Category: Femi Orebe

  • Still on the massive exodus southwards of northerners : Where are the Nigerian security agencies?

    Still on the massive exodus southwards of northerners : Where are the Nigerian security agencies?

    Femi Orebe

    Why are Southern APC leaders not saying anything, not even the party Chairman is known to have uttered a word on this nefarious developments.

     

    FIRST: “We have asked all Fulani across West Africa to raise money and arms to prosecute the oncoming war. We call on all Fulanis to prepare for this Holy War. There is no going back. All over the world, Nigeria is the only country given to Fulani by Allah” – Fulani Nationality Movement (FUNAM)

    It will be a shame if all Fulanis believe this gratuitous lie just because they have succeeded in subduing the Hausas whose tenants they were when they first arrived the Hausa Kingdom in the 1800’s.

    “We urge the Northern youths to resist, by all means necessary any attempt to send them back by Southern Governors

    We see the actions of these Governors and their agents as provocative and a devious assault on free movement of persons contained in the Nigerian Constitution and the ECOWAS Protocol on movement of goods and persons.

    “We declare any State that refuses to allow Northern youths to Southern States as an enemy that we promise will be fought vigorously. We urge you, faithful men, not to cringe, not to fear, not to look back. The battle is better fought on their homeland.

    We inform you that we your leaders held meetings across the key Northern States of Sokoto, Bornu, Katsina,  Kano, Yobe, Kebi, Bauchi and Kaduna. Our resolve is that Northern youths should move enmasse to Southern States. Relaunch the mass movement in ways they have never seen Go in long convoys. If you are stopped,  use all means, the bushpath, the railways and all.

    If the towns and cities are hostile,  hang out on the street corners, in uncompleted buildings, occupy the forests, pitch tents, make any where available as your abode, your rest places, your home.

    We urge you to be armed. The infidels may want to attack you.

    It will be disastrous to ever assume there will be no battle at all, before we regain the lost caliphate”.

    Where is a single Nigerian Police reaction to these absolutely provocative statements or have I missed that of  the presidency on these criminal posturings which we see  only  because the  President is of Fulani extraction?

    By the way why are Southern APC leaders not saying anything, not even the party Chairman is known to have uttered a word on this nefarious developments. What is happening? What are they afraid of or must they wait till a conflagration erupts?

    Are Nigerians correct when they say it is for these reasons the Nigerian security architecture is what it is and that the President deliberately handed its control to Northern Moslems?

    Is Nigeria a country of equal citizenship or are some people more equal than others?

    Now while incriminating statements like this go un noticed by the security forces, I shall not be surprised one bit,  if this article becomes of special interest to them.

    But let it be said, loud and clear, that Nigeria cannot continue to be ruled on these basis and its leaders continue to nurse the  hope that peaceful cohabitation, which the President called for when he went on a sympathy visit to Benue state, will not, like forever, remain a chimera.

    In the past two weeks or so, some muscular Northerners – certainly not Almajiris – have been moving to the South in droves and videos are now trending on social media showing some of them caressing tonnes, and tonnes of munitions. One of these videos was posted, not anonymously, but by the LOWER NIGER CONGRESS which I hope security forces would not now prance on .

    Indeed, I  have come to believe that the few Almajiri that have been moved Southwards must have been premeditated by Northern governors  when they decided to send them to their states of origin, or which of them has come out to say that their decision was not to send them to states outside the North. Or are  Edo, Abia, Osun, Cross River etc,  now in Northern Nigeria?

  • Waves and waves of Northerners coming South despite ban on interstate travel: What is a presidential order now worth?

    Waves and waves of Northerners coming South despite ban on interstate travel: What is a presidential order now worth?

    By Femi Orebe

    Many reactions trailed my last week article: ‘Periscoping The New Chief Of Staff To The President’, but let me take just two that actually zero-ed in on the same section of the article. Two  readers, one a respected Yoruba elder, and the other, a University Professor, called to vigorously disagree with my opinion that Health Minister, Professor Isaac Adewole,  should have resigned when   Abba Kyari, the late Chief of Staff to the President, turned his ministry to an appendage of the ministry of Agriculture. Their reason was simple: that as we saw when Mrs Kemi Adeosun was replaced by Zainab Ahmed as Minister of Finance,  and knowing what we now do about the Buhari  government, a Fulani, most probably the man  Adewole suspended, may very well have been appointed as his  replacement. I honestly couldn’t agree less.

    Congratulations to  Professor Agboola Gambari, a highly regarded scholar – diplomat, on his appointment as the new Chief of Staff to the President. His appointment can only come as a surprise to those who do not know him as a keen Arewa ideologue. I expect him to use this opportunity to achieve at least two things, nationally, and personally. Given his advanced age and extensive experience at the world level, especially, having served in places like Myanmar and Iraq, two thoroughly atrocious countries, representing the U.N Secretary – General, he should be able to assist the President in mending a divided and painfully agonising Nigeria. Now  with the new massive resurgence of banditry in Katsina,  Kaduna and Zamfara portraying the government as weak, he should be able to dig deep into both the Boko Haram and banditry conundrum with a view to reaching an agreement which, apart from stanching the ferocious blood-letting on both sides , will also put a stop to these North-induced burning of billions and billions of naira which the country could have put to much better use especially in that part of the country which accounts for more than 70 percent of its  national poverty level. He should also please devote some quality time to seriously interrogate the nuisance the Fulani Nationality Movement, (FUNAM) is fast turning to.

    Only on May 02, 2020, that atavistic body issued a statement, saying, inter alia, to Northerners now being furiously rushed southwards: “We your leaders held meetings across the key Northern States of Sokoto, Bornu, Katsina,  Kano, Yobe, Kebi, Bauchi and Kaduna. Our resolve is that Northern youths should move enmasse to Southern States. Relaunch the mass movement in ways they have never seen … If the towns and cities are hostile,  hang out on the street corners, in uncompleted buildings, occupy the forests, pitch tents, make any where available as your abode, your rest places, your home.We urge you to be armed. The infidels may want to attack you”. Were this statement made by another group, the Nigerian police would have become unnessarily hyperactive but a whole two weeks after, mum has been it from both the police and presidential spokespersons.

    On the personal level, if Professor Gambari would be a little humble, he should be able to apologise for those unreflected positions he took on critical national issues that saw him asserting, for instance, that ”Nigerians don’t need democracy because democracy is not food. It is not their priority.” Equally, he should be able to make up for his many acts of repaying acts of  goodness done him with unkind cuts. I need not delay my readers with examples some of which are already in the public space.

    We wish Professor Gambari   success.

    Then to the issue for the day, a grievous  matter of great national interest, given the way Northerners, but  certainly  NOT  Almajiris,  given their big, muscular frames, have been rushing to the South in waves, after waves, even after President Buhari had expressly banned interstate travel. In my view, this indicates that torrid days  are ahead with regard to overall security in the country as these people could very well be killer herdsmen, elements of Boko Haram/ISWA soldiers or  outright bandits. They are being moved like consignments of commodities, hidden behind cows or cement, and covered with very heavy tapaulen. All these in a country where even the President is preaching social distancing as a means of checking the spread of Covid-19. It is in that way, reminiscent of the Atlantic slave trade, that some evil minded characters are transporting these unfortunate Nigerians from the extremities of Northern Nigeria, in blazing sun and inclement weather, over hundreds of kilometers.

    The hurried manner in which they are being moved point to the fact that the people behind this scheme are up to no good. The minders are either preparing for a massive uprising in the South, which will first see a re-enactment of their now well-known raping, killing and kidnapping or, alternatively, trying to plant an advance party for RUGA which the South rejected, to the last man, and will continue to reject even with the last drop of their blood. Initially coyly presented by the Federal Government as a silver bullet for herders/farmers clashes, RUGA was to have seen Fulani herdsmen, respledently settled in  well provisioned new towns, carved out of other peoples’ ancestral lands, while the owners of the land would have been left eke-ing out life in their old, decrepit ways.

    Such equity!

