Category: Columnists

  • Burning desire; Ajayi O; ‘Yililo’; Checkpoint; Railway; Petrol well; Galaxy S4 Ad; Dangote Refinery

    Why is Nigeria’s political leadership, so devilishly nasty when there are simple solutions to the suffering and ‘belt tightening’? These solutions are available and demonstrated by a few credit-worthy leaders. The Nigerian citizen has received since independence ‘dividends of a desperate democracy and malicious military intervention’ amounting to N1 in every N100 available. This is why most of Nigeria is still in the 19th century in water, health et cetera.

    Where is the burning desire to serve? We know about the burning desire to steal Nigeria blind. But if the politicians, officials and civil servants had a burning desire to serve for just one year 2013-2014 as an ‘Amalgamation Centenary Gift’ would Nigeria’s naira be toilet paper? There is a saying that your funeral will not be judged by how many family and associates who attend but by how many strangers attend because you improved their lives. Where is the burning desire to serve? The good are too few to make a difference to the wretched lives of the nation’s citizens whose lives are further endangered through murder by police, note late murdered Ajayi Oladokun of Ikorodu.

    Have you heard of Mr Gregory Muonyililo reportedly ‘arrested’ for filming checkpoint police? Greg has the right, like tourists, to film on the open streets. It is only when all, tourist and citizen, brandish cell phones and record corruption and intimidation that the ‘uniform’ will respect human rights. Such secret recording can be called ‘To Greg it’ or to ‘yililo’ it. Mr Muonyililo has a burning desire to serve and deserves MON. Where is the burning desire to serve in you?

    To great national applause, IGP Abubakar banned checkpoints but they are back. Sadly nothing good lasts in Nigeria. Checkpoints are back with a vengeance including a near permanent checkpoint in Ibadan at Bodija SS Peter and Paul even on Sundays. Is this one legal?

    We sympathise with the Police for the death of four police during the Ozehkome Affair and others on active duty. No amount of money will bring the murdered police men back alive to their bereaved wives and children. We are all equal before God, escort and escorted! The killing of security and escorts is callous when we are not at war with each other.

    The NSCDC’s arrest of people with a petrol-contaminated well in their compound is odd as it is clear that the matter had been reported to both the police and the NNPC before the NSCDC intervened.  The man in charge, interviewed on Channels TV, who alleged reporter ‘bias’ needs to be disciplined. His comments should go viral like ‘the oga at the top’. NSCDC must, if found wrong, pay compensation for defamation and wrongful arrest. There is no landlord or tenant with children who will dig a well to bring petrol or live near a well highly with petrol. I expected NSCDC to be more worried about prevention of catastrophe, like the Jesse explosion, than ‘playing to the gallery’ arrests. A uniform and a few laws do not make one God but make one seek to serve better. Or did the NSCDC suspect the DPO and NNPC of collusion with the landlord? How long ago was the well dug? When was petrol first smelt or drawn? Has anyone been identified drawing water from the well and distilling the petrol for profit or use? The answers to these simple questions will confirm or exclude criminal intent.

    Attention: Advertising Commission. The Samsung Galaxy S4 advert humiliating an individual who stammers must be shut down as an insult. Stammering is not joke, but a socio-medical issue and should not be trivialised for public ridicule.

    So at last the Northern elite have approved railways for Nigeria. As those same elite destroyed the railways 40 years ago, and kept the railway suppressed in favour of trailers, tankers. Ask Buhari and Babangida about Jakande Rail if you have forgotten. For the trailer business to thrive nationwide, the Northern elite instituted a national policy that the railways had to die. In fact rather than develop Apapa Port already fed by railway into a giant international port, government decided to move the new development to Tin Can Island which was only to be fed by road and trailers and not by railways thus guaranteeing trailer livelihood and Nigerian transport downfall for 50 years. Anyone used to Apapa Tin Can Island road will know the 4-10 hours delays and havoc caused by trailers for 40 years. This is the legacy of the anti-railway policy of federal governments for 40 years. It is such a pity that the same people who destroyed the railways are now using rejuvenated railways as dividends of democracy for electioneering. Nigerians should know that Nigeria’s Lagos port faced de-listing from international ports for not having ‘Railway Evacuation of Containers’.

    Who will accept responsibility for the 40 years of suffering? We need 100kph trains.

    Dangote is setting up a refinery in Nigeria and needs 400,000bpd. Remember that all the other private refinery attempts died because Nigeria refused to guarantee them the required 20-100,00bpd/ refinery. Obviously Dangote has got his guarantee. Will most of the 100 fractionated products be exported or made available locally? Dangote’s track record in flour, cement had sugar have led to outrageous price increases overburdening the masses, so what hope have we for costs of fuel and by-products of the Dangote Refinery?

     

  • Suntai and the gilt cage

    Suntai and the gilt cage

    Danbaba Danfulani Suntai, embattled governor of Taraba State, is happily locked in a gilt cage. But those trying to prise him from that golden prison don’t necessarily boast a better moral hue.

    Both sides are power warriors, who subscribe to the same rotten values. If you doubt, relive the odyssey of President Goodluck Jonathan.

    Vice President Jonathan was high victim of the Yar’ Adua cabal. That earned him high national sympathy. Yet, the victim as president has not exactly balked at erecting his own cabal.

    Indeed, the difference between the Yar’Adua Katsina cabal and the Jonathan Ijaw cabal, vis-a-vis Jonathan’s presidential emergence and his plot for an encore in 2015, is just a stark exchange of roles. In pole positions, both sides would dagger justice with absolutely no qualms.

    So, will it be with the Taraba power tussle, whichever side of the divide, between Governor Suntai and Deputy Governor Garba Umar, gains ascendancy.

    That stark reality puts the moral purists in the media and seething purists in the legal high streets, the likes of the irrepressible Femi Falana, SAN, who always literally flies off the handle at the whiff of any constitutional infraction, in a no-win situation.

    Yesterday, they were banging their heads against the wall for Jonathan, the arch-victim. But how is Jonathan himself turning out? Today, they are fighting for the latest crusader-saints on the block, the tag team of Deputy Governor Umar and Taraba Speaker Haruna Tsokwa. But is there any guarantee the pair would tomorrow not turn the latest constitutional daemons?

    So, then: good people should fold their arms? Hell, no! It is just that they are condemned to fighting the same battles, and crowning yesterday’s victims as tomorrow’s devils. So, maybe it is time to quit getting excited over symptoms and digging deep for the root cause. No sane law works on insane sociology.

    Indeed, the Nigerian power code is stark – stark to the point of hopelessness: where there is power, there is no honour; where there is honour, there is no power. It doesn’t get any grimmer for a country that needs all its talents to break free; yet boasts a power vicious cycle that throws up hustlers and racketeers!

    All the cacophony of protest from the media and from purist lawyers is helpless voices from the fringe. In the vortex of state, the power lunatics are not only in government, they are also in power!

    That brings the discourse to a suggestion that President Jonathan intervene in the Taraba show. To be sure, that is no bad counsel. But legally, what can he do that the 1999 Constitution, as amended, has not done, if the ground rule of political engagement is good faith?

    Good faith! That challenges the president’s own track record, after his odyssey, which the current Taraba box office monster hit seems uncannily cut after.

    True, the Yar’ Adua cabal, with the presidential widow, Turai Yar’Adua, reportedly playing a lead role in its high tension power game, was a constitutional affront. Yet, in retrospect, it knew what it was up against: a power ethos with absolutely no honour.

    If you lost power, you lost everything – even power rotary agreements signed in black-and-white! The cabal’s method? Prevention is better than cure – and if the Constitution got slaughtered along the way, too bad!

