Category: Tuesday

  • My own Elizabeth story

    My own Elizabeth story

    Whenever I felt like raising my wife’s hackles, I usually had recourse to an expedient that never failed.

    Apropos of nothing in particular, or as the coda to a television news story on the British monarchy, I would ask, with calculated insouciance, “When is that woman going to abdicate and make way for her eldest son?”

    “Oh no, she shouldn’t,” she would fire back.

    My task was done, bar the occasional interjections.  It remained to sit back and listen, in feigned bemusement, as she laid out why the British Crown must not go to Prince Charles in the event of the Queen abdicating; rather, it should pass to her grandson William, Prince Charles’s oldest son.

    The father was unworthy of the Crown; not after his cruel treatment of Diana, the innocent, guileless woman whom he had trapped in a loveless marriage, only to return to a former lover who had married somebody else in the interval. . .”

    “You don’t know the back story,” I would interject diffidently.  “It is somewhat more complicated.”

    “I don’t care,” she would say. “He should not be king.”

    Sometimes, it was almost as if she had a personal stake in the matter.

    “It is not entirely up to the Queen, you know.  There are rules to the succession. . .”

    “I don’t care,” she would maintain.  “He should not be king.  And I don’t want to talk about it anymore.”

    We were at that conjuncture again after news broke two weeks ago that Queen Elizabeth’s health had caused her physicians more than a little concern.  Then followed a rapid migration of the royal family to Balmoral Castle, her summer vacation retreat in Scotland.   Scarcely three days later, it was announced that the monarch had died.

    Within hours of her passing Prince Charles had translated to King Charles the Third.

    I am not claiming this outcome as a victory in my habitual jousts with my wife over Queen Elisabeth’s sit-tightism.  On the contrary, I count myself the loser.  Whenever I feel like raising her hackles, I will now have to find a new foil.  But he or she is unlikely as worthy of attention as the Her Britannic Majesty, aforementioned.

    The jousting I have described is not unique to my family, I gather.  It is a familiar pastime in many homes and follows a predictable pattern.   The man of the house seems inclined to cut the future king some slack, whereas the woman of the house seems to be on a mission to avenge Diana if not to project on her own husband, the notorious peccadillos of the former Prince of Wales.

    In such homes, the men must be hugely relieved that there is a truce, at least for the time being, in this intricate game, which was always freighted with innuendo.

    I should add that my wife has softened her stance on the former Prince of Wales on learning that his consort Camilla and I share the same birthday of July 17.  Take note, Buckingham Palace.

    There is one important aspect of my life for which I will always remember the late Queen Elisabeth.   It is to her that I owe my first trip outside my place of birth, Kabba, in Kogi State, and it wasn’t just to the nearest big town — Okene, Ikare, in Western Nigeria, nor for that matter to the more distant Lokoja, the provincial capital, only 54 miles away.

    It was to Kaduna, the capital of Northern Nigeria, no less, some 400 miles away.

    Stuck in town as usual during the Christmas holidays in 1955, I was recruited as one of six pupils from my primary school to travel to Kaduna to do the flag-waving and cheering at the impending royal visit of the Queen and her husband Prince Phillip, the Duke of Edinburg.

    They trotted us to the Native Administration (N.A) dispensary and inoculated us against any contingencies.  From there they marched us to the Native Authority Treasury close by where were each handed the princely sum of six shillings, our pocket money for the trip.

    My excitement was boundless.

    Together with pupils from area schools and local dignitaries, we were conveyed in three trucks, one harmattan morn to Lokoja, where I saw, for the first time, the majestic River Niger, an awe-inspiring body of water that seemed to stretch to the horizon.  The trucks were loaded onto the ferry to convey them and their passengers to Shintaku, on the other side of the river across from Lokoja

    From Shintaku, we journeyed to Dekina, Ankpa, and Ayangba, arriving at Oturkpo the next day. From there we boarded a designated train on the Eastern Line to Kadina North station. The train ride was another first for me. You did not have to show any ticket to board the rain. So many freeloaders took advantage, but those were innocent days and there were no incidents.

    Read Also: Queen Elizabeth: Long walk to Windsor Castle begins

    Disembarking at Kaduna North, the boys were bused to the campus of Government Technical School and lodged in a cavernous hall where “iron” beds had been laid out with just enough room to go from one row to the next in any direction.  This was to be our home for the next two weeks. The girls were bused to the campus of the Queen of Apostles College in the Kakuri section of the city.

    They issued each of us a pair of white drill uniforms and miniature British flags and medallions commemorating the royal visit, showed us the dining hall and the clinic, and where to seek help.  The next day they bused us to the parade ground, the staging ground for the royal visit, for rehearsals.

    It was an expansive terrain, a mini-city actually, showcasing virtually every aspect of the cultures of the people of Northern Nigeria – their architecture, arts, crafts, institutions, leisure, lifestyles, cuisines, and so on.  The royal visit culminated in a grand durbar, a spectacular display of mastery of massed horsemanship, synchronicity, and control.

    The closest we got to the royal visitors was when they rode in an open Land Rover through row after row of flag-waving students, members of the paramilitary services, Boy Scouts, Girl Guides, and townsfolk drawn from every stratum of society.

    One Saturday afternoon, I ventured into town on my own.  Destination:  Kingsway Stores, which looked like a fairyland each time our bus drove past it.   I marvelled at the sheer variety and quality of goods displayed arrestingly and fed my eyes for the better part of a day, treading warily in case they decided I had no business being there and threw me out, or worse, called the police.

    As a memento of my visit, I bought a roll of toffee for sixpence.  It was all I could afford.  But I could at least boast that I had shopped at Kingsway.

    All too soon, it was time to head back home.  I had packed into three exciting weeks the kind of experience my peers who were always teasing me about my being rooted to the home soil – I had packed into three weeks a richer experience than they could boast of in their cumulative travel to spend school vacation with parents or relations.

    I had travelled by land, by water, and by rail.  I had seen her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II and her consort, the Duke of Edinburgh, not forgetting the Northern Premier Sir Ahmadu Bello, the Sultan of Sokoto, and the cohort of Northern leaders.

    Memories of that visit flooded back in 1976 when, on a visit to Scotland, I was given a tour of the Holyrood Palace in Edinburg, which featured prominently in the recent burial ceremonies, for Queen Elizabeth, walked the Royal Mile, and resided for two weeks at the Royal Horse Guards Hotel, within walking distance of Buckingham Palace, courtesy of a bequest from the Daily Times of Babatunde Jose’s era,

    Throughout the mourning for Queen Elizabeth, the British tabloids’ which never saw a spectacle they could not parlay into a scandal nor a slip they could not cast as a monumental blunder, sheathed their swords, and will now strive to regain lost ground.

    A starting point might well be the Profumo Affair of the early 60s, which rocked the Establishment, involving as it did the Secretary of State for War, call girls, British high society and Soviet diplomats, and was tinged with intimations of espionage.

    To this day, the identity of the personage implicated in the scandal and characterized tersely as “a member of the royal family” has been kept a closely-guarded secret.

    They knew his identity all right but were bound by the rules of the D-4 Notice by which the media voluntarily eschewed publication of material the government did not want reported.

    Those were simpler, more decent days, eons literally before ravenous social media, so-called, polluted cyberspace and poisoned the wellsprings of amity.

  • Atiku, Wike, Ayu and karma

    Atiku, Wike, Ayu and karma

    Abubakar Atiku, former Vice President, entered his PDP presidential nomination run with a simple, if cynical, formula: the Arewa native to retain power for the “North” and reclaim power for the PDP.

    Those were would-be personal gains, garnished with collective spice, served with gung-ho relish: first, the Atiku lolly for the “North”; then, the Atiku gravy for PDP: the former ruling party, drawn to power as a mad and furious bull is drawn to red rag.

