Tag: Rivers emergency rule

  • Rivers: What next after emergency period?

    Rivers: What next after emergency period?

    Like a flash of lightning, six months have passed since Sir Siminalayi Fubara temporarily lost his job as governor of Rivers State. Like a chicken beaten by the rain, he is now sober as he regained the seat two days ago, following the expiration of the emergency period.

    Members of the House of Assembly, led by authentic Speaker Martins Amaewhule, who suffered a collateral damage during the constitutional sanction, also returned to the legislative chambers with an eagerness to start legislation and oversight duties.

    The lawmakers have unveiled plans to review the “emergency rule budget” that guided the interim leadership. They are also likely to beam the searchlight on the alleged frivolous spending of N5 billion monthly before the declaration of emergency rule.

    But the lawmakers are now more likely to be conciliatory in an atmosphere of cooperative separation of powers and accompanying checks and balances, if the governor improves on the reconciliation or dialogue with them.

    In his absence, the state was kept afloat by a caretaker, Air Vice Marshall Ibok-Ete Ibas, an unelected person who managed to restore tranquility where the governor had failed woefully. This puts a question mark on politicians’ ability to manage a crisis before it gets out of hands. This is because democracy is also about problem-solving by an elected representative.

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    Also, the structure of the state, particularly at the grassroots, has changed dramatically. At the local government, Fubara has to reconcile himself with the inevitability of working with newly elected chairmen and councillors who were not created in his image but in the likeness of his estranged power-loaded benefactor, Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Minister Nyesom Wike.

    Details of the underground reconciliation between the previously combative governor and the determined lawmakers, who enjoyed and still enjoy the backing of the godfather, are unknown.

    But it is expected that the state will not remain the same again. By now, the right lessons should have been learnt by the parties in the protracted political dispute. The lifting of the emergency is not the end of the matter. The nation looks forward to a cordial relationship between the Executive and Legislative arms. It is critical to the consolidation of peace and recovery of the lost grounds.

    On March 18, the President warned that the emergency period could be extended, if reason did not prevail and the combatants decided to further plunge the state into violence.

    The proclamation of the emergency rule became inevitable, following what that the President described as “a total paralysis of governance” in the state, which aptly manifested in the prolonged face-off between Fubara and the House of Assembly. The three-member House of Assembly presided over by an impostor masquerading as Speaker became a national embarrassment. Much havoc was wrecked when the fake Speaker, Victor Oko-Jumbo, presided over the screening of some elements who were erroneously sworn in as commissioners and special advisers.

    The protracted rift stalled the passage of budgets. Of course, the Assembly was in flames; crippled, desolate, helpless, and impotent. Protests became violent and properties were serially destroyed. The President described Fubara as the aggressor and autocratic leader who stood on the way of democracy by trying to prevent the parliament from performing its constitutional roles.

    The obvious collapse of governance prompted the Supreme Court to rule that there was effectively “no government” in Rivers at the time. Instead of closing ranks, some Rivers elders took sides in the clearly divisive issue, making outsiders to doubt their capacity for peace-building and gerontocratic monitoring.

    As the jungle was about to mature in Rivers, Nigeria and its constitution, ably deployed by a thinking President, averted the disaster. History will record that although Fubara was elected for four years, he could only effectively spend three and a half years in office. His place at the Nigerian Governors’ Forum and the Council of State was vacant for six months due to his inability to manage the power the electorate gave him on behalf of the state.

    For the first time in two years, peace reigned in the Southsouth state as the emergency period doused tension, the vituperation of anti-emergency rule campaigners in the media and other negligible litigants, notwithstanding.

    Administrator Ibas, who was recalled from his blissful retirement to restore order into the troubled state, was focused, firm, and goal-oriented, despite the empty threats and distractions by some aggrieved stakeholders.

    The emergency rule, having been ratified by the National Assembly, Ibas governed the state by federal parliamentary backing in accordance with the emergency regulations. It was, nevertheless, an emergency rule with a human face; no restriction order on any of the warring actors, no probe of the Fubara administration by any commission of enquiry and there was no witch-hunting of any kind, unlike what happened under the revious dispensations that introduced the same measure to avert anarchy.

