Tag: polling

  • Polling can reduce election violence, says expert

    Lagos-based pollster and CEO of Datavision Limited, a Gallup – style outfit, Mfon Eyoma, has said that polling has multiple benefits for our democracy, especially in the developing nations like Nigeria.

    Eyoma, a chartered accountant and ex – banker, said in a statement issued yesterday that polling creates the avenue for public participation and a sense of involvement, especially in governance when leveraged by honest politicians.

    He went on: “Polling focuses political discourse on a topical issue and helps politicians assess public opinion and guide policy. In advanced democracies, the ballot routinely incorporates polling for so much public opinion on other issues that it can be rightly considered a national or state referendum”.

    According to Eyoma, “Besides its obvious application in the development of campaign strategy, polling is useful for formulating political ideology and public policy in a nascent democracy such as ours, and because they can be conducted for any purpose, they are a veritable tool not only in politics but also in business”.

    He explained that when polls are conducted by a specialist, the outcome is incontrovertible because it is backed by factual data, adding that electoral violence arising from disputed results would be greatly reduced.

    “Our electoral system is still manual, and our telephone and postal systems were too poor to support traditional research methods of telephone surveys and questionnaires until about 2002. Our manual electoral system was further compounded by widespread irregularities and outright fraud so that ballot papers were not only unreliable by inaccessible to psephologists for any meaningful post-election analysis”.

    Mr. Eyoma, who promised to use Datavision to help enhance the integrity of the 2019 polls, explained the operations of his methods:

    “We have replicated the electoral system of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and designed the ‘Register of Voters’ to capture details such as age, gender, religion, political affiliation, educational standard, occupation, state of origin, state of residence and so on. Under the state of origin and state of residence we have further identified the voter by her local government area, ward, state and federal constituencies and senatorial districts.

    “Nigerians abroad will be able to select their country of residence from a dropdown and equally participate in the polls. When we analyze poll results by these fields, we’re able to predict a candidate’s chances at the general elections with more reliable intelligence. All registration fields are non-mandatory, but non-registered or partially-registered users may also vote in the polls, we will know and disclose their numbers separately in our poll results”.

  • Polling and elections

    There is virtually no other field of human endeavour where the prediction of outcomes is as critical as in today’s big-budget politics. Polling is specialized research and typically conducted by large consulting firms and academia through telephone surveys and questionnaires that target population samples based on demographic and psychographic criteria.

    Polling most probably started in 1824with “exit” or “Straw” Polls; impromptu interviews conducted by newspapers with voters as they left the polling booth. However, George Gallup, who founded the American Institute of Public Opinion and The Gallup Poll in 1936 is credited as the father of scientific polling. The Gallup Poll was soon followed by The Public Opinion Quarterly of Princeton University in 1937, The Roper and Crossley Poll (FORTUNE Poll) in 1941, and the American Association for Public Opinion Research in 1947. Since then, pollsters have become an integral part of campaign teams, notably, Louis Harris (Harris Poll), in General Eisenhower’s campaign in 1952 and Dr. Richard Wirthlin who became the first semi-official pollster when he joined President Reagan’s White House staff as an adviser. More recently, UK’s YouGov was founded by Stephan Shakespeare and NadhimZahawi in May 2000.

    Besides the well-established global research firms such as Gallup, YouGov and Pew, universities like Quinnipiac and Monmouth and broadcast media such as Reuters/Ipsos, ABC News/Washington Post, CBS/Tech Republic and CNN have large research consultancies or partner themselves to run polls.

    The need for polling in politics was underscored by Abraham Lincoln (U.S. President, 1861-1865) when he famously declared, “What I want to get done is what the people desire to have done, and the question for me is how to find that out exactly.” Polling focuses political discourse on a topical issue and helps politicians assess public opinion and guide policy. In advanced democracies, the ballot routinely incorporates polling for so much public opinion on other issues that it can be rightly considered a national or state referendum. In the U.S. General Elections of 2016, voters were polled on other issues ranging from the economy, terrorism and Supreme Court appointments to gun control, immigration and abortion.

    Polling creates the avenue for public participation and a sense of involvement in governance especially when leveraged by an honest politician such as Abe Lincoln in the preceding paragraph. In fact, polling and freedom are so inseparable that dictators never risk independent opinion surveys.

    Besides its obvious application in the development of campaign strategy, polling is useful for formulating political ideology and public policy in a nascent democracy such as ours, and because they can be conducted for any purpose, they are a veritable tool not only in politics but also in business.

