Category: Monday

  • Wike gets third term

    Wike gets third term

    By rolling out the ministers and their portfolios, we can see that the president put imagination to numbers. The ministries are many but so is President Tinubu’s creative juice. He brought creativity to plenty and plenty out of creativity. Some said they want more technocrats. We overplay the virtue of that breed. We forget that technocrats  are ministers not to advance their special skills, but to manage humans and society. A technocrat without social or political skill will fail. Hence, we must understand that they must combine cunning, emotional and social intelligence with their technical knowhows.

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    It is intriguing that Governor Nyesom Wike gets the Federal Capital Territory. That makes him the first governor to get a third term. The law recognise  the FCT as a state, and the man who had two terms as governor of Rivers State is getting a new one outside his state, apart from being the pioneer southerner to get it. The law never envisaged such a boon. Hence French philosopher Baron de Montesquieu wrote in his The Spirit of Laws, “Laws are like the statues of certain divinities, which on some occasions, must be veiled.” The law veiled a third-term possibility until Tinubu saw it. He himself probably didn’t know.

  • Billboard signs and sinners

    Billboard signs and sinners

    The billboard sign, All Eyes On The Judiciary, was a lie in plain sight. It was raw meat in the cage to rouse a rabble. They appropriated the word ‘all’ to mean all Nigerians. But they are targeting a rabble in the first stage of a rumble. A rabble is like a pack of irate dogs with rabies.  Right now, they are like canines between growls. They wanted their audience to see the sign and rue, so they can ruin the state. But why not sue? That’s too prim. Their strategy? Intimidate the justices of the Presidential Election Petition Court.

    They arrogate to themselves a monopoly of disgust. In their naivety, they assume that others have no eyes, no minds, and no rage. So, they could just get away with it. They sign on but expect others to sign off. They forget that if they write signs, others will assert rights.

    The originators, cowards all, have not yet owned it in public. One wants to know why they did it, who they stand for, what goal they wanted to score. They should, at least, show some courage rather than hide behind a sign, especially now that their words no longer preside over the city.

    Since the Advertising Regulatory Council of Nigeria (ARCON) has condemned it and started an inquest, and the Advertising Standard Panel (ASP) dissolved, the sponsors who were in arms for their liberty of speech should go to court and prove their innocence. Before then, they should entertain us with an unveiling ceremony of the sponsors, names, addresses, ideology, history and political faith. They lack the audacity of self-identity. They are the mice of the times.

    Some shadowy persons and public commentators, including lawyers, are defending the advert, appealing to liberty of speech.  But I have not, at the time of writing, heard or seen anyone who paid their money to unspool the sign. Those invoking liberty of speech are either concealing nativist hysteria, or thumping their chests over their soldiery for a phony idea about the constitution. They should ask for refund because their money has not run its course in the skies where the billboards scowled.

    They claim you can speak anything in the name of liberty. On the surface, have all eyes never been on the judiciary? If that is trite, what was the use of the advert? Is it to bore anyone? Of course, no one spends millions of naira on a billboard to make us yawn.

    So, they know it is not intended to bore but to become boors, to stir a specific emotion.  If it was not intended as an underhand project, why not say who the sponsors are, so we can rebuke them for boring us, or for reminding us?

    If they want to say it is mere words, why are they up in arms over mere words when it is struck out? Words have meaning. They do not jump out of vacuums. As Jesus said, “from the abundance of the heart, the mouth speaks.”

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    The authors must be in psychic torture that their investment has flamed out.

    I am exercising freedom of speech by writing this essay. Yet, the same folks asking for freedom of speech invoked obituary of my liberty of expression last year. What hypocrisy!

    Some ignore the difference between speech and incitement. Machiavelli wrote, “when everyone is free, no one is free.” It means that humans, like their words, can exercise freedom so long as it allows others to exercise theirs. The best advocate of free speech in the English language was John Stuart Mill with his opus, On Liberty. I have read it at least five times since my classmate, Osagiator Ojo, introduced him to me at Ife. In spite of his advocacy, Mill pointed out two obstacles, offence and harm. You can offend, but do no harm, he asserts. Trump, the ideal of the advertisers, is trying to invoke the same liberty of speech, or its First Amendment, after he provoked a mob to overthrow a democracy, and even asked officers to invent votes. Trump is no model.

    Or else, we have anarchy. When the Jacobins-led Robespierre ignited the French Revolution, he didn’t evangelise liberty alone. A crucial part of the agenda was not just egalite, but fraternite. Fraternity cohabits a world of give and take. The French revolutionaries became assassins of that ideal when they guillotined opponents. At last, they fell to the same guillotine themselves, including the brothers Robespierre – Augustin and Maximilien. 

    It was to restrain speech that law philosophy introduced the concept of innuendo. It shows that words have reverberations. I noted last week that words are not innocent. They sparked wars in the past, including the Nigerian civil war. During the pogrom of the 1960’s, the mob invoked a specific chant that brought blood to their eyes.

    What we have now are mobs made up of counterfeit men of ideas, lawyers who have soiled their gowns like debauched priests in cassocks, street oafs with new title and obsession, and clerics who view altars with rogue eyes. Hence, rather than follow the path of law, Oby Ezekwesili,  said they should all go online where it is even cheaper. She, a former minister and anointed patron of “Bring Back Our Girls,” is leading her followers from the garden to the jungle. It is what cant can do to otherwise sapient souls. A teardrop for her. Oby is still a refined one.

    But the internet has become a city of refuge for the misbegotten. It is a place for cheats, liars, murderers, many of them posing as patriots that Samuel Johnson calls “the last refuge of the scoundrel.”

    The internet is their jungle city. It is the city within the city, like Haruki Murakami’s opus 1Q84, a novel about an invented city within a city where there are two moons and humans come out of goats. All eyes will spawn that city except those who spun it. It shows how we can reimagine facts to a false end. To reimagine what we know is a gift of the human mind. Hence the poet Shelley urged it, or else we will lose the power of thinking. And as Einstein noted, “imagination is more important than knowledge.” But these people want to cancel knowledge and turn lies into fact, much like their closet hero Donald Trump. They are inventing an invisible city, like Italian writer Italo Calvino’s work of that title. Calvino noted that such cities, as the ones the billboard maestro cast in our skies, are “like dreams…too probable to be real.” That’s the catch – probable.

