Category: Jide Oluwajuyitan

  • Beyond Peter Obi’s Lagos victory

    Beyond Peter Obi’s Lagos victory

    Igbo political elite often play the victim. After initial claim of disenfranchisement across Lagos and call for a military takeover if Obi was denied of victory, it was wild jubilation on Monday as they invaded Alausa with Obi party’s flag following INEC announcement of his victory with about 500,000 votes in Lagos over Tinubu who secured less than 5000 votes in Enugu.

    But then nationalism among Igbo political elite has always been driven not by altruism but by selfish interest. And no one puts this better than Chinua Achebe in his classic, ‘No Longer at ease’- “we are strangers in this land, when calamities befall the owners of the land, we return home leaving the owners of the land who know how to appease their own gods” Here, Chinua Achebe, as in his other classics, focuses on transformation Igbo experience in strangers’ land while maintaining a dead silence on dislocation and despoliation of host communities.

    Thus the buying off of cutlasses in Lagos market by Igbo urban immigrants in preparation for war against their Yoruba host with whom they had lived peacefully before Zik’s return to Nigeria in 1934 was over alleged threat to Igbo leaders.

    The derailment of Zik’s ambition to join the colonial legislative council due to Funmilayo Ransome-Kuti and Dr Olorunnibe’s NCNC intra-party revolt was sold to Igbo urban immigrants as Yoruba tribal war requiring Ozumba Mbadiwe’s call on Prime Minister Tafawa Balewa to cede Lagos from Western Region.

    Even the March 5, 1941 Nigerian Youth Movement bye-election, during which Awolowo supported Ernest Ikoli, an easterner  from present day Bayelsa against Oba Samuel Akinsanya, his fellow Ijebu man  while Zik and his West African Pilot supported the latter, ended with Awolowo being labelled a tribalist by Zik to justify pulling down of  the first Pan-Nigeria Movement.

    Many Igbo political and intellectual elite including some of my close friends have said it to our face “You Yoruba are very tribalistic “just because we believe Obi’s chances in the 2023 presidential run is very slim in spite of assurances of his promoters starting with some of our mischievous elders including Olusegun Obasanjo, Pa Adebanjo and Pa Edwin Clark who claim to promote his  candidacy “for equity justice and one Nigeria”.

    They are not telling the truth that in the 1959 election, Igbo-dominated NCNC came first but by-passed Yoruba AG that came second to become beautiful bride to NPC that came a distant third; that during the 1979 inconclusive election, Obasanjo according to Aremo Segun Osoba, by-passed the electoral college constitutional provision, to rig Shagari into office with Richard Akinjide’s twelve two third of a state formula. Igbo NPP immediately offered itself as a beautiful bride to Shagari’s NPN; that in 1993, Igbo supported Bashir Tofa against MKO Abiola. And when Abiola against all odds won by a landslide, some Igbo leaders led by Arthur Nzeribe became instrument with which Babangida annulled the most credible election in our nation’s history.

     Until 2022, Obi like most prominent Igbo politicians was in PDP. And without rapprochement or handshake across the Niger with the West, the rejected corner stone, Obi divorced PDP in 2022 and hoped to win Nigerian presidency in 2023.

    Obi’s other pillar of support was  ‘the obidients’, predominantly made up of ‘Igbo children of anger’ who  because of the falsehood they had been fed with tend to hold everybody except Igbo leaders, their scourge, responsible for the plight of poor Igbo in Nigeria.

    They seem to suffer from selective perception accepting no other views except perhaps that of Professor Pat Utomi  who told them Obi is the best of all presidential candidates because he was such an entrepreneurial genius that he built a house as student of University of Nsukka where the Sultan Of Sokoto lived as a young military officer.

    For them it does not matter the Anambra Obi governed for eight years is today like a war-ravaged state. Asking the line of business of Obi as a student since Igbo multi billionaires  including Cosmas Maduka, Kalu Uzor Kalu and Owelle Okorocha and Andy Uba who we were told started as street hawkers never had such an easy break-through, does not really matter.

    Of course the third group is made up of our own Yoruba children, with ages ranging between 20 and 35. The anguish of those who wondered where Yoruba parents missed it stems from the fact that the Yoruba are a people of culture. Their Ifa divination/Yoruba philosophy speaks of a child brought to the world who does strive to be better than his father as having been brought to the world in vain. A Yoruba child is never a slave to even his father’s belief system. Thoughts in Yoruba philosophy according to late Professor Sophie Oluwole, is progressive. For the Yoruba, ‘Ogbon odunni, were eremiran’ meaning today’s truth is tomorrow’s fallacy. How can a Yoruba youth become an unthinking ‘obidient’?

    But much as Asiwaju Bola Tinubu might want to play the statesman card, what happened in Lagos last Saturday is not democracy. It is a conspiracy and revolt of urban immigrants against their hosts. And this is part of what federal arrangement tries to prevent in all multi-ethnic societies.

     And to the extent that Igbo political elite have since independence opposed federal arrangement and today toy with idea of citizenship when outsider cannot secure a plot of land in their Igbo country, it will be suicidal to dismiss the fear of those who claim the grand plan of immigrants who exploit our liberalism because of our level of our cultural development is to ultimately enslave us in our own land.

    A journey through memory will confirm that from the onset, Obafemi Awolowo canvassed for a federal arrangement patterned after Switzerland which back then had four million people with 22 cantons each with its own parliament and government. The Romansch racial group with only 44,000, enjoyed a regional autonomy and government.  Canada with half of Nigeria’s 27m population back then in the fifties had nine provinces.

    Awolowo and Yoruba leaders made useful contributions to both the Richards and Macpherson constitutions, which were promulgated to ensure one tribe does not enslave others.

    And when Awo became premier of the West in October 1, 1954, he started the agitation for the creation of Midwest despite misgivings by his party who rightly predicted Midwest would be hijacked by Igbo.  In 1955 he called for the creation of the COR (Calabar/Ogoja and Rivers as well as  a Middle Belt state. Tragically, both Hausa Fulani and Igbo political elite rejected all demands up to the London 1957 constitutional conference.

    It is part of our history that Hausa Fulani and Igbo that sent Awo to prison in 1962 openly boasted  that by the time he returned from prison, he would be too old to question how they govern Nigeria.

    And if there is any doubt both the Hausa Fulani and Igbo are opposed to a federalism but share a common world view on how Nigeria should be governed, it is on record that the first thing Igbo political elite did when they had a temporary advantage in 1966 was to rail-road Ironsi regime towards turning the country into a unitary state with Decree 34 of 1966. And since their rival for the soul of Nigeria seized the initiative after July 1966 coup, Nigeria has been run as a unitary state. The current 1999 un-debated constitution has been dismissed by many as Abdul Salami Abubakar Decree 24 of 1999.

    It is time we confront our demon by returning to the ‘Path to Nigeria freedom’ we have avoided for 62 years.

  • Lai Mohammed, Fani Kayode and the Agbor mafia

    Lai Mohammed, Fani Kayode and the Agbor mafia

    President Buhari in pursuit of what he hopes would be his two enduring legacies- ‘fighting corruption and ensuring free and fair election’ had without restraint not too long ago,  asked “Nigerians to vote for any candidate of their choice from any party” in the election coming up in two days’ time. And until the ongoing Emefiele’s wicked and sadistic assault, Nigerians have continued to have an enduring faith in their country despite eight years of high inflation, growing rate of unemployment and general insecurity across Nigeria.

    Last week, two controversial Nigerian politicians, Lai Mohammed and Femi Fani-Kayode made some statements which I think are worth interrogating. The former revealed that President Buhari despite his apparent lack of enthusiasm has in fact always supported his party and party candidate – Bola Ahmed Tinubu in the election coming up in two days’ time while the latter told Nigerians that have been trying to find an explanation for their ongoing hardship arising from the illegal and immoral confiscation of their savings to blame those he describes as the “Agbor mafia” for their nightmare.

     Although it is not often one agrees with these two controversial politicians, but this time around however I think their logic is unassailable.

