Tag: Gas shortage

  • Power sector problem: Cash not gas shortage

    Power sector problem: Cash not gas shortage

    Mr. Bolaji Osunsanya is the Managing Director of Oando Gas and Power Limited. In this interview with EMEKA UGWUANYI, he speaks on issues in Nigeria’s energy sector, what the company is doing, its short to long term programmes in and outside Nigeria to make gas available to commercial and industrial concerns, among others. He says the central problem of the power sector is lack of cash.

    The industry has witnessed low oil price in the last two years, how has this affected Nigeria’s oil and gas industry, and Oando Gas & Power in particular?
    Oando Gas and Power is on the gas side, so the declining oil price has affected it, even though not directly. It has affected it with a lag because as the associated gas is not coming, gas is invariably also not coming. So, we have had supply dislocations but not so much about price. Prices have not moved much because we are running a pricing regime that does not directly relate to the oil prices. It was a bit more cost-reflective regime to make all the members of the whole value chain move. We have moved gas locally from at least 75 cents in the early days to as high as $3 per 1000 scf. So, we had a stable regime in that regard. The only challenge we had was the dislocation that came about from the low gas prices and the restiveness that we saw.
    The power sector and industrial concerns don’t have access to gas supply despite the domestic gas supply obligation oil firms undertook, what is the way out?
    Two things are involved. If the application is for power, the first thing to be done is to create liquidity in the power space because there is no need bringing out gas if it will be consumed by somebody who the supplier cannot collect his money or who cannot pay on time. My advice is that more work needs to be done in the power reform space before we start looking at gas. We have proven that at the right price of between $2.50 and $3 per 1000 scf, gas will be available for willing power plants. There is a dislocation when you are looking for prices that are not cost-reflective. So, there is no plant that says to us that they will pay $3 or $4 that we will not wheel gas to. That is the truth; it is the illiquidity of the power sector that we need to make the focus first. If we will ask for efficiencies, an increase in tariff to reflect the alternative cost of fuels, I think that’s what we need to do. There is no need to be dancing around the issue. Today at N32 per kilowatt/hour (kwh), it is clear that the whole thing cannot hold, so we must take some tariff adjustments in the short term, encourage everybody to bring in gas to power, into the space and equilibrium will set in thereafter. Fix the power sector and gas will follow suit.
    Gas is the fuel of the future, how will Nigeria tap into it in view of its huge gas reserves in alignment with global expectations?
    When they say gas is the fuel of the future, it is certainly not the only fuel but it is the most prominent, efficient and most cost-effective fuel. This is probably what they say, and they think it would be a big part of the energy mix globally. By that they mean that about 40 per cent of your energy will come from gas and Nigeria being one that sits atop a lot of reserves, it is the expectation that we would be the first in that queue and the first to take advantage of that manifest. But the point to make is that gas as a resource must be explored, exploited, cleaned, transferred before it gets to the market. It is a chain and all that chain must be provided for. The ultimate is yields for the gas, whether it is for power or industries. Today, industry works because we have been able to sell gas to them at $7 and it is more than enough to incentivise everybody in the team. That is why we have not had any issues in the industrial segment but if you think that power in Nigeria is 70 per cent of that consumption, that is where the work is and we have to fix power to operate like an industry and gas will flow and will be paid for. And everybody will have it and we will be able to use it to achieve what we see in gas being the future, the propeller of industries, propeller of energy, and utilisation of choice. That’s where we need to go.
    When you say fix power first, what do you mean?
    Today, that value chain is illiquid; today, there is no assurance that the electricity distribution company (DisCo) will pay the electricity generation company (GenCo) and the GenCo will pay the gas supplier. There is no assurance. NBET pays six per cent of its invoices that will not go anywhere, you can almost predict that to fall down flat soon. I even wonder how the GenCos do it. They borrowed money to buy those plants. By now, they should be defaulting in those loans because 26 per cent of your collections cannot pay your loans, it cannot even service the interests. It is illiquid, it is not sustainable, therefore, we must fix it. A school of thought said, go back to the populace to pay more, let them go back to fix the inefficiencies that exist but is not a very strong argument. The stronger argument for me is let us pay the super profits first, pay the right tariff and let the market finally get an equilibrium and it will come down. I always give the GSM analogy as an example. When the mobile telephone first came, I struggled to pay over N100,000 but it was difficult but now they even give you SIM cards free. Let the tariff find its level and come down by itself. We are already paying the price by using petrol to generate power. It is the most expensive way to generate power even if it’s “I pass my neighbour” that you are using. So, if we take a tariff increase, force efficiency through, then we will be charting our way to stable power supply.
    How far has Oando Gas and Power (OGP) gone with the attainment of its short to long term plans and strategies?