    Polls provide raw data that Predictive Analytics and Audience Insight tools analyse to understand the preferences and motivation of consumers and voters. Although Cambridge Analytica has been scandalized for its unauthorized mining and unethical use of personal data, the benefit of its technology in politics and commerce is hard to ignore. An online poll can reach a wider audience than traditional telephone surveys. With mobile devices and the internet, an online poll is just as easy to send to respondents in China as in Europe. This is of particular advantage in the global economy age where companies looking to expand into a new market would like to test public reaction to their product first.

    Political polling generally follows the sophistication of electoral systems and communication infrastructure of a country. Nigeria as an independent country is only 58 years old and our democracy is even much younger having been truncated for the larger part of those years. Our electoral system is still manual, and our telephone and postal systems were too poor to support traditional research methods of telephone surveys and questionnaires until about 2002. Our manual electoral system was further compounded by widespread irregularities and outright fraud so that ballot papers were not only unreliable by inaccessible to psephologists for any meaningful post-election analysis.

    Consequently, Nigeria did not begin to benefit from polls and surveys until the Internet and telecom boom which really began in 2002. With improved ICT infrastructure and the growth of social media, several organisations have contracted research firms to conduct online surveys mostly for purposes of testing new products and markets but the political polls niche is still untapped. Media organisations often run snap or call-in polls on topical political issues of the day to augment their news coverage but these are opaque efforts that do not show any relationship between the few participants and the larger populace from which a general trend may be gleaned.

    PollBook is a new platform to run polls, debate and vote on topical issues and mobilize support for popular action. It leverages the Internet and New Media to generate public interest in politics especially among the millennials and then translate that interest to actual participation in the ballot and real actions that force policy and change. Replicating the electoral system of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to capture details such as age, gender, religion, political affiliation, educational standard, occupation, state of origin, state of residence etc, it is able to predict a candidate’s chances at the General Elections with more reliable intelligence.

    Currently, voters are restricted to fixed locations on Election Day but the platform is deliberately more inclusive to generate the data required for a sustained and robust political discourse. For the candidates, analysis of the results narrows the field to gain the intelligence required for political strategy and where more reliable data is required, can verify a representative sample of voters through email and phone calls.

    Traditional polls have been long suspected of manipulation because they’re not so transparent with their results, choosing to present them only in vague percentages with no indication of either their sample size or selection criteria. But by creating an online Voters Register and mounting a sustained effort to drive participation, PollBook seeks to demystify polling.

     

    • Eyoma, a pollster wrote vide mfoneyoma@yahoo.com.
  • Topless women storm polling place where Trump was due to vote

    Topless women storm polling place where Trump was due to vote

    Two protesters shouting anti-Trump slogans tore off their tops at the Manhattan polling place where the Republican nominee for president cast his ballot on Tuesday.

    The women, from the feminist activist group Femen, had the phrases “Hate out of polls” and “Trump, grab your balls” written on their bodies, images posted on social media showed.

    The latter phrase was a clear reference to lewd comments made by Trump in 2005 and captured by a hot microphone.

    “I’m automatically attracted to beautiful (women), I just start kissing them.

    “It’s like a magnet, just kiss, I don’t even wait, and when you’re a star they let you do it.

    “You can do anything, grab them by the pussy,” Trump said in the leaked audio that rocked his campaign in October.

    Security officials escorted the two women from the polling site, a Manhattan high school gym and the disruption was over within minutes.

    Trump, who had not yet arrived to cast his ballot, missed the protest.

    Femen, a group of Ukrainian origin, is known for its naked protests around the world.

    On its website, Femen describes itself as “an international women’s movement of brave topless female activists painted with the slogans and crowned with flowers.”

  • Court urged to void INEC’s new polling units

    Court urged to void INEC’s new polling units

    The Federal High Court in Abuja has been urged to nullify the 30,027 new polling units created by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC).

    This forms part of the prayers in a suit filed by three men, Ikogi Joseph, Odumegwu Chinedu and Omotoso Nicholas (who claimed to be indigenes of Bayelsa, Anambra and Ekiti states).

    They also wanted the court to restrain INEC from giving effect to the new polling units. The suit has INEC and the Attorney-General of the Federation (AGF) as defendants.

    It is the plaintiffs’ contention that INEC acted beyond its powers under Section 73 (1) and (2) of the constitution by creating the new polling units.

