Category: Femi Orebe

  • The Nigerian military, El-Zakzaky

    To say that the Nigerian military is stressed is to understate matters

    It no longer rains in Nigeria, it pours. Emeritus Professor Olatunji Dare has that inimitable way of describing Nigeria’s multiplicity of unceasing waoh-events that hardly leave you the minutest gap to breathe easy. I refer here to his: Matters Miscellaneous.

    We went through such in the past couple of days and since we have this way in Nigeria of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, I will not be surprised if, pretty soon, we birth another Boko Haram from the manner in which the government is currently handling its business with El-Zakzaky of the Islamic Movement in Nigeria (MIN).

    I shall come to that anon. Let us, for now, take a brief look at the Nigerian military, having just come out of its Taraba incubus.

    To say that the Nigerian military is stressed is to understate matters. Even if ours were American soldiers with their unending wars, one would not expect less.

    In the past 10 years, men and women of our fighting forces have been called to action, some of them more severally, to fight in defense of Nigeria’s very survival; almost always under very severe strains. Throughout this period, we have witnessed some near mutinies, arising out of  being under-equipped to face a ferocious enemy –  the  rampaging, well-armed, Boko Haram fighters who  are now  allegedly in alliance with international terrorist organisations, an example being the Islamic State in West Africa. Indeed, spouses of these soldiers are known to have protested publicly for the same reasons.

    The soldiers must surely have heard, or read of some top officers, misapplying huge funds appropriated to have them properly, even better, kitted. On top of these was the recent Army Chief of staff rebuke which must have left most of them completely nonplussed.

    Worst, however, was the way the military high command handled the unfortunate killing of three policemen in Taraba some two weeks ago.

    Rather than scapegoat the dead police men, thereby earning all, and every Nigerian soldier public opprobrium, it would have been a lot better if the soldiers were quietly arrested and the matter investigated, rather than try to spin the whole thing out of sync, unashamedly, blaming the victims who they called all kind of names; kidnappers inclusive, even though the military high command knew that the slain policemen were on official duty.

    That was not the first time the military would try to wrongly protect its men where it would have been more responsible to own up, apologise to the nation, and go through laid down processes  which would have culminated in dishing out appropriate disciplinary measures, where necessary.

    The Taraba incident was not the first, nor would it be the last. Indeed, as that was trending, army spokespersons in Lagos were busy denying that soldiers shot, and killed, three persons and wounded six others at the Isheri Day Festival in the Kara Market area of Ogun State.

    While not condoning indiscipline on the part of our soldiers, we all must appreciate that our soldiers are, understandably, under pressure, and the least the military high command can do for them is do everything within their power to minimise the tension under which they operate, whether corporately, or individually. It is no news to Nigerians that the military is awash with bad eggs as the Taraba case has copiously shown and that our level of insecurity would probably not be half as terrible as it currently is, if a substantial number of our security operatives are not working in cahoots with enemies of state, either selling firearms, providing cover for armed robbers and protecting kidnappers so they could live a life of obscene opulence.

    But even this fact should not lead the military high command into wanting to, willy nilly, protect these criminals and ultimately end up opening up all our men and women in uniform , good ones inclusive, to eternal pillory. What they should do is put in place, means of identifying characters and getting them out of the military.

    Unless this is done, there will be no end to these untoward occurrences.

    May the souls of the departed rest in peace.

    El- Zakzaky: THE NEED FOR CAUTION

    Not many Nigerians can claim to know what government and the security agencies know about the activities of El-Zakzaky and his MIN. Let me, however, hasten to say that I have personally watched a video of   the man’s  interview which ran as follows:

    Interviewer: Many people are asking: do you want to destroy Nigeria?

    Zakzaky: I say yes, yes. Yes we will destroy it. Our allegiance is to something bigger. Not to Nigeria at all. We need something bigger to be proud of.

    Must we swear allegiance to Nigeria?

    To hell with Nigeria.

    The security agencies most probably have more damning evidences against El-Zakzaky.

    But na today?

    Born: 5 May 1953,  Ibrahim Yaqoub El Zakzaky, the “outspoken and prominent Shi’a Muslim leader who  heads  Nigeria’s Islamic Movement which he founded  as far back as the late ’70s, while a student at the Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, has a chequered history with the Nigerian security forces. This long and winding history culminated in his, and the wife, being granted permission this past week by a Kaduna High court  to go to India for medical treatment. Addressing journalists outside the court perimeter gate, the lead prosecution counsel, who is the state Director of Public Prosecution, Dari Bayero, said  that the judge was satisfied with the medical certificate tendered by El Zakzaky and has granted him permission to travel to India to seek medical attention. According to Bayero, “the court granted the defendant permission to seek medical attention under the strict supervision of the prosecution (state).

    “The judge, the prosecution lawyer said, was satisfied with the medical reports filed by Mallam (El Zakzaky) that he is, indeed, in dire need of medical attention stressing, however, that it was not a  bail and that  his trial would resume on his return from the trip.

    Given the severity of El-Zakzaky’s medical condition- he is said to be suffering from eight different conditions, it was a rude shock for Nigerians to hear that he was on his way back from India last Thursday. Reasons given by both the Sheik and his group, and the federal government are as far apart as could possibly be.

    Spokespersons of the Sheik who arrived aboard an Ethiopian Airlines by exactly 12noon at the Nnamdi Azikwe International Airport, Abuja said that he had earlier cried out over the situation in India, stating that it was worse than what he and his wife experienced in Nigeria. They said he was refused treatment by doctors who examined him here and that the Indian government gave him an ultimatum to return if he would not accept to be treated by the doctors assigned to him.

