Category: Hardball

  • Such dreadful, partisan logic!

    Such dreadful, partisan logic!

    It should qualify as one of the most asinine fulminations any Nigerian politician has ever made. Though this column has not kept track of the public statements of Chief Olisa Metuh, National Publicity Secretary of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), however, in rallying to the defence of President Goodluck Jonathan, whom he complained was unfairly and destructively criticised, the PDP chieftain took leave of logic, and perhaps a little more. In his fulminations, Metuh provided the closest insight we would ever get into the president’s regional aversions. The Southwest, two days ago, and in fact many months before, had deplored the Jonathan presidency’s marginalisation of the region. Now they probably know why.

    According to Metuh, Jonathan is heavily criticised by, in particular, the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) because he comes from a minority tribe. “That President Jonathan is from a minority geo-political zone,” moaned Metuh, “should not be the reason the ACN and other opposition parties should be heaping insults and abuses on him in the name of criticisms. There must be a limit and we implore that we use the spirit of the New Year to say that enough is enough. The Presidency is the highest institution in the country and it deserves our collective respect. There should be a limit between criticisms and abuse…Let our criticisms be constructive on issues that will move the nation forward.” In other words, neither the PDP nor, apparently, Jonathan himself views the criticisms against the president as fair comment. Worse, neither also sees the president’s statements, actions and policies as deserving of harsh criticisms.

    In the many years Hardball has been unhorsing political and business charlatans he has encountered bad logic, bad ideas and bad attitudes, and suffered many of them gladly. But to suggest that opposition parties are hard on the president simply because of his origins is like damning the president’s origins for his poor performance. It strains credulity to breaking point, and Hardball can no longer forbear. When the president recently confessed to slowness, could any commentator have praised him for the lack of speed and purpose? When the president denounced firm leaders as pharaohs and dictators, could anyone have flattered him for his vacillations? And when he sequestered himself within the precincts of Aso Villa for Independence Anniversaries and other national celebrations for fear of terrorists, could we restrain ourselves from condemning his spirit of surrender?

    Metuh tries to draw a line between constructive and destructive criticisms, as if he knows the difference. His mendacious statements remind us of Jonathan’s hyperbole before the 52nd Annual General Meeting of the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA) in August last year, when the president said he was the world’s most criticised leader. Did Jonathan expect us to gently remonstrate with him on that offending exaggeration, when in fact he is probably the most powerful president in any democracy in the world and one of the least criticised? And what nonsense is Metuh saying about destructive criticism? Jonathan, in our opinion, has been lambasted fair and square because his ideas, actions and policies have been, to put it gently, largely inconsistent and misplaced.

    It is childish and silly to suggest the president is criticised harshly because of majorities’ contempt for minorities. Where Jonathan comes from is completely irrelevant. After all, former head of state, Gen Yakubu Gowon, is from a minority tribe, and minorities are thought to be even more detribalised than majority tribes. If Jonathan likes to read a little, we would like to constructively suggest to him Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar, Act 1, Scene 2, where the conspirator, Cassius, was trying to persuade Brutus to join the rebellion against Caesar. Said Cassius: “The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars, But in ourselves, that we are underlings.” Let Metuh and Jonathan look inwards for their woes. It is not the fault of Nigeria that Metuh’s general is filled with awe.

  • Surprise from Kogi on information management

    Surprise from Kogi on information management

    All Kogites, long depressed by the nearly absolute lack of progress in their state, will certainly hope that the world has not failed to notice the salutary example Kogi is setting in information management. A day after ferrying Governor Idris Wada to Cedar Crest Hospital in Abuja as a result of a car crash last Friday on the Ajaokuta- Lokoja highway, the governor’s information managers addressed a press conference in which the hospital’s Chief Medical Director, Dr Felix Ogedengbe, fully and frankly explained the governor’s medical condition. He hid nothing, and he was actually believable. On the day of the crash itself, the state’s information managers also put out what turned out to be a sensible press release detailing what they knew about the crash and the effort to get the governor medical relief. This admirable sort of information management is top grade. But it is coming from the most unexpected quarters.

