Tag: allegory

  • Kidnapping as Allegory

    This past week, the federal authorities briefly lost control of the major highway out of the federal capital to the core north. It was a profoundly symbolic moment for the Nigerian post-colonial state as it seems to buckle under the strains and stress of maintaining law and order in an increasingly distressed nation.

    It may well be a sneak preview of a historic meltdown.  Armed robbers and kidnappers laid siege to the beautiful, scenic plains that unfold towards the iconic city of Kaduna spreading murder and mayhem. According to a major newspaper report, many were unaccounted for after the siege lifted and the acrid smoke cleared.

    The chairman of UBEC and his daughter were abducted after his driver was killed. They were released two days later. Many others were not so lucky. They would have been frogmarched for several hours deep into the forest until they arrived at a modern kidnapping complex; an African Pentagon in the jungle bristling with guns and hardware of the nefarious trade. According to a recent victim, listening posts and sentry nests dotted the route relaying information back and forth.

    The same victim noted that at a point during captivity, a low-flying Air Force plane attempted to bomb the abductors out of contention. But the trigger happy sadists simply lined their victim against the bank of a deep river preparatory to finishing them off should the aerial threat become a reality. It would have been a foolhardy misadventure.

    By the end of the week, in what could be described as the symbolic equivalent of an assault on a national Holy Shrine, the kidnappers struck at the hometown of the president taking with them the District Head of Daura, Magajin Garin Daura, Mallam Musa Umar. It doesn’t get more humiliating than that.

    It will be recalled that a few months earlier, the Governor of Katsina State, Mallam Aminu Masari, had alerted the world that it was becoming impossible to venture out of the immediate precincts of the State House because armed robbers and kidnappers have laid a siege to the wider perimeter.  This is arguably the most damning evidence of official paralysis and state-impairment that we have seen in Nigeria’s post-independence history.

    It is obvious that the demoralised police are hopelessly outmatched and ill-equipped for this new kind of social daredevilry. There is a report that policemen often act as ransom conduit to the kidnappers. A more scary report even suggested that police often pay ransom to kidnappers to secure kidnapped colleagues in what may well be a double-sting operation in which the kidnapping might have been faked in the first instance. We are in the realm of reality as outlandish fiction and it doesn’t get more Kafkaesque.

    By midweek, it was reported that retreating Boko Haram insurgents had slaughtered over four dozen people in Adamawa State. When you add all this to the killing fields of Zamfara and Kajuru in Kaduna State, the renewed activities of killer-herdsmen in the middle belt, ritual savagery in the South West, and the mosaic of murder and mayhem that the country has become, you get a sense that the federal authorities are facing a unique, nation-disabling phenomenon of social, religious, economic and political insurgency.

    This past week in a widely circulated piece, a veteran columnist of The Vanguard newspaper, while chronicling our gradual descent into normlessness, has noted that what is happening in the north is a creeping revolution of the Almajiri underclass who seem to have had enough of their feudal master class.

    He then went on to thump and pooh-pooh the socialist and Marxist fantasy that revolutions can only occur in advanced societies with a well-crystallized and nobly envisioned middle class. To align with his argument and to buttress the point, one can only add that the revolution in Russia was famously dubbed the revolution against capital because it occurred in a backward feudal society of rudimentary capitalism.

    But there is a difference between revolutions and social revolts. There is nothing that has happened in the world so far that has disproved the foundational socialist thesis that revolutions require an organized middle class cadre to pioneer and power it. The lower masses do not do revolutions. Revolutions are a brisk and bloody affair requiring a disciplined and organized upper cadre to canalize and channel the volcanic rage.

    Social revolts by the lower masses can only end in messy and anarchic bloodletting which will eventually consume the entire society as state power gradually implodes, wracked by its own internal contradictions. The controlled explosions currently going on in Algeria and Sudan are possible only to the extent that there is a disciplined and organized civil force in the background controlling and orchestrating events.