    Government on its own side said that the man started acting funny on arrival in Dubai and on getting to India wanted to check into a 5-star hotel. Consequently, he was reportedly asked by Indian authorities to accept treatment from doctors assigned to him or leave the country.

    My take on all these is that government should have been guided by what happened to Yusuf and how his supporters metamorphosed into Boko Haram which has tormented Nigeria to no end in the past 10 years. Government, in my view, should have bent over backwards and ensure that he got the treatment he needs given the severity of his condition to which the medical reports he presented to the court attested. As it is, it looks like some of his illnesses are life-threatening and God forbid that his condition gets worse. I cannot see what government would have lost in the circumstance of his remaining in India to be   fully treated and returned to Nigeria, under escort, for his trial to commence.

  • Restructuring: Before unforeseen circumstances force Buhari’s hands

    He must not allow men whose names will not even grace the footnotes of Nigerian history to mess up all he has done for Nigeria

    It is now most likely that only some terrible, unforeseen circumstances, would make President Muhammadu Buhari shift an inch from his ramrod stand against restructuring despite his recent panegyrics to true federalism. This will be sad given the dire circumstances Nigeria is in and the fact that there is no dearth of advice from respected elders whose patriotism is beyond doubt.

    So serious is the Nigerian condition today that elders like Emeka Anyaoku, Wole Soyinka, and some clerics, especially Catholic Bishops, can  no longer remain silent but had to talk. We must, however, quickly make a distinction between these patriots and those who simply want to hear their own sound bites; crass opportunists to whom Nigerians no longer pay attention. Without a doubt, the President’s non action, and seeming rigidity, after publicly announcing that the time for true federalism is now, a whole three months ago, is more than baffling.

    Let us recap that occasion as presented by the Leadership newspaper’s very analytical editorial  of  22 May, 2019. Wrote the paper, mutatis mutandis: Since he won the February 23, 2019 presidential election, President Muhammadu Buhari has been commenting on some topical national issues hitherto considered  no go areas. Considering his party’s criticism of those Nigerians clamouring for restructuring, not many  expected him  to endorse  true federalism. But that was what  he did  when he broke his silence on the issue  by declaring that true federalism is now a necessity. The fact that he chose the occasion of the APC Governors Forum’s presentation of an appreciation award  to him for his  outstanding performance in his first  term to make the unambiguous statement was taken as a sign of utmost  seriousness.  Said the President:

    “Your Excellences, it will be belabouring the point to say that true federalism is necessary at this juncture of our political and democratic evolution. At a time when some few privileged individuals and groups have chosen to exploit and manipulate the ethnic and religious fault lines for seeking personal and partisan advantage, we need to build bridges across the different divides and instill faith in the unity and indivisibility of one Nigeria”,

    If he had made that statement during the campaigns, many would have concluded that he was merely playing politics.

    Last year, APC had set up  the Nasir el-Rufai committee to study the issue of Power Devolution and make recommendations but the report, despite being approved by the party’s National Executive committee, has been gathering moth at the technical committee  to which it was cleverly remitted. Suffice  it to say that the recommendations were  supported by  even the likes of Bayelsa state governor, Seriake Dickson, as it recommended resource management, internal security, and merger of states

    Continued the paper:” With the  increasing security challenges, which have obviously  overwhelmed  the armed forces, and the police, the first step towards true federalism should be the creation of state police. It should also include state participation in enterprises hitherto monopolised by the Federal government. It should include fiscal federalism which will enable the states to fully  develop, and strengthen, their internal sources for  revenue generation. The federal government should, therefore, move fast and  review the revenue sharing formula in favour of the states to shore up their resources.

    The National Assembly, it said, should work harmoniously with the Executive and do the needful with regards to the amendment of the 1999 Constitution (as amended). President Buhari must march words with action by promptly setting up a committee to harmonise the reports of all previous national conferences and constituent assemblies, including the recommendations of the 2014 national confab to evolve a working model of true federalism for the country. Members of the committee should be knowledgeable, visionary and patriotic Nigerians drawn from all strata of the society.

    Considering the daunting economic challenges and dwindling resources facing the country, the president is admonished not to constitute another national conference because it will be wasteful. Although the editorial says that recommendations should go to the National Assembly for ratification, I think it should go to a national referendum  for that purpose as the National Assembly should have cured the lacuna of absence of referendum in the constitution. .Finally, says the paper, the President must demonstrate the political will to return Nigeria to the path of good governance where the social, economic and political rights of all Nigerians are well protected.

    Given the parameters laid out in that very lucid editorial, 3 months is absolutely too much to have wasted doing nothing in respect of  the President’s professed new love for true federalism. So we ask: what happened? For a certainty, the President wasn’t taking Nigerians on  a jolly  ride. Or has he since come under pressure as happened when he was constituting his new cabinet?

    It is beyond me to suggest that the President  didn’t quite  get  what he was setting Nigerians up for when he sang panegyrics to true federalism. Our conditions are more dire today than they were 3 months ago. As Jide Oluwajuyitan put it in The Nation of Thursday, 8 August, 2019: ”Today nearly all Nigeria’s major ethnic groups-the Yoruba, Igbo, Fulani, Ijaw, Tiv, Birom, Ogoni, and Munshi etc. are at war with the state. Last Saturday, a coalition of 406 indigenous youth groups in Nigeria and the Diaspora, under the aegis of the Nigerian Ethnic Nationality Youth Leaders Forum (NENYLF), also raised an alarm about the creeping anarchy in the country admonishing “no responsible government and its leadership could continue to fold their arms pretending that all is well.”