    It is my pleasure to share the developments of our brand, and share our ongoing projects and our long term plans as a company. It is on record that Oando Gas and Power has been a foremost developer of gas infrastructure in Nigeria. We have to our name over 260 kilometres of pipeline built over the last 15 years. No other company comes close to that record and we have plans to even do more. We are certainly the pioneer developer of gas infrastructure, and not just gas infrastructure but gas solutions across Nigeria. We pride ourselves as portfolio developers. By portfolio developers, we move into assets, and exit from assets. About this time two years ago, we were talking about our captive power plants. I’m pleased to say we have agreed to divest from those power plants and will be moving the investments to much bigger footprints in the power space as we also expand our gas infrastructure plane. Today we have our footprints, largely Gaslink, which continues to grow. We only recently completed Greater Lagos IV, so now we have the pipeline from Ijora all the way to Bonny Camp. What that means is that we have crossed the Eko Bridge, the Cowrie Creek water channel, and we have our flange just in front of Bonny Camp. It means now that we can go over and beyond the 175 customer that we sell gas to, and can now continue to sell to people on the Marina. There are many stations in Marina that will be hoping to improve their energy source. Now that we have the pipeline solidly there, we will able to do that for them.
    We have continued to grow our business in Port Harcourt with the Trans Amadi grid. We are expanding that now with a 9km addition that will take us to the port area. Our primary target there will be the BUA sugar refinery, which will be a big consumer of gas. But more importantly, we are trying to expand the Rivers State grid not just to Trans Amadi but to the entire emergent industrial clusters in Rivers State. It will see us go to Chioba, Obagua and all the developing parts of Port Harcourt. The idea is that the grid in Port Harcourt will be akin to the grid in Lagos and it will be our intention to continue to do this in all the emergent cities in Nigeria. We want to establish ourselves as the foremost last man distributor of gas. It will be our vision and aspiration to take gas to all crannies of Nigeria. Two years ago I also talked about our experiments in virtual pipeline space. We have just completed the building of our compressed natural gas facility in Ilasamaja. The plant is fully operational and currently all the capacities have been sold and we are working hard on the logistics to truck this gas to the consumers. We currently dispatch well in excess of 16 trucks daily from that facility and they get as far as Ife and we cover Ilesha, Ibadan, and big customers who have industrial concerns that are far from the pipeline grid. It is our intention to take that even further but so far we have sold the capacity of the gas network services at Ilasamaja and will be looking at other virtual pipeline projects going forward.
    OGP, it was learnt, had a deal with Helios, can you talk on the transaction?
    We only recently brought in Helios – private equity fund – into our company. They hold majority shareholding in Oando Gas and Power today. Helios investment partners own 49 per cent of Oando Gas and Power. Two per cent is owned by a nominee of Helios and the remaining 49 percent is held by Oando Plc. In terms of touch and feel, it continues to be an Oando company but is largely invested by Helios. Helios is a big African based infrastructure fund. It has in the last few years raised over $3billion worldwide. They have a big retinue of partners that they constantly invest in their fund and we have been able to make a deal with them to sell part of Oando Gas and Power for $115 million. With that amount, Helios is the biggest shareholder in Oando Gas and Power. They have invested in us but we retained management, therefore, I will continue to be the CEO, the whole team is still intact as you knew it. Nothing has changed on the management side but certainly things have changed on the investor side. The good thing about Helios is that they are in two good worlds. We carry the benefits of our legacy ‘Oando’ and we then complement that with a very deep pocketed fund. It creates new growth areas for us. All the constraints in the infrastructure space that we suffered because the Group was looking at many other things, I think have been solved. Today, we are able to look at those projects knowing fully well that we have the backing of somebody who has a deep pocket in infrastructure fund not just for the fund but for the fact that they are focused on infrastructure and they have a very long term pricing. We are today getting capital that fits with the mix of what we are supposed to do in the gas infrastructure space. We are pleased at this, and at the right time we will be making the right announcements. Helios was also an investor in the downstream business with Oando. Oando is used to Helios being co-partners. They were investors in marketing with Vitol. It was Vitol and Helios investing in the downstream but in this case, it is Helios alone investing in Oando Gas and Power.
    Things have been growing but of late, particularly, in the last one year, we suffered some supply security challenges. It is related to the challenges that we have had as a nation with people blowing up gas infrastructure and pipelines. It has taken a toll on our supplies and it has also aggravated the need for us to look at alternative supply sources. We will continue to do that going forward. We are working with other third parties to see if we can sign willing buyer willing seller gas supply contracts. We are also looking at other alternative ways of bringing gas other than the pipeline. So, our mini LNG project and our FSRU (floating storage re-gasification unit) project would help us at least create alternatives and help in bringing gas to Lagos and other parts where we do business. So, there is a big part of our medium term plan that will be aimed at developing the virtual pipeline project. We have already announced that we are starting a mini LNG project in Ajaokuta but we are doing that in conjunction with the Nigerian Gas Company. It will be a 20 million standard cubic feet per a day (scf/d) gas plant and we expect by the end of the year, that development will be complete. We are currently working with our partners to do the front end engineering work. We hope to start construction in the next quarter. We will also be working on an FSRU project and for that we working with Helios and a German gas company but we will be looking at LNG boats into parts of Lagos, not just Lagos but West Africa to bring LNG into markets. That will help us diversify our concentration on gas only coming from the Niger Delta. We will continue to keep alive our gas processing aspiration. We have opportunities now not so much the way it was conceived when we talked about the central franchise area, but in specific cases where we will be doing gas processing for specific clients. We are looking at not less than 300mscfd gas processing facility somewhere in the south central.