    First, President Buhari has been described by Nigerian opinion leaders variously as “a nationalist and a man with a good heart”,  “a detribalized person that means well for Nigeria”, a man of integrity and transparency, praised for  his “life of commitment, dedication, patriotism, and honesty” by Bola Ahmed Tinubu, his party’s candidate.

    And after eight years of monumental borrowing to execute his infrastructure projects, I think Buhari would rather want a successor that will protect his legacy rather than a return to PDP’s 15 years of the locust. Atiku Abubakar, his fellow Fulani rival  who has made it clear he would not mind selling anything including the Lagos-Ibadan express road, the Second Niger Bridge, East -West road and even the rail lines, to raise funds for  aspiring young entrepreneurs can surely not be his a choice.

    This is because from the benefit of hindsight, Nigerians now understand what Atiku means by entrepreneurs. We know they include those young men and women – who specialize in importation of the labour of other societies including ceramics, electronics, textile, pharmaceutical etc.  And we must not forget Atiku’s former vice presidential running mate, Peter Obi’s favourite: wine. As it was back then, they will probably get tax waivers if Atiku wins.

    For Buhari, I think it is not about repaying those who laboured to make him president after three heroic failures as grumbling Adam Oshiomhole was recently trying to say. It is about his legacy. I am sure that is why the president is making up for missed opportunity to follow Tinubu around on the campaign train in Nigeria, with a pre-recorded messages from far away Addis Ababa, Ethiopia reassuring Nigerians that “Tinubu is a true believer in Nigeria, who loves the people and the development of our country and who would build on his (Buhari) achievements having demonstrated his commitment to the development of the country and the well-being of its people.”

    Just as for Tinubu, Buhari’s endorsement no matter how late is a great asset, I also agree with Lai Mohammed that “it is preposterous to even suggest that Mr President, as APC leader is equivocating on his support for APC presidential candidate.”

    It is also difficult to invalidate Femi Fani-Kayode’s ‘Agbor mafia thesis”. Because  Buhari suffers from  messianic complex, even as an  elected president, he acts as if he is living in an age of feudalism  where ‘the lords’ value  honour and loyalty of their serfs who must be bound by oath of allegiance. This was why he was easily captured by the likes of Godwin Emefiele, a master of political subterfuge.

    Because he serves Buhari like a slave as CBN governor, Emefiele can do no wrong. He became a card-carrying member of APC. He procured N100m APC presidential candidate form, over 500 branded campaign vehicles supported by three aircrafts and went to court to defend his right to contest for the Nigerian presidency as a sitting CBN governor.

    President Buhari did nothing until Emefiele was outwitted by a rival cabal and decided to embark on a vengeance mission against APC. This perhaps explains why his currency-swap a few months to an election has been described by Fani Kayode as nothing but fraud. For him: “Asking everyone, both rich and poor, to give up their hard earned cash and you refused to give them full value in return was never a currency swap. It was a currency grab and a classic 419”. And “taking old notes and refusing to give promised new ones or directing us to put our money in the banks and live by bank transfers when 65% of the Nigerian people do not have a bank account is nothing but 419 scam”.

    As Lagos, Ogun and Rivers and Ondo states boiled over scarcity of new naira notes with about 15 lives lost across the country, Governor Akeredolu believes Emefiele misled the president. First there were no new notes to go round. Then contrary to Supreme Court ruling, the president extended the validity of the N200 note, which represented 7% of currency in circulation for 60 days while the N1000 and N500 notes representing 82% in breach of Supreme Court ruling were said to be no more legal tender.

    For Governor Akeredolu, disallowing access of Nigerians to their savings after confiscating them “conveys the deplorable impression of contrived subterfuge manifest in the official confiscation of legitimate deposits of the people in banks”.

    We have since seen other governors visiting their rural communities to appeal for calm. In Lagos State, Sanwo-Olu has empathized with Lagosians over the hardship being experienced with the currency swap and asked the residents to remain law-abiding and avoid all forms of violence, arson and rioting. He approved 50 per cent reduction of transport fares across the state-owned transportation system.

    We have seen a trending video of CBN bus with CBN executives including  Mohammed Alli, and some armed men visiting  Tundun wada, Bunkuri and   Rano LGAs of Kano State to allow local people swap their old notes as narrated by ARISE correspondent, Ayo Aransaye.

    Punch newspaper reported thousands of depositors besieging Lagos CBN office as elsewhere in the country. To calm nerves, there were reports of commercial banks, including First Bank, GT Bank, Access Bank, Fidelity Bank, UBA, Lotus Bank, Sterling Bank, among others, advising their customers to bring the N1,000 and N500 old notes to their branches.

     And even with many Nigerians now drawing a parallel between Emefiele’s current effort at derailing the 2023 election and the ignoble role of Arthur Nzeribe during the 1993 June 12 debacle, ARISE group continues to defend Emefiele just as it did when the Minister of Finance first raised concerns about the implementation of the currency-swap policy.

    As if to further validate Fani-Kayode’s thesis, as late as Monday January 27, ARISE GROUP, in spite of overwhelming evidence of hardship of Nigerians who cannot withdraw from banks or make transfers, continue to insist the currency swap debacle is about APC governors’ search for currency to buy votes.

    In their new variant of journalism, they are now the defenders of President Buhari they claim was betrayed by his APC governors that challenged him for disrespecting Supreme Court ruling. I think Fani-Kayode has rightly identified those waging war against Nigerians.

  • Unmasking the cabals

    Unmasking the cabals

    There is a Yoruba aphorism that says ‘no true born sets out to deliberately destroy his father’s house’. Most often, we are defined by our actions. Jesus Christ, our Lord and the greatest teacher the world has ever known while explaining the process of identifying false prophets also applied a similar metaphor: “By their deeds you will know them”: (Matthew 7:16)

    Some two weeks back, Governor Nasir El-Rufai of Kaduna spoke of a cabal in the presidency working against the interest of APC and its presidential candidate.  And when Babajide Otitoju of TVC wondered whether it was not time to unmask members of the cabal, he literarily asked him to read his lips by saying ‘we will do that by defeating them in February election just as we did during last year APC primary when an attempt to foist a candidate on APC was thwarted’ by a coalition of progressive northern governors. 

    And if that lead is not enough to expose those behind the war of attrition in APC, interrogating those behind APC war that has now been extended to all Nigerians with or without bank account, will confirm that with Godwin Emefiele’s currency swap fiasco, Lai Mohammed’s double talk and Abubakar Malami’s political subterfuge, APC and the rest of us need no enemy. For selfish political consideration, they seem determined to stand against all efforts by men of goodwill to save APC from itself and the rest of us from collateral damage.

     The 36 state governors, under the aegis Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), having observed that “The speed of implementation of the policy is a recipe for anarchy in the country”, and therefore in its February 6, 2023 letter, “urged President Buhari to extend the deadline for the implementation of the old naira notes swap”.

    There was a World Bank warning that the “inability of Nigerians to access the new naira notes may influence uncertainty ahead of the February 25 and March 10 elections in the country.” There was also the Supreme Court seven-man panel led by Justice John Okoro, who in a unanimous ruling, granted an interim injunction “restraining the federal government, CBN and their agents and commercial banks from implementing the February 10 deadline.” 

    The National Council of State, professional bankers and economists have spoken in the same vein especially with Emefiele’s reported admission that our local mint lacks the capacity to print more new notes beyond N400b already injected into the system after mopping up about N2 trillion.

    The three APC stalwarts are however unimpressed. And rather than listen to voices of respected opinion leaders including the Sultan of Sokoto who has called on President Buhari to “douse tension because  ‘people are hungry and angry because of lack of money’, and Governor Okezie Ikpeazu of Abia who has warned that  ‘the crisis may lead to anarchy if not addressed quickly”, Godwin Emefiele,  Lai Mohammed and Abubakar Malami seem to have more faith in their APC political foes.

    And those encouraging them to keep digging deeper into the hole include their sympathetic media, PDP stalwarts including Abubakar Atiku, and Governor Obaseki who says “Edo State government has no problem with the policy”. Others include ‘the Civil Society Central Coordinating Council (CSCCC) led Obed Okwukwe,  the 14 of the 18 registered political parties and Justice Eleojo Enenche (FCT), High Court who ruling on a motion by four Action Alliance (AA), Action Peoples Party (APP), Allied Peoples Movement (APM) and National Rescue Movement (NRM) restrained President Muhammadu Buhari from further extending the deadline.

