Author: The Nation

  • Significance of Oyedepo’s appointment as DPP

    Significance of Oyedepo’s appointment as DPP

    • By Kehinde Olamide Ogunwumiju

    The appointment of Mr. Rotimi Iseoluwa Oyedepo (SAN) as Director of Public Prosecution (DPP) by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR, represents a significant milestone in Nigeria’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its criminal justice system and entrench the rule of law.

    The decision reflects the administration’s broader objective of building a credible, efficient, and corruption-resistant legal framework by appointing individuals of proven competence, integrity, and professional distinction to strategic public offices.

    A nation’s greatness is inseparably tied to the strength and integrity of its legal system. Nigeria’s post-independence legal evolution has been marked by deliberate attempts to combat corruption, promote accountability, and ensure justice across public and private sectors. Within this context, the appointment of Mr. Oyedepo as DPP is a commendable step toward consolidating these reforms, particularly in criminal prosecution and asset recovery.

    The Directorate of Public Prosecutions (DPP)

    The Director of Public Prosecutions is the principal officer responsible for conducting public prosecutions on behalf of the Attorney-General of the Federation (AGF). The constitutional foundation of the office is Section 174 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended), which vests in the AGF the authority to initiate, take over, and discontinue criminal proceedings. These powers may be exercised personally or through delegated officers, chief among whom is the DPP.

    The DPP occupies a critical position within the justice system, ensuring that prosecutorial decisions are professional, evidence-based, and insulated from political interference. The role involves advising the AGF on whether cases should be prosecuted, discontinued, or appealed, while safeguarding fairness, public interest, and constitutional guarantees.

    Key responsibilities of the DPP include:

    1. Instituting Criminal Prosecutions

    The DPP evaluates cases and determines whether criminal charges should be filed. Subject only to the supervision of the AGF, he also authorises or assumes control over prosecutions initiated by agencies such as the EFCC, NPF, and ICPC, ensuring coherence and consistency across the prosecutorial system.

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    2. Supervision and Control of Prosecutors

    The DPP provides guidance on evidence assessment, prosecution strategies, and courtroom conduct, ensuring prosecutions are impartial, diligent, and aligned with the public interest.

    3. Appeals, Advice, and Legal Opinions

    Subject to the AGF’s approval, the DPP authorises appeals in appropriate cases, especially where convictions are overturned, sentences are manifestly lenient, or significant questions of law or public policy arise. The DPP also advises law enforcement agencies and government departments on prosecution-related matters, reinforcing adherence to due process and the rule of law.

    Historical Development of the Office of the DPP

    The Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions was formally established following Nigeria’s 1960 Independence Constitution, becoming a distinct entity within the Federal Public Service. Its independence and authority have been consistently reaffirmed in successive constitutions, culminating in Section 174 of the 1999 Constitution.

    The rationale for the Office’s creation was to ensure prosecutorial autonomy, enabling objective decisions on prosecutions and charges on behalf of the Federal Government. The first DPP, Mr. Gilbert Chukwudike Nonyel, QC, served until 1964. The office has since evolved in response to Nigeria’s expanding legal and anti-corruption landscape.

    Professional Profile of Oyedepo

    Mr. Oyedepo was called to the Nigerian Bar in 2008 and subsequently joined the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), where he served for over 15 years. During his tenure, he handled diverse prosecutorial assignments and rose to become Head of the EFCC Monitoring Unit, responsible for overseeing and coordinating major cases.

    In recognition of his exceptional advocacy and prosecutorial expertise, he was conferred with the rank of Senior Advocate of Nigeria (SAN) in 2022. His professional strengths lie in prosecuting complex financial crimes, money laundering cases, forfeiture proceedings, and large-scale asset recovery. Beyond the EFCC, his expertise was further acknowledged through his appointment in 2023 as Special Assistant to the President on Financial Crimes and Public Prosecution Compliance.

    Mr. Oyedepo’s career has been distinguished by numerous accolades, including EFCC Outstanding Staff of the Year (2014) and Best Financial Crimes Prosecutor (2019). He is widely regarded as incorruptible, meticulous, and uncompromising in the discharge of his duties.

    Significant Cases Handled by Oyedepo

    Landmark cases handled by Mr. Oyedepo, illustrating his influence on Nigeria’s anti-corruption jurisprudence, include:

    1. Dame Patience Jonathan v. EFCC (2019, SC)

    Mr. Oyedepo led the EFCC’s defence of interim forfeiture orders over funds suspected to be proceeds of unlawful activity. He successfully argued that non-conviction-based forfeiture under Section 17 of the Advance Fee Fraud Act is constitutional, civil in rem, and consistent with fair hearing principles. The Supreme Court upheld his arguments, cementing the legality of civil asset forfeiture in Nigeria.

    2. Dame Patience Jonathan v. FRN (2018, CA)

    The Court of Appeal affirmed the constitutionality of interim forfeiture proceedings and reinforced the EFCC’s power to preserve suspected proceeds of crime without prior conviction. Mr. Oyedepo’s advocacy strengthened Nigeria’s asset recovery framework.

    3. EFCC v. Bello (2025, CA)

    In this case involving a sitting Governor, Mr. Oyedepo successfully argued that constitutional immunity under Section 308 does not apply to civil in rem forfeiture proceedings. The Court of Appeal restored an interim preservation order and clarified the limits of immunity in asset recovery cases.

    4. EFCC v. Kogi State & Ors (2023, CA)

    The Court of Appeal set aside an ex parte injunction restraining the EFCC from investigating alleged financial misconduct. The decision protected the statutory mandate of anti-corruption agencies and curtailed judicial overreach.

    5. Dauda Lawal v. EFCC (2020, CA)

    While the Court set aside a forfeiture order on fair hearing grounds, the case illustrated judicial insistence on procedural compliance and the evidential burden on the prosecution.

    6. P&ID v. Federal Republic of Nigeria

    Mr. Oyedepo played a key role in domestic prosecutions that supported Nigeria’s successful challenge to a $6.6 billion arbitral award in England. The English courts set aside the award on grounds of fraud and corruption, marking a major victory for Nigeria.

    Implications of Oyedepo’s

    Appointment

    Mr. Oyedepo’s appointment as DPP carries far-reaching implications for Nigeria’s criminal justice system. His extensive experience in prosecuting high-profile and politically sensitive cases equips him to strengthen prosecutorial efficiency, coherence, and credibility. His leadership is expected to enhance asset recovery initiatives, reduce reliance on external counsel, and promote consistent prosecution strategies across government agencies.

    The appointment also signals the administration’s commitment to merit-based appointments and specialised expertise, reinforcing public confidence in the justice system and the fight against corruption.

