Tag: JP Morgan

  • JP Morgan alert

    JP Morgan alert

    •It’s economic mismanagement, stupid!

    What Nigeria faces possible removal from the J. P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI) shows an economy in probable free fall — but why is no one surprised? With a coordinating minister for the economy who seems to know too much and commander-in-chief who seems to know too little, that should hardly be any news!

    On January 16, JP Morgan announced that, over the next three to five months, it was putting Nigeria’s Government Bond Index on a negative index watch, a sort of “investors beware” caveat, to international investors. It gave as reason the tight squeeze on the dollar in the local economy, in a dollar-dominated international sovereign bond market. This setback is, of course, due to the crash in the global price of crude oil, where most of Nigeria’s export earnings come from.

    The JP Morgan alert is serious because its EMBI, for global basket investors, is about the most sought-after guide to decide whether to or not to invest. So, a JP Morgan alarm casts a negative perception on the economy involved — and maybe, if it lasts long enough, sets off a run on that economy.

    But even as in Nigeria’s case, where many of the investors are said to have already sold off their Nigerian bond holdings, the prospects of new investors in Nigerian sovereign bond further diminish. In a globalised economy, where investors are pulling funds from the matured markets of America and Europe to invest in the comparably high yields of the emerging markets of Africa and the Middle East, Nigeria risks losing out in attracting these funds. Other things being equal, that would further retard the economy.

    For an economy prostrate with high unemployment, signifying the irony of statistical growth without development, this is additional bad news. But the structure of the economy makes it even more dire: the parlous state of key infrastructure — power, rail and road — makes the economy import-dependent. If imports are key and there isn’t enough dollars to buy those imported input, the logical result is deepened poverty, misery and very likely, crime. That profile is unenviable; to say the least.

    Still, though the rot is economic, the root cause is failed political leadership. In his well publicised intervention, Chukwuma Soludo, former Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), accused President Goodluck Jonathan of virtually out-sourcing the economy to a coordinating minister, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the finance minister, who has made a hash of it.  Prof. Soludo may have his own axe to grind with the duo, particularly the minister. But every objective analysis of the situation points to an economy that could have been better managed.

    The immediate trigger of the present crisis is the collapse of the global prices of crude oil. Yet, in fairness to oil, it gave Nigeria more than enough notice. If a product, for upward of four years, sells fairly steadily for more than US $100, and then for just a few months now, it persistently inches below US $50, and there is already a blind panic, definitely something is wrong.

    What were our economic managers doing in those years when the price was spiralling? Might Dr. Okonjo-Iweala, always (at least under President Olusegun Obasanjo) making a mantra of saving for the “rainy day”, not be walking her talk?

    Also, what went awfully wrong, such that the brazen stealing of Nigeria’s crude suddenly got out of control? Now, the current industrial-scale stealing, combined with the price slump, is a lethal combination for an economy already gasping for breath!

    The JP Morgan alert is a wake-up call: this economy is in dire straits. So, the present managers had better shape up — or ship out.

  • JP Morgan plans Nigeria’s removal from key bond index

    JP Morgan said yesterday it would assess Nigeria’s suitability to remain in a key emerging currency bond index because of a lack of liquidity in the country’s forex and bond markets.

    The bank, which runs the most commonly used emerging debt indexes, said it had placed Nigeria on a negative index watch and would assess its place on the Government Bond Index (GBI-EM) over the next three to five months.

    But Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor Godwin Emefiele disputed the firm’s position that there is a lack of liquidity in the foreign exchange market and said the naira is correctly valued.

    “There is no truth in the assertion by the index team that they do not see the liquidity. There’s no reason to begin to take a look at” the naira’s value after the central bank devalued the currency in November, he told Bloomberg.

    Continuing, he said: “We are very surprised at this action by the JPMorgan index team,” Emefiele said. “We want to stay in the index and we’re doing everything to make sure we do.”

    Removal from the index would force funds tracking it to sell Nigerian bonds from their portfolios, potentially resulting in significant capital outflows. This in turn would raise borrowing costs for the economy, although analysts said they did not expect JP Morgan to take such a step.

    JP Morgan added Nigeria to the widely followed index in 2012, when liquidity was improving, making it only the second African country after South Africa to be included. It added Nigeria’s 2014, 2019, 2022 and 2024 bonds, which make

  • JP Morgan report says it’s learning from mistakes

    JP Morgan Chase & Co has outlined improved controls it has been enacting in the wake of recent missteps, including pay clawbacks and minimum share ownership requirements for leaders, it said in a report issued under shareholders’ pressure.

