Tag: Presidential elections

  • Different strokes for different states

    As Nigerians troop out for the presidential and National Assembly elections today, the mood across the country is mixed. Caution is the word as many gauge the mood of the nation on a daily basis in order to know how to respond to any situation.

    Findings made by The Nation across the country indicate that the political mood within the states and local government areas tend to shape individuals’ moods and expectations from the elections. This informs the rather different moods of the people in different states as the nation prepares to elect its leader in the next four years.

    All calm in Lagos

    Since the advent of the Fourth Republic, Lagos State has been a fortress for progressive politics, save the emergence of the late Chief Michael Otedola of the defunct National Republican Convention (NRC) as the governor of the state in the short-lived Third Republic after profiting from internal squabble in the camp of the progressives.

    Since then, the state has returned to the progressives’ fold and has been the bulwark for progressive politics. Most Lagosians interviewed saw no need for any special arrangements as vehicular movement would only be restricted for one day.

    “Nothing dey happen (nothing is happening) It is just elections and nothing else. The mood is the same in most parts of the state,” said a Lagosian, Mr. Sikiru Anjorin.

    No thoughts for IPOB’s sit-at-home order in Anambra

    As the people of Anambra State prepare to cast their votes today, there is no sign of panic whatsoever. In fact, some of the state’s residents who spoke with The Nation believe that the so-called pre-election hype is a normal phenomenon.

    The purported sit-at-home order issued by the indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), may not work as the residents did not appear to be giving it any consideration.

    Asked whether they were stockpiling food items or making withdrawals from banks on account of the tension created by IPOB’s directive, respondents told The Nation there was no need for such. A petty trader at the Eke Awka Market, Ebere Uzochukwu, an indigene of Abia State, said he registered to vote in his state but would not be travelling home to vote for people he said would not remember him at the end of the day. For Amaka Ezimora, who hails from Enugu State but lives in Onitsha, whoever God had destined to win would win, even as she implored the government to reduce the sufferings in the land.

    It was, however, observed that many eligible voters in the state were yet to obtain their PVCs in Anambra State, while some who did said they were not ready to cast their votes for anybody, asking, “The one we voted before, have we benefitted anything?”

     

    IPOB’s threat real in Abia, other South East states

    Unlike Anambra, the calls by the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) on the people of Abia State to boycott today’s elections may have yielded some fruits in Abia State, with disclosure by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) that about a quarter of the two million registered voters in the state were yet to collect their permanent voter cards (PVCs).

    Abia State Resident Electoral Commissioner (REC) of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Joseph Ilo, said that more than 500,000 of the 2 million registered voters in the state had not collected their PVCs a few days to the elections.

    Ilo, represented by Achibie Chigozie, the Head of Department of Voter Education and Publicity disclosed this in Umuahia, the Abia State capital at a conference organised by Inter-Party Advisory Council (IPAC) to sensitise the Abia electorate ahead of the 2019 general elections with the theme, ‘Towards evolving a sustainable and responsible leadership culture in Abia State.’

    According to the pro-Biafra group, today was marked out as a day for Biafran referendum in Biafra land.

    The Pro-Biafra group warned that anybody who disobeyed the order and came out would have him or herself to blame as such a person would be regarded and treated as someone who disobeyed the directives to vote against the realization of the independent state of Biafra.

     

    Deltans stockpile essentials in preparation for polls

    Residents of Delta State are making provisions in case of election or post-election crisis. The Delta State government, not willing to leave anything to chance, has declared that schools will break from February 13-18 and February 26-March 4 respectively to allow for hitch-free polls.

    But many who fear that the elections could be crisis ridden have started making contingency plans among which is stockpiling foodstuffs.

    But some others are optimistic that the elections will be violence free, hence they are not under pressure to make contingency plans.

    An Asaba resident, Mr. Tony Efe, a father of five, wants Deltans to support INEC to deliver elections that will be peaceful and credible. He said he was not under pressure to stockpile essential commodities in anticipa tion of election crisis.

    He said: “I believe that those in authority should be supported in their mandate to deliver a free and fair election. Everyone is watching them. The electoral umpire cannot afford to fail Nigerians.”

    Another resident, Mr. Jake Aimuan, said the widespread apprehension was premised on the fear that there might undesirable reaction as a result of the presidential election.

    He said he had stocked his home with non-perishable food items.

    His words: “There is fear of possible undesirable reaction from the presidential polls which might disrupt commercial activities. The implication is that prices might go up as traders will find it difficult to open for business.”

    Aimuan said he would ensure that he has enough money during the weekend, adding that banks are known to run out of cash during festive periods.

    Mr. Joshua Okpanefe, a civil servant, says he has concluded plans to stockpile food items and keep large amount of cash at home, adding that he had already bought fuel for his vehicle.

    Mrs. Debby Oyowe said that her family would stock up food items and make arrangements to hold cash in case of any eventuality.

    Her words: “I am a little bit apprehensive about the coming polls. I have decided to stock up on foodstuffs. This is just contingency plan should there be anything untoward.”

     

    Residents stockpile food as tension grips Rivers

    Residents of Port Harcourt, Rivers State are feeling a sense of insecurity in the build-up to today’s elections and have resorted to stockpiling food items and making provisions for sufficient fuel such that there would be no reason for them to leave their homes after casting their votes.

