Category: Barometer

  • That petition against Okpebholo

    That petition against Okpebholo

    LAST Monday, a civil society organisation, the Leadership and Accountability Initiative (LAI), submitted a petition to the United States embassy in Nigeria pleading with the US to place a visa ban on Edo governor Monday Okpebholo and his family for allegedly threatening the life of former Anambra governor and Labour Party (LP) presidential candidate in the last election, Peter Obi. The petition alleged that the governor warned Mr Obi, leader of the volatile and irascible Obidient Movement, not to visit the state due to security challenges. The governor was further alleged to have said that should Mr Obi remain obdurate, ‘whatever he sees, he should take’. The governor’s threat, the civil society organisation wailed, threatened ‘democratic stability and political coexistence’. It is unclear whether the US would pay attention to LAI’s inane request.

    LAI is one of the many civil society organisations informally and fanatically loyal to the spirit of the Obidient Movement and to Mr Obi in particular. The movement has been captured many times on record threatening, shaming, and bullying dissenters who denounce their nefarious methods and causes. The affiliated civil society organisations turn a blind eye to these constant and repeated cyberbullying by the Obidients. Now, after alleging that the Edo governor had ‘threatened’ their idol, they have begun to flex muscles. Mr Obi himself has said little about the governor’s travel advisory except insisting he would visit whenever he wanted to, but he is widely known to bask in the cultic following the Obidient Movement gives him, in addition to reveling in their aggressive posturing against his detractors. Clearly, trouble lies ahead. The Edo governor has of course doubled down on the travel advisory he issued to Mr Obi, insisting that the former LP candidate was no ordinary person and was too polarising not to be capable of provoking a breakdown of law and order. It may seem farfetched, but Mr Okpebholo seems to want to err on the side of caution.

    The Edo governor may have been strident about the travel advisory to Mr Obi, but his action appears to reflect and react to the frothing political undertones of the state. It is well known that the Obidients are a little more energized and unscrupulous in Edo than in most other South-South states. They are uppity, more voter conscious than the natives, and hunt like a wolf-pack. Mr Okpebholo is not unmindful of the dangerous undercurrents he faces in the state, and may be desirous of defanging the fanaticism many Edolites observe in the Obidients in Edo. The very nature, political dynamics and ethnic pastiche of the state, which harked back to the civil war era, ensure that the tug of war between the political factions in the state will continue for a while. It will take deft politicking, particularly ensuring that Edo continues to experience three-horse election races in the state, to tame and pacify a group as relentless, immoderate, and seasonal as the Obidients.

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    But much more than the hysteria displayed by the petitioning civil society group, LAI, is the more rankling decision to petition the US, yes the same US now presided over by probably the most anti-democratic and narcissistic president in US history, Donald J. Trump. In 2020, when Mr Trump lost his reelection bid, he encouraged his supporters to storm America’s democratic citadel, the Capitol. The assault was defeated, but not before substantial damage was done to American prestige. Who called for a travel or visa ban on Mr Trump and his supporters? In fact, as recent as a few weeks ago, the US president threatened his former ally, billionaire Elon Musk, not to lend support to the Democratic Party. That threat, on which Mr Trump has doubled down, is a hundred times more severe and frightening than any threat the Edo governor allegedly issued against Mr Obi. In the past few months, the US has ceased to be the chief promoter or custodian of democracy as the concept is known. But it is to a country repudiating democracy and belittling global leaders that the anachronistic Nigerian civil society group has appealed for help.

    American embassy officials are not morons. They will of course take receipt of any petition by any group, whether the petition makes sense or not. But they will be secretly amused, if not appalled, by how foolish a group can be to elevate a travel advisory against their hero, even if questionable, to a global issue that portrays Nigeria in a bad light. The Americans will confirm what they had long suspected that many Nigerian groups and even public officials display inferiority complex by reporting themselves to the prefectural US. Even if the Americans sneer at the petition, and they will be justified to do so, they will still take secret delight in the fact that many Nigerians continue to manifest the worst forms of neocolonialism. They can’t of course do anything about the Nigerian malaise, nor should they take it as their responsibility to decolonise the minds of Nigerians. However, their job is to represent the US as best as they can, and reinforce actions that elevate the prefectural image of America globally.

    Unfortunately, there is no law in Nigeria banning the self-deprecation many civil society organisations operating locally subject their country. They are too dimwitted to know the difference, too stuck in the past to know that even if Nigeria has its limitations and defects, the anomalies are best resolved internally. To that extent, there may not be an end, in the immediate future, to Nigerian groups and even political leaders reporting their country and leaders to Washington and London. There will sadly be no end, it seems, to some Nigerians making a spectacle of themselves before the whole world.