    They argued that a fresh national population census must first be conducted before new polling units could be created and that since no such census was conducted, the new polling units were illegally created.

    The plaintiffs’ lawyer, Olukayode Olatoke (SAN), raised six questions for the court’s determination. The questions queried the basis for the creation and the legitimacy of the new polling centres announced by INEC.

    The plaintiffs want the court to declare that: “The act of INEC in creating more polling units for the North in utter neglect of the South is discriminatory and against the provision of Section 42 (1) (b) of the 1999 Constitution.”

    Joseph, who deposed a supporting affidavit filed with the originating summons, said INEC, without any basis, increased the number of polling units from 119,973 to 150,000 and allocated same to states.

    He said INEC, without justification, discriminatorily allocated 24,386 polling units to the North out of the 30,027 polling units and allocated the remaining 5,641 to the South.

    Joseph said with the new polling units distribution, the 20 states in the North would have 83,607 polling units, while the 17 states in the South were allocated 66,393 units.

    “I know that in the North, over 500,000 people have died and another 650,000 have been displaced, following the Boko Haram insurgency.

    “I know that most people, who fled from Borno, Bauchi, Yobe, Adamawa, Niger, Kano, Kaduna, Plateau states and Abuja fled to the southern part of the country and Cameroon.”

    He argued that the voting population of the North had reduced by over 20 million due to insurgency.

    Joseph said the fact that many in the North had been forced to relocate to the South implied that the South should have more polling units, while the North should have less.

    “Rather than adding to the number of polling units in the South, INEC removed and closed down many polling units in five states, namely Anambra, Bayelsa, Ekiti, Enugu and Osun.

    “That the formula for the creation of the new polling centre is a ploy for the North to continue to dominate the South.”

    He argued that there was no justification or any development to the voting regime in the North to justify that astrological increase to give advantage of about 14,000 polling units over the South.

    Other relief contained in the originating summons include:

    *A declaration that Section 42 of the Electoral Act, 2010 is not exercisable alone without recourse to Section 73 of the 1999 Constitution as amended;

    *A declaration that INEC could not alter or approve the creation of additional new polling units nationwide in the absence of another national population census after 2011 or any other verifiable and acceptable statistical basis, and;

    *A declaration that the creation of new polling centres without any statistical basis is unconstitutional, null and void.

    INEC and the AGF are yet to respond to the suit filed on September 10.

  • Plateau gets 1,542 new polling units

    Plateau gets 1,542 new polling units

    New 1,542 polling units have been created by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) in Plateau State. Before their creation, the state had 2,631 units.

    The Resident Electoral Commissioner (REC), Mr. Habu Zarma, disclosed this at a stakeholders meeting organised to sensitise the people to the importance of Permanent Voters’ Cards (PVC) in Jos.

    He said: “An additional 1,542 polling units have been allocated to Plateau State. When added to the existing 2,631, it brings the total polling units in the state to 4,173. Additional polling units have become necessary to reduce the likely stress of electioneering process in the 2015 general elections.”

    The REC also said that all plans were underway to ensure the effective distribution of PCVs to registered voters.

    He added: “In the past few months, the commission had distributed PVCs and carried out continuous voters registration in two-third of the states in the country. These are done in phases. States in phase one and two had done theirs. Plateau State is in the third and final phase, which includes 12 states.

    “The distribution of PVCs in Plateau is expected to commence soon and we want all stakeholders to create the awareness to enable citizens have full knowledge of the all-important programme. This is because the commission is committed to credible, free, and fair electioneering process next year.”

    Governor Jonah Jang, who was represented by the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Information and Communications, Mr. Emmanuel Gogwi, said government assist the INEC to succeed in the task.

    Jang said: “We will make sure that every qualified person in the state collects his or her PVC and those who could not register before are registered.”

    He called on local government chairmen to embark on enlightenment campaigns in their domains to avoid disenfranchisement.

    The Chairman of Mangu Local Government Chairman, Mr. Caleb Mutfwang, told reporters that local councils will increase the awareness  so that people can participate actively in the exercise.

  • Jega sparks huge fire with polling units

    Jega sparks huge fire with polling units

    Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) Chairman Prof. Attahiru Jega stirred the hornet’s nest last week when he unveiled additional polling units. The exercise is generating heat, some alleging that it is designed to favour the North to the South’s detriment. It has also brought Jega’s integrity to question. Is he compromised? Should he be sacked as demanded by his critics? Lawyers weigh in with their views, reports ADEBISI ONANUGA.

