Tag: Statistics

  • Alarming statistics

    Alarming statistics

    • Governments across the country must take serious actions to stem cultism

    If the report by SBM Intelligence is anything to go by, Rivers and Lagos state governments have to take more drastic actions against cultists in their states. According to the report, released last week Tuesday, Rivers topped the fatality chart from cult-related clashes with 215 recorded deaths, followed by Lagos, 197, and Edo, 192. In all, 1,686 persons were killed in about 909 separate incidents of gang-related incidents in the country between January 2020 and March 2025.

    “Between January 2020 and March 2025, data from SBM Intel’s Violence Tracker indicated that no fewer than 1,686 people were killed in at least 909 incidents of gang violence across Nigeria,” the report said adding that the average fatality rate per incident was approximately 1.85.

    And, to think that the figures are for the cult activities traceable to specific cult groups alone!

    Further breakdown shows that 750 deaths were recorded in three states in the south-south region (mainly in Rivers, Delta and Bayelsa states) while the south-west followed with 491 deaths in Lagos and Ogun states.

    The Southeast region is not left out, with 215 fatalities, especially in Anambra State where cultism has become increasingly linked to separatist movements.

    The dominant cult groups cited by SBM in the south-west and south-south include Vikings, Icelanders, Eiye, Aiye, Black Axe, and Greenlanders while Scavengers and Chain cult groups account for 204 deaths in Benue in the North-Central region, which includes states like Kwara and Nasarawa.

    The 128 reported deaths in Anambra State alone were tied to both gang violence and separatist-related unrest.

    The Northeast and Northwest regions, interestingly, recorded significantly lower cult-related fatalities (about 30 deaths) probably due to the fact that they already have more than their own share of insecurity; there is thus no space for conventional gang activity.

    Let’s not further bore you with statistics.

    Suffice it to say that for 2025, the report also says that “The dire economic situation further exacerbates the problem, pushing more young people into crime, with incident numbers for the first quarter of 2025 already on track to exceed 2022’s total.’’

    This should frighten us; if only for the simple reason that these cult-related deaths are not restricted to the gang members alone. Many innocent Nigerians and security men caught in the crossfire have also died from injuries sustained from the clashes.

    Read Also: LoL Stats: A Deep Dive into the Statistics of League of Legends

    While lack of economic opportunities alone cannot explain the cult phenomenon, it is definitely a factor to reckon with in the efforts to reduce the clashes to tolerable limits.

    Cults have become fertile grounds for raising miscreants, and this is largely because many times, those involved are not held accountable. There has to be a foundational uprooting of what makes them thrive. Our youths must be gainfully employed so they don’t have time for unlawful alliances.

    We know that some of the states have various programmes targeted at the youths. For instance, Lagos has initiatives, in collaboration with organisations like the Lagos State Employment Trust Fund (LSETF) and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), among others, aimed at equipping young people with marketable skills and providing practical experience through internships, and ultimately connect them with employment opportunities.

    More of such programmes need to be created or the numbers of beneficiaries increased to mop up substantial numbers from the unemployment queues. Other state governments have to be creative too by addressing the issue from their local perspectives.

    When various state governments come up with measures to check the trend, then it would be easier to identify those who are not just ready to earn their living and deal with them according to the law. The fact is; for so long, the cultists have been treated with kid gloves. When they kill in their illegal operations, it is no longer cultism but murder they have committed and they should be so charged.

    The country would be sitting on a keg of gunpowder if those that are supposed to be its leaders of tomorrow are allowed to believe that cultism pays.

  • Sorry statistics

    •Plateau has joined the bourgeoning ranks of IDP states

    THE numbers are tears-evoking. Indeed, if the government could appreciate the magnitude of the internally displaced persons’ (IDPs) situation in Nigeria, it would declare a state of emergency over the problem.

    But by a report in June, there is a little over 1.9 million IDPs in at least 282 camps in the six northeast states alone. The states are Borno, Bauchi, Adamawa, Taraba, Yobe and Gombe.

    The report in reference is the Round 23 Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) assessment by the UN organ, International Organisation for Migration (IOM). It covers May 28 to June 16, 2018 and reflects trends in the aforementioned states. The report found that the number of IDPs in various camps has continued to rise in the northeast zone of Nigeria.

