Category: Monday

  • Omoluabi

    Omoluabi

    “Whosever neglects learning in his youth, loses the past and is dead forever,” Euripedes

    Sooner or later, the two girls will encounter Charles Dickens’ Oliver Twist. It is the English author’s first major novel and it unspools the toils and degrading squalor of a little boy in a London workhouse.

    Written with pathos and detail in the fashion of a new tradition called the social novel, Dickens’ tale troubled Prime Minister Stanley Baldwin, who wanted to know if the novelist narrated the experience of a real person in the labour underworld of Victorian England.

    In the case of the BOS of Lagos, he sees it himself. If Baldwin does not connect to the entrails of his city, Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu’s antenna is high, his eyes and heart on the street. Hence on his way to launch a programme to help kids and oldies in the lower stratum, he freezes his convoy. He steps out of the vehicle for a business with two girls, Amarachi Chinedu, 9, and Suwebat Husseini, 12. It is about 11 am. They are not in school on a weekday. Both bear buckets on their heads when the same heads should worry over a math puzzle or a word or even a social studies question on the name of the governor of Lagos State or the location of Kano State.

    Rather, their minds focus on beans and pepper and the geography of the grinder. How heavy is the bucket, how hot the pepper, how smooth the grinding, and what kind of akara will shape out for the palate after a sojourn on the frying pan? That is the education, or the mockery of it?  Amarachi is probably missing her classmates. Her memory is ebbing, all that math, all that English, all that high score? All gone because mama, a teacher, has no money.

    Better not to light up their minds in the four walls of a classroom but trudge under the budding tyranny of a sun? She has to work with Suwebat. No need to hear the teacher’s lessons, or ogle their fellow pupils in neat, starched uniforms. Both lend ears to the snarl of an engine and the ambient chatter of local gossip and vulgar spouts. In a 21st century, she downgrades from the technology of the click to the mournful wail of a Neanderthal device.

    Amarachi has had a taste. But what of Suwebat, the Jigawa native is a victim of gender bias. The parents want her home so the boys, four in all, can dwell in the light. The boys are in school. The girl will be blessed as keeper of home. The scenario? Maybe, in a few years, she will master the akara or kosei so well as to tease and please the taste bud of a suitor.

    The BOS of Lagos will not have that. He says they must be at school. Suwebat can start. Even though her mates are already in the secondary school, knowledge cannot be too late. Knowledge is a harlot. You can meet her in the morning or in the twilight. Suwebat is lucky. It is not just the education she will get. She is getting a full-blooded mentorship from the governor and first lady. They will learn, they will burst into the light, they will become women, and it all begins with a seed from a man who decided not just to ride in luxury but look out the window.

    But more issues arise from this. First is the point that these two girls are not of Lagos origin. The governor does not see Igbo in the case of Amarachi, or Hausa-Fulani in the story of Suwebat. He sees Nigerians under his tutelage, human beings he does not want to fall into routine and rut. As we enter a political season, this is a cautionary tale. It brings in context the need to know that we all belong to one commonwealth, and our wealth is only real if we do not see others as common. It takes what the Yoruba call omoluabi to translate knowledge into empathy.

    Secondly, we notice that both are girls. It reflects the bias against female in this society. We often emphasise the girl child problem as a northern jab. But Amarachi is no better than the northerner. Suwebat’s case highlights the northern disdain of the girl. The boys are in school to fulfil a patriarchal ideology. Boys first, or boys only. Boys will lead, girls will wed. Boy becomes mensch, girl wench. Boys rise, girls wife. That is not the future we seek. That is what BOS has noted. In Dickens Dombey and Son, Paul Dombey names his behemoth of a business after his son, unborn, even though he has a daughter. In the end, it is the daughter, the tale’s heroine, who saves his father from her towering ruins.

    Again, it shows the perennial motif of poverty in our society. Many parents do not see the world as some in the big cars and posh suburbs know. They live for the day. Amarachi’s mother teaches but she has to live one day at a time. Such a life shrugs off dreams. That dream, however, was reborn with a visit.

    Amarachi’s case reminds us of the growing contempt for public school. Mama prefers her daughter out of private school than in a free public school. The governor took advantage of that episode to evangelise public schools noting a lot of the state’s investment in that sector. Some of them are better than many private ones. It is not perfect yet, but the story raises awareness why some of the virtues of Lagos schools must become front burner.

    We cannot forget the governor’s gesture as a score for public charity. We hear over time the debate as to which is better, private benevolence or public good. Both have their places. An act of public charity, especially of this sort, will spur others. It is an example in being your neighbour’s keeper.

    The incident last week of Rayan, the five-year-old boy who gripped the world over rescue efforts from the well is an example of the value of one person. The nation’s monarch followed the event, townsfolk waited with bated breath, television networks kept an eagle eye, social media buzzed. The government deployed men, kept a 24-hour vigil, supplied water and oxygen, they mobilised cranes to dig and change the earth around him. It was a tragedy he died. But the effort and resources for one person show that everyone counts.

    That was Governor Sanwo-olu’s message. The girls may be inventors, presidents, governors, writers, singers or philanthropists tomorrow. The governor wanted them to, in the words of Emerson, “live the life you imagined.” That dream had its first wing that morning.

     

    Audacity of Udom

    •Governor Udom Emmanuel

    Umo Eno is a trending name in Akwa Ibom today. But that is because the governor, Udom Emmanuel, broke the pod for the 2023 guber race as the first governor to name his pick as successor. I call it an audacity. Governors tend to take the path of hypocrisy, playing a cloak and dagger game, while mobilising for their favorite sons. Governor Emmanuel has no patience for such underground ploy. He called a stakeholders meeting and identified Eno, his commissioner for lands and water resources, as the man of the moment. Some, who would have prefered to be anointed, have gone up in arms, predictably. A man has a right to say who he wants to succeed him. If you have a legacy, as he has aplenty, you cannot be indifferent to who you think can lift that legacy to a higher pedestal. It is hypocrisy not to express it.

    His pick will go through the grill of the primary process and then the polls. Governor Emmanuel has not foreclosed others in a tumult of rage from running. So, it is a fair game. It is called democracy. Other governors who are rounding off their tenures can follow his lead.

     

  • Two kinsmen

    Two kinsmen

    One was a tycoon, the other a titan of an octopus. One was a friend of soldiers who stung back like a nemesis. The other was a lackey who ended up a tool. One was an extrovert who stuttered with bonhomie and humour. He laughed often, backslapped often, goofed lovably. The other, slow of manner, was never wedded to public cheer. The one had a big heart that channelled a large philanthropic purse. One wanted to be president. The other consecrated his betrayal. His only quote to memory was uttered with morose dignity on television. It was to the effect that he did not want to spoil anyone’s fun. Such a cavalier putdown.

    For paradox, Chief Moshood Abiola and Chief Ernest Shonekan were kinsmen, but they were not keen on each other. Shonekan, lauded in the past few weeks by many after his recent passing, was a Yoruba man who became a puppeteer to pop the dream of his fellow Egba man. The consequence was that, if he did not want to spoil anyone’s fun, the spoils went to another Egba man who was regarded as a spoiled former soldier and opportunist, rejected by his own people. The Owu chief, too, as a soldier had anointed a mathematical thieving of a presidency in the 1970’s. The former was twelve two-third. The latter was June 12. They were both 12 nights, a la Shakespeare.

    The narrative of the duo, Abiola and Shonekan, should be a cautionary story for the Yoruba in this season. It was the fight for the presidency of 1993. Abiola, not a flawless hero, but human enough to be loved, won a presidential race. A soldier annulled it. Many regarded him as an imperialist front-liner and a dispenser of cynical cash. But heroes are no saints. As Bertolt Brecht wrote, “No one’s virtue is complete/ the great Galileo loved to eat.” Christ made Paul, the murderer who wasted his church, an apostle and hero. The Old Testament sanctified David, who cuckolded his fighting man. Churchill never abandoned his alcohol. Jefferson, who immortalised the line “all men are created equal” spirited away with a slave girl. Shaka the Zulu loved Noliwe to death.