    Gilbert Okoro, a businessman and tiles dealer, said: “I am not very interested in this election because it looks as if it will be bloody, especially with what is happening in Rivers State now; I mean the APC and PDP tussle. I have already made plans on how to play safe.”

    Asked how he plans to play safe, he said: “First of all, I will bring my children back from school. Three of my eldest children are in boarding school. I will bring them back home by Thursday so that they will remain at home until after the presidential election.

    “After that, I will buy everything we will need in the house for the whole weekend and buy enough fuel for my generator, so that nothing will take me out of the house the whole of the weekend.

    “I want to make sure that my house is secured, because whatever happens, the election will still hold. So, I will play my part well and wait for the rest.

    “The good thing is that my polling unit is just in the compound where I stay. So if the environment is rowdy, I will not bother coming out.

    “We don’t know what this election is coming with, so I will protect my family first and allow God do the rest.”

    For Nyeche Owhonda, a land agent, his wife will not vote because of the already existing political tension in the state.

    “I don’t have any plans. If that day comes, I will cast my vote and wait for the results. But my wife is not going to vote on that day. She will have to stay at home with the children.

    “I will make sure she finishes everything and anything that will bring her out that day. She will cook and make everything available for the children.”

    As for Mrs. Judith Echeche, a mother of two, the safety of her family matters more than the election. She will ensure that the two lads never step outside the house throughout the event, as their food and upkeep for the period will not be an issue.

    She said: “For that day, my husband has already fixed our faulty generator. With that, I can assure you that my children and I will not step out of the house. I will buy enough food and biscuits for them.

    “What I will need to do now is to ensure that I get good kiddies song CDs and others to keep them busy until the day goes by. As for my husband, he is a man and he knows what to do.”

    It is not different with a female primary school teacher identified simply as Joyce. For her, it is a day of good rest, which should be well utilised.

    “I am not going to vote for anybody on that day, so I am not making any plan for the day.

    “There is too much tension and power tussle in the country and the state in particular, so I don’t want to get involved. I will just stay in my house, sleep and wash my clothes. Nothing more.

    “However, I advise those who would want to participate to be careful and stay out of trouble.”

     

    Election blues in Kano

    As the political headquarters of the North, and indeed, one of the major deciding states in terms of the presidential election, the ancient commercial city is in the grip of election fever. Tension is rife in the state in the aftermath of last Sunday’s presidential campaign rally of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) which led to pockets of violence in the state. Houses were burnt, cars smashed while there were serial attacks on the residences of some political figures.

    Innocent citizens were not also spared in the ugly development as miscreants and political thugs took advantage of the situation to unleash terror on residents, snatching cell phones; picking people’s pockets and stabbing whoever resisted their demands.

    Last Sunday, thugs suspected to be loyal to the PDP allegedly attacked the home of the state chairman of the All Progressive Congress (APC), Alhaji Abdullahi Abbas, where cars were smashed and the children were also maimed with severe machete cuts. In what looked like a reprisal, another set of thugs allegedly attacked the home of the governorship candidate of the PDP, Alhaji Abba Yusuf, burning parts of his building.

    Apart from these, pockets of attacks were also recorded across the state as jobless youths moved about with dangerous weapons, harassing innocent pedestrians. The PDP office was also reportedly torched. Hate speeches have continued to rent the air as rival parties threaten fire and brimstones. The rising tension, expectedly, put fear and apprehension in residents, especially the non-natives, some of whom have engaged in panic travelling as a result of distress calls from their home states.

    Speaking with The Nation, Mrs. Ijeoma Uwakwe, who was sighted at New Road Luxury Bus Park, ready to travel to the South East with her children, said she was forced to engage in the unplanned journey due to several calls she had received from the village.

    She said: “My brother, it is life first before wealth. I prefer to go back to my home state and starve there than stay in Kano and die as a result of this election. You are aware of what is happening in town. Since they have started this way now, who knows what will happen after the elections?”

    Another traveller, Mr. Adeola Oyetunde, recalled how he lost his wife in the 2015 post-election violence, saying: “I came back here to Kano because of the contract I was executing before that ugly incident. The death of my wife is still fresh in my memory. The atmosphere is already becoming tense. I have to run before it is too late. After the elections if nothing happens, I may come back.

    Checks carried out at the markets also revealed that residents engaged in panic purchase of goods, particularly foodstuffs whose prices had also skyrocketed. There are also visible queues in ATM stands as residents are seen withdrawing money in preparation for the unknown.

    However, the Kano State Commissioner of Police, Mr. Mohammed Waziri has cautioned politicians against instigating violence, warning that anyone found breaking the law would be made to face the wrath of the law, no matter how highly placed.

    According to him, already, 50 persons have been arrested for arson, thuggery and other election-related offences. Wakili pledged his preparedness to ensure a safe environment before, during and after the general election, adding that politicians and political parties participating in the exercise should play by the rules, as the police will ensure fair and equal treatment to all.

    According to him, “we will not allow a few people among us to operate as if there are no laws. We will not allow them to operate as if Kano is a jungle. We will not allow what happened on Sunday (10 February) to repeat itself. The position of the law in brandishing and carrying arms and dangerous weapons during political rallies, electioneering campaigns, elections and even ordinary days, is clear, and at all times, the law is in place.”