    Conclusion

    The elevation of Mr. Oyedepo to the office of Director of Public Prosecution exemplifies President Tinubu’s commitment to competence, integrity, and institutional reform.

    It marks a significant advancement in Nigeria’s pursuit of effective criminal justice administration and nation-building.

    The appointment underscores the principle that sustainable progress depends on placing the right individuals in critical positions of authority, thereby strengthening the rule of law and public trust in governance.

    • Ogunwumiju, OFR, SAN, writes from Abuja

  • Labour law, unions and national security

    Labour law, unions and national security

    • By Ayomide Koleosho

    The relationship between Labour unions and the Nigerian Government has long been marked by tension and resistance. While Labour unions serve as legitimate machinery for protecting workers’ interests and promoting industrial peace, their influence has extended into the political and security spheres of the nation.

    The legal foundation for union activities rests on the recognition of workers’ rights to freedom of association enshrined in the Constitution. However, the increasing tendency of Labour actions to disrupt essential services and national infrastructure raises an unsettling question about where legitimate industrial agitation ends and a threat to national security begins

    Are Labour unions defenders of workers’ rights or threats to national security? Should a strike for fair wages be met with negotiation or suppression? These questions have haunted Nigeria’s labour landscape for decades. In earlier times, Labour unions were considered as the bedrock of democratic resistance and social justice. As time went on, the resistance characteristics of these unions created tensions with the Government causing them to be portrayed as enemies of stability. From colonial resistance to shutdowns in the modern day, the tension between organised labour and the state has never been far from the headlines. And today, the question is far from settled. The recent standoff between PENGASSAN and the Dangote Refinery has once again reignited debates around the role of unions in Nigeria’s economic and political stability. Are we witnessing the legitimate fight for labour rights or the rebranding of activism as a security threat?

    A deeper understanding of these issues requires an examination of the historical roots of the relations between the Nigerian State and Labour Unions, the legal and political frameworks, and how recent events continue to blur the line between national interest and workers’ rights.

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    History of labour unions

    The first formal trade union in Nigeria was formed in 1912 during the colonial era. It was called the Civil Service British Workers’ Union. Their activities initially were initially focused on labour conditions. They sought modest improvements in working conditions rather than engaging in collective bargaining or industrial action. However, the growing discontent among Nigerian workers over discriminatory wage structures and poor working conditions gradually fostered a stronger sense of solidarity and activism. This resulted in an anti-colonial agenda.

    A significant turning point came with the enactment of the Trade Union Ordinance of 1938, which granted legal recognition to trade unions and introduced a framework for their registration and regulation. Following this milestone, several unions emerged. Examples include the Railway Workers’ Union (RWU), the Post and Telegraph Workers’ Union, and the Nigerian Union of Teachers (NUT). The growing activities of these unions culminated in the General Strike of 1945. The strike was led by the charismatic labour leader Michael Imoudu. The strike lasted for 45 days and united over 40,000 workers in a coordinated demand for wage increases and cost of living allowances. Beyond its economic motives, the strike became a symbol of national unity and resistance against colonial economic injustice and laid the foundation for the political relevance of the labour movement in Nigeria. The post-strike period saw the emergence of umbrella organizations such as the Federation of Trade Unions of Nigeria (FTUN) in 1949

    The labour movement in Nigeria continued to evolve after independence. The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) was formally constituted in 1978 as the sole national federation of trade unions, merging four existing labour centres and restructuring over 1,000 unions into 42 industrial unions. This centralisation was partly engineered by the military government of the time.

    The military era particularly marked periods of intense suppression and control over labour unions. The NLC’s opposition to the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) led to its dissolution in 1988 under General Ibrahim Babangida’s regime. Similarly, General Sani Abacha’s government dissolved the NLC and proscribed unions like the National Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG) and the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) in 1994, following their agitation for the restoration of democracy. Labour leaders were frequently arrested and union meetings disrupted during these periods.

    The struggle had during the military regime actually demands more than a cursory mention. Typical of military regimes, there were widespread suppression of the rights of workers and their leaders. In 1985, the Buhari military junta proscribed the Nigerian Medical Association and (NMA) and the National Association of Resident Doctors (NARD) for going on strike to demand increase in the salaries of doctors and improvement in public hospitals. Dr. Emmanuel Akpabio and Dr. Beko Ransome-Kuti, the NMA President and the 1st Vice-President, respectively, were detained in the Kirikiri Maximum Correctional Centre under the State Security (Detention of Persons) Decree No 2 of 1984. The Alao Aka-Bashorun Chambers challenged their detention in the Lagos State High Court. It was when the case was pending that both detainees were released after they had been in prison custody for six months without trial. The leaders of the NARD fled the country when the junta wanted to arrest and detain them.

    On October 1988, the senior staff union of the defunct National Electric Power Authority (NEPA) went on a three-day strike to protest the inadequate funding of the organisation, lack of safety measures and poor service conditions. Eleven of the striking workers were later arrested and accused of sabotage. They were charged with economic sabotage before a special military tribunal that sat in Jos, Plateau State. They pleaded not guilty to the monstrous charges, but were nonetheless convicted and sentenced them each to life imprisonment. The life sentence was later reduced by the military government to 10 years. As a result of local and international outrage against the criminalisation of the strike, the military president, General Ibrahim Babangida pardoned the convicts before the end of their prison terms. 

    Not even the Legal Profession was spared by the Military. In 1993, the military Government took over the Nigerian Bar Association and handed it over to the Body of Benchers via Decree No 21 of 1993. Unbowed, the  Ikeja branch of the Nigerian Bar Association resolved unanimously to challenge the obnoxious Decree.  The firm of Femi Falana & Co., owned by foremost human rights lawyer, activist and Senior Advocate of Nigeria, was instructed to handle the case on behalf of all members of the branch. The firm successfully dragged the military regime to Court and won a landmark judgment which culminated in the obnoxious Decree being declared illegal and unconstitutional. See the case of Williams v Akintunde (1995) 3 NWLR (Pt 381) 101.

    The military, having been blooded by lawyers in Court, the Sani Abacha military junta promulgated the Legal Practitioners Amendment Decree No 21 of 1994 and thereby withdrew from the affairs of the NBA.  It was the only case that a Decree was successfully challenged during the military rule.

    With the return to democratic rule, some anti-union regulations were abolished in 1999. However, the government continued to seek ways to manage union power. The Trade Union (Amendment) Act of 2005 was enacted. The Act retained the NLC as a central labour union but also allowed other trade unions the freedom to federate and form umbrella unions. It also made union membership voluntary.

    Legal framework

    The 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria: The Constitution guarantees the right to freedom of association. Section 40 provides that: “every person shall be entitled to assemble freely and associate with other persons, and in particular he may form or belong to any political party, trade union or any other association for the protection of his interests.”