    The big part of all of this is to create an appropriate financing strategy. Gas infrastructure is not something we can do organically when we are just reserving our profits. It will be too slow and will not take the land grab advantage. It is now clear we have to partner with people that have capital to have our programme going. That is what we have done by bringing Helios into the programme and Helios will take us to the other partners. So, we will be embarking on road shows to raise a significant capital at least a billion dollars in the first instance to get into this programme as we go along. It continues to be our aspiration that we will expand our last man infrastructure looking at those regional markets, and I told you we wanted to do reticulation in Benin, Togo and Ghana. It is time now and I think the opportunity is ripe. Their economies are opening and their affordability for gas and interconnected infrastructure is ready. The alternative energy sources are more expensive. I think the time now is ripe to go into those markets. In the next few weeks, I think we will be making a significant announcement of the gas supply contract into one of the regions. We are pushing that actively, we have created a team within our business development platform to face that region squarely.
    In the very short term, I think it is important for us to increase the volume of gas that passes through our system. We intend to raise it to 70mscfd coming from as low as 47mscfd in 2016. So we are looking for 25 per cent growth in the coming year. We will complete the two projects we have on hand in the Greater Lagos IV that I mentioned, that will be up for commissioning any time soon and the Central Horizon in Port Harcourt, the expansion of the first 9km will be commissioned by the Governor by the middle of next month. We will take final investment decision on the construction of the Ajaokuta 20 mscf/d mini LNG facility and construction will commence in that quarter and there is a good chance that by first quarter of 2018, that plant should be operational.
    In doing all these, did you take cognisance of the security situation and where should the gas come from?
    The gas will come from multiple sources. There is a possibility that it will come from the Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas Limited (NLNG). But there is also a further possibility that it will be imported. The price benchmarks are the same, so there is no obvious advantage buying it from Bonny or from buying it internationally. We have diversified sources. There are spot cargoes floating everywhere just like NLNG also has spot cargoes floating. They have multiple sources for bringing gas. As you know, every gas trader is a potential supplier. Vitol, Trafigura and Geogas, they all have gas at any point in time and because the price is the basis, price is almost exactly the same, so where you get it doesn’t matter much. It is a commodity but there is also a preference to look at NLNG more from the logistics and the quickness of the turnaround. Like I said it is a commodity and we can go anywhere. About security, it is similar and almost equivalent to maritime security and today I think there are vessels that come in with little or no issues. I think there will be no significant issue importing LNG to any part of Nigeria. Since this is our business we will pay some special attention to ensuring that the vessels have safe entries into the ports and to their destinations.
    On the virtual pipeline, do you have the right infrastructure to ensure its workability because you need good roads, among others, to make it work?
    Virtual pipeline is an alternative way of carrying the same gas other than through the pipeline. So, it is not a big one as such and the options will include rail, road and even barges. All you are doing is transforming the same gas to a state either compressed or liquefied and try to use alternative transportation means to move them to the market. It is similar to what we are already doing. Currently, we compress gas in Ilasamaja, we wheel or transport it by road to as far as Nigerian Breweries in Ibadan. It is a 120km-130 km turnaround and we go there four to five times a day because of the utilisation. So, it is what we are accustomed to. There are challenges and logistics problems in transporting not from safety perspective but just to share logistics and the roads and I think that is where the strength of Oando being behind us comes into play. Oando will dispatch easily 800 to 1000 trucks at the peak of things every day. So, we have significant experience in logistics to deploy the technology and we have transport companies that partner with us. These are transport companies that have 200 to 300 trucks in their fleet. They know all the nuances of this business. We will ask them to also help us move gas.
    I noticed that your West African reach stopped at where we have West African Gas Pipeline facility. Do you intend to key into the facility and did you consider the re-gasification facility in those areas as you are dealing with virtual pipelines. What is also the cost of the mini-LNG project?
