Category: Editorial

  • Slash in police budget

    Slash in police budget

    •I-G’s complaint should be looked at on its merit so we don’t underfund the force to our detriment

    While defending the budget of the police before the House of Representatives Committee on Police Affairs, the Inspector–General of Police, Mr. Mohammed Abubakar, forewarned of a possible major crisis in the force unless the Federal Government reversed its decision to cut the personnel budget for it in the 2014 budget. The chairman of the committee, Usman Kurmo, confirmed the cut in the police personnel cost to be about N13bn. Kurmo rightly noted that the cut was surprising as there was no large-scale retrenchment or retirement in the police in the last one year to justify it.

    Now, certain things are not clear in this matter. The IG said the overhead cost of the force was N10.8bn in 2009, N15.5bn in 2010, N 5.5bn in 2011, N8.1bn in 2012, N 7.6bn in 2013 and N6bn in 2014. Now, if the salary cut is actuallyN13bn in 2014, which the IG is complaining about, perhaps, the cut should be seen from the point of view of the total budget approved for the police last year. Also, while it is noted that there was no large-scale retrenchment and retirement from last year’s personnel, no evidence was presented for a large-scale recruitment of staff in 2014. Is it not reasonable for the IG to tell the committee the number of police stations in each state of the country, among others, to support his alarm for shortfall in personnel cost?

    All said however, the police must be properly funded, irrespective of their shortcomings. We understand the IG’s fear about salaries and allowances that might be affected if the shortfall is not redressed, that is if it is indeed a genuine oversight. If his men are not paid their entitlements promptly, this will affect their morale and it does not augur well for discipline and efficiency. Should this be the case, it is Nigerians that will suffer.

    We have not forgotten that some issues cropped up about the police force last year which stunned not only Nigerians but also outsiders. This was the story of how 50 police trainees shared one fish head at police colleges. We were also told of the paltry sums that accrued to each of the police divisions in the country that could not have made them deliver as they had to rely on goodwill to get basic things like papers on which people write their statements at the police stations. In many instances, there is no provision for fuel for patrol vehicles, and so on.

    Much as we are happy that Kurmo has already discussed the matter with the Director-General of Budget of the Federation, Dr. Bright Okogu, who assured him that the issue would be sorted out, we do not understand why the new integrated salary payment system across all agencies would lead to the shortfall in police budget, among others’, as stated by Okogu. On what basis did the budget office base its assumption that “what is provided for the police will be enough for the personnel cost?” Meanwhile, the IG has complained that the entire N6bn voted for personnel cost could not cover the cost of fuelling the 10,232 police vehicles scattered all over the country alone.

    We hope the matter would be resolved in a way that Nigerians would have value for every kobo they invest in the police force. What we should be concerned about is that the appropriation is well defended. If giving the police more money is what would improve their efficiency, especially at a time the force is overstretched by insecurity, so be it. We no longer want to see a continuation of the system whereby our police officers and men would be at the mercy of good Samaritans. If we want an effective police force, we must be ready to fund it.

     

  • Not a resource curse

    Not a resource curse

    •Okonjo-Iweala misdiagnoses Nigeria’s economic challenges

    FINANCE Minister and coordinating minister for the economy, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, may be forgiven for her never-ending dissection of the nation’s economic predicament; not so however, her latest attribution of the nation’s socio-economic challenges to the phenomenon she described as “resource curse”.

    In an interview posted on the website of the Council on Foreign Relations, Washington DC, the minister was reported to have said that the country “appears to be suffering from resource curse, whereby a tiny elite benefit from the oil wealth, whereas the mass of people languish in abject poverty”. For reference, she cited the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) said to have tripled since 2004 due largely to the bumper oil revenue, in the background of rising poverty and inequality, even as she would admit that the promise of diversification is yet to be delivered.

    To make appreciable inroads out of poverty like China did, her prescription was that the economy needed to grow at nine to 10 per cent a year – up from the current seven per cent, which, in her view is “pretty good”.

    The crux of the matter of course is the growth of the past decade and half that has been most disappointing, both in terms of job creation and poverty reduction – a phenomenon that has spawned a generation of unscrupulous rent seekers and emergency businessmen at a time majority of the population barely exist at the fringes of the economy.