    The Emir of Kano, Muhammad Sanusi II, has expressed dismay over the recent political unrest which led to several bloody attacks on innocent residents by hoodlums in the state. Addressing Journalists at his palace on Tuesday, Sanusi, who frowned at the resurgence of political thuggery in the state, called on the security agencies to live up to their responsibilities in curbing the ugly trend

    According to him, the resurgence of political thuggery calls for immediate concerns in the state. The Emir said the state is not at war and therefore, “we should not rise on to each other’s throats in the name of politics. We should avoid shedding the blood of innocent citizens and wanton destructions of lives and properties.”

    However, the Ethnic Community Leaders Association, Kano State (ECLAK) has made a clarion call, urging non-indigenes to remain in the state and perform their civic responsibilities as adequate measures have been taken to ensure security of lives and property during and after the 2019 general elections. In a Press Statement signed by ECLAK President-General, Dr. Jimoh Patrick Jimpat Aiyelanbge, ECLAK charged all members of ethnic communities’ registered voters resident in Kano to go out en mass and vote candidates of their choice during the general election.

     

    Niger residents in relaxed mood amid security beef-up

    In Minna, Niger State capital, most residents are relaxed about today’s elections and are not anticipating possible outbreak of violence. A resident, Samuel Yisa, said: “Well, my PVC is handy and I’m trusting God to see Saturday 16th February, 2019 to perform my civic duty as a citizen.

    “There is no need for me to rush to the market for any emergency purchase because the election is just for a day and the next day, I am optimistic that the markets will re-open on Sunday”

    Another resident, Valda Martins, believes God is in control: “Hmm! Saturday (today) election? God will have his way. I pray people go out to vote instead of going to sell their freedom and well-being for a token of 500 or 1000 naira.

    “I am not making any plans to withdraw more money than I need or making extra buys because I am not expecting any form of violence. We have been praying for peace and the Prince of Peace will make the exercise peaceful.

    “I have not voted before, but this time around, I intend to vote. I don’t think there will be any violence of any kind. So far, the campaigns have been peaceful, so why won’t the elections be peaceful?”

    Also speaking in the same vein, Mohammed Lawal, a resident of Minna, said: “I do not see any need for last minute purchases or withdrawals. And regarding security, I have confidence in INEC’s preparation and security arrangements. I have located my voter’s card, identified my polling station and sensitised friends on need to vote with advice on following guidelines on voting. I have also prayed and committed all things to the hands of God.”

    Niger State Command of the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) disclosed that 2,250 of its officers would be deployed across the state for today’s elections.

    The state Commandant of the Corps, Mr. Philip Ayuba, also said the command would deploy plain clothe operatives in all the polling units in the 25 council areas of the state to that effect. He said the state is not known for electoral violence, but they would not take chances as efforts were being made to ensure the state does not encounter any election violence during and after the elections.

    Also, the Niger State Police Command vowed to deal decisively with any person or group of persons found disrupting the Presidential election.

    Apprehension in Benue

    There is palpable fear of violence in Markudi, Benue State capital. Many residents who spoke with our correspondent vowed to remain indoors today.

    A trader in Wurukum Market in Makurdi, Mrs Kate Emmanuel, told The Nation that since the market would be closed in the morning, she would stay indoor until the result was announced.

    She said: “I have stocked my kitchen with enough food because the political actors are talking tough and I’m afraid there would be violence. So I will remain in my house until the results are announced.”

    At Modern Market located on Naka-Adoka Road, a civil servant, Paul Adakole, who was seen buying foodstuffs, expressed fear that there might be outbreak of violence because most of the politicians are seeking second term in office.

    “There is anxiety and tension in this election because the incumbent wants to win at all cost. So on the election day, I will vote and rush home to be with my family,” said Adakole.

    Adakole said also that he had stocked enough food for his family in case of violence. He appealed to the politicians to caution there followers to play according to the rules.

     

    Concerns in Imo over IPOB’s threats

    Political parties and the electorate in Imo state are eager to participate in today’s elections. This much can be seen in their level of preparation. For the political parties, it has been a beehive of activities as they crisscross the length and breadth of the state canvassing for votes and making last-minute preparations to secure their votes, while the electorate are making desperate efforts to ensure that they collect their Permanent Voter Cards (PVCs).

    Major politicians and candidates participating in the election are in last-minute push to beat the deadline to end political campaigns, while most public schools will be shutting down from Thursday, 48 hours to the election.

    Security operatives have also stepped up preparations to ensure hitch free exercise. There is increased police visibility at various places regarded as flashpoints.

    Meanwhile the general mood in the state is devoid of the usual anxiety that precedes general elections. The people are going about their duties without any form of fear.

    But one major concern is the renewed campaign by members of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) for people to boycott the election. Already, no fewer than three persons have been killed in pockets of clashes between the Biafra agitators and security agencies. Even though the Police has assured voters of adequate security during the election, the IPOB threat is a source of concern for the electorate.

    A voter, Chief Ukanwa Michael, who spoke with The Nation in Owerri during an interactive session organised for the electorate in Imo State by the Inter Party Advisory Council (IPAC), said: “We are eager to cast our votes on Saturday. We are also satisfied with the preparations by INEC and security operatives.”

    Would be voters who spoke with our correspondent also expressed their readiness to vote in Saturday’s election.

    Meanwhile the State Resident Electoral Commissioner, Prof. Francis Ezeonu, has reassured the voters that the Commission will ensure a level playing ground.