    Our aspiration goes beyond the three terminal points of WAGP. I started with those countries and cities because those are the countries we are looking at reticulating pipelines on the back of WAGP but as we go into the FRSU and LNG programmes, we will reach out to Senegal, Gambia and everybody on the region provided they have gas need. So we are not limited to the terminal points of WAPG. The floating storage and regasification unit is exactly what you have in mind, we will float LNG there and there will be module that will re-gasify it and we put it into a truck and then put it into a pipeline, and that is the overall model. Today, already we have with the bulk call and terminal company in Tema, Ghana, the right to do this in Tema. So as I speak we are redesigning Tema to take a pipeline that will be fed by both WAPG and by an FSRU when we eventually get there. The strategy generally given our experience here is never going to a market with one source, we have a diversified source that at least gives you almost 100 per cent availability. We will cover more than those three countries and those four cities. In terms of programmes, I gave a broad growth and that we are trying to raise a billion dollars as a company. And just to give you a fling of the cost, a mini-LNG programme will cost you about $50 million for a 20mscfd project. FRSU on the other hand will cost you about $300 million to $500 million depending on what the logistics requirements are. For instance, you need to do break water as part of your berthing arrangement for the vessel but that is very expensive. But for a plug and play as we are thinking in Tema and a location in Lagos, it will be about $300 million for the project.
    These OGP projects and strategies, what will be their impact on ensuring the nation’s energy security, and secondly don’t you think Helios investments in Oando are getting too much?
    Let me answer the last one first. Helios has raised over $3 billion and has done deals all over Africa, so they have a diversified portfolio. Nigeria is a big part of that portfolio. In Nigeria they have done a lot of deals. About 43 to 44 per cent of that portfolio was invested in Nigeria. In Nigeria they have done telecoms, downstream, exploration and production and they have only recently done fast moving consumer products. They have a diversified portfolio and I don’t think they are taking more than they can chew. They have about $1.6 billion invested in Nigeria, $115 million in OGP and about $200 million in the downstream, I don’t think that is a big part of their portfolio, so it will be too early to talk about them being overinvested. Central to energy security is the fact we need an energy mix that is not concentrated. It cannot be all about thermal plants. We must have a good energy mix as a country, so that even if there are dislocations, the other fuels will be compensating and I think that’s what we are pushing. We push gas and there are people pushing coal, nuclear, solar and other renewable. The most important thing is we have diversified energy mix. The more diversified our energy mix the more secure we will be.
    What informed your divestment from the captive or small power plants at a time the government seeks more investments in the power sector, does it mean that it is not viable to invest in the sector or are you having challenges?
    We see the sector as viable but don’t forget that when we did the captive power, we were doing it as a demonstration project. Two years ago, the power sector for us at a time was not clear. It was good that we did our power investment with bilateral counterparts that we could do business with. We found that window with Lagos State and we did our quoting and I think we demonstrated with 13Mw and that was what was possible in the power space. It will continue to be with the private sector because even the divestment was still with the private sector. What we did is that we just divested that investment and our intention was to put it in power but on a bigger scale and I think in the last three years also the power reform is trying to play out well. There are still challenges but it is better than what was obtainable three years ago. For the embedded, I think we can do some sizeable power plants. You will see our announcements with the two distribution companies (DisCos) in Lagos. We are trying to do something that will be significant and bigger. Those power plants we sold, I think we had 23Mw in Iju but our next announcements will be 50Mw and more.
    How will OGP raise the $1billion especially now banks are constrained and what do you intend to do with the $115million from divested interests in OGP?
    The $115 million that was paid by Helios was paid to Oando Plc, the owners of OGP. It was a share transaction. Oando Plc sold shares to Helios and retained some in OGP, so the $115 million has nothing to do with the $1 billion and the new budget. That was a share deal between Oando Plc and Helios. They have their own plans and issues to solve with the $115 million. The $1 billion we are talking about is what we think will be the requirement for the projects we scoped and it is our own equity requirement in those projects. We will need more than a billion dollars but as you know, so far we have raised about $400 million as OGP in the projects that we have done. A lot of these we have raised as project financing. We put the deal together, we go the bank and they give us money to implement. The scheme will still be similar but because of the scale of what we want to do, we want to be able to at least raise a billion dollar as our own equity and leverage that to about $3-$4 billion. If we do a central processing facility (CPF) of 600mscfd that will require a lot of money, so we are just creating capital for ourselves now and to be equity in those bills as we go forward. We need to be able to reach international funds to partner with us on this project. That is more reason we partnered with Helios. The fact that Helios is there means that we will be open to most of the development finance institutions (DFIs). Don’t forget it is the same institutions that put money in the funds, I see will put money in Helios. These are the same people we will fall back on to put in our own $1 billion to do the project. But because we are also part of their system they would have taken us through the mechanisms to get into that money easily. So that is the strategic side to why we did the deal with a private equity fund to prepare ourselves for that capital risk. The $1 billion is a benchmark. There will be a number of bourses. A lot of it will not be local because we have exhausted what is local. We have taken all that we think that can be taken locally and now know the capital raise will have to be foreign. We are preparing our platform to start to go there. In May, we are going on road show with Helios to see those partners to raise money for the projects we want to do.

