Category: Olakunle Abimbola

  • June 12: Hope to Renewed Hope

    June 12: Hope to Renewed Hope

    What happened yesterday — a presidential broadcast making June 12 and MKO Abiola the core of this democracy — should have been routine since 1999.

    But back then, Gen. Olusegun Obasanjo, first president of this 4th Republic, somehow felt burying the annulled election — and MKO’s supreme sacrifice with it — was wise.

    Thirty years later, it’s Obasanjo’s turn, still alive and kicking, to see the burial of his own stratagem.  History never forgets — and Obasanjo is thrilling living example!

    Thirty years — 1993 to 2023 — have been a hard and bumpy ride, especially testy for the democratic forces — testy because it appeared only the reactionary forces were structurally entrenched to milk a democracy they actively worked against.  

    But yesterday, that nearly turned full circle — President Bola Tinubu, a proven democrat that pulled all stops for June 12 and its revalidation, was finally in the saddle.  No wonder, his speech was ode to June 12 and MKO!  

    Even MKO, martyr of Nigerian democracy, would beam staring down! An epoch just ended.  Another one is beginning.

    Read Also: Abiola and lessons of June 12

    In 1993, when the military were arrogant overlords, was Hope ’93.  In 2023, with a growing democracy, though with birth pangs and learning storm, is Renewed Hope.  

    The link, again, is Tinubu — the man that broke ranks with his Shehu Yar’Adua People’s Front (PF) faction of the victorious (but now defunct) Social Democratic Party (SDP).

    The PF faction, under SDP national chair, the late Tony Anenih, traded off MKO Abiola’s   win for Ernest Shonekan’s Interim National Government (ING), which the late Gen. Sani Abacha brusquely collapsed to revert to jackboot rule of the harshest hue.

    In Tinubu, as president, the immutable lesson of history is clear: the future belongs to the bold, the persistent and the consistent — so long as the cause is just.

    As he was a thorn in the flesh of the haughty military (epitomized by Gen. Ibrahim Babangida aka IBB and Abacha: 1993-1999); so was he the palladium of opposition during the neo-military era of looming civil domination (symbolized by Obasanjo’s imperial presidency and the entire PDP years: 1999-2015).

    Still, today isn’t for Tinubu’s further lionization.  History has done that already. Besides, it’s a solemn time, at the start of his presidency to further anchor the progressives era, for which he needs fulsome prayers, not excessive praises.

    It is, however, a fit period to x-ray how the noxious forces that tried to arrest Abiola’s destiny have fared, 30 years after.

    IBB annulled that election in a fit of military hubris.  But today, he lives to witness the futility of a reckless and wayward wield of power.

    It is perhaps Karma’s special rebuke that President Muhammadu Buhari, who IBB toppled in a palace coup, became the elected president that eventually validated MKO’s win, though long after the man had died.  IBB’s own civil power comeback was guillotined by a hideous uproar!  He scrambled off the race like a frightened rat!

    The late Yar’Adua thought trading off MKO’s mandate would game the system in his favour.  But he got consumed by it all, just as Abacha, by his own iron tyranny — but not before he jailed Yar’Adua and Obasanjo, two principal players in Shonekan’s ING contraption, for an alleged coup.

    Ironically, the “luckier” Obasanjo (unlike Yar’Adua, he got out of jail to become elected president) earned about the harshest verdict of history.  Like IBB, he’s very much alive to carry the can!

    Under his nose, Obasanjo’s many plots are collapsing: ING; vaulting May 29 over June 12 as Democracy Day to bury Abiola’s martyrdom; the unhorsing of PDP, following its loss of power in 2015; hardly any physical legacy traced to Obasanjo’s eight-year imperial presidency: beyond hankering after an illegal third term, brazenly rigged polls, and the moral stink of his presidential library.

    God has laid the ruins of the conservative era before President Tinubu for a reason: to actualize MKO’s pro-people Hope ’93 cry with his own “Renewed Hope” agenda.

    With the back-breaking foundation of the Buhari years and his own sure-footed policy directions so far, he is condemned to succeeding — for failure is no option.

  • Tinubu: no honeymoon

    Tinubu: no honeymoon

    With a Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC)-threatened national strike from tomorrow (June 6), the Bola Tinubu era opens with scant any honeymoon.  

    It’s a virtual biting of the bullet from the very first second!

    Yet, there’s a historical parallel, dating back to the very early days of President Tinubu as governor of Lagos (1999-2007). 

    As not a few today believe Nigeria could always find the cash for fuel subsidy (despite the doomsday stats by the anti-subsidy lobby), everyone believed Lagos — former federal capital — would always generate the cash to get by.

    Everyone — except the new governor and his team: to whom the resources of Lagos were puny, linked to the great voter expectations, after eons of military rule.

    So, against the Oracle computerization of the Lagos public services, the late Ayodele Akele, chair of the Lagos NLC, planted himself and his union.  Today, however, we know who was right and who was wrong.  

    The Oracle software not only secured prompt salaries and stress-free gratuities and pensions, it signposted revenue computerization that made Lagos a national model.

    But not even this blast from the past can completely knock the winds off Joe Ajaero’s aluta wars to come — since subsidy removal would ensure the pocket badly hurts.

    Even then, Comrade Ajaero is also fired by historical parallels: to stave off subsidy removal, Adams Oshiomhole, former NLC president, fought bruising — and immensely popular — pump price reversal battles against the Olusegun Obasanjo presidency.  

    The snag though is that by Greek philosopher Heraclitus and his state of flux, Ajaero isn’t quite stepping in the same NLC “river” from which Oshiomhole triumphantly splashed.  

    Yet, Ajaero’s NLC is applying exactly the same tactics.  This rashness may well prove costly, especially against the approach of sibling Trade Union Congress (TUC), which resumed talks with the government on June 4, while NLC stayed away to mobilize for its strike. 

    But beyond contrasting NLC-TUC approaches, a lot has changed on the subsidy debate front.  

    Not a few still regard anti-subsidy stats as vile red herring to clobber folks into gulping the hemlock of costly petrol.  Yet a public unanimity, over the vexed matter, appears coalescing — showing a near-complete u-turn from the glorious Oshiomhole years.

    What is unclear, however, is whether these changed voices belong to the vocal minority — among whom the subsidy removal lobby would count — or the often silent majority.  For the new government, a correct gauging is imperative for right policies.

    Read Also: Call off strikes, Tinubu urges health workers

    But beyond feelings and hunches: that a President Tinubu would, in 2023, risk subsidy removal, an attempt that in 2012 forced a President Goodluck Jonathan into a hasty retreat, shows some positive structural development, likely to blunt Labour agitations.

    For one, the “feel good” promise of Dangote Refinery and Petrochemicals — even before its first drop of fuel, expected in July.  

    That is a piece of critical local refining infrastructure the Buhari order nurtured for the benefit of the economy, from which the Tinubu Presidency now taps.

    Poor President Jonathan!  The preceding PDP administrations — over which former President Obasanjo loomed — left Jonathan with no structural backbone for a brutal make-or-mar petrol pump price war!  Hence, he bolted at the first boom of heavy artillery from the street!

    That’s one hobble Tinubu doesn’t have.   A crucial Labour pre-condition for ending subsidy is local refining.  Though Labour can correctly argue local refining is still at least one month away — and so subsidy should stay till then — it knows it’s a highly defanged joker.

    Still, that infrastructure redound is why President Tinubu himself must work extra hard at critical support infrastructure all-round.  His immediate challenge, on the oil front, is to deliver more refineries to compete with Dangote.  It on this front, of vibrant market competition, that fair pricing of fuel can be won.

    Also changed, from the Oshiomhole era, is the legal framework: the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2022.  PIA has clothed the old Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) in a new commercial toga of NNPC Ltd (NNPCL).

