Category: Tuesday

  • Dino: Ajekun Iya!

    Dino: Ajekun Iya!

    At the zenith of his dashing rascality, even as a senator of the Federal Republic, Dino Melaye “waxed” a monster hit of a video-skit — Ajekun Iya!

    Touting rich Yoruba lore, earnest or witty, he told the tale of the weakling (read: Dino’s foes) that brawl with the mighty (all-mighty Dino) and swore, with swashbuckling conceit: such folly would fetch a hideous hiding — Ajekun Iya!

    Poor Dino! He was predicting his very own gubernatorial thrashing of November 11 — Ajekun Iya!

    It’s just surreal how art often imitates life — and Dino is living proof of such macabre art.  It was so ugly in his eyes he chickened out of voting for himself!  That must be a record in Nigerian gubernatorial election history — Ajekun Iya!

    No tears from here for Dino’s political doom at noon.  

    Everyone loves a nuisance, the Yoruba often scoff, but whoever claims such as golden children?  That’s the long and short of Dino Melaye’s street autobiography of endless stunts.  The Kogi collapse was a well-earned meltdown.  

    It was indeed self-doom foretold.  November 11 was harsh pay day.  But Dino was too garrulous, too soaked in his low show-boating, to hear the rumbling thunder of defeat.  

    But the Kogi electorate, not the least Dino’s own Okun Yoruba folks, were sure taking own notes.  Good riddance!

    Still, Dino’s politics-as-giddy-delinquency only mirrors the sad tumble of politics-as-high-ideals, despite the din from the opposition camp. 

    Take the duo of Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, twin-losers that framed selves as twin-winners, over a sole presidential prize they knew they lost fair and square!

    Dino is following the example of both to lament his well-earned loss.  

    His ready punching bag — just as Obi’s and Atiku’s — is the calm Mahmoud Yakubu and his well-clobbered Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), the automatic Judas for politicians’ election-day waywardness. How rich!

    Read Also: Shettima approves committee to pilot FG’s human capital development programme

    Obi never told a single lie all his political life.  But he never lived a single truth too!  At best, his ballyhooed political saintliness is rotten core forged in glittering gold!

    Or, how else would you frame his gubernatorial era “savings” which, by the Pandora Papers’ expo, was no more than brazen private capture of public money: pouring Anambra funds into family business, yet swearing it was the zenith of pious frugality!

    Thrift is being frugal with money.  Obi’s Anambra case was being frugal with the truth!  It’s the classic of public rot preening as public good.

    Nine years later in 2023, Obi headlined his presidential run with weaning Nigeria from “consumption to production” — the same bloke that, by his NEXT retail outlet, has made a fortune from unbridled imports!

    So long for Obi and his loud but gullible crowd! 

    Atiku, former Vice President of the Federal Republic, ought to know better; and ought to boast deeper introspection, if not outright wisdom.

    But alas!  The Wazirin Adamawa is often flighty and restless, with scant any grand ideological anchor, beyond the political equivalent of business profit and loss.  

    In his eternal quest for power, he flits towards any charmed platform: progressive, conservative, or even reactionary — like some swoony butterfly craving nectar.  

    That explains his peripatetic sojourns; and bitter retreats to hitherto scorned bases, to gobble hitherto hated vomits: PDP to Action Congress (AC); AC back to PDP — even before AC was defunct — PDP to APC, and APC back to PDP, when the elusive party ticket was far from sure!

    After his umpteenth loss at the February polls, the former Vice President traduced the apex court; abused the INEC chair and swore the 2023 election was the “worst”!  

    That was plain hysteria blabbing! That was deep-felt bitterness wailing!  Dino, his protégée, just joined the wailing and screeching party!

    But Atiku knows tarring February 25 is pure gas.  The Abel Guobadia-conducted 2003 elections, which handed Vice President Atiku and President Olusegun Obasanjo a second term, was far worse than 2023.

    The 2007 poll, for which President Obasanjo appointed Maurice Iwu as INEC chair, is the worst ever — for it orchestrated Obasanjo’s “do-or-die” electoral heist.

    Atiku was beneficiary of 2003 but victim of 2007.  So, he should know!

    Iwu’s INEC, Obasanjo’s special purpose vehicle for 2007’s blatant vote steal, could have rushed Atiku off the ballot, but for the courts.  

    Even at that, Prof. Iwu wasn’t sorry for his INEC’s outrage, unlike the mild-mannered Prof. Yakubu, who the delinquent losers of 2023 bash for their electoral seppuku, with Dino being the latest in that ignoble line.  

    Yet, from the Attahiru Jega-era card reader, to present-day BVAS and IReV, all INEC has done is try to strengthen the credibility of the vote.  But must INEC be pilloried for politicians’ roaring bad faith — bad faith that is a ruinous constant that never changes?

    Indeed, Election 2007 is the worst ever!  But don’t take Ripples’ word for it.  Take the evidence in the public space.

    Aside from the late President Umaru Yar’Adua who decried the disgraceful vote that earned him power — and put in place urgent reforms — the courts reclaimed no less than four stolen governorships from that brazen robbery: Edo, Ondo, Ekiti and Osun.

    Edo’s Adams Oshiomhole and Osun’s Rauf Aregbesola would go on to erect model development governance, refreshingly alien to the PDP era of cooked votes and paralyzed governments — at least in Edo and Osun.

    Unfortunately, the stellar heights of both, Oshiomhole and Aregbesola, were undone by the politics of sterile succession — ironically by successors who either didn’t share their predecessors’ high ideals or just couldn’t vault selves to those levels.

    Ondo’s Segun Mimiko — the first to gain power with Labour Party after hire — boasted dizzying heights in political mobilization.  Ekiti’s Kayode Fayemi posted a redemptive two terms, though the split terms sandwiched Ayo Fayose’s second coming, with its populist sweet poison of “stomach infrastructure” — which was a drag.

    But all the four were a loud rebuke of the first eight years of PDP rule; and set the tone for the party’s democratic ouster eight years later — and today’s shadow of itself.

    Which is why former President Goodluck Jonathan missed the point, big time, by decrying off-season elections.  

    A more introspective Jonathan should have hailed these elections.  They are reminders of how the judiciary saved this democracy from the bold-and-merry rigging of the PDP era.  But the former president earned a pardon: he lost the presidency with rare grace.

    Not Atiku — or Obi for that matter — howling “rigging” when both knew their cross-ambitions crashed PDP in February, as Dino’s own rascality smashed his Kogi dreams in November.

    Ironically, Dino serenaded Atiku during his doomed presidential run as much as Atiku serenaded Dino during his Kogi collapse.

    Both should snap out of their well-earned bad dreams!  Ajekun Iya!

  • Nigeria and parable of talent

    I Nigeria, abundantly gifted with natural and human resources, has over 40% of her population poor, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). So, as I listened to the Parable of Talent, which was the gospel, last Sunday, across Catholic churches, our dear country was on my mind. According to the NBS, 82.9 million Nigerians, excluding Borno State, are poor.  Conversely, according to Chatham House, about $582 billion have been stolen from Nigeria, by her kleptomaniac leaders since 1960. Again, according to the Minister of Solid Minerals, Dele Alake, the solid minerals deposit in Nigeria is worth about $700 billion.

    The parable of talent told by Jesus Christ to his disciples is contained in Matthew 25: 14-30. In summary, it says that a man going on a journey called his servants and entrusted to them his property. To one he gave five talents, to another two talents and to the third, one talent. And he went away for a long time. The person that received five talents immediately traded with it and made five talents more, while the person given two talents traded with it and made two more talents.

    When the master returned, the person given five talents presented ten talents, while the person given two presented four to the master. The third given one talent, brought one talent back and said: “Master, I knew you to be a hard man, reaping where you did not sow, and gathering where you did not winnow, so I was afraid, and I went and hid your talent in the ground. Here have what is yours.”   

