Tag: FDI

  • African govts  urged to tackle security

    African govts urged to tackle security

    African governments have been urged to tackle leadership crisis, security, infrastructure deficit and immigration challenges that have continued to hinder foreign direct investment (FDI) to the insurance sector across the region.

    Rwandan Minister for Finance and Economic Planning Ambassador Claver Gatete made this call yesterday at the opening ceremony of 41st African Insurance Organisation (AIO) Conference & General Assembly in Kigali, Rwanda.

    With  insurance in Africa-The importance, research and development as its theme, it was attended by over 1000 key insurance executives and decision makers from both insurance and reinsurance industry in Africa and abroad. Gatete also said the insurance sector needed to catch up with the development of Information Technology (ICT).

    He called for more integration among countries for investment opportunities in the insurance sector around the continent to be harnessed. He decried the low level of   awareness around the continent, adding that when compared with Asia, Europe and other developed countries, it was nothing to write home about. He added that the sector is still underdeveloped when compared with what obtains in Asia, Europe and developed countries. He said: “There is a big opportunity for investment in Africa and the integration of the continent is vital to the development of the sector. “We have very few products and coverage is still very shallow.

    The level of insurance awareness is abysmally low. “The 15 per cent inter-African trade that exists presently is not sufficient, hence the need for cooperation more than ever before for peace, security, stability and growth of the continent. The government needs to encourage more private sector participation to grow the economies.”

    The minister identified banking, capital market and insurance as key drivers of the economies. He said most African insurance companies are well regulated and there is hope that the growth achieved will be sustained.  He said the theme of the conference is very apt in view of the fact that the industry needs technology in the areas of product innovation and service delivery. In order for the sector to continue to grow, we need ICT, research and development to know the changes in the people’s need and be able to serve the customers better. He urged insurers to partner with government, telecom and ICT companies.

  • How to boost national  competitiveness, by NCCN chief

    How to boost national competitiveness, by NCCN chief

    The Chief Executive Officer of the National Competitiveness Council of Nigeria (NCCN), Chika Mordi, has said collaboration and engagement with the relevant stakeholders in the Nigeria project are some of the strategies that will enhance competitiveness in the country and make the economy to attract more foreign direct investment (FDI).

    Speaking in Lagos yesterday at an event to raise awareness on competitiveness and its attendant effect on businesses operating in Nigeria, he said the ranking of the country by various organisations showed that there is still much to be done to place the country on the path of glory.

    He said: “Nigeria ranked 147 out of 189 on the 2014 World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Report. This simply means that when measured against 189 global economies, many of whom are also African; our environment is more challenging for starting and growing businesses.

    “Nigeria has one of the most entrepreneurial people on earth and a large domestic market. Poor competitiveness shackles our potential. Personally, I believe sustainable growth and poverty reduction can only come about by market-led growth. We need to build a business friendly environment to combat the problem of unemployment and secure our prosperity.”

    According to him, a high productivity environment could only be realised when the private and public sector come together to implement an agenda for competitiveness; to bridge the gap between opportunities and supporting infrastructure, bureaucracy and policies.

  • Drop in FDI depletes reserves to $43b

    the gross external reserves

    which stood $44.6 billion on

    December 5, has declined to $43 billion as at January 23, due mainly to a drop in portfolio and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said.

    In a report to stakeholders, the apex bank said the reserves which stood at $42.85 billion as at December 31, 2013, as against $43.83 billion recorded in end-December 2012, represented a decrease of $0.98 billion or 2.23 per cent.

    The CBN said the decrease in the reserves level resulted largely from a slowdown in portfolio and FDI flows in the fourth quarter of 2013 resulting in increased funding of the foreign exchange market by the CBN to stabilise the currency.

    It expressed concern over the continued depletion of the Excess Crude Account (ECA) which balance stood at less than $2.5 billion as at January 17, 2014 compared with about $11.5 billion in December 2012. According to the CBN, the absence of fiscal buffers increased its reliance on portfolio flows, thus constituting the principal risk to the exchange rate stability, especially with uncertainties around capital flows and oil price.

    On the depletion of fiscal buffers, it decried the continuous fall in revenue from oil despite stable price of oil and production last year.

    Although it acknowledged output losses due to theft and vandalism, it nevertheless remarked that such could not wholly explain the magnitude of the shortfall in revenue.

    It said accretion to external reserves remained low while much of the previous savings have been depleted, thereby undermining its ability to sustain exchange rate stability. The Committee therefore, urged the fiscal authorities to block revenue leakages and rebuild fiscal savings needed to sustain confidence and preserve the value of the naira.

    It said the reduction of the United States stimulus especially, could in addition, trigger capital flow reversals and put greater pressure on the naira exchange rate. It also expressed concern about the widening gap between the official and the Bureau De Change exchange rates, noting that this could precipitate speculation and round-tripping.

     

  • Cry my beloved country

    Cry my beloved country

    Events of the past couple of weeks in the polity tend to suggest that our dear country Nigeria is closer to the brink than initially thought.

    You all have read by now the infamous open letter of former president Olusegun Obasanjo to his god son and Nigeria’s incumbent president Goodluck Ebele Jonathan on his perception of the state of our nation.

    You must have read or heard also of a secret letter (leaked to the public) to the president by the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Sanusi Lamido Sanusi alleging that a whooping 49 billion USD or thereabout of earnings from oil, our major source of revenue, has not been properly accounted for by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, NNPC. I don’t want to use the word missing to describe the state of the money as some were inclined to do. You know Sanusi has somehow recanted after a tug of war on figures so to speak with Finance Minister Okonjo-Iweala that the figure is somewhere closer to 10 billion USD.

    The two letters, both on the state of the nation have eventually drawn President Jonathan to his laptop to finally, or is it belatedly, pen a response and give us his own version of the state of our union. All the letters are in public domain, you are at liberty to chose which one to believe.

    In the midst of all these letter writings and dancing naked in the public by our leaders, I had cause to pass through one of our airports and while awaiting my flight to Lagos a certain Asian gentleman, I think he is Indian, was lamenting the state of affairs in this country, saying he has been here since 1983 and has never seen a country go down so quickly the way Nigeria is sliding currently. He wished we could as a nation and people do something urgently to arrest the situation.