    Kogi State, as many analysts know, has been ruled by very uninspiring governors. And that is an understatement. The first Fourth Republic governor, Prince Abubakar Audu, carried himself regally and with such panache that he seemed a grotesque exaggeration in a dramatic piece, in fact close to a burlesque. He was active, indeed hyperactive, and he actually managed to exhibit some flashes of brilliance in project enunciation and execution. But he was also jadedly ordinary. He never really rose beyond the humdrum level, beyond what Nigerians were used to in the 1960s and 1970s. As a matter of fact, he had no concise and coherent development programme for the state which the rest of Nigeria could notice. However, his successors, Ibrahim Idris and now Idris Wada, make Audu look like a whiz kid.

    Idris, to put it mildly, wasted eight years as governor and made those years very loathsome. For his appalling efforts, he even got improbable judicial help to extend his tenure. Audu’s sin was that he didn’t create a template for the state’s social, political and economic development; and Idris’ crime was that he had no idea what a template looked like. Wada, in nearly one year, has built only a roundabout on the access road to Government House. Under him, too, local governments owe salaries, and, like the melodramatic Rochas Okorocha of Imo State, he has accumulated aides by the dozens as if his life depends on it. In addition, he grovels sickeningly at the feet of Idris, the former governor who continues to cast a long shadow over the hapless state.

    So, imagine how surprising it was that in a country so incompetent in information management, it is still this same laggard Kogi that appears to be setting the pace. This can only mean that no one is so absolutely bad as not to have even one redeeming feature. Hurrah, then, to the laggard. To properly weigh Kogi’s achievement in this regard, recall that three governors – Sullivan Chime of Enugu, Danbaba Suntai of Taraba, and Liyel Imoke of Cross River – are currently on hospital beds abroad. Chime’s people have gone to great lengths to hide information on the governor’s condition, and the other two states have made an ass of themselves by keeping everyone in the dark. Recall also that the late Umaru Yar’Adua made the country look stupid considering the way his family and the selfish crowd around him managed his hospitalisation. Then, of course, who can forget the extraordinary lengths presidential aides went to in concealing Dame Patience’s recent hospitalisation?

    Hardball wishes Wada speedy recovery. It is hoped the crash and his time in hospital have enabled him to do some reflections on his purpose in life and the weight of responsibility the office he occupies has thrust on his shoulders. Perhaps we should expect he will return from Abuja freed from any instinct to grovel before his predecessor, and that he will prune the burdensome number of aides he has saddled himself with, rejigger his uninspiring cabinet, and get the state’s abundant talents to help him draft a development template. If he has the discipline and know-how to utilise the template, and there is nothing to show he is capable of both, the state may yet become a model, assuming we are not too vicariously ambitious for the sleepy state.

     

  • Time again for New Year’s resolutions and knight-errantry

    Time again for New Year’s resolutions and knight-errantry

    A report in The Telegraph (London) newspaper says the average person will break their new year’s resolution in just under five weeks. That is not an inspiring record to recommend to those who routinely make resolutions every January, or those who will be joining the ambitious resolute group for the first time this year. Even more disturbing, Wikipedia has an entry that quotes a 2007 study carried out by Richard Wisemen from the University of Bristol involving 3,000 people. According to the entry, “88% of those who set New Year’s resolutions fail, despite the fact that 52% of the study’s participants were confident of success at the beginning. Men achieved their goal 22% more often when they engaged in goal setting, (a system where small measurable goals are being set; such as, a pound a week, instead of saying “lose weight”), while women succeeded 10% more when they made their goals public and got support from their friends.” Clearly, the cards are stacked too high against Mr. and Mrs. Resolute.

    The risk of failure may, however, not be enough to dissuade many from venturing into the resolutions business, for according to the same Wikipedia entry quoted above, the roots of the popular culture go way back in time. The entry says: “The ancient Babylonians made promises to their gods at the start of each year that they would return borrowed objects and pay their debts.

    The Romans began each year by making promises to the god Janus, for whom the month of January is named. In the Medieval era, the knights took the “peacock vow” at the end of the Christmas season each year to re-affirm their commitment to chivalry.”