    The story of Shonekan is not just a biography of an ethnic weakling, but one who could not see he was mobilised to puncture his people’s ego. When he was appointed to head the interim government by IBB, he thought he had a big job. But it made his people look small. His people, however, would not go down. First they mocked him and called him head of Ijoba fidi he. They kept a dry powder and fiery spirit. The fight for Abiola’s legitimacy was an onslaught for the Southwest, if a legitimate campaign for fairness and democracy in the country. The wheel horses in the dust and duel were his kinsmen. Many died. Some fled abroad. There were others from the East, the North, and the South-south. Outside the West were men like Ebitu Ukiwe, and of course, the martyr Alfred Rewane, who volunteered his means against the mean soldiers.

    Shonekan was drafted to pacify his people. He accepted against the grain of a republican verve and nerve in the land. What we know today as NADECO rose from the moral failure of men like him. They picked him to delegitimise the right of his own people. That is his legacy, not his towering image as the head of UAC, or the perennial bard of military budgets.

    He was like General Petain, who led the infamous Vichy government that signed away the French ego in an armistice with Nazi Germany. Those who did not cohabit with the army and Shonekan were like Charles de Gaulle, another general, also flawed. But he left Paris to England to fight to restore the dignity of France, or what he called “a certain idea of France.” Those who rejected Shonekan wanted a certain idea of Nigeria, but beginning with a certain idea of Yorubaland. Such a fight did not start with June 12. History embedded it at the Battle of Osogbo in the 19th century. But even that battle was not without its quislings and moral failures. The race triumphed at a cost.

    There was no platform to serenade a traitor as head of Yorubaland. Again, the battlefield was too ill-defined as well as the race. It was not even named then as Yoruba as we know them today.

    The 20th century is a different ball game. We saw that with Awolowo, perhaps the greatest Yoruba man since Oduduwa, the Churchill of Agodi When unproven charges led him to court, and even to gaol, it was the goal of his persecutors to invent Shonekan’s ancestor. That time it was not business man. History is never so open and shut. It was a jurist, the man Sodeinde Sowemimo. In his verdict, he confessed “my hands are tied.” Awo delivered an allocutus without circumlocution, a statement for posterity.

    It was clear in both cases. Someone inside was a tool to cow his own people. There is a familiar proverb that the ant that eats up the herb resides inside. That is also the story of empires that decay. The rot starts within. Even in wars, it is never easy to conquer even a small army with cohesion and vigour. It is hard to say, as Bisi Akande posits in his My Participations, if and when Yorubaland could have fallen had they united against the British. Akande’s view may be a fancy of patriotism, but he is on to something. The intrepid Nana of Itsekiriland stunned British to a standstill with a cohesive force. The white men had to return to the island for a special force because they could not break the blockade.

    When Abraham Lincoln answered questions about the longevity of the American system, he did not fear the outside force. He warned against division with the political elite. American democracy palpitates daily with Lincoln’s prophetic fears.

    While many praise Shonekan today, they should not forget that his doings happened a generation after the treachery against Awo and the tribe. And about a decade after Obj brooked Akinjide and another Southwest justice, Atanda Fatai Williams, to certify a fraud. Both Sowemimo and Shonekan, both Egba men, both with great intellectual mind, opened their hearts and minds while the race’s torchbearers fell into a dark night. So was Williams, a Lagosian. They did not remember Chinua Achebe’s proverb, “A kinsman in trouble had to be saved, not blamed; anger against a brother was felt in the flesh, not in the bone.”

    As we enter a third generation, and 2023, we from outside the Southwest watch again, and hope that the tribe does not collapse for the third time under the undercurrent of forces of oedipal rebellion. We hope anger against a brother this time will not go deep into the marrow.

     

    By Rail for Onosode

    •The late Onosode

    I was invited to speak in Ibadan to a modest audience on a seminar on a new book on Gamaliel Onosode, the technocrat nonpareil titled: Classicus. It was penned by famous playwright, poet and essayist Femi Osofisan.  The venue was The Booksellers. But I decided to travel by rail, to experience the new infrastructure. It was indeed a jolly ride. The train chugged through the entrails and underbelly of the city of Lagos, and through the rural and urban sights, the drowsy beauty of heaths and open land, the lone huts as well as the benevolent skylines. The journey took about two and half hours, with stops in Agege, Abeokuta, et al. Not a bullet train, but its pleasure and joy surmount any hurry. Many youngsters are patronising, in spite of little publicity. The snag though was that on arriving at Ibadan, one had to walk into dirt roads, my shoes bathed in dust because the road was untarred between the terminus and carpark. I confronted the minister, Rotimi Amaechi on this, but he said it was out his hands. He said he had asked the Oyo State governor twice to make the land available to construct a road to link the express. But Makinde is yet to oblige. Even those who would not give Buhari that credit should try it. It is an immense legacy.

    Just as the book I went to speak on. The moderator was Olakunbi Olasope, a classics professor at the University of Ibadan. The other speaker was the University of Ibadan former registrar, Tayo Ikotun. Onosode’s life, tracked from his childhood and schools in Government College Ughelli and University of Ibadan, gives enchanting insights into the times of the man, his father and their unique marriage, his faith and miracles, and why he is known as Mister Incorruptible, a man that was straight-laced and found, to his hurt, he was not cut out for the politics of cunning and subterfuge. More compelling was that the man, often known in his western suits and for his stern exterior, was a joy of warmth in his private life, who burst to tears when, as pro-chancellor of U.I., he visited Mrs. Tayo Ikotun, who was bed-ridden.

  • Abubakar’s stained hands

    Abubakar’s stained hands

    There are important questions on Chief M.K.O. Abiola’s controversial death 23 years ago, which are unanswered, and demand answers. The recent version of the tragic event, presented by former military head of state Gen. Abdulsalami Abubakar, who was in power at the time, only resurrected the controversy. He notably offered the same official version of the incident, which has been questioned and remains questionable.

    It was curious that Abubakar spoke on the issue for the first time in a Trust TV interview.  Why did he wait so long before trying to clarify possibly the most significant incident that happened under his regime?

    Abubakar became Nigeria’s head of state, following the sudden death of Gen. Sani Abacha on June 8, 1998. Abacha’s five years in power were marked by ruthless oppression in response to an intense pro-democracy campaign.

    Abacha had overthrown the interim national government installed by military strongman Gen. Ibrahim Babangida who controversially annulled the country’s historic June 12, 1993 presidential election, won by the moneyed and magnetic politician, Abiola.

    With Babangida forced out of power, and the interim government ousted, the stage was set for Abacha’s unprecedented despotism.  His regime caged Abiola, who died in detention on July 7, 1998 in the middle of the fight for his release and restoration of his ruptured electoral mandate.

    Abiola’s death in foggy circumstances a month after Abacha died understandably triggered public suspicion. Many people believed he was poisoned, and the Abubakar regime was involved.

    ”Well, I smile because there were lots of allegations here and there that we killed Abiola,” Abubakar said.  ”On the day Moshood Abiola passed away, “he narrated, “two to three things make me always say I thank my God for the guidance He gave me.

    “One was when I received a delegation from America headed by Pickering who was then, I think, the secretary of state or so… So after the normal courtesy and discussion we had, when they were leaving my office, Pickering said “Your Excellency, we made a request to see Moshood Abiola but we were denied.

    “So I said: “Why were you denied? Who denied you?” There and then I made a decision. I said: “Look, you will definitely see Moshood; I overruled whoever said you cannot see him.” So, I called my chief security officer, and I said: “Please, make arrangements for this team to see Abiola.”