    Still, its illegal “prevention” collapsed under the weight of national outrage. And the cabal is living its worst fears: no “cure” for its loss. Yar’ Adua is dead and buried. Interred with his bones is the worthless rotation agreement the North still clutches in moral rage!

    Meanwhile, the arch-victim of yesterday, the president, canters ahead on the same unconscionable power horse. The same people that balked at the Yar’ Adua cabal, and are now balking at the putative Taraba cabal, lost their moral outrage when Jonathan, after finishing Yar’ Adua’s term, insisted on having a full term of his own – which he is having – and is busy plotting a second term, even if his party explodes in the process! And all these without giving a damn about the deep hurt of the cheated!

    So, what advice might the president give the Taraba gladiators? That they should stick by principles, as he himself has done? Or give assurance that the Suntai bloc’s interest would be protected even if Deputy Governor Umar became accidental governor, as he himself protected the interest of the Yar’ Adua bloc, after becoming accidental president?

    O, the recourse to crass legalism in defence – constitutional right to run, Nigeria needs “national”, not ethnic leaders, and allied cant! But while politically correct legalism, with its empty fullness, could truncate politically incorrect argument, it has proved no Deus-ex-machina to living problems like lack of political fairness, ethnic domination, religious chauvinism, minority rights and allied fears.

    True, in a normal constitutional republic, Sections 189 and 190 of the 1999 Constitution ought to have led to seamless transition of power in Taraba. By Section 190, the letter by Governor Suntai that he is back and ready for work should have sufficed. That is what the law prescribes. But even the most doting of his friends know he is not.

    To make matters worse, he sacked his cabinet to pre-empt the trigger of Section 189 (1) (a), which empowers the executive council to declare the governor, on account of ill health, incapable of performing his duty. A medical board would now confirm or demur (Section 189 (1) (b); Section 189 (4)). That was power cynicism at its worst – and from a governor mortally struggling with his health!

    But in a festival of bad faith, the Taraba Assembly also over-reached itself in its purported “rejection” of the governor’s letter; and re-crowning Deputy Governor Umar as Acting Governor. It has no such powers under the law. Even more grotesque is the Deputy Governor’s counter-instruction that the governor’s dissolution of his cabinet is void. At the end of the day, except his side wins, Umar would lose more than his office as deputy-governor.

    Suntai could well be the face of a Christian lobby, scared stiff at a possible loss of power, in a state hinged on delicate Christian-Muslim divide: majority Christians with a sizeable Muslim population. It is the very opposite of Kaduna: Muslim majority, with a sizeable Christian population.

    Umar, perhaps, is the face of a Muslim lobby, salivating at the rare chance of producing the top dog. Should Umar become accidental governor and, like Jonathan after completing Suntai’s term, insist on his “constitutional right” to run on his own, that would be a fait accompli – unless, of course, his party loses at the polls.

    These would appear the fears driving the Taraba stand-off. In such a titanic primordial tussle, there are neither constitutional saints nor sinners; only smart alec pawns deploying the Constitution to angle for group supremacy.

    That is why Suntai would fight to the finish, even at the risk of his life; and Umar no less, at the risk of political death.

  • Sola Ogedengbe: A man for all seasons

    It was with trepidation and a numbing disorder that I received the passing into glory of a friend, comrade, patriot, father figure and “twin brother”, Professor Martin Olusola Ogedengbe, Emeritus Professor of Civil Engineering, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife. The late amiable Ogedengbe had been ill for some time but his will to live was obvious in all his activities as he always drove himself to the hospital, church and such other places like the newspapers’ stand at the Obafemi Awolowo University gate for his newspapers.

    In his tribute to the late Ogedengbe, Toye Olorode, the Botanist and highly regarded Political Economist described the death as the loss of “a courageous comrade, a great friend, a man for all seasons”. Indeed, the late Ogedengbe was a man of steely comportment who was rigidly committed to principles and not given to blinking and backpedaling on issues of honour and decency. As a teacher and unionist, he provided a strong moral compass for his students, colleagues and the university administrators alike. He was highly disciplined, thorough, easy-going, well-bred and radiated culture and excellence. He was in every material particular a man of high intellectual propensities.

    Because of his rounded intellectual pedigree, most people (including this writer) did not know that he was in the engineering discipline. For years, until I know him closely, I had thought that he was in the Social Sciences. He wrote and engaged in discourses which gave him off as a man of letters, and possibly one who should have been a Professor of Literature. There is no doubt, as I later found out, that he read a lot of literary works even as a student and teacher of Engineering Sciences.

    Interestingly, it should be noted that the late Ogedengbe started his career at Ife in the Department of Agricultural Engineering where he taught courses like Hydraulics, Hydrology, Water Resources Management, Technical Report Writing, Structural Analysis and other Civil Engineering-related courses. It was therefore not surprising that given his academic exposure that he could single-handedly establish the Department of Civil Engineering in the University which has produced a lot of engineers who have and are contributing to the development of our country. And for Ogedengbe, the icing on the cake came when by a letter dated May 6, from the University Registrar, he was told of his appointment as Emeritus Professor in recognition of his sterling academic accomplishments as a scholar worthy of emulation.

    The late Ogedengbe was a strong voice on the floor of ASUU (the union of academics that has since 1978 been a thorn in the flesh of successive irresponsible governments in Nigeria). Very sequenced in his debates on the floor of ASUU and the Senate of the University, no wonder he was appointed into many committees of both the Union and the University. Usually, his thoughts and their vocalisations were anchored on logic and reasoned anecdotes making him an admirably respected figure within the university system. In those days of insensate military dictatorship of various stripes accompanied by a creeping authoritarian flavour even in the universities, the late Ogedengbe and the likes of Eni Akigboungbe, Olorode, Idowu Awopetu, Dipo Fashina, Segun Osoba, ‘Layi Ogunkoya, Otas Ukponmwan, Kayode Adetugbo, Kola Torinmiro and others, too numerous to mention, provided the intellectual and ideological templates for the union in particular and the university in general with their encyclopedic knowledge. The tragedy of our country today is that men and women of Ogedengbe’s stature are leaving the scene with their unimpeachable values while those of lower values with their crass ignorance and polluted mindsets are taking over the affairs of our country. The country is indeed at the cross roads and at its worst!

    An old friend of the late Ogedengbe gave a vivid account of their relationship at the Iowa University of Science and Technology, in the United States of America in 1967 where they had gone for postgraduate studies, hinting of Ogedengbe’s virtues of erudition and patriotic excellence. It is not unlikely that what shaped Ogedengbe’s consciousness and outlook was his socialist inclination which prepared him for a life of conscientiousness. This, as noted earlier on rubbed off on the platforms and units that he had had the opportunity of creating and leading. It is pathetic that this icon of truth and integrity of the highest order has passed on at a time in our national life when many members of the Nigerian Left are retreating and cocooning themselves thereby creating an undeserved space for the rampaging neo-liberal order with its theology of the market and ever-ready theologians who are holding away. The Left cannot be coy in telling whoever that cares to listen that the only alternative for humanity is the socialist mode of economic production. Any other economic process and arrangement, as Kagaslitsky has brilliantly articulated, will amount to barbarism.

    The Nigerian Left which Professor Ogedengbe was eminently part of must come out of its political closet to redeem the country from the clutches of rent seekers and political pimps who have hijacked the post-colonial Nigerian state. Partisan politics has become a profession to a good number of people who by every definition and consideration could not have had the opportunity of enjoying political power if things were properly arranged. It is intriguing that it is these otherwise less gifted and fourth-rated individuals that have been allowed to determine the fate of millions of Nigerians. No wonder our sensibilities are routinely assaulted by the indiscretions of these elements who have nothing useful to offer other than their self-serving proclivities.