    This exodus of biblical proportions, with the characters packed, it can bear repetition,   like sardine, hidden amongst cows or being haulaged in several trucks like cement, and being presented to vigilante groups in the South as commodity consignments, is certainly ill- intentioned and the fact that the Inspector General of Police has not  deemed  it fit to say a word about it, says a lot. God bless the eagled eyed vigilantes, they were not deceived as many of these uninvited guests were immediately turned back where they came from  even though it is obvious that many of our forests down South may now be crawling with thousands of  killer herdsmen, elements of Boko Haram, ISWA fighters  and bandits.The last bit – their being in our forests,  though conjectural, is a very reasonable supposition  given their battle order from  FUNAM, and whoever wants to dispute it must first explain to  Nigerians how,  with the President’s express ban on interstate travel still subsisting , these people  are able to come  down, all the way, from the furtherest corners of the North without  being stopped by security agents who ought to have felt duty bound to, at least, respect the President’s directive on interstate travels. Nigerians are no longer  deceived. A study by the Chinua Achebe Foundation has long shown that when herdsmen are to attack in a given  area, directives are usually given from the top, to security  agencies around the target area not to intervene in any manner. They usually show up long after the killings.

    It is obvious that this exodus, hidden under the Covid-19 lockdown, must be a much bigger project than the well known herdsmen’s murdering escapades  but whatever the motive or motives, those behind this project should know that things have  since changed in the South. The people have taken their security into their own hands and would respect no orders not to respond in kind if attacked and their ancestral  lands come under any threat. They should know that in  no way would they over run the South like they did Benue and Plateau states. Nobody in these parts would live to see total strangers take an inch of their ancestral lands, talk less of raping their daughters and killing their wives.

    God bless Dr Junaid Mohammed who has honestly called on his Northern brothers who might be behind all these shenanigans to think again. He has suggested that security operatives who collude in this matter should be investigated and those found guilty be  brought to book but we know that is where it ends because those behind this macabre dance are executing an ethnic agenda to sex up the Nigerian population and make Nigeria the Fulani homeland as FUNAM has severally asserted. Thanks to them, we have long been told that Nigeria is the only country Allah has given to Fulanis as their homeland.To justify that  joke , a people who arrived Nigeria for the first time ever in the 1800’s are claiming a one thousand year ownership of Nigeria. Prof Gambari should be able to let them know, in case they have forgotten their history, that of all Nigerian ethnic groups Fulanis arrived last and were tenants of the Hausas. This is contemporary, not ancient history.

    Unfortunately, senior state officials  being paid to ensure security of life and property of Nigerians  are  themselves, compromised and so  continue to  turn deaf ears to all these criminalities , in the process disrespecting the President and toying with the fate of Nigeria. One thing they should know though, is that recent experienves in  Africa has shown that nobody is too important,  or powerful, to find him or herself in a refugee camp, especially in a foreign land. That will ring truer in a post Covid-19 world when the West would no longer be ready to welcome our  overly exposed politicians.

    A stitch in time can still save nine if only  some people would just be less prideful.

     

  • Periscoping the next chief of staff to the president

    Periscoping the next chief of staff to the president

    Femi Orebe

     

     

    A LOT has happened since the unfortunate passing of the Chief of Staff to the President, Malam Abba Kyari. May the Almighty God grant him eternal rest.

    Nigerians have heard testimonies to his all round brilliance, his self- effacement, dedication to work as well as his inspiring loyalty to the President, with whom  he had been associated for over four  decades. Conversely, so also have we heard other commentators, yours truly included, point out  his failure to deploy his high scholarstic attainments  to help an obviously  insular President Muhammadu Buhari to appreciate, and properly manage, the  Nigerian diversity  with equity and fairness. It is the considered view of this group that had Kyari  been so minded, a President Buhari who could describe him as “the very best of us”, would not have demurred, if he had as much as told him, for instance,  that it is inequitable for him to be presiding over a Nigerian security council with such a lopsided membership.

    Nor would the North have maintained a literal stranglehold over the rest of  the  country, as we have seen in the past 4 years plus , if there was fairness.

    Unlike former President Olusegun Obasanjo who told Nigerians that  his advisers would be no better than  artefacts , President Buhari is not  yet on record as saying that he would not listen to his advisers. Therefore,  responsibilty for the  President’s much criticised  appointments, like his ability, for so long, to gloss over the murderous activities of the Fulani herdsmen, must be put squarely at the feet of the late Kyari, a man Mallam Mamman Daura described, not only as the intellectual lodestar of the entire Buhari administration, but as the best of all. It is understandable if Geoffrey Onyeama, who nobody expected to return, was no less effusive in his panygyrics to his friend.

    As jockeying must have now commenced  for the appointment of his successor,  the President, I would like to suggest, must have to bear a few things in mind.

    Nigeria’s extant constitution expressly permits the President  to appoint his personal staff but in the Order of Precedence of National Officers, none of his   personal staff is superior to a minister of cabinet rank. Their head , the Chief of Staff, is only   the ‘numero uno’, amongst the presidency staff but certainly not an Alpha and Omega, as we recently experienced.

    This  fact  ought to have precluded Kyari, or any  Chief of Staff for that matter, from insinuating himself into, and interfering, in matters that are  constitutionally prescribed for  other functionaries of state, as he reportedly did in the matter of the Ministry of Health which he, allegedly, unilaterally turned to an appendage of the ministry of Agriculture, which, in turn,  rendered the former so manacled it could not buy ordinary APC (pun intended) by itself.  Nor could it  inspect its capital projects as the ministry of Agriculture  sat on its N10B capital vote. This, indeed, must be the first of its kind in any democracy.

    I do not know how to describe what he  did, putting a minister of cabinet rank smack between Dr Muazu Abdulkadir, the Permanenent Secretary, ministry of Agriculture, and  Mamman Ahmadu,  Director-General of the Bureau of Public Procurement, both of who the minister then had to propitiate, to be able  buy even stationery, other than call it virulent ethnicity on display. It was to tell Professor Adewole who exactly owns the land. Kyari was apparently determined to deal with the ‘insolent’ Yoruba man, who had the effrontery to suspend a blue eyed, Fulani Professor. lt is beyond puke inducing. But what nauseates the most, really, was  Professor Adewole, a former Vice- Chancellor, and an otherwise  proud Yoruba, not to have immediately resigned, rather than suck in that inanity which  is a shame, not only to him, but to the Yoruba nation, and the academia. Now that the full  details are out, not a few Yoruba feel thoroughly diminished that Adewole didnt resign. Or for how long shall we let this feeling persist that we are, by any means, inferior to Northerners?  Aren’t hundreds of  their Almajiris, currently being mutually expelled by their  governors,  already  running Southwards, loaded amidst cows and all sorts?

    For how long  shall we accept to be treated like second class citizens in a country President Buhari once said we should salvage together because it is the only country we can all call our own?  How far would these shenanigans go before the President moves  to protect us as joint owners, and equal stakeholders, in the Nigerian  project? If the President loses confidence  in any of his appointees, he has all the power in the world to determine such an appointment but it is not the business  of any busybody to take that up on his behalf.

    I do not mind how this article is interpreted, because the truth is that no single  Nigerian is greater than the other. We all deserve to be treated with respect, first as human beings, and secondly, as Nigerians with equal stake. It is this  same misbegotten belief  that emboldens Fulani herdsmen when they go on their  killing rampages , cocksure not  even the police would dare arrest them.

    Given all we saw under Kyari – the crass nepotism, for instance, the incoming Chief of Staff should be told, from the outset, that his primary functions are: to organise the office of the President, arrange his schedules, advise him when the need arises, help him with policy formulation, and do those other things he may  expressly direct him  to do, but certainly without him becoming a Coordinating – General of the entire government, lest he becomes a Frankenstein monster.

    Appointees of government, ministers and heads of agencies inclusive , must have a free, and unfettered chance, of  performing  the functions allotted  to them by the constitution, and as  the President may, from time to time direct , as long as such directives are not illegal like late General Abacha ordering the then CBN governor to release huge funds, under all manner of guises, only for the  funds to end up being laundered for him.

    No matter how close he may be  to the President, and regardless of how long they have come together, the next Chief of Staff must realise that institutions must be properly run and not on the basis of sentiment, or affinity. After all, these are no family preferments.

    It is important that he is made clearly aware of his limitations  so he does  not unnecessarily create problems for the President.The office should  not permit of any unelected, aspiring potentate, once the President is firmly in charge of affairs. He should be precluded from acting unilaterally only to drop the name of the President when the chips are down. Happily , the President is now fully recovered from an alleged poison – related  illness, so there should be no gaps , any more,  for any so -called mafia to exploit to our detriment.