    In Nigeria it is strange that all these social disruptions are happening so soon after a landmark election which seems to have settled the question of supremacy between the two major state parties. According to INEC, President Buhari trounced his opponent so decisively and by millions of votes to spare. Yet even before the inauguration, there are ominous echoes of a fundamental rupture within the political class and of a lurch towards regional and ethnic ramparts.

    These are the wages of electoralism, an overt and unwarranted reliance on elections as a mechanism for settling disputes among the political class without addressing fundamental national contradictions. As we have said several times in this column, elections do not resolve fundamental national questions. As a matter of fact, they often exacerbate them, leading to civil wars and national trauma: Algeria in 1992, Nigeria in 1993, Congo Brazzaville, Kenya, Cote D’Ivoire, CAR and now in Venezuela.

    On three different occasions, 1964/65, 1983 and 1993 disputed or aborted elections have led Nigeria to the path of anarchy and disintegration. On the few occasions that federal elections succeeded, they have always been preceded by elite buy in and substantial negotiation until the subsisting pacts collapse, 1958, 1979 and 1999.

    In stable democracies where major national issues have been settled, elections are mere elite mechanism for organizing and choosing state personnel. To that extent, they deploy substantial elite consensus and compliance to sustain the order of illusion and the illusion of order. That is until the nation faces fresh challenges and uncharted waters requiring fundamental re-engineering.

    It is when you have elite consensus on core national values that the less insignificant question of who actually rules is settled beyond controversy. Since the end of military rule, Ghana has oscillated between two political tendencies reflecting deep ideological divisions along the old Danquah versus Nkrumah fault lines but this has never degenerated into an ethnic or regional brawl. But in Nigeria despite the ideological flux within the state parties, elections are barely disguised warfare.

    Politicians must be able to read the political barometer of their society correctly. Otherwise, they plunge their nations into anarchy and chaos. When the hapless and heedless David Cameron called for a national referendum on Brexit little did he know that he was opening a Pandora’s Box of elite indiscipline and loss of visionary nerve which would render Britain virtually ungovernable.

    Readers of this column would remember us warning several times that unless we take some fundamental decisions about the destiny of the nation, Nigeria may become ungovernable for whoever won the presidential election. We insisted that even if President Buhari is returned to power, his renewed tenure would be marked by wild tempests and political volcanoes unless there is a fundamental shift in the paradigm of governance.

    So far, there is no concrete evidence of this shift except for President Buhari’s promissory note of redress and restitution. Meanwhile and well ahead of the inauguration, the voices of rancour and disorder are drowning out the few sober and sane voices remaining. While some notorious agent provocateurs from the north are busy proclaiming from the rooftop the strange new doctrine of northern exceptionalism based on what they consider its electoral majoritarianism , some southern leaders are hitting the rooftop in bitter derision daring General Buhari to do his worst.

    This is not the best way to usher in a new government. Nigera’s fledgling democracy has reached uncharted waters. By the way, is democracy Day May 29 or June 12? As elite rancour persists, as centrifugal forces lay siege to an already embattled state, the ground below is beginning to rumble. Elite cohesion is important for filtering discontents and disaffection. When that platform and buffer zone collapses, the stage is set for a direct confrontation between the affronted masses and the government.

    We are gradually approaching that point.  Political crisis in Nigeria is fuelled by elite delinquency. The two state parties cannot agree on the way forward. This is what happens when there is no unified vision of the country. The dominant political party has been unable to achieve consensus on who to field for the principal offices of the National Assembly and there is the danger of its dissolving into its regional particularities once again.

    In the circumstances, the coming elections in NASS promise to be as messy and chaotic as they were in 2015. The results may even be more controversial, given the premature focus on the 2023 elections. In the intrigue-soaked chambers, ethnic loyalty trumps party affiliation. We have been here before and the auguries are not too good for fledgling democracy, or the nation for that matter.

    This is one national emergency where presidential good intentions, honesty of purpose and integrity are not enough to halt the drift to anomie and chaos. It is obvious that the kidnappers who struck in Daura have no use or respect for such presidential virtues. As class polarization and feudal contradictions sharpen in the north, the rest of the country has every reason to tremble in premonition. President Buhari needs a generous dose of inspiration in the coming weeks.