    There must be a new way of doing things in Nigeria and the Left must be at the vanguard of the process for the attainment of a new Nigeria. It is by attaining the goals, ideals and values for which Ogedengbe cherished and lived for that all his creative and patriotic exertions would not have been in vain. Adieu brother and bonhomorous comrade.

    • Uwasomba is of the Department of English, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife.

     

  • Suntai: Not always about the law

    Suntai: Not always about the law

    Nearly 10 days after, I have sought in vain to locate the lacuna in the 1999 Constitution as amended on which those behind the contrived crisis in Jalingo can sufficiently stake their case. Not only does the issue seem so cut and dried that required no invocation of the doctrine of necessity; that we are at this point is partly explained by our boundless tolerance of political delinquency and the ingrained culture of impunity that has metastasised beyond measure.

    Now, I have heard some people describe the arrival of Governor Danbaba Suntai first in Abuja and later in Jalingo last week as a public relations disaster. I consider that an understatement. Clearly, those who though very little of dragging the man through the motions of that ‘feigned consciousness’ have helped in no small measure to confirm our fears of how serious the incapacitation of Taraba’s chief of state is. Vegetative state may appear too strong to describe the man as we saw him on TV being brought down from the aircraft; nothing of his appearance – including his laboured address on TV (which could have been staged anyway) – presented him as anything near the fit-as-the fiddle individual that his hordes of supporters claim he is.

    So, the man is back? No one argues that the individual brought down from the aircraft on August 25 is Danbaba Suntai. However, it must be disappointing for the throng gathered to welcome their governor, both at the Nnamdi Azikiwe International Airport Abuja, and at Jalingo Airport, that the man who alighted from the aircraft looked pathetic, worn and lost after 10 months of medical sojourn in German and United States hospitals. Contrary to the high drama of his return, he certainly didn’t cut the picture of someone eager to return to his desks in months!

    It is therefore understandable that those who scripted his return would seek a dramatic way to prove that their man is alive and well. Never mind that their principal could only take a fraction of three minutes of broadcast time to thank the people of the state for their prayers, support and understanding; he apparently had just enough reservoir of energy left subsequent to transmit a letter to the state legislature intimating them of his return to his duty post after 10 months of absence! And all of these barely 24 hours after his return!

    But that is not anything near the Thursday’s overdrive – the order purportedly issued under the name of the governor dissolving the state executive council, an exercise that also swept away the Secretary to the State Government and the Chief of Staff both of whom were summarily replaced with new hands.

    Was the apparently shell-shocked lawmakers right to have insisted on having the governor address them at plenary as pre-condition for returning to his desk? Or even the more dramatic step of countermanding all the steps taken by the governor, and reaffirming Alhaji Garba Umar as the acting Governor only on the strength of their doubts which from all appearance looks well founded?

    The answer to the first question is that the constitution is unambiguous about its provision on a returnee governor: a letter transmitted to the legislature is what is provided for. Much as the House would seek public understanding for what it considers a well-intentioned move, their doubts about the fitness of the governor to continue in office would certainly not be resolved by any steps taken outside of the law. The exception is if the House can prove that the letter was a forgery – an impossible task.

    The other step of reversing the steps taken by the governor is not only ridiculous but an invitation to anarchy. While the governor remains in town, how does the House back up its resolve to keep the acting governor in charge? And what happens in case of contradictory orders from the executive branch?

    What the Taraba farce does, just like the Umaru Yar’Adua tragedy, is present the nation with a Hobson choice, neither of which is desirable. No matter how one looks at it, the idea of a cabal –acting in proxy and purporting to be at the behest of the legitimate authority whose decision-making power appears impaired – is obviously beyond the contemplation of the constitution. But then, there is also the danger of indecent haste by constitutional do-gooders to assume the powers they clearly lack under an assumed exigency particularly when such steps end up subverting the same institutions they are supposed to make work.

    I did not think that we had a grave constitutional problem in 2010 anymore than the actors in the Taraba drama can today claim difficulties in interpreting the relevant provisions. What we had was human problem – what I often describe as the delinquent antics of the operators of our laws. In 2010, it took the invocation of a superfluous doctrine of necessity to transfer executive powers from the terminally-ill President Yar’Adua to President Goodluck Jonathan when the Federal Executive Council could have acted promptly to stave off the looming constitutional crisis. The same failures are playing out in Taraba today.

    The summary of course is that the option available to the Taraba House is rather limited in the circumstance. To be sure, that option does not include power to reject the letter from the governor informing the house of his return to office. The power to determine the governor’s state of health resides with the executive council of the state. That power is exercised under Section 190 of the Constitution as amended. Surely, the House could have done better by working with the executive council, or, if it so chooses, proceed with impeachment.

    That leads me to the final point – the decline in the standards of public conduct and morality. I think that we have invested too much energy in the laws without commensurate attention to values in public conduct. It seems to me that the only enduring lesson from the Yar’Adua and Suntai saga is how those serving in executive positions are unrepentantly beholden to their principals as against their sworn public duty. A good way to start with their re-orientation is to remind them of the oaths they swore at inception of office. At the moment, it does not seem that many appreciate the weight of those sworn declarations. Time to bring them to their attention.

     

  • Obama: Second-term blues for a President

    Obama: Second-term blues for a President

    In the folklore of American politics, the second term is when Presidents falter, when anything that can go wrong under their watch goes wrong.

    Nothing seems to work according to plan. At a time their eyes are fixed on their legacy and their minds concentrated on how they can can best shape and consolidate it, they find themselves buffeted by events over which they have little control — events and developments that may not only undermine how they would like to be remembered, but damage it fatally.

    Reckoning from the time of Richard Nixon, there is more than anecdotal support for this piece of native wisdom.

    In the 1968 Presidential election, Nixon defeated his Democratic opponent, Hubert Humphrey handily. His escalation of the Vietnam War and his domestic policies stirred much domestic unrest. But going to China, thus ending the American delusion that propped up Taiwan for decades in the UN Security Council as a state actor and the authentic representative of the Chinese people, he won respect across the world as an authentic statesman.

    He had in his corner, remember, the brilliant but frighteningly amoral Dr Henry “Super K” Kissinger, first as his National Security Adviser and later as his Secretary of State.

    Four years later, Nixon won reëlection even more handily. In the race, he urged voters to compare his “law and order” credentials to the appeal of his opponent George McGovern, to the dishevelled anti-war elements stirring up things on the campuses and in the streets. Driven more by cynicism and expediency than high-mindedness, he ended the Vietnam War, brought home the troops, and it seemed he was headed to be counted among America’s great presidents.

    By the half-way mark in his second term, he was hobbled by what was at first dismissed as a third-rate burglary carried out by some inept political operatives: a break- in at the offices of the opposition Democratic Party at the Watergate Hotel, in Washington, DC. Nixon’s fingerprints were all over the break-in, in the attempt to cover it up, and in so many other acts, summed up by the term Watergate” that brought his office into disrepute.

    He resigned in disgrace, to avert impeachment

    Ronald Reagan rode to the White House in 1980 on the back of conservative resurgence, the frustration and impotence that swept the country when 52 Americans were held hostage for 444 days in Iran during the revolution that toppled the monarchy and brought Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini to power during President Jimmy Carter’s luckless term. An attempt to rescue the hostages failed even before it really got underway, deepening America’s sense of impotence.

    The conservative resurgence that had buoyed Reagan to The White House grew from strength and saw him to a second term, which he won by a landslide victory over Walter Mondale, his Democratic opponent, and promised to carry him through his second term.

    But the Iran-Contra scandal supervened and cast a pall over the second term and indeed his presidency. By the time Reagan left office, dementia had set in, reducing his presidency to a holding action

    Bill Clinton’s first term was successful by any measure; the economy that had contracted in the Reagan years expanded, and his leadership in the Balkan crisis resonated across the world.