    By ignoring the Supreme Court judgment which many have described as an opportunity for APC to avert an impending anarchy as frustrated depositors openly attack banks and bankers while allying themselves with an order that restrained Buhari from ending the nightmare of Nigerians, Mohammed, Malami and Emefiele who have now painted a picture of Buhari as a leader with no empathy for his people, seem to be on a mission.

    Nigerians still remember that following the sack of Sanusi Lamido Sanusi over his alleged sympathy for APC, the major consideration for Emefiele’s appointment as CBN governor by President Jonathan was his presumed PDP sympathy. And President Buhari has retained him. And in office, it has all been more of politics than economics. His response to the deteriorating state of the economy was to register as a card-carrying member of APC in his Delta State ward. His sponsors rumoured to include a serving minister and a media mogul understands very clearly that by offering its platform to a sitting CBN governor to contest for presidency, APC as a party was doomed.

    But forced out of the race by combined forces of public opinion of those who worry about the health of our nation including APC northern progressive governors, Emefiele came up with his currency-swap brainwave ostensibly to fight corruption and insurgency, which of course he knew would be music to President Buhari’s ears. Emefiele after falsely attributing the currency swap fiasco to currency hoarding by commercial banks was to admit misleading the president and the nation.

    For Lai Mohammed, the strategy was to assault our sensibilities. After showing no enthusiasm in the Supreme Court judgment, that allows his principal to do the right thing, he has now come alive with a high court ruling that tied the hands of his principal. He now blames the opposition for APC self-inflicted crisis saying “their actions are a clear evidence that the opposition has turned this whole issue into a political game, preferring to make Nigerians suffer more on the altar of an unconscionable political gamesmanship.” He now describes them as “unscrupulous opposition parties who have decided to legally hamstring (his principal) from providing any relief for Nigerians suffering from the cash crunch”.

    Can someone tell Lai Mohammed to give us a break? Since President Buhari will not talk, ministers including those driven by selfish ambition give the impression they are reflecting his mind-set.

    Malami is tarred with the same brush. As Attorney General and Minister of Justice, he has always misled the president. Whether it is the issue in of pre-independence grazing routes, Amotekun, comparing immigrant armed herdsmen illegally occupying southern reserved forests with Igbo traders in northern cities, selective ‘sting operations’ including midnight invasion of houses of Supreme Court justices, etc., he continues to falsely swear in Buhari’s name.

    And now long after his senior professional colleagues have stated the true position of the law in relation to the Supreme Court ruling, Malami, as in character, is looking for technical reasons to undermine the judgment. “What we have at hand is a situation where the central bank was not joined as a party”. “So, we have given considerations to diverse issues, inclusive of the issue of jurisdiction … within the context of compliance, we shall challenge the ruling… it is all about the rule of law,” Malami rambles on.

    If these men are not serving other tendencies in Buhari’s government, the true test of their love for the president and the country will be finding a way to lift the ongoing siege on Nigerians who are starving because Emefiele confiscated their monies.

    In the ongoing war of attrition among APC stalwarts who are prepared to pull down the country along with themselves, we have all become victims. But we know those ministers who by their actions have shown they are not part of us.

    For close to two weeks, I have succeeded only once in transferring N20,000 from my bank while I am indebted to different people including my mechanic who spent N65,000 of his money to repair my car.

  • Between El Rufai and Lai Muhammed

    Between El Rufai and Lai Muhammed

    Governor Nasir El-Rufai of Kaduna can be ruthlessly aggressive in pursuit of his beliefs. Whether it is the matter of perceived superiority of his largely illiterate but politically conscious northern voting population, freely deployed as weapon of political warfare during elections, crusade for summary execution of immigrant killer herdsmen or commitment to power shift to the south, you always know where he stands. But unlike him, Lai Mohammed, his fellow Buhari confidant, seems to suffer from selective perception. He chooses only what he wants to see. His claim that those, who on account of his inconsistencies changed his name to “lying Mohammed’ often misinterpret whatever he says, has not stopped 24 members of his Kwara State House of Assembly from declaring: “For Lai Mohammed, every day is another opportunity to tell another lie”.

    Last week, El Rufai who holds no hostages, fingered some elements in Aso Villa who are “trying to exploit the president’s commitment to “free and fair election” to scuttle the presidential ambition of their APC candidate in the February election to avenge the defeat of their candidate during last year APC primaries, as those responsible for the ongoing fuel crisis and naira scarcity few days to a critical federal election.

    El Rufai was ruthless despite knowing the buck stops at the desk  of President  Buhari, who as petroleum minister reneged on his promise to end fuel subsidy regime which in 2021 gulped N2 trillion from a government with a capital budget of only N200b and on whose name Godwin Emefiele, the governor of Central Bank continues to falsely swear even as hungry, angry and aggrieved Nigerians who have no access to their monies, fuel and food are taking out their frustration on bank workers and bank facilities across Nigeria.

    On the other hand, Lai Mohammed, the Minister of Information and Culture whose ministry’s mandate is to provide Nigerian citizens with “credible and timely information on government activities, programmes and initiatives” while he as minister  ”facilitates free flow of adequate, timely and reliable information and feedback between government and the public for socio-economic empowerment and enhanced democratic citizenship”, heard nothing, saw nothing and smelt no danger as one unelected Emefiele continues to dehumanize Nigerians while  NNPC and oil marketers that have been sucking the blood of Nigerians since 1999 continue to hold Nigerian hostage.

     “If there’s anybody working against a candidate, we don’t know officially,” was Lai Mohammed’s response to El Rufai’s warnings about the dangers ahead. Since people only repeat the obvious when they are not sure, Lai Mohammed told us what we have always known – that “President Muhammadu Buhari is not favouring any presidential candidate and is instead committed to a free and fair election” which by the way is not antithetical to supporting his party. He has demonstrated this through his unimpressive, half-hearted and uninspiring appearances with his party’s flag bearer on the campaign train. But such appearances are not a measure of Buhari’s support for his party’s candidate. It was just the style of a leader deficit in politician’s versatility, brinkmanship and skilful exploitation of man’s infirmities.

    Those who claim Emefiele is on a vengeance mission may not be totally wrong. This is a banker who but for ethnic consideration and his sympathy for PDP would never have been considered as CBN governor. When Sanusi Lamido Sanusi, his predecessor accused Jonathan government of profligacy and called for a forensic probe of NNPC missing N20 billion, he was labelled an APC sympathizer and removed from office unconstitutionally. While President Jonathan hired Dr Mike Ozekhometo justify his illegal action before the court, Sanusi was replaced with Emefiele.

    Towards the tail end of Jonathan administration, government according to Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the finance minister was taking loans to pay salaries. But Emefiele continued to be promoted by his sympathetic media even as the economy dipped to its worst state ever. Emefiele, who is more of a politician than a banker, became a card-carrying member of APC in 2021 after registering in his LGA ward in Delta State.  Then a cabal, unarguably serving other tendencies in President Buhari’s government decided to sponsor him for presidency.

    Picture of about 500 ‘Emefiele for President’ branded vehicles soon appeared on social media. Three aircraft were said to be on stand-by. The Punch edition of May 2022 also reported that three interest groups – the Rice Farmers Association of Nigeria, Friends of Emefiele and Emefiele’s Support Group had paid N100m for the application form. 

    Following widespread criticism by Nigerians who believe it was “immoral and a joke taken too far to ridicule our country” (Babatunde Ogala) by a sitting CBN governor, Emefiele hired Mike Ozekhome and filed a lawsuit at an Abuja Federal High Court which spoke of his “desires to contest elections” and about his “aspiration to seek election to the office of president” before going on to declare in a tweet: “This is a serious decision that requires God’s Divine intervention: in the next few days, The Almighty will so direct”.