    We are today; encircled by sundry enemy forces- bandits in the Northwest, Boko Haram in the Northeast, kidnappers absolutely  dominant everywhere in the South, together  with armed robbers and ritualists. Therefore, Nigerians are asking: what exactly  is happening? Why the unnecessary delay after whetting our appetite and why has he not moved  an inch beyond the status quo since he uttered those beautiful words in May? Our circumstances today demand much faster speed than Husain Bolt, the  multi- Olympics sprint star was ever able to offer at those meets .

    President Buhari has more than demonstrated his love for the country. He had, in fact, put his life on the line, on battlefields,  so that Nigeria  can remain a united, and prosperous, country . What has suddenly happened to cause this non movement on an agenda that is guaranteed to return Nigeria to a state of  peace,  and harmony,  in contrast to our current parlous circumstances?

    Have some faceless advisers changed his mind? Is he torn between loyalty to country and loyalty to his ethnic nationality?  Does he think the North has too much to lose in a restructured Nigeria? Even if yes, won’t he prefer to have his name written on the right side of  history and be the Buhari of Nigeria, like Zik of Africa, rather than be the Buhari of an ethnic redoubt?

    Wont

    I am a committed Buharist, and I love, and support him, but I feel honour bound to ask these questions even if top party chieftains, and his senior advisers cannot, because they are consumed with daily reading his body language. I am more than eager to see his name etched on the right side of Nigerian history. He has earned it, as a man of incandescent incorruptibility and high integrity, but  he has to be extremely careful not to lose it all. He must not allow men whose names will not even grace the footnotes of Nigerian history to mess up all he has done for Nigeria. These are tough times and he must rise up to it as it is as sure as day follows  the night that post- restructuring peace, harmony, concord and development in Nigeria  will lift him very high amongst the pantheons of  Nigerian leaders, past and present. And that will be a duly earned legacy for a man who has so meritoriously served his fatherland.

    In concluding this piece may I, respectfully, draw the President’s attention to the following portion of Professor Jide Osuntokun’s article in The Nation of Thursday, 8 August, 2019 wherein he wrote:

    “What President Buhari should do is bring up constitutional proposals to prune down the size of government. This should involve the idea of a unicameral parliament and doing away with the present wasteful,  and expensive senate,  while radically reducing the number of the members of the House of Representatives, as well as cutting down by half,  the wasteful do-nothing 774 local governments. The present states should be the unit of effective administration in a much decentralized government with power and financial resources transferred to the periphery where the people live. This will not only reduce tension in the land, it will also enhance security because the states and the much stronger local governments will be able to design appropriate security architecture, as desired, and determined by the peculiarities of each state and local governments, away from the current lumbering homogeneity and the inefficiency of the present”.

    I wish President Buhari well.

  • The imperatives of a localised, embedded security architecture

    The solution to our insecurity, sad to say, is not in drones or CCTV cameras alone.

    “Mobilising the people of a country as complex and heterogenous as ours, under the banner of a common purpose was never going to be an easy task, but this is not to say it is impossible. Multi-religious and multi-ethnic countries all over the world, grapple daily with tensions that come with diversity” VP Yemi Osinbajo

    I yield this column today to Ologun Afemikhe, a graduate of the University of Lagos, with a strong bias for international relations, and security matters. He is an advocate for the right security architecture in Nigeria.

    Happy reading

    Concerning security, Nigeria is in dire straits but we are not totally helpless. A lot could still be done if we are serious. and treat insecurity in our country like a cancer that has metastasized. In analysing our current security situation it is necessary  to diligently study  the details  as they occur. This I have tried to do.  After a very painstaking interrogation  of the modus-operandi of the criminal elements and the consequential mayhem visited upon communities across the country, I have come to the unmistakable conclusion that rather than being Fulani herdsmen, what we have tormenting Nigeria today are Boko Haram elements,  and  the earlier we all come to this realisation, the better. One critical question to ask those who finger Fulani herdsmen as the culprit, especially in the Southwest is: where are their cattle, and the farms destroyed?

    They cannot be found – well, maybe a few farms as decoy –  because they are simply  not available. A closer scrutiny would reveal that this is the strategy Boko Haram prefers so that they would not be treated to the pounding they are getting in the theatre of engagement in the Northeast, A brief insight into this will reveal the following:  Before the 2015 elections, Boko Haram had reached as far as Okene in Kogi State where the boundaries between it  and Edo State is almost non-existent. This is where we  have the Ososo hills , Ogori Magogo, and other arteries  which are contiguous  to the Southwest, especially around  Ibillo in Akoko-Edo, dovetailing into  Akoko in Ondo State –  areas  which are so porous, and without any iota of localised policing. From here, through Igarra and Auchi, all the way to the South south, and the south east, there are not very many major highways, so that any one travelling through is largely anonymous, the illegal road blocks littering the few roads in this entire territory are manned by police men who aid the criminals with Intelligence gathering, get paid, and easily look the other way.

    After the bombing of both the Louis Edet and U.N offices, in Abuja, subsequent changes in military strategy in the north east, especially by the multinational joint task force, it has become almost impossible for these criminals to move further north. Rather, they moved into the middle belt, gradually gravitating towards other parts of the country. Does it seem reasonable that over 100 people would be killed because of cows and farms? Common sense would not let this fly because it is impossible. Take another look at the killings in Plateau State and it remains a damning amazement that people still think we are dealing with herders.