    Another Internet entry suggests that the 10 most popular resolutions are as follows:

    1. Spend More Time with Family & Friends

    2. Fit in Fitness

    3. Tame the Bulge

    4. Quit Smoking

    5. Enjoy Life More

    6. Quit Drinking

    7. Get Out of Debt

    8. Learn Something New

    9. Help Others

    10. Get Organised

    Hardball would like to recommend resolution number seven for Dr Ngozi Okonjo-Ieala, the Finance minister who now seems determined to railroad us into more debts, and who, quite contrary to her first tour of duty under Chief Obasanjo, appears to be enamoured of romancing old and new creditor-suitors. Resolution number eight must naturally go to President Goodluck Jonathan because he has managed to give the impression that since he became president, he has been both generally risk-averse and even more gallingly averse to learning new things. Could we recommend to Governors Rochas Okorocha, Rotimi Amaechi and Liyel Imoke resolution three to assist them in the great Battle of the Bulge, that is, if it is not a bridge too far? When they leave hospital, Governors Danbaba Suntai and Idris Wada should fiercely embrace resolution 10 and put some oomph and order into their governments. Governor Rauf Aregbesola keeps saying he is wrongly described as a misanthrope. So he says. It’s his word against ours. But let him get a life; let him embrace resolution five.

    A columnist in this newspaper once described the exciting and often excitable Chief Obasanjo as someone who followed no one and someone whom no one followed. Well, thanks to New Year’s resolution, his day of redemption has come. Let him take resolution number nine, and stop being so preoccupied with himself. The reader guessed right that Hardball would have loved to use a stronger word than preoccupy. And the snotty Hardball himself; wouldn’t Mr Perfect make a wish? As usual, he waits for the list to be expanded before he finds a wish to fit his snottiness.

    Meanwhile the anonymous Hardball wishes his loyal and long-suffering readers a perfect and disciplined 2013, assuming the country is competent to provide the enabling environment.

     

     

  • Why not Obasanjo for Man of the Year?

    Why not Obasanjo for Man of the Year?

    This column cannot recall any newspaper or broadcast medium in Nigeria ever making Chief Olusegun Obasanjo its Man of the Year. He was military head of state in the 1970s, was once a distinguished prisoner of conscience, was a two-term president, is an author of no mean repute, and is an intrepid polemicist who takes no prisoner nor regards his opponent’s logic kindly. These qualities and many more stand him out. It is, therefore difficult to understand why he has been omitted in repeated considerations for that great prize? Indeed, Obasanjo should by now have been Man of the Year at least twice – once for concluding the transition programme begun by his predecessor, Gen Murtala Mohammed, and handing over the reins of office to Alhaji Shehu Shagari in 1979, and a second time for leaving prison to become a two-term president between 1999 and 2007.

    Perhaps the media are afraid that it requires nuanced understanding to appreciate that the choice for Man of the Year does not necessarily have to be a person who has affected his country positively. The prize, everyone knows, could also go to a man who has affected his country negatively. In a country where everything is presumed bought or sold, including honours, a brave newspaper making Obasanjo its choice could be accused of merchandising that esteemed honour. There was in fact a time in the late 1980s and early 1990s when it was harmful to its finances for a newspaper or magazine to publish the picture of Military President Ibrahim Babangida on the front page. Anytime an editor succumbed to that indiscretion during the said period, he instantly knew his paper would sell fewer copies. Perhaps, newspapers suspect that to make Obasanjo Man of the Year would send them spiralling into the abyss of total rejection. And discretion, it is said, is the better part of valour.

    But here is a good case for Obasanjo to be made Man of the Year, and a brave newspaper to bite the bullet and publish and be damned. In addition to having handed over power to civilians in 1979, albeit extremely reluctantly, as Gen TY Danjuma said a few years ago in the heat of the former president’s scheming for third term, Obasanjo has also sustained his reputation as a one-man NGO dedicated to sanctimoniously pressuring the governments of the day to do right by the people. More, since the Second Republic, he has been the only president re-elected into office, even if the polls were spurious and despicable. Cumulatively, Obasanjo holds the record of the longest serving Nigerian ruler, having ruled for more than eleven years. Importantly too, and doubtless controversially, he has managed to mould Nigeria in his image, a country structured to fail, underperform, remain fractious, and seethe uncontrollably in what Chief Audu Ogbeh once described as moral/political corruption.