    He was not even talking of the political situation (may be he was only being careful as a foreigner), he was worried about what he saw around him right there at the airport, the nonchalance of airline/airport workers to the plight of passengers that were left stranded for hours without explanation by the airlines; the deteriorating state of the airport, poor facilities even after billions of public funds have allegedly been spent to improve; the bare faced corruption going on there, and etc.

    The way he was saying all those things you’ll know he was saying them to effect, passing a message across, perhaps just using the airport situation as a metaphor for the larger problem out there.

    As he spoke my mind went to the Obasanjo letter especially what he said on the state of corruption in Nigeria, the alleged training of snippers by the administration to kill some one thousand or so Nigerians on the Federal Governent watch list, the vindictiveness of the Jonathan presidency against real or perceived enemies, the government’s romance with criminals and a whole lot of allegations contained therein.

    If a foreigner could talk like this, I guessed he must have seen something we as Nigerians are not seeing or chose to ignore.

    After several hours of delay the aircraft finally arrived and we headed back to Lagos safely. But that Indian never left my mind even when I wanted to push him away. And just as I was succeeding in doing this the president’s letter came; his response to Obasanjo. Personally I wasn’t impressed and no apology for that. His supporters can say whatever they want to. I’ll come back to that later.

    I am not a fan of Obasanjo because he is not better than Jonathan. But what I found surprising in his letter was that all those bad things we complained about under Obasanjo are still happening even with Jonathan. Have we not learnt anything? What kind of a nation is this?

    Obasanjo complained about corruption all around Jonathan and GEJ apologists say his mouth is smelling. Yes his mouth might be smelling, but then let’s cover our nose and listen with our ears. Is corruption not at it’s peak now? And what is Jonathan doing about it?

    In his laughable response he wanted Obasanjo to show him one example of corruption in high places and see what he would do about it. Do you need an Obasanjo to tell you that what is happening in the aviation sector, especially the role of the seemingly untouchable Minister of Aviation Stella Oduah in the BMW bullet-proof car scandal is enough evidence of corruption or attempt to defraud the state? Recall that the Honourable Speaker of the House of Representatives Aminu Tambuwal did say something similar about corruption incorporated in the Villa and the President’s seemingly supportive body language? All Jonathan could say is that he is fighting corruption, but we have not seen the evidence yet, let him start with Stella Oduah, then we’ll know he is in business.

    The damage the ruling Peoples Democratic Party, PDP is doing to the polity with its on going civil war is incalculable and Jonathan as party leader appears incapable of doing anything to stop it. All he could say was to blame Obasanjo and a few others for orchestrating it. Our democracy is in crisis because PDP is in disarray. If there is no crack in the wall of PDP how can an Obasanjo’s lizard enter it? When people say Jonathan is weak, he lacks initiative, this is one of the things that are talking about. How can you open your eyes and allow a behemoth that the PDP had become to collapse on your head, knowing the implication for the country, and all you could do is to blame another person for it? Us this how to be a leader?

    I don’t want to believe Obasanjo’s pepper soup theory of government training a squad of snippers to assassinate government’s opponent, but as a former President and Commander-in-Chief may be he knows what he was talking about. May be we better listen to him. And all Jonathan needs to do to prove Obasanjo wrong is to ensure that no assassination, whether political or otherwise took place under his watch, and if it did take place, the perpetrators are swiftly brought to book. Sadly Obasanjo couldn’t say this for his eight years presidency.

    But in an atmosphere of insecurity, anything could happen, thus Obasanjo’s alarm on the deteriorating security situation in the country, especially in the north east zone should not be brushed aside. Yes the Jonathan government is doing its best to contain if not destroy the Boko Haram insurgency, but the rate of setbacks in recent months suggests either a lowering of guards by the security agencies or an insurgency smarter and better organised than our military. This is not the time to pontificate or lay blame, we should all rally round Jonathan to bring down Boko Haram and restore peace to the north east. The government should also not arrogate to itself the power of knowing it all. If a former Commander-in -Chief is talking about security, please listen to him, even if his mouth is smelling.

    Jonathan talks about the improving state of the economy and the increase in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flow into the country in contrast to the dire picture painted in Obanjo’s letter. I don’t know what the president was talking about. Economic growth without jobs? The president and his coordinating Minister of the Economy Okonjo-Iweala can be deceiving themselves thinking that all is well; Nigerians are no fools!

    There are so many issues raised in Obasanjo’s letter and the President’s tame response that space will not allow a thorough analysis, but one issue stands out; the President’s personal integrity and credibility. Obasanjo alleged that Jonathan is not a man of his words; sadly, he is not the first person to so allege. Most people around the corridor of power in Abuja will tell you the same thing. You can’t go to the bank with Jonathan’s words. There is even this joke that there are five presidencies in Jonathan presidency and of the five his own is the weakest.

    This could be uncharitable if you ask me, but at the same time most unfortunate if it is true. This is the public perception and the President must do something about it. After all perception they say is close to reality. If Nigerians believe their president is weak and not a man of his words then he can do no good in their eyes no matter how hard he tried.

    People point at his wife as one centre of power; his Chief of Staff, Ministers of Petroleum and Aviation as the other presidencies, and the President has not called them to other even for one day in the face of public complaint against them.

    The President may not see it as so, but these people together with his rabid Minister of Education Nyesom Wike and some of his Ijaw kinsmen are the ones giving him a bad name among Nigerians not Obasanjo. He should leave the former President alone; tackle his message and not the man. After all Iyabo Obasanjo is enough to tackle her father. May God not give us a daughter like Iyabo. Did I hear you say and a father like Olusegun Obasanjo? Na you sabi. I don talk my own.

  • Nigeria receives the largest amount of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Africa

    Nigeria receives the largest amount of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Africa

    Obiora Madu, Director-General, African Centre for Supply Chain, Lagos, spent a decade on the export desk of two major export-facilitating banks and was a member of the pioneer team that developed most of the export financing products and instruments that are generally used by most banks . In 1992, he left banking as Head, Export / Import Operations to start Multimix, the pioneer indigenous Export House in Nigeria. Mr. Export also pioneered Global Trade, Logistics and Supply Chain Education in Nigeria leading Multimix Academy to become the leading firm delivering competency based education that has empowered managers across all sectors of the Nigerian economy. Daniel Essiet sought his opinion on international trade, customs procedures, laws and regulations to improve trade facilitation, procedures for traders and government agencies involved in the import and export of goods.