  • The allegory of 2nd Niger Bridge

    I was amused at the ignorance and mischief of some men who a few days from Christmas suffused Facebook with photographs of traffic jam on the Onitsha Bridge. They scowl in their usual manner that President Buhari was lying that he was constructing a Second Niger Bridge.

    For these fellows, the moment a project is announced to have commenced that means it is said to have been delivered.

    There was no insult and invectives they didn’t pour on the president and his party. Some even shot a video and in their crippled English ran a commentary saying all manners of inanities.

    If it were just about Onitsha Bridge, one would have forgiven these folks and attribute their condition to too much ingestion of propaganda poison from IPOB. This is however symptomatic of quite a good number of Nigerians understanding or lack of it of the workings of government.

    Before I go on, let me however differentiate these folks from the ones who have lost benefit.The top preacher who no longer gets free money from the state and whose income has dropped drastically from tithes due to the blockage of leakages by government. These elements are in the same boat with traditional rulers, business men, top civil servants, out of power and out of favour politicians as well as the young who grew up to adult under the 16 year of PDP regime and have come to think toil does not pay.

    This is understandable. Two American writers once put this in perspective. Ronald A. Heifetz and Marty Linsky in Leadership On The LineStaying Alive through the Dangers of Leading said of the phenomenon: “To lead is to live dangerously because when leadership counts, when you lead people through difficult change, you challenge what people hold dear- their daily habits,tools , loyalties, and way of thinking- with nothing more to offer perhaps than possibility”.

    Now the allegory.

    Some marauders enter a town. They set the houses on fire. Goaded by the local gin they looted all they could and raped every woman in sight. Some courageous elements in the community came out in their hundreds and chased the marauders away. The damage has however been done. The houses have been destroyed. The ones that didn’t get burnt were pulled down.

    The town decided it was time to rebuild. They called on an elder, a patriot to lead the process of reconstruction and rebuilding. The elder laid out the process of reconstruction. We must clear the debris, call an architect, builders and structural engineers to come up with a strong design that will not in the nearest future be susceptible to destruction. The experts took their time and came up with a design, which the majority if not all members of the community signed on to. Now time to look for the money. Efforts were made both within and outside to secure enough money for reconstruction.

    Then the foundation, a solid one for that matter was put in place and as this was going on a horde of young people and some who are only elders in gait and the grey hair they spot up rise up in arms.

    Many who were in their diapers when the destruction took place and who could not connect with the trust reposed in the elder to lead the reconstruction process armed themselves with stones and started hauling it at the elder. You promised us reconstruction of our homes destroyed. Where is the house now? Where is the beautiful edifice, they demanded to know.

    They could not reason that any edifice without a foundation is like a house built on quick-sand. It shall soon fall down and scatter. The community had thought that it was only the houses that were destroyed; the ability of many of the members of the community to reason properly also suffered some demolition. The communal river too was poisoned and every child that drank of the water became mentally stunted.

    This is the story of the Nigerians who could not reason properly that Nigeria has haemorrhaged badly under the military and 16 years of PDP has damaged it further almost irreparably.

    The construction of the 2nd Niger Bridge is going on as promised and as planned by the administration and so are other projects. The last time I heard the Minister of Works speak about this project, he explained that all of the years PDP talked about building the bridge there was no design and engineering drawing. That has since been achieved and concrete piling is ongoing to provide a solid foundation. The underwater foundation he said is of the height of a 12-storey building. All of this beyond what the ordinary citizen not involved in the construction can fathom or visible on the surface. Neither is a project like this nor any project at all conceived and completed overnight.

    Work is not ceasing at the 2nd Niger Bridge just as work has not ceased in finding solutions to all the problems bedevilling our country. Thirty nine billion naira, the minister said, was most recently disbursed to Julius Berger, the company handling the project. Berger is known to be a can do company.