    His sympathetic media egged him just as they again did when he embarked on the current currency exchange debacle. Zainab Ahmed, our Minister of Finance who claimed to have been kept in the dark, was harassed, ridiculed by Emefiele’s combative journalists who went on to remind her their client only reports to the president, in case she has not read the CBN Act. Even now as we face the consequences of Emefiele’s dictatorship, with staff of banks scaling wall to escape attack by frustrated customers, governors who are trying to end the nightmare of their people are called names by Emefiele’s media promoters who think journalism is best practiced when public officials are intimidated.

    Lai Mohammed continues to pretend he cannot see the danger ahead even with Obasanjo setting the ground for violent protests by youths whose hope he has raised in the event that Peter Obi, his choice for the youths loses the election. There is also the call by Chief Afe Babalola, his lawyer and closest ally ‘for a six months Interim government’ which he calls “a child of necessity” to allow for a new constitution to replace the military-imposed 1999 constitution, a constitution, Obasanjo did not see the need to change during his eight years reign. Of course, there is also the cabal consisting of some members who directly and indirectly played leading role in the 1993 debacle that threw Nigeria into darkness for six years.

    That Lai Mohammed pretends not to see the unfolding danger which has already forced Hakeem Baba Ahmed, director of publicity and advocacy for Northern Elders Forum to call on Nigerians to “reject any plan to produce a successor to President Buhari through unconstitutional means” in form of ‘unconstitutional contraption’ as they did in 1993, is probably because he is playing with the hare and hunting with the hound.

    Of all Nigerian ministers of information since 1958, including controversial Walter Ofonagoro during Abacha’s execution of Ken Saro Wiwa, Niger Delta environmental activist, Lai Mohammed seems to have brought little relief to his principal.

  • Chaotic dominant political parties

    Chaotic dominant political parties

    A few weeks to the election, our two dominant political parties are in turmoil. For the PDP, just as it was in 2013 when the Kawu Baraje-faction of G7 Governors made  up of Babangida Aliyu (Niger), Abdulfatah Ahmed (Kwara), Chibuike Amaechi (Rivers) and Rabiu Kwankanwso (Kano), Sule Lamido (Jigawa), Aliyu Wamakko (Sokoto) and Murtala Nyako (Adamawa) demanded that President Goodluck Jonathan must drop  what they described as his ‘third term’ plan”, so it is today as PDP G5 aggrieved governors Nyesom Wike (Rivers), Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi ( Enugu), Okezie Ikpeazu (Abia)  Samuel Ortom of Benue and Seyi Makinde of Oyo are opposed to the candidacy of Atiku Abubakar quoting Section 7(3)(c) of the PDP constitution which  demands rotation party positions.

     There is no cheering news from APC either.  The harrowing experience of Nigerians arising from badly handled fuel subsidy and currency change policies in an election month finally forced the party to admit that there are “some stakeholders hoarding allocated products in order to cause artificial scarcity to create panic buying, for their own selfish interests”. Candidate Bola Tinubu, blamed by some Nigerians for his party’s mismanagement of our crisis of nation-building even though he was never part of government has also cried out saying – “They are creating artificial fuel scarcity, they are saying they want to increase fuel price to N200, we will end fuel scarcity, whether there is fuel or not, we will go and vote and we will win. This is a superior revolution”

     A political party is an organized group desirous of taking over government through election. By nature of investment, it is often a private property of an oligarchy of few. Their ultimate goal is to the control of both the executive and legislative arms of government so that they can develop and implement policies favourable to their group. Their strategy includes recruiting and campaigning for candidates seeking election into public office. 

    A distinguishing characteristic of any political party beyond a desire to conduct the business of government is a consensus on sum total of fundamental values and sentiments of members. This is called political culture which is often transmitted from one generation to the other through a process of political socialization. A person’s political orientation and behavioural patterns are not inborn but acquired through families, schools, peer groups, mass media and political parties.

    This vital aspect of the political process was what was destroyed by our uninformed military leaders who also went on to ban our modernization political parties, replacing them with fractions and gangs headed by garrison commanders who preside over squabbles on the sharing of our commonwealth among its members. 

    Nigeria’s first political party was Herbert Macaulay’s 1923 Nigeria National Democratic Party (NNDP) , a response to Hugh Clifford 1922 constitution. It’s defined objectives included seeking of a “municipal status for Lagos, local self-government, compulsory primary education, non-discriminatory private economic enterprise and Africanisation of the civil service”.

    The foundation of NPC was laid by educated and dedicated northern youths, first, through the Bauchi General Improvement Union and Youths Special Circle of Sokoto in the mid-forties. Both metamorphosed into Jam’yyar Mutanem Arewa, Northern Nigerian Congress (NNC) in June 1949 through the efforts of Dr. A. R. Dikko and D. A. Rafih. The main objective of NPC as stated by Dr. Dikko, its first president, was ‘fighting ignorance, idleness and injustice’ in the northern region’.

    The Action Group (AG), nurtured by Obafemi Awolowo and other young educated elites of Western Region which besides its unstated purpose of reducing the influence of Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe in the West, had a well-articulated manifesto which promised free education, free health, and full employment among many others was inaugurated in August 1950.

    Babangida, instead of correcting the mistakes of his predecessors by allowing normal evolution of political parties through free association of those who shared identical interest and values, decided to cut the umbilical cord between a mother and a baby by banning old politicians before decreeing two political parties, SDP and NRC, in the image of the military. His political parties of equals without joiners and founders turned out to be a ruse to fritter away N40b on party headquarters and on futile attempt at teaching democracy during his eight years of ‘transition without end”. Abacha came up with, the UNCP, CNC, NCPN, DPN and GDM which late Bola Ige described as” five fingers of a leprous hand” all of which later adopted Abacha as their presidential candidate even before he publicly declared his interest.

    The PDP emerged with neither philosophical foundation nor ideological orientation from the G-34, an assemblage of retired Generals and their military contractors during General Abubakar’s 11-month transition programme. APC dominated by Buhari’s privately owned  CPC and  Tinubu’s ACN with faction of  PDP disgruntled G7 governors came together to fight the 2014 election. Like PDP. it also has no philosophical foundation or ideological orientation.

     That perhaps explains why Obasanjo’s eight years roadmap:- stable electricity,  agricultural revolution, ending massive importation of foreign goods, fighting corruption, like  President Yar’Adua’s seven-point agenda and President Jonathan ‘Transformation Agenda’ and Buhari’s 2013 eight-point cardinal programme- devolution of power, accelerated economic growth and affordable health care, electricity generation, war against corruption, food security,  integrated transport network and free education” brought little relief to Nigerians.

    As military created newbreed politicians, members of both APC and PDP and of course its affiliate, the Labour Party, suffer from the same affliction-behaving like army of occupation sharing loots of conquered territories.  Nigerian lawmakers remain the highest paid legislators in the world.

    While PDP sold Nigeria’s total investments of over $100b to themselves for a little over $1.5b,  their children forged documents to defraud the country to the tune of N1.7 trillion under the dubious PDP fuel subsidy regime “without importing a pint of fuel” according to Audu Ogbe, one time PDP chairman.  PDP has also now told us that a situation where Nigerians cannot get fuel even at amount above the subsidized rate after NNPC was said to have incurred N2.6 trillion subsidy claim is as a result of what it described as “criminal racketeering” under APC government. We have no reason to doubt PDP’s claim.

    As creations of military created new-breed politicians, the difference between APC and PDP is blurred.  In fact, the former’s current chairman, Abdullahi Adamu  was until recently, a PDP stalwart while the latter’s  chairman, Iyorchia Ayu was not too long ago a stalwart of APC. And for military groomed ‘new breed “politicians like Atiku Abubakar who has moved from PDP to APC and now back to PDP and Peter  Obi, who moved from APGA to PDP and now back to Labour, water has no enemy.

    Our problem is politics. Economics, insurgency and other insecurity challenges are but symptoms.  And what we need to retrace our way back to where the rains started to beat us is an elite consensus. The challenge of Nigerian voters in 2023 therefore is picking a president with brinkmanship to exploit the innermost infirmities of our suicidal political elite to see that it is in their enlightened self-interest to return to where the rain started to beat us.