    The narration continued: “Now, during the incarceration of Moshood Abiola, except his personal doctor, to my knowledge, no member of his family saw him. So, when I became head of state, based on consultation and interaction together with Ambassador Babagana Kingibe, I gave the family a date so that they could come and see him.”

    He added: “So, a day before he died, his family came to Abuja to see him. For one reason or the other, the whole family could not see him at the same time. so, it was agreed that when this group of his family will see him today, tomorrow, the next team will see him.

    “So, they saw him like yesterday, now this team from the US came to see me and I said they could see him. Normally it was in the evenings the family goes and sees him. So because I had authorised the American team to see him, the other part of the family was waiting to see him.”

    According to Abubakar, “It was when the American team was meeting Abiola, he fell sick and suddenly, the security officers called the medical team to come and attend to him, and when they saw the situation, they said it was severe and they needed to take him to the medical centre. So, it was the medical team plus the American team that took him to the medical centre, but unfortunately, at the medical centre, he gave up.”

    Read Also: How MKO Abiola died, by Abdulsalami

    But there is a strong counter-narrative from those who suspect that Abiola was a victim of foul play. His personal physician, Dr Ore Falomo, now deceased, had said: “He died on July 7, 1998 at about 3pm at Aguda House when he was being visited by an American delegation. He died, shortly after being offered a cup of tea by the leader of the delegation.

    ”On that day, Abiola was very alert. He recognised Susan Rice whom he saw last in 1982. The Americans came with a flask containing tea. The flask had three layers. Why should they come with their own tea, special tea? Is it normal for visitors to come with tea and offer a prisoner? It was abnormal…It was a conspiracy.”

    Falomo also said: “It is now left to all of us to find the cause of Abiola’s death. He died 15 minutes after the tea. My conclusion is that the tea is probably fundamental to his collapse and sudden death.

    “Until detailed investigation is carried out, the death of Abiola will continue to generate controversy, supposition, reasonable and unjustified conclusion for a very long time to come. Abiola died in government custody. It is the duty of the government to unravel the cause of Abiola’s death, after drinking a cup of tea.”

    On the question of Abiola’s death, Falomo categorically said: “The Federal Government under Gen. Abdulsalami Abubakar should be held responsible.”

    Abiola died in his fourth year in detention, and the official autopsy report stated that he died of a heart attack. He was 60. It is curious that the autopsy report produced by a team of international investigators was not released.

    He was held in solitary confinement, and denied adequate medical care. There is no doubt that these conditions took a toll on his health. His detention conditions were cruel, inhuman, degrading, and amounted to torture.

    Abubakar was the Chief of Defence Staff from 1993 to 1998 when he became head of state after Abacha died.  As a member of the military ruling council under Abacha, he was among the actors who caged Abiola for insisting on actualising his victory in the presidential election.

    After Abacha’s death, Abubakar kept Abiola in detention until he died. He had an opportunity to redeem himself by releasing Abiola immediately he became head of state. That might have saved the detainee’s life.

    Abubakar’s failure to promptly address Abiola’s detention issue was a great moral failure.  The longer the detainee was kept in such life-threatening conditions, the greater the culpability of his captors.

    Though Abubakar handed over power to a democratically elected government a year after his rise to power, that does not erase the fact of his consequential omission in Abiola’s case. It was a grave omission that stained his hands with Abiola’s blood.

  • Subsidy suspension; stale logic

    Subsidy suspension; stale logic

    Even as Nigerians may be inclined to heave a heavy sigh of relief on the suspension of the proposed fuel subsidy removal, the sudden change exposes all that is wrong with policy and planning in this country.

    Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed while announcing the suspension, rationalized it on account of heightened inflation and the attendant hardship the measure will impose on the citizenry. She said President Buhari “clearly does not want to do that… and that before subsidy is removed, a number of measures will be put in place to cushion the effects”. Good reasoning it would appear!

    Here is a minister who just in November last year, announced with fanfare the irrevocable commitment of the federal government to eliminate whatever remains of the so-called fuel subsidy regime by mid-2022. Then, she had justified the timing on what she called recent developments within the oil sector.

    These developments she said, included the signing into law of the Petroleum Industry Act, PIA, the envisaged full reactivation of four public refineries and coming on stream of three private refineries under construction in 2022. The minister was also not unaware of the unmitigated hardship fuel subsidy removal would engender given the primacy of the product to economic and social activities.

    To mitigate the effects of the proposed subsidy removal on the most vulnerable segment of the population, Ahmed had announced “a monthly transport subsidy in the form of cash transfer of N5, 000 to between 30-40 million deserving Nigerians”. The government envisaged that the ash transfers would mitigate whatever social disruptions that may come with the final elimination of fuel subsidy.

    Ironically, the same minister is here again singing a new song; pontificating on what and what ought to be in place before subsidy removal. And one asks, why is it being realized now that the necessary and sufficient conditions for full elimination of fuel subsidy are not yet on ground? More so, after the same government had floated the idea of monthly cash transfer of N5, 000 to 40 million most vulnerable Nigerians as solution to unmitigated dislocation of the national economy bound to arise from more than 100 per cent increase in the price of fuel.

    If the reasons adduced by Ahmed for this volte face are hackneyed, the position of the minister of state for petroleum, Timipriye Sylva is even more confounding. Sylva, while justifying government’s back-pedalling, had said before subsidy is removed, certain things have to be in place to protect the Nigerian people. And he asked; “have we put all those things in place now. We feel we need some time to put everything in place so that when subsidy is removed, it will have minimal impact on the suffering people”.

    The question as to whether the government has put everything in place to protect the suffering people from the harsh effects of the subsidy removal should be answered by Sylva since he is a serving minister. At any rate, why did the government not address that question before it came up with the earlier timeline? Moreover, that trite question had been answered severally in the serial public objections to subsidy removal over the years. If the government failed to tap into the temperament of the people on this potentially explosive matter, that speaks volumes.

    Our sensibilities should not be further assaulted by a government that is obviously unable to do its homework. Why is the government realising belatedly that it needs to put measures in place to protect the people after it had dramatised the magic of the monthly cash transfers as solution? What becomes of the cash transfers in the new calculations?

    There is nothing that happened between November last year and now, neither have new facts not available to the government before it came up with the earlier target date emerged. There is also nothing in the reasons adduced by the government for its change of position that has not been in the public domain. If the government failed to tap into the vortex of public opinion on the matter, that only demonstrates its level of disconnect with the people.

    Read Also: Subsidy: Governors, Labour accuse NNPC of insincerity

    It is also for the same reasons the government is now canvassing that the proposal has not gone down well with a large segment of the Nigerian people even when state governors and the federal government had focused largely on the revenue side and the purported quantum leap in development it will engender.  Is the government saying that all these facts were not available when it engaged its development partners to arrive at mid-2022 for the elimination of fuel subsidy? I do not think so.

    This column had raised questions on the propriety of the proposed cash transfers as the most effective measure to forestall any backlash arising from hurried fuel subsidy removal. The criterion for generating the 40 million potential beneficiaries was also interrogated even as the duration of the payment remained largely cloudy.

    There were fears that the cash transfers may well be another veritable avenue for greedy and rogue government officials to line their pockets to the detriment of set objective. The high level corruption that had marred the subsidy regime did not give comfort that things would be done differently.

    Issues were very clear and fears real for an informed decision to have been taken by the government. But that failed to happen as state governors and the National Economic Council insisted that fuel subsidy must go by mid this year. So, for the government to turn round and canvass the same reasons for which the policy had overtime been opposed; either it is impervious to public opinion or yet to disclose fully, the real reason for the sudden policy somersault.

