Tag: stock market

  • ‘Stock market’s N100tr milestone sign of renewed confidence’

    ‘Stock market’s N100tr milestone sign of renewed confidence’

    President Bola Ahmed Tinubu yesterday said the historic N100 trillion market capitalisation attained by the Nigerian stock market was a powerful signal of renewed confidence in the Nigerian economy.

    He said the performance of the Nigerian stock market was reflective of the overall economic outlook and a clear evidence of the perception of foreign and domestic investors about the Nigerian economy.

    He said: “With the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) crossing the historic N101 trillion market capitalisation mark, the country is witnessing the birth of a new economic reality and rejuvenation”.

    According to him, the rally at the stock market underscores a fundamental shift in how Nigeria is perceived by global investors.

    “Nigeria is no longer a frontier market to be ignored—it is now a compelling destination where value is being discovered. As the stock market reflects the entire economy, its stellar performance is a significant indicator of the country’s economic health and the confidence investors have in our economy,” Tinubu said.

    Nigerian equities continued their rally yesterday with the aggregate market capitalisation of all quoted equities at the NGX rising by N137 billion to close at N102.82 trillion.

    READ ALSO: Kano’s unfolding power game

    The All Share Index (ASI)- the value-based common index that tracks all share prices at the NGX gained 214.80 points to close at 160,806.56 points.

    Nigerian equities had closed 2025 as one of the world’s five best-performing stock markets. The ASI- which doubles as Nigeria’s sovereign equities index, closed 2025 with a full-year return of 51.19 per cent, equivalent to net capital gain of N32.13 trillion.

    The NGX yesterday said the performance of the market mirrored the success of the macroeconomic reforms of the President Tinubu’s administration.

    Group Managing Director, Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group) Plc, Temi Popoola, commended President Tinubu for providing the policy clarity and reform momentum that have bolstered investor confidence.

    He said: “This milestone underscores the success of ongoing reforms and the Exchange’s commitment to market depth, transparency, and inclusive growth. The capital market has responded positively to improved macroeconomic coordination and clear reform direction, creating an enabling environment for sustainable investment. It validates our focus on market development, innovation, and creating an environment where both local and global investors can deploy capital with confidence”.

    Popoola assured that the NGX Group would continue to collaborate with regulators and stakeholders to attract quality listings, deepen liquidity, and expand retail participation, reinforcing our position as a catalyst for sustainable economic growth.

    President Tinubu noted that the performance of the Exchange in 2025 stood out globally despite difficult conditions in many economies.

    “In 2025, while many of the world’s markets struggled with stagnation or tepid recovery, the NGX All-Share Index was on the ascent. It closed 2025 with a 51.19 per cent return, higher than the 37.65 per cent recorded in 2024. This performance ranks among the highest in the world. Year-to-date returns have significantly outpaced the S&P 500, the FTSE 100, and even many of our emerging-market peers in the BRICS+ group,” President Tinubu said.

    He said the broad-based gains across sectors pointed to resilience and innovation among listed firms.

    He said: “On the NGX, we have witnessed remarkable performances from listed companies across all sectors. From blue-chip industrial giants that have localised their supply chains, to a banking sector that has demonstrated resilience and technological innovation, Nigerian companies are proving that the country can deliver strong returns on investment”.

    He added that the outlook for new listings remained strong, with major implications for market depth and ownership.

    “The pipeline for new and upcoming listings looks robust. More indigenous energy firms, tech unicorns, telecoms, and infrastructure-heavy entities are seeking to access the public market to fund their expansion. As these firms are listed, they will boost market capitalisation and deepen democratic ownership of the Nigerian economy,” President Tinubu said.

    He said the milestone at the NGX marked an inspiration for the investing public in the money and capital markets, urging Nigerians to deepen their investments in the domestic economy.

    The President said the market rally was an indication of the wider macroeconomic improvements flowing from his reform agenda.

    In a statement  by his Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, the President framed the NGX milestone within a broader national journey.

    “We are not celebrating the superlative stock market performance in isolation. We are also celebrating the microeconomic effects of our reforms. After the initial headwinds that followed our reforms, we are finally seeing a bend in the inflation curve. Crucial monetary tightening and the removal of distortionary ‘Ways and Means’ financing have restored stability to the Naira,” Tinubu said.

    He assured that 2026 would deliver even stronger returns as the government’s economic reforms continue to gather momentum.

    He said: “Nation-building is a process, not a destination. Hard work, sacrifices, and the focus of its citizens build a nation. The N100 trillion market capitalisation is a signal to the world that the Nigerian economy is robust and productive.

    “As your leader, I pledge to continue working unrelentingly to build an egalitarian, transparent, and high-growth economy that will be further catalysed by the historic tax and fiscal reforms that came into full implementation from January 1”.

    He pointed out that policy actions and sectoral investments were already yielding results, noting that investments in the agriculture sector have contributed to a consistent decline in inflation over the past eight months. From a 24-month high of 34.8 per cent in December 2024, inflation decelerated to 14.45 per cent by November 2025, with projections indicating it could dip to 12 per cent in 2026.

    The President assured that the government would consolidate on the gains of the previous year with sustained focus on key fundamentals of the economy.

    He said: “Indeed, inflation is likely to fall below 10 per cent before the end of this year, leading to improved living standards and accelerated GDP growth. The year 2026 promises to be an epochal year for delivering prosperity to all Nigerians”.

    Tinubu also highlighted improvements in Nigeria’s external position, citing current account and trade data.

    He said: “Also noteworthy is the status of our nation’s current account, a valid measure of our overall economic health. In 2024, Nigeria posted a surplus of $16 billion. According to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), our current account balance is projected to rise to $18.81 billion in 2026, up from $16.94 billion in 2025”.

    On exports and reserves, the President said Nigeria was increasingly producing and trading more competitively, with Nigeria now exporting more and importing less of what it can produce locally. Non-oil exports surged by 48 per cent by the third quarter of 2025, totalling N9.2 trillion. Exports to Africa alone rose by 97 per cent to N4.9 trillion. Manufacturing exports increased by 67 per cent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025, suggesting a strong close to the year.

