

    This time around, due to the disciplined and principled strategy of a new generation of progressive leaders, progressivism is embraced nationwide, and an alignment of progressives in the north and south which Awolowo struggled for and predicted is being achieved in our time. And it is not only embraced, it has won the presidency! The meaning of this is that the Southwest not only retains its principled position on progressive agenda, it has won allies across the nation and this alliance of progressive forces has won the centre: the presidency and the national assembly. Baa se fe ko ri, bee naa lo rii, emi la o ni yo fun? (Our desire has been satisfied, why won’t we be happy?)

    So, progressives won the presidency and the national assembly. Does it even make much sense to now ask: which way will the Southwest go in the governorship and state assembly elections? Shouldn’t it be obvious that the matter has been simplified and settled by divine intervention on March 28? I would think so.

    But if you must ask anyway, my humble answer is that barring any unforeseen negative occurrence, including sabotage by corrupted INEC officials colluding with the locusts, the stars appear well aligned and the coast appears clear for the change train to ride through the Southwest and there is not a few rational egoists ready and willing to board.

    The acceptance of progressivism across the nation doesn’t come as a miracle. It is because of two main reasons. First, as mentioned above, the doggedness and disciplined tenacity of a new generation of progressives led by Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been an indispensable catalyst for the movement and the coalition of forces that eventually succeeded.

    Second, and I think, equally important was the fact that there was a sellable product in the performance of all the state governors and state assemblies under progressive governance. If Tinubu launched the campaign for a larger political movement but he was unable to point to the successes of his governors, it would amount to naught. What the eyes see cannot be denied. And those who have eyes clearly see the performance of Babatunde Fashola, Abiola Ajimobi, Ibikunle Amosun, Rauf Aregbesola, and Kayode Fayemi, to limit ourselves to Tinubu’s immediate constituency. It was because others saw the extraordinary achievements of these hardworking Chief Executive Officers of Southwest states despite limited resources and obvious neglect by the federal government that they were persuaded to join the progressive train.

    Now that a progressive government has taken over the center, an idea which originated in the Southwest has become a national idea. Would it make sense now for the zone that initiated the idea to abandon it? Would it be rational for the Southwest to vote out the leadership that successfully confronted and defeated the retrogressive government that squandered the national resources on frivolities? I don’t think so. Therefore I predict that the southwest will do well and will vote APC on Saturday. This is the counsel of commonsense. This is the closing argument

  • A new beginning

    A new beginning

    Let me start with a statement of fact. The title of my piece today is not my original idea. Like most Nigerians abroad, I was glued to my IPad on Monday and Tuesday watching Channels Television, courtesy of nigerianfm.com in eager expectation of the presidential election results. On Tuesday night, I witnessed live the laborious task of compilation and addition of final results of the Presidential election by Professor Attahiru Jega and his Commissioners.

    At last, when I heard Jega finally declare the results around 11 pm Eastern Time, I breathed a sigh of relief for him and for Nigeria. Every morally conscious citizen who understands the importance of commitment cannot but appreciate and commend the dedication of these patriotic Nigerians. Vilified, demonized, and harassed by agents of destabilization for selfish reasons, even until the final hours when a former “Honorable” Minister of the Federal Republic let emotion take over and reason take leave of him as the world watched him embarrass himself, Jega and his team kept their cool. And when he was finally allowed to respond, it was with intellect and dignified poise. I smiled for Nigeria.

    On the final announcement of Buhari as the winner, the thought of how best to capture and characterize what has just occurred for my readers clouded my mind. Is it “a new day”? Or a “new era”? How about “a new dawn?” I dismissed all of these because they didn’t really speak to the dynamic energy that has just been released on the nation. Each of those potential titles appeared too static, inert, and motionless to do the job. What just happened is not only for the moment (day, month, year, even four years). Yes, it is all that; but it is more than that. It is the beginning of a new “us.”

    Then I went to bed. As I woke up in the morning and picked up my phone, the first message that caught my eyes was from my good friend with the subject line “A New Beginning.” “This is it”, I said to myself. Known for his outstanding contributions to national development in the private sector, my friend does not discuss his political views in public. But he has been a dogged fighter for social justice and a promoter of social welfare at the national and local levels. I immediately responded to him with gratitude for his accurate capturing of what the moment meant. I choose not to name him because I didn’t ask for his permission to do so. However, he knows that, with much appreciation, I owe today’s title to him.

    In her 54 years history as an independent country, and her 16years in the fourth republic, Nigeria has been known for its notoriety as a maker of the wrong kind of history. We bungled the First Republic. We waged a senseless civil war. We annulled our first free and fair presidential election. We lost territories to terrorists. To these add the ugliness and divisiveness of this last campaign. None of those political histories made us proud and we would rather not remember them.