    This provision forms the constitutional foundation for trade unionism in Nigeria. However, the right is not absolute. Section 45 allows for restrictions on these rights in the interest of defence, public safety, public order, public morality, or public health. It is also subject to limitations under other laws regulating labour relations and public order.

    Trade Disputes Act 2004: This Act outlines the procedure for dispute resolution. It also defines what essential services are and places restrictions on strikes within these sectors.

    Trade Union Act 1990 and Trade Union (Amendment) Act 2005: This Act governs the formation, registration, and operation of trade unions. The 2005 amendment made union membership voluntary and allowed for the formation of multiple central labour organizations. It also sets stringent conditions for unions to meet before calling a strike.

    Concept of threat

    The Nigerian government has frequently invoked the concept of national security to justify interventions in labour disputes, especially when industrial actions disrupt critical sectors. For example, strikes have long been a weapon used by labour unions to make their demands heard and met. However, strikes are often considered a tool that disrupts the flow of economic activities and ultimately a threat to national security.

    Strikes in essential services such as healthcare, oil and gas, and education are often portrayed as direct threats to national security and economic stability. It is often met with fierce resistance. There are several examples of such situations in Nigeria.

    In January 2012, the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) launched a nationwide strike and mass protest against the government’s sudden removal of fuel subsidies. The move caused fuel prices to more than double overnight, triggering widespread outrage. The government framed the protests and strikes as a threat to national security and economic stability, especially as the shutdown paralysed major cities and halted economic activities across vital sectors.

    In response, the federal government deployed military forces to the streets and banned protests in certain areas like Lagos. The Government warned labour leaders of dire consequences. The strike was eventually suspended after intense negotiations and pressure, although the unrest revealed deep tensions between labour rights and state control under the guise of national interest.

    Similarly, the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) threatened to embark on a nationwide strike over issues related to oil sector reforms, unfair labour practices, and concerns surrounding the implementation of the newly signed Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) in 2021. The union warned that failure to address its demands could lead to the shutdown of oil production and distribution. Given Nigeria’s heavy dependence on oil revenue, the government reacted swiftly. They labelled any disruption to oil supply as a national security risk. Emergency meetings were convened with top officials from the Ministry of Labour and Employment and the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC). The government urged PENGASSAN to shelve the planned strike, emphasising the potential economic and security fallout. Under immense pressure, the union opted for dialogue.

    Recently, the Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), George Akume, described the shutdown of the national grid by the NLC and Trade Union Congress (TUC) during a recent strike in June this year as a treasonable felony and economic sabotage. In turn, the NLC condemned these remarks, asserting that their actions were legitimate and constitutionally protected. Critics often argue that such rhetoric is often hyperbolic. They argue that they are designed to deflect blame from government failures and delegitimize union causes.

    A more recent example is the dispute between Dangote Refinery and PENGASSAN. PENGASSAN accused Dangote Refinery of sacking over 800 of its members for joining the union. The union also claimed these dismissals were because the workers exercised their constitutional and labour law right to join a trade union. PENGASSAN issued a directive to halt crude and gas supplies to Dangote refinery. This resulted in significant production deferments of approximately 283,000 barrels per day of oil and 1.7 billion standard cubic feet per day of gas and impacted over 1,200 MW of power generation. The NNPC quickly highlighted the significant disruptions of this to the energy sector. The government then intervened. The Vice President, Kashim Shettima criticized PENGASSAN for holding the nation to ransom over a minor labour dispute.

    NLC condemned this stance and argued that such stance undermined workers’ rights and portrayed legitimate union activity as sabotage. The NLC asserted that the actions of Dangote Refinery violated workers’ rights.

    Furthermore, the Nigeria Export Processing Zones Authority (NEPZA) issued a caution to PENGASSAN that strikes and lockouts are expressly prohibited within Free Trade Zones, where Dangote Refinery is located, for a period of ten years from the commencement of operations.

    Impact on labour unions and the rights of workers

    The consistent framing of union actions as threats to national security and the subsequent government reactions have had a profound impact on labour unions and the right of workers in Nigeria. Some of the impacts include:

    i.                   Restrictions on Fundamental Rights: The essential services provisions and stringent strike conditions in labour laws restrict the fundamental rights of workers to freedom of expression and association. This could in turn make them susceptible to their employers’ whims.

    ii.                Harassment and Victimization: Labour leaders and members have faced arrests, detention, and other forms of harassment especially during military regimes.

    iii.             Erosion of Public Trust: The tendency of the government to resort to framing union actions as threats rather than addressing legitimate grievances can erode public trust in government institutions and exacerbate tensions.

    iv.             Influence on Policy Reform: Labour unions have historically been effective tools for advocating policy reforms and improving working conditions. Their industrial actions have often forced the government to reconsider or modify policies detrimental to the welfare of workers.

    Essential services and restrictions on strikes

    The Trade Disputes Act 2004 contains provisions related to essential services. It restricts the ability of workers in these sectors to engage in strikes that could endanger public health or safety. Section 41(1) makes it an offense for workers employed in any essential service to cease work without giving their employer at least 15 (fifteen) days’ notice of their intention to do so. The offense is committed if the cessation of work would deprive the community or any part of the community either wholly or to a substantial extent of that or any essential service.

    Additionally, the Trade Disputes (Essential Services) Act in Section 1 empowers the President to proscribe any trade union or association whose members are employed in any essential service if the President is satisfied that such a union is or has been engaged in acts calculated to disrupt the economy or acts calculated to obstruct or disrupt the smooth running of any essential service. Once proscribed, the union ceases to exist. According to the Trade Unions Act, essential services include water supply, electricity, telecommunications, health services etc.

    The Court has also made pronouncements in some cases as to whether certain services are essential services. In ENUGU STATE GOVERNMENT V. NIGERIA UNION OF TEACHERS (NUT) SUIT NO.: NICN/EN/01/2022, the National Industrial Court declared that teachers in Enugu State public primary schools are not in essential services and are therefore not prohibited from striking. Justice Oluwakayode Arowosegbe held that the adverse effects of strikes in the education sector are futuristic and would not immediately portend danger of immediate extremity on public order, morality and safety. The court dismissed the case of the Government, which sought to restrain the teachers from striking, and ordered parties back to the negotiation table.

    Recommendations

    The relationship between Labour unions and national security in Nigeria is a delicate balance between the constitutional rights of workers to associate and embark on industrial action and the perceived need of the government to maintain public order and economic stability. Addressing this requires a careful approach that considers both the fundamental rights of workers and safeguarding the stability of the country. This can be achieved by fostering transparent communication channels between Labour unions, employers, and government agencies to ensure that concerns are identified early and addressed collaboratively rather than through confrontation.