    Experts are canvassing reduction in government size and expenses drastically. What solutions would you recommend?

    Governments everywhere face pressure to provide public services better, faster, and cheaper than before. Lean methods have been used by governments of various sizes across North America to successfully meet this imperative. Lean has particular promise for public-sector organizations because it doesn’t require a lengthy planning and implementation cycle, it does strive to make the best use of the talents and ideas of those who work in the process, and it focuses on the value that public services create for the citizen and how to maximize that value.

    Governments around the world want to deliver better education, better health care, better pensions, and better transportation services. They know that impatient electorates expect to see change, and fast. But the funds required to meet such expectations are enormous. The need to get value for money from governments at all levels is therefore under the spotlight as never before. But cost-cutting programs that seek savings of 1 to 3 per cent a year will not be enough and in some cases may even weaken the quality of service.

    In the past two decades beginning the 1980s, there has been a growing realization among some public servants, politicians, activists and academics around the world regarding the inherent weaknesses of government bureaucracy. From the industrial states of Europe and the United States of America to the developing and underdeveloped countries of Africa, Asia and Latin America, bureaucratic dominance is often viewed not as a solution to the problems of public administration, but the very source of these problems.

    LEAN is “a management culture that emphasizes the centrality of the ‘customer’, as well as accountability for results.” The main objective of implementing LEAN is to achieve “more transparency, more efficiency and more quality as well as reduction of expenses.”

    Mr. Madu has over 28 years of related working experience with international corporate exposure in international trade, customs and maritime as well as transport and logistics/supply chain management. His experience in training and capacity building cuts across all the industries as has been shown in activities too many to list. He has experience working with international agencies like International Trade Centre in Geneva, The US Commercial Service and USAID amongst others.

    How would you describe export outlook this year?

    The outlook for export this year is not two different from last year. Infact the press have reported some decline in revenue from non oil compared to 2012. However with the flurry of activities in the agric sector, we are likely to see a surge. The unfortunate however has been the fact that we continue to export raw agro-produce and this does not pay us. Our manufactured export is very low for obvious reasons.

    President Goodluck Jonathan in his message to a recent non oil export conference made it clear that if the country must achieve its set goal of becoming one of the top twenty largest economies of the world, Nigeria must embrace manufacturing and the non-oil sector, and that the country must develop the non-oil sector with resources from oil.

    The sustained volatility of world oil prices, the global tendency towards a diversified export based economy and the urgent need to expedite the process of economic growth and development has made it imperative that we either focus on non oil export or we regret it.

    How much interest is there from international buyers in our exports?

    In terms of agro-produce, tropical crops grow in the tropics and those who leave outside the tropics have no choice but to buy. But that notwithstanding, we have a acquired for ourselves a reputation of unseriousness particularly in respect of executing export contracts. This has adversely affected the level of interest in our export products. The result is that people that ship products from Nigeria and label them as either Ghanaian or Burkinabe products. Atypical example is in Shea butter.

    The challenges notwithstanding, what sectors of the economy stand to benefit the most from export trade?

    When you mention export every body’s mind go to the traditional agric produce but indeed so many sectors in the country are exporting without knowing it. However let me talk about the not too popular export of services.

    Trade in Services refers to the sale and delivery of an intangible product, called a service, between a producer and consumer. Trade in services takes place between a producer and consumer that are, in legal terms, based in different countries, or economies, this is called International Trade in Services.

    The International Trade Centre in Geneva has said that by 2050 80 per cent of workers around the globe will be working in that service sector and also that services now account for approximately two-thirds of the world’s economic activity, with trade in services contributing over 20 per cent of world trade and over US$1.3 trillion annually. Currently over half of the world’s workforce is employed by service firms, which also create most of the new jobs. The contribution of services to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the majority of countries is well over 50 per cent and in some cases, as high as 70 per cent. Furthermore, new information and communications technologies are increasing the tradability of services. Trade in services is expected to represent half of all world trade by 2020.

    A country survey of the services sector in Nigeria, I conducted for ITC in 2006 revealed that 42 per cent of Nigeria’s trade performance is traceable to the services sector. Identified sub-sectoral activities with high export potentials include engineering, telecommunications, healthcare, catering, tourism, architecture, accountancy, courier, business and management consultancy, etc. Emerging markets was also identified in business advocacy both at the public and private sector levels. It is doubtful, however, if the nation is aware of the potentials of this sub-sector and its ability to contribute immensely to the country’s economic diversification agenda. Nigeria’s tourism industry, for instance, is a big gold mine that is yet to be excavated, the same goes for our film industry with our home videos making waves in homes around the world and yet no coordinated approach to ensuring its official exports.

    What are the biggest challenges to export market development?

    The challenges are mainly policy failures. This is why at our export has not progressed in spite of the interest shown by government.There are other challenges within the sector. These include absence of relevant support structure. This issue is vital.The export sector is a very large one and needs so many hands on deck in the chain. This means that if any section is not working, others will be affected. It shouldn’t be only the concern of Ministry of Trade and Investment. You notice that that inadequate attention is paid to the small and medium scale enterprises in our export policies. As a strategy global, SMEs are supported because they offer considerable potential for exports. However, in spite of a deliberate policy of providing support to SMEs adopted by many countries, this potential is yet to be fully exploited. This assertion was made by the International Trade Centre in Geneva. It went ahead to say that in many developing countries there seems to be insufficient awareness of the part that can be played by export development companies toward coordinating the SMEs and channeling their exports. This observation is as relevant today as ever, particularly in Nigeria. A close study of our export sector shows clearly that we have never considered the issue of training in international trade important. Perhaps because our importers open Letters of Credits and receive their goods and our exporters seem to be “doing something”, we erroneously jump to the conclusion that we do not need training. Nothing could be farther from the reality. All countries that are serious with export, place a lot of emphasis on training because the quality of a nation’s export output is a reflection of the quality of her manpower. If we can possibly quantify the losses incurred and the image problem created by lack of training in this sector, then we will appreciate the importance of the need to quickly address this situation.

    Do you send any export potential in our film industry?

    It is doubtful, however, if the nation is aware of the potentials of this sub-sector and its ability to contribute immensely to the country’s economic diversification agenda. Nigeria’s tourism industry, for instance, is a big gold mine that is yet to be excavated, the same goes for our film industry with our home videos making waves in homes around the world and yet no coordinated approach to ensuring its official exports.

