2023 Census: Bad timing

By Peter Ovie Akus

SIR: President Muhammadu Buhari has announced the indefinite postponement of the proposed population and housing census which was scheduled to take place this month. This is coming on the heels of two earlier postponements by the outgoing administration. The new date will be determined by the incoming administration.

The Minister of Information and Culture, Lai Mohammed, in a statement, said: “The president further directed the commission to continue with preparations for the conduct of the 2023 Population and Housing Census in order to sustain the gains already recorded and provide the basis for the incoming administration to consolidate these achievements.”

Some political commentators queried the decision by the government to hold a census in 2023. One reason is that it makes zero financial sense to hold two money-consuming projects (elections and census) in a year. The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) spent over N300 billion to conduct the recently concluded polls.

Pre-census expenditure alone by the National Population Commission (NPC) on the proposed census is almost N300 billion. That is over N600 billion put together. Another reason is because both projects are highly contentious and divisive, and there is a need to heal properly from one, before engaging in the other. If not, we risk a conflagration which might lead to unnecessary loss of lives and undermine the credibility of both exercises.

Every census in Nigeria since the first in 1866 has been controversial and disputed. The colonialists carried out different censuses largely for the purpose of estimating tax revenue. It was shunned by most of the natives who lived in the hinterlands. After independence, censuses were seen as measures to determine the allocation of political power and economic resources. This led to inflated figures in different regions of the country.

In 1973, the figures were so ridiculous that the chairman of the body tasked with the assignment of organising the census, Sir Adetokunbo Ademola, petitioned the Head of State, General Yakubu Gowon, to disregard it. To avoid the tension generated by previous censuses, there were no provisions for religion and ethnicity in the 1991 and 2006 censuses.

Ordinarily, we ought to have a census every 10 years. The last census was held in 2006. Another should have been held in 2016. But the Buhari administration was unable to raise the resources for the exercise within a year of assuming power to do the needful.

Population census is critical to development. It is important to modern socio-economic planning and should not be treated with levity. The incoming administration should take it seriously starting with the intensive mobilisation of citizens through the Federal Ministry of Information, National Orientation Agency (NOA), and collaboration with state and local governments. All hands must be on deck to deliver a credible census.

• Peter Ovie Akus, akuspeter@gmail.com

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