    His second term was consumed by the Monica Lewinsky scandal. So toxic did the scandal render Clinton that, in his 2000 presidential campaign, his vice president and Democratic candidate, Al Gore, would not even stake a claim on a share of the glittering achievements of the Clinton Administration, especially on the economic front.

    George W. Bush owed his victory in the 2000 presidential election more to the Supreme Court of the United States than to the electorate. The 9/11 terrorist attack transformed his shaky and tentative start into an assertive control that propelled him to invade and devastate Iraq in a quest to rid the world of that nation’s arsenal of “weapons of mass destruction.”

    The weapons, it turned out, did not exist; they were a manufactured pretext for war. But victory in the war soon turned sour, and Bush’s dream of going down in history as an all-conquering war-time leader evaporated. Nor was that all; he squandered the hefty budget surplus of the Clinton years on tax cuts for the wealthy and plunged the economy into a recession from which it is yet to recover. The glory of the first term turned to ashes in the second.

    And now, Barack Obama.

    No sooner had he started his second term, after giving his Republican opponent Mitt Romney a severe thumping, than the term ran into contrary winds. The Republican faithful, sworn to ensure that Obama failed, thought they had found a promising opening when they put it out that the Internal Revenue Service had, for political reasons, scrutinised the tax returns of organisations with a conservative leaning more closely than those of organisations with a liberal leaning.

    So heavy was the drumbeat that the head of the IRS had to resign. That did not placate them. They branded the allegation a scandal of Watergate proportions that called for nothing less than the President’s impeachment.

    It would later turn out that the IRS had in this matter been an equal-opportunity inquisitor, scrutinising the tax returns of liberal-leaning organisations no less rigorously than the returns of conservative-leaning groups.

    The furore had not quite subsided when it came to light that the national Security Agency had been spying without warrant and without probable cause on millions of Americans and indeed foreigners, tapping into their e-mails and text messages and other electronic transactions, and invading their privacy in ways that George Orwell’s Big Brother could never have devised.

    And now, an off-the cuff remark that the use of chemical weapons in the festering civil war in Syria would “cross the line” and warrant an appropriate response is haunting Obama in ways he could never have imagined, this polished political actor who usually picks his words with the utmost deliberation.

    It appears that chemical weapons have indeed been used, but it is not clear beyond a reasonable doubt who used them, and on whose orders. Nevertheless, the powerful lobby for military intervention is holding Obama to his word. The coalition he was counting on to deliver an appropriate response has dissolved in the face of opposition from a war-weary public that remembers all too clearly the propaganda about Iraq’s alleged weapons of mass destruction, the casus belli that turned out to be a phantom.

    When they hear British Prime Minister David Cameron declare that everything they know points to Bashar al-Assad as the perpetrator of the horrid attack that put hundreds of Syrians to agonising deaths, and that it was all a matter of “judgment,” a great many in the attentive audience rejoin: We’ve heard that before, in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq. And the case turned out to be bogus through and through.

    When U.S. Secretary of State asserts that the charges he had laid out against al-Assad were based on “facts” and were a matter of commonsense,” he reminds his audience of similar assertions before the United Nations Security Council by Colin Powell, his predecessor twice removed, in the build-up to the invasion of Iraq. And their response? “We heard that before. Tell us another.”

    Obama now finds himself obliged, in the face of public skepticism, if not outright opposition, to seek the approval of the U.S. Congress before launching the bombing raids on Syria he had vowed with such unaccustomed casuistry to execute, effectively shifting responsibility to that body.

    No outcome is guaranteed. Nor is it clear whether the approval he is seeking is definitive or merely advisory.

    What is clear is that the curse –more likely the fatigue — of the Second Term is now upon the Obama Administration. Barely one year into the term, Obama’s sure-footedness is no longer evident, his agenda seems to have come unstuck, his momentum is out of kilter, and the immediate future promises more of the same.

    But it is too early to count him out. He is a student of history. He knows the burden he carries as the first African American president. In spite of the disloyal opposition, he will find ways to regain his momentum.

     

     

     

     

  • So Suntai is back

    So Suntai is back

    Taraba state in north eastern Nigeria is one of those rural states that offer natural attraction as a peaceful place to live. Surrounded by Adamawa, Gombe, Bauchi, Plateau and Benue states and sharing Nigeria’s international border with Cameroon, Taraba is hardly in the (national) news, not for lack of nothing to report about the state but simply because there are too many much more important things happening in the region competing for national attention pushing events in the state down the pecking order in most newsrooms across the country.

    But that seems not to be the situation any longer following the surprise arrival on the scene penultimate Sunday of ailing Governor Danbaba Suntai after a 10-month medical holiday, first in a German hospital and later in another hospital in the United States.

    Governor Suntai, you may recall was involved in an aircraft crash last October as he was piloting a small jet towards the international airport in Yola, capital of neighbouring Adamawa state. He almost lost his life in the accident and is alive today simply due to the grace of God and the miracle called modern medical science.

    But while many Nigerians, especially his constituents are happy and grateful to God for sparing his life, Suntai, it does appear, is stretching his luck too far judging by the kind of activities he has engaged himself in since he was helped off the aircraft on arrival in Nigeria on August 25.

    The governor, evidently still very ill, is not content with looking after his ill-health and has been dabbling into the delicate and dirty politics of Taraba with the likely consequence of deepening the crises that have engulfed the state since that ill-fated flight to Yola. After a few months lull following the media frenzy that attended the aircraft crash, Taraba is back in the news and as it was then, for the wrong reasons.

    The man wants to take back the reign of government from his deputy, the acting governor, Garba Umar, who had been in charge since the accident. Nothing wrong with that you may say, but a lot is, considering the fact that Governor Danbaba Suntai, on the evidence of the pathetic picture of him being helped out of the aircraft on arrival and his hardly audible two-minute-plus video message to Tarabans last week, is not healthy enough to run the affairs of the state. Anybody saying anything to the contrary is definitely not being honest with the people. And until there is a verifiable and transparent medical assessment of his current situation any order or action purportedly taken by him stands the risk of being disregarded and thus plunge the state further into more political crises.

    Already the acting governor has called on the public to ignore Suntai’s dissolution of the executive council and appointment of a new Secretary to the State Government and Chief of Staff in the government house. The divided state House of Assembly had equally called on Garba Umar to continue as acting governor and urged Suntai to return to his hospital bed in the United States for proper treatment, promising him a return to his seat once he is medically fit to discharge his duties. The man or rather those around him whose political and economic survival depends on his seemingly remaining in charge, is not ready to give in and is digging deep to consolidate his hold on power even at the detriment of Taraba state. This is sad.

    Already the uncertainty this has created is beginning to get to the government’s bankers some of whom are reportedly rejecting transactions done by the acting governor. Though the government has denied this, the impression out there is that of a divided administration and this does not bode well for the state especially with the countdown to the 2015 general elections drawing closer. And that seems to be the cause of the impasse in Taraba state. With a dominant Christian population, Taraba has, not surprisingly, been producing a Christian as governor since the return of democracy in 1999 and the trend which has been designed to continue in 2015 now seems to be threatened except Suntai remains in charge. There is the fear that with Umar in charge in the run up to the 2015 polls, the role may be reversed and a Muslim in the saddle. This, to those fanning the embers of religious division in the state will be against their selfish interest. This is the crux of the matter and the main reason the cabal behind Suntai would rather have on the governor’s seat rather than his deputy, even when not fit.

    The question is where and how is the interest of the generality of the people of Taraba being served under this cold calculation of these grabbers of power? Does it really make any different whether a Muslim or Christian is in power in Taraba or any other state in Nigeria? What difference would it make if the Nigerian President were to be a Christian or Muslim? This was the religious card being played in Kaduna state before until we had late Governor Yakowa, a Christian and the heavens did not fall.