    The Government should be more proactive in addressing concerns of the unions rather than viewing their actions as national threats. Promptly attending to their concerns will prevent prolonged actions that can negatively impact the security and economy of the nation.

    Also, Judicial Intervention should be sought promptly. Seeking court opinions and orders to restrain unions from embarking on or continuing strikes while also mandating the government to consider their requests is an effective way to address the issue. It will help in ensuring that the government’s actions to suspend or proscribe unions must be backed by concrete evidence of threats to public order and not mere allegations

    In NATIONAL UNION OF ROAD TRANSPORT WORKERS (NURTW) V. OYO STATE GOVERNMENT, SUIT NO: CA/IB/263/2022, the Court of Appeal overturned the 2019 suspension of the NURTW in Oyo State and declared the action of the Governor unlawful. The Governor had proscribed the activities of the union citing breaches of peace. However, the Court of Appeal ruled that the Oyo State Government failed to provide evidence of any breach of peace or public order that would justify the suspension of the activities of the union.

    Conclusion

    The relationship between Labour unions and the issue of national security is undeniably complex and demands careful management. While Labour unions are essential defenders of the rights of workers and social justice, it is equally vital to recognize and address potential security risks that could arise from unchecked activities or external influences.

    The right of workers to unionize and embark on industrial action is not a privilege granted by the state, it is a cornerstone of democratic freedom and a vital mechanism for social and economic justice. To label such actions as threats to national security without clear and justified cause is not protection but repression.

    Governments have a duty to safeguard the nation but that duty must not be wielded as a blunt instrument to silence dissent or weaken the collective voice of workers. Strikes and protests may disrupt the status quo but they are not inherently acts of subversion. They are often cries for fairness and accountability. What is needed is a balanced framework where national security is protected through lawful and transparent means and where workers can organise without fear of being branded as enemies of the state.

    •        Koleosho is a legal practitioner and corporate governance expert

  • Debt forgiveness for NNPCL

    Debt forgiveness for NNPCL

    • A strategic move towards improvement

    We are not entirely surprised at the range of opinions that have been expressed after the confirmation that President Bola Tinubu had approved the write-off of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited’s (NNPCL) dollar-denominated debts totalling $1.42bn, alongside local currency liabilities amounting to N5.57tn owed the Federation Account.

    The move, contained in a document prepared by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission and presented at the November meeting of the Federation Account Allocation Committee, was said to be subsequent to a review of records by the Federal Accounts Allocation Committee (FAAC) and the NNPCL.

    The debts are said to relate to production sharing contracts under which NNPCL acts as concessionaire on behalf of the federation, domestic crude supply obligations, repayment agreements, modified carry arrangements, and unpaid royalties.

    Interestingly, while Nigerians are at it, questioning the approval, particularly the powers of the president to write-off the debt, the energy intelligence firm, Argus, has since provided a context that is as compelling as it is difficult to ignore: the need to preserve the treasure pot – a necessary measure to prepare the state-owned energy firm for the long-advertised initial public offering in 2028.

    The firm– referencing industry sources – says the clean-up of the corporation’s balance sheet, which the president’s broad stroke represented, was a necessary exercise to position the company for a public listing, as the country pursues reforms aimed at attracting foreign investment and boosting transparency in the oil and gas sector.

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    Of course, that the NNPCL had earlier indicated its intention to list part of the company on the stock market following its commercialisation under the Petroleum Industry Act is an open secret. The company had early last year notified Nigerians that the process of hiring IPO advisers, an issuing house, and investor relations consultants had begun, with Lagos, London, and New York being named as potential listing venues – with 20 percent of NNPCL’s equity proposed for grabs.

    Clearly, if we understand the choice facing the country in the circumstances, it comes to whether those debts should be allowed to stall the process and, indeed, the on-going reforms to reposition the sector, or, as the president has done in the case, to proceed by removing institutional obstacles that might impede the successful listing, as potential investors would require clarity on the company’s financial position.

    Given the unenviable position that the country has found itself on the NNPCL debt matter, we are persuaded that the president was right that things proceed as planned. As far as we can see, the alternative, in which the NNPCL would continue in its footloose accounting practices to the detriment of the economy, is unfathomable.

    To the extent that there have been no suggestions that the president acted arbitrarily, given that a body composed of the stakeholders – the Stakeholder Alignment Committee on the Reconciliation of Indebtedness between NNPC Ltd and the Federation – actually prepared the recommendation to the president for approval, we actually consider the hair-splitting over pure legalese a most unhelpful distraction at this time.

    Or are the critics saying that the president should simply do nothing? Short of an invitation to stasis, does anyone actually believe that the NNPCL could successfully transition into the envisaged global commercial player without the burden of those legacy debts being laid to rest, particularly now with NNPCL only beginning to crawl out of its ignoble past? Would some Nigerians rather prefer that things drag on interminably because the parties couldn’t agree on the way forward?

     Rather than vilify the president, he should rather be commended for taking the very difficult step to get things moving.

  • Reduced debts

    Reduced debts

    • Positive outcome of increased allocations from Federation Account

    Reports that states and local government councils reduced their bank indebtedness by about N547.52 billion in one year between 2024 and 2025 are another indication of the economy‘s continued cautious recovery following the painful reforms undertaken by the President Bola Tinubu administration.

    One of the positive outcomes of the reforms, particularly the removal of fuel subsidy, had been a marked increase in revenue accruals to the Federation Account, which is distributed as constitutionally stipulated to the three tiers of government, although inflationary spirals have had negative effects on cost of living.

    Also, the merger of the parallel exchange rate markets resulted in substantial devaluation of the Naira, with the attendant weakening of its purchasing power. Even then, the magnitude of the increased inflows into their coffers affords the states and local councils opportunities to more effectively meet their obligations to citizens.

    An extensive report in The Punch indicates that, following the surge of inflows into the Federation Account, the sub-national units “collectively cut their indebtedness to commercial and merchant banks by 20.4 per cent year-on-year.” According to the report, banks’ exposure to the states and councils dropped from N2.73 trillion in January 2024 to N2.44 trillion in January 2025, showing a reduction in debt repayment of about N292 billion.

    And from bank debt levels of between N2.44 and N2.45 trillion in April and May 2025, the amount owed had dropped to N2.13 trillion in June 2025, which is a reduction of about N313 billion in the indebtedness of the two levels of government. This, the report states, signalled “an aggressive push to unwind bank obligations at the end of the second quarter amid high interest rates and rising FAAC allocations.”