  • Gas shortage cuts off 3,269Mw

    Gas shortage cuts off 3,269Mw

    The Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry (NESI) yesterday said generation companies (GenCos) could not produce 3,269megawatts (Mw) of electricity as a result of gas shortage to fuel the power plants.

    In its October 8 performance report that it posted on its website yesterday, it noted that the power sector lost 371.7Mw due to line constraint and also lost 479.4Mw owing to high frequency constraint.

    NESI said there was no challenge due to water management, adding that on the day under review, the total constraints led to a loss of about N1.978billion.

    Following the losses, the Nigeria Electricity System Operator (SO) that would have sent out about 7,247Mw were there on constraints, only sent out 3,335Mw to the 11 distribution companies (DisCos).

    The report said:  “On October 8 2016, average power sent out was 3335MWh/hour (down by 164 MWh/h). The reported gas constraint was 3269Mw. The reported line constraint was 371.7Mw and the reported high frequency constraint is 479.4Mw according to TCN. The water management constraint was 0Mw. The power sector lost an estimated N1,978, 000, 000 on October 8 2016 due to constraints.”

    Meanwhile, the Nigeria Electricity System Operator (SO) of the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) yesterday said at 06:00 hour of October 10, it hit an energy generation of 3,805.10Mw.

  • Gas shortage,  weak transmission  facilities threaten  power supply

    Gas shortage, weak transmission facilities threaten power supply

    The plan of the Nigeria Electricity Supply Industry (NESI) is to attain 7,235 Mega Watts (MW) of electricity. But gas shortage, line and high frequency-induced constraints have held down power supply to an average of 3,382.  JOHN OFIKHENUA writes on the constraints hindering optimal performance.

    ABOUT 4,646.9 Mega Watts (MW) of electricity have been lost by the Nigeria Electricity Supply Industry (NESI) to gas shortage, line and high frequency among other constraints. In the face of the drawbacks, the Nigerian Electricity System Operator (SO) of the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) could only wheel out 3,382 MW to the 11 Distribution Companies (DisCos). Without the setbacks, the sector would have been supplying about 8,028.9 MW by September 25, 2016, according to the sector’s power performance data.

