Category: Tuesday

  • That Soludo yabis

    That Soludo yabis

    The Soludo bomb, that the Buhari Presidency met a poor economy, but made it poorer still, is somewhat reminiscent of Fela (God bless his soul) in his African Shrine days.
    When the irreverent Afrobeat king-priest got into his elements, and his doting votaries were taut with expectations, this breezy question-and-answer would ensue:
    “Make I yab dem?” asked the self-named chief priest.
    “Yab dem!” roared the doting adherents.
    And Fela would begin his scathing excoriation of the then extant order. Enter “yabis”, into Nigeria’s urban lexicon.
    So, when Chukwuma Charles Soludo, former Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) governor, viciously bombed Buhari on how he had further damaged a thoroughly damaged economy that he inherited, Ripples’ mind just darted to vintage Fela!
    But the Presidency’s riposte couldn’t have been more apt, with civil language to boot.
    Laolu Akande, senior special assistant to the Vice President, pointedly told Prof. Soludo he was directing his venom at the wrong quarters. Though he admitted Soludo’s democratic right to his opinion, he insisted Nigerians too had democratic right to facts.
    And the facts? The economy tottered because of past wrong-headed policies and bad judgments; which had made an overhaul imperative. He then threw, at the former CBN boss, one or two paradoxes.
    A past government, awash with petro-dollars, didn’t have any to invest in crucial infrastructure, physical or social.
    Yet, a present order struggles with tight funding. But from that little, it is making strategic investments in roads and rail; aside from a school feeding programme, part of a social investment programme (SIP), targeted at the poorest Nigerians; as well as special interventions to engage unemployed graduates.
    Akande’s clincher: “The Buhari administration is spending more on infrastructure at a time when resources are lean. When we had abundant revenues, what happened was profligacy and plunder.”
    Besides, the old order made a fetish of liberalization and modernization, so much so that local refining was almost taboo. But the newly released Economic Recovery Plan (ERP) is already projecting export of refined petroleum by 2020, under its “sufficiency in energy” sub-head, food security that would give agriculture and agric-processing a boost, improved transportation infrastructure and (re)industrialization to further domesticate the economy; and save foreign exchange from needless imports.
    Moral: as the Greek, Heraclitus the philosopher quipped, you cannot step in the same river twice (so rapid is the flux of change). So, the Buhari government and Soludo would appear talking about different economies.
    While the present government works towards a restructured economy, with stress on local refining and heavy local manufacturing (though the electricity side of the equation still looks suspect), Soludo seems fixated on Breton Woods’ sanctified globalization: a sanctimonious artificial balance of books and triumphal declaration of “growth” sans development — total fidelity to an ideology propelled on western global ascendancy; but dooming other economies as perpetual laggards.
    A pointer to this direction would appear Soludo’s clincher that he doubted the magic the Buhari government would do to bring the naira-dollar parity to the pre-May 2015 exchange rate. Naira parity —was that a Freudian slip symptomatic of a mind fixated on imports, so that watching the naira exchange yo-yo becomes some sick national pastime?
    The Soludo-Buhari Presidency debate would appear a difference between two ideological paths, destined to lead to two different destinations. The snag though is that one of the sides assumes the self-evident superiority of its own view, that it practically stamps it as received economic wisdom. Such vanity!
    Very early in the Buhari Presidency, Oby Ezekwesili, without any sense of irony, rebuked the president, who had balked at the devaluation of the naira, that excessive sticking to dogma would not fix the economy. It didn’t even occur to Madam Due Process, of the Obasanjo era, that even her comments were shaped by dogma!
    That exactly had been the mindset all through the Obasanjo-Jonathan era, with the trio of Soludo (CBN governor), Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala (Finance minister, and under Jonathan, coordinating minister of the Economy) and Ezekwesili (Due Process and later Education minister), playing star roles.
    Soludo, as Obasanjo’s chief economic adviser, theorized to no end. He authored NEEDS (National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy), and its state and local government adjuncts of SEEDS and LEEDS; and as CBN czar, he floated the Strategic Agenda for the Naira, which soon landed him in hot soup with the new Yar’adua Presidency.
    But note that NEEDS and its adjuncts were not built on any concept of federalizing the economy, but on the age-old over-centralization that has brought nothing but ruin.
    Dr. Okonjo-Iweala, during the Obasanjo and Jonathan years, was a faithful votary of her metropolitan gods, merrily mouthing “growth”, wearing a smack over “healthy” foreign reserves, and reeling out fanciful “jobs” and stats. Yet, the real sector, of manufacturing and agriculture, were virtually dead. She even came up with “rebasing” that hauled a shell as the “largest in Africa”!
    As for Dr. Ezekwesili, “due process”, as laudable as that was, became almost a fetish in itself, recording fulsome “savings”! Still, none of these “savings” propelled a policy of sound infrastructure, beyond the proverbial lip service. No wonder then, that under Jonathan, less than six years later, everything went up in smoke!
    So, when Soludo claimed a bad economy was “further destroyed”, he referred to the self-promoted bubble his ideological clan pushed during their hey days. But that was no economy, despite all the arcane sound and fury. It was a mirage programmed for smoke.
    The thing though is if you “damage” an already bad economy, on the way to re-tooling it, you you have followed a natural process to renewal. That is the logical way to go, even with initial pains.
    That, Soludo and clan must appreciate. Their virtual economy model has led us nowhere but ruin. It’s time we tried another direction — of well and truly domesticating the economy.
    When that happens, the naira would find its true parity, without damage to anyone.

  • Ghost hunters at work

    Ghost hunters at work

    Two pictures published on the front page of this newspaper last Friday and reproduced below capture as grimly and hauntingly as anything that has gone before the thoughtlessness, the utter lack of empathy that has become ingrained in the drive to root out “ghost workers” from the public sector payroll.

    One of them shows a young man carrying in his arms what appears to be the limp body of an elderly woman.  The other shows another young man holding by the arm a woman bent with age and as she took what was obviously one difficult step after another.

    The one was not ferrying his charge across a busy street, nor was the other piloting his through a treacherous patch.  Both, officials of the Pension Transitional Arrangement Directorate (PTAD),  were guiding the women to  the venue of yet another Pension Verification exercise last Thursday, in the Edo State capital, Benin City.

    Those pictures could have been taken in Abuja or in any state capital or local government headquarters, or indeed at any venue where officials are gathered to match former and current employees with the payroll for the purpose of weeding out those who do not belong there, otherwise called ghost workers.

    The way it is conducted is often humiliating, dehumanising even.  If you do not show up for verification, you are presumed to be a ghost worker or retiree, and your name is expunged from the payroll.  Extenuating factors hardly enter into the reckoning.

    Verification was introduced in the 1980s to trim down the public payroll in keeping with the package of conditionalities stipulated by the International Monetary Fund for granting Nigeria a loan of $2.8 billion to carry out a Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP).  Like the programme itself, it took on a troubling aspect from the outset.

    A family friend, a high school teacher who was due to put to bed any moment, had to be taken from the  labour ward of the Ikeja General Hospital to the Surulere, Lagos,  venue of verification, a profile in distress and discomfort.  She had been given to understand that if she did not show up, she would have to find        another job.  She and her husband could not take the risk.

    If her name was stricken off the payroll and her condition was later determined to be extenuating, getting it restored would be no easy task.