    The master answered him: “You wicked and slothful servant! You knew that I reap where I have not sowed, and gather where I have not winnowed? Then you ought to have invested my money with the bankers, and at my coming I should have received what was my own with interest. So take the talent from him, and give it to him who has ten talents. For to everyone who has will more be given, and he will have abundance, but from him who has not, even what he has will be taken away. And cast the worthless servant into the outer darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.”

    Nigeria was on my mind because she is abundantly blessed, but she has performed worse than the person given one talent. Using the 2022 budget estimate of $39.8 billion as a parameter, the $582 billion stolen since independence is about 15 years’ budget. Considering that the nation’s population has moved from about 44,928,341 in 1960 to about 218,541,212 in 2022, the money stolen since independence, if pro-rated, should be more than 15 years’ budget requirement.

    It is important to note that it is the officials of the government entrusted with the resources, like the person given the talent by the master that substantially stole the $582 billion. In specific terms, according to the research institute, $400 billion was stolen from 1960-1999. And between 2005-2014, $182 billion was lost through illicit financial flows from the country. There is no data on what has been stolen from 2016-to present, but stealing and misappropriation of public funds have not stopped, and considering the corruption index, may actually have increased.

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    More fearful, according to the 2022 Multidimensional Poverty Index survey, 63% of persons living within Nigeria (133 million people) are multidimensionally poor. Sokoto, Bayelsa, and Jigawa states led states with the highest multidimensional poverty index. While Ondo has the lowest 27%, Sokoto has the highest 91%. According to Chatham’s report, the stolen common wealth “represents the investment gap in building and equipping modern hospitals to reduce Nigeria’s exceptionally high maternal mortality rates – estimated at two out of every 10 global maternal deaths in 2015; expanding and upgrading an education system that is currently failing millions of children; and procuring vaccinations to prevent regular outbreaks of preventable diseases”.   

    By several reports, poverty is higher in the northern part of the country, which many consider, the privileged region when it comes to access to power and public wealth. Since independence, the region has produced more leaders in government and money spinning sectors than the south, and apparently more kleptomaniacs or more wicked and slothful servants, if I may use the language of the Bible in the parable of talent. An online media, lists poverty index in states in the following order: Sokoto – 87.73% Taraba – 87.72% Jigawa – 87.02% Ebonyi – 79.76% Adamawa – 75.41% Zamfara – 73.98% Yobe – 72.34% Niger – 66.11% Gombe – 62.31% Bauchi – 61.53%.

    However, Nigeria appears to be behaving more like the person given one talent, with regards to the mineral deposit gifted to her by nature. The estimated $700 billion mineral resources gift is substantially hidden in the ground, perhaps awaiting the return of the master. Interestingly, Plateau State is recorded as the state with the highest number of mineral deposits. Among the top mineral deposits in Nigeria are Gold, Oil and Natural Gas, Bitumen, Iron Ore, Coal, Tin, Talc, Gem Stones and Gypsum.

    In the list of states endowed with the resources, are many northern states including Bauchi, Niger, Kebbi, Kaduna, Kogi, Zamfara, Benue, Kwara, Adamawa, Borno, Gombe, Nasarawa, and Sokoto. In essence, there is hardly any northern state wallowing in abject poverty, not endowed with mineral resources, but they are hidden in the ground, awaiting exploitation. Perhaps, Nigerians have become victims of the discovery of oil and the consequent Petroleum Act 1969 and exclusive legislative list in the 1999 constitution, which entrusted the ownership of all mineral resources in the federal government, against the principles of federalism.

    That discovery and enormous inflow of resources inflicted the country with the what is called the Dutch disease. According to CFI, a Dutch disease “is a concept that describes an economic phenomenon where the rapid development of one sector of the economy (particularly natural resources) precipitates a decline in other sectors. It is also often characterized by a substantial appreciation of the domestic currency. Dutch disease is a paradoxical situation where good news for one sector of the economy, such as the discovery of natural resources, results in a negative impact on the country’s overall economy.”

    Nigeria, like the person with one talent is stagnated in poverty and social dislocations and discontentment. Unless an urgent action is taken, while some will japa, the majority constitute a ticking time bomb awaiting explosion. The World Bank Group in a report titled: “Nigeria Poverty Assessment 2022”, suggests the need for deep structural reforms to lift millions of Nigeria out of poverty. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, presently in Berlin, Germany, where Otto von Bismarck and his fellow brigands, started the mess that Africa is, should make hay while the sun shines.

  • Ajaero’s Waterloo?

    Ajaero’s Waterloo?

    Joe Ajaero, Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) president, is a trove of historical allusions.  Poor Joe!  He looks like an actor, doomed yet merry, in a bizarre drama!

    Compared with Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821), intrepid emperor of post-monarchy France, Ajaero craves the fear-no-foe local Labour(?) Napoleon, ready to cut-and-thrust, with whoever, whenever, wherever or however.

    Kamikaze Joe, daring master of crippling strikes-as-potent-blackmail!  He loves playing the Yoruba fly that taunts the man with the deep sore.  What happens when the man, demented with rage, starts gobbling up the pesky flies?

    But having run into a stiff jab at Owerri on November 1, had Ajaero, too soon, faced his own Waterloo, though unlike the French original, he has not exactly galloped from victory to victory, in his rather rashly chosen battles?

    If Owerri evoked the Waterloo of the original Bonaparte, pint-sized Ajaero, juxtaposed with equally pocket-sized Adams Oshiomhole, former NLC president, evokes no less Louis Bonaparte, pretentious Napoleon III, the emperor-wannabe, whose pitiful conceit  sparked that Karl Marx memorable put-down.

    “History,” the grand, old theorist of Marxism sneered, “repeats itself: first, as tragedy, then, as farce.”  So long for Butterfly Louis, kidding self as Eagle Bonaparte!

    Ajaero, drunk with Aluta wine and brimming with reckless verve, must have fancied himself some fiery Oshiomhole II, in charged Nigerian Labour agitations.

    In truth, Oshiomhole galloped from victory to victory in his fearless jousting with the Olusegun Obasanjo Presidency, over the vexed issue of fuel pump pricing.

    But Oshiomhole’s times were the halcyon days, when Labour was not self-spiked with partisan politics; and the NLC picked its battle much more carefully.  Not any more!  

    If the Imo ditch can re-set NLC’s battle strategies, perhaps Comrade Joe can still regain his mission.  If not, not only Ajaero will sink.  Organized Labour too might.  

    That would be unforced tragedy — as the unforced error in the game of tennis — for workers and their causes.  That will just be too bad!

    Still, has Owerri taught Ajaero anything?  Very doubtful.

    To be sure, no citizen should get clobbered as Ajaero was.  Many days later, after he had re-found his voice, poor Ajaero wailed: alleged thugs pummelled him, hands tied, like a common felon!  He was the sad coquet, flirting with folks that had pity to spare!  

    Why, he even alleged that the Police arrested him, and passed him over to his alleged thug-pounders!  That’s a serious charge. The Police must investigate it — and it is just as well the Inspector-General (IGP) has promised a probe.  That should be prompt.

    Still, you see poor Ajaero, beaten and battered?  That’s how he himself had battered the law!  When you thumb your nose at the courts and their injunctions, you raze the social fabric, woven by the state via due process, to protect you!

    How?  A little, basic theorizing here.

    By the Social Contract, the very pillar of the pristine state, the people ceded a part of their rights to a central Leviathan (read power), in exchange for common protection.

    That power is the government which, pronto, erected many “safety nets” against the powerful, bullying the powerless.  One key “safety net”, so vital in a democracy, is the court of law, which even shields the citizens against the all-mighty government!