    In the face of current unfavorable developments in the international oil market which is likely to be with us for some time to come, Nigeria must seek alternative exports or face the unhappy consequences of constantly reduced foreign exchange earnings.

    The export industry is an exceptionally dynamic sector. Consequently, it requires a system of proactive and future-oriented strategic policies and measures which will have to be constantly reviewed, adapted and improved to ensure its effectiveness.

    What is the precondition for effective export promotion?

    Exporting is an important factor of economic growth, and therefore export promotion is a critical consideration for economic development of each country. As a public policy component government-sponsored programs must be developed to promote export activities. Promoting export activity; particularly by traditional exports and new export products, is essential for progress in this area. Currently the government is the principal provider of export assistance to the business community but government alone does not have all the resources, the staff, the expertise, or the communication channels needed to wage such a broad-based promotional campaign and for this reason the government needs to develop broader and deeper partnerships with the private sector. Export promotion is a high economic priority for virtually every country. While facilitating the expansion of existing export product lines is an obvious concentration area, it is in the promotion of new export products, and the exploitation of new markets that can provide special help to home enterprises. For developing countries, external markets pose several kinds of problems. First, home exporters do not know the basic environment in foreign states, and do not have the capacity to invest in exploration, much less pay consultants to advise them on entry strategies. Associations of exporters at home confront a like problem, though on paper they should be able to carry out market surveys and the like. Secondly, foreign regulations on safety and environmental standards, and other norms laid down by potential markets are little understood by home exporters, and pose real nontariff barriers (NTBs) to entry. Also home exporters lack credibility with potential foreign customers, and this becomes a chicken-and-egg syndrome, making it difficult to break this cycle of unfamiliarity.

    Overall, the economy has managed to navigate the financial crisis relatively well. We expect economic growth to accelerate. However, as the economy recovers, we face different challenges which were at the centre of the crisis. In terms of manufacturing activity, the immediate outlook looks to be slowing somewhat. What is your take? An economy with consumption mentality will face the challenges we currently face. The real sector is not working? Where are the manufacturing companies? Are small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) growing or dying? If any economy is not growing forget about the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and look at the reality on ground. Who will employ the army of half baked graduates that you churn out yearly? As we speak, the few companies that are still afloat are groaning under terrible conditions that affect their competitiveness-ranging from infrastructure, to human capital challenges occasioned by the half baked graduates coming out of our tertiary institutions. As we speak, the universities have been shut down for three months and as soon as they resume by the grace of God, examination will be administered. What do you expect from such a system? We must address both the hard and soft infrastructure to help our industries to survive.

    Will oil continue to be the key export, or are you expecting other sectors to play an increasingly important role?

    From available statistics, only few countries of the world can match Nigeria’s endowment in the area of natural resources. With an estimated population of over 140 million people, and onshore and offshore that boast of some of the finest deposits of oil and natural gas, a rainforest belt that offers the best cash crops and hard wood and a savannah region with very large tones of oil seeds, coffee, chilies, spices and abundant solid mineral resources. In fact, the opportunity that Nigeria offers investors in the field of non oil export is immense and irresistible. In spite of all these, the economy has remained largely monolithic with investment in non oil export sector being everything but strategic. There is no gain saying that any policy or strategy aimed at achieving the nation’s Vision 2020 should therefore integrate the development of the non oil export sector, if we are going to achieve economic recovery. We need a purposeful and well-articulated non-oil export development policy to form part of our general development plan to achieve such a goal.

    What kind of collaborative export promotion strategy, do you think would allow companies to overcome the various barriers and obstacles involved in exporting and to successfully position Nigeria in international markets?

    Obtaining access to export markets is crucial for fostering SME growth and productivity, especially in light of increased globalization and market liberalisation. SME in developing countries, however, face many constraints to competing effectively in these markets since they often lack the necessary knowledge and financing, may not meet foreign regulatory requirements, or may produce products in quantities and of a quality that are not adequate for foreign buyers.

    One effective way of addressing these problems is through the development of export consortia. Export consortia or Cooperative Exporting are voluntary groupings of enterprises, usually in the same or similar business or sub-sector, with the objective of improving the export readiness and increasing the export volumes of the participants. By combining their knowledge, financial resources and contacts within an export consortium, SME can significantly improve their export potential and reduce the costs and risks involved in penetrating foreign markets.

    Most consortia are non-profit entities, and members retain their financial, legal, managerial, and commercial autonomy. So, despite their participation in the export consortia, member firms do not give up any control over their business to others. This is the main difference between consortia and other types of strategic alliances.

    This offers firms the opportunity to reduce costs by capturing economies of scale. Joint ventures also enable participating firms to spread risks. These benefits are likely to be greatest for small and medium-sized firms that are either new to exporting or have limited export experience. However, firms of all sizes and levels of international business experience can use joint exporting to reduce per unit export costs and develop proactive export strategies that may not be feasible for individual exporters. The ability to reduce export costs and risks is especially important when considering entry into a new or complex export market

    It is wise to consider collective exporting and its advantages. The western markets are very complicated to export to but joining forces with compatriots may put exporters in a better position to succeed. ITC described the international market as ruthless, selective and fiercely competitive. This underscores the need to explore all options capable of reducing inherent risk.

    In an economic environment characterised by constantly changing technology and market trends, how do SME export companies cope?

    Access to finance had been singled out as one of the major challenge impeding the survival and growth of SMEs in Africa. Significantly low figures of SMEs who apply for financing succeed in getting financing. The ability of SMEs to grow depends highly on their potential to invest in restructuring and innovation. All these investments require capital and therefore access to finance. Against this background, the consistently repeated conception of SMEs about their problems regarding access to finance is a priority area of concern.

    Lack of adequate credit for SMEs traceable to the reluctance of banks to extend credit to them owing among others to poor documentation of project proposals as well as inadequate collateral by SME operators. Developmental policies weigh in favour of large firms and sometimes foreign owned firms leaving SMEs in a distressed and vulnerable position.

    The problem of access to information may be attributed to the inadequacy of SME support institutions. This point to the need for a supportive policy to encourage the establishment of documentation centers and information networks to provide information to SMEs at an affordable price.