    “Nigeria’s foreign reserves have crossed the $45 billion mark, giving the Central Bank the firepower to maintain stability. The Naira has stabilised, moving away from the volatility that once fuelled speculation. The Central Bank of Nigeria, in its latest outlook, projects foreign reserves will cross the $50 billion threshold in the first quarter of 2026,” Tinubu said.

    The President also drew attention to infrastructure and social sector improvements underway, saying “we are also seeing an expansion of the rail networks, the completion of major arterial roads and the revitalisation of our ports. With the transformative Lagos-Clabar and Sokoto-Badgry superhighways, the nation’s infrastructure is growing.”

    He said progress was also being recorded in healthcare and education.

    “Our medicare facilities are improving, and medical tourism costs are declining. Our students benefit from the Nigeria Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), and universities are receiving increased research grants,” Tinubu said.

  • Stock market capitalisation hits N101 trillion

    Stock market capitalisation hits N101 trillion

    Nigerian equities hit another milestone yesterday as sustained demand by domestic and foreign investors pushed the total market capitalisation of all quoted equities above N100 trillion.

    Aggregate market value of all quoted equities at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) rose from its opening value of N99.938 trillion to close yesterday at N101.81 trillion, the first time Nigerian market reached the mark.

    Nigerian equities have so far, in the first two trading sessions of this year, rallied net gain of N2.306 trillion, building on strong momentum that had seen the market closing with a full-year net gain of N32.13 trillion.

    Average year-to-date return for the first two trading sessions stood at 2.32 per cent, sustaining a bullish outlook that placed Nigeria as one of the world’s five best-performing stock markets last year, with a full-year return of 51.19 per cent.

    The All-Share Index (ASI)- the value based index that tracks all share prices at the NGX, rose by 1.74 per cent to close yesterday at 159,218.22 points as against its opening index of 156,492.36 points.

    With more than nine advancers to every decliner, the rally at the market was driven by widespread bullish sentiment across the sectors as investors appeared to be taking early positions ahead of the release of the full-year audited results of quoted companies and resultant dividends.

    Group Managing Director, Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group), Temi Popoola, said the N101.81 trillion attainment reflects growing confidence in the Nigerian capital market.

    Read Also: Stock market’s return hits N27tr on earnings expectations

    “The equities market capitalisation crossing the N100 trillion mark is a defining milestone for Nigeria’s capital market and a clear signal of renewed investor confidence as the year begins. It reflects the market’s growing depth, resilience, and ability to respond positively to improving macro-economic conditions and structural reforms,” Popoola said.

    According to him, sustained collaboration between market stakeholders and regulators has played a key role in strengthening market credibility.

    “Over the past two years, closer alignment between market operators, policymakers, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has enhanced transparency, liquidity, and investor protection, reinforcing the Exchange’s role in mobilising long-term capital for economic growth,” Popoola said.

    Chief Executive Officer, Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Jude Chiemeka, explained that the trading trend showed that the rally was supported by improving participation and selective demand across key sectors.

    He said: “The breadth of the market tells a positive story. We are seeing strong participation across banking, industrial, and consumer stocks, alongside rising trading volumes, which suggests growing investor confidence and a more active market at the start of the year”.

    The early positive start reinforced the outlook for the Nigerian equities market, after investors netted capital gain of N32.13 trillion in 2025.

    The ASI closed 2025 at 155,613.03 points as against the year’s opening index of 102,926.40 points. Aggregate market value of all quoted equities rose from 2025’s opening value of N62.763 trillion to close the year at N99.376 trillion, representing an increase of 58.34 per cent or N36.61 trillion.

    The difference between the ASI and aggregate market value was due to additional listings recorded during the year.

    Chairman, Association of Securities Dealing Houses of Nigeria (ASHON) Sehinde Adenagbe said the market performance has strong correlation with the economic reforms of the current government.

    He said: “There is no gainsaying that since President Bola  Tinubu took office in May 2023, Nigeria’s stock market has experienced strong growth and renewed investor interest.

    ‘’The NGX All-Share Index more than doubled, rising by around 136 per cent between 2023 and 2025, with market capitalisation expanding sharply and local and foreign participation strengthening.

    He added that further digitisation of the economy and the capital market has smoothed the onboarding of the youthful demography of the country, especially through the fintech gateway created by the NGX Group.

    According to him, the market performance reflected improved macroeconomic conditions, liquidity, and investor appetite.

    He said: “We believe that these strong performances signal enhanced market confidence, partly driven by broader economic measures under the administration.

    He highlighted the enactment of the Investment and Securities Act (ISA) 2025, signed into law by President Tinubu, the removal of Nigeria from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF)’s “grey list”, and the reforms in the foreign exchange (forex) market as major impetus for the market.

    According to him, the transparency and stability in the forex market have helped to reduce distortions, improving the predictability of pricing for foreign investors and businesses.

    “Stable forex conditions have been widely cited as a contributor to increased foreign capital flows into equities and other financial instruments,” Adenagbe said.

    He, however, called for more supportive policies that encourage new listings, including moribund state-owned enterprises that can be turned around, as well as incentives for long-term institutional investment.

    “We also need more structural reforms, coordinated implementation, market infrastructure improvements and inclusive growth measures to sustain momentum and position Nigeria as a competitive driver of national economic growth and development. The issue surrounding the Capital Gains Tax (CGT) should be revisited to give the market clarity. More intentional approaches are needed to stamp out insecurity and acts of terrorism from the country as investors want to put their resources in secured environment,” Adenagbe said.

    Managing Director, GTI Capital, Mr Kehinde Hassan, said investors appeared confident about the outlook for the Nigerian economy.

    He described the stock market as the closest reflection of a country’s global economic rating, as investors are sensitive to risks.

    The double-digit 51.19 per cent return in 2025 marked the sixth consecutive bullish run for the Nigerian market. The ASI had made the top global chart in 2024 with average return of 37.65 per cent, equivalent to net capital gain of N15.4 trillion.