    Indeed, the real “deal” for the PDP, in the Atiku magic playbook, was the “sure banker” of playing ace cynic, spewing humbug, roiling emotions.

    You don’t need to promise much; even less, articulate anything.  Just sit down and point fingers at explosive current challenges, to roast the present order — hardly illegitimate in election seasons!

    To be sure, the environment was rife for such cynical roasting at the stakes.  Muhammadu Buhari is fulsomely demonized as “abject failure”, on account of security and inflation.  Both tick with emotive grenades!

    Insecurity is fleeting difference between life and death — negating the very basis of the Social Contract, the very fundament of government.  Inflation makes the pocket to hurt.  When the stomach rumbles who can think straight?

    At Owerri, on his latest visit to Imo State on September 13, PMB self-canonized his efforts, saying his government had done very well, given the pare resources available and the harsh conditions it inherited and continuously found itself — even if those that should say so are not.

    Now, that was no flippant claim.  In truth, the media is fairly charged — and rapturously guilty — of flashing up challenges but burying strides.

    Witness the on-going uptick in power.  The instinct of the media was to ignore it, until the people themselves started pointing media attention to it in a macabre reversal.

    True, a tiny segment may have abandoned their strict professional ethos and hugged blind bias.  A good number plead good, old ethos of circumspection and healthy skepticism, one of the great canons of ethical journalism.

    But clearly more than many are yodelling to sweet doom-and-gloom, not unlike up-country yokels easily impressed and misled — a far cry from supposed clinical minds, professionally trained to dig deep and ferret out the truth, no matter the alluring lies.

    Journalists in this bind often bluster with sweeping generalizations, which provide soft, fixed but flawed premises, that lead to outrageous conclusions.

    But pray, how can you use fixed premises, when the issues you analyze are dynamic, and still think you won’t miss the road by miles?

    That’s the media noise that has tried and condemned PMB as “failure”.  Yet, his government, citing what lawyers would call “notorious facts”,  is credited with greatest strides in infrastructure and agriculture since 1999, not to talk of the first comprehensive effort at social safety nets, as a federal programme, in Nigerian history — and all that in season of vanishing cash.

    That was the dirty pool Atiku and his PDP were betting to sink their opportunistic snouts until Wike — sorry, Karma — happened!

    Since then, the falcon has become stone deaf to the falconer, things have utterly fallen apart, and mere anarchy loosed upon their world, in a neo-Tower of Babel!

    Yet, Karma did give enough early warnings.

    Read Also: PDP crisis: Wike weighs options as reconciliation moves collapse

    Alarmed at Atiku’s northern push and sensing own presidential dream up in smoke, Peter Obi did a quick, double march out of PDP, to find new, if fleeting, anchor in the ever-whoring Labour Party (LP).

    Since then, Obi has been spawning funny tales, backed by fancy stats, enrobing himself as glorious new Paul, emergency redeemer of the youth.  Still, cold facts affirm he is nothing but rotten old Saul, proud scion of the old mess.

    Only Obi and his most romantic goons fall for this comical pantomime.  Worse: all  are lost in the wilful wilderness of own spiteful creation, from which they have no way out — since each passing day they make, for selves, more foes, not friends.

    But the real karma boomed after Obi’s exit: Nyesom Wike, Rivers governor.

    Now, let’s get this straight: Atiku’s northern irredentism, as his opportunistic boon to corral the PDP ticket, wasn’t exactly all nonsense, by PDP internal dynamics.

    Notorious facts: of the 16 years PDP bossed federal power, the South accounted for a little over 13 years while the North (under the ill-fated Umaru Musa Yar’Adua) had just a little under three years (29 May 2007-5 May 2010).

    So, if Atiku galloped into town, raking panicked folks with his belching gun, pissed by a clear northern short-change in the PDP sweepstakes, you can at least understand.

    But legitimate as that is, how does it pan against the national optics of another northerner taking power from PMB, after eight straight years?  No sweat, the Atiku camp seems to crow, Arewa has the numbers!

    Why, even old man Bode George is crying blue murder and threatening raw thunder, if Ayu, the convenient casus belli, for this Wike-powered intra-PDP war, didn’t “abdicate”, to make for some optical balance!

    The little fire Wike lit in Rivers is blazing in the South West, flaring intra-zonal PDP mini-wars.  Who knows where the blaze would hit next, and what new heights it might reach?

    Still, would all of these have happened had Atiku picked Wike instead of Ifeanyi Okowa?  That’s Karma, the immutable!

    In fairness to Atiku, no one would expect a future commander-in-chief to yoke himself to a braggart-in-chief of Wike’s hue, and expect to rule happily ever after.  Yet, picking the calmer Okowa has fetched him nothing but pre-election catastrophe.

    Just one false move — which nevertheless felt like the sane one when it was made — has thrown Atiku and his PDP right at the stakes where they were hoping to roast PMB and his APC!  Karma the immutable!

    Atiku gallops into electoral battle on a PDP stallion echoing an out-and-out northern cave: presidential candidate (North), national chair (North) campaign council chair (North)!

    It’s the sort of scenario our ace liberal and Teflon reformer would gladly crave a fit, just to zealously point fingers!  Yet, here we are!

    Still, it appears morning yet on the day of woe.  Come the elections proper, Obi’s South East children of anger might well go ga-ga, taking their pound of flesh!  The portents are dire.

    Nevertheless, do all these put the rival APC in the clear, romping to an easy victory?  Not exactly.  Indeed, not in any way.

    The elections would be hard and maybe close.  Still, every party would have to sweat for, and gun, clutch and claw at every single vote.

    That would be far better for everyone than spewing Arabic tales from Dubai, or statistical fibs from Samarkand, and beam that your sweet humbug has again scammed the electorate.

  • BOS’ Lagos or Jandor’s jungle?

    BOS’ Lagos or Jandor’s jungle?

    The saying is true after all, that all’s fair in love as it is war. This is even more so in a season where electoral politics undergirded by reasoned debate have succumbed to the crude reductionism of the hollow social media netizens and their high-decibel warrior tribesmen. Now, the tribe is not only supposed to possess the official, iron-cast version of how things have come to be in the country, but what is supposed to be good and excellent for the rest of us.  Their expectation is that we tag along as Obidients or get our asses whipped by the mobocrats! As the immortal and irrepressible Fela Anikulapo-Kuti of blessed memory is wont to say of the anomie: this season will either bring out the beast or the best in us!

    Unfortunately, just when many had begun to imagine this politics of opportunism and, if you like, reductionism as being exclusive to the Obidients, the Lagos PDP and its lack-lustre governorship tag-team of Abdul-Azeez Olajide Adediran (Jandor) and Funke Akindele (Jenifa) are prepping not to be outdone. As if primed to rewrite the laws and the mores holding the societal fabric together, the duo on Saturday went on solidarity visit to Lateef Kolapo and Osinachi Ndukwe, two of the offenders whose vehicles were among the 134 auctioned for traffic offenses by the Lagos State government.

    That the law duly passed by the state legislature was well received by Lagosians mattered only a jot to the duo. Not so the grave problem that the law sought to address – which is the free reign of anarchy on the roads, the impunity writ large evidenced by the countless lives that have been shattered by those who considered the ownership of a vehicle as offering them a free license to murder; all of these could not have counted for anything in the eyes of Jandor and Jenifa.

    In the end, it was the so-called victims (more appropriately impenitent lawbreakers) that were deemed the injured party; not the state government sworn to the defence of the rule of law or the agency charged with the duty to mete the relevant punishment for deviance and, the larger society whose laws were brutally trampled upon.

