Category: Columnists

  • Ghosts of Hurti

    Ghosts of Hurti

    To walk the trails of Hurti today is to plod through ash and blood. It is to inhale the silence of a town stripped of laughter and homesteads where children’s voices once echoed, until they got choked forever by gunfire. Hurti, that rustic hamlet cradled within Bokkos Local Government Area of Plateau State, was not the first, nor, ominously, the last. But its horror, a massacre visited upon it on April 2, has already dissolved into the fog of Nigeria’s collective amnesia, barely a month since its soils got drenched with the blood of its young.

    Nigeria has moved on. But the graves remain chock-full of charred bodies, dreams aborted, and lives unlived. More pitiful is the fate of the innocent kids interred in the earth, their futures terminated. Yet to understand the anguish of survivors, young and old, is to confront the seething backdrop from which their tragedy emerged.

    For over two decades, Plateau State has stood on a fault line of simmering conflict, a geopolitical fissure where religion, ethnicity, politics, and land converge in an uneasy and often deadly embrace. Since 1999, more than 53,000 lives have been lost to communal strife across Nigeria. Plateau’s portion of this grim ledger is a macabre masterpiece: 700 killed in Yelwa in 2004; another 700 in 2008; over 1,000 in 2010; 300 wiped out in Mangu in 2023. The litany of death continues, each entry more grievous than the last.

    And now, Hurti joins that dark roll call. The sun did not blink the day Hurti bled. It hung, aloof and unrepentant, as if casting light on a tragedy it did not trigger. Under its fulgent beams, a thriving village disappeared in plain sight. Hurti, a hamlet tucked in the hem of Manguna District, in Bokkos Local Government Area (LGA) of Plateau State, startled from its mundane hum around 3.35 pm. In that fateful hour of April 2, 2025, death came hurtling at Hurti on motorcycles with a slayer in each seat. They slit the throat of the Mangut boys: Saltifat, four and Justice, seven, and tossed them into their burning home. Fatima Yusuf, barely nine, saw them hack her father to death; Josiah, eight, begged the assailants to spare his father. “Leave him alone! Leave him alone!” he cried. “Please, please!” But death is not sentimental. Neither was its squad of maniacal reapers.

     The bloodbath in Hurti, like that of Zike, Ukum, and Logo, follows a haunting pattern. They are attacks, largely unprovoked and wholly forgotten battles in which the casualties are always poor and faceless, the perpetrators seldom named, and the state perennially absent.

    To grieve for the victims, the children in particular, is to remember that they are not alone in their fate. In Buni Yadi, Yobe State, on February 25, 2014, 59 boys—students of the Federal Government College—were slaughtered in their sleep by insurgents. The massacre was apocalyptic. Then it was archived. Nigeria moved on. The same cycle of slaughter and forgetfulness enveloped Zabarmari as peasant farmers were hacked to death while harvesting rice. The victims all share a common profile: poor, invisible, expendable.

    This is not mere neglect. It is pitilessness. A systemic corrosion of compassion runs like venom from the corridors of governance to the convenient soapboxes of social critics. Nigerians talk a good game, hence our penchant for performative grief with calculated detachment: one-minute silences, press statements with bloodless condolences, photo ops and visits delayed until the spotlight fades. The rituals are rehearsed.

    The callousness that stalks Nigerian society is no passive force, it is ravenous, gleeful in its consumption of the weak. It is what allows policemen to collect bribes from disaster victims, soldiers to withdraw from besieged communities, and governors to headline music and sports fiestas while children are buried en masse. It is what makes officials toss “relief materials” at villagers – bags of rice in exchange for sons and daughters razed to ash.

    But the most damning indictment lies in the societal shrug. The Hurti massacre and Bokkos in general have not only been forgotten by Nigeria’s leadership and security agencies, but also by the very citizens whose empathy should rise above tribal trenches. Our moral pulse has weakened to a flutter. We have become a people desensitised by overexposure to horror, insulated by the belief that suffering, if not in our backyard, is not our burden.

    What we fail to understand is that this pitilessness is a pandemic. It will not remain in Bokkos. It mutates and spreads from Hurti to Ikorodu, from Zamfara to Anambra, leaving in its trail corpses and hollowed communities, children raised in trauma, and a nation splintered by suspicion and hate.

    The cycle of reprisal killings and ethnic vendettas, whether visited on Berom, Fulani, Mwaghavul or Tiv, stems from the same toxin: mutual dehumanisation. The attackers of Hurti, reportedly Fulani militia, embody a villainous disposition long festering on both sides of the divide. But let us not be naïve. Fulani communities, too, have suffered brutal retaliations in Jos and its volatile outskirts. Entire villages have been wiped out in vengeance. This blood calculus and arithmetic of an eye for a tribe is unsustainable.

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    It is time, long past time, for a reckoning. Government, community leaders, traditional chiefs, and civil society must sit, not armed with accusations but with sincerity, to renegotiate coexistence. Not in panels or commissions that issue dust-gathering white papers, but through local peace councils empowered to enforce dialogue, mediation, compensation, and reintegration. Let us establish regional peace boards across flashpoints, integrating religious leaders, traditional rulers, security operatives, and victims’ representatives. The goal must be disarmament, reconciliation, and shared economic development.

    When schools turn into cemeteries and farms become killing fields, there is no national development—only national decay. We must also retool our policing and security architecture. Nigeria cannot keep papering over gaping wounds with the band-aids of ad hoc deployments and military showboating. What is needed is intelligence-led security, rooted in local trust and built through real-time surveillance, community policing, and consequences for failure. No more excuses, no more impunity.

    But even these efforts will flounder unless we confront the moral drought at the heart of our polity. We must unlearn the bestiality of our past and break from the brutal cycles of vengeance. For every Fatima left unavenged, another child picks up a knife. For every village unprotected, a new militia rises. What future awaits a nation where children are groomed in grief and taught to hate before they learn to read?

    The cost of our indifference is generational. The children of Hurti, those who survived, bear the scars not only of what was done to them but of what was denied them: the justice that never came, the love that was never shown, the homeland that failed them. They will remember. And what they remember will shape what they become.

    We owe them better. Nigerians must embrace a new social creed: one that prioritises humanity above heritage, dignity above dogma, compassion above conflict. We must teach our children that patriotism is not tribal allegiance but shared empathy. That to be Nigerian is not to be Hausa or Yoruba or Igbo or Tiv or Fulani. It is to be human and humane.

    The fate of Hurti’s children is not sealed in their deaths but in our response to them. History will not judge us for what happened in Hurti. It will judge us for what we did afterwards.

  • 10 pupils; FAAC; CBT; Youth ‘JAMB-ed’

    10 pupils; FAAC; CBT; Youth ‘JAMB-ed’

    Sadly, 10 brilliant pupils died in an accident on their way from Kano to Lagos by road, for a simple national assignment, a quiz. Do not dare take this as just another road statistic.  Think prayerfully of their distraught brothers and sisters today – their roommates and playmates since birth.  Who was responsible for that accident? The culprits in this case should pay the criminal negligence price.