    It is not surprising that political motive has been read into the fuel subsidy removal suspension. Coming on the heels of the unfolding campaigns for the 2023 national elections, there are suspicions that the government took the decision to save itself from anticipated crisis. Such a social upheaval on the eve of elections was bound to have serious repercussions on the electoral fortunes of the ruling government. But they should have known better.

    The planned warning strikes and demonstrations by organized labour were also foreboding signals that the government had tough times to contend with should it go ahead with its subsidy removal. These may have weighed in heavily to influence the change in policy than what we are now being made to believe. This angle is given further fillip by disclosures from Sylva that the suspension is billed for 18 months.

    Though the new date was ostensibly set to enable the government seek amendment to the PIA, its curious coincidence with the terminal date of Buhari’s regime reinforces the suspicion that political exigency is behind it all. By this calculation, the in-coming government will eventually be saddled with the immediate challenge of this potentially explosive decision.

    How fair it is to encumber a new regime with such volatile decision is left to be conjectured. It could have very devastating consequences for a new administration struggling to get serious grip on statecraft. Buhari’s regime could be accused of wittingly or unwittingly laying landmines for the incoming government.

    Since the government has suspended the subsidy removal, so be it. Any attempt to assign timeline for its implementation outside the tenure of the current regime is wrapped in duplicity and should be seen for what it is- an attempt to encumber and incapacitate the incoming administration.

    If a date must be assigned to subsidy removal by way of amendment to the PIA, it should fall squarely within the tenure of this regime. Buhari should be around to test the outcome of the measures he now wants to institute to mitigate the effects of subsidy removal and take responsibility for its success or failure.

  • Between Et tu and etutu

    Between Et tu and etutu

    ‘To be trusted is a greater compliment than to be loved,” George MacDonald.’

    Some commentaries in the past two weeks about why some Asiwaju Bola Tinubu’s associates are looking the other way have reminded me of childhood. As a little boy, my father Moses was lost in the ecstasy of My Early life, Chief Obafemi Awolowo’s autobiography. Every evening while he clutched and read that cannon of book, he belched out his praises like a soulful incantation, like a man in a rally of one. “Awo,” he would say in reverie in his white singlet presiding over his Niger Delta wrapper presiding over his bare, light-skinned feet.

    In the twilit veranda of our Ibadan flat at Oke-Ado, he would tell me, for lack of a mature audience, that Awo was a man without fear and of principle. The other thing that fascinated him was Awo’s single-minded resolve to scale any odd on his way to enlightenment and formal education. Awo’s main virtue, in my father’s closeted eulogy, was courage. My father, who would rather fall than faint in his belief, saw himself in Awo.

    As Parents do, Moses Omatseye planted a seed in his son without knowing it. Decades later as a history student at Ife, his name rose to reckoning in our forays into Nigerian history. It was there I learned he was a besieged genius and methodical mind with a deeper glue to history and philosophy and he unrolled a template for Nigerian development that has haunted his nation like Banquo’s ghost even decades after his passing.

    The snag for me was that he lived among judases, and I wanted to know why. I wanted to know why some wanted to march him to Golgotha when he cleared a path to light. So, in my final essay, I decided to write on the western region crisis. In a long holiday, I secured access to the Daily Times library. I travelled in time on the pages of the paper, day after day, as the western region descended from worry into war, how associates were parting ways with the man who had already tenanted his genius in the west.

    Political scientists like Dudley, Kenpost and Sklar, wrote lucidly about the Awo years. I still believe his life, especially the brio and quicksand of his engagements, is still underwritten. He did not write enough of his life and political times. Poet Odia Ofeimun has tantalised us for years about an opus. Just as Ojukwu teased us in vain.

    What still remains to be written, I think, is the ideological and psycho-history of those years. It will also be good to see a novel or play or epic poem of his years. Then we shall understand that Awo’s life mirrored the eternal treachery of Nigerian politics. Many left him, and they are big names in our history even today. The list is almost endless. Not just Akintola with his theatrical wife Faderera. Not just Ayo Rosiji, ines. We knew names like Adisa Akinloye, Gabriel Akin-Deko, Remi Fani-Kayode, Sikiru Shitta-Bey, Lamidi Adedibu, Busari Adelakun, S.G. Ikoku, Philip Umeadi, Anthony Enahoro, Arthur Prest, Oduola Osuntokun, to mention a few.

    I wanted to know if it was because Awo veered from his principle. I saw no such evidence. When the Action Group was formed, he enunciated the ideology. It was democratic socialism, and he engrained them in programmes that we know today. All those who left him said they left him based on principle. That, I have found out, is the most bastardised word in Nigerian political history. All those men, including F.R.A. Williams, who played reconciler in the heady days of the 1962 crisis, also left. Some left when they thought the path no longer led to nirvana. Some left much later. All of them said they left because of principle. But we know that Awo never changed his skin. He was the leopard of ideas. They were the amoeba. They changed by conjuring the word principle, and they glowed under its false light. That shows two things about Tinubu and politics. One, defection does not make the defected guilty. Two, the defector has to show that he or she is acting on principle. The principle is not the choice to leave, but the clarity of why. Principle becomes a platform for phonies. That was not Awo’s headache. It is not Tinubu’s headache. Neither Awo nor Tinubu changed. If they claim he did, they owe the public an essay on the reasons based on facts. When Judas left Jesus, he did not say Jesus compromised. He wanted his 30 pieces of silver.

    Winston Churchill was in Liberal and Conservatives parties at different times. That was because he was a liberal who had imperialist fantasies. He articulated his contradictions. Life abides it. But it must be known. Hence, he said, “Anyone can rat, but it takes a certain amount of ingenuity to re-rat.” Awo quoted that line during the carpet crossing in the west. We need to see an ingenious explanation for cutting and running. The alternative is to keep silence.

    It is clear from Awo’s defectors that they never believed in the ideology in the first place. They may have acted with sanctimony in their own sanctuary then, or holy in their own folly. But we know it was because of ego in English and what the Igbo call ego. Both ‘egos’ conjoined in the guise of principle. Stomach infrastructure is not only for the poor. There are different levels: infrastructure for the rich and the poor.

    No one should mistake service for servitude, or vice versa. Neither should anyone see sacrifice as sacrilege because service comes with some sort of sacrifice. At certain points in our lives we must serve but we should not become traitors in order to get along. The Latin phrase Et tu, means “you too” in the famous Shakespearean play, Julius Caesar. Brutus canonised ambition over loyalty. In Yoruba, the word etutu means sacrifice. Etutu should never get to sacrilege or servitude, but it should not lead to Shakespearean Et tu. In his play, Death and the King’s Horseman, Soyinka’s horseman would not forgo sensual bliss to die with his master, even though that was the agreement. When Etutu fails, it becomes et tu. Devotion waxes into betrayal. I recommend Charles Dickens’ Dombey and Son, where the most trusted James Carker ends in tatters after a lifetime of trust and devotion.

    We saw the same thing in the M.K.O. Abiola saga. Some who thought Abiola could not stand up to Abacha were disappointed. Some played Judas and decided to stay with Abacha and they were demystified, including the late Lateef Jakande, Ebenezer Babatope, Olu Onagoruwa and Iyorchia Ayu. Ayu is the one who has gotten a new life, a man fired twice as cabinet minister, once under the soldiers and then after under a soldier masquerading himself as a democrat.

    They were worse than Judas. They were like the 30 pieces of silver, which neither the taker nor the giver wanted. But they have been hanged, like Judas.

    The casualty is often the facts. It is important, as we enter a political season, that we trade on facts. We should hang nobody on a lie. A big lie was exploded at the weekend by Segun Ayobolu, so we should not turn fiction into a vehicle for hate.

    It is clear many do not understand Nigerian history, not just the history of a century ago. I mean history of just 10 years ago. Hence, I wrote my piece last week titled: A Lagos original, about what happened under our very eyes and many people across the country and the world responded with genuine surprise at the facts.