    The document titled, “How We Do Business” and posted on JP Morgan’s website, is the latest mea sure from the largest U.S. bank by assets, after a slew of problems and a record $13 billion settlement with regulators in 2013 over its mortgage operations leading up to the financial crisis.

    “In some cases our controls fell short, and in others, we simply weren’t meeting the standards we had set for ourselves,” the report states.

    “Every company makes mistakes (and we’ve made a number of them), but the hallmark of a great company is what it does in response,” Chief Executive Jamie Dimon wrote in the report’s cover letter to Reuters.

    The document summarizes a wide range of actions JPMorgan has taken to tighten processes in recent years, though many of the details have been previously known.

    For instance, the report describes how JPMorgan clawed back or canceled more than $100 million in executive compensation after one of its traders, known as the “London Whale,” lost more than $6 billion on bad derivatives trades, raising the ire of regulators.

    The report also states that members of JPMorgan’s operating committee must own at least 200,000 to 400,000 shares of the company’s stock, and that its CEO must hold a minimum of 1 million shares. The report has satisfied some shareholder activists who had pressed for it earlier this year, including Seamus Finn, chair of the Interfaith Center on Corporate Responsibility.

  • JPMorgan reaches $4.5 billion settlement with investors

    JPMorgan reaches $4.5 billion settlement with investors

    JP MORGAN and Chase has reached agreement with US to pay $4.5 billion in mortgage security deal even as it plans to keep overall compensation per employee roughly flat this year from last year, lagging gains at rivals, as the bank’s massive legal settlements weigh on its results, two sources familiar with the matter said.

    Bonuses were largely set early this week, though payouts could change in unusual situations or if there is an unexpected change in the company’s results during the last six weeks of the year, said the sources, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. It is not yet clear what Chief Executive Jamie Dimon’s bonus for 2013 will be.

    Pay increases have been muted across much of the banking sector in the aftermath of the financial crisis, but JPMorgan’s plans are on the low end of what experts forecast for the industry this year.

    Earlier this month, compensation consultant Johnson Associates estimated that commercial and retail bankers overall will get bonuses that are unchanged to 5 percent higher this year. It estimated bonuses across all of Wall Street, including large asset management firms, will be up 5 to 10 percent. Recruiting firm Options Group estimated that average pay will rise 4 percent.

    But JPMorgan has higher legal expenses than rivals. On Tuesday, the bank agreed to pay $13 billion to the U.S. government to settle charges it misrepresented the quality of mortgages it sold to investors before the housing crisis. After taxes, that settlement is equal to nearly half of what the bank can earn in a year.

    Without legal settlements, JPMorgan’s profit would have been about 27 percent higher in the first three quarters than the same period last year, an increase that would have made it easier for the company to boost pay per employee this year.

    The bank could have taken more dramatic steps to cut costs after recent settlements, like cutting pay across the board or reducing staff.

    But its executives believe the legal costs are a temporary drain on profits, and do not want to force current employees to bear too much of the burden of the settlements.

    CEO Dimon said this week that it would not be fair to penalize current employees for actions that occurred years ago, largely at banks that JPMorgan acquired in the heat of the crisis.

    “We have never blamed employees broadly for mistakes that were made away from them,” Dimon said on Tuesday in response to a question from a stock analyst about compensation expense.

    Some up, some down

    Even if pay on average will be more or less unchanged, an individual’s pay may rise or fall, depending on the performance of the employee’s unit, and his or her own work, the sources said.

    In mortgage lending, for example, overall pay is expected to be down because of the dramatic decline in loan refinancing volume. Asset management employees will generally see pay go up following gains in that division that have come with the higher stock market. Within JPMorgan’s investment bank, where the year has been good for some units and bad for others, pay generally will be up a little, one of the sources said.

    About 156,000 of JPMorgan’s 255,000 employees work in retail, mortgage and credit card businesses, where pay is generally lower than in its investment bank.

    The company’s headcount has fallen a little since the end of last year, when it was around 259,000, but most of the job cuts have been in lower-wage jobs rather than the investment bank. The bank does not disclose total compensation expense for the whole of JPMorgan Chase.

    The settlement JPMorgan signed this week covers its mortgage lending, sales and securitization practices from more than five years ago. Mortgage deals done by Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual before JPMorgan acquired them accounted for about three-fourths of the liabilities involved in recent mortgage settlements.

    Dimon’s bonus for 2013 has not been set, but for 2012, the board cut his total pay in half to $11.5 million, citing the $6.2 billion of “London Whale” trading losses that happened under his watch.

    Even after the substantial checks JPMorgan has written, its legal and regulatory issues are not over. The bank faces at least nine other government probes, covering everything from its hiring practices in China to whether it manipulated the Libor benchmark interest rate. It may still also face criminal charges linked to mortgage matters.