    Read Also:Ajaero: outlawry begets outlawry

    Yes, the government could play pranks with the courts, in terms of the so-called “jankara” (read rogue) orders or injunctions. Even if that happened — and it often does — the solution is not self-help, but a patient recourse to the courts for remedy.

    Indeed, self-help, in a clash between citizen rights (to not be bullied) and government rights (to assert its authority), often ends in self-pulverization!  That was the monster at Owerri — and it was ugly in our eyes!

    By pushing Aluta rights — the courts be damned! — Ajaero pulled rogue elements to deal him merciless blows, in a lawless jungle. Conveniently, the state looked elsewhere!

    But had Ajaero obeyed the National Industrial Court (NIC), and was less zesty to “shut down Imo” at all costs, he would have escaped that thrashing, for he wouldn’t himself have savaged the law.

    But that was even at the very surface.  That Ajaero and his Aluta army glibly boasted about truncating the Imo November 11 election, knowing how crucial that was to the democratic Republic, added a sinister motive to the entire misadventure.

    That sparked the merry tragedy of the parasite, giddy over the death of its host!  

    Labour rights are entrenched in, and best guaranteed by, a democracy.  But what happens when Labour threatens to subvert the very fundament that gives it life and nurtures its essence? Isn’t that a ghostly parasite dancing on the grave of its host, in fatal delusion it still had life?  Which parasite lives when its host is long dead?

    But beyond that fundamental blunder, Ajaero’s partisan dreams, pre-November 11, got buried under the thumping loss of Athan Achonu, the Labour Party (LP) candidate.  

    True, Achonu and co are replicating the Peter Obi bluff and bluster, thundering flowery polling-day allegations they hardly can prove, and claiming LP “won” — just as Obi did.  Like Obi at the presidency, Achonu came a distant third at the Imo gubernatorial race.

    An apple doesn’t fall that far from the mother tree, does it? 

    A victorious Governor Hope Uzodinma rubbed it in — Ajaero in the context of the Imo LP/NLC debacle!

    Flush with victory, the governor praised the Imo local NLC and TUC; but razed their national interlopers, who came launching an “evil conspiracy”, couched as workers’ wage mass action, against his government, close to a crucial poll.

    Indeed, Uzodinma duly earned his victory crow — the same nervy Uzodinma that apologized to Ajaero, over a battery he “knew nothing about”, when no one knew where the pendulum of victory would swing!

    You can’t really blame Achonu and co for bawling and kicking over LP’s crushing loss.  Politicians are born to cry wolf, when defeat hands them a thunder slap.

    But why drag NLC — and workers — into this political delinquency?  That is Ajaero’s cardinal crime, which organized Labour must sort out — and fast.

    By the way, what has happened to the NLC/TUC threat to start a national strike today, if their Imo “demands” were not met?  Both are too shame-faced to walk their talk?

    Besides, how do Labour undo their costly dance of shame at Abuja and Lagos airports on November 10?  How are those “Labourized” thugs, who disrupted flights in Abuja and Lagos, different from the thugs that beat Ajaero black and blue?

    Ajaero, by his rashness, is dragging organized Labour into a needless storm.  TUC, hitherto dignified and reasonable, is behaving as the stupid fly that would buzz and buzz, while following the corpse into the grave.

    When that storm finally comes, NLC will either keep Ajaero on its sinking ship or, as jetsam, toss him into the sea to save others.  Either way, workers will bear the brunt.

  • Nwabueze: The legal Titan and his legacy

    Nwabueze: The legal Titan and his legacy

    Benjamin Obi Nwabueze, the great jurist and peerless legal scholar whom I once referred to on this page as “our own Lord Dicey” – after the celebrated English jurist and constitutional theorist who popularized the concept of “the rule of law…” died a fortnight ago, aged 94 years.

    He was greatly admired for his forensic brilliance, his forthrightness, his mastery of expository writing, his prodigious scholarly output – some 34 books, not counting journal articles, monographs, public lectures, reports, and pamphlets – stand in his name.  He could be dismissive and cutting, but urbaneness was his default setting.

    Nwabueze’s was a life of the mind and of engagement, whether he was domiciled in the academy as a professor, or outside it as a consultant on diverse subjects, and as a public intellectual.  He was a driving force in the national policy discourse.

    He once told me with a glint in his eye how practising lawyers throughout Anambra State and legal scholars from the universities in the neighbourhood had converged in Enugu to hear him address the High Court in an important case in which he was representing one of the parties, and how there was hardly any room for the throng in the hallowed chamber or in the precincts.  That was a measure of his stature at the Bar, and his influence on the practice of law. 

    His influence on lawyering and jurisprudence went far beyond these shores.  His treatises on constitutionalism, social justice, and the rule of law are cited with approval throughout the English-speaking world, particularly in the Commonwealth, a relic of British colonialism encompassing more than 50 nations.

    His legal scholarship earned him and our Taslim Olawale Elias the rare distinction of the LL.D the University of London’s highest accolade in the field, appropriately called a senior doctorate, to separate it from the Ph.D.

    Nwabueze went home knowing that generations of students across the globe nurtured and weaned on his erudition, his devotion to the cause of justice, and his professionalism, will keep alive the causes he championed with great eloquence and passion throughout his distinguished career,

    In those fields and more, he was a beacon.  He was more:  He was without question a monument.  But the politics of ethnicity often got in the way of his advocacy and scrupulous adherence to the highest principles he espoused whenever he tried to deploy his great learning to finding solutions to Nigeria’s problems. This failing reduced him to something less than a model.

    In no area of his public life was the gap between principle and practice more jarring than the positions he took during the annulment crisis that shook Nigeria right down to its fragile roots and ramifies with each passing day, and on issues relating to ethnicity. 

    The political programme that was supposed to culminate in the election of a president under a new Constitution had reached a dead end.  After eight years of tinkering, detours and revisions, it had lost its momentum. 

    The two official political parties had become so indistinguishable from each other that some media commentators called them “Tweedledum and Tweedledee.”  There was so little public input in their formation or nurturing that some opinion-makers called them “test-tube” parties.  The year 1993 offered Babangida the last chance to save the transition.

    Read Also: Ngige mourns Nwabueze, Uwechue

    A Transitional Council, comprising some technocrats and former political office holders, many of whom Babangida had spent much of his seven years in office banning, unbanning and re-banning from political office was the vehicle he confected to give the transition a new momentum.  Its charge:  to complete the transition agenda within nine months and clear the path for a democratically-elected government

    From a sense of duty, Nwabueze came out of semi-retirement to serve as Secretary for Education.  I wrote him on the occasion, stating that I was unsure whether to congratulate him or commiserate with him.  His reply was gracious.   I was not alone, he said.  He had already accepted the offer, and the challenge was to make the most of the opportunity.

    For more than four decades, I had admired Nwabueze from a distance, principally from his books and his public lectures.  So, when it fell to me as editorial page editor of The Guardian and chair of its Editorial Board to arrange the Guardian Lecture for 1989, the organizing committee and I settled on Nwabueze as the presenter, given the twists and turns of the transition.  He had left his last job as Secretary to the United Bank for Africa in controversial circumstances during the Shagari era, and had been out of public circulation.

    He received us warmly and accepted the invitation on the spot when Guardian editor Emeka Izeze and I delivered it to his home in the Lagos suburb of Isolo.  With Babangida as the chair of the occasion and designated keynote speaker, and Nwabueze as the anniversary lecturer, the occasion generated greater public interest than usual, and for weeks thereafter, the keynote address and the lecture remained the subject of animated public discourse.

    Babangida abused the occasion to chastise those he called “victims of dogma of varieties of Marxist/Socialist orientation alternating cyclically between half-truth and the sparing use truth about any government and its well-intentioned programme.”  Nwabueze vigorously rejected the notion of the military as custodians of the state and keepers of its conscience.  And he made a powerful case for constitutional government based on the rule of law.