  • Fuel scarcity and conspiracy against Nigerians

    Fuel scarcity and conspiracy against Nigerians

    President Buhari jetted out to Senegal where he plans to participate in Dakar International Conference on agriculture after commissioning some landmark projects in Lagos State last Tuesday. That he was undertaking the trip even as fuel scarcity which started towards the end of last year bites harder once again confirms his failed administrative style of ‘delegation by abdication’, a euphemism for absence of governance. Probably humoured by his “loyal gatekeepers” serving other tendencies in his government, Buhari on whose table the buck stops as an elected president, has continued to behave like a feudal lord presiding over the affairs of his subjects. Unfortunately, this was the messiah his people craved and voted for only to be only to be left at the mercy of wild wolves who fraudulently swear by his name.

    Buhari’s unnecessary trip at a period many Nigerians were spending the night on queues while struggling to procure government’s N160 per litre subsidised fuel at between N184-N400, perhaps explains why he lost the goodwill of millions of his fellow compatriots. But then this has been the feature of Buhari’s close to eight years reign.

    Miyyetti Allah wrote him a 72-page letter even before his inauguration in 2015, threatening to make the country ungovernable except their demands of free open grazing all over the country was met. Buhari left the fate of besieged Nigerians in the hands of Miyyeti Allah sympathisers and his “loyal gate keepers” serving other tendencies in his government. Even as they unleashed terror killing 72 in one day and confiscating conquered subsistence farmers territories, Buhari could not resist quoting his ‘loyal gatekeepers’ herdsmen sympathisers who had blamed the victims for being bad hosts and for altering the old colonial grazing routes.

    Buhari’s “loyal gatekeepers” similarly had the last say on the issue of open grazing. Southern and the Middle Belt states banned open grazing. The Northern Governors Forum,  according to Nasir El Rufai  also “took a position on open grazing as not a sustainable way of livestock production”, adding that his own government had already embarked on a N10b ranching project, backed by CBN with N7.5b.”

    Yet President Buhari ignored the National Economic Council (NEC)’s 2018 National Livestock Transformation Plan (NCTD), a N179 billion 10-year initiative, to embrace in May 2019, his “loyal gatekeepers’ controversial Rural Grazing Area(RUGA), most Nigerians believed was designed to compensate immigrant Fulani herdsmen involved in mindless killing and confiscation of victim’s landed properties.

    It is also on record that Nigerians vehemently opposed rehabilitation and compensation of repentant killer herdsmen as proposed by Sheik Gumi and some of the president loyal gatekeepers. As it has turned out, the latter’s specious and iniquitous position has since become part of government policy thrust with disastrous consequences for the nation following coordinated and targeted attacks by terrorists on military formations and prisons.

    Set in his ways, President Buhari has also adopted the above template for addressing the ongoing fuel crisis. He has since November last year left Nigerians at the mercy of those holding them hostage viz: the Major Oil Marketers Association of Nigeria (MOMAN); the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC), the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA).

    MOMAN attributed the lingering fuel scarcity in the country to high costs of vessels and inadequate trucks to deliver petroleum products from depots to filling stations across Nigeria. They claim ‘high logistics and exchange rate costs continue to put pressure on their operations with ripple effects on the pump price.’ They complain of “inadequate number of trucks to meet the demand to deliver products from depots to filling stations nationwide”.

    Unfortunately, the marketers did not tell Nigerians what happened to old trucks in use or if there has been an increase in consumption despite head of Custom’s dismissal of current bandied figure of consumption as a scam. They complain about high cost of dollar making Nigerian consumers to wonder if naira has ceased being a legal tender especially since the product in question is in Nigeria.

    The NNPC, perhaps Nigeria’s greatest scourge, on its part blamed the fuel queues in Lagos, Abuja and other states on some ongoing construction projects which caused diversion of vehicles. Since NNPC could not even maintain its depots, MOMAN’s chief executive officer, Clement Isong, claimed it was “working with the NNPC Ltd. to improve the distribution of petrol across the country by “doing depot to depot check-in and check-out to enhance efficiency, in addition to logistic supply meetings with NNPCL”.

    And this is as IPMAN also linked the distribution crisis to the vandalism of depots belonging to the NNPC Limited.  IPMAN president, Chinedu Okoronkwo also explained that since 80 percent of NNPC depots have been vandalised, the product is now being kept in the depots of private individuals, who bear the cost of transporting the product from the ports to their depots.

    Spokesmen of these institutions have continued to speak from both sides of the mouth. For instance, while scarcity persists despite the government’s repeated claims it had enough petroleum products in stock, the industry’s regulatory body, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), spoke of insufficient supply.  IPMAN also announced through its deputy president, Zarma Mustapha that the volume of products supplied to marketers at the loading points has dropped by about 50 per cent. But he then went on to accuse the private depots of contributing to the nightmare of consumers for “not giving the product as it is being regulated by the NNPC”.

    Of course Nigerians are being swindled. How does one explain MOMAN’s apology to Nigerians for the pain they cause Nigerians, and their declaration that “Our members have again agreed to extend depot loading hours as well as keep strategically situated service stations open for longer hours to ease access to fuels for our customers”? Where, if one may ask, will the new supply come from?

    But if anyone is still in doubt as to those holding us hostage and their long term objective, MOMAN provided that by declaring that “A final resolution to these challenges will be the full deregulation of the petroleum downstream sector to encourage liberalisation of supply and long-term investments in distribution assets…urging the government to work towards this end goal”.

    For 15 years of PDP politicians’ reign, private depots were the major channels for defrauding Nigeria. Close to eight years of Buhari and his loyal gatekeepers’ government of change, Zarma Mustapha has also fingered them as biggest source of leakage. The difference however is that under the Jonathan presidency, we were treated as citizens while under Buhari and his “loyal gatekeepers”, we are being treated as subjects.

    The objective of both regimes however is the same: fleece Nigerians while both suffer from the same affliction – absence of governance.

  • Nigerian youths as victims

    Nigerian youths as victims

    The tragedy of our nation is that with the derailment of our political socialisation process by misguided military adventurers, our youths and compatriots below 50 years of age never knew we once had an organized country, respected and regarded by the rest of the world as the hope of the Black race. The new narrative as Obasanjo pointed out during his endorsement of Peter Obi as his choice for the 2023 election some two weeks back is “the level of pervasive and mind-numbing insecurity, rudderless leadership, buoyed by mismanagement of diversity and pervasive corruption, bad economic policies resulting in extremes of poverty and massive unemployment and galloping inflation.”

    Since the victorious write history,  it is of little relief that it is those who brought us to this sorry path  that have  continued to hold us hostage under the guise they fought a war to keep Nigeria one. As if celebrating the source of our nightmare, Obasanjo also boasted: “I became Head of State at 39, General Gowon became a national leader at 33” before throwing his challenge: “Youth of Nigeria, your time has come, you are to turn the tide on its head and march forward chanting ‘Awa Lokan’(our turn).

    Undoubtedly, Obasanjo and his fellow misguided military adventurers were young when they threw the nation into darkness in 1966. The five majors who changed the course of our nation’s history including Nzeogwu, his very close friend were in their late 20s. Many of Gowon’s 12 military governors, 11 of who were later indicted for corruption were also in their 20s and early 30s.  But because Obasanjo knows many of our frustrated, jobless and angry youths are too hungry to care about history, what he would not admit was that by ‘walking where angels fear to tread’, (tricked into politics by warring Igbo and Hausa Fulani politicians fighting for the soul of Nigeria), he and his fellow military adventurers brought the wrath of the gods upon themselves with tragic consequences for our nation.

    Many have argued that he and his fellow military adventurers who joined the military in order to climb the social ladder were blinded by complex and driven by envy (Obasanjo even boasted achieving what Awo could not achieve through a lifelong struggle on a platter of gold). They were therefore determined to settle scores with those they ignorantly assumed to be responsible for their lots in life.

    Envy, bitterness and intense hatred are perhaps the only plausible explanation for selective killing of senior northern military officers and their political leaders by predominantly Igbo military officers and the assassination of Ironsi and mindless killing of Igbo military officers and the planned sinking of Lagos with dynamite by mercurial Murtala Muhammed and Theophilus Danjuma who shortly before then had ferried their wives and children to the north in a hijacked British aircraft.