  • Hope rising for PDP

    Hope rising for PDP

    The Acting National Chairman of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Umar Damagum, was probably right in suggesting that his party’s problems were largely self-inflicted, but his analysis of how far back that problem went remains unpersuasive. Speaking at a pre-National Executive Committee meeting last week, he said: “But we must also confront the hard truth. Much of the injury the PDP has suffered has been self-inflicted. From the Obasanjo era to this moment, we have too often jettisoned ideology in favour of personal ambition. This has cost us dearly. Yet, there is still a beauty that exists only in the PDP: our founding vision, our commitment to internal democracy, our enduring mechanisms for dialogue and reconciliation, and our true national outlook.”

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    Ambassador Damagum may be uncomfortable acknowledging that his party has been supplanted by the APC in all the attributes he mentioned, but he was at least forthcoming in accepting the fact the current problems had their roots way back in the Olusegun Obasanjo administration. Chief Obasanjo ignored the salient task of laying a solid and democratic foundation for the PDP, having ruled both Nigeria and his party like a despot, a culture that ossified over the years. But for the party chairman to suggest that the PDP often abandoned ideology for personal ambition appears cynical. The party never achieved nor enjoyed clarity in ideology.

    The acting chairman’s boast that the party would regain its beauty, which he highlighted in his remarks, is heartening. Nigeria may take solace in the fact that the PDP is less fanatical and irrational than either Labour Party (LP) or the coalition vehicle, the African Democratic Congress (ADC). The Nigerian political system needs the contributions and opposition of the PDP. It should rediscover itself and offer the sensible, firm and measured opposition it is famed for. For the PDP, it is hope rising.

  • Atiku’s presumptuous politics

    Atiku’s presumptuous politics

    Former vice president Atiku Abubakar’s resignation from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) will be the third from the party since he began participating in Fourth Republic politics. He had defected from the PDP to the Action Congress (AC) in 2006, fled back to the PDP in 2009, then sauntered to the All Progressives Congress (APC) in 2014, and then crawled back to the PDP in 2017 for the purpose of contesting the 2019 presidential poll. After a long hiatus, in which he virtually abandoned the party to the likes of former Rivers governor Nyesom Wike, he rekindled his interest in the party essentially to contest the presidency in 2023. Finally, to cap an inglorious culture of political peregrinations, the nomad again resigned last week from the PDP to seek solace and fulfillment in another adopted party, the African Democratic Congress (ADC). After his 2023 presidential election debacle, analysts concluded that he had blown his last chance at winning the presidency. But he thinks he still has another ‘last chance’, hence his orchestrated mass migration to the ADC.

    He resigned from the PDP a day after former president Muhammadu Buhari died in London on July 13. While one of his aides, Paul Ibe, claimed the resignation letter was leaked and was not meant to overshadow the burial of the former president, another aide posted the letter on X (Twitter). There was of course no leak. Having tendered the letter to the appropriate authority in line with the PDP constitution, and with no caveat attached to its circulation, it was only natural that so significant a resignation should be publicised. More, for a man so taken by the inscrutable art of political metaphysics, he saw the death of the former president as a good omen for his political ambition, an augury that beckons immediate action. In any case, by July 16, Alhaji Atiku was reveling in the announcement of his resignation. He had attended the burial of the late president on July 15 flanked by former Kaduna State governor Nasir el-Rufai and former Sokoto governor Aminu Tambuwal as they walked to the late president’s residence on account of the crowd that thronged the funeral. Hailed extravagantly like heroes just back from battle, he and his cohort interpreted what seemed like a festival of welcome directed at them on the approaches to the Buhari residence as proof of resounding victory in the 2027 presidential election.

    The former vice president’s resignation letter illustrates a man who consistently labours under grand illusions. Apart from opportunistically projecting himself as the inheritor of the Buhari mystique – and it is extremely hard to see how or why – the letter also tells brazen lies about his intentions, his worldview, and his ambitions. He predicated his resignation, or ‘parting of ways’ as he put it, on “the current trajectory the party has taken”, which he argued diverged from the PDP’s ‘foundational principles’. This was of course an egregious lie. The party’s trajectory has not changed a jot, notwithstanding the convulsive politics of some of its panjandrums. What is more, its ‘foundational principles’ have remained neither fully conservative nor passably progressive. The party has in fact engaged in ideological straddle for decades, indeed from its birth. If anything has changed, it may perhaps be its repeated failure to muster the kind of subliminal confidence that attended its birth and weaning. Nothing else has changed except the defeats that have corroded its essence and denuded it of courage, a malaise contributed in no small measure by the political whoredom Alhaji Atiku practiced in and around the party and programmed into its mindset.

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    Not done with exaggerations and fondness for outright mendacity, the former vice president boasted that he was a founding father of the party and was therefore heartbroken to resign. If indeed he was a founding father, no child should ever aspire to be groomed by such a truant and absentee father, one who kept running off with every voluptuous temptress in the neighbourhood. The truth is that Alhaji Atiku is totally bereft of conviction; he has no idea what the term ‘founding father’ means. Worse, to speak of heartbreak, a word he used twice in his impassive resignation letter, is to indicate a lack of lexical integrity to capture his false emotions or crystallise his thoughts. There was of course nothing heartbroken about his exit from the PDP. Had he been truly heartbroken even once, having exited the party three times in this republic, his heart would have been broken into a thousand pieces. The unvarnished truth is that he left the PDP because he had overstayed his welcome. He had played ducks and drakes with their affections, and had taken them for granted. He used and dumped them so many times that they grew weary of his excesses and shenanigans. He was indifferent to leaving the party, so, too, was the party in gladly getting rid of him, his kept aides, and his unfeeling cohort. Had the party pandered to his political whims, he would have stayed put and massaged their ego. He would have thrown a few bones to the party dogs and deployed them for his so-called last electoral stand.