    The women in the pictures were in all likelihood similarly circumstanced.  The pension might be little more than a pittance in these recessionary times, but even it merely spelled the difference between starvation and hunger, it was something.  It was theirs by right, something they had earned through public service in their more productive years, not a handout.

    Tales abound of the wanton indignities that men and women who had spent their best years in public service suffer during verification.  Men and women grappling with all kinds of infirmities are often kept standing under the open skies on long lines, at the mercy of officers who seem to be in no hurry to do what they are paid to do.

    At almost every venue, there are reports of men and women collapsing, overcome by hunger, exhaustion, or by the stuffy environment.  Retirees who survive this brutal ordeal have to go through it again the next year, and the next.

    Physical presence alone is no guarantee that the mission will be accomplished.  It must be backed by a formidable battery of documentation, from the original letter of appointment to the letter of retirement and everything between.  It is almost as if the public service keeps no records and it is the employee who has to fill the breach, to the point of even furnishing the File Number to be used in searching for the records. Failure to produce any of the documents or to supply the almighty File Number could spell serious trouble.

    Retirees resident abroad (Full disclosure:  I never took the trouble to file claims) are also required to go through this ordeal, on pain of having their stipends stopped –stipends that will not even cover the fare for the domestic portion of their voyage, to say nothing of the cost of their sojourn in Nigeria for the one week they will spend at the minimum trying to sort matters out.

    One foreign-based retiree tells me a verification official once suggested that if he sent a notarised picture showing him reading the local newspaper with its front page displayed prominently, it might with some luck be considered as an alternative to showing up in person.

    An advance, to be sure.  But this is the technectronic age.  And yet, it is almost as if some officials have never heard of the Internet and its numerous applications that have reshaped and are reshaping communications at all levels.

    As it is with retirees, so also it is with current public service employees, who are often required to go through verification at more frequent intervals.   It is almost as if the procedure has been institutionalised as a mechanism for avoiding paying salaries, or to put off doing so for as long as possible.

    In Kogi, verification has become a permanent exercise, an end in itself more or less.  By one account, what  has been paid by way of commission to outside consultants conducting personnel verification would have been more than enough to pay the outstanding salaries of everyone on the payroll, ghosts included.   Yet, salaries for public service employees in Kogi have remained for unpaid for some six months.

    It is most unfeeling, callous even, to subject public service retirees and current employees to the harsh regime of Nigeria-style personnel verification.   Even beggars deserve better.

    Those who subject retirees and employees to such wanton mistreatment:  Have they no conscience? Has it ever crossed their minds that one day they might be at the receiving end if these indignities continued unchecked?

    There are undoubtedly ghost workers in the system, spectral figures who perform no task whatsoever but show up dutifully on payday to collect or at the bank to take out what has been credited to their accounts.

    But even the most artful scalper cannot function as a ghost worker entirely by himself or herself. The ghost worker must have at least one internal collaborator or patron, usually operating at some strategic point in the bureaucracy, most likely the personnel or finance department.

    As much as N100 billion had been saved, officials claim, following the winnowing of some 45, 000 ghost workers from the personnel list of federal ministries, departments and agencies.  Still, they insist, tens of thousands of ghost workers are still lurkingo within the system.

    To my knowledge, however, not a single ghost worker has been prosecuted,  if only to act as a deterrent to would-be imitators.  The way they talk about it, they make it seem like rascally rather than criminal behavior, almost like a sport.

    And of course, no personnel officer, no accounting officer, no auditor has been named as a collaborator in the nefarious enterprise.  Yet, without them, the phenomenon would not have become the thriving business it is today.

    The ghost worker is going to be with us until the trade is criminalised and its well-placed enablers are brought to justice.

  • From Iroko to Arakunrin: Ondo on the march again

    From Iroko to Arakunrin: Ondo on the march again

    Oluwarotimi Odunayo Akeredolu, SAN, as simply “Arakunrin” (Yoruba for generic male, connoting “commoner”), reminds one of Shakespeare’s tragic hero, Caius Marcius Coriolanus, in the play, Coriolanus.
    In the most romantic accounts, Coriolanus was a boy-general, crucial to victories against the Volscians, fierce rival-neighbours of old Rome, though Coriolanus was hardly out of his teens.
    But a more realistic account portrays Coriolanus as a young general, but veteran of many triumphs, so much so that Rome’s survival depended almost solely on his valour.
    On the face value, there appears a gulf between Akeredolu and Coriolanus. The one is 60, well past mid-life, lugging enough life experience for his last stretch to old age. The other was young, just eyeing mid-life, as callow as they came.
    Still, similarities abound. After conquering legal practice by taking the silk, Akeredolu has turned his attention to politics.
    Coriolanus did not quite “conquer” warring, for that remained his first and abiding love. But after so much blood and gore, Volumnia, his influential mother, felt Rome must elect his son as consul, and promptly nudged the reluctant young man towards her wish.
    And there-in lies the closest comparison: politics meant Coriolanus, proud as a cock, vain as a peacock, must wear humility like a gown; which nevertheless sat rather ill on him. Provoked during his campaign for consul, by the treacherous tribunes, he blew his tops and embraced avoidable tragedy.
    Governance, it appears, is shunting Rotimi Akeredolu, SAN, the aristocratic lawyer, and Aketi, the colourful, if controversial politician, to Arakunrin, the commoner-governor.
    Would this newfound humility hold, when the chips are down, and the heat of office sears? Or will the Aketi volcanic temper, like Coriolanus’s, blast everything into smithereens? That rests in the belly of time.
    Still, in Ondo and environs, coining gubernatorial monikers, of the most theatrical hue, appears the fundament of branding a new government.
    In his eight-year suzerainty, former Governor Olusegun Mimiko relished his Iroko byname, which projected solidity and strength; and harvested tumultuous roars in Ondo streets.
    In the past seven years, Osun Governor, Rauf Aregbesola has milked his Ogbeni (simply Mr) moniker, which reinforces his projected image of the governor as the man next door — no frills, no thrills, just work.
    Aketi, as governor, has gone even a step further, in projected gubernatorial humility — a commoner-governor at everyone’s beck and call, ready to serve, at the shortest of notices. That’s a sweet change from a rather cantankerous profile, with explosive newspaper interviews, ringing with venom!
    A ready-to-serve governor, humble and focused, would register rather well with the long-suffering Ondo people, after the Mimiko years that promised so much, but delivered too little. That has left Ondo with quite some catch-up to do, at least when compared with its South West neighbours. Yet, with its oil wealth, Ondo is potentially the richest in all of the South West.
    Yes, Lagos boasts more cash from the Federation Account; and raises much more as internally generated revenue. But divide the resources of Lagos with its 20 million-plus population, and Ondo’s with its less than four million people, and Lagos appears statistically poorer.
    Still, it would be inordinate comparing or contrasting Lagos with Ondo. For one, Lagos, aside from a former federal capital, is one of the first-generation states, created in 1967. It is 50 this year. Besides, for the past 18 years since the birth of the 4th Republic, Lagos has built an awesome record in physical and social infrastructure, so much so that it is easily the national reference point.
    Not so, comparing Ondo with its clusters of South West neighbours. Ondo is far younger than Lagos. Unlike Lagos, Ondo has not witnessed progressive continuation under the same party, or more accurately, movement, for that long stretch. But neither have states like Ekiti, Osun, Oyo and Ogun.
    Ekiti, under Governor Kayode Fayemi, was a study in development policies, though a tragic shortfall in matching politics would lead to the premature electoral ouster of that government, after just four years. Yet, it is clear Ekiti was on its way to planned, deliberate and sustainable development, before the advent of the Ayo Fayose burlesque of stomach infrastructure.
    Osun, much younger than Ondo (created in 1991, compared to Ondo’s 1976) has even fared much better since 1999, despite some indifferent governments. In the past seven years, in spite of its lean purse, the Aregbesola government has shown the greatest hunger for social and physical infrastructure in all of the South West, so much so that Osun is set to break out of its extant mode: a civil service state worth almost nothing outside the ultra-narrow economics of civil servants’ salaries.
    Ogun and Oyo, second-generation states like Ondo, have made their strides too. Oyo was happy beneficiary as seat of the old Western Region. Even then, after a series of uninspiring governments since 1999, Oyo State, under Governor Biola Ajimobi, has essayed the heights Oyo should clear in sound infrastructure. But it’s work-in-progress yet.
    Ogun, in the past 14 years, under Governors Gbenga Daniel and Ibikunle Amosun, though under different parties and differing gubernatorial tempers, has maximally leveraged its contiguity to Lagos to jack up internally generated revenue and rev up physical infrastructure; in modern roads and bridges. But again, there is much more to do.
    Whither Ondo in all of these, particularly when compared with its immediate peers of Ogun and Oyo?
    The late Governor Olusegun Agagu had great vision in infrastructure, for he authored many bridges to link up the riverine areas that produce the state’s oil wealth, with the mainland that harbours its agricultural wealth. But the governor’s lack of legitimacy, no thanks to two controversial elections, blighted his agenda, from turning into legacy.
    In contrast, immediate past Governor, Dr. Mimiko, lugged fearsome legitimacy, and humongous street popularity, after retrieving a stolen mandate from the courts and winning the first second term in Ondo history. Many contend he tried his best. But many more also argue that he spent an inordinate time on political gaming, fired by cheap trickery, busy playing the end against the middle, that he failed flat to deliver on his stunning potentials.
    It is, therefore, a state rich in potentials, but tragically short on actualization, in comparison with its peers, that new Governor Akeredolu has inherited. Nothing bad in following the Iroko tradition of telling political symbolism, starting with a winning gubernatorial branding.
    But from Iroko to Arakunrin, what the Ondo people crave are unstinted service and veritable results, even if theatrical sobriquets and performance are not necessarily mutually exclusive.
    That is why Akeredolu must hit the ground hard, shun the temptation to play the Leviathan of both party and government, and give petty distractions a wide, wide berth.
    Besides, he should leverage, to the full, the South West economic integration protocol, being forged by the Development Agenda for Western Nigeria (DAWN) Commission.
    Otherwise, he risks the Mimiko self-rout of, blinded by hubris, trading putative greatness for pathetic ordinariness.
    That would be yet another hope-betrayed by a longsuffering people.