    Of course, no method of transport is completely safe, even flying. We sadly remember the 2005 SOSOLISO Oct 22nd crash claiming more than 60 mourned children.  May God comfort their families. But do drivers drive children and youth with any greater sense of responsibility than they drive the rest of us? Definitely not! Across Nigeria too many youths are born to die uneducated, unsung and unmourned in preventable deprivation, disease, accidents and even by terrorism.

    We must juxtapose the FAAC ALLOCATIONS TO THE URGENT NEEDS OF OUR YOUTH IN AND OUT OF OUR EDUCATION SYSTEM vis-a-vis the youth just JAMB-ed at their point of hopeful ‘exam success’ and the 12-18m youth reported as being out-of-school Youth, too many as IDPs.

    Each member of NASS ridiculously pays himself or herself N1,000,000,000, yes N1billion for HOR and yes N2b for Senators as annual Constitutional Allowance – a completely irresponsible Allowance.

     There have been many faults and glitches in the JAMB system, now apologetically admitted with tears, or in the past when they were so often arrogantly sidetracked, ignored, or swept under the carpet. Those faults and glitches left good students sadly confused, unable to explain their poor certified performance against their known academic prowess. But who would believe ‘disgruntled, disrespectful’ students and their very poor or sometimes wealthy parents – it is not cheap in time or money to ‘challenge’ WAEC, or NECO or JAMB. Also, since the examination body is also the arbitrator in an appeal for a remark or dispute, there has never been a guarantee of a fair review.

    Granted, in fairness to the examination bodies, we have several cases of successful protest and remarking. But it can take a very emotional traumatising 6-12 months of a student’s life with no guarantee of success. But are there any annually published statistics by the exam bodies or by EXAMINATION WATCHDOG BODIES of ‘REMARKED EXAM SUBJECTS STATISTICS’?

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    This is why the government must make the bold decision that there should be an office of an EDUCATION EXAM OMBUDSPERSON OR PANEL, PERHAPS STATE-BASED if the workload will be too much for one person and a team. The leader should be a distinguished, seasoned, respected principal, maybe retired principal, changed every 1 or 2 years to handle the emotionally exhausting and delicate cases of exam protests for that period only. The person must work harmoniously with examination bodies to eliminate the unimaginable pain and trauma, and indeed sometimes successful suicide resulting from ‘MISDIAGNOSIS’ OF EDUCATION FAILURE AND SUCCESS. The exam bodies must be like Caesar’s wife – impeccable.

    Remember the unimaginable horrible situation of the too many unknown brilliant and ‘lucky on the day’ Nigerian students who have been wrongly condemned to being called ‘WAEC, NECO or JAMB CHEATERS’ and DENIED THEIR PLACE IN UNIVERSITY or worse just because WAEC, NECO and probably JAMB REJECTED THEIR ‘TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE’ BRILLIANT SCORES on the grounds that the results were too good to be true? But without interrogation, interview or follow up.

     Imagine the impact on the youth involved, the other children in the home, the family and relations and friends and classmates and entire school when they hear that their most brilliant emblem has become a common cheater, according to INFALLIBLE WAEC, NECO or JAMB? Years ago, we called for a THOROUGH PANEL ENQUIRY, INCLUDING AN INTERVIEW WITH EACH AND EVERY SUCH CANDIDATE and Principal and a thorough examination of all the circumstances before a cancellation or downgrading could take place. Is that the case now?

    These bodies make more than enough money to execute such an ‘EXAM RESULT VERIFICATION ENQUIRY.’ Indeed, there may be a need to reduce the exam fees as the organisation can raise up to N22b and return N7b to the government. That should reduce the fees by 25%. Some suggest that the extra N7b could create the necessary Computer Based Training, which is not just a skill required for sitting JAMB. CBT is the 21st century youth right and the responsibility of LGA, State and Federal governments to introduce usable CBT, using solar panels preferably, to every school.

    Figures vary, but one estimate reports 23,550 secondary schools of which approximately 10,000 are public schools i.e. N700,000/school. Let us add FAAC allocation and Constituency Projects by NASS, and probably State Assembly, and who knows if LGA councillors silently receive Constituency Allowances, off the books. All must spend such funds honestly and wisely and face youth education as a powerful weapon against poverty. They should note that if neglected, that same education will become a powerful weapon against progress, threatening all of us in our day-to-day life, and especially during our movements on our neighbourhood streets where the masses of obviously poor and abandoned youth are well versed in begging or providing menial services to obtain daily bread.

    The fact remains that our youth across the country remain at a severe disadvantage, almost uniformly in public schools, and partly even in private schools. Fund the education deficit, please.     

    •(To be continued)

  • The Tinubu administration at mid-term (1)

    The Tinubu administration at mid-term (1)

    It’s hard to believe that two years have gone by since that heady day at Eagle Square, Abuja, when President Bola Ahmed Tinubu casually declared ‘subsidy is gone!’ It was a statement that set off reverberations across the country; changing life as we knew it for many Nigerians.

    He had promised to take tough decisions to reset the economy and put it on the path to recovery and enduring prosperity. Well, this was as bold as they came! It’s wasn’t for nothing that his predecessors skirted the issue, waiting for the next person to act.

    Former Kaduna State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai, once spoke of how he and like minds made the case for removal of petrol subsidy to then President Muhammadu Buhari. He would listen patiently as they made their presentation, nod sagely as statistics laid bare how the country was bleeding to death financially. Still, he did nothing about the killer.

    Every administration that tried to terminate the subsidies faced confrontation from labour unions, opposition parties and civil society groups. The average man had come to believe that low-priced petrol was the only way the government was impacting his life. He didn’t care who was paying for the commodity to stay cheap. Taking that away was the most unpopular thing any administration could do. They all chickened away at the first sight of political trouble.

    Petrol price in Nigeria as at May 29, 2023 was N198 per litre but would jump to over N500 within days of the removal of subsidies. It would then breach the N1, 000 mark in 2024.  This action, along with the unification of multiple naira exchange rates, set off a wild inflationary spiral – the likes of which had not been witnessed for decades.

    Many ordinary people could not make sense of the harsh new realities of life. No amount of explanation by officialdom could assuage their pain because someone somewhere in the past had chosen to sustain their false life, paid for with borrowed money.

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    Anambra State Governor, Chukwuma Soludo, who used to the Central Bank Governor, captured the situation of the country in 2023 this way: “This particular government inherited a dead economy from a microeconomic point of view; this government inherited a dead horse that was seen standing but people didn’t know that it was dead. I think it’s important for Nigerians to understand this.”

    He was talking about how the country maintained a fuel subsidy regime that gulped $84.39 billion between 2005 and 2022. The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), which was the sole importer of petrol, had piled up trillions of naira in debts from carrying the payments in its books.

    The nation was spending 97 per cent of its revenue servicing debt, with little left for recurrent or capital expenditure. The previous government had resorted to massive borrowing to cover such costs. Today, that ratio is now in the region of 65%.

    To ensure Nigerians continued to enjoy cheap naira, the exchange rate was also being subsidised by the government, with an estimated $1.5 billion spent monthly by the CBN to ‘defend’ the currency.

