The Nation Newspaper

Tag: Nigerian equities

  • Foreign investors stake N495b on Nigerian equities

    Foreign investors stake N495b on Nigerian equities

    Foreign investors staked more than N495 billion on Nigerian equities in the first four months of this year, according to the latest figure released by the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE).

    The four-month foreign portfolio investment (FPI) indicated foreign investors accounted for more than two-thirds of transaction value at the Nigerian stock market during the period, with foreign investments picking up gradually in the last month.

    The report used two key indicators-inflow and outflow, to gauge foreign investors’ mood and participation in the stock market as a barometer for the economy. Foreign portfolio investment outflow includes sales transactions or liquidation of equity portfolio investments through the stock market while inflow includes purchase transactions on the NSE.

    The NSE report is generally regarded as a credible gauge of foreign portfolio investments in Nigeria as it coordinates data from nearly all active investment bankers and stockbrokers.

    According to the report, foreign investors were responsible for about 68 per cent of total transactions while Nigerian investors accounted for 32 per cent. Both sell and buy transactions from foreign investors amounted to N495.3 billion as against N236.7 billion traded by domestic investors, indicating aggregate turnover of N731.9 billion.

    Analysis of foreign portfolio transactions however indicated that there were more sale transactions than buy transactions. Foreign investors sold about N302.82 billion worth of shares as against N192.47 billion bought during the period.

    In April, foreign investors traded N138.79 billion worth of shares including sales transactions of N73.73 billion and buy transactions of N65.06 billion. Total domestic transactions stood at N45.64 billion. Total transactions during the month stood at N184.43 billion.

    The foreign sale-buy trend in April followed the same trend in recent months, although the momentum of buy transactions appeared to be picking up. In the first quarter, nearly two-thirds of foreign portfolio transactions were on the sell side.

    According to the NSE, total foreign outflows stood at N229.03 billion in the first quarter, representing some 64.2 per cent of total foreign transactions during the period. Total foreign inflows stood at N127.41 billion. Altogether, foreign investors’ deals accounted for N356.50 billion during the three-month period, more than 65.11 per cent of total transactions of N547.51 billion. This indicated that Nigerian investors accounted for N191.01 billion, 34.89 per cent of total transactions, during the period.

    Month-on-month analysis showed that there was increase in the momentum of foreign transactions in March 2014, with increases in both sell and buy orders. However, the downtrend continued to dominate transactions. Total foreign outflow in March 2014 stood at N75.42 billion as against inflow of N55.13 billion, totaling N130.55 billion. Foreign investors accounted for 78.25 per cent of total transactions-foreign and domestic, of N166.84 billion in March 2014.

    The flow of investments in March 2014 contrasted sharply with the situation in March 2013 when there were more inflows than outflows. Total foreign inflows totaled 53 per cent of total foreign transactions in March 2013. Total foreign transactions stood at N80.14 billion in March 2013, consisting of inflow of N43.13 billion and outflow of N37.01 billion.

    Month-on-month, the outflows in February are about 107 per cent higher compared to January 2014 and about 183 per cent compared to February 2013. While total transactions at the NSE increased from N181.97 billion in January 2014 to N198.70 billion in February 2014, foreign outflows accounted for the increased tempo of activities and the higher proportion of foreign participation to local participation.

    Foreign portfolio outflows stood at N103.53 billion in February 2014 as against foreign inflows of N32.75 billion. These indicated that foreign investors accounted for 68.59 per cent of total transactions during the period.  This contrasted sharply with the situation in similar earnings season of February 2013 when foreign investors had more inflows at N39.34 billion as against outflows of N36.63 billion.

    Total foreign outflow had stood at N50.14 billion in January 2014 as against inflow of N39.53 billion during the period, bringing total foreign transactions to N89.67 billion. In comparable period of January 2013, foreign inflow was higher at N40.96 billion against outflow of N20.50 billion.

    Recent reports have continued to highlight increased foreign participation, though negative. Foreign investors accounted for 49.28 per cent of total transaction value of N181.97 billion in January 2014 as against 36.89 per cent of total transactions of N166.60 billion in January 2013 and 48.91 per cent of total transactions of N142.24 billion in December 2013.