    Nobody can question the President’s  right to  appoint whoever he wants as  his Chief of Staff , someone he can trust completely,  and feel  very  free to discuss intimate matters with. After all, Obasanjo had his Andy Uba just as Jonathan his Owei Dudafa, even though both  were,  deployed to domestic affairs.

    There is an urgent need for a re – organisation of the Presidency in such  a way that, yes, the Chief of Staff would be  the numero uno, but certainly not  an Alpha and Omega, as mentioned earlier.

    In the United States of America from where we  copied this system, the functions  of the Chief of Staff are  clearly stated as follows: “ The Office of the Chief of Staff is responsible for directing, managing and overseeing all policy development, daily operations, and staff activities for the President. This office coordinates and communicates with all departments and agencies of the Administration. The staff of the office assists that effort by organizing the affairs of the Chief and Deputy Chiefs of Staff. The staff also assists  the Chiefs of Staff in their duties as advisors to the President”.

    Nowhere in the foregoing are we told that the Chief of Staff runs other departments of state, not to talk of making one an  appendage of another. All he does is as stated above. When the American President wants to discuss foreign affairs, he calls his Secretary of State, not Chief of Staff, ditto Education or  any other department, when he calls in the relevant Secretary. The Chief of Staff can only be in attendance at such meetings. Although, for scheduling purposes, a Secretary may call the Chief of Staff to book an  appointment to see the President, it will be anomalous  for Secretaries (ministers) to be asked to report to the President through the Chief of Staff. Of course, that won’t ever happen in the U. S  as it has the possibility of making such a Chief Of Staff swollen- headed.

    It will be nice if government  will interrogate these views critically  for the sake of good governance, rather than peremptorily throw them away.

  • Re: COVID-19: Scheming (for money) northern governors refuse to lockdown

    Re: COVID-19: Scheming (for money) northern governors refuse to lockdown

     Femi Orebe

    Had I not prompted my friend, Anthony N.Z Sani, former Publicity Secretary of the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF), and its immediate past Secretary, to react to the decision of the Northern governors not to lock down their states, which prompted the above article in the first place, revisiting it would have been absolutely unnecessary. He had sent me a mail whose import was the inevitability of a lockdown in fighting the covid-19 pandemic.

    My response was to ask him for his views on the Northern governors’ decision, and I believe I owe him the chance to be heard.

    He wrote:

    “I read your column yesterday and even though I share your concerns and frustrations on the attitude of some northern governors on how best the nation can contain and mitigate the menacing Covid19, it seems you did not get all the facts right when you generalized that all northern governors have refused to lockdown because of the farming season.

    It is not all the governors who refused to lockdown. For example, Kaduna and Plateau states have been on lock down for the past three weeks. My state, Nasarawa, has also been on lock down along with FCT, Lagos and Ogun state. In fact, the Chairman of the Northern Governors Forum, Governor Lalong was on NTA on Saturday explaining that there was no consensus among the governors on the best approach.

    So, to generalize in the way your column did does not represent the reality on the ground.  Albeit, I canvassed for the need for all governors to be on the same page.

    I have tried to push the view that because unless all states are free of Covid19, no state is free, there is need for uniform lockdown across the nation lest disparate approaches by individual states become wasted efforts.I even suggested that northern states can, for the meantime, align their lockdown with that of the FCT for purposes of uniformity, considering the fact that interstate travels will render individual lockdowns ineffective.

    If there had been a  uniform lockdown for say, 14 days, when PMB first announced lockdown, most of the COVID- 19 cases would have manifested, and affected persons would have been quarantined for containment and mitigation by now. I granted interviews to The Tribune, New Telegraph and The Sun newspapers on these issues on the need for proper coordination by the center for performance.

    I have been in running battles with some of our egg-head professors who think that  lock down, with the restrictions, but  without palliatives for the poor, is meaningless because they believe it is not workable. Even some of the editors and reporters share their views  by refusing to give my position prominence. To them, I am insouciant to the plight of the poor.

    But I insist that the choice is between the need to save lives and the imperative of preserving livelihoods by those who are alive”.

    He went further to discuss restructuring but as that is not immediately germane to the issue in discussion, we’ll have to come to that  another day.

    Disquisitions between Tony and I are not new and  I have published him more than once on these pages. I know him to mean well, even if he always holds, tenaciously, to positions the core North believes to be in its greater interest, even if the alternative position would have benefitted the entire country  more. This, I believe, is what underpins his position on restructuring which only the Northwest, of all Nigerian geo-political zones, objects to. And that is not to demean him as I know Tony to be a man of very strong principles.

    His explanation that not all Northern governors were against lockdown is, incidentally, the same reason I hold that, in going back to reverse their prior position, and joining their colleagues in freshly deciding not to lockdown, they were not motivated by high principles, but by money. Otherwise, why the change as soon as the federal government gave Lagos State a N10b grant? Even Governor Ganduje, who I had excluded from the others in the original article, has since asked the President for a N15b grant. Why N15b? Just so Kano won’t have the same amount with Lagos State even when it does not have a fifth of Lagos  Covid -19 cases. This is nothing but a sop to the entitlement mentality that continues to rubbish governance in our country. And this attitude is about  the only way one can explain the late Chief of Staff to the President allegedly, illegally, handing over to the Permanent Secretary of the ministry of Agriculture to execute, the budget approved by the National Assembly for the ministry of Health. The following is how The Nation of Thursday, 30 April, 2020 captured the absolutely unbelievable story:

    “The federal policy requesting the Health Ministry to go through the Agriculture Ministry for its procurement and other funding needs has been lifted, it was learnt on Wednesday. A senior government official told The Nation that the Health ministry can now handle all its contracts and procurements without the ‘unnatural’ routing through the Agriculture ministry. Prior to the new regime, the ministry of Health, with about 119 agencies, apart from its inability to make its own procurements, including (even) stationeries, could not monitor its projects as all funds must be approved by the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development. The policy affected the ministry’s ability to monitor the agencies under it.

    To worsen the matter, the ministry had to get approvals from the ministry of  Agriculture to access the  N10.5 billion approved for the funding of its capital expenditure in last year’s bugdet. According to the source, the Health ministry was asked to get approval from the ministry of Agriculture, following a power play between the erstwhile Health Minister Prof Isaac Adewole and the late Chief of Staff to the President, Abba Kyari. The source said: “One of the causes of friction (among others) between the duo, was the Minister’s decision to suspend the then Executive Secretary of the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS), Prof. Usman Yusuf which the late Kyari vetoed”. “Whenever the Ministry of Health wants to make procurement, the Permanent Secretary would raise a memo which would be sent to the Permanent Secretary of the ministry of Agriculture”.

    “In some instances, the permanent secretary of the Ministry of Agriculture would give direct approval while sometimes, he would write a memo to the Director-General of the Bureau of Public Procurement, Mamman Ahmadu, for approval”.

    “The lifting of the ban will be of great benefit to the Ministry as it can now bypass the administrative bottlenecks that must have frustrated  immediate responses, and activities, regarding procurement in  government ’s health facilities.”

    I decided to spend some time on that story because  such overbearing actions will never endear the Buhari government to right thinking Nigerians. Or how can one  explain that  an unelected government official  could so completely immolate a key arm of government without his being countermanded by higher authorities? Post Covid- 19, every effort must be made to rule over this country with fairness and equity.

    I digress.

    Fortunately in the  article under reference , I did exempt Governor Ganduje from those I believe were intent on blackmailing the President for money, and happily , he never at any time, dilly dallied, like his Adamawa counterpart who opened up everywhere, including civil servants who were previously working from home , for instance. Knowing what we now know of Kano, we can only thank God.

    The takeaway in the article, even where I take Tony’s corrections in good faith, is that persons in positions of authority, especially those whose decisions could be the difference between life, and death, must always think through their actions. In the particular case of Covid -19, science, not politics or sentiment, must be allowed to determine government action.

    Concluding, knowing full well that my article was not written to spite the Northern governors, Tony was gracious enough to conclude as follows: “I am aware of your sense of nationalism driven by patriotism, and your belief that progress can come through change from robust interactions. This is because nation-building is work in progress. That is how it should be. I only wanted to clarify some of the issues raised in the column the way some of us understand them”.

     

  • The Okigbo bombshell

    The Okigbo bombshell

    Femi Orebe

     

    JUST as well.