    Believe it or not, Boko Haram is in town, and has become operational all over Nigeria. Only this can explain the efficiency of their operations and the ease with which they elude our security agents that even where a hundred of them operated, policemen would hardly succeed in arresting any. Another surprise is Miyetti Allah, ever eager to protect the herdsmen,is  never able to appreciate that Boko Haram elements have since taken over. A major challenge is that any state which successfully dealt with these elements would only have succeeded in pushing them to the next state as borders are not so distinct. Is it even reasonable to think that Boko Haram, which rustles cattle, and robs banks in search of funds, would not want to take part in the stupendously lucrative kidnapping?  What exactly have our security forces been thinking?

    The solution to our insecurity, sad to say, is not in drones or CCTV cameras alone. First and foremost, all the security personnel on most of the rural arteries connected to major highways, especially in the flash point areas should, as a matter of great urgency, be weeded out as they are, in most cases, working in cahoots with the so called Fulani herders, but who, really, are Boko Haram elements, operating as professional kidnappers and armed robbers but using the ‘Fulanisation’ of the crises, and the lackadaisical attitude of the police, as cover. 80 percent of the criminals operating between Ore and Benin are indigenous to that area. Or where are their cattle?

    I have been pursued twice on that road during which they operated like commercial transporters in a Toyota picnic bus; and the people in that vehicle who pulled a gun at me were not Fulani “herders”.

    What the situation calls for is a solid recruitment process of graduates who are smart,  and motivated enough,  to  form a 1000 per state special forces, drawn  mostly from within the localities. The Oba, or his representative, should head a local committee on intelligence gathering, while a central intelligence hub, at the state headquarters, should be manned by a clergy or retired judge, or somebody with the right credentials. Here, prompt response and communication is key.  A help desk – more like a public complaints commission – well funded and functional in many locations in each state, where people can promptly report credible observations to the authorities must be available. Special numbers, toll free, should be put on stickers and pasted in homes, as well as public places. Road transport unions should be asked to document travellers on a manifest which must be inspected weekly.  If I have my way, new  arrivals  in a state, anywhere in the country, who would be staying for  more than a week must document his/ her  itinerary, and purpose of visiting, even though people will shout fundamental human rights.  These are no ordinary times in our country and for us to get it right, some inconveniences will have to be suffered since to make an omelette, eggs must be broken. I suspect that people who go to the president to suggest that drones,  and CCTV, alone,  should be used to fix this massive insecurity, hardly travel by road, and so may not understand the urgency of now  as well as what it will take to fight the menace.

    Of course, technology is important and will help tremendously but given our level of development, and the extremely poor electricity situation, they cannot form the core of this battle against insecurity.

    Amongst the 1000 graduates recruited for each state, there must be, especially in the forest areas to the South, forest rangers as well as those who will monitor the highways under the protection of well armed members of the Nigerian security forces.

    The official security agencies must be ready, 24/7, to act on credible intelligence.

    In all these, human intelligence will be key and the security agencies must be equipped with tracking equipment which would be pressed into service once any report of a kidnap is made. In such places, prompt investigations must be made to ascertain whether there is collusion or in serious cases, the entire police contingent should be moved out and new ones brought in to replace them. A cardinal aim of the new security architecture must be to allow communities take ownership of their security since they feel the pain the most and know the areas like their palm.

    The federal government, since it continues to observe a stranglehold on almost everything in the country, must know that it has to sufficiently fund this and for that reason, special grants must be given to the states.

    We are in dire straits and everything must be done to restore sanity into our affairs.

    Not only are people no longer able to travel freely, farmers have been run out of their farms meaning that hunger may not be farfetched. Above all, government must realise, and own up to the fact that we are fighting, not against only herders, some of who hug AK47 and still  perpetrate truly heinous crimes, killing and destroying farms, but principally against Boko Haram elements  most of  who are foreigners and,  therefore, think nothing of slitting throats or disembowelling pregnant women. They are evil and our response must be equally ferocious. We must exterminate them like ants from our Fatherland.

    Government is already far behind in ensuring  the security of our lives  and properties but it may not be all lost yet, as a stitch in time may still save nine.

  • Lest Nigeria stray into war

    In Nigeria today, it is increasingly looking like: to your tents
    O Israel, with challenges daily mushrooming.

    Re your last week article: Rwandan genocide: Elementary lessons of history. The historical account you gave on what triggered the First World War, and what culminated in the Rwandan genocide, are as scary as they are frightening. And it requires no extra-sensory perception to know how indicative they are of what may befall Nigeria if President Buhari remains undecided as to the way out of the near implosion in our country – Emmanuel Egwu.

    In Nigeria today, it is increasingly looking like: to your tents O Israel, with challenges daily mushrooming. In vain have I severally made the point that nation building is not a sprint, but a marathon.  While my listeners claim to understand this, they say emphatically that the various ethnic groups are not equally yoked, and that there is no level playing field in respect of anything. Not one of them has failed to mention President Buhari’s seeming disdain for restructuring. Tell them he has already proclaimed his love for true federalism and you are promptly asked what one move he has made in that direction since, or whether  the report of his party’s El Rufai Committee on Power Devolution is not already dead and buried;  even though a central part of the APC’s manifesto?

    Add to that the continuing murderous and kidnapping activities of the Fulani herdsmen and the idea of a Ruga settlement, which not a few see as indicative of Fulani expansionism, and you become seized of why literally every ethnic group looks poised for a break up of Nigeria.