  • ‘Exotic cars’, everywhere

    ‘Exotic cars’, everywhere

    Lately, I have been thinking of exotic things.

    Please, don’t get me wrong,

    My mind has not been on vacation spots in the South Pacific and South Atlantic and the Caribbean and the Adriatic, gourmet foods, costumes, pets, birds — like the ones roaming the grounds of the Presidential Villa in Abuja with majestic guilelessness — music, objets d’arts, dance, artistic performance – the whole shebang.

    I have been thinking of exotic cars, but not out of a craving for one.  At home, the ten-year-old Toyota Camry still gets me there in comfort and quiet style. Abroad, the 1997 Volvo, downsized from an earlier model that was for all practical purposes a miniature armoured tank but with no loss in its storied ruggedness, does the job reassuringly in every weather condition.

    I date this concern with things exotic from the time the Senate decided that locally-assembled motor cars would not do justice to the delicate anatomies of its distinguished members and chose instead to order bulletproof American-specification SUVs and limousines they consider de rigueur for the exceedingly hazardous task of making good laws for the governance of the Federal Republic of Nigeria and its unruly tribes.

    The media called them “exotic cars” and the term stuck, much to the annoyance of the distinguished senators.  To be fair, not much was exotic about the cars. They were just loaded models of the kind of Japanese and German automobiles you will find on the streets in the cramped, open-air, roadside stalls of emergency car dealers in Lagos and Abuja.

    A good many of the senators have in their personal fleet automobiles that would make them look as if they had fallen on hard times and become déclassé if they were to be found riding in those so-called exotic cars.

    Take as an example my senator.

    You don’ know him?  Let’s just say that he is much better known for his pugilism, for his utter lack of refinement, than for his legislative skills.  Nevertheless, he numbers in his fleet a Lamborghini that can accelerate from zero to 60 miles per hour (or 96.6 km per hour) in just 10 seconds.

    The so-called exotic cars were, in sum, a disappointment.

    When it was announced that EFCC operatives acting on a tip-off had found 17 exotic cars parked in a warehouse in Kaduna allegedly belonging to a former ranking official in the Nigeria Customs  Service (NCS), my earlier disappointment was more than slaked.  Now the attentive audience would get a chance to see what an exotic car really looks like, These Customs chaps don’t deal in half- measures; it’s the full Monty or nothing.

    Some two decades ago a UNILAG contemporary whom I had not seen since we left Akoka came to see me at Rutam House.  Much to my embarrassment, some six months after that visit, his cologne still hung thick in the air. There was nothing I could do to dispel it. I called Inno for help.  He laughed, then hung up.

    So, if the 17 cars truly belonged to a Customs man who must be presumed to know his onions,  it might actually be understating the matter to call them exotic.  Ultra-exotic might be the more appropriate term.  The media in particular, and the public in general, were about to get a lesson from an authoritative source on what qualifies a motor car to be designated “exotic.”

    When Alhaji Dikko Abdullahi Inde, a former Comptroller General of the Customs Service credited with ownership of the fleet, I took it as an indication that we were set, finally, to see the  real thing.  That was the personage, of whom Mohammed Haruna had written in a column for this newspaper (September 10, 2014) that he reminded him of the boxing legend Muhammad Ali, who matched high bombast with stunning delivery.

    In the event, there was no such lesson, only fresh disappointment.

    When it was finally unveiled, there was nothing exotic about the fleet.  A striking car there, a remarkable one there, but otherwise ordinary through and through.

    A 2009 Porsche Cayenne, the closest thing to an exotic vehicle; three BMWs, the highest being in the 525 series, one of them looking as if it came straight out of a salvage yard; five SUVs manufactured between 2003 and 2014; a 2013 Honda Accord; a 2013 Toyota Avensis; a 2010 Toyota Hiace, a 2009 Nissan Bus, a 2002 Peugeot 406, and a1996 Nissan Urban bus: there you have it, more or less.

    Altogether a desultory assemblage and proof, were any still required, that the recession is still with us.

    True, the vehicles all originated in or are characteristic of a distant foreign country, which is the meaning of “exotic” at one level.  In that sense, practically every motor vehicle in Nigeria would have to be called “exotic.” None of the cars in the warehouse is excitingly or mysteriously different or unusual, the sense in which that term is employed in this piece.