    When persons rise under the shadow of one man and turn against him, they mouth principle, but they forget they had principle when he fed and clothed them and made them shine to the neighbours. Now that they have grown, they remember he had mouth odour, his shoes are dirty and does not know how to dance.

    From those who left Awo, we know they did not belong. They were wayfarers. None of them propagated the AG idea till they died. A man like Enahoro stunned many. But in his twilight, he had an ideological epiphany. He abandoned those he left Awo for. If Awo were alive in the democracy ferment of the 1990’s, they might have worked together under the sultry roof of the progressives. The same way, some who left Tinubu have returned with the glory of prodigal sons.

    Some of them who worked for Nigeria’s democracy must remember those who fought and who didn’t. Tinubu, for instance, never forgets. Few know that, on his initiative and arrangement, Abiola’s wives are taken care of up till today since the husband died, even if one of the children can raise hairs on the airwaves as though the former Lagos State governor was a pariah to the family. Few know that when Abiola’s Concord Newspapers ran into financial peril, the company wanted to sell its generator to keep afloat. Tinubu, as governor, offered to buy the generator for the state’s water corporation for over N30 million then. Some of the family members balked and stamped caveat emptor on the property. Lagos State Environment Commissioner Tunji Bello, then the newspaper’s editor, can testify to this. A newspaper with an equivalent of that sum today may be hoisting hundreds of millions in a grateful purse.

    Awo said he did not compromise, if Jesus or Mohammed compromised, they would not have the following around the world. The buzz word should be compromise. So people who evangelise principle should not conflate liberty for personal licence.

  • A week lost to sit-at-home

    A week lost to sit-at-home

    Last week was extraordinary for the people of southeast. It was perhaps, the first time the zone would stay indoors for three to four consecutive days due to conflicting signals on the sit-at-home order which the Indigenous People of Biafra IPOB had since confined to days their leader, Nnamdi Kanu would appear in court.

    Even in this case, the self-determination group had clarified for the umpteenth time that it had cancelled its Monday sit-at-home order. It said sit-at-home would only be observed on Tuesday January18, when Kanu would appear for trial at the Abuja Federal High Court. The group further clarified there would be free movement on January 19 and 20 despite the billed appearance of their leader in an Abia High Court on those days.

    Though the clarifications were to correct reports of an impending weeklong sit-at-home given the experiences of previous Mondays, the billed appearance of Kanu at the Abuja court on Tuesday January 18, and his case coming up in Abia on Wednesday, they appeared not to have achieved the desired result. Matters were further aggravated by reports in the social media reminding people of the consequences of coming out given the fluidity of such situations in the past.

    Unfortunately, some of those reports were neither signed nor their source indicated. Yet, they found their way in the social media. These created fear in the minds of the people and contributed in scaring them away from the streets. Perhaps also, Kanu’s case in Abuja contributed to the uncertainties of last week in the zone. The last time he appeared in court, the trial judge had adjourned the case for accelerated hearing when it resumes.

    This gave rise to speculations that the case may run for some consecutive days on resumption. Should that happen, the projection of a week-long sit-at-home would have become a foregone conclusion. That prediction somewhat became a reality when the case was adjourned the following day.

    So it was that for three consecutive days, activities in the zone were virtually at a standstill except in some state capitals.  Respite however came with the adjournment of the case in Abuja to February and the judgment delivered by Justice Benson Anya at the Abia High Court, sitting in Umuahia.

    With the adjournment of the Abuja case and the judgment delivered in the Abia case, temporary relief came the way of the people of the southeast who had been on lockdown. That was after they had lost three days to contrived sit-at-home order.

    In the Abia judgment, Justice Anya ordered the federal government to pay N1billion to Kanu and apologize to him over the infringement on his fundamental rights by the military. He also advised the federal government to seek political solution to the Kanu matter. The ruling seemed to have brought closure to the Abia suit albeit temporarily.

    The handling of the two suits put paid to speculations and rumour mongering. Their net effect became evident in the easing off of the tension and paralysis in social and economic activities that had held the people down for three days. Things started looking better on Thursday as some people resumed their normal activities though not without some measure of caution.

    Of the three days the southeast was on shutdown, the IPOB only declared ghost town on January 18, while urging people to go about their normal activities on other days. So how come people stayed indoors refusing to venture out on Monday January 17 and Wednesday 19? While that of Wednesday could in part, be attributed to the adjournment of Kanu’s Abuja case and rumours before then; continued observance of sit-at-home on Mondays has become a huge puzzle- a challenge to the authorities.

    This is more so with clarifications by the IPOB about September last year that it had put off ghost towns on Mondays to days Kanu would be appearing in court. Why still Mondays? Why are people scared from coming out on Mondays despite the cancellation of the order four months ago? Who profits from it or what interest does it still serve? What sustains civil disobedience on those days and on whose shoulders do we rest culpability for the fear and mistrust that add up to restrain people from venturing out?

    These are the very issues thrown up by the continued observance of Mondays as sit-at-home despite its cancellation by those who instituted it. And in this, both the governments of the southeast and the IPOB share the blame. Yes the IPOB because, it has come out to accuse sacked and dissident members of unauthorized enforcement of non-existing sit-at-home orders.

    It is being blamed for its inability to rein in those members. The group had also blamed security agencies for alleged clandestine roles that instil fear in people during those Mondays. This has been evident in the blame-game that has been the fate of some of the attacks on innocent citizens that ventured out on some of those days.

    Though security agencies denied those allegations, they contributed in no small measure to the spectre of fear, trepidation and uncertainty that added up to incapacitate activities on that day. And since human life is involved, people prefer to err on the side of caution. Nobody wants the risk the uncertainties of a fluid and ominous situation in an obviously insecure environment.

    But because the responsibility of maintaining law and order is the primary duty of governments, the blame for the fear that prevents people from coming out on Mondays, weighs heavily on their side. It is the duty of the government to secure the environment for lawful activities to thrive. The ability of the present government to discharge that basic responsibility has been in serious doubt as events from across the country have shown.

    Since the IPOB has severally said it has nothing any loner to do with Monday ghost towns, one had expected the security agencies to capitalize on that and ensure there are no further disruptions and threats to lives and property on those days. But that has failed to happen. What we get are blames and counter blames for some of the infractions that are recorded on such days.

    It is true the sit-at-home orders have become injurious to the economy of the zone. There is no doubt about that. No less a person than First Republic minister, Chief Mbazulike Amaechi had cause to decry the debilitating effects of the order on the fragile economy of the southeast zone. He called for a change of tactics from the IPOB for him to continue with the peace mission to the president during which his group demanded for the release of Kanu. So the damage to the economy of the zone by the recurring sit-at-home orders is not in doubt.

    The impression these convey is that of a government that is unable to protect its citizens- a government that is in a ferocious and constant struggle with non-state actors for the loyalty of the citizens. And in this competition, primordial loyalty seems to be having an upper hand against the civic authority. That is the sad realty brought to the fore by events in the southeast. And it does the country no good.

    The situation calls for a change of attitude by the leadership of this country. And as events clearly indicate, the solution to the Kanu challenge does not lie in his current court trials. He may as well be convicted and jailed. He could also be incarcerated as long as the case lasts. But that can nether offer lasting solutions to the issues to the agitations nor assuage the feelings of his teeming followers.

    His continued trial would only lead to situations that had held the southeast economy prostrate for quite some time now. Maybe some people will not care if that region collapses. But whatever damage the zone suffers will ultimately have a domino effect in other parts of the country. That is the potent danger in the current posturing that the judicial angle holds the ace for the final resolution of the matter.

