Tag: Olusegun Aganga

  • ‘Declare industrial sector national priority’

    ‘Declare industrial sector national priority’

    Former Minister of Finance and Chairman of the Economic Management Team, Olusegun Aganga, yesterday called on the President Tinubu to declare the industrial sector a national priority.

    He made this call at the 3rd Adeola Odutola Annual Lecture held in Lagos, yesterday as part of the 51st Annual General Meeting (AGM) of Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN).

    Aganga, who was also the former Managing Director of Goldman Sachs, London, was Guest Speaker at the Lecture themed ‘Setting the Agenda for Competitive Manufacturing under the African Continental Free Trade Area Agreement (AfCFTA): What Nigeria needs to do.’

    “This is the time to be bold, a time to act,” Aganga said, adding that such declaration by the government should be backed up with plans, policies and money.

    Justifying his call for prioritisation of the industrial sector, Aganga said “History has shown that industry multiplies national wealth, creates jobs, is critical for exchange rate and balance of payment management and would make the Naira stronger.”

    Read Also: Bayelsa poll: Diri’s re-election will be smooth sail, says Dickson

    He also questioned the wisdom in spending billions defending the Naira when it continues to fall instead of investing in genuine manufacturers and exporters of high-value products that would earn Nigeria foreign income and more.

    According to him, the Naira will continue to be weak if Nigeria remains an import-dependent country and does not produce for local production and more importantly, for export.

    “Unlike the trillions spent on subsidies, bailouts, the agric Anchor Borrowers Programme (ABP), the refineries, I can assure you that every Naira, no matter how large, that is well spent on strategic industrial sectors can be easily recovered and will deliver tremendous benefits to the economy and the nation,” he said, adding that embracing competition under the AfCFTA was crucial for Nigeria’s economic growth and integration into the global marketplace.

    The AfCFTA came into effect on January 1, 2021, and has created the largest free trade area in the world, covering 54 African countries and a combined population of over 1, billion people.

    Aganga said Nigeria may not be able to compete with China now, but by investing in infrastructure, innovation and skilled labour, while addressing trade barriers, the business environment and promoting market access, the country can certainly position itself as the manufacturing hub  in Africa.

    “The road to competitive manufacturing under the AfCFTA may be challenging, but with dedication, determination, and adaptability, we can pave the way for a thriving Nigerian manufacturing sector,” he stated.

    Aganga, however, regretted that Nigeria’s major hurdle on the road to competitive manufacturing is not plans, rather it is poor implementation. “We are long on plans but short on implementation,” he said

    While pointing out, for instance, that Nigeria launched its industrial plan in 2014, commenced its implementation and then put it on hold for eight years, Aganga said “If the plan had been implemented rigorously, Nigeria would have become a top competitive global exporter in at least three or four of the 13 products identified for export by now.”

    He also said poor policy implementation was responsible for the less than sterling performance of Nigeria’s strategic use of special economic zones or industrial cities, which were at the heart of China’s  economic and industrial revolution.

    According to him, Nigeria adopted this same policy a few decades ago, creating NEPZA and the Onne Oil and Gas Free Zone Authority. It also licensed 30 free trade zones. He, however, regretted that only about five set up by the private sector are considered to have been successful or partially successful.

    Aganga listed other viable policy options to drive the competitiveness of the manufacturing sector under the AfCFTA to include revitalizing the National Competitiveness Council, to ensure issues affecting competitiveness are identified and addressed; reconstituting the National MSME Council.

    Earlier in his welcome address, MAN President Otunba Francis Meshioye highlighted some of the critical challenges hurting the manufacturing sector’s competitiveness, including multiple taxation, high cost of fund and inadequate infrastructure particularly poor electricity supply. Other challenges impacting negatively on the sectors and limiting its competitiveness, according to him, include insecurity, shortage of forex and naira depreciation.

    The MAN President lamented, for instance, that manufacturers in Nigeria are forced to pay over 30 taxes by various tiers of government and its agencies. He also said at 26 per cent, cost of borrowing from commercial banks was too high.

    However, the Federal Government has assured corporate organisations that it will not increase or introduce new taxes in order to meet the 18 per cent tax-to-GDP ratio as proposed.