    After many years of being tossed hither and thither by users and political adventurers, the PDP has finally come into its own. If they can leverage their newfound determination, if they can manage to refine their ideology and spruce up their platform, and if they can face their seemingly dire future with courage and pertinacity, they might yet confound sceptics and revivify their electoral chances. Their hope is not as grim as it seems on the surface, especially with the exit of the political wayfarers led by the former vice president. Despite the emergence of a third force in the shape of ADC, the PDP still has better footing than any other party save the ruling APC. One PDP leader said of Alhaji Atiku that his exit was good riddance to bad rubbish. That might seem harsh; but judging from the cavalier manner the former vice president plays his politics, every negative metaphor hurled at him must be deemed an absolute understatement.

  • Natasha and her contentiousness

    Natasha and her contentiousness

    The suspended senator Natasha Akpoti-Uduaghan is as inscrutable as they come. Until she broke into the national scene a few years ago, she was hidden in thorough anonymity. But once she turned her electoral contest against former Kogi State governor Yahaya Bello into a soap opera, there was no stopping her. Controversial, recalcitrant, and self-centred, she has also demonstrated a huge capacity to be exploitative and manipulative. Her current battle, however, is with senate president Godswill Akpabio. Yet, three times in her recent jousting with the man she had sensationally accused of sexual harassment, she was offered a way out of the bind in which she threw herself. Thrice she spurned the offers.

    She had hoped the case would be resolved in her favour through local and international public agitation. Despite her best efforts, including shedding crocodile tears and manipulating top Nigerian women whom she described as ‘useful idiots’, she came a cropper. Now, she has cases in three courts. In one, after Justice Binta Nyako of the Federal High Court fined her N5m and asked her to apologise to the court for contempt, she has dragged her feet. In fact she has appealed, with the senate also embarking on a cross-appeal, thus tying up the case a few knots further. She seems to enjoy the reputation of being contentious, in addition to being naïve, pedantic and embroiled in completely needless battles and controversies. However, with each grueling case and controversy, she becomes less and less believable and credible.

    The movement of transition

    By Tatalo Alamu (PIX)

    Last week, on Sunday to be precise, Nigeria lost two of her most famous sons. Even for a nation inured to endless mysteries and political perplexities, the astrological signals and significance of these departures could hardly be missed. It was like a double meteor falling off the skies in quick succession. Nigerians had hardly taken in the import of the passing of a former ruler of the country in faraway London where he had sought medical refuge only to be informed that a frontline traditional ruler had also joined his ancestors, this time in the privacy of the royal bedroom.

     General Mohammadu Buhari was a notable soldier and civil war hero who became a military head of state and was removed by his colleagues for his strong-willed inflexibility and inability to transcend primordial and provincial proclivities. A man of adamantine resolve, he later became a civilian ruler of the country after three unsuccessful attempts. In the case of Oba Sikiru Kayode Adetona, he was a stellar and outstanding product of Nigeria’s durable and resilient traditional institution, becoming the Awujale  at the youthful age of twenty six in 1960 and going on to rule over his people with courage and forthrightness for the next sixty five years. After some youthful indiscretions, he settled down to rule his people with much royal flair and firmness.

    It was, as they say in this clime, the end of an era. But it is much more profound than that. It was a historic watershed for Nigeria. It was the culmination of the movement of transition in a particular direction which makes reversal in the former direction totally impossible having exhausted its historical and material possibilities. As enunciated by our former teacher Professor Oyin Ogunba, a liberal humanist and scholar of distinction, the movement of transition stresses the absolute contiguity between the world of the living and the world of the dead in the Yoruba cosmology. But it is a one-way traffic or as Amos Tutuola will put it in his colourful English: it is a journey to the land of the “unreturnable”. The dead have expended their visa and cannot return to the world of the living. This is why certain deaths are symbolic of a collective closure and the culmination of a particular phase of existence in a particular nation. It is the unforced and unhurried exit of certain historical forces and exceptional personalities that have dominated and determined the fortunes of their country for good or bad. They are what Charles de Gaulle, thinking of himself, called “sacred monsters”.