    It is not only the place for the good, and there is a lot of it. But it is the bad that gets a devil’s traction. One of the main beasts are the so-called online publications. Last week, I attacked the Newspaper Proprietors Association of Nigeria and challenged the Guild of Editors as well as the Eze Anaba -led initiative. These online publications have no correspondents in Jalingo, yet they can report a flood disaster there. They have no accredited reporter in Aso Rock, yet they write headline news like others. Is this not fraud?  All we need is to prosecute them. But first, we can act like monitors of athletes for drug violations. We can pick a website at random that reports an incident, and interrogate how it got that story. When did its reporter go there? Ask for evidence. If none, then prosecute. It is a squad as truth detector.  We need fact to save a profession of facts. Only facts can rescue journalism. This way, we can wipe the vermin out of that space. No media like that can operate online in Europe or North America. Google abides it because we let them. Rather than bellyache over dwindling fortunes, the media elite should invoke law and propriety.

    It is organisations like these that open the space for lawlessness.

    They failed to stop President Bola Tinubu’s inauguration with lies, prophecies and acts of verbal brigandage, like calling for the army. Is coup cry freedom of speech? Now, the mob is online. Napoleon, who put down mobs, said “when the mob gains the day, it ceases to be any longer the mob. It is then the nation.” It is the ugly side of populism.

    Billboards are for signs but not for sinners. Its sponsors knew its audience did not need clarification. Hear Murakami in 1Q84: “If you can understand it without explanation, you can’t understand it with explanation.” The billboard sinners knew that debating it would ruffle their purpose. Unlike Cinna the Poet who the Roman mob killed out of mistaken identity, we know the culprits without explanation.

  • Regulating deregulation!

    Is the federal government about to regulate the deregulated oil sector and the foreign exchange market as well?

    That is the paradoxical question thrown up by events in those sectors, the flurry of activities and responses around governmental circles to challenges stemming from their liberalization.

     Incidentally, the above puzzle touches the heart of reservations on the propriety and timing of those two key policies introduced by President Tinubu immediately after he assumed office last May.

    The federal government had then sought to reassure the public of their ennobling objectives; the better prospects and solid future they hold for the toiling majority of our citizenry. But their implementation has continued to raise challenges, increasingly reinforcing reservations on the correctness of both policies given the fragility of the Nigerian economy.

    Nothing bears this out more strikingly than last week’s reactions from the presidency, the Central Bank of Nigeria CBN and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited NNPCL. Their responses to fallouts in these two key policy areas indicate that the necessary and sufficient supportive factors for their effective functioning were not just there before they were introduced.

    That is why the policies have continued to present challenges that reinforce reservations on the spontaneity of their implementation and consequences on the lives of the ordinary people.

    The first indication of the policy jolt came from the acting Managing Director of the Central Bank of Nigeria CBN, Folashodun Shonubi when he said after an audience with the president that the apex bank would intervene to stabilize the continued depreciation of the local currency. He did not disclose what the measures are even as he said their impact would be felt within a few days. Shonubi was reacting to the free fall of the Naira in the foreign exchange market.

    But he was quick to blame the continued depreciation of the local currency especially at the parallel market on speculation warning that the new measures may lead to quantum losses to such speculators. As he spoke, the Naira at the parallel market exchanged for about N950 per dollar while the official rate hovered around N744 per dollar.

    The exchange rate regime precipitated a chain of reactions with independent oil marketers threatening to increase the pump price of petrol to about N720 per litre in order not to run at a loss. As if that was not frightening enough, the Nigerian Labour Congress NLC threatened to shut down the country should the price of petrol rise further.

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    Both the presidency and the NNPCL were apparently compelled by the foreboding development to deny contemplating further increases in the pump price of petrol. Special Adviser to the President, Media and Publicity, Ajuri Ngelale was more emphatic on the issue: “There will be no increase in the pump price of petroleum motor spirit anywhere in the country. We repeat, the president affirms that there will be no increase in the pump price of petroleum motor spirit”.

    He insisted the market has been deregulated and liberalized while admitting inefficiencies within the midstream and downstream petroleum sub-sectors, which once swiftly addressed, will ensure the maintenance of prices where they are without reversing the deregulation policy in the petroleum industry.

    On face value, the reassurances from the presidency would seem to address mounting concerns on the fallouts of the liberalization of the petroleum industry and the foreign exchange market. But that would amount to a circumscribed perspective of a rather very complex issue. As alluring as the reassurances of no further price increases are, there is a risk in swallowing them hook, line and sinker because of the contradictions they present.

    There is a mortal policy contradiction in the presidency and the NNPCL promising there will be no further fuel price increases. The first notion it convey is that the government will directly intervene to ensure that the price of petrol remains at the current rate. By some logical inference also, the dynamics of market forces will no longer be allowed to determine the price of the commodity. That contradicts the whole essence of liberalization.

    The marketers threatening further petrol price increases do so because of the current rate they access foreign exchange. At that rate, they will be left with no option than to increase prices since they are in business to make profit.

    The last time pump price of petrol was increased from N500 to N617, the chief executive officer of NNPCL, Mele Kyari had fingered market forces for the rising prices. “What I know is that market forces will regulate the market; prices will go down sometimes, sometimes it will go up. …That is the best way to go forward so that we can adjust prices” he had argued.

    If the same Kyari turns round to emphatically state there will be no further increase in the price of petrol despite copious economic indicators to that effect, one begins to wonder whether market forces have taken flight. The impression one gets is that the government will directly act in such a manner to obstruct the interplay of market dynamics.

    There is no way the price of fuel will remain at their current levels with the continuous depreciation of the local currency since fuel importation is intricately tied to the vagaries of the Naira in the foreign exchange market. It is inconceivable that independent marketers will access foreign exchange at the current rate and sale below their cost price.

    That is the quandary in the insistence by the government that there would be no further increase in the price of petrol. How that was going to happen remained a matter of conjecture until the NNPCL suddenly announced it signed a commitment Letter and Term Sheet with Afrexim Bank for an emergency $3 billion crude oil repayment loan.

    The loan according to the NNPCL will enable it support the federal government in its “ongoing fiscal and monetary policy reforms aimed at stabilizing the exchange rate market” In effect, the NNPCL secured the loan to enable the federal government force down the rising cost of foreign exchange.