    The judicial dimension can neither bring a final closure to issues to the agitations nor assuage the feelings of those who share sympathy with the cause Kanu is championing. The political angle that has been copiously canvassed by many including Justice Anya of the Abia High Court at last week’s ruling is definitely the way to go. But will someone listen?

  • Budget and repeated rot

    Budget and repeated rot

    There may well be something rotten about the country’s 2022 budget. This is a familiar narrative.  The integrity of the country’s budget is usually in doubt, which has something to do with the integrity of the budgetary process.

    Not surprisingly, there is public suspicion of this year’s budget, like several previous ones. In particular, recent information from BudgIT reinforces doubts about the budget. The civic-tech organisation is known for “advocacy for fiscal transparency and accountability in public finance.”

    “Our preliminary analysis of the 21,108 capital projects in the 2022 approved budget revealed 460 duplicated projects amounting to N378.9bn,” the organisation said in a statement. This is alarming. It is worth mentioning that BudgIT had also observed 316 duplicated projects in the 2021 federal budget approved by the National Assembly.

    Project duplication in last year’s budget was corroborated by the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC). Its chairman, Prof. Bolaji Owasanoye, at the 3rd National Summit on Diminishing Corruption in the Public Sector, in Abuja, in November 2021, said the agency “found that 257 projects amounting to N20.138bn were duplicated in the 2021 budget.”

    According to BudgIT, the Budget Office also “confirmed the existence of only 185 duplicated projects worth N20.13bn, after which it informed the public that funds were not released for the projects in 2021.”

    It is striking that the civic organisation and the two agencies were on the same page on project duplication in last year’s budget, but only differed on the number and cost of the duplicated projects.

    This showed how the country is shortchanged through the annual federal budgetary process, and how budget padding by some government establishments contribute to the high cost of governance.

    The ICPC chief said the agency’s discovery had prompted “an advisory to the Ministry of Finance, Budget and National Planning which promptly acted on it to prevent abuse.”

    It is unclear whether those behind the possibly fraudulent duplication of projects were identified and punished.  The intervention of the Ministry of Finance, Budget and National Planning to “prevent abuse” was only one of the necessary actions that should have been taken in dealing with the issue. If the perpetrators were not identified and sanctioned, the authorities failed to do what was necessary to discourage such improprieties.

    Curiously, the office of the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Dr Zainab Ahmed, played down BudgIT’s observation regarding this year’s budget.  Her Special Adviser, Media and Communications, Yunusa Tanko Abdullahi, was reported saying: ”I am not sure of the ‘alleged’ duplications but if there were duplications, they are not intentional and not impossible to have some few cases. But, that is always sorted anyway in the course of reviews and implementation. It’s a big document so you can understand the pressure to put it together.”

    This is the kind of thinking and attitude that encourages project duplication in the budget, and explains why the anomaly occurs again and again. It is unacceptable that the same irregularities are observable year after year, and those involved in the budgetary process mainly carry on as if nothing can be done to improve the process.

    Another cause for concern is BudgIT’s information on allegedly inflated projects in the budget to the tune of billions of naira.

    “Examples include the N20.8bn requested by the Presidency to construct a 14-bed presidential wing at the existing State House Medical Centre, N28.72m requested for the purchase of two units of 10kg washing machine and six units of LG televisions in the State House Lagos Liaison Office, among others,” the organisation said.

    BudgIT  also highlighted the case of the National Agency for Great Green Wall, which was set up to prevent land degradation and desertification in 11 states in northern Nigeria and to boost food security in the country. It quoted the agency as saying N1.3bn or 64 per cent of its capital budget is for motorcycles, street lights and other projects unrelated to its primary role.

    The organisation observed that four recreational parks under the Ministry of Environment have a total allocation of N67.8m to construct ‘gun armouries’ in Cross Rivers, Kaduna, Borno and Yobe states, “even though the Ministry of Environment is not a security agency.”

    According to BudgIT, the River Basin Development Authorities under the Ministry of Water Resources, set up to manage water resources for agriculture, are curiously involved in supply of street lights and road construction.

    “A cumulative total of N6.3bn was allocated to supplying street lights in 73 communities across the 36 states, while N14.8bn was allocated for the construction of 219 roads across 36 states; whereas the majority of the roads are the responsibilities of state and local governments and not the Federal Government,” it observed.

    The relevant federal authorities have a lot of explaining to do concerning the observed irregularities, including duplicated projects, inflated projects, repetition of questionable items and inclusion of questionable items in the federal budget.

    Such irregularities are too regular, which makes it difficult to avoid the conclusion that they are intentional.  A strong smell of corruption emanates from the budgetary process and the budget. Corruption thrives because there is room for it to thrive. It thrives because it is allowed to do so.

    Essentially, there should be effective anti-corruption systems within the federal Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) as well as strong and principled legislative oversight to ensure budget integrity. The yearly budget issues bordering on corruption are bad for the image of the proposers and approvers of the budget.

    It is significant that BudgIT urged Nigerians, civil society organisations and the private sector to “urgently prevail on the National Assembly and Presidency to urgently amend and eliminate the loopholes in FG’s 2022 approved budget.” The organisation should be commended for its role.

    A fraudulent budget escalates the cost of governance and denies Nigeria value for money. It also says a lot about why the country is progressing at a snail’s speed. The budget cannot bring about the desired development when it is inspired by agents of underdevelopment. It is lamentable that budgetary rot happens repeatedly.

  • Kanu’s trial and IPOB’s image

    Kanu’s trial and IPOB’s image

    This week, the detained leader of the proscribed separatist group, Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), Nnamdi Kanu, will continue the fight for his freedom in the face of terrorism-related charges at the Federal High Court in Abuja.

    Ironically, IPOB continues to speak and act in a manner that reinforces the accusations against Kanu. It rejects categorisation as a terrorist organisation but continues to speak and act terroristically.

    The group’s terroristic methods are not new and were promoted by Kanu himself before he got into trouble with the authorities. The controversial IPOB leader was facing trial for alleged “offences of conspiracy to commit acts of treasonable felony and other related offences” before he was granted bail on health grounds by the court in April 2017.

    He was arrested in 2017 for leading a campaign for secession of the South East from Nigeria. He jumped bail in June 2018, and fled to the UK where he continued his anti-Nigeria activities.

    Before he disappeared from Nigeria, for instance, Kanu was characteristically rebellious when he addressed a crowd in August 2017 at the Boys Technical College (BTC) on Faulks Road in Aba North Local Government Area of Abia State. He was on bail at the time. Among the conditions for his bail, which he flouted, was that he should not be seen in a crowd exceeding 10 people and he should not grant any interviews, hold or attend any rallies.

    He was quoted as saying at the event: “I’m a Biafran and we are going to crumble the zoo. Some idiots who are not educated said that they’ll arrest me, and I ask them to come. I’m in Biafra land. If any of them leaves Biafra land alive, know that this is not IPOB.”

    Kanu, 54, was rearrested in Kenya and brought back to Nigeria in controversial circumstances in June 2021.  His case has continued to generate intense public interest. There have been moves to get a “political solution,” with prominent individuals and groups from his Igbo ethnic group calling for his unconditional release.

    It was uncertain whether the Federal Government would rethink his trial until President Muhammadu Buhari firmly rejected the idea. He said in a television interview on January 5: “There is one institution that I wouldn’t interfere with, that is the judiciary. Kanu’s case is with the judiciary…So, we are giving him an opportunity to defend himself in our system…But those who are saying that he should be released, no, we cannot release him.”

    IPOB has continued with activities that don’t help Kanu’s case.  The group started the New Year combatively. Ahead of Kanu’s next court appearances scheduled for January 18, 19 and 20, the group demanded that the Federal Government should release him unconditionally.

    ”We want to declare that the Nigerian government and its security agencies will have no peace of mind unless they release our leader,” IPOB said in a statement issued by its media and publicity secretary, Emma Powerful, on January 5.