    Long before oil prices crashed to its historic nadir this past week and countries like Saudi Arabia  and Iraq had to grant  discounts of $8 and $5 respectively, to  off-takers,  I have written  inter alia, on these pages, that: “By doing just two things, namely, ridding Nigeria of its outlandish and totally unreasonable cost of governance, thereby freeing resources for investment and restructuring Nigeria …, President Muhammadu Buhari would have carved his name in gold”.

    But as so often happens with every of our federal government, they reform only at the peripheries, forever, afraid of vested interests which catapulted them to office.

    How we had thought things would be different under President Buhari.

    Rather than do that which is right, and once and for all, free Nigeria from those who Uncle Braithwaite of blessed memory once described as “ rats and mosquitoes”, the Buhari government through its most relevant officials in the  matter at hand, that is, the trio of Finance Minister, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed, CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, and the Group Managing Director, NNPC, Mele Kyari, have began the process of sending us all  to sleep, only to be rudely awakened much later.  Rather than tell President Buhari the truth, they are busy romancing an, otherwise, very dangerous situation, making it look like salad.

    According to  Mrs Ahmed, Nigerians  should not  “panic even as the drastic fall in global oil price threatens the country’s 2020 budget as well as its macroeconomic stability”, happily conceding, however, that there are some measures they  need to take which they have not taken”.

    We hope the government will have the political will to take those measures.

    Not to be outdone, Emefiele came up with: “the  banking sector has responded positively with the rise in aggregate industry credit from N15.3 trillion in May 2019, to over N17.4 trillion in January 2020, as if that is what majority of Nigerians will eat, adding, however, that there was “the need to adopt measures that would diversify the economy given the external headwinds that the Nigerian economy faces”. We have always heard all these jeremiad.

    About the only cheering news came from the NNPC Group Managing Director who, at long last, “expressed the corporation’s readiness to strategically put in place measures that would reduce the cost of production”, which  listening to his predecessors fron time immemorial, you’d think was cast so incredibly high, in stone”.

    Listening to the rosy presentations, especially the one by Ahmed, the one question that kept agitating my mind was: if these people are telling us the truth, why was the government under which they serve, like forever, aggressively seeking after loans, both domestic,  and externally, especially from the World Bank but much more from China?

    It was at this point the Yoruba wise quip that if parents fail to train their children at home,  they would be trained from  outside, came back poignantly  at me. It’s like we are waiting for Russia and Saudi Arabia to teach us appropriare  lessons.

    We may not have too long to wait.

    But then, nothing in all the rosy position of these top officials remotely addressed  what we should be doing as a mono- economy country.

    It is to help them in this their yeoman’s task that I present to them a trending Whatsapp chat which I have surnamed: THE OKIGBO BOMBSHELL.

    It reads as follows:

    #COVID19Thoughts: TSUNAMI LOADING …*

    Patrick O. Okigbo III. April 20, 2020.  Abuja.

    If you are a state governor in Nigeria and you are not already working round the clock, night and day, you are playing with fire.  Red-hot, napalm FIRE!

    Here is your reality.  Bonny Light (Nigeria’s crude oil) is trading at about $11. This is half the cost of producing the barrel. Even at that price, Nigeria is not able to sell her crude oil.  She has tens of millions of barrels of crude oil in scores of vessels cruising the seas, like a gala seller in Lagos traffic, looking for customers. No one is calling; no one is buying.  Nigeria is offering a $5 discount per barrel but who will buy when U.S. shale oil is selling for $2 (and no one is buying that either). Nigeria has other bigger challenges because it does not have onshore crude oil storage so she has to put her oil on vessels. In the last week, the cost of renting the vessels doubled to $350,000 per day.  Do you see the picture?

    Clearly, this has to be the lowest the oil price can fall, right?  Wrong!  Over the weekend, Canadian oil hit -$3. Not $0; minus $3. They, too, are not selling. Why?  China – the factory of the world – is running at a fraction of its capacity. The airlines are shutdown. Farms and factories are shut down. Many analysts are saying that the world may not get back on its feet for a few more months. In reality, we may be stuck in this new world until a vaccine is found for the novel Coronavirus and a major percentage of the global population vaccinated.  Unknot your tie, we may be in this new world for a while.

    Mr. State Governor, why should you care?  The world as you know it has changed and nothing has prepared you for what you and the residents in your state are about to experience. All state governments except Lagos depend on allocations from the sale of Nigeria’s crude oil for most of their revenue. The Federal Government allocations to the states started dropping off a few months ago. It will get worse.

    About a month ago, I had a chat with one of the State Commissioners for Budget and Economic Planning. At that time, he was already petrified by what he was seeing. The cheque from the federal government was getting lighter. Sadly, he couldn’t get his principal and colleagues to understand that what they saw moving in the distance were not clouds but a Tsunami that is gathering speed. Many of the state governors still can’t see it.

    Mr. State Governor,  the catastrophe is close at hand but you still have some time to lay the sandbags. This is the time to get into emergency mode and plan for the worst. What will you do when it becomes obvious to you, in a few weeks, that you can’t pay salaries and provide the basic minimum public services required in your state?  What are the economic choices you have to make today?  What things do you have to cut off today to be able to tide over tomorrow?

    What will you do when hordes of criminals take to the street, looting and killing people, in search of something to eat?  What if there are multiple demonstrations by different groups of people in different parts of your state?  What are your options?

    Who are the people who would help you maintain public order?  I am sure you are not banking on the Nigerian Police Force. They won’t have enough bullets to kill the number of people who would be on the streets.  It can’t be the vigilante groups. They may be the ones doing the looting and killing. Basically, how are you going to balance this elephant on the top of a needle?

    Set up your “war-room” now.  Pull in your best thinkers. Borrow from other states and outside Nigeria if you must.

    Reach out to everyone who has a voice in your state. Your best solution may be to convince people instead of through coercion. Decide who is in the best position to convince the different groups of people.

    This is no time to be partisan. Turn this problem into a shared one. Don’t let anyone brand it your problem.

    Plug the leakages in your system starting with the “security votes”. Call on the illustrious sons and daughters of the state and convince them to join you in planning for and in funding palliatives for the poor and vulnerable.

    This is the time to plan and act. Act as if you are convinced that the dam will break. It is more than likely that it would. If it doesn’t, you are still ahead. If it does, you will be ready. Don’t be caught napping. It won’t be pretty.”

    The Okigbo piece has birthed wide ranging discussions touching on, not just restructuring, but also on Nigeria’s greatest existential problem which is not even the Menace of the Mafia (MM), but the stomach turning, absolutely indefensive, cost of governance which sees Nigerian senators haul home, annually, amounts of money that will be  more than enough to make medical tourism history in Nigeria, if devoted to upgrading our healthcare facilities.

    I have written it here before, but it can bear a repetition, that Nigeria does not need the senate.

    If Mr Okigbo addressed his missive to state governors,  multiply those identified problems by 10, when you factor in the federal government, which has been gobbling everything in sight.

     

     

  • Covid-19: Scheming (for money) northern governors refuse to lockdown

    Covid-19: Scheming (for money) northern governors refuse to lockdown

    Femi Orebe

    Just imagine Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York, United States of America, saying  that  because of the huge business being anchored by Wall Street, being the world’s financial centre, and home to both the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ, he would not put the Lower Manhattan area of New York City under  lockdown, with coronavirus daily harvesting death by their hundreds in the city? That impossibility alone, shows the egregious falsity of the Northern governors’ claim that because their people are farmers, they cannot lockdown their states even when they know that covid positive cases have more than doubled within a week in Kano, as well as how, rapaciously,  the pandemic may turn  round to pummel the  North for this  wrong- headed decision.

    Not anywhere else in the world, not in huge oil producing countries or in great manufacturing or trading centres; not anywhere whatever, besides Northern Nigeria, have I seen anybody claim this type of  arrant  pedestrianism  as reason to make short shrift of one of the most effective means of  putting coronavirus in check – i e lockdown.  When they refuse to lockdown their states, what becomes of social/ physical distancing, regarded the world over as the most efficacious strategy against the spread of the disease?

    I think these governors  are just trying to be clever by half;  intending to get federal grants  by all means. If they fear famine in the North, won’t farmers have to be alive to go to their farms?