    But this policy led to the abuse of the arbitrage gap, with thousands of BDCs and corrupt public officials feasting on the multiple exchange rates. The power of CBN officials grew as they flexed their muscles in allocating scarce forex to those they chose to. Nigeria was soon failing to fulfil its remittance obligations to airlines and other foreign businesses, such that FDIs and investment in the oil sector dried up.

    To address the crisis, the government resorted to floatation of the naira – a move that saw the currency almost breaching the N2, 000 to the dollar barrier. Today, rates have stabilised to a little south of N1, 600. This is still a world removed from the artificial rate of N460 circa May 29, 2023.

    To say the first year of the Tinubu administration was tumultuous would be an understatement. The new president was not afforded the customary honeymoon – a period where every sin was easily overlooked. From day one he was in the eye of the storm, fending off attacks from the unions and others enraged by the removal of subsidy. Barely a month in the government was already facing threats of nationwide strikes.

    Many battled to feed as outrageous prices kept food out of their reach. Official response was to address the stopgap with a slew of palliative measures while hoping short term initiatives would quickly take effect.

    Such was the gravity of the economic challenges in that initial period that the government searched frantically for hope in every new positive economic data. It was hard to imagine that some form of stability could be achieved within four years, such that Tinubu could look voters in the face and say give me another term to finish the job of reshaping the economy.

    That’s why, in grading his performance as president, any honest assessor must admit that the storms of the first 12 months have, to a large extent, been stilled. Certain benefits may not have reached the most vulnerable in society, yet there’s no denying that progress is being made.

    History will forever record the incumbent as the man who slew the fuel subsidy sacred cow and buried it. This was thought to be an impossible task. Even in the face of intense political pressure and harsh criticism he refused to return to the status quo. Now, the benefits are beginning to show.

    Federal and state governments now have more money at their disposal to spend on infrastructure and other programmes. It was recently revealed that public debt had dropped from $113 billion in 2023 to $94.2 billion currently after the central government paid $19.2 billion. States have been able to clear N185 trillion which they owed.

    There was even better news from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) showing that Nigeria had cleared her legacy debts. All these things have been made possible with money which would have been frittered away, but is now available to clear the overhang.

    It may look like an intangible, but one of the great achievements of Tinubu in his time in office is changing the mindset of people. Gradually, they are shedding the entitlement mentality that assumes that because we produce crude oil refined petrol has to be sold at giveaway prices. Nigerians are adjusting to paying the appropriate price for the commodity and embracing the reality that market forces would determine pricing. That is totally different from a time not too long ago when some anonymous government official would fix prices arbitrarily.

    In other positive news, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu, disclosed that the economy has witnessed four consecutive quarters of growth, exchange rate stability, and resurgence in private sector confidence.

    Central Bank Governor, Yemi Cardoso, equally boasts that after a period of turbulence, the economy has stabilised. “Investors don’t go where there is instability. Investors don’t go out to lose money, they go out to invest because of the stability in an economy, and they can plan,” he said.

    “We obviously have been through a long period of instability, and I think that clearly what is being recognised is that the Nigerian economy is now stable and there is interest in those who want to invest, to now invest.” 

    While these statistics may be cheery for the president and his team, his greatest challenge now lies is seeing how the ordinary man can testify of stability and improvement in his own economy. There’s so much that’s been done that’s still not trickling down to the weakest in the population.

    That’s something he must address as he enters the critical third year of his presidency.

  • The 2025 JAMB technical glitch

    The 2025 JAMB technical glitch

    It was as if that was what detractors had been waiting for—the server glitch that affected the results of a small fraction of the 2025 UTME candidates, specifically in CBT centres in Lagos and Southeast states. The detractors included ethnic jingoists, cheaters, unreflective critics, and university autonomy advocates.

    The criticisms came pouring in as soon as the results were released, showing a high failure rate in which nearly 78 percent of the candidates scored below the 50 percentile mark of 200 out of a total of 400 possible marks. It must be JAMB’s fault, they proclaimed. No one wanted to admit that JAMB had succeeded in cutting down on exam malpractices, by setting up CCTV cameras in CBT centres, by establishing various malpractice detection methods, and, above all, by eliminating so-called Miracle Centres, where standard exam protocols were suspended for a fee.

    Moreover, critics overlooked the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on educational outcome: The majority of the UTME candidates this year were the high school students in JSS1 in September 2019, who missed school for two or more years because of the pandemic. The rough patches of their foundation years in secondary school could not but take a toll on their performance down the line.

    The fierce debate over performance led to the revelation of a computer glitch, which affected about 380,000 out of a total of 1,955,069 candidates, who sat for the examinations. 206,610 of the affected candidates wrote their exams in Lagos, while the remaining 173,397 wrote theirs across the five states of the Southeast. At the height of the outcry against mediocre performance, JAMB Registrar, Professor Is’ahq Oloyede, quickly advanced JAMB’s usual post-test review, detected the error, and summoned a press conference to reveal the findings. In the process. Oloyede took responsibility, apologised, and even chocked on the apology. Besides, he offered immediate remedies, including the retake of the exams by the affected candidates.

    Regrettably, some critics still lost their bearing completely. Some professors, legislators, and armchair pundits from the Southeast ethnicised the problem, by claiming that the Yoruba Registrar, was motivated by ethnic considerations. A Professor specifically claimed that the Igbo in the Southeast and Lagos were the target of his mischief.

    A respected columnist ignored Oloyede’s apology, by claiming that Oloyede had put the blame on God. The columnist merely parsed the title of JAMB’s post on X, which reads “Man proposes, God disposes.” It was an unfortunate heading because it is subject to variable interpretations. The said columnist opted for the literal meaning. However, as an English proverb, it basically means that even the best-laid plans can fail.

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    In this particular case, Oloyede went to great lengths in explaining how human error, not God, caused the glitch: “A major operational flaw was uncovered during the implementation phase (of changes introduced to promote system efficiency). The system patch necessary to support both shuffling and source-based validation … was not applied to the LAG (Lagos) cluster, which services centres in Lagos and the South-East … As a result, 157 centres operated using outdated server logic that could not appropriately handle the new answer submission/marking structure. This affected an estimated 379,997 candidates.”

    Ethnic sympathisers are not the only ones who ignored Oloyede’s explanations. There are also university autonomy advocates, who argued that JAMB should be scrapped to give way for the University Senate to conduct admission examinations through their admissions offices and admit students who meet their criteria. Their central argument is that universities are stifled by the Big-Brother role of JAMB on admissions and the NUC on curriculum, admissions quota, and even teaching qualifications.

    I chorused such arguments until my post-retirement stint as Program Director or member of Governing Councils in some universities. The level of decadence I observed is unprintable. Suffice it to say that the level of corruption and the erosion of values I noticed within the universities led me to wonder what would happen to higher education in the country, without the oversight functions of the NUC and JAMB. Rather than scrap either or both, the focus should be on further streamlining their functions in order to enhance the role of University Senates and their respective admission offices. Moreover, membership of University Governing Councils should be less politicised so that their members could exercise effective control over the University Management.