    Now that the PDP tag team has solidarized with the lawbreakers, can we also request the candidate to apologise to them on behalf of his dreamland government?  How about an immediate, matching compensation in lieu of the repeal of the offensive law? Would that be not better than the measly cash donated by the candidate, considering that the promises would, in the end, be no more than a dud cheque?

    Will a trust fund for those not covered in this phase of solidarity visit be a bad idea?

    And where will the forbearance end?

    Will it also extend to the other injured tribe – the throng of Okada riders that menaced the famed Centre of Excellence, until lately when the government pronounced ‘enough is enough’? Will they find a generous accommodation in the Jandor/Jenifa transportation master plan since it would afford jobs aplenty?  Or isn’t the concern for the wretched of the earth supposed to be powering the duo’s mission in government?

    Lest we forget those ubiquitous contraptions – the Molue –phased out under the successive administrations transportation modernisation programme. Will they also come back under the Jandor’s feel-good governance model since there will always be gaps in the system to be filled?

    Read Also: Sanwo-Olu building ‘massive infrastructure’ for Smart City

    Again, never mind sophistry and heinous rationalisation; if the well-designed optics left little to imagination about Jandor’s vision of Lagos, the good people of the Centre of Excellence only need to revisit the ‘minor incident of April 2020 to have a more composite view of the promised laissez-faire model. I refer to when, in the height of the Covid-19 lockdown, the candidate’s running mate chose to break the law than suffer the inconveniences of a state-wide restriction over a global public health issue.

    We know how the story ended. Surely, the PDP has the Babajide Sanwo-Olu administration to thank that their candidacy is not hobbled by that grievous misjudgement.

    To be sure, it’s not exactly that Lagos is strange to atavistic politics. We saw a sample of it in 2003 under the foxy Olusegun Obasanjo when a financial scorched-earth policy was unleashed on the state over the creation of additional local governments. Or the 2014 under Goodluck Jonathan.  Then, so enamoured was President Jonathan of the Lagos jewel that the PDP administration which he led had to throw in everything – from ethnic baiting to brazen terror and outlawry –all in the bid to wrest power from their nemesis – the APC.

    So, Lagosians could claim to have seen worse. For a state that has earned its stripes as a model in modern, progressive governance, it seems so easy to imagine that more battles would be joined in the coming weeks and months. And the matter could range from anything ranging from space use as exampled by the furore over parking charges that recently erupted to issues of environment, waste management and sanitisation. Not that it would matter anyway if the issues are properly joined; or underlain by altruism and good governance. Lagos, after all, has always benefitted from grand ideas. In fact, it is what sets the state apart from the other. Opportunistic pot shots by elements for political gain are however a different matter.

    Trust me; many of such would rent the air in the coming days. For instance, last week, the Lagos State Government announced plans to shut down both the popular Ladipo and Oyingbo markets indefinitely.  The issue, according to the Managing Director of the Lagos State Waste Management Agency (LAWMA), Ibrahim Odumboni has to do with reckless waste dumping, non-payment for waste services, and general poor waste management situation in the markets.

    Part of the statement from the LAWMA boss read: “Despite serving them abatement notices, they have continued the mindless environmental violation. We are left with no other choice than to evoke the necessary sanction of shutting down the markets. This is also meant to serve as a deterrent to other nonchalant markets”.

    That was supposed to be a simple, straightforward administrative measure by a relevant agency of government. By weekend, all manners of meanings were being read into it – fuelled by the toxic politics as promoted by the likes of Jandor.

    Between BOS’ Lagos and Jandor’s jungle, Lagosians, surely have a choice to make.

  • Nigeria’s coveted citizenship

    Nigeria’s coveted citizenship

    With a sardonic smile playing on his lips, President Muhammadu Buhari last week urged his newly minted citizens to enjoy the trappings of being Nigerians and to make ‘positive and useful contributions to the advancement, progress and wellbeing of the different communities they reside.’ Playing the role of a father who has been blessed by new babies, he urged his ‘bundles of joy’ to “abide by the ideals and institutions of Nigerians national flag, anthem, pledge and respect for all constitutional authorities.”

    President Buhari, indeed appeared a happy man as he conferred Nigerian citizenship on 14 Britons, four Americans, 86 Lebanese, and 182 other persons, in exercise of his powers under sections 26 and 27 of the 1999 constitution (as amended).

    Section 26(1) provides: “subject to the provisions of 28 of this constitution, a person to whom the provisions of this section apply may be registered as a citizen of Nigeria, if the president is satisfied that – (a) he is a person of good character; (b) he has shown a clear intention of his desire to be domiciled in Nigeria; and (3) he has taken the Oath of Allegiance prescribed in the seventh Schedule to this constitution.”

    Sub-section 2 provides: “the provisions of this section shall apply to – (a) any woman who is or has been married to a citizen of Nigeria; or (b) every person of full age and capacity born outside Nigeria any of whose grandparents is a citizen of Nigeria.” On its part section 27 (1) provides “subject to the provisions of section 28 of this constitution, any person who is qualified in accordance with the provisions of this section may apply to the President for the grant of a certificate of naturalisation.”

    Section 28(2) went ahead to list what the applicant must satisfy to be successful. They include that the applicant must be of full age, be of good character, shows clear intention to be domiciled in Nigeria, and that the applicant in “the opinion of the governor of the state he is or proposes to be resident, acceptable to the local community in which he is to live permanently, and has been assimilated into the way of life of Nigerians in that part of the country.”

    The applicant is expected also to be a person who has made or is capable of making useful contribution to the advancement, progress and well-being of Nigeria, has taken the oath of allegiance, and has resided in Nigeria for a continuous period of 15 years, or resided in Nigeria continuously for a period of 12 months, and during the period of 20 years immediately preceding the period of 12 months has resided in Nigeria for periods amounting in the aggregate to not less than 15 years.

    No doubt, the procedure for acquiring Nigerian citizenship especially by naturalisation is tedious, and yet as many as 286 persons have scaled through, and are now deemed proud citizens of the country. Of that number, 208 persons became citizens by naturalisation. As I watched the wry smile of President Buhari, as he addressed the applicants, I imagined him also saying to those who are of the opinion that he has so badly misgoverned Nigeria that it has become a living hell, shame on you.

    Read Also: Catholic Bishops laud INEC, Buhari on 2023 poll

    In showing off his new nationals, he may be deriding those who are ready to give up everything they have to acquire the citizenship of the United States, Britain, Canada or tens of other country whose citizenship is coveted by Nigerians. And to add sweetener to the president’s happy moment, they were Americans, Britons, Italians, and Egyptians amongst the successful applicants. Ordinarily, it would be expected that only citizens of countries considered worse than Nigeria would apply to acquire something better.

    So to the citizens of those countries, now Nigerians, which unsatisfied Nigerians consider as superior to their own country, the president effusively admonished: “no matter where you come from, or what faith you practise, this country (Nigeria) is now your country. Our history is now your history, and our traditions are now your traditions. Nigeria is your home and pride and joy.” What a proud moment for the president. But this column doubts, whether majority of his compatriots who are citizens by birth and who are living in Nigeria presently would join the excitement train.

    For instance, except the new Nigerian citizens when travelling outside the country use the passports of their original countries, as they are entitled to retain them in defined circumstances as provided by section 28(2) of the 1999 constitution, how proud would they be if on presenting their freshly minted Nigerian passport they are subjected to humiliating conditions, which other nationals are not. Again, when applying for visa, or for tickets to travel outside the country, would they use the green passport and be subject to undue delays, or higher cost of tickets that their new nationality confers?

    It would be interesting to conduct a survey to know the reactions of the young generation of Nigerians, over this interest in their country’s citizenship by persons from the countries they see as better off. It would also be interesting to know whether there are those among the applicants who paid to marry Nigerians, to acquire the legitimacy to apply for citizens by registration. After all, some Nigerian men marry persons much older than them, or work for years paying fees to persons who they married for the right to obtain foreign citizenship.

