Tag: Uche Uwaleke

  • 2018 Budget: Experts canvas for harmonious relationship between executive and legislature

    Experts have called on the executive arm of government to work closely and harmoniously with the legislators in future budget preparations.

    By working harmoniously, it is believed that there will be less friction and delay in the passage of the budget.

    Speaking exclusively to The Nation on the recently passed and signed 2018 budget and the concerns raised by President Muhammadu Buhari over the tinkering of the budget by the National Assembly, two economists, Professor Uche Uwaleke of Nasarawa State University and Odilim Enwegbara an economic analyst noted that cooperation between both arms of government remains the safest way to an acrimony free budget process.

    According to Odilim Enwegbara a development economist and financial expert who serves as Chairman/CEO at Pan Africa Development Corporate Company (PADCC) “the executive will be better off involving strategic committees the National Assembly at earlier and every other stages of designing the budget so that once it comes to the lawmakers it becomes easy to sell, having participated in making important inputs at all the stages of its designing.”

    Odilim Enwegbara said he completely sympathizes “with the president given his current frustration that our federal lawmakers have introduced projects that have not been fully given cost/benefit analysis, including procurement and implementation planning, but then, I also believe that given the president’s politics that lacks broad national interest that presents all Nigerians as his equal constituents, it is understandable why our federal lawmakers have take away from the president the allocation of projects in a way that it would be just and fair to all Nigerians.”

    On his part, Prof Uche Uwaleke, Head of Department, Banking and Finance of Nasarawa state university and the first Professor of Capital Market told The Nation that “there is no doubt that bringing them (legislators) in at an early stage will help solve this problem. Last year, the National Assembly increased the budget, the year before last same thing happened leading to allegations of padding.”

    According to Prof. Uwaleke, “the important thing is that both arms have to work together. Right now the fate of the 2018 budget hangs in the balance it is starting late, elections are around the corner, by February we have elections, this is June it means it is going to extend up June 2019 and the first term will end by May 29, we have lost a lot of ground already but let’s see how much can be gained.”

    Read Also: 2018 Budget: NIM boss expresses concern over alterations

    Prof. Uwaleke said he was “happy that the President inspite of the concerns that he raised agreed to accent to the appropriation bill and he also promised to work with the National Assembly to ensure that the budget cycle goes back to the January-December cycle.”

    He lamented that the “implementation of the budget has been negatively affected by the delays over the years. Particularly for this one, it’s more like an ill wind that won’t blow the economy any good.”

    Uwaleke noted that “every sector has been feeling the pinch, the stock market has been bleeding since January partly on the account of the budget delay because when you delay passing the budget, investors don’t have a clear direction of where the government is headed so many of them sit on the fence until a clear direction is provided by the budget document.”

    The budget document he said “is a tool of government for delivering on priorities, so that direction needs to be clear before investors can take a position, that’s part of the reason why the market experienced downward trend compared to what we had in January.”

    Prof. Uwaleke said he did see any justification for the cuts made by the National Assembly to critical capital elements of the 2018 budget noting that “we are yet to hear from them, I don’t think it is proper for the National Assembly to tinker with capital project of strategic national importance.”

    The buck he said “stops at the table of the president, the executive formulates these policies so if the policies are in line with the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) of the federal government, the National Assembly is supposed to key into it and help the president to realize his objectives, so I am not in support of the cuts that they made.”

    He added that “whatever the case is whether or not they are carried along there is no justification for cutting capital projects. What I expected them to have done is, there is projected increase in revenue, you go ahead and increase your own constituency projects because the National Assembly is entitled to being used as a vehicle for delivering dividends of democracy not just the executive arm, because when we elected them even though their functions are well spelt out, but the reality is that the people don’t assess them based on these functions. When you go there (National Assemble) and spend eight years and you have not done anything for your people they won’t happy about it.”