    Operators of Miracle Centers also jumped on the bandwagon of JAMB critics. The JAMB computer glitch offered a golden opportunity for criticising the institution that has all but eliminated their source of income. It was once reported that Miracle Centers charged as high as N200,00 per candidate for the UTME. Incidentally, those Miracle Centres were said to be rampant in the Southeast at the time when some states there produced among JAMB highest scorers.

    Ardent critics of JAMB also included some parents, especially those who patronised Miracle Centres, bribed invigilators, employed exam takers, or besieged admission offices on behalf of their children. To be sure, some of them had genuine complaints this time around, but many joined the bandwagon of critics for selfish reasons.

    The real problem is that this year’s JAMB computer glitch may have sowed the seed of distrust that may erode confidence in JAMB’s work as in other government institutions. Nevertheless, those who may be thinking along such lines should pause to reflect on two major developments. First, it should be recalled that Oloyede brought significant technological improvements to JAMB’s operations, expanded its physical infrastructure, and imbued the organisation with uncommon culture of transparency, accountability, and effective service delivery. Above all, under his leadership, JAMB had remitted nearly N60 billion to federal government coffers as against a paltry N55 million in the 40 years before Oleyede came on board.

    The second development has to do with computer technology. Who among us has not experienced a glitch or two on our computer, printer, tablet, or phone? Hasn’t your phone or an App frozen on you before? If a glitch could occur on an individual’s mobile phone, imagine the ripple effects of a glitch on a network of computers on a large scale.

    Such was the case with this year’s SAT exam, taken across the globe. On March 8, 2025, a glitch in the Blue-book App used to keep time, among other services, caused the digital SAT to automatically submit tests early. An incorrect setting in the software caused the glitch, leading to the submission of tests at 11:00am local time, regardless of whether students had finished. The error made its way across the globe. The College Board, which administers the exams, responded promptly, by offering students a full refund and a voucher to retake the exam in as early as two weeks.

    A similar fiasco befell Chinese students in 2023, when their computer screen abruptly froze on them while taking the Advanced Placement examinations. On detecting the error, the authorities organised a makeup exam for those affected by the glitch.

    In both cases, no one politicised the error and no one asked for anyone’s head. Everyone understood that computer glitches could occur anywhere and at anytime. Oloyede’s JAMB acted in line with international best practices. He should be commended, rather than condemned.

  • Traore’s nirvana

    Traore’s nirvana

    “After all,” Jero quipped, “it’s the fashion these days to be a desk general!”

    In Burkina Faso, it’s Ibrahim Traore’s dizzy season as giddy messiah — all tizzy lies pushed as redemptive balm: the making of a junta nirvana on X!  What mirage!

    Whatever fibs this junta upstart feeds the long-suffering Burkinabe is no concern here. What’s of concern is sons and daughters of perdition, pushing Traore’s lies as model for redemption in Nigeria — after eons of best-forgotten military rule!

    But back to Brother Jero.  That closing quote, in Wole Soyinka’s Jero’s Metamorphosis,  wasn’t just the rogue beach prophet mocking the Nigerian military-in-power of his day.

    It was Prof. Soyinka, piercing  wit, devastating humour, lacerating political generals.  Pray, how’s a “desk general” different from the desk sergeant in your neighbouring police station? Neither has gone to war!

    But those were even the early Gowonian era, with comparative sublimity and sanity. Headlined by the cherubic Gen. Yakubu Gowon himself, many of the top guns could still pass as the archetypal officers and gentlemen. 

    By the time of Gen. Ibrahim Babangida and cronies, pepper soup generals had taken over! 

    Peeper soup, so-called because Alozie Ogugbuaja, an otherwise high-flying Police spokesman, blurted that Nigerian soldiers of his day were gloriously idle they retired early to their mess, to soak selves in pepper soup and beer, and plot endless coups! 

    That got poor Alozie, a Police Superintendent, a quick-march posting to Siberia!

    Under Sani Abacha?  It was the age of well and true brigands — again, headlined by Abacha himself!  Abacha  would loot and plunder, with relish.  But at the risk of hot death, he would keep out a looting ensemble!  Thank God for small mercies?

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    Even Abacha’s chief of army staff (COAS), at near-forced retirement, as near-sole martial archetype in Abacha’s dream army of rich rot, declared the army he was leaving was an “army of anything goes”! 

    The post-June 12 annulment mess proved exactly that. But until Sani himself mercifully expired — with thrilled folks hollering “divine intervention” it was a close shave!  He died so the country he wilfully raped could exhale!

    Why this foray into a best forgotten era, though?  Another upstart from Burkina Faso spins a ceaseless yarn about turning his dirt-poor country into instant paradise.

    You believe that, as British crime thriller writer, James Hadley Chase, would have quipped, you believe anything?  But tell that to the Traore plebs on X, as gullible as they come, touting Traore as some new revolutionary-saint, come to chisel the whole of Africa in his power robber’s pan-Africanist image!

    Those campaigns, particularly by “African Hub” on X, are as hare-brained as they come. Indeed, it seems a savage tweak of the famous Awo quip: only the shallow call to the shallow!  Chief Awolowo’s deep called to the deep.

    What does this fella think he is — some reincarnated Kwame Nkrumah, in military fatigues?  Isn’t that galloping absurdity, just thinking of it?  Nkrumah’s pan-Africanism wasn’t frothy X stuff.  It was deep scholarship, captured in liberty classics as Neo-Colonialism, the Last Stage of Imperialism.

    Yes, Nkrumah was friendly with Soviet Russia, which threw the West into a tizzy of panic, leading to his military overthrow. 

    But he wasn’t pawning Ghana’s new freedom for USSR’s new shackle, as Traore now does, trading Burkina Faso’s old French cuffs, for new golden chains, from Vladimir Putin’s rogue Russia — all for regime survival! 

    How far that will last, in the dog-kill-dog grim poetry of junta rule, is left to be seen.

    Traore is even no Thomas Sankara, the idealist young officer, that changed his country’s colonial name of Upper Volta to Burkina Faso — Land of the Honourable! 

    His treacherous pal, Blaise Compraore, sure proved every inch a cad.  But Sankara, for redemption, only reached deep into his African roots, not trade French slavery for Russian thrall — and feeling hip about it.

    Still, even the Burkinabes themselves, victims of Compraore’s wasted years, ought to know nothing good comes out of military rule.  Their cup of tea!

    The Alliance of Sahel States (ASS), with which these power outlaws bluff ECOWAS, is yet another quandary. What mandate do power bandits have to commit their countries to such a union?

    But even beyond that: a land-locked three-member ASS is imposing union duties on the 12-member ECOWAS regional bloc!  Isn’t that act of ASS well and truly asinine? 

    If that doesn’t show outright the sterility of military rule, nothing will!  Should ECOWAS respond in kind and freeze out this trio, who loses?  There simply have got to be a limit to junta bluff and bluster! 

    In Mali, Assimi Goita, soon to plague his country with severe political goitre, just awarded himself a five-year transition.  But transition to what exactly — political death, as IBB/Abacha unfurled in Nigeria?

    Traore is busy misguiding himself on X.  Niger’s Abdourahmane Tchiani has settled down to uneasy quiet, after an initial anti-Nigeria sabre-rattling. 