    Similarly is Mambilla Plateau Dam that promises additional 7000 megawatts of power. Few days back, 16 companies awarded the contract for the Ogoni clean up were taken by the Minister of Environment to the location to be formally introduced to the traditional rulers as well as the Ogoni people.  We shall all marvel when by February, we are able to take a train ride in just 45 minutes from Lagos to Ibadan. This has immense implications for Lagos decongestion, development of estates along the corridor and the ease of transportation in the Lagos metropolis itself. You can live in Ibadan and work in Lagos. It will reduce your rent as well as your rest. By the time you are in the bosom of your wife, the man working in Victoria Island and living in Agege will still be struggling to negotiate his way through the intractable traffic on Third Mainland Bridge. By next year this project will inch its way to Osogbo and from Osogbo to my state in Ekiti, all the way to Kano. The one from Lagos to Calabar is on the drawing board, so is Port Harcourt to Maiduguri. Aladja to Warri is almost completed. All in less than four years. Imagine if Obasanjo and his hordes had done all of these in 16 years when we were awash with petro-dollars; the load on Mr President’s shoulder at this lean time would have been lighter

    Despite the less available he is making a commendable effort to do more.

    Baba may be slow as some alleged but he is steady. Which old and wisened man is not slow? The decisions I took some 25 years ago I will not take them today without subjecting them to rigorous reflection. That is the benefit of age, of experience.

    Add to this his integrity. The fast boys of yesterday only made away with our money to acquire private jets and Macmansions in choice areas across the world. The Panama Papers is replete with what they have taken from this country. More will come out about that soonest.

    Dear Compatriots it may take a lot of efforts, the stammerer will call Baba just as it may take some time, the hog will get from Badagry to Oyo. It didn’t take three years. The Singapore model we all loved to refer to took not three years but almost 35 years to bring into being.

    Bit by bit, block by block, window element by window element, President Muhammadu Buhari and Yemi Osinbajo are delivering on their promises. They are building the edifice. All that is required is for us to have faith, trust in them and be patient and they shall to the glory of God, and for the benefit of Nigerians, deliver an edifice that shall be a pride of Nigerians.

     

    • Ojudu is Special Adviser to the President on Political Matters.
  • History as Allegory

    History as Allegory

    There are times when a writer must shift dialectical gears by focusing on developments in a totally different society in other to grasp and appreciate what is going on in his own society.  An allegory could be a compressed story—or in this case an event— which illuminates and deepens our understanding of another story or event. In its constant disputation with humanity, there are times when history wears as an allegorical garb as it beams its light on totally unrelated events.

    When it was written twelve years ago after violent racial riots broke out in Paris, the essay that follows this short introduction could not have foreseen or anticipated that what was unfolding was a mere precursor to murderous mayhem which would years later shake modern France to its very  foundation and prepare the ground for the emergence of Monsieur Emmanuel Macron at the Elysee Palace.

    It was not the Germans that eventually set Paris ablaze. It was internal contradictions, particularly an ill-digested unitarism parading as egalitarianism. But crisis often brings out the best in organic nations. With the great French Left ossifying into historic irrelevance, with the centre imploding and with rightwing extremism on the rampage, the best of France came together to elect their youngest president ever.

    At the level of banal textual explication, it is always a sobering and humbling affair to peruse what you have written ages ago. You marvel at the prophetic acuity of what you got right and the appalling presumptuousness of what you didn’t. Above all, you are compelled to marvel at the fate of historically deaf societies.

    Is Paris Burning?

    Adolf Hitler once came upon what he thought was the final solution to the French question: Conquer France and burn down Paris. The spat between the redoubtable Germans and their equally formidable foes across the Rhine was as historic as it was memorable.

    In the run up to the treaty of Versailles which was to lead directly to the emergence of Hitler and the disaster that was the Second World War, the American negotiators were baffled by the intense hostility of the French to the Germans. One of them, appalled and alarmed by the unreasonable and impossible demands for reparations the French were piling on their fallen tormentors, walked up to the French prime-minister, Georges  Clemenceau, a.k.a the tiger. “But sir have you ever been to Germany?” he was asked.