    The Acting Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), Zacch Adedeji, gave the assurance when he met with representatives of large tax-paying companies.

    In a statement from the FIRS signed by Dare Adekanmbi, Special Adviser on Media and Communication to the Acting Executive Chairman, FIRS, Zaccheus Adedeji emphasised that the President Bola Tinubu-led administration is determined to create a favourable environment for businesses to flourish.

    He added that the FIRS aims to achieve an eight percent raise in tax-to-GDP ratio in the next three years to surpass Africa’s average of 16.5 percent without stifling investment or economic growth.

    The plan to increase tax-to-GDP ratio to 18 percent had initially triggered concerns among corporate entities that the decision could cause an increase in tax rates or the introduction of new ones.

    However, Adedeji noted that the FIRS only wants to use data to improve compliance and that the goal is to grow tax revenue by taxing prosperity and not poverty.

    Adedeji also lauded the invited companies for their commitment to upholding high tax compliance standards and responsible corporate citizenship, urging them to continue to discharge their tax obligation diligently.

    The Acting FIRS boss stated that “our plan is simple. We want to grow tax revenue and we only want to tax prosperity and not poverty. Therefore, it is not in our interest to kill the trees that bear the fruits. My first ‘love letter’ to you is to appreciate what you have done. So, you don’t have anything to be afraid of.

    “We will not collect what is not due to us. But we don’t want anyone not to pay what is due to us. Fair engagement is our plan. Rest assured that the 18% tax-to-GDP target will not translate to increase in taxes.

    “We are not unmindful of the challenges facing businesses in Nigeria with the ongoing reforms to improve economic performance. These are painful but necessary choices we must make as a nation to attain our full potential,” he said.

  • Abuja land: Senate seeks sanction against Jonathan, ex-ministers

    Abuja land: Senate seeks sanction against Jonathan, ex-ministers

    The Senate is exploring ways of invoking sanctions on former President Goodluck Jonathan and some of the ministers that served under him for appropriating reserved plots of land in Abuja.

    According to the Senate Committee on the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), the plots acquired by Jonathan and his ministers were designated as green areas, flood drains, city buffers, recreation, sewage lines, urban farming and city monuments.

    At a briefing on Wednesday, the chairman of the Committee, Senator Dino Melaye, said the illegally acquired areas fall within the highbrow Maitama District.

    Describing the action of Jonathan and his ministers as “satanic”, Melaye blamed the immediate past former Minister of the FCT, Senator Bala Mohammed, for indiscretion.

    Besides Jonathan, the committee listed other beneficiaries of the land grab to include former Minister of Petroleum Resources, Mrs. Diezani Alison-Madueke and former Minister of Justice, Mohammed Adoke.

    Others beneficiaries are – ex-Minister of Trade and Investment, Olusegun Aganga, Acting National Chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Uche Secondus and a serving Executive Director in the FCT, Alhaji Ismaila Adamu.

    Some of the beneficiaries have started erecting structures on the plots, which were hurriedly allocated in the twilight of the last administration and Certificates of Occupancy hurriedly issued for the plots.

    Melaye said, “Senator Bala Mohammed, in his bid to satisfy some powerful Nigerians before the end of his tenure, disregarded the wisdom of his predecessors and the vision of the founding fathers of Abuja.

    “He went ahead to implement Messrs Fola Consult Limited’s recommendation by allocating these important features at the Maitama Hills to these powerful Nigerians.

    “It is pathetic to state that one of the allottees has erroneously burst a sewage conduit pipe and the entire area messed up with offensive odour which could trigger off serious epidemic within that location.”

  • Fed Govt unveils N39.6b Business Devt Project for MSMEs

    Fed Govt unveils N39.6b Business Devt Project for MSMEs

    • Scheme to serve as collateral for MSMEs

    The Federal Government, yesterday launched the first ever Nigerian Business Development Services (NBDS) Network for effective performance of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises.

    The N39.6billion (about $200m) project, called the Nigerian Business Development Services Network, is a  private sector business development service providers network that is expected to work with MSMEs across the country to mentor them, provide support services and link them up with financial institutions.