    Where in the fleet is the Ferrari California? The Aston Martin?  The Bentley Continental?  The Bugatti? The Rolls-Royce Phantom?  The Toyota 2000GT?  The Lexus Nürburgring? The Maybach?    To climb down several rungs, where is the Maserati?  The E-Class Mercedes-Benz? The Cadillac Escalade?

    Where, for that matter, is the sense of discrimination of those who call the desultory assemblage found in the Kaduna warehouse “exotic”?

    Many of our compatriots have already jumped to the conclusion that the vehicles must have been acquired illegally, for self-enrichment or personal aggrandizement.  It is of course the province   of the courts to determine whether the acquisition followed proper procedure.  But it is gradually  emerging that the vehicles might have been acquired for overarching public purposes.

    One such purpose, I gather, is to offer young Nigerians free advanced training in automotive technology and thus prepare them for the world of productive and remunerative work.

    If the scheme falls through, Plan B kicks in immediately.  It calls for establishing a motor vehicle museum in Nigeria that would be the first of its kind in Africa, and a tourist attraction withal. No admission fees will be charged,

    Who can quarrel with that?

    In whatever case, we have not heard the last about the so-called exotic motor cars.  These days, they seem to be everywhere.  Only yesterday, the papers reported that state security operatives searching an Abuja property allegedly owned by former Governor Gabriel Susan of Benue State had seized the keys to 45 exotic cars they said they found in two exotic vehicles recovered from the scene.

    It remains to locate the 45 exotic vehicles.  You hear that, Whistleblowers United?

  • Naira: Which magic?

    Naira: Which magic?

    I got an interesting call from my account officer in one of the so-called new generation banks Friday last week. It was a follow up to an earlier discussion on the newly introduced forex policy introduced by Godwin Emefiele’s Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) days before. Should I be interested in purchasing a Personal Travel Allowance (PTA) for a proposed trip, the lady dutifully informed, her bank would be more than willing to facilitate. Few hours later, a cousin whose ward is studying in Canada would also call to share a similar message from her bank: the bank is now open to process Form A for her ward’s school fees.
    Welcome, at last to Emefiele’s world of magical realism – a world where the unthinkable just happened. Check out the package: direct additional funding to banks to meet the needs of Nigerians for Personal and Business Travel, Medical and School fees; retail transactions to be settled at a rate not exceeding 20 per cent above the interbank rate. Something that is not only too good to be true but would have been difficult to contemplate six months back!
    As one would imagine, the effects have been electrifying: under one week, the dollar got a good hiding; from N520 to the dollar early last week, the currency in obedience to the law of gravity is currently down to N460!
    You know the story of how we got to this point. From the dizzying heights of more than $100 a barrel late 2014, the price of Nigeria’s crude tumbled to below $29 sometime in January 2016. Like the drunk after a binge, we woke up to find our fiscal defences all gone. For a country hung on imports, we ended up in a situation in which our foreign reserve trailed behind our import bills. The apex bank, fearing a run on it had placed innumerable hurdles all of which sought to restrict those who could access the shrinking forex piggy bank. First, it declared 41 odd items ineligible for forex through the interbank window. When that failed to have the desired effect, the apex bank, unable to boost the forex stock, went for additional administrative controls to tighten access. Never mind the periodic table of forex allocation published in the newspapers – no one could be sure of who is getting what: not the manufacturers for whom the apex bank had on paper, decreed seamless access; not the major economic actors for who access to forex had become a matter of life and death.
    With the economy literally choking from the CBN’s stranglehold on the limited forex, every player had to turn to the market segment described as parallel market. By this I mean manufacturers, traders, parents with kids abroad, traffickers – name them – the familiar throng who couldn’t get dollars to buy. And the banks – ever the shylock – cashed in to wreak their own havoc. Meanwhile, the CBN was content to suffer the illusion of keeping a tight rein on the official forex window while in reality, the situation had actually spun out of control. The result was the naira hitting the bottom at N520 to the United States dollar in the black market for more than three weeks running. And so, while the black market prospered, the CBN pretended it was still in the business of forex management!
    There are of course lessons from the development. First is the shattering of the so-called invisibility of the parallel market. True, there may not have been weeping and gnashing in the quarters of the parallel market operators as yet, it must be nonetheless comforting to see the segment taste the bitter broth they have long served the real sector as indeed the rest of us. Aminu Gwadabe, president, Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), puts it so well when he declared last week that the operators are in for a bad season. Just dessert? Who says the market is not beatable?
    Second is the futility of decreeing genuine demands for forex out of existence. The point is –Nigerians in dire need will look for forex anywhere they can get them even if that includes digging tunnels right up to the US Federal Reserve! Had the CBN factored this into the equation as against its preference to live in its denial or wish things away, it may have evolved a more pragmatic policy.
    The third is imperative of a new industrial policy. I say it for the umpteenth time, there must be a way to get our forex-dependent manufacturing concerns to generate their forex needs at least to reduce the pressure on the common pool. Where is the sense in drawing from a pool while doing nothing to replenish?
    Third is to admit that there is really no magic in the business. I have long made the point on this page: much as it would want to, the CBN has little or no control over the rate of forex accretion. It is a question of managing what is available! That is the fact that is often lost on the hordes of critics who as it often appears, want to see the CBN sell what it does not have.
    Now, why did the CBN have to wait till the bottom nearly dropped before swinging into action? What’s so novel about the latest review that the apex bank would have to be prodded to act? By this I mean the penultimate week’s demand by the National Economic Council for a review of the forex policy?
    These questions are no doubt legitimate. However, they ignore one major factor which made the review possible. First point is to admit that the situation today is a lot different from what it was last year. The stats are not only better; they are more comforting. At $55+ per barrel for crude, oil price may not have fully recovered, there is no doubt that it is on a steady rebound. The same is no less true of crude production; with output currently put at two million barrels per day, the signs are not just of good times ahead but of steady progress being made to restore normalcy to the troubled Niger Delta. With the foreign reserves finally notching up to $30 billion, it would take more than a thousand Emefieles not to yield to the emerging pragmatism.
    Will this policy be sustainable?
    My honest answer? Enjoy while it last!

    Dear reader, yours truly will be away on vacation for six weeks. See you in April.

  • National question or just gaming for relevance?