    The ASI had closed 2023 as one of the three best-performing markets globally. Average return for Nigerian equities in 2023 stood at 45.90 per cent, equivalent to net capital gains of N12.81 trillion.

    The market had broken its well-known previous cycle of decline in the pre-election year to record its third consecutive positive performance in 2022, with a full-year average return of 19.98 per cent, equivalent to a net capital gain of N4.455 trillion. It had closed 2021 with an average return of 6.07 per cent, equivalent to net capital gains of N1.278 trillion. In the throes of the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, it had recorded an average return of 50.03 per cent, representing net capital gains of N6.483 trillion.

    ASI closed 2023 at 74,773.77 points, as against its opening index of 51,251.06 points for the year. It had opened in  2022 at 42,716.44 points. Aggregate market value of all quoted equities had also risen from 2023’s opening value of N27.915 trillion to close the year at N40.918 trillion. It had recorded N22.297 trillion as the opening value for 2022.

  • Stock market sustains gain with N395bn

    Stock market sustains gain with N395bn

    The Nigerian stock market extended its positive momentum on Friday, marking the third consecutive bullish session.

    The market’s upward movement was driven by gains in equities like: Eunisell Interlinked, UPDC, Sovereign Trust Insurance, Universal Insurance, Daar Communications and 34 other stocks

    The market capitalisation increased by 0.42 per cent, adding N395 billion to investors’ portfolio as the market opened at N94.165 trillion and closed higher at N94.560 trillion.

    Similarly, the All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 0.42 per cent, advancing by 622.60 points to close at 148,977.64, compared to 148,355.04 recorded on Thursday.

    Also, the market breadth closed positive with 39 gainers against 23 losers.

    Eunisell Interlinked led the gainers’ chart by 10 per cent, ending the session at N48.40, UPDC followed by 9.92 per cent, finishing at N6.98 while Sovereign Trust Insurance gained by 9.51 per cent, closing at N3.57 per share.

    Universal Insurance rose by 9.09 per cent, settling at N1.20 and Daar Communications increased by 8.74 per cent, closing at N1.12 per share.

    On the flip side, Livingtrust Mortgage Bank led the losers’ chart by 10 per cent, settling at N4.50, International Energy Insurance trailed by 8.39 per cent, closing at N2.73 and Consolidated Hallmark Holdings dipped by 6.29 per cent, finishing at N4.47 per share.

    Sterling Nigeria fell by 4.88 per cent, ending the session at N7.80 while WAPIC Insurance declined by 4.55 per cent, closing at N3.15 per share.

    An evaluation of the market activity revealed decline in the market deals and value with an improvement in volume.

    A total of 480.99 million shares worth N16.78 billion were traded across 22,854 transactions, compared to 432.4 million shares valued at N16.9 billion that was exchanged in 23,665 deals earlier recorded.

    Meanwhile, transactions in the shares of United Bank for Africa topped the activity chart in volume with 59.18 million shares valued at N2.48 billion.

    Access Corporation followed with 50.39 million shares worth N1.29 billion while Fidelity Bank transacted 46.99 million shares valued at N944.02 million.

    Sovereign Trust Insurance sold 34.24 million shares worth N120.86 million and Tantalizer traded 24.56 million shares valued at N54.53 million.

    (NAN)

  • Stock market’s return hits N27tr on earnings expectations

    Stock market’s return hits N27tr on earnings expectations

    Investors in the Nigerian stock market closed weekend with net capital gain of about N27 trillion as increase in investment flows from foreign and domestic investors continued to drive demand for Nigerian equities.

    Trading data at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) showed that notable increases in share prices across many sectors saw the market with a net weekly gain of N2.16 trillion at the weekend, pushing average return so far this year to N26.87 trillion.

    The average year-to-date return of N26.87 trillion already represented an increase of N11.46 trillion on net capital gain of N15.41 trillion recorded for the whole of 2024.

    The benchmark index for the Nigerian stock market, the All Share Index (ASI) of the NGX, stands at 42.81 per cent, implying that an average investor in Nigerian equities has so far seen a 42.81 per cent increase on his portfolio. The ASI had recorded a full-year return of 37.65 per cent in 2024.

    At 42.81 per cent, Nigeria currently ranks among world’s five best-performing stock markets, in terms of returns.

    The ASI closed weekend at 146,988.04 points, about 44,062 basis points above 102,926.40 points recorded as opening index for this year.

    Aggregate market value of all quoted equities, which opened this year at N62.763 trillion, closed weekend at N93.296 trillion, representing an increase of 48.65 per cent or N30.53 trillion.

    Read Also: Stock market heading to N100tr, says Kurfi

    The difference between the ASI’s return and market value was due to unadjusted values from additional listings. The ASI is generally regarded as the benchmark return for the stock market. It doubles as Nigeria’s sovereign index in the global markets.

    A global review at the weekend showed that average returns at the Nigerian market surpassed returns in advanced markets of Americas and Europe. For instance, average returns in United Kingdom and United States of America stood at about 15 per cent while returns across the BRICS, excluding South Africa, were generally below 20 per cent.

    Market analysts have attributed the bullish performance of the Nigerian market to substantial increase in foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) and sustained demand from local investors.

    Latest report on foreign portfolio participation had indicated that foreign portfolios rose to N1.45 trillion in the first eight months of this year, 121.67 per cent above N655.47 billion recorded in comparable period of 2024.

    The report showed that foreign portfolio inflows recorded the highest pace across the major indicators with a growth of 135.16 per cent. In the two-way transaction, outflows rose by 110.33 per cent while total domestic transaction increased by 93.72 per cent over the period.

    The proportion of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in the Nigerian market increased to 21.01 per cent compared with 18.86 per cent in corresponding period of 2024.

    The FTSE Russell, a well-respected global market tracker, recently decided to place Nigeria on the Watch List for a potential upgrade to frontier market status, in what underlined the country’s increasing relevance in the global market.