    Federal Direct Investment is dwindling. Looking at the macroeconomic situation, is Nigeria not stable enough for foreign direct investment by multinational corporations?

    Nigeria receives the largest amount of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Africa. Foreign Direct Investment inflows have been growing enormously over the course of the last decade: from $1.14 billion in 2001 and $2.1 billion in 2004, Nigeria’s FDI reached $11 billion in 2009 according to UNCTAD, making the country the nineteenth greatest recipient of FDI in the world.

    Nigeria’s most important sources of FDI have traditionally been the home countries of the oil majors. The USA, present in Nigeria’s oil sector through Chevron Texaco and Exxon Mobil, had investment stock of $3.4 billion in Nigeria in 2008, the latest figures available. The UK, one of the host countries of Shell, is another key FDI partner – UK FDI into Nigeria accounts for about 20 per cent of Nigeria’s total foreign investment. As China seeks to expand its trade relationships with Africa, it too is becoming one of Nigeria’s most important sources of FDI; Nigeria is China’s second largest trading partner in Africa, next to South Africa. From $3 billion in 2003, China’s direct investment in Nigeria is reported to be now worth around $6 billion. The oil and gas sector receives 75 per cent of China’s FDI in Nigeria. Other significant sources of FDI include Italy, Brazil, the Netherlands, France and South Africa.

    What is the most cost effective and quickest method to stimulate the economy and support job creation?

    Successful employment creation hinges on a triple E ie Education, Employability and Economy. That means that we must strategically deal with the three issues before we can achieve a substantial success in our employment generation effort. What is the quality of our education? Who is to blame for the quality? If you train soldiers for previous wars can they fight the present wars not to talk about the future wars? The answers to above questions will address the first two Es. In respect of the economy,

    Is the real sector working? Where are the manufacturing companies? Are SMEs growing or dying? If any economy is not growing forget about the GDP and look at the reality on ground that will employ the army of half baked graduates that you churn out yearly. As we speak the universities have been shut down for three months and as soon as they resume by the grace of God examination will be administered and what do you expect from such a system. We must do something about our education system to improve the employability of our graduates. Also the SMEs hold the ace if there is a deliberate effort to help them grow.

    Some ago when the present minister of Trade and Investment was in Finance three sectors that have the capacity to generate the largest number of employment and they were Business Process Outsourcing (BPO), Construction and Entertainment. It was unveiled and some meetings held but as soon as he left, nothing was heard of that again. The South African government identified BPO and Tourism as their target for economic growth and employment generation and I you fly into South Africa, from the airport everything speaks to you about these two sectors. This policy saumasult and they need to always change what the predecessor started will lead us nowhere. We need to get strategic and show seriousness from the top and pursue our dream to a logical conclusion. Grow the SMEs if you wish to grow the economy. Show consistency in policy implementation. As much as we do not want quick fixes, let us go for low hanging apples that will give us good results in the short run. Declare a state of emergency in our education sector and overhaul the education system to address current and future challenges.

    What services does your organisation provide to help firms become successful in foreign markets?

    Multimix Academy is an integrated supply chain solutions and intervention company that provides exceptional high quality International Business and Logistics education and intervention. We provide Logistics and Supply Chain Management consultancy services, Marketing Strategy Development, Professional education in Logistics and International Business Management, Import/Export and customs compliance Consultancy, Business Process Re-Engineering, Business Support Outsourcing and Customised training services.

    Our consultancy interventions will deliver amongst others: reduction in the logistics process chain, reduction in cost, enhancement in the operation system integrity, Improve staff productivity levels, Improve margins and profitability of your logistics operations and creation of additional value in the overall logistics chain.

    The key objective of our training programmes is to provide excellent programmes essential to anyone in pursuit of world class performance in logistics and supply chain management

    Multimix Export House on the other hand is Nigeria’s pioneer and leading Export Management Company. Our Services are a strategic link in the export process for companies of all sizes and degrees of export experience. Our Export Management Service is especially crucial to companies wishing to penetrate new markets or expand their current exporting business but lacking the expertise, physical facilities or other resources needed for such an international undertaking.

    We provide Export consultancy services for both buyers and sellers in the global supply chain. We are also traders of products ourselves using our knowledge and experience as an Export Management Company to help your business gain entry into new markets across the globe. Our solutions add real value and support international growth and sales. On the procurement side, we can provide professional representation for your company, helping source and procure new products and services.

    What are the requirements for exporters to avail of these services?

    Our Export Management Services are a strategic link in the export supply chain for companies of all sizes and degrees of export experience. Especially crucial to companies wishing to penetrate new markets or expands their current exporting business but lacking the expertise, physical facilities or other resources needed for such an international undertaking. Exporters can contact us right from the beginning of their transaction for handholding till the end of the transaction

    We act as the export management company for its client firms, assuming most of the technical export responsibilities. Our various services include: conducting market research to determine the best foreign markets for your products; attending trade shows and promoting your products overseas; assessing proper distribution channels; coating foreign representatives and/or distributors; arranging export financing; handling export logistics, such as preparing invoices, arranging insurance, customs documentation, etc.; and advising on the legal aspects of exporting and other compliance matters dealing with domestic and foreign trade regulations. Attend trade shows and travel abroad, meeting potential customers face to face. Continuously research and appraise market conditions overseas, providing feedback to our business partners for incorporation in their marketing and product development plans

    What do you consider as the major accomplishments of the export promotion council?

    The export promotion council has tried within available resources and have assisted in developing various products and organised various trade fairs and solo exhibitions. Through the Export Mentorship Programme which I manage for NEPC several new exporters have emerged coached by their mentors.

    What advice would you give the policy makers to help the economy and exporters?

    It is imperative that SME policies have an export orientation at the point of conception. This would culminate in the entrenchment of a wide-spread export culture in the country. Experiences of industrialised countries have proven that small and medium scale enterprises are the pivot of exports as they account for at least 60 per cent of export activities. With SMEs in the centre of exports repatriation of proceeds is monitored and guaranteed. It is recognition of this type of advantage that UNIDO has supported the Federal Ministry of Commerce in establishing and organizing the Aba leather products-cluster. This strategy should be extended to other products. Nigeria is no doubt one of the most promising countries in Africa and its potential as a net exporter of agro industrial products, manufactures and services has never been in doubt and will continue to attract high interest from the international business community.