    Reflecting on the period, President Tinubu noted that the positive signals made it unnecessary to extend the emergency rule beyond its initial six-month duration.

    For the period, Rivers was off the democratic radar. Popular rule was put on hold, but other forms of freedom were not tampered with. Gladiators were denied a battle ground. Bands of hired thugs and miscreants spoiling for proxy wars were automatically disbanded. Mass processions became ineffective and rival supporters of leading actors locked in the curious war of attrition were dispersed. The ordinary man on the street heaved a sigh of relief.

    Many observers believe that the emergency rule was a blessing in disguise for Rivers, and in particular its elected chief executive, who escaped the hammer of angry lawmakers plotting his impeachment.

    Unknown to Fubara, he was the man on the defensive, from the beginning of the logjam. His tenure was full of tension, and he would have been consumed by the fire, especially when the lawmakers unconditionally insisted on a pound of flesh.

    Had the governor fully embraced the peace deal brokered by President Tinubu, the calamity would have been averted. It involved making sacrifices, giving concessions and self-abnegation which only a statesman can attempt. Fubara dismissed the pact, saying it was mere advisory. A big opportunity for concessions, consensus, and ‘win-win’ was bungled without sparing a thought for the consequences. The pact collapsed and the combatants intensified the onslaught in a manner akin to mutually assured destruction.

    Wike was labelled as an over-bearing godfather always eager to impose his wishes on the governor. Some critics chided him for undue interference or meddlesomeness in Rivers affairs, in spite of his busy schedule as Abuja minister. Others alleged that he instigated the crisis, using the lawmakers as fronts.

    The minister’s argument was that the governor had deviated from the plan of the party that conferred on him the rare privilege. Wike explained that since he rode on a formidable structure to power, the structure should not be desecrated but strengthened in a manner that befitted a ruling party. In his view, Fubara was courting those who opposed his aspiration to the detriment of party members who laboured to put him in office. He frowned at the governor’s penchant for allocating positions and privileges to those who worked against his victory while neglecting members of the dominant camp who weathered the electoral storm with him during the 2023 polls.

    Fubara’s reliance on Oko-Jumbo’s three-member House of Assembly stood logic on its head.

    The illegal House of Assembly screened the commissioner-nominees and passed the 2024 and 2025 budgets. Illegal council polls were conducted and violence engulfed the state.

     Although the governor claimed that the 27 members, led by Amaewhule, had defected from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the court disagreed.

    The court also declared that Rivers had no budget and those in the illegal state executive council were carrying out the duties of commissioners and special advisers in error.

    At that stage, the handwriting was boldly on the wall. Yet, it was ignored. But the end of impunity was near.

    Fubara could be said to have seen the lightning. The thunder that followed evoked fear and produced a shock wave. It could also be a warning. So also was the avoidable mistake that heralded the loss of political control. To men of wisdom, such a folly should never be repeated.

    The lessons of the entire saga are very instructive. The imbroglio in Rivers boils down to two issues. The first is the peculiar predecessor-successor crisis due to wrong calculation or a faulty succession plan. The second is the violation of the constitution and the rule of law in the governor’s  bid to consolidate his hold on power.

    Now is the time for the warriors on both sides to sheathe their swords in the interest of the state. The governor, despite wielding executive power, should appreciate some limitations to his powers. The delicate parliamentary/executive balance is a major test for the actors on both sides.

    Dialogue, which was once rejected, is still the way forward. In democracy, it should be continuous. There is a need for him to reconcile with the lawmakers who will screen his commissioner-nominees. Fubara would need an experienced and competent parliamentary liaison officer or adviser who is versed in the intricacies of executive/legislative relationship in a presidential system. He would also need a good legal adviser who should always interpret the law correctly so that he would not be misled. The advisers should not be partisan elders who can lead him astray because they have scores to settle with Fubara’s predecessor.