    Portfolio flow analysis in recent period had shown a consistent trading pattern in foreign transactions. While foreign investors flowed in more funds than they took out in the first half of 2013, they have since been taking more money out than they invested since the beginning of the second half of 2013.

    Month-on-month analysis showed that total foreign transactions closed December 2013 at N69.57 billion, consisting of inflow of N32.40 billion and outflow of N37.17 billion. Total foreign transactions rose to N88.89 billion in November, including inflow of N42.68 billion and outflow of N46.21 billion. These had closed October at N82.33 billion including inflow of N39.45 billion and outflow of N42.88 billion.

    In September, total foreign inflow was N26.14 billion as against outflow of N27.88 billion, bringing total foreign transactions to N54.02 billion. Total transactions at the stock market during the month stood at N108.19 billion, out of which domestic investors contributed N54.17 billion or 50.07 per cent.

    In August, foreign inflow had stood at N31.12 billion as against outflow of N39.76 billion. Total foreign transactions thus stood at N70.88 billion, 52.26 per cent of the total turnover of N135.63 billion recorded for the month.

    Foreign investors had took out nearly a double of every penny they invested in the Nigerian stock market in July, unusually high disparity between foreign portfolio inflow and outflow, which led to significant decline in net foreign investment in the Nigerian stock market.

    The seventh month report for July 2013 had indicated that total foreign inflow stood at N31.81 billion as against outflow of N61.90 billion in July, showing the widest divergence between inflow and outflow so far this year.

    Total foreign inflow had risen to N90.15 billion while outflow stood at N60.09 billion as total foreign transactions increased to N150.24 billion in June.

    Foreign investors had accounted for 36.89 per cent, 39.65 per cent, 52.78 per cent, 64.48 per cent, 48.68 per cent and 51.13 per cent in January, February, March, April, May and June respectively.

    Portfolio transactions by foreign investors totaled N61.46 billion, N75.97 billion, N80.14 billion, N122.97 billion, N91.86 billion and N150.24 billion in January, February, March, April, May and June respectively.

    Foreign investors staked about N4.08 trillion on quoted shares on the NSE between 2007 and 2012. Foreign investors had gradually and consecutively increased their investments in Nigerian equities from about 15 per cent of total market turnover in 2007 all through till a high of about 67 per cent in 2011.

    Foreign portfolio investors concluded deals worth about N2 trillion on publicly quoted Nigerian equities between 2012 and 2013. Value of foreign portfolio transactions on the NSE increased by 29 per cent in 2013 as domestic investors showed keener interests in listed equities.

    Value of foreign portfolio transactions increased from N808.4 billion in 2012 to N1.04 trillion in 2013. In both years, Nigeria retained net inflow from foreign investors. However, net inflow dropped considerably from N94.4 billion in 2012 to N20.48 billion in 2013, reflecting the speculative and edgy nature of foreign portfolios during the year.

    Foreign investors had accounted for about 61.4 per cent of total turnover on the NSE in 2012 while domestic investors accounted for 38.6 per cent. However, domestic investors stepped up their participation with 49.2 per cent in 2013 while foreign investors slowed down to 50.8 per cent. Foreign portfolios were the main drivers of transactions on the NSE between 2011 and 2012, with foreign investors accounting for average of two-thirds of equity transactions between 2011 and 2012.

    Total foreign inflow increased from N451.40 billion in 2012 to N531.26 billion in 2013 just as foreign outflow correspondingly increased from N357 billion in 2012 to N510.78 billion in 2013.

    Foreign investors staked about N4.08 trillion on quoted shares on the NSE between 2007 and 2012. Foreign investors had gradually and consecutively increased their investments in Nigerian equities from about 15 per cent of total market turnover in 2007 all through till a high of about 67 per cent in 2011.

    Foreign portfolio transactions increased from N615.6 billion in 2007 to N787.4 billion in 2008. These trimmed down to N424.6 billion in 2009 before rising consecutively to N577.3 billion and N847.9 billion in 2010 and 2011 respectively. Foreign portfolio trades stood at N808.4 billion in 2012. With these, the two-way flow of foreign portfolio investments showed that while foreign investors flowed in about N2.01 trillion during the period, they equally took away about N2.17 trillion.