    The pertinent question is whether the outcome which the minister did well to highlight can be said to be entirely unforeseeable, given the character of the enclave economy of oil. Another way to put the question is whether the managers of the economy could not have taken a completely different route from the current path now acknowledged as laden with lamentations.

    We are referring specifically to the billions of dollars known to have either been stolen by officials or mismanaged outright – an amount which if properly channelled would have gone a long way to turn the infrastructure situation around; the perverse choice in which OPEC’s sixth largest producer would depend on imported fuel; the poor attention to critical industrial enablers like power and road infrastructure; and of course the neglect of agriculture under which a supposedly agrarian economy now relies on food imports to feed her population.

    Unlike the honourable minister, we are not able to see any curse – let alone – one of oil. To agree with her is to suffer an acute misdiagnosis of a fundamental problem. True, it is so easy to point at the mind-boggling heist in the sector, the industrial scale theft currently ravaging the sector, including the bizarre rentier activities in the downstream sector of the petroleum industry as signs of a “curse”. These are however merely symptoms of failure of governance; they emblematise the blight of leadership – the astounding myopia and its lack of patriotic instinct, the result of which is the failure to leverage on the huge potentials of the resource to lay the basis for an industrial society.

    Our understanding is that the problems are precisely what the coordinating minister and the economic management team were hired to solve. The issues go beyond the ritual of self-assessment, or of the snail-paced growth which hierarchs of the Jonathan administration continue to project to sustain the myth of deft management of the economy.

    What Nigerians are interested in is whether or not the economy is now better primed to withstand exogenous shocks in the face of its continuing lack of enhanced capacity to produce basic goods. More than any concerns about curses, they want explanations for the appalling failure by the Jonathan administration to tackle, in a sustainable manner, the fuel supply conundrum currently at the heart of massive distortions in the macro-economy; the flight of capital that has seen the naira come under siege in the past few months and the administration’s answer to the massive corruption that has made nonsense of our public finance system.

  • Flagged off yet again

    Flagged off yet again

    •Will the 2nd Niger Bridge jinx be broken this time?

    LAST week, President Goodluck Jonathan turned the sod for the construction of the second bridge across the River Niger. It was a grand ceremony which had in attendance, several state governors, ministers, senators and a large crowd of government officials and the people of Ogbaru community in Anambra State. The unsuspecting would think the president was commissioning a newly completed bridge, but it was an elaborate celebration of a mere intention to build.

    But as eulogies rent the air during the ceremony, no one dared to mention that they had passed that imaginary road before. About seven years ago, in the early days of his tenure in 2007, former President Olusegun Obasanjo had hurriedly flagged off the purported construction of this same bridge amid so much fanfare. During the 2003 election campaign, Obasanjo had promised the building of that bridge as gambit for winning votes from the people of the Southeast.

    It was bad enough that the former president apparently forgot his pledge, the rushed ground-breaking turned out to be an act of grand deception as Nigerians were later to learn that the flagged-off construction of bridge had no plan, no contract and indeed, there was no file of the project in the Federal Ministry of Works. That may sound too fictional to be true, but it happened before our eyes.

    President Jonathan’s ceremony last week evokes a sense of de ja vu. This now famous second bridge was part of his key themes in the Southeast during the 2011 election campaign. He promised to build it over four years if he won. He won and like Obasanjo before him, probably forgot all about his promise until the time-table for the next election was released a few weeks ago. Now that the construction of the 1,590-mtre long bridge has been flagged off one more time by the Federal Government, its eventual construction would of course depend on whether the president wins the much sought-after second term bid and more important, whether the people of the southeast vote for him.

    Now the second bridge on the River Niger (the largest body of water in West Africa) is a major national project. The first bridge built in 1965 is of course obsolete and no longer viable as a key thoroughfare between the southeast/south-south and the rest of Nigeria. The bridge is the major link to the huge commercial centres of Onitsha, Nnewi and Aba, as well as all the major capitals in the south of Nigeria. It is arguably, Nigeria’s busiest interstate bridge today. It is unimaginable that for nearly 50 years, only one two-lane steel bridge crosses the Niger at Onitsha with the attendant bottleneck and unyielding traffic logjam on it. Consider the heavy toll this has had on commerce, business and commuter movement.