    Some aspects of the discarded pact that are still relevant to the search for amity should be sincerely implemented.

    There should no room for vendetta by either the executive or the legislature. Vengeance would lead to renewed discord and escalation of repressed tension.

  • BREAKING: Tinubu lifts Rivers emergency rule

    BREAKING: Tinubu lifts Rivers emergency rule

    President Bola Tinubu has lifted the emergency rule in Rivers state from Wednesday midnight. 

    In a statement, the President asked suspended Governor Siminalayi Fubara to resume work on Thursday, September 18.

    He also asked Ngozi Nma Odu, the Deputy Governor, and Rivers lawmakers resume their duties.

    The emergency rule was declared in the state six months ago. 

    Tinubu said: “My Fellow countrymen and, in particular, the good people of Rivers State.*

    “I am happy to address you today on the state of emergency declaration in Rivers State. You will recall that on 18th March, 2025, I proclaimed a state of emergency in the state. In my proclamation address, I highlighted the reasons for the declaration. 

    “The summary of it for context is that there was a total paralysis of governance in Rivers State, which had led to the Governor of Rivers State and the House of Assembly being unable to work together. Critical economic assets of the State, including oil pipelines, were being vandalised. The State House of Assembly was crisis-ridden, such that members of the House were divided into two groups. Four members worked with the Governor, while 27 members opposed the Governor. The latter group supported the Speaker. As a result, the Governor could not present any Appropriation Bill to the House, to enable him to access funds to run Rivers State’s affairs. 

    “That serious constitutional impasse brought governance in the State to a standstill. Even the Supreme Court, in one of its judgments in a series of cases filed by the Executive and the Legislative arms of Rivers State against each other, held that there was no government in Rivers State. My intervention and that of other well-meaning Nigerians to resolve the conflict proved abortive as both sides stuck rigidly to their positions to the detriment of peace and development of the State.

    “It therefore became painfully inevitable that to arrest the drift towards anarchy in Rivers State, I was obligated to invoke the powers conferred on me by Section 305 of the 1999 Constitution, as amended, to proclaim the state of emergency. The Offices of the Governor, Deputy Governor, and elected members of the State House of Assembly were suspended for six months in the first instance. The six months expire today, September 17th, 2025. 

    “I thank the National Assembly, which, after critically evaluating the justification for the proclamation, took steps immediately, as required by the Constitution, to approve the declaration in the interest of peace and order in Rivers State. I  also thank our traditional rulers and the good people of Rivers State for their support from the date of the declaration of the state of emergency until now. 

    Read Also: Ibas lists key lessons from Rivers’ six-month emergency rule

    “I am not unaware that there were a few voices of dissent against the proclamation, which led to their instituting over 40 cases in the courts in Abuja, Port Harcourt, and Yenagoa, to invalidate the declaration. That is the way it should be in a democratic setting. Some cases are still pending in the courts as of today. *But what needs to be said is that the power to declare a state of emergency is an inbuilt constitutional tool to address situations of actual or threatened breakdown of public order and public safety, which require extraordinary measures to return the State to peace, order and security. 

    “Considered objectively, we had reached that situation of total breakdown of public order and public safety in Rivers State, as shown in the judgment of the Supreme Court on the disputes between the Executive and the Legislative arm of Rivers State. It would have been a colossal failure on my part as President not to have made that proclamation.

    “As a stakeholder in democratic governance, I believe that the need for a harmonious existence and relationship between the executive and the legislature is key to a successful government, whether at the state or national level. The people who voted us into power expect to reap the fruits of democracy. However, that expectation will remain unrealizable in an atmosphere of violence, anarchy, and insecurity borne by misguided political activism and Machiavellian manipulations among the stakeholders.

    “I am happy today that, from the intelligence available to me, there is a groundswell of a new spirit of understanding, a robust readiness, and potent enthusiasm on the part of all the stakeholders in Rivers State for an immediate return to democratic governance. This is undoubtedly a welcome development for me and a remarkable achievement for us. I therefore do not see why the state of emergency should exist a day longer than the six months I had pronounced at the beginning of it.