    “Never! But twice in my lifetime, Germans have been to Paris”, came the terse reply. Clemenceau was of course referring to the national humiliation of the 1870 Franco-Prussian war and the beginning of the First World War when German tanks and armory rolled relentlessly to the gates of Paris.

    Had the old man loitered around long enough, he would have witnessed an even more humiliating fiasco in the Second World War when Hitler’s panzer divisions rounded the Maginot line and tore their way into Paris with time, men and material to spare. The French military High Command was left wondering what hit them.

    The cocktail of mutual contempt and condescension had reached its ultimate potency. For the Germans, beautiful Paris in all its gothic grandeur and baroque splendour was the ultimate symbol of the cultural arrogance and merciless superciliousness of the French. Let it be obliterated from human memory.  And let the proud frog-eaters eat the humble pie for thinking that the Germans were barbarians from Bavarian peat bog. You cannot claim to be arbiters of taste and culture without commensurate firepower. As far as historic grudges go this was probably the ultimate.

    Hitler eventually conquered France and Paris, but the plot to incinerate Paris soon got lost in a maze of strategic priorities. In any case, since the deranged Austrian corporal thought he was going to be there forever, there was no point in hurrying. Paris was thus spared by sheer providence. But the plot to torch it spawned a conspiracy industry and a whole series of counter-factual treatises. The most magnificent and chilling of these is the book titled: Is Paris Burning?

    In early November, the great city finally obliged. But this time, it was not a new Hitler or the Germans settling historical scores. It was a self-inflicted catastrophe. The enemy was within. For almost fortnight a, most of France and Paris in particular was lapped by tongues of fiery flames.

    It was no longer a question of whether Paris was ablaze but whether it would burn to ground. The inferno fanned inwards, from the huge ghettoes that ringed the city, ——the periphérique as they are called—  and hell-holes of a marginalized and deprived underclass made up mainly of immigrant communities from Africa and denizens from the new French racial underground. As they made bonfires of national vanities, the lie of racial integration that Republican France had lived exploded in her face. It was not a pretty picture.

    But France was not alone in facing this moment of truth. All is restive on the western front. Everywhere, western civilization, as we know it, is in crisis. Historians will probably pinpoint the outgoing year as the precise point of departure when new realities finally vanquished old myths.

    From the United States and most of Western Europe, the images of 2005 are not very reassuring. If Hurricane Katrina exposed the soft underbelly of racial inequities and the hollow myth of the American dream, particularly with regards to those who were forcibly incorporated into the project, the metropolitan mayhem in England in July showcased an acute post-colonial crisis for the colonizing metropolis: how to handle the claims of  former colonial subjects and their descendants in the post-empire society.

    The claims are pressing, and they have led to scenes of utmost horror in even the most refined and civilized of western societies. In 2004, Holland nearly tipped over into the pit of racial conflagration when Theo Van Goth, the irreverent and iconoclastic film-maker, became a victim of a horrific racially and religiously motivated ritual murder. He was repeatedly stabbed and then shot. A knife was then firmly planted in his chest with a note.

    Pleasant and diffident Amsterdam woke up to find that its multiracial innocence and cultural tolerance was under siege. In Germany where the immigrant Turkish minority are contemptuously referred to as “gastarbeiter” and are not considered worthy of citizenship even after thirty years of residence, a tense face-off may yet explode in violence. In Belgium with its sizeable immigrant community from central Africa, a copycat version of the Paris firefight blossomed briefly before it was stamped out.

    Like some monster arboreal species, the tree of western domination is beginning to bear interesting fruits; some pleasant to the palate and some utterly repelling.  Who would have thought that children of immigrant parents soundly educated and brought up within the British value system would one day take up arms against the same society?

    Who would have thought that those whose parents were grateful to be plucked from the clutches of poverty and pandemic in the Third World would one day rise in fiery indignation and in total defiance of the hosting state and the timidity of their placid ancestors?

    But for the post-Katrina calamity and its horrid images, who would have thought that there still exist in the United States ghettoes and slums that would make the hell-holes and urban zoos of sub-Saharan Africa look like paradise on earth?