    Result from the two major interactive stakeholders fora organised successfully by the Federal Ministries of Commerce and Finance has indicated the preparedness of the Nigerian private sector to accept the challenge of driving the nation’s economy. This acceptance is however, predicated on the ability of government to provide the proverbial enabling environment. It is, therefore, in recognition of this that recommended solutions need to be vigorously pursued via the vehicles of the attached specific projects. In doing this also government must accept and act on the fact that a lot of financial investments must go into the creation of the necessary support structures towards making trade the hub of the nation’s economic development and growth. Nigeria is no doubt one of the most promising countries in Africa and its potential as a net exporter of agro industrial products, manufactures and services has never been in doubt and will continue to attract high interest from the international business community.

     

  • Fairs of economic revival

    Fairs of economic revival

    For years, the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has held the Lagos International Trade Fair. This year’s, the 27th in the series, with the theme: ‘Harnessing trade potential for an inclusive economy’ has come and gone. What has this fair achieved over the years? Has it helped in stimulating the economy through foreign direct investment (FDI)? Or is it just an avenue for companies to exhibit products? Okwy Iroegbu-Chikezie reviews the fair.

    As usual, crowds thronged the Tafawa Balewa Square (TBS) venue of the 27th Lagos International Trade Fair held between November 1 and 10. They came mainly to buy goods at cheap prices. At trade fairs, it is generally believed that goods are cheaper, compared with their prices at retail shops. So, shoppers flocked to the fair to get things which they had been planning to have for long. But is this the goal of a fair? According to the organisers, the Lagos Trade Fair, like others, was targeted at Nigerian enterprises seeking wider access to internal and international markets as well as investors seeking joint-venture partners and markets for intermediate and capital goods in Nigeria and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) member-countries.

     

    Objectives of the fair

    The Chairman, Trade Promotion Board of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), Mr. Babatunde Paul Ruwase , said the fair was to create a platform for economic growth through a deliberate exposure of the nation’s potential to the outside world.

    Other reasons were to revitalise and diversify the economy, especially non-oil exports, accelerate development of commerce and industry and encourage patronage of made-in-Nigeria products.

    Ruwase also said the fair was to encourage agriculture and agro-based industry, the evolution of Nigeria’s trade with the outside world, focus attention on the role of the private sector in the Nigerian economy and to explore the prospects for foreign and local investments in strategic areas.

    LCCI President Mr Goodie Ibru said the theme of the fair, “Harnessing trade potentials for an inclusive economy,” was chosen to underscore the critical importance of trade and the value of inclusiveness in the economic growth process. He said, among other things, it was to stress the fact that the quality of the investment climate and sectoral linkage have a lot to do with economic advancement of the country and the welfare of her citizens.

    Ibru stressed that the trade expo was premised on the need to ensure that there are sufficient linkages in all aspects of the economy. He listed the linkages between the oil and gas sector and the rest of the economy; the financial sector and the small businesses; large enterprises and the small businesses; between our consumption and our production and between our industries and our agricultural sector.

    His words: “There is the need to ensure that our national economic management model is structured to capture maximum value from domestic spending, foreign direct investments and other economic activities and how best can this be achieved if not through a well thought out trade fair that is well structured and inclusive of all stakeholders.”

    He observed that for a developing economy like ours, protection of our industries and firms is good and desirable, but making them domestically and globally competitive is fundamental as it is the surest path to sustainable development. The LCCI chief said the trade fair couldn’t have come at a better time than now when the government endorsed the new Common External Tariff (CET) by the Council of the ECOWAS Heads of State and Government to benefit from the economic integration of the region.

    President, Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (NACCIMA), Alhaji Muhammed Abubakar, said the fair would serve as a catalyst to economic development of country. It would increase FDI in information technology, oil and gas and other strategic areas in addition to promoting the value of individual linkages and inclusive growth, he added.

    The NACCIMA boss said trade fairs provide an opportunity for policy makers to appreciate the fact that the private sector needs the appropriate policy to thrive.

    He said: “No economy is an island but every economy needs the appropriate policy to be competitive. The private sector needs to be supported a great deal by government to drive the trade potentials of the country and a well planned and executed trade fair provides the platform.”

     

    Experience from the fair

    Rusawe said the over 500,000 visitors and over 1,000 stands showed that the nation’s economy is viable and attractive to the world.

    Wondering why the economy has not grown beyond the level it is, he concluded that the nation must be doing something wrong, despite its huge resources.

    According to Rusawe, the policy makers must as a matter of urgency investigate why foreigners, especially of the Asian countries stock, come here and succeed in every area of business even with something that needs no skill as pedestrian as in retail trade while our people fail. That those who participated last year came back this year in addition to huge foreign participation shows that trade fairs are a necessity in the economic growth of any nation, he said.

     

    Exhibitor’s remarks

    The Consul-General, Arab Republic of Egypt, Abdel Halim, called for increased trade and investment relations between Nigeria and his country.

    He said Egypt’s doors were open to genuine businessmen from Nigeria, adding that the relationships would provide a platform for discussing challenges that might arise in the enforcement of the Egypt Investment Promotion Act on Retail Trading.

    According to him, the Retail Trading Act is to ensure that foreigners who engage in businesses in Egypt abide by the laws of the country.

    Halim listed investment portfolios in Egypt to include tourism, energy, agriculture and fi nancial services.

    He said the Egyptian Government had provided incentives, including tax rebates, for foreign investors. He said no fewer than 10 Egyptian exhibitors participated at the Lagos Trade Fair to showcase some made-in-Egypt products.

    “All our products are natural; our perfumes on display were without any chemical addition. Some of the natural oils are medicinal and produced under hygienic condition,” he said.

    To him, the fair was an opportunity for the Egyptians to introduce more products into Nigerians.

    Patronage at Ghana, Indonesia and India stands was good in terms of sales and investors while China Pavilion was a beehive of activities with visitors and prospective investors because of mostly the cheapness of their products.

    While some of them said the sales were poor, others said they had got people interested in continuing business relationships with them after the fair.

    One of the exhibitors at Akwa Ibom State stand, Mr Godswealth Henry, managing director, Jekon Integrated Farms Nig. Ltd., producers of RIV Pam Red Palm Oil, said his outing was impressive.