    It is curious that newspapers find it tough going every year to select one person who has affected Nigeria for good or bad, when there is one ready material, a hardy perennial, who has affected, and continues to affect, his country in a way no one has done since independence. That hardy perennial is the incomparable Obasanjo, from whose spectral shadow the country is yet to emerge. If not Obasanjo, then perhaps the media should consider President Goodluck Jonathan, at least for his beguiling and quizzical extemporaneousness. Jonathan makes the most down-to-earth speeches any president could make, speeches so replete with sweet nothings and boyish optimism that they fail to inspire the deep as much as they have remained outrightly impracticable even for the frivolous. How could newspapers continue to omit these two eminent gentlemen in selecting their Person of the Year?

     

  • That US travel advisory

    That US travel advisory

    It is unclear why the Secretary to the State Government of Edo, Prof. Julius Ihonvbere, needed to take on the United States over a travel advisory issued by that country’s Bureau of Consular Affairs of the State Department restricting the travels of American citizens in Nigeria. The advisory did not warn Nigerians off Edo State, nor advised other people but Americans to watch their travels in Nigeria. The advisory did not also attempt to rate the safety index of Edo, especially in comparisons with other states. All it did was to list 10 states the US felt Americans would be unsafe in, and to then add that its officials should avoid the entire 19 northern states except it became absolutely essential. The advisory predicated the travel ban on the incidence of robberies, armed gangs activities and kidnappings in those Nigerian states.

    To disprove the advisory, however, Ihonvbere could not resist the impulse of embarking on giddy logic. He argues thus: “It beats the imagination of discerning minds that while some states which record violent crimes on a daily basis in the country are excluded from the list, Edo State which has been commended by all, including the World Bank which, through its Country Director, Marie Francoise Marie-Nelly said: “Edo State’s social indicators are above the national average” and which had earlier been confirmed by her predecessor, Mr. Onno Ruhl, who said, “Edo State is one of the states in Nigeria where the willingness to change is the fastest in Nigeria”, is included in the offensive U.S list.” The US travel advisory said nothing about Edo’s economic potentials or adaptability, so why is Ihonvbere depending upon the statements of World Bank officials?

    Furthermore, the travel advisory, as Ihonvbere himself acknowledges in his rejoinder, is essentially about travels of US citizens in Nigeria during this holiday season. It is neither a permanent travel ban nor a commentary on Edo’s economy, nor yet about whether Edo is the safest in the South-South or anywhere else. Rather than make a cynical commentary on safe and unsafe American cities in the light of the shooting incidents in Connecticut, New Jersey and New York, Ihonvbere should have more appropriately and less combatively assured Americans of their safety in Edo State and indicate the steps the state was taking, in spite of the recent robberies in the Edo town of Auchi, to ensure the safety of citizens and foreigners alike. Edo State may in fact be the safest in the South-South, and may even be much safer than many northern states not mentioned in the US travel advisory, but it is hard to see how an impulsive or tongue-in-cheek rebuttal would be of any help.

    In spite of whatever merits are contained in Ihonvbere’s rejoinder, they will sadly be attenuated by the fact that the world has learnt to expect from Nigeria bad-tempered attacks against every assessment portraying the country in unflattering colours. Nigerian officials habitually react peevishly and sometimes sanctimoniously to Amnesty International (AI) reports and other international agency reports worrying about our laggard position in human development indices. Officials here also condemn any report predicting that certain serious political and social fault lines could predispose the country to disintegration if urgent measures were not taken to tackle them. In sum, Nigerian officials rarely see this negative portrayal of the country as a reason to shape up. They see it as a reason to be surly and combative.

    Considering how Edo has reacted, it is not impossible a few other states could also paint their states in good light and condemn the US travel advisory as mischievous and mendacious. After all, in May, Gen Muhammad Shuwa (retd) denounced Gen T.Y. Danjuma (retd) for describing Borno State a failed state, only to be felled by assassins barely six months later in the same state he had tried to portray as not a failed state. The problem is not so much the challenges Nigeria is facing – these are by no means unusual or new – but the manner officials either live in denial or denounce those who call their attention to those challenges. Whether it is the safest or not in the South-South, Edo doubtless faces security challenges, like most other states. And while the state is not alone in facing these challenges, its officials, like those of Nigeria, must learn how to properly respond to the concerns raised by others.