    NNPCL has bought the old behemoth, often loathed and untrusted, more time to prove it can fix and profitably run Nigeria’s four public-sector refineries, now under refit — perpetually so, more or less, since 1999!

    So, to keep or to throw?  NNCL’s performance should decide.  Still, PIA offers a fairly fresh start for these refineries, to which organized Labour has sentimental attachment as public assets — and fairly so.  Fixing them will ease the battle over fuel pump prices and its aluta roars.

    But back to the looming Ajaero strike.  Ajaero comes with baggage Oshiomhole didn’t have — and it’s mainly on the Labour Party (LP) and its platform whoredom.  With its latest liaison with presidential candidate Peter Obi, whose capitalism violently jars with LP’s socialist ideology, that dissonance screeches. 

    So, on Obi’s account alone, Ajaero and his NLC should expect vicious strafing from the anti-subsidy forces.  Besides, Obi, on the hustings, also committed to subsidy removal — as did Atiku Abubakar, the PDP candidate — a stand NLC dogmatically opposes.

    If he escapes that, he won’t escape merciless pummelling on ethnic fealty to Obi, a fellow Igbo. That, to be sure, could be hitting below the belt.  Yet, Ajaero’s careless electioneering — and immediate post-poll — posturing would offer him pretty little joy.

    Still, whatever the dramatics, pro or con, the government and Labour must realize there are huge social costs to manage; and therefore focus more and grandstand less.

    President Tinubu has broached a possible general salary re-work to absorb part of the cost-push inflation already here.  Feedbacks suggest TUC is warming up to that idea.  

    NLC should follow suit.  Dogma won’t feed workers and families hit by a vicious flare in living costs.  That’s what subsidy removal has done — and it’s just dawn in a long, long day of economic angst.

    But beyond salaries, the government should make ameliorative policies to shield the non-salaried too: perhaps in some cheap mass transit, by which the bulk of the people can escape cut-throat commuting costs.

    In Lagos, the Blue and Red urban rail lines may well come in handy — and the sooner they are pressed into service the better.

    For most parts of the country, however, urban rail is at best a distant echo — another reminder of the centrality of rail to a post-subsidy economy; and how the Tinubu order must continue with the aggressive rail modernization of the Buhari era. 

    This is a wake-up call to birth a solid economy — which is why Labour must quit aluta theatrics and secure for workers fair deals, to tide them over this bumpy ride.

  • PMB: Exiting on the high

    PMB: Exiting on the high

    Second Niger Bridge.  Dangote Refinery, Lagos.  BUA Refinery, Akwa Ibom, due 2024. Nigerian rice and sundry agricultural strides. Loko-Oweto Bridge, on the Benue River. 

    Lagos-Ibadan rail and expressway.  Apapa-Oshodi-Alapere expressway, Lagos.  Bodo-Bonny road and bridges — first time ever that oil-rich Bonny Island, home of NLNG, would have a road link with the Rivers mainland!

    Contrast the serious headwinds, local and global: Niger Delta Avengers (NDA) and oil facility bombings.  IPOB’s murderous campaign.  Boko Haram.  Two recessions.  COVID-19. #EndSARS’ arson and killings. Russia-Ukraine war and global grain crisis.

    But even with tough challenges and the harshest of economic climes, pockmarked by dwindled cash, the Muhammadu Buhari administration signed off yesterday with the most impressive of term-end harvesting of critical infrastructure since 1999.

    Going back in time, it could well be the most impressive in Nigerian history, despite the negative hubbub from droning naysayers.  

    Yes, the Yakubu Gowon government might have done better in those halcyon days of oil boom and easy wealth.  But no government has ever posted more in dire times than PMB’s — dire times imposed by past greed and sleaze.

    But that all of these only lifted infrastructure to GDP ratio from 1:5 (in 2015) to 2:5 (in 2023) — from former President Buhari’s own admission — shows not only how crumbled Nigeria was in 2015, but also the yeoman’s efforts that the new government — and many after — will need to get the economy sprinting again.

    This grim reality was wilfully lost in the snarl-and-growl temper of the Muhammadu Buhari years.  Here, a media fixated with bile and irrational blame was chief culprit.

    That combative vice, Ripples must warn, won’t just vanish because a new government is in town.  But it would push the press even further behind the people it’s supposed to lead and guide.  That would be quite some catastrophe, though well-earned.

    Despite this emotive babble, however, the fundamentals are far better than in 2015 — though there is still a long way to go.  So, no respite for the new Bola Tinubu order.  

    It must press harder on infrastructure, until it reaches, at least, 3.5:5 infrastructure-GDP ratio.  Strictly, no economy can fly without support infrastructure — and good the president, in his inaugural speech, just pledged himself to exactly that.

    Still, Muhammadu Buhari 2nd Niger Bridge!  That itself is symbolic on at least two levels.

    One: critical infrastructure need not be sweet mirage: to harvest cynical votes, but leave doting partisans in the lurch, as PDP did to the South East, all its 16 years in federal power.  After eons of brazen deceit, that bridge is now reality.

    Two: Muhammadu Buhari, at least by grand hateful propaganda from a loud section of the South East political elite, was Igbo Enemy No.1.  

    Read Also: A farewell note to PMB

    Yet, that “enmity” didn’t stop the former president from throwing in everything to give the Igbo their due — as he did to other parts of the country.

    That’s rare in contemporary Nigeria, where public officers often assume a paternalistic complex: pamper friends, thrash foes, and crow about it in supreme arrogance. 

    Still, by dint of his own hard work, PMB is stamped — for aye — in the South East subconscious, even if all he got while toiling were boos and jeers.  Yet, the South East wasn’t the sole guilty party.  It was vicious din from the nay-ensemble all-round.

    But as the economy gradually powers back to life — especially if the new Tinubu order continues with the infrastructural heavy lifting of the Buhari years — the joke of history, on the naysayers, will be loud. 

    Then, Dangote Refinery — the ultimate “game-changer” — in the “friendly” territory of Lagos!

    The birthing of the Lekki, Lagos, Free Trade Zone (FTZ), now home to a deep sea port, Dangote Refinery and sundry other ventures, is a golden tutorial on visionary politics, even as opposition.

    The Lekki FTZ was conceived during President Tinubu’s tenure as Lagos governor (1999-2007).  The imperial instinct of the Olusegun Obasanjo presidency was to crush whatever golden ideas that came from the Lagos front.  The president simply hated the guts of the governor and his nimble — and audacious — mind!

    But see how that dream from the past has paved the future for President Tinubu, as a putative game-changer in local refining, en route to a sweeping economic rebirth?

    Tinubu had clear and lofty policy dreams.  But it took another president, as focused on the collective as the Obasanjo Leviathan was distracted by personal glories, to make that dream a reality. 

    Still, to ensure the revived downstream petroleum market doesn’t cake into an early monopoly, the Tinubu government should facilitate the coming of rival refineries, public and private, to make for healthy market competition and birth fairer pricing.

    But even ahead of all that, economic recovery prospects, other things being equal, appear bright and far more exciting than they were in 2015.

    But away from the stark to the near-intangibles, as public morality in politics.

    For starters, the 2023 election was eons ahead of any other from 1999 — never mind the inconsolable jabber and yammer of sore losers and their fascist media, abetting losers that insist they must be declared winners, or else …  

    As Obasanjo bellowed do-or-die at his exit in 2007, PMB harped on clean polls; and walked his talk with requisite support laws, in concert with the  National Assembly.

    Besides, a direct comparison between the only two full eight-year terms, so far from 1999 — Obasanjo: 1999-2007; Buhari: 2015-2023 — is quite instructive.

    2007: In-between a surreptitious hustle for an illegal third term, the outgoing president was busy slanging with Atiku Abubakar, his deputy, in a fight-to-finish: mutually exposing who allegedly poured public funds to buy new cars for side chicks and allied concubines; and who allegedly cooked up sweetheart deals for friends and cronies. 