    It is therefore a wonder that a facility like this is being propositioned as a political favour; a quid pro quo for election votes. The second Niger Bridge just like the upgrade of the Lagos-Ibadan Expressway and the Oyo-Okene highway, to name but a few, should have been prosecuted and completed over a decade ago if we consider their importance to overall national development. But they remain a metaphor for the quality of leadership Nigeria has had in recent times, their conception of national development and their vision for the country. Gone are those days when leaders envision and designate certain facilities as strategic assets of utmost national importance; such facilities that catalyse the overall growth and development of the country.

    Now that the bridge has been commissioned a second time, we hope that government is sincere this time and everything necessary will be put in place to realise this milestone.

  • Malaysia Airlines plane could have been tracked with correct technology

    Malaysia Airlines plane could have been tracked with correct technology

    IT’S BEEN nearly a week since Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 disappeared over — well, no one is quite sure where. Malaysian officials over the past several days expanded their search area to a mind-boggling 27,000 square miles, on both air and land, spanning both sides of the Malay Peninsula. Even with an international fleet of more than 42 ships and 39 aircraft on the scene, the case of this missing plane “is rapidly becoming one of the great mysteries of all time,” David Gallo, an experienced hunter of plane wreckage with the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, told us.

    This was an avoidable mystery. There are eminently feasible ways to keep track of commercial aircraft, and it’s inexcusable that they are not being used. In fact, they aren’t operating even in the United States. This country’s air traffic control system still relies largely on decades-old radar networks, which have a variety of limitations. The Malaysia Airlines case shows one problem: It’s hard to track aircraft in remote areas, land or sea. A satellite-based tracking system U.S. authorities are installing will help, but it won’t be finished until at least 2020. The United States should at least stick to its timeline.

    International aviation authorities, meanwhile, should insist on the deployment of aircraft technology that transmits information in an emergency. That could require new beacons to cover remote areas of land and sea and satellite broadcasting technology on planes. This is reasonable: There’s no excuse for lost iPhones to be more findable than downed planes. There would be a cost to the upgrade. But there is a huge cost, financially and psychically, in launching an armada on a highly speculative hunt when a jetliner is suspected of crashing into an ocean.

    This isn’t a new lesson. In a feat of undersea exploration, Mr. Gallo led a team that recovered the black boxes from a downed Air France jet in 2011 — two years after the plane had crashed into the Atlantic Ocean on its way from Brazil to France. Now, three years later, the world is again at a loss. There’s simply no reason, given the available technology, that it should be just as possible for an airliner to vanish today over the Pacific as it was for Amelia Earhart nearly 80 years ago.

     

    – Washington Post

     

  • Beyond fasting

    Beyond fasting

    Emirs and Northern leaders must fully join  the war against insurgency in the North East

    The directive by the Shehu of Borno, Alhaji Abubakar ibn Garbai, that all residents of Borno State should embark on three-day fasting and prayer to seek divine intervention to the insurgency that has led to killings of hundreds of people in the state is welcome, if only for the fact that it marks active engagement by traditional leaders in the zone in the quest for solution to the crisis. Exasperated that all measures taken so far by the Federal Government, including an all-out military offensive, have failed, the traditional ruler said only God could return peace to the state and the other two states where a state of emergency had been imposed since last year. He called on all Muslims to offer special prayers in all mosques in the state, and Christians in all churches.

    In the early period of the armed uprising, traditional and other leaders of the region were accused of refusing to comment on the untoward development. Earlier in the month, The Sultan of Sokoto, Alhaji Sa’ad Abubakar III, called for continuous prayers for peace, unity and development in the country. He noted that, without peace and stability, there cannot be progress.

    While noting that the Emirs are coming late to the party, and are yet to employ strong enough terms in deprecating a development that has turned many into internal refugees, destroyed families and disrupted social relationships, the actions and comments being made now represent a new face in the concerted efforts to combat the threat to national sovereignty.