  • If only slow can also be steady

    If only slow can also be steady

    President Goodluck Jonathan has once again tried to justify his government’s apparent lack of speed in enunciating and implementing policies. At a Christmas Service held at the Cathedral Church of The Advent, Life Camp, Gwarinpa, Abuja on Tuesday, the president said experience had taught him serious mistakes often accompanied hasty decisions. To him, it was better to approach matters cautiously – in other words, better to be safe than sorry. Very pretty philosophy. The president had said: “Sometimes, people say this government is slow. Yes, by human thinking, we are slow, but I can say that we are not slow. Government must think things properly before it acts. When you don’t think through things properly, or when you rush, you will make mistakes. It is more difficult to correct errors. You can ask those who build houses. Government will not, because of the perception, begin to rush. But where we are required to act very fast, we will do so, just like we did during the recent flood disasters.”

    It must be painful for Jonathan to candidly admit slowness, with all its pejorative connotations. Perhaps, he has never heard of what it means for a president to think on his feet. Perhaps, too, he assumes that slowness or cautiousness invariably implies correctness. Statesmen, diplomats and great leaders all know that of all the major components of great decisions, slowness is absolutely not one of them. But if that method makes the president happy and guarantees his subjects peaceful life than they would otherwise have if the president rushed his decisions, then perhaps we must support him, and give him a long rope to hang everybody.

    But when the president gave the example of his response to the flood disaster that wreaked havoc on many states recently as very fast, it was impossible to indulge his philosophy further. He said the federal government’s response to the floods was fast. That is certainly not true. It was neither fast nor even satisfactory. The floods began to paralyse parts of the country some three weeks before he travelled to the United States to address the 67th General Assembly of the United Nations in late September. When he returned, it took him nearly two weeks before he announced a relief fund of about N17.6bn for the affected states and the setting up of a fundraising committee, and two more weeks to begin his tour of affected states.

    In addition, the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) had warned in July that flooding was imminent in the country. The government did little to prepare for the looming disaster, and when catastrophe struck, little still was done. Even the president himself acknowledged in his October 9 broadcast that “Over the past few weeks, unprecedented floods have ravaged many parts of our country, rendering tens of thousands of fellow Nigerians homeless and causing massive destruction of properties, farmlands and infrastructure across the country.” How these responses translate to “very fast” is difficult to understand. What is clear is that President Jonathan has conjured philosophical justification for his lack of speed or what he describes as public perception of his slowness. That style soothes him; and though we can see through it, we must live with it. After all, we voted him into office.

  • Kaduna abduction indicates underlying morass

    Kaduna abduction indicates underlying morass

    It should qualify as one of the craziest abductions in recent memory. Armed men numbering about 20, according to eyewitnesses, stormed two houses in Kaduna in the wee hours of Sunday and whisked away the editor of a Kaduna-based Hausa newspaper, Al-Mizan, Mallam Mohammed Awwal, and his reporter, Mallam Aliyu Saleh. The current edition of the paper has a story on the alleged atrocities perpetrated by men of the Military Joint Task Force (JTF) in Potiskum in which 84 persons were said to have been abducted and whisked away to unknown destinations. On account of the controversial JTF story, the abducted editors’ families suspect that the invaders were probably agents of the State Secret Service (SSS) or the JTF itself. Spokesmen of the police and the military have denied involvement in the abduction of the editors. But few people are convinced, in spite of the abductors dressing up in United States-style military fatigues.

    If it is eventually proved that a government security agency carried out the abduction of the editors, it will represent a new low in law enforcement in Nigeria. The act will not only exacerbate insecurity, it will also unfortunately lend credence to the allegation that security organisations such as the JTF indeed subscribe to very unusual tactics in fighting terrorism in the Northeast. The editors, their families told the media, were abducted without warrant, and were brutalised together with their families during the arrest. It will be recalled that a few weeks ago, some news agencies carried reports indicating that 84 people were arrested by the JTF and taken to unknown destinations. The reports, which the military authorities have vigorously denied, also insinuated that murder, torture and other forms of atrocities were committed by security agencies in the Northeast town of Potiskum.