    But this statistics would be sorrier if we took into consideration, recent reports from the north central zone of Nigeria.

    During a visit to President Muhammadu Buhari at the Presidential Villa, Abuja, November 6, by members of the Church Of Christ In Nations (COCIN), their documented presentation was graphic as well as gory. A speech by COCIN president, Dr. Dachollom Chumang Datiri, has this: “On the Plateau, with the attacks on the communities in BarkinLadi, Bassa, Bokkos, and Riyom; as well as in Jos North Local Government in the recent past… there are not less than thirty-eight thousand (38,000) refugees in over 10 IDP camps, with very little or grossly inadequate government intervention.

    Yet another report: Early last week, the committee on the Rehabilitation of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs); a body set up by the Plateau State government, submitted its findings to Governor Simon Lalong of Plateau State. Speaking at the occasion in Government House, Jos, the committee chairman, Air Vice-Marshal Bala Danbaba (rtd) said at least 1,801 persons were killed and no fewer than 50,212 were displaced from their ancestral homes in recent attacks on communities in Plateau State. The committee said it received 55 memoranda and visited 27 camps where the IDPs were quartered.

    Further, “the committee also identified 87 villages and farmlands that were destroyed and, in most cases, annexed by … herdsmen in five local government areas.”

    Some common threads seem to link all these reports: first, security threats still persist in pockets of areas; two, the military does not seem to provide adequate and unbiased security cover to all parties in the conflicts; and lastly, the IDPs suffer enormous neglect while they cannot return to their ancestral homesteads as they have largely been taken over.

    Here is how the COCIN delegation reported it to President Buhari: “The narrative has been that these people are killed by unknown gunmen, or suspected herdsmen, or that there have been farmer-herders clashes. All these are deceptive narratives deliberately framed to conceal the truth and continue to perpetrate the evil…”

    Just like in Plateau State, Benue State literally broke out with a rash of IDP camps after the heavy clashes between the herdsmen and indigenous farmers. Many schools were shut and converted to camps. There are also large camps in Abuja and in such other states as Lagos and Edo.

    While it is noteworthy that the clashes seem to have reduced both in frequency and intensity in the last couple of months, we urge the Federal Government to put more effort to ensure that the various conflicts become a thing of the past. The report of miseries and pains prevalent in the camps are troubling and unacceptable.

    What is required to put a closure both to the conflicts and even the camps is as much, presence of mind and perspicacity than funding. Foreign countries and international agencies have been most helpful and would do much more if government shows more commitment.

    As we have canvassed before, there may be need to appoint a conscientious and credible coordinator to direct the affairs and lead all the efforts at finding a closure to the tragedy known as IDP camps. The camps are a veritable blight on the nation and must be closed in the shortest possible time. And if we may add: no new camps must emerge.

  • Staggering statistics

    Staggering statistics

    •Gov. Shettima discloses the number of widows, orphans, etc. and shows how much help Borno needs