    I would have been  surprised if the  Northern governors, already so used to easy, unearned money  – they earn hugely from VAT even as  the highest contributor  from the North, Kano, accounts for a measly 5%, compared  to Lagos state’s  55% – have not seen this pandemic as another opportunity to garner  federal freebies. It is beyond baffling that like the Boko Haram war, concerning which the country spends billions, a group of Northern leaders would think nothing of trying to instigate a spike in covid’19 cases with all the consequences.

     

    What the hell are they thinking? 

    That for  the sake of money, it means  nothing to them that they may come to harvest  covid -19 related deaths beyond their wildest imagination? What would it cost them, if like Governor Wike, they had merely asked the federal government for grants, as was given to Lagos state, but continue with the lockdown? Why the subtle attempt at blackmailing the President, a ploy which, unfortunately, may now see the federal government pumping money to the states even after  governor Wike had shouted himself hoarse, to no effect?

    Like his statesmanlike approach to the issue  of the murderous Fulani herdsmen, Governor Abdullahi Ganduje of Kano state  has, once again, demonstrated  leadership as he continues the lockdown in Kano. I am persuaded that  he would still have put the state in a  lockdown even if  it was yet to record a single case. He is that mature.

    In the herdsmen’s  case , even whilst other Northern governors would not sympathise with their Benue state counterpart, but was instead  being mocked,  governor Ganduje came out like a true leader, asking the herdsmen, who were fast turning the country to a killing field, to relocate to Kano state where, according to him, there  was more than enough land to accommodate them all.

    I think these  governors deserve to  be told the brutal truth, which is, that where they find themselves today, which they now claim as reason to endanger  Nigeria , is nothing but the consequence of  their  historic  mental laziness. “We do not have money”, they chorused, tangentially adding  the ridiculous bit that their people are farmers, as if Nigerians in other parts of the country do not work. What, for instance, is the highest IGR in any Northern state, or is it not a shame that Kaduna state contributes no more than 1 per cent to VAT? Just because they have been historically spoonfed, as in VAT distribution where they collect much more than those who ‘bake the cake’, as most  vatable items are banned in these states,  they have come to love easy money. This, incidentally, is one of the reasons restructuring Nigeria has been turned to a rocket science.

    Or what manner of governors are these who seem not  to care a hoot for their people except when they can be purloined to make money? 

    While their Southern counterparts who spend a much larger chunks  of their budget on Healthcare are doing much more than mere lockdown, Northern governors, just like they facilitated Boko Haram recruitments through their lack of social responsibility to their youthful population, thousands  of who they  used to ferry  down South, complete with  motorcycles, they are again, through their  refusal to lockdown, going to birth another major problem for Nigeria.

    But contrary to what is happening in the North, Governor Rotimi Akeredolu of Ondo state, for instance, did not merely restrict movement, he imposed a 7 pm – 7 am curview, effective from 14th April, 2020. On the other hand, Governor Ahmadu Fintiri of Adamawa state lifted restrictions on intra-state movement, asked civil servants, who were hitherto working from home to resume work; and  allowed  commercial motorcycles to ply major towns across the state.

    What exactly can be more dangerous than this state of affairs, when all states in the North, except  Kano, can now operate in this manner, while  Lagos, Abuja and other major cities in the South,  are completely  locked down? I believe they are doing this because if there is a back lash, and coronavirus spikes, the North has very little of its own, to throw at it in form of resources. This, to me, is selfishness, but that is how the North has routinely inflicted unnecessary expenses on the country. Before coronavirus, for instance, I have warned on these pages, that the North’s huge, and torridly increasing population, if unchecked, would be the next bomb to detonate on Nigeria with terrible consequences . Now it is Boko Haram in the Northeast, birthed by politicians, and banditry  in the Northwest, the result of these  s  failure to educate the youth;  both of which have combined to constitute a sinkhole far  worse than the civil war. Yet these governors cannot reflect , and see in their mind’s eye, what cataclysm they just might  again bring on the country by avoiding lockdown of their states . When will they know, like President Buhari, that “this pandemic is no joke”? Incidentally,  the deficiencies  they complain about are mostly self- inflicted or how many health facilities, the types readily available in the South, were available anywhere  in the North at the onset of the pandemic? Rather than spend money on projects  or facilities to make life worth living for their people, especially in a part of the country that accounts for about 70 per cent of the country’s aggregate poverty, they would rather sponsor people on pilgrimage.

    This pandemic provides a great opportunity for rethinking Nigeria, a time to open her  up and, once and for all, banish the crippling opaque-ness, the inequality, that have characterised our affairs for decades, and held us down.

    So much is wrong with Nigeria. How, for instance,  can literally every city in the South be  swarming with  thousands of  Northern youth, many of them carrying  debilities they have acquired back home in their local communities, now constituting an army of beggars, but for who their  state governors haven’t  the slightest concern? Rather, they would choose to  marry off their daughters in obsequious grandiloquence.

    Henceforth,  genuine, people -loving, home grown NGOs must spring up in the North to educate their people in the language they understand so that, come the next election, they will be better guided. I am more than convinced that this gallow’s decision, by the governors not  to lockdown, with the distinct possibility it may negatively impact  the efforts of  other entities to rein in the pandemic, is motivated, largely, by a craving  for money, seeing the billions that have tumbled into government coffers as donation. And bad enough, the Presidency may oblige them, which will be a shame.

    While at this, however,  let me very sincerely applaud the governor of Borno state , Professor  Babagana Zulum, who sent a delegation of 2 commissioners and a serving legislator to Chibok, to  deliver 500 bags of 25kg rice, 250 gallons  of cooking oil and N5.6 million, in support of  the parents of the 112 girls who are still being held by Boko Haram.

     

    REACTION TO LAST WEEK ARTICLE

    Moving away from the urgent imperativeness of restructuring Nigeria, the RMAFC should bury its head in shame for its dereliction of duty in allowing a brutal NASS to eat up our national patrimony, placed under its care. Some people must answer for this some day. Imagine what would happen if every arm of government  unilaterally decides, and  pays itself, salaries and  allowances that suits its whim and caprice, without recourse to laid down rules and regulations?

    Won’t the nation simply kaput! – Barrister V C Mba.

  • COVID-19: A distinct opportunity for Buhari to immortalise himself

    COVID-19: A distinct opportunity for Buhari to immortalise himself

    By Femi Orebe

    It is time to think Nigeria anew. This may well be the major fruit of the Corona adversity – paraphrasing Tatalo Alamu in SILENT DAYS, The Nation, Sunday, April 5, 2020.

    “Time shall come when the white man’s country will no longer be safe for African leaders to travel to. They will be forced to make positive changes for Africans” Nelson Mandela – 1918 – 2013.

    “The ravaging global pandemic has been a dangerous yet revelatory moment in Nigeria.”

    “It is dangerous because this deadly pandemic has infected over a million and killed thousands of citizens of our planet. No one seems to know when and how it will end.

    “But COVID-19 is also revelatory, a blessing in disguise because it has exposed Nigeria as a country where quality of leadership is of low grade. What we have known but denied for so long is now shown to us as an incontrovertible fact: that the quality of leadership in our country must improve.”

    – Archbishop Olubunmi Okogie.

    And that improvement must start with President Muhammadu Buhari. Without a scintilla of doubt, the hoopla that accompanied President Buhari in 2015 has vaporised so badly, that calls for a change to his captivating CHANGE mantra is no longer limited to political opposition.

    The Covid -19 pandemic offers him, as an individual, a distinct  opportunity not only to change that, but to completely etch his name as the ‘numero uno’ leader in the annals of Nigerian history.

    And that he can do  on many fronts  but this piece will interrogate only two.

    Nigeria has been likened to a car with a problem: as you finished fixing its brain , a new problem emerges in the clutch. It is, therefore, difficult to blame one particular leader for all our problems as a nation, but President Buhari can, at least, begin a meaningful repair of these existential problems, and start the process of giving Nigeria a new beginning.

    For instance, where in the civilised world do you have members of parliament, or congress, earning the following PRIMITIVE allowances which members of our National Assembly happily haul home monthly?