    Speaking during the launch of the NBDS and the unveiling of the National Business Development Services Market Place in Abuja, the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment,  Olusegun Aganga, said the new initiative marked another milestone in the current administration’s determination to reposition the MSME sector as the major driver of inclusive and sustainable economic growth in Nigeria.

    “Today marks another milestone in the development of the MSME sector in the country. Over the course of this administration, we have championed the course of MSMEs and we have made them the centre of economic policy, he said, adding that government treated them as a distinct sector and has developed policies and programmes to enable them grow and contribute significantly to GDP growth.

    Aganga explained that in the latest survey on MSMEs, it emerged that access to funding was the biggest challenge for MSMEs in the country, pointing out that approximately 84.6 per cent of small businesses in Nigeria have to resort to personal savings and borrowing from friends and families.

    He said, in addition to helping MSMEs to formalise their operations, the NBDS would also serve as indirect collateral for small business operators.

    Aganga said part of the  reasons formal financial institutions give for not lending to this critical sector, is the informal nature of their operations, their poor record keeping and their lack of collateral in support of loans. “These are the issues to be addressed by business development service providers, he said.

    “They will help the small businesses with their accounting records, and with formalisation of their operations. In addition, they will serve as some form of indirect collateral because financial institutions will be more comfortable lending to small businesses when they know that they are being guided by professional businesses development service providers.”

    Aganda praised the World Bank for their productive partnership with the ministry, assuring that the NBDS initiative would go a long way in addressing sector specific challenges hampering the growth and development of major growth sectors of the nation’s economy.

    He said, “The launch of this network and programme would not have been possible without the support of the World Bank Growth and Employment (GEM) project, which is managed under the Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment.

    “This is a $200 million programme, which is focused on stimulating industry-wide activities in certain sectors in order to create jobs and improve the fortunes of participants in those industries.”

    Aganga said the sectors were carefully chosen for their job creation ability and the multiplier effect that the development of these sectors have on the overall growth of the economy. He listed the growth sectors as Information and Communications Technology, Hospitality, Building and Construction, Entertainment and light manufacturing.

    He said the  project involves engaging with stakeholders in these sectors and addressing sector specific issues hampering the growth of these industries. Deserving companies in these industries will also be given grants that will enable them develop their concept, hire additional staff and grow their business.”

  • Auto policy: Fed Govt, stakeholders agree on implementation

    Auto policy: Fed Govt, stakeholders agree on implementation

    • 10 more auto plants coming

    The Federal Government, vehicle manufacturers, dealers and Licensed Customs Agents, among other stakeholders, have agreed to the full implement of the National Automotive Industry Development Plan in line with global best practices.

    The stakeholders agreed that the sustained implementation of the policy with periodic reviews to suit the economic needs of the nation, was in the interest of Nigerians and the Nigerian economy.

    The Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Olusegun Aganga, said the extensive stakeholders’ consultations and collaboration has afforded the Federal Government the opportunity to access the level of progress so far recorded in the implementation of the policy with a view to addressing major challenges  facing players in the sector.

    Aganga, who spoke after a meeting with members of the National Council of Managing Directors of Licensed Customs Agents in Abuja, yesterday, said with the level of success so far recorded, 10 more auto plants have finalised plans to begin operations in Nigeria before the end of the year.

    He said, “Within the past one week, we have been holding consultative meetings with stakeholders in the automotive industry, including all the vehicle assemblers across the country and the National Council of Managing Directors of Licensed Customs Agents.

    “This is to review the current level of the implementation of the National Automotive Industry Development Plan; to assess the level of progress made so far; to understand the challenges facing the players in the sector and what we need to do differently.”

    He explained that since the commencement of the implementation of the policy in July 2014,  there have been series of consultations, aimed at ensuring that everyone is carried along so that government can fast-track the implementation of the policy and achieve the overall objectives of the policy in terms of job creation, industrialisation, local content development and reduction of pressure on our foreign exchange due to massive importation of vehicles into the country.

    Aganga, who expressed satisfaction with the level of progress made so far with the implementation of the seven-month old auto policy,  said the government and operators in the sector are focusing on local production of vehicle component parts in order to create more jobs and generate wealth for Nigerians.