    HAS Boko Haram gone out of our sights? No evidence points to that. We have seen, in spite of its being degraded, that the outlaw group has continued to wreak havoc. Yet we understand that it has failed to work for the past year, at least as a standing army with lethal capacity to mow down whole communities.
    In the past weeks, we have witnessed the group make young, innocent girls act as suicide bombers who walked stealthily and unobtrusively into public places like markets and schools and mosques and allow themselves to detonate and kill citizens.
    It has raised concerns as to whether our intelligence agencies have fully come round to the new tactic of the militants. But the new way of keeping the nation on its knees reveals that the Boko Haram sect has lost its main power and may be manifesting its last holdouts.
    But this holdout could last for longer than we expect and strike terror in citizens, turning routinely peaceful activity and areas on edge.
    But this is also a time to look at the bigger picture. As we have witnessed in the past years, many of the towns and villages under the severe control of the Islamic zealots have become free and are gradually coming to terms with a place they knew, where they worked, slept and worshipped and laughed turned into a strange place. They have to change from being aliens in their own town. And it is a struggle.
    Borno State Governor, Kashim Shettima, gave the world a sense of the devastation the people and the rest of Nigeria are confronted with. “The Boko Haram insurgency has led to the deaths of almost 100,000 persons going by the estimates of community leaders over the years,” noted the governor.“ Two million, one hundred and fourteen thousand (2,114,000) persons have become internally displaced as at December of 2016 with five hundred and thirty seven thousand, eight hundred and fifteen (537,815) in separate camps; 158.201 are at official camps that consist of six centres with two transit camps at Muna and Custom House, both in Maiduguri.
    “There are 379,614 IDPs at satellite camps comprising Ngala, Monguno, Bama,Banki,Pulka, Gwoza, Sabon Gari and other locations in the state; 73,404 were forced to become refugees in neighbouring countries with Niger having 11,402 and Cameroon, 62,002. We have an official record of 652,311 orphans who are separated and unaccompanied. We have 54,911 widows who have lost their husbands to the insurgency and about 9,012 have returned to their communities…”
    The following paints a picture of a people who cannot recognise who they were and have to reconcile themselves to lost husbands, lost means of livelihood, lost homes, lost parents, and so on.
    The implications are still dire. The Federal Government and the Borno State government have demonstrated in public their intention to restore their lives. But this will take not only time but enormous resources. Reports have shown that some individuals like Aliko Dangote and institutions like the United Nations have devoted significant resources to the place, the Federal Government needs to mobilise also a sense of urgency to their plights with a big information blitz.
    Governor Shettima has started within resources to rebuild schools, homes and healthcare. He will need a lot more help. More importantly, the sort of poor governance that birthed the violence must not repeat itself, especially the sort under Shettima’s predecessor, Ali Modu Sherrif, who looked away when he should have stanched the bloodletting at its initial stage.

  • WAEC releases statistics on Nov/Dec WASSCE

    WAEC releases statistics on Nov/Dec WASSCE

    Only 29.33 percent (67,713) of the 237,154 candidates who sat for the November/December 2015 West African Senior School Certificate Examination (WASSCE) for private candidates made credits and above in at least five subjects, including English and Mathematics – which is the minimum O Level requirement for admission into tertiary institutions.

    The statistics was contained in a statement issued by the Public Affairs Department of the West African Examinations Council (WAEC) yesterday – a day after the Head of National Office (HNO), Mr Olutise Isaac Adenipekun announced the release of the results to journalists but declined to publicise that bit.

    The statement simply read : “?A total of 67,713 candidates, representing 29.33% obtained credits in 5 subjects and above, including English Language and Mathematics.”

    On Thursday, while annou?ncing the release of the results, Adenipekun had explained that judging performance based on the number of those that had five credits and above including English and Mathematics was misleading because the November/December diet of the WASSCE is regarded as a  make up examination for many candidates.

  • ‘Nigeria needs quality statistics for proper national development’

    ‘Nigeria needs quality statistics for proper national development’

    After several years of relentless efforts to ensure that statistical quality is given appropriate attention in national development agenda, the Nigeria Statistical Association, NSA, has secured the National Assembly’s consent with the passage of the Chartered Institute of Statisticians of Nigeria (CISON) Bill. In this interview with a select team of Business Editors, the National President of the Association, Dr. Mohammed Tumala, speaks on what the country stands to benefit by professionalising statistical practice. SIMEON EBULU was there.

    Nigeria’s developmental strategies appear not to have placed much em-phasis on statistics as a tool for national development until recently. What has the country lost for relegating statistics to the background in the past?

    You cannot measure and monitor national development without statistics. You cannot also possibly get the right mix of policies that will work if statistics is not used in planning. For coming to realise at this hour when nations have moved forward far ahead of Nigeria, that we need statistics, the country has lost an important ingredient in human activity and that is time.  Unfortunately, it is not only time that we lost, knowledge and technology has moved far beyond our comprehension, our people are poor, our society is not cohesive. It has really left us at the bottom of the rung of human development.

    The World Bank has taken much interest in supporting the country’s statistical development through manpower and institutional capacities building. How have these impacted on the quality of official statistics in the country?

    The National Strategy for the Development of Statistics was implemented with support from development partners. The involve-ment of the World Bank has affected the fortunes of statistical infrastructure in the country positively. It unified the National Databank and the Federal Office of Statistics; it resulted in the provision of legal backing for a system with clear demarcation of responsibilities for the production of official statistics. In particular, the production and dissemination of macroeconomic statistics like output, prices, monetary and international trade data has improved in terms of methodology, frequency and timeliness. However, more work is required in the areas of social, sanitation and environmental statistics, and some aspect of financial statistics, particularly public and private corporate finance.