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     The case of the late Awujale is more straightforward and less complicated. The nasty posthumous spat with traditionalists who wanted to take control of the royal remains notwithstanding, he was a beneficiary of more benevolent historical forces and a benign conjuncture. His was a cohesive society with core values shaped by the history and culture of his industrious and enterprising people. Among the various sub-nations of the cultured and cosmopolitan Yoruba people, the Ijebu people stand out for the solidity of their worldview, the rigour of their traditional institutions and the breezy confidence with which they deal with existential and historical exigencies. They have been living in the same domain continuously for over a thousand years and they have never been militarily subdued except once when overconfidence and lack of discretion allowed vastly superior British artillery to overrun their ramparts ending in a humiliating rout at Imagbon in 1892. They quickly recovered the initiative   after taking to heart the lesson that ancient amulets are no match for modern bullets.

      There can be no doubt that Oba Sikiru Adetona left Ijebu-Ode a much better, more prosperous and culturally thriving place than he met it, with his people more united, more vibrant, more accomplished and forward-looking. Thanks to his cousin, Mike Adeniyi Adenuga the Globacom mogul, the annual Ojude Oba gathering has been transformed into a global cultural extravaganza which has brought world-wide fame and recognition to his domain. He had met Ijebu-Ode a rural municipality and had transformed it through sheer determination and the force of his towering personality to a thriving modern city with well-paved roads, majestic edifices, amenities, first class institutions and a slew of industries. Nothing that could add lustre and prestige to his beloved town escaped his attention and searching scrutiny. A personal example will suffice. After the burial of Toun Onabanjo in 2011, yours sincerely in the company of some notable Yoruba leaders, repaired to his palace.

     It was our first and last meeting. After introduction, the Awujale concentrated his gaze and attention on the columnist bemoaning the fact that one was one of those Ijebu children lost to the diaspora. Even after Chief Segun Osoba had told him that one was from a village in Osun State, the revered monarch insisted on our departure that the columnist must return home to put something on ground. Such was his charismatic charm and the goodwill he radiated. By the time he joined his ancestors last Sunday, the late king had been transformed into a supranatural personage of transcendental courage and immanent integrity, a mighty oak and auroch among men. Little wonder that the entire Ijebuland had been thrown into deep mourning and depression.

     Unfortunately, the same thing cannot be said about the general from Daura who left his country far more bitterly divided, polarized and impoverished than when he met it as a self-professed born again democrat and civilian leader. In death as in life, General Mohammadu Buhari split his country and people centrally. While the Nigerian ruling class and its global cohorts showered effusive encomiums and fake testimonials on him, the teeming masses of Nigerians across ethnic and religious lines were not impressed. They jettisoned the cultural admonishment not to speak ill of the dead as nothing but feudal veto and autocratic overreach.

    Angry callers jammed switchboards condemning him as an ineffectual political leader and his reign a massive rip-off and hypocritical scam. Never in living memory, except the passing of General Sani which was met with widespread celebrations and wild jubilation in some sections of the country, has a Nigerian leader met with such hostility and scarification in death. They accused him of not walking his talk on corruption, of leaving Nigeria with a worse security nightmare and of compounding the problems of ethnic, religious and cultural diversities in the country. Yet others hailed him for his infrastructural feats which are unequalled and unprecedented in the annals of the country and his massive empowerment schemes which turned out a classic instance of Stone Age economics compounded by a fiscal fiddling of the Exchequer.

     These divergent and countervailing opinions point at something more fundamental: a deeper structural misalignment of the nation which Buhari was fundamentally incapable of perceiving. He was a systems man and not a system changer or disruptor. His was a narrow and circumscribed feudal worldview in which all the issues were already settled and in which everybody was supposed to know his place. Having such a man as a leader in a roiling postcolonial menagerie of combustible contradictions is a cruel set-up. But power hungry while being politically maladroit Buhari was a willing martyr and accomplice. He allowed himself to be set up while also setting up the country and its teeming expectant populace. Under the spreading colonial chestnut tree of political perfidy, you sold me and I sold you.

    A man of more cultivated social habits, wider reading regimen and sharper political instincts would have seen through the fog from a mile off. Throughout his life, there was a lingering whiff of spite, resentment and scornful contempt as if he could not live down the haughty condescension of the blue-blood feudal Brahmins who looked down on him as belonging to an inferior caste of forest dwellers and the humiliation of having been toppled by his own junior colleagues. After he was elected the president of the country, a senior military colleague and former benefactor was known to have remonstrated with him that it was time to forget and forgive those who had wronged him in the past. He was said to have looked up in consternation at his former boss before exploding: “Including Ibrahim?” Yet it was the same Ibrahim whose magnanimity and generosity of spirit made sure no harm came his way on the night he was arrested and dethroned.

    Nigeria is not a unified or homogeneous country. Its contradictions have not been simplified and unbundled to a simple confrontation between the haves and the have-nots. Those, including this writer, who invested unrealistic hopes in the general from Daura have not been fair to him or the country. We had unfairly surmised that with his populist mystique, his aura of authority and messianic infallibility he would be the avenging avatar that would drag the north by the scruff of the neck screaming and kicking into the portals of modernity. But General Buhari is not a Colonel Mustapha Kemal Ataturk; neither is he a Colonel Gamal Abdel Nasser or even Colonel Muammar Ghaddafi for that matter. This is because Nigeria is neither Turkey nor Egypt or Libya. We must always modify our expectations based on the internal configuration and the state of nationhood of each country.