    It is about time we outgrow this kind of stupid sentiments and elect those who would serve the best interest of the people. Governor Suntai, if he loves himself and his constituents should not succumb to pressures from this cabal whose only interest is what they can profit from his governorship. He should without delay submit himself to a verifiable medical examination to determine the true state of his health. The Nigerian Medical Association has offered to do this for him. If he is not fit enough to rule, as it seems obvious, then he should not force himself on Taraba.

     

  • Suntai: Wanted  dead or alive

    Suntai: Wanted dead or alive

    Football is like politics in the sense that everyone knows it all, everyone is an expert. So, hours after Danbaba Danfulani Suntai surged on our television sets, in newspaper pictures, in the viral fidelity of the internet, every Nigerian became a Suntai expert.

    Just as many Chelsea fans can tell why the Only One Jose Mourinho lost the thriller to the mechanical virtuoso team called Bayern Munich at the weekend, some people already know the state of things in Taraba State, a vortex of intriguers, egotists, leeches, warmongers, court jesters and opportunists. They know the man is not well. They know he can sign signature. They know he cannot. They know he can dissolve a cabinet, they know he cannot. They know his speech cannot last an hour. They know he can go on forever in the manner Hitler gave extempore speeches for three hours without interruption. They can swear he will slump after thirty minutes. They know he is dying. They know he can live forever. They know…

    It is what United States sports pundits call Monday morning quarterbacking, the ability to coach a game after the sweat is dry and the green turf empty as a church on Monday morning. The average Nigerian pundit, politician, human rights votary, democracy hustler, lawmaker, party apparatchik, newspaper reader is everything in the matter – a lawyer who understands the legal merits and nuances; a doctor who knows he is fit and unfit; a psychologist who knows what he is thinking and who is thinking for him; a prophet who knows what will or will not happen; a masseur who knows where aches and not; an acoustic expert who can analyse whether he sounds healthy or sick; and sovereignty because they know what the people think as though they have conducted a poll as “impeccable” as the Gallup.

    With no consensus now over anything in Taraba State, we have a Hobbesian turf, what the English philosopher called the war of all against all. Those who want him say he is healthy. Evidence? None. Those who want him out, say he is not healthy. Evidence? Nada. The spectre of impeachment has overshadowed the state house, and fear of a possible state of emergency reproaches our ability to think well.

    We must understand that eyes cannot always tell the healthy from the sick. Former U.S. President Franklyn Roosevelt conducted the Second World War on wheelchair as a polio patient. His lifeless legs did not cripple his mental powers. Josip Bros Tito held together Yugoslavia and the non-aligned movement until he died without his legs. The Suntai story is also a contest of science versus intuition, each party to the conflict politicising both. Each party believes in its imagination. Although Einstein says imagination is more important than knowledge, he did not have in mind what novelist Henry James designates as the imagination of disaster, which is what this crisis portends.

    Those who back Suntai want his deputy or acting governor Garba Umar impeached. The 26 members of the state house of assembly have rejected his letter of return, saying he did not write it. Some analysts say there are three parties at war: the lawmakers, the deputy governor and Suntai’s people. But they are wrong, there are only two: the deputy versus his boss or former boss. Those in the house who rejected his letter are playing the same script with Umar who claimed that the governor did not dissolve the cabinet.

    Basic to all these is the constitutional status of the office of governor. If the position was not this powerful, this magnificent, so flush with security votes and other aces, the battle would not be pulling down the heavens.

    The governor in Nigeria is like a monarch, just as the president is like an emperor. The powers are immense. It does not matter who occupies it, he is no more than a label. The power on the throne, the capacity to turn a pauper into a prince is in the hand of a governor or president. This power obfuscates how we define truth or integrity.

    Suntai left for ten months, and Umar took charge. Within that period, the loyal lawmakers have become ‘forsakers’ of oaths of fidelity. The deputy governor who bowed and trembled before him now feels not only an equal but a superior. The cabinet, whose commissioners must have groveled and lobbied desperately before and after they secured their appointments, no longer confer on him the lofty look of a god. What happened in between? The acting governor became a temporary god, decided who had contracts, who earned esta-codes in the law chamber, whose vote was fat or lean, who was happy or unhappy. The new holder of the purse string and infrastructure of power determined who to love and who to hate, and the people of Suntai now understand that. The former god Suntai who wants to be in charge of all the incantations and modes of worship now finds himself being banished from the holy of holies.

    So he cannot trust, like God cannot trust Lucifer, the one he put in charge of the kingdom. That was why the cabinet had to be dissolved whether it was by him or by his.

    Yet, it is obvious that while every Nigerian seems to know what the truth is, the man Suntai holds the key to life and death in this grueling drama. His is the omniscient god, who knows if he can do the job well or not. Or he knows if he can cool tempers by simply making his medical records a public matter, and let the experts come around and determine whether he should remain governor.

    His medical records do not belong to the privacy of his bedroom. He was voted into power for transparency, not to lock his strength or fragility in the dark. The job of a governor is immense. He takes care of the destinies of millions, he cannot enfeeble the destinies of the many with the selfishness of a single destiny.

    What is at stake is not Suntai’s wellbeing but that of the people, and the integrity of this democracy. Those who love him must show the love of the majority. If he clings to this silence, he indulges in what the constitution calls gross misconduct.

    What if he does not have complete control of his mental faculties? It brings us back to the Yar’Adua syndrome. The former president received lashes for insensitivity but it turned out it was his so-called kitchen cabinet that presented a false sense of the man’s wellbeing and triggered a meaningless call for impeachment.

    The gridlock is underlined by the fact that it is hard to prove that Suntai did not write the letter to the House about his return. But if he is fit to write the letter, it means he is fit enough to determine whether he can perform his duties. Consequently, he is alert enough to understand that he should make public his medical records. If he doesn’t, an impeachment proceeding is in order.

    His wife has been shielding him, a la Turai, from the public. This only makes her a Jezebel of this theatre. She ought to tell her husband the truth and encourage him to unveil his records for all.

    He cannot trifle with the destiny of his people and democracy. His party, the PDP, ought to insist on this. Similar arguments empowered the rise of Jonathan as president, and President Jonathan would have violated the principle on which he soared if he does not bring the majesty of his office to direct the affairs along the path of honour. Or else, it will be clear that Jonathan wants victory more than justice in this matter. And it will negate everything that made him president. What everyone needs is what writer Tolstoy calls the pride of sacrifice, which refers to a sublime state of satisfaction in sacrificing what is needed for the joy of all, an Abraham who gave Isaac. But that pride only derives from the sacrifice of pride. That is the real meaning of patriotism.

  • Between Kwankwaso and Odimegwu

    Last week’s query to the Chairman of the National Population Commission NPC, Festus Odimegwu, over his observations on the 2006 census, has again elevated the controversy over previous headcounts to the vortex of public opinion. Odimegwu had spoken variously on the flaws of previous census exercises especially that of 2006 which he classified as largely unreliable for planning purposes.

    When officials of the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC visited to demand certified data for the various localities to aid them in constituency delimitation, he had told them some of the enumeration areas do not exist in reality as people bought them in the same manner politicians buy ballot papers during elections to gain advantage.

    At other times, he had lamented that the nation had run on this falsehood for a long time with a promise to conduct a very credible and reliable census in line with international best practices.

    A new dimension was however, added to the matter when Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano State, raised a strong protest to President Jonathan on the propriety of the appointment of Odimegwu demanding his sack. He anchored his views on the claim that the appointment was a mistake in the first place because Odimegwu’s curriculum vitae showed he worked in the alcoholic industry all his life. Kwankwaso feels with this background, he must be taking a lot of his product and therefore not qualified for the job.