    What is your assessment of the performance of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and how can this be improved on?

    The NBS has transformed the Nigerian statistics environment. As earlier mentioned, national output is now produced on quarterly basis, prices are available on monthly basis, and many more other macroeconomic variables. These are now released electronically to all users impartially. It is complying with international standards in the production of data. However, government seemed to be gradually withdrawing its support for the new agency in terms of financing. Governance responsibilities were also assigned to persons without technical capacity in data production, while routine surveys necessary for data production remained unfunded. At the helm of affairs and the clearing house of the Nigerian Statistical System is the Governing Board of the NBS, Government needs to appoint technically competent persons on the Board to manage technical responsibilities. Government needs to understand clearly the processes of the NBS and fund data production as a capital project or as an investment.

    The CISON Bill has been passed by the National Assembly. How would it impact on the practice?

    The time has come for statistics to have its way. There is the growing demand for data in the country. The National Assembly has realised that its functions become more effective when statistics is available. Quality statistics can only be produced by professional statisticians who are guided by documented code/ethics of practice and adore their profession. Indeed, many of the members of the National Assembly we interacted with wish to see the statistics profession practiced like the accounting profession in the public service where the Statistician General recruits, trains and posts statisticians to all ministries under a unified condition of service. That will be the next step we shall take as soon as Mr. President assents to the CISON Bill. For now, we have been challenged to produce quality data for Nigeria.

    What does this portend for national capacity building for Nigeria’s statistical system?

    Presently, those who wish to practice as statisticians can either go through one of our educational institutions or attend the NBS statistics school with campuses in three locations. And, in almost all MDAs, we have people who found themselves posted to PRS departments and are not statisticians by training. CISON will provide training opportunities for non-statisticians and retraining for statisticians for enhanced professional practice. This will go a long way in complementing government training programmes. CISON will also provide avenues for knowledge sharing and professional interaction that would bring about professional bonding. This has the potential of growing public confidence in the statistics being produced, and hence its use.

    Getting the enabling law is one thing and mobilizing members for bodies like yours is another. Do you have strategies in place to make NSA more visible in the public domain?

    CISON is ready for take-off from day one. The Bill has provided for transition from NSA to CISON. The NSA over the years has been collecting CISON development levy from members specifically for the smooth take-off of CISON on establishment. In addition, the NSA is an old organisation that I, for instance, have known before graduation. The level of awareness is high, active participation in NSA activities give statisticians advantage in recruitment and promotions. Students of statistics look forward to becoming members on graduation. I may be right to say that we have a very high level of awareness within the statistics and allied professions.

    In most professional bodies, examinations are conducted to admit new members while old ones are elevated to Fellows or other positions in recognition of their contributions to the development of their bodies. Is NSA likely to adopt this approach?

    Sure; that is the appropriate way to go and we shall adopt it. What makes the statistics profession different is the need for close monitoring of practice. The data we produce and publish are aggregates of numbers collected on individuals, firms, government agencies, etc. High professional ethics and compliance establishes trust and confidence in those who provide the numbers. If such trust is not there, they give you wrong numbers and you have no way of knowing.  If the numbers are wrong, aggregates will be wrong and consequent policies inappropriate. In addition to examinations, CISON will also monitor non-disclosure and sincerity in data collection.

    National Planning is at the heart of nations’ development globally. What is your advice to the present government on national planning for development?

    First, the National Planning Commission, NPC, should be the focal point for economic management playing the role of coordination of fiscal and monetary policies, and development plan implementation. As the custodian of the nation’s strategic plans, the NPC should play a leading role in the budget process since the budget is the cost component of the national plan. Secondly, over the years the level of monitoring of plans/budgets implementation has become almost absent. The NPC and state planning offices should be empowered to monitor and evaluate the implementation of strategic plans and annual budgets which are short term components of the plan.

    What is your take on the belief that the time for Nigeria to prioritise statistical data development is now, especially when revenue is dropping fast, causing concern for the socio-economic transformation of the country?