     The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) Chairman, Prof Attahiru Jega, came under fire  last week when he announced the creation of additional 30,027 polling units nationwide ahead of the 2015 elections. At a news conference in Abuja, Jega said INEC’s decision to re-configure polling units and create additional ones was driven by Nigerians’ collective aspirations to reform and improve upon the electoral process for free, fair, peaceful and credible elections in 2015 and beyond.

    “There is no sectional or parochial agenda in this decision,” he said.

    According to him, the commission used the “2011 post-Automated Fingerprint Identification Software (AFIS) voter register figure of about 70,383,427; and, based on a figure of 500 voters per polling unit, there should be, at least 140,000 polling units in the country.”

    He added that from the exercise, “there is no political advantage to any individual or any party or any region.”                                                                                                                            It is to ease voters’ access to the ballot box in 2015 and beyond; decongest over-crowded polling units and distribute voters evenly.

    More polling units, Jega said, would also reduce voters’ stress in walking long distances to cast their ballot as movement is usually restricted on election day.

    According to him, some polling units in front of private homes were also relocated; some are to be located inside classrooms or such other suitable enclosures, in line with international best practices; splitting large polling units such that they have an average of 500 registered voters; and creating additional polling units to cater for new settlements not serviced by any existing ones.

    The creation of the additional units, based on the powers conferred on INEC by the 2010 Electoral Act, has brought the number of polling units in the country to 150,000. The law states that no polling unit shall have more than 500 voters, compared to past experiences where registered voters in a polling unit are sometimes over 1,000.

     

    How the new polling units are allocated 

     

    A breakdown of the polling units, based on the six geopolitical zones, showed that the commission would allocate 21,615 polling units to the North and 8, 414 to the South. The total figures as further broken down per geopolitical zone are as follows: Northwest, 7,909 polling units; Northcentral, 6, 318; Northeast, 5,291; Southwest, 4,160;  Southsouth, 3,087; and Southeast 1,167.

    The Federal Capital Territory (FCT) will get 1,120 polling units. When broken down further, it showed that Lagos got 2,870, increasing the polling centres in the state to 11,565. Kano came second with 2,053 polling units to bring its number  to 9,809. Kaduna got additional 2,878 polling units, bringing the state’s total to 7,878; Bayelsa got 121 polling units, bringing its number to 1,925.

     

    Criticisms

     

    Since the announcement, Jega and the commission have come under strident criticisms, with some questioning his integrity and calling for his sack. There are complaints that the newly created polling units favoured the three political zones in the North.

    The critics are worried about the timing of the exercise as they suspect that it could be part of a purported design to undermine the South’s chances in next year’s election.

    The Middle-Belt Justice Forun For A Stable United Nigeria, in an advertorial, dissociated its people from the arrangement. In what it called “INEC’S divide and rule (21,000) polling units for North,”  the group said it would not be party to a political plot that will “enslave and decimate our people anymore.”

    Southern elders said Jega has lost his credibility. They called for his removal, saying he was biased in proposing  the polling units.                                                                                                                                                                                 The elders, under the umbrella of the Southern Nigeria Peoples Assembly, queried the rationale behind increasing the polling centres when the number of registered voters has reduced from 70 million to 57 million.

    The pan-Yoruba socio-political group, Afenifere, also rejected the additional 30,000 polling units barely five months to the general elections. They have  passed “a vote of no confidence” in Jega over his ability to conduct a free and fair election next year.

    Its spokesman, Yinka Odumakin said “the imbalance in the distribution is unacceptable.”

    “A war ravaged Northeast where people are fleeing was allocated 5,201 new polling units while the entire Southwest, which is brimming with people, is allocated only 4,160 additional polling units. The entire Southeast was allocated 1,166 new units while FCT alone was allocated 1, 200 units. We do not know of any country in the world where you would change electoral law one year to the election, not to talk of creating additional polling units six months to the election,” the group said.

    But Jega defended his integrity, saying he is not a religious or ethnic jingoist. The need factor, rather than political, he stressed, necessitated the planned distribution of the polling units.

    Jega noted that the criticisms were unjustified, as the initiative was aimed at developing the country. He told reporters that the units would not give political advantage to anybody or  group.

    Jega faulted the critics for focusing on the planned 150,000 polling units rather than considering  their distribution.