    It must be noted, however, that prayer and fasting alone are not enough to combat the menace. The military has been deployed in the area. A Civilian Joint Task Force has evolved to complement the armed forces and governments of the three states where the emergency has been declared have been unsparing in condemning the war against the Nigerian state. We call on the traditional rulers and leaders of the North to step up their engagement. The moving speech by the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Alhaji Aminu Tambuwal,at the plenary of the House is a step in the right direction. The resolution by the House to probe allocation of funds for troops’ welfare is equally commendable. Other leaders of the North should join in the quest to isolate the murderous gang.

    As we noted in previous editorials, what is obviously lacking is intelligence gathering. The military cannot win the war against suicide gangs except its moves are guided by intelligence. All governments, federal, state and local, must work together to stamp out the menace. It does not help efforts to curb the menace when the Borno State Governor, Alhaji Kashim Shettima sends out distress call based on his observation and appraisal of the situation, only to be abused by federal agents. The various governments must work in concert. The Federal Government, especially President Goodluck Jonathan who is the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, must appreciate that the state government is closer to the people and its views must be respected.

    We join conflict resolution and security experts who have called on the Federal Government to seek cooperation of neighbouring countries like Cameroun, Chad, Mali and Niger Republic in prosecuting the war. Fundamentalism and terrorism has assumed international dimension and require collaboration by friendly states to successfully terminate the evil.

    As Governor Shettima said, the Nigerian State is at war. Huge resources are being used to execute the war plans and the opportunity cost is that funds that could have been expended in revamping the education system, fix infrastructure and arrest the growing tendency to seek medical attention abroad are being diverted to fighting this senseless war.

    The traditional rulers should realise that they were part of the process that gave rise to the menace. Many traditional rulers who are supposed to be closest to the people, observe trends and report to the government have lost the local touch and are more of mouth-pieces of governments in the bid to live big. They are regularly spoilt with exotic cars bought with state funds and they depend on governments to build mansions for them. Thus, they lost their relevance in the social setting. Besides, in the Boko Haram case, they kept silent for too long, thus giving the impression that they condoned the development. It took attacks on palaces and emirs for them to issue tame statements.

    If the war against the Boko Haram insurgency must be fought and won, it must go beyond prayer and fasting. The insurgents must be made to see that all Nigerians, irrespective of religious, ethnic and social orientation are one in condemning their actions. Emirs have a crucial role in mobilising their people to denounce and fight the insurgents.

  • PDP’s janjaweed comment

    PDP’s janjaweed comment

    •A most reckless and irresponsible call from a ruling party sworn to national unity

    One of the most remarkable ironies about consistent partisan exchanges is that they often sound like crying wolf, where there is none. But the very occasions that there is indeed a threatening wolf, the danger is not given the attention it deserves. Such a scenario just got created. But it is no surprise that it has not got the ringing condemnation that should meet it.

    After the launch of the All Progressives Congress (APC) Roadmap, Olisa Metuh, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) national publicity secretary, perhaps to underscore his contempt for what he thought was partisan spin, dismissed the roadmap as a product of Janjaweed thinking.

    On the surface, no offence in that. Mr. Metuh’s job, as chief spokesperson for his party, is to discredit the opposing party, lest its programmes gather suction to hurt his own party. In partisan battles, as in real wars, the guiding philosophy is get the opposition before it gets you. So, Mr. Metuh would be damned if he allowed APC to take over the public space without offering stout resistance.

    But that was the only thing right about Mr. Metuh’s ill-fated comment. To start with, Janjaweed is scary symbolism. It is native to the troubled Darfur region of the eternally troubled Sudan; and it is the name of an Arab militia, allegedly armed by the state, to brutally suppress the revolting African Muslims, up against the Sudan powers-that-be.

    Janjaweed, as Lai Mohammed, APC national publicity secretary correctly remarked, has a disturbing religious connotation; not to talk of its settled place in infamy, given its murderous havoc on co-Sudanese, who just disagree with the extant government.