    The dimensions of human behaviour are becoming more complex by the day. Populations have become so mobile, economies are becoming service driven and so dependent on IT and global information. No economy can therefore be possibly insulated from vulnerabilities from global markets developments. The way to go is for policy makers to understand all sources, detect early emerging vulnerabilities and take counter cyclical actions. Statistics is possibly the only scientific way of understanding sources and timing of shocks to economic growth. I think the present government has taken the right step so far in its consultation with the national planning commission and we hope that this is sustained.

    What roles do you think your association could play in improving fiscal efficiency?

    Statistics plays a leading role in public or national finance. Economic theory anticipates leakages in the circular flow of money, either within the domestic economy or between domestic and other jurisdictions. It is statistics that provides an idea on the size and direction of leakages. When government spending is high and human development measures are deteriorating, that statistics indicate leakage. When the country’s exports are consistently far more than its imports, and its external reserves depleting, that statistics indicate leakage. We know that easiest way to fight financial corruption is through data mining. As a country, we have invested in infrastructure that are currently producing huge volumes of data like; the BVN registers, national ID, driving licenses, international passport, bank transactions, phone calls, social media usage, etc. Organisations like the DSS and EFCC should develop their capacities to use information from these sources and take proactive steps to curb financial corruption. Financial corruption can be reduced to the barest  minimum by mining banking data alone. Most countries have gone beyond data mining and have migrated to the so called “big data”, which is data large in quantity and diversity, and high in frequency of availability to understand human behaviour. Analog methods cannot fight crimes anymore.

    Do you have plans to take statistics as a course of study to universities and other tertiary institutions where it is not being offered now? If yes, how and when?

    CISON will work with training institutions on curriculum development, assist in improving the skills of teachers and retraining of practicing statisticians in data production. Statistics as a course has become more popular with students than most physical science subjects because of its cross-cutting content.  Most universities will therefore on their own establish a course in statistics or mathematics and statistics. CISON will focus on improving the learning environment in existing departments rather than establishing new departments.

     

  • Ekiti: ‘Statistics prove our popularity’

    Ekiti: ‘Statistics prove our popularity’

    The All Progressives Congress (APC) in Ekiti State has described the opposition’s boast that it will unseat the APC in the June 21 governorship election as “a fairy tale.”

    In a statement by its Publicity Director, Segun Dipe, APC said: “There are only two political groups in Ekiti State today. The first is the APC and the other is the Association of Confused Politicians.

    “The boast by the opposition to dislodge the Dr. Kayode Fayemi administration in the coming election is a fairy tale. It is grossly unsupported by available statistics. Such high hopes by opposition parties to win the election, despite their noticeable shortcoming, is comparable with that of a patently lazy student, who never reads but is always announcing that he would make distinctions in his papers. This is what is referred to as dead on arrival.

    “When the campaigns begin, those in the opposition will be boasting of what they will do, while the APC will be pointing at what Fayemi has done. He has built roads and empowered people. The social welfare package is there and he has developed tourism. He has created several opportunities for men and women. Women are particularly more enhanced. The aged are happy; the youths are happy; the working class is happy and everybody is praising Fayemi for his good work. Christian and Muslim clerics have made his performance the subject of their sermons.

    “Those in the opposition are disorganised and disoriented. They are busy searching for the right candidate among the many jostlers, while we have the most marketable candidate in the incumbent governor.

    “They are seeking power and support from strange gods in Abuja and elsewhere, while we look up to God and the people to re-enact our winning ways. They trust in horses and chariots while we trust in God and the people. They are beating the drums of war while we are beating that of peace.”

    On its membership registration, the party said: “Within the first few days of the exercise, about 300,000 people registered and we are still counting. These are people with faces and home addresses. This figure is exclusive of the apolitical and the statute-barred, such as civil servants. It is dominated by the aged and artisans, who value the good work of Dr. Fayemi. Pitting this figure against the total voting population, one could see that APC members are in the overwhelming majority and they will make their votes count for the party.

    “Outsiders should keep their distance from the Ekiti election and allow the people to elect the person they love. Anything contrary may return the people to the dark days of seven years, seven governors.

    “Ekiti people are conscious of their past in the hands of ignoble politicians and will not want to return to their Egypt, having experienced life in the Promised Land. They have showed their love for the party of their choice by registering as members. They have felt the weight of water and that of oil and they now know which is heavier.”