    Sometime in October 2016, a colleague on The Nation Editorial Board asked if Ripples would be available to review a book, soon billed for launch, on Nigerian contemporary politics and history.
    The book’s title was provocative – how a people who never fought a war became the losers of that war.  It promised something, if the author could rigorously pull off his argument.
    But it turned a damp squib – for the author just went on a fanciful binge of emotive bombast and ethnic slurring, though he was very careful, on the surface, to project formidable erudition.  Still, it was all to a skewed end.
    On launch day, a captive and zestful audience was eager to hear what they wanted to hear.  But it was Ripples’ duty, based on facts from the book, to pronounce the exact opposite.
    It ended civil enough, though it could easily have turned another “civil war”.  In fairness to the zesty author, he was just a soul brimming with ideas and eager to joust – but not shy of unabashed self-exhibition.  We parted shaking hands.
    But why this long preface?  It is the umpteenth matter of the national question, among Nigeria’s many ethnics; which has become a cacophony, parallel to the nationwide hangover of hisses, grunts and moans, after decades of wild parties and wanton waste.
    Indeed, while misery is democratized (for hunger boasts no ethnic monopoly, just as the mindless sleaze that resulted in this present meltdown was a pan-Nigeria rot), the parallel privation-driven dissonance, is leading many ethnics to re-examine, even more acutely, their place in the Nigerian common wealth.
    Indeed, it echoes a grim paradox of the modern state, particularly the post-colonial states of Africa, as examined by Prof. Wale Adebanwi, in his new book, Nation as Grand Narrative: The Nigerian Press and the Politics of Meaning.
    In that analysis, Adebanwi, citing sundry authorities, painted a classical state-nation dichotomy of African states.  Whereas the African state looks so real (“densely corporeal”, he dubbed it) in its physical might,  it is so ghostly and flighty, if its claim is nationhood, with any common core (“elusively spectral”, he called it).
    That, of course, offers a robust intellectual foundation for Nigeria’s “re-structuring”: from a dysfunctional unitary state masquerading as federal, to a functional federation, where all of the ethnics are more sure-footed about what they pool into, and what they get from, the common wealth.
    So, the issue is not if “re-structuring”, or “true federalism” or any of its much bandied variants is desirable.  After languishing in the jungle of military rule for eons, and moving round in circles, on the federal question, in almost 18 years of continuous civil rule, it is clear Nigeria’s eventual salvation is in a vibrant federal state.
    But can the agitators measure up to the strict muster of the ideal?  That is doubtful, which is quite reminiscent of the author cited at the start of this piece, who promised, via his new book, much vigorous thinking but delivered instead flabby emotions!
    First, it would help to start from the recent beginning, before moving to the very genesis.
    The renewed clamour for a restructured Nigeria came immediately before the 2015 general election; and reached new hysteria after that election was lost and won.
    The one fancied the fond hope to gain from the pre-election gaming of “restructuring”, which turned forlorn by decisive defeat.  The other was sheer hysteria to cope with — or more aptly, cunning escapism from — the shattering angst of electoral wallop.
    That about captures the portrait of the newfound Salvation Army of “restructuring” from the South-South and South East, and their brash orchestra.
    The curious irony, though, is that mainstream elements from these parts of Nigeria had been most comfy with the ancien regime from 1999 — and even before — and its arch-centralist ways.
    What might have changed?  A Saul has turned to Paul, with the speed of light, even without the blinding lights on the way to Damascus?
    Even more curiously, the South-South, under President Goodluck Jonathan, had an ample, if not golden, opportunity to push for restructuring.  But their elite-in-power manifested the same avid rapacity, for which they lampooned and excoriated the “Hausa-Fulani”. With frenzy, they gobbled up the national barn – bumper harvest with tender seedlings, restructuring be damned!
    An extremist strain of the South East now puts its faith in “Biafra”.  The moderate mainstream now embraces “restructuring”, with the ardour of a neophyte clasping his new dogma.  Yet, more than any other, the South East elite had, pre-2015, been the most zestful collaborators in the Nigerian power racket, which suddenly has become a hateful gargoyle!
    With talks of a putative Igbo presidency, would the restructuring ardour cool after, just as it did with the South-South, under Jonathan?  Time, as Jimmy Cliff, the reggae superstar crooned, will tell.
    That returns the discourse to the South West battalion of the restructuring Salvation Army, in a patriotic blitz to save Nigeria!
    On restructuring, not even the meanest or most cynical of foes could doubt the resolve and constancy of these war-hardened South West veterans.  From time immemorial, that had been their regional anthem.
    But pause and ask: what drives the message of this contemporary army?
    Yoruba nationalism?  That’s legitimate.  The Nigerian crisis of nationhood stems from the fact that each component ethnic projects its essence as the exemplar for a cobbled state, yearning for a winning formative ethos.
    So, Yoruba nationalism cannot be bad, any more than Igbo, Hausa, Itsekiri or Tiv nationalism. In any case, Nigeria craves a sound federation because of its many proud but competing nationalities.
    Yoruba irredentism?  That is bad.  Irredentism is a precursor to domination, for it projects a superiority complex that suggests domination is a divine duty, for which the dominated must be grateful. That was absent from the Yoruba pristine push for federal Nigeria, from the Obafemi Awolowo era.
    But now? Many South West veterans, in this patriotic war, sound nativist, if not outright irredentist. That is to be decried — for irredentism cannot be bad for the Fulani, but good for the Yoruba.
    Still, that might well be strains of frustration, borne out of phobia for a clear receding influence, on this polity of many pathologies. So striking a blow for federalism, and fighting off creeping irrelevance, might just be two sides of the same coin.
    Which calls on the starry-eyed to be wary. Restructuring for a productive federation is the straight-and-narrow way to Nigeria’s salvation.
    But beware: there also appears a parallel wide and merry way. It teems with gamers, for personal or group relevance; and leads the naive, bristling with innocent ardour on the federal question, straight to nowhere but perdition.