    By extrapolation, once such foreign exchange stability is achieved via the loan facility, petrol will continue to sell at their current rate. So the promise by the government that there will be no further increase in the price of petrol is hinged on forcing down the rising foreign exchange rate through the injection of the loan.

    The insistence that there will be no further petrol price increase even as liberalization stays can now be understood. It targets price stability in the petroleum sector through stabilization of the foreign exchange rate regime. Ironically, that stability will not be determined by market forces but government’s intervention. Good economic strategy, it would appear.

    But the loan is still unable to free itself from the contradiction of obstructing market dynamics. Liberalization of the foreign exchange market would in its very strict sense imply the primacy of demand and supply dynamics in exchange rate determination. That principle will be obstructed by what the government intends to do irrespective of whatever benefits the outcome portends.

     It is not for nothing that the loan initiative has been likened to a return of fuel subsidy in some quarters. And those who subscribe to this view have a point. There are also issues pertaining to the terms of the loan agreement, the interest on it and anticipated effects on the economy when the repayment is due.

    If the loan succeeds in stabilizing the value of the Naira such that there will be no further increase in the price of petrol, the government would have scored a point. But that prospect remains a moot issue. More fundamentally, the liberalization quagmire illustrates very poignantly the dearth of the fundamentals for its eventual success.

    For a country hugely dependent on imports including petrol which it has in abundant capacity, producing without refining, it is anybody’s guess liberalization will produce very debilitating results as witnessed in the escalating cost of living. It is fervently hoped governors will judiciously apply the N5 billion disbursed to each state to ameliorate the pains of the liberalization policy on the vulnerable segment of the society.

  • Insecurity: The Southeast angle

    Insecurity: The Southeast angle

    Three different but closely related events last week again, highlighted increasing concerns on the lingering insecurity in the Southeast.

    The first came through assurances from the Chief of Army Staff, Major General Taoreed Lagbaja at a meeting with the House of Representatives’ Ad Hoc committee investigating killings, kidnapping and sundry criminalities in the Umunnochi and Isuikwuato Local Government Areas of Abia State.

    Lagbaja who spoke through Deputy Director Operations, Army Headquarters, Brig. Gen. Gabriel Osho had assured that the army and other security agencies were working round the clock to address the insecurity in the region. He noted that kidnapping remains a potential security threat even as he observed that in July this year, the region recorded cases of kidnapping and attacks by criminal elements suspected to be elements of the proscribed Indigenous People of Biafra IPOB.

    The army was responding to a request from the House ad hoc committee for a memorandum and interface with relevant security agencies and stakeholders in respect of the incessant attacks of kidnapping, assassination, banditry and other criminalities in the two local government areas.

    The other was the meeting of southeast governors in Enugu to deliberate on how to evolve lasting solutions to the insecurity that has left the region a ghost of its former self. It was the first time the five governors met without sending representatives. In a communiqué at the end of the meeting, the governors resolved to fight insecurity decisively both individually and collectively and in partnership with the federal government.

    But they appeared to have added a new dimension to the narrative when they stated “categorically that the perpetrators of insecurity in our region and their sponsors are criminals and should not be seen as legitimate agitators… upon arrest, they should be dealt with in accordance with the laws of the land”.

    This should be instructive given the penchant to blame any and every criminality in that part of the country on the IPOB. Ironically, such blanket profiling did not only inject complications to the war against insecurity but exposed youths in the zone to all manner of suspicion and maltreatment.

    Had the governors come to this realty before now, some of their actions that led to the mismanagement and escalation of the security situation in the zone could have been perfectly avoided. Perhaps also, we may have come to terms early enough with the reality of the so-called unknown gunmen.    

    The third dimension stems from a trending television interview granted by former militants’ henchman Asari Dokubo.  The ex-militant leader had bandied claims which seem to have injected complications into the unceasing insecurity in parts of the country especially, the southeast.

    Hear him, “I have a private military company that is engaged by the government and we are fighting side by side with the Nigerian military in many places. Like Niger, Plateau, Abia, Imo and parts of Rivers. We were in Anambra too. We are doing a good job and being commended by the host communities”.

    He drew parallels with such private military companies as the notorious Wagner private army in Russia and Blackwater in the USA to justify the existence of his brand of a private military company. But he was quick to add that he does not have an army.

    Director, Army Public Relations, Brig. Gen. Onyema Nwachukwu denied his claims. He said the army neither conducted operation in any part of the country in collaboration with Dokubo’s men nor is it in any form of partnership with the ex-militant or whatever private security outfit he claims to own.

    In Nwachukwu’s view, the veracity of his claims to ownership of a private military company can only be ascertained by the relevant agency statutorily mandated to licence such outfits. We shall return to this later.

    It is heart-refreshing that the army, southeast governors and the House of Representatives are seriously concerned with the incalculable harm wrought on the economy of that zone by the festering insecurity and are commitment to stem the tide.

    Of particular note is the keen interest by the ad hoc committee of the House in seeking a memorandum from the army; on how to interface with other security agencies to stamp out the hydra-headed incidents of kidnapping, killings and sundry criminalities that have left that axis, a verity of the atavism of the state of nature.

    But it is important to have a proper reading of the situation in that axis else the renewed efforts may not hit the real culprits. This point is underscored by the statement from the army which seems to ascribe the degenerated insecurity in that area solely to the activities of the proscribed IPOB. This, to say the least, is a very limited perspective of the matter.

    No doubt, the activities of criminals of the IPOB and other elements in crime cannot be ruled out in the orgy of violence that characterizes that axis. But of particular interest should be the kind of activities that go on in the cattle market located in that axis which serves as boundaries to the three states of Enugu, Abia and Imo. 

    Before now, criminal herdsmen have been fingered for much of the kidnapping that occur in that area. The narratives of those who had the misfortune to encounter them had left no one in doubt about the main characters in the illicit trade. The Prelate of the Methodist Church of Nigeria, Dr Kalu Samuel Uche who was kidnapped in the axis with some of his bishops some time ago, was unambiguous that those who took him hostage were clearly herdsmen from Mali and Sudan.

    He had also alleged the herdsmen they saw were born and grew up in the southeast and were children of cow dealers who had lived in the region for decades. Prelate Uche who was released after paying a N100 million ransom had then accused the military of complicity by acting as enabler of kidnappers.