    He also contended that it is wrong for the NPC boss to be attacking what his predecessor did and that if the 2006 census was faulty, he now has an opportunity to correct it.

    Coming soon after Kwankwaso’s diatribe, there is every reason to believe that the query to Odimegwu was the predictable outcome of the Kano State governor’s protest.

    If there is any wrong by the NPC boss in the instant case, it is his seeming indiscretion in speaking publicly on the sensitive matter especially in his present capacity. That however, is not an excuse for Kwankwaso to disparage and hurl insults on him in the manner he did. Kwankwaso has no business with the eligibility of Odimegwu for the post as his opinion on the matter is of no consequence. He was only challenging the competence of the president in making that appointment. Kwankwaso, arrogating the campaign for Odimegwu’s removal to himself bandying warped and banal arguments is not for nothing. He may have a point in his contention that Odimegwu now has an opportunity to correct whatever flaws there might have been in the 2006 census. That can be conceded him especially given the type of bureaucracy we run in this country that permits little openness in public affairs.

    But what is wrong with the fact that Odimegwu pointed out these anomalies especially if they tally with subsisting realities? The issue is not about discrediting a predecessor. Neither is it an attempt to cast aspersions on a section of the country. It is a patriotic duty of calling attention to some of the systemic dysfunctions that have overtime stood on the way to national progress and development. If the 2006 census and those before it were flawed, there is no use sand papering the matter.

    The credibility of those who presided over them is irretrievably tied to the success or failure of those exercises.

    Kwankwaso trivialized his case when he sought to portray Odimegwu’s experience in the brewing industry as evidence of his non qualification for the job. He also descended to smear campaign unbefitting of his position by his tendentious statement that the NPC boss as a brewer, must be taking a lot of his products. Such a statement is demeaning of a person of Kwankwaso’s status and exposes the bitterness in him over the census matter. It is not for nothing that he has found willing allies in the Arewa Consultative Forum, ACF.

    But that is besides the issue. The 1973 census was highly disputed and inconclusive. So also were those of 1991 and 2006. No less a person than late Chief Obafemi Awolowo vehemently faulted the 1973 provisional census figures as unreliable and called on the then Supreme Military Council to totally reject them. He had argued that not only was the overall census figure at variance with UNESCO projections, a situation in which the population of the North-east and Kano State were almost equal to that of the south put together was not acceptable.

    The same flaws identified in the 1973 census were replicated in 1991 and 2006. Kano State posted a population of 5.8 million and 9.4million respectively in the 1991 and 2006 census as against that of Lagos which stood at 5.7 million and 9.1 million even after Jigawa State had been carved out of Kano. The population of Jigawa in 1991 and 2006 was put at 2.8 million and 4.3 million respectively.

    Lagos State was so distressed by this outcome that it not only challenged the 2006 census but went ahead to conduct its own independent headcount which came out with a population of 17.5 million people. Besides, some local governments across the country have successfully challenged the figures credited to them on the 2006 census at the census tribunals.

    The point here is that all these censuses have before now, been largely faulted and challenged. And each time this happens, accusing fingers are pointed in the direction of the north for obvious reasons. There is practically nothing new in the issues raised by Odimegwu except perhaps, this is the first time somebody who should know has owned up to the subsisting reality. And we want to cut off his head for admitting the obvious? That is the problem with this country and that is why no real progress can be made until we come out of this deceit.

    Col. Tony Nyiam rtd, one of the prime movers of the Gideon Orkar military action as he would call it, admitted the manipulation of past censuses in a recent interview. He said the three priorities of his group had they succeeded were: to conduct a proper national census, organize a national conference and conduct free and fair elections. These nagging issues are still with us till date. He said, if we know what the Nigerian population is “over 40 per cent of the constituencies in the North-west and North-east would not exist”. He is not alone in this assessment. And my guess is that the tirade against Odimegwu has its root in this raging perception.

    It can now be understood why Kwankwaso and the ACF are leading the crusade for Odimegwu’s removal. It is all routed in selfish interests. But should Jonathan succumb to this blackmail aimed at perpetuating the decadent past or allow the satellite or aerial imagery in population counting which the NPC has promised? Must we continue to pander to the whims and caprices of those averse to new approaches to old problems? Can Jonathan afford to trivialize the compelling imperative for a reliable census devoid of the manipulations of the past?

    These are the real issues to ponder and not the hot air from the likes of Kwankwaso. Accurate national census is much more important to the peace, progress and unity of this country than the energy dissipated on the 2015 controversy. Jonathan owes it a duty to redress extant structural inequities in this country through a census that is in tandem with international best practices. That is the issue that should concern us most and not the vile agitation to have Odimegwu removed.

  • The comic tragedy in Taraba

    The comic tragedy in Taraba

    Suntai has passed all the tests given to him, yet, the legislators say he must go!

    Nigerians who have been wondering that something must be wrong with us as a people simply because Governor Danbaba Suntai of Taraba State returned to the country, seeking to resume his duties as governor after undergoing treatment abroad for 10 months apparently do not know what they are saying. They say the man is too frail to govern, given the impression they caught of him in the newspapers on Monday. Whatever gave them that impression? Are they doctors? Have they not heard that appearance could be deceptive? How did they expect a man that returned to the country only the day before, after about 12 hours air travel, to look? Those of us who have been to the airports at all know that it is no mean task undergoing such a long journey. Unfortunately, most of those analysing the situation have never been to the airports before; not to talk of travel by air.

    Our teenage stowaway, Daniel Ihekhina, even knows better, having travelled in the wheel compartment of Arik Air flight on August 24 for about 35 minutes without paying a dime! At least he now has an idea of how it is to fly. If he wasn’t as exasperated as His Excellency after his trip from Benin to Lagos, couldn’t that have been a function of his age and the short duration of his trip, compared to His Excellency’s. At any rate, has it ever dawned on those saying Suntai is unfit to govern that His Excellency could have been playing a stunt at the airport? How can anyone in his right senses ever suggest that the man needed ‘human crutches’ to alight from the aircraft as if he was some load carelessly placed on a bench that could easily fall off?

    Such people must have forgotten that there is nothing new under the sun; and that there is nowhere people don’t pack fowls at night. What has Suntai done that is new? He has only taken after the late President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua. What is wrong in a man leaving a place to go treat himself and returning after he feels he is well, or when he feels his position is threatened? Those who think Suntai cannot return to his desk must have forgotten too that when Yar’Adua was confronted with the same situation, his aides told Nigerians that he could rule from Saudi Arabia; indeed from anywhere under or over the sun.

    Madam Suntai and his (Suntai’s) handlers have not taken things to such a ridiculous extent. Rather, the man is here body and soul. They say he has not talked since he returned. The constitution does not say a governor must talk after returning from such a journey; it only requests that he transmits a message to that effect to the state house of assembly. At any rate, it is not even true that the governor has not talked since he returned; newspapers reported on Tuesday that he answered ‘Amen, Amen’ even if in low tones, when Adamawa State Governor Murtala Nyako visited him last Monday. When they see that the excuse that the governor is not talking is not flying, they say they have not seen him since his return. Again, is that important? Should they not be satisfied that Madam Suntai who is licensed to see the governor inside out is giving them a blow-by-blow account of how ‘oga at the top’ in the state is faring in the bedroom of power? Anyway, which of all these is a constitutional requirement?

    Now, imagine the man they say is unfit to govern; the same man has just dissolved his cabinet! If it is true that the governor could not respond to stimuli after 10 months’ treatment abroad, how come he was able to know that the entire pack was unproductive? Even if you insist that he was briefed only after his return, it still takes some soundness of mind to comprehend such briefing. Can an infirm governor do such a thing in our kind of country? This is a thing that even governors and presidents that are thought to be fit shy away from because of the political backlash. I won’t be surprised that Suntai’s enemies will also latch on to this and say that he could only have done this less than 72 hours after returning from his medical trip because he is not of a sound mind. Now, what use is a sound mind that cannot fire an entire cabinet if that cabinet is suffering diminishing returns?