    As the great French philosopher would observe, the times are truly out of joints. Yet it is the French model of racial integration that must be of utmost interest to the modern world as it finally unravels at the seams. This is because it is the most ambitious, the most noble, the most visionary, the most republican and perhaps the most radical attempt to create human society anew from the ashes of feudalism.

    Despite their revolutionary rhetoric, the founders of America were not starry-eyed idealists. They never believed that humankind was created in equality. Some of them were avid slave-holders.

    The abolition of formal slavery notwithstanding, human and civil rights had to be fought for every inch of the way, thanks to the heroes of the civil rights movements and ordinary people faced with extraordinary circumstances like the recently deceased Rosa Parks. Britain took the easy way out: a great fudge and a typically British compromise. Let it be a multi-racial and multi-cultural society once the core values of the nation are respected.

    But in their hubristic high-mindedness the founding fathers of modern France had no such inhibition. The great war-cry of the French revolution was liberty, egalitarianism and fraternity. Every inhabitant of French soil must become French. No French citizen must be discriminated against on the basis of racial origin or mode of worship.

    In most official forms in France, there is no reference to racial origin or mode of worship. The state is the father of all, the imagined patriarch of an imagined national community, the great umbrella offering shelter to all in a Gaullist meltdown. It is of course an impassioned humbug, a monarchical unitarism gone haywire.

    But it worked for its time. And so a Leopold Senghor from Senegal and a Houphouet-Boigny  from Ivory Coast found themselves as honorary Frenchmen delivering impassioned speeches at the French assembly as elected deputies. And Jean Bokassa, the deranged despot from Ubangi-Shari, found himself weeping more than the bereaved at the burial of Charles de Gaulle.

    What then happened, and why is Paris burning? The great French model is a classic example of how a revolutionary ideal can atrophy and ossify into a deadening dogma. The law may be the law, but human beings will always be human beings. The great French revolutionaries never reckoned with France becoming a huge unwieldy empire in its own right, a gargantuan machine of colonial terror and oppression.

    As the empire expanded and the logic of human domination unfolded, great waves of immigrants from the colonized domains also began to seek shelter and solace in the colonizing dominion. The homogenizing mill, filled to capacity, began to feel the strain of ungainly grist and the laboratory began to belch smoke.

    Unlike their fathers who were eternally grateful to be granted a toe-hold in a saner clime, it is the immigrant children and grandchildren who began to see through the smokescreen of post-colonial abracadabra. Some of them who were lucky to escape the slums have performed at the highest level of sporting endeavours for their new country. Many have died in wars for the fatherland. Yet something did not add up.

    You send a set of speculative applications for employment to officialdom, one with an aristocratic sounding French surname, the other with a Muslim name or some lip-cruncher from Equatorial Africa and it is the one with the perfect French patronymic that gets interview appointments while the colonial abomination ends up in the dustbin. Try this for housing, and you get the same result. The law may be clear, but you cannot blame the poor official. In a situation of great scarcity, people tend to take care of their own first.

    This, then, is the great social contradiction that has brought  France’s immigrant youths to arson and mayhem. The conclusion remains inescapable that despite the French Revolution and the radical rhetoric, France remains very much a stratified and hierarchical society. Yet as the economy shrank due to dwindling largesse of from the former empire, an uncompetitive workforce and the consequent loss of entrepreneurial initiative, it should be obvious that you can only redistribute wealth you have created in the first instance. And you can only provide employment when you have created job opportunities.

    France is faced with tough decisions compounded by the burdens of political memory. It can go the way of untrammeled capitalism: roll back the great Gaullist state, give free reign to human greed and enterprise and welcome the savage competitiveness which is the secret of the American economic miracle. The result may be new found prosperity but also the disappearance of a whole way of life, particularly the sedate ambience and cultured lassitude that have defined France for generations, in short the Americanization of France which its elite hate with a passion.