    There had also been demonstrations and agitations from host communities for the relocation of the cattle market seen as the incubator of insecurity in the axis. So the role of the cattle market in that winding and desolate axis is an issue that must be tackled head on.

     Even as calls for its relocation may appear a tall order now, there is nothing preventing the army and other security agencies from conducting thorough and regular searches in and around the markets given allegations that it serves as hiding abode for sophisticated weapons used for sundry criminalities.

    The interest shown by the House of Representatives will yield startling and positive outcomes if the army leads such discrete search operations. As long as we treat concerns on the security risk the cattle market poses with disregard, so long will the insecurity in that area remain a recurring decimal.

    Dokubo’s private military company in the fashion of Wagner and Blackwater: it is irreconcilable he has a private military company but does not have a standing army. Yet, he claims to be involved in operations with the military in some states including three in the southeast zone. The story does not just add up. 

    It is also not just enough for the army to deny any form of collaboration with his so-called private military company. Neither is it sufficient to pass the buck on the veracity of the existence of such company to the agency charged with such registrations. In saner climes, Dokubo should have been arrested to furnish details of his claims and collaborative engagement with the government in its military operations. It is still not late.

    Getting Dokubo to account for the activities of his private military company is even more compelling given copious allegations before now that his security outfit is involved in some of the killings in parts of the southeast. He must come clear on what security operations he is involved in Imo, Abia and Anambra states and the arrangements under which he operated.

    If the notoriety and disregard for rules of engagement by private military companies as the Wager group and Blackwater are anything to go by, we may be getting clues to the riddle posed by ‘unknown gunmen’. The governors of the southeast should speak up on whether they engaged the services of Dokubo’s private military company and in what capacity.

    It is time to come clear on the so-called Ebubeagu security outfit whose activities, membership and modus operandi are shrouded in utmost secrecy if current concerns are to lead to productive outcomes.   

  • Asari-Dokubo’s martial men

    Asari-Dokubo’s martial men

    A curious character, 59-year-old long-term Niger Delta activist Mujahid Asari-Dokubo remains dramatically garrulous. He also retains his old militancy and unapologetic hubris, which continue to attract attention.  He exhibited these features yet again in a recent viral video in which he boasted about his alleged martial exploits. He is described as the leader of the Niger Delta Peoples Salvation Force (NDPSF).

    “I don’t have an army,” he said in an interview in the video, “but I have a private military company that was engaged by the Nigerian government and I have been doing the work for the Nigerian State.”  He explained that his so-called private military company “is engaged by the government and we are fighting side by side with the Nigerian military in many places. Like Niger, Plateau, Abia, Imo and in parts of Rivers State. We were in Anambra too. We are doing a good job and we are being commended by the host communities.”

    His claims were uncorroborated by any information in the public domain. They were indeed discredited by the Director Army Public Relations, Brig. Gen. Onyema Nwachukwu, who was reported saying “The veracity of his claim can only be ascertained by the relevant agency, statutorily mandated to license such outfits.” Which agency is that? It is unhelpful that the agency in question has not clarified the issue.

    Nwachukwu clarified that “the Nigerian Army is not in any form of partnership or collaborative pact with the ex-militant or whatever private security outfit he claims to own.” He added that “contrary to his claims, the Nigerian Army has never conducted any operation jointly or side by side with Asari or the organisation he represents, in any of those areas he mentioned or in any theatre of operations.”

    Which information is true? There is an urgent need for clarity on this issue. Who struck such a deal with Asari-Dokubo, if it is true that the claimed arrangement exists? What are the details of the deal? 

    For instance, it is no secret that the Federal Government, under ex-President Muhammadu Buhari, signed a controversial N48bn-per-year pipeline surveillance contract with a private company, Tantita Security Services, to check the massive oil theft in the Niger Delta. The company was linked to another well-known Niger Delta activist, Government Ekpemupolo, popularly called Tompolo, the former leader of the militant group, Movement for the Emancipation of Niger Delta (MEND).  Strikingly, the company discovered more than 58 oil-theft points in Delta and Bayelsa states at some point last year.

    Tompolo was reported saying his firm was “only providing intelligence for the security people to assist to do the work.”  It was inexcusable that the Buhari administration contracted a private security company to monitor the country’s oil pipelines. The action amounted to an abdication of responsibility and an admission of incapacity. The same would be true if the Federal Government had a secret security contract with Asari-Dokubo’s so-called private military company.

    Interestingly, Asari-Dokubo also bragged in a viral video that his force was capable of ending the crisis in neighbouring Niger by overpowering the military coupists who seized power from an elected government in that country last month.  He said: “If the government commissions me and my people to go to Niger Republic, we will go. We will defeat them and we will come back victorious. It is not a boast… We will go there, defeat them and restore democratic order.”

    In 2013, he was reported to have renounced his Nigerian citizenship, saying he did so “in protest against the inability of Nigeria to grant Ijaw Republic.” He said he had relocated his “corporate investments” to Benin Republic, which he described as “my adopted homeland.” It can be said that his citizenship status is unclear. 

    It is a measure of the perceived threat posed by Asari-Dokubo and his force that the Human Rights Writers Association of Nigeria (HURIWA), in a statement, last month, observed that the President Bola Tinubu administration “seems to be afraid of Asari-Dokubo despite the fact that the ex-agitator is threatening to destroy the country if arrested for unlawful possession of assault rifles and threat to the life and property of Igbo people in the country.”

    The group said he had “dared the military to arrest him, and (added) he would crumble Nigeria’s oil production,” and called on the Federal Government to “take steps to rein in Asari-Dokubo and his threats against the Federal Republic of Nigeria.”

    It is noteworthy that he visited President Tinubu in Abuja, in June. According to him, the purpose of the visit was “to give words of encouragement to the president for the actions and policies so far made in his less than three weeks of governing a very difficult country like Nigeria.” He said they “discussed a wide range of issues, especially on security and oil theft in the Niger Delta,” adding that he assured the president that “there will be zero oil theft and vandalisation in the Niger Delta.”