    “It therefore gives me great pleasure to declare that the emergency in Rivers State of Nigeria shall end with effect from midnight today. The Governor, His Excellency Siminalayi Fubara, the deputy governor, Her Excellency Ngozi Nma Odu, and members of the Rivers State House of Assembly and the speaker, Martins Amaewhule, will resume work in their offices from 18 September 2025. 

    “I take this opportunity to remind the Governors and the Houses of Assembly of all the States of our country to continue to appreciate that it is only in an atmosphere of peace, order, and good government that we can deliver the dividends of democracy to our people. I implore all of you to let this realisation drive your actions at all times.”

  • Delta opts out of suit against Rivers emergency rule

    Delta opts out of suit against Rivers emergency rule

    The government of Delta has opted out of the suit filed by 11 states challenging the declaration of a state of emergency in Rivers State by the Federal Government.

    The 11 states – all of the Peoples Demoratic Peoples Party (PDP) – are: Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Delta, Enugu, Osun, Oyo, Plateau, Taraba and Zamfara.

    But Delta State, which is the fifth plaintiff, has filed a notice of discontinuance.

    In its notice to the Supreme Court dated May 16, the state said it was no longer a party to the case.

    The notice was signed by the  Attorney-General/Commissioner for Justice, Ekemejero Ohwovoriole (SAN); Solicitor-General/Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Justice, Omamuzo Erebe; Director of Civil Litigation S. O. Monye and I. G. Eze-Owens.

    The notice said: “Brought pursuant to Section 232 of the 1999 Constitution (As Amended) and under the inherent jurisdiction of this Honourable Court.

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    “Take notice that the Attorney-General of Delta State, the 5th plaintiff, hereby wholly withdraws and/ or discontinues as a plaintiff in this Suit No: SC/CV/329/ 2025: Attorney-General of Adamawa State and Ors v Attorney-General of the Federation and Anor”.

    There were indications that state withdrew because it is now under the control of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

     Governor Sheriff Oborevwori, his deputy Monday Onyeme, federal and state lawmakers, council chairmen and councilors as well as PDP leaders including former governor, Dr. Ifeanyi Okowa, who was the PDP running mate to Atiku Abubakar in the 2023 presidential election, defected into the APC on April 23.

    Irked by the proclamation of emergency rule in Rivers and the PDP governors approached the apex court to roll back the decision.

  • JUST IN: Rivers women march in support of emergency rule 

    JUST IN: Rivers women march in support of emergency rule 

    Hundreds of women from Rivers State on Monday stormed the streets of Port Harcourt, especially the ever busy Aba Road to support the declaration of emergency rule in the state.

    The women, who were dressed in white symbolising peace, started their procession from Garrison Bus Stop at about 8am.

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    The women carried various placards, which contained messages supporting the Sole Administrator, Vice-Admiral Ibok Ibas (retd) and President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s intervention, which they said ended executive rascality in the state.

    Details shortly…

  • Ladoja backs Rivers Emergency Rule

    Ladoja backs Rivers Emergency Rule

    The Otun Olubadan of Ibadanland Senator Rashidi Ladoja has said declaration of emergency rule by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in Rivers State was in order and not a threat to democracy.

    Ladoja stated with the declaration of State of Emergency by Tinubu, there is now relative peace in the State.

    There have been political crises in Rivers State between suspended Governor Siminalayi Fubara and some lawmakers said to be loyalists to FCT Minister Nyesom Wike.

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    Speaking with journalists at his Bodija residence, Ladoja, stated that Tinubu wouldn’t have declared emergency Rule in Rivers if there was no need for it.

    According to him, the Emergency Rule is a welcome development to restore peace in the State.

    He urged Fubara and former Governor Wike to resolve their differences if their intention is to serve the State.

  • Presidency slams Obasanjo over comments on Rivers Emergency Rule

    Presidency slams Obasanjo over comments on Rivers Emergency Rule

    The Presidency has strongly rebuffed former President Olusegun Obasanjo’s criticism of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s recent declaration of Emergency Rule in Rivers State

    It accused the former leader of hypocrisy and a poor democratic legacy.