    The report states further that “State governments’ FAAC share rose from N5.19 trillion in 2024 to N7.31 trillion in 2025, an increase of N2.13 trillion, equivalent to a 41 per cent rise year-on-year. Local government councils followed the same pattern, with allocations rising from N3.77 trillion in 2024 to N5.35 trillion in 2025 – a jump of N1.58 trillion or 41.8 per cent.

    Read Also: Court grants EFCC’s request for interim forfeiture of N30.7m linked to alleged fraud in NNPC 

    However, this sharp leap in federal allocation to states masks the continuing problem of insufficient financial viability of most sub-national governments, which continue to be over-reliant on allocations from the centre. Thus, the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) noted in a report that states ranked in the lower half of FAAC allocations continue to bear high burdens of debt deductions.

    It has thus become imperative for states and local councils to devise more effective and efficient mechanisms of generating autonomous internal revenue.

    We agree with the Director -General of Nigeria’s Debt Management Office (DMO), Patience Oniha, that state governments should prioritise tax revenue generation and the adoption of Public-Private-Partnerships for infrastructure development over borrowing to fund projects.

    “Borrowing should not be the major way to source funds.  You must increase your revenues by increasing your tax revenues,” she remarked during a one-day workshop in Lagos, organised under the States Action on Business Enabling Reforms Programme with World Bank support.

    She also said: “Public-private partnerships can help improve Nigeria’s economy by attracting private sector investment and expertise to develop infrastructure and deliver public services. This reduces the financial burden on the government, accelerates project delivery, and often results in higher quality outcomes. PPPs can also create jobs, stimulate local businesses, and foster innovation.”

    However, it is doubtful if more people and corporate bodies can be motivated to voluntarily pay taxes without a significantly higher degree of transparency, efficiency, probity and discipline in the utilisation of public resources by all levels of government as well as concrete evidence of the positive impact of governance on citizens’ well-being.

  • INEC, politicians and the 2027 General Elections

    INEC, politicians and the 2027 General Elections

    • By Tochukwu Jimo Obi

    Sir: As Nigerians continue to bask in the euphoria of a new year, the political class appears to have shifted attention rapidly towards the 2027 General Election. Across the country, politicians and political parties have begun early strategising, consultations, and alignments, signalling that the race for power is already underway, barely midway into the current political cycle.

    This familiar pattern raises serious concerns. As has been observed repeatedly over the years, early politicking often comes at the expense of governance. Many elected officials find their attention divided between service delivery and political survival, a situation that has consistently weakened public institutions and slowed national development. The consequences are visible: stalled projects, poor policy execution, worsening insecurity, economic hardship, and decaying infrastructure.

    This trend is unfortunate and must not continue. Nigeria is at a critical point where citizens are yearning not for political drama, but for tangible improvements in their lives. Good governance, improved security, economic growth, job creation, and infrastructural development should remain the primary focus of those entrusted with public office.

    Against this backdrop, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) carries a heavy responsibility. Beyond promises, INEC must begin now to confront the persistent loopholes that undermined previous elections. Issues such as logistical failures, voter suppression, result manipulation, violence, and weak enforcement of electoral laws must be decisively addressed. The commission must also work closely with the National Assembly to ensure the timely passage of necessary amendments to the Electoral Act, strengthening the legal framework ahead of 2027.

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    Technology remains one of INEC’s most effective tools. Greater and smarter use of technology can significantly reduce human interference and electoral malpractice. From voter accreditation to result transmission, systems must be improved, secured, and made more transparent to restore public confidence in the electoral process.

    Most importantly, INEC should seriously consider conducting all elections in one day. There is no compelling justification for staggering elections over several days. A single-day election would save the country enormous financial resources, reduce political tension, limit manipulation, and simplify logistics and security arrangements.

    Beyond INEC, the responsibility for credible elections and effective governance is collective. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and state governors must caution their appointees against abandoning governance for politics.

    Political parties, too, must play their part. Internal democracy should not be treated as a slogan. Parties must avoid imposing candidates on the electorate and instead allow transparent, credible processes that reflect the will of their members and the people.

    The 2027 General Election should not merely be another contest for power; it should be an opportunity to strengthen Nigeria’s democracy. Achieving this requires discipline from politicians, integrity from institutions, and vigilance from citizens. The work must begin now.

    •Tochukwu Jimo Obi,

    Obosi, Anambra State.

  • Nigerian youth: Tomorrow’s leaders?

    Nigerian youth: Tomorrow’s leaders?

    • By Ibrahim Mohammed

    Sir: For decades, political leaders in Nigeria have always been mouthing the platitudes that the youths of today are the leaders of tomorrow. For the youths, the question on their lips is when will tomorrow ever come for them to take their rightful place? They could be right in their frustration as the so-called leaders of today are perpetually holding on tight to their position not willing to relinquish it for the leaders of tomorrow.

    Some of the present leaders who were educated through government scholarships were already occupying positions of authority when they were still in their 20’s. As they retire from choice jobs in the civil service or the private sector in their 50’s, they moved over to the political arena where they preside over the sharing of largesse either as elected or appointed office holders or party apparatchik while still enjoying their pension benefits.

    The Nigerian elites, whether in the military, the academia, the civil service, the clergy or the corporate world, believe in sit-tightism never willing to call it quits even when their age disagrees with them. Their lust for lucre knows no bounds as they keep accumulating ill-gotten wealth which they and their next generations could not finish in a lifetime. They keep recycling themselves either as their excellences, distinguished, honourables, chairmen, executive directors or members of juicy government ministries, departments and agencies as well as serving on the boards of blue-chip companies where they continue to draw huge salaries and allowances in addition to their pension benefits.

    Some of these members of the spoilt class have occupied several positions in their life time which closed doors to upcoming generations who wait for eternity for their turn to join the fray. They don’t even allow their wards to join service preferring to give them pocket money probably up to ten times what they could have been earning as salaries on a paid job. This is in addition to sponsored holidays in any country of their choice.

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    It is a well-known fact that some retired public office holders like federal permanent secretaries and Generals normally retire with their full salaries and allowances as pension. When they get elected or appointed into any public or political office, they begin to collect fresh salaries and allowances even while they continue to enjoy same as pension benefits. Those who are elected as governors would additionally prepare another salacious package for life even when some of them automatically move to the Senate at the completion of two terms where they become distinguished senators for life. Life is really good for this special breed of citizens as they gallivant from one lucrative position to another on a roller coaster from director/permanent secretary or general to a ministerial position, then governor and senator for life.     

    While remaining perpetually in power, thus mortgaging the future of our youth including their wards, the political leaders who gleefully superintend the sharing of the national cake knowingly or unknowingly contribute to the birth of misbegotten citizens in form of societal malcontents- kidnappers, cattle rustlers, armed robbers, vandals, Cultists, yahoo boys, militants, insurgents and a host of other undesirable elements.