    He said: “From the stakeholders meetings we have held so far, I must say that we are particularly encouraged by the level of interest and enthusiasm being shown towards the new automotive policy by Nigerians and also by Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs).

    “The bottom line is that everyone is saying that so far, we have exceeded our expectations. If anyone had told us that about 22 OEMS would sign into the new auto policy in less than one year of its implementation, we might not have believed it. Currently, we have about four of them that are assembling vehicles in Nigeria. We are expecting another 10 OEMs to start assembling cars in the country before the end of this year.”

  • Fed Govt  partnering NERC to reduce MSMEs electricity tariff

    Fed Govt partnering NERC to reduce MSMEs electricity tariff

    The Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Olusegun Aganga said yesterday that the Federal Government is working with the Nigerian Electricity Regulation Commission (NERC) to reduce the high cost of doing business for Micro,  Small and Medium Enterprise (MSMEs)  through the reduction of electricity tariff.

    Aganga who spoke at the opening ceremony of MSMEs Summit in Abuja,  said the government has also reduced the cost of business registration with the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) for MSMEs by 60 per cent.

    He said: “(Small, Medium Scale Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria) SMEDAN has increased its footprint from 13 states to being present in all the states  in Nigeria in just five months. This has ensured that we are able to reach all Nigerians in each local government area in the country.

    “Additionally,  SMEDAN has decentralised its operations to ensure 80 per cent of its staff are domiciled in the states and only 20 per cent in the headquarters. This measure has also ensured that our services are spread across the country. We have identified and supporting at least one product in the 774 local  government  areas of competitive and comparative advantage.

    “To this effect,  we have formed over 55,000 MSMEs cooperative society in Nigeria,  and registered them with the Corporate Affairs Commission CAC in order to assist thousands of MSMEs have better access to finance and access to business support services.

    “The 2010 MSMEs collaborative survey revealed that the majority of MSMEs particularly the micro enterprises only sell  their products within their local government area. “Through NEDEP,  we are intervening to broaden market access for Nigerian MSMEs.”

    The Director General,  SMEDAN, Bature Umar Masari said the need to access the contribution of MSME subsector to the Nigerian economy partially instigated the National MSME survey jointly conducted by SMEDAN and the NBS in 2010.

    The report clearly shows tgat there are over 17million MSMEs operating within the length and breath of the country.  The survey also evidenced showed that the 17million MSMEs had a cumulative employment of over 32 million.

  • Minister extolls BoI’s contributions to economic growth

    Minister extolls BoI’s contributions to economic growth

    THE Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Olusegun Aganga, has extolled the contributions of Bank of Industries (BoI) to industrial growth in Nigeria.

    Aganga, who spoke in Ilorin during his pre-commissioningvisit to the Cold Roll Mill project of Kam Industries, Ilorin, said the bank has justified its establishment over the years via its adequate financial grants to viable and promising indigenous industrialists.

    The minister, urged more qualified Nigerians to access the loans at the BoI noting that industrial revolution remained one of the economic thrusts of the government of President Goodluck Jonathan.

    He said: “We always require more funds to create the much needed enabler, to give enough money to fund industries in Nigeria. The BoI is rendering great assistance in this respect.”

    Speaking at the event, the Managing Director of the BoI, Rasheed Olaoluwa while justifying the lifeline given to the Kam Industries, said the industries had over the years maintained the required standard and regulations of would be beneficiaries of the loan of the bank.

    Besides, while lamenting the dearth of many applicants for the BoI loans he gave explanations on how the loans could be easily accessed, praising the Federal Government for creating enabling environment for the bank.

    Olaoluwa said: “The Bank of Industry is the leading development finance institution in the Nigeria. “Over the years, we have financed several development projects. We have financed close to 2,000 projects all over the country in several sectors.

    “The other day we compiled statistics and the number we got was in the tune of N692billions in total loans we have granted to date. In the process we have created approximately one million job opportunities. The way to access finance from Bank of Industry is very simple. We have a website: www.boing.com, we have a lot of information in that website such as the various sectors that we support, the various products and ways in which we can apply.