    On the other hand, France may hand over the state to monsieur Le Pen and the rabid right. In which case, the rampaging immigrant youths would be told that France was meant for the real French and they can either take it or lump it. The ensuing repressive ferocity would then turn the land of liberty, fraternity and egalité into an anarchic slave-holding camp.

    It may then be time for a new French revolution.  Toussaint L’Overture , the great revolutionary of African descent, who had urged the triumphant French revolutionists not to substitute a race-based aristocracy for the class-based aristocracy they had dismantled would be turning in his grave in righteous fulfillment.

    France should not be ashamed. In the drive to nudge humanity to a higher telos, republican rhetoric has always outpaced harsh reality. Ask the timeless China of Confucius. Ask the ancient Roman Empire with its slave-holding economy. Ask the old Athenian democracy.  It is then left to human will to bridge the gap between ideal and actuality.

    But if societies that have thrown up such political visionaries and outstandingly humane thinkers come up for short in the ideal human communion, one must shudder at the fate of people who have denied themselves the capacity to produce either.

    • First published in 2005.

     

  • Soccer as political allegory

    Once again, Nigeria’s legendary luck and mysterious provenance have been on grand display in the recently concluded soccer fiesta in South Africa. Against better fancied and indeed better prepared teams, the eagles have prevailed. It is a tad short of the miraculous. The eagles’ victory came against the run of play both outside and inside the field.

    Yet as this column never tires of asserting, Nigeria is a profound tribute to the subversive genius of the colonial imaginary; a prospective candidate for greatness and the salutary ironies of adversity. When it gets its act together, Nigeria is like its own football team at the summit of its genius. It is pure poetry in motion.

    But no nation has ever lived on football. Otherwise, Brazil would be the greatest nation on earth. If soccer is the new opium of the people, it is a poor tranquiliser indeed. The pains and the torments often return to the afflicted in greater measure. The crises and contradictions resume with greater intensity. The morphine of soccer glories is not always available even under the counter. To forget his woes, an alcoholic has to be permanently drunk, which is impossible. A person who dreams of great riches without hard work has a pact with punitive poverty.

    Now that that the euphoria has died down and the protocol of pundits has vanished, it is time to face once again the ugly realities of our existence. Now that the denizens of public parks and their celebratory fireworks have retreated to their dens, it is time to put the eagles’ victory in proper perspective and within an analytic framework. There are surely lessons to be learnt and it is important to get to the root of the matter before the wrong conclusions are drawn.

    This is not to take anything away from Dr Goodluck Jonathan. An unlucky president also deserves his lucky break. We must be generous even to our political adversaries. Jonathan has every right to milk the eagles’ triumph to its maximum possibility. Napoleon rated good luck above sheer proficiency when it came to assessing his generals. A man may have uncommon abilities, but the gods may conspire against his being catapulted to human greatness.

    If Jonathan’s minders had the presence of mind and are not too consumed by fatuous carping and bitching, they ought to have persuaded their principal to take a picture with the victorious eagles wearing their jerseys. That is what those who have an eye to history and posterity do. There is an iconic picture of General Yakubu Gowon in Eagles’ jerseys as he welcomed the victorious Eagles team of 1973. Shortly after that, the eagles were handed a 5-1 shellacking by the no-nonsense Zambians.

    Still, this last one was sweet and sublime victory. Snooper shared in all the hoopla and euphoria. It was great and good to be a Nigerian once again. In the global circuits, only those who travel frequently can describe how national misfortune can determine the fortune of the national. At Boston Airport last Monday, an American Custom official cheerily and heartily waved snooper on, congratulating him on the victory of the eagles. Have a good country and you will travel. It is a profound irony that Nigeria’s greatest soccer moments in the last 30 years have come either in time of unwholesome military dictatorships or under-performing civilian governments.

    In the end, nothing must take away the sterling performance of the eagles’ boys and the sublime coaching skills of Stephen Okechukwu Keshi. Nobody gave the boys a chance. Official support was niggardly. There were dark and ominous hints that Keshi himself has been penciled for dismissal after the game. The seamy racket involving the recruitment of foreign coaches was about to unfurl again.