    On his part, Odilim Enwegbara argued that Nigerians should “not forget that this being an election season, lawmakers being the true grassroots representatives of the Nigerian people are bound to showcase federal projects they have brought to their constituents, the same people who may or not reelect them come February 2019.”

    He cautioned the executive arm of government to, “let this be a lesson to the executive that it’ll be better off involving strategic committees of the National Assembly earlier and at every other stage of designing the budget so that once it comes to the lawmakers it becomes easy to sell, having participated in making important inputs at all the stages of its designing.”

  • TSA: Buhari govt saves N24.7bn monthly

    TSA: Buhari govt saves N24.7bn monthly

    The All Progressives Congress (APC)- led federal government has received high performance ratings in the management of the nation’s economy, even as the government has continued to save up to N24.7 billion monthly as a result of Treasury Single Account (TSA) policy.

    A professor of Economics from the Nassarawa State University Uche Uwaleke who gave an in-depth assessment of the achievements of President Muhammadu Buhari within the last two and half years in office, also revealed that about N108 billion has been saved from removal of maintenance fees payable to banks before TSA.

    Speaking Monday in Abuja at the week-long leadership training programme organised under the auspices of the National Committee of Buhari Support Groups (NCBSG) for its coordinators nationwide, prof. Uwaleke said the sudden and unexpected drop in crude oil price from a peak of US$114.6-O/bbl in June 2014 to under US$30] bbl by February 2016 created financial crises for the government.

    “Effective implementation of the Treasury Single Account, entrenching transparency and accountability. N108 billion has been saved from removal of maintenance fees payable to banks before TSA. The nation is being saved N24.7 billion monthly with the full implementation of the TSA and implementation of the Bank Verification Number (BVN), thus tackling corruption by plugging loopholes for siphoning of public fund and tracking of illicit funds through multiple accounts

    According to him, Buhari led administration has expended over N1.2 trillion on capital/infrastructure projects nationwide last year was a milestone in the nation’s history.

    “Improvement in transport infrastructure (rail and road); construction work ongoing on the Lagos-lbadan Expressway, renovation of Abuja international Airport runway, completion of Abuja Kaduna Railway among others.

    “Support to states: Bailout of cash crunch states; about N689 billion to 27 states of the federation to pay salaries in 2015. Complete refund of Paris loan deductions to states (unprecedented) played a part.”

    On Social investment, Uwaleke said N-Power Volunteer Scheme has created jobs for over 200,000 unemployed graduates in all the 36 states and the FCT.

    “Ongoing Government Enterprise and Empowerment (GEEP) Scheme; commenced in November 2016 in collaboration with the Bank of industry, where soft loans ranging from N10, 000 to N100, 000 have been given to over 189,000.

    “Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) scheme, under which about 25,000 less privileged Nigerians so far are now being funded with the monthly NS,000 stipend in 9 pilot States (Bauchi, Borno, Cross Rivers, Ekiti, Kwara, Kogi, Niger, Osun and Oyo). More beneficiaries are expected to be added in more states.

    “Nigeria successfully issued two Eurobonds (US$4.5bn), a Sukuk Bond (100 billion Naira), a Diaspora Bond (US $300m), and the first Sovereign Climate Bond in Africa, raising billions of dollars for infrastructure spending. This is testimony to investors’ confidence‘

    “The federal government launched a Tax Amnesty scheme (VAIDS) designed to increase tax awareness and compliance, and reduce incidence of tax evasion. The Voluntary Income and Asset Declaration Scheme is expected to ramp up non-oil before it closes in March 2018.”

    Earlier, the Chairman of the Board of Trustees of the group, Senator Abu Ibrahim who was represented by Zakari Aliu said the aim of the training was to help build effective leadership capacity among the members of the support group ahead of the next general elections.

    He added that the group who receive such training will help in spreading the message of the successes recorded by President Muhammafu Buhari’s administration.