    The group also unveiled a plan that is likely to cause trouble for people in the South East geopolitical zone, which it prefers to call “Biafra land.” The zone is made up of five states: Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu and Imo states.

    Read Also: Kanu begs supporters to be peaceful in court Tuesday

    ”Fulani cows are banned in Biafra land starting from April 2022,” the statement said.  ”Those in the animal husbandry business must switch over to our native cow without delay.”

    Also, the group said: “Concerning stopping the Nigerian national anthem in our schools, we want every school to start reading the Biafra national anthem. Soon every school is going to receive a copy of the Biafra national anthem.”

    In October 2021, IPOB had attracted attention with a statement that indicated its plan to regulate cattle business and cow meat consumption in the South East.

    Its head of Directorate of State (DOS), Mazi Chika Edoziem, had announced a ban on the rearing and consumption of “Fulani cows” in the SouthEast states, saying the ban would take full effect six months after the announcement.

    According to him, “from that date no more Fulani cows shall be allowed into Biafra land for any reason, not for burials, title taking, weddings, etc.” He added that only cows bred in the territory would from that time on “be consumed and used for all ceremonies in Biafra land.”

    Now the group has shown that it meant what it said by saying the cow ban will take effect from April, which is about six months after the initial announcement.

    It is unclear how the group intends to enforce the cow ban and the anthem ban in the five states. It already has a bad record when it comes to enforcing its bad ideas.

    Perhaps IPOB’s ban would be enforced by the enforcers that disrupted the West African Senior School Certificate Examination (WASSCE) in many parts of the South East in September 2021, based on the group’s unlawful sit-at-home order. The disruption was condemnable.

    Another condemnable disruption based on another unlawful sit-at-home order will happen this week.   IPOB has declared sit-at-home in the South East on January 18 when Kanu is expected to appear in court again. It said in a statement:  ”In keeping with our avowed solidarity with our leader, the entire South East will be on lockdown only on January 18 for obvious reasons.”

    The group has no business issuing any sit-at-home order. The group seems to forget it has been proscribed. It is operating unlawfully. Its activities are unlawful.

    It is noteworthy that the group had disowned those who disrupted the WASSCE last year, saying they enforced a sit-at-home order that had been cancelled. It remains to be seen whether the same enthusiastic enforcers will obey the group’s leadership this time, and not extend the unlawful enforcement beyond January 18.

    It is ironic that Kanu was reported saying his supporters should be peaceful when they come to witness his trial. The group is known for hostility. He wants such supporters “to conduct themselves with decorum, be civil in their conduct and comportment, shun violence and deviant behaviour in any manner or form, and exercise restraint in speech,” his lawyer, Ifeanyi Ejiofor, said in a statement after visiting him at the headquarters of the Department of State Services (DSS) in Abuja to discuss “final preparations” for the legal battle.

    It is impossible to divorce Kanu’s trial from IPOB’s activities and image. He is the group’s leader and their terroristic campaign for secession should have consequences.

  • A Lagos original

    A Lagos original

    He is rich. He is powerful. He has influence. He has changed lives. He transformed a city. Made men and women. Yet he attracts quite a few adversaries. They deny him the right to be human. When he is sick, some wish him dead or eternally crippled. When he is not seen, some conjure his ghost as a dead soul. When he reappears, they won’t even credit him as a revenant, a man who came back from the dead. Rather, they wait for another date with the grave – in their imagination.

    When he makes a mistake, they raise the stakes of sin and he becomes Satan. When he does a saintly thing, they turn either blind or amnesiac.  When they are around him, they flatter and lick his boots. A minute after they leave his ken, they snarl and huff.

    His traducers are like the characters in the proverb that says, “Haters don’t really hate you, they hate themselves because you are a reflection of what they want to be.”

    Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu knows this. Hence, he has never had an enemy in politics. Rather he has rivals. He can joust, even if he may not be just. He has had many, some over money charges, often on matters where he is just. But he has never maligned nor spat malice. Hence when some of his associates left, he has often welcomed them back and elevated them, causing those who are at home to feel left behind. He has done it in public. Before him, Jesus had dispensed the parable of the prodigal son who overtook the homeboy. Tinubu has never abandoned a prodigal. He understands the human conscience, the tendency to fall and faint, and he is ready to embrace and give an opportunity for rebirth. I have seen a few bow before him for pardon after shooting him with bows and arrows.

    Few in politics have this gift. They know it is one of his cardinal staying privileges and virtues. They hate him and try to tell a story of original lies about this Nigerian original.

    They won’t tell the story that he was the one who fought for this democracy when they were galivanting with soldiers in the military era, when June 12 fumed. They hid in shadows and fear. They say he is rich, so he must be a crook. Yet he fought in the trenches home and abroad, sacrificing his personal treasures for some of those who now tar him with lies. I saw an article in ThisDay on Sunday refer to an episode when Nobel Laureate Wole Soyinka narrated how Tinubu begged the bard, because of his global credibility, to sign a paper for him to import Taiwan rice. The gifted writer obliged. He knew the value of the fruits to dethrone the dark-goggled brute in Aso Rock, and the soldiers paid him back in ruthless kind chasing after him in western countries. They forget he was rich before he reached the gubernatorial office.

    It will make sense for them to know his many firsts in the republic, some in Nigerian history. The issue of power. They forget that the idea of tinkering with the electric power architecture, and challenging the monolithic hold of PHCN began under Tinubu when he rattled OBJ as president to free the stranglehold of ‘NEPA’ monopoly. It began with Halliburton, and it has set the dialogue in motion to challenge the constitution.

    They forget that he is the first gubernatorial engineer of finance. Lagos could not pay its civil servants because they had gnomes on the pay roll. He combed out the lies in the accounts like lice infected hair. He saved the purse. From about N1 billion  in internally generated revenue, he left office filling the coffers every month with about N9 billion. Lagos is richer than the next state in IGR by more than twice. Some states earn in one year today what Lagos clutches in one month.

    When, a few months ago, the governors said they were sending their men to learn from the Lagos experiment in making money, they were giving a tribute to the genius that made it happen. They hate to go like mendicants to Abuja for bailouts. They want to be like Lagos. Yet, some of them curse their source of the blessings.

    His detractors balk at his wealth. They forget that he is often called Robin Hood, the man who takes from the rich and gives to the poor. It derives from his worldview not only as a liberal spender but his background among the poor in Lagos. Segun Ayobolu reminded us in his column of the same attacks on Awo over Maroko lands. The great Nigerian was called thief. Awo said: “In Nigeria, if a poor man is fighting for the poor, they will claim he is only jealous of the rich and if a rich man is fighting for the poor, they will ask him to first of all go and commit economic suicide and join the poor before he can pursue their cause.” Is that why Jesus said the poor will always be with us?

    Rauf Aregbesola once asserted that financial engineering was Asiwaju’s capital legacy as governor. He may be right. His thought was that the flow of funds engendered the transformational projects in the state. Money is also the mother’s milk of development. But that is only one perspective. He has a background in finance, and as internal auditor in Mobil he overhauled the purse of the oil mogul. For appreciation, they made him in charge of finances, and he became treasurer.

    I would say his best gift is his imagination. The story of power is one. What of security? while the rest of the nation crawls in fear today, Lagos is a strong tower. He signposted an answer with a security trust fund that secured an architecture for peace. That arrangement has only grown stronger from one successor to another. This is the deadliest hour in the nation’s security. Lagos remains a city on the hill.

    Some say his great gift was the fight for federalist causes for which he used now vice president to a head a team to fight a number of causes, including allocation of revenues for all states in the nation. Lagos has followed that step, especially when a lawyer, now Trojan of works, Babatunde Raji Fashola (SAN), succeeded him. The battle is still on the burner. The BOS of Lagos Babajide Sanwo-Olu and the uproarious Nyesom Wike took on the tax matter last year.