    Special Assistant to the President on Social Media, Dada Olusegun, took a retrospective look at Obasanjo’s tenure, highlighting a series of alleged undemocratic actions carried out under his administration between 1999 and 2007.

    “Obasanjo is trying every trick possible to whitewash his bad democratic records by attempting to exonerate himself from blame for how Nigeria’s democracy has fared,” Olusegun said in a post on his verified X handle Wednesday evening.

    The former President, while speaking at the Ihedioha Colloquium, condemned Tinubu’s decision to suspend Governor Siminalayi Fubara, Deputy Governor Ngozi Odu, and all members of the Rivers Assembly, warning that “democracy is dying in Nigeria.”

    Olusegun, however, countered Obasanjo’s remarks, recalling instances where the former leader allegedly undermined democracy. 

    He cited Obasanjo’s involvement in the controversial removal of opposition Governors, interference in legislative processes and an alleged attempt to extend his tenure beyond the constitutional limit.

    “This is the same OBJ that turned himself into a kingmaker and a demigod in his second term in office. Anybody who disagreed with him became prey,” Olusegun alleged.

    He pointed to Obasanjo’s role in the controversial 2003 elections, where several opposition Governors from the defunct Alliance for Democracy (AD) were allegedly rigged out of office, leaving only Lagos State under then-Governor Bola Tinubu.

    Olusegun also accused Obasanjo of masterminding unconstitutional impeachments, recalling how sitting governors in Anambra, Ekiti, Plateau, Oyo, and Bayelsa states were removed through what he described as “kangaroo impeachments,” most of which were later overturned by the courts.

    He further referenced the infamous abduction of former Anambra Governor Chris Ngige, who was allegedly forced to sign a resignation letter at gunpoint by senior security operatives under Obasanjo’s watch.

    “This is the same OBJ who unilaterally declared his Vice President’s seat vacant over a corruption indictment and even declared unnecessary public holidays just to prevent courts from ruling on Atiku’s legal challenge,” Olusegun stated.

    Turning to Obasanjo’s history with emergency rule, Olusegun recalled how the former President imposed a state of emergency in Plateau and Ekiti States, suspending the Governors and State assemblies without directly accusing them of any wrongdoing.

    “In Obasanjo’s case, his reason for suspending Joshua Dariye and the Plateau legislature was failure to end violence between Muslim and Christian communities. 

    “He didn’t accuse the assembly of anything, yet he suspended them. Now he’s criticizing Tinubu for suspending those who are the direct actors in the Rivers crisis,” Olusegun argued.

    The presidential aide concluded by labeling Obasanjo as “the grandfather of hypocrisy in Nigeria,” insisting that the former leader lacked the moral standing to lecture the current administration on democracy.

  • ‘Rivers emergency most viable option’

    ‘Rivers emergency most viable option’

    The National Civil Society Council has backed the decision of President Bola Tinubu to declare a state of emergency in Rivers State, saying the decision was the viable option available to the Presidency, going by available intelligence and privileged security feedback.

    The council said the state was already heading to a crisis following a breakdown of law and order as declared by the Supreme Court in its Judgement.

    Tinubu on March 18 declared a state of emergency in Rivers, suspending the Governor, Siminalayi Fubara, his Deputy and the State House of Assembly for six months.

    The President appointed a Sole Administrator, Vice-Admiral Ibot-Ete Ibas (Rtd) to pilot the affairs of the state during the period.

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    Addressing a press conference, Executive Director, NCSCN, Mr Blessing Akinlosotu urged Ibas to fully bring to bear his stallion qualities to ensure that Rivers State is restored to peace and progress far less than the six months.

    Akinlosotu said the council was convinced that the Sole Administrator can achieve normalcy and orderliness in the State within the next 3 months.

    “Though the declaration of State of Emergency is generally viewed as too extreme, we believe this must have been the most viable option available to the Presidency, going by available Intelligence and privileged security feedback,” Akinlosotu stated.