    This past week, I had the privilege of being invited by the Afenifere Renewal Group (ARG) to give a pre – meeting talk and bad as things are, I remained sanguine enough, to make the theme of that talk a total disdain for war in Nigeria or dismemberment of any kind.

    I underpinned that optimism on a few fundamentals one of them being the fact that even in the Southwest , where this has become very trenchant, of late with some of our most important Obas weighing in, and the Egbe Omo Oduduwa, having in their hands, a draft Yoruba constitution  preparatory to what it calls a Constitutional Re-Negotiation of Nigeria, (the Igbos are actually ahead in this respect), it is not as if Yorubas did not once see the possibility of President Buhari’s emergence further cohering the country. Wrote Professor (Senator) Banji Akintoye, unarguably Afenifere’s most cerebral chieftain,  at a point: “Now that the most solid group of our (Southwest) leaders in the partisan political arena have selected Gen. Buhari as presidential candidate (with our brother, Yemi Osinbajo, as his running mate), we have a task to do. Buhari is a very capable, highly disciplined, and resolutely focused man. If he wins, he will be a much more competent, and much more principled, president than Jonathan has been in the past five years. But how good his presidency will be for Nigeria and for our own nation in Nigeria will depend on the directions he chooses to go. Without doubt, he will suppress corruption, indiscipline and inefficiency in public life – and that will be great. But that would be insufficient. Corruption, indiscipline and inefficiency can easily be revived after his presidency – as they were after his brief and impactful military presidency in the 1980s. But if he helps to restructure our federation properly, puts Nigerians back to work by investing heavily in the development of economic efficiency and the promotion of enterprise, he would have changed the direction and destiny of Nigeria for the better – and unchangeably. I am not trying to push any partisan direction; but we do have here a very good candidate and running mate, and I believe we have the duty to help make their thrust as good as possible for Nigeria and for our own nation and all Nigerian nations. We need to find ways to achieve this effect.”

    You would hardly ever  see my teacher more glowing than that, but  only this past week, he was among the eminent Afenifere elders, literally on the barricades, demanding that Fulani herdsmen leave Yoruba land;  similar  to what Nigerians have not stopped berating the Northern Elders Forum (NEF) for. Put that to abridged hopes.

    In his article captioned ‘Egbe Omo Yoruba and the Nigerian Project’, Segun Gbadegesin, a Professor of Philosophy , wrote: “In Failed State 2030: Nigeria- A Case Study, a 2011 Occasional Paper No. 67 by Colonel Christopher Kinnan and others of  the Air War College, USA, the authors noted that in a 2007 Failed State Index, “with the largest population in Africa and a top-20 economy, (Nigeria) was ranked 17th most likely to fail” on a list of 148 countries. It is a dire assessment of the state of the nation. But there are, he notes, more notable points in the study.

    First, the factors that the authors identify as conducive to state failure include “an uneven economic and social development; a failure to address group grievances; and a perceived lack of government legitimacy.” All three are unfortunately as Nigerian as our national anthem”.

    Second, in 2011, the study notes that “the youth bulge in Nigeria may swap roles from productive laborers to disaffected rebels in the next two decades.” In 2019, we are already witnessing widespread banditry, kidnapping, armed robbery, and cultism by rebellious youths.

    Zamfara surely takes the cake.

    Third, the authors suggest that a state that fails may require up to 56 years to recover, or it may actually never recover.

    Fourth, a failed state is a threat to the survival and prosperity of ethnic-nationalities. Therefore, when a multinational state like Nigeria fails, even the quest of ethnic-nationalities for independence may not be realised. So much then for the drumbeats of war and our passion for ending it all so we could go our separate ways”.

    Gbadegesin, who you can never accuse of being a spring chicken then wrote further: “What does this all mean for our present heightened political rhetoric? First, another civil war is not an option simply because it will not end well for any zone. 2019 is not 1967. To borrow an analogy from the study authors, our china plate is so full of many cracks now that allowing it to drop on a hard floor will lead to many broken pieces”.

    So what to do to turn back from this road to Golgotha?

    For both President  Buhari, and the ruling  party, but more for the president and his Southwest party chieftains,  who apparently no longer talks about restructuring or even  Power Devolution, their job is already well cut out beginning with a serious return to the recommendations  of the El Rufai Committee on Power Devolution. They can no longer delay if they did not set out, ab initio, to deceive Nigerians,  nor can the president now  renege on his panegyrics to true federalism which he sang right there  on national television.

    Like them, I consider the Jonathan 2014 national conference which the party disavowed of ab initio, opportunistic being, primarily, a decoy to help the sitting president wangle two more years, and ensure his electoral victory in the Southwest, both of which failed.  I cannot, by any means, suggest that President Buhari should implement the recommendations of a conference the convener washed his hands off as soon as it failed to achieve the promises made by Afenifere, its promoters.

    However, President Buhari should now rapidly involve the entire nation in improving the El Rufai committee recommendations which key segments in the South South, the Bayelsa State governor, Seriake Dickson, inclusive, commended. A summit, in manageable numbers, as against the usual jamborees, but representing every section of Nigeria, should now be convoked to thoroughly interrogate, and significantly, improve on the recommendations. At the same time, the National Assembly should be encouraged to pass relevant laws to emplace a referendum to which the final recommendations should be submitted for ratification by the entire citizenry.