    The occasion did much to revive Nwabueze’s career as a public intellectual on the lecture circuit and made me feel that I had an obligation to ensure that he suffered no loss of reputation from Babangida’s beguiling invitation, as many had before him. That was why I wrote him, convinced that Babangida’s invitation and indeed the entire Transitional Council scheme was yet another stunt in a catalogue of stunts.

    It was the same reason that impelled me to advise him to postpone the launch of two books to mark his 60th birthday at a time when virtually all the public universities – for which he held ministerial responsibility – were shut down because of a dispute over pay and conditions.  He reasoned with me that going ahead with the launch would be a public relations disaster.

    Citing no coherent reasons, Babangida annulled the presidential election that the Transitional Committee was supposed to guide to a smooth takeover of power.  Two weeks after the election, Babangida abolished all the instrumentalities of the transition programme that had been eight years and N400 million the making.

    Concerned that Nwabueze’s reputation and public standing might be damaged by what was going on in Abuja, I sent him a note expressing my fears about where it was leading and how it might end.

    Despite his busy schedule, he replied promptly, lamenting that events had taken a turn that nobody expected, and that the only thing left to us was to pray!

    I was expecting him to resign. Unbeknownst to me and doubtless to countless other Nigerians, he was busy helping Babangida draft and perfect the legal instruments consecrating the annulment. 

    He stayed in office apparently unperturbed that, of more than 106 decrees Babangida churned out between January and August 1993, not more than two were ever referred to the Council for discussion, comment, advice, or even for information.  Its members had learned of the annulment from the news media like other Nigerians

    He remained in the Transitional Council, not caring that his name and reputation were being taken in vain, without corresponding adherence to the values he had espoused in his long and distinguished career.

    Nor did Nwabueze stick with his “lawyer’s case” in support of the annulment.  He availed himself of the opportunity to settle ethnic scores.  Outside the Yoruba areas, he wrote, most people who voted for MKO Abiola in the South did so to end the North’s monopoly on power.  The annulment was therefore seen in the South, rightly or wrongly, as lending aid and comfort to the North’s monopoly on Presidential power

    The monopoly of the presidency by the Muslim ethnic group of the North has as its correlate, Nwabueze continues, “the ambition of the Yoruba to monopolize other positions in the federal establishment.” That ambition, he continues, poses a serious danger to the good government and unity of Nigeria.

    The Yoruba may seem nice and friendly, but “they have no sense of fraternity with other groups in Nigeria when it comes to federal appointments,” according to Nwabueze.   “They see nothing wrong in monopolizing all positions in federal establishments, from messenger to chief executive.  To them, that is as should be, the natural order of things.  Any other non-Yoruba in their midst in such an establishment is considered an intruder.  Yoruba becomes a medium of communication in which government business is conducted.”

    Continuing his ethnic baiting, Nwabueze said June 12 made Nigerians outside the Yoruba West fearful that after two terms – or eight years – of a Yoruba president, many federal establishments would have become thoroughly “Yorubanized.”

    “The Yoruba,” Nwabueze warned darkly, “must make up their minds whether they really want the various ethnic groups to continue to be together under a federal arrangement with its implication that federal appointments should be equitably distributed among the component groups as equal partners in the federal union.  They must give up their monopolizing ambition, for it is subversive of true federalism.”

    It is almost as if, in his mind, the Yoruba are the trouble with Nigeria.

    In contrast, Nwabueze says of his Igbo kinsfolk that they are “truly a democratic and fair-minded people, always prepared to concede to others the right to share equitably what belongs to all.  Their sense of fraternity and fairness always inclines them to consider others in the matter of federal appointments and the distribution of common benefits.”

    Even when articulated by the usual ethnic warriors, this kind of jingoism is reprehensible. 

    When espoused by the nation’s pre-eminent legal scholar, an intellectual of global stature, leader of a public-spirited and well-respected group that calls itself rather portentously “The Patriots,” withal a person who should rightly be regarded as an elder statesman, at a time the Yoruba were under siege and fighting for their place under the Nigerian sun and the country was teetering on the brink of violent dissolution, it would be courteous to call it perfidious.

    Finally, if it is true, as Nwabueze once said, that “the happiest day” of his life” was the day he met Nnamdi Kanu, the leader of the Igbo separatist movement IPOB, Nnamdi Kanu, whom many even among the Ndigbo regard as a charlatan and a demagogue, we must be thankful that he channelled and sublimated his inner turmoil to bequeath to his compatriots and to the world at large a dazzling portfolio of intellectual and professional achievements.

    Hail and farewell.

  • Benin bypass to Gaza

    Benin bypass to Gaza

    If Israel continues the ongoing attrition war against Hamas, Gaza may in future, become a byword or synonym for hell on earth. Smarting from the atrocious massacre of 1,200 Israeli civilians, on October 7, by Hamas, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu led right-wing government has sworn to exterminate Hamas, and they are raining hell on northern Gaza, the stronghold of Hamas. Snubbing all entreaties to stop the collective punishment of all Gazans, for the terrorist acts of Hamas, the calamity befalling northern Gaza is akin to stories about the Hades.

    In Nigeria, the Benin bypass has become a byword for hell on the road. Originally built by the government of President Olusegun Obasanjo to ease pressure on the inner roads of Benin, and aid those travelling to the southeast and parts of south-south, middle belt and northeast; the bypass has turned from a succour to a nightmare. Travellers now spend more than 12 hours on a stretch of road that shouldn’t last more than 30 minutes. When it opened, it offered a pleasurable smooth ride, away from the hustle and bustle associated with the inner Benin roads.

    Soon, a park for trailers and articulated trucks developed along the axis, and before one could say jack, the congestion became a hindrance against the free flow of traffic. As if on cue, the road-work began to give way to the manoeuvrings of trailers and trucks, and aided by erosion, gullies and craters became a permanent feature of the road. Without any maintenance, the road degenerated to a form of purgatory for motorists, as they spent hours long enough to reach their destination, along that bypass.

    Travelling the route last week, this writer witnessed the road as a living hell for motorists, necessitating the Gaza imagery. A fellow, who left Lagos on Wednesday morning to attend a burial in Anambra on Thursday, arrived his destination around 3pm on the burial date. He spent over 32 hours, for a journey that should take about eight hours, running at the average of one-hundred kilometres per-hour, with stoppages on the road. Of course, he arrived after the burial, looking dishevelled like an escapee from the war-torn Gaza.       

    After narrating his ordeal, this writer felt the urgent need to alert the government of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu (PBAT) that the bypass if not immediately repaired, could become a burial ground for Nigerians, during the imminent Christmas period. For, if travellers could spend a day on that 30-minutes stretch, at this period of the year, it is better imagined how many days it would take to drive through the road during the high season of Christmas.

    Luckily, the minister for works, Engr. Dave Umahi, has shown himself knowledgeable in road works. He must therefore draw the attention of Mr. President to the calamity that has befallen that road, and the Armageddon that would befall users when Christmas arrives in about one month’s time. In his travels by road to assess federal highways, one wonders whether the minister has visited the Benin bypass?

    If he has not, he should make haste to visit, and make greater haste to secure the attention of the National Assembly to approve the necessary funds for immediate repairs. This writer believes that members of the red and green chambers would be interested, especially those of them from the southeast, parts of south-south, middle belt and northeast that pass through that road. While definitely all the honourable and distinguished members would fly over the bad roads, their new SUVs, acquired at a whopping cost of N160 million per one, would ply the roads to their constituencies during the Christmas break.    