    Experts said improved macroeconomic outlook and strong performance by Nigerian companies have placed Nigeria as a favourable destination for global investments.

    They noted that the stock market has remained a veritable hedge against inflationary trend, thus ensuring steady flows of domestic investments. 

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr Olatunde Amolegbe said the potential FTSE Russell upgrade was a major positive development for the Nigerian stock market.

    “It reflects renewed confidence in Nigeria’s economic direction and is likely to attract increased foreign participation, improve liquidity, and deepen the capital markets.

    “While challenges remain, especially in maintaining foreign exchange stability and macroeconomic reforms, this move represents a turning point and provides both a vote of confidence and a roadmap for sustained financial integration. If Nigeria stays the course, its stock market could witness a resurgence in investor activity and valuation growth in the coming years,” Amolegbe said.

    Chief Executive, Centre for the Promotion for Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr. Muda Yusuf, in a policy review released yesterday, said the country’s fiscal and tax reforms in the past two years have delivered substantial gains and stability.

    He noted that two landmark policy measures, notably the removal of fuel subsidy and the unification of exchange rates, have significantly boosted government revenues, expanded fiscal space and improved the capacity for public investment.

    He pointed out that while the country has been undergoing major fiscal transition aimed at strengthening revenue mobilisation, fiscal sustainability and economic resilience, the dividends are already visible.

    He noted that collections from Value Added Tax (VAT) and Company Income Tax (CIT) have increased, reflecting stronger compliance and a gradual recovery in economic activities while the subnational governments are reporting higher revenues and increased allocations to agriculture, infrastructure, and social development.

    He said: “Fuel subsidy removal freed trillions of naira in fiscal resources; exchange rate unification boosted naira-denominated oil revenues; VAT and CIT collections improved through enhanced compliance and enforcement. Despite these advances, the real fiscal impact is tempered by high inflation and exchange rate pressures. It is therefore important to assess fiscal outcomes in both nominal and real terms to maintain credible expectations and policy balance”.

    He said that that recent tax measures have introduced several positive features into the economy including reliefs for producers and priority sectors; higher exemption thresholds for low-income earners and small businesses; zero-rated VAT on essential goods such as food, pharmaceuticals, and educational materials.

    Analysts at CardinalStone said they expected Nigerian companies to sustain impressive earnings in the period ahead.

    “These expectations have been influenced by five consecutive months of moderating inflation, notable Naira stability, a shift in the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s monetary policy stance, and better-than-expected economic growth momentum,” CardinalStone stated.

  • Nigerian stock market prepares to shorten trading cycle

    Nigerian stock market prepares to shorten trading cycle

    Stakeholders in the Nigerian stock market are concluding arrangements for the transaction of the transaction cycle at the market from four days to three days, with effect from November 28, 2025.

    The trading cycle at Nigerian stock market currently operates on a T+3 settlement cycle, which means that a transaction would be formally concluded three days after the transaction day, a total of four days.

    Under the new arrangement, the market will transit to a shorter T+2 settlement cycle with effect from November 28, 2025, implying that the formal conclusion of a trade shall be within three days.

    Stakeholders expected the market to move gradually towards a T+0 settlement cycle, ensuring that sale and purchase transactions are concluded and settled on the day of transaction.

    They said a shorter settlement cycle would enhance efficiency, risk mitigation, and global competitiveness.

    Experts who spoke at a stakeholder webinar on “Advancing Market Efficiency through T+2 Settlement” hosted by the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS), said longer trading cycle created several inefficiencies within the system including elevated counterparty risk, lower liquidity, operational inefficiencies, and exposure to market volatility.

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    The Transitioning to T+2 is expected to address these limitations and align the Nigerian capital market with international best practices.

    Executive Commissioner, Operations, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Bola Ajomale said the apex capital market regulator is committed to modernising the Nigerian capital market.

    According to him, the Commission plans to move to a T+1 cycle by next year, in alignment with trends in developed markets, and ultimately move to T+0.

    “We urge all market participants to prepare for this shift and adequately engage their clients. This initiative is a critical component of our broader capital market reforms aimed at enhancing global competitiveness,” Ajomale said.

    Managing Director, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, Haruna Jalo-Waziri, said CSCS has laid extensive groundwork to ensure a seamless transition.

    Jalo-Waziri, who was represented by Mr. Adeyinka Shonekan, an Executive Director, said the clearing company has established a stakeholder-driven committee to perform gap analysis and benchmark CSCS processes against global standards across key performance metrics.

    Managing Director, Nigerian Exchange (NGX), Jude Chiemeka said the Exchange is fully ready in terms of infrastructure and product offerings.

    He noted that NGX had undertaken market-wide simulation exercises, proactive communication strategies, and set up dedicated support systems to facilitate the changeover.

    Managing Director, Lagos Commodities and Futures Exchange (LCFE), Akin Akeredolu-Ale, highlighted LCFE’s efforts on regulatory alignment, onboarding facilitation, and stakeholder education to leverage the opportunities presented by the T+2 framework.

    Head of Operations and Information Technology,  NASD Plc, Chinwe Ekeh reiterated the organisation’s preparedness through system testing, capacity building, and a sound funding strategy to support the clearing of unlisted securities under the new regime.

    Divisional Head, Depository, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, Onome Komolafe said the clearing house had carried out comprehensive infrastructure upgrade and review of operational process to ensure smooth transition.

    She said the transition would move the nation’s capital system to the league of advanced markets.

    She addressed the participants on the processes for implementation of the new settlement system, technical gap analysis, risk management, compliance framework and implications as well as the timelines and milestones.

    She added that the T+2 settlement cycle represented a significant stride towards modernising Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure and creating a more efficient, transparent, and globally-aligned financial ecosystem.

  • Stock market heading to N100tr, says Kurfi

    Stock market heading to N100tr, says Kurfi

    Managing Director, APT Securities and Funds Limited, Kasimu  Kurfi, has projected that the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) market capitalisation will surpass N100 trillion by the end of 2025, buoyed by foreign exchange stability, strong corporate fundamentals, and increased primary market activities.