    But Keshi triumphed against all odds and adversities. Having conjured something out of nothing, his achievement is nothing short of the miraculous. It is an interesting irony that having travelled around a bit, it is at home that Keshi would finally find his moments and materials. There is often an ineluctable logic to human destiny.

    Stephen Keshi has shown us what is possible when grit, persistence and determination combine with natural talents and home-made resources. In a sense, this ought to be the story of Nigeria itself, but why it is not so is a question the Nigerian people and their political elite would have to answer before the court of history. Keshi has shown the character and aplomb, the cheeky brilliance and the ability to cock a snook at adversity which have made Nigerians to be unique specimens around the globe.

    In other words, what we are saying is that the eagles’ soccer triumph is a political allegory for Nigeria. It points at , and at the same time, points away from the political quagmire of the present and what can be achieved once the correct lesson has been drawn. It shows what can happen to a nation once ethnicity, quota system and federal character are shunned in the recruitment of national leadership. Keshi has proved to us that once these viruses are taken on headlong, the nation can come up with its true First Eleven on the field of soccer.

    But soccer has never rescued a nation or its political class from internal contradictions or a crisis of development and eventual damnation. Snooper once asked a famous American professor friend why he thinks that the US lags behind Brazil in soccer, despite its immense riches and resources. My friend looked sternly at me as if snooper had lost his mind.

    “Well, we can’t allow our boys roaming the beaches in the morning and practicing soccer when they should be in school. In America, any youth who plays soccer in the morning will end up with the police in the afternoon.” Then he added the devastating clincher. “For every Pele and Maradona so produced, there are at least a hundred miscreants. These are social pellets and time-bombs.”

    When a soccer-besotted snooper thus lamented the fact that in the event, America would never be a great footballing nation, the professor snapped. “Well better a great country than a great footballing nation. In any case, all your great and exceptional footballers will end up in the west to entertain us. Many of them will never go back and you will never hear of their children as footballers, but as successful professionals in other fields.”

    Still, it will be a poorer world without great soccer stars and great footballing nations. The tantalising and intriguing question must now be posed. Will Brazil trade off something through the great and sterling efforts of its recent leaders in lifting more and more people out of the poverty loop and in clearing the slums and the beaches of their gifted urchins?

    All pointers are in that direction. In recent years and as Brazil gained greater economic prosperity, political justice and racial equality, its soccer fortunes also appear to have dipped. The endless production of soccer prodigies has not quite halted but the factory line appears to be stalling and spluttering. In recent years, Brazil appears to be no longer at the cutting edge of soccer artistry.

    Its last truly great team were the 1982 World cup soccer wizards including the recently departed Socrates, Falcao, Junior and Eder, he of the dipping outrageously long shots. It managed to win the World Cup in 1994 after a tedious and uninspired performance. The bulk of that team would later succumb to an inspired Nigerian team which came from behind to beat them at the 1996 Olympics in Atlanta.

    We have now come up with a troubling social and historical conundrum. Brazil and Nigeria present us with allegorical parables. Could it be that the more underdeveloped a nation is, the more overdeveloped its football is? Germany and to a lesser extent, Holland, Italy, Spain, France and Britain are obvious exceptions. But it could also be that the great irrational alchemy which produces the truly outstanding soccer maestros such as Pele, Tastao, Garincha, Revelino, Eusebio, Puskacs and Maradona could only thrive on poverty, biblical misery and great social inequity.

    No son of a truly rich person has ever become a great footballer, or legendary boxer for that matter. A madman is a grand spectacle as long as he is not your sibling. For many Africans and Latinos, soccer is the surest escape route from the poverty loop. But in this case individual salvation does not lead to collective salvation.

    The choice is stark for developing countries like Nigeria. They may have to choose between soccer glory and accelerated development. Without economic development, the powerhouse of soccer is nothing but the football of the real powerhouses of the world. They will almost be kicked to death until they escape the prison house of soccer glory. It is a tragic paradox but such is the stuff of human history.