    The latest performance data report said: “On September 25 2016, average power sent out was 3382MWh/hour (down by 38MWh/h). The reported gas constraint was 3,204MW. The reported line constraint was 506.4MW and the reported high frequency constraint is 936.5 MW according to TCN. The water management constraint was 0MW.”  In monetary terms, the sector lost an estimated N2, 231, 000, 000 due to the identified constraints.”

    The industry announced the following day that it could not generate 2,848MW owing to gas shortage. It added that due to line challenge, it could neither transmit 500.8MW, nor cope with 509.3MW as a result of high frequency constraint. Although there was no water management constraint, the SO sent out 3,227MW to the DisCos. If the sector had not experienced the aforementioned challenges, it would have achieved its targeted 7,235MW last month.

    The NESI report explained that the power sector lost an estimated N1, 849, 000, 000 on September 26 due to the hitches.

    Investigation by The Nation showed that the three hydroelectric stations generated 1,120 MW on the day under review. The stations are: Kainji (193MW), Jebba (440MW) and Shiroro (487 MW). The 18 gas power plants generated 2,107MW while seven recorded 0MW output.

    The gas turbine stations are: Egbin (487MW); Sapele (I 58MW); Delta (314MW); Geregu (I 51MW);  Omotosho (I 142MW); Geregu NIPP (39MW); Sapele NIPP (39MW); Alaoji NIPP (97MW); Olorunshogo NIPP (133MW); Omotosho NIPP (87MW); Odukpani NIPP (56MW); Ihovbor NIPP (90MW); Okpai (253MW); AfamVI (110); Ibom (53MW); Omoku (45MW) Trans Amadi (5MW) and Para Energy (41MW).

    On September 27, NESI sent out 3,470MW, recorded 2,798MW gas constraint, 596.8MW line constraint and 364.7MW high frequency constraint. Although there was no water management constraint, the challenges caused the power sector a loss of about N1.8 billion. For the challenges, the industry would have recorded 7,229.5MW production.

    NESI said: “On September 27, 2016, average power sent out was 3470MWh/hour (up by 243MW.  The reported gas constraint was 2798MW. The reported line constraint was 596.8MW and the reported high frequency constraint is 364.7 MW according to TCN. The water management constraint was 0MW. The power sector lost an estimated N1, 805, 000, 000 on September 27 2016 due to constraints.”

    Since the DisCos took over the distribution chain, these challenges have been holding down the sector from optimal performance. Not even interventions by the Federal Government have been able to turn the situation around.

     

    The problems

    Investigations have shown that sabotage and insufficient funding by the government and investors account for power shortage nationwide.

    For months, attacks by militant groups on gas pipelines in the Niger Delta have been accounting for the loss of gas that would have fueled the power plants. The attacks on gas facilities have about 10 gas-fired power plants to record 0MW generation.

    At the moment, the sector enjoys 0MW water management constraints level because of the raining season. There is always apprehension that power generation from the hydroelectric stations would reduce as soon as the dams begin to recede.

    The (DisCos) and Generation Companies (GenCos) have always blamed the weak transmission of generated power as one of the major setbacks in the power production chain. Though the generation distribution aspects, the Federal Government is still in charge of transmission remains the sole responsibility of the Federal Government through the TCN. But the TCN, accused of being the weakest in the production chain, has turned around to blame the poor power supply on the DisCos.

    The blame game blew open on August when its Managing Director Dr. Atiku Abubakar alleged that the distribution companies were rejecting load allocation from the Nigerian Electricity System Operation (SO) for inability to meet up with invoicing for the load to the Market Operator (MO). The TCN is composed of the MO and SO.

    He said: “On a final note, let me assure the DisCos and GenCos and the generality of Nigerians that TCN is determined to improve the services so that it does not appear and it is not the weakest link in the power sector value chain.

    “At this moment, the weakest link is truly identified; some distribution companies rejecting customers’ loads, thereby throwing them in darkness, resulting in lowering of generation, although we have the capacity to generate more.”

    Although he declined to name the DisCos that were rejecting load, Atiku said the TCN has the capacity to transfer more power to the companies.

    Insisting that some players in the distribution chain rejected more load, Atiku said: “I will say yes, it is still happening. I don’t want to mention the distribution companies that are guilty but they know themselves. Most of them are load shedding 11Kv feeder for two, three hours simply because they cannot pay to the Market Operator or to the System Operator the invoice that is given to them for what they consume. So, they use that method to deny customers power. But I want to make it clear that we know because the System Operator monitors on 24 hours basis.”