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    Unless of course, to aid the effective discharge of their legislative responsibilities, the leadership of the National Assembly would sequestrate the Nigerian Air Force Hercules C130 aircraft to airlift each and every one of the luxurious SUVs, to the nearest airport to each of the legislators, to avoid any gap in the exercise of oversight functions during the Christmas season. Worse case, if the lower ranking legislators lack the capacity to commandeer the use of the C130, the principal officers may add that to the perks of office.

    But considering the potential costs for lifting all the vehicles to the national exchequer, and even the possibility of losing vital days of legislative duties, not to talk about damages to the new vehicles should they ply the damaged road, this writer urges members of the National Assembly to show interest in the urgent repairs of the Benin bypass. By so doing, they may gain remedial good-wishes from their disconsolate constituents, who feel disparaged that they spent N57.6 billion to acquire luxury vehicles when most Nigerians are finding it difficult to eat one meal a day.

    If the legislators doubt the veracity of the claims about the roads, the honourable representatives and distinguished senators in whose constituencies the Nigerian Gaza, sorry, Benin bypass passed, should visit their constituencies to verify the claims. Alternatively, in exercise of oversight functions, the committees of both houses on works, and the Federal Road Maintenance Agency (FERMA), should visit the bypass for on-the-spot assessment. If all that is too difficult to arrange from Abuja, the director in-charge of that federal highway should assess and report his findings to the minister of works.

    Tragically, while the rest of the world seems to lack the will-power to stop the carnage going on in Gaza, the Nigerian government has the capacity to end the hell on the Benin bypass. But why can’t the international community muster the resources to defeat Hamas, whose terrorist stunts caused the present crisis, and bring those responsible for the massacre in Israel to account, and thereby eliminate the reason for turning northern Gaza to hell on earth? Why can’t the international community find a lasting solution to threats to the existence of Israel and also ameliorate the miserable life that Palestinian live in the Gaza strip and West Bank?

    With the current war in Gaza, the two-state solution that has been bandied as the answer to the perpetual war between Israel and her neighbours, is pushed farther from reality than it has ever been. While Israel lays claim to Jerusalem as their eternal capital, the Palestinians who occupied the land for centuries after Israel was chased away into exile many centuries ago, are determined to have a share of Jerusalem, as their own capital. Unfortunately, this bloodied tango has become a means of livelihood for Hamas terror activists, and the survival gambit for some doddering Arab regimes.

    Clearly, a divided world is unable to guarantee security for Israel, and freedom for Palestinians. While this column wishes the Abrahamic cousins peace on earth, it urges an end to the hell along the Benin bypass.

  • Mob after parliament

    Mob after parliament

    Ripples is all for a far less costly government; and a more equitable and fairer access to state resources all round.  But in pushing this noble ideal, it’s unfair to burn just the National Assembly at the stake of vicious public opinion.  It is only one of three arms of government.

    That would be sending a mob after Parliament — the first estate of the realm, of any democracy.  That’s hardly smart — or even healthy for democratic deepening.

    The cacophony against the National Assembly — over what it gulps — echoes Menenius Agrippa’s belly fable, told to Roman plebs, furious at their Senate, as beautifully captured in Shakespeare’s tragic play, Curiolanus.

    To the plebs and tribunes of Rome (read: the public and press of today’s Nigeria), the Senate of old Rome — as the National Assembly of Nigeria today — was a parasite: the belly that gobbled up everything but produced nothing.

    But the witty Menenius spun it round: the belly consumed everything all right.  But it hardly retained any — for it was no more than the body relay that fed all other parts!

    Enter, the scorned belly in grumpy and angry body politics!  To be sure, Menenius was no pleb.  He was every inch the patrician, who spoke up for his peers that ran the Senate, as the tribunes did for the plebs, though the tribunes added own poison, bile and envy — as the media often does today.

    To be fair, his stand that the belly retained “nothing” but processed “everything” is a clear hyperbole.  Pure altruism hardly exists anywhere, not the least in politics.  

    Don’t the Yoruba always say: work in the shrine, eat of the shrine?  

    Still, his wit (that by the way jolted the plebs and the subversive tribunes to new realities, beyond their loathe-prison) showed there were many sides to a story.

    The mass hysteria against the Nigerian legislature has gone on for too long.  It’s high time it was balanced with some reasoned discourse.

    Former President Olusegun Obasanjo, it was, that first threw the National Assembly under the bus, over the so-called “furniture allowance”.  But — old fox — he was silent on his own ministers’ perks.

    Indeed, the way Obasanjo tore at the legislators and the venom with which the media trumpeted the tirade is reminiscent of a Coriolanus classic on the Roman rabble! 

    When the tribunes hollered “oh!”, he mocked, the rabble thundered “oh!-oh!-oh!” without thinking!  It’s been pretty much the same on the National Assembly’s case.

    Hostile public opinion, from 1999, often leaves them bruised, if not dead, as a band of  greedy ruffians, sworn to crashing the common till.  But are they?

    Three citizens, former legislators but now ministers, explain the harsh censure.

    Dave Umahi (Works minister but elected senator at the last poll), Olubunmi Tunji-Ojo (now Interior minister but also elected into the House of Representatives) and Nkeiruka Onyejeocha (ranking House member from Abia, who lost her seat at the last poll).

    While about everyone is hysterical over what their former peers get, either as senators or Representatives, there is not even a whimper on what this trio gets — why?

    Same set of citizens.  Same entry points as elected legislators.  But a jarring, different treatment, just because they had crossed to the executive!

    That underscores the double standard that has driven the anti-National Assembly roasting.  Ripples just ponders what the personal takes of this trio might be!

    Could people be placid over executive perks, just because the ministers are far fewer?  That appears clear.

    Read Also: Learn to leak your wounds, APC counsels Obi  

    Folks wail and grouch over the buying of “exotic cars” for the “multitudes” in the legislature. Yet they are mute to similar perks for the lucky “few” in the executive.  Blessed are those whose “sins” are covered?

    Carping over legislator numbers, viz-a-viz their perks, is both emotive and fraudulent.

    Starting with emotions: the emotive seldom ever win a logical joust. They subvert the mind’s ability to x-ray every angle, and rashly wave the proverbial smoking gun.  Most times, however, that turns out a mirage, leading to conclusions skewed, unfair and unjust.  

    And the fraud: using the legislature’s numbers, against its members, is clearly unfair.  The Constitution birthed the numbers to fairly represent the people.  Parliament did not.

    That’s the cost of democracy the state must pay.  But if democracy is expensive, we all saw the cheapness of junta rule, which incidentally junked the legislature for closet but ruinous rule!

    Besides, in the gripping passion of the moment, partisans often limit the executive to just the President and his cabinet.  But what about the departments, parastatals and agencies under the ministries?  

    Is anyone tallying their numbers?  If so, why isn’t anyone using those numbers — and perks their heads and hierarchs enjoy — to bawl, in holy rage, as they often do against the National Assembly?  Are numbers inferior to numbers?

    It’s tragic the focus is often on how much a governmental arm gulps, not the value it adds.  To fairly judge the legislature, a robust template on its output is imperative, not just emotional outbursts.

    But again, that underscores the crafty skew of the anti-parliament campaign.  The thrust is that the National Assembly sits in plenary, enjoys fat perks and does little else.

    That’s untrue, though.  Just as the executive has its huge bureaucracy, so does the legislature.  Being the most stunted among the three arms — no thanks to past junta rules — you’d expect far more sensitivity regarding its careful nurture.  But no!

    Even going beyond the three arms — legislature, executive, judiciary — and their comparative costs, why does even the private sector richly pay its chief executives and top hierarchs, leaving virtual chaff for others?

    It’s because they are thinkers.  Law-making is serious business.  It is no plebeian job, for glorified office boys and girls.  

    It’s rather a federal chamber of thinkers — the upper symbolizing states’ equality; the lower stressing differing population — elected to think and make laws for the republic.  It’s either the state is ready to pay for their high services or it closes shop!