    It would also be interesting to know the new local governments of origin of the new citizens, especially those on the naturalization list. How far have they adapted to the new culture as expected of them? Furthermore, Nigerians would what to know what motivated them to become Nigerians. While those who are spouses of Nigerians can be excused for love, this column is sure, many would want to know what other reasons could prompt an American, a Britain, or an Italian to apply to become a Nigerian.

    Perhaps it is the same economic interest that pushes young Nigerians to throw in all they have laboured for in life, or dupe other persons, or submit to humiliating circumstances or commit other crimes to acquire resources to pay their way to these coveted countries that also play out when foreigners want to be Nigerians? Or perhaps there are opportunities in Nigeria which those coveting to be her citizens see that those Nigerians who are desperate to leave don’t see?

    Regardless of the poor leadership that has made Nigeria very unattractive in the eyes of Nigerians, it is heartening that some ‘decent foreigners’ covet to be Nigerians. Whether they did so for economic exploitation or survival, or for love or self-hate, let’s join President Buhari to welcome our new country men and women.

     

     

  • Mabogunje:  Model,  and monument

    Mabogunje: Model, and monument

    Two weeks ago, they buried the corporeal remains of Ladipo Akinlawon Mabogunje (or L. Akin Mabogunje as he always signed off), a scholar of global renown, in Ijebu Ode, Ogun State, in the Yoruba country, following a week of mourning and stirring tributes by a grateful community that he served with his great intellect, granite integrity, and unexampled devotion.

    By osmosis, as it were, I had acquired some familiarity with his name and accomplishments well before I read his devastating critique of the Report of the Coker Commission of Inquiry, which was set up by the Tafawa Balewa Administration in the wake of the crisis convulsing Western Nigeria and invested with sweeping powers to probe that Region’s finances and other aspects of its governance under the Action Group.

    That critique, and others by Sam Aluko, Hezekiah Oluwasanmi, and Victor Oyenuga, fellow senior academics at the University of Ibadan, unmasked the Report of the Coker Commission as the hatchet job that it was.

    It would come to light later that if these towering intellectuals were not also card-carrying members of Chief Obafemi Awolowo/s Action Group, they were members of his Brains Trust who helped shape the party’s policies and programmes.

    Thereafter my colleague at a secondary school where I was teaching in the late 60s, Oyebanji Ajagbe (of blessed memory), who had been Mabogunje’s student at the University of Ibadan, kept him in my consciousness.  He invoked the great man’s name frequently and talked about him in the most reverential terms.

    He cited perhaps as the most challenging – and most intellectually stimulating — task he was assigned in his three years as a Geography major at Ibadan an essay titled “Duality in Geography.”  And who else but Mabogunje could have given his students such a task, emblematic of the critical-intellectual framework in which he carried out his work?

    I would finally meet the legend himself some two decades later, in1986, at the Fourth of July reception, on the expansive grounds of the residence of the United States Ambassador to Nigeria.  I was introduced to him by Dr Yemi Ogunbiyi, a senior executive at Guardian Newspapers, where I was writing a weekly column that was mostly satirical.

    Mabogunje shook my hand warmly and complimented me on the column.  Then added, in that slow and deliberate manner that was his trademark, “But you are getting too political, my friend.”

    That remark captured the essential character of Mabogunje’s career after the tumultuous 60s.  He abjured the overtly or even mildly political, and focused his brilliant scholarship on how to make our rural areas and cities more liveable and how to raise the living standards of Nigerians through means grounded on tested social research.

    His focus on urbanism and urbanization may not have been entirely fortuitous.  For one thing, he had excelled in Geography in secondary school.  For another, his people the Yoruba, have long been ranked in scholarly literature as one of the world’s most urbanized peoples.

    That realisation may well have inclined him to make the phenomenon his object of life-long study.

    I would get to know Mabogunje up close later at various fora, most unforgettably at the Obasanjo Farmhouse Dialogues held, as the name indicates at General Olusegun Obasanjo’s farm in Ota, Ogun State.  Each session was an intensive weekend affair, involving policy-makers, practitioners, academics, and media people, and the attentive audience for a specific subject.  The agenda was adopted at an after-dinner session on Friday.

    It was then examined in all its ramifications in a Saturday discourse that lasted all day and far into the night. A designated Rapporteur presented his report.  It was discussed by the House, which then debated and formally adopted a Communiqué.  The Proceedings were published and distributed widely.

    One compendium of the Dialogues listed Obasanjo, Mabogunje, and me as its editors.  I count it as a great honour to be mentioned in the same phrase as the quintessential scholar, and I will always treasure that volume.

    As an honorary consultant to the Farmhouse Dialogue, frequent participant and occasional Rapporteur, I am in a position to assert that despite the welcoming ambience in which they were staged, the Dialogues were no picnics.

    Mabogunje was a fixture at the Dialogues, listening intently, taking notes, and intervening judiciously, always making helpful observations, the object being to help clarify issues rather than to overawe the audience with his great learning.

    I would get to observe him closely on a much larger canvas, about 1986, at a weeklong national workshop held at Zaranda Hotel in Bauchi, Bauchi State on, the strategy and tactics of the National Directorate of Foods, Roads and Rural Infrastructures (DIFFRI), one of the more productive of the myriads of interventionist agencies created by military president Ibrahim Babangida as part of his programme of transition from military to democratic rule.

    Mabogunje’s presence as vice chair of the Directorate, retired Air Vice Marshal Larry Koinyan presiding, gave DIFFRI much of its credibility.  The same can be said for the People’s Bank, another Babangida creation on which he served as a director.  He may well have privately entertained some doubts concerning Babangida’s sincerity on the transition, but he never publicly expressed them.

    Obasanjo had told me at the time that he had three friends who always took Babangida’s pronouncements and declarations with a large pinch of salt.  The first was Chief Simeon Adebo, the distinguished international civil servant and Nigeria’s first Permanent Representative to the United Nations and an occasional guest at the Farm House Dialogues.  The third was me.

    Weren’t we vindicated for the most part, if not always?

    It says something of Mabogunje’s sense of duty that, amidst his doubts, he served diligently and to the best of his great ability on the boards of the many agencies to which he was appointed by the administration. If the agencies failed, they did so despite his best effort

    I last met Mabogunje eight some eight years ago, in 2014, at the inaugural Annual Birthday Lecture for his great contemporary, the distinguished historian and university administrator, Professor Jacob Festus Ade. Ajayi, which it was my honour to present.

    I recall how Mabogunje walked across from the far end of the University of Ibadan Conference Hall where he was seated with his wife and inseparable companion, retired Justice Titi Mabogunje, congratulated me warmly and asked for a copy of the paper.

    Though well into his eighties, he was sprightly as ever, marked out by his mop of grey hair, which sat on his head like a crown on the countless laurels he had won at home and abroad for his scholarship, academic stewardship, and public service, including the Vautrin Lud Prize, widely regarded as the equivalent of a Nobel Prize in Geography

    It remains to add that Mabogunje was unobtrusive through and through, unpretentious, urbane, this gentle giant who, despite a time of unremitting engagement, lived to a ripe old age of 91. He always made you feel that the occasion was important not because he was there, but because you were there.

    He will live on as a model and a monument.

     

  • Gone: 2nd Elizabethan Age

    Gone: 2nd Elizabethan Age

    The September 6 arrival of Liz Truss, as prime minister of Britain, triggered the original concept of this piece, headlined: “Under two Lizzes”.  It ran thus:

    Great Britain or United Kingdom, if you will, now cozies under two Lizzies — the one reigns, the other rules.