    Speaking at the Mid-Year 2025 Capital Market Review and Outlook organised by the Capital Market Correspondents Association of Nigeria (CAMCAN) yesterday in Lagos, Kurfi said the second half of the year will witness improved market performance, with inflation expected to slow, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) likely to cut the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), and treasury bill yields projected to fall.

    He added that the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) should rise, while the exchange rate will remain relatively stable, creating a favourable environment for equities.

    Read Also: Stock market targets N10tr turnover with shorter settlement cycle

    According to him, the NGX will end the year stronger than 2024, with a market correction in the short term paving the way for sustained gains.

    He noted that more financial institutions are expected to recapitalise, while primary market activities will remain active in the months ahead.

    Kurfi identified key drivers of the 2025 market rally, including the elimination of foreign exchange-related losses by companies. He pointed out that in 2024, listed firms posted pre-tax foreign exchange (forex) losses of N507.2 billion, up from N359 billion in 2023, representing a combined N867 billion in losses.

     He said: “In 2025, we have seen zero forex losses due to exchange rate stability, and this has significantly boosted investor confidence,”

    ‎The APT Securities boss said the signing of the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA 25) has triggered a rally in insurance stocks, while the CBN’s bank recapitalisation programme has revived the primary market, attracting over N2 trillion in 2024, with similar volumes anticipated in 2025.

    ‎He also revealed that foreign capital inflows reached $5.6 billion in the first quarter of 2025, up from $3.4 billion in the same period in 2024, representing a 67.42 percent increase.

    ‎”Foreign portfolio investment now accounts for 27.08 percent of market participation, or N1.14 trillion, as of July 2025, compared with less than 10 percent at the end of 2023

    ‎”Domestic investors, however, remain the dominant force, accounting for 72.92 percent, or N3 trillion. Daily market turnover has also improved sharply, averaging N25–N30 billion, compared with N5 billion in previous years.

    ‎”Performance data for the year shows the NGX turnover reached N4.19 trillion for the first half of 2025, compared with N2.60 trillion in the same period in 2024. Total market capitalisation rose to N126.73 trillion from N112.6 trillion in December 2024, while equity capitalisation surged to N92.73 trillion as of August 7, 2025, from N62.66 trillion at the end of 2024.

    ‎”The All-Share Index (ASI) climbed to 146,569.35 basis points in early August, up 41.61 percent from 102,926.40 points in December 2024.

    ‎”Sectoral performance has been robust, with about half of the NGX’s 21 indices outperforming the ASI. The Nigerian Consumer Goods Index has more than doubled the market’s gains with an 81.11 per cent rise, followed by the Insurance Index at 74.18 per cent, the NGX Lotus II at 73.34 per cent, the Banking Index at 48.15 percent, the Pension Index at 52.72 percent, and the Industrial Goods Index at 53.89 per cent.

    ‎For investors, Kurfi recommended a focus on blue-chip stocks with strong fundamentals and insurance companies, particularly those that have diversified into asset management, including pension fund administration.

    ‎He advised portfolio diversification to include fixed-income instruments for balance, adding that the capital market remains the best hedge against inflation and naira devaluation in the current economic climate.

  • Stock market’s capitalisation rises to N127tr

    Stock market’s capitalisation rises to N127tr

    •Companies, govts raise N4.63tr

    Total market capitalisation of all shares, bonds and other instruments listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) rose by N14.13 trillion to close first half at N126.73 trillion as Nigerian stock market sustained a rally that has seen it as one of the world’s best-performing markets.

    Official trading data obtained yesterday indicated that total market capitalisation of all listed instruments at the NGX increased from N112.60 trillion at the beginning of the year to close the first half at N126.73 trillion, representing an increase of 16 per cent across the multiple asset classes.

    The report also showed that governments and companies raised more than N4.63 trillion during the six-month period ended June 30, 2025, underlining the continuing impact of the capital market in financing infrastructure, corporate expansion and national economic growth.

    A breakdown indicated strong momentum across multiple asset classes with the equities’ market capitalisation rising from N62.76 trillion to N75.95 trillion.  Fixed income segment remained stable at N50.56 trillion while exchange traded funds (ETFs) rose to N25.79 billion.

    Group Managing Director, Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group) Plc, Mr. Temi Popoola, said the sustained bullish trend at the Nigerian capital market was driven by regulatory clarity, macroeconomic reforms, and rising foreign and domestic investors’ confidence.

    He said the market performance was a result of a deliberate focus on structural reforms and strong regulatory engagement.

    According to him, multi-layered strategic initiatives by the NGX Group has positioned the market to support Nigeria’s economic ambitions through a more efficient and accessible capital market for all stakeholders. The NGX Group included Nigerian Exchange (NGX), NGX Regulation (NGX RegCo) and NGX Real Estate (NGX RelCo).

    Popoola, who has been credited with major initiatives aimed at repositioning the market as a catalyst for long-term capital formation and sustainable economic growth, said the NGX Group is looking beyond national boundaries to play significant roles in the regional, continental and global capital markets.

    “We have worked closely with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to enhance market transparency, drive product diversification, and strengthen investor protections. Our aim is to build a market that competes globally while remaining inclusive and resilient,” Popoola said.

    He pointed out that NGX Group is actively extending its footprints in Africa and beyond, with strategic investments and partnerships.

    He outlined that NGX Group’s investment in the Ethiopian Securities Exchange (ESX) marked a strategic push towards regional capital market integration while ongoing engagements with the Shanghai and Hong Kong Stock Exchanges on dual listings and liquidity frameworks are aimed at connecting Nigerian companies with deeper global pools of capital.

    “Our outlook is continental and global. We’re focused on removing friction in capital flow across borders,” Popoola said.

    He pointed out that sustainability remains a central theme at the NGX Group, citing the recent funding partnership with DEG Impulse to advance green finance as well as collaboration with the International Finance Corporation (IFC) to promote ESG reporting standards and green bond issuance.

