Category: Dr John Ekundayo

  • Countdown 2027: Confronting church’s conundrum? (Part 2)

    Countdown 2027: Confronting church’s conundrum? (Part 2)

    “I was elated when in a unique church gathering with other people in attendance in the year 2018, before the 2019 elections, the revered man of God, the General Overseer of the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG), Pastor Enoch Adejare Adeboye, made a passionate appeal to all attendees to please go and register as party members at the ward level in any political party of their choices. At that instant, I cast a furtive glance at my wife because before that time I have been bemused with pastors castigating politics and politicians, only after winning elections, this same set of pastors welcome such politicians who are now holders of higher offices in government with high honour qualifying them to sit in exalted seats that even some senior ministers of God cannot sit! However, I would have wished that the statement was made at a larger forum, and possibly repeatedly.” – John Ekundayo, Nation, Sunday 22nd January 2023.

    It was during the time of two-party politics in Nigeria. The electoral process adopted in choosing candidates at the polls was the Option A4. It was a system where the registered voters, on the day of election, will queue behind the photograph of the preferred candidate. There was this interesting and intriguing incident that took place in my hometown that is related to the topic of this article. There was one of the candidates already being celebrated as the winner, even before the election. In dramatic twists and turns, in less than 12 hours to the commencement of voting, some people from certain segments of the community, were vehement and vociferous. There was no electricity then in my hometown. Determined as they were, they went from house-to-house in the night to sway and swing voters’ preferences to the other candidate who was seemingly less fancied. This subterranean political persuasion worked as the day of the election witnessed the loss of the seemingly popular candidate! This columnist’s mother took part in that election. Heraccount was emotionally worth learning from. She recounted that in her polling unit she was the only one queuing up behind the photograph of the candidate who eventually lost. Her raison d’etre: the candidate was her close relative and never would she vote against him. She also made sure she did not sit on the fence by not participating in the election. Lessons learnt: one day may be too long in politics to dictate a swing or shift. In addition, interests could be diverse in a clan, community, county and country. In this episode, the incident occurred that way because it took place in a clustered clan-like community. However, one thing to take away: interests of registered voters or electorates. On a larger scale, especially the presidential elections or gubernatorial elections, covering vast communities, districts and/or regions, there will be diversified interests that will dictate the choices that the voters will make on the day of the election.

    Regional and Religious Raison d’etre

    Truth be told, the Buhari administration at the centre has exacerbated or thickened than any government of the past the regional and religious lines amongst discerning Nigerians. This has been depicted in skewed appointments of key men and women of northern extraction and mostly of his own faith in key government appointments. It is as if the Federal Character Commission (FCC) set up to moderate and ensure equity by adhering to a quota system in such matters does not exist! It was the thinking of certain elders of the church that at his coming in 2019, he would possibly turn over a new leaf, alas, there was no reprieve. Moreover, there was the perceived preference for his own kith and kin to the detriment of other tribes in other regions. This columnist pinpointed this in a series of articles calling on Baba Buhari to act as the real father of the big house called Nigeria. It was too little, and too late. Any wonder, the southern governors vouching overtly for the zoning of the presidency to the south? It was a truism that the Church suffered great casualties resulting from banditry and terrorism under this government possibly more than any other government in history. This is the crux of thematter why certain leaders of the Church are exhibiting so much angst against the ruling party’s choosing a Muslim from the north to be running mate to another Muslim from the south as the party’s presidential flag bearer. This columnist has gone down this lane to justify the Church’s unfavorable disposition to the ruling party and would like to make a categorial stand on 25th February 2023. However, the Church is in an apparent conundrum as her members are strong stakeholders or chieftains in these leading political parties fielding presidential candidates. Which party should the church side with in this seeming scenario? In essence, the church is clamouring for an interest in 2023 but appears to be in a conundrum in voicing her choice of preferred candidate regarding the presidential election.

    Lessons Learnt and Way Forward

    It is high time the church released her best eleven that have the call into government (politics). This set of people should be harvested from denomination to denomination. Thereafter, there should be proper, proactive and practical training for them that may include serving as interns involved in community service while being monitored and evaluated. Secondly, there should be repeated clarion calls for these set of people to go to the units and wards in their chosen party and be part and parcel of grassroots party politics. It is at the ward levels delegates are chosen and vital decisions are incubated within the party. Poser: how much could the church do for the incumbent Vice President, Pastor Yemi Osinbajo, SAN, when he was aspiring to become the presidential flag bearer of the ruling party? I know the answer many will give: we prayed. We have been doing that all along, how has it changed the narrative? If there have been many committed Christian delegates, there might have been a different outcome at the primary election of his party. This columnist, in the course of being an exemplary follower and ethnographic researcher, was supporting a gubernatorial aspirant in 2014 in a state in the south west and was one of the people in the inner circle. At the end of the day, I shook my head and was sorry for the elites of this country who churn out big grammar especially in the social media when I beheld the quality of men and women that were the delegates. There were some of them who were semi-illiterates while some could hardly differentiate their left from their right indeciding real matters affecting the community and state. This is the scenario virtually all over Nigeria. I was recounting this incident in a friend’s office in Lagos in which one of the leading party stalwarts was present. My friend was the CEO of his organization with many seated in his spacious office when suddenly the facial expression of this party chieftain changed! He shouted: “send this man out of this place!” Why? He knew I was hitting the nail on the head! Thirdly, and this is related to the previous point, the Church, denomination by denomination, should be involved in leadership cum followership research studies. The RCCG Directorate of Politics and Governance, for instance, has its job already cut out! These studies would unravel in empirical manner: the voting patterns of the church in past elections; what percentage of eligible church members register, and eventually vote; what motivates members’ participation, especially the youths, in party politics and politicking; the role of mother and fathers in family participation in the electoral process; the followership typologies extant within the Church and what to do to address this, etc. The last point mentioned is germane. What are followership typologies within the Church, and why is the knowledge imperative? They are classified in followership literatures as alienated, passive, conformist, pragmatist and exemplary – according to the leading scholar in followership studies, Professor Robert E. Kelly. For instance, if they are more alienated followers, it means the Church may be apolitical in content; and if most of the Church members are conformist, they would go with whatever the pastor says on political matters; however, if they are exemplary, they would engage with the political process whilst independent thinking will guide their choices rather than the pastor dictating the way to go. In this vein, dictating the direction to vote from the pulpit for exemplary followers may not hold water. 

    Concluding this piece, this columnist will want to stress the need to be our brothers’ keepers. Biblical Joseph made provision for his brothers and their families as shepherds in Egypt. It is sordid and sad that many Christians in government hardly remember their brothers and sisters while in office. This columnist could vividly recount the camaraderie amongst Muslims brothers and sisters while working as a civilservant in Alausa Secretariat while the same was not perceived among Christians. There was a time one of my senior directors was appealing to me to be a regular worshipper at the Chapel, Alausa. I initially consented but while I perceived lack of love among the flock, I reconsidered my decision and rather adhered to fellowshipping with my local denomination. What is the use of carrying a big Bible and you are inaccessible or unreachable to your brother and sister in Christ? This columnist reached out to the erstwhile Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola, a Muslim, via an email while studying in Malaysia. He was God-sent to offer me a scholarship to complete my PhD research in Malaysia, and subsequently offered yours sincerely a pensionable job in the prestigious Lagos State Civil Service. I was on that beat till I retired meritoriously in January 2021. In conclusion, it is high time the Church began preparation towards 2027 in order to make an impact in our country better than previous election years. We are the salt and light of the world; and thus, positioned to teach the world wisdom. The time to act starts from now; and the Church acting should be unanimous, collaborative whilst seeking harmoniously and peacefully the interests of her members. This could be on denomination basis as well as through the Christian Association of Nigeria (CAN) and Pentecostal Fellowship of Nigeria (PFN). It could even happen that Muslims and Christians may collaborate to ward off the possibility of an atheist emerging in future as the President. In essence, it is of wisdom to avoid confronting any party or flag bearer based on religious instinct or inclination for now. What are the cherished, cogent and crucial interests of the Church? Will these and others things the Church desire be taken into cognizance by the candidates? This should be the Church’s disposition for 2023. One good and gladdening thing: the Church, through CAN, has opened her doors to the leading presidential flag bearers to intimate her with their programmes for the citizens. The onus should be on the individual followers or voters to make up their minds on their choices at the 25th February poll. It is less than a month from now!

    John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com

  • Countdown 2027: Confronting Church’s  Conundrum? (Part 1)

    Countdown 2027: Confronting Church’s Conundrum? (Part 1)

    “Characteristic of this columnist, there was an episode that my son, Dr. Samuel Ekundayo, shared with me while we were both residing in Singapore. He was studying then. It goes thus: there was this family that had a golden rule that while eating on the dining table, there should be no talking of any type. On a particular day, the first son observed something very vital. In not wanting to offend his disciplinarian father whilst not intending to break the family tradition, kept mute. Alas, a dead fly was in the family bowl of soup! The family shares one bowl of soup from which members take their portions. It was at the end of the dinner, Tim spoke out. The father was angry and shouted: Tim, why did you not sound the red alert before we tasted the soup?”

    SOUNDING a caveat from the outset, this columnist will like readers who know his persona, profile and pedigree to read and reflect this edition of the “Followership Challenge” with the appropriate lens. In essence, I will be writing as a followership researcher and scholar. It will be worth stating simply and squarely from the start that one thing researchers are taught early, is that there is no particularly right or wrong answer to an inquiry: it is basically a matter of individual’s perception! In essence, it is like the popular Yoruba talking drum, Gangan; to a follower, the face he is perceiving as the front is what another follower dignifies as the back; and in a sense, both of them are right depending on where each of them stands. Why not commence with the countdown to 2023? Why are we already talking about 2027? Who knows whether there will be a Nigeria in 2027? Even if there is a country, not a nation, existing as Nigeria, will she still be operating this type of democracy, and running with this atavistic constitution? There could be so many questions that are mind boggling. In the meantime, let us gloss over all the anticipated questions and move on.