    “For instance we say there are three simple processes: we have the application form, questionnaire and you need to engage at the end of the day with our analysts.  We have seven zones. In addition to the head office in Marina, we are in Lagos, Akure, Asaba, Enugu, Bauchi, Kaduna and Abuja. When you want to take a loan from the Bank of Industry, it is important that as a promoter, you have a sound business model.

    “The way we assess business model at the BoI is to ask you a few critical questions: first the product you want to bring to the market; second, what is the target market (who are you going to sell the product to?); thirdly, what stands your product out or what is you value preposition? Why should anyone be interested in your product? How is your product different from other products in the market?”

     

     

    “Fourthly, which is more important, how are you going to deliver that value proposition to the target market?  For me, the basis model is the heart of the credit consideration for applications days ago we had meeting with development service providers.  We have appointed Business Service Support firms to ensure that the process of applying for loans in the Bank of Industry is made very easy. They will help you the process of packaging your loan so that by the time you application get to the Bank of Industry, the applications or the proposals are really bankable.”

  • Another brain wave?

    Another brain wave?

    •Merely throwing money around will not revamp small businesses

    August 28, Industry, Trade and Investment Minister, Olusegun Aganga, informed the Annual General Meeting of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) of the coming of a “comprehensive real sector funding intervention” under the Federal Government’s National Industrial Revolution Plan (NIRP). Tagged “Financing Value Chain Initiative”, the minister said the initiative was designed to tackle the twin challenges of access and cost of funds known to impede industry’s lack of competitiveness.

    Also at the occasion, President Goodluck Jonathan spoke of the Financing Value Chain Initiative, as the answer to the “structural and specific issues that have made it difficult to raise affordable funds in Nigeria”. According to the President, the initiative “will provide affordable, long-term funding, on reasonable terms, to both large and small businesses in Nigeria” when fully implemented.

    We agree with the Federal Government that the manufacturing sector needs all the help it can to get going again. Unarguably, the sector needs cheap funds which the capital and the financial markets are currently too hamstrung to provide. But even more fundamentally, they require funds with relatively longer gestation periods, both for immediate competitive advantage and as a strategy to enable them plan long term.  The issue is what to do in the event that the two conditions do not obtain at the moment.

    However, we certainly do not agree that the best way to go is to continue to throw money at the problem. Neither do we agree with the practice of selling fanciful labels and acronyms to satisfy political whims and expediencies that has become customary. The truth is that the nation had been on this route before. The example of the N100 billion Cotton, Textiles and Garment (CTG) Revival Fund of 2009 bears recall here.  With the 60 percent of the fund already disbursed to more than 38 beneficiaries as at December 2013, the results posted, at least going by industry sources, have remained far less than impressive five years after. That lesson, if anything, ought to have instructed on the folly of throwing cash at fundamental problems.

    The real challenge, in our view, is to understand why, after more than a decade of financial sector-wide restructuring – of which the repositioning of the Bank of Industry (BoI) formed a major component – ad hoc interventionist schemes have remained the rule rather than exception. With 24 universal banks and some half a dozen specialised banks to boot, it would seem obvious that the underlying question of why the financial services sector cannot address the needs of industries – big or small – is yet to be addressed.

    As an aside, we are again minded to ask: would the time ever come when the huge pension fund assets, currently put at N4.058 trillion, help moderate interest rates? Our initial understanding was that the pension portfolio, given their long-term nature, would help exert some pressure on interest rates at some point. Why are Nigerians not seeing the benefits?

    The time has come for both the Federal Government and the Bankers Committee to confront the issue headlong. For, no matter how attractive the option of another interventionist initiative appears to be, aside reducing the decade-long financial sector restructuring to a sham, it boils down to merely skirting round the issue. Therefore, far from being enamoured with the Federal Government’s penchant to play the Santa Claus with public funds all in the name of intervention, what we would rather have is a financial services industry that is not only enabled but primed to deliver on its mandate.

  • Long overdue

    Long overdue

    • Policy to govern consumer protection and competition is good, provided …

    After an earlier attempt in 2002 to introduce an anti-trust regime through the instrument of legislation, the Federal Government is said to be pushing for a new competition and consumer protection policy. The policy, described by industry, trade and investment minister, Olusegun Aganga, as “consistent with global trends, for a robust legal and regulatory framework to govern consumer protection and competition”, is said to “underlie the need for fair and competitive environment for industry, trade and investment”.