    Still, nothing in all of this rally should suggest the government should live off the fat of the land, while the people wilt and waste away in penury.  Far from it!

    But if you must call out the legislature, you must also call out the executive, not leaving out the judiciary.  That would be fairness and equity under the law.

    Besides, it’s just rich looking back at the first eight years of this Republic from 1999. Obasanjo raved and hollered over “furniture allowance”.  Yet, post-2007, it’s clear who, among the three arms, trapped the most of public resources for own personal gravy.

    It certainly was not the much vilified National Assembly, given the “kill” of the executive and its twin-leaders!

  • Naira: Questions, more questions

    Naira: Questions, more questions

    For those who had feared and most probably predicted the worst fate for the naira, it must have come as a surprise that the currency has in the past few days been making spirited gains. From hitting the lowest ever level of N1,315/$ in the week ending October 28, the currency continues to gain strength such that by last weekend, it had exchanged for N950/$ on the average in the same parallel market.

    If it comes as any refreshing departure from the norm in a country where things hardly come down once they go up, the development itself has certainly provoked hard questions about the forces propelling the movement in either direction.

    Yes, the big story is that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has started clearing over $10 billion foreign exchange backlogs of commercial banks and foreign airline operators. A move to shore up confidence in the economy – a calming effect of sorts on the oftentimes irrational behaviour of the disparate players in the forex market – to be sure, the choice was not whether those claims are legit or not but whether the apex bank actually has the means to pay.

    Now that the apex bank has dared what in the circumstance could be deemed as impossible, surely the import of the measure can hardly be lost – either in terms of its optics or its signposts for the overall economy. Surely, the message out there is that the country is not only back in business but that the apex bank is on the restorative track; one only needs to add that the bigger, unanswered question remains what should be the appropriate exchange rate given Nigerians’ long abiding fixation with the United States dollar.

    Yes, we know what happens when the exchange rate goes up; everything from transport costs to prices of basic consumer items goes up with it. Indeed, such has been the lot of the citizens in the past few months following the removal of petrol subsidy, necessitating the rash of palliatives across the board to ameliorate the cost of living crisis.

    I have heard many out there describe the current fate of the naira as a crime against humanity. In a season more marked by emotion than sound logic, that is partly understandable. Trust me, those are not even among the partisan mob who wish to see the naira hit the N2000/$ if only to sustain their continuing rage against a government that they would rather see fail! You know who! These are people who simply can’t understand why a unit of Nigeria’s currency would exchange for a thousand of another’s!

    Few, if any, seems to remember, how the nation got to this point: the years of sabotage and production shut-ins in the oil producing Niger Delta which eventuated in the nation being unable to meet its OPEC quota and hence its forex needs; the continuing lack of appreciable manufacturing capacity as a result of which the country has to depend on imports even for basic goods; our wholesale reliance on fuel importation, the utter neglect of our agriculture among others.

    Suddenly, it is like the Central Bank of Nigeria or the federal government could print dollar notes just as in the days of yore when Emefiele and company churned out crisp naira notes as they pleased! Now that the chicks are home to roost, it is like some people are expecting the government to conjure the miracle of turning stone to bread.

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    Yes, we must thank God that naira is steadily improving. Fact is that the neither the CBN nor the federal government has done anything extraordinary – at least, not up until this point. While the optics is good, it remains to be seen whether the effects will endure. In fact, a lot would have to be done to keep the trend.

    As for the exchange rate, it needs to be said that there is really nothing sacrosanct about it. At least, that is what the example of South Korea has taught.  The Asian country’s currency, the Won currently exchanges at 1311.85000 KRW/$ – the same band with Nigeria’s so-called parallel market. However, that is where the similarity ends. The former, an industrial powerhouse, has a vast array of goods and services to export – and so could afford the luxury of a severely weakened currency to boost its exports. The self-acclaimed biggest economy on the continent, on the other hand, being a non-starter in manufacturing and lacking any appreciable capacity to export anything, thus relying virtually on oil exports, risked any devaluation of its currency at its grim peril!

    That has been Nigeria’s story – a case of double whammy!

    Interestingly, what Nigeria lacks in productive, manufacturing enterprise, it seems to have made up in the speculative activities of its unscrupulous businessmen, their allies in government and the bureaucracy, whose main line of business is hawking foreign currencies! 

    The long and short of the story is that the naira is in bad shape against major currencies mainly because the country has little else – aside oil – to export. Meanwhile, it needs loads of forex to bring in everything – from consumer items to industrial spares and raw materials to fees for trade licences and refined fuel! We can add to the long list the millions carted out in illegal repatriation through over invoicing and other trade malpractices as indeed other millions routinely packed through other illegal channels including our porous borders! While our net outflow is known to be far in excess of what the nation earns through exports, ours must be the only country in the world where currency speculation yields far higher dividends than real economic activities!

    Obviously, the government and the CBN would have to focus on these activities and many more, if indeed, they are truly desirous of rescuing the naira.

    The other area the government needs to beam its searchlight is the so-called diaspora remittances. This area is supposed to be growing in leaps and bounds with the CBN reporting that last year alone the country netted $ 21.9 billion. In fact, Agusto & Co. expects that remittance flows into Nigeria will rise to about $26 billion by 2025.

    Here, the real question – which the CBN has failed to answer satisfactorily – is whether the country is in actual receipt of those remittances. Sure, we know how easy it is, using those foreign apps, to transfer funds to Nigeria in seconds. Are they licenced by the CBN? Or better still, is the apex bank aware of them? If yes, how much control does it have over them?

    Simply put, can it guarantee that the forex equivalent actually hits the correspondent banks for onward remittance to Nigeria after settlement in the local currency?

    These and many more are for Yemi Cardoso’s CBN to ponder upon.

  • NLC labouring in politics

    NLC labouring in politics

    ‘The NLC made a big mistake by openly aligning with a political party in the general elections, as that reduced them to partisans, which colours their genuine labour interests’

    The attack of the president of the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC), Comrade Joe Ajero, in Owerri, Imo State, last week, should be condemned by all and sundry. While the police passed it off, as affray, arising from intra-labour union conflicts, the NLC insists that the attack was orchestrated by the police in cohorts with agents of Imo State government. Ajaero, had travelled to Owerri, to mobilize workers, to engage in a strike over unpaid salaries, against the state government.

    Of note, a gubernatorial election is slated in Imo State, next Saturday, November 10, which is few days before the mobilization effort of the NLC president, and the incumbent governor, Senator Hope Uzodimma, is contesting against Senator Athan Achonu of the Labour Party (LP), and Senator Samuel Anyanwu of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), as the top contenders. The police claim that when Ajaero landed at Sam Mbakwe airport, there was an attempt to start action at the airport, which was resisted by some workers, and in the ensuing ruckus, Ajaero was brutalized.

    The Nigerian police was accused of arresting and detaining the comrade, and further beating him up in custody. On their part, the police claimed that Ajaero was taken into protective custody and later released. While some reports claim that the labour leader was admitted at the Federal Medical Centre, Owerri, for treatment, other reports claimed that there were plans to fly him abroad, for better medical attention. On its part, the government of Imo State, like the biblical Pontus Pilate, washed its hands of the entire saga, pointing accusing fingers at intra-labour crisis.

    The NLC and its affiliate, the Trade Union Congress (TUC), have called a strike for Wednesday, to protest the brutalization of Ajaero. They demanded the transfer of the Commissioner of Police, Imo State, which has been effected. The CP was accused of being complicit in the attack on the Comrade. On its part, the Imo State government approached the National Industrial Court, presided over by Hon. Justice Nelson Ogbuanya, which reaffirmed its restraining Order, forbidding the NLC from embarking on strike, while the matter in court is adjourned to November 30, well after the elections.