  • Minister lambasts Kwankwaso for faulting Tinubu on Rivers Emergency rule

    Minister lambasts Kwankwaso for faulting Tinubu on Rivers Emergency rule

    Minister of State for Housing and Urban Development, Yusuf Abdullahi Ata, has criticised former New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) presidential candidate, Rabiu Kwankwaso, for faulting President Bola Tinubu’s declaration of a state of emergency in Rivers State. 

    Ata told Kwankwaso to keep his opinions to himself as the President’s decision was taken in the best interest of Rivers people, for national stability and security.

    The Minister, in a statement by his Publicity Aide, Seyi Olorunsola, praised Tinubu for being proactive in addressing national issues while demonstrating that he is attuned to the concerns of Nigerians. 

    “The declaration (state of emergency) was necessary in order to maintain law and order in Rivers State, which has been embroiled in prolonged political turmoil.

    “For the record, President Tinubu acted within the confines of the 1999 Constitution (as amended), which grants him the authority to enforce emergency measures while ensuring proper legislative oversight within the stipulated time-frame. Any state facing prolonged instability should take heed and address its internal issues.

    “Kwankwaso has a flawed understanding of law and governance, he should focus his energy on resolving the ongoing crisis within the Kano Emirate Council, which has been exacerbated by him through his political protégé -Governor Abba Yusuf,” Ata said, faulting Kwankwaso’s alleged partisan interference in the emirship tussle, highlighting the Kano State government’s persistent disregard for court orders.”

    The Minister accused Kwankwaso of fostering a culture of political intimidation, particularly in his dealings with state lawmakers during his tenure as governor of Kano State.

    Ata, a former Kano Speaker, recalled that Kwankwaso had consistently disregarded legislative independence and the rule of law.

    The Minister also commended the National Assembly for  swift approval of the president’s proclamation.

    According to Ata, the lawmakers, composed of astute minds, were able to conduct timely review of security briefings culminating in the decision that forestalled the escalation of crises and vandalism of oil pipelines and other government facilities in Rivers State.

    The Minister particularly applauded National Assembly lawmakers from Kano and other northern states for prioritising the security and welfare of Rivers State citizens over partisan considerations.

  • Rivers Emergency rule to protect lives, ensure order – Lado

    Rivers Emergency rule to protect lives, ensure order – Lado

    The Special Adviser to the President on Senate Matters, Senator Basheer Lado, on Saturday said the state of emergency recently declared in Rivers State by the Federal Government was not about politics but to ensure protection of lives and restoring law and order in the state.

    Lado, who made this assertion in a statement in Abuja, said the action has reassured Nigerians that no part of the country would be left to the forces of chaos and anarchy. 

    He commended President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for the timely intervention and the National Assembly for approving the state of emergency in Rivers state. 

    He lauded Tinubu for taking the bold and decisive step of declaring a state of emergency in Rivers State—“a move driven by the highest commitment to preserving lives, restoring order, and protecting the democratic integrity of our nation.”

    He said the timely intervention has reinforced the President’s unwavering resolve to prioritise the security and stability of all Nigerians, regardless of political or ethnic affiliations.

    Lado said: “I also commend the leadership of the Senate, ably led by His Excellency, Senate President Godswill Akpabio, and the entire Distinguished Senators for their diligence, patriotism, and dedication to upholding the rule of law. 

    “Despite the complexities surrounding this decision, the Senate demonstrated courage, responsibility, and an unshakable commitment to national interest by thoroughly debating and ultimately confirming the proclamation.

    “To the Nigerian people, this action was not just necessary—it was imperative. When a state faces a situation where lawlessness threatens peace, governance, and the safety of citizens, decisive measures must be taken. 

    “The declaration of a state of emergency was not about politics but about protecting innocent lives, ensuring law and order, and preserving the economic and social fabric of Rivers State. 

    “The Federal Government, through this action, has reassured Nigerians that no part of the country will be left to the forces of chaos and instability.