    General Mohammadu Buhari has given it his very best shot. He was not a rebel or a radical but a former herd-boy made good. In an engrossing play of irony, his military superiors who in 1976 upon the assassination of Murtala Mohammed foreclosed his appointment as Chief of General Staff, Defense Headquarters on the patriotic grounds that based on his political clumsiness such an appointment might imperil a sterling military career merely opened a surer path to political preeminence for him. General Obasanjo and General Danjuma could not see far into the turbulent future. Both Buhari and Shehu Yar’Adua, the man who acceded to the post, were classmates in Katsina Provincial College but there is no evidence of deep friendship between the two. The two military brass hats ended up in partisan politics with Yar’Adua perishing in Abacha’s Gulag while Buhari went on to become a twice elected civilian president.

      With the transition of General Buhari last Sunday, we have reached the end of an era; a critical threshold in the history of the nation and the culmination of events which began fifty years earlier with the overthrow of General Yakubu Gowon and the ascendance, military dominance and political hegemony of the civil war officers, those heady warriors who believed that because they fought for the unity and preservation of the country, they also had a right to control the political and economic destiny of the nation. They have left their deep marks on the tumultuous history of the nation. It has taken half a century for the nation to discharge its debt of obligation to them. But now, Nigeria has entered a new phase.

  • Ireti Kingibe misinformed on leadership

    Ireti Kingibe misinformed on leadership

    Like most members of Nigeria’s ruling elite, Ireti Kingibe (Federal Capital Territory senator) is poorly informed on the subject of leadership. Apart from contemporary examples in other parts of the world, there are ancient and modern texts and journals on leadership that explicate the subject and make its fundamentals so crystal clear that it is hard to see why anyone, let alone a senator, would continue to misrepresent the matter. Referring to her ex-husband, the 80-year-old Babagana Kingibe who was Moshood Abiola’s vice president-elect in the 1993 presidential poll and later holder of three ministerial portfolios under the late Gen. Sani Abacha from 1993-1998, the senator suggested that Nigeria’s complex problems demanded someone with fresh perspectives and vigour.

    Her argument was straightforward: “Even if you are starting off with a president who is not 40 years, he should at least be reasonably young. I have always felt that my former husband Baba Kingibe would have made an excellent president, but if he were to wake up today and say, ‘I am running for president’, I wouldn’t support him. Why? Everything has its time and when your time passes you give it to your successors, younger people.” No one is sure what age has done to her intellect or perspectives, whether she has become more mature or impressionable; but she seemed to indicate that she is less rigorous than she used to be. Her present condition, or perhaps Abuja’s political ecosystem, has indicatively led her to rule out another shot at the senate in 2027.

    What of her 80 years old former husband, whom she regarded as no longer fit for purpose, despite having confidence in his ‘excellent’ ability? Two things come out of her dismissive characterisation of Ambassador Kingibe. One, he is too old for the job. But is that really so? Is he too infirm and lacking in the vigour she said a leader must have? Perhaps. She knew him well, having married him and was and perhaps is still able to gauge his physical and mental strength. Here, however, lies the problem. The senator has obviously read few books, knows little or nothing about leadership, and has hardly improved herself on the arcane subject of leadership. Indeed, having heard her declaim upon her husband’s leadership capability, in addition to her many and lengthy extrapolations, it is charitable to suggest that she knows little when in fact she appears to know nothing about leadership. She and the thousands of Labour Party (LP) obidients that continue to pollute the social media with their war whoops and acidic rhetoric in favour of their champion, Peter Obi, seem to equate leadership with physical strength or superficial intellect.

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    Students of leadership, not to talk of statesmen who have gifted the world with their rich experience in leadership, are united regarding what qualifications a great leader must have. In all their accounts and expositions, there was never any emphasis on age or physical strength because they recognise how radically different the world has evolved beyond the use of javelins, swords and spears in warfare. All emphasis, according to former French leader, Charles de Gaulle, is now placed on attributes such as intelligence and instinct, moral courage, authority and prestige, self-discipline and sacrifice, devotion to the nation, feeling for reality, vision and determination. He should know, because he cultivated them. These qualities are neither propelled nor limited by age. In fact, if anything, they get better with age. Senator Kingibe, like most of her fellow lawmakers, has read very little about anything, for the National Assembly, to many legislators, has become a cul de sac, a vacuum where the drudgery of legislation is the preoccupation.

    Her poor judgement is revealed in her summation that without the limitation of age, her husband would have made an excellent president. She unfortunately did not elaborate whether her view of her husband’s presidential qualities was conditioned by her perception of most of Nigeria’s past and failed leaders. It had to be; it could not be otherwise. For, to consider her former husband as a potential president without any demonstration of leadership character is indeed a manifestation of a distressing lack of perceptiveness. The clearest proof that Ambassador Kingibe lacked the capacity to be president is the summary way he betrayed the June 12, 1993 presidential election won by the ticket comprising Chief Abiola and himself. He not only worked with the usurpers who seized that mandate and neutralised it, he infamously became at a point the face of the repudiation of that mandate. Worse, he has neither apologised for the betrayal nor disqualified himself from benefiting from the recent canonisation of the mandate. Ambassador Kingibe was in his late 40s when he helped or joined others to trade the mandate.