    2023: The much maligned PMB publicly declared he never stole anyone’s kobo.  True every past leader has made that claim.  But that it sparks little controversy coming from Mai Gaskiya — the honest one — speaks volumes. Also note-worthy: he neither accused Vice President Yemi Osinbajo of vaulting ambition nor illicitly buying up the whole country!  That’s rare decency in Nigeria’s power corridor.

    Besides, while one president anchored his legacy on a last-minute peer gaming for a presidential library of dubious motive, the other, tenure-long, invested in priceless public assets — again, Muhammadu Buhari 2nd Niger Bridge, on Ripples’ mind!

    In truth: PMB set new heights, in decent governance, difficult to match.  Yet, many a medium wails, and won’t be consoled, at his exit.   History will have a good laugh at their comical outpouring!

    Still, blame not the errant media.  They just mirror a Jewish messianic complex, gripping the polity.  Many Jews still await their “messiah”, more than 2,000 years after Christ Jesus had salvaged the world, according to the Christian tenet.

    That temper is to thoroughly lampoon the sitting president, in blissful hope of some messiah-to-come.  PMB won’t be the last to be scourged by that scurrilous bulala.  

    That is why President Tinubu must deliver value, undistracted by any elite rabble, sure to make a non-stop row.  

    Adieu, PMB.  Welcome, the Tinubu era!

  • LP: Hefty cost of prostitution

    LP: Hefty cost of prostitution

    The latest Labour Party (LP) hubbub is the hefty cost of partisan whoredom. A Federal High Court, sitting in Kano, just questioned the validity of Abia governor-elect, Alex Otti’s membership of LP. 

    Though platform prostitution has been the oxygen of LP poll life, it may yet cost it big this time.

    While the Abia LP partisans are swearing nothing would stop Otti’s inauguration as governor on May 29 — nothing should: he won the election, didn’t he? — the local PDP, whose Okey Ahiwe was runner-up, is threatening to exploit the verdict to own advantage, now that the court is talking of “wasted votes”. 

    Would Otti lose his mandate, if further appeals were to ratify the verdict of Justice Mohammed Nasir Yunusa of the Federal High Court sitting in Kano?

    Quoting Section 77 (2) (3) of the Electoral Act 2022, the court found LP to have failed to submit its membership register to INEC 30 days before its primaries.

    A similar claim, over Peter Obi’s valid membership of LP, is also before the Presidential Election Petition Court (PEPC), now sitting in Abuja.

    Might Otti and Obi then be “emergency” LP members, enrolled after the 30-day submission window, for sudden poll advantage?  The jury is still out.

    Still, the Kano verdict darkly declared, citing a breach of Section 77 (2) (3): “This being so, the votes credited to alleged candidates of the 1st Defendants [LP] are wasted votes as per the decision of the Supreme Court.”

    LP partisans may be seriously praying — and maybe fasting too! — that the sword over Otti’s mandate had better stay perpetually up, like the Greek sword of Damocles that never comes down.

    If it swishes down, Otti and Obi could well be toast, by some phonetically poetic Otti-Obi massacre!  If that happened, Otti — and his Abia voters — would be devastated, for he was declared winner.  Obi, less so — for he chases a mandate he never had.

    For Otti, however, the danger might not be off, even if he was sworn in on May 29. The authority the Kano court quoted was a Supreme Court precedent that robbed APC its legit Zamfara governorship vote in 2019.

    Still, the debacle could have been averted had LP grown its own candidates and not wait — as it usually does — for renegades from other parties, after they fail nomination from their original parties.

    But partisan prostitution is how LP rolls — from the days of Dan Iwuanyanwu, its long-standing chairman for 10 years (2004-2014): the fedora-spotting czar that forged that platform-whoredom-as-growth strategy.

    It’s doubtful if LP can now throw off that self-poisoning culture.  Yet, all it has done is stunt its organic growth.  After each election season, it retards —  its ticket hunters, cash-for-ticket, having used it, dumped it, and moved on.

    Despite the current fair-weather friends in Obi’s camp, swearing by LP’s name, mouthing some hollow “ideology” — Obi is capitalist, LP is socialist — there’s little guarantee LP won’t in 2027 resume its default empty shell: awaiting new punters, after the current din must have faded with 2023.

    Still, LP might be the party most blighted, offering its platform to whoever could splash the cash, ideology be damned!  

    But its conduct is only the symptom of a more fundamental disease: after 24 years of democracy from 1999, the Nigerian political party system is still the flux of Heraclitus, when it ought to be firming up on the permanence of Parmenides, Heraclitus’s Greek philosophical rival.

    Therefore, when Nigeria’s Big Two, APC and PDP, conduct fairer and more transparent primaries, LP and co will be starved of the sweet poison that gifts them election-season life, but long-term death.

    Lado: politics of community value

    Community value — that would appear the core of the public essence of Basheer Garba Mohammed, popularly known in Kano as Lado.

    As a private businessman with interests in property, banking and trading, he founded the Ladon Alheri Foundation.  The foundation was — and still is — his response to funding public school supplements in classroom blocks, sinking community boreholes for potable water and doing corrective eye surgeries to clear off cataract which often drive folks blind.

    His mission?  To find ways and means, outside the government sector, to fill the gaps in the national development chains, by supplementing public sector efforts, to make the lives of ordinary folks better and more meaningful.

    In 2011, Lado was elected PDP senator for Kano Central.  He spent four years in Nigeria’s upper legislative chamber (2011-2015) before defeat by APC’s Rab’iu Musa Kwankwaso, with the promised APC “Change”, after the PDP years.

    But irony of ironies: Lado, a victim of the PDP federal crushing of 2015, is now an APC chieftain.  Kwankwaso, hitherto an APC change agent, went back to PDP, before forming own New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP), whose Kwankwassiya movement just won the Kano governorship, aside from Kwankwaso himself winning the presidential election in Kano.

    Yet, APC or PDP, fealty to community value has remained constant in Lado’s public profile.

    Indeed, as PDP senator back in 2011, Lado still glories in his facilitation, as one of his constituency projects, of the building of the Kundila Bridge, which his grateful constituents promptly dubbed Gadar Lado (Lado Bridge).  

    As one of the pioneer bridges that served the socio-economic interests of the local folks, not a few among them regard Gadar Lado as perhaps the “biggest constituency projects in the recent political history of Kano”, according to a Lado citation.

    Lado also looks back, with utmost pride, at the dualization by the Federal Government, of the Kano-Katsina expressway — again, one of the projects he attracted home, as Kano Central senator.  All politics is local — and so, the bountiful benefits!

    The Lado citation crowed of that project: “The dualization … is strategic in that it is another big economic channel for the North West.  It is a road that aids the transportation of goods worth billions of Naira every week from neighbouring countries through Niger Republic down to Kano State, Nigeria.”

    That same logic — what philosophers would call economic determinism — must have driven the Katsina-Miradi, Niger Republic, standard gauge rail line, which the Buhari Presidency has insisted upon, but which elements in the southern media dismiss as provincial (at best) or “nepotism” (at worst).

    Both can’t be correct in strict economic terms, for it’s only a modernization of the old Trans-Sahara trade route, the livelihood of many for centuries past, and continued livelihood, for centuries to come.

    As APC partisan, President Muhammadu Buhari, in 2021, named Lado as director-general of the National Agency for Prohibition of Trafficking in Persons (NAPTIP), where Lado has also stamped his core community value.

  • Obi’s many fathers

    Obi’s many fathers

    From the conclave of “Yes Daddies”, to emergency daddies on the partisan front and now the iconic literary world of our own WS, it’s the universe of Peter Gregory Obi’s many fathers!

    But on one thing, you can be sure: during electioneering or strutting post-election charm offensives (whatever for?), you can trust Holy Gregory to skew the tale.