    On social issues, he, a Muslim, gave public schools back to the missions. A visionary step that will continue to shield Lagos from the maelstrom of bigotry that obsesses other parts of the country. This essayist reminded the nation that Tinubu, a Muslim, unfurled the Christian tradition of new year service every January in Lagos. In an age when politicians fall into a straitjacket of zealotry, Tinubu is wearing a garment of peace.

    Others say his best quality is as a leader of leaders. He has given quite of few talents for the country, and I need no roll call here.

    Tinubu’s biography distinguishes between a leader and a manager. Some managers are great, but they can only accomplish set goals. A leader of this sort is a visionary, who turns ideas into a soup of charisma to stamp a profound, if revolutionary change on a generation. That was the difference between Awo and Akintola, between Mandela and Mbeki, Between Churchill and Macmillan, between Washington and Adams, etc. After Charles De Gaulle left office, one of his cabinet ministers said the “story of De Gaulle is in his legend.”

    By declaring to run for president, Tinubu is offering himself as a Lagos original. If no one can deny that Lagos is the best – run state in the nation by a mile, then, no one should look askance at an opportunity to rewrite Nigeria on a national scale.

     

    The first boom

    Chukwuma Soludo broke a silence of sorts after his victory. He announced his transition. A number of marquee names makes the list. It is a good sign. I cannot miss the name of Oby Ezekwesili, the gadfly of an erring state. So also is the intellectual Pat Utomi amnd perennial political candidate. Prof. Chidi Odinkalu brings a social conscience as well. Of course, Alex Otti, a man of finance, and a thinking columnist is there.

    This is the first act of the boom of the Anambra orchestra. Hope rising.

  • NLC’s planned protests

    NLC’s planned protests

    Nigerian Labour Congress NLC is poised to challenge the federal government’s plan to remove whatever remains of the fuel subsidy regime by the first quarter of this year. The government had late last year, announced plans to eliminate the subsidy regime.

    Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning Mrs. Zainab Ahmed said while announcing the plan that the government in conjunction with its development partners was working on measures to cushion the effects of the subsidy removal on the most vulnerable population.

    “One of such measures would be to institute a monthly transport stipend in the form of cash transfer of N5,000 to between 30 to 40 million deserving Nigerians”. Then, the Managing Director of the NNPC Mele Kyari had indicated that fuel would sell for between N320 to N340 per litre when the subsidy is fully removed. That represents more than 100 per cent increase from the current selling price of between N162 and N65 per litre.

    But the NLC and many Nigerians are vehemently opposed to the idea. As a demonstration of its opposition to the proposal, the NLC announced plans to embark on rallies in 26 states of the country on January 27 to be followed up by a nationwide protest on February 1. It rejected and resolved to resist the increase in the pump price of petrol as “it is extremely insensitive to the acute hardship being experienced by workers and Nigerians”.

    Organized labour has gone further to mobilize its affiliate unions and civil society partners for the proposed action against fuel subsidy removal. The way things stand, the NLC appears poised to confront the federal government if it goes ahead with the proposal without concrete assurances on how to cushion the effects of the removal on workers and the Nigerian people.

    Government’s promise of N5, 000 cash transfer to about 40 million Nigerians to cushion the effects of the removal does not seem to have gone down well with the people including organized labour. So also are the promises for the revitalization of four public refineries and others to cushion the effects of the subsidy removal viewed with utmost suspicion. There are issues as to the criterion to arrive at the 40 million beneficiaries of the programme.

    And in a clime public funds are rarely properly managed, the cash transfer programme could be another avenue for public officials to line their pockets to the detriment of intended beneficiaries. The efficacy of the cash transfer programme in substantially addressing the fallouts of the subsidy removal on the most vulnerable population is another moot issue. What of the general increase in the prices of goods and services that are bound to be triggered off by fuel price increase given the centrality of fuel in all economic activities?

    It is also not certain how long the cash transfers would last and the fate of a sudden stoppage on beneficiaries. But the governments believes with developments in the oil sector such as the Petroleum Industry Act 2021, the envisaged reactivation of four public refineries as well as the coming on stream of private refineries under construction, the negative effects of the subsidy removal on the people would have been mitigated.

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    Experts have argued that Nigeria faces a critical choice on this singular issue. It either continues to pursue a business-as-usual policy approach while its economy and job market deteriorates or it undertakes bold measures that will put Nigerian on a robust and sustainable long term growth path.

    The Jonathan regime had during the controversy trailing the deregulation debate argued along the same line when it contended that it would open up vast opportunities for school leavers and population of unemployed graduates in the new refineries and petrochemical industries that will emerge after deregulation. President Jonathan had then also said “even if we deregulate and I am shamed, posterity will be there to judge me that I did the right thing and I will be vindicated when Nigerians start enjoying the benefits of my decision”.

    Implicit in this statement was the recognition that deregulation could come with serious backlash with severe consequences for the country if its fallouts are not well managed. We shall return to this.

    The other argument in favour of petrol subsidy removal is that it is costly and benefits the richer households more. There are also issues relating to smuggling especially across neighbouring countries that are associated with the subsidy regime.  But perhaps, the strongest argument in support of subsidy removal is that it will free substantial funds to the government to pursue its development objectives.

    The federal government is targeting N600 billion annually from the subsidy elimination which it hopes to deploy to catalyse monumental infrastructural development. This amount represents the difference between the promised annual cash transfers of N5, 000 monthly to 40 million vulnerable Nigerians and the current annual subsidy on fuel that is put at N3 trillion.

    The logic is that by eliminating fuel subsidy while protecting poor and vulnerable households from any inflationary impact, reducing inflation through a mix of exchange rate, trade, monetary and fiscal policies, the Nigerian economy would be substantially stabilized. That is the projection.

    But in our circumstance, all things are never equal as the so-called Nigerian factor is most often, known to have distorted very perfect policies and projections. That appears to be the point of disagreement between ordinary Nigerians and organized labour on the one hand and the government on the other.

    Why fuel subsidy is still mired in serious controversy even with the persuasive appeal of the arguments of the federal government and its development partners is the matter to contend with. But one thing that remains certain is that there exists a high level of mistrust regarding the capacity of the government to effectively manage funds from the subsidy regime. The government is also not trusted by the people to keep faith with the social intervention measures.

    Under the current government, the price of fuel was increased to its current rate with similar promises to ameliorate its adverse effects through social intervention measures. Under the same government, the prices of goods and social services went on top of the roofs. More Nigerians have been sent below the poverty line with our country taking up the unenviable record of the poverty capital of the world. The situation promises to further degenerate when fuel subsidy is finally eliminated.

    So, what purpose will the intervention of the NLC serve even when fuel subsidy has been effectively eliminated from the 2022 national budget? And can the NLC be trusted to offer stiff resistance to the proposal such as was mounted by the Occupy Nigeria group which compelled Jonathan to back down from such a proposal?

    If our experiences when this same government jerked up the selling price of fuel from N87 to N165 per litre are anything to go by, one may comfortably conclude that not much will be gained from NLC posturing. The current NLC leadership is weak and cannot be trusted to sustain a prolonged fight against the government on this issue. It may be grandstanding just to fulfil all righteousness only to chicken out sooner or later.

    So we are left with the reality of the elimination of the subsidy regime and its adverse repercussions on the Nigerian people already living below the poverty line in the face of worsening unemployment. This is not the time to play pranks. Neither does it provide another chance to the government for vague and unfulfilled promises.

    The country is at a very critical trajectory on this matter. What its leadership makes of the social intervention policies to cushion the harsh effects of the subsidy removal is bound to chart the future in the days ahead. But the matter could be very explosive with wider consequences capable of rubbishing whatever gains that would accrue from the subsidy removal. It is a time bomb.