    In Guinea Conakry, head of the junta there, Mamady Doumbiya, has quietly — but wisely — stayed off the asinine rascality of ASS.  In Gabon, former junta head, Brice Oligui Nguema, just transmuted in an elected president, posting a too-good-to-be-true vote tally, after elbowing from power, his Omar Bongo clan cousins.

    This quad again underscores the futility of military rule, as the sad Nigeria experience. A confirmed route to perdition can’t change into a sure path to salvation.  There is no Pauline conversion here.  No blinding flash on the way to Timbuktu!

    Which is why you wonder at the Traore Nigerian plebs on X — were they living in Mars?

    Didn’t they live through the military mess in Nigeria?  If they were not born then, didn’t their parents gist them? If their parents were too busy, didn’t these kids, now “forming” governance sages on X, read even a tiny bit of Nigerian contemporary history?

    As a University of Ibadan undergraduate in 1984 — the opening year of the Buhari-Idiagbon junta — a hall mate sent everyone into a wild guffaw. It was his grandmother’s x-ray of the ruling junta:

    “Buhari ni di agbon? Abasha!” — a devastating pun in Yoruba, suggesting it would all end in tears.  How prophetic!

    Abacha expired, but not before living the ultimate mess of military rule.  IBB lives to rue his June 12 election annulment.  Obasanjo, the “Army Arrangement”, planted to cover the flanks of the retreating military, blew it up on the altar of self-worship.

    Of the lot, only Muhammadu Buhari, as unsung as he is, grabbed a historic redemption: the general that aborted the Lagos Metroline became the president that federalized rail; and commissioned the Lagos Blue Line, Nigeria’s first urban rail.

    PMB also drove Nigeria’s renewed infrastructural vim, from the dead alley of the PDP years, which the Tinubu presidency has admirably kept aglow.

    Democracy is no magic pill.  But it’s corrective and sustainable — away from military quick fixes, that lead nowhere but ruin, as our giddy ASS will soon find out.

  • Dollar trumps kinship

    Dollar trumps kinship

    Historically, the ancestors of the white citizens of the United States of America came mainly from western Europe. The majority of the immigrants came from the big powers around the 16th century, like Spain, France, and Great Britain. According to Wikipedia, Donald Trump’s father was a son of a German immigrant from Bavaria, while his mother, Mary Anne MacLeod, was a Scottish immigrant. His predecessor, Joe Biden’s ancestors came primarily from Ireland and England.

    That common ancestry, perhaps, explains why the foreign policy of the US has been Eurocentric. As the 45th president, Trump followed the tradition of making Europe his country’s foreign policy thrust. But as the 47th president, it appears as if ancestry and all such emotional indulgences are damned, as Trump has instead embraced those with shiploads of dollars. Many have dismissed him as a transactional president, what we may refer to as ‘a buying and selling person,’ in our street lingo.

    But Trump has shown he is unperturbed by such claims, as he pushes what he refers to as his America First policy. By that policy, he will rather pursue a foreign policy that will economically benefit America than police the world in the name of expanding democratic freedom across the world. With a federal budget deficit of $1.8 trillion in 2024, equal to 6.4 percent of gross domestic product, America has strong economic challenges.

    Again, with a trade deficit of about $918 billion in 2024, Trump as a businessman has been paranoid about how less endowed countries are doing better economically than his country. Perhaps looking at the financial bottom line of his country, and with his buying and selling mentality, he fears that his country could become bankrupt if drastic measures are not taken. As Trump sees it, in the rat race for economic survival, there should be no traditional friend or pity or sympathy for the weak countries.

    In pursuit of what benefits America, Trump does not care whether you are practising democracy, or you are a dictator, or even engaged in terrorism. As long as your actions do not impact America negatively, he is fine. Drawn by dollars, Trump chose the Middle East countries of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and United Arab Emirates, all awash with dollars, for his first major foreign trip as the 47th president. In fairness to Trump, the visit had yielded bountiful harvests, and he has been triumphantly gloating about it.

    From the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Trump triumphantly secured an investment package of $600 billion. Included in the deal is an arms deal worth nearly $142 billion, which the White House dubbed the largest defence cooperation agreement. Of course, unlike some of his predecessors, there was no talk about whether the kingdom is a democracy and what the weapons can be used for, when supplied. Such a gag, as we heard, was placed on the Tucano fighter jets Nigeria bought from the US under former President Muhammadu Buhari.

    Interestingly, the Saudis got Trump to openly surrender America’s pretences or moral high ground about making sacrifices to advance democracy and fight terrorism, in defence of so-called western ideals. The Saudi royals requested, and Trump had no scruples to receive in audience the Syrian leader, Ahmad al-Sharaa, a member of al-Qaeda, and on whose head was a $10m reward for his capture. Trump also announced that based on the request from Saudi Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince, he would ensure that sanctions against Syria are lifted.

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    According to reports, the defence deals cover air and missile defence, air force and space, maritime security and communications. The agreement between Trump and the crown prince reportedly covers energy, defence and mining, among others. Trump is also pushing for a better diplomatic relationship between its Gulf partners and Israel. Such a relationship, he touts, will help fight the spread of terrorism by Iran and its allies. But while purportedly fighting for Israel’s interest, the country was not on the list for his visit, obviously because there are no bounties of dollars to reap.

    The next country on his business visit was Qatar, and according to Aljazeera, he was the first US president to make an official visit to the country. The White House claimed that the two countries had signed an agreement to generate economic exchange worth at least $1.2 trillion. A total of $243.5 billion was announced by Trump over a wide range of activities. The next stop was the United Arab Emirates (UAE), where he secured $200 billion in deals. Trump did not fail to talk about the $1.4 trillion promise in investment over the next 10 years, made by Sheik Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, a brother to the UAE leader Sheik Mohamed, when he visited Washington recently.

    While Trump is gloating about the success of his visit to the Gulf region, and the millions of job opportunities the deals will guarantee for his country men and women, his opponents and the western world are worried that the free world, under Trump’s leadership, may be in regress. While Syria may have turned the bend with the defeat of Bashar al-Assad, after his 24-year dictatorship was toppled, they are concerned about the unmeasured warming up to the new leader.

    While warming up to his new friends, Trump’s commitment to his old allies appears to be waning. The kinship and mutual defence commitment with European countries, which led to the establishment of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO), in 1949, in Washington, may suffer under Trump. While he is legitimately demanding that European countries increase their defence spending so that they can have the capacity to fight should Russia attack, there are genuine fears that Trump may ignore Article 5 of the NATO treaty, which provides that an attack on one member is deemed an attack on all.

    Across the Americas, Europe and farther off, China and even Africa, Trump’s Sword of Damocles had been tariff, and more tariff. The economy of the rest of the world has been in turmoil since Trump began his trade war. Her close neighbour, Canada, had to reciprocate the imposition of tariff to regain its composure, after Trump threatened to make it the 51st state of his country. China, on its part, showed determination to match the US, with respect to the trade war,

    and it appears the world is merely having an interregnum, as Trump firms up his new relationship with the Gulf states.

    Those who are worried that the Trump era will set a new world order may be right. It appears that in his world view, what matters more than any other thing is economic prosperity. And to make it even more worrisome, Trump has no scruples about how the end is achieved, as long as his country would earn more dollars from any deal, whatsoever.