  • Magu agonistes

    Magu agonistes

    Shorn of its classical flavour, this headline simply means the agony (or many agonies) of Magu.
    But why might Ibrahim Magu, acting chairman of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), be in agony?
    Did he, like Diezani Alison-Madueke, former minister of Petroleum Resources, just forfeit US $153 million (N34 billion) to the Federal Government, which the presiding judge, Justice Muslim Hassan, ruled were proceeds of crime, allegedly laundered on her behalf?
    Were Mrs. Alison-Madueke to be docked, does this verdict not become some support evidence for conviction, like the sword of Damocles, dangling over her?
    Sword of Damocles? Many in the Diezani camp would love that, despite its eternal dread and harsh moral stricture, for the sword of Damocles never comes down!
    Not so, the millions of the dispossessed baying for blood — and rightly so! That furious breed would wish the sword of Lady Justice, too slow for their liking, swished down with a zing, and chopped off every sticky finger!
    Or is Magu facing the storm like Andrew Yakubu, former Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) managing director, who just got caught out “icing” US $ 9.8 million and 74, 000 Pounds Sterling, in an indifferent facility. One cheeky fellow, on facebook, promptly dubbed that dodgy facility the “Central Bank of Southern Kaduna”!
    Or is he, for that matter, James Ibori, former Delta governor, who just left a British gaol house. Despite his conviction and punishment, Ibori faces a life-time exertion, yarning his odyssey was a British tale by the moonlight.
    From his tumultuous welcome, his Delta people seem to believe him; even if that results more from wishful thinking, than from dutiful reason. From outside Delta? Ibori draws disdainful rebuff.
    So, why is agony the lot of Magu, when he is no former convict like Ibori or lugging heavy but reasonable suspicion like Dr. Yakubu and Mrs. Alison-Madueke? Indeed, why — when his noble chore, to propel a corrupt-free society, is directly linked to the due exposure (and disgrace) of this trio?
    Why is there more zest in some Deltans rationalizing Ibori’s guilt, than in Nigerians massing in Magu’s corner, in his titanic face-down with organized corruption, located in some otherwise sacred institutions of state, stained by profane characters — democratic institutions conceived for the people’s welfare but now programmed, it appears, to ensure their ruin?
    That is the grand paradox of contemporary Nigeria, where, as in WB Yeats’s “The Second Coming”, “The best lack all conviction, while the worst/Are full of passionate intensity”.
    To the unwary, therefore, the forces behind this vile paradox are formidable, so much so that beside them, the all-mighty Nigerian state is not unlike puny Lilliputians beside the mighty Gulliver, in Jonathan Swift’s Gulliver’s Travels.
    But to the perceptive, these all-mighty powers of evil are no more than a tussled and ruffled dog, barking away its panic. That cannot be strength. It is pitiable weakness. That about sums up the palpable panic, in the camp of the corrupt, towards the Magu Senate confirmation.
    Perhaps a brief tie-back to the EFCC evolution is necessary, to properly situate the Magu fright, in the camp of the guilty, who in any case, are always afraid.
    President Olusegun Obasanjo did well to inspire and establish the EFCC, as part of his zero tolerance for corruption agenda. The snag, however, was that while Obasanjo always piously piped his integrity, like the Wole Soyinka tiger proclaiming its “tigeritude”, not many could recognize that immaculate tiger if they saw one! What is the myth of the tiger, if it didn’t instil recognition by instant dread?
    Besides, Vice President Abubakar Atiku was always a victim of unsavoury whispering campaigns, that always mumbled the worst. Perhaps by the occupational hazard of being a politician, the former veepee had not felt obliged to make a scapegoat of his many traducers and their evil sotto voce. That has not quite endeared his image in the emotive streets.
    And, of course, Nuhu Ribadu, EFCC’s first chairman, was a diligent and zestful fellow. But he was too voluble, a dash too boastful, leading to too many barks that fell short of actual bites. Besides, despite his personal honesty and commitment, he laboured under a presidency that was all noise, but which hardly anybody, when the chips are down, could vouch for.
    That has drastically changed. Perhaps for the first time ever, both President Muhammadu Buhari and Vice President Yemi Osinbajo would appear to ooze unchallenged integrity; and yet don’t crow about it.
    As anti-sleaze czar, the president would appear to have chosen an alter ego in Ibrahim Magu. Though taciturn, Magu is very formidable by his personal conduct and fierce commitment to his cause.
    Though he has inherited, from Ribadu, the media histrionics (by the way, a brilliant strategy to wrong-foot the brazen, thieving class, with their conspiring dreg of hustling lawyers and rotten judges), he appears a more formidable, if not implacable, foe who could not be subverted by throwing a rotten apple his way; or by penetrating a roguish and hypocritical Presidency.
    There then lies the panic that has gripped Nigeria’s organized corruption; and shaped their desperate war cry: Stop Magu by all means necessary!
    Only the obtuse and the dense would not see through the childish pranks of Bukola Saraki’s Senate, by purporting to have withheld confirmation for Magu, the media orchestration of such a tragic joke, and expect that would be the end of the matter.
    And now, like the Yoruba “egbirin ote” (web of intrigues), where one checkmated plot is only the undying phoenix for yet another, in a frenetic relay of evil, there are talks of Nigerian governors blocking Magu’s nomination.
    Despite all the empty cant, this confrontation has nothing to do with the public good, but their majesties’ alleged divine right to press financial opacity, with all the impatient fervour of the unquestionable monarch!
    Ripples is not about committing the favourite media sin of, wholesome, tarring the two key democratic institutions of the Senate and the Governorship. Even as the Senate hobbles under the dark shadows of its leadership, some senators still do stellar work, and are excellent representation of their people’s hopes and aspirations.
    The governors too, follow the same pattern. Hugely unpopular as a group, some governors continue to push noble claims as bright visionaries and passionate development agents.
    But this reported Senate-governors’ gang-up against Magu’s confirmation, concerning a reported probe over the N552 billion Paris Club refund to states, can only further damage these key institutions, in the estimations of right-thinking people.
    That is why senators and governors of goodwill must dissociate themselves from this reported plot; and align with this worthy crusade to rid Nigeria of graft, resultant underdevelopment and mass poverty.
    Magu, by his focus and diligence, has done more than enough to earn an easy confirmation, for a job he has done so well. Let the Senate do the needful, and stop baiting the disgraceful.
    The anti-sleaze czar should be toasted by all for patriotic duty, not roasted by unpatriotic elements, profaning the high temples of state.

  • Naira: Chasing the wind

    Naira: Chasing the wind

    Eight months into Godwin Emefiele’s ‘’Managed Float Exchange Rate System” – the verdict, at least so it appears, is that all is far from being well. If anything, things have gone much worse, not better, with the forex policy introduced in June last year.

    As predicted (or prophesied?), the naira has finally crossed the N500 line to the United States dollar; indeed, in the last two weeks, it has oscillated between N506 to N516. And so, the debate on whether the system can claim to have served the country well in the last eight months has ceased to be academic: it is the reality we now live with.

    Little wonder, the governors at the National Economic Council, (NEC) on Thursday last week demanded an immediate review of the policy by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). What they had in mind, they wouldn’t say. Be that as it may, the surprise is that it took them eight months to come to that conclusion.

    Talk about the CBN being on the spot, weeks before, the cyber-sphere had been awash with all manners of theories – ranging from the outlandish to the harebrained –alleging serious economic crimes against the monetary authorities. Part of the frenzy of finding who to blame for the naira’s one-way trip to the Golgotha was to cast the Central Bank of Nigeria governor, Godwin Emefiele, in the lead of Project Kill the Naira! And as if determined to pour fuel into the raging inferno, Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), reportedly issued the apex bank governor a query ostensibly to explain the charges – which I consider too base to list here – charges that may well have been dredged up from the vacuous rumour mill!

    Of course, these are interesting times. Soon enough, there would be enough blames to go round for everyone.

    For now, where do we go from here? From managed to the floating exchange rate regime, what next? We have turned full cycle. The former, despised for its rigidity – never mind that we had some semblance of stability – was blamed for sundry ills plaguing the economy. The latter, for all its pretences to the allocative power of the market has been a disaster (if it worked, we probably would not be talking of landing in the cesspit of recession).

    Trust the manufacturer who could not access forex; the parent who could not remit wards’ fees to the college in a foreign university, the sundry importer whose 41-odd items were declared ineligible for official forex by Emefiele’s CBN, there is no telling the difference between the old and the new. Not even a good word from our hordes of analysts for whom the thriving black market is sufficient proof of the blind alley that the two policies have left us! Eight months on, we may have just realised how badly the Nigerian ailment has been misdiagnosed.

    Here is what I wrote eight months ago when I first observed our obsession with forex management. The quest, I had reasoned, “stems from a fundamental misdiagnosis of the problem”. The problem, I had argued, being “more fundamental, touches on the ability of the economy to renew itself… the problem comes down to the tragedy of a nation that relies on a single commodity for all its forex; one that spends a disproportionate chunk of its forex on imports”.

    Needless to state that I have been proven right. Few weeks later I had also warned on this page: “Had the economy’s minders spent as much time on how to get the economy on its feet as they have done on figuring out the arithmetic of sharing the shrinking piggy bank, we would probably be well on the way to developing the concrete policies to get some our critical industries revving back to life and to boost our forex stock”.

    Today, we seem set for the same old prescriptions that brought us here in the first place. Never mind that the CBN has shouted itself hoarse; it appears that nobody is listening. The problem, says the apex bank, is that it does not have enough forex to go round! Unfortunately, unlike the naira which it has the liberty to print, the dollar is a no-go area.