    That was crystal clear from Obi’s May 7 visit to the “Ijegba”, Abeokuta, “fortress” of Prof. Wole Soyinka; and the Kongi’s rather scathing put-down of Obi’s rude and crude Obidients, the rabble WS dismissed as “a spectral emanation”.  

    “I do not know, and unable to relate to something known as the ‘Obedient’ or ‘Obidient Family’,” Kongi roared, “Thus, albeit in a different vein, any notion of reconciliation, or even relations — positive, negative or indifferent — with such a spectral emanation is simply gasping at empty air.”

    Ouch!  Yet, poor son Obi was busy spinning WS and some rapprochement with “Obidient Family”!

    His exact tweet: “I cherish this Sunday visit which was intended to erase the needless misconceptions about the relationship between the great icon and the Obidient Family.”

    Obidient Family!  That clinical disavowal echoes the Yoruba joke about Tenant Kolawole: a name that evokes great wealth.  Still, whenever ejection comes from his landlord, Kolawole would exit with his imaginary trove!  Obidient Family, indeed!

    No one, that saying insists, kids himself like Kolawole.  So, Kolawole — at least in that saying’s context — is the quintessential metaphor for wilful deceit.  

    Wilful deceit aptly captures Obi’s post-poll exertions: as wilful captive to own whims; and wilful serf to Obidients’ sorry phantasy, over an election Obi couldn’t have won — even conducted a million times — given his clannish appeal and suspect structure. 

    A clear over-performance has pumped Obi full of the wild steroid of self-deceit, which he and his ‘Obidient Family’ somewhat hope would turn crushing defeat into stunning victory, so long as they are boisterous enough.  Comic! 

    Still, Obi’s many fathers straddle many layers. 

    Pre-election: many Daddies Spiritual — Catholic, Orthodox and Pentecostal: a conclave of holy fathers and sacred vote mendicant, hush-hush in less-than-civil droning, about elections as faith wars; recruiting pulpit brain-washed Christians, into their zombie election Salvation Army, against real or imagined enemies.

    To be sure, the only one caught out — no thanks to that satanic audio leak — was the “Yes Daddy” of Ota, who — Holy Moses! — instantly balked and fled.

    Yet, you could finger other “Yes Daddies” crawling out of holy woodworks, well-hidden behind a finger, strutting their bits in Obi’s post-defeat pantomime: insisting honed legal precedents must be changed, for a son in whom they are well pleased!

    It’s holy hush-hush that nevertheless beams blinding lights into the rot deep behind the holy-of-holies curtains, were the polity a theocracy, with all its thumping, glittering hypocrisies!  But thank God, ours is still a democracy!

    Yet, Obi’s daddies are not found on the straight and narrow path that leads to the spirit.  Theirs is the wide and merry way that thrives on earthy lobbies and flatteries.

    Which was why Obi — was he wracked by immediate post-defeat neurosis? — once declared President-elect Bola Tinubu as his brother, nay, father!  

    It was March 13 after the February 25 election had been lost and won; and post-poll neurosis had not quite darkened into the psychosis it now approaches.

    “The APC presidential candidate is an elder brother; I can even call him a father …” he told Arise TV, his favourite media watering hole, with trademark cant. “I am only challenging the process in which he was declared winner …”

    Enter another Election ’23 quip, in the quicksands of immediate electoral defeat: I challenge not the result, but the process!  

    Still, that challenge came with Obi cocking guns at Obi’s holy fathers — those perhaps outside the holy-of-holies of sacred electoral plots.  Clearly not guided by the spirit, they had the effrontery to tell Obi to cease lusting after a lost cause, after a fair loss.

    “I am very respectful to prominent Nigerians especially church leaders, traditional rulers and all that … but,” Obi screeched, “l disagree with them.  What they are actually preaching is the problem of Nigeria, the problem of accepting wrongdoing, accepting what is unacceptable; that is using God’s name in vain; that’s not what God said, God said do not use my name in vain.”

    The grand irony: Obi and co, hiding behind smudged cassocks, are the wrong doers, using God’s name in vain.  Still, a fitting raking fire from an entitled but beloved son, in whom they were all well pleased!  

    WS was Obi’s latest jaunt in search of fathers.  

    But WS does no hush-hush.  He operates behind no holy-of-holies — only in the full open of the republican space, where it’s freedom or nothing. Hence, his stark disavowal of Obi’s cant. 

    All, however, is again grand metaphor: Obi’s election-time dissembling and on-going post-poll pantomime.  Both are holy high dramas to sell genuine fakery.

    That Nigerians somewhat dodged this consecrated fakery is prime proof God is still on the throne, despite the prime conclave of “Yes Daddies” that mouth his name in vain.

    It all started as grand fraud: APC and PDP are the same; Obi and LP are new; so vote the new messiahs.  But that was a lie from the pit of hell which the spectral Obidients nevertheless blared.

    Then Tinubu, a model of fresh ideas and revolutionary policies that shaped Lagos to a national reference, became synonymous with Olusegun Obasanjo and his Abuja PDP pests that Tinubu — and progressive forces — spared no effort to dislodge.

    Open sesame: Obi, part of the old dregs, is new messiah of the youth, the Church and his clannish folks, just because loud Obidients can out-shout and out-abuse everyone, from their (anti)social media bastion.

    It all fell flat.  For one, Obi, no great believer in infrastructure, began regurgitating plans already put in place by the Buhari Presidency, as something esoteric and new.  

    For another, right-thinking Nigerians — the majority on February 25 — saw through Obi’s full emptiness, narrow clannish appeal and crass weaponization of faith and rejected him.

    Yet, his fascistic minority zestfully pushed to browbeat the legitimate majority, and even pitched a military putsch, at Defence Headquarters, in vile desperation.

    When all that collapsed, Obi’s Catholic fathers and cynical lawyers are pushing a stay on May 29, until Obi’s litigious electoral challenge is determined.  Nice try!

    As the Lord (that these fathers worship) lives and the Law (that these lawyers profess) holds, May 29 — some two weeks away — stays: and the president-elect would be inaugurated.

    Not even Obi’s many fathers — and lawyers — will prevail over the supreme rule of law, which democracy epitomizes.

  • Whither Saraki, Dogara, Ekweremadu?

    Whither Saraki, Dogara, Ekweremadu?

    Where are Bukola Saraki, Senate President (2015-2019), Yakubu Dogara (Speaker, House of Representatives, 2015-2019) and Ike Ekweremadu (Deputy Senate President, 2007-2019?)

    Their tri-travails should teach minority elements, ogling and plotting parliamentary gravy not theirs, the physical and spiritual comeuppance of political gaming: short-term gain, long-term pain.

    Still, among the trio, the personal tragedies of Ike Ekweremadu must be treated with utter sensitivity and empathy.

    For the love of ailing daughter, he just got a nine year-and-eight-month sentence in a British jail.  His wife got four years and six months.  Dr. Obinna Obeta, the midwifing medic in a kidney-transfer-turned-awry saga, got 10 years; and his licence, to practice medicine, suspended.

    All these in a bid to save darling daughter, Sonia, and fix her failing kidneys.  Sonia herself, docked too, escaped by the whiskers — or it would have been a complete jail sweep: father, mother and daughter!  

    Still, how can she escape eternal guilt, gnawing at her young soul: that she and her life-threatening ailment caused her family so much catastrophe, not forgetting  the good doctor caught in the crossfire?

    How also would the shame of parental conviction, coupled with own guilt, help her to battle the ailment she still lugs?  

    Besides, how can she secure a healthy kidney from a legit donor — with all the clouds shrouding her family; and not a few fleeing from them and theirs, as far away as the proverbial North Pole?

    If after all of these you still want to gloat, just say a thunderous “amen” to this prayer: may your loving parental instinct never be tested!

    Nevertheless, all these are without prejudice to whatever crime the couple and medic had committed, under the UK Modern Slavery Act 2015 — the first set of convicts under that law — to have been found guilty, after an open and transparent jury trial.