    Sen Kingibe will not be the only one or last public officer to talk about the prequalifying role age plays in leadership selection and succession. Her ilk will not be dissuaded by reason or history. For even right under their noses, as indicated by the First Republic, nothing suggested that the quality of leaders of that era was far higher than those of the succeeding eras. Indeed, virtually all First Republic leaders at the regional and national levels before and after independence were in their 30s and 40s when they assumed office. And they were not particularly more talented than those who took office in the Second and Third Republics or in the Fourth Republic. As recent as the last presidential poll, former president Olusegun Obasanjo and military head of state Ibrahim Babangida were still lionising age as the greatest qualification for leadership. Why their egregious lack of perspective does not embarrass them is hard to explain.

  • Babachir Lawal opens his mouth and puts….

    Babachir Lawal opens his mouth and puts….

    Since the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) adopted a Muslim-Muslim presidential ticket for the 2023 poll, the chivalrous former Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Babachir David Lawal, has turned himself into a knight in shining armour. That transformation was by act of sheer will. By act of sheer coincidence, however, he has also become well known for constantly opening his mouth and putting his feet in it. Before the 2023 poll he raved and ranted everywhere, threatening doom and destruction if the APC did not rjig its ticket. The party stood pat. Embarrassed that the heavens did not fall as he predicted, Mr Lawal has continued his fiery opposition, often speaking in hyperbole and raining curses.

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    Days ago, he again launched into a diatribe on television when he suggested that “Some APC members, including governors, are already working with us (the Atiku Abubakar-led coalition). They just haven’t spoken out publicly yet.” Insisting that the coalition of which he is a proud member had just one goal – that of dethroning the APC from government – he spoke glowing of the collegiate leadership he had inexplicably insinuated into the assembly of fading and faded giants controlling the group. He further argued that unlike the APC, the coalition, now a habitué of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), would respect internal democracy. Nonsense.

    In the final analysis, the coalition, which has many realists at its helm, will be about Alhaji Atiku’s ambition. Even though Mr Lawal threw his lot with the Labour Party which postured as a Christian party in the last poll, he knows enough to understand which side his bread is buttered. It is not clear if Mr Obi will pay him his worth this time, but if Alhaji Atiku values him more, he will hedge his bets and pitch his tent with the dour Adamawa politician.

  • Amaechi: frantic, immoderate and self-absorbed

    Amaechi: frantic, immoderate and self-absorbed

    Ignore his early working life as a staff member of former Rivers State governor Peter Odili’s Pamo Clinics and Hospitals, or as a special assistant to the same Dr Odili when the latter took to politics in the early 1990s, or as Rivers State secretary of the Democratic Party of Nigeria in 1996 under the discredited Gen. Sani Abacha transition programme. As a young man trying to find his feet, Rotimi Amaechi, a former Rivers State governor and later Transportation minister under the Muhammadu Buhari presidency, can be forgiven for not being choosy or principled. Since he was elected into the Rivers House of Assembly in 1999 and led the legislature as speaker for eight years, he has imbibed a sense of entitlement that has only grown and ossified over the years.

    Nearly all his adult life, Mr Amaechi has been on the public payroll, and has had the good fortune to live in luxury, despite his pretences and lies. To become disconnected from that trough, as he claims government policies have forced him, is to consign him to a fate too tasking for his delicate mind to handle. He has, therefore, developed coping mechanism integral to his personality, but hidden from public view or the private eyes of those who helped him along in life. That mechanism involves deploying cynicism, freneticism, hysteria, immoderation, and his unfounded superior airs. He was in his 30s when he entered public life. About 60 years old now, he feels so traumatised that circumstances impel him to develop a new way of life outside public glare. Until he reenters public office, he will in the interim conspire to incite the public to a revolution by shaming them out of what he described as their docility.

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    Last week, at various forums, including the inauguration of their 2027 presidential programme planned to be executed through the African Democratic Congress (ADC) party, he was all over the media spreading hate speech and ladling out inciting remarks to achieve certain political goals. He tried to justify why the political coalition he supported veered away from founding a new party to instead adopting the generally disused ADC long accustomed to pimping its way through Nigeria’s political minefields, seducing every political straggler. Last week, he pontificated on television why his coalition preferred an old party to a new one. According to him, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) was conspiring not to register any new party, with particular animosity to the All Democratic Alliance (ADA) which the coalition had wanted to float. He said nothing about the fact that the coalition had not even applied yet, having only delivered a letter of intent, let alone be denied.