    The one is the grand old monarch, regal and gracious, Queen Elizabeth 2, 96, of the House of Windsor — every inch, glam and charm; every inch, ever-fresh royalty.

    The other, Liz Truss, 47, is latest Tory Prime Minister.  She rules.  The Brits, ever so adept with own tongue, wasted no time in punning the pun: “In Truss they trust”.

    The first time such femme double-whammy straddled the Crown and the Commons, a rather chauvinist-minded fellow chirped: “A nation under skirts”.

    That was the time of glass ceiling-smashing Margaret Thatcher, aka the milk snatcher.  Theresa May had since repeated that feat.  But this very Liz must have been the most calculating yet, taking serious notes from her two predecessors.

    Though at Oxford University she started out as a starry-eyed Liberal Democrat activist (even then calling for the abolition of the Monarchy), she must have set her eyes on the long run, even modelling herself after the gritty “milk snatcher”.  File photos even show Liz Struss dressing like Margaret Thatcher — in symbolic craving for power?

    That craving turned sweet reality on September 6, when Ms Truss became Tory Leader and Prime Minister, after defeating Rishi Sunak, in a Tory-wide vote, for Boris Johnson’s job — no thanks to Bo-Jo’s wilful fall on own sword of avoidable scandals.

    But Britain “under two Lizzes” collapsed just after two days, with the death of Queen Elizabeth 2 (21 April 1926-8 September 2002) on September 8, after a 70-year illustrious reign (6 February 1952-8 September 2022).

    Now, how would history dub Liz Truss — Liz the Undertaker or Liz the Restorer?  It’s really hard to say!

    Still, the entry and exit timelines of Elizabeth 2 are rather instructive.

    In 1952, she opened her reign with the great Winston Churchill, Britain’s World War 2 hero, and Nazi Adolf Hitler’s greatest nightmare.

    Churchill was the first of Her Majesty’s 15 prime ministers — and that prime servant of the British state just couldn’t contemplate the collapse of the British Empire: the greediest imperial machine ever; and clearly the most soulless disruptor and subjugator of other races and cultures, weaving annoying cant to whitewash its material and cultural crimes.

    But just two days after Liz Truss dawned — the last of the 15 — the grand living mascot of that empire, the Queen, was herself history!  Liz the Undertaker?

    Before Her Majesty’s passage, the Empire had all but collapsed, though it left flickering ash in the so-called Commonwealth of Nations — a most cynical coinage of political cant, given how the British Empire plundered these subject dominions: from Nigeria to Kenya and its “Mau-Mau” scars; Canada to Australia, and their aborigines’ massacre; Jamaica to Barbados, twin-echoes of plantation slaves and slave drivers.

    Indeed, the Caribbean duo — Jamaica and Barbados — are the present open sore of Britain’s past greed.  Most of the Black folks there were West African natives shipped into tilling British plantations, at the high moon of slave trade, the high crime regretfully aided and abetted by Africans’ own evil and greedy powers and principalities!

    At 21, in a speech she gave at Cape Town in South Africa, the future Queen Elizabeth committed her life, short or long, to serving “our great imperial family” — which she did.

    To start with, there is nothing great about imperialism or any family or clan pushing such power robbery, soulless domination, seizure of other people’s wealth, and destruction of other people’s dreams.

    That holds true for the Yoruba Oyo Empire, preying on weaker kingdoms of the same ethnic stock; as it does for the British and other European empires and colonial machines, smashing other races for material capture.

    Read Also: Thousands line Queen’s coffin route to pay final respects in Scotland

    But for good or for ill, that was the lot of the British state and its reigning Windsors.  That was perhaps underscored by the 4 April 1581 knighting of Sir Francis Drake, by Queen Elizabeth 1.

    To the Spaniards, Sir Francis was a ruthless pirate.  But at the British Isles, he was a golden boy, knighted on his vessel, the Golden Hind, as the first to circumnavigate the earth from 1577 to 1580.  British history is replete with such whited sepulchres that leave a peculiar taste in the mouth!

    Still the Queen, and her Biblical lifetime of three scores and ten-long reign, epitomized decency, humility, grace and humanity.  How could such abiding grace sit over such a ferocious, nefarious, greedy and plundering machine?

    Then, her stoic grace as the empire started crumbling, virtually — and mostly — on Her Majesty’s head.

    First, was the fall of the British Raj (1858-1947)  — the prized British India and Far East pearl, largely spanning present-day India, Pakistan and Bangladesh. But that happened under her father, King George VI, five years before Elizabeth 2 mounted the throne.

    At last, Churchill’s cruelest nightmare was unfolding: the sun was setting on the British Empire!  Some ringing paradox, though: how could Churchill rally global opposition against Nazi domination, yet kid himself British imperialism was made of a nobler hue?

    Then, the fitful independence of other African colonies, among which Kwame Nkrumah’s Ghana had the distinction of being the first, in 1957.

    Yet, with Bo-Jo’s self-destruct, a grand epochal censure loomed before the Queen and the British White establishment.  Four of the eight angling for Bo-Jo’s job were offspring of these same races British imperialism had ravaged and destroyed!

    Indeed, in Rishi Sunak, though now rippling all-Brit, loomed the British Raj, about settling grand historical scores!  The grand disruptor about being grandly disrupted?

    Why, even our own “Nigerian” girl, Kemi Badenoch, was talking the talk, until she threw the country of her parents’ birth under the bus.  The Brits sighted her cant and promptly guillotined her dreams!

    Still, imagine a girl, from the uppity Yoruba of British Nigerian colonization, invited by Her Majesty to boss 10 Downing Street?  The Brits self-downing by own past mishaps?

    But then, entered Liz the Restorer, the Brit come to save the blushes!  Two days later, the Queen herself took the final flight!

    Elizabeth 2’s grace and decorum did nuance Britain’s imperial and colonial crimes.  But Charles 3 is fated to grapple with them, for they won’t go away — home or abroad.

    Indeed, “British” imperialism is no more than English domination.  Not unlike the Oyo Empire where the Yoruba preyed on own stock before ravaging and savaging others, that grim fact was clear from the epochal cries, down the ages, of the Scot, the Welsh and the Irish.  Just as well the new king referenced this ugly history in his first speech, though sterilized!

    Adieu, Queen Elizabeth 2!  Farewell, the second Elizabethan Age!

  • Federalism by arms

    Federalism by arms

    This column wonders what Nigerians who are displeased with the practice of federalism in Nigeria, despite the provision of section 2(2) of the 1999 constitution (as amended), would say about the recent oil pipeline contract, gifted to the leader of Movement for the Emancipation of Niger Delta (MEND)? The section provides: “Nigeria shall be a federation consisting of states and a federal capital territory.” Some have justified what we practice “as our peculiar federalism”, but many are agreed that our model is miles away from the definition of federalism.

    According to Professor K. C. Wheare widely regarded as an authority on federalism, federal principle is, “the method of dividing powers so that the general and regional governments are each, within a sphere, coordinate and independent.” Perhaps, it is in adherence to the principle of federalism and the need for diversity in governance that propelled the provision of section 14(3) of the 1999 constitution, albeit made none justiciable, by the provision of 6(6)(c) of the same constitution.

    Section 14(3) provides: “The composition of the Government of the federation or any of its agencies and the conduct of its affairs shall be carried out in such a manner as to reflect the federal character of Nigeria and the need to promote national unity, and also to command national loyalty, thereby ensuring that there shall be no predominance of persons from a few state or from a few ethnic or other sectional groups in that government or in any of its agencies.”