    Even with all the tragedy, those that insist on railing at Ike Ekweremadu could have a legitimate point: had Ekweremadu and co — the ex-DSP had been in the Senate in the past 20 years (2003-2023) — done the needful: might his daughter have procured a safe and legitimate local kidney transfer in Nigerian public hospitals?

    Were that so, and the Ekweremadus’ trial were to happen here, the judge (we seldom have jury criminal trials here) would have seen through the cock of a 21-year-old David Nwamini “crated”, in a “slave” craft, to London for his kidney to be “harvested”.

    Only a British jury, bristling with own cultural condescension, would believe such bull!  

    At best, it was a mutual sweetheart deal gone awry — without prejudice to whatever the Ekweremadu proxies must have done to make hurt Nwamini spill the beans.  

    That Nwamini is now squealing, in classic opportunism, for some low-grade asylum to continue living in the UK, pleading fears for his life (which may well be) is inclination enough he wasn’t exactly averse to “japa” (Yoruba street lingo for migrate); and maybe grabbed the transplant deal as stepping stone.

    If that weren’t convincing enough, the earliest fib from the case, that Nwamini was a “14-year-old”, ought to have raised a clatter of alarms on deliberate bad faith.  Yet, the British media (sacred facts be damned!) milked and pushed that lie — because it fitted into preconceived notions? 

    Still, the Ekweremadus’ fate is sealed.  Except an appeal court reverses the verdict or shortens the sentence, theirs is prolonged jail term in the immediate future.

    But the UK conviction isn’t why Ike Ekweremadu is cited in this piece.  

    He is cited for receiving parliamentary “stolen goods”, in crass attempt to remain DSP, an office he knew morally, legally and legitimately belonged to APC: the new majority party in parliament; an office Ekweremadu’s PDP had occupied for 16 years, as the majority party, from 1999 to 2015. 

    That’s the crux of this piece, especially as some history vacuums, just elected into the 10th National Assembly, appear eager to replay the 2015 drama of Saraki, Dogara and Ekweremadu, the trio that now lug prolonged pain for that fleeting gain.

    Ironically, Saraki’s bid for Senate President was not entirely illegitimate, given President-elect Bola Tinubu’s Emilokan account at Abeokuta, in the run-up to the explosive APC presidential primaries.

    Saraki, from that Abeokuta account, had scoffed at a putative Buhari-Tinubu ticket for 2015, in those crucial moments of 2014, when the APC was still being cooked.

    Saraki didn’t care a hoot about any faith balancing.  But as a new-PDP (nPDP) APC legacy joiner, he knew a Buhari-Tinubu ticket would squelch another Muslim’s dream of Senate President.  That virtually forced Tinubu to nominate Yemi Osinbajo, now outgoing Vice President.

    But Saraki’s legitimate hankering after political spoils for his own nPDP bloc (after Buhari’s CPC and Tinubu’s ACN had grossed the first two prime offices) only birthed nothing but premeditated perfidy, which Saraki viciously pressed into service.

    His two principal conspirators were Dogara (a fellow nPDP defector to APC); and Ekweremadu: a PDP loyalist that nevertheless bristled with rank opportunism — a terrible character flaw, indeed — to continue as DSP, though he knew by parliamentary logic and convention, he ought to yield that office to the new majority party.

    All three (whose unholy alliance subverted critical infrastructure upgrades: the Lagos-Ibadan expressway, for one, during Buhari’s first term) have been in the doldrums ever since.  Good riddance!

    In 2019, Saraki had fled back to PDP, only to experience a vicious blow-out — no thanks to the “Otoge” (Yoruba for “Enough!”) Kwara voter revolution.

    Otoge not only clinically guillotined Otunya (“Let’s do it again”) — Saraki’s counter mew to Otoge’s roar of 2019 — his pathetic “O su wa” (“We’re tired”) 2023 whoop against the Kwara APC order fell pathetically flat, resulting in another vote thrashing.

    Saraki has thus lost the Kwara Republic of Democratic Feudalism that Baba Oloye, his illustrious father, Dr. Olusola Saraki, bequeathed him.  He is now a full-blown politically displaced person (PDP — how ironic!).  But again, no tears.

    If Saraki has somewhat stoically resigned to his PDP fate, Dogara is busy playing the chameleon and losing value by the second.  Between 2019 and now, he has been swinging — and wildly too — from PDP to APC and vice versa that only he could swear where exactly he now belongs. 

    Dogara neighed against Tinubu’s “Muslim-Muslim” ticket and dived into PDP.  But while there, he in southern Kaduna throatily campaigned for Atiku Abubakar — a Christian?  

    Indeed, Dogara’s “Christian” advocacy was powered more by not making the Tinubu ticket (on faith balancing) than any core principle though, to be fair, northern Christians do face an uphill in socio-political sweepstakes, a flaw that should be corrected.

    The fate of the trio — Saraki, Dogara and Ekweremadu — teaches a profound lesson: democracy is no licence for rascality.  Let those who want to repeat 2015 learn this grim lesson and know peace.

  • Magic ensemble

    Magic ensemble

    Put  your ear close to the ground: what can you hear?  The magic ensemble already swearing President-elect Bola Tinubu would just snap his fingers and all age-old problems would vanish?

    Or heady traducers, equally priming your ears for bold but empty court tales, of some new cabal replacing the old?

    Believe either and you’d believe anything!  

    Still, beware of a bumpy but sterile ride: the frenzy of not a few between 2015 and 2023.  It was a bubble that produced a delusional echo chamber.

    Yet, life outside moved on, leaving behind that bubble and captives, to bitterly bleat after losing the last polls — a grim reality check!

    No sooner was President Muhamamdu Buhari elected than many proclaimed him a Titan, whose mere moral shadow would vanquish the teeming army of the corrupt.

    Enter, the pious magic man!

    Indeed, the new president came highly recommended — a near-ascetic with a solid reputation for honesty, dignity and integrity: traits that vaulted him over presidential rivals, intra- or inter-party, after sleaze, like ferocious termites, was gobbling Nigeria.

    And the man gave it his darned best, even with the justice system playing coy; the churches and rotten clerics mouthing holy cant; and the wayward trying to paint the man in own lurid colours — nice try!  

    Still, after eight years, no one could accuse PMB of pinching his kobo, itself a record since 1999, despite the empty huff-and-puff of you know who.

    Besides, PMB clawed back as much of the stolen funds as he could, pouring them into hard infrastructure, just to ascertain no re-loot of the recovered loot.

    Proof?  A term-end harvest of critical infrastructure: rail, roads, air and sea, with hardly any part of the country short-changed — itself a rare record — despite the resource-challenged times.

    Indeed a document, published by NAN on May 1, titled “Buhari’s achievements from 2015 to 2023; hands over May 29 to President-elect,” made this claim: “As with legislative reform, Nigeria is also seeing, under Mr. Buhari’s watch, the biggest and most ambitious federal infrastructure programme since Nigeria’s independence.”

    Don’t know of “since independence” claim — regime hyperbole perhaps?  But no doubt at all: PMB has trumped all governments since 1999, in agriculture and infrastructure.  

    When you add its social safety net — the National Social Investment Programme (NSIP) — to tide the vulnerable over a grim economic season, then you speak of a programme never carried out on such a scale, by any Federal Government since independence.  

    NSIP places more than 50 million, from 12 million poor homes, spread across some 150, 000 communities, in 36 states and FCT, on the National Social Register (NSR), receiving a monthly stipend of N5, 000, by the government’s Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) scheme.

    Yet, wild propaganda, by a section of the southern media, brand Buhari as some antediluvian bloke, lost in his northern cave with his so-called cabal!

    That sweeping tarring, frothing with biting ethnic profiling, is clearly unfair.  But the real crime, from the societal watchdog: the reason the media penetrates public affairs, is a classic failure of reporting — a morbid fixation with the inane; a spritely disinterest in the vital.

