Contagion, containment and progress

COVID-19 NEWS

Dayo Sobowale

In  tribute to the highly  diseased time of the contagion that we are in,  I start with a tribute to a Nigerian leader I never met  in his life time,  the former Chief of Staff  to our President the late Abba Kyari,  who died recently from the corona virus ravaging our world for now. He  died in harness and therefore  to  me  deserves a  national  salute and I   pay   this tribute, given the circumstances of his demise and burial,  with a quotation from Shakespeare’s  Julius Caesar,  from Mark Anthony mourning  the  body   of the fallen   Caesar –‘  But  yesterday  the word   of Caesar might  have stood against the world; now lies he there /And  none so poor to do him reverence . ‘May  the soul of  the   late  Chief  of Staff, Abba Kyari rest  in peace Amen.

Let  us now go  back  to  deadly  predicament   we   are   in  with the corona virus and probe  ourselves within and without, as members of the human race on how  we can contain and defeat this  contagion before it makes ‘worms  meat  ‘of  all  of us –   to  which  I say   forcefully    God  Forbid.  Today  is not a time for any criticism on the above topic . My simple  mission here is   to say  that we must go on with our lives  here in Nigeria and the rest of the world in spite of the blind fury of the spreading corona virus . My  plea is   that  we cannot afford  to close shop  economically because of the virus because the aftermath of that  will  be more calamitous in social  and political  costs than even  the present  ordeal, which  fortunately    in our part  of the world  now  is less tragic than  those of the  nations in Europe and the US  especially.  I  acknowledge  that  the virus  falls in the domain of Medicine   which is a science   but  a solution  to it should not  be a  purely   scientific or medical  one, but a multidisciplinary  solution that weighs the containment measures along with the capability of society at   large to   absorb  such  measures  and  survive in one piece and not in mangled, angry  pieces  subsequently.  I will  illustrate  with some incidents over  the last  week  all over the world.

In  Nigeria during the  lockdown  some mischievous people sent out false  news that some communities were being attacked or were about to be,    by a  group  called   ‘One Million Boys ‘   and      there   was panic  all over.   Indeed  I  thought  one million  boys were   really   on a march   against  all of us.  The panic became worse    when ordinary  citizens saw wildly  armed youths with machetes  and cutlasses  marching about  purportedly   to defend their community against   the so called ‘Im Boys’ . Of    course  the Police  had to intervene to disarm those who  would defend their community against hoodlums , ums and looters but it is clear  this is a recipe for anarchy and the   crazy  rationale for the miscreants fomenting and spreading the false news  was the  negative  economic impact  of  the lockdown. This has led to  more false news   or   thereabout,  of thieves looting locked shops for foods and snacks  and kitchens for  pots of soups and   meat.  Which   is  a very  hunger  driven   situation,  if really true.

There  was also  the news that WASC  and  NECO  exams  have been postponed indefinitely  there by  creating unnecessary  alarm and confusion for  young people, youths in general and their parents over their  future. Such  announcements definitely  create an atmosphere of concern that society is collapsing or coming down and there is  no  way  one  can   predict  the reaction  or indignation of those involved.  Similarly  it was  announced that face masks will  be needed  by anyone venturing out during the lockdown or thereafter. That  certainly  calls  for concern  for  our Nigerian  community   which  is crime  prone  and    where the danger can be amplified when we become overnight a community of masked citizens. I  can only pity the Police and law enforcement agencies in identifying who  they are dealing with,   especially in identification parades.

As for ordinary citizens, I am sure social distance will be automatic when it is obvious that you can’t see the face of anyone you see,  and they can’t see yours either.  How that will make for good public safety or law and order in our part of the world is something one can only pray for as we suddenly become a nation of masquerades in broad daylight and at night too. Yet for now WHO said the mask is not a proof of protection against the virus.

I wish  to point out that  I  am not the only one bothered about life   during    the lockdown   but  after the pandemic altogether. I will  use the experience of Italy and the US  recently  to see how we can  learn something from their    present economic and    political predicament.  This is not to say that we need to run the gamut of their experience which was costly  in terms of thousands of deaths. The  two  nation’s scientists  worshipped  statistics such  that they waited willy nilly for a graph of deaths to peak in the hope that it will fall down and the lockdown  will be open with less deaths. We  do not need to wait to invoke such morbid statistics here, more so as we know that the two nations are already regretting and counting the costs of  allowing growing death  statistics while locking down their societies and ruining   their  economic strengths. In  the US it is the president leading the fight against the scientists to stop  the lock downs. In  Italy  there is  resurgence of the Mafia coming out to help Italians  struggling to feed themselves and  their  families during the lockdown when  government  did not live up to its obligations  and promises  to give lockdown   bail  out  to  such families.

In   Italy the news is that  the Mafia  is back  and it is  because of the economic  hardship of the pandemic lockdowns. The  resurgence  of the Mafia has been so  recognized in the EU such that a German Minister warned that any Euro COVD-19 loan to Italy  will end up in  the hands of the Mafia because the Mafia has bailed out most Italians during the lockdown and they are indebted to the Mafia. Some  statistics from the EU nations recently showed that 25 % of Italians under the age of 20 are jobless, out of school  and any form of training   and   are easy prey  for jobs and deals to sustain their   lives  and future   with  the Mafia.

So  with a  looming Mafia  future, corruption and crime will  rear  their  ugly heads   in Italy  again. That  is the price in Italy  of making the solution   or   cure  of the pandemic worse  than  the disease with  lockdowns.

However, it  was  the US President Donald Trump  who  first  coined the phrase that  the pandemic ‘s  ‘remedy  should  not be worse than  the disease’   and  the US president has moved to match  his words  with action even going as far  as attacking his own chosen scientists on the matter. The reason  is not far fetched. This is an election year in the US   and  Trump  has watched the virus  disrupt and hammer down his three election boasts and campaign of a buoyant  economy,  a dominant foreign policy and a boisterous followership of his supporters which made him to   taunt  a  reporter recently that ‘people  love Trump’ .

In terms of political survival Trump needs the Lockdown to be removed or eased out in   order  to have  a normal   election  he expects  to win. If  you add to this the oil tragedy  that has US oil on a negative price  recently  you will see why  Trump  has to crush the pandemic fear and paralysis  at  all  costs      to  get  American     politics  and   society  back on course. He  has gone ahead to encourage those   states’   governors    and  protesters    willing to follow his charge   to   stop  the lockdowns in spite of his adopting the advice of his scientists  to fight the pandemic   on lockdowns and social  distancing.   That  is  gritty pragmatism worthy of emulation by other nations and leaders including Nigeria.

To  technically   resign  ourselves  as a nation and as a  people  to the unchecked advance of a blind pandemic is to  behave like   crazy  man standing in front of a raging bull. That  certainly  is suicidal particularly for  our economic needs and future  as well as our political stability. We  need to sidestep this  raging pandemic like  the Matadors in the  bull  fights in Spain, where  unfortunately they   forgot  or  ignored   their Matador   Bull   fight  strategy   this time  around.  The  result    is that   thousands of Spaniards  have been killed  in this  pandemic,     although      this   is a far   cry   from   the  50 million  killed     world wide  in  the Spanish flu   of 1918.  Let  us learn from history  and retool  our kits to kill this  virus at minimal   societal  cost   and     mortality.

Once again long live the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

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