    According to the minister, the policy has become necessary to “forestall and/or minimise the emergence of private monopolies who would replace the public monopolies that the government was moving away from”. It is also to ensure that Nigerian consumers got value for their money.

    Clearly, the dynamics of the Nigerian business environment in the last decade, particularly the relentless push by the managers of the economy for greater liberalisation of the economy are such that have made the proposed regulation both necessary and inevitable. Most certainly, it goes beyond the need to ensure due observance of sound business practices, particularly in the area of trade regulation and consumer protection, to one of addressing a fundamental lacuna in our trade practices.

    We are witnesses to how the push for liberalisation has spawned the emergence of the big players – particularly of monopolies/oligopolies and powerful cartels. One natural consequence of the development is the rising fear of possible exploitation of the consumer through collusion and other forms of anti-competition practices by dominant players in the economy. We see the coming of the proposed law as speaking to the need to ensure that regulations are in lock-step with the dynamics of the economy; to fill the lacuna created by the lack of effective competition regulations.

    The law however is only one step in the long journey to true competition under which the consumer is said to be availed of an array of possibilities which he/she could choose from. Underlying this is the notion that no single player is allowed to be so powerful as to be able to unilaterally fix prices.

    Truth is; the nation has a long way to go in this regard. To start with, the choices available to the Nigerian consumer remain extremely limited; as we know, the barriers to business – big or small – remain impregnable. The latter is at the heart of why the few dominant operators are allowed to carry on as they please – a situation that was only compounded by the absence of institutional or regulatory restraints.

    Of course, some of the factors behind this are partly understandable. For instance, the more glaring examples of monopolies have merely benefited from years of a head-start in specific sectors in addition to other innumerable incentives from government; others have emerged after years of intense market research and development efforts; others simply took advantage of weak regulation to emerge as octopus. Unfortunately, in almost all of the cases, such advantages enjoyed have often been to the detriment of the consumer.

    The law will, hopefully, change that by ensuring that no player is allowed to exploit the benefits of its dominance to prey on the market.

    However, the greater challenge, in our view, is for the Federal Government to work on fostering an environment that truly promotes competition and fair play for all economic actors, a system that rewards true entrepreneurship as against one that is a cover for rent and patronage.  To the extent that the nation is a long way from such an environment, this should engage the Federal Government as much as the proposed law.

     

  • 15% loanable MSMEs fund for upward review

    15% loanable MSMEs fund for upward review

    The current arrangement where less than 15 per cent loanable fund is  set aside for the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises ( MSMEs) need, is unacceptable and must be  reviewed upward, the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment,   Olusegun Aganga, has said.

    Aganga said the step is necessary having regard to the potential of the sector in creating jobs and generating wealth.

    The Minister, who spoke at the inauguration of the board of Directors of Bank of Industry,  BOI, in Abuja,  stated that the future of MSMEs rests squarely on how responsively the bank moves to meet the nations funding needs.

    He said,  “The practice in China and Indonesia where significant portion of loanable in most cases without collateral is extended to MSMEs with close to 97% repayment rate should encourage you to emulate and do even more for MSMEs.

    “In prosecuting this mandate and by extant and institutionalized tradition,  the ministry is enjoined to give policy guidance to the bank and to its other parastatals towards these objectives. The bank and its board are therefore expected as partner in the business sphere,  to vshare in the common national vision towards achieving those objective for which the bank was established.

    “This should and must be done with every sense of duty to ensure striking a balance between tge bank quest for higher dividend and its social obligation to tge nation.  My ministry will soon organize a retreat for all fully implement the NIPR and NEDEP.

    “In the mean time,  tge ministry will track your performance and for that reason, I expect your board to foward to me quarterly progress report showing performance in the quarter and year to date with details of analysis of loan of loan book by sector. impact on NIPR and NEDEP, jobs created and contributions to national development.”