    Unfortunately in law and in practice, the federalist principles have been relegated to the background, so much so that some nationals have recourse to arms to force the decentralisation of at least economic power. In the second term of Obasanjo’s presidency the youths of Niger Delta who have borne the brunt of the jaundiced federalism decided to force the federal government to give them greater control over the oil resources that have devastated their environment, even as it enriches the power oligarchs that are in charge of the country.

    What the political authority initially dismissed as a crude joke, turned to an economic nightmare for the country’s crude oil supply, as various armed groups laid siege on the oil pipelines that crisscrossed the creeks of the Niger Delta. Bearing colourful names, like Gen. Boyloaf, the militant warlords proved a difficult kernel to crack, as the collateral damages that could follow an all-out war was potentially more devastating to the nation’s economy, than the cost of making peace. The lot to make peace with the militant warlords fell on the administration of President Umaru Yar’Adua.

    The effort gave rise to the Presidential Amnesty Programme, which allowed the warlords to exchange their guns and bullets with a piece of the resources from the Niger Delta. Amongst the biggest beneficiaries of what cynics have dubbed bribe in exchange for peace, is the former creek general, now High Chief Government Ekpemupolo, popularly known as Tompolo. From a mere warlord, Tompolo has become a bargaining chip in the armour of Niger Delta leaders, especially his part of the region.

    Whether the issue is the siting of federal institutions or amenities, or enforcing a fairer share of appointments, the people of the region are increasingly relying on Tompolo and associates to enforce a fair deal from a recalcitrant federal government. So, the ex-warlord has become a lightning rod of sort for the protection and promotion of the entitlements of his beleaguered people in our blighted federal republic. The latest benefit in exchange for peace is the oil pipeline protection contract, worth N48 billion.

    Expectedly, the contract to protect the critical artery of the nation’s economy has drawn complaints from many people, including a distraught governor of Ondo State, Rotimi Akeredolu SAN. But the Buhari government has probably weighed the opportunity cost of the 400,000 barrels of oil it is losing to vandals, and came to the difficult decision to cede policing of the pipelines to the ‘local police’. While N48 billion is not a fair share to Tomopolo’s people were Nigeria practising a federal system of government, it is better than nothing.

    Read Also: Crisis looms in N/Delta creeks as Asari Dokubo opposes Tompolo’s N4.5b pipeline contract

    As part of the deal to make peace with the militant youths of the region, some other concessions have also been made to the people. They include the 13% derivation fund, which is a diluted form of federalism. Another forced benefit is the creation of the Niger Delta Development Company (NDDC), which as the name implies was set up to develop the region, but which has regrettably become a slush fund mainly for the benefits of the criminal minded elites of the region and their accomplices.

    Far away from Niger Delta, as a consideration for the devastating war being waged by the Boko Haram in the northeast, the people of the region have also been bribed with the North East Development Company (NEDC) to be funded with resources from elsewhere. Of course, considering the threat posed by the dislocated youths of the northeast to the country, who have taken to arms, majority members of the national legislators with a little nudge were quick to establish the NEDC.

    With the northwest under the suzerainty of bandits without borders, it remains to be seen what palliative the nation would offer the region to placate the youths. Perhaps the region would draw strength from their numerical advantage in the National Assembly to gain one form of economic advantage or another in addition to the sundry presidential intervention funds they are gaining from the eight-year presidency of Buhari. One other major gain from their militancy is the ongoing illegal exploitation of the minerals in the region, in violation of the Mineral and Mining Act 2007.

    President Buhari was even at a stage lured into unlawfully sanctioning the illegal exploitation of the gold deposits in Zamfara by the state government. In parts of the northwest where state actors are lethargic, non-state actors, including the ubiquitous Chinese fill in the gap as miners, with the devastating consequences on security. The situation with respect to the exploitation of minerals in the northwest is no different from what is happening in the north-central region of the country.

    With the north-central not constituting any serious threat to the national security, no economic concession has been made to the region, in lieu of a proper federalist practice. The fate of the southeast is not different from that of the north-central, as the security crisis in the region has not affected the nation seriously enough to warrant any concession. Luckily, the southwest is faring best in the convoluted federalism, partly because of Lagos. How far our peculiar federalism by arms would go before the nation stumbles remains to be seen.

  • Back on the beat

    Back on the beat

    Glad to be back. By now, even the most ardent observers of Nigeria’s public finance must have given up on the possibility of ever finding those ‘unknown’ elements in its many-sided, quasi-federalist, quadratic equations. Unlike the traditional quadratic function where you keep some elements constant while cracking the unknown, the Nigerian equation, like a perennially moving target, keeps morphing not very much amoeba-like, of better still, like a mutant variant of a wayward gene; until you find that the solution you sought was neither understood nor in any sense captured in the originating hypotheses! And so the problem, like the gangrenous ulcer, not only festers but actually defies imminent solution!

    A lot has of course happened since early August when this columnist went on vacation. First, the apex bank has ‘duelled’ with the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, NNPC over what is remitted into the nation’s piggy bank. Then, at issue was an alleged non-remittance of dollars into the nation’s foreign reserves by NNPC which the apex bank claimed to be the reason for the plunge of the naira in the official and parallel markets. Although a document from the NNPC later surfaced to show it remitted a total of $2.7bn into its accounts with the CBN from January to June, it still fell short of satisfactorily addressing the underlying discrepancy as both of them could not have been right at the same time! The last that was heard on the matter was that the presidency had waded into a matter!

    That dust had barely settled before another joust erupted between the NNPC and the National Customs Service. This time, the issue is on the former’s claim that it supplies about 98 million litres of petrol for the country on a daily basis even when actual consumption is no more than 60 million litres. In essence, that a whopping 38 million litres of fuel are smuggled across the borders daily – and this under the watch of the men of the customs!

    Expectedly, the Customs Comptroller-General, Hammed Ali, would have none of it. While appearing before the House of Representatives Committee on Finance, he had asked somewhat incredulously: ‘If you say you release 98 million litres and then, we use only 60 million litres; the balance will be 38 million litres.

    How many trucks will that 38 million litres every day be? That will be almost 500 trucks; which roads are they following, where are they carrying them to’? He had asked.

    By the way, that was the same million naira question raised by the revered columnist Olatunji Dare last week.

    This columnist is not aware that the question has been satisfactorily answered by the NNPC. Or by anyone in government for that matter. Yet, this quantum – more than half of the national requirement – form part of the stock on which the country is expected to pay the subsidy under which the economy currently reels.

    Finally, the Nigerian Navy, as if waiting to be prompted has, amidst the unrelenting claims of massive theft of crude oil, has sought, perhaps finally, to demolish the claim by the NNPC and by extension, the federal government, of that massive theft.

    Read Also: NNPCL: petrol to sell for N462/litre without subsidy

    Occasion was the briefing to commence the 64th anniversary celebrations of the Nigerian Navy in Abuja. There, Chief of the Naval Staff (CNS), Vice Admiral Awwal Gambo, would argue that much of the talk about crude theft is sheer hogwash. Maintaining that the figures, which range from 200,000 to 400,000 barrels a day, was impracticable, he insisted that many of the presentations on the subject was borne either out of ignorance or mischief.

    Says he: “We need to understand the differences between oil theft and of course, oil loss. While oil theft is siphoning oil from vandalised pipes into barges, oil losses occur when there is non-production, especially during shut-ins and force majeure as the federal government does not earn the desired revenue it should”.  To him, the problem is that oftentimes, the volumes from shut-ins due to non-production are added to oil theft data instead of accounting for them as oil losses by the authorities.

    For context, he says 100,000 barrels of crude oil is equivalent to 15,800,000 litres of crude, which requires a five-ton barge making 3,160 trips per day to convey out of the creeks!

    And the ponderous question: “How do you pass the estuaries with this? So, let’s assume now you even have many barges because of the time required to carry out this product. That means you entirely close the navigable waters heading out to sea, through the estuaries, to embark them or to transit them into a mother vessel that will eventually take them out of the country.