    He was not satisfied denouncing INEC alone, he also lashed out, with no substantiation, that the federal government and INEC planned to rig the 2027 elections. It was not the first time he made that frantic allegation; nor will it be the last time. He had warned that the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) could not win a free and fair election, adding that the people must rise up this time to force their way. It is an invitation to chaos, but the security agencies have obviously felt he has not transgressed his constitutional rights. What is incontrovertible is that given his antecedents, especially his lack of moderation and total unconcern for the health of the republic, Mr Amaechi will continue to make incendiary comments about politics, governance, and elections. As governor, he was himself not a model democrat, nor a brilliant policy man, but he sees specks in other people’s eyes than the beams in his own.

    The former Rivers governor has never been able to weigh his words. He speaks grandiosely, excessively and imperiously. In an interview with newsmen after the unveiling of ADC as the 2027 coalition vehicle, he was particularly hyperbolic. “Nigeria is destroyed,” he fulminated. “People can’t eat. People can’t buy food. There’s no money to buy food. Everything is gone. Inflation is at its peak. And the federal government is busy going around trying to hijack the election. INEC is helping them to hijack the election.” Then, on Thursday, at an event in Abuja, he again whined: “The only way you can stop Tinubu from being the president of Nigeria in 2027 is to run an election of Nigerians versus the bandits. If you think you will just sit down and do that, may God be with you. The elites who are stealing Nigerian money are not up to 100,000, but you have 200 million Nigerians who can fight 100,000 men. You sit down in your house and complain and grumble. What makes you think the elites would move their hands completely? Who told you the elites don’t know how you are feeling? They know you are not happy. But you are helpless not because the elites made you helpless; you made yourself helpless.”

    Mr Amaechi rose from obscurity to prominence without the intervening catalyst of leadership training and rhetorical composure. Since he lost the APC presidential primary in 2022, he has grown nasty and acerbic. He does not think anyone matches him in any way, despite his appalling lack of depth and sagacity, not even his former boss, President Muhammadu Buhari whom he once excoriated in unflattering language. It is one thing to be so full of himself, but why also scheme, by excessively foul language, to plunge the country into chaos simply because he thinks he has been denied his due? Yet, rummaging through his years in public service, it is hard to find a few extraordinary achievements to recommend his boasting or validate his grandiosity and pomposity. Years of exaggerating his capacity, not to talk of years of unprincipled and unrestrained politics during which he casually passes judgement on his peers and betters, have conspired to blunt his little appeal and also sentence him to the periphery of Nigerian politics. It is hard to situate him elsewhere.

  • PDP curiously regaining appeal

    PDP curiously regaining appeal

    It was as if the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) was waiting for the defection of some of its ageing juggernauts to the African Democratic Congress (ADC) in order to properly exhale. Now, the leading opposition party is not just exhaling, it is beginning to find its voice and to cut fresh path through Nigeria’s forested politics, unhindered by the cacophonous voices of former vice president Atiku Abubakar, Dino Melaye, Aminu Tambuwal, Sule Lamido, John Oyegun, and a host of other pretenders. They have all moved to a different political platform where they hope to accomplish their objectives. Some moved because of ambition, others moved out of loyalty to their former comrades, and others are moving because of financial gain. Having not found accommodation in the bigger and more financially solid parties, they needed to find new pastures in order not to be left high and dry in the politics of 2027.

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    The most curious and remarkable thing about the PDP is in fact not the movement of its ageing autocrats to new pastures, but the new realisation that the leading opposition party does in fact possess an older but far brighter lustre than they imagined it ever had. Leading this epiphanic rebirth is the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) minister Nyesome Wike who, despite his unending fight with the party’s leadership, has noted the party’s newfound unity and purpose, especially in the face of the ADC threat. The power grabbers had left, he exulted; now the party can forge ahead meaningfully. The All Progressives Congress (APC), armed with a chuckle, seconds his summation.

  • Confusion reigns supreme in coalition, opposition

    Confusion reigns supreme in coalition, opposition

    Rather than bestride the Nigerian political firmament, the promised coalition to unseat President Bola Tinubu in 2027 is being trampled under feet. The inspirers of the coalition have tried to make their teams indistinguishable from the opposition, but opposition political parties, many of them scornful of the domineering roles being played by coalition leaders, have resented such equivalence. They do not think they can win on their own, but they seem uninterested in joining forces with anyone simply to unseat the president. They want a programme, not emotions; a sensible plan of action, not hysteria; an altruistic and probably younger leadership, not old, jaded and bellicose assemblage; and a sound vision of the country, not eclectic ideas about its future.

    By early last week, it seemed to the public that coalition leaders, among whom were former vice president Atiku Abubakar, ex-governors Rotimi Amaechi and Nasir el-Rufai, and the indecisive ex-Anambra governor Peter Obi, had virtually made up their minds to abandon the merger idea in favour of founding a new party. Before the week was over, however, the overcautious Alhaji Atiku was vacillating, and Mr Obi was silent and dithering. The coalition appeared dangerously poised to unravel. Yet, Messrs Amaechi and el-Rufai stuck to their guns. They were of course no longer as euphoric as when they first announced the proposal to form the All Democratic Alliance (ADA) and were met with exultant newspaper headlines beatifying their tactics, but they kept hope alive even in the face of the electoral commission pouring cold water on their efforts. They had not begun to take concrete steps to form a party, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) told them after enumerating a long process of things they must do to get the attention of the electoral body.