    Whatever the merit of the case against the editors, the methods employed in arresting them are evidently unlawful and showed how clearly law and order can no longer be guaranteed in the country. Even for the most inciting and mendacious media reports, there are established modalities for tackling them and dealing with media professionals who break the law. With the country swamped by robbers, kidnappers, impersonators, and security agents who have embraced extra-judicial killing, it is a disservice to the government and people of Nigeria for any law enforcement body to adopt the style of the underworld. The Kaduna abductions indicate the gradual and steady decline of the country into jungle justice.

    If any security agency is complicit in the unlawful arrest of the editors, it is not enough that the editors should be released and the proper procedures followed in bringing them to justice for any wrongdoing; the abduction itself must also be investigated and all the law enforcement agents involved in the unlawful act punished. The danger in glossing over this obnoxious method of law enforcement is that the gangland style of arresting citizens will be successfully imitated by criminal organisations, as in fact they are already doing, encouraged by the culture of impunity that is pervasive among security agencies.

    No matter the provocation, security agencies must have the discipline to uphold the law unquestioningly. Nothing excuses security agencies acting like gangsters. And we must hope that the Kaduna editors were not abducted by real criminal gangs, for that would compound the distress the country is experiencing and the incompetence of the government in guaranteeing security.

     

     

     

     

  • In the spirit of Christmas

    In the spirit of Christmas

    One of the core principles of Christianity is the concept of giving. Indeed, giving is the bedrock of Christianity, as exemplified by the incomparable sacrifice of himself Jesus Christ made for salvation. Somehow, over the centuries, giving has become an integral part of Christmas celebration, with many Christmases incomplete without the exchange of gifts. In many parts of Nigeria, the concept of giving has been transmuted from exchange of exotic gift items, like jewellery, gadgets and toys, into exchange of food items, often cooked delicacies, like fried rice and jollof rice. Who is anybody to say gourmet delicacies are not acceptable? This transmutation – indeed some say transmogrification – is perhaps a reflection of the worsening hard times Nigerians have been facing over the decades. The worse the economy, the more food-oriented the Christmas gifts. In these parts too, even the concept of hampers is largely food-oriented, with items like corn flakes, corned beef, sugar, milk etc. enclosed in baskets.

    In the spirit of Christmas, however, Hardball would like to draw Christians into a re-examination of the concept of giving. What gifts are doctrinally sound? Is there indeed anything that circumscribes the kind of gifts to exchange? Would a hungry man or family not appreciate food more than gadgets in their hour of need? These questions lead to a polemical minefield that will not be resolved with a wave of a list of permissible gifts. There will probably never be such a list. Christians will from time to time, often within the ambit of their countries’ cultures and the shifting values of the times, determine what gifts to exchange. But more critically, they must now have to determine whether the exchange of gifts has not moved unwholesomely from the personal to the impersonal, from a reflection of sacrificial love that comes from the depth of the soul to a mere external expression of perfunctory love.

    Christians recognise Jesus Christ as God’s gift to mankind; the Canonical gospels indicate that three Wise Men came from the East bearing gifts of gold, frankincense and myrrh; and Pentecostals have had all sorts of troubles stressing tithes, regular offerings and prophet offerings, particularly because of the attendant abuses. Given the general decline in morals everywhere, it does seem as if the exchange of gifts has a bearing only on the conviviality of the festive period itself, not on the essential doctrine of Christmas. Perhaps it is time Christians took a fresh look at what should drive their giving, not what their giving should consist of. If love is not at the heart of it, it is hard to defend it. If love is not given copiously, it is never given at all.

    Givers, it is said, never lack. Many foreign countries have accepted this lesson, and have given copiously and received unquantifiable benefits in return. It is not clear whether, in spite of our economic stress, Nigeria has made a habit of giving and giving and giving. As the table in this piece shows, none of the countries listed in Official Development Assistance (ODA) donors is African. If we are going to wait until we are economically prosperous and stable, we will have to wait for much longer. The time to climb that table is now, when we do not have enough to spare. Individuals have imbibed the culture of giving, and have had great stories to tell. Let Nigeria begin to tell great stories too, even as Christians are invited in a Nigeria festering with hate and bloodshed to recognise that love is at the core of their faith and they must give it uncomplainingly in order to help build a stable nation.