    Plateau voters enthusiastic

    Residents of Plateau State, particularly Jos, are set for today’s elections. The enthusiasm to participate in the final processes of the election is very high.

    However, some of the residents are apprehensive that there could be trouble as a result of the election. Such feelings in some quarters does not reflect the minds of the majority. Only a few number of residents are nursing such fears.

    Some residents spoken to Terminus Market spoke their minds. One of them, Mrs. Dominic Aboh, said: “Yes, I’m buying foodstuffs ahead of the election. It is not for fear of the unknown; it is because you know it’s a routine that there is no movement on election day. So you have to buy ahead of that day so that you will have no reasons to go out and look for things to buy.

    “Of course there will be no market on that day. So, it is good to buy all you need for that day. If not, hunger will teach you a lesson.

    “You know that voting falls into weekend. The next day would be Sunday. So it is going to be two days off the market. That is why I’m buying foodstuffs ahead. I don’t have any fear that there will be trouble after the election.”

    Another resident, Michael Ozor, said there are fears of the unknown because of the two heavyweights involved in the presidential election, but nothing will happen. “Some people exercised such fear in 2015 but nothing happened. So, for me, I don’t have any fear in mind at all. The election is going to be peaceful,” he said.

    My Daniel Izang, a miner, said: “If there is any fear of violence during the election, there fear could be elsewhere, not in Plateau State, because there is no record of electoral violence in the state. The conduct of national election in Plateau State has always been peaceful, so I expect this one to also be peaceful. But some people who are naturally cowards are exercising fear. I don’t think such fear exists.”

    A taxi driver, Abel Ashom, said: “I have confidence that nothing will happen in this election because the two presidential candidates have carried out their rallies in Jos peacefully. Since their supporters did not clash, they will not clash during the elections. It’s going to be peaceful in Plateau State”

  • Senator hails INEC over 2019 election timetable

    Senator hails INEC over 2019 election timetable

    Chairman, Senate Committee on Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Senator Mohammed Ali Ndume, Wednesday commended the electoral umpire for starting ahead of time to prepare for the 2019 general elections in the country.

    Ndume told reporters in Abuja that he was fully in support of the election time table as released by INEC.

    The time table showed that National Assembly and Presidential elections would hold on February 16, 2019.

    Ndume said, “By the normal time table, elections are held in the first quarter, so I think that INEC is doing the right thing by setting out a target for elections so that they can be well prepared ahead. I don’t know what the anxiety is about but I know that is the Nigerian attitude. If you do something early, they say it is too early; if you do it late, they say it is late. I don’t know, but saying that elections are going to hold in the first quarter is not a big deal.

    “I want to actually commend INEC for starting ahead of time and I will support it fully. We had election that was widely acceptable in the country and we are hoping that we are going to have a credible election in 2019 and I am glad to be part of it. If nothing is done about the 2019 election, definitely the election will be haphazard.”

    The Borno South lawmaker noted that when he took over as the chairman of the Senate Committee on INEC, he encouraged INEC to start preparing for the 2019.

    ‘When I looked at the budget of the INEC, I discovered that there was no provision for the 2019 election. I advised them to make provision for the 2019 election so that such items that are not sensitive and not perishable can be procured in time. It is not good for us to wait until a day or two to the election then we start running helter-skelter for the materials such as the data capture machine or other thing that should be in place,” he said.

    He noted that whether there were resident electoral commissioners in the states or not is not the work of INEC.

    According to him, resident electoral commissioners are not the people that conduct election “but “it is INEC that conducts election.”

    He added, “Let me say this’ you journalists are contributing majorly to the problems that Nigeria has because you try to create problem or anxiety where there is none. Nigerians are not questioning why INEC released the time table but you people for whatever reason are questioning it. I don’t think that what INEC did is wrong; it is right, it is a welcome development, it should be encouraged and people should commend them for doing that.”

    He said that INEC was already preparing a budget estimate of what it will cost to procure materials for the 2019 elections.

    “In fact, that is what delayed our budget presentation to the Appropriations Committee. The Committee agreed that INEC should bring estimate of their expenditure for 2019 election so that it will be provided.

    “For instance, if it is provided in 2017, it will be set aside to procure non-sensitive and non-perishable items that they will use. Then in 2018, the balance provision for 2019 will be made available.

    “Once this money is made available, INEC will access it through the CBN because by the time 2019 election will be conducted, budget may be before the National Assembly for consideration. So, where do you get the money to do it if you don’t make the provision and preparation right now?” he asked.

    Ndume said that he believed that INEC wanted to improve on what had been done before “and all encouragement and support should be given to them. So, let’s give them a chance.”

    He noted that if the Electoral Act is passed, it will also help to improve the conduct of the elections of 2019.

    He said, “Most importantly, I know that the President and this government is determined to conduct a credible election because it is the government that has been shouting that the election was not credible and truly elections were not credible except the last one that met minimum acceptability. And since this government is determined to conduct election and not selection or allocation as has been previously done, then we hope that we will have a credible election.

    “For the Senate, we only have two clauses left to conclude the amendment of the Electoral Act. We have gone very far. In fact, I can say that I am the one that slowed the committee down because we have to do it together with the House and the executive has formed a Committee under the chairmanship of Nnamani, so let us work together in order to come up with generally acceptable reform that take care of some of the loopholes.

    “This government cannot afford to put in place anything that is less than what we had. We have a standard election that was conducted; we only need to improve on it.