    That PMB’s APC won re-election, despite this twisted mirror, shows how the people, which the fourth estate should guide, are eons ahead of it!

    That a new president is coming doesn’t trash that reckless media conduct.  So, like the outgoing president, like the in-coming one.

    But if PMB was a moral paragon in 2015, new President Bola Tinubu’s sheer magic would leap from his policy nimbleness and political street wisdom; and a far more cosmopolitan feel, contrasted with PMB’s northern provinciality.

    No surprise: many are already swearing by all that, as if governance  — in a Nigeria with all its grave challenges, many of them structural — was some magical switch to be turned on and off, by a “City Boy” that has all the keys!

    Again, believe that and you’d believe anything!  

    Indeed, such wild fantasy the Tinubu order must tamp down, though with restrained hope.  Why?  Because the magic ensemble swing in utter extremes: railing as hard as they hail.  If you doubt, ask PMB!

    Still, there are reasons to be hopeful.  As Ripples mentioned in a previous take, 1999-2007 was an informal plebiscite on how former President Olusegun Obasanjo (PDP) ran Nigeria against how Tinubu (AD, later AC) ran Lagos.  

    The clear answer came in 2023: Obasanjo, with new love Peter Obi, crashed; despite the infernal ploy to brand Tinubu as part of the old PDP ruin (he was not), and spin Obi as new and fresh (a lie from the pit of hell: Obi was part and parcel of the PDP rot).

    Besides, the continuing PDP power Siberia is fair lesson — and trophy — to Obasanjo.  It was he that laboured, body and soul, to destroy PDP that gifted him power in 1999.

    Indeed, Tinubu’s solid Lagos record — and Lagos continues to be a national model —drives some hope, though there are already idle tittle-tattle about some Lagos “cabal” replacing PMB’s Daura cabal!

    Again, Tinubu’s comprehensive campaign manifesto and multi-layered messaging also project a mind prepared for the daunting task.  The exciting bonus comes with a man at home with driving policy as he is with driving politics.

    Still, the path to Tinubu’s Nigeria success would appear to follow a Lagos rehearsal, though in some reversal.  

    In Lagos, Tinubu built the blocks.  Babatunde Fashola pushed those foundations to soaring levels.  Now, sustainable Lagos is not only national but continental reference.

    Now, at Abuja, PMB has built the blocks.  It’s left for Tinubu to take Nigeria to dizzying new heights.  

    That Fashola is crucial, visible and fecund infrastructure minister under PMB, just echoes that old paradox, by that old bard, William Wordsworth: “The child is the father of the Man”!  Viva Lagos!

    Tinubu would probably dazzle with policy foxtrots.  Still, the stark track is clear: build on the solid infrastructure and agriculture of the PMB years.  That was one reason Ripples rooted for the Tinubu/Shettima ticket.

    Push agriculture from cultivation to processing.  Add regular electricity to the prime infrastructure record.  Consummate local refinery efforts of the past eight years to re-embed local refining of crude — and Tinubu would have achieved PMB’s lofty dreams of a vibrant local real sector, from the mirage of the SAP years.

    As the economy expands, offering more sustainable employment, millions can get off the NSR and its N5, 000 monthly stipend — but not a second before.   

    The NSIP is a pro-poor progressive policy — though under-reported — for which PMB should well and truly be proud.  The Tinubu order should continue with it as long as it takes.

  • PMB and strategic silence

    PMB and strategic silence

    After eight brutal years, the tenure of President Muhammadu Buhari is ebbing out, but with grace — the rare grace of a man at peace with himself. 

    The last time a party-to-party power transfer held was in 2007: a failed “third-termer” hoofing off like some bull in a china shop! Holy chaos!

    The difference, between then and now, is stark.

    Still, what didn’t PMB’s traducers hurl at him: politicians, ethnic champions, equal opportunity hustlers and noisemakers, and even the grandstanding media?

    Yet, the inflexible man from Daura, grandmaster of strategic silence, wore them all out — with granite quiet!

    True, PMB’s silence was not always golden.  

    His last major policy was utter disaster: the Naira redesign catastrophe; and the brazen lies from CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele, whose bank didn’t print enough new notes, yet gloried in bare-faced confiscation of citizens’ cash, under some macabre cashless policy. 

    But PMB got his swift comeuppance.  The Supreme Court voided the exercise. The president licked his wounds in dignified quiet — the same quiet he used to unhorse his galloping traducers, with their clattering hooves.  Quite a study!

    Ayo Fayose, former Ekiti governor and author and finisher of stomach infrastructure at its crudest, set the earliest — and scariest — tone for a long night of political crudity.

    Fayose must have been petrified at power slipping off his PDP, having run Nigeria aground under President Goodluck Jonathan.  

    So, Fayose started having dark dreams; dark dreams he punched into a rabid scarecrow; rabid scarecrow he served as Nigeria’s most grotesque political advert ever: don’t vote Buhari.  He would die in office as Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, Sani Abacha and Murtala Muhammed did before him!

    Morbid?  Worse.  A new era of illiberal politics, anchored on blatant lies; plus ethnic scapegoating and profiling, wild and reckless, was born! 

    Femi Fani-Kayode (FFK), as sinking PDP’s campaign spin doctor, weighed in with own fecund mind: APC, then the rising alliance that would send mighty PDP into power Siberia, was nothing but an Islamic “Janjaweed” — a dark throwback to Sudan’s ethnic- cleansing horror in its Darfur region — despite that Buhari’s running mate was Prof. Yemi Osinbajo, then a Pentecostal pastor, now the outgoing Vice President.

    But where are Fayose and FFK today?  

    The one, though still a PDP man, swears by the integrity of the 2023 presidential election; and tells Atiku Abubakar, his party’s candidate, to concede defeat.  

    The other is even more trenchant as a PDP Saul-turned-APC Paul, defending Asiwaju Bola Tinubu’s mandate — a clear difference, to be sure, from Obasanjo’s do-or-die show of 2007!

    But FFK came with an additional baptismal: a PMB handshake as granite as Aso Rock, when FFK strayed back into the party, with Yobe Governor Mai Mala Buni, then APC interim chair, in tow!

    The power of strategic silence!

    Why, the wild Fulani roasting, just because a Fulani was president, gifted Nnamdi Kanu and his IPOB fanatics new wings to soar, in rude and crude cross-ethnic slurs.  

    Kanu himself, in or out of Nigeria, got seized by a fresh mania: conjuring up the Jubril of Sudan, directing Igbo-on-Igbo killings, or barking orders to insurgents to tar people’s livelihood in Lagos, under the guise of EndSARS riots.

    But again, where is Kanu today?  Brought to heel pending the court’s final verdict, however that decision goes, on his execrable conduct.  

    But irony of ironies: IPOB’s panic clatter, over Kanu’s caging, is as raucous as PMB’s silence is loud!  Blowing hot and cold, IPOB is running out of propaganda stunts!

    Still, if bile and victimhood tales are a crucial mix of South East post-Civil War history, what harm did PMB do a section of the Yoruba elite, sworn to making willy-nilly foe of his government, which harbours a Yoruba son as No. 2?

    An Afenifere elder — who supported Jonathan but crashed with him in 2015 — woke up one day and told The Punch the Fulani were “Yoruba enemies”! Then, some Fulani bandits were amplified, in the passion of the moment, as some regime ploy to muscle and capture the Yoruba!

    That led to the toxic era of the South West: the atavistic reign of the Yoruba Nation lobby, itself a misdiagnosis — wilful or innocent? — of a national security meltdown, which could be logically explained as diffusion from the North East theatre of terror.  

    With that theatre getting too hot, insurgents were fleeing with small arms, and causing havoc in other areas.  Ultimately, worst hit would be the North West (bastion of the Fulani) and North Central — not even the South West.  