    But perhaps this, as bad symbolism as it is, would not have mattered much, but for the consistent reckless statements from this same Mr. Metuh, from which he gives the impression he does not particularly care if these wild statements may push the country to needless religious conflagration.

    Mr. Metuh, not long ago, declared APC a Muslim party. Though that appeared a panicky statement, as it came at the height of the high-voltage defections from PDP, it would appear a Freudian slip, which fits nicely into Mr. Metuh’s latest Janjaweed philosophy. Might that then reflect the innermost recesses of the PDP powers-that-be, as the build-up to 2015 starts?

    Add this series of symbolism, and everyone probably has a lot to fear: President Goodluck Jonathan, Mr. Metuh’s principal, has launched sorties to churches nationwide, making political statements, clubbing opponents and generally abusing the sanctity of the churches he visited.

    Now, a not illegitimate question: does Mr. Metuh have the mandate to drape the main political opposition in his phantom Islamist-Janjaweed vision, while the president himself goes on an identity tour, which suggests a “We Vs Them” connotation?

    Perhaps there is nothing to it than just a disturbing trend. But even that itself is bad enough, for a country plagued by needless religious tension.

    It is bad enough that Mr. Metuh’s reflex criticism of the APC Roadmap was crassly emotional, without any critical rigour. A serious ruling party should be made of more rigorous stuff. It is even worse that his emotional reflex picked up religion, with nary any thought of its devastating consequences, should things go awry.

    That is why every right-thinking Nigerian must condemn this unforced resort to volatile passion by a ruling party whose most important job is securing nation-wide peace by being fair and just to all. Instead of this reprehensible appeal to base religious emotion, the PDP must raise its game to reasoned and logical ripostes to whatever APC — and indeed other parties — throw at it.

    Mr. Metuh’s newfound hobby of appealing to base religion must stop. Otherwise, it is a road that would lead everybody to perdition.

     

  • Bugaje’s mindset

    Bugaje’s mindset

    •His view on Law of the Sea is too dangerous for comfort

    The exuberance exhibited by Dr. Usman Bugaje at the meeting of some prominent Leaders and Elders of Northern Nigeria, in Kano, last week, for which he received a standing ovation, is completely misguided. Dr. Bugaje had in reckless excitement claimed that: ‘whatever mileage you get in the sea according to the United Nations law of the sea is a measure of the land mass that you have, that is what gives you the mileage into the sea and the land mass of the country that gives that long 200 nautical miles or more into the ocean is because of the 72% of the land mass of this country, which is the north”.

    Obviously, Dr. Bugaje’s mindset is predicated on a classical ultra-dependency syndrome on the oil mineral resources, which is principally concentrated in the Niger Delta area and its continental shelf. In our view, it is the mindset that is at the root of the underdevelopment of Nigeria, particularly its northern part. It is also a fraudulent sense of entitlement, which historically has undermined robust economic activities across our country, as it engenders more effort on the sharing of the petro dollars from the hydro-carbon resources of the Niger-Delta, in place of labour. The dangerous consequence of the ascendancy of the Bugaje’s mindset is a rent economy and the de-industrialisation of the country.

    Indeed, Dr. Bugaje’s reference to the land mass as the determinant of the Exclusive Economic Zone of a state under International Law is hogwash. His thesis is also ant ethical to the fundamental principles of federalism. Perhaps Dr. Bugaje needs to read the history of how nations arrived at the choice of 200 nautical miles as the exclusive economic zone of states and also 200 nautical miles as the continental shelves of states, to understand the historical forces that were at play.

    Similar forces are also in context at the municipal level. An understanding of our national struggles will help him and those who think like him, to appreciate the historical imperatives that led to the proviso to section 162(2) of the 1999 constitution. For Bugaje and his ilk, it is important that they appreciate that the historical imperatives that led to that provision on derivation in the 1999 constitution may have informed the historic intervention of the government of former President Olusegun Obasanjo, to stem the crisis.