     

  • How next U.S. president will emerge

    How next U.S. president will emerge

    Many democracies across the world are fashioned to reflect the United States (U.S.) presidential model. How many of those democracies have constitutional technicalities that almost made the U.S. presidential system a flawless model?

    Presidents and Vice Presidents are elected by popular votes in a presidential system. But, the U.S. model is complex. According to the U.S. Constitution, America’s presidents and vice presidents are not elected by citizens’ votes alone. After the popular votes, the contenders for the U.S. presidency will need to go for another election at the Electoral College.

    Electoral College, as the name may have implied, is not an institution, but a group of representatives (electorals) from all the federating states. America’s founding fathers ostensibly foresaw a situation where an unpopular candidate may find his way into the White House. “American founding fathers feared the rule of the mob and feared about democracy,” John Zogby, a renowned pollster, said of the Electoral College.

    Zogby, senior partner at John Zogby Strategies, said the purpose behind Electoral College as is to give every constituency an opportunity to have input in the selection of who becomes occupant of the White House. He said it is a form of check and balance in the electoral process to prevent election of a “dangerous candidate”.

    In the U.S., there is a total 538 Electoral College votes. This number is determined according to constituencies represented in the Congress. The representatives of these constituencies may automatically become the electorals or each party may nominate loyal members as electorals.

    Each state has two senators. Membership of the House of Representatives is varied, because it is based on population and size of a constituency.

    For any candidate to be elected president or vice president, he must garner 270 majority out of 538 Electoral College vote.

    Does that mean the popular vote is meaningless?

    Winning popular votes during the presidential election is not enough to declare a candidate as winner, but it puts such candidate in a position to win the Electoral College votes of the state. For a candidate to win electoral votes in a state, he has to win the state during presidential election.

    In his analysis, Zogby said: “New York State, for instance has 29 Electoral College votes. A candidate does not have to win the majority of the popular votes to win New York; if that person just wins the total votes cast, that person gets the full 29 electoral votes. It is the same way in almost every state. There are couples of states that are different, such as Nebraska and Maine. It is because they are very small states.”

    How Electoral College works

    Traditionally, Republican and Democratic parties put together a slate of electorals in each state. These are loyal members and people that could be counted on to support their candidates. According to the U.S. Constitution, one month after the presidential election is held, the electorals of the winning party in each state go to the state capital to cast their Electoral College votes for the president and vice president.

    Each electorals will cast ballots for the president and do the same for the vice president. This is regarded as the official election to the U.S. presidency.

    Can any electoral change his mind?

    There is possibility an electoral may change his mind and vote against the party’s directive. Although, the electorals are chosen on the basis of long time loyalty to the party and trust, but America’s founding fathers wanted in the system to run a final check and ensure Americans did not elect somebody too dangerous.

    The electorals are deemed as responsible people and can ultimately make the decision on behalf of their constituencies.

    Zogby said: “It is impossible that electorals may go to the state capital to cancel out that state’s votes. This has not happened, but individual electorals vote according to their conscience. When people cast popular votes on election day, they vote for candidates in each party as a single ticket.

    “But, electorals, technically, will cast two different ballots. It is technically possible to elect the president from one party and vice president from another party. It depends on who each party chooses as electorals in the first place.”

  • Famous elections and today’s presidential elections

    It  is difficult  not  to tremble at  the prospects  of today’s presidential  election given  the truculence  of the campaign leading to  today  and  the no  love lost political  combat between  the two political  gladiators and their  political  parties. For  the two major  presidential  contestants namely  President  Goodluck  Jonathan seeking  relection  and his challenger retired General  Mohammadu Buhari one  can say  that  indeed  the sky  is  cast.  Like  the famous  Roman  Emperor Julius  Caesar said  to the Soothsayer  who warned  him about the Ides of March that  it  has come, one  can recall  the soothsayer’s  famous retort that the    indeed the ides of  March  has come today March  28, but  it has not gone.  Given that perspective    from that famous  Shakespeare  play  Julius Caesar, today  is    therefore  Nigeria’s  longest  day  and for  now  one  can  only pray  that it ends well  with  a free  and fair  election. And    certainly        not  like  the tragedy  that claimed  the  great Caesar  when  his friends and colleagues murdered him at the steps  of the Capitol  and carved him out with  their daggers  like  a ‘dish  fit  for  the gods‘ on  the  Ides  of March  as predicted by the  Soothsayer. So  firstly  I pray  that today’s  election will  not  be  Nigeria’s  Ides  of  March.

    Secondly  there  is palpable  apprehension  and  anxiety  in the land over  today’s  election and  again  one  must  go back to ancient Rome and  the wicked arena where gladiators  fight lions  and wild animals  to  death to  capture  the  mood  of the nation today.  In those  dark days and in such bloody  spectacle  applauded  loudly  by the Roman  mobs in the arena  the  gladiators saluted  those enjoying  and awaiting their demise by  saying  – We  who  about  to die  salute  you.  Nowadays  no  presidential  candidate is expected  to  say    or  anything  near it    in modern,  civilized politics. But given  the vitriol  of  the  language  and hatred  of the campaign leading  to today’s  presidential  election,  worse have  been said  one way  or the other.