    “Visitors to our stand and patronage in terms of sales and prospective investors are encouraging.

    “I am happy to be at the 2013 Lagos Trade Fair. The idea of the Akwa Ibom Ministry of Commerce bringing us to participate is being achieved.

    “We are into edibles, that is, adding value to farm products so that it meets international standards for export.

    “Our presence at the fair is to get investors in Lagos to be able to evaluate the acceptance of the product when we start exporting them,” he said.

    Another exhibitor from Cameroon Stand and Managing Director, GIC Laboratoire Gefeh, manufacturers of herbal medicine, Mr Ngwei George, said visitors had been enlightened on efficacy of herbal products.

    “Our products are made from tree roots, leaves or seeds and we work with the Ministry of Health, Cameroon.

    “All the products on exhibition are certified by the Cameroon Government laboratories. We have different uses for cocoa seeds.

    “For example, from the cocoa butter made from cocoa seed which is medicine on its own, we produce soaps, hair creams and lotions, among others.

    An exhibitor at Abia State stand, Mr Cosmos Onyeibe, however said the sales were poor and that the stand was too small to accommodate about 17 exhibitors that came with the state government.

    “We are not happy with this year’s Lagos Trade Fair; see, this stand is too small; we are 17 exhibitors and we do not have enough room to exhibit our goods.

    Managing Director, Dusco-Designers International, Mrs Olufunmilayo Ige, a manufacturer of female hand bags, shoe and jewelry from Aso-oke and Ankara fabrics from Osun State said the state government still has a lot to do in areas of making affordable finance available for SMEs. She complained of low sales at the fair and said though she has had visitors visit her stand and appreciate her goods there has been no effective demand.

    Another entrepreneur and Curator of Genesis Arts Gallery Mr Adeyinka Fabayo from Osun State also asked for financial assistance from government to purchase the necessary machines that are capital intensive. He said the fair just like any other is good for exposure and not necessarily cash sales.

    Another entrepreneur Mrs Iyabo Oyebamiji who manufactures local fabrics also complained of low sales.

     

    Advantages of the fair

    ‘’We are excited to see business deals signed and taken to the next level which is a testament that the trade fair is a veritable ground for businesses enterprise and cooperation said Ruwase. Our efforts at putting in place a business to business meeting room at the fair was not in vain seeing the many strategic unions and engagement that came out of it.

    ‘’Many states attended the fair and displayed their products which if harnessed can take the nation to greater heights in her quest for economic prosperity, he added.

    According to him, what some of the state governments need to do is to encourage their SMEs by not only providing funding and soft loan for them, but also an enabling environment in terms of the provision of necessary infrastructure, capacity building and helping with regulatory issues.

    Rusawe said it was at the fair that the Ogun State Government disclosed that it had released N1 billion to the state SMEs to assist them in running their business. He argued that some of those the fund are meant for might not have known about it and would continue to struggle to source for funds for their businesses.

     

    Lessons learnt

    Rusawe said the announcement of President Goodluck Jonathan at the opening ceremony, on the efforts of the government concerning power generation and distribution and the hand-over of the Distribution companies (DISCO) to investors is an eye opener.

    ‘’We are in a vantage position to appreciate the efforts of the government in power generation, especially as far as the investment of the government in that area is concerned. More states have also said that they have created industrial clusters, but, unfortunately, we are not seeing the effect because when the environment is tough the poor feel it the most,” Rusawe said.

    He also noted the observations of some exhibitors and visitors and promised that next year’s event would be bigger and better.

     

    Challenges at the fair

    The most challenging part of the fair is having to construct the boots yearly and they are only useful for a week or at best two weeks. He said the chamber was clamouring for a more permanent arrangement and a purpose built complex that is suitable for trade, expos and exhibitions. Some exhibitors, however, expressed their satisfaction with the venue due to its centrality bearing in mind the poor state of the Lagos /Badagry Expressway. Some exhibitors said their challenge was poor publicity which they said made attendance to their stands poor limiting their visibility and possible sales they would have made.

    On the heels of that, Rusawe asked the Federal Government to expedite action on the transfer of the purpose-built Lagos International Fair Complex at Lagos/Badagry Expressway to the chamber as had been done for Kaduna and Enugu Chambers of Commerce.

    He said: “We are wondering why the purported concession which was adjudged to be faulty has been allowed to stand to this point in time. LCCI is impressed that government has thought it wise to go to court but not excited because the court process may drag forever.”

     

    Government remarks

    President Goodluck Jonathan said the government recognised the place of trade fairs in the economic development of the country. He said that was one reason the Federal Government was taking the legal option to take over the concessioned Lagos International Trade Fair Complex on the Lagos/Badagry Expressway because of the faulty privatisation process.

    He said his administration was poised to increase trade on three levels — international, ECOWAS and internal trade as it has realised its potential for economic growth.

    Jonathan, who was represented by the Minister of Industry, Commerce, Trade and Investment Dr Olusegun Aganga, said the government’s interest in the fair is also based on her belief that SMEs are the engine room of growth for any economy judging from the success story of the Asian Tigers.

    He noted that with 17 million SMEs, employing 32 million people, the government was on its way to economic prosperity.

    Jonathan also announced the tariff differential of 70 per cent that will make it more expensive to import when there is local alternative.

  • Nigeria gets $20b FDI in three years

    Nigeria gets $20b FDI in three years

    Nigeria has attracted over $20 billion in Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in the last three years, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister for the Economy, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, has said.

    Mrs. Okonjo-Iweala broke the news to a press conference on the forth-coming World Economic Forum (WEF) on Africa–an offshoot of the global World Economic Forum, which Nigeria plans to host next year, said the figure represents 10 per cent of the entire African continent’s FDI.

    The Forum holds in Davos, Switzerland.

    The minister said with the huge foreign direct investment, government was creating jobs, but admitted that the pace at which these jobs were being created was not fast enough.

    She said there are challenges to economic development in the country, stating that these challenges centre around creating jobs and reducing unemployment.

    “Because we are creating jobs, but not fast enough, we need to create jobs faster because in the last 12 months, we have created about 1.6 million jobs, but we need to create more because there are more entrants into the market, at the same time we need to create mechanism to take care of those at the bottom end of the ladder in the country,” she said.