    Aid Statistics by Region (2012)

    1 United States $7 763bn 16%

    2 EU institutions $5 443bn 11%

    3 IDA $5 196bn 11%

    4 France $4 187bn 9%

    5 United Kingdom $3 075bn 6%

    6 Germany $1 948bn 4%

    7 Global Fund $1 914bn 4%

    8 Japan $1 888bn 4%

    9 AfDF $1 760bn 4%

    10 Canada $1 532bn 3%

    Other donors $13 226bn 28%

    Total $47 932bn 100%

     

    Source: OECD (2012)

     

  • UN, AU, ECOWAS and Mali

    Hardball is certainly not done with Mali. Today is the fourth time he will be commenting on the subject of the divided country, a division foolishly aggravated by that country’s military under the coup leader, Captain Amadou Sanogo. The long-awaited approval by the United Nations (UN) Security Council authorising military action against separatist Tuareg rebels in northern Mali has finally been given. It follows the resolve of both the African Union (AU) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) to forcibly reunite Mali and prevent Al-Qaeda from developing deep roots in the region. Nigeria was at the forefront of the effort to put together a regional intervention force to retake the northern part of Mali already declared independent by Tuareg rebels under the aegis of the National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA). The UN-approved intervention force, African-led International Support Mission in Mali (AFISMA), has a one-year mandate.But in giving the approval last week, the Security Council was more cautious than the AU and ECOWAS have been in the past nine months. Even though the caution appear obfuscated, it is still remarkable. Said the world body: “(The Security Council) urges the transitional authorities of Mali, consistent with the Framework agreement of 6 April 2012 signed under the auspices of ECOWAS, to finalize a transitional roadmap through broad-based and inclusive political dialogue, to fully restore constitutional order and national unity, including through the holding of peaceful, credible and inclusive presidential and legislative elections, in accordance with the agreement mentioned above which calls for elections by April 2013 or as soon as technically possible, requests the Secretary-General, in close coordination with ECOWAS and the African Union, to continue to assist the transitional authorities of Mali in the preparation of such a roadmap, including the conduct of an electoral process based on consensually established ground rules and further urges the transitional authorities of Mali to ensure its timely implementation.”

    In other words, the UN recognises the nexus between political development in Mali and the success of AFISMA. The AU and ECOWAS have, however, over the months appeared eager to gloss over the pernicious influence the coup leaders still wield over the transitional government in Mali. Only recently, the coup leaders forced the resignation of the prime minister, the eminent astrophysicist, Cheick Modibo Diarra, and installed Django Sissoko as replacement. The UN deplored this meddlesomeness, but ECOWAS has made only feeble statements on the peremptory dismissal.

    This prompted Hardball on December 13 to warn that diarchy was creeping in on Mali. He wrote: “It seems all but clear that Mali is quietly but agonisingly slipping into diarchy. This is a traumatic transformation for a country that in 1992 transited into full and stable democracy with the election of Alpha Oumar Konare. His re-election in 1997 and the peaceful transition to another elected president, Amadou Toumani Toure, in 2002 convinced the world that Mali had become a democratic trailblazer for the region. Unfortunately in March this year, a few months before Toure passed the baton to a successor, the army under Captain Amadou Sanogo staged a coup d’etat. Even though international pressure and ECOWAS muscle-flexing compelled Sanogo to transfer interim presidential power to the Speaker of the Mali National Assembly, Dioncounda Traore, and head of government business to Cheick Modibo Diarra, a former Foreign minister, effective power has remained with the coup leader who continues to enjoy the perks of leadership without the corresponding responsibility.”

    It must be reiterated once again, even though the UN was surprisingly not firm enough on the matter, that the Malian conundrum could never be solved as long as the coup leaders retain effective control. Democratic Nigeria must make Captain Sanogo and his cohorts relinquish power as a precondition for our participation in AFISMA. It is naïve and short-sighted to expect that Sanogo and his men would not complicate the campaign for unity if allowed so much elbow room as they currently enjoy. It is even difficult to see northern rebels entering into negotiation with the transitional government, as the UN has directed, when the coup leaders still wield enormous influence in Bamako. More crucially, it is hard to see AFISMA succeeding in the face of an indulgent UN, an absentminded AU, and an unreflective ECOWAS.