    According to him, the group is also investing in financial literacy programmes and gender inclusion initiatives, thus reinforcing its commitment to a more equitable financial ecosystem.

    He noted that with its resilient performance, deepened regulatory collaboration, and expanding global partnerships, NGX Group has continued to shape the direction of Nigeria’s financial markets.

    He said with stronger macroeconomic fundamentals, rising foreign participation, and a healthy pipeline of listings, Nigeria’s capital market is poised for continued expansion.

    He said: “This is about more than growth. It’s about building the architecture for the future of African finance”.

    He assured that the NGX Group would remain focused on strengthening market depth, attracting long-term capital, and positioning Nigeria as a leading investment destination in Africa.

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    Experts were unanimous that the bullish performance at the stock market was driven by growth initiatives by the NGX Group and burgeoning gains of the macroeconomic reforms.

    Experts said many strategic initiatives introduced in 2024, including the launch of NGX Invest, a digital platform created to simplify participation in public offerings, have contributed to the market’s development. NGX Invest has expanded access to primary market instruments and played a central role in the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation, facilitating over N2 trillion in capital raised.

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr. Olatunde Amolegbe, said the market performance underlined the intrinsic values in the market.

    According to him, rising investors’ confidence in the economy and listed companies is fuelling growths in both the primary and secondary markets.

    “We’ve seen a resurgence in foreign portfolio participation in our market and this is also a contributing factor to what we are seeing in the market,” Amolegbe, a former president of Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS) said.

    Managing Director, HighCap Securities, Mr. David Adonri, said investors’ confidence has continued to soar due to stability of the financial economy and dramatic recovery of companies that were previously affected by the initial shocks of the macroeconomic reforms.

    “There also appears to be a huge influx of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), which is already evident by recent heavy oversubscription of public debts. While equities market was driven in the immediate past by sentiment generated from macroeconomic policy reforms, the current fierce rally is propelled by improving fundamentals of the economy and the market, which can continue to sustain the surge,” Adonri said.

  • Stock market targets N10tr turnover with shorter settlement cycle

    Stock market targets N10tr turnover with shorter settlement cycle

    The Nigerian stock market may set a new record of annual turnover of some N10 trillion with the planned reduction of the settlement cycle for the market from four to three trading days.

    Capital market experts yesterday agreed that the planned transition from a T+3 settlement cycle to a T+2 settlement cycle would significantly influence the turnover at the stock market.

    Nigeria’s apex capital market regulator, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), had indicated plan to cut down the settlement cycle from four days to three days, with effect from November 28, 2025. This connotes that transactions for November 28, 2025 would be settled via a T+2 cycle.

    Effective trading cycle at the market is currently four days, trading day and three days, under which a buy or sell transaction at the market is concluded or settled.

    This implies that an investor who sells a stock, for instance, on Monday, will receive value on Thursday while the buyer will also effectively receive custody of the stock same day. 

    Market analysts yesterday estimated that the transition could see Nigerian stock market hitting all-time record of N10 trillion annual turnover in the period ahead.

    Total transactions at the Nigerian stock market had risen to N2.23 trillion in the first three months of this year, its highest quarterly turnover.

    Official trading report at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) showed that total transactions at the stock market rose to N2.23 trillion in first quarter 2025, an increase 44 per cent on N1.55 trillion recorded in comparable period of 2024. The first quarter 2025 performance represented a new record for the market, driven by steady domestic transactions and upsurge in foreign transactions.

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr Olatunde Amolegbe; Managing Director, AIICO Capital, Dr Femi Ademola and Managing Director, Highcap Securities, Mr David Adonri were unanimous on the potential of the cut down in settlement cycle on the market.

    They said the impending transition might be one of many transitions towards a single-day settlement cycle, noting that the market has the technological advancement to effect a T+0 settlement for all segments of the market.

    Amolegbe, a former President of Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), said the transition would not only impact the equities segment but also the debt segment.

    “It is the global standard and the technology for it already exist at the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS). It also has a great prospect of improving market liquidity because the settlement circle for the fixed income market which is already T+2 will now be synchronised with that of the equities market. It means an investor can seamlessly switch between equities and bonds within his portfolio without having to worry about settlement mismatch,” Amolegbe said.

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    He noted that since such short trading cycle is the global standard, it would also help foreign investors synchronise their settlements in their global portfolios without worrying about of Nigeria, which could allow foreign investors to trade more on Nigerian assets.

    Foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) now accounts for more than one-third of transactions at the Nigerian market, as against the situation in the previous year when foreign transactions amounted to about one-seventh of the market’s turnover. 

    First quarter 2025 report showed that total foreign portfolio transactions rose by 281.9 per cent from N213.18 billion in first quarter 2024 to N814.05 billion in first quarter 2025.  The proportion of participation by FPIs increased from 13.77 per cent in first quarter 2024 to 36.47 per cent in first quarter 2025, the highest so far.

    “It’s a good move. My hope, however, is that we move quickly towards a T+1 circle for all securities,” Amolegbe said.

    Ademola, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), said liquidity is the backbone of market turnover and a shorter trading would greatly improve the turnover.

    He said: “The capital market relies on liquidity; hence any action that leads to improved liquidity will benefit the market. The reduction in transaction settlement period by one day will have a positive effect on market liquidity and the number of transactions that can be completed in a year.

    “While we look forward to a time when transactions can be settled in real time, this is a positive movement that would help the market”.

    Adonri said the transition from T+3 to T+2 would increase the speed of cash settlement and delivery of securities.

    “It is capable of increasing market liquidity as investors can recycle their cash or securities a day earlier than before. For active traders, it can also reduce interest in borrowed funds by a day. This can be substantial if the volume of transaction is voluminous. T+2 is another vital step towards T+0 which is the ultimate goal,” Adonri said.

    SEC stated that the planned transition was sequel to a comprehensive review of the current settlement cycle in the Nigerian capital market and extensive engagements with stakeholders.