    One of discussants, Dr. Ben Obi of the department of Economics University of Abuja, also gave his assessment of Buhari led government said the APC government has been able to deliver successfully some of the promises made in 2015.

    Read Also: FG saves N24.7bn from TSA, IPPIS/BVN monthly – Buhari

  • NSE loses N370bn on Tuesday

    NSE loses N370bn on Tuesday

    The Nigerian Stock Exchange ( NSE ) on Tuesday sustained seven-day falling streak with the market capitalisation shedding N370 billion in one day.

    The market capitalisation lost N370 billion or 2.41 per cent to close at N14.967 trillion against N15.337 trillion achieved on Monday.

    Similarly, the All-Share Index which opened at 42,737.89 lost 1,029.74 points or 2.41 per cent to close at 41,708.15 following huge losses by some highly capitalised stocks.

    Some financial experts in an interview with our reporter attributed the persistent loss to decline in global stock markets, especially in the U.S. and Europe, contributed to the bearish trend in the market.

    Dr Uche Uwaleke, the Head of Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University Keffi, said investors reactions to the global stock market trend led to sell pressure on the exchange.

    Uwaleke said drop in crude oil price following increased supply and profit taking by investors in respect of over-priced stocks, particularly those of tier 11 banks contributed to the development.

    He said relative uptick in returns from money market securities led to movement of funds from capital market to the money market securities.

    Prof. Sheriffdeen Tella, Professor of Economics, Olabisi Onabanjo University Ago-Iwoye, Ogun said the bearish trend was expected because the stock market usually reacted to economic conditions.

    “This is New Year and the budget is yet to be passed, so money is not yet being released and people need to buy lots of things.

    “Fortunately, the market was bullish recently such that the values of shares went up making it possible for profit taking,” he said.

    Tella said the bearish trend would bring new opportunities for new investors as well as old ones who would want to adjust their financial portfolio.

    He said that these investors would go the market shortly to take advantage of the lower prices of shares.

    “We will start seeing bullish activities in the market again.

    “It is the nature of the market to facilitate between bullish and bearish swings as dictated by market forces,” he said.

    An analysis of the price movement showed that Nestle recorded the highest loss depreciating by N40 to close at N1, 320 per share.

    Dangote Cement trailed with a loss of N13.30 to close at N258.70, while Nigerian Breweries dipped N5.20 to close at N127.80 per share.

    Guinness was down by N5 to close at N105, while International Breweries depreciated by N2.50 to close at N57.50 per share.

    On the other hand, Lafarge Afeica led the gainers’ table growing by N1 to close at N51 per share.

    Zenith International Bank followed with a gain of 60k to close at N30, while Berger Paint gained 45k to close at N9.45 per share.

    Access Bank increased by 45k to close at N12, while Dangote Sugar Refinery advanced by 30k to close at N21 per share.

    The banking sub-sector was the toast of investors with Diamond Bank emerging the most traded, trading 67.69 million shares worth N181.14 million.

    FCMB Group followed with an account of 49.22 million shares valued at N126.18 million, while Fidelity Bank sold 42.78 million shares worth N129.55 million.

    United Bank for Africa traded 39.16 million shares valued at N437.59 million, while FBN Holdings exchanged 32.59 million shares worth N358.64 million.

    In all, the volume of shares traded closed lower with an exchange of 470.52 million shares valued at N3.68 billion transacted in 6,309 deals.

    This was against the 517.44 million shares worth N5.19 billion traded in 5,852 deals on Monday.

    NAN

  • Why issuance of IPOs was poor in 2017 – experts

    Why issuance of IPOs was poor in 2017 – experts

    Some financial experts on Wednesday attributed the disappearance of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) in recent years to the poor state of the economy.

    The experts told the Reporter in Lagos that IPOs could only thrive in an environment where the purchasing power of the people was high.

    The news reports that IPO is the very first sale of a company’s stock to the public.

    The news reports that in spite of emergence of the NSE as the third best performing stock in the world in 2017, it recorded no IPO during the period.