     

  • Yakowa/Azazi: Fate so implacable, so inescapable

    Yakowa/Azazi: Fate so implacable, so inescapable

    Former head of state, Gen Yakubu Gowon, and Minister of Information, Mr Labaran Maku, have both testified they would have been on the crashed Navy chopper that took the lives of Kaduna State governor, Mr Patrick Yakowa, and former National Security Adviser (NSA), Gen Owoye Azazi, on Saturday. They missed death by sheer good fortune, they said. According to Gowon, while he waited to board the chopper at Okoroba in Bayelsa State, and the pilot readied himself for the privilege of flying the former head of state, another chopper was made available. He recalled the young Navy pilot regretting not being the one to fly him, and he saying there would be a next time. Maku on his own could really never explain why he missed the crashed chopper other than to say it was sheer fate. He was about to leave the ceremony in company with Yakowa and Azazi, only to inexplicably change his mind. He had got up, he recalled, but then sat down again for reasons he didn’t know.

    There are many curious phenomena human beings can really never explain. It is these complex phenomena that determine success and failure, happiness and tragedy, life and death. It is these phenomena, which humans have summed up as fate, that determine who would be in a crashed plane, car, motorcycle, collapsed building, or shipwreck etc., and who would miss it. It was this hand of fate, sometimes called destiny, that induced Yakowa and others into the crashed Navy chopper while Gowon and others missed it. It is possible some people are gifted in the metaphysics of anticipating or second-guessing fate, and are therefore able to avoid calamity. But most people do not have that gift. In the end, given the complexity and unpredictability of human existence, especially the aspect that deals with life and death, it is really hard to say whether even those who claim to anticipate fate are really able to do so, for the confident sometimes dies where the cowardly survives.

    Academicians have not quite explained how fate is different from instinct, whether it is also different from its homonymic cousin, faith, which can sometimes be exercised to control the former, or whether in reality all three words are not a crude attempt to second-guess God. As Albert Einstein once said, “God does not play dice with the world.” And so when one person misses a crashed chopper, there is order in it, almost like predestination; and when another person does not miss it, there is also order in it, quite like predestination. Alexander the Great called that instinct that made him a victor on the great battlefields between the Ionian Sea and the Himalayas his “hope.” Caesar called it his “luck,” and Napoleon called it his “star.” Hardball forgets what Hitler called it, but he had a name for it. Whatever it was, Winston Churchill did not attempt to name it, but he recognised its value in the Dunkirk evacuation (otherwise called Miracle of Dunkirk or Operation Dynamo) when the allied powers managed to ferry 338,226 trapped soldiers to safety in 1940 against an advancing but inexplicably dithering German army. However, seeing the national exultation over the Dunkirk feat, Churchill managed to deliver this witticism on the evacuation: “Wars are not won by evacuations.” If only he knew.

    The late Governor Yakowa was himself no stranger to fate, having either ridden on it or was embraced by it for decades, before his final emergence as governor. Twice deputy governor, he finally and dramatically assumed the top position when all hope seemed lost. The emergence of both Yakowa and his successor, Mukhtar Yero, reminds us of the equally fateful emergence of Calvin Coolidge as the 30th president of the United States after the death of President Warren G. Harding in 1923. Reporters knew Coolidge was an exceptionally lucky man, and a few of them had presumed, based on that luck, that Harding would be assassinated before completing his term. In the event, mused reporters, God Himself was the agency by which Harding was translated in order for Coolidge to secure the great prize.

    Just when humans think they have all things figured out, it is then they discover to their dismay that in reality few things are actually ever figured out. That is why in spite of all plans, hope, expectations, visions, wealth, power and age, no one has yet found a way to stop the hands of fate. We must continue to do what we will; but, as great literature has portrayed, the gods must do what they will. “Their’s not to reason why,” wrote Alfred Lord Tennyson in 1854, “Their’s but to do and die. Into the valley of death rode the six hundred.”