     In an interview with journalists after the visit, he took credit for bringing security and peace to parts of the country.  His words: “Today you are traveling to Kaduna on this road, it is not the army that made it possible for you to travel to Abuja or travel to Kaduna vice versa, it is my men employed by the government of Nigeria stationed in Niger. Today go to Baga, you go to Shiroro and go to Wase. We have lost so many men; we don’t even have one per cent of the armament deployed by the Nigerian military and we have had resounding success.”

    It is puzzling that he presented a narrative of collaboration with the country’s armed forces. It is equally puzzling that the Nigerian Army issued a statement denying knowledge of the activities of his so-called private military company in the places he mentioned.

    These conflicting narratives from both sides suggest that the country’s struggle with insecurity is unstructured. The country’s armed forces and security agencies are expected to be the actors in the fight, not non-state actors like Asari-Dokubo and his force.  

    The Federal Government needs to clarify the status of Asari-Dokubo’s so-called private military company and its alleged role in the fight to bring security to the country.  Also, the authorities must decisively address the question of illegal arms in unlicensed hands. He has been seen in several viral videos playing the role of militia commander in the midst of gun-wielding robots. Are his martial activities lawful?  Lawlessness must not be encouraged. It sends the wrong signals.

  • Let it bite

    Let it bite

    It is very rare to see Babatunde Raji Fashola (SAN)  berate anyone in public. The Trojan of works stylises his temper, even when you can hear a roar beneath his repose. He often chisels his diction and avoids public vitriol. Last week, he fumed and his ribcage rattled.

    He asked the inspector general of police to investigate what some phony investigators in the name of journalism put in the public domain. They include Jacksom Ude, Yoruba Sheikh and Reportera.ng. Ude says Fashola “allegedly” has written the draft verdict of the Presidential Election Petition Court, and that he even wrote the 2019 Judgment.

    The other online predator Reportera.ng wrote that the army had laid siege to Fashola’s Abuja residence.

    The former works minister has also taken them to court. This is the first time that we are witnessing a high-profile person browbeat what Wole Soyinka has called the rodents of the internet. They live by impunity clothed in lies. They disdain fact or decency, and they wallow in their cocoons to whip up wild and unsubstantiated fantasies.

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    It is not about Fashola, nor is it about Ude, Reportera.ng or the comedy of the name known as Yoruba Sheikh. This is a supine stagecraft by a cunning coterie of opportunists to exploit the fragility of democracy, the integrity of our judiciary and the value of the press. It also shows how they relish to pluck any target out of their ease by a swarm of predators who want to make a living from sensationalism, and sensationalism on the misery of others. It is Fashola today. It has been many in the past – CEOs, celebrity artistes, politicians, clerics, and many a citizen with neither a lawyer nor a platform to plead innocence.

    In this case, this breed of vermin is part of the subversives who dreaded the swearing-in of President Bola Tinubu. They concocted all kinds of obstacles and generated false hopes and histrionics among a crowd of illusionists that May 29 would not come. They made common cause with street lowlifes, high-strung lawyers, tendentious intellectuals, religious mercantilists of the “yes daddy” variety and ethnic oafs who manufacture Aesop fables. These websites and their rabid purveyors stand by as their rottweilers of fiction. They distinguish themselves with their pigsty conscience.

    They were the same breed who had exclusive vision to see the chief justice in Europe with then President-elect when he was here in Nigeria. They made him twins in one. A miracle. Their pious lords in altars seasoned them with their own apocrypha. They also had the big, dog ears to hear the phone calls between Tinubu and the Chief justice. They were the only ones who sighted Wike with one of the PEPC judges. They also knew that a PEPC judge resigned before we knew that he didn’t. They have invented an alternative universe, like the character in the Japanese novel, 1Q84 by Haruki Murakami in which a person cruises into an alternative city just by taking an underpass.

    They are taking advantage of free speech. Free press is seductive, and American founding father Thomas Jefferson once swore that if he were to choose between a free press without a government and vice versa, he would choose the former. That was before the media skewered him as president over the Sally Hemmings affair. Fact is sacred but not as scare tactic. That is the creed of journalism. Fact without responsibility is murder. That is what these men are doing, and that is what has jolted Fashola from the irate pillow of his bed.

    In journalism, you check your facts. No media house is perfect. Even the New York Times had to issue a mea culpa when it erred over reporting of the Gulf war and weapons of mass destruction. When we err, we acknowledge.

    But these guys are not even professional. If they are not getting the preposition wrong, like Ude’s Keep “tabs with,” they foreswear correct idioms, like Reportera.ng’s “take siege of.” They are undermining the glories of the trade, including the textual propriety, language, tone and integrity. They don’t understand context and caveat. They just take liberties.

    One of the dangers is their ability to flip in and out of lunacy. They seduce the audience by reporting facts today as licence to peddle rumour as fact tomorrow. They steal from traditional media, and that sucks in the unwary. It gives them the liberty to slaughter. It is licensed tyranny.

    They know there is a gullible crowd waiting to consume. It’s like the warning in scripture about people who asks their leaders to tell them sweet things so they may be glad. Their victims are like a beast that is quiet when it is hungry but when the master serves up the meat, it begins to bay and brawl. Atiku Abubakar fed that hysteria of lies when he said Tinubu was arm-twisting the judges. Such irresponsible drivel. He advanced no evidence, but he brought himself to the sewer of the habitual evangelists of fables. They are willing to be deceived. It is like the line of the Italian Renaissance poet Torquato Tasso’s  epic, Jerusalem Delivered, “They drink deceived, and so deceived, they live.”

    They know they cannot make good business by saying the truth. They do not have resources to fund good  journalism.  So, when they are not copycatting fact, which profits little, they fly to fiction.  Just as Lord Byron wrote in his famous poem, Don Juan, “You’d best begin with truth, and when you’ve lost your labour, there’s a sure market for imposture.”

    This is a time for the Newspaper Proprietors’ Association of Nigerian to stamp out this infection. They have been tardy and ineffective. The Guild of Editors and the Eze Anaba-led initiative have a big task ahead. While many are wary of the contagion of coups in the sub-continent, the clear and present dangers are these rodents on X (twitter), Tiktok, Instagram, Facebook, et al. They can turn democracy into a compost heap in a jiffy. Let it be known that media lies have set country against country before. It’s what Jesus foretold as rumours of war. It stoked Nigeria into the civil war. The Spanish-American war blew up because a certain media mogul wanted to sell his newspaper.