    It  is in this  mood on a  day that will  not wait but  must  yield an election  result  that  hope fully  will  be peaceful  and acceptable that  I  share some insights  and thoughts  on some  past elections that have been  momentous  and historical  given  their context  of  controversy similar  to  what we are witnessing in today’s  presidential elections. The  first  is the  reelection of the 33rd  US President  Harry  Truman when  he defeated his opponent  John  Dewey unexpectedly  and unbelievably  too given  the popularity  of  Dewey in those days. The second    was  the 1979 presidential  elections in  Nigeria  in  which  President  Shehu Shagari  of the NPN  defeated Chief  Obafemi  Awolowo  of  the UPN in an election  midwifed  by the  Military  regime  of former  General Olusegun  Obasanjo  which was  following  the global  trend  then  of military  dictatorships  handing over power  to elected  civilian democracies. The  third was  the election  of the  43rd president of the US  George  Bush Jnr in 2000 when  he defeated Bill  Clinton’s Vice  President  Al  Gore in  a close finish presidential  election decided  by the Florida  recount.

    Starting with the re election  of Harry  Truman  in  1948  what  I found  fascinating  was a picture of  the re elected  president  in an encyclopedia  holding    a newspaper  with  the headline ‘Dewey Wins‘  when  in  fact  Dewey  lost  the  election. The  story  was that the newspaper in  question  was so certain  of  Dewey’s victory  that it  printed  and circulated its  night  edition  whereas overnight  and after  full  counting it was Harry  Truman that  won the election  and  got  elected. Truman had before that election been appointed  Vice  President by President  Franklin  Delano Roosevelt who  died  in  1945.  Truman  completed  the Second  World  War victoriously, dropped  the atomic bomb  on  Hiroshima  and Nagasaki in  Japan  and started  the  reconstruction  of Europe after the  war    with  the  Marshall  Plan.

    The  second  famous  election  was the election  of President  Shehu Shagari  who  defeated Chief  Obafemi  Awolowo  in  an election in which  the UPN  sage  refused  to  accept  the  result because  many Nigerians  thought  he won. The  reasons  were  not far fetched. The military  umpire  and  then  Head of State  had said earlier that the best runner  may  not win the race and it was obvious to  any  or all Nigerians  that the best  runner then  and ever since in  Nigerian politics is the great  Awo  who  remains  immortal  in terms of the standards and insight  he brought to politics and governance  in Nigeria. Indeed at a ceremony  to meet the contestants after the disputed election  conducted by the military junta of Obasanjo Chief Awolowo was  pictured with a bandaged  hand  which  prevented him from shaking  hands  with  the purported  winner  of the 1979 election  Alhaji  Shehu  Shagari.  The  announced  loser  in that election Chief  Awolowo  later  told young  Nigerians then  that ‘some of you  will not see democracy in your life time‘. That  has proven very prophetic  given the type  of democracy  we have grown for  ourselves  leading to today’s  do or die election that  gives one the goose  pimples  just  thinking  of the aftermath of  the election  results.

    The  third  famous election to  muse  over and pass  the day  today was that of the election of George  Bush as the 43rd  US  president.

    That  result  too  was close and  unexpected because  Al  Gore  had done well as Bill Clinton’s  Vice  President  for two  terms  of eight years. Clinton  had been a popular  president in spite of the Monica Lewinsky  scandal  that  marred  his administration. What ultimately  ruined  Al  Gore’s  chances  of succeeding him was the decision by the Al  Gore  Campaign team  to distance itself  from the Clinton era  because  of the Lewinsky  scandal a decision which turned  out  to be a  mis judgement  because  the American  public had  not  only  forgiven  Clinton but it was enraptured  with his charisma. Avoiding  Clinton  and going solo  cost Al  Gore the presidency  in that election which was  highly  controversial and in which at first Al  Gore refused  to concede  defeat. George  Bush was lucky in that the last state results came from Florida where his brother  was governor  and the recount favored  Bush  predictably.

    Even  then  Bush  had to claim  victory      based  on  a  upreme Courta  decision  which  also  favored George  Bush. In  effect  then  we  can see  that there have  been many antecedents  of the  electoral  process we  confront  today  and in spite  of the problems they faced issues  were  resolved  peacefully and  the electoral  verdict  stood  as announced and  accepted at the end  of the day. That  is all we  need at the end  of the day  today as  I wish  Nigerians  happy  voting in this March 28  presidential elections.

  • Presidential elections: A writer beckons on history

    Except the August 6, 1983 Presidential election, every Presidential election in Nigeria has ended in the courts. That of August 11, 1979 was worse.

    On August 15, 1979, the returning officer in the Presidential election, Chief Fredrick Louis Menkiti, announced the results of the Presidential election. In the results, Alhaji Shehu Shagari of the NPN scored 5,668,857 votes while Chief Obafemi Awolowo (1909-1987) of the UPN scored 4,916,951 votes; Dr. Nnamdi Azikwe (1904-1996) of the NPP scored 2,822,523; Alhaji Aminu Kano (1920-1983) garnered 1,732,113 votes; and Alhaji Ibrahim Waziri had 1,686,489 votes. After the results were announced, Chief Awolowo challenged the results with Chief Abraham Adesanya as his lead counsel while Chief Richard Osuolale Abimbola Akinjide defended Alhaji Shehu Shagari.