  • Dead rotational presidency bill diversionary

    Dead rotational presidency bill diversionary

    Of all Nigerian political elite, our current military-baked ‘new-breed’ politicians have come to be regarded by most Nigerians as the most cynical.  Twenty-six years into the Fourth Republic, Nigerians remember with nostalgia that not even the departing colonial British administrators were this contemptuous.

    Unlike our founding fathers that put their differences and individual ambition aside to foist a working federal constitution which defined how we were to live together in peace and justice, as brothers even though tribes and tongue may differ, our current leaders, driven more by greed for power and its dividends, have continued to take Nigerians for a ride. Thinking they could decree unity or wish away tribes, forgetting that tribes are the building blocks of African society, they have wasted billions of taxpayers’ money tinkering with our current unworkable ‘unitary’ constitution. They have done everything except revisiting the national question, which is about the challenges of living together in justice and respect as civilised human beings as was the case until January1966.

    Of course, we have had different administrations, including that of President Obasanjo, who probably genuinely believed attainment of economic justice, equitable allocation of resources, and effective and sustainable production and distribution of appropriate goods and services is the ultimate solution to the national question. But we have seen how this was marred by massive looting of the nation’s resources under Obasanjo and Jonathan, especially by those who saw undermining the nation’s economy as an answer to distributive injustice arising from non-resolution of the national question.

    We have also seen the effort of the current administration of Tinubu, who believes promoting efficiency within the existing structure will usher in all-round prosperity and life abundant for people of Nigeria, leading to equitable and peaceful cohabitation of the various communities in Nigeria. Even while the jury is out, there is already a basic misconception that leaders of ethnic nationalities in Nigeria who are at different levels of cultural development want life more abundant for their citizens.

    It is just as well that the House of Representatives, last Tuesday, rejected a constitutional amendment bill seeking to rotate the office of the president and vice president among the six geopolitical zones of the country. Deputy Minority Leader Aliyu Madaki led the opposition to the bill, saying that issues the bill intends to cure have been addressed by the Federal Character Commission, warning that the issue of rotation should not be included in the constitution, but allowed to remain the way it is.

    The dead proposed bill was at best diversionary. The truth is that rotation of the presidency, like past social engineering efforts of the military, including NYSC, quota system of admission into tertiary institutions and bureaucracy, and other government brainwaves turned into government policies in a desperate attempt to ignore the national question, would have failed.

     Zero sum struggles for power at the centre is a symptom of our unresolved national question, just as it is a phenomenon associated with our new-breed politicians.

    With our independence constitution, which indeed addressed the national question, the centre was not as attractive. Ahmadu Bello did not think twice before ceding it to Tafawa Balewa, a minority from southern Bauchi, where the Fulani were only being tolerated. Zik had a chance to be prime minister at the centre, but conceded it to Tafawa Balewa, according to him, to promote the unity of the country. The only national leader that seriously aspired to go to the centre, ostensibly to replicate his miracle in the west, was Obafemi Awolowo. And having lost the 1959 election, he offered to serve as Finance Minister under Zik.

    That the north has since 1954 dominated the centre was not an accident. At the 1950 Ibadan constitutional debate, the North’s demand for control of fifty percent of members of the House of Representatives, which was not informed by the population factor, as a condition for remaining a part of Nigerian federation, was acceptable to all stakeholders, including the outgoing colonial government, which was ready to do anything to accommodate their preferred successors.

    The northern leaders, who never hid their desire to belong only to Nigeria they could control, got what they wanted. The Yoruba, being federalist by nature, wanted a federal constitution or regionalism where the centre will not interfere in how they manage their own affairs The Igbo, a landlocked nation with hostile neighbours, canvassed for a unitary system for a multicultural and heterogeneous society. But in the end, they succumbed to the superior argument of the British umpires, including Oliver Stanley, who reminded them that Nigeria is a multicultural and multilingual society where ethnic nationalities were at different levels of cultural development.

    That the age of ‘divine right of Kings’ ended around 1600 did not stop northern leaders from developing a mindset of being born to rule. There was, therefore, continued insistence by the northern hegemonic class including Ahmadu Bello, who according to Clark, swore he would never support southern leaders with real executive power. There was also the late elder statesman, Maitama Sule, Nigeria former permanent representative to the United Nations, who said,” Everyone has a gift from God. The Northerners are endowed by God with leadership qualities. The Yoruba man knows how to earn a living and has diplomatic qualities. The Igbo are gifted in commerce, trade and technology.”  Similarly, not too long ago, the immediate past governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El Rufai, tried to justify the northern monopoly of power on the grounds that the north has the population, especially if we accept that democracy is a game of numbers.

    Except for the new-breed politicians of the Fourth Republic that breed nothing but corruption, I am not sure old politicians from the east and the west envied the north for its monopoly of power that has brought nothing but misery to the northern masses.

    As for the east, despite being out of power but serving only as ever- willing bride to the northern hegemonic group to satisfy the demand of politics of participation and identification, the east was adjudged the fastest growing economy in the world in the early sixties. The west, which accepted its role as that of opposition, was ahead of the two other regions, paying higher minimum wage than even the federal government and sending more western region youths on foreign scholarship than the colonial master ever did for the whole of Nigeria in three years.

    What made all the difference was the independence constitution, which not only provided an answer to the national question by defining how we live as human beings in control of different culture, language and the education of their children, but also allowed groups/regions to develop at their own pace without interference from others.

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    But the coalition partners made up of the hegemonic ruling cast in the north and their ever-willing bride were envious of the independence and giant strides of the western region. They, in breach of the constitution, interfered in the affairs of the west. In 1962, Chief SL Akintola, the premier of the west, was removed from power by 82 votes to 29 for anti-party offences. Chief Adegbenro was constitutionally sworn in as replacement. Premiers Ahmadu Bello and Okpara refused to recognise him as stipulated by the constitution, despite the Privy Council judicial pronouncement that upheld the action of the governor of western region.  A subsequent attempt to pass a vote of confidence in Adegbenro at the western house was resisted by a few NCNC members who started throwing chairs. This was all the coalition partners who did not declare a state of emergency in the north or in the east, where there had been Tiv popular uprising and Isaac Boro insurrection suppressed by the military, needed to declare a state of emergency in the west.

    With the declaration of a state of emergency, Awo was detained in mosquito-infested Lekki while Akintola was installed premier of the west without an election. While in detention, Awo was charged with treasonable felony – attempt to overthrow her majesty’s government and sentenced to 10 years imprisonment. The military finally intervened in January 19666 to end the First Republic while the ‘living’ constitution was thrown into the dustbin.

    While our current new-breed leaders play the ostrich, concerned Nigerians stakeholders are saying if we don’t know where we are going after 59 years in the wilderness, it makes sense to return to where the rain started to beat us.  It is for this reason many Nigerians believe we had more freedom and attracted more respect from the colonial masters than our new-breed politicians that have since the beginning of the Fourth Republic swindled Nigerians of billions of naira on self-serving periodic constitutional review without addressing the fundamental issue of the national question.