    But the media, that ought to have put out this clinical analysis, was busy playing shameless echo chamber to breathtaking ethnic and sectional inanities.

    Still, whither these South West antagonists, posing as supreme ultra-nationalists?  All dissipated and unhorsed. The Yoruba Nation’s virtual collapse need not be rehashed.  

    But Baba Ayo Adebanjo is fitting metaphor for that fair collapse.  At the dawn of the Afenifere Renewal Group (ARG) — formed because of the grandees’ perennial feuding — Baba hit on a brilliant pun: Afenifere Rebel Group (ARG), to dismiss the new body! 

    But now, Baba is facing real rebels — “youths”, as Pharaoh that knew no Joesph — calling for his scalp, as his Afenifere rump’s honorific leader!  

    Not unfair a sentence for grabbing Afenifere to fight personal battles as “Yoruba” wars!

    PMB won the presidency, not because of his especial brilliance, but for his honesty, integrity and Spartan grit.  That vaulted him above the rest, after the debris PDP-era sleaze had made of Nigeria, under President Jonathan.

    Yet, how did the Church, the prime social agency against moral decay, take his anti-corruption war? Instead of systemic support, many of their leading lights seized their pulpits as launch pads for wild politics.

    In 2019, Father Matthew Kukah, Catholic Archbishop of Sokoto and Winners Bishop, David Oyedepo, with others in tow, went to former President Olusegun Obasanjo to plead Atiku Abubakar’s case, to run on the PDP ticket.  

    In 2023, it was Oyedepo and his “Yes, Daddy” collabo with Labour Party’s Peter Obi, Atiku’s running mate in 2019.

    Both gambits collapsed, exposing not-so-wily politicians in cassock.  PMB not only won a second term, his APC just won a third, though with PMB bowing out.  

    The “magic”, of course, is PMB’s iron concentration on the right stuff; and ignoring noise makers, spiritual and temporal.

    Yes, he hasn’t quite bequeathed an el-dorado, after eight years. But by his stubborn focus on agriculture and infrastructure, he has done the heavy lifting of re-birthing the local real sector, from the 1986 import-powered wide-and-merry SAP, that leads nowhere but destruction.  

    The incoming government must drive that foundation to new heights.

    Still, for the Tinubu Presidency, these vital take-aways: Do justice to all but appease no one.  Focus on your goals. Give every part of the country its due — just as PMB did.  

    But din your accomplishments into public consciousness — as PMB clearly did not.

    From the results of 2019 and 2023, the masses make smarter choices than elite noisemakers, temporal or spiritual!  So, come election day, they’d give you your due.

  • Obi and dregs

    Obi and dregs

    Wouldn’t be bothered about whatever rackets the western media conjure.  

    If you roil at their annoying condescension, then you can’t joy at whatever praises they heap, earnest or cynical — except, of course, you’re congenitally dishonest.

    That, more or less, was Ripples’ attitude to Time magazine’s listing of Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, Nigeria’s president-elect, as among the globe’s 100 Most Influential People of 2023.

    Yet, the Tinubu citation, by Astha Rajvanshi, hardly shorn of routine western patronizing, is boiled down history the ignorant but curious can gobble: 

    “Winning an election in Africa’s most populous country is no easy feat.  But Nigeria’s newly elected President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has had nearly two decades to prepare.  Called Jagaban, or “leader of the warriors,” by his supporters, the now 71-year-old ran in a presidential election for the first time this March.  His campaign slogan, ‘It’s my turn,’ was a nod to his role as a longtime political power broker.  Tinubu helped restore the country’s democracy in 1999 after fighting military rule and then served two consecutive terms as governor of Lagos.”  Less than 100 words!

    To be sure, it wasn’t all accurate. Emilokan (“It’s my turn”) wasn’t Tinubu’s campaign slogan — “Renewed Hope” was.

    But in truth, Emilokan was a penetrating pre-nomination byte that vibrated all through the campaign.  It also averred Tinubu’s presidential bid, as Time correctly interpreted.

    Aside, Tinubu’s presidential preparation was in excess of two decades.  From 1999 to 2023 alone is 24 years.  Fighting the military, for democracy to thrive, dated back to 1993 — 30 years ago.  That shows how long it took him to build his network.

    Of course, the citation also rehashed sweet music to western ears: a shambolic election, with hardly any redeeming value, which Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi bitterly contest; and how Nigeria, the 21st century Armageddon, scraped through its seventh set of general elections since 1999 barely sane!  Predictable?

    Peter Obi always coos, with his “youth” army, he wanted to birth a new Nigeria. But by his supporters’ crowing crudeness and eternal cyber-bullying, it is clear Obi has done nothing but inspire dregs — and Obi-dients’ reaction to Tinubu’s Time listing is latest proof of that ringing notoriety.

    Or why would anyone heap insults and threats on Time’s Rajvanshi, for penning a citation largely factual and true?  

    Did they wish Obi, not Tinubu, was listed — beyond the condescending footnote Obi and Atiku occupied?  Did that rile the surly Obi-dients to shout it all down, in the silly hope it would vanish?

    Obi’s own political trajectory, compared with Tinubu’s, perhaps provides a clue.

    The late Chinwonke Mbadinuju (God bless his soul, for he just passed away) was a thorough-and-thorough metaphor for bad governance, as Anambra governor, from 1999 to 2003.  At the close of his term, everything had virtually collapsed at Awka.

    His successor, Chris Ngige, showed some bright sparks.  But he too had to contend with “godfathers” that wanted their pound of flesh in illicit state gravy.  That in-fighting pushed Obi to the fore — the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) candidate whose mandate got stollen by PDP electoral bandits.

    Obi rode that messianic complex with gusto. But inside that whited sepulchre was his own bones, rotten and stinking.  

    On the surface, he was “saving” Anambra funds from predators. But really, he was locking down public funds to finance his family’s business, with a bank in which he had investment interests.  True, he claimed to have returned every kobo with interest but that hardly redeemed that grave fiduciary breach.

    Then, leaked Pandora papers linked him with alleged illicit tax havens and shell companies.  He was also accused to have operated foreign account(s) as governor, in contravention of the law — to which he then pleaded ignorance.

    On the political plain, he swore to Emeka Odumegwu-Ojukwu (the APGA patron saint) while alive, never to leave APGA — a pledge he abandoned after Ojukwu died.  

    He not only dumped APGA for PDP, he in 2022, as emergency “youth” messiah re-made in supreme demagoguery, also junked PDP for LP to contest for president.

    While gaming APGA and PDP might be sweet political dissembling, his foes claim he is fated to fruitless peripatetic pursuits, no thanks to some “APGA curse”!

    So, back to 2006 when Obi regained his mandate, he was taking over a near-empty shell, despite Ngige’s post-Mbadinuju heroics, to cover lost grounds.  

    As at that time in Lagos, Governor Tinubu had honed his reforms, despite Abuja’s bad faith from then President Olusegun Obasanjo; and Lagos was coasting to being the national reference point.  

    Tinubu was also carefully knitting the cross-country network that would land him the Nigerian Presidency some 17 years later.

    But trust the South East elite to over-praise their own and thumb down others.  That has been the case since the days of West African Pilot, the nationalist and immediate Independence-era newspaper that Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe owned.

    That over-hyping drove Obi into Nigeria’s central politics from his South East regional laager.  From that enclave, Obi hardly bothered to build any pan-Nigeria network.  That was why his presidential run fell short, though he also over-performed.

    Rather than rigorously correct these flaws — though in truth, the time was short — Obi and co resorted to infernal fancy and crass opportunism, founded on self-deceit.

    Despite no ethnic group having enough numbers to solo win a presidential race, Obi doubled down on clannish voting.  Why, his Obi-dient cyber-army stood ready to tar anyone, resisting their clannish ploy, as “tribalist” or “bigoted” — ironically, a brilliant and spectacular capture of their own very essence!