    Now, for the first time, we just made a positive political history. The ruling party candidate, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, lost the presidential election to the opposition party candidate, General Muhammadu Buhari. And as if this wasn’t earth-shaking enough, the loser in the keenly contested election found the moral courage to concede defeat and to congratulate the winner, thus avoiding the disaster that has been predicted no matter who won. The conclusion that I drew from both of these linked events is that God is not done with Nigeria and now He has granted the country a new beginning.

    The meaning of the election of General Buhari is that the country is at a new beginning of the race to genuine nationhood and its attendant features. We should therefore be singing a new song, thinking new thoughts, and generating new ideas. Indeed, the president-elect would benefit immensely from a national focus on new ideas for moving the nation forward. However, it is also true, as the Yoruba know too well, that in order to move forward uneventfully after once stumbling, we must apprise ourselves of the cause of our stumbling so as to avoid it in the future.

    On this page over the last four years, we have not shied away from telling the truth about where challenges were for the Jonathan administration. I have always thought that Jonathan is a good man. He has demonstrated his inward goodness by conceding defeat and has thus earned for himself the commendation of the global community. His political undoing was his political naivety which made him to be too trusting of the evil cabal that surrounded him. He was too weak to say “no” to their wicked manipulation of the system. From ministers to political advisers to PDP governors, they are all a bunch of self-conceited egoists. It was not an ethnic issue. It was not a religious matter. It was malicious egoism run amok. A president that lacks the natural instinct to separate the weed of deceit from the chaff of sincerity cannot survive.

    Consider the debacle of the Nigerian Governors’ Forum elections. That was not a battle that the president should engage in and it was not one he could win. It is the case of the proverbial carrier of elephant flesh who could not keep his eyes off the ant on the ground. There were multiple such missteps that ended causing public disaffection and marring his legacy.

    General Buhari has a mandate that comes with great expectations. It is not an easy spot to be on. But just like Jonathan in 2011, there is a lot of goodwill, considering the ecstatic jubilation across the land. Even his bitterest opponents until Saturday, March 28 have turned around to shower Buhari with praise and prayers for a successful tenure. The People’s General cannot afford to disappoint!!!! As the father of the nation, he has his work cut out for him now. He must reach out as he has vowed to do. He must build trust. And he must satisfy the yearnings of the youth and the elderly for the dividends of democracy.

    To start with, then, the APC manifesto is the political Holy Book of President-elect Buhari. He referred to it incessantly and campaigned on the three priorities that the manifesto highlighted. He promised that he will provide adequate security of life and property for citizens; that he will attack corruption at its root; and that he will reboot the engine of the economy and will diversify it to tackle youth unemployment.

    There are a variety of approaches to handling each of these priorities but they are all related. There is no doubt that corruption, like money, is the root of all our evils. If it is tackled, we will have resources for improving our educational system so that the youth may have adequate training towards employability. We will not need to hire mercenaries to fight our battle against terrorists. And the resources that are not lost to corrupted hands will be available to relieve poverty and contribute to the welfare of the masses.

    General Buhari cannot afford to, and must not be tempted to, surround himself with sycophants who only tell him what pleases him. That approach to governance has been the undoing of many otherwise great leaders. He must tap into the wise counsel of those who will boldly disagree with him with good and unselfish reasons. He must make it easy for his aides and advisers to approach him with new ideas. He must avail himself of the wise counsel of professionals and technocrats. He has been elected, and the bulk now stops with him. In four years, Nigerians will be ready to evaluate him at the polls and give their judgment with their votes.

    The die is cast and politics will not be the same again because Nigeria has turned the corner in the matter of democratic governance. The voter is now in the driver’s seat. It is a new beginning!

  • The responsibility to choose

    The responsibility to choose

    There is a good reason that democracy is described as the best form of government. That reason is certainly not because democracy is the most efficient or effective means of getting things done. Dictatorship is far more efficient and effective. With a simple command, the dictator gets things done and almost always to his satisfaction; otherwise heads might literally roll.

    Democracy is described as the best form of government because it is a system that involves all citizens in governance. On the legitimate assumption that every citizen has a stake in good governance, democracy gives them the opportunity to participate. But since modern republics boast of populations that are far too large to accommodate all citizens in day-to-day chores of governance, democratic systems come up with the practice of representative democracy whereby every citizen participates, not directly in governance, but in the choice of those who represent their interests in government, and in monitoring their performance.

    Notwithstanding the aberrations, democracy and the party system that it features is still preferable to dictatorship. By granting electorates the right to vote for candidates of their choice, it places on them the responsibility to choose. If they choose to squander their future because they are deceived by a fleeting present, it is their prerogative and they would only have themselves to blame.

    If voters choose on the basis of promises that fly in the face of good judgment, they can only live to regret it. And should they choose on the basis of sentimental attachment to a candidate because of affiliations of religion and/or ethnicity in the face of visible evidence that the one with whom they share these characteristic features doesn’t give a damn about their well-being, it is again their call. Democracy has put the voter at the driver’s seat. Where they choose to go and how they choose to get there is their responsibility.