    The Nation investigation however revealed that the the TCN has to double its capacity to prove that it can wheel the more electricity from the GenCos to the DisCos.

    A source in one of the DisCos, who spoke in confidence, said that the TCN lacks the capacity to push out 5,500MW as being claimed. According to source, for the transmission company to buttress its claim, it must double its capacity to evacuate what is presently being generated.

    It said: “If our national generation is 5,000 or 6,000MW, the transmission cannot carry it. I can say that one confidently. The international standard in engineering practice is that transmission should be able to do two times what generation is having.

    “In other words, if generation capacity is 10,000MW, transmission should be able to wheel 20,000MW. But in Nigeria, that is not the situation. And we all know very clearly that Niger Delta has been a major problem to us. So, where did they get the load from?”

     

    Blame game

    Reacting to the allegation, the DisCos under the umbrella of Association of Nigerian Electricity Distributors (ANED), said that the companies were losing an average of N1 billion monthly as a result of the limited capacity of the TCN in different parts of the country, especially in the Northern areas.

    The association’s Executive Director, Research & Advocacy, Sunday Olurotimi Oduntan, said in a statement: “Even worse is TCN’s inability to meet its financial obligations, relative to this shortfall, thereby compromising the DisCos’ ability to meet their obligations to the Market Operator.

    “DisCos are currently experiencing a monthly loss in excess of N1 billion due to limited transmission capacities in various areas of the country (especially the northern part).  Even worse, is TCN’s inability to meet its financial obligations, relative to this shortfall, thereby compromising the DisCos’ ability to meet their obligations to the Market Operator.”

    ANED’s response contained in a rejoinder, described the TCN as “the weakest link and an old NEPA.”

    The GenCos have been worse hit by the militants’ attacks on gas pipelines. The Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Eko Electricity Distribution Company (EKEDC), Oladele Amoda, lamented that the company with a customer population of 446,200 (as at August 2016) is currently being allocated 11 per cent of generation output (less international customers) from the grid in line with provisions of Multi-Year Tariff Order II (MYTO II).

    He told the Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) monitoring team that visited the company in Lagos that the load allocation currently ranges from about 250MW to 350MW, which is about 500MW lower than the DisCos’ estimated suppressed demand.

    Amoda explained that to meet the shortfall in the power allocation, EKEDC is in the “process of leveraging embedded generation to urgently improve supply to major load centers.”

    Asked to comment on the state of TCN and its challenges in a telephone conversation, its spokesperson Mrs. Seen Olagunju, who said she was attending a conference demanded to know who was speaking with her through an SMS.

    She never replied even when our correspondent introduced himself to her.

     

    DisCoS worry

    over tariff

    Low tariff, according to the DisCos, is partly accountable for low investment in the sector. As investors craved for increase in tariff early in the year, other stakeholders, particularly the consumers, the National Assembly and organised labour, protested the increase. The case is in court as the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) is contesting the position of a Lagos High Court invalidated tariff increase on July 13.  An attractive tariff from the MYTO, which the judgment affected, provides for a long-term path of determining in advance, what investment in the sector would be as most would-be-investors predicate their decisions.

    Ruling in a suit filed by a human rights lawyer, Mr Toluwani Adebiyi, challenging the increment, Justice Mohammed Idris described the NERC’s action ultra vires, irrational, irregular and illegal.

    Low tariff which the DisCos attributed to low investment in the power sector is also responsible for their inability to provide transformers and meters. But NERC has mandated them to meter all customers by December 1.

    The commission had in June warned the companies that it would sanction them if they fail to provide meters for all categories of on their network before November 30.

    NERC’s Chairman Dr. Anthony Akah told the companies that any customer willing to subscribe to the Credited Advance Payment for Metering Initiative (CAPMI) during the moratorium period should be allowed to do so.

    The NERC’s directive was contained in a statement. It reads: “The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has said that its directives to electricity distribution companies (DisCos) to meter their maximum demand customers not later than November 30, 2016 was without prejudice to provide meters to all classes of electricity customers in line with their performance agreement.

    “The acting Chairman, NERC, Dr. Anthony Akah while providing further insight into the directives to DisCos to meter their MD customers said that default will attract sanctions beginning December 1, 2016.