    So, to attempt to deny these historical facts is to harbour an ultra-dangerous mindset, which is clearly detrimental to the country’s well-being. If Dr. Bugaje claims that the Niger Delta states have no claim to resources accruing from Nigeria’s Exclusive Economic Zone, has he pursued to ask himself, whether the unity of Nigeria is cast in marble. Indeed, does Bugaje not realise that if his misbegotten argument is further stretched, then the people of the Niger Delta region could in similar warped reasoning claim exclusive ownership of their continental belt? To show the misconception in Bugaje’s logic, we ask, on what basis is he referring to a political entity called ‘the North’ with a 72% land mass?

    As far as we know, the Northern region, as a contiguous political entity ceased to exist in 1967, with the creation of 12 states in the country. So, to attempt to use a legally and politically fictional ‘North’ as a basis to pursue a self-serving agenda is condemnable and must be deprecated by all right- thinking Nigerians. What Nigeria needs are salutary mindsets which will help create common national ethos founded on patriotism. So, Dr. Bugaje and those who are excitable like him must appreciate that more than ever before, our country needs statesmen, not scaremongers.

  • Down time

    Down time

    To time to play? That’s what Brigid Schulte thought. Ina new book, Overwhelmed, she considers the problem of juggling the demands of family and professional life. It turns out she is wrong. Consulting an expert on time management, she finds something surprising: there is a lot of space in her diary. It’s just that she chooses to pack it with activity. That is the busy professional’s choice; yet sheer indolence is also a choice, and a fine one.

    There is a long and ancient tradition of condemning frenetic, frivolous activity. In De Tranquillitate Animi, Seneca notes those who are “out of breath for no purpose, always busy about nothing”. Among the purposeless activities he lists are, with extraordinary prescience, sunbathing on the beach, being groomed at the hairdresser’s and flocking to popular spectacles (wrestling, in the Roman’s case).

    In his essay Of Idleness, Montaigne warned that slothful minds might “run into a thousand extravangaces… in which wild agitation there is no folly, nor idle fancy they do not light upon”. Napoleon, worried at the tedium of exile on St. Helena, reflected that “work is the scythe of time” – and wished to have it.

    These sages are wrong. They conflict with another ancient source of wisdom: Aristotle’s belief that leisure is the first principle of action. The opportunity to choose trivially in leisure is a blessing of an affluent society. Still more is the opportunity to choose idleness.

    The spiritually minded refer to a bout of determined inactivity as contemplation, but the truly dedicated flaneur will recoil at the suggestion of mental activity. Doing nothing is a noble calling. It was not through an aversion to work but to a fascination with it that Jerome K. Jerome remarked, in Idle Thoughts of an Idle Fellow, that he could sit and look at it for hours. That’s more like it.

     

    –The London Times

     

  • Jonathan’s subtle threat

    Jonathan’s subtle threat

    •The president should differentiate between abuse and criticism

    President Goodluck Jonathan betrayed his lack of proper understanding of federalism while receiving a delegation of Anambra State indigenes. The delegation went to the Presidential Villa, Abuja, to thank him for the support he purportedly gave out-going Governor Peter Obi. The governor will hand over to Chief Willie Obiano, the governor-elect in last year’s highly contentious election, on March 17.

    The president, in an un-presidential statement declared: “Peter Obi worked very hard as a governor and very friendly to the government. A number of politicians feel that the best thing to do is to be abusing Mr. President, abusing the Federal Government and so on. You are elected to develop your state, I think the best thing is to have good relationship with the centre, whether you have a pin or you don’t have, but one day it will come. Wearing boxing gloves, jumping into the boxing ring to face Mr. President does not help the development of any state.”

    We abhor any abuse targeted at the president or even any principal officer of state. This is absolutely not right as such is unfair to those concerned. However, there should be a clear distinction between an abuse and criticism. Perhaps what the president sees as abuses were critical questions and scrutiny that arose out of his or government’s actions and utterances, by some governors.

    For instance, should the president feel abused by queries raised by some governors over delays and outright illegal deductions from their states’ monthly allocations? Is it an abuse for governors to criticise the president’s un-dignifying silence over the criminality by some centre-supported politicians that nearly consumed Rivers State? Is it an insult for governors to critique the inept approach of the Federal Government in its handling of the invidious Boko Haram? Is it an abuse to ask the president to compel an audit into the $20billion oil money that is yet to be remitted into the federation account by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC)? We can go on reeling out other shortcomings of the president.