    “As we move forward, I urge all stakeholders—political leaders, security agencies, and the good people of Rivers State—to work together in restoring lasting peace and stability. 

    “May this serve as a reminder that leadership is about making tough but necessary decisions for the collective good of our great nation.

    “Once again, congratulations to Mr. President, the Senate President, and all our distinguished Senators for standing on the side of duty, justice, and national interest.”

  • Rivers: Beyond emergency rule

    Rivers: Beyond emergency rule

    Six months will pass like a flash of lightning. Unless the right lessons are learnt and the warriors in the Rivers jungle embrace reason and retrace their steps from the path of perdition, the Southsouth state may still be back to square one at the end of the emergency rule.

    The advantage of the critical interregnum is that oil-rich Rivers State is steered away from violence that may cripple socio-economic and political life. An imminent harm to the national economy was also averted.

    While Governor Siminalayi Fubara and some politicians are still grumbling over the emergency regulations, the people have heaved a sigh of relief. There is peace in Port Harcourt and other parts of the state, and residents – the ordinary man in the street- are carrying on with their daily activities without let or hindrance.

    During the emergency period, tension would be further doused because there is no room for the misuse of power and authority by the suspended governor and the lawmakers. The governor and the aggrieved lawmakers are temporarily off the radar of influence, having been boxed to regrets and sober reflection. They now have an opportunity for the remission of sins and amendment of behaviour.

    The access to the state purse is suspended. Without power, politicians are empty, like a carcass without life and strength. Power is transient, and no condition is permanent.

    During this period, Fubara should be tutored by experienced politicians and statesmen to adjust to the requirements of politics and governance. The onus is on him to do away with the arrogance of power and disdain for the structure that threw him up and catapulted him from the back to the front seat. He needs assistance to overcome some adjustment difficulties associated with his change of status – from a top civil servant to a top political leader who is expected to work harmoniously with other leaders in the state.

    Read Also; Rivers crisis and the perils of unwisdom

    The governor also needs to adjust to the blow of fate and see this period as another learning process.

    The emergency administrator is not in Rivers to pamper anybody, although he is expected to maintain neutrality in the dispute. An experienced top military officer, retired Admiral Ibok-Ete Ibas would brook no opposition. His charge is to maintain peace, by peaceful means and force, and he is answerable, not to the divided leaders of Rivers but to the distant Federal Government  in Abuja, the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).

    The retired naval officer was carefully selected for the job. He is conversant with the coastal region and the antics of troublemakers in the creeks. Therefore, vandals, thugs and other miscreants should beware. Lamentably, he is not in Rivers to initiate or really implement developmental projects dictated by popular yearnings and need analysis. Admiral Ibas was recalled from his blissful retirement to take on the restrictive burden of restoring peace in a state of pandemonium where commonsense, objectivity, and logic had taken flight. His assignment is to ensure that the jungle does not mature again.

    Here lies the huge cost of the emergency rule, which the combatants brought upon their state through their apathy to reconciliation and harmony, the threat of violence, recourse to economic sabotage, and disrespect for the Constitution, the rule of law, and due process.

    Democracy is partially crippled in the interim, and the blame goes to the polarised political class and the elders in the state who took sides and fueled the embers of disunity, instead of whipping the fighters into line through the deployment of moral weapons. It is ironic that elders who advised Fubara to jettison the peace pact initiated by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu later ran back to him in Aso Villa to save Rivers.

    As the House of Assembly is put in abeyance, democratic representation is also on hold – by federal fiat. It is noteworthy that the governor, who had forgotten the principle of separation of powers taught to him by his secondary school government teacher, plunged the state into chaos by derecognising the legislature, which is the first and the most important organ of government in a democracy.

    As the legislative complex was demolished and 27 lawmakers were unable to do the work assigned to them by their constituencies under the constitution, popular rule was emasculated and the constitution, the ground norm, was murdered in broad daylight.

    The casualties are the people. They were governed by ‘a government at half’ presided over by a governor who had become a divisive and destabilising factor. Fubara was aided by illegal commissioners and other members of the State Executive Council whose appointments were not approved by the Parliament.