    “He explained that electricity distribution companies are expected to provide meter for all maximum demand meter customers on their networks not later than November 30, 2016 and that any MD customer willing to subscribe to the Credited Advance Payment for Metering Initiative (CAPMI) during the moratorium period should be allowed. All DisCos have performance agreement which include their metering plans.”

    The Nation could not get the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) position on the efforts being made to ensure regular gas supply to the product’s end-users.

    The NNPC spokesman, Garba Deen Muhammad, declined reply to a SMS from our correspondent.

    Nigeria, which generates the bulk of its power from gas fired plants, may not enjoy abundant supply until the bombing and destruction of pipelines ceases and the TCN expands its capacity.

  • Gas shortage cripples power supply,  says NNPC

    Gas shortage cripples power supply, says NNPC

    LACK of adequate gas supply, is responsible for the poor electricity supply in the past few months, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), has said.

    Its Group Executive Director, Gas and Power, Dr. David Ige, said it is a short term challenge, adding that it would ease before year end.

    Ige, who was responding to complaints and claims by the new investors in the power sector that lack of gas supply is affecing their efforts at improving supply, said their complaints were genuine. He attributed the problem to gas pipeline vandalism.

    He said: “There is truth in their complaints. Over the last two to three years, we have seen a big growth in our gas supply development. We have maximised our efforts in infrastructure; every day, we are building new pipeline infrastructure. Gas supply has grown from 500 million standard cubic feet per day (MMscf/d) three years ago to 1.5 billion standard cubic of feet per day (Bscf/d).

    “But, we are having serious short term challenge and there are two things responsible for that. One mostly arises from vandalism; so, at any point, we are repairing one pipeline or the other. Last year, Escravos Lagos Pipeline System (ELPS) was down for seven months. Now ELPS is back, Trans Forcados is down. At every point, we have been experiencing one major outage or the other.”

    He continued: “And the way our system works is that the pipeline artery connects major gas supply assets. Trans Forcados is connected to Oben, Sapele and Pan Ocean assets, so when the pipeline is down, we lose the three gas plants at once. When ELPS is down, we lose Escravos, so we are truly struggling with these outages and because it happens repeatedly and there is almost no time one of them is not down. All the efforts that we have made in terms of bringing supply up, the consumers never have been able to see the full benefit of it because there is always one problem or other.”

    He also said the other dilemma is the tightness in supply. He explained that the corporation could not do the maintenance on its facilities because, this couldn’t further reduce the supply.

  • Gas shortage, pipeline vandalism cripple power generation

    Gas shortage, pipeline vandalism cripple power generation

    The Minister of Power, Prof. Chinedu Nebo, yesterday in Abuja, said the drop in power generation was caused by gas shortage due to vandalism of gas pipelines.

    Nebo, who spoke during a power public forum, he said: “We still face many challenges, gas supply is a very serious one and the current difficulty we have in generation dropping substantially in the past couple of days, was as a result of gas limitation.

    “We also have security issues bordering on vandalism of the sector’s gas pipelines and oil pipelines that are associated with gas and then transmission and distribution infrastructure.”

    Nebo stressed the need to develop the sector’s transmission capacity “and expand the wheeling strength, so that all power generated can be effectively transmitted.”

    The Minister also said there are challenges in transmission “because we need to be sure that we have more wheeling capacity than generation, so we need to beef up our generation capacity and transmission capacity.”

    He urged participants at the conference to fashion out a blue print on how to effectively fund and address the infrastructure deficit in the sector, especially the transmission chain.

    “With regard to transmission, I will plead with people who are knowledgeable in the power sector, investors and technical people to really look into what Nigeria needs now.

    “I will like you to also look at issues around market solvency, funding model for transmission, and so on,” he said.

    Nebo, however, expressed optimism that most of the challenges being expressed at the moment would soon be addressed with the cooperation and support of stakeholders in the sector.

    He said the power sector reform is on course and assured that it would ultimately lead to the economic growth and industrialisation of the country.

    The minister also assured that the Federal Government was working round the clock to create the enabling environment for investors to thrive and urged more investors to key into the sector.

    Earlier, Mr Stephen Bourne, the Chairman of the forum, said the conference was designed to deliberate extensively on the way forward for Nigeria’s power sector.

    Bourne said the country’s power sector had the potential of serving as catalyst for economic growth and creating jobs for the youth.

    The conference was attended by officials from the Ministry of Power, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), Nigeria Bulk Electricity Trading Plc, NNPC, as well as development partners.