    What Nigerians need at this critical time is a change of mind-set with comprehensive, serious, and meaningful reorientation of those in leadership positions and the citizens. To this end, there is need for a complete shift from the prevailing mind-set of transactional leadership to transformational leadership. The nation needs leaders who see leadership as a sacrificial endeavour, an opportunity to mentor the next generation of leaders, leave an enduring legacy and quit the stage when the ovation is loudest.

    •Ibrahim Mohammed,

    Garki-Abuja.

  • Seven issues that will define Nigeria’s Telecom in 2026

    Seven issues that will define Nigeria’s Telecom in 2026

    • By Elvis Eromosele

    Sir: Nigeria’s telecommunications sector can no longer hide behind growth statistics and subscriber numbers. The sector has matured. Expectations are higher. Patience is thinner. And the questions Nigerians are asking are no longer about access alone, but about value, quality and fairness.

     After the tariff hikes, USSD controversies and service quality debates of 2025, this year represents a moment of truth. There are seven defining issues that will determine whether telecommunications sector deepen its role as an economic enabler or become a source of widening frustration.

    Tariffs must finally justify themselves: The argument for higher tariffs has been made and accepted, reluctantly. Regulators must insist that pricing approvals are tied to visible network improvements. Anything less risks undermining the social license of the industry.

    The Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) will undoubtedly face growing pressure to link pricing approvals strictly to measurable quality-of-service (QoS) improvements. Failure to close the gap between cost and experience could fuel further public backlash. Fortunately, the NCC has begun to bare its fangs. In December, it urged operators to shape up or be prepared for sanctions.

    Data availability and affordability is strategic: Data is life. Data has become infrastructure. Everything, from fintech and education to governance and commerce, Nigeria’s digital economy runs on connectivity. Yet affordability remains fragile.

    In 2026, the sector must confront a critical dilemma: how to sustain operator revenues without pricing millions of Nigerians out of the digital space. Pricing people out of data access weakens productivity, innovation and inclusion. There would be growing pressure for creative pricing models that balance sustainability with scale.

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    There should also be targeted interventions, such as special student data plans, zero-rated educational platforms, or public-private broadband initiatives, aimed at preserving inclusion while maintaining commercial viability.

    USSD is a test of inclusion, not just billing: USSD services will remain under intense scrutiny in 2026. The USSD billing reform may have solved one problem, transparency, but it exposed another: affordability at the bottom of the pyramid. In a country where millions still rely on basic phones, USSD remains the backbone of financial inclusion. If cumulative session charges become punitive, Nigeria risks excluding the very people digital finance was meant to empower.

    The year ahead may thus see renewed negotiations between telcos, banks and regulators to strike a better balance, possibly through capped charges, bundled services, or partial subsidies, to ensure financial inclusion is not undermined. Reports indicate that the CBN and NCC are already in talks to introduce an improved version of the service.

    Infrastructure protection will separate talk from action: Nigeria cannot build a digital economy on fragile, vulnerable infrastructure. Every fibre cut, vandalised base station or power disruption weakens the system. These challenges not only degrade user experience but also inflate operating costs and slow network expansion.

    2026 must be the year telecom assets are treated unequivocally as critical national infrastructure, actively protected, prioritised and defended. Without this shift, service quality debates will remain cyclical and unresolved.

    Improved collaboration between operators, security agencies and state governments could significantly enhance network reliability and investor confidence.

    Regulatory costs are the silent inflation driver: Much of what subscribers pay is driven not just by operator inefficiency, but by systemic regulatory fragmentation, right-of-way charges, multiple levies and inconsistent state policies.

    If Nigeria is serious about affordable broadband, 2026 must bring meaningful progress in harmonising these costs. Any meaningful progress in this area could lower deployment costs, accelerate fibre rollout and eventually reflect in consumer pricing.

    Otherwise, operators will keep passing inefficiencies down the value chain to consumers.

    5G must prove its economic value: The novelty phase of 5G is over. 2026 will test whether it moves beyond urban showcases into broader economic relevance. The question now is: what problem does 5G solve for Nigeria?

    Beyond faster downloads, 5G must support industry, healthcare, logistics, agriculture and smart infrastructure. If it remains an urban, premium-user product, its impact will be marginal. Purpose, not speed, will define success.

    Trust will become the ultimate currency. Perhaps the most important issue of all in 2026 is trust.

    Unexplained data depletion, opaque billing, poor customer service and regulatory silence have strained the relationship between telcos and subscribers. Growth without trust is fragile.

    Rebuilding confidence will require transparency, accountability and genuine consumer engagement. Regulators must be seen to act decisively, and operators must communicate honestly. Without trust, even the best technology will struggle for acceptance.

    If the industry gets these right, telecoms will remain the backbone of Nigeria’s digital future. If it gets it wrong, resistance, regulatory, political and public, will only grow louder.

    2026 will tell us which path Nigeria’s telecom sector chooses.

    •Elvis Eromosele,

    elviseroms@gmail.com

  • Abuja–Kaduna train service: Progress, promises, and struggles

    Abuja–Kaduna train service: Progress, promises, and struggles

    • By Muhammad Iskeel Abdullahi

    The scene at Idu Train Station in Abuja reflects an institution actively working to recover from a challenging year marked by a major derailment in August 2025. Visible repairs, coordinated efforts among staff, and a clear focus on restoration indicate that the Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC) is genuinely committed to revitalizing the Abuja–Kaduna train service (AKTS).

    However, while tangible progress is evident, deep-rooted structural issues ranging from limited rolling stock to funding constraints continue to hinder full recovery and long-term sustainability.

    On the ground, substantial repair work is underway following the August 26, 2025, derailment at Asham, which involved a Kaduna-bound train with 618 passengers. NRC engineers successfully re-railed and recovered all affected coaches and locomotives shortly after the incident, moving them to workshops for comprehensive repairs.

    One previously damaged locomotive has been fully restored and is poised to re-enter service, providing concrete evidence of measurable advancement. Mechanics, engineers, and technicians remain actively engaged in rehabilitating other accidented units, demonstrating a committed, hands-on recovery approach.

    Service quality on the route has remained consistent in terms of passenger experience; clean coaches, reliable on-board amenities, and adherence to safety protocols, but the frequency has been impacted. Following resumption on October 1, 2025, operations typically run with two daily round trips (morning and afternoon departures from both Idu and Rigasa stations), with Wednesdays often dedicated to maintenance. This reduced schedule stems primarily from a shortage of operational locomotives rather than any intentional reduction in standards.