    According to him, under the current 120,000 polling units, some states have more polling centres than they should have.

    He noted that it was regrettable that people viewed every national action with suspicion.

    “INEC’s decision to re-configure the structure of polling units and create additional ones is driven by our collective aspirations as Nigerians to reform and improve upon the electoral process for free, fair, peaceful and credible elections next year and beyond. There is no sectional or parochial agenda in this decision and there will never be any such agenda under this commission,” he said.

    Analysts are questioning INEC’s credibility as an umpire in future elections. Their questions are: Are new polling units needed when the number of registered voters is dropping? Who are those going to use the new polling units where people are leaving in droves from, such as in the North? Is the sharing of the new polling units in line with federal character? Is the INEC chairman acting a script? Has Jega, a man known for his integrity, been compromised? Is the clamour for his sack justified?

    Observers are worried about the development and are watching whether Jega would shift ground.

    The Imo State House of Assembly said the creation of the 30,000 polling units was intended to give undue political advantage to the North. In a motion sponsored by the member representing Isiala Mbano  Constituency, Simeon Iwunze, and supported by all members, the lawmakers rejected the additional polling units.

    The House, which resumed sitting after three months’ recess, called on the Federal Government to prevail on INEC to stop the ongoing review of the voters’ register in the state and distribution of the Permanent Voter’s Cards (PVCs) till the polling units were adequately distributed among states, according to the number of registered voters.

     

    Lawyers weigh in

     

    Lawyers, especially those versed in electoral laws, are expressing divergent views.

    Those who spoke include University of Lagos (UNILAG) law teacher and public commentator Wahab Shittu; Constitutional lawyer Ike Ofuokwu; Lagos lawyer Mr Emeka Nwadioke,  Abayomi Omoyinmi, Ikechukwu Ikeji and Yemi Omodele.

    Nwadioke agreed that the creation of additional polling units seemed an after-thought, having not featured in any of the earlier commitments of INEC towards credible elections.

    Nwadioke admitted not being in a position to determine whether Jega has been compromised. To him, the distribution of polling units should not have been done through federal character.  He saw it as  “essentially an operational issue” which must however, be done with utmost transparency.

    According to him, the controversy also begs the question as to whether the political parties were carried along in the run-up to this action.

    To him, it is difficult to determine the utility of the new polling units in the absence of credible data. He argued that in climes where public institutions are more predictable, perhaps Prof. Jega would have been accorded some degree of good faith.

    Omoyinmi , a  member of Ogun State Judicial Service Commission, disagreed with critics of the newly created polling units. He said there is no indication so far that Jega has any ulterior motive and no one is able to prove otherwise thus far. The numbers of registered voters cannot be said to be dropping in view of the fact that so many voters, who were below the voting age in last election election, would obviously be qualified to vote this time around. He said where polling units are created in line with population of eligible voters, which is clear from the past figures that the north has more registered voters than the south, this may have justified Jega’s reason for the creation of new and more polling units in the North and same would ever be controversial even if done in utmost good faith.

    Omoyinmi recalled that it was not long ago after the election of Ekiti and Osun that Jega was given  thumbs-up for jobs well done regardless of the polling units available to voters. He said what was important is the credibility in the conduct of the election. Jega, according to him, has given explanation to the world in response to the suspicion about the creation of the additional polling units in preparartion for the 2015 general election. There is no indication so far that he, Jega, has any ulterior motive; and no one is able to prove otherwise thus far.

    The numbers of registered voters cannot be said to be dropping in view of the fact that so many voters who were below the voting age in last election election would obviously be qualified to vote this time around.

    Shittu and others  however, feel different on the matter.  To Shittu,  INEC ought to avoid needless controversy and suspicions ahead of the 2015. According to him, there is need for INEC to tread softly on the creation of additional polling units. He said whatever the merits of INEC’s arguments with reference to decongesting the polling units and easing the logistics  and challenges  ahead of the elections, the move is controversial for several reasons.

    “Some may consider the move as allegedly an attempt to give the North a political advantage over the South in view of the breakdown of the poliing units involved. Secondly, the introduction of the automated finger identification system by INEC is intended to drastically rduced the incidence of ghost voters, therebyaddressing the issue of congestion of voters.

    Thirdly, the number of registerd voters is now reduced fdrom 73million to 57 million. Therefore how can a reduced voter strtength of 57 million require more polling units of 150,000 as against 119, 973 polling units which previously covered 73 million registered voters. Fourthly, there is no justification for increasing the polling units in the North East whre there is rising incidence of Boko Haram insurgency as against zones in the south where the political climate is relatively stable,” he said.