  • World Bank to Nigeria: quality statistics key to identifying challenges

    World Bank to Nigeria: quality statistics key to identifying challenges

    World Bank Country Director Ms Marie-Francoise Marie-Nelly yesterday said there could be no meaningful design, development or evaluation of national strategies without quality statistics to identify socio-economic challenges.

    Speaking in Abuja at the opening of a two-day National Statistical User Satisfaction End-line workshop, which was organised by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in collaboration with its development partners, she said the importance of strong statistical systems to enhance the country’s ability to control and monitor its development could not be over-emphasised.

    Represented at the occasion by Mr. Alain Gaugris, the Country Director said World Bank is committed to supporting statistical development in the country.

    She noted that the Statistics for Result Facility (SRF) which is currently being managed by the bank was meant to improve the legal and institutional framework of the Nigerian Statistical system at the national and sub-national levels.

    She added that the workshop had become imperative in order to sustain the dialogue between users and producers of statistics with a view to better meet the demand for official statistics.

    However, Statistician-General, NBS, Dr. Yemi Kale said the National Strategy for the Development of Statistics (NSDS) which is currently being implemented by government was targeted at transforming the Nigerian statistical system for effective and efficient service delivery.

    Kale said survey had shown marked improvement in the usage of official statistics noting that baseline figures for relevance of the usage of official statistics had climbed to 97.1 percent from 90.91 percent while the use of official statistics for economic and social information had also risen to 83.3 percent from 78.1 percent.

    Represented by the Director, Real Sector and Household Department, NBS, Mr. George Oparaku, the NBS boss further emphasised the need for all stakeholders to support the implementation of the NSDS in order to provide the country with comprehensive, timely and reliable statistics.

    He said the pilot phase of the NSDS/SRF project would effectively terminate by end of February, 2014 while negotiations were at advanced stage for a successor project that would commence immediately.

    The pilot phase currently covers Anambra, Bauchi, Edo, Kaduna, Niger and Ondo states while the second is expected to cover all the 36 states, including the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) as well as ministries, departments and agencies of government (MDAs).

  • Varsity gets  Statistics dept

    Varsity gets Statistics dept

    The Federal University of Technology, Akure (FUTA), has begun moves to establish a Department of Statistics in the School of Sciences.

    The Vice-Chancellor Prof Adebiyi Daramola, who addressed a team from the National Universities Commission (NUC), Abuja, which conducted a verification on the splitting of Department of Mathematical Sciences into the Departments of Mathematics and Statistics, described the FUTA’s departments as matured in terms of manpower and infrastructure.

    Daramola, who spoke through his Deputy (Academics), Prof Adedayo Fasakin, explained that the Department of Mathematical Sciences, had earlier given birth to the Department of Computer Sciences, which has in turn produced successful graduates.

    A professor of Mathematics from the University of Benin S. C. Omosigho, and a member of the two-man team, explained that the team was to verify facilities in the Department of Mathematical Sciences and the preparedness of FUTA to establish the new department.

  • Still on Senator Enang’s lie with statistics

    Still on Senator Enang’s lie with statistics

    The power of propaganda, as an aphorism goes, lies less in its systematic and deceptive distortion of the truth than in the willingness of people, generally speaking, to be lied to. This willingness to be deceived is possibly the only, certainly the best, explanation of how many otherwise knowledgeable individuals, institutions and pundits in the country swallowed Senator Solomon Ita Enang’s recent mendacity on the sacred floor of the Senate that Northerners controlled 83% of the country’s oil wells, hook, line and sinker.

    Predictably, my column to that effect last week drew a lot of flack. Of the 47 texts and the odd email or two I received in reaction, the vast majority supported the senator. Several, including one from +2348183916532, warned me not to “insult our senator for revealing the truth to Nigerians.”

    Another from a reader, who simply called himself Godfrey (+2348076823815), quoting Thomas Carlyle’s words about every man having a coward and a hero in his soul, described the senator as “a man who has a hero in his soul.” He then proceeded to give me some words of advice on how one should “learn how to accept the truth, no matter how bitter.”