    Conjunctively, President Buhari should rejig the country’s security apparatti and do everything within his powers to rein in the murderous activities of kidnappers, bandits and criminals of whatever hue. In particular, he must show that ethnic considerations does not influence his actions on Fulani herdsmen/ kidnappers who, truth be told, and going by the testimony of almost all kidnapped persons  who were lucky to tell their own story, are responsible for no less than eight out of 10 kidnaps. The president should have by now been briefed that literally all Nigerian ethnic groups are now discussing how to be free of this Fulani herdsmen’s menace.

    These, in my view, are the irreducible tasks confronting the president while ensuring that the economy, poverty reduction and alleviation, youth employment, infrastructural development, health, education and agriculture, are not left behind.

    I am sure the president needs not be told that Nigeria is on Tenterhooks.

  • Rwandan genocide: Elementary lessons of history

    I reproduce below, History.com Editors’ capture of the Rwandan Genocide which began on April 6, 1994 after a plane carrying Habyarimana and Burundi’s President Cyprien Ntaryamira was shot down over the capital city of Kigali, leaving no survivors. The casus belli for a war can be just about anything. It could be as little as some fake news or a hate speech.  For World War I, it was the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Sarajevo who, with his wife, was cut down by 19-year-old Serbian nationalist Gavrilo Princip. That was the small speck which resulted in one of the bloodiest wars in human history resulting in 35 million + Military deaths at 9.7 million. Wounded were 21.2 million and prisoners of war and missing soldiers were put at 7.5 million.

    I am not giving these details for fun.  Please recall that the world expected Nigeria to have unravelled in 2015,  and  although  then  U.S  Ambassador  to Nigeria,  Mr. Terence McCulley,  categorically denied it, not a few people believed that the United States was promoting a breakup, in what  is commonly  known as the ’tissue scarcity scare’ scenario, where the suggestion and promotion of a concept leads to its manifestation. Indeed, a U. S group actually predicted a Nigeria break up in the months leading to the 2015 general election.

    I write all this now to enjoin our leaders, as well as ordinary Nigerians, to put the interest of this country at heart and do NOTHING that can lead Nigeria into war. There is no small war and if there is anybody out there who does not yet know it, a war in Nigeria is guaranteed to be bloody; and will cause years of internal convulsion and unimaginable suffering.  I cannot see the entire West African sub region containing Nigerian refugees.

    Will our leaders,  therefore, beginning with President Muhammadu Buhari,  please dedicate the next  many  months  to putting in place those structures, agencies, processes  and constitutional reforms, that will cohere our country of many nations, and begin anew, a re-building  process  that will turn Nigeria away from its present march to  Golgotha.

    Happily, President Buhari will not have to re-invent the wheel.  If like me, he is not enamoured with the opportunistic 2014 Nigeria Confab which his party, the APC, disavowed of ab initio, we already have in place, the party’s EL RUFAI COMMITTEE recommendations on power devolution. He should immediately call a national summit, not the usual jamboree – consisting of persons knowledgeable in these matters, to critically interrogate, and deepen, the recommendations of that committee. With minimum fuss, the National Assembly should rapidly pass appropriate laws to enable a national referendum to which the recommendations would be remitted for ratification.

    This needn’t take a full year if we are serious.

    At the same time, government could set up a committee of experts. Along the lines suggested  by  Professor Olatunji Dare in his column in The Nation of Tuesday, July 16, 2019 in respect of the raging farmers/ herders crisis.  He wrote: “A committee of accomplished agronomists, agricultural economists, veterinary scientists, rural sociologists, working with representatives of pastoralists, farmers, and farm labour should be set up to define the situation and prepare within six months wide-ranging” guidelines aimed at, once and for all,  solving the hydra- headed problem in a more pragmatic way.

    For Nigeria to remain one, united country, time is of the essence.

    The Rwandan genocide

    During the Rwandan genocide of 1994, members of the Hutu ethnic majority murdered as many as 800,000 people, mostly of the Tutsi minority. Started by Hutu nationalists in the capital of Kigali, the genocide spread throughout the country with shocking speed and brutality, By the time the Tutsi-led Rwandese Patriotic Front gained control of the country through a military offensive in early July, hundreds of thousands of Rwandans were dead and two million refugees (mainly Hutus) had fled Rwanda, exacerbating what had already become a full-blown humanitarian crisis.

    Rwandan ethnic tensions

    By the early 1990s, Rwanda, a small country with an overwhelmingly agricultural economy, had one of the highest population densities in Africa. About 85 percent of its population was Hutu; the rest were Tutsi, along with a small number of Twa, a Pygmy group who were the original inhabitants of Rwanda. Part of German East Africa from 1894 to 1918, Rwanda came under the League of Nations mandate of Belgium after World War I, along with neighbouring Burundi. Rwanda’s colonial period, during which the ruling Belgians favoured the minority Tutsis over the Hutus, exacerbated the tendency of the few to oppress the many, creating a legacy of tension that exploded into violence even before Rwanda gained its independence. A Hutu revolution in 1959 forced as many as 300,000 Tutsis to flee the country, making them an even smaller minority. By early 1961, victorious Hutus had forced Rwanda’s Tutsi monarch into exile and declared the country a republic. After a United Nations referendum that same year, Belgium officially granted independence to Rwanda in July 1962.