    Ofuokwu said there can be no justification for this impunity which even members of the commission from other zones find strange  and  curious. “If the truth must be told Prof Attahiru Jega has outlived his usefulness (if any) in INEC. He has requested for and gotten so much more than any of his predecessors have gotten, yet with little to show for it and without been challenged by anyone. He has been given so much freedom and  independence by this administration. This step of creating additional polling units at a time when the numbers of registered voters has dropped is arbitrary and  an impunity designed to achieve a northern agenda. It is a well known fact that the INEC chairman is a well known apostle of a clear agenda to favour the North,” he said.

    Ikechukwu Ikeji said there is no need for additional polling units at this time, “and if indeed it becomes so imperative to establish more units, they ought to be shared at least as equally as possible not the present situation where 80 per cent of new units have been dished out to the northern part of Nigeria.

    “It is no surprise that even the middle belt people, people from the north central zone, have come out to condemn and reject the new structure even where they were beneficiaries of the skewed distribution. “One is at a loss as to the real reasons why INEC did what they did since additional polling units should always be a function of increase in population or intervening exigencies based on human population. Geographical size without human beings cannot be a justifiable ground to create additional polling units”, he stated.

    Ikeji  cannot say for sure if Jega has been compromised or not. “Compromise happens in the dark, but its effects are seen in the actions of the affected person. So, while there may not be evidence of compromise, there are reasons to suspect it.

    “We should all be vigilant and careful. The call for his sack is justified although it may not be exigent given the extent of the preparations for the elections in which he, Jega, is a central figure. He just needs to be called to order and pressure put on him to rescind his new polling units programme,” he said.

    Lagos lawyer, Yemi Omodele, said Jega is an appointee of the PDP government, who takes instructions from the government of the day directly or indirectly.

    “He professes what his masters want. He cannot bite the fingers that feeds him. He wants the incumbent to be returned in 2015 elections and as a political scientist he is strategising ahead of the deal day. He wants a situation whereby the opposition is weak at their strong holds, particularly the northern part of the country, hence, he segregationally and discriminatoril y created poling units.

    To him,  “Jega is from the North, therefore, his decision to create more polling units in the North is to favour his brothers and sisters and his region. It is unfair. He should have done the creation equally without fair or favour on all parts/regions or geo-political zones in Nigeria,” he said.

     

    The way out

     

    Ikeji said it is clear that Jega is playing out a predetermined script but for whom is not yet clear. He should be scrutinised closely to understand where he is heading because his latest actions are unpopular and clearly tilted in favour of a particular region, a region that is desperately bent on regaining presidential power by all means, even violently. “The sharing of the new polling units is clearly against the principle of federal character, which requires the diversities of Nigeria to be taken into cognisance in the distribution of positions and sundry benefits and burdens. This is the intendment of Section 14 (3) of the Constitution of Nigeria 1999, as amended.

    “So, while there may not be evidence of compromise, there are reasons to suspect it. We should all be vigilant and careful. The call for his sack is justified although it may not be exigent given the extent of the preparations for the elections in which he, Jega, is a central figure. He just needs to be called to order and pressure put on him to rescind his new polling units programme,” he advised.

    Nwadioke said this is one case that Jega must clearly address with facts and figures in order to lay to rest the demons unleashed by these grievous charges and assuage the concerns of his critics. “Otherwise, the 2015 Elections would have been severely compromised by a huge credibility deficit even before the first ballot is cast. Jega has a duty to save Nigeria such odious prospect,” he said.

    Omodele said  Jega should have had a wider consultations before jumping into conclusion.

    “He should be careful with his autrances, decisions and polices. His decision in creating more poling units may lead to uproar and confusion. I advise him to hear the voice of the masses and not otherwise.

    “I also state that if he has intergrete, he should resign where and when his appiontors are dictating for him. I say Jega should go. He pretends like a saint, but he is not so though he has made some imparts in the political history of Nigeria. However, he is not perfect. He is not intelligent more than the entire country,” he said.

    Said Shittu: “Jega may be lacking in integrity, but the sensibilities and consciousness of Nigerians across the geo-political zones must be recognised and respected.”