    Knowing them for who they are, and regardless of their inappropriately acronymed party, ADA, they will hope to bluff and bluster their way into quick registration. Their success will be qualified, and the process tasking, but they are not known to be quitters. In any case, just as adrenalin rush fuels an athlete, the coalition leaders retain enough amperage of vengeful distaste for President Tinubu to be discouraged by any administrative hurdles placed in their path. For now, Mr Obi, who is still nominally in the Labour Party (LP), has remained fairly reticent about the coalition, declining to summarily repudiate them, especially he being a cautious man and an opportunist. Alhaji Atiku was a little strident in his view of the proposed new party, ADA. Known for his versatility in running with the hare and hunting with the hounds, the former vice president insisted his group was yet to adopt the unregistered ADA. His group might be amorphous, but many analysts are bewildered, having long associated him with the brains behind the ADA registration efforts.

    Alhaji Atiku is also nominally still a member of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). But he knows that the doors seemed to have been shut against his aspiration to run for president on their platform. Squabbling PDP leaders expect him to leave the party, and are waiting anxiously for the announcement so that they can start to find their way through Nigeria’s political thicket. But for now they must rein in their apprehensions. The former vice president also knows he will have to leave if the former ruling party can’t put its house in order and remains disdainful of and resolute against his presidential aspiration. He will take his exit when he judges the time right, especially if he thinks he stands the chance of carrying out a scorched-earth action against the party for spurning his advances. Overall, while he can endure all forms of indignities thrown at him, he can’t stand being ‘partyless’, a prospect enticingly possible should he leave the PDP in a huff and the proposed new party, ADA, runs into a storm over registration.

    ADA promoters have been told in no uncertain terms that their ordeal is just beginning. To begin to apply for registration, there was still much to be done, INEC stunned them. They will, therefore, be frantic about fulfilling the preconditions for registration, while those who publicly decline to associate with them might secretly funnel funds to them. But it remains to be seen just how far they can go, especially in the face of public derision against them from, of all places, the core North. While coalition leaders are mired in confusion, the PDP, which remains the main opposition party with sizable presence in states and the National Assembly, is also encrusted in bigger confusion. In their fact-finding meeting with the INEC leadership early last week, they were subjected to facetious remarks by the INEC chairman, Mahmood Yakubu, who could barely stop himself from snorting at their inability to follow due process and sort out their administrative mess. They had wanted to know why INEC appeared to disavow their June 30 National Executive Committee (NEC) meeting where they hoped to straighten out their secretariat logjam, a precondition for holding a lawful meeting. The party has finally and lawfully, but of curse reluctantly, reinstated Samuel Anyanwu as the party’s national secretary. But their problems are just beginning, quite apart from the defection gale that has scrambled their reasoning.

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    No one knows how far or deep the confusion in the coalition and opposition is. But if it is much deeper and entrenched than appears on the surface, then they are in big trouble. For if they cannot restore peace in their ranks or provide the leadership and ingenuity their parties require for survival, they will have a harder time, as some northern commentators have sighed, in proving they can find the mettle to govern Nigeria. Worse, if they cannot resolve the crises that dog them before early next year, then they will stand no chance of offering the ruling party any opposition, let alone winning the next presidential poll, their main and shameless fixation. The stasis that afflicts them, which they appear unable to resolve in the short run, may explain why they make a recourse to savaging the president’s image in order to weaken him considerably and make a coalition party both appealing and electorally potent.

  • Unyielding, divided PDP

    Unyielding, divided PDP

    Having run out of excuses, Nigeria’s opposition parties have begun suggesting that the ruling party might be behind their ordeal. They are divided, sometimes into three factions, as the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party (LP) have shown, and have refused to yield to one another or rally around a common cause. They seem determined to perish separately. Last week, the PDP once again witnessed a stirring. It occurred to some bright minds within the party that the fractures in the PDP might produce negative electoral consequences in forthcoming elections, particularly regarding fielding of candidates. The electoral body, INEC, should be in a position to shed light on how the party should proceed safely, some of the party bigwigs mused.

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    They thereafter consulted the INEC leadership, discovered their errant ways, and then took remedial step to suspend their National Executive Committee (NEC) meeting earlier fixed for June 30. Nonsense, said some of their factional leaders. No one could shift that sacrosanct date, regardless of what INEC said, and the meeting would still hold, thundered the faction now described as the Seyi Makinde-led group. This intransigent position is reportedly backed by some 11 National Working Committee (NWC) members. Somewhere in the wings, another implacable leader of the party, FCT minister Nyesom Wike, kept pouring scorn on their uncertainties. From all indications, and if care is not taken, all PDP factions might soon forget why they are squabbling.