    We all know that our current crisis of nation building, including the Boko Hara insurgency, immigrant Fulani herdsmen criminals, bandits, kidnapping for ransom, massive corruption, are all but symptoms of the unresolved national question.

  • Killing power rotation?

    Killing power rotation?

    The House of Representatives, last Tuesday, rejected a bill seeking to rotate the offices of the President and Vice President among the six geo-political zones of the country. It was among seven constitutional amendment bills turned down by the lower chamber that day.

    But that was after members had singled out rotatory presidency and taken turns to interrogate that piece of legislation. Though a majority of those who spoke picked holes in rotation, some of their reasons were laden with serious contradictions.

    This article seeks to examine some of the key issues raised by members against power rotation vis-a-vis the realities of the challenges posed by the federal structure operational in this country. This is not the first time the debate on rotatory presidency is coming up in the national assembly. Neither is the bill anything novel.

    Rotation of political offices at the federal, state and local government levels was in fact, one of the key recommendations of the (not-implemented) National Political Reforms Conference (NPRC) of 2005. The fact that the issue continues to crop up is sufficient sign of a malignant systemic ailment.

    The challenges posed by the inability of our political leaders to effectively manage diversity account for the recurring decimal which rotation has assumed in our national life. Its disruptive dimensions will emerge as the views of House of Representatives’ members on the propriety of rotation are interrogated.

    Deputy minority leader Aliyu Madaki based his reservations on the grounds that existing institutions have already covered the issues the bill is meant to address.

     “The issues the bill intends to cure have already been taken care of by the Federal Character Commission (FCC). The issue of rotation should not be included in the constitution but allowed to remain the way it is,” Madaki said.

    Madaki’s argument that the challenges of power rotation have already been cured by the mere existence of the FCC is not only laughable but detaches him from the realities of the environment in which he currently operates.

    Appointments into key federal offices and commanding heights of the military and other sensitive institutions under the last administration did incredible damage to the letter and spirit of the federal character principle and balance. Allegations of skewed appointments resonated recently, and the presidency had to publish a list of political appointees. It later withdrew that list with an apology due to some errors of omission.

    Even then, the FCC has been found complicit in obeying the laws establishing it in the breach. A few years back and contrary to the rules guiding its operations, former President Muhammadu Buhari shocked the nation when he appointed both the Chairperson and the Secretary of FCC from one geo-political zone.

    It took legal action by one Festus Onifade for the Federal High Court in Abuja to nullify in November, 2023 the appointments of Muheeba Dankaka and Bello Tukur, Chairperson and Secretary respectively. Justice Inyang Ekwo in his ruling held that the former president did not comply with the provisions of the constitution and FCC establishment Act in the appointment of Dankaka and Tukur.

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    Perhaps, the public needs to know from Madaki also, the outcome of the investigations of the ad hoc committee set up by the House of Representatives to probe allegations against the FCC, including the selling of job offers. How an agency that breached the laws setting it up can in all fairness guarantee the kind of balance Madaki believes took care of rotation is left to be imagined.

    The second plank of Madaki’s argument is that rotation should be left for the political parties. That could as well be. But the rancour it generates through reluctance or refusal by political parties and contestants to agree on the modality for its implementation should instruct that constitutional backing is the needed therapy.

    The next contributor, Sada Soli, questioned the practicability of the proposal with a warning that it could compromise leadership quality and promote ethnic and regional rivalry. Rotation is practicable, no doubt. Though political parties have had issues with modalities for its implementation, the situation would have been more chaotic in its absence.

    Ethnic rivalry is primed and promoted by seclusion, which rotation will cure by giving all sections a sense of national belonging. The inability to accommodate and equitably manage our differences in sharing the spoils of public offices is the reason for ethnic rivalry and cries of marginalisation. Agitations for restructuring and power devolution are propelled by the same considerations. Inclusiveness, through rotation, will, in part, address the challenges of power centralisation.

    The claim that rotation could compromise leadership quality is patently tenuous as it assumes that quality leadership for those offices may not be available in some geo-political zones. It is a sweeping statement that seeks to suggest that those who have over the years been elected to lead the country in various capacities are the best the country can produce. If that had been so, Nigeria will not be still trailing in all development indices despite its huge endowments.

    The population of all the geo-political zones in the country is far bigger than that of many countries across the globe, and it confounds how anyone could nurse the feeling that quality leaders cannot be found within them. It is rather a speculative proposition that should not be assigned any value.

    Shina Oyedeji supported rotation principle as it would address longstanding agitations for fairness among ethnic nationalities. But he cautioned that zoning could create new challenges. “If you adopt zoning and it comes to the South West, for example, which state will take the first position. Is it Ogun or Oyo”, he queried?

    Another member raised issues on the possible death of the president while in office and whether he would be required to vacate office to maintain the zoning arrangement. The state that should take the first slot when it comes to their zone should not be a serious issue.

    The fact remains that whichever state takes it first will not take it the second time when it comes around. It could also be similarly asked which states take the slot first as the presidency rotates between the north and south going by the internal arrangements of the political parties.

    What happens when a sitting president dies in office should not be a problem since it can still be taken care of through the same constitutional amendment. The right thing is for the Vice to take over. The constitution can reflect that to avoid the kind of situation that emerged when former president Umaru Yar’Adua died in office.

    Perhaps, the views of Minority Whip Ali Isa and that of Clement Jimbo captured more succinctly, the feelings of Nigerians on rotation. Not only did Isa lend support to all the six geo-political zones deserving a fair chance to occupy the presidency, he would want rotation extended to the state levels with the governorship position rotating among the senatorial districts. That represents the current feeling across the country. Even without constitutional backing, rotation among the three senatorial zones in the various states has been a burning issue.

    While some states have evolved ways to rotate power between the three senatorial districts, some others have not had the luck of finding a permanent answer to it. You may also find some stability in the states that have successfully handled power rotation among the senatorial districts as against those that have not. Political instability and security issues that are more pronounced in some states have, in part, been linked to the inequities of power sharing.

    The uniqueness of Jimbo’s contribution does not just lie in his support for the bill to address historical injustices against minority groups, but in his proposal for a sunset clause to end rotation principle once all zones have had their turn. His position may have been informed by how sections of the country that have had the privilege to occupy that high office have used it largely for the benefits of their ethnic groups and members of their family.

    So, let it go around. When all sections would have used it for the benefit of their ethnic groups and members of their families, then rotation can stop. Then also, we can collectively begin to salvage whatever remains.

    That captures the dialectics in the inability of our political leaders to effectively manage diversity. Inequity, politics of seclusion and marginalisation are variables that accentuate agitations by all sections to have one of their own in that high office. And it will be foolhardy to fault that urge.

    Since we find it hard to address the systemic dysfunctions that propel such agitations, giving constitutional teeth to rotation would appear the needed therapeutic response. It is a more heuristic piece of legislation than the superfluous bill for mandatory voting.

    Those rooting for mandatory voting should first address the credibility and integrity deficits that discourage the electorate from participating in elections.

  • Utomi’s shadow

    Utomi’s shadow

    Pat Utomi is a friend, and I have often regarded him as a friend. Not until recently, I never considered him, with his donnish airs, eyeglasses and abstract eyes, as a man who chases shadows. I should have, on second thought.