    “Of course, this is most unlikely considering the heightened presence of security agencies in the maritime environment as well as the launch of the subsisting operations by the Nigerian Navy, including of course, the deployment of the maritime domain awareness facilities”.

    So much for the clarification that leaves out the million-dollar the question of how a country that once delivered in excess of two million barrels of crude has failed to meet up its 1.8 million OPEC quota. Not once or twice have yours truly heard from those who should know, that we may have all along been looking at the wrong direction for the unexplained or better still, unexplainable shortfalls in crude production. Rather than those barges in the creeks, some have actually suggested that we shift our gazes to our marble palaces where all things unimaginable take place!

    And while the blame game goes on, between the triumvirate of a corrupt, inept and hopelessly inefficient national oil corporation, an out-of-control apex bank that has virtually re-written all the rule books about central banking and a customs service off the leash, our dear president Muhammadu Buhari, has finally found an answer in the Presidential Committee on National Economy inaugurated last week!

    The committee, according to the president, is expected to review the national economic situation and propose measures to ensure the progress of the economy, receive regular updates on economic conditions in the country, identify issues that require urgent intervention to improve macroeconomic and fiscal conditions, review the impact of existing and new policies on the economy and provide directions to relevant institutions responsible for fiscal, monetary and other relevant policies.

    By the way, does this president still have Economic Advisory Council (EAC)? And what is the role of the National Economic Council in all of these?

    Were the country not to be in dire emergency, the latest development would have been tagged comical. In other words, no garlands for leaving the country on auto-pilot; a country which the fiscal side of governance has been on a long Rip Van Winkle sleep and the apex bank in the absence of the established restraints of convention and governance has not only been left to fly solo, but also blind.

    Is anyone still in wonder why the naira, the symbol of the nation’s economic strength, is on a free-fall with no respite in sight? Or why inflation is running riot while those in charge would rather shop for alibis?

  • Baba has national agenda!

    Baba has national agenda!

    Former President Olusegun Obasanjo just declared he had no specific candidate but he does have a “national agenda” — quite noble and patriotic.

    The problem though is that from Obasanjo’s public persona, personal and national agenda are but two sides of the same coin.  True, the Owu fox eternally grandstands both are two discrete things.  But his public records bark and growl otherwise.

    If you doubt, just x-ray the famous OFN, which Gen. Obasanjo coined during his first coming as Nigeria’s military head of state (13 February 1976-30 September 1979).

    Then, it meant Operation Feed the Nation (OFN), a patriotic, if atomistic precursor to Muhammadu Buhari’s holistic rally of “grow what you eat and eat what you grow”.

    That policy, though scoffed at by not a few on the emotive, bigoted lane, has given Nigerian agriculture a healthy jab, in a season of great angst; but a critical juncture of national crunch and possible re-launch, too many are just too emotive to grasp.

    By the National Bureau of Statistics’ 2022 second quarter report, at 23.24%, agriculture was the highest driver of GDP, posting an overall GDP growth of 3.54%, up from the first quarter figures of 3.11%.  Indeed, crops drove the agricultural growth by 91.99%, between 2022 Q1 and Q2.  Within PMB’s two elected tenures of eight years, Nigeria became No. 1 cultivator of rice in Africa; and No. 1 cultivator of yam on the globe.

    But back to OFN.

    Post-power, OFN assumed a more private juice: Obasanjo Farms Nigeria, Ota, Ogun State, transmuting from its former name, Temperance Farms Ltd, Ota.

    The Land Use Decree (now Act) was the sweet sprinkler of public juice into private mouths.  It made easier the large acquisition, of hitherto ancestral land, by the elite and the connected; since state governors now held land in purported public trust.

    That Obasanjo’s OFN became a direct beneficiary of his regime’s OFN is clearly the sweet incest of national sweat turning private sweets.

    The same could be said of the former president’s presidential library: the Olusegun Obasanjo Presidential Library (OOPL).

    Though an amazing trove of public contemporary history, from the prism of Obasanjo’s engagement with his country — that’s no crime and surely should be lauded? — yet you feel that incestuous drift in this sweet public-private coitus.

    Neither nice nor nasty but following cold facts: it is fair and legitimate to push that while OFN was Obasanjo’s treasured trophy as a former military head of state, the OOPL is his priceless pearl as a former two-term elected president.  Talk of national agenda segueing into personal lollies!

    That the same Land Use Act was central to the manifestation of OFN as it was to the OOPL, shows how the Nigerian elite’s public agenda-private business cohabitation has changed little, between 1979 and now.

    That, of course, shows that the former president isn’t the only guilty party.  But his own case roils because his bare-faced cunning postures such behaviour as some decent — indeed, recommended and beneficial — public conduct.  It is not.

    Compare and contrast Obasanjo with Gen. Abdulsalami Abubakar, at whose virtual Minna doorstep the former president released his latest “no-particular-candidate-but-a-national-agenda” election-season whoop.

    Whatever were Gen. Abubakar’s shortcomings as junta head of state, his post-power engagements have been refined, measured, guarded and dignified, cultivating the appropriate temper for every occasion.  Obasanjo’s has been the diametric opposite.

    But still on national agenda and historical contexts.  By 16 May 2006, onward to the 2007 general elections, the Senate had just shot down the former president’s “third term” bid.  Still, by September 2006 — this time back then — the air was still foul and dank with “third term”, with folks, though joyous at its defeat, still looking past their shoulders in apprehension regarding the looming elections.

    Though nobody ever quoted Obasanjo as publicly saying he craved a “third term”, he picked no bones about declaring the coming elections a “do-or-die” for PDP, his then ruling party.  Perhaps Baba was angry because “third term” had just been crushed?

    As a media consultant to the Rauf Aregbesola Osun gubernatorial run in April 2007, Ripples saw, realtime, the angst of “do-or-die” elections.  Our campaign headquarters, Oranmiyan House, was not only attacked by felons ready to kill and to maim, the Osun election 2007 was a brutal killing field, by a desperate PDP sworn to willy-nilly holding on to power.

    No thanks to a sitting president’s do-or-die philosophy, 2007 elections were the very worst so far in this 4th Republic — if not ever.

    Still, here is the brutal contrast: in August 2022, staring down a tough election in 2023, President Buhari, unlike Obasanjo in 2007, clearly told his party to go work hard to earn their win.  What might Nigerian democracy have been today, had Obasanjo embraced a similar democratic ethos back in 2007?

    Again, unlike 2007, no one is talking of “third term”.  True, some ossified human rights activists, with their “one-shoe-fits-all” brand of mis-advocacy, whispered aloud about some PMB “hidden agenda”.  But they soon “shut the hell up”, to mimic that rather inelegant American phrase, because they realized the joke was on them.

    Perhaps for the very first time in Nigeria’s electoral history, even since independence, you see a sitting president rooting for the tenets of democracy, neither tainted by cant nor crippled by opportunistic mammon.

    That is the true national agenda without wiles; without the insulting cunning even the most grovelling of Obasanjo’s friends have had to endure, with his brash and intrusive public persona.  Yet, PMB remains among the most demonized and vilified in Nigerian history, by unfazed children of hate and their colluding media megaphones.

    By outing with his latest “national agenda”, Obasanjo, as is his wont, was perhaps plugging into those skewed emotions, where many hate-filled Nigerians are fatally anchored.

    The thing though is that it’s a rich recipe for messing with people’s heads, flashing an el dorado that never comes except in delusional dreams; and fating the naive to free bungling of their electoral choices, which earns nothing but bitter gnashing and grinding of teeth, four years after — when the eternal “saviours” would out with new “redemptive” rackets!