  • Aganga: more questions on auto policy

    Aganga: more questions on auto policy

    These days, it’s hard to tell whether Olusegun Aganga is a minister of the federal republic or the head of a powerful lobby of auto-makers. In a clime where patriotism – or if you like, economic nationalism – is seen as the exclusive preserve of public office holders and their business class allies; and where reforms – at best hare-brained economic experimentations – are measured by the number of international awards as against their impact on the Main Street, we will do well not only to understand the motivation of our high-minded reformers but what constitutes their staying power.

    Now, the subject here is Olusegun Aganga’s dream Nigerian auto. Like a man seized of the messianic bug, he seems determined to leave no stone unturned in his bid to see the dream come to fruition – which, if you ask me, is not necessarily a bad idea in a nation where everything – from tooth picks to our high officials’ fanciest toys – are routinely allocated fat portions of our foreign exchange.

    The issue is that the minister is yet to communicate to Nigerians as to whose interest he is serving.

    Let’s even admit that the minister means well – when he says that Nigeria can no longer afford the $3.4 billion annually sunk into importation of vehicles – used and new; or the need to curb the influx of the terrible contraptions regularly shipped in by those in the vehicle trade in their bid to satisfy Nigerians’ transportation needs.

    How about his punitive composite levy of 70 percent for daring to bring imported or foreign used cars all in just one year to bring the changes desired about? To punish potential car owners even when the capacity of the local assembler remains unproven? How does that help the local car assembler who, under Aganga’s proposed package, already enjoys import duties advantages ranging from zero to 10 percent duty on knocked down parts; and who, according to Minister Aganga have free rein to bring in two new cars for one assembled locally at 35 percent duty?  Could there be a better illustration of a case of private interests adorned in public interest garb?

    What about the operability? Will the local assemblers sell the two at the same price? In other words, how does the differential in duty play out in price determination –I mean the fact that Completely Knocked Down (CKD) components attract zero percent duty as against Semi-Knocked Down (SKDs) whose duty range from five percent duty to 10 percent? I ask: why not make things simple – as in, for instance, settling for a flat import duty rate – to leave little room for manipulation?

    That, obviously is not way things run here; the more the business is made prone bureaucratic shenanigans, the higher the returns to the fat cats in the system.

    Today, even without the policy in full bloom, another round of import duty racket is said to be back at the ports. Ask any clearing agent who has undertaken the business of clearing a vehicle at the nation’s port in the last month. They have enough tales to tell of their ordeal under the so-called auto-import regime.

    But I digress.

    Let’s look at the grand idea – which is to assemble vehicles locally. In an environment where purchasing power has been on steady decline, and the cost of doing business is on rise, the question which our policy wonks have hardly bothered to address is whether the nation can actually sustain a competitive auto-industry at this time. The problem here isn’t so much the desire to return to the “good old days” of Peugeot in Kaduna, Steyr in Bauchi, Leyland in Ibadan, and ANNAMCO in Enugu but whether the conditions responsible for their exit are any different today than what they were in the 80s.

    This is where those like Aganga, who insist on diagnosing of the problem as one of the love for foreign automobile which must be kept at bay with punitive tariff even what is presented as ‘local’ has barely taken off. And what qualifies for an assembly line to enjoy Aganga’s generous rebate? Wait till when your neighbourhood garage shows up with verifiable proof of transformation to an assembly line. It’s after all Aganga’s world where Nigerian autos would soon be king.

    We must worry that a minister of the federal republic cannot make the critical distinction between good intentions and sound policy – or worse, when he is shown to betray such awful understanding of sociological issues involved in the making of policy.

    You know what I think: this policy is dead on arrival. First, in the absence of critical infrastructure, it is simply a non-starter as far as competitiveness goes. Think of it this way: with no machine tools industry to boot, no critical skills pool support; add this to the absence of the still-in-the-works financing infrastructure; what you have is a policy guaranteed dead on arrival. As for our big-time car dealers, trust them to smile to the banks even when there are no guarantees that the auto-industry would ever receive any appreciable boost. Who buys new cars anyway? The same government officials who can afford to buy at any price? Trust the smugglers to have a field day as Nigerians – determined to own their choice autos –find a way. All of these to Aganga’s hubris and needless experimentation.