    Ethnically motivated violence continued in the years following independence. In 1973, a military group installed Major General Juvenal Habyarimana, a moderate Hutu, in power. The sole leader of Rwandan government for the next two decades, Habyarimana founded a new political party, the National Revolutionary Movement for Development (NRMD). He was elected president under a new constitution ratified in 1978 and reelected in 1983 and 1988, when he was the sole candidate. In 1990, forces of the Rwandese Patriotic Front (RPF), consisting mostly of Tutsi refugees, invaded Rwanda from Uganda. A ceasefire in these hostilities led to negotiations between the government and the RPF in 1992. In August 1993, Habyarimana signed an agreement at Arusha, Tanzania, calling for the creation of a transition government that would include the RPF. This power-sharing agreement angered Hutu extremists, who would soon take swift and horrible action to prevent it.

    Rwandan genocide begins

    On April 6, 1994, a plane carrying Habyarimana and Burundi’s president Cyprien Ntaryamira was shot down over the capital city of Kigali, leaving no survivors. Within an hour of the plane crash, the Presidential Guard, together with members of the Rwandan armed forces (FAR) and Hutu militia groups, set up roadblocks and barricades and began slaughtering Tutsis and moderate Hutus with impunity.

    Here in Nigeria, God forbid, a single killing can be the match stick.

    Among the first victims of the genocide were the moderate Hutu Prime Minister Agathe Uwilingiyimana and her 10 Belgian bodyguards, killed on April 7. This violence created a political vacuum, into which an interim government of extremist Hutu Power leaders from the military high command stepped on April 9. The mass killings in Kigali quickly spread from that city to the rest of Rwanda, with some 800,000 people slaughtered over the next three months. During this period, local officials and government-sponsored radio stations called on ordinary Rwandan civilians to murder their neighbours. Meanwhile, the RPF resumed fighting, and civil war raged alongside the genocide. By early July, RPF forces had gained control over most of the country, including Kigali. In response, more than 2 million people, nearly all Hutus, fled Rwanda, crowding into refugee camps in the Congo (then called Zaire) and other neighbouring countries. After its victory, the RPF established a coalition government similar to that agreed upon at Arusha, with Pasteur Bizimungu, a Hutu, as president and Paul Kagame, a Tutsi, as vice president and defence minister.

    Habyarimana’s NRMD party, which had played a key role in organising the genocide, was outlawed, and a new constitution adopted in 2003 eliminated reference to ethnicity. The new constitution was followed by Kagame’s election to a 10-year term as Rwanda’s president and the country’s first-ever legislative elections. As in the case of atrocities committed in the former Yugoslavia around the same time, the international community largely remained on the sidelines during the Rwandan genocide. A United Nations Security Council vote in April 1994 led to the withdrawal of most of a U.N. peacekeeping operation (UNAMIR), created the previous fall to aid with governmental transition under the Arusha accord. As reports of the genocide spread, the Security Council voted in mid-May to supply a more robust force, including more than 5,000 troops. By the time that force arrived in full, however, the genocide had been over for months.

    That exactly is what happens in the end: we will have to carry our own can as international do-gooders turn their backs.

    TO FUNKE ETERNAL REST

    For me, the passing of Mrs Funke Olakunrin is a personal grief. I lived in Akure for many years and Papa took me as nothing short of an adopted son. In my inner mind, I can still hear Funke calling ‘Uncle Femi, Uncle Femi.’ The good Lord will rest her soul in perpetuity and comfort Papa and all members of the Fasoranti and Olakunrin families.

    • Adieu Funke.
  • Revisiting restructuring

    By far, too many things are happening to keep restructuring on the front burner.

    Fiscal federalism in Nigeria is a system that is very shallow compared to the actuality of the system. When juxtaposed with practices in places like Canada, Australia, USA etc, it can rightly be said that what obtains here is a far cry from fiscal federalism.  In the countries mentioned above, constituent parts of the country have exclusive control over the natural resources in their respective territories, but pay taxes to their central (federal) governments.

    “However, Nigeria has adopted a system many now refer to as fiscal centralism in which revenue allocation and fiscal policies are left to the central government and not the fiscal federalism (decentralised, and devolved revenue allocation and fiscal policies) it so claims to practice. This practice has, in fact, fallen short of expectation due to political manoeuvring arising out of the 1976 constitution which vested all mineral rights exclusively under the control of the federal government” – Ikpatt in The WritePass Journal.

    Chief Segun Osoba, the inimitable journalist, and suave politician, was 80 this past week, and the launch of his book – Battle lines: Adventures in Journalism and Politics, not unexpectedly, brought restructuring into a vibrant limelight once again. Talking of the suave politician reminds me of a story Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu once told a friend, and I during a visit to his house on Bourdillon Road, Ikoyi.

    Although the current 13% derivation principle had been agreed through political negotiation at the 1995 constitutional conference as a compromise between the dominant proponents of 8% and the opposing 18%, President Obasanjo was not ready to pay anything beyond the extant 1%. This was when the highly foresighted Tinubu reached out to the ‘Baffday Boy’, pleading with him to help convince the northern governors to persuade Obasanjo to reconsider his position.  This was because he knew that Obasanjo’s reluctance arose out of his fear of offending the north whose representatives at the conference had predominated the dominant 8%  lobby.

    Osoba went to work, deploying the massive contacts he had made, nationwide, over the years as a first rate journalist. The result: Obasanjo gave in, albeit, willy nilly.

    And why did Tinubu go to all that extent?

    According to him, he knew that paying 13% derivation to oil bearing states would mean they’d have in their bank accounts huge funds they did not foresee coming and so could not immediately deploy to funding projects. These huge funds would therefore lie fallow in banks awaiting good projects to fund; and knowing the developmental horizon he intended to take Lagos State, he saw this as the opportune moment to approach the banks with projects they couldn’t turn down.