    Mr Oscar Onyema, the NSE Chief Executive, confirmed recently in Abuja that IPO activity on the NSE during the period was “mute”.

    Onyema said that although the IPO segment was stagnant, activity at the equity segment of the NSE increased by 121 per cent to N1.27 trillion in 2017 from N0.58 trillion in 2016.

    Dr Uche Uwaleke, the Head of Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University,  Keffi, said that IPOs could only be successful when an economy was doing well.

    Read Also:  Long wait for new  IPOs

    He said that the success rate of an IPO would be limited in an economy characterised by weak aggregate demand because the cost of IPOs were high due to high cost of underwriting.

    Uwaleke advised that government should ensure that all its ongoing projects were completed to strengthen the economy to boost the success of  IPOs in the country.

    Prof. Sheriffdeen Tella, a Professor of Economics, Olabisi Onabanjo University Ago-Iwoye, Ogun, said that the prospect of IPOs would be higher if the current growth in the capital market and economy was sustained.

    He said that with stronger economy, many new companies would enter the stock market for long-term financing to expand their businesses.

    According to him, this will make the stock market regain confidence of investors.

    NAN

  • Decision to retain monetary policy rate by CBN is good- Expert

    Decision to retain monetary policy rate by CBN is good- Expert

    An economic expert, Uche Uwaleke, has expressed support for the continued decision by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to retain the country’s Monetary Policy Rate (MPR).

    Uwaleke, an Associate Professor and Head of Banking and Finance at the Nassarawa State University, Keffi, said this in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Abuja.

    The don noted that the rate of inflation in the country was higher than the policy rate; a development he said made the real interest rate in the economy to be in the negative.

    Uwalek explained that bringing down the MPR would further pull the interest rate into the negative territory which would not augur well, especially for foreign investments.

    He said: “The positive macroeconomic indicators witnessed in recent times are still fragile and vulnerable to oil price shock.

    “The Q2 GDP growth was chiefly driven by the oil sector.

    ‘’Similarly, improvement in capital importation was more from the highly volatile portfolio investment and retreating headline inflation is partly accounted for by baseline effect.

    “Besides, at 16.01 per cent (August), the inflation rate is significantly higher than the upper band of nine per cent set by the CBN.

    “Real interest rate in the economy is negative since the rate of inflation is higher than the policy rate.’’

    According to Uwaleke, one will have thought it was time to signal a gradual easing of the policy rate after being held at 14 per cent since July 2016, to tame high inflation and stabilise the exchange rate.

    He said that this was expected, considering the waning headline inflation, some level of stability in the exchange rate and the marginal positive growth in real GDP recorded in the second quarter.
    “A lower MPR is expected to translate to reduced lending rates, increased access to funds by the real sector and cheaper cost of capital for firms leading to more job opportunities.

    “ An accommodative monetary policy stance at this time is also expected to reduce the high cost of debt service by the government which has been crowding out public spending.

    “But this is not the case, as a reduced policy rate will not be beneficial for the country’s economy at the moment.’’

    According to Uwaleke, cognizance should be taken of the uncertainty in the global environment, especially the normalisation of interest rates in the United States.
    The don explained that the US environment had the effect of strengthening the dollar with adverse consequences for the economies of developing countries and the seemingly complicated Brexit negotiations.
    “Therefore, taken together, it does appear that the balance of risks is in favour of not tinkering with the policy configuration for the time being to give some more space for the policies to work.

    “ The primary mandate of the CBN, as spelt out in the CBN Act of 2007, is to maintain price and exchange rate stability, therefore, the decision to hold the rates is dictated by this obligation.’’

    The expert, however, noted that complementary fiscal policies were therefore required to bring about full employment and inclusive growth in the country.

    He said the implementation of the 2017 budget, especially the capital component in line with the government’s Economic Recovery and Growth Plan, should be pursued with vigour.