    Because there’s not a single one of the current members  with the mojo, like good ol’ senator Uba Sani, who can  volunteer the  current figures, let me quote from  one of  my old  articles : ‘It Is Time To Storm This Bastile’ (2011):

    * Basic Salary (B.S) – N2,484,245.50  * Hardship Allowance (50% of B.S) – N1,242,122.70

    * Constituency Allowance (200% of B.S) – N4,968,509.00  * Newspapers Allowance (50% of B.S) – N1,242,122.70  * Wardrobe Allowance (25% of B.S) – N621,061.37  * Recess Allowance (10% of B.S) – N248,424.55  * Accommodation (200% of B.S) – N4,968,509.00  * Utilities (30% of B.S) – N828,081.83  * Domestic Staff (70% of B.S) – N1,863,184.1  * Entertainment (30% of B.S) – N828,081.83  * Personal Assistants (25% of B.S) – N621,061.12  * Vehicle Maintenance Allowance (75% of B.S) – N1,863,184.12   * Leave Allowance (10% of B.S) – N248,424.55  * Severance Gratuity (300% of B.S) – N7,452,736.50   * Car Allowance (400% of B.S) – N9,936,982.00.

    These must now be much higher given their propensity to do as they like with our resources.

    Now a combination of events have fortuitously occured, namely: the corona pandemic and the precipitous fall in the price of crude oil to below $30, that the President should have no problem  thanking the National Assembly members for their kind offer of two months salaries as paliative, but tell them   they should keep it because he is set to erase all those silly allowances. He should then call in the appropriate government agency –  The Revenue Mobilsation, Allocation and Fiscal Commission- which slept off when the members awarded themselves tho allowances – to now wake up  and commence the process of making his decision  a reality as Nigeria can no longer, reasonably, afford that nonsense. If it was possible then, not any more, when Nigeria has become the poverty capital of the world. Probably for the first time ever,  President Buhari would have Nigerians, minus these  selfish legislators, backing him hundred percent.

    Nor does the legislature have a monopoly of the outlandish wastage that characterises our  governments , especially at the federal level.The Executive is, in fact,  probably more guilty but because its excesses are not concentrated on  personal benefits like the legislators, attention is not rivetted on it. It is time to go back to the ORONSAYE REPORT which recommended the abrogation of 220  federal agencies  and, once and for all, eliminate those duplicitous and duplicated  agencies. Complaints about our bloated bureaucracy are not new because we  devote too large a chunk of our resources to overhead costs, thus undermining positive  investments.

    A lot of savings will thereby  be made from the current humongous cost of governance which can then be invested in  Education, Health, Agriculture, Infrastructure, as well as Human Capital Development, not forgetting social investments, as no less than 70 per cent of the population presently live in poverty.

    Sometime in 2019, President Buhari sang panergyrics to true federalism, claiming to be in love with it. If this is true, and we have no reason to doubt him, we have not seen him do a single thing towards  moving  Nigeria in the direction of that political Eldorado. Rather, he has shown a bewildering disdain for anything resembling restructuring, even as many quible on its definition.

    The time for him  to do something concrete, and impactful, is now.

    If the corona pandemic has not completely concentrated  his attention, he must have observed that despite the great effort of his government to fight  the virus to a standstill, and ameliorate  the conditions foisted on Nigerians by the lockdown,  greater success has been achieved at the state’s level. This is how the highly regarded Archbishop Olubunmi Okogie  captured the incredible efforts of Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu in Lagos: “It must be admitted that with a population said to be close to 15 million, if Governor Sanwo-Olu and his team had not provided outstandingly exemplary leadership, we would have had a more dangerous situation on our hands.”  Equally, so impressed was I with Governor Kayode  Fayemi’s sterling efforts in Ekiti, his rainbow coalition of a COVID-19 FUND Committee, and the length to which the Ekiti state government has gone in cushioning the effect of the pandemic on the citizenry, that I couldn’t help writing to him as follows this past week:”E kuse o. Mo fi Oluwa so nyin. Great efforts you ‘ve thrown in. I  only wish other Nigerian  leaders have been half as socially responsible as yourself since 2010″.

    Nigerians would recall that Fayemi was the first governor, ever, to make monthly stipends to the elderly, a state policy in Nigeria.

    The President must  also have seen how Nigerians are moving back ‘home,’ to give back.

    For instance, in addition to his huge  donation to the federal effort, Alhaji Aliko Dangote has since gone back  to Kano to donate  a 500 -bed isolation centre. Nigerians are doing this in their thousands, and that exactly is how a rationally re- configured Nigeria will operate with the result that there will be so much positive inter- regional competition – call it Competitive Federalism – that it wil redound to Nligeria’s overall development and  progress. And if I may ask: why is President Buhari afraid of restructuring? Was he  faking the arrowheads of the then emerging APC when he, as the obvious number one leader, together with his CPC team,  agreed to the party’s inclusion of Power Devolution in its manifesto  which  the party then went on to sell to Nigerians during the campaigns for his election ?

    It can bear repetition that restructuring is not synonymous with dismemberment, and the North is far too resource-rich to suffer  any dimunition as  consequence since  that possibility, I suspect, must be weighing heavily on the President.  If he  doubts me , he should consult the duo of Professor Ango Abdullahi  of the Northern Elders Forum (NEF) and my good friend, Tony Sani, of the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) who will  both convince him, with verifiable statistics,  of the North’s undouted capacity to,  not only  survive, but thrive and  flourish; the only condition being that it must convert its teeming population to a productive energy to drive its vast resources.

    This pestilence certainly provides,  for a thinking  government, a golden opportunity to free Nigeria from, to quote Tatalo again, the  “iron cage” the Nigerian  military put it when it thrashed the political structure the founding fathers methodically crafted for  the country.

    By doing just these two things, namely, ridding Nigeria of its outlandish, totally unreasonable and economic all unsustainable cost of governance, thereby freeing resources for investment in productive areas and restructuring Nigeria for its constituent  parts to blossom by bringing forth its capabilities, President Muhammadu Buhari would have carved his name in gold on the positive side of our national history.

  • Covid 19: Did humanity sin or is it a collateral victim of Trump’s trade wars and his other inanities?

    Covid 19: Did humanity sin or is it a collateral victim of Trump’s trade wars and his other inanities?

    Femi Orebe

    In Isaiah 26: 30 the Bible says:  “Go home my people, and lock your doors! Hide yourselves for a little while until the Lord’s anger has passed”.

    So has humanity sinned against God to have this pandemic sent down to the world; all parts of it  at once?

    In other words, is  Covid -19 a biblical plague or are we, that is,  – humanity – simply a trade off to President Donald Trump’s unbridled arrogance – his  trade wars without boundary – from Mexico to Canada, and all the way to China, and his other shenanigans, just so he can  make his  “America great”?

    The Bible is awash, as I suspect the Quoran must be, since both Holy Books speak to the history of about  the same people, in the same geographical area – with stories of plagues. A biblical  plague can be defined as “a stroke of affliction, or disease sent as a divine chastisement for sin”. The bible also calls it pestilence, about  the most remembered  being the ten that God visited on Egyptians when Pharaoh would not let the Israelites depart in peace.

    These plagues, as recently listed in a write up by Brandon Clay,  include the plague of blood, the plague of frogs, the plague of lice (gnats), the plague of flies, the plague of livestock, the plague of boils, the plague of hail, the plague of locusts, the plague of darkness, and the death of the firstborn (Exodus 7:14–36).

    There were, of course, others.

    For instance, God promised judgment, if the Israelites turned against Him, and these judgments  included plagues (Leviticus 26:25), not forgetting that God sent a three-day plague to wipe out 70,000 men after King David sinned by numbering the people of Israel (2 Samuel 24:10–17).

    Covid-19 has brought  on the entire world a totally unprecedented disruption: thousands dead, still counting, and  nearly a million infected, worldwide. Many businesses will never survive it and once again, as in post 9/11, many airlines will, willy nilly, have to merge, to survive.

    It has been a complete global meltdown.

    But bad as things are, and though the world sins  daily, as in men marrying men, and women marrying same sex in the so- called civilised world, no prophet, or pastor, anywhere, has told us with any authority that God promised to punish the world in this manner, now.

    It is, therefore, safe to conclude, albeit without scientific proof,  that Coronavirus is neither biblical nor  a natural phenomenon .

    So how come?

    1. S President Donald Trump prefers to call it the “Wuhan Virus” and the Chinese have responded in kind, claiming that the American delegation to the military games in Wuhan in 2019 brought coronavirus to their shores. In support of this, they assert that many fatalities in the U S, originally  ascribed to the ordinary flu, have now, posthumously, been credited to Covid- 19, and they preceded the outbreak of coronavirus  in China.