    And, in case you are still in doubt that the governor is as fit as a fiddle, it was reported that he spoke briefly on video on Wednesday, four days after returning from his medical sojourn He also reportedly met with the legislators that had insisted he must address them if truly he is still capable to govern. As a matter of fact, we were told he called their names without mixing them up! If you are one of those saying Suntai did not perform even when he had no medical challenge, what you may not understand is that there are people like that: who spring a surprise when people have written them off. Suppose Governor Suntai is one of such persons?

    Honestly, we should be fair to His Excellency. In spite of all he has done to convince especially the state legislators that the plane crash has not reduced him to a vegetable; they are not in any mood to listen. Such is life; no matter what you do to such people whose minds are made up, they don’t listen. If you like buy mansions for them, they won’t budge; if you buy exotic cars for them, they still would not yield. The only thing that can satisfy them is to yield ground to them. But Governor Suntai should forgive all those who have been wishing him evil. He is even lucky his case is not like that of the First Lady whose property some of her aides had sold off when she had a medical challenge a few months ago. Quite magnanimously, she has forgiven those who thought she would not return alive. If the First Lady could do that, why not Governor Suntai? Such detractors may know not what they are doing.

    Certainly, there are certain things the constitution never envisaged. One of them is that a governor/pilot would crash an aircraft, and thus did not make provision for how to handle such situation. But how many women in Madam Suntai’s shoes would want to let go that easily? Baba ta ni ise wu? (Who loves poverty?)If in spite of all I have said you still feel I have confused, rather than convince you about the indispensability of Gov Suntai, or you still see what is unfolding in Taraba State as shenanigans, or you are still asking the foolish question as to why we are like this, that, according to former President Olusegun Obasanjo, na your toro (that’s your business).

    What many of us do not know is that people who had been governor since they were in the womb cannot be denied that right simply on account of an ailment that has held them down for only 10 months. What is 10 months in the life of a state where the life of the state chief executive is the issue? And, who says a state cannot be grounded on account of such an insignificant occurrence?

    But Nigeria is probably the only place where a governor has to subject himself to this kind of ridicule just to remain in power. We are all living witnesses to ‘Yar’Adua Part 1’. Now, ‘Yar’Adua Part Two’ (as someone said on the internet) is unfolding before our eyes. What I know however is that when you have not seen ‘The END’ after watching a movie, then, that movie has not ended. Certainly, we have not seen the end of the show of shame in Taraba. What I dub ‘The Suntai show’.

  • Senseless about Syria

    Senseless about Syria

    Blind to consequence, the aggressor thrusts into war, unaware that he approaches the gates of hell.

     

    Once extinguished, life becomes utterly irretrievable in the normal course of events. Thus, lethal warfare is a most somber matter; yet, too often, it is the province of the arrogant and foolish who from haughtiness or incapacity cannot properly gauge the attendant danger. War entices cowardly and diffident leaders into convincing themselves they must war to disguise the character flaws that trouble them. Into one or more of these categories fall the leaders of the three western nations – America, England and France – so bent on bombing Syria for alleged use of chemical weapons.

    This Western trio for years has itched to sign the death warrants of the Assad regime. They no longer have to tolerate that itch. With the weapons allegation, they now rush to scratch from existence this government they long have detested.

    Zealots of neo-conservative geopolitics in Western capitals have plotted to topple the houses of Hussein (Iraq), Gaddafi (Libya) and Assad (Syria). Toss in those unruly Iranian Shi’as as the ultimate objective. Already two targets have fallen to western intervention based on claims that later proved worse than false; they were fraudulent. Hussein’s Iraq was engulfed by massive war to rid that nation of weapons that did not exist. Its people still feel the bite of war and pinch of scarcity that war produces. The nation stands one major incident away from fully-outfitted civil war.

    The West intervened in Libya, allegedly compelled by the humanitarian principle of a responsibility to protect innocent civilians from their despot. The claim rang hollow when made. In hindsight, it was purely counterfeit.

    Western assertions that Gaddafi threatened to massacre Benghazi were fabricated pretexts to kill his regime and the man himself. The man never made the murderous exclamation. The lie justifies the vigorous bombing campaign that ensued, establishing a rather curious foreign policy tenet. The West will eagerly bomb a people to protect them from the violence of their government. The outcome of this distorted logic is to heap more pain and suffering on those who already have sampled the sour chalice. Under Gaddafi, Libyans had little freedom. They did have a semblance of social order and economy activity. Today, they have not gained freedom but have forfeited social order and economic activity as well. Western intervention has been a sad bargain for them. Theirs is now a land where political violence and economic depression are the daily fare. The West has abandoned the nation to its fractious aspects. Curiously, the responsibility to protect civilians that so provoked Western nations to chase Gaddafi into is grave seems not to endure with a sufficiency to establish a peace worthy of its name. The West used this rationale to unseat the enemy. Once the enemy is vanquished, the West blinds itself to the people’s suffering. In truth, the West cares little that civilians may perish. Its interest concerns in who kills them. If the killer is a foe, the West deems the action inhumane. If committed by an ally, the killing is considered the inescapable collateral damage of governance in a dangerous neighborhood. Why this curious and strange inconsistency?

    The answer is simple. The ability to kill means the actor has eminent dominion over the subject people and place. The West seeks not to end killing but to rob its enemies of their lethal dominion in hopes of bestowing this power in a particular nation to those who would do the West’s bidding. Instead of being a new tool promoting justice and humanitarian mercy, the principle of a responsibility to protect civilians has become a caliginous device undermining the doctrine of noninterference in the domestic affairs of other nations. The powerful now use this new doctrine to encroach against nations that offend them. They speak in the tongue of angels but the motives behind their deeds are as sullen as the excesses of a bygone era.

    If Assad should drown in the swell of civil war, Western arch-conservatives will rejoice. They will be three-quarters of the way to their dream of a politically conservative, economically pliant Middle East. Oil stocks and global shipping lanes will be secure for the near future. Israel will be also rid of an enemy. With Assad gone, only Iran remains as an obstacle. Already the rationale to crumple Iran – the nuclear specter – has been established.

    This neo-conservative dream refuses to die although it is so and outdated that it disserves America’s imperial interests. Still, this vision influences Western foreign policy. Thus, part of America’s foreign policy establishment will ally with known terrorists such as al Qaeda and its cousin, al Nusra, although these groups have been more actively opposed to America than Gaddafi’s Libya or Assad’s Syria. Staunch neo-conservatives are so fixated on their old designs that they don’t truly understand how much the world has changed. In a bid to oust these established regimes, the hard-line neo-conservatives are willing give the more radical anti-western groups a chance to seize power in these strategic nations. Not only are the neo-cons blood hungry, their incarnadine lust cripples their capacity to think logically, endangering their interests as they rush headlong toward war.

    Less rabid neo-conservatives realize the danger of abetting al-Qaeda and its franchisees. President Obama, that avowed fan of the President Bush, camps with this more straight-laced conservative group. He wants Assad subdued but is wary of handing the keys to the palace Syria to extremists as he has been done in Libya.

    The melding of staunch and cautious neo-conservative thought has produced a most cynical policy. America does not seek the quick departure of Assad, fearing that radical elements will most profit from the void created. Thus, a policy has been fashioned to keep Syria in perpetual war, where neither side is strong enough to win nor so weak as to fold. Aside from the gold star of replacing Assad with a compliant American lackey, this “plan B” best protects Washington’s interests. Far from freeing the Syrian people from violence, American policy aims to make violence a way of life in Syria as it has become in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Somalia and the Congo.