    Ofuokwu  added: “I expected Jega to be able to appreciate what a vote of no confidence implies  and throw in the towel. His northernisation agenda of the top hierarchy of the commission is enough damage that would take years to correct. If the President does not do away with Jega then Jega will do away with him sooner than expected. He should be sacked without delay for bringing the commission to disrepute.”

  • Ekiti 2014: Much ado about polling

    SIR: Due to the culture of relentlessness during political campaigns preceding elections, it could be misleading to go by the results of opinion polls, particularly if you have got two contradicting opinion poll results like in the case of Ekiti State where different opinion polls have trumped up both the PDP and the APC candidates as likely winners of the June 21 governorship election.

    If the recent Abuja-based NOI polls purportedly carried out for an ANAP Foundation had scored PDP’s Ayo Fayose highest, it could have truly served only the interest of the PDP federal government; and you would pardon the Ekiti APC which promptly called it a voodoo opinion survey.

    Ditto could the subsequent opinion poll carried out by the Ekitipanupo Research Group be doubted even by neutral observers, let alone the PDP which might have jumped at condemning it as false.

    While the Labour Party, the Accord Party and the rest have been revealed as trailing far behind by the two opinion poll results, they are still supposed to be fighting hard on the campaign fields to out-stage the PDP and the APC and be able to prove the two surveys wrong.

    While the crowds at the campaign grounds can be deceptive, the frequency and the ease of crowd-pulling can be reassuring, at least, to a prospective winner. So can the enthusiasm of such crowds help a prospective winner in assessing the genuineness of the support being given. The readiness and the massiveness of the people’s participation in promoting a particular candidate can also be a good guide in determining his popularity.

    If you see the popular and up-coming artistes like Yinka Ayefele, Wasiu Ayinde, Sina Peters and several upcoming others like the sensational “new Hubert Ogunde”, staking their reputation to line up and compete to sing-praise a candidate, it could be a good measure of the candidate’s acceptability even if we won’t rule out commercial motives or mere desires to gain limelight behind their competitive participation.

    There is only one candidate who enjoys such robust, massive and rousing supports in Ekiti State today and he is the incumbent. He is the only one too whose political party has been attracting teeming defection from the opposition parties in the calibres of a former governor, former commissioners, a former assembly member, a current assembly member and former  local government party chairmen, to mention only the leading figures.

    If an ex-senator has also decamped to the opposition party, the monarch of the ex-senator’s town was to, shortly after, declare the incumbent as the “Awo of our time”, as if to decry the ex-senator’s defection.

    If the obvious variables above would not be enough to guide us towards the direction the votes would go, come June 21, the current advertised denial of the Labour Party in Ekiti State, that it entered into a joint action arrangement to vote-in another party’s candidate for “a first four year term” would confirm to us the true positions of the three visible candidates in the race.

    The PDP and the Labour Party had been the apparent partners of a sort from the onset with the PDP donating one of its former lawmakers to Labour Party as party chairman without formally defecting from PDP to Labour party.

    The Labour Party’s current radio denial has, no doubt, revealed the PDP’s fear of defeat;  the fear that had apparently led the party to wanting to activate a working agreement which Labour Party was however no longer willing to honour so as to “govern in the second term”.

    If opinion surveys would confuse us, this advertised denial by the Ekiti Labour Party which reveals a panicky attempt to resort to practically fusing the PDP and the Labour Party would convince us that the two parties should come behind the APC in the 2014 gubernatorial race.

    That is what to expect.

     

    • Jide Oguntoye,

    Oye-Ekiti

  • Soldier voids vote of polling unit

    A soldier voided the vote of Polling Unit 7, Ward 2 of Igbotako in Okitipupa LGA.

    Labour Party members insisted the vote will not be counted and they began throwing stones and beating up ACN and PDP members.

    During accreditation, the polling officers made a mistake while counting the number of accredited voters. They counted 244. While voting was ongoing, the polling officer discovered that some people who came for accreditation had their thumb marked, but their names were not ticked on the list.

    This mistake was reported to all the three parties’ agents, who agreed that voting should continue. At the end of voting, 254 voted.

    Labour Party agent flared up, insisting the vote must be cancelled. He denied ever being informed of any mistake. The Presiding Officer said the vote should be counted while any complaints should be written on the form provided for party agents. All entreaties by law enforcement agents and two other party agents to allow the vote be counted were met with strong refusal.

    An Army officer declared the vote void when threats of violence were growing beyond control, a decision that drew chants from Labour Party supporters.

    Consequently, the results from other polling units were not announced as expected.