    NRC management has indicated that adding a third daily trip is viable with the availability of a standby locomotive for redundancy, a critical measure to prevent disruptions from mechanical faults. Journey times, currently around three hours (depending on temporary speed restrictions post-derailment), were initially lengthened as a precautionary safety step.

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    Officials have stated that gradual  reductions in travel time are expected as system confidence builds and repairs stabilize, potentially returning closer to the pre-incident average of about two hours and a quarter.

    Management’s projections suggest that enhanced frequency, optimized travel times, and improved reliability could be achieved by early 2026, assuming no major setbacks.

    Recent initiatives, such as the nationwide 50% Yuletide fare discount in December 2025, have boosted passenger turnout, underscoring demand and operational capability when supported adequately.

    Human resource development is another key area. NRC structures training into in-house, local outdoor and international programs. Budgetary and logistical limitations have shifted reliance toward weekly in-house sessions to maintain core competencies, sponsored foreign training by CCECC and some few technical partners remain one of the only hope for foreign training.

    While in-house training is effective for immediate needs, this falls short of the expected, as there is need for more advanced, hands-on foreign training.

    A report from the Nigerian Safety Investigation Bureau (NSIB) following the 2025 derailment highlighted maintenance lapses, though NRC has contested some findings and implemented internal corrections.

    The overarching challenge remains government funding, essential for any meaningful rail revival.

    Capital-intensive requirements for fleet expansion, spare parts procurement, infrastructure upgrades, and advanced staff training cannot rely solely on internal revenue or short-term fixes.

    Inconsistent allocations have forced practices like parts cannibalization, where components are stripped from damaged units to keep others running. This offers temporary solutions but depletes the asset pool, exacerbating vulnerabilities over time.

    Ticket access also demands urgent attention. Despite private sector controlled e-ticketing platforms and reduced trips at times, complaints of racketeering persist, with reports of touts and insiders hoarding tickets for resale at inflated prices. Such practices erode public trust, skew passenger data, and undermine revenue integrity. NRC has previously investigated similar allegations and increased service frequencies to mitigate this, but stronger enforcement and digital improvements are needed.

    Fleet age is a defining long-term issue. Introduced primarily in 2016, the core rolling stock is now approaching a decade in service without new equipment acquisition to implement aging ones and to support passengers increasing demands in line with global recommendations for replacement every four to five years in high-utilization environments (though some standards suggest major overhaul may be recommended).

    This aging infrastructure impacts on safety, reliability, scheduling flexibility, and growth potential.

    In summary, progress at Idu and along the corridor is undeniable: repairs are advancing, services resumed with enhanced safety checks, and clear timelines for improvements. Promises from NRC leadership are specific and tied to achievable milestones. Yet pitfalls abound limited redundancy, aging equipment, external training gaps, funding shortfalls, and governance issues like racketeering.

    True revival of the Abuja–Kaduna service demands more than NRC’s dedicated efforts; it requires sustained government commitment through predictable funding, strategic fleet renewal, periodic refurbishment institutional reforms, and robust oversight. Rail transport is inherently capital-intensive, and without shifting from episodic support to a long-term modernization plan, recovery will remain fragile.

    Nigerians eagerly awaits the NRC management planned revitalization, restoration, expansion and modernization plans, as they promised to optimize existing infrastructure as well as improving customer experience.

    The wait is getting too long.

    With consistent investment and policy clarity, however, the route can transition from cautious resumption to dependable, high-frequency service, restoring public confidence and unlocking economic benefits for northern Nigeria.

    •Abdullahi, is of the Journalists for Development

  • Tax reform and the cost of silence

    Tax reform and the cost of silence

    • By Kayode Awojobi

    In recent weeks, Nigeria has been awash with heated debates over the newly introduced tax law. From social media timelines to informal discussions in public spaces, opinions have been freely expressed, often passionately and sometimes angrily. Unfortunately, much of this national conversation has been driven not by facts, but by fear, speculation, and widespread misinformation. 

    Since the announcement of the new tax regime, reactions have poured in from different quarters of the country. Many of these reactions, including those from individuals who parade themselves as professionals or public commentators, reveal a troubling lack of understanding of what the law actually entails. Instead of clarifying issues for the public, these interventions have largely amplified confusion. 

    At the centre of the controversy are exaggerated claims about bank transactions, increased taxation on the poor, and alleged attempts by government to squeeze already struggling Nigerians. These claims, repeated often and loudly, have taken root in public consciousness. In the absence of timely and authoritative clarification, misinformation has spread unchecked, exhausting citizens and distorting public perception.

    A sober examination of the new tax law, however, tells a different story.

    The reform represents one of the most comprehensive overhauls of Nigeria’s tax system in decades. It consolidates multiple outdated and overlapping tax laws into a more coherent framework designed to simplify compliance, improve efficiency, and promote fairness. Far from being a blanket burden on the masses, the law introduces progressive measures intended to protect low-income earners while ensuring that higher earners and large corporations contribute more equitably. 

    Crucially, the new law removes the burden of Value Added Tax (VAT) from the most essential pillars of daily life: food, healthcare, and education are now VAT-exempt. This is a direct intervention to protect the purchasing power of the average Nigerian. Furthermore, one of the most significant provisions is the exemption of individuals earning up to N800,000 annually from personal income tax. This single measure offers relief to millions of Nigerians within the low-income bracket. 

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    To further ease the minds of the banking public, it must be clarified that this tax reform has absolutely nothing to do with bank transaction narrations. There are no “auto-debits” authorized by this law; taxes are paid yearly through a transparent system of self-assessment. The law also expands allowable reliefs and deductions, including rent relief, to ease pressure on households grappling with rising living costs. 

    Small and medium-scale enterprises stand to benefit as well. Businesses below specified turnover and asset thresholds are exempt from certain major taxes, giving them room to grow without being stifled at infancy. For larger corporations, the law simplifies obligations by replacing multiple overlapping levies with a unified development levy, reducing complexity while maintaining revenue generation. 

    Beyond revenue collection, the reform seeks to modernise tax administration. Digital filing systems, clearer compliance rules, and a restructured revenue authority are intended to reduce leakages, improve transparency, and build confidence in the system. 

    If these are the provisions of the law, then the question must be asked: Why has public perception been so overwhelmingly negative?

    The answer lies in communication failure. From the outset, relevant government agencies failed to take control of the narrative. Institutions constitutionally mandated to inform and orientate the public, such as the National Orientation Agency and the Ministry of Information, were largely absent at a critical moment. In their silence, rumours thrived and misinformation flourished.

    This failure is particularly unfortunate in a country with no shortage of communication professionals, scholars, civil society organisations, and public institutions specifically tasked with public enlightenment. Nigeria should not be a fertile ground for policy-related rumours, especially on an issue as sensitive as taxation.