    Statements of western leaders have been illuminating. Try as they can to peal the bell of humanitarian concern, their words reveal the ugliness inside hidden. British Foreign Secretary Hague proclaimed self-righteously that the world act because this was the first instance of chemical weapons use in the 21st century. Hague must do better at reading the newspaper and spend less time mesmerized by his own harangue. This is not even the first chemical attack of the year. There was an earlier attack in which dozens were killed. At that time, the West hoisted their arms in protest until the UN inspector concluded the opposition had deployed lethal sarin gas. The West quickly discounted this outrage, pressing the international media not to report it. American and its sidekicks were not truly interested in deterring the use of chemical weapons. They were more interested in finding a pretext to delve further into Syria to shift the balance of power.

    If genuinely upset about chemical weapons, Western nations already would have bombed themselves for committing this transgression. When white phosphorus and depleted uranium are used in certain ways during military operations, they are classified as weapons. Such use is prohibited under most reasonable interpretations of international conventions. Yet, America used them and napalm in Iraq. Israel, the nation that purported provided America the communication intercepts implicating the Syrian government in the latest incident, resorted to white phosphorus against Palestinians during the 2008-09 Gaza uprising. None in the West clamored to sanction, much less bomb, Tel Aviv. The thought of America delivering a military blow to Israel for using illegal weapons so transcends the imagination as to be laughable.

    Statements of American officials have been reprobate in their lack of clarity. Explaining the rush to war, President Obama maundered, “In a nation with the largest stockpile of chemical weapons, where they have been allied to known terrorist organizations in the past, where over time their control of chemical weapons may erode… these chemical weapons could be directed against us. We want to make sure this does not happen.” This statement is a potpourri of tortured reasoning. It will be recorded as one of Obama’s lesser, most naked moments when he bared the emptiness of his character. That he could make this statement only a day after his keynote address commemorating the 1963 March on Washington and Dr. King’s “Dream Speech” shows that Obama either lacks a memory or is a man with a most elastic moral composition. For him, right is not what you seek to find; it is merely what you say it to be.

    According to Obama’s logic, Assad needs to be bombed because he is losing control over chemical stockpiles. This loss of control may soon allow terrorists to acquire use the weapons against America. This generates a few questions. If Assad has lost control over the weapons, why is America so adamant Assad directed this particular strike? If terrorists can imminently acquire these weapons and use them against America, doesn’t that mean they also have the ability to use them in Syria where the weapons are based?

    On one hand, America alleges the opposition did not have the ability to launch this attack. On the other hand, America alleges segments of the opposition have the ability to use these weapons against America. Both statements cannot be true.

    Bombing Assad, will secure the chemical stockpiles. Bombing will further loosen his hold, rendering the stockpiles more vulnerable to plunder by radicals. Bombing Assad enhances the possibility of al Qaeda acquiring the weapons. In other words, American action will turn these fears into a self-fulfilling prophecy. This, in turn, will allow the American military corporate condominium to further frighten the American public by claiming terrorists now hold lethal chemical weapons. This will be used as a rationale to increase security and police state tactics in America. Just wanting to be kept safe, the public will cower, dropping its inchoate concerns about internal surveillance and eavesdropping. The military/security machinery will further invade and erode American democracy, stone by stone, civil liberty by civil liberty. The American public will be as much a victim, albeit indirectly, of the bombing as the Syrian people.

    While America rushes headlong into the bog, England temporarily rescued itself with a touch of sanity. PM Cameron wanted to join President Obama in this martial recreation. In a stark rebuke to the rashness of their leader, Parliament ruined Cameron’s war designs. The rebellion in parliament against Cameron’s warmongering shows that democracy still works on occasion. The true heroes were those parliamentarians of his Tory party who placed national interests above party loyalty. English people are tired of war. After Iraq, they are wary of being dragged into a fray based on dubious, hastily drawn conclusions.

    Hoping to go into war with his junior partner Cameron, like the fictional heroes Batman and Robin, Obama is left to go it solo like the mythical cowboy hero, the Lone Ranger. Sure, the French want into the fray but that is a puny consolation prize. The French have a big appetite but hold a rather small cup and saucer. They can collar and bully weak African nations but Paris is no longer a genuine world power. The Gallic bull is but an old, flabby cow.

    One feels some sympathy for Obama. Judging by his unintelligent stammering, his heart is not in this. But the weight of the military and political apparatus pushes him toward war. He is too weak to resist although the claim against Assad smells dubious. That Assad would launch attacks likely to invite a Western response when he was clearly winning the war makes little sense. Assad was eager to attend peace talks in Geneva where negotiations would memorialize his military gains. Why would he risk all on a tactical outburst of no military consequence? That he would do this the very day weapons inspectors arrived on his invitation makes even less sense. Also, if America truly wanted to get to the truth of the matter, why did it apply high-level pressure to dissuade the UN from carrying out the inspection of the incident?

    While the international media has joined their financial sponsors in hastily concluding that Assad is the culprit, reasonable alternative theories must be investigated before a conclusion can be had on a matter freighted with such consequence. As President Obama implied, Assad may have lost control of portions of his stockpile in the miasma of war. Such weapons do not wonder the streets ownerless. Someone quickly assumes possession. Others may have gotten hold of them.

    Clearly losing the war, the opposition has much to gain by staging an attack then blaming Assad for the carnage. This would compel the West to increase their support and attack Assad, thus rescuing the opposition from impending defeat. Western clandestine agencies have been operating in the Syrian theatre for months. These agencies have the assets and guile to stage this operation while casting responsibility toward Assad. Moreover, these agencies also have motive to do this. Should their governments join the battle against Assad, the importance of these agencies will increase as will their funding.

    Assad is malign soul and he might well have commissioned this tragedy. However, his guilt is unlikely and thus far unproven. Even if he did this, American intervention will cause more harm than good. To engage in a policy that encourages perpetual war weakens America’s already dwindling legitimacy. To do so in the face of broad global opposition is to make a mockery of the international legal system America purports to champion.

    In retrospect, President Obama must rue the moment he said that use of chemical weapons in Syria would be a “red line.” Rarely has a leader placed himself, his nation and an entire region in such a predicament with the careless utterance of two words.

    I have no idea of the line’s true color but Obama certainly straddles a line separating caution from rashness and the arrogance of dumb power. It is tragic that the mighty are rarely wise. Much grief could be eliminated. By uttering this dangerous flippancy, Obama assured the world that chemical weapons would be used. Now he feels he must strike Syria or his credibility is at stake. This is silly.

    Credibility is not at stake. Vanity is. Obama has killed bin Laden, bombed Libya, Yemen and Pakistan and Afghanistan into smithereens. No one questions his love of bombing real and imaginary foes. To argue that he must act because he said he would act is to impose an adolescent form of reasoning on the world’s most elevated seat of national power. It is a request begging us to forgive the original folly (issuing the unwise threat) that we may also adopt the mad logic of fighting for the sole reason of not losing face. In any event, Obama should not worry of loss of face. His actions through all of this shows he has two faces. The man has, at least, one to spare. Better to lose face than lose the slim chance of peace.

    A minor tactical strike by America accomplished little. After the massive post-incident media and political buildup, a tactical incision would be worse than nothing. Arch conservatives would be biting at his heels and head to do more. He will comply as he always has. The logic of America’s illogical position requires that it strike repeatedly and with such force as to alter the balance of power which now heavily favors Assad. The more America invests itself in this melee, the more it must defeat Assad. The more it must defeat him, the more America must invest itself in war. This Nobel Peace Prize winning president has just purchased a pivotal seat in someone else’s war with the very words of his own mouth. Those who would rule the world should first control their tongues and the heady exuberance the muscle and might of high office often bring.

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