    This campaign season has been nothing but disappointing. Issues have been left unattended to while political parties and their spokespersons have taken to negative and hate campaigns in ways that show contempt for voters. If voters are taken seriously, candidates and their parties would reach out to them with solid programs that aim at their welfare and interests. Instead we are treated to name-calling, hate-mongering, and silly tales in the name of campaigns. Promises that can never be fulfilled are made. Van-loads of dollar bills are dispersed to various groups in a bid to buy votes and delude the people. It is simply bewildering.

    In a last minute move by the ruling party, it engaged the service of a foreign lobbyist—David Grenell—who wrote an op-ed piece in The Washington Times, a conservative leaning paper in the United States. PDP presented Grenell as a former United States envoy, implying that he not only has a good knowledge of Nigeria but is also close to the seat of power.

    The gist of the piece is that electing General Buhari will be a disaster for Nigeria. What is amazing about this is that the argument is based on General Buhari’s religion and professional background and service as Head of State. Grenell suggested, counter-intuitively, that Buhari will introduce Sharia throughout Nigeria, when in fact he had the opportunity to do so as a Military dictator but refused. How will he now opt for it as a democratically elected president and expect to get it through the National Assembly and State Assemblies? But the illogical mind disdains reason.

    Shortly after General Buhari returns from his trip to Chatham House in London, the propaganda wing of PDP accused him of having entered into a deal with Western powers to legalize same-sex marriage in Nigeria. This is the same man they have accused of being an Islamic fundamentalist! But what is more incredible in their latest negative campaign with the help of Grenell is that Grenell is an openly gay Republican who in 2013 submitted an amicus curiae brief to the Supreme Court in support of same-sex marriage during the Hollingsworth v. Perry case, according to Wikipedia. Yet with their possession of such information, neither Buhari nor APC has accused PDP of making a deal with foreigners to legalize same-sex marriage. Seriously, which of the two parties has a rational basis to make that accusation?

    Campaign has ended. It is time to choose wisely because on several levels, the future is at stake. First, the future of a united Nigeria, where though tribe, tongue, and faith differ, we stand in brotherhood, is at stake. All these have been destructively exploited in this campaign. There is plenty of blame to go round, but an unbiased judgment will place a larger amount of the blame at the doorstep of the ruling party if only because much more is expected of it. Demonizing an opponent as a religious bigot and his political party as an Islamic party is beyond the pale in a multi-religious society in which adherents of every faith populate every party. Can a reelected Jonathan be expected to heal the wound of divisiveness that he has unabashedly inflicted on the body politic?

    Second, the future of a corruption-averse nation is at stake in the face of the shameless use of filthy patronage by the president and his party in this campaign. Whether it is in the form of unmerited appointment to political offices (how else does one describe Obanikoro’s ministerial appointment?) or in the form of the rain of dollar on traditional rulers and ethnic champions, or in the form of contract awards to militants, team Jonathan has polluted the political terrain beyond imagination. That he still has the courage to mount the soap box and rail against corruption is the highest form of hypocrisy. Do we really expect a reelected Jonathan to seriously fight corruption?

    Third, while it is common thinking that politics is dirty, there is also a reasonable expectation on the part of right-thinking people that a holder of the most important office in the nation will stand tall above board, no matter the temptation. However, the stench that oozes out of the presidency in the last six years has been mind-boggling. Recall the handling of the National Governors’ Forum election. Remember the use of the Nigeria Police in Rivers and Abuja. Reflect on the Ekitigate audio tape scandal. How about the clampdown on APC lawmakers in Ekiti and the use of a minority to pass budget and approve commissioners?

    Think about ministerial corruption and the president’s response. What about the final onslaught against the people through the selfish drive for the postponement of the elections? If that was not an in-your-face use of power I don’t know what is. In all of these actions that erode democracy and demean the people, President Jonathan just turned the other way. Everything is politicized and the presidency is no longer a bully pulpit for national redemption. Can a reelected president rise up to the self-imposed challenges to democratic norms?

    Fourth, I have not referenced the issue of insecurity and the fact that despite the politicization of security in pursuit of a political agenda, Chibok girls are still held in Boko Haram camps and the Northeast still groans under the deadly grip of beastly and brutish insurgents. This week over 400 women were kidnapped in Damasak. Does this president have any new tricks up his sleeve?

    If the answer to each of the questions I posed in the last four paragraphs can be truthfully answered only in the negative, is continuity a rational option? There appears to be a resounding affirmation of the need for change among Nigerians who want to send a strong message to leaders that citizens must be taken seriously.

    The question now is this. If citizens vote for change, will their votes count or will the impunity that has characterized the regime in the last six years extend to the election? Will the ruling party militants and security agents allow the election to proceed freely? If the ruling party loses, will it handover? Or will it opt for an interim government contraption or a military take-over? The world is watching.