    Yet, we expect the naira to rebound by throwing it to the market hounds. And while we can do nothing about increasing the stock of forex in the piggy bank, we are also not prepared to give up our love for those exotic items that consume a huge chunk of our forex! And while Emefiele fails to play the magician, we demand that his head be served on the platter!

    Just imagine the club of whiners. As it was in the very beginning, so it is even now: manufacturers, traders, contractors, portfolio investors to shady operators; name them; all them permanently on queue for forex. The range of demands is such that makes it tempting to assume that dollar has suddenly become the local medium of exchange. How could anyone not have foreseen the current unidirectional move of the naira more so at a time the supply of forex had severely contracted?

    Merely by the amount of pressure brought to bear on Emefiele’s CBN in the last few days, expect to see some hastily packaged policies to ameliorate what is essentially a structural problem – something that requires deep thought as against superficial obsession with forex management.

    But then, that is the way of a people that would rather treat symptoms than tackle the disease.

    Finally, I need to highlight another fundamental problem that the minders of the economy continue to ignore. Today, Nigerians worry that segment of that so-called parallel market has grown wings to the extent that it now plays the reference rate while the official inter-bank rate acts the adjunct. The question is: what are the monetary authorities doing about it? We are talking here of the club of unscrupulous actors known not only to prey on the system but have since become an atavistic force. What would it require to take them on? Why does the federal government prefer to feign helplessness in the face of their brutal assault on the nation’s currency? And where in the world, save Nigeria, are foreign currencies hawked on the highways as you would ‘pure water’?

    What is the role of the Bureau de Change in the equation? By rule, they are supposed to serve the lower end of the market. Do they? Given that the latter operate strictly by its own opaque codes, what is the chance in a million that the CBN will ever be able to bring this segment within the loop of its forex management?

    Is anyone still talking about respite for the naira?

  • The judicial scene

    The judicial scene

    When former President Olusegun Obasanjo took the oath of office in 1999 and vowed to protect and uphold the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, he did so by faith.

    He had not seen the Constitution.  It was a closely guarded state secret.

    Outside the narrow circle of those the departing regime of General Abdulsalami Abubakar had enlisted to  write the Constitution, few had seen the draft in its entirety.  Among those who fashioned it, not many could have expounded it with high confidence.  After they had turned in their draft, the military vetted it to give primacy to their own agenda, manifest and latent.

    The result was a document that, according to the late and much lamented legal titan Gani Fawehinmi (SAN), lacked internal consistency, was riddled with errors, chockfull of lacunae, and was, withal, not unlike a minefield.

    The death in office of President Umaru Yar’Adua threw up a thorny succession problem that pointed up more poignantly than any other issue the gaps in the Constitution.  It was remedied by recourse to a deus ex machina, the so-called doctrine of necessity.

    Even the 1979 Constitution, the preparation of which was much more elaborate, and was the subject  of spirited national debate, was not without its own share of problems, especially in the time of the military president, General Ibrahim Babangida.

    During debate on some crucial issue, you would confidently cite some provision of the Constitution that had not been suspended to back your submission.  It would turn out that there was no such clause in the document.

    Or you would depose with the utmost confidence that the Constitution categorically prohibited a certain course of action, and it would turn out that the document was completely silent on the matter.

    It got to a point that a leading newspaper wondered in a major editorial whether Nigeria was not being governed with a fake Constitution.  That was no idle question, for at that time, Nigeria was awash in fakery.

    I was led into these reminiscences by the on-going debate on the future of Walter Onneghen, Justice of the Supreme Court, who was recommended by the Judicial Service Commission (JSC) for appointment as the nation’s chief justice, a post he has held in an acting capacity since the retirement of Justice Mahmud Mohammed.

    Some people learned in the law, led by Wole Olanipekun (SAN) have argued that, on the basis of the JSC’s recommendation, President Muhammadu Buhari should have forwarded Justice Onneghen’s  name to the Senate for confirmation.  The Constitution, they submit, citing its relevant provisions,         leaves Buhari with no other course of action.

    The recommendation, it should be noted, is based strictly on seniority.  The justice who has served longest on the Supreme Court gets the JSC’s imprimatur.

    Other persons no less learned in the law, led by Professor Itse Sagay (SAN) contend that the Constitution cannot reduce the President to a mere rubberstamp and that he is under no obligation to send Justice Onnoghen’s name to the Senate for confirmation.  On the contrary, they assert, the President is at liberty to reject the recommendation and ask the JSC to submit another name for consideration, more so since  reputation, integrity, character, skill, and productivity hardly figure in the JSC’s deliberations.

    Seniority and seniority alone, they say, is not a sufficient consideration and has led at least in two instances to the appointment of misfits as chief justice of Nigeria, and that the field should be open to qualified persons outside the judiciary.

    Then there are those who, actuated by the same ethnic agenda they say lies behind the delay in confirming Justice Onnoghen, are warning, sometimes subtly and other times starkly, that there would be consequence if “their son” was not appointed to the position.

    Translation:  They would cut off the oil.

    At this writing, Acting President Yemi Osinbajo is reported to have forwarded Justice Onneghen’s name to the Senate for confirmation, just before the expiry of the three months the Constitution allows him to act as the nation’s chief justice. That should settle the raging debate on the matter.  But since ours is a litigious society, it is not inconceivable that some individual on a legal fishing expedition might seek a perpetual injunction restraining the Senate from deliberating on the matter.

    In whatever case, debate will continue as to whether the most senior justice of the Supreme Court, barring a finding of moral turpitude or other disabling factor, should automatically succeed to the top job whenever a vacancy occurs, or whether the position should be open to outstanding practising lawyers in good standing as well.

    I incline to the latter view. I support casting the judicial net much wider in search of qualified persons, persuaded that it is more likely to yield better results.  There is much to say for the continuity and stability that the principle of automatic succession is said to guarantee. But there is even much more to be said against the complacency it usually fosters, and the in-breeding that undergirds it.

    Persons who enter the judiciary as magistrates and rise through the ranks to chief justice are more likely than not to have developed a tunnel vision and a bureaucratic mindset that constricts rather than expand the very concept of law.  One thinks here of the judge in W.H. Auden’s famous poem, “Law, like Love.”

    Law, says the judge as he looks down his nose,  

    Speaking clearly and most severely,

    Law is as I’ve told you before,                                                                                                                    

    Law is as you know I suppose,  

    Law is but let me explain it once more,

    Law is The Law.

    A caricature, to be sure, but the point is clear. Narrow legalism. No nuance. Law disembodied of spirit. The letter of the law is what counts. We have seen example after example of this kind of jurisprudence.

    It is well documented that persons who belong in the same organisation tend to speak the same language and to think in the same way.  Those at the top tend to recruit people like themselves. These tendencies tend to limit growth and development. That is why many organisations strive for a diverse workforce..

    For the same reason, if you have earned two degrees from some of the leading American universities and would like to proceed to a doctorate, you will be advised to head elsewhere, in your own best interest.  Go learn from a different set of professors with different interests and orientations and prejudices.  Go seek new insights.  Go cultivate new friends.

    I commend this model, pardon my digression, to our universities, and to those preparing for academic careers.