    Then, the APC “Muslim-Muslim” ticket would gift Obi the infernal spin of election as “religious war”, as revealed in his pathetic “Yes, Daddy” audio leak with Winners Bishop, David Oyedepo — which neither of them even has the balls to admit.

    This faith-clannish coalition was all too glaring from the results of February 25 — which ought to have sobered Obi and got him thinking of future alliances.  

    But instead, he and supporters have resorted to bluff and bluster, powered by the most incendiary and uncouth of threats.

    When faced with the most innocuous of truths — like the Tinubu Time citation — they fly off the handle.  That explains the cyber attacks on poor Ms. Rajvanshi — as if such juvenile blather would banish the truth! 

    Welcome to the bubble of Saint Gregory and his inspired dregs.  Just imagine if this rabble had won power!

    But this mob, predictably surly and sour, aren’t the most dangerous of Obi-dient fascism. More respectable voices are — which brings back Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie.  

    After a rash letter to US President Joe Biden, she doubled down on Arise TV that her “anecdotes” could stand for sweeping electoral facts — including soiling the reputation  of the INEC chair but admitting it was all based on rumours!  

    That girl must really think she’s writing grand fiction, which may yet breed grand angst!

    Yet, reputations don’t just suddenly collapse.  They fade by enforcing suspect causes.  But even that is a democratic choice.

  • Post-poll nihilism

    Post-poll nihilism

    Prof. Wole Soyinka, our own WS, calls it fascism.  

    But to get an international anchor of all the post-poll nihilism in Nigeria, and the eventual futility and disgrace awaiting the nihilists, beam your searchlight on Kenya.

    Also, look at the eternal fumble and stumble of Donald Trump in the United States: twice impeached as president; and the first former president arraigned on criminal charges in US history.

    The local nihilists here are not unlike Trump.  The more Trump sinks and falters, the more he postures he’s staring in some Scooby-Doo — or is it Scrappy-Do now? — infantile cartoons, with thunderous cheers from kids, firmly locked in their sweet, infantile bubble!

    The more Peter Obi and co border on the treasonable and the felonious in their demagoguery, temporal and spiritual, the more their zombie-like captives, primordial and spiritual, lustfully cheer!

    They echo so eerily the Yoruba tragic drum.  Its thunder-clap sounds are grim invites to nothing but premature shredding.

    But back to America: the Trump that in 2016 bragged he could do anything and get away with it just faced cold reality check, looking so stone-faced from the dock!  

    So long for breakfast served chilled, for a perpetual child locked in an old man’s frame!  However the case is decided, Trump would never be the same!

    Neither will Nigeria’s post-poll comics, as they drive themselves into a cul-de-sac: again, a lift off the Trump play book of virulent election denial-ism; the butt of scornful  jokes from the court of public opinion — or even grimmer stuff, with their clear hugging of treason! 

    But back to Kenya.  ”Obidients”, in their cyber bully empire, drew loud joy from the social media-powered election of “youth-backed” President William Ruto.  

    If the social media could enthrone Ruto in Kenya, beating Raila Odinga, then backed by the sitting President Uhuru Kenyatta, against his own Vice President, why not Nigeria?  That was their own contemptuous riposte to Obi’s glaring lack of “structure”

    That was the pre-election fundament of Obi’s post-election hallucinations. 

    But what did the Kenyan “youth” do with their very own, Ruto’s victory?  With less than 100 days in office, the same “youth” queued behind Odinga — their visceral reject of less than three months ago — to power crippling protests against Ruto, their very own!

    So long for “open sesame” approach to serious challenges of governance!

    Still, Nigeria’s post-election lunacy is reaching troubling heights, leading to DSS, the Nigerian secret police, to read the riot act.

    The climax of that madness was some comics, with their cowardly sponsors, taking their treasonable protest to Defence Headquarters at Abuja, and begging the Army for a take-over.  What lunacy!

    Had the police arrested those protesters on the basis of putative treason cloaked in  democracy, their sponsors should by now be singing like canaries.

    Then, Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed, Peter Obi’s running mate in the February 25 presidential election, came on Channels TV to infernally brag and threaten the Nigerian state, should it dare to be bound by the rule of law, of inaugurating the president-elect!

    Channels, boasting own agenda but not always noble, got trapped with own hypocrisy. The NBC, broadcast regulators, slammed on it a N5 million fine for reckless air fare on public TV — no tears from here.

    But if Channels can cough out N5 million for Datti’s “jam talk” — to borrow that picturesque pidgin phrase — why should Datti walk free for threatening Nigerian democracy, in supreme, if misguided, outlawry?  

    Then, enter Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie, and her beatification of primordial angst as suave electoral petition; in her open letter to US President Joe Biden — and the June 12 crisis, of 30 years ago, seems alive, if not so well!

    Not so well — because a noble and incorruptible Muhammadu Buhari is locked in the Nigerian presidency.  Thirty years ago, it was a dissembling Ibrahim Babangida, self-imposed “military president”, courting wayward co-souls and near-ruining their country. 

    Indeed, Adichie internationalizing electoral near-fibs reminds you of many IBB/Abacha regime zealots, who clambered on CNN to impugn MKO Abiola’s victory.  

    But at the local level were a bevy of reactionaries, committed body and soul to the IBB regime’s white lies, filled with supreme hubris that evil would triumph over good.

    Arthur Nzeribe was the unfazed evil genius, with his Association for Better Nigeria (ABN) — what a name! — that nevertheless worked overtime for Nigeria’s ruin.  With subversive court injunctions, Nzeribe near-singularly torpedoed the June 12, 1993 presidential election — and with it, the inchoate 3rd Republic.

    Uche Chukwumerije, ex-Biafra propaganda czar, as IBB Transitional Government’s Information Secretary (minister), churned out relentless scare messages that created a sense of siege.  So deep was that sense that many Igbo fled Lagos, when no one pursued them, in the mortal fear that Lagos would blow up.  Many of them, innocent souls, perished in road crashes, in that panicky dash to homeland.

    Clement Akpamgbo, SAN, as federal attorney-general, was legal blacksmith-in-chief, forging IBB-era decrees, from that regime’s infernal furnace.  He was the regime’s No. 1 legal conspirator against June 12. 

    Why, in the Abacha high noon of post-June 12 madness, even Emeka Odumegwu-Ojukwu, the Eze Igbo Gburugburu himself, bragged that as elected delegate into the Abacha-era constitutional conference, his “mandate” was superior to MKO’s!

    It is then to the nefarious acts of the likes of Nzeribe, Chukwumerije and Akpamgbo, all vermin of June 12 history, that Adichie is attaching her immaculate craft and distinguished name, over an election clearly won and lost!

    Hers is a democratic choice, to be sure.  But also sure is the inevitable stain that comes with staking your reputation on sweeping — or worse — false claims.   

    In 1993 and 1994, the opening years of the June 12 crisis, George H. W. Bush (US president till 1993) and Bill Clinton (new US president from 1994), were eons away from the Donald Trump era of rabid election-deniers and allied ruffians.

    So, if you froze history, Adichie’s letter might have made some sense to Bush or Clinton.  But not Joe Biden — himself a victim of American election deniers!  

    Why would Biden, therefore, not feel the civic evil of election deniers in Nigeria — because a venerated but misguided fiction writer, is excitedly writing fiction as real-life facts?  What hubris!

    But it’s as Karl Marx quipped: history oft repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as farce!  That paints the tragic farce of the Adichie appeal.

    The June 12 annulment won’t repeat itself here.  Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, the president-elect, would be inaugurated — except, of course, those who have issues with his mandate can convince the courts otherwise.  That’s the way of rule of law.

    The repeat that would happen — and sweetly so — are sore election losers, morphing into virulent election deniers, sinking deep into the infamy of history.  

    That is the smelly heap Adichie, Obi, Datti and co risk — no matter their sweet primordial or partisan schmoozing right now.