    According to him, the effort will ensure the success of the economic recovery and growth plan.

    NAN reports that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the CBN retained the benchmark lending rate and other monetary policy rates against a backdrop of macroeconomic stability.

    The committee also retained 14 per cent, Cash Reserve Ratio at 22.5 per cent and Liquidity Ratio at 30 per cent and Asymmetric corridor at +200 and -500 basis points around the MPR.

  • N54bn pension arrears will boost economic activities – Experts

    Some experts have commended the Federal Government for releasing N54 billion pension arrears, saying it would boost demand for goods and services in the county.

    They told the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in interviews on Friday in Lagos that the funds would stimulate economic activities.

    NAN reports that the National Pension Commission (PenCom) is expected to disburse the fund to Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) for onward payment to retirees.

    Mallam Garba Kurfi, the Managing Director, APT Securities and Funds Ltd., a PFA operator, said the release of the funds would boost economic activities through various investments.

    Kurfi, who commended the Federal Government for settling the arrears, saying that part of the funds would find their ways into the bond market, equities market and money market instruments.

    “The development is a good thing because we have many outstanding funds with PenCom; the release of the funds will go a long way in revitalising the economy,’’ he said.

    Kurfi said that PFAs, in line with their mandate to divert part of the money to investable incomes, would invest some of it in the market.

    He called on the government to avoid delays in paying pensioners, noting that some of the beneficiaries could have died before the release of the funds.

    “Pensioners should be paid as and when due for individuals to benefit from it and at the same time to kick-start economic activities”.

    Dr Uche Uwaleke, Head of Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University, said that the issue of pension arrears had always been a knotty one for the Federal Government.

    Uwaleke told NAN that state governments were equally facing the same challenge which, in most cases, were due to under-appropriation or shortfalls in projected revenue.

    He said that governments’ inability to settle salaries and pension obligations contributed significantly to the current economic recession.

    “If fund for the pension arrears is released now, it will go a long way in boosting demand for goods and services as well as stimulating the economy, thereby hastening the recovery process,’’ Uwaleke said.

    He said that adequate provisions should be made in the annual budget to avoid arrears, especially now that the contributory pension scheme is in place.

    “Government at all levels, when rationing available revenue, should accord priority to the payment of workers’ salaries and pensions of retirees.”

    Reports have it that the Federal Government, on April 6, said it had cleared inherited arrears of accrued pension benefits for 2014, 2015 and 2016 by releasing N41.5 billion and N12.5 billion for January, February and March this year.

    Mrs Kemi Adeosun, the Minister of Finance, confirmed the release of the money in a statement signed by the Director of Information in the ministry, Salisu Dambatta.

    She said the government was concerned about the plight of pensioners who retired under the Contributory Pension Scheme without being paid.

    “Despite conflicting demands for available cash, President Muhammadu Buhari has always expressed concern about the plight of workers and pensioners.

    “Consistent with this, we have released N41.5 billion, which clears the arrears inherited from the previous administration from 2013 to 2015 and underpayments in 2016.

    “This will bring relief to thousands of our elders who have served and deserve to be paid their entitlements promptly and fully.

    “The amount we paid includes arrears and the impact is that those who retired as far back as 2013, who had been unable to access pension under the contributory scheme due to non-payment, will now be paid.”

    The minister said that henceforth, the monthly allocation to PenCom, based on the 2017 appropriation, would be paid regularly along with the monthly salaries of ministries, departments and agencies of the Federal Government.

     

  • Political risk threatens FG’s economic recovery plan – Expert

    An economist, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, on Thursday identified political risk as a major threat to the successful implementation of government Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP).

    Uwaleke, the Head of Banking and Finance, Nasarawa State University, made this known in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Abuja.

    “Indeed, numerous other vulnerabilities remain but the biggest threat to the ERGP, in my view, is the political risk that received no mention under the section.

    “Nigeria’s experience over the years has shown that implementation of development plans suffer neglect whenever there is a change in government.