    While we deprecate abuse under whatever guise, we state without equivocation that constructive criticisms as depicted above are necessary ingredients for guaranteeing progress, especially in any democratic country. Notwithstanding President Jonathan’s grandstanding through haughty arrogation to himself of unnecessary power to develop states, we make bold to submit that the laws are very clear over the powers of the Federal Government and those of the component states.

    If indeed, the president truly believes in the rule of law, he should freely give what the law says belong to the component units rather than be playing imperial politics with the growth and development of those constitutional creations. For example, the law creates ecological fund to be administered by the centre government, but, should the president wait for the governor of any state where disaster happens to come and grovel before him before releasing such funds?

    We can only enjoin the president, in the interest of constitutionalism, to always endeavour to deal with the governors in official and lawful, not personal, capacity.

  • Let Ukraine be

    Let Ukraine be

    •Foreign interests must allow the people’s will to prevail

    History is replete with extant lessons, but only if anyone cares to give heed. The crisis now playing out in the east European country of Ukraine may end up like the current calamity in Syria if the contending parties do not back-track and rethink their interest. Although Ukraine and Syria’s fundamentals are different, the crises are almost sure to track the same trajectory if Ukraine is allowed to fester. The turmoil which started three months ago when demonstrators took over the Independence Square in Kiev, capital of Ukraine, was sustained by the people until President Viktor Yanukovych was ousted.

    The protesters are not only aggrieved that the Yanukovych regime was corrupt, the fallen president, in alliance with Moscow (Russia) was blocking the people’s wish for a free trade with the European Union. However, Ukraine, which is one of the splinter nations of the old Soviet Union remains a Russian outpost. Sharing a wide expanse of border with Russia, and sharing a historical relationship that spans over a thousand years, it can be said that Ukraine is to Russia what Canada is to the United States of America.

    This explains why Russia has waded into the crisis, almost annexing the southern Ukrainian region of Crimea, threatening a shooting war. Russia, which has a large naval base in Crimea rides on the pretext that she is protecting the predominantly Russian-speaking population on the expansive peninsula that is largely contiguous with her boundaries. By last Sunday, Russian soldiers had forcibly seized 11 border posts in Crimea, meeting very feeble resistance from the Ukrainian army but pro and anti-Russian protests have broken out in the Crimean capital of Sevastopol, further increasing tension in the country that is increasingly caught between two divides.

    The situation in Ukraine is not unlike a replay of the cold war era between the superpowers of the West and East and their allies. While Russia under President Vladimir Putin contemplates the agglomeration of East European countries into a loose economic bloc to counter the EU, it is obviously uncomfortable with the increasing incursion of the European Union and a total western domination of its sphere of influence. Russia is Ukraine’s major protégé and handmaiden. To lose her grip on Ukraine is to lose her essence in the current international power equilibrium. Russia has also played the big brother role to Ukraine, granting huge cash aids as well as cheaper gas, not to mention the cover of its naval might in Crimea.

    The Western world – US and the European Union – have stoutly come to the defence of Ukraine, suggesting that Russia is provocative, if not sabre-rattling by mobilising soldiers to Crimea. The United Kingdom’s Foreign Secretary has warned that Russia has made a “big miscalculation” by entering Crimea, hinting that Western countries could impose far-reaching economic sanctions if no diplomatic solution was reached between Russia and Ukraine. The US, through her National Security Adviser Susan Rice also warned that it “would be a grave mistake” for Russia to intervene militarily in Ukraine.

    Die-hard Russians insist the protesters are sponsored by the West and fear a civil war as rages in Syria today. Although there is an interim government in place and election has been slated for May 27, minds are set and the environment is soiled already. The election may change nothing if it does not suit one bloc or the other. We urge that only the people’s will prevail. The powers at play will only do well to allow an electoral process that would be free, fair and representative of the will of the generality of the people of Ukraine. This is the noble solution that will avert another Syria situation in Ukraine. Russia and the West owe the world this sacred duty.