    Obasanjo and his fellow ill-educated young military officers who had no idea of how society works not only plunged the nation into an  avoidable civil war, they also destroyed our federal structure before embarking on their ‘mainstreaming’ wrong-headed policy which is the source of all the ills Obasanjo identified above.

    It is clear Obasanjo has no expertise in talent hunting.  Most of those he identified as gifted youths when as civilian president brought little joy to Nigerians. His appointment of Bukola Saraki, as a budget adviser marked the beginning of budget padding in the fourth republic.  In a letter dated April 4, 2003 to Senate President Anyim Pius Anyim, Obasanjo alleged that his 2003 budget was jacked up. There was also Dino Melaye who has never done any work since he was first appointed special adviser on youths after graduation besides serving as a federal lawmaker. He is known for the obscene display of wealth, showcasing his Abuja mansion, expensive wrist-watches and state-of-the-art cars on social media. The only other thing consistent with his other favourite youths is their inconsistency as they move in and out of different political parties.

    For direction and lesson in leadership, our beleaguered youths should look beyond Obasanjo. The following are some of those with enduring legacy of service in the old Western Region that can serve as role models for our ambitious youths desirous of serving their people.

    Adegoke Adelabu was, according to Professor Saburi Biobaku “perhaps the brightest boy that Government College Ibadan had ever produced”. He was outstanding in Yaba College of Technology before pursuing a successful career in UAC. He started preparing for leadership by first joining Great Ibadan Unity Grand Alliance (GIUGA) to fight new tax collection system. He became a member of Ibadan Citizen Committee (Egbe Omo Ibile), Ibadan Welfare Association, (Maiyegun).  He was elected vice president of NCNC during the party’s convention in Enugu on May 6, 1955.

    On September 24, 1951, he was one of the six people elected on the platform of Ibadan Peoples Party (IPP).  Adelabu, a “radical socialist and militant nationalist” was the only one of the six to join NCNC claiming “it is the only party that can deliver our beloved fatherland from the yoke of British imperialism and organize a democratic republican socialist West Africa”.

    There was Tony Enahoro, an editor of a national newspaper at 23. He was a Zikist before joining the Action Group. He first moved the motion for independence in 1956. He supervised the building and inauguration of WNTV, the first television in Africa within three months. He remains the best parliamentarian Nigeria has ever produced.

    There was Bode Thomas, who started as a local council chairman. Regionalism as the building block of our federalism was his idea. He was Action Group vice president. He died at a young age of 34.

    We had Awolowo who despite having to sell water, firewood before serving as house boy to four different masters and attended four different primary schools to obtain a primary school certificate, left a legacy of service.  He groomed himself for leadership  by first getting involved in trade unionism before moving on to become the secretary for Ibadan branch of Nigerian Youth Movement (NYM). As his own contribution to the management of our diversity, he wrote ‘Path to Nigerian Freedom’ where he called for a federal nation based on ethnic nationalities as obtained in India. He founded Egbe Omo Oduduwa “to promote the social welfare of Yoruba land”. He was appointed Leader of Government Business and Minister of Local Government in 1952 and became premier in 1954.

    His administration became a pace setter according to Professor Oluwasanmi when he set up six statutory bodies viz; Western Regional Marketing Board, Western Nigeria Development Corporation, Western Nigeria Housing Corporation, Western Region Finance Corporation, Western Nigeria Broadcasting Corporation, Western Nigeria Printing Corporation, “to  perform functions fundamental to the economic social and cultural development of the people of western Nigeria”.

    Our youths desirous of becoming leaders must take time off from the social media in order to become readers. To settle for a new direction, they must know where we are coming from. And finally, they must beware of false prophets who, while holding us hostage continue to swear ‘for our tomorrow they sacrifice their present”.

  • OBJ: Haunted by the truth

    OBJ: Haunted by the truth

    Obasanjo wants our youths to forget the past: treasonable felony, Tiv riot and its handling, first military coup and its aftermath, second military coup, araba, pogrom and the civil war” and move forward in mutual forgiveness. Haunted by their past follies, Obasanjo and his fellow  ‘mainstreamers’ who live in denial, want our youths to forget yesterday as if tomorrow is not the summation of yesterday and today. No wonder they stopped teaching of history.

    But I think our youths need to know the truth. And since it is only the truth that can heal us, some facts of our recent history are worth re-stating for the health of young Nigerians.

     We are a multi-ethnic and multi-cultural society.  Some of our ethnic nationalities including some ‘cannibals inhabiting some hilltops, the anti-social tribes and some naked warriors of the jungle’, as Hugh Clifford (Governor of Nigeria 1919-1925) pointed out, were at different levels of cultural development. It was for this reason, the British colonial policy which he espoused during his 1920 address to Nigerian Council was for “a regional government that secures for each nationality each separate people, the right to maintain its identity, its individuality and its nationality and its own chosen form of government which have been involved for it by the wisdom and the accumulated experiences of generation of its forbears”.

    The dominant Yoruba political ethnic group in the west embraced federalism, the dominant Igbo ethnic group in the  landlocked east,  wanted a unitary state since they thrive wherever they find themselves while the Fulani hegemonic power in the north wanted a confederal system  where their socio-economic and political control of conquered 14 Hausa states would not be threatened. The British, using stick and carrot approach, forced the three dominant ethnic groups to adopt the 1957 Independence Federal Constitution. 

    But for his commitment to oppressed minority groups in the north and east whose quest for self-actualisation he supported, Obafemi Awolowo, as opposition leader had to pay a price for his audacity. NPC/NCNC coalition started with their sponsorship of a bill that will empower the prime minister to declare a state of emergency as well as detain without trials anyone considered a threat to the health of their government.

    With Attorney-General and Minister of Justice Dr T O Elias’ advice that, “if the constitutional authority of the regional government has broken down, the person to determine this, is parliament, only parliament”, a parliament  that did not declare a state of  emergency in a region where an insurrection had to be put down by the military, was stampeded to declare a state of emergency in the Western House over throwing of chairs by a handful of S.L Akintola’s supporters.

    Realising the federal government had no power to interfere in the affairs of a region, two “Bills For an Act to make provisions for a Commission of Inquiry to probe the National Bank of Nigeria Ltd’ and the other entitled ‘Commission and Tribunals of Inquiry Act 1961’ that empowers the prime minister to institute commission or tribunals of inquiry on any subject” were passed by the coalition on July 20, 1961. On July 21, 1961, just a day after, a Commission of Inquiry into the Affairs of National Bank, the major financier of Western Region’s economic and political activities was set up.

    For the coalition partners who did not want to be questioned as to how Nigeria was run, Awolowo as opposition leader must be put out of circulation.  An opportunity came with his London lecture where he had called for “the abrogation of Anglo-Nigerian Defence Pact, the removal of vestige and influence of Britain and call on federal government for a well-defined economic objectives and development programmes”.  Minister of Defence, Muhammadu Ribadu insisted the lecture was subversive and “has certainly gone beyond reasonable limits and borders on treasonable action”.

    What followed was ‘Coker Commission of Inquiry’ described  by Awolowo as ‘cruel quasi-judicial machine, deliberately constructed by the powers-that-be for the oppression, persecution and total destruction of a political rival… its conclusions were  a parade of naked and unabashed injustice, inequity and inhumanity dispensed under the auspices of a tyrannical reign, a reign of terror, of arrest and search without warrant, of restriction and detentions of persons without any specified charge”. (Awolowo: Adventures in Power: The travails of democracy and the rule of law”. PP 296 -297)

    And the charge:  “Awolowo between 1960 and 1962, conspired to commit felony to wit; to levy war against our sovereign Lady, the Queen in order to intimidate or overawe the Governor General”. With seven out of the 53 prosecution witnesses’ testimony, Awolowo was found guilty and imprisoned for 10 years.

    Then darkness fell on the nation. His political foes confronted themselves over the outcome of disputed 1962/63 census headcounts and the rigged 1964 federal election. The ensuing constitutional crisis forced each group to seek the support of the military.