    That’s the sickly cycle in which Obasanjo’s peculiar “national agenda” thrive.  Nigerian voters ought to have realized that by now.

    In fairness, the Ebora Owu has been far less intrusive than he was in 2019, or in 2015 for that matter, when he declared a no-holds-barred war against President Goodluck Jonathan, simply because the then sitting president would not be led by the nose.

    But his Minna “national agenda” should warn the wary and the sensible. Beyond Hobson and his choice, such “national agenda” have hardly any use for anyone.

  • That pesky oil subsidy, again

    That pesky oil subsidy, again

    It has gone down as one of the testiest encounters in recent memory of an overbearing legislature and an unyielding public servant.

    Sometime in March 2017. The Comptroller General of the Nigerian Customs Service, Hameed Ali, a retired army colonel, issued a directive giving motorists who had somehow managed to take possession of their imported cars without paying the obligatory customs duties to do so no later than April 12 or face consequences.

    Ever so mindful of its oversight duties, the Senate, pursuant to a “motion of national importance,” issued a counter-directive to the Customs Service:  Perish the thought. Dino Melaiye, the National Assembly’s poster boy for bombast and delinquency, whose fleet of cars include a Lamborghini and a Bentley, to mention only some of his more exclusive sedans, went ballistic.

    The Comptroller General’s directive, he said, was “anti-people” and would bring more hardship at a time the public was groaning under a “recessed economy.”

    Senate President Bukola Saraki, who was widely reported to be engaged at the time in a cat-and-mouse game with the Customs Service over duties on an imported special edition Range Rover, weighed in.  The Comptroller-General had to be stopped.

    From there, it was but a short step to summoning its comptroller general, Hameed Ali. aforementioned to appear before the Senate to explain his contumely.

    To cut the story short, after some prefatory skirmishes, Ali complied, decked in his accustomed mufti.  The Senate took this manner of dress as a fresh offence, refused to treat with him, and ordered him to return at a later date in the full regalia of comptroller general.

    Ali reported on the appointed date, but still clad in mufti.  This time they sent him back at the threshold, warning that he could not disobey the Senate with impunity and go unpunished.

    Whereupon Ali headed to court to seek injunctive relief.

    The whole thing, it is necessary to insist, had nothing to do with public policy or holding a public official to the code of conduct.  It is all in keeping with the Senate’s proclivity for indulging its proclivity for self-dealing under cover of “oversight.”

    But in Hameed Ali, it met its match.

    This past week. Ali was back before a chastened Senate that took no notice of his apparel but paid attention to his insight on the refining, consumption, and importation of products in Nigeria, in the context of a colossal subsidy the government says it can no longer sustain and must cut.

    Public debate on the matter has been one of the longest-running in Nigeria’s history.  It first surfaced in 1985, when the International Monetary Fund stipulated a raft of conditionalities for granting an insolvent Federal Government a loan of $2.8 billion, including abolishing subsidies on fuel, electricity, and fertilizers.

    A wilful lack of clarity has bedevilled the issue since it came under discussion. The framing asserted the existence of a subsidy, relieving its protagonists of the obligation to prove it.

    At some point, they said the difference between what a barrel of oil would have fetched in Europe vis-a-vis the same quantity and quality in Nigeria represented a subsidy.

    Was that not what economists call an opportunity cost?

    They said the subsidy had to be cut because petroleum products were being wasted or consumed irresponsibly.

    But how would cutting the subsidy conduce to more responsible consumption, howsoever defined?

    Then, they said the petroleum products were so cheap they were being adulterated, resulting in all manner of domestic and even industrial accidents.

    Would making the products more expensive not increase the propensity to adulterate?

    Then again, they said cutting the subsidy would free up funds for building new, more efficient refineries that would produce for the export market.

    But when windfall revenues piled up on windfall oil revenues, they built no new refineries.  Instead, they patched up the decrepit ones and instituted turn-around- maintenance operations that turned around only the fortunes and pockets of military personnel, political officials, and their proxies.

    They said petroleum profits were being hoarded, to create artificial shortages and reap windfall profits.  But does the capacity exist for hoarding on such a scale?  Besides does it make sense for the smuggler to hoard instead of selling off his loot on the hot market and arranging his next shipment?  And the next?

    Now, oil smuggling is not like drug smuggling.  You cannot stuff it in your luggage and or conceal it.  It has to be transported on vessels that ply the high seas, or in motorized tankers that travel on paved roads across international frontiers patrolled by multinational security personnel.

    Why is it that these vessels are rarely apprehended and even less rarely prosecuted?

    Instead, officials exult in song and dance on the few occasions they manage to apprehend some woebegone stragglers ferrying perhaps one hundred four-litre cans of petroleum products in false-bottomed dugout canoes across the waters into a neighbouring country.

    As justification for cutting the oil subsidy, they even said a bottle of soda or milk costs much more than a gallon of gasoline.

    And so on, and so forth, in what has been over the decades an exercise in circumlocution.

    Now we are back at that familiar conjuncture, only that they are not trotting out those threadbare arguments and rationalizations.

    The economic outlook is grim, but Nigeria cannot meet its OPEC export quota that would have eased its balance-of-payments woes.  Government officials now admit that forty percent of daily production, conservatively valued at N4 billion, is lost to theft.

    Their epiphany, if epiphany it is, has come several decades too late. Back in 2006, a British All-Party Parliamentary Group issued a report on the Nigerian oil industry that exposed the essential falsity of the claim by a long line of Nigerian leaders from 1995 to the present that the government had been paying out colossal sums of money to oil companies to shield Nigerians from the real cost of their prodigal consumption of petroleum products.

    In a report prepared for the Blair Commission, the Parliamentary Group reported that some N625 billion was lost every year through “organized pilfering” from the sprawling pipeline network and from bunkering on the high seas. The team said it gathered that “senior military personnel and political officials” were involved in the theft, as well as collaborators in the neighbouring countries.  It said it learned that “no serious attempt” was being made to prevent stolen oil from being transferred from sea to land and traded in international waters.

    It should have added that no serious attempt was also being made to prevent refined petroleum headed for foreign markets from being rerouted back from international waters and sold in the Nigerian market as imported products.

    Finally, fundamental questions are being asked even within government circles about the industry.  Without forthright answers to such questions, no meaningful debate on the oil subsidy can be held.

    They are asking:  How much oil is lifted daily?  How much of it is refined locally?  How much of the refined product is injected daily into the Nigerian market?  What is the average daily consumption of petroleum products in Nigeria?  How much of the precious combustible has to be imported to bridge the shortfall between consumption and production?

    Nobody within the industry knows how much oil is lifted daily to the nearest 500,000 barrels, it is necessary to insist.  They have probably stopped operating with a barrel that was four gallons larger than the standard international barrel, but abuses are rampant.

    One of the officials questioning the data presented by the NNPC on the floor of the Senate with an incisiveness rarely seen in that cohort is our old friend Hameed Ali, the comptroller general of Customs, whose famous encounter at that same forum in 2017, provided the springboard for this his submission.

    The NNPC says with a confidence not warranted by its notoriously sloppy record-keeping that it injects 98 million litres of petrol into the domestic market every day.  Local consumption, it adds, accounts for 60 million litres.

    What happens to the surplus of 38 million litres?

    More crucially, Ali is asking:  Why inject 98 million litres of fuel into the domestic market when you know that only 60 litres will be consumed?

    Presidential spokesperson Garba Shehu says the government knows the men behind the syndicated oil theft and will soon unmask them.  The NNPC says it is prepared to submit to a forensic audit.

    Let them bring it on.  This is the best time for decisive action on the pesky oil subsidy.  The Presidency should unmask the denizens of the syndicate, and the NNPC should institute a forensic audit.