    I covered the tribunal and the Supreme Court judgment for The Punch newspaper thirty-six years ago. At the Supreme Court, delivered just few days before the new government’s inauguration, Justice Kayode Esho (1925-2012) gave the minority judgment in favour of Chief Awolowo, while the majority judgment was delivered by Mr. Justice Atanda Fatai Williams (1918-2002), in favour of Alhaji Shehu Shagari.

    But in the August 6, 1983 Presidential election, it was a different ball game; Alhaji Shehu Shagari scored 12,081,471 votes while Chief Obafemi Awolowo scored 7,902,209 votes; Dr. Nnamdi Azikwe got 3,557,113 votes; Alhaji Aminu Kano got 968,974 votes  while Alhaji Waziri Ibrahim of the Great Nigeria People’s Party (GNPP) scored 646,806 votes. Mr. Tunji Braithwaite of the Nigerian Advance Party scored 271,524. Chief Obafemi Awolowo decided not to challenge the result insisting that if Nigerians needed him they know where to find him. He thereafter settled in Ikenne his hometown and on May 9 1987, he answered the final call. In the words of Thomas Jefferson “I have no ambition to govern men. It is a painful and thankless office”.

    In the February 27, 1999 Presidential election, Chief Olusegun Aremu Okikiola Obasanjo of the Peoples Democratic Party had 18,738,154 votes as against that of Chief Olu Falae of the Alliance for Democracy who scored 11,110,287 votes. Chief Falae did not accept the result of the election. The regime of General Abdul-salami Abubakar who wanted to quit government in time had to summon the traditional ruler of the Akure Kingdom where Chief Falae comes from, Kabiyesi Adebobajo Adesida, then Deji of Akure to Abuja to persuade Chief Falae to withdraw the suit. He refused and for his refusal till today both General Obasanjo and Chief Falae are not on speaking terms. The enmity between both men still lingers.

    On the April 19, 2003 election, General Olusegun Obasanjo scored 24,456,140 votes while Major General Muhammadu Buhari scored 12,710,022 votes and the late Ikemba of Nnewi, Chief Chukemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu of the All Progrssive Grand Alliance (APGA) had 1,297,445 votes; Jim Nwobodo of the UNPP scored 169,609 votes while Chief Gani Fawehinmi of the Conscience Party of Nigeria had 161,333 votes. Sarah Jubrin of the Progressive Action Congress scored 157,560 votes just as General Ike Nwachukwu of National Democratic Party garnered 132,197 votes. Chris Okotie of Justice Party got 109,547 votes; Alhaji Balarabe Musa of the Redemption Party equally got 100,765 votes while Arthur Nwankwo of People’s Mandate got 57,720 votes. Emmanuel Okereke of All People Liberation Party scored 26,921 votes; Kalu Idika Kalu of the New Nigeria People’s Party scored 23,830 votes and Alhaji Muhammadu Dikko Yusuf, former Inspector General of Police of the Movement for Democracy and Justice scored 21,403 votes. General Buhari went to court to challenge the results of the election. The Supreme court finally decided in favour of General Olusegun Obasanjo.

    In April 21, 2007 Presidential election, Alhaji Umaru Musa Yar’adua of PDP had 24,638,063 votes as against General Muhammadu Buhari/Edwin Ume-Ezeoke of the ANPP team that scored 6,605,299 votes. Both Alhaji Yar’adua and Major General Buhari are from the same Katsina state. It was the first time in the history that both candidates for the nation’s apex position would hail from the same state. The Presidential disputes ended in the Supreme Court with Chief Wole Olanipekun as the lead Counsel for Alhaji Yar’adua.

    In the April 9, 2011 presidential election, the duo of Jonathan Goodluck/Namadi Sambo had 22,495,187 votes while the duo of Major General Muhammadu Buhari/Pastor Tunde Bakare scored 12,214,853 votes. General Buhari challenged the outcome of the results and it ended in the Supreme Court.

    In a few days’ time, we shall march to vote for the March 28, 2015 Presidential election. It is on record that no incumbent President has ever lost any election in Nigeria. But there are examples in Africa. In the April 1991 Presidential election in Republic of Benin, President Mathieu Kerekou lost to Nicephore Soglo. Also in 1991, President Kenneth Kaunda of Zambia lost to Frederick Chiluba. Just last September, Michael Suta of Zambia defeated the Multi Party Democratic (MPD) that has been in power for twenty years with President Rupia Banda conceding defeat. All eyes will definitely be on Nigeria before and after the election.

    It is to be seen whether the Presidential election will bring peace or chaos to Nigeria. So much has been written about the forth-coming Presidential elections in Nigeria-the anxieties, the alarms and the innuendos. Definitely one must lose and another must win. Defeat can be injurious but definitely there is life after defeat. Nothing pains a politician more than to lose an election.

    When I think of Presidential elections, the one that comes to my mind is the 1968 Convention of the Democratic Party in the United States in Chicago.

    After withdrawing from re-contesting, the incumbent President, Lyndon Johnson became so unpopular that he was not even invited by his party to the Convention. He thereafter lamented; ‘I’ve never felt lower in my life. How do you think it feels to be completely rejected by the party you’ve spent your life with, knowing that your name cannot be mentioned without choruses of boos and obscenities? How would you feel? It makes me feel that nothing’s been worth it. And I’ve tried. Things may not have turned out as you wanted or even as I wanted. But God knows I’ve tried. And I’ve given it my best all these years. I woke up at six and worked until one or two in the morning every day, Saturdays and Sundays. And it comes to this. It just doesn’t seem fair.”