    Delusion? Yes, he has been a man of delusions, including when he ran for president, and also, not long ago, when he wanted to be governor of my state, Delta.

    He offered himself the ill-grace of being a candidate for his party, and he was going to lock horns with Great Ogboru. But he showed his signs of chasing shadows when on the day of the primary he asked for the delegates’ list.

    A late-hour exam expo, in Nigerian parlance. It was also like arriving town at 10 am and asking for the venue of the exam that was billed for 10 am. It was the naivety of a don.

    So, Utomi has been a man out of clock because he is out of sorts. Chasing shadows therefore fits him well. It fit him well when he called for the formation of a shadow government.

    We must understand where Utomi is coming from. He is not coming from the intellect. He is not coming from a revolutionary instinct. He is not coming from political theory. He is also not coming from the wellspring of patriotism.

    Nor is conscience the fuel. He is a victim of his own malice.

    He has a beef with the APC. Maybe he should. He said he was in the think tank that fashioned the manifesto and working idea of the party. But once the broth was ready, he was shooed out of the kitchen.

    For a man with an appetite, that must be jarring. I wonder why no one remembered to give him even a shadow of a chicken when Buhari took over the kitchen.

    Someone who did that must take the blame for Utomi’s shadowy condition.

    The Minister of Information, Mohammed Idris, would not have corrected him to the effect that presidential systems do not hug shadows.

    He was not educating the professor of political science. He already knows. He knows that it is the Westminster system that installs shadow governments as opposition pedestals.

    The prescient professor must have seen the words of former United States President Theodore Roosevelt’s lines about such sneaky elements in a presidential system, when he wrote, “to befoul the unholy alliance between corrupt business and corrupt politics is the first task of the statesmanship of today.”

    We borrowed our system from that country. The good prof knows that, too.

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    Utomi is too smart not to know that shadow governments do not rise out of whims.

     In the United Kingdom, Canada and even Australia where shadow governments subsist, the cabinets often are elected persons. They win elections at the local levels. The members of such governments are therefore voices of the people.

    They are not accidental business men or professors of fortune who want to be in government.

    The reason they are elected, though, is because they have to be loyal to the constitution and the legitimacy of the government at the centre.

    Hence, some of those systems name them loyal opposition.

    In shadow governments, the opposition lawmakers have titles without offices. They are dud. They have their say, not their way.

    The ruling governments have offices and titles. They are substantial.

     The Westminster system creates a real government and shadow one because all the actors play in a single chamber in a collegial atmosphere.

     Even when they battle, the smoke expires within the house.

     They all have constituencies to report to because whoever elected them whether as shadow cabinet or real one, are not shadows at the polls.

    But Utomi is not thinking that way. If he were, he would have contemplated the word government rather than the ‘adjective’ shadow.

     The qualifier is nothing without the noun.

    He may be lost in a shadow reality. A government is not so-called out of an impulse. It needs a constitutional legitimacy. We have had it before in this country, in the First Republic. Obafemi Awolowo was the leader of the opposition, and he flourished within the structures of a codified law and convention.

    Our professor also must know, unless his immersion in business has rid him of his theories, that the most valuable tool to a political scientist is history. Maybe he should read more history than theory, since theories can sometimes deprive you of the roots of political philosophy. If you listen to Utomi often, you realise that he touts theories with little appetite for objective facts from the past.

    He will do well to read the masters from Aristotle to Rousseau, even more contemporary ones like Charles Taylor.

    We know that many writers, including columnists these days, are undergoing a divorce from history. That is evident from the recent infatuation with Ibrahim Traore, the upstart from Burkina Faso, and how he has switched one form of slavery for another. And Russian’s foxy-eyed Putin has made him a pawn on a global chessboard.

    When the DSS took him to court, it is not because they wanted to gag. It is because democracy ought to gag. The law ought to gag. What he is doing is subversion.

    You do not form a government outside the law. He is trying to foment political guerillas in the guise of a neat idea.

     It is rebellion by stealth. But it is illegitimacy with a bold face.

     Utomi celebrated the news that some people wanted to gather a cloud of 500 lawyers to support him. I want to ask those lawyers where they were going to find a shadow government in the constitution.

    Jesus lashed out at lawyers who have lost the key of knowledge.

    Our smart professor is just following the script of the 2023 election grievance. He still has not recovered from  a loss, where his party came a distant, if hefty third. Some of his followers failed through the courts after trying to intimidate the justices.

    Some of them then started calling the army to take over.

    I never heard the good prof say anything about those subversives.

    Nor did he say a word about clerics whose prophecies bowed to reality.

    Utomi knows too that no system is locked up. It can be tweaked. But he also knows that it goes through a process. If he thinks a presidential system should have a shadow government, he is welcome to advance a theory.

    He will then have to deploy history, and show to us that it can work. He will also have to push elected officers to propound it and shepherd it until it becomes a legislation.

    If he does not want to? Then, he is working for a subversion. That fits into how people have looked at shadow as a metaphor for ominous, an insubstantial idea to heist the state.

     Or it will be a wraith of an impulse that Shakespeare, in his play Macbeth, describes as “a walking shadow, a poor player, That struts and frets his hour upon the stage, And then is heard no more.

    It is a tale Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, Signifying nothing.” Or it may signify the illusion of the subvert Macbeth, who was afraid of a shadow after he murdered sleep.

  • IMF loan and my Cambridge vindication 

    IMF loan and my Cambridge vindication 

    The news that Nigeria under this administration has paid off all its IMF loan reminds me of questions thrown at me last year at The Cambridge University in the United Kingdom when I was interrogated on my book on the 2023 elections, Beating All Odds: How Bola Tinubu became President.

    Some had tackled me when I asserted the following words:

    “Some critics in the country who are on the left have said President Tinubu is beholden to the West and IMF policies. This is an interesting point.

     His policy of stanching the bleeding like floating the currency or letting fuel sell at the market rate seem to suggest this. But he has no choice. He is, to me, not implementing the policy under their behest. I see it as a coincidence of policy. This so-called Washington consensus has been touted as the solution to the problems of many developing countries with mixed results. Yet, if your currency is bleeding, do you borrow to save it without a productive base? No. If the price of fuel is killing your ability to build roads or hospitals or fund education, do you continue? I think not.

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    “So, if it is IMF policy, it is not Tinubu obedience but a coincidence of necessity. When one of the candidates, Peter Obi was asked if he had an alternative to Tinubu’s policies, he said he would go and look for money to save the situation. In order words, he would hark back to the same era of extravagance and indulgence.”

     A PHD student was particular about the IMF taking over the economy. Even then, the government did not take any new loan from IMF.

    Today, it is clear that my point was vindicated. Professor Anthony Kila, who moderated the Cambridge event, as an intellectual understood the rigour of my argument, but he, too will be glad that he let me play the economic exponent. Some of those who argued that Tinubu was servile to IMF were economists without facts.

    Hence the late Henry Kissinger said during the 1982 recession in the U.S., “that the economy was too important to be left in the hands of economists.” President Tinubu demonstrated you do not need to be a slave to be right.