  • Foreign investors stake N747b on Nigerian equities in eight months

    Foreign investors staked N747.23 billion on Nigerian equities within the first eight months of this year, accounting for about 51 per cent of the total market turnover during the period.

    The latest report on the foreign portfolio investment low by the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) showed that foreign investors dominated transactions at the NSE in five out of the eight months, although the quantum of flow has reduced successively in recent months.

    The report indicated that total transaction at the NSE within the period stood at N1.47 trillion, with foreign portfolio investors accounting for N747.23 billion while domestic investors accounted for N721.60 billion. Foreign portfolio investors thus accounted for 50.87 per cent while domestic investors accounted for 49.13 per cent within the eight-month period.

    Investment flow in the past three tracked months has followed the same pattern, with more outflow than inflow. The foreign portfolio investment report showed considerable month-on-month slowdown in both the total foreign transactions and foreign portfolio inflow while there was an increase in outflow during the period.

    In August, foreign inflow stood at N31.12 billion as against outflow of N39.76 billion. Total foreign transactions thus stood at N70.88 billion, 52.26 per cent of the total turnover of N135.63 billion recorded for the month.

    Foreign investors had took out nearly a double of every penny they invested in the Nigerian stock market in July, unusually high disparity between foreign portfolio inflow and outflow, which led to significant decline in net foreign investment in the Nigerian stock market.

    The seven-month report for the period ended July 2013 had indicated that total foreign inflow stood at N31.81 billion as against outflow of N61.90 billion in July, showing the widest divergence between inflow and outflow so far this year.

    Total foreign transactions thus slowed to N93.71 billion in July as against N150.24 billion in the previous month. However, foreign investors remained dominant in stock market’s transactions with 62.53 per cent of the aggregate foreign-domestic transactions in July, an increase on 51.13 per cent recorded by foreign investors in June.

    With the outflow in July, net foreign investment declined from about N73 billion by June to N42.59 billion by July.

    Total foreign inflow had risen to N90.15 billion while outflow stood at N60.09 billion as total foreign transactions increased to N150.24 billion in June.

    Total foreign transactions in the Nigerian market for the seven-month period stood at N676.25 billion, 50.73 per cent of aggregate transactions of N1.33 trillion by foreign and domestic investors during the period. Breakdown of foreign transactions during the seven-month period showed inflow of N359.47 billion as against outflow of N316.88 billion. Nigerian investors accounted for N656.85 billion over the seven months.

    Foreign investors had capitalised on general market optimism in July ahead of the release of the first half earnings reports of quoted companies to monetize and rebalance their portfolios. Nigerian equities had consolidated their bullish rally in July with capital gains of some N581 billion. Aggregate market value of all equities closed July at N12.007 trillion as against its opening value of N11.426 trillion for the month. The All Share Index (ASI), which doubles as benchmark index for all equities on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and country index for Nigeria, also rose from month’s opening index of 36,164.31 points to close at 37,914.33 points, a month-month average positive return of 5.08 per cent.

    First-half report on foreign portfolio investment flow had shown that total transactions-including buy and sell deals, by foreign investors totaled N582.64 billion, accounting for 49.24 per cent of total turnover at the NSE during the period.

    The report had indicated that in most instances, foreign investors flowed in more funds than they took out, leaving the stock market with a positive net foreign investment of about N73 billion within the period. Foreign portfolio inflow stood at N327.66 billion as against outflow of N254.98 billion.

    Total turnover value at the NSE during the first half was N1.18 trillion with both foreign investors and domestic investors dominating transactions in three months each. But while foreign investors had maintained gradual and steady increase and decline in portfolio adjustments, Nigerian investors showed large fluctuations.

    Nigerian investors dominated the market within the first two months and were supplanted by foreign investors in March and April. Nigerian investors regained dominance in May and were equally displaced by foreign investors in June.

    Foreign investors accounted for 36.89 per cent, 39.65 per cent, 52.78 per cent, 64.48 per cent, 48.68 per cent and 51.13 per cent in January, February, March, April, May and June respectively.

    Portfolio transactions by foreign investors totaled N61.46 billion, N75.97 billion, N80.14 billion, N122.97 billion, N91.86 billion and N150.24 billion in January, February, March, April, May and June respectively.