    That, in short, was how, states, applying to banks for bonds to fund strategic projects, was born in Nigeria.

    I digress.

    To say that Osoba brought restructuring back to limelight is, however, not to suggest that it ever went away from our discourse menu.  By far, too many things are happening to keep restructuring on the front burner. Given our multifarious challenges, restructuring looks like the panacea, even if it would not be the silver bullet, to all our problems. Among these  challenges is the totally needless Ruga Settlement project, which recently witnessed  very atavistic,  inter-ethnic  diatribes  across board, but which would have best be  configured as the north’s  answer to having thousands of her herdsmen having to   traverse  the entire length and breadth of  Nigeria, alongside millions of cattle, in all manner of weather condition. Such a scheme, in the north, would have benefited hugely from the country’s two major rivers that run through the region, as well as the several multibillion dams and irrigation projects the federal government has long built there.

    This could have, within a few years from now, turned the north, and Nigeria into a meat exporting zone, and country, respectively comparable to Brazil. which exported 1,850,000 metric tons of beef in 2016, making it the world’s largest beef exporter, or  India, which  exported 1,850,000 metric tons in  the same year.

    It is simply baffling that, rather than waiting on government, many of the several billionaires in the north have not turned their attention to the huge opportunities in this. For instance, there would be massive employment of the north’s teeming unemployed youth most of who now make do with kidnapping, banditry and drug addiction etc, in addition to the huge financial returns, they would harvest, mostly in foreign currency).

    Another totally unnecessary challenge, which the president must do everything to avoid this time around, is his northcentric appointments. This earned him so much opprobrium in his first term that he just should not repeat it this time around. It is a veritable source of embarrassment for his supporters in the south and a withering tool in the hands of his traducers, down south. He needs not give them such luxury.

    There are others.

    Meanwhile, the man who issued a 30 day fatwa to southerners is still walking free, just as our security services, mostly under the leadership of northerners, remain unperturbed that John Yakubu Yusuf, who fleeced the country of billions, from the Police Pension Fund, and was sentenced to six years imprisonment on March 22, 2018, is still walking free. The least any serious government should do is make complicit officers join Yusuf in jail, no matter who they are.

    What then is Osoba’s position on restructuring?

    Left to me, his position is as logical, as it is commonsensical. In a chat with state house reporters, he canvassed the APC position, stressing that the party has devolution of power, and true federalism, in its manifesto for which reason it set up the El-Rufai committee whose recommendations the party endorsed.  Continuing, and just like President Buhari once told the nation, he said the power to restructure the country lies with the National Assembly, emphasising that the president cannot decree it.

    The National Assembly, he says, would have to surrender part of its powers via an Act, to set the process in motion.  What he did not tell Nigerians, however, is that  it is now well over a year ago that the report  of  the El Rufai committee was remitted to a ‘technical committee’, where it has been gathering dust, most probably on reading the president’s body language. So let me say to Chief Osoba that the party has far more to do to convince Nigerians of its seriousness about restructuring.

    That said, let me hasten to say that I have no truck, whatever, with Papa E.K Clark over his preference for that highly remunerative Afenifere baby, aka, the Jonathan Confab of 2014. So keen was Afenifere about packing the Confab’s membership that they ran to Abuja to substitute the name of Chief Deji Fasuan, the Ekiti State governor’s nominated leader of delegation, with that of somebody they believed would be more amenable, thus selfishly arrogating to themselves, greater knowledge of the state than its elected governor. They would further tighten their grips on the conference’s proceedings by scheming to have Senator Okunrounmu flag off the entire process as well as have the respected  Professor Bolaji Akinyemi  positioned within its commanding heights. That was the group which pretended to represent Southwest interests even though it is patently the political minority in the region as has been attested to by several elections in the region.

    Nor is that all.

    It is fascinating that even Chief Clark is well aware that many of their Confab recommendations could have been acted upon via executive action. If we may ask, when did Chief know this? Did he alert his son, the president, or Afenifere, his collaborators, to this fact? What then did the president do to progress the Confab’s recommendations? Will Chief Clark like to know why nothing happened after the jamboree? The Jonathan Confab was conceived at all, because Afenifere chieftains were eager to, once again, flow into political reckoning in a region where we used to swear by their names while the trade off was either to get an additional two years for the incumbent president, or at the very worst, ensure he wins massively in the Southwest, if it came to an election. Nothing proves President Jonathan’s subsequent total disinterestedness in the Confab than his failure to move, executively, on the recommendations, or for him, or even the PDP, to make restructuring a campaign issue in the 2015 election.

    That became the Afenifere cross to carry with hardly any success Confab.

    So are the recommendations which the convener himself disdained, and which the APC, of course,  disavowed off, ab initio, what Chief Clark now wants President Buhari to embrace with both hands? Knowing now – thanks to Chief Osoba – the totally inescapable role the constitution ascribed to no one, besides the National Assembly, I sincerely believe that the time has come for every group interested in the absolutely inescapable restructuring of Nigeria, to go back to the drawing board and rejig their recommended path towards achieving a restructured Nigeria.

  • Fayemi answers his traducers, shuts them up

    What is most fascinating in all these, however, is Dr Fayemi’s incredible equanimity.

    “Theoretically, the Ruga policy does not pass the policy trajectory litmus test. While the insecurity associated with farmers-herders conflict has been discussed extensively and various panaceas sought, arriving at the Ruga scheme as the singular and one-size fits-all solution, overlooks and indeed, ignores the essential stages of good public policy making, namely; agenda setting, policy formulation, adoption, implementