Yes, there were many “Nigerian” anomalies in the recent American midterm elections, so much so that many commentators declared that UN and international observers should have been present to monitor the elections. Please note, dear reader, that what I am calling “Nigerian anomalies” in this piece could have been Kenyan, Ugandan, Zimbabwean or Filipino or indeed, many other countries of the global south. I call them specifically “Nigerian” primarily because the target audience of this column is Nigerian and also because as we move to our own federal and state elections early next year, it might be useful or productive to focus on the Nigerian expressions of the widespread anomalies that marked these recent American elections. First then, what were these anomalies, these extremely crude and cynical subversion of elections as the institutional base for a strong, thriving democratic order?
Let’s take Donald Trump, the American president, first. He had surprised, indeed shocked and outraged most Americans during the presidential elections of 2016 when he declared that he would accept the results of the elections only if he was the winner. Isn’t this one of the worst electoral traits of failing or failed democracies of the developing world, this refusal to accept the results of elections unless one is the winner? But that’s exactly what Trump told America and the world in 2016. At first, people thought he was joking, that he was letting off steam in what had been a very long electioneering season through the Republican primaries to the head-to-head showdown with the Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton. But it soon became obvious that Trump was in dead earnest. And indeed, to this day, he continues to insist that the four million popular votes that Clinton garnered more than his own popular votes are phantom votes – without providing any evidence to back this claim since, as a matter of fact, such evidence does not exist.
Well, now in 2018, Trump has reopened this lying and duplicitous approach to the results of the midterm elections 2018. He has denounced the Democratic “blue wave” as fake, again without any evidence whatsoever. Like everyone else, Trump has seen the early leads by Republican candidates evaporate with the continued counting of votes in states like California, Florida and Georgia that typically tend to take days or weeks to finish counting all the votes. But unlike everyone else, Trump has called for the counting of remaining votes to stop and the Republican candidates who had been leading be declared the winners. Of course, this would amount to the disenfranchisement of those who cast absentee votes for valid and legal reasons. By the way, many of these absentee votes come from military and diplomatic personnel currently serving abroad. Ironically, many of them tend to vote for the Republicans. But in the wake of the massive Democratic “blue wave” of these recent elections, this does not offer any hope for Trump, hence his unrelenting cry to stop counting, please stop counting the votes!
Perhaps the most laughable but at the same time the most contemptible of Trump’s post-elections anomalies is his repeated but completely baseless assertion that in all the places where Democrats won, many people voted several times. Hear him directly on this point: they vote; they go back to their cars, change their shirts, or wear dark glasses and then they go back to vote, again and again! And yet, there is not a single report anywhere in the country in any newspaper, any medium of communication that such incidents happened. And neither have there been any reports from law enforcement officials of the arrest of any people voting twice or many times. But this has not stopped Trump from making these baseless allegations. And neither has it stopped Trump’s supporters from taking up this allegation and running with it. Indeed, in one particularly egregious example of follow-the-leader in this false Trumpian allegation of Democratic election malpractices, Rick Scott, former Governor of the State of Florida and Senatorial candidate in the recent election, has declared himself the winner while the votes are still being counted. Moreover, Scott has already moved to Washington, DC, to participate in the “orientation sessions” for the incoming group of Senators – while the votes are still being counted and without having been declared the winner! Seems a very “Nigerian”, “Kenyan” or “Ugandan” act, doesn’t it?
Against the background of these electoral malpractices and shenanigans, it is perhaps necessary to note that these are all taking place in the United States of America, one of the oldest liberal democracies in the world and in modern history. I say this because one has to keep this historic fact in mind in confronting the scale of voter suppression of Blacks, Native Americans, Latinos and new and legal immigrants taking place in America. This has to be seen to be believed, this practice of doing everything possible to keep as many legitimate voters among the nonwhite population or citizenry likely to vote against the Republicans away from exercising their right to vote. The sites of this terrible malpractice are concentrated in the South and the West, minus California. And the most widely affected populations are Blacks and Native Americans.
In one particularly scandalous case in the recent elections, in the State of North Dakota, a law was passed to make it necessary that the Voter ID’s of Native Americans must bear the street address and house number of every voter. But everyone knows that Native Americans in the Reservations have no street addresses with house numbers; the great majority use post boxes with no street address. Thus, in one fell swoop, hundreds of thousands of Native Americans were effectively and “legally” disenfranchised. In another State, Georgia, the Voter ID’s of thousands of Blacks were thrown out of state or county voter registration lists on the allegation that something was wrong about them – “funny” signatures; names misspelled; lettering faint or not legible enough. Note that the determination in all cases was made subjectively and whimsically, by state officials loyal to the Republican party. In all the cases, the voters concerned were, overwhelmingly, Blacks. Indeed, dear reader, if you think the notorious case of the problems with our PVC’s (Permanent Voter’s Card) is bad enough, wait until you confront the American state of Georgia with its rampant disenfranchisement of Black people through this malpractice of rejecting Voter ID’s on the basis of excuses lacking any foundations in objectivity or fundamental human and civil rights.
Are Democrats angels, are they without any blemish in the American experience of electoral malpractices? No, of course not! Indeed, it is at this point that the “history lesson” mentioned in the title of this piece begins. Everything is historical, and nothing is inherent or “natural” to any political party or nation. Historically, when the American Democratic Party was the pro-slavery and pro-segregation party – and for the most part a “Southern” party – it constituted the kings and lords of electoral malpractices and misdeeds. And this was for pretty much the same basic reason why the Republicans are the current purveyors of the culture of Third World electoral anomalies in America: maintenance and consolidation of the dominance, the supremacy of Whites. The difference between the time when the Democrats were the sinners and devils in electoral malpractices and now, when the Republicans are the main culprits, lies in the fact that now Whites are slowly but inevitably losing their demographic majority over all the other racial and ethnic communities. And as a result or response, the Republican party has taken up the mission of saving and preserving the dominance of Whites – for as long as possible. Thus, I repeat: everything is historical, and nothing is inherent in or “natural” to any political party or nation.
The “history lesson” intended in this discussion extends to the lessons we could learn from the fact that in spite of Trump being the president and being so widely and flagrantly anti-democratic, he has been unable, at least so far, to overwhelm the American electoral system and completely reduce it to the level of the failing or failed autocracies of the developing world. Permit me to rephrase this point: In spite of Trump, in spite of his enormous institutional power and authority as the incumbent president, he has not been able to degrade the American electoral system like a Muhammadu Buhari in Nigeria or a Yoweri Museveni in Uganda could do. It is routinely stated that every incumbent American president is the most powerful person in the world during the time or the period of his incumbency. Well then, why is it impossible for Trump to do whatever he likes with the American electoral system the way that a Buhari or a Museveni can do to their respective countries? That is our second “history lesson”.
In elaboration of this second history lesson, here is something to which we should perhaps pay attention: American political and electoral institutions are so strong and resilient that no president, no ruling political party could, at this stage in history, successfully subject them to arbitrary, autocratic control. In other words, as in many parts of the Third World, electoral malpractices exist in America and often in very shocking forms; however, the institutions have historically evolved and matured to such an extent that they are insulated from the whims and caprices of the Trumps of this world. To this observation we might perhaps add the following points: the American electoral order or system is completely decentralized; moreover, it is totally insulated from the intervention of the armed, professional security forces of the state. These two aspects will perhaps seem so strange to the generality of Nigerians that they might find them unrecognizable. I mean, no centralized electoral body like INEC, no army units, no paramilitary police around during elections, and all elections organized and coordinated at the local county and state levels? Yes.
Will it take close to the two hundred years of evolution and maturation that it took the American political and electoral order to reach this level of institutional independence and maturity in our electoral system? Let us hope not! In my opinion, this is where the economic order comes massively into our “history lesson”. What do I mean by this? Well, ostensibly, the United States and Nigeria are both organized by barely regulated capitalism. As a matter of fact, in both countries, elections are heavily, heavily monetized and humungous spending of money deeply marks and controls both canvassing for votes and the casting of votes. But there end the similarities. This is because with very few exceptions, the bulk of the monies spent in American elections do not come from political parties and/or politicians; they come from lobbyists and special interest groups, from trade unions and corporations, and from billionaires who are not themselves politicians personally participating in elections. How soon, how effectively can Nigerian “barawo” capitalism evolve to the American brand of capitalism in which the state and the political and electoral system are the clients, not the proprietors of enterprises, unions and billionaires? This question is our ultimate “history lesson”: it is not the mere passage of time, it is not the length of the evolutionary process that will determine how soon our electoral order and its institutions will become free of violently anti-democratic malpractices; it is how successful we can be in making the structural and institutional changes necessary for taking money spent by political parties and politicians out of politics. In other words, “barawo” capitalism must become either liberal laissez faire capitalism or social-democratic and welfarist capitalism. Compatriots, do not think for a second that this can come from the APC or the PDP.