    We see routine violations on a daily basis. Some websites thrive on theft. They wait for organisations like The Nation to deploy reporters, and have their reports written, go through the rigour of editing and different other layers of publication. They wait like agberos and ambush others’ sweat as their own genius. Some add snap and sweeteners for an air of originality. This essay will be on sites without authorization. Just last week, someone drew my attention to this column on a platform without even attribution. It is free-for-all capitalism. They also want traffic, if through traduce. I have reported before how a picture of a man with goat at a campaign rally I never attended was identified as me. Even though the person does not have my height, skin colour, nose, etc. There were even posters announcing a funeral while I am still alive.

    Fashola knows some of these miscreants are out of the country. Wherever they are, law has no borders. The western world will slam consequences on those who want to traffic on such filth. An American Ude or Yoruba Sheikh will be in jail. They do so here because no one has come for them. The cyber law is not a lipstick on the statute books. It has teeth. Let it bite.

  • Lunch with Obioma

    Lunch with Obioma

    What gave him away were his shorts. I chuckled to myself, this man has become an oyinbo man. It was a high-taste, luxury hotel in Lagos, and Nigeria’s top novelist and two-time finalist of the prestigious Man Booker Prize, Chigozie Obioma and I had lunch just in time to board his flight back to his base in the United States, where he writes and teaches.

    “I prefer the writing part,” he confesses as he sips a glass of juice to ride his rice and dodo to his bowel. We tried in less than two hours to solve the problems of the world and our dear country, and he had a lot to say. He had been in the country for about two weeks and had visited his family in Benue State. He complained about the state of poverty, and how everyone thought he had brought a haul of dollars. He hoped that Tinubu’s palliatives would come quickly. I added that he should be wary of those asking for money. While some of them were genuine, some would invent troubles for his money. He knew that. But we both agreed even that was a picture of the desperation in the land. He had praises for the expressway from Makurdi through Nasarawa State to Abuja. “I never saw a bump on that road,” he confessed. He was referring to the Keffi-Akwanga-Lafia to Makurdi road. It was Fashola’s doing, one of Buhari’s understated legacies.

    Read Also: Booker Prize judge Chigozie Obioma’s ‘When the Risen Dust Settles’ will unsettle the ‘guilty’

    But he has a lot going on in his life. He was getting ready for a high-octane, Distinguished writer-in-residence programme at the “junior Ivy-league” Wesleyan University at Connecticut. The well-paid affair – I won’t disclose the amount – will take a full year and will give him time to write and teach elite literature about inventing. One of the works will be Italo Calvino’s The Hidden Cities. Meanwhile, he is also heading to Norway in September as one of seven “top living southern Saharan writers” at what is deemed the biggest library in the world, The Bergen Public Library or Bergen Offentlidge Bibliotek. They want to showcase such writers as Nadifa Mohammed, Tsisi Dangaremba, himself and Chimamanda Adichie, when she is not accompanying Obi to the court. He has also pioneered a writers retreat at a resort in Greece for promising talent on the continent. Four Nigerians, two fiction writers and two poets, are fellows.

    The author of the Fisherman and the Orchestra of the Minorities was glad to announce that his third work, The Road to the Country, will be out next year. It is about the Nigerian civil war and intersects myth with realism to unveil the pathos and tragedy of war. With Kunle as its protagonist, the novel is described as “formally daring, acutely observed and vivid in its depiction of one of the twentieth century’s greatest tragedies.”

    The well-known Economist magazine has asked him to write an essay for its “By Invitation” column. It will feature soon. Just before we rose, he said he had two things to say. One, the church has eaten the moral and spiritual fabric of the people. He was complaining as a Christian himself. He said, “Salvation is gift,” and lamented that pastors have weaponized fear turned it into a transaction. Two, the youth had now become servile to the cell phone, and it has stopped them from private rumination. “When I was speaking with my dad, he was pestered with calls, so we couldn’t have a smooth dialogue,” he observed. That, however, did not stop us from excavating our cell phones to take a picture to document a happy hour.

  • Ajaero or agbero?

    Ajaero or agbero?

    Joe Ajaero is one of the figures of this era who evokes derision of disdain merely by looking at him. He is counting on our memory loss we forget that once he lost an election and stoked hell for the Nigeria Labour Congress. He pried the union into two and rode a faction. He is the sort of person who loves it only when he wins. That is how he defines legitimacy. He is reviving that infection as NLC president. A man who speaks without polish or tact, he did not hide the fact that he is a partisan of the Labour Party, and has not accepted that his candidate came third in the polls. Hence he has approached President Bola Tinubu with hostile levity. His first impulse is to strike. That is what I call an agbero mentality.

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    It is persons like him who made many in the 19th century Europe, especially socialists, to suspect labour’s foray into politics as a reincarnation of the master-servant relationship of capitalism. Hence socialists have had a fractious relationship with it. A historian called it the “contentious alliance.” That is the kind of attitude Ajaero’s NLC is perpetuating. How do you see strike as the first and last salvo to a two-month-old government. Why even the resort to apocalypse rather than engagement? When the issue of palliative was announced, NLC operatives wanted the money parceled through them. The government said no. They want the fuel subsidy regime to go the way of the past when labour leaders grew fat over the people’s miseries by cornering some juicy contracts. Not now, not for the boor of a leader named Ajaero.

  • Little lamb

    Little lamb

    Who would have thought that Philip Shaibu could anytime on earth be in stormy waters with his boss, the governor of Edo State? But here we have it. But the deputy peacock of the state and a courtier of Edo State Government House has gone to court. He is barred from meetings and mentoring. He can’t see memos and minutes. Godwin Obaseki’s ears are immune to the tones and tunes of his call. Shaibu’s phone hollers eight times but not a hello in return. He who was shepherd has become leper.

    The man was silver of government cannot boast a medal. He is even worse than a cipher but something of a Lucifer. It is not what the rumour mill is saying. He confessed it. He wailed in the court. Obaseki did not only make him an outsider in government, he may be on his way out. The Golgotha called impeachment is looming.

    It is not funny, if not tragic. Shaibu was, not long ago, Obaseki’s chief guard dog and enforcer, his matador, bouncer and muscleman. The troops responded to him as a herd to the sound of a lash.