    Hon. Justice Ogbuanya warned about consequences of any disobedience of the order of the court. But there are reports that some affiliate unions of the NLC have already embarked on strike, and there is apprehension that more affiliate unions may join on Wednesday. Obviously, it appears the initial attempt to corral a nation-wide strike to protest the brutalization of Ajaero, did not gain much traction. There are muted condemnation of the attack on Ajaero, across the country, as many public commentators, while condemning the attack, do not see it as an affront by the national government to warrant a nationwide strike.

    Expectedly, the crisis has been framed by those opposed to the tactics of the new the new NLC president, Joe Ajaero, as political action aimed at promoting the interest of his preferred gubernatorial candidate, Senator Athan Achonu. Some non-partisan commentators, also framed his determination to call out workers of the Imo State government on strike, few days to a gubernatorial election as a partisan action aimed against the incumbent governor, which has backfired. Some others, argued that there are states like Benue, which owe workers several more months of arrears of salary, and yet the labour leader has not mobilized against such government.

    To compound the issues raised against the union leader, because he is from Imo State, there is the presumption that beyond his affiliation to LP, he is an interested party in the outcome of the election. In a statement released by the NLC media, there is a claim that the state government and the police have sent thugs to invade the Azalla Owalla Emekuku community, in Owerri, Imo State, the hometown of Ajaero. The head of Media and Information, Comrade Benson Upah, made disparaging claims against the state governor and the transferred Commissioner of Police over the alleged attack.

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    He claimed that Ajaero’s community is under siege; an accusation the Imo State Commissioner for Information and Strategy, Chief Declan Emelumba, described in unprintable terms. The state commissioner accused the NLC president of being a card-carrying member of LP, and engaging in conducts that have created divisions within the NLC in the state. With the accusations and counter-accusation being reduced to intra-communal affair, the NLC president is unwittingly reducing the national importance of his office. If he is properly advised, he should have recused himself from the affairs concerning Imo State, as whatever action he takes will be viewed from the prism of emotional interest.

    For this writer, to unwittingly reduce the crisis between the labour unions and the government of Imo State, to a communal interest, is rather sad. Moreover, the claim by the NLC spokesperson, could spike an inter-communal clash in the state, as Ajaero’s kith and kin, may decide to attack the community, where the governor comes from in retaliation. So, from national to state, and now community interests, the NLC president should refrain from diminishing the high office he occupies. If the government of Hope Uzodimma, are pushing him in that direction, he should ignore it.

    As the national leader of NLC, Ajaero should concentrate his energy on national issues. Before he proceeds to any state to engage in mobilization of workers, he ought to ensure that he is on the same page with the state labour leaders. Where he believes that the state unions have been emasculated, he should use the national organs to fight the cause. He cannot descend into a disputed arena, and hope to mobilize affiliate unions in the state successfully. Such a descent would make him a partisan, instead of a mediatory force.

    As I have argued previously, the NLC made a big mistake by openly aligning with a political party in the general elections, as that reduced them to partisans, which colours their genuine labour interests. Again, that is happening in Imo State, as the NLC is being accused of acting the script of the LP, which they had openly supported. While individually, members of the labour unions are entitled to partisan politics, it becomes tricky, when as a body, the leadership seeks to corral every member to a particular political party.

    Evidentially, the crisis in Imo State is being framed according to the interest of the parties. For the All Progressive Congress (APC)-led state government, NLC is acting the script of the LP. On its part, the LP has issued strong statements in support of the NLC. Some other state stalwarts have accused Ajaero of acting the script of the PDP. In the political contestation, the primary interest of the NLC, which is the protection of the interest of workers, recedes from the front burner to the backyard.

  • Options before Atiku

    Options before Atiku

    Those who think that Waziri Atiku  Abubakar’s craven bid to wrest the Presidency from Asiwaju Bola Tinubu ended with last week’s dismissal of Atiku’s appeal from the PEPTC where it had fared no better  cannot have reckoned with  his personal history as a candidate of habit nor with the capacity of his attorneys for frightful inventiveness.

    As the Supreme Court was getting ready to deliver its verdict on Atiku’s appeal,  Atiku’s attorneys were urging a federal court in the United States to compel the FBI, the CIA, the IRS, the FDA and other agencies to release information in their archives that would help the Nigerian court arrive at a definitive ruling on whether Tinubu  was a proper candidate for the presidential election  in the first instance , and if not, whether he could lawfully continue to exercise the powers of president.

    For weeks, trawlers of the vast sewer that occupies much of the so-called social media space had been abuzz with reports that the imminent release of archives, said  to run into more than 20, 000 pages, would finally spell the doom of the Tinubu presidency they  regard as misbegotten.

    Early reports said the damning documents would be released 50 pages per day, or per week, depending on whichever fake source you tumbled on.  Later accounts raised the projected output to 100 pages a day or a week.  Neither projection satisfied the trollers.

    Much more gladdening to their attentive audience was the reporting by sources citing unidentified but unfailingly dependable sources that the entire archives would be dumped online in one fell swoop.  Let the parties concerned worry about the consequences

    In Nigeria, the opposition parties and Tinubu’s implacable adversaries could hardly wait for the release of the trove.  Many in Team Tinubu on the other hand were fretting that some investigative and regulatory agencies, particularly the FBI and the CIA whom they vest with omnipotence and omnicompetence, might deliver the coup de grace to the Tinubu presidency that the Chicago State University and a federal court had declined to grant.

    Atiku’s move was a transparent stunt.  The court dismissed it as meritless.

    And it was, indeed. Even at its most availing, the U. S. Freedom of Information Act FOIA that Atiku and his cohorts were invoking is not, contrary to what is generally supposed, a talisman.  It operates under the penumbra of the Fourteenth Amendment, which recognizes, albeit, narrowly, privacy as a constitutional right affording individuals protection from unwarranted intrusions by the government or police agencies.

    Complementarily, the law of privacy as enunciated by judges and enacted by  legislatures, deals with invasions of personal privacy by individual and businesses.  Atiku and his team were in effect seeking the authority of the court to invade Tinubu’s privacy.

    The court could have denied the request under an array of general practices as well as  statutory exemptions to invoking the FOIA in that manner.  To start with, information that is not in the public domain cannot be obtained using the FOIA.  Such information would for all practical purposes  be held in any of the government’s classification systems  and therefore unavailable on demand. 

    The classification system is almost omnivorous in its inclusiveness.  Government can classify any piece of information it chooses to classify.  A newspaper in the UK once tested this propensity to classify  when it deliberately published the menu at an Officers Mess  catering to the British General Staff.  The menu was classified as an official secret, and its unauthorized disclosure carried a stiff fine or a year’s imprisonment.

    In the event that your quest succeeds, the document you end up with is more often a cause of disappointment than fulfillment.  It is  heavily redacted, line after line and page after page blacked out in such a way that no artificial intelligence expert can reconstruct.  Only two lines per page on a 10-page document may survive redaction, and the information therein could could be bland as white bread.

    Generally, information relating to national defence, foreign policy,  the CIA’s operational methods and  materials in relation to the National Security Agency,  trade secrets, investigations in progress, and  inter-agency or intra-agency communications, cannot be obtained by invoking the FOIA.

    In rejecting the plaintiff’s application, the court cited Exemptions 6 and 7 under which the FOIA cannot be invoked to obtain information not in the public domain.

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    Exemption 6  protects personnel, medical and similar files . These could not be furnished without a “clearly unwarranted invasion,” of someone’s privacy.