    Is the Church really at crossroads regarding the choice before her taking cognizance of the 25th February 2023 presidential election? Can this context be really connoted as a conundrum? This columnist perceives it as so. Again, there is no right and wrong answer. Read along as a researcher seeking for new knowledge to add to yours: that is the essence of a PhD research study culminating in a thesis anyway! Characteristic of this columnist, there was an episode that my son, Dr. Samuel Ekundayo, shared with me while we were both residing in Singapore. He was studying then. It goes thus: there was this family that had a golden rule that while eating on the dining table, there should be no talking of any type. On a particular day, the first son observed something very vital. In not wanting to offend his disciplinarian father whilst not intending to break the family tradition, kept mute. Alas, a dead fly was in the family bowl of soup! The family shares one bowl of soup from which members take their portions. At the end of the dinner, Tim spoke out. The father was angry and shouted: Tim, why did you not sound the red alert before we tasted the soup? The import of this story is to allow free expression within a team, unit, group, family, organization, etc. as no individual has a monopoly of wisdom in any context.

     2023: Church Consequential Conundrum

    This columnist having followed and participated in politics, though not holding a title, at the grassroots dating back to the June 2014 gubernatorial elections in Ekiti State, has some things to share with the Church as an ethnographic researcher. I was elated when in a unique church gathering with other people in attendance in the year 2018, before the 2019 elections, the revered man of God, the General Overseer of the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG), Pastor Enoch Adejare Adeboye, made a passionate appeal to all attendees to please go and register as party members at the ward level in any political party of their choices. At that instant, I cast a furtive glance at my wife because before that time I have been bemused with pastors castigating politics and politicians, only after winning elections, this same set of pastors welcome such politicians who are now holders of higher offices in government with high honour qualifying them to sit in exalted seats that even some senior ministers of God cannot sit! However, I would have wished that the statement was made at a larger forum, and possibly repeatedly. More on this in the second edition of this series. However, unfortunately, most did not get the drift as there was a perceived laidback and lackadaisical leaning towards heeding the sagacious counsel of the man of God. It is instructive to note that the counsel was given in 2018. In essence, the RCCG setting up the Directorate of Politics and Governance in 2022, was not only a right step in the right direction; the organ of the church is overtly overdue! This columnist vividly remembers meeting a member of the National Assembly in a large gathering of Christians towards the end of the year. I was still residing in Singapore then. It was in 2009. As guests, we were lodged in the same building and so conveyed in the same bus to the venue of the meeting. He was lamenting the absence of the church not even deeming it fit to have a forum for political appointees to share ideas, concerns and possibly mentor up and coming politicians within the Church who sense the call in the marketplace to the mountain of politics (government). Or, has the church not taught her youths that there are seven distinct mountains of influence, out of which politics (government) is one? How much are those who are called to government within the church schooled in the art and science of politics within Nigeria’s context? How much does the Church knows about the art of followership in leadership studies within the market place, apart from discipleship doctrine of the Church? The questions can go on ad infinitum.

    Presently, there are church members who are vested or entrenched adherents and admirers of varying political parties. In essence, they belong to these associations. What would be the feelings of these, who are part and parcel of the Church, in the event of their denomination or assembly pointedly pricking them to side with another political party or candidate other than their own. This is what is currently playing out from some pulpits, even with some men of God seemingly spitting fire over an election that will come and go whilst the Church of God, an immovable Rock remains forever! Has the Church learnt any valuable lessons from previous elections? I doubt it as a follower, analyst and researcher. Internet does not forget is a common refrain. Clicking on Google for prophecies relating to 2015 and 2019 presidential elections, a committed disciple of Christ, who understands the doctrine of prophecy, will be piqued at the apparent obtuse and awkward predictions from some men of God. It is high time the Church learnt lessons!

    2023: The Train Has Left The Station!

    This article is appropriately titled: Countdown 2027: Confronting Church’s Conundrum? Why not 2023? As a followership researcher that engages politicians at the grassroots, for 2023, the train has left the station. In essence, the voice of one crying: do not join or look for another train, is belated. It is said in Ekiti common parlance: “Oni ka’jo ti muru” (meaning: the one that is desiring to dance to the tune of the music has taken the decorated horse tail). The presidential election is only 32 days away. One month and two days. I watched a video clip counseling members of a local assembly to give a shout out on phone to relatives in the villages dictating the direction of voting, and I laughed. The people we are told to counsel in the villages are even more tutored politically (courtesy of local politicians) than we elites in the cities and towns. Many of these villagers celebrated Christmas and New Year courtesy of some political bigwigs within their locality or state. These politicians were there for them at the naming of their babes or paying their wards’ school fees. This is basic politics Nigeria’s context! The day of the election will declare it. There was a statement made by another revered man of God, Pastor W. F. Kumuyi, the General Superintendent of the Deeper Life Bible Church. In the Daily Post edition of 22nd June 2022, he posited: “… Politicians should know that they are not there for themselves. They are there for all of us. They should ask and make their researches about what the nation wants. They should ask and make their researches on what the country wants, what the people want; if they listen to the people, we will be confident that they will listen to us when they get there …,” It is gladdening and elating that Pastor Kumuyi is calling for research studies to be conducted in this context. Equally, the Church should, in this digital age, not talk cognitively but express her feelings, yearnings and thoughts through empirical findings after conducting independent inquiry. This should be the way going forward as the window opens regarding politicking towards 2027.

    Conclusively, the Church, of which this columnist strongly belongs to, needs to imbibe some lessons going forward to 2027 if Nigeria survives and operates same constitution. The Church must start to learn, unlearn and relearn to escape the nasty and naughty conundrum she found herself in 2022. The Church should be well prepared for any antics the politicians may want to depict or display: be it at local government, state or federal level. It is the portion of the Church to teach the world wisdom as contained in the Holy Writ. and not the other way round. In the second part of this series, more will be pinpointed and presented taking cognizance of the Church’s preparation and packaging towards 2027. Are we truly our brothers’ keeper as enjoined and enshrined in the Bible, the Christian’s constitution? Is the Church concerned with the youths who have genuine calling relating to that vital mountain of influence – politics (government)? Do the leaders of the Church still see politics as dirty and dangerous? Till next week, keep up the interest in the column. Grateful indeed.

    John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com

  • Tinubu: Treatise’s teaser (Part 2)

    Tinubu: Treatise’s teaser (Part 2)

    “We all die. The goal is not to live forever, the goal is to create something that will.” – Chuck Palahniuk

    “Nigeria’s President Must Die First!” is the rider to the epilogue of the treatise on Tinubu recently published and available on Amazon. It is authored by this columnist. Nigeria has been bedeviled by many obstacles to development despite humongous human and natural resources she is endowed with. It is a truism that greater part of the obstacles is man-made rather than spiritual despite our acclaimed spiritual fervour. This columnist having resided in a nation like Singapore where that country’s spiritual zeal is nothing compared to that of Nigerians, has come to the conclusion that for Nigeria to take giant strides forward, Nigeria’s 16th President, come 29th May 2023, should be prepared for any eventuality as he mounts the saddle in line with the positing of American novelist, Chuck Palahniuk, who once opined: “We all die. The goal is not to live forever, the goal is to create something that will.” Interestingly, the epilogue to the 293 paged treatise: “TINUBU: TRAJECTORY TO THE THRONE”, served as teaser for the readers of this column. Enjoy the reading:

    Epilogue

    “Nigeria’s President Must Die First!”

    In the comity of nations, Nigeria is losing out as the once highly referred and regarded “Giant of Africa”. Recently, in the news, Nigeria has been sliding down the scales from sporting events, to oil production and refinery; social indices such as out of school children; physicians per patient ratio; infant mortality, maternal mortality; environmental degradation due to climate change; and economic indices such as Human Capital Development Index, Gross Domestic Product (GDP); poverty rate, debt per capital ratio, etc. Is it the best time to be Nigeria’s President? Definitely, not! Pointedly and poignantly posited, for the uninitiated and neophyte, it would be a horrendous or herculean task.

    It was in the news in the year 2022 the humongous amount of refined oil needed for Nigeria’s domestic consumption that was being imported. According to the Tribune newspaper: ‘Nigeria is the only OPEC member that imports 95% of refined petroleum for domestic use’ (sic). In terms of production, Nigeria’s position has shifted down from the highest producer of crude oil. Presently, Nigeria is struggling to contend from sliding from the 3rd position in Africa while the duo of Angola and Libya are calling the shots! How are the might fallen! It is disheartening and discouraging that Nigeria is expending about $28 billion per annum on importation of petroleum products. Nigeria, sadly, is the 3rd largest importer of refined products in Africa as at May 2022. However, there is cheering news as Dangote Oil Refinery is likely coming to aid local production in 2023.

    While painting and posting these gory statistics in this treatise? One, is to know the enormity of the arduous task the man to be elected to sit in the saddle as Nigeria’s President come 29th May 2023 will be confronting. Not done with the immensity of issues the man would face. The exacerbating matter of the craziness in wealthy Nigerians for hunger for imported products should be dealt with forthwith. The incumbent President, Muhammadu Buhari made a leap in diversifying the economy away from being oil and gas dependent. One formidable step was the banning of imported rice, though highly resisted by unscrupulous Nigerians. It is inconceivable that Nigerians want the national currency to be highly priced and desire enhanced quality of life whilst depending on finished goods produced in other countries. Economically, this is insanity! All developed countries and nations rise through massive production, growing their Gross Domestic Product (GDP) thereby offering jobs to their citizens; increasing their earned income and bettering the quality cum well-being of their citizens. That is the way, not desiring and demanding for imported finished products from other climes and countries. Nigeria needs a strong and sagaciously courageous leader, who, riding on the good will of the people, will dare step on toes in order to do good for the greatest number of the people. This is the governance the average Nigerian desires irrespective of region, religion or tribe.

    The incumbent Nigeria’s President, Muhammadu Buhari, recently turned 80 years old. Buhari is Nigeria’s oldest president in history as he will be leaving office on 29th May 2023 as an octogenarian! There have been a lot of agitations and clamouring for the youthful population to arise and take power from the old politicians. The latter are denigratingly tagged as “old brigade.” However, like one of the old politicians saliently and succinctly stated one time: ‘power is not served a la carte.’ The young and vibrant ones must rise with the resolve to take power, and not wait to be beckoned to to take power. It does not happen like that in any clime, county, community, or country! (sic)

    The following are probing and soul-searching questions for the youths of today to ruminate and reflect upon:

    How far have the young ones shown courage and candour to take power?

    What do our youths know about community organizing?

    How many willingly offer themselves for community service that is thankless?

    What do they know and understand about the followership aspect in the leadership process?

    How many of them can pay the price which may mean incarceration, loss of means of livelihood, loss of business or properties or even life?

    The last #EndSars saga was a golden opportunity lost by the massive youths to make a rare political impact. Alas, it was wasted on puerile and pedestrian instincts! How? The behind the scenes or seemingly faceless organizers could not articulate their position unanimously before the morbid mob hijacked the mass movement and exploited it for their own destructive agenda! If the seemingly faceless youth leaders had understood community organizing and the art of followership, there would have been great gain from the remonstrative #EndSars saga that rather resorted to loss of lives and limbs. The prime goal was defeated. It is a route the youth should not go again! Our youths need to learn and imbibe more of community organizing and followership. These are needed ingredients in understanding the leadership process. It must be borne in mind that largely scholars and researchers have come to the conclusion that there is no more that “great person” leadership theory; it is now a process as defined and depicted in this book in the chapter dealing with understanding leadership. Leadership involves participants who are involved in moving from one point to another with the aim of achieving a mutually desirable goal. These participants are referred to as followers and leader(s). In addition, for leadership to occur, there must be a context. In other words, leaders do change with context. For instance, in a place of work, the chief security officer may be one of the local chiefs in the town. He has a CEO and many senior managers that he is subordinate to. In the town’s traditional council meeting with the people of the town, the CEO, as an indigene of the town, comes under the chief as a follower. The context has changed. This needs to be understood in the leadership process.

    Who will bell the cat in order to project Nigeria to that glorious height again?

    Imagine, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, through thick and thin, riding on a joint ticket with Senator Kashim Shettima, emerges as the Nigeria’s 16th President, would there be a change in Nigeria’s status in the comity of nations three years from now? It is doable for a serious-minded helmsman who knows his onions; armed with a robust and rugged blue print; and possessed with eagerness coupled with strong and sagacious political will to make a difference. It is not a child’s play to be Nigeria’s president that is keen on making an impact. There are lots of human, physical, socio-economic, and environmental impediments that would welcome such a president to office. In fact, the spiritual forces are already waiting at Aso Rock if stories told surrounding principal characters of an erstwhile president were to be taken with a pinch of salt. However, as it is said and understood universally: where there is a will, there is a way! There must be the will to change the narrative: we cannot be doing the same thing, same way whilst expecting to make progress. This is nothing but insanity! Nigeria’s case, especially referring and dissecting the government at the centre over the years, and without mincing words, is tantamount to the barber’s chair producing much of motion, albeit no movement!! It is highly ironic and sadistic, both in content and context.

    Where do we go from here in order to make progress that followers can feel, see and embrace?

    Having lived as a Nigerian for up to six decades now by the grace of God; studied and worked in Nigeria and outside Nigeria; and traversed some other nations of the world in different continents, I have come to a certain conclusion that to fix Nigeria replete with so humongous human and natural resources, will simply and squarely demand one core and crucial thing from the man who sits in the saddle as the President and Commander-in-chief. He must die first on assumption of office. As the man is taking the oath of office, he must write his will. Not done, he should sign his death warrant! These steps should not just be done privately but be publicised as well to let the populace know the man in the saddle means business and that it would not be business as usual for the corrupt and unscrupulous minded citizens. In this wise, this author does not subscribe to anyone in the youthful stage of life aspiring to lead this country as it is now. The ‘waters’ of Nigeria are invested with sharks and are ready to devour any leader that would not defer to their disdainful desires and demands and yet intend swimming to the other glorious side in order to make the country great.

  • Tinubu: Treatise’s teaser (Part 1)

    Tinubu: Treatise’s teaser (Part 1)

    “…It is instructive to state that this book in your hand is not a biography of Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola rather it is a contribution to knowledge, in a formal manner, as there is a dearth of peer reviewed resources when researching issues bothering on leadership and followership in Nigeria. While one is not disputing that Nigeria’s academics have done a lot, many of the works done are published locally with no provision for a link of such works on the internet in these days of digital technology. In essence, this book will be bridging a gap, shedding a light and enhancing knowledge as far as the leadership issue in West Africa particularly in Nigeria is concerned.”  – John Ekundayo, in “OUT OF AFRICA: FASHOLA – Reinventing Servant Leadership To Engender Nigeria’s Transformation”, AuthorHouse UK, 2013, pp. xxxi.

    IT is a truism that Nigeria had experienced great leaders in Chief Obafemi Awolowo, Sardauna Ahmadu Bello, Owelle Nnamdi Azikiwe, Mallam Aminu Kano, etc., However, many great leadership strides taken by these leaders were not captioned appropriately, particularly in digital format. In essence, this columnist took it upon himself to write a treatise on the followers’ perceptions of the Fashola’s leadership approach in Lagos. In similar fashion, this columnist has been on the trail of Asiwaju Bola Tinubu; tracking his trajectory as a politician and statesman. The new treatise, made up of 293 pages, published by Amazon titled: “TINUBU: TRAJECTORY TO THE THRONE” is available in three formats, namely: kindle (e-book), paperback and hardcover. There is a terse teaser available on Amazon.com to the treatise:

    “This treatise targeted at the trajectory of titanic and enigmatic Tinubu is worth reading for enlightenment, education and enquiry relating to the leadership – followership dyad within Nigeria’s context of politics and politicking. The man, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, is so many things to many people. He is enigmatic and a mysterious phenomenon within the political landscape. In another perspective, to some set of people, he is a controversial political person of influence that possesses the capacity and capability to tilt the political equation to the favour of any side he supports, one way or the other. Equally, to another set of political observers, analysts and opinion molders, Tinubu is the cerebral strategist that can give the opposition headache as the latter may not be able to decode his next sagacious cum strategic step. Succinctly and saliently stated, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu can be tagged as the seeming stormy petrel of party politics and politicking within Nigeria’s context…”

    Tasting The Teaser

    Hereunder is a pull out of the prologue to the book served as a teaser to followers of this column:

    “The man in the saddle in the Centre of Excellence, as Lagos is fondly referred to by Lagosians, Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu was in the eye of the storm in 2003. There was an epoch-making event in which he was involved in as the Governor. He was the arrowhead of a seeming revolt and rebellious act that the then President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo was not favourable disposed to. To the man in the saddle in Lagos, if Nigeria is really a federal republic, the state should have the latitude to function in such a way as to bring governance to the people at the grassroots. Following this tinkering, his government created additional 37 Local Council Development Areas (LCDAs). The government at the centre in Abuja frowned at this seeming awkward development.

    “How dare Tinubu to confront and challenge the ‘presidential’ powers of Baba Obasanjo? He was outrightly audacious as many presupposed. The erstwhile president decided surreptitiously to withhold local government allocation to the State of Aquatic Splendour – Lagos. The Vice President, Professor Yemi Osinbajo, as a panelist in Ado Ekiti at an economic summit, saliently stated inter alia: “During my time as a commissioner in Lagos, we started with N600 million monthly Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) in 1999. The seizure of Lagos funds by President Olusegun Obasanjo made us to think like a sovereign state. Today, Lagos is making over N45 billion monthly.” Albeit painful, the Lagos State Government took the Federal Government to court and the Supreme Court was on the side of Lagos.

    “Howbeit, the helmsman at the centre did not blink an eye. He acted autocratically as a typical soldier in agbada thinking that a civilian president is synonymous in wielding absolute power as a military head of state. He acted erratically and erroneously. It paid off for Lagos, as in the words of the then Honourable Commissioner for Justice and Attorney General, Professor Yemi Osinbajo, SAN, it made Lagos to launch into a learning curve of shoring up her Internally Generated Revenue (IGR). Moreover, when the successor of Chief Obasanjo came into power, Alhaj Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, he graciously released all the withheld fund of Lagos to the then administration of Mr. Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN. The culminative effect was that this act emboldened and encouraged other states who were hitherto intimidated by the seeming ubiquitous federal government to establish local government council areas toeing the step of Lagos. This they did in trying to bring government closer to the people at the grassroots. Imagine, presently, if Alimoso Local Government Area (LGA) is still being administered as one entity. Alimoso in land mass and population is apparently bigger than Singapore – a south east Asia nation!

    “It is interesting and intriguing to bring to bear the usual sobriquet: “the last man standing” used for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. The Afenifere, the Yoruba socio-cultural group at a time was synonymous with the party, Alliance for Democracy (AD). AD was the ruling party in the south west states of Oyo, Ogun, Ondo, Osun and Lagos. In the previous presidential election of 1999, the People Democratic Party (PDP), despite having a Yoruba man as the presidential candidate, in person of Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, did not gain upper hand in that election in the region. However, in 2003, PDP, through seemingly deceitful deft moves of Obasanjo, wanted to have in-road into the southwest through an accord or alliance with the AD. It was mutually agreed that AD Governors would support Obasanjo in the presidential election while he would let them have their way in returning as helmsmen of their states for the second term. Bola Tinubu smelt a rat! He, in principle, did not follow the others in turning his state to PDP in the presidential election. He was the only and odd man out. That saved him as the others lost their seats in the bandwagon effect that attended to the presidential election. The Jagaban Borgu, Tinubu, was the only Governor that returned for the second term. Hence, the sobriquet: “the last man standing!” Till date, the erstwhile President Obasanjo and his ilk, in PDP, could not forgive Tinubu for denying them access to the juicy seat of Lagos. BAT could not be outwitted in that political game of wits!

    “Has anyone been a major player in the successful merger of political parties culminating in a strong and robust party that subsequently wrested power from a ruling party that once pompously posited of being in power consistently and consecutively for 60 years? Not really. All that Nigeria has experienced in our political history was reaching an accord, like the one between the then NPN (National Party of Nigeria) and NPP (Nigeria People’s Party) in the infamous 2nd republic spanning 1979 to 1983. However, in 2012, there was highhandedness with indecorous manifestation of impunity by the leaders of the ruling party, the People Democratic Party (PDP).

    “It would be a seeming overstatement to say that the then ruling party was drifting and the centre could not hold as the political storm and crisis that bedevilled the party, PDP, resulted in the emergence of a splinter group within the party. This splinter group was referred to as the new-PDP. In addition, the prevailing and pervading cluelessness of the soul of the then ruling party, PDP, ignited in the convergence and congruence of notable like minds in the opposition parties. These core crucial and cerebral minds began congregating days and nights while traversing the length and breadth of Nigeria. At the arrow head of these political jaw-jaw and manoeuvrings were the top leaders in Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), Congress of Progressive Change (CPC), All Nigeria People’s Party (ANPP), and a faction of All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA). Notably among these leaders were Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (ACN), General Muhammed Buhari (retired) (CPC), Chief Ogbonaya Onu (ANPP), Owelle Rochas Okorocha (APGA) to mention a few. However, to many chieftains of PDP, the political savvy, skilfulness and sagacity of the enigmatic and titanic Bola Ahmed Tinubu (BAT) is the nexus ensuring the huge success of the merger of seemingly rag-tag ‘strange bedfellows’ that later culminated as the APC. This happened in February 2013. Ultimately, the presidential election of 2015 sounded the death knell of the PDP signalling the first election that would unseat a ruling party. Enter APC, with her presidential elect, Muhammad Buhari who was later sworn in as the dejure President on 29th May 2023. The man at the centre of that handshake between the north and south was undoubtedly Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the Asiwaju of Lagos and the Jagaban of Borgu Kingdom. Anyone still wondering why the northern Governors under the auspices of APC came together and decided in the spirit of fairness, justice and equity to categorically inform the party, that unlike the main opposition party, PDP, the ruling party better look to the south for the presidential flag bearer in paying back the people of the south. The architect of the historic merger was Asiwaju Tinubu buoyed and boosted by many other stalwarts.

    “Drawing the curtain on the scripting of this prologue, it is enlightening and educating sharing this episode to nail the unfounded fears on the raging issue of Muslim-Muslim ticket the opposition parties are peddling in a pedestrian manner against the ruling party, APC. This author was highly honoured to be part of the esteemed guests at the send forth event of the then Honourable Commissioner of Economic Planning and Budget (MEPB), Lagos State, in person of Ben Akabueze, having served meritoriously in that capacity for nine years! One of the years was with Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu while the remaining eight years were with Mr. Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN, as the helmsman in the state. It is intriguing and interesting to state that towards the end of the event, Akabueze, though usually terse and taciturn in attitude, especially in personal matters, suddenly opened up on how he, an Igbo man, found his way into the cabinet of Lagos State.

    “According to the senior pastor with the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG), while working in the financial sector, he got to know Asiwaju Tinubu. He was already contacted for an appointment in his home state, when out of the blue, Tinubu beckoned to him that Lagos is equally home to him, and the Centre of Excellence would need his service. He obliged. He served nine years with a lot of sustainable reforms lauded by national and international bodies. This author was privileged to serve under Pastor Ben Akabueze and could attest to his competence, capability, credibility and cerebral acumen. Any skeptics still out there peddling and positing vociferously the line against Tinubu-Shettima ticket of the ruling APC as aimed at harming or hurting Christians and the interests of the Church? It is unfounded as this author served in Lagos State Civil Service, though originally from Ekiti State, and of the Christian faith, and prior to this time, was graciously offered a scholarship to complete his PhD research study in Malaysia during the tenure of a Muslim Governor, in person of Mr. Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN.”

    This treatise tracks the trajectory of the titanic Tinubu and is available on Amazon:  https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0BRDDVLB7

    Looking forward to your feedback till I meet you on this page next week. Grateful for your interest.

    John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com

  • Sanwo-Olu shines; Tinubu tinkered!

    Sanwo-Olu shines; Tinubu tinkered!

    “Twenty years ago, we set up, … a quasi-public sector office called LAMATA which was the brainchild of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. … which as a young man I had that unique opportunity to help create and formulate at that time … and the success which everyone is saying today, about the Blueline and Redline, hailing Mr. Governor! Mr. Governor! which I take … perfect (sic), was the idea of our flagbearer (Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu) way back then … There is no better storytelling … or better time for us to see and for us to know that it is the power of visioning; the power of can do spirit; the audacity of people to think, to dream, and have the courage to be able to take it forward.  I, at some point in time, travelled to 16 countries, in less than 18 months under his watch, usually with I and Mr. Cardoso, who was my senior then …” (sic) – Governor Babajide Olusola Sanwo-Olu, TVC News.

    IT is said in Yoruba common parlance that a leaf observed on top of a flowing river dancing, without a visible musician, the drummer is located deep down the river bed. Governor Babajide Olusola Sanwo-Olu, on Wednesday 21st December 2022, was both ecstatic and elated resplendent in the glory associated with a finisher as he rode with other Lagosians on the Blue Line rail linking Mile 2 to Marina (Lagos Island). The entire length of the Blue Line spans 27 kilometres from Okokomaiko to Marina; presently, the 13 kilometres stretch spanning Mile 2 to Marian has been completed. This section, comprising 5 stations (Mile 2, Suru-Alaba, Orile Iganmu, National Theatre, and Marina), when optimally run, is expected to move a whopping 250,000 commuters daily. The entire span, when completed, will aid in the movement of 500,000 people daily from Okokomaiko (Lagos – Badagry Expressway) to Marina (Lagos Island) thus easing burden on the highways whilst simultaneously resolving chaotic traffic across a section of the Lagos metropolis. However, in the euphoria, Sanwo-Olu was not carried away unlike many others in his shoes would probably have been. He retrospectively recalled:

    “Twenty years ago, we set up, … a quasi-public sector office called LAMATA which was the brainchild of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. … which as a young man I had that unique opportunity to help create and formulate at that time … and the success which everyone is saying today, about the Blueline and Redline, hailing Mr. Governor! Mr. Governor! Which I take … perfect (sic), was the idea of our flag bearer (Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu) way back then …”

    Tinubu: The Man Who Saw Tomorrow

    In a recent business lunch with chieftains of corporate organizations, Mr. Sanwo-Olu surprisingly pulled a fast one! He recalled a short video clip of less than 2 minutes, in which Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, the presidential flag bearer of the All Progressives Congress (APC), was speaking about the idea of a metro line. He was the helmsman in Lagos then. LAMATA was founded as the engine room to drive this initiative and intervention. The Lagos Metropolitan Area Transport Authority (LAMATA) was established in January 2002 – twenty years ago. In the aforementioned video clip, Tinubu tinkering tomorrow then posited: “The metro line is being discussed already … and we have attracted the interest of the World Bank … Light Rail that is less destructive to the right of way … we are looking at the existing corridor of the railway track too.” Tinubu, being a sagacious strategic thinker, tinkered tomorrow then, and with his team established a robust and rugged institution – LAMATA. In the legendary treatise, “Why Nations Fail”, the duo of Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson, authors, pinpointed the absence of inclusive political and economic institutions as the raison d’etre for failure of states and nations with varying and diversified empirical statistics to buttress their stand and stake. Imagine, the absence of a sustainable institution like LAMATA, possibly, there will be no Blue Line today! Nigerians, undoubtedly at this juncture of economic eclipse, scary security scenario, and regional cum religious remonstrations, need a titanic tinker like Tinubu. It is not just a titanic thinker that Nigeria needs, but one who can assemble a team of other thinkers and dreamers as well to uplift Nigeria out of the quagmire we are presently enmeshed or ensnared! We cannot afford to miss this opportunity at a time like this!! The consequences will be dire!!!

    Tinubu, et alia.

    In the aforementioned business lunch, the man in the saddle in Lagos, Sanwo-Olu attested to the audacious envisioning and courage of the strategic leader, Tinubu, when he saliently and succinctly stated inter alia: “… it is the power of visioning; the power of can-do spirit; the audacity of people to think, to dream, and have the courage to be able to take it forward.  I, at some point in time, travelled to 16 countries, in less than 18 months under his watch, usually with I and Mr. Cardoso (sic), who was my senior then …” It is enlightening and educative, knowing part of the processing of perspectives, resulting in policy and programmes/projects under the leadership of Asiwaju Tinubu that started in 2002 with the establishment of LAMATA. This is one pedigree of Tinubu that is unique to his personality and politicking that none in the race to Aso Rock shares with him. The article in this column last Sunday attested to this attribute. Asiwaju Tinubu is dexterous in assembling the right team, and allowing members to dream, dialogue, discuss, debate and dissect until a consensus is reached. This is the type of leadership Nigeria needs in this digital age; not a command, control and compliance structure.

    It would be recalled that the proper rail construction commenced in 2010 under the watch of the erstwhile mercurial Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN. Thereafter, former Governor Akinwunmi Ambode took over the project albeit with seemingly pale passion. There was upbeat in 2019 when the incumbent Governor Babajide Olusola Sanwo-Olu took over the baton. This is synonymous to a relay race with Tinubu running the 1st leg; Fashola picking the baton for the 2nd leg; Ambode collecting the baton for the 3rd leg from Fashola; and shining Sanwo-Olu taking the baton for the 4th (last leg), running with frenetic speed to the finishing line. In essence, it is not only Sanwo-Olu that shines. Synonymous with co-authors of books and articles for publication in learned journals, when history is written taking cognizance of the transportation transformation in Lagos, the authors, in order to save space, could be scholarly referred to as Tinubu, et alia.

    At this juncture, it is instructive to simply and squarely lay bare my little involvement with this laudable project. I took over as the Director, Monitoring and Evaluation, Ministry of Economic Planning and Budget, Lagos State, when the present Director General of the Budget Office of the Federation (BOF), Mr. Ben Akabueze, was the Honourable Commissioner. It was during the 2nd term of the Fashola administration. It would be recalled that I led a team of monitoring and evaluation (M & E) practitioners to conduct project monitoring of the rail project for up to 3 times. At a particular time, my team and I were aghast at the depth of reinforced concrete piles erected between Ijora and Marina section. Specifically, at the interval the Blue Line crossed the Atlantic Ocean! Yes, the ocean!! The depth of the piles into the sea was up to 80 metres with a width of up to 1 metre within that span. The project monitoring that I undertook with my team spanned the eras of Fashola, Ambode and the incumbent, Sanwo-Olu. It is therefore nonsensical for the opposition, wanting to cast aspersion of this laudable project, to ascribe unsubstantiated criticism of corruption in the execution of the project. In fact, the main opposition political party, the People Democratic Party (PDP) played dirty politics with the project during the tenure of the erstwhile President Goodluck Jonathan by disavowing the commencement of the Red Line which Lagos intended to carry out first as the terrain was firm, unlike the marshy, muddy and watery terrain of the Blue Line. The latter was cumbersome and costly in construction. In essence, there is no basis to compare another project situated in another clime and country with this one. The engineering analysis, specification and context are completely different.

    Tinkering 2023

    Incidentally, today is the 1st day of the new year 2023. In about 8 weeks from now, Nigerians will be trooping to the polls to elect the man who will take over the baton from the incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari. This columnist’ counsel to followers will be to toe the pathway of pedigree in the choice of who to elect to sit in the saddle come 29th May 2023 in order to bring the country out of doldrums. The truth, and only the truth: the task of bringing Nigeria out of the quagmire of socio-economic and political mess will not be in a jiffy; definitely, it will take a process of adroit and adept strategic leadership. Nigerians cannot afford to hand over this country to a leader that would subject her to experiments but one that knows his onions; and possessing the capability and capacity to assemble a credible, competent, courageous and collaborative team of followers, ready to serve altruistically. Will you flow and follow along with this tinkering? The hand of the clock is ticking!

    John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via +2348030598267

    (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com

  • 2023 Presidency: Perspectives. Processes. Policies. Pedigrees

    2023 Presidency: Perspectives. Processes. Policies. Pedigrees

    “Today, the questions you all you must ask yourselves are these: who can be trusted to accomplish all of this? The man who has done it before, or the man whose most lasting achievement as Vice President is the corrupt sale of national assets to his friends and cronies?

    “Who has the better plan? The man whose blueprint guided the emergence of Lagos State as fifth largest economy in Africa or the man whose greatest pride is the amount of money he managed to bury in sand while his state’s infrastructure decayed and its workers suffered endless hardship?

    “The choice is yours …” (sic) – Tinubu @ Town Hall Meeting with NLC and TUC, Abuja

    IT is Christmas day! Blessed be God Almighty for the Perfect Gift bequeathed to the world in the person of the Lord Jesus Christ. Therefore, it is not Xmas but Christmas we should celebrate in remembering the Saviour and Redeemer, Jesus Christ. Now to the matter of the day. This columnist was called upon to be a guest on a live radio programme whilst on a journey a few days ago. There was no prior information as to the time and details; the journalist’s appeal was granted because as a researcher, opinion molder and public affairs analyst, I have learnt to “be prepared” like the Boys’ Scout motto. The live interview was to commence within five minutes of his call. The car pulled up at a safe place off the road. One pointed question posted to me was: with up to two months of the Biodun Abayomi Oyebanji’s (BAO) administration in Ekiti, what is the visible achievement on ground? Instinctively, the professional civil/structural engineer in me was aroused. In responding, yours sincerely depicted an analogy. In any building construction, the foundation stage takes time and tinkering in erection. Equally, the edifice’s size, stature and structure will dictate the type and nature of the foundation. Moreover, and very vital, the nature of the soil is critical to the foundation design and construction. If the ground is marshy or swampy, and a tall building (like 20 floors) is to be erected, the foundation will likely be on piles and may take a few months to be erected. However, if it is a bungalow, in a firm and rocky ground, the foundation will be built within possibly a week, provided the men, materials, money and machinery are available and sufficient. In essence, depending on the blueprint or building plan possessed by the builder, two months or even six months may be inadequate a time span to evaluate objectively the performance of a governor or president in the saddle. In essence, building is a process involving drawing up a plan, setting it out, amassing the inputs (men, money, materials, machinery), directing the inputs accordingly to accomplish the tasks (output), tracking or monitoring the steps to ensure scheduled milestones are accomplished, etc.

    Leadership: Perspectives and Processes

    Analogically, building is a process akin to leadership. Leadership is a process; no more a personality or great person in power: this is the concurrence among scholars involved in leadership and followership studies globally.  In succinctly surmising it, the acclaimed pioneer scholar in the field of leadership studies, Professor Bennis Warren opined: “Leadership is the capacity to translate vision into reality.” In law, there is a term referred to as ‘caveat emptor’ meaning buyer beware. Hence, any supposed leader pussyfooting with a strategic footprint (manifesto) is seemingly taking followers for a ride. The manifesto is synonymous with the builder’s blueprint or plan. The perspectives of the leader are encapsulated in the manifesto, and for a presidential candidate that was apparently coerced into crafting a manifesto after months of foot dragging, former Governor Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), is seemingly unprepared for the onerous task of casting a vision talk less of actualizing one! Leader looks at, analyses and processes perspectives in an inclusive context to arrive at a policy that will be a win -win for both the followers and leader. This is the ideal value laden leadership prevalent in strategic, servant and transformational leadership approaches. This is a far cry from the dominant and pervading transactional leadership style which is more of what is in it for me. As 25th February 2023 beckons, the date of the presidential poll, followers are to tinker and tune to the stand and stake of the popular leadership practitioner and mentor, John Maxwell, who rightly posited: “a leader is one who knows the way, goes the way, and shows the way.” This columnist is challenging the mass of followers to come out of ethnic, tribal and religious cocoons and choose a credible, cerebral and capable man to be in the saddle come 29th May 2023; imperatively, one who knows the way, goes the way and shows the way. How can followers decipher and discern these traits in the man to choose? Pedigree.

    Pedigree: Precursor of Performance

    It is stated in Yoruba common parlance: “eniti o ma da’so fun eniyan, torun e lanwo” (meaning: he who promises to sow you a cloth, you should look well at the one he is putting on). Saliently and succinctly stated, this was the pristine perspective of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu at the town hall meeting in Abuja, the Federal Capital, involving the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC). He simply and squarely stated inter alia: “Today, the questions you all you must ask yourselves are these: who can be trusted to accomplish all of this? The man who has done it before, or the man whose most lasting achievement as Vice President is the corrupt sale of national assets to his friends and cronies?

    “Who has the better plan? The man whose blueprint guided the emergence of Lagos State as fifth largest economy in Africa or the man whose greatest pride is the amount of money he managed to bury in sand while his state’s infrastructure decayed and its workers suffered endless hardship?

    “The choice is yours …” (sic)

    What a challenge thrown at the opposition camps of the duo of the candidates of the Labour Party (LP), Mr. Peter Obi, and People Democratic Party (PDP), Alhaji Atiku Abubakar! Critically and cautiously, perusing the contents of the statements, one cannot but conclude on pedigree. Definitely, followers cannot afford to gift the presidency to a non-performer in public office, especially fixating on previous records in office of the trio of Tinubu, Obi and Atiku. Tinubu words are seemingly sacrosanct and without any gainsaying, Tinubu towers heads and shoulders above the duo of Atiku and Obi in this regard. The processing of perspectives resulting, overtime, in strategic policy formulation and execution has culminated in making Lagos, the once dirtiest state, to be the wealthiest. Albeit, Lagos being a state, is a subnational within the awkward federal government of Nigeria, it is the acclaimed 5th economy in Africa, if it was reckoned as a country, and not a state. What a way to measure development in concrete terms from 1999 to 2022! It is pertinent to mention in arriving here, that the State of Aquatic Splendour, Lagos, has been consistent in the choice of courageous, credible and capable leaders within the same political family. This columnist can attest to this having served under three helmsmen within the prestigious Lagos State Civil Service. It is on record that I served as Director, Monitoring and Evaluation under Fashola, Ambode and Sanwo-Olu tenures before meritoriously bowing out in January 2021 at the attainment of the statutory retirement age of 60. No other state has been as favourably disposed as Lagos. The credit should be given to Tinubu for spotting, attracting, pulling, nurturing and mentoring talents (followers) into capable and cerebral leaders who could hold their own in any context. Any living leader in the present-day Nigeria depicting this adroit and adept strategic skills in this fashion and mold?

    In concluding this piece, it is imperative for followers to watch out for a foresighted leader come 2023. Nigeria is in such a dire damning existential fiasco whilst seemingly tottering towards apparent economic eclipse. It is when followers collaboratively jettison puerile, pedestrian and pecuniary perspectives that Nigeria could come up, and out, of any socio-economic and political quagmire. Hence, the followers must choose right on 25th February 2023. They must not settle for a manager but a sagacious leader, tinkering in tandem with the positing of a famous leadership scholar and advisor to four United States of America (USA) presidents, Professor Warren Bennis: “the manager accepts the status quo; the leader challenges it.” The dire need of the moment as 2023 presidential poll beckons is for followers to choose a leader that could challenge the status quo ante, and not one who’s manifesto depicts a micro – managing of the country that is apparently sulking and sinking through rarified regional and religious remonstrations. Surmising it, based on tracking leadership processes, perspectives, policies and pedigrees; simultaneously taking cognizance of records whilst in public office, the APC candidate, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, is adjudged as the man suited for the job of fixing this ailing country come 29th May 2023.

    • John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com.
  • Governors grandstanding governance? (Part 2)

    Governors grandstanding governance? (Part 2)

    “This dereliction of duty from the centre is the main reason why people have been unable to engage in regular agrarian activity and commerce. Today, rural areas are insecure, markets are unsafe, travel surety is improbable … The opinion, therefore, of one minister, based on a survey of 56,000 households in a country of 200 million people can never diminish the good work that 36 pro-poor-minded governors are doing for this country.” – AbdulRazaque Bello-Barkindo, Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), Director of Media and Public Affairs.

     

    THERE was a village tucked between a forest and a bit of savannah vegetation. Surrounding villages are interconnected with this hamlet with foot paths laced with undulating hills and mountains. In this particular village, snakes are not a common sight. Possibly, the dangerous reptiles are kowtowing the ancient scriptural connotation: “wise as serpents, and harmless as doves.” Albeit, they exist in numbers, particularly the green-coloured species; mostly lurking surreptitiously under the lush green grass. There have been some instances of poisonous snake bites occurring within farmlands, playing fields and precincts of houses in and around this hamlet. It is on record that while a few of these nauseating incidents have resulted in cutting short precious human lives, many have caused untold hurt, harm and losses to victims and their loved ones. On a particular day, two relatives were going to the farm – a man and woman in their early thirties. In addition, both of them were armed with cutlasses. Suddenly, a slow-moving serpent emerged a few metres away from the footpath approaching a flat rocky surface. Instinctively, the woman was nearer the slow-moving reptile, and the man thought the onus lied on her to kill the serpent. Simultaneously, the woman was of the opinion that the man, being the male and, usually the head of a household in a normal village setting, should be proactive in cutting off the head of the snake. Indecision and insensitivity led to the escape of the snake into the bush! This incidence illustrated in this short story is amplified by a Yoruba wise saying: “Ki okunrin r’ejo, ki obirin pa ejo, ki ejo sa maa ti saa lo” (meaning: “A man may first see a snake while a woman succeeds in killing it; what matters at the end of the day is that the slithering reptile does not escape”).

    Germane Governors’ Grouse

    There is a common ground of accord in the face off between the governors and federal government. The states’ helmsmen concurred that poverty pervades the rural areas in comparison with the semi and urban areas. In the words of the Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), through its Director of Media and Public Affairs, AbdulRazaque Bello-Barkindo, he poignantly posited: “while rightly pointing out that 72 per cent of the poverty in Nigeria is found in the rural areas, the minister said that the rural populace had been abandoned by governors,” However, the governors’ germane grouse lies in the pervading insecurity ravaging most parts of the country with its attendant negative impact on agribusiness. Virtually and relatively, all parts of this country are affected with more concomitant consequences in the regions such as the north west and north east. Pointedly, Benue State Governor, Dr Samuel Ortom, has been at daggers’ drawn with the government at the centre for upwards of two years with some indigenes of that state losing lives and limbs. In fact, some of them have lost their farmlands to rampaging killer herdsmen whilst surviving farmers have eloped to other states to ply their trade. In essence, some governors have a gory story to tell. In essence, it is high time the Federal Government squarely and saliently addressed insecurity slowing down agricultural, economic and social activities in our rural communities. Here, the government at the centre has nowhere to hide! The best of the Federal Government in taming insecurity has not been tangibly seen by Nigerians especially the farmers in the rural areas. However, of late, the security forces have doubled their efforts in stemming the tide. Much more still needs to be done for the needed respite to be achieved!

    There was the issue of the Anchor Borrowers Programme raised by the minister. He was seemingly defensive. How accommodating and accessible is the programme for the states to plug in? Similarly, for all other Federal intervention schemes and fundings, particularly with the Central Banking of Nigeria (CBN). Year in, year out, many such seemingly poverty alleviating schemes are bogged down with naughty and nauseating red tapism that clog the wheel of progress thus enhancing expansion of poverty than ameliorating it! Pointedly: Do the Federal Government agencies and the CBN employ and exploit pertinent Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning (MEL) skills to gauge or track output, outcome and impact in a result-based management approach? If our country is really serious in witnessing real developmental progress that followers can feel, see, touch, embrace and enjoy, this is the route to follow.

    How right is the stand and stake of the governors in prodding the issue of insecurity as the rationale for pervading poverty in the rural areas? This columnist is not on the same page with some of the governors in this matter as they could partly address this issue by partnering with the traditional rulers and local hunters from community to community depending on the context of the states. Moreover, more of the citizens could be mobilized for intelligence gathering through meaningful exploitation of the humongous security votes possessed by the men in the saddle at the subnational levels. In actual fact, some of the states are doing well in this regard. There is room to better their best! In essence, on the part of the governors, there should not be folding of arms or throwing up arms in the air in absolute surrender to bandits, terrorists, killer herdsmen and kidnappers. They should play their own part well whilst the security forces at the command and control of the President should complement.

    Lastly, the issue of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) should be concretely addressed by both the federal and state governments for efficient and effective delivery. Here again, modern Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning (MEL) tools should be engaged and employed to monitor and track the output, outcome and impact of interventions henceforth. Enough of expending resources without commensurate value delivered! MEL is deployed globally by the World Bank, European Union (EU), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Africa Development Bank (AfDB), etc. It is a truism that none of these organizations will partner with any country, subnational government or organization without the submission of a robust MEL content. However, these partners still need to follow up after granting the support to see that MEL is actually applied in executing the intervention so that there would be value for money and the projected outcome would be achieved after the intervention.

    This columnist would like to posit pointedly that the federal government should devise an incentivized method of making the states buy-in into both Agribusiness, MSME and Social Safety schemes. This may be a sort of agenda setting for the incoming government at the centre come 29th May 2023 as these three thematic developmental pillars are strongly needed to jumpstart the economy with a lot of benefits ranging from enhanced income of citizens; youth engagement or employment; promotion of foreign direct investment (FDI); increased foreign exchange earnings; food accessibility and affordability (security); low expenditure on security; boosting of economic activities, etc. The federal government should evolve a system of rating the performance of the states in crippling and checkmating poverty via exploring and exploitingMEL. The system should be simple, measurable, achievable, remarkable and timely (SMART) possessing a great knack of inherent transparency and accountability to all stakeholders. The support to be granted by the federal agencies should be commensurate with the rating and possibly done on quarterly or biannual basis. The higher the rating, the more support in subsequent interventions. In addition, access to these supports should be streamlined by cutting off undue encumbrances or red tapism associated with government business in our clime.

    In conclusion, it is crystal clear that both the national and subnational governments have distinctive roles to play in pillorying poverty among the populace. Hence, there is no room for buck-passing from the federal to states or vice versa. Each has a pivotal role to play in stemming pervading poverty within the rural, semi-urban and urban areas. In the same vein, even as the subnational governments should invest in infrastructure, as most of our states have deficits in the context of infrastructural development, equal attention should gear towards the growth of agribusiness, acquisition of vocational and digital skills, robust Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) and promotion of Social Safety schemes. All these interventions should birth people-oriented policies, programmes, and projects that are all inclusive and non-discriminatory. As this article is being concluded, it is good to recall the story line at the outset. The significance is that whether it is the national or subnational government, analogous to the man or woman in that village setting, one should ensure the serpentine nature of poverty on the populace is curtailed or checkmated in harmony with the stand and stake of the United States of America (USA) erstwhile President, Thomas Jefferson, who once posited: “the whole art of government consists in the art of being honest. Only aim to do your duty, and mankind will give you credit where you fail.”

    John Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via +2348030598267 (WhatsApp only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com

  • Governors grandstanding governance? (Part 1)

    Governors grandstanding governance? (Part 1)

    “I have always believed that the road to prosperity is productivity. If the people are productive, the economy will change. One day money will stop coming from Abuja. This is the truth and every discerning state must start to prepare for it. As a government, we will create enabling environment for Agribusiness investments. We will put our weight behind it because it is in our interest as a state and as a people to get this done.” – Mr. Biodun Abayomi Oyebanji, Governor, Ekiti State, 5th December 2022.

    There was an episode during the military intrusion and interregnum during which General Yakubu Gowon was the military Head of State of Nigeria. It occurred in 1974. The then Minister of Communication and Transportation, the influential Mr. Joseph Tarka, a political heavyweight from the Tiv tribe of Benue-Plateau State was heard saying the citizens should be outspoken against corruption ravaging the country. A fellow citizen from the same state, Mr. Godwin Daboh, was attentive. It was like a lurking lion ready to latch on a lackadaisical lamb as Daboh already possessed damning and weighty evidence of corruption against Tarka. Daring Daboh was targeting Tarka’s downfall from the high political pedestal in which the latter perched. The seemingly diabolical Daboh went public with the accusation of corruption against Joseph Tarka. Initially, the government of the day looked askance. However, with more daring evidence of corruption especially a secret tape recording of the conversation in which the minister was demanding for a kickback of 6% from a contractor was unbecoming of a statesman of the status of Tarka. Moreover, the last straw that broke the camel’s back was the allegation of allocation of a dedicated telephone line to a mistress of the minister which was a clear and convincing token of breach of trust on the part of a public servant.

    The then vibrant National Union of Nigerian Students (NUNS) picked up the gauntlet against the government if Tarka was not probed. At the forefront was the University of Lagos (UNILAG) Students’ Union. In a release by the Secretary General of UNILAG Students’ Union, Mr. Wole Olanipekun (now SAN), there was a demand for the sacking of the minister, failure of which the students of the institution would embark on street protests. Then, Mr. Joseph Tarka could no longer contain the flurry of fiasco as he threw in the towel. He resigned from the government. Why go this route as an introduction to this week’s article? Tribute should be paid to the celebrated columnist, though late, Mr. Gbolabo Ogunsanwo, the erstwhile Editor of the defunct Sunday Times who coined the phrase: “If you Tarka me, I will Daboh you.” This clique is pertinent to the recent brickbat between the Federal Government and the influential Governors’ Forum on who is really responsible for the pervading poverty among the populace within Nigeria’s context. There has been accusation and counter-accusation from one party to the other.

    Federal Fisticuffs

    The usual Federal Executive Council Meeting held last Wednesday did not go down as usual with reeling out of contracts awards as the norm. Aftermath of the meeting was a press briefing that sparked a raging row between the Federal Government and the State Governors. Throwing the first punch was the Minister of State for Budget and National Planning, Prince Clem Agba, who was delegated to brief the press. He chastised the helmsmen at the state level as squarely responsible for the hapless poverty index recorded for the country. He poignantly posited that the Governors were inexcusable. According to the Daily Post of 30th November 2022:

    “UNIDO report shows us in terms of employment, the MSMEs employ 70% of our people. So, you can imagine how much progress we will make when you find that there are roads, there is power in these rural areas.

    “In terms of agriculture, you find out that the federal government doesn’t have land that they would plant, the government has pushed for the Anchor Borrowers programme and that is going on very well but the state control lands … They are the ones to provide land for agriculture. They are not investing in that.

    Read Also: Integrity icons bag Good Governance rewards

    “They would rather build skyscrapers in a city where people will see and clap but the skyscrapers does not put food on the table (sic).”

    Before throwing away the baby with the bathwater, it is good to analyze the points raised by the minister objectively. He seemingly accused the Governors of more of grandstanding governance. He came out with statistics which should be addressed by the latter rather than lampooning the Federal Government which the minister spoke on behalf. There are three salient and succinct points raised in his briefing that I will pinpoint here in this column for followers to ponder and reflect upon if Nigeria must witness real development, and not just media hype or ‘paper tiger’ development that is more of a propagandist parochial approach that followers cannot feel, see, touch or embrace! More of such abound in the pages of newspapers and apparently non-visible as one commute the nooks and crannies of Nigeria. However, it may be unfair to lump all the states together in one haphazard perspective. Perhaps, the minister goofed here! However, there is the issue of access to rural areas where 70% of the populace reside and from which 90% of what we feed upon come from. Without gainsaying it, how many states have access roads in good condition to the rural areas to aid farmers and traders to link the semi-urban and urban areas to promote socio-economic activities that would engender growth?

    Two, and very significant, how, in concrete and measurable terms, have our Governors demonstrated proactive and practical interests in impacting the numerous Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME). This is the sector that should stem unemployment rate in greater proportion than all the sectors put together. If our Governors do the needful here with proper application of monitoring, evaluation and learning (MEL) tools, it is possible for mass engagement of our teeming youths that will result in enhanced productivity thus shoring up the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) whilst simultaneously increasing income of these youths. Ultimately, it will progressively and positively impact the poverty index as many citizens will exit the poverty net.

    Three, the minister complained of low interest and investment in agriculture by the men in the saddle in the states. It is worth mentioning that no state government should blame the federal government for low productivity in farm produce as the state governments have access to land within the states rather than the federal government. It is unfortunate that many of our states still pay lip service to agribusiness whereas this ought to be the fulcrum of our industrial revolution when harnessed with modern technology laced with digital skill acquisition and impartation, especially targeting our restless youths. It is sickening and saddening seeing many of our hapless youths; some of them graduates of our higher institutions, riding motorbikes (‘okada’), operating tricycle (‘maruwa’) transport business, pitifully engaged in debasing cultism or internet fraud operations, etc. Proper governance, at the state level, would have redirected their energies to worthwhile and productive ventures that would have resulted in a win-win for them and the states where these teeming youths reside. Largely, perusing many states of the country, this has not happened!

    Will Ekiti Make the Difference?

    There is a new sheriff in town in Ekiti. So, it seems. He posited of recent:

    “I have always believed that the road to prosperity is productivity. If the people are productive, the economy will change One day money will stop coming from Abuja. This is the truth and every discerning state must start to prepare for it. As a government, we will create enabling environment for Agribusiness investments. We will put our weight behind it because it is in our interest as a state and as a people to get this done.”

    Prosperity will always be through productivity, and in Oyebanji’s perspective, vis a vis, the context of an agrarian state such as Ekiti, agribusiness is the way to go. This columnist was a resident of Malaysia for upwards of 3 years. In that country, it was exploitation of oil palm that jump started that country’s economy. Malaysia inculcated technology into it laced with modern research techniques. Presently, there is a species of oil palm that produces fruits within 2 years. In addition, Malaysia had since initiated production of biodiesel from oil palm! Recalling these words of Oyebanji succinctly stated on 5th December 2022, will it be like someone once opined: ‘talk is cheap?’ Two years from now, will the statement of Oyebanji produce tangible outcomes in measurable and discernible terms that Ekitikete can see, feel, touch and embrace? To this columnist, as a development strategist and analyst, this is the hallmark of real governance, any other one is mere grandstanding! In the second part, the other side of the coin will be viewed: are the Governors justified in their counter accusations against the federal government? Looking forward to your perspectives on this issue of governance knowing that both the state and federal governments have distinct roles to play rather than subjecting the citizens to exchange of diatribes from one another as a form of defense. Thank you for keeping the interest in the column.

     

    • Ekundayo, Ph.D. – can be reached via 08155262360 (SMS only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com
  • 2023 Predicting presidential pendulum (Part 5)

    2023 Predicting presidential pendulum (Part 5)

    By John Ekundayo

    “The policy will establish a vision for Nigeria’s future in the next four years. It highlights the three major challenges facing our Nation (economy, unity and security) and how these can be resolved.

    … Nigeria where everyone, irrespective of where or who you are, is provided with the capabilities to function appropriately, …” – Atiku Abubakar, PDP Presidential Candidate

    “… A nation transformed into greatness, the pride of Africa, a role model for all black people worldwide and respected among all other countries.” – Bola Ahmed Tinubu (BAT), APC Presidential Candidate

    Once upon a time, there was a popular man in a certain town in the south western part of Nigeria. In the small town where he was born and bred, he was noted to have suddenly become wealthy after the apparent mysterious demise of his mother leading to the belief by the elders that his wealth was palpably tinted with blood. He was famous but not fancied within the town despite his public display of wealth. He indulged in marrying many wives and riding on any car that he desired. In this apparent wasteful, wanton and weird display of supposedly ill-gotten wealth, there was something strikingly odd that the elders in the town perceived in his oddity, or seeming eccentricity. It was the way and manner he erected his house. Initially, he commenced building an edifice that was at that time one of the most modern buildings in the small ancient town. No sooner had he started building than he decided to pull down part of the structure to many people’s disbelief and discomfort. Afterall, he did not borrow the money from anyone; it was his own and he felt he could do what he wished with his own! This ugly trend became a norm in erecting the edifice: building, and subsequently pulling down part of the structure. The elders, after quite a while, were no more perturbed with his petulant predisposition, though it smacked of sheer aberration. In essence, what is the import of starting this edition with this true-life story? In less than three months to the presidential poll of 25th February 2023, many contenders or candidates of the political parties involved in the contest have gone public with their manifestos to entice and entreat the favour of the electorates. This is the universal practice taking cognizance of the dreams, dictates and demands of democratic ethos.

    Manifesto: Making Mincemeat?

    As previously posited in this series on predicting presidential pendulum, there are three presidential candidates of note in the hotly contested race to the throne situated at Aso Rock. They are Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC); Mr. Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP); and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People Democratic Party (PDP). Any other one is seemingly inconsequential as would be subsequently perceived in the coming political conquest as Nigerians move into January 2023. It is utterly amazing that up till the time of going to the press, early December 2022, one of the leading contenders has not released his manifesto with less than 90 days to the presidential poll! Mr. Peter Obi distanced himself from the release of any purported 7-point agenda declaring via his twitter handle that he would personally release his manifesto at the right time. This is a better stance than the tinkering of Obi’s Special Adviser on Public Affairs, Katch Ononuju, who according to Daily Trust of 14th November 2022, succinctly stated “that there is nothing big in drafting manifesto.” The newspaper was reporting from his interview on Channels TV. This is analogous to a builder having gathered sand, cement, reinforcing iron, granite and with a humongous amount telling the whole world that he is not in hurry to come out with his building plan or blueprint! This scenario can be situated with the sordid story, shared at the outset of this write up, of that rich man in that small ancient town that commenced building only to keep pulling down. Ultimately, an oddity became a norm with that man. How many followers (electorates) will trust their future into the hand of a man, less than 90 days to the election, that has not impressed them with a direction of where he is going? This columnist has written earlier, and reiterates it here and now, that approaching the presidential poll without a blueprint is synonymous to leading workmen to a building site where the client has procured all building materials for sight seeing without any intention to commence work. Will the workmen take this builder seriously? Definitely not! Some of them may even locate and ply their trade with serious minded builders in the vicinity who are ready to commence work without deferment as procrastination is the thief of time. Someone better advises Mr. Peter Obi as he may lose some of his potential followers in this marathonic race to Aso Rock.

    Between Asiwaju and Atiku: People’s Pact!

    The duo of Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar, saliently and succinctly sounding seriousness in their approach to the throne located at Aso Rock Villa, have since gone public with their social contract or pact with the people of Nigeria. Firstly, Atiku Abubakar of the PDP in a 186-page, detailed documented pact with the citizens, has not left anyone in doubt of what he is up to, if Nigerians could trust him with their mandate. His social contract with Nigerians tagged: “My Covenant with Nigerians”, is well laid out with a 5-point agenda. Simply and squarely summarized thus:

    1. Restore Nigeria’s unity through equity, social justice, and cooperation
    2. Establish a strong and effective government that guarantees the safety and security of life and property.
    3. Build a strong, resilient and prosperous economy that creates jobs and lifts people out of poverty.
    4. Promotes a true federal system which will provide a strong Federal Government to guarantee national unity while allowing the federating units to set up their own priorities (sic).
    5. Spearhead educational reform so it is driven by innovation, science and technology.

    Even though these are well articulated, however, implementation of the strategy, as is the practice within Nigeria’s context, may be an apparent albatross. Critiquing the 186-page document, one could see and state the wordiness or verbosity that may pull wools on the eyes of the followers in sifting the wheat from the chaff. How many Nigerians love reading a document especially when it is going to 100 pages and more?

    Secondly, the manifesto of the APC flag bearer is equally encapsulating and enticing to read and ruminate upon. It is a 29-page treatise on the Tinubu’s pact with the people of Nigeria, if given the mandate to lead them. The sobriquet riding with the manifesto is: “My vision for Nigeria” simply. squarely and skillfully summarized thus:

    1. A nation transformed into greatness, the pride of Africa, a role model for all black people worldwide, and respected among all other countries.
    2. A vibrant and thriving democracy and a prosperous nation with a fast-growing industrial base, capable of producing the most basic needs of the people and exporting to other countries of the world.
    3. A country with a robust economy, where prosperity is broadly shared by all irrespective of class, region, and religion.
    4. A nation where its people enjoy all the basic needs, including a safe and secure environment, abundant food, affordable shelter, health care, and quality primary education for all (sic).
    5. A nation founded on justice, peace, and prosperity for all.

    Perusing the treatise depicting the social contact or pact with Nigerians, if elected as their president in the 25th February 2023 poll, the pedigree of Asiwaju Tinubu in piloting the affairs of a sub-national like Lagos to enviable heights especially with the arrays of cerebral, credible, capable and competent hands, this columnist has the confidence that Tinubu can replicate such feat at the centre. There are some that hold the perspective that his age may deter him from enacting such a feat again. This columnist disagrees with such biased and myopic tinkering as wine gets better with age! Anyone still in disbelief? A case in point is Dr, Muhammad Mahathir (aka Dr. M) of Malaysia, He was recalled to contest when the nation was adrift economically and politically at the age of 92 having initially served as Prime Minister for almost 19 years. He won to the consternation or amazement of many watchers around the world! He won even when he contested on an opposition platform!! He was able to lift up the country again from the abyss. That is the kind of leader Nigeria needs now!

    Pinpointing Presidential Pendulum:

    In concluding this series, it is necessary to remind Nigerians of the onerous duty before the followers come 25th February 2023. That is the day of the epoch-making poll. That day, many issues will come to play in deciding which party or personality to side with. How many followers among the valid electorates will align with the candidates based on their pedigrees or profiles while in one office or the other in times past? How many of the followers will not reason or rationalize but will sway with the whims and caprices of local and powerful political principalities? How many would be waiting for the contenders’ aides or agents with expected “stomach infrastructure” to be delivered on or before that day of election? Are we factoring those followers who would vote based on a particular village’s or town’s or city’s customized consent? There are indeed so many permutations, predictions and projections that will predicate the choices of followers at the poll. However, like it is said in Ekiti common parlance: “kan ju ada soke lere ugba, ibi pelebe la mu bale” (meaning: no matter the number of times one throws up a cutlass, it will land on its side). In essence, with the party’s spread and structure; the cohesion within the APC compared with the palpable confusion in the main opposition, PDP; the ratings from credible rating agencies like Fitch and EIU; the political principalities with strong support at the local towns, cities and states with national appeal and spread; and the incumbency factor of the ruling party, APC, the coast is seemingly clear for the emergence of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu if elections were held today. This is this columnist’s submission as a researcher, political analyst and public affairs commentator. However, in any democracy, the majority will have their way whilst the minority will equally have their say.

    • Ekundayo, Ph.D. – Harvard-Certified Leadership Strategist, and also a Development Consultant, can be reached via 08155262360 (SMS only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com
  • Predicting presidential pendulum (Part 4)

    Predicting presidential pendulum (Part 4)

    By John Ekundayo 

    “Political parties are corporations, much like General Motors, for example. GM makes cars, political parties make political candidates. The leadership of GM makes decisions about which cars to make; political parties make decisions about which candidates to make. They do not ask rank-and-file “members” what they want. Both are trying to come up with what they think will win the game.” – Gary Millington

    In the last edition of this column, there was a promise to share a story. This columnist will instead make it two. One: it was an encounter involving my first son. His educational background could be confusing. In fact, a friend of mine once asked me, how Samuel Ekundayo’s educational profile could depict he was in Ladoke Akintola University, Ogbomoso, Nigeria in March 2006, as a Part 2 Mechanical Engineering undergraduate, and then, incongruently completed his PhD in 2012? Puzzling! In reality, it happened; proffering an explanation became a burden. The bit of the story was that when my family members joined me in Singapore in April 2006, Samuel approached a private institution running a UK degree in Singapore. The official we met after perusing his transcript offered him admission to read Engineering Business Management for one academic year to which I objected. I was not on the same page with the admission officer as the education standard in Singapore was perceived higher than that of Nigeria. The official refused to oblige my request to extend it to 2 years! Samuel invariably made the Coventry University first degree with a 2nd Class Upper earning a direct admission to pursue his master’s degree in Singapore’s Nanyang Technological University (NTU). He completed this within eleven months and was enrolled for his PhD research in New Zealand. Actually, he was initially dreaming of carrying out his PhD research in York University, Canada. However, when asked about his educational trajectory, the university in Canada could not comprehend his mysterious or miraculous track, and consequently, denied him admission.

    Second: this involves my personal encounter in my sojourn in Malaysia, South East Asia. This columnist was conducting his PhD research at the same time with his son’s in Auckland, New Zealand. Despite several efforts to secure employment in Malaysia even though armed with a master’s degree, the incommodious immigration policy of Malaysia towards Africans voided all efforts. It was frustrating, but this columnist did not discard his dream of attaining PhD. There was a time my son called me on the phone from New Zealand to drop my dream threatening he would drop his if I refused! Pointedly, I told him neither of us would drop his dream which angered him more. This resulted in not communicating with me for days! Notably, in my sojourn in Malaysia, there was a day that a family friend came calling and in the midst of our discussion, paused and probed: “Pastor John, which scholarship are you studying with Malaysia?” Extempore, this columnist retorted: “divine scholarship!” At this time, my university has changed my status from “inactive” to “missing” as I failed to pay my tuition fees for two consecutive semesters! Is it criminal to be poor? Apparently, it can be in certain scenarios. Alas, divine help came as the Lagos State Government through the gracious disposition of erstwhile Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN, granted this columnist a scholarship to complete his PhD with additional offer to serve Lagos State for one year. In a jiffy, my status changed as all outstanding fees owed were fully paid whilst the quality of life of I and my family was enhanced in our stay in Malaysia. It was indeed divinely orchestrated beyond human description.

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    Why share these stories? The unseen hand of God can actually make certain aspects of one’s life seemingly unexplainable or enigmatic! These two stories could be analogous to the apparently baffling or bewildering educational trajectory of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu cum his unfathomable wealth. Reno Omokri, former aide of erstwhile President Jonathan Goodluck and ardent supporter of PDP flag bearer, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, via his Twitter handle, simply and squarely stated: “Soludo was right about them. They are a mob. They have no head, and as such, can’t reason. And that Tinubu did not attend Chicago State University is an obvious lie. I should know. I believed the lie and wasted $4000 plus flying to Chicago to investigate in person!” This expedition of Omokri vindicated Tinubu’s educational background that was apparently mysterious or mystical to many. Same goes for his financial wizardry in personal, corporate and public dealings resulting in tangible outputs, outcomes and impacts. Any wonder his political opponents, oblivious of his sagacious strategic steps, are always crying wolf where there is none!

    Perspectives: People and Parties

    The big question to ask is: how many followers (voters) will vote along party lines in the February 2023 presidential election? Put differently: what is the percentage of followers that will decide to vote based on choices of the parties they preferred? The ruling party, All Progressives Congress (APC), has come under intense pressure and pillory by the duo of the Labour Party (LP) and People Democratic Party (PDP). This is understandable as uneasy lies the head that wears the crown. In fact, one of my mentors driving it home put it saliently and succinctly thus: “the bigger the head, the bigger the headache!” Tinkering along this line of thought, American journalist and scholar, H. L. Mencken pointedly posited: “Under democracy one party always devotes its chief energies to trying to prove that the other party is unfit to rule — and both commonly succeed, and are right.” Will the pendulum swing majorly due to party or platform preference at the polls? It must be borne in mind that certain nooks and crannies of Nigeria traditionally have sympathy for the two major parties: APC and PDP. The Labour Party (LP) with apparent incognito and inconsequential structure and spread should not expect much from this perspective. Conversely, APC and PDP, with party membership in virtually all the states, cities, towns and villages are better positioned to garner votes based on the platforms the parties provided.

    For the umpteenth time, the intractable impasse leading to political interregnum among the five Governors (G5) is portending palpable pulverizing at the polls for PDP. According to the Governor of Rivers State, Nyesom Wike, the group who now wish to be referred to as the “Integrity Group”, has failed to see eye-to-eye with the PDP presidential flag bearer, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar. In fact, in just 90 days to the presidential poll of 25th February 2023, the group is seemingly attracting more states’ helmsmen to its fold! What a tragic trajectory to the throne for the main opposition party? On the other hand, the APC Governors are holding to their states and taking sagacious strategic steps for their flag bearer, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu to take the throne. Presently, on the basis of platform or party to choose at the polls, APC, seems to hold the ace if majority of the followers would vote along party’s line. One vital point to take cognizance of in this context is the attracting polling power of personalities per town or city or state. Before going further, this columnist will want readers to ponder on the tinkering of American social commentator, Gary Millington, who once poignantly posited: “Political parties are corporations, much like General Motors, for example. GM makes cars, political parties make political candidates. The leadership of GM makes decisions about which cars to make; political parties make decisions about which candidates to make. They do not ask rank-and-file “members” what they want. Both are trying to come up with what they think will win the game.” In essence, the parties give birth to candidates. Dissecting it further, there are some towns, cities and states that follow their political principalities to the polls: hook, line and sinker! This has been the common feature virtually in all the presidential or premiership or gubernatorial polls where such political principalities like Ahmadu Bello, Nnamdi Azikiwe, Obafemi Awolowo, Shehu Musa Yar’Adua, Olusola Saraki, Lamidi Adedibu, Joseph Tarka, Aminu Kano, etc. were forces to be reckoned with. For instance, no other political party has ever been able to defeat that of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu from 1999 to date in Lagos. Will Wike, Ortom, Ugwuanyi, Makinde, and Ikpeazu wield such inimitable and intimidating influence in the February and March 2023 elections in Rivers, Benue, Enugu, Oyo and Abia States that would be tantamount to dignifying them as principalities in their domains? Time will tell! In the next edition, attention will be shifting to the flag bearers’ probable solutions to the country’s nagging problems. Thank you for your interest and genuine feedback.

    • Ekundayo, Ph.D. –can be reached via 08155262360 (SMS only) and drjmoekundayo@hotmail.com