    Another reader, Ubong Joseph, texting from +2348023262979, was less charitable. “Mr. Mohammed Haruna,” he said, “l’ve just finished reading your piece on Senator lta Enang’s submission on ownership of 83% of Nigerian oil blocks by your brothers and your comments is yet an indication that as a typical Northerner the “Food is Ready” and “Share the Money” syndrome of the North must be maintain(ed) indefinitely by your Northern Cabal. For actions and comments like this, may the soul of Lord Lugard never, never Rest in Peace for that forceful Amalgamation in l9l4.”

    Elsewhere much of the reactions to the senator’s claim have been no less supportive than those of the three above. One of the most interesting, I believe, came from “General” Ateke Tom – yes, he of the war-lord fame from the Niger Delta. The reader, I am sure, can readily recall that only last August, the respected New York Wall Street Journal, published a damning article which exposed how he, along with four other former war-lords, received the princely sum of $40 million a year from the Presidency, ostensibly to stop oil theft in the region. Ateke Tom’s share of the fees, the newspaper said, was $3.8 million.

    The scandal, obviously, was not just that the payments were under the table. Worse, no services were ever delivered in return; oil experts have said there have been more oil thefts in recent years than at any time before these payments of what was clearly protection money to the ex war-lords.

    In a full page advert in Thisday of March 11, “General” Tom, writing as “Leader” of IZON IKEMI which he described as “a nascent group of concerned Nigerians drawn from the Ijaw speaking states of the Niger Delta,” praised Senator Enang for his “patriotism” in exposing the way the villainous Northerners have cornered the oil wealth that did not belong to them.

    IZON IKEMI, he said, “heartily commends the patriotism of Senator Ita Enang… for exposing the deceit in the oil sector of our nation.”

    Senator Enang may be a hero and a patriot for many in making his claim, but anyone who really cared for the truth would never have needed more than to merely scratch the surface to see that his claim was anything but the truth.

    The simplest way to get the most authentic facts is to get the oil authorities, specifically the Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR), to publish the list of all the oil wells we have in this country and their ownership. If I want to prove the senator wrong, one reader said quite sensibly, I should get my facts and publish it.

    Well, I tried ahead of today’s column and made little headway; Dr Omar Farouk, a spokesman of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) said his department didn’t have the figures and directed me to the DPR. I called the director, Mr Osten Olorunsola, several times on the 14th of this month and got no response. I then sent him a text identifying myself and requesting for the list. I was yet to hear from him as at the time of this writing. And I wasn’t really surprised; a mutual friend, who is an expert in the oil business, had asked for the same information and was refused.

    However, even without DPR publishing the list there has been sufficient information in the public domain for any sensible person to see through our senator’s mendacity. For example, back in 2007, Mr. Basil Ominyi, then Chief Executive Officer of Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria, by far the country’s biggest oil producer, told Corporate Nigeria, an annual guide for business, trade and investment in the country partly sponsored by NNPC, that his company produced over 40% of Nigeria’s oil and supplied 75% of its commercial gas. He also claimed that the company’s mining area of 31,000 square kilometres “contained more than half of Nigeria’s oil and gas reserves.”

    In the same interview, he pointed out that NNPC’s joint venture with his company, along with similar ventures with ExxonMobil,ChevronTexaco, ConocoPhillips – all three from the U.S. – Eni from Italy and Total SA from France, accounted for nearly 95% of Nigeria’s oil production. The ownership structure of all six joint ventures is between 55 and 60% in favour of NNPC. In terms of management control, Northern presence in all six is virtually nil, or at best marginal.

    Commonsense – which, alas, seems so uncommon in our essentially malicious politics – should instruct us that the dominance of our oil industry by the giant oil multinationals has left less than 10% for ownership by our local oil companies. Anyone who imagines that Northerners controlled 83% of this leftover from the Big Boys need only refer to the list of the indigenous oil companies and their owners which Olusegun Adeniyi, the authoritative and well-informed Thursday columnist of Thisday and the chairman of its editorial board, published last week, to see that his imagination is precise only that – imagination, and a wild one at that.

    Before Segun, Government, an in-depth investigative weekly publication in the stable of Leadership newspapers which looks like a cross between a Sunday newspaper and a newsmagazine, had published a three-page list of all the actors in the oil business, including the multinationals, the local companies, the service companies and the drillers, etc, in its edition of February 4. Even the most casual examination of the lists in the two newspapers will give the lie to our senator’s claim of the ownership structure of the country’s oil wells.