    Public policies do not exist in a vacuum. Their success depends not only on intent but also on public understanding and trust. When citizens are left to rely on hearsay, even the most well-meaning reforms are bound to be resisted.

    The way forward is clear. Government agencies, tax authorities, professional bodies, the media, and civil society must urgently rise to their responsibilities. Nigerians deserve clear, consistent, and accessible explanations of what the new tax law entails, who is affected, who is exempt, and what benefits it offers.

    Public sensitisation must go beyond press releases. It should involve deliberate communication strategies that reach communities in simple language and, where necessary, local dialects. Town hall meetings, media engagements, simplified guides, and stakeholder forums should replace ambiguity and fear.

    Misinformation thrives where clarity is absent. If Nigeria must make progress, policies must be accompanied by transparency, engagement, and trust-building. The new tax law should not become another example of a sound policy undermined by poor communication. It is not too late for relevant stakeholders to act, reclaim the narrative, and restore public confidence.

    •Awojobi a  broadcast journalist, writes from Ago-Iwoye, Ogun State.

  • Trump’s gunboat diplomacy – 2

    Trump’s gunboat diplomacy – 2

    In early February 2025, this writer wrote a piece titled: Trump’s gunboat diplomacy which raised concerns about Trump’s determination to use brute force to promote his America first policies. I wrote: “Donald Trump, the 47th President of the United States of America has mastered the act of intimidating his opponents, and so far, it appears to be working for him. Americans, non-Americans, foreign leaders, local and foreign corporations, indeed the entire world is apprehensive of what Trump might do with the enormous powers he possesses. Trump, who has vowed to make America great again, totally abjures soft power, and unabashedly is determined to use intimidation and brute force to assert his country’s supremacy and exceptionalism”.  

    I also wrote: “History will record his era, as the return of gunboat diplomacy, in foreign relations.” Last weekend, Trump raised the bar of his gunboat diplomacy. He ordered the USA military forces in collaboration with the intelligence agencies to invade Venezuela, abduct President Nicolas Maduro, and his wife Cilia Flores, and forcefully transported them to New York, were they are now facing trial for alleged narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, possession of machine guns and destructive devices and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices. In that same article, this writer expressed concern when Trump showed willingness to deal with Maduro, despite the flawed election which got him re-elected to power last year.

    To the shock of the international community, Trump’s army went into Venezuela and according to some international media reports, within 30 minutes abducted President Maduro and his wife, and flew them out of the country. Clearly, while Maduro, according to international observers, did not win the 2024 election, there is no legal basis in international law, for the unilateral action President Trump took last weekend. It was simply a case of ‘might is right’. To show that he has no pretences, Trump threatened vice president, Delcy Rodriguez, who has been sworn in as acting president of Venezuela, that unless she moves in a certain acceptable direction, she would suffer worse fate than Maduro.

    The acting president in her first speech had decried the abduction of president Maduro and demanded a proof of life of Maduro from America. Sitting in front of the country’s heads of security agencies, she talked tough against Trump and his invasion. She said: “What is being done to Venezuela is an atrocity that violates international law. History and justice will make the extremists who promoted this armed aggression pay.” She asserted: “There is only one president in Venezuela and his name is Nicolas Maduro.”

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    But after Trump threatened her with a fate worse than Maduro, she appeared conciliatory in her social media commentary. She wrote about a “cooperative agenda” even as she had asserted that the oil resource of Venezuela was the reason for the invasion of her country by America. President Trump and his supporters, including Vice President JD Vance, didn’t make any pretence about the intention to grab the Venezuelan oil resources, albeit they try to justify it. They claim that they intend to get back what was taken from American companies some 20 years ago.

    But in an article in the Caracas Chronicle, Marcus Golding, argued that the 1976 takeover or nationalization of the Venezuelan oil industry was never a theft, as the foreign oil companies, were duly compensated. The article, titled: The theft that never was: inside Venezuela’s 1976 Oil takeover, chronicles how the nationalization process ran. Of course, for Trump and his associates, those arguments do not hold water, as they have shown determination to run Venezuela as a surrogate country. This position is reflected in the argument by Stephen Miller, a White House Adviser.

    For Miller, the expropriated American oil industry assets are now used to fund terrorism and drug trafficking. The deputy chief of staff for policy and homeland security wrote that the Venezuelan expropriation represents the “largest recorded theft of American wealth and property”. He further said: “These pillaged assets were then used to fund terrorism and flood our streets with killers, mercenaries and drugs.” No doubt, that mind-set reflects what the majority of Trump’s team believe, and they use such argument to justify the invasion of Venezuela and the forceful seizure and transport of the former president to face trial in New York.     

    While President Maduro was a dictator, who made mockery of democracy in his country, the question will linger whether that record can justify the action President Trump of America took last weekend? Even more worrisome, is what impact the unilateral military action would have on the rest of the world order? Trump’s re-envisioning of the world order, will reverberate well in Russia and China, which have similar tendencies within its area of geopolitical influence. Indeed, it would encourage Russia, seeking to regain as much of its Soviet era influences in the region, as is possible.

    Ordinarily, last weekend’s action by Trump should deprive America of any moral authority to mediate fairly, the Russia-Ukraine war, which is centred around similar geopolitical assertion of ‘might is right’. Indeed, Ukraine should henceforth understand why Trump is urging them to give up territory, in order to find peace with Russia. When Trump keeps saying that if he was president five years ago, the war would never had started, he may actually mean that he would never have given Ukraine the impetus to wish to join NATO, or assert itself in a way, to anger dictator, Vladimir Putin, to attack the country.

    As many have argued, China too would see the action in Venezuela as more justification to wish to annex Taiwan which it claims is part of its territory, since 1945. The huge military arsenal China is building may eventually be put to test to assert its control of Taiwan. Again, USA which by the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) has the “mandate to make available to Taiwan such defence articles and defence services in such quantity as may be necessary to enable Taiwan to maintain a sufficient self-defence capability” may no longer have the moral right to obey the provision of the act, should China seek to test its military might against Taiwan.

    Even far flung countries like Nigeria, must worry at the rise and display of hegemonic power by Trump. The bombing of the bandits and terrorists in Sokoto, shows the long arm of Trump’s gunboat diplomacy. Pete Hegseth, America’s defence secretary, or secretary of war, asserted this rising gunboat diplomacy, when he said on Venezuela: “It means we set the terms. President Trump sets the terms”. He furthered: “It means the drugs stop flowing, it means the oil that was taken from us is returned, ultimately, and that criminals are not sent to the United States.”

    As I wish my readers, a prosperous 2026, I urge our political leaders not to give Trump any reason, to play his war games, in out dear country.