    Exemption 7 has a broader sweep.  It relates to investigatory files compiled for law-enforcement purposes if the production of such records could interfere with law enforcement, deprive one a fair trial, constitute an unwarranted invasion of personal privacy, disclose the identity of a confidential source, disclose investigative techniques, or endanger the life or safety of law enforcement personnel,

    It came as no surprise that Atiku’s request was denied.  It seems as if the plaintiff and his team were embarked on another fishing expedition.  Their trans-Atlantic endeavours having collapsed, it might seem that they have reached a dead end.   But they are nothing if not tenacious.  I will therefore not be surprised if  they henceforth  seek relief in jurisdictions nearer home.

    The forum that immediately  comes to mind comes to mind is the ECOWAS Court of Justice, by way of an application for relief for violation of  Atiku’s rights as enshrined in the African Charter of People’s and Human Rights, a right they claim was brusquely abridged by the Nigeria’s Independent  National Electoral Commission, the  Nigerian courts, and their American affiliates.

    They could relitigate before this supra-national court all the issues they had been litigating since to no avail since last February’s election and even make a persuasive case for stripping Tinubu of the post of President of the ECOWAS Commission, the body’s  Executive Authority.

    As readers will recall,  one of Tinubu’s first acts in the ECOWAS chair was to push through a resolution condemning the coup in Niger and ordering that country’s mutinous army to return to the barracks or  be dislodged by the ECOWAS  armies.  Four  members countries ruled by the military had made  it clear that they would not support such a move. 

    According to political observers, those countries and many more could be counted on to mobilize ECOWAS opinion against Tinubu’s tenure as president of its Executive Authority.

    Atiku’s case before the ECOWAS court might go thus: Tinubu was not  qualified to run for President of Nigeria.  He did  so in flagrant breach  of the Nigeria’s laws.  This being the case, he could not have won the presidential election, and should have no place in the Assembly of ECOWAS Heads of State.  All decisions taken by ECOWAS  since Tinubu became president of its Executive Council are therefore null and void and of no consequence whatsoever. 

    Failure to render that verdict and render it unambiguously,  it will be argued, would make the Ecowas Court of Justice an accessory in the betrayal of the fondest hopes and aspirations of peoples of African Descent worldwide who look to Nigeria for global leadership. Besides, it would call the continued existence of the Court and its parent body into question.

    If that fails, Atiku could to take his case all the way to the African Courts of Justice and Human Rights, the primary judicial agency of the African Union.

    If that fails, he could petition the United Nations to set up the civil equivalent of the International Criminal Court.  Nor does failure to realize that goal exhaust Atiku’s options.

    Just don’t count him out yet.

  • Southeast geopolitical interests

    Southeast geopolitical interests

    The judgment of the Supreme Court which affirmed the election of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu (PBAT) should concern even the most optimistic opposition political elite in the southeast as regards the region’s geopolitical interests. In the 2023 presidential election, the electorate from the region, feeling disenchanted with the Buhari-led All Progressive Congress (APC) and cheated by the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) which despite years of support, gave the party’s ticket to former vice president, Atiku Abubakar, formed the bulwark of the strident Labour Party supporters which took the nation by storm.

    Tapping into that disenchantment, the political elite which felt robbed of the right of first refusal with respect to the presidency urged the region to put nearly all their eggs in the Labour Party basket. Well, while that basket has not fallen on a concrete paved road, the skilled labour put into the nurturing and hatching of the eggs have yielded a few chicks, most of them unhealthy and dying at infancy. Considering that patience is not a virtue of the political elite and their people, how would they deal with their political miscalculations?   

    With PBAT, an ardent political strategist in the saddle, it is fair to assume that the opposition parties would be in the lurch for some years to come, all things being equal. And since the ruling party did not harvest plenty of votes from the zone in the last presidential election, will PBAT apply President Muhammadu Buhari’s incongruous mathematical equation of 97/5 percent of those who voted for and against, in sharing the economic resources of the country? Hopefully, PBAT will prove a more gifted mathematical prognosticator than his predecessor.

    Many are wont to believe that some of the economic policies of the past regime, like the border closure, banning of the importation of certain items, the poorly thought out import substitution policies and the manipulative foreign exchange policies were aimed at punishing the businesses done by people from the southeast region. While some of the claims are debatable, there is no doubt that considering the mutual political animosity between majority of the people and elites of the region and the Buhari government, some of the policies were aimed at curbing the economic flourish, some will call it excesses, of the business men from the region.

    But as that regime may have found out, the economic regulation policies while encouraging minimal import substitution and artificial foreign exchange control, left the economy so hollow that they had to borrow money to pay salaries and engage in infrastructure development. The result is the stagflation which the PBAT regime inherited. The Buhari policy on rice for example, while creating significant local production, could not tame the run-away inflationary pressure which also affected the price of that staple food. And for an average Nigerian, what worries him/her is the price of rice, not whether they are locally produced parboiled rice in the market.

    Again, the border closure which was initially hailed by many, worsened the economic situation, even with the foreign exchange control policies targeted at discouraging certain types of import. Without local substitutes, and with no effective control at the national borders and ports, those determined to import such items soon found a way around the control measures. One glaring outcome was the booming of the parallel foreign exchange market, also referred to as the black market.

    As happens with unbridled regulation in a corrupt environment, unprecedented distortion soon set in, as many of the privileged members of the Buhari regime got ensnared into using influence to appropriate foreign exchange from the Central Bank, which they sell through their agents in the black market, to the same marketers who import what the regime sought to substitute. When those imports land at the national border or the ports, the corrupt custom officials appropriate the remnant of what should come to the national coffers, while the goods are delivered to the buyers at excessively exorbitant prices.

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    So, while the privileged members of the regime, the customs and other regulatory agency officials and the unscrupulous importers smile to the bank, the ordinary people and their national treasury haemorrhage uncontrollably. The multiple whammy of economic stagnation, high unemployment rate, run-away inflation, weakened local currency, scarce foreign exchange and a nation threatened by socio-economic disillusionment of the people, is now the lot of PBAT and his team to manage. Even for the most optimistic person, this is definitely not the best of times for the country, as the nation is like a tinderbox.

    Glaringly, for this regime, the first step is to build what the famous Tatalo Alamu, of this newspaper calls, building elite consensus to govern. PBAT must resist the temptation of the Buhari style of surrounding himself with only familiar faces, in the forlorn hope that what is only needed is loyalty and presumed competence. While those two are important, he also needs to hear outsider opinions, not accustomed to his economic worldview, since his emergence in 1999 as a political leader.                

    As is self-evident, the sinned-against, and the sinners are all suffering the consequences of the poor economic policies of the Buhari regime. Godwin Emefiele, the lightening rod of the economic team of the past regime, appears flummoxed, and must be wondering what came over him, to agree to preside over the gross mismanagement of the national economy. While the presidential apple he was offered is tempting enough, from hindsight he would know that it was a fruitless mirage. As we mourn the economic tragedy, those now saddled with responsibilities under PBAT must learn from what Emefiele and his cohorts brought on all Nigerians, including themselves.  

    No doubt, the disillusioned electorate and the disaffected elites from the southeast region can be harvested for good or for bad, depending on the poaching skills. While the cause of the political disease afflicting the southeast may be different, their economic afflictions are not different from that of the rest of Nigerians. As political pundits are wont to say, there is no different rice price tag for those who supported the past government from those who didn’t. The costs for transportation, health, education, security and all other needs have no discriminatory tags.

    As the Tinubu era starts in earnest following the Supreme Court verdict, the southeast political elite should engage in strategic analysis of the short and long term geopolitical interests of the region. They do not need any lecture to understand that what should guide them should be the paramount interest of the region, in a Nigeria built on equity, fairness and justice. And the region is awash with deep political economists and intellectuals, who can provide the roadmap to reincarnate the pre-civil war south-eastern economic miracles of Michael Okpara.

    Perhaps, the time for the much touted handshake across the Niger has come.