    The motive for that lie is obvious, or should be, to any reasonable observer of our politics; divert the public’s attention from the bigger culprits for the short, nasty and brutish lives of the hapless people of the oil producing Niger Delta. And the bigger culprits are no other than the leaders of the region themselves, including, of course, our distinguished senator and the ex war-lords of the region like Ateke Tom, who have been living it off in Abuja and other big cities of the country since the declaration of amnesty for the region’s militants several years ago.

    Few Nigerians have captured the level of culpability of the region’s elite for its woes than, first, Chief Edwin Clark, the self-declared leader of the region, and second, Chief James Ibori, the jailed ex-governor of Delta State.

    More than five years ago, Chief Clark told The Nation (August 11, 2007) that the governors of the region were the most corrupt in the country. “Nigerians,” he said, “are worried why the recent activities of EFFC resulting in the arrest and trial of certain governors in the country have not affected the former governors of the Niger Delta who were known all over the country and the world as the most corrupt and investigated governors by the EFFC.”

    Long before Chief Clark, the jailed Chief Ibori provided probably the biggest insight into the cause of the Niger Delta’s predicament of poverty in oil riches. Lamenting the self-exile in far-awayAustralia of Dr. Eric Opia as the fugitive boss of OMPADEC, the precursor of NDDC, the governor told the since rested Post Express (July 11, 2001) “Our son Opia is on the run today. Those that stole OMPADEC money are still walking the streets. Those that ate OMPADEC money are not from the Niger Delta. If Opia took money actually and embezzled it, yes he is our son. The money is still within the region.”

    Clearly, it is this inexplicable attitude among the likes of Chief Ibori that only those from the Niger Delta should be free to steal the region blind, and not any perceived control of the region’s oil wealth by outsiders, which is the principal source of the region’s predicament.

    Those who all too readily jumped at Senator Enang’s blatant mendacity to blame outsiders for the problems of the Niger Delta should be honest enough to accept that scapegoating others is no solution to those problems.

     

  • A senator’s lying  with statistics

    A senator’s lying with statistics

    I do not know whether Senator Solomon Ita Enang was being Machiavellian or he simply intended to tell a “noble lie” when he claimed on the floor of the Senate last Wednesday in the course of his contribution to the debate on the controversial Petroleum Industry Bill, that Northerners controlled 83% of the oil wells in the Niger Delta.

    Whatever his purpose, his claim, I am sure, would be hard to beat as the crudest attempt yet by any Nigerian politician to lie with statistics. This, I must say, makes the way the Nigerian media has reported and commented on his claim as if it was the truth and nothing but the gospel truth, even worse.

    Among the elementary rules of reporting are balance, fairness and verification of all claims and allegations. But even without crosschecking the facts, simple logic alone would’ve exposed the senator’s claim as untenable; everyone knows that all sectors of the oil business in Nigeria are dominated through and through by the oil majors, all of them foreign.

    Of course facts sometimes defy logic. However, the oil business is not one of those exceptions that confirm the rule.

    In its edition of September 23, 1991, the rested Citizen newsmagazine I managed did a prize winning cover story on the move by the Federal Military Government under General Ibrahim Babangida to facilitate the indigenization of the upstream sector of the oil business.

    The 14 companies whose bids succeeded were owned by a judicious mix of the wealthy from all sections of the country, including Alfred James owned by the Ooni clan, Moncroief owned by Esama of Benin, Summit Oil owned by Chief M.K.O. Abiola and Queens Petroleum owned by the Ibru clan.

    Even more importantly in the light of Senator Enang’s claim, most of the oil blocks owed by Northerners were, as pointed out by Toyin Akinosho, the publisher of the well-regarded Africa Oil and Gas Report, in an article on Premium Times online newspaper of March 7, unproductive – and have remained so to date. Anyone interested in the truth about the ownership of Nigeria’s oil industry should search for and read the article.

    If the senator’s manipulation of statistics is worrisome, worse can be said of the media. In apparently swallowing the senator’s story hook, line and sinker, we failed the elementary test of verification, balance and fairness.