    Shaibu was a labour maestro, a darling of the worker. Hence he became a friend, follower and confidant of Adams Oshiomhole, the former governor of the state and one of the great labour mobilisers of his generation. He rewarded Shaibu by backing him to be deputy governor. Adams calculated that, with Obaseki and Shaibu in the saddle, he could go sleep. A nightmare ensued. Both boss and deputy ganged up against their benefactor. They wanted Adams to sulk while they sucked the milk of power. They made common cause until it is now common curse.

    Shaibu set his face against Adams in the hope that Obaseki would be his eternal ally. But he is in the terrain of slippery slope called politics, and his blood now boils with the venom he spat on Adams. He was on top of the world when they were seeking a second term together. The streets churned. There was blood and fear.

    They had a strategy. Make Tinubu the scape goat and assert Edo independence. With such a strategy, no one would remember that he had failed to deliver in education. The bad roads would not matter even if cars and trucks squeaked and sputtered over potholes. No one would ask if the finances lacked probity.

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    Asiwaju Tinubu had said Osagie Ize-Iyamu was a better offer. Obaseki and co invented a chant. Edo no be Lagos. It was beautiful as it was cynical. It was a war cry. And the electoral machine was on song. Obaseki became an unlikely engineer of Edo nationalism. He whose forebears betrayed one of Africa’s magnificent thrones and sold its soul to the white man in the fraught era of the Benin Empire. He had suddenly become the patron saint of ethnic prowess.

    It was no more the agenda of Edo future. It was a rage against a phantom who wanted to take over the state. Asiwaju was not taking over the state when he staked Adams for eight years, when Edo team came to  learn a thing or two from Lagos that even Obaseki is gleefully enjoying today. Edo na Lagos then. Sentiment upbraided virtue. No one was ready to address the issue, that Ize-Iyamu is an Edo man. He was the one on the ballot, not a Lagos politician who had been an acknowledged friend and defender of the state.

    Yet the man who had not shown a pedigree of performance threw a wool over all. He became a hero. Shaibu helped with this narrative. But he was a mini-Adams in his day. He walked like him, talked like him, and of course, with his Khaki, he was a labour man in profile. He outfitted himself in that Labour attire when he dueled Adams and Ize-Iyamu. He preened like a peacock.

    He was in the centre of many acts of chaos and violence. During the campaign, he received a rebuke from the Oba himself. That did not faze or restrain him. His boss, a member of the Obaseki clan, had no historic respect for the crown.

    He was the chief rottweiler of the second-term bid.  He spoke never to Adams but at him and over him. Adams was a yesterday’s man. He had used and tossed him.

    He thought he would be a bigger man. He wanted to succeed Obaseki. He had performed for him. He probably wanted to be rewarded as Jesus said he would reward his apostles when he said: “You are those who have continued with me in my temptations. I appoint for you a kingdom and you shall sit on my right and on my left judging the 12 tribes of Israel.” Well, Obaseki, who always looks like a man out of wrestling ring rather than board meeting, is not so generous as Christ. Shaibu says since he told his boss he, too, wants to be boss, he had become a pariah. Obaseki regarded it as ambition overdrive, a romanticism of desire. He had probably set his imagination to work on how he too would act as governor when he studied Obaseki’s acts and pageants – in exco meetings, sitting with a leg up on executive couch, barking orders, bullying special advisers, receiving VIPs, fuming about Bourdillon or downing a glass of whiskey. To deprive him of official ostentations, Obaseki took him out of his misery by making him an outsider.

    When Shaibu strutted to the government house, it was ba shiga. He met the defiance and stony stares of the security men who often bowed and worshipped him.

    He thought he was the shepherd of Obaseki flock. Well, what describes him in Obaseki’s eyes is the phrase, little flock. It inverts what Jesus meant when he used the phrase for his apostles. Jesus employed the phrase with affection. Little did not mean little. Just as Conrad used the phrase ‘little flower’ for a romantic beloved. But in its stark definition, little means small. He is small in Obaseki’s eyes, too small to fill his shoes.

    But more potent is William Blake’s lines on the little lamb. He asked: “Little Lamb/ who made thee/ does thou know who made thee?” Shaibu is now the one who forgot who made him until he became little lamb after acting like a “tiger burning bright in the forest of night.” One may ask, like poet Blake, did he who made the tiger make thee. Obaseki, who made him a tiger has now softened him into a lamb.

    Now, rather than a chief apostle, Obaseki sees him as an apostate. If he thought they had an understanding, he forgot Obaseki is an Obaseki, and to make matters worse, he is mortal. “There is no point swearing oaths if you are a mortal,” wrote Sophocles. And Obaseki belongs to a breed of men in which agreements end in arguments. Shaibu is now the sort of humans Shakespeare described as “never loved until never worth the love.”

    Reading Shaibu’s confessional is like imagining a surreal drama. It was as though he was crying for help. His big boss was calling for his guillotine. His court plea might have been titled: My Inquisition. But who will help him? It was reported that he had a meeting with Adams. What sort of meeting could that be? Did he dobale, as the Yoruba say? How low did he go? Remember Tolstoy’s words that “it is better to bow too low than not low enough.”

    Is he asking his quarry to query his present boss? Is he trying to change ship and align with his former target – Adams – against his former ally – Obaseki? Is that not a lesson in life. He did not fight with humility a few years ago. Now, his humble pie must fill his mouth as he tells Adams “I am sorry.” He fought Adams like a beast; he is returning like a lamb. Maybe he is foreseeing his political end, and he seems like a dead man testifying against his own funeral, apologies to Sophocles.

    Maybe he is in denial. He is not falling. Shaibu may be under an illusion like Emperor Valentinian III when he was informed of the slaughter of Rome. He thought they were referring to his favorite cockerel. He replied, “but I just fed it a few minutes ago.” Such illusions are necessary when one’s back is against the wall. Like our deputy peacock. But reality is more unflattering.

  • ECOWAS ‘boots’ on Nigerien ground

    ECOWAS ‘boots’ on Nigerien ground

    Will the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) adopt the military option to restore constitutional democracy in Niger? This poser is of major concern to keen observers of events since the military sacked the democratically elected government of President Muhammed Bazoum.

    The fear of possible military engagement followed resolutions of Heads of States and Governments of the sub-regional body after an extraordinary meeting in Abuja. ECOWAS leaders had while condemning the forceful takeover of power in that country, issued ultimatum to the putschists to reinstate Bazoum to power within seven days or face possible military force.