    To return to appointments to the High Bench:  It is one thing to open the door to attorneys who have distinguished themselves in private practice or in legal scholarship and can thus be expected to bring a sociological imagination to bear on the administration of justice.

    Former President Shehu Shagairi, whom no one has ever accused of harbouring a progressive outlook,  took that tack when he offered the pre-eminent legal scholar Professor Ben Nwabueze an appointment  as a justice of the Supreme Court in 1979.  Nwabueze declined, for personal reasons.

    Also in keeping with this thinking, the Nigeria Bar Association has recently nominated some distinguished senior attorneys and academics to be considered for appointment to the High Bench. The proposal is commendable, and I suspect that many a legal scholar will welcome an invitation to serve.

    But will legal practitioners who can reap fortunes beyond their wildest dreams through litigating election disputes seek, much less accept, positions on the High Bench?

  • 2Face and friends

    2Face and friends

    But Rehoboam rejected their [elders’] advice and consulted the young advisers who served him, with whom he grew up.” — 1 Kings, 12:8, The Bible, New English Translation (NET) version
    By inspiring but abandoning the February 6 protests, Reuben Abati suggested popular artiste, 2Face Idibia, was a duplicitous two-face Janus.
    That is pure gas, especially coming from Abati — and that is no ad-hominem fallacy.
    2Face has far more honour, if the matter is Nigeria’s wellness, than Abati and other over-certificated folks, complicit but unfazed, in the Goodluck Jonathan debacle, from which this polity still hobbles.
    To be part of that historic disgrace, and yet piously prattle, as disinterested “public commentator”, and even plant some low-life conspiracy theories in people’s mind,  is the height of unconscionable duplicity.  Talk of the real two-faced Janus!
    Still, for 2Face, honour is one thing.  Culpable lack of understanding, before plunking, both legs into issues, is another.
    Courtesy of the opening biblical quote, how did Rehoboam, son of the wisest man in history, lose his kingdom; perhaps crowning himself the most foolish man in history?
    He took the advice of the youth, who spoke his own sentiments; and shunned the elders, who understood the issues.
    “With a dozen rash words,” theologian, Russel Dilday, entered his dire judgment, “Rehoboam, the bungling dictator, opened the door for four hundred years of strife, weakness, and, eventually, the destruction of the entire nation.”
    No. The idea here is not to disparage the youth. Didn’t the wise poet, William Wordsworth, say the child is father of the man? A wise and wizened elder today was, after all, yesterday’s rash and callow youth!
    But young or old, understanding issues, before acting, is key. Just imagine if Rehoboam had taken the right call?
    Perhaps the kingdom of David would have held. Maybe there would have been no conquest and dispersal. No Jewish Diaspora to feed Adolf Hitler’s holocaust machines. No frantic re-founding of the State of Israel in 1948. And probably, no Israeli-Palestinian mutually assured destruction!
    But pray, what has the ruin of ancient Israel, and woes of its modern cousin, got to do with staging democratic protests, in contemporary Nigeria?
    For starters, the issue is not romanticizing democratic dissents, as many seem to do. Or insisting on the people’s right to protest. Those are trite and settled.
    Rather, rationale behind the protest is the issue. What is it intended to achieve? And after the feel-good bawling, and irreverent screaming, what next? When is a protest functional? When is it just a distraction?
    You won’t get the right answers, unless you clinically grasp the issues.
    No doubt, there is pain and anguish in the land. But what caused the pain — wayward policies of the present? Or, execrable choices from the past?
    If the past has so blighted the present, that present pains are inevitable to save the future, why protest then, even if it were a democratic right, and the land were a babble of anguish?
    For rogue comfort, abort the future — the same misjudgment that landed us in this cul-de-sac? Or heckle the present government to abandon its straight-and-narrow path (that is indeed difficult), for the wide-and-merry way, that leads to perdition?
    Stop whining, often thunders the received wisdom — more of received folly, really — from bristling critics, fix the problem! Fine. But did anyone think righting wilful wrongs, including the free and frenzied stealing under President Jonathan, wouldn’t break more than a sweat? Strange!
    Still, it is amazing how mere coincidences often trigger past wisdom, which eternally rebuke present unthinking.
    Moremi Ojudu, daughter of Femi Ojudu, political adviser to the president, led a wing of the February 6 protests, which reached for the Ikoyi, Lagos, residence of Asiwaju Bola Tinubu. Now was that contrived friendly fire to spin some positives from the protests? Or the All Progressives Congress (APC) revolution consuming its own children?
    Whatever it was, the Tinubu angle enriches the narrative. Now, the Lagos State that Governor Tinubu met in 1999, unlike the situation at Abuja, was relatively well run.
    Indeed, aside from the possible exception of Sir Michael Otedola (God bless his soul) and Col. (as he then was) Olagunsoye Oyinlola, all Lagos governors had always been above the national average. Indeed, just as Tinubu was reference point during his era, the iconic Alhaji Lateef Jakande was the gubernatorial golden boy of the 2nd Republic (1979-1983).
    Yet, the first two years of Governor Tinubu, particularly from emotive critics that didn’t understand, talk less of sharing his strategic vision, was sheer hell on earth.
    Who, indeed, would forget the whispering (but hugely popular) campaign on the “Bola oracle” at Alausa, busy guzzling civil servants’ salary (when the government was leveraging the ORACLE software to sanitize the Lagos wage bill)?
    Or the heroics of Labour Leader, Ayodele Akele who, just as the 2Face protest of February 6 tried to do, led an impassioned campaign against Governor Tinubu, on the explosive planks of pain and hunger!
    But without those early but painful reforms, would Lagos be the roaring exemplar it is today? Back then, painful reforms took no less than two years!
    Now, with the serial rape of Abuja, what quick therapy or painless magic is available, and for a harried government that isn’t even two years old? That about sums up the naiveté behind the 2Face protests!
    Still, just shuffle the times, between 2001 and now. You probably would locate a constant: a nihilistic but loud minority, averse to any strategic pains, no matter how inevitable; and prone to happy manipulation by naive, or worse: subversive lobbies, under the aegis of some public good.
    But by far, the greatest letdown has been the media. Even if the people are too stressed to think hard, is the press, with its much vaunted brain power, also incapable of some introspection?
    And the colourful, post-protest headlines! “Protests rock …”! “Labour paralyses Lagos”! And in all of these, a crowd no more than 500, in a city of 20 million? Some rocking paralysis! That sure must be the Nigerian media’s contribution to modern journalism lexis, if not outright fiction — and all these in times of extreme national angst!
    And to think that these same papers were busy romanticizing criminality, when some Niger Delta elements were blowing up oil facilities, just to make the silly point it is chic to cut your nose to spite your face! By the way, does anyone remember the boast to make Nigeria ungovernable, just because an election was lost and won?
    It is all adding up in national hunger — and anger!
    No one can take away anyone’s right to protest. But like Rehoboam’s fatal gaffe, 2Face and friends blundered on this one without much thinking.
    That it went largely shunned, despite a laughable media hype to the contrary, shows the quiet majority understand the issues far better than the noisy, bristling minority. But it doesn’t mean they feel less pain.
    It is crunch time. We must atone for past licentiousness, or embrace sure future ruin. Let nobody give democratic dissent a bad name.