    Although China has been sued in both Florida and Nevada, in the U. S, this is how David Fidler captured the whole scenario in a recent  article in  ‘Just Security’:

    “The World Health Organization updated the International Health Regulations in 2005 in an attempt to prevent the worst harms from precisely this sort of outbreak. U.S. domestic authorities also prepared plans, including the 2006 National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza promulgated by President George W. Bush and the 2016 Playbook for Early Response to High-Consequence Emerging Infectious Disease Threats developed under President Barack Obama. It seems clear that Chinese authorities failed to adequately report and to contain the spread of this new disease, and that the U.S. Executive Branch botched its response, with highly predictable and deadly results. Private actors may also bear legal responsibility for exacerbating the harms caused by unsafe working conditions, equipment shortages, termination of employment and other contracts, and other problems, which will, in turn, lead to litigation with insurers and reinsurers for the foreseeable future. Some lawyers are  thinking of how best to seek redress for their clients. Unfortunately, they appear to have chosen the one path that is virtually guaranteed not to provide any meaningful recovery: suing China”.

    Whereas I can not claim to know where the truth lies between the two claims , I wish to assert  that even if China it is who cultured coronavirus in one of its laboratories, President Trump must have pushed her to the brink with his oneupsmanship, and unremitting war mongering. Therefore, vicarious liability must go to him for he it is, who laid  the world prostrate with unnecessary pride, going round the  whole world destroying trade relations, and tearing everything apart. The Iran Atomic treaty,  he shredded, the climate deal, he trampled over, yanking off the United States ; Venezuela, North Korea, Iran and many more, he severally  promised to erase from the face of the earth. The worst, however, was his disbandment of the Obama – era  unit monitoring pandemics all over the world to enable America prepare against them.

    One can only hope that never again will Americans  elect an inexperienced fellow, man or woman, to take charge of its affairs as elections do have consequences.

    For me, therefore, to President’s Trump’s harebrained policies and actions must be credited the stupendous calamity that has befallen the U.S, and the world in general because the United States has always been there for the entire world; the reason it is called “the Police man of the world”.

    He will most probably  carry this burden to his last days.

  • Covid -19 and some allied matters

    Covid -19 and some allied matters

    Femi Orebe

     

    IF we have to eventually shut down our country, then as a government we must be prepared to have some relief for the most ordinary people. “As a government, we must find our own money to fund something for our people. I have  not seen anything at the moment targeted at providing some relief. If we lock up Nigeria today, then we will wake-up trouble, because majority of our citizens go to market every day before they can get something to eat” “So, you lock them up in their houses with a threat of disease and without food. We need to have something, a plan of some sorts, in addition to making sure we don’t lock up the farmers market for example, where people can easily go and buy something, and of course pharmacies. “We need to have some kind of supplies to people, I don’t know how we can achieve this, but we have to be ingenious.This is a time to think deep and wide, to provide for our people, in order for us at least to deal with this challenge.” – Senate President  Ahmed Ibrahim Lawan.

    I am sure Barrister VC Mba must have been  spirit led  to  send  me the following mail around 4 a.m last Friday as I write this piece. He wrote as follows from his tel no. +234 803 694 9810: “Kenya President, Uhuru Kenyatta, has just announced 80%  reduction in his salary and urged other leaders to do same. His reason? To free up funds to combat the Coronavirus pandemic!

    That, to me is pure nobility of soul, which is, unfortunately, extremely rare in this clime. Pray, where is our much vaunted religiosity? Where are, and what are our billionaires doing while Armageddon looms? Our billionaire pastors, can’t they help their members, at the least, if they won’t other citizens? Our foolishness and primitive greed as a people, religious and non-religious, is being laid bare. The chicks have come to roost!“

    I haven’t the slightest doubt Nigerians will join me in thanking Senate President Ahmed  Lawan for his kind  thoughts towards the Nigerian people, something that is totally  alien to most Nigerian politicians to whom we matter only during  elections.

    Such generosity of heart!

    Unfortunately, that exactly is where our gratitude should end because, no matter how thoughtful  he was, he left completely untouched, the two critical issues  that should now concentrate the minds of members of the National Assembly. Nigeria is  at an unusual  historical juncture that,  if appropriately  seized by our legislators, and others in high places, would see their names emblazoned  in gold, in the annals of Nigerian history.

    On these pages this  past week, I berated members of the National Assembly for their failure to  offer even a  miniscule reduction in their mountain -high  salaries and allowances which, meanwhile, were self- awarded, when the Nigerian economy was in recession. This time around, however, they and other public office holders, beginning from Mr President who, together with the VP has once reduced his salary , should need no telling to reduce their pay by a minimum 50 per cent now that:(a) crude oil prices have plummeted to its nadir, and (b) coronavirus, the  killing global pandemic, has made  it inescapable that the economy gets  totally shut down;  with nobody sure as to  when it will end or how prostrate it will leave Nigeria seeing how it has humbled  the super powers with 3.3 million Americans losing their jobs in a space of one week.

    Failure on the part of these legislators to voluntarily make this offer, traumatised Nigerians, the  teeming unemployed, and those now  being, willy nilly,  recused from their jobs,  must then find a lasting solution  to the  challenge  unfeeling  National Assembly  members constitute to their well being as citizens of the same  country . The Yoruba have  this saying that: ‘enu ki je, kenu ma wo’,  literally meaning that it is wrong for  one person to be eating  while the other merely looks on. There’s no way, post coronavirus,  Nigeria must continue to pamper these people. This should have been  the senate President’s good tidings to Nigerians if he truly empathised with us.

    The next  matter of national interest should be that both chambers of the National Assembly  should now put an end to the ongoing constitutional amendment. It is too little, too late, as panel beating an unworking, indeed, unworkable constitution, will not be in the best interest of the country given our present circumstances. It is also an unnecessary waste of funds which the country can ill afford. They  should  now realise that our unitary system of government, characterised as it is, by a suffocating centre having a stranglehold on the country, will be the greatest problem to confronting this pandemic. It is this centre-owns- it – all mentality that has ensured that successive governments of the federation did nothing to diversify the country’s economy though it must be said that the Buhari administration has tried in this regard even though it is also too little, too late. Otherwise it would not have had to begin scaling down its current budget which is far beyond its capacity to execute

    Rather than just amending the  extant constitution, the National Assembly must now see this as an opportune time to strategically re- configure  the country’s structure. I have deliberately left out the word ‘restructure’ as it is known to instigate  constipation in some people. The National Assembly should now work towards returning Nigeria to something near  its pre- independence structure though not strictly in the North,  West, East of old. God bless the late former Vice- President , Dr Alex Ekwueme, who gave us  the idea of a  6 geo – political structure  which has since served the country considerably well. That should now be the new structure with the possibility of alienated communities being permitted  to join their kith and kin in an adjoining geo -political zone.

    States in Nigeria, unlike those in the U S, are presently  incapacitated by lack  of funds in their effort to fight the virus since they have not been  adequately challenged  with regards to  generating funds internally. This is most obvious in the near zero testing of persons who have not yet show symptoms which means that we can only be making a guesswork of the actual number of persons already infected. It must be stated though that Nigeria is not alone in this quagmire.

    As a result , they have become used to the monthly handouts from  Abuja where, unfortunately, the centre takes the lion share, to be able to  do  which, the present constitution  was deliberately cooked up; packing on  the centre , responsibilities that should  have been  better performed by states and local governments.  Through such  re- engineering , the National Assembly  would have freed  the states thus putting them on the road towards buoyancy  or how many states in Nigeria  today can, like Lagos, budget  N20 billion  to fight coronavirus?

    Permit me to briefly state what the old Western Region was able to achieve, in an unencumbered atmosphere, without any federal authority breathing heavily on the government under the leadership of the Avatar, Chief Obafemi Awolowo, as a pointer to how such re-engineering will help galvanise Nigeria’s overall development with each region developing at its own pace.

    The following  is how Professor Banji Akintoye captured it: “The gift of free education was the greatest single gift given by Chief  Obafemi Awolowo to us his people, but it was not the only gift. Under his leadership, the Western Region stood out as the number one Region, the pace setter in development in Nigeria. The wide-ranging development achievements included many miles of solidly surfaced roads all over our Region, pipe-borne clean water in many of our towns, the first television station on the African continent, the first public-owned sports stadium, the first industrial estate, imaginative support systems for our cocoa farmers (as a result of which our cocoa farmers became the most productive African farmers on the African continent), farm centres training our youth in modern farming, technical training centres teaching modern job skills to our youth, a broad-based investment corporation with investments in industries, commerce, banking, and real estate (the largest agglomeration of African-owned investment capital in Africa). Very importantly too, our Region was the leader in Nigeria in the development of a democratic society, and a government responsive to its people. On the whole, we in the Western Region were led to dream dreams of greatness in the world and we began to see ourselves as soon able to catch up with industrial world leaders like Japan. And we gave our Region the name “First in Africa”.