    Presidents too have their own lamentations. They are not invincible. They are like the rest of us. Power belongs not to the individuals but to the people. The people in their wisdom have to choose whom they are to endow the power with. Afterall, Albert Einstein once said” the state is made for man, not man for the State.”

     

    • Eric Teniola, a former Director at the Presidency, stays in Lagos, Nigeria

  • Presidential elections and broadcast media

    How that there is a break, half time break, in political campaigns or a postponement of the elections by six weeks, it is time therefore to take stock of the various political activities, and possibly prepare for a more refined, purposeful and positive approach contrary to what some have taken as “do or die”.

    Let the truth be told, we have simply behaved as if there is no tomorrow for Nigeria. The campaigns or advertisements of mudslinging and derision which we have allowed to appear on the screens have not been helpful to the cause of this nation. It has indeed helped to divide us as a people.

    The media are expected to be the unifying factor for all interest groups but unfortunately some of us have come out to be brazenly partisan. When I see such, the question I ask myself is, are these media houses aware that they have viewership across the various political divides? What happens to their viewers who do not agree with their new position? It is only natural that they will switch over to a more objective and balanced station. Has this helped the cause of the station?

    The advertisements are to say the least, banal, puerile, uncultured and primitive. One of the greatest values the Nigerian is identified with is respect. Our morals, and indeed our religious institutions teach us to honour our elders and our leaders. The two major political party presidential aspirants fit very well into the category of those we should respect and honour, as elders and as leaders. The advertisements have not in any way reflected it. What examples are we giving to the younger generations? Aggression and abuse of elders would not earn votes. Rather, they evoke sympathy, and indeed a vote for the victim.

    The National Broadcasting code has ample provisions for elections. Among them are:

    4.2.2    Broadcaster shall

    (a)        Not broadcast a programme which violates social values,

    shows disrespect for law and order or departs from an honourable life-style;

    (g)        avoid the use of foul and blasphemous language;

    5.1.6    Archival or library materials where used to illustrate a current event, shall be used with discretion and clearly identified to avoid confusion or causing emotional pain, offence, embarrassment or defamation.

    5.2.5    Political broadcasts shall be in decent language

    5.2.7    A broadcaster shall, in using a political material for news, avoid taking Inflammatory and divisive matter in its provocative form;

    5.3.6    A live broadcast shall take cognizance of the cultural and religious sensibilities of all Nigerians, and avoid offensive inputs.

    What, in our coverage, commercials or news clips, have exonerated us as objective stations, and non defaulters in the provisions listed above?

    The documentary that was transmitted in two major networks recently was, to say the least, in bad taste. Though designed to demonise a political opponent, its inaccuracies and the very obvious “run-him-down” line-by-line production, are not only nauseating but could do the very reverse of the intention – evoke sympathy for the central character in the production, as an underdog.

    One of the advertisements, in which the same presidential aspirant was transformed into a leopard was, to me, most despicable, and disgusting. This is a person running for the highest position in the land – the Presidency. That visual nollywood voodoo style production is an insult on our collective carriage of the presidency. Even if he were the least of all the aspirants in terms of followership, that office must be respected and the contestants given their due honour.

    Permit me to ask if it is the vogue these days not to preview what is to go on air. Even if the producers come in with such raw and indecorous content, is it not the station’s responsibility as professionals, to determine what will suit the sensitivities and sensibilities of Nigerian viewers by either editing the advertisement or out-rightly dismissing the producer to go and refine his production?

    What has become of our ethical standards? If a poll is taken today, are these stations, in all sincerity, sure of retaining their level of audience or viewership. I very much doubt.

    Another area that bothers me is the Outside Broadcast activities of the stations. There is undoubtedly a very pressing need for serious training of the crew ranging from the cameramen, the on-air presenters right on to the producers and directors. The earlier this is done against future events, the better it is for our profession and the viewers.

    By the way, I want to believe the watchdogs or regulators of broadcasting – The National Broadcasting Commission (NBC) as well as the Advertising Practitioners Council of Nigeria (APCON) have done and are seen to have done something by way of sanctions to these errant stations to serve as a deterrent against the second half of the political campaigns. Both stations and the regulatory bodies must be seen as a servant of all.

    Elections will come and go but Nigeria will remain. Nigeria will remain as what – a nation infested with hatred, distrust and demagoguery? This is certainly not what we envisage for a country so heavily endowed by God to make us prosper as brothers, sisters and our brothers’ keepers. How shall we see one another after an election campaign so richly studded with hate, bitterness and indeed venom, all in the name of winning the election? At the end of the day, only one out of the 14-contestants will be sworn in as the President, whose constituency is the whole of Nigeria.

    This is the time to present an acceptable platform for some soft landing for both the winner and the losers.

    The broadcast media has an immeasurable role to play in this. Though a lot of harm and hurt feelings have been engendered by various broadcast segments, this ‘half time’ is auspicious for us to mend fences and resolve to be better, fairer and more professional in the second half. If we preach hate, we shall reap hate and destruction. If we preach love and peace, we shall reap same. Let us endeavour to preach the latter with our media for the good of this nation and its wonderful people. Nigeria needs peace for progress and development. The broadcast media must be in the vanguard for its promotion.

    • Dr Adaba, OON is Pioneer Director General, National Broadcasting Commission.