     

     

     

     

     

     

    The report underlined the structural outline of Nigerian investors, which was largely skewed in favour of institutional investors. For instance, institutional Nigerian investors accounted for 66.7 per cent or N95.78 billion of domestic investors’ turnover in June 2013 while retail investors contributed 33.3 per cent or N47.81 billion.

    The report had shown stronger momentum in foreign portfolio investments in the stock market as the 2013 first half report was substantially above six-month average over the past five years.

    Foreign investors staked about N4.08 trillion on quoted shares on the NSE between 2007 and 2012. Foreign investors had gradually and consecutively increased their investments in Nigerian equities from about 15 per cent of total market turnover in 2007 all through till a high of about 67 per cent in 2011.

    Foreign portfolios were particularly the main drivers of transactions on the NSE in the past two years, with foreign investors accounting for average of two-thirds of equity transactions between 2011 and 2012.

    The report underlined the early positioning of the foreign investors, who had saw through the prospects of Nigerian equities amidst the downtrend and the rampant herd instinct of the domestic investors, who mostly usually look at recovering market.

    Foreign portfolio transactions increased from N615.6 billion in 2007 to N787.4 billion in 2008. These trimmed down to N424.6 billion in 2009 before rising consecutively to N577.3 billion and N847.9 billion in 2010 and 2011 respectively. Foreign portfolio trades stood at N808.4 billion in 2012. With these, the two-way flow of foreign portfolio investments showed that while foreign investors flowed in about N2.01 trillion during the period, they equally took away about N2.17 trillion.

    Market pundits said the investment flows at the stock market might underline concerns over the future earnings of banks, following a generally low fundamental performance in the first half. Most banks reported marginal growth in profit in the first half as they struggled with reduced income streams and high cost of funds and operations induced by new regulations by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

    Banks remain the dominant subsector at the NSE, although reduction in number of quoted banks and increased capitalisation of non-bank multinationals have reduced the hitherto overbearing influence of banking stocks on overall market situation.

    Managing director, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Mr. Johnson Chukwu, said the overall market situation at the stock market might not be unconnected with concerns over future earnings of banks given that banks have been the dominant stocks at the market.

    He said the lukewarm operational earnings of banks will reflect on their share prices as investors priced in expected muted performance into banks’ valuations.

    “There are actually 31 stocks that have been driving the market this year, banks account for 15 of these 31 stocks. So, if banks’ prices begin to go down, you are going to see decline in market performance and I think that is what we are seeing in the recent past,” Chukwu said.

     

     

     

     

  • Nigerian equities get N416b from pension assets

    Nigerian equities get N416b from pension assets

    About N416 billion out of current total pension assets of N3.2 trillion are to be invested in quoted equities on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE).

    Director general, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Ms. Arunma Oteh,  disclosed this yesterday at a media briefing after the Capital Market Committee (CMC)’s first quarter meeting in Lagos.

    She said that the proportionate level of domestic investors in the market had risen to 61 per cent while foreign investors account for 31 per cent of turnover at the stock market.

    The DG noted that the increase in percentage share of equities from 10 per cent to 13 per cent of the total assets of pension funds underscored the improving confidence of Nigerian investors in the stock market.

     According to her, the reforms over the past three years have made the stock market to be more attractive to individual and institutional investors, hence the growth in the level of pension assets.

    She disclosed that as part of efforts to widen the capital market, the Federal Government would revamp the Abuja Securities and Commodities Exchange (ASCE) and sell 70 per cent equity stake to private investors.

    Oteh said the impending launch of two new trading platforms by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) and Financial Markets Dealers Association (FMDA) would foster transparency and liquidity in the market.

    According to her, the new platforms would broaden the capital market coverage and allow bond transactions and securities traded on the Over the Counter to become more transparent while providing a medium for long term financing for infrastructure development and Small and Medium Enterprise growth.

    She added that an Alternative Securities Exchange Market (Asem), which would be launched next month, will attract more companies to the market as the listing requirements have been made to be less stringent than those for the main board of the NSE.

    She noted that companies on Asem would later be listed on the Exchange, providing a sort of grooming for companies.

    Oteh said the Commission would work to complete the dematerialisation of the stock market, pointing out that the SEC had started to review the report put forward by a committee set up last year on dematerialisation.