    All these, and more, can be replicated in all parts of Nigeria if only we would be bold enough to dispense with a structure that for decades have been unhelpful to our country.  Reorganisation is no balkanisation. It is time we move on.

    To Hon Olawale Oshun at 70

    This is to Honourable Oshun’s incandescent integrity, decency and un-flapping loyalty to causes.

    Happy birthday and many happy returns.

     

  • The invisible enemy (coronavirus):  Is the world under a hybrid war attack?

    The invisible enemy (coronavirus): Is the world under a hybrid war attack?

    Femi Orebe

    I reproduce below, a trending Whatsapp chat that should send every Nigerian thinking showing, as it does, the shame that we can hardly handle anything with the requisite seriousness. Witness, for instance, the fact that the COVID-19  index case in Nigeria did not only, like Ebola’s Patrick Sawyer,  just walk into our country  long after it became common knowledge  that Italy was already highly compromised, passengers on his  flight and many other flights after also did, without as much as obtaining  their forwarding addresses. The result  was that the country was subsequently treated to an ugly spectacle of detachments of some federal agencies – the police, immigration etc, going all over, like blindfolded, trying to locate the  passengers long after they would have mixed with family , friends, co- workers etc.

    That exactly is how some government officials may have helped in spreading the killer disease in the country.

    The referenced Whatsapp chat reads as follows:

    “Guys be very careful. This third case is a friend of a good friend of mine. I can attest to the fact that the government is being disingenuous about  the virus for media brownie points. The patient came on a BA flight from London last Friday, the 13th March, and was unable to get a test despite having symptoms and being severely ill.

    My friend called all the hotlines and  hospitals but was unable to get any information. Spoke to the NCDC directly on behalf of the patient, who refused to test her but rather saying “The UK isn’t considered a high risk destination”. The patient was trying to get help since Friday to no avail. They told her not to go to any hospital but also refused to come to her house. Thankfully, my friend has a very good social media following and was able to sound the alarm on Twitter for four days straight about the lack of nationwide testing in Nigeria and the lack of test kits, at which point the patient finally got tested and was confirmed positive.

    The numbers being reported as official cases are undoubtedly inaccurate and mass testing is not being done in Nigeria. The spread is likely far more extensive than reported, and we are likely being complacent by relying on “official figures”.

    But as far as lies about COVID -19 are concerned , Nigeria must still be  a far cry from North Korea where Supreme leader Kim Jung Un has continued to claim that there is not a single case of the disease, even as next door neighbours, South Korea,  has 8,320 and 81 deaths and China, not too far away, has  recorded 81,116 cases and 3,221 deaths. WHO is now appealing to the maximum leader to accept outside help.

    But even that can still be regarded as the least of the controversies COVID-19 has birthed.

    A much more dangerous one is the bi-polar war of words between China and the US. So acrimonious is it that questions are now being asked as to whether the world is actually  not a victim of a laboratory experiment gone awry.

    Below is how the Daily Express captured it at some length.

    “Beijing openly regards the US as a threat, as was  stated a month ago by Foreign Minister Wang Yi at the Munich Security Conference.

    Beijing is carefully, and incrementally, shaping the narrative that from the beginning of the coronavirus attack, the Chinese leadership knew it was under a hybrid war attack.

    When Zhao Lijian, a spokesman for the Chinese Foreign Ministry, voiced in a tweet the possibility that “it might be the US Army which  brought the epidemic to Wuhan”, he was making a direct connection with the Military Games in Wuhan in October 2019, which included a detachment  of 300 US soldiers . He directly quoted US CDC director, Robert Redfield who, when asked last week whether some deaths by coronavirus had been discovered posthumously in the US, replied that  “some cases have actually been diagnosed that way in the US.”

    Zhao’s explosive conclusion is that Covid-19 was already  in the US before being identified in Wuhan – due to the U S, now fully documented inability to test, and verify, differences compared with the flu. Add that to the fact that coronavirus genome variations in Iran and Italy were sequenced, and discovered,  not to  belong to the  Wuhan variety. Chinese media are now openly  asking questions and drawing a connection with the shutting down in August last year of the “unsafe” military bio-weapon lab at Fort Detrick, the Military Games, and the Wuhan epidemic. Some of these questions had been asked – with no response – from the US itself. Other questions linger about the opaque Event 201 in New York on October 18, 2019: a rehearsal for a worldwide pandemic caused by a deadly virus – which happened to be coronavirus.

    This coincidence happened a month before the outbreak in Wuhan. Event 201 was sponsored by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the World Economic Forum (WEF), the CIA, Bloomberg, John Hopkins Foundation and the UN.  The World Military Games opened in Wuhan on the same day. Irrespective of its origin, which is still not conclusively established, as much as Trump tweets about the “Chinese virus,” Covid-19 already poses immensely serious questions about biopolitics and bio-terror.

    The working hypothesis of coronavirus as a very powerful but not Armageddon-provoking bio-weapon, unveils it as a perfect vehicle for widespread social control – on a global scale”.

    ”America was caught on the spot, and do have questions to answer. When did patient zero begin in US? How many people are infected? What are the names of the hospitals? It might be US army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan. Be transparent! Make public your data! U.S owe us an explanation!”, the Chinese  Foreign Ministry official said.

    My reaction to the above allegation, while not confirming it, would be to say that elections do  have consequences. Since his election as U.S President, Mr Trump has done nothing besides rip up everything uniting the world. He has bad-mouthed every organisation, sparing neither the UN, EU, or  NATO. All trade agreements involving the U.S, he has tried to remake in his own image. At the slightest provocation – and he it is who provokes – he boasts the use of what he describes as the incomparable U S arsenal. North Korea he will submerge, Iran he will obliterate etc. Who will seriously argue that President Trump cannot commission any weapon to make the world his, even if not, American slave since everything under the sun must be about him?

    Surely, not me.

    Happily, President Muhammadu  Buhari has addressed the Nigerian citizenry and was emphatic that  we must be guided by the pronouncements coming out from the Federal Ministry of Health.

    I leave my readers with the advice that they should not be too wise in their own eyes while this killer virus ravages the world. They should not be carried away by such things as Blacks being immune  to COVID-19, however true it may be. Instead, they should please be guided only by experts on this non – discriminating virus which has no respect for persons, or status.

    Unlike HIV/Aids, it carries no stigma since it has no sexual connotations. So, please if you found you are infected, feel free to seek help, but first, self-quarantine.

    In the meantime, WHO advises us to:

    *Wash our hands frequently

    *Regularly clean our hands with an alcohol-based sanitiser, or wash them with soap and water.

    *Maintain social distancing

    *Maintain at least 3 feet distance between yourself and anyone who is coughing or sneezing.

    *Avoid touching  our eyes, nose and mouth

    *Practice respiratory hygiene

    *Make sure  we, and the people around us, follow good respiratory hygiene.

    This means covering our mouth and nose with our bent elbow or tissue paper when we cough or sneeze. Then we dispose of the used tissue immediately.

    *If you have fever, cough and difficulty breathing, please seek medical care early

    *Stay home if you feel unwell. If you have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical attention

    *Stay informed on the latest developments about COVID-19.

    Beyond all, may the good Lord keep us safe. Amen.

     

    FROM MY READERS

    Re: Your Last Article

    I am always  with you at all stages. Buhari should remove the oil subsidy now and abrogate the senate, reduce the House of Rep members to 180  and make it part time. Each State House of Assembly should not have more than 10 members and on part time.  Local govt counsellors  to seat 3 times a  year to be paid only sitting fees as of old. Salaries and allowances of Governors should be reduced by 50 percent and no SECURITY VOTE AND NO IMMUNITY FOR ANY POLITICIAN – Hon Bode Babatunde, 2nd Republic member, Ondo House of Assembly.

    On CONVID -19

    It is like a biological weapon, a virus released; a world war 3? it shouldn’t last long. J.D Korodo