    In the third quarter, JPMorgan lost $380 million after it set aside more than $7 billion, after taxes, to cover litigation expenses. It was the bank’s first quarterly loss since 2004.

    The bank said last month it has some $23 billion set aside to cover remaining litigation expenses. The $13 billion settlement it agreed to this week is covered by that figure.

    (Reporting by Nadia Damouni and David Henry; Editing by Lauren Tara LaCapra, Leslie Adler and Tim Dobbyn)

     

  • JP Morgan picked to manage Sovereign Wealth Fund

    JP Morgan picked to manage Sovereign Wealth Fund

    Towards making the Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) to be fully operational from the end of March, 2013, the Federal Government on Thursday appointed a financial services firm, JP Morgan, as the custodian of the fund.
    This was disclosed to State House correspondents by the Fund’s Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Unche Orji at the end of the National Economic Council (NEC) meeting presided over by Vice President Namadi Sambo at the Presidential Villa, Abuja on Wednesday.
    He had earlier given a progress report of the Fund at the NEC meeting.
    Orji, who briefed journalists alongside Governor Peter Obi of Anambra State; Minister of Finance, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala; and the Minister of National Planning, Shamsudeen Usman, maintained that the Fund is fully on track towards becoming operational by end of March.
    He said that the Fund was in the  process of recruiting members of staff and that it would have a full complement of staff in place by March, when limited security investment would begin.
    “The strategies we are going to deploy is obviously hybrid; we will have some external managers managing some of the funds for us and some would be run in-house.  JP Morgan has been selected as our custodian. We also have investment consultants.”
    Stressing that a lot of developments has been recorded since the appointment of the Fund’s CEO, the Finance Minister, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said that investment strategies have already been prepared for the Fund’s three windows, comprising the stabilisation window, infrastructure investment window and the future generation window.
    “The $1bn that has been put aside will be allocated into the three windows and investments can begin shortly according to the strategy,” she added
    According to her, NEC’s position on corruption is in tandem with the position of President Goodluck Jonathan on the issue.
    “On the issue of corruption, the NEC is saying what can we do to ensure that in every sector, there is transparency and accountability. From the finance point of view, this is something the President wants. The fact that it was debated and it would further be debated is a good omen,” she stated
    Having achieved a level of success in stemming corruption in the administration of fuel subsidy, she said that the Federal Government has a lady cleaning up the pension sector.
    She said: “We have to clean up the system. The problem lies in the old pension system. We are building, according to the PENCOM law, a new department that will take over the management of those pension funds and make sure that people no longer have access to mismanage the fund.”
    “The contributory pension scheme under the PENCOM has nothing wrong with it. The old pension scheme is what we are tightening up,” she stated
    Anambra Governor, Peter Obi said that the NEC expressed concern over the growing cases of corruption in the country.
    The issue, he said, was extensively discussed and a resolution reached that a session should be organised that would afford stakeholders to speak up against the scourge.
    According to him, the NEC at the meeting also mandated its committee probing the rot in the nation’s university to extend its assignment to primary and secondary schools.
    He said: “The council discussed the issue of corruption and decided that there should be a special session to discuss corruption and issue of mismanagement of resources in Nigeria.”
  • Nigeria’s economy to ‘grow at 6.75%’

    Nigeria’s economy to ‘grow at 6.75%’

    Nigeria’s economy is expected to grow at a speedy 6.75 percent this year, driven by progress in agriculture, banking and oil, while high inflation rates should ease slightly, data showed on Monday.

    Reuters reports that both will add to the reputation of Nigeria as a growing investment destination with a huge consumer market of 160 million people.

    Demand for its sovereign debt, for example, has soared since JP Morgan added it to its emerging bond index last year.

    The kidnapping by gunmen of a Briton, an Italian, a Greek and four Lebanese workers in Bauchi State on Sunday, however, underlined that there are risks to investment outlook.

    The National Bureau of Statistics forecast this year’s growth to be slightly faster than in 2012, 6.75 percent compared with 6.61 percent.

    It said gross domestic product should expand by an average of 7.2 percent next year, 6.9 percent in 2015 and 6.6 percent in 2016, adding that the projections assumed no change to monetary policy, stable fuel prices and a stable external environment.

    Social strains, epitomized by the weekend’s kidnapping, may undermine some investor sentiment, however.

    It was the worst case of foreigners being abducted in the north since an insurgency by Boko Haram intensified nearly two years ago.

    There is also a longer history of kidnapping and oil theft in the southern oil region.

    And despite solid growth, the gap between rich and poor is widening, contributing to unrest and violence.

    Unemployment is 23 percent, while youth unemployment is double that and most people live on less than $2-a-day, the report adds.