    The Commission expected the migration to have a significant impact on the profile of the Nigerian capital market by enabling improved liquidity, risk mitigation and global alignment.

    SEC noted that the transition would lead to an expedited settlement process, which allows investors to access their funds more quickly and enhance overall market liquidity.

    According to the Commission, the reduction would automatically lead to reduction in exposure to counterparty risk, thereby contributing to a more stable and resilient market.

    It pointed out that alignment with international best practice would reposition Nigeria as a more competitive and attractive destination for both domestic and foreign investors.

    SEC urged all market participants, including brokers, dealers, broker-dealers and custodians to update their systems and processes to ensure the effective implementation of the new settlement cycle.

    The Commission urged Investors to consult their brokers and investment advisers to understand how the new settlement cycle may impact their transactions and investment strategies.

  • Foreign investors drive stock market to record N2.23tr turnover in three months

    Foreign investors drive stock market to record N2.23tr turnover in three months

    • Foreign portfolios rise by 281.9%
    • FPIs now account for one-third of market

    Total transactions at the Nigerian stock market rose to N2.23 trillion in the first three months of this year, its highest quarterly turnover.

    Official trading report at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX)  reviewed yesterday showed that total transactions at the stock market rose to N2.23 trillion in the first three months of this year, an increase 44 per cent on N1.55 trillion recorded in comparable period of 2024.

    The first quarter 2025 performance represented a new record for the market, driven by steady domestic transactions and upsurge in foreign transactions.

    Foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) now accounts for more than one-third of transactions at the Nigerian market, as against the situation in the previous year when foreign transactions amounted to about one-seventh of the market’s turnover. 

    The latest report showed that total foreign portfolio transactions rose by 281.9 per cent from N213.18 billion in first quarter 2024 to N814.05 billion in first quarter 2025.  The proportion of participation by FPIs increased from 13.77 per cent in first quarter 2024 to 36.47 per cent in first quarter 2025, the highest so far.

    Domestic investors have also shown sustained strong appetite for quoted equities with a turnover of N1.42 trillion in first quarter 2025 as against N1.33 trillion in first quarter 2024, representing a modest increase of 6.2 per cent. The proportion of domestic investors’ transactions however dropped from 86.23 per cent of total market turnover in first quarter 2024 to 63.53 per cent in first quarter 2025.

    The report indicated upbeat across the buy and sell sides of foreign transactions. Foreign inflows jumped by 321.6 per cent from N93.37 billion in first quarter 2024 to N393.68 billion in first quarter 2025. Outflows, on the other hand, increased by 250.9 per cent from N119.81 billion in first quarter 2024 to N420.37 billion in first quarter 2025.

    Experts attributed the upbeat at the stock market to the increasing attractiveness of the Nigerian market to foreign investors, ongoing economic reforms, resilient earnings by Nigerian companies, exchange rate differential, ongoing banking recapitalisation and the reform in the oil sector.

    FPI transactions at the NGX had more than doubled from N410.62 billion in 2023 to N852.03 billion in 2024. The increase in foreign transactions supported resilient domestic demand to push NGX to its highest-ever turnover of N5.587 trillion in 2024. It had recorded N3.578 trillion in 2023.

    Managing Director, AIICO Capital, Dr Femi Ademola, said Nigerian equities have become very attractive to both foreign and domestic investors.

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    “The equities market has become very attractive, mostly due to the devaluation of the currency which make the shares very cheap, especially to foreign investors. The very strong half-year performance reported by corporates especially banks and the corporate actions that followed the announcements have also driven many investors to the equities market. Finally, the lack of volatilities in the bond market makes it unattractive to investors, thus they flock to the equities market,” Ademola, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), said.

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr Olatunde Amolegbe, said the ongoing banking recapitalisation and the reforms in the oil sector have driven more investors to the market.

    “We’ve seen increasing return of foreign portfolio investors, I understand the turnover by FPIs has grown significantly in the last few months. This can be attributed to the weaker naira that makes Nigerian stocks a bargain for FPIs. Secondly, new listings such as Aradel also boosted investors’ appetite for stocks. This can also be seen in the light of the approval of the Exxon Mobil’s acquisition by Seplat by the Federal Government. Thirdly, the banking recapitalisation exercise along with impressive second quarter reports have continued to attract investments towards that sector,” Amolegbe, a former president of Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), said.

    Managing Director, HighCap Securities, Mr David Adonri, said the banking sector has contributed substantially to the growing turnover at the stock market.

    “The recapitalisation of banks is orchestrating demand for their shares even in the secondary market. Highly capitalised stocks in the petroleum sector have also been upbeat. Finally, investors have also reacted positively to the big interim dividends declared by banks,” Adonri said.

  • Investors eye N20tr gain from stock market

    Investors eye N20tr gain from stock market

    Investors in stock market may earn more than N20 trillion as capital gains in 2025 as resilient corporate earnings and reforms offer prospects of stronger inflows of foreign and domestic investments.

    Median estimate of projections on the outlook for the Nigerian stock market reviewed yesterday indicated that the market could sustain its double-digit return, with capital gains in excess of N20 trillion in 2025.

    Experts projected that the average capital gain on Nigerian equities for the year could be within a midpoint of about 31 per cent, with a tilt towards a more bullish possibility.

    This implies a probable net capital gain of about N20 trillion, as against N15.4 trillion recorded in 2024.

    The sample included experts’ reports from Afrinvest West Africa, Cordros Capital Group, Arthur Steven Asset Management and CardinalStone among others.

    Aggregate market value of all quoted equities at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) had opened closed 2024 at N62.763 trillion. The benchmark index for the equities market- the All Share Index (ASI) had closed 2024 at 102,926.40 points.

    The analyses predicted that the market value of all quoted companies could be in excess of N80 trillion on the basis of increases in market values of quoted companies.

    Additional listings could see equities’ market capitalisation at a milestone of N100 trillion, according to a more bullish projection.

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr Olatunde Amolegbe, said the outlook for the Nigerian stock market remains positive.