    They also reeled out sanctions including the suspension of all financial and commercial transactions, freezing of all service transactions, land border closures and suspension of all commercial flights between Niger and ECOWAS countries.

    They directed the Chiefs of Defence Staff of ECOWAS to proceed on an emergency meeting to strategize on effective ways to implement a possible military action to restore Bazoum to office.

    But the coup leader in Niger, Gen. Abdourahamane Tchiani described their action as the military response to the “degradation of the security situation”, linked to jihadist bloodshed. The military warned about the “consequence that will flow from any foreign military intervention…that certain dignitaries are thinking of military confrontation which will end in nothing but the massacre of the Nigerien people and chaos”.

    Both Mali and Burkina Faso have warned against foreign military intervention in Niger. The military governments in both countries said any military intervention in Niger to restore deposed President Bazoum would be considered a “declaration of war against their two countries”.

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    The sub-regional body did not however, foreclose the diplomatic option. President Bola Tinubu has in his capacity as the ECOWAS chairman dispatched a delegation to Niger and another to Libya and Algeria last weekend. While the first delegation led by former head of state, Abdulsalami Abubakar is to convey ECOWAS resolutions to the coup leaders in Niger; the other led by Babagana Kingibe is to engage the leaders of neighbouring Libya and Algeria to solicit their cooperation on ECOWAS position.

    Feelers from the outcome of discussions of the delegation with the coup leaders spoke of dissonance between ECOWAS position and that of the military leaders. Reports had it that negotiations had collapsed seemingly irretrievably as the junta is set to recall their ambassador from Nigeria and some other western countries.

    They were also mulling other measures that gave out their commitment to pushing through their vision on the forceful regime change. With the seeming deadlock, it is unclear whether ECOWAS will seek further avenues of getting the coup leaders see reason or opt for forceful intervention to enforce their will.

    It does appear ECOWAS is weighing both possibilities very closely. Defence chiefs of the body had since met to map out responses in the event of a military action. Rhetoric from their meeting fuelled speculations on the prospects of force. This could be gleaned from the statement of Nigeria’s defence chief, Gen Christopher Musa when he said, “we must face the challenge of restoring democratic governance in Niger head on”.

    ECOWAS commissioner for political affairs, peace and security, Abdel-Fatau Musah toed the same hard line thus, “we need to demonstrate that we can go beyond barking to bite”. He harped on the imperative of decisive action to stop the coup from spreading to other countries given that in the last three years or so there have been about nine successful/unsuccessful coups in West Africa.

    Such have been the sentiments. In addition, a leaked viral memo from Nigerian Defence Headquarters revealed an order had been given to the Army, Navy and Air force to ‘prepare to commence movement of platforms to Sokoto and enforce a no-fly zone’.

    These have raised speculations on the eventual deployment of force by ECOWAS to restore democracy in Niger. Already, Nigeria has cut off electricity supplies to that country as part of the efforts to give teeth to the sanctions. But the regime in Niamey is adamant as it has gone ahead to arrest and detain top ministers of the sacked government even as it is still holding Bazoum in detention.

    The challenge facing the ECOWAS given the alleged breakdown in negotiations with the Nigerien coup leaders is how to proceed henceforth. Will they consider further peace meetings or regard the failed engagement sufficient evidence of a complete breakdown of truce? Should the sub-regional body deploy immediate force to restore Bazoum or explore other diplomatic channels to engage the military leaders?

    That is the game situation presented by the Nigerien impasse. It involves options and payoffs with wider repercussions. If the temperament of the leadership of ECOWAS, especially the lure for Nigeria to upscale its diplomatic role within the sub-region is anything to go by, the temptation of a military option appears high on the table. President Tinubu is faced with the temptation to use the Nigerien situation to demonstrate his famed credentials and commitment to democracy.

    This should not be a surprise. In his swearing-in speech, last May, he had indicated his primary foreign policy objective as “the peace and stability of the West African sub-region and the African continent…work with ECOWAS, the AU and willing partners in the international community to end extant conflicts and resolve new ones”. He also promised to contain threats to peace, retool our foreign policy to more actively lead the regional and continental quest for collective prosperity. So there is everything to expect that the Nigerien situation provides the first opportunity for him to demonstrate this resolve.

    But whether he would prefer the military option so soon after or the exploration of more diplomatic avenues to resolve the impasse, will depend on a complex set of intervening variables. Already ECOWAS is divided on military intervention. Three of its member states, Guinea, Mali and Burkina Faso are ruled by the military.

    Both Mali and Burkina Faso have taken sides with the Nigerien coup leaders and warned ECOWAS that foreign military intervention in Niger will amount to a declaration of war against their own countries. The implication of this is that in the event of foreign military intervention, both countries will join hands with Niger, pool their military arsenal together to ward off any intruder. That is the message. And this will lead to complications whose outcome nobody can predict.

    These countries have also embarked on some form of nationalism which has seen them sacking their former colonial masters with a demonstrable inclination and preference for Russia which is said to have stationed the notorious mercenary Wagner private army in their territories. Their attachment to Russia is not propelled by any ideological consideration.

    With the collapse of the communist party, Russia opted for a variant of democracy which Steven Levitsky and Lucan Way dubbed ‘competitive authoritarianism’. Its framework appears democratic in principle but refused to accept the effects of liberal pluralistic politics including the possibility of losing power.

    Increasing ties of these West African countries with Russia are for military protection. The possibility of proxy war is high should ECOWAS choose the military option. It goes with dire consequences both for the sub-region and the oppressed and malnourished citizens of those countries.

    Foreign military intervention could also put the life of deposed Bazoum to mortal risk. He will become the first victim of any military onslaught as those holding him are likely to sacrifice his life when faced with existential threat.

    If that happens, ECOWAS will have no Bazoum to restore to power even if they succeed in crushing the junta. This should instruct ECOWAS to de-emphasize force; re-engage the junta to work out a quick timeframe for the restoration of democracy in that country.

    But of greater concern should be the objective factors that propel forceful regime change. These are located in unbridled corruption, mismanagement of common patrimony, electoral heist and subversion of the constitution by leaders desperately seeking to push through their third term ambitions. We need to tackle these root causes if we are serious to consign coup d’états to the dustbin of history.