    “The political will argument holds water only in the context of stability in government when the conceiver (the President) is in office throughout the Plan period.

    “This condition is necessary for the success of the National plan,’’ he said.

    According to Uwaleke, a review of key economic variables over the years indicated that the penultimate and ultimate election years affect economic performance.

    The economist said that government spending usually increased in an election year, adding that this usually fuels inflation rather than encourages growth.

    He said that in 2011 and 2015, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased due to high expenditure associated with the elections.

    The economist said that the forthcoming 2019 election posed a threat to the ERGP’s goal of subduing inflation to single digit level by 2020.

    He said that the success of the ERGP would depend not only on its implementation but also on the commitment of the succeeding administration to see it through to the terminal year.

    Uwaleke, however, suggested that the country needed an enabling law to back up the ERGP.

    He said, “The idea of setting up a Delivery Unit in the Presidency to assist the Ministry of Budget and National Planning in overseeing the ERGP implementation is good but not sufficient.

    “If the Delivery Unit is not a creation of the Law, it lacks the capacity to discharge its duties.

    “To this end, the Federal Government as a matter of urgency, should forward a Bill to be known as the ‘’Economic Recovery and Growth Bill’’ to the National Assembly.

    “The Bill should take care of all issues specific to the ERGP distinct from the current Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2007 which focuses on annual budgets and the three year Medium Term Expenditure Framework.

    “ The government has barely one more year to prove that the ERGP will not go the way of its forebears.

    “ One of the key deliverables of the Plan is to reduce petroleum product imports by 60 per cent in 2018.

    “Therefore, putting in place an enabling law and passing the Petroleum Industry Bill will safeguard the country against the major threat to the ERGP.

    NAN reports that the Federal Government recently unveiled the ERGP, which contained the road map for Nigeria’s economic development.

    The four-year plan (2017-2020) envisages that by 2020, ‘’Nigeria would have made significant progress towards achieving structural economic change with a more diversified and inclusive economy’’.

    According to the plan, real GDP would grow by 4.6 per cent on average over the plan period while inflation rate would move to single digit by 2020.

    The plan outlines initiatives such as boosting oil production to 2.5 million barrels per day by 2020, privatizing select public enterprises/assets and revamping local refineries to reduce petroleum product imports by 60 per cent by 2018.

    Following the implementation of the plan, unemployment would reduce from 13.9 per cent as of Q3 2016 to 11.23 per cent by 2020.

  • Naira appreciation: Economist advises Nigerians to import less

    Naira appreciation: Economist advises Nigerians to import less

    An economist, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, has advised Nigerians to import less to sustain the appreciation of the naira at the foreign exchange market.

    Uwaleke, who is an Associate Professor and Head, Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University Keffi, gave the advice in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Abuja on Thursday.

    “ I expect a reduction in imported inflation and a general increase in the tempo of economic activities following the increase in reserves and appreciation of the naira in the parallel market,’’ he said.

    Uwaleke said the new foreign exchange measures by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) were mainly designed to ease access to foreign exchange at the official window and reduce pressure on the shallow parallel market.

    He said the measures would ultimately close the wide gap between the official and parallel market rates and in turn discourage round tripping and rent seeking.

    Uwaleke said the increased supply of foreign exchange by the CBN was made possible by the accretion witnessed in foreign exchange reserves in recent time.

    “Its sustainability will depend on continuing favorable conditions in the international oil market with regard to oil price.

    “It will also depend on the sustenance of the current relative peace in the Niger Delta region which has enabled improved production,’’ he said.

    Mr Isaac Okorafor, the Acting Director, Corporate Communications in CBN, on Tuesday said that the apex bank had injected another 100 million dollars into the interbank foreign exchange market.

    Okorafor said the fresh injection by the apex bank brought the amount so far pumped into the interbank market in the last two weeks to 1.14 billion dollars for both forwards and invisibles.