    According to him, Nigerian equities could see average capital gain of 39 per cent, with the market expected to benefit from the ongoing market capitalisation, macroeconomic reforms and attractive valuation of the Nigerian market.

    He said Nigeria has relative market attraction, a key factor in attracting increased foreign portfolio inflows (FPI).

    He noted that the ongoing bank recapitalisation would boost investor confidence, while high-profile listings such as Dangote Refinery are expected to enhance market liquidity and broaden investment opportunities.

    ” Overall, the 2025 outlook for the Nigerian stock market remains optimistic, bolstered by strategic reforms, policy adjustments, and improving investor confidence. While challenges such as exchange rate instability and inflation persist, key sectors are positioned to drive market performance and deliver strong returns for investors,” Amolegbe said.

    Cordros Capital modelled three scenarios with the two highest probabilities that the equities market may return between 23.0 per cent and 61.0 per cent in 2025.

    Afrinvest projected average return of more than 30 per cent, citing the positive sentiment for the Nigerian market.

    “Our prognosis for 2025 suggests a positive risk assessment amid macroeconomic and market dynamics. On a base case, we anticipate a 30.4 per cent gain from improved sentiment towards ongoing bank recapitalisation exercise, new listings, resilient corporate earnings and expectation of CBN’s monetary policy easing in second half 2025,” Afrinvest West Africa stated.

    A double-digit return in 2025 will mark the sixth consecutive bullish run for the Nigerian market. The ASI had made the top global chart in 2024 with average return of 37.65 per cent, equivalent to net capital gain of N15.4 trillion.

    The ASI had closed 2023 as one of the three best-performing markets globally. Average return for Nigerian equities in 2023 stood at 45.90 per cent, equivalent to net capital gains of N12.81 trillion.

    The market had broken its well-known previous cycle of decline in pre-election year to record its third consecutive positive performance in 2022, with full-year average return of 19.98 per cent, equivalent to net capital gain of N4.455 trillion. It had closed 2021 with average return of 6.07 per cent, equivalent to net capital gains of N1.278 trillion. In the throes of the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, it had recorded average return of 50.03 per cent, representing net capital gains of N6.483 trillion.

    ASI closed 2023 at 74,773.77 points as against its opening index of 51,251.06 points for the year. It had opened 2022 at 42,716.44 points.

    Aggregate market value of all quoted equities had also risen from 2023’s opening value of N27.915 trillion to close the year at N40.918 trillion. It had recorded N22.297 trillion as opening value for 2022.

    Amolegbe, who explained the pricing dynamics at the stock market, had noted that the market performance could only be interpreted that investors were reacting to the positive outlook for the economy.

    “Firstly, the stock market is a forward-pricing market, meaning that it tends to adjust for consequences of policy ahead of their impact being felt on the ground. So, while the populace is feeling the immediate negative impact of various policies, the market is betting that the end result of those same policies will be positive for the economy in the medium to long run, which is why we are seeing the bullish sentiments we have witnessed so far. We must also recognise that the market has the capacity to correct sharply if this does not turn out to be the case.

    “Secondly, we must also recognise that increasing inflation rate and the impending banking recapitalisation programme are empirically positive in terms of accretion to the stock market even if the main street may perceive them as negative in the meantime,” Amolegbe, a former president of Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS) said.

    More than a double in foreign transactions and sustained upbeat by domestic investors had pushed total transactions at the Nigerian stock market to its highest level by the third quarter 2024.

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    Official trading report reviewed showed that total transactions at the stock market had risen to N3.97 trillion in the first nine months of this year, the highest third quarter turnover according to available official records of the market.

    The 2024 performance represented a new record against the market’s turnover in third quarter 2023, when the market had set a high of N2.71 trillion. The closest records were in 2018 and 2014 when the market recorded N2.01 trillion and N2.04 trillion respectively.

    The latest report also showed almost a double in the participation of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in the Nigerian market, a situation that analysts attributed to the attractiveness of the Nigerian stocks and the relative liquidity occasioned by foreign exchange (forex) reforms.

    The proportion of participation by FPIs increased from 9.51 per cent in third quarter 2023 to 17.56 per cent in third quarter 2024, the highest in the past three years.

    Total foreign transactions at the NGX grew by 170.1 per cent from N258.02 billion in third quarter 2023 to N696.88 billion in third quarter 2024, the highest in six years.

    While forex differential contributed to FPIs turnover, domestic investors have also shown sustained strong appetite for quoted equities with a turnover of N3.27 trillion in third quarter 2024, higher than total transactions in previous years of the market. Total domestic transactions had stood at N2.45 trillion in third quarter 2023.

    However, the increasing participation of foreign investors has reduced the proportion of domestic investors participation from 90.49 per cent in third quarter 2023 to 82.44 per cent in third quarter 2024.

    Experts attributed the upbeat at the stock market to the increasing attractiveness of the Nigerian market to foreign investors, ongoing economic reforms, resilient earnings by Nigerian companies, exchange rate differential, ongoing banking recapitalisation and the reform in the oil sector.

    Managing Director, AIICO Capital, Dr Femi Ademola, said Nigerian equities have become very attractive to both foreign and domestic investors.

    “The equities market has become very attractive, mostly due to the devaluation of the currency which make the shares very cheap, especially to foreign investors. The very strong half-year performance reported by corporates especially banks and the corporate actions that followed the announcements have also driven many investors to the equities market. Finally, the lack of volatilities in the bond market makes it unattractive to investors, thus they flock to the equities market,” Ademola, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA), said.

     “We’ve seen increasing return of foreign portfolio investors, I understand the turnover by FPIs has grown significantly in the last few months. This can be attributed to the weaker naira that makes Nigerian stocks a bargain for FPIs. Secondly, new listings such as Aradel also boosted investors’ appetite for stocks. This can also be seen in the light of the approval of the Exxon Mobil’s acquisition by Seplat by the Federal Government. Thirdly, the banking recapitalisation exercise along with impressive second quarter reports have continued to attract investments towards that sector,” Amolegbe said.