    Mrs. Okonjo-Iweala said Nigeria is not the only country in Africa with the twin problems of “creating jobs and eradicating poverty, so the theme for the event was designed to look at the problem and where we are, the challenges and the problems,” saying that is why the government wants to bring the private sector and governments to put heads together.

    She waved aside fears that hosting the global event in May 2014 at a time when the country will be deeply involved in political campaigns, might serve as a distraction, saying such fears were unfounded and “feeding into a myth that because there is an election there will be no more reforms in the country, everything will grind to a halt.”

    She said President Goodluck Jonathan “would not have agreed to host this event if he was not going to take it seriously. There is an election coming up, we are interested in it because we believe it is good for the country. There will be significant support from the private sector working with the government.”

    With regards to security and the potential for investment in Northern Nigeria, Mrs. Okonj-Iweala, said investors were savvy people who could not be deceived. “They vote with their money and feet, while people are talking about security challenges, investors are doing things totally different.”

    She said for investors to bring their money to Nigeria, they would have looked at the country’s economic health, which is assessed by very independent rating agencies that assess all countries economic performance, namely Fitch and Standard and Poors who have maintained the country’s stable rating.

    The rating agencies “have acknowledged all the challenges in the North East of the country that we have identified, but they know that this is just one part of the country. Investment in other parts of the North can and do take place and investment in other parts of Nigeria is taking place. This is the largest destination for investment on the continent,” she said.

    She explained that “the hosting of this conference exhibits confidence in the nation’s economy, stressing that “you will not have World CEOs come here if they didn’t have confidence in the economy and even our $1billion Eurobond was four times over-subscribed, that shows confidence in the country. 72 per cent of the subscribers/investors were from the United States.”

  • ‘FDI in oil, gas’ll grow economy’

    ‘FDI in oil, gas’ll grow economy’

    The Nigerian Investment Promotion Council (NIPC) has said the gap between demand and supply in the oil and gas sector can only be bridged when there is effective Foreign Direct investment (FDI) into the sector.

    It said the nation has continued to attract major international oil companies due to the conducive economic environment and condusive regulatory framework that would promote competition and ensure transparency.

    The Head, SouthWest Zone of NIPC, Isaac Idowu, told The Nation that the Federal Government has designed laws that make for enterprise promotion as the economy is private sector driven, with over $130 billion investment.

    He said the strength of the economy lies in the fact that it has predictable investment climate and a huge population where foreigners can own 100 per cent enterprise.

    In his words: “ Nigeria has proven to be among the most investment-friendly nations for International Oil Companies (IOC), not only because of the geological configuration of its terrain, but the relative security of investments in the economy. Also, the government is putting in place a regulatory framework that would promote competition and ensure transparency in the industry.”

    Other reasons why one should invest in the sector, Idowu added, are the abundant and growing reserves of crude oil and gas, effective regulatory framework that promotes private sector as engine of growth, partially-deregulated downstream subsector with determination to fully deregulate the sector.

    He said the existence of oil and gas free trade zones for downstream manufacturing activities, high return on investments, unhindered repatriation of profit, capital and dividends, in addition to investment protection against expropriation and nationalisation, are some of the pecks government has made available for investors.

    On the investment opportunities in the sector, the NIPC chief said there has been search for development of local substitutes for such items as medium pressure valve, pumps, shallow drilling equipment, drilling mud, bits fittings and drilling cement and any investor that ventures into such areas will prosper.

  • Nigeria leads Africa with $16.6b FDI

    Nigeria is leading Africa in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) with $16.5 billion recorded in the last two years, the Minister of State, Industry,Trade & Investment Dr. Samuel Ortom has said.

    He told The Nation that an additional $1 billion in equipment and accessories manufacturing was coming from General Electric (GE), adding that the deal is expected to create 2,300 jobs.

    He said another investment worth $520million for household consumables plant, and Gulf Warehouse costing $390 million is coming from Procter & Gamble.

    He said for the first time, the nation developed a strategy for domestic, regional and international trade, established a Diaspora Export Programme, as well six trans-National border markets with Okerete in Oyo State.

    He said the Ministry is working with the Nigeria Export-Import Bank (NEXIM) to establish Sealink Coastal Ferry services for goods and human transport to reduce travel time from six weeks to less than one week.

    He said: “The administration is committed to driving export and adding value to locally produced raw materials, in order to lift the local economy into a productive one that will earn exchange for the country.”

    He addeed that the on-going privatisation of Abuja Securities and Commodities Exchange, including the introduction of Warehouse Receipt System, represents new lines of business with great benefits for both farmers and other businesses.

  • Dispute Resolution Bill threatens FDI inflow, says body

    The $7 billion annual inflow from foreign direct investment (FDI) will be grossly affected should the National Assembly pass the National Alternative Dispute Resolution Regulatory Commission Bill, 2011, President, Maritime Arbitrators Association of Nigeria, Gbola Akinola has said.

    Majority of the foreign investors are targeting the Nigerian bond market where there is sovereign guarantee and improved returns compared with other developed countries. There has also been a strong portfolio inflow to the high yields on local-currency debt including the 91-day Treasury bill, which was 14 to 15 per cent interest rate per annum.

    The Bill, when passed, is expected to remove customers’ power to get attorney where there are disagreements in the course of their businesses.

    Briefing journalists at the weekend over the Bill already passed at the House of Representatives, Mr. Akinola said the Bill portends risk for business owners and will deter foreign investors from further investment. He said the Bill, now at an advanced stage at the Upper House, is not in the interest of the Nigerians and the economy.

    “Investors will want to know that they can get legal help if need arises in the course of their businesses in the country. Business partners have the right to determine how they want their cases to be treated instead of limiting access to justice to National Alternative Dispute Resolution Regulatory Commission,” he said.

    Chairman, Nigeria Bar Association, Section on Business Law Committee on Arbitration, Olasupo Shasore, said the group will raise a legal team that will challenge passage of the Bill in court.

    He said that private dispute resolution market contributes to economic growth of the nation, adding that the operators are respected globally.

    “There is no legal and practical reason the Bill should be passed. We are engaging with our representatives at the National Assembly to ensure that the Bill is not passed the way it is. We have also announced a legal team that will challenge the passage of the Bill. We do not think there is need to set up a new Bill to regulate the industry,” he said.

    Shasore said people should be allowed to select their own dispute resolvers instead of relying on the government agency.