    Historians will record that Gen-Z Governor Fubara of Rivers displayed a glaring naivety. His lack of tact and wisdom in handling his former political leader, Nyesom Wike, who has proved to be a veteran of political warfare in the state and his polarised Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), landed him in a pile of thorns. His bruised body and ego will take some time to heal if he gets out sober and educated. 

    The governor has more stakes. He has plans to consolidate his hold on the state. He is also gazing at 2027 for a second term. When he started the war of attrition, little did he guess, as a political rookie, that it would tax him to the brim. It was an avoidable confrontation.

    Did his Ahitophelean advisers ever imagine the raging fire in the corridor of power threatening to consume his tenure? If he must fight, why did he not fight in accordance with the law? How can the money illegally spent without appropriation be accounted for? Who takes the blame for the violation of laid-down constitutional procedures?

    Rivers may be at a snail’s speed for six months. Project execution may be unduly slowed down. Domestic and foreign investors can hardly explore the abundant opportunities in a tension-soaked environment. A crisis is not a positive factor in considering an environment conducive to development. Federal Government agencies and donor partners may even suspend collaboration till September.

    If the emergency rule is extended, it will take a big toll on those at war in varying degrees. The situation that would warrant an extension should be avoided by all means. After September, another six months would destabilise plans for strengthening political structures by the embattled governor and make him more vulnerable. Without deep experience and skills, the chance of political liquidation would be high as the state enters the preparation period for 2027 electioneering.

    The solution offered by the emergency rule is temporary unless the two sides settle the protracted conflicts on their own. What will be the status of the Supreme Court judgment in the light of the emergency period, especially the order withholding allocations to the state due to a lack of budget?

    After six months, what next?

    Unless the governor and the lawmakers reach a compromise on certain issues, the likelihood exists that they will resume hostilities and the Federal Government, which had hinted about the prospects of an extension, may find the justification for keeping Admiral Ibas in Port Harcourt for a longer period.

    The emergency rule does not invalidate the pre-existing impeachment move, which had jolted the pro-Fubara forces out of their delusion that the governor was immovable. Already, the verdict of the apex court had prepared the ground for his removal. The lawmakers obviously leaned on the strength of the final judgment in drawing up the 19 sins of Fubara, the gross misconduct that cannot be ignored. It, therefore, implies that the governor needs help from far and near.

    Mending the cracks in the wall of brotherhood is challenging. Political and social relationships have been crippled. Therefore, dialogue is crucial, and on this matter, the governor would be negotiating from the position of weakness as the aggressor and despot that has been momentarily caged by the law,  judicial pronouncement and the emergency rule.

    His ego is deflated. But Fubara should see it as a price to pay for leadership. He should see it as an opportunity to learn, re-learn and rise after his fall.

    The governor  should realise that having courageously endured so many ordeals and obstacles he had thrown on the path of the legislature in the last one and a half years, the lawmakers are likely to remain united in their bid to collectively weather the storm to the end. They have a formidable pillar of support and a backbone that cannot be broken easily. The governor’s predecessor and benefactor, the powerful and influential Minister of Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Nyesom Wike,  has conquered opposition forces – so far. He has resisted intimidation and overcome conspiracies.

    However, despite being in a position of relative strength, the lawmakers should apply the brakes from their understandable hardline posture and cooperate with the governor in fully complying with and implementing the court judgment. If the governor wants to faithfully implement the court judgement after the emergency rule, they should not resist him. They should not create hinderance. They should consider the interests of their state and the people they claim to serve. The conflict should not be allowed to fester permanently.

    The governor should take the initiative. He can also be assisted by well-meaning and neutral elders who have the interest of the state at heart.

    There are two possibilities. Reason may prevail and the governor and the lawmakers may amicably resolve the conflicts. There is no permanent friend or foe in politics; only permanent interest.

    Also, the governor and the lawmakers may shun dialogue and peaceful resolution. Then, the initial six months would be extended.

    The first option is better. It is in the interest of the people of Rivers.