    The younger military officers, mostly of Igbo ethnic group who carried out the January 1966 military purge, killed all eight northern military offices and  assassinated  Prime Minister Balewa and Ahmadu Bello. No Igbo political leader or any of their over 30 military offices was killed. Ironsi, of Sierra Leonean father and Igbo mother who emerged as new Head of State was caged by Igbo politicians who misled him into promulgating Decree 34 of 1966 that turned Nigeria into a unitary state.

    Ahmadu Bello University students who saw this as a ploy  for a take-over of Nigeria by Igbo elite, already  controlling the military, bureaucracy, universities and other government parastatals, embarked on demonstration later hijacked by hoodlums who carried out mindless killings of innocent Igbo northern urban immigrants.

    The July 1966 vengeance or Araba coup led by Murtala Mohammed and Yakubu Danjuma led to the death of Ironsi and Adekunle Fajuyi , his host in Ibadan as well as many Igbo military officers. With Yoruba land which had less than 50 foot soldiers turning to theatre of war, Yoruba leaders called on Gowon for evacuation of non-Yoruba soldiers from the west, a demand Gowon obliged.

    Yoruba was however to be dragged to the war when Ojukwu, instead of defending his Biafra under siege from northern front, started bombing strategic locations in Lagos, followed by sacking of Benin where he planted an Igbo administrator before setting out for invasion of Lagos but was stopped in Ore.

    After the war, those who threw Nigeria into darkness from 1962 to 1970 regrouped to form a coalition of NPP/NPN in 1979, with Ojukwu the Biafra war hero returning from exile to join the coalition. In 1983, the coalition rigged the presidential election in what was described by Walter Ofonagoro as ‘‘landslide and sea-slide victories in opposition strongholds”. In 1999, they came under PDP umbrella and proclaimed Obasanjo, rejected by his Yoruba people where he lost in his polling booth, a messiah.  For 16 years, they ate with their 10 fingers.

     Indeed as against Obasanjo’s hypocritical cry of Igbo marginalisation,  Alabi Isama in his ‘Tragedy of Victory,’  insists the Igbo and the Hausa/Fulani jointly ruled Nigeria between 1959 and 2015 when the former  lost her ‘beautiful bride’ position to Yemi Osinbajo.

    Crafty Obasanjo only cares about Obasanjo. He probably knows his endorsement and appeal to ethnic and religion sentiments by Obi who jumped from APGA to PDP and from PDP to a faction of factionalised Labour Party may not be enough to secure him the presidency in 2023.  But Obasanjo, if only to remain relevant doesn’t appear to mind  goading uninformed youths towards embarking on our own equivalent of American January 6 storming of Congress by Trump election deniers or last Sunday storming of government building by pro-Bolsonaro protesting election results in Brazil.

  • 2023 OBJ and the challenge before our youths

    2023 OBJ and the challenge before our youths

    Precisely because history is not taught in our schools, our youths who hardly read but spend most of their time on social media have become targets of heretical doctrine by leaders like ex-president, Olusegun Obasanjo, driven in the main by his “fake nationalism,  precarious patriotism and his vaunting ambition to be the centre of our universe”(Akande).  

    Last Sunday, about eight years after publicly declaring himself a statesman, he threw himself once again into the murky waters of partisan politics by publicly endorsing Peter Obi for the 2023 presidential race. Although he says none of the leading contestants is a saint, he however says “in terms of ability and performance, vision and character, Obi is the only one to take Nigeria back to where it was at the height of my Presidency and immediately after”.

    First, Obasanjo’s choice of Obi should not surprise anyone. For Obasanjo, nationalism is not driven by altruism. He just wants to remain the only star in the firmament.  He cannot support Tinubu for the same reason he did not support Awolowo in 1979. It is obvious that a leader whose protégés include Ayo Fayose and Gbenga Daniel wants to remain the only Yoruba star.

    Obasanjo also always reap where he had sowed very little. He wrote My Command without acknowledging sacrifices made by 3rd Marine Commando commanders before he came to claim victory.  He wrote Not My Will to disparage Obafemi Awolowo who he said could not achieve what he, Obasanjo, got on a platter of gold without admitting he was a beneficiary of the goodwill Nigerian reserved for slain Murtala Muhammed. MKO Abiola paid the supreme sacrifice for democracy and for eight years he did not acknowledge Abiola heroic sacrifice. Femi Falana, Tunde Bakare  and some Yoruba waged war against pro-Yar’ Adua group led by James Ibori  that attempted to deny Vice President  Jonathan his constitutional rights, but Obasanjo took all the credit as president’s godfather.  Obi’s victory or loss will not diminish Obasanjo’s status as a nationalist. 

    Now let us interrogate Obasanjo’s era he wants Obi to return Nigeria to.

     Between 1999 and 2003, Obasanjo tried to turn Nigeria into a one-party unitary state, rigged four governors of southwest states out of office and deployed military tactics to destroy AD and ANPP opposition parties. During the 2007 elections, the level of rigging was so scandalous that the main beneficiary, President Umaru Yar’Adua, according to Professor Bolaji Akinyemi, had to inaugurate the Uwais Committee to review Nigeria’s electoral system. Obasanjo waged endless wars against his hand-picked presidents – Yar’Adua and Jonathan – who he traded for Buhari and his APC in 2015. Their sins: trying to ensure the buck stops at their table.

    Obasanjo’s government institutionalised corruption.  First, Nigerian got no relief from contracts worth billions of naira awarded to PDP stalwarts for the refurbishment of our refineries. Then lawmakers who claimed they were anxious to recoup funds they expended on election through sales of their properties created artificial fuel scarcity to railroad Obasanjo into signing into a controversial law which increased the number of fuel importers from about four to over a hundred. And this became an instrument through which children  of PDP chieftains defrauded  the federal government to the tune of about N1.7 trillion in the name of fuel subsidy ‘without importing a pint of fuel” in the words of Audu Ogbe, PDP’s onetime chairman.

    National Assembly probe confirmed that between $8b and $16b was expended in the energy sector under Obasanjo before it was unbundled and all generation and 10 distribution companies sold to known leading PDP stalwarts in 2013.  Nigeria’s total investments of about $100b between 1960 and 1999 were also sold in the name of privatization to PDP stalwarts under Obasanjo for a paltry $1.5b according to a National Assembly probe report. And when there was little left to sell during Goodluck Jonathan years, federal landed properties dating back to the colonial period across Nigeria were sold at give-away prices to PDP stalwarts in the name of dubious monetization policy.

    Finally, following the monumental stealing that took place during Jonathan administration, both Chukwuma Soludo, Obasanjo’s CBN governor and Ngozi Okojo-Iweala, Minister of Finance predicted a recession and hard times for whoever took over from Jonathan in 2015.

    One is not sure whether with the above baleful legacies, Peter Obi actually agreed with Obasanjo that the way forward is a return to Obasanjo years of the locust. It is perhaps on account of this fear as well as efforts to protect our youths from Obasanjo’s false narrative that two critical Nigerian otherwise conservative voices have reacted to Obasanjo’s assault on our sensibilities.

    First was Professor Bolaji Akinyemi, a former Nigerian External Affairs Minister who said he finds the idea of someone “who created problems for us and then come back and present (himself) as a problem solver” difficult to swallow”. There was also a former member of the House of Representative, Usman Bagaje who admonishes the youths to first “examine the record of anyone making recommendation”, adding “I can’t find his endorsement trustworthy because I was  at the National Assembly when he attempted to extend his tenure by changing the constitution”.

    Still playing the ostrich Obasanjo has also identified those he claims “are preaching division, segregation, separation, and want to use diversity for their own self and selfish interest as enemies of the nation”. He also  “wants the youths to forget our different wrongs or mistakes of the past: treasonable felony, Tiv riot and its handling, first military coup and its aftermath, second military coup, araba, pogrom and the civil war, all in the 1960s”.

    Unfortunately Obasanjo and his military adventurers have continued to live in denial instead of confronting the truth.

    Our nation has since 1966 been haunted by the derailment of the federal arrangement which our founding fathers believed was best for us as a multicultural and multi-ethnic country.  Sadly, Obasanjo was part of Gowon’s regime that first “created 12 states without a rhyme”. He and Murtala Muhammed then went on to calibrate the nation into 19 states without objective criteria.  He had influence on Babangida regime that increased the number to 30 unviable states to please cronies.  It was Obasanjo military regime of 1976-1979 that amended Decree 13 of 1970 and Decree 9 of 1971, which took away states residual functions to the centre, and became the foundation for Decree 21 of 1978 which increased the exclusive list from 45 in the 1960 constitution to 68 in the 1999 constitution.

    Obasanjo’s LGA as third tier of government was not informed by a desire to develop the local areas but aimed at central control. This perhaps explains Chukwuma Soludo’s observation that “Nigeria is the only federal system in the world where the centre funds LGAs that do not report to it”.

     Multiplication of government departments and bureaus ‘merely to find jobs for the boys’ according to Obafemi Awolowo, has made “the work of government to “become unduly complex, inextricably tangled, extremely unwieldy and wasteful and productive of disharmony and discontent among the people”

    To end our nightmare, we cannot escape restructuring our country into a viable federal arrangement, an enterprise that requires an elite consensus.  The challenge before our youths beyond Obasanjo’s hypocrisy, ethnic and religious sentiments, therefore is to see who among the contestants fills the bill. 

     Democracy and the federal arrangement are like Siamese twins. One cannot function without the other.

  • President Buhari at 80

    President Buhari at 80

    Nigeria’s military politicians whether in military camouflage (khaki) or ‘babanriga’ who have jointly controlled political power in Nigeria for more than half of the nation’s 62 years of political independence during which they changed the course of our history, remain the scourge of the nation. Turning 80 last week, Buhari joined his fellow octogenarian military adventurers including Yakubu Gowon, Ibrahim Babangida and Olusegun Obasanjo that have since 1966 laid a siege on Nigeria.

    In a documentary tagged “Celebrating A Patriot, Leader, an Elder Statesman” to mark his 80th birthday anniversary last Friday, his family, friends and party associates poured encomiums on him. For Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, Buhari is “a forthright and an exemplary leader”. To Ibikunle Amosun : “he is a nationalist and a man with a good heart”  while to Ebonyi’s governor David Umahi,  “Buhari is a detribalized person that means well for Nigeria”. Bola Tinubu praised him for his “life of commitment, dedication, patriotism, and honesty” while the Oba of Benin, Ewuare celebrates “a man of integrity and transparency who has done a lot for this country, for the youth, and for the traditional institution”. And finally his eldest daughter, Fatima Buhari praised him for his humility, loyalty, integrity and honesty” virtues she said they have also inherited from their father.

    While all the above opinion leaders cannot all be wrong, we cannot also fault Bishop Mathew Kukah’s claim that “we bear scars, and deep sorrow, for our children and loved ones still held in the forest by bandits, that our nation is today more vulnerable, that corruption has become a Leviathan, and that our nation has been adjudged as the poverty capital of the world”. And since the buck stops at the president’s table, he also takes responsibility for our “failure to qualify for the World Cup, our Falcons’ loss of their title, and the loss of titles by our seemingly invincible champions, Anthony Joshua, Kamaru Usman and Israel.”

    But since a part cannot be holier than the whole, we need to first locate the source of our nation’s tragedy. The military from onset was doomed to fail. As custodian of the nation’s constitution, it suffers from a messianic complex because they believe it is their historic duty to sanitise society when politicians lose people’s trust.  This was why they became easy victims of manipulation and lured into politics, by Igbo political elite and their Hausa Fulani rival, engaged in a zero-sum struggle to control Nigeria. Finding themselves in an uncharted terrain, an ill-trained military embarked on a search for a new vision of society. The closer they moved, the more blurred the vision became. Being ill- equipped to manage forces of social dislocations in a multi ethnic and multicultural society, they moved from disaster to tragedy.

    Like those the gods want to destroy, instead of returning to the source of the nation’s nightmare which was the impulsive trading off of our federal constitution for a unitary constitution, they started to address the symptoms of our crisis of nation building. Instead of seeking elite consensus, they resorted to coercion.  Gowon and Obasanjo declared war on universities and the bureaucracy, the two institutions without which society decays. Under Babangida , journalists disappeared in broad daylight on the street of Lagos while Dele Giwa was killed by parcel bomb in his study. Under Abacha, NADECO opposition members who called for a return to the ‘Path to Freedom” were either killed on the street of Lagos or chased out of the country. Buhari jailed journalists for reporting the truth.

    And removing Buhari from office, Babangida had said “Buhari was too rigid and uncompromising in his attitudes to issues of national significance, efforts to make him understand that a diverse society like Nigeria required recognition and appreciation of differences in both cultural and individual perception only served aggravate those attitudes”.

    Unfortunately, 30 years after he was deposed and after three failed attempts at presidency before clinching power in 2015, little has changed.  Rejecting popular public opinion and that of the party on whose back he rode to power, Buhari behaves like a feudal lord. He was to become a slave to his own sense of self-righteousness as bandits and foreign herdsmen make the country ungovernable while our educated youths fled the country in droves.

    But Buhari continues to play the victim. Last week, complaining about lack of appreciation of his efforts he had said: “Our main issue is to do the infrastructure, make people aware that they need to work hard to live well. They just want to enjoy life without earning the respect of their community and so on.”  Buhari shares the same affliction with his other military adventurers who thought by fighting a civil war they foisted on the country, they can decree unity.

    I sympathise with President Buhari who is a product of the nation’s faulty political leadership recruitment process.  Like Gowon, Babangida and Obasanjo, he is not trained to manage society  and that perhaps explains why as military head of state or elected president, none of them understands that no class or an elite group can control the behaviours of people in a nation with divergent interests where some want lawlessness where their own freedom inhibit those of others.  The immediate instinct of a soldier used to giving orders, to circumstances that require elite consensus is coercion and not debate, bargaining competition or institutionalized fighting.

    The war declared against Nigeria by our military adventurers since 1966 goes on. Leading the recent crusade is Obasanjo who spent between $8b and $16b on the power sector without result; and who in the name of privatization, presided over the sale of Nigerian total investments of over $100b for $1.5b to PDP cronies; shared properties kept in their care for future generation in the name of dubious ‘monetisation policy,   rigged the 2007 election to impose an ailing Umaru Yar’Adua, his friend’s younger brother as president and finally, arm-twisted serving PDP governors and government contractors to donate  N7b towards building of Obasanjo Presidential Library while the National Library in Abuja remained an abandoned project.

    And for looking the other way while those serving other tendencies in his government  encouraged immigrant herdsmen and bandits to unleash terror in  Benue, Zamfara, Katsina, Kaduna, Niger and other parts of Nigeria, President Buhari also carries his own historical burden. He also kept his peace while his ‘loyal gate keepers’ openly encouraged infiltration of reserved forests in the south by killer immigrant herdsmen.

    But history will also remember Buhari for the construction of the Second Niger Bridge, the reconstruction of Lagos–Ibadan expressway and the completion of Lagos –  Ibadan rail line which for 15 years remained PDP campaign promise.  He will also be remembered for signing into law the Electoral Reform and the petroleum industry bills first initiated some 20 years ago.

    But I think in spite of Buhari’s personal and leadership failings, history will be kinder to him than his fellow military adventurers including Chukwuma Nzeogwu who  ‘invited the wrath of the gods’; Aguiyi Ironsi who destroyed our federal constitution; Ojukwu and Gowon who while working for their civilian masters, threw the nation into an avoidable civil war; Murtala Mohammed, whose impetuosity led to the death of many federal soldiers in Asaba; Babangida  whose ‘Structural Adjustment Programme’, destroyed our budding industries, turning our nation to importer of labour of other societies and  Obasanjo who because of what Pa Bisi Akande described as his “fake nationalism, his precarious patriotism and his vaunting ambition to be the centre of our universe” embarked on a wholesale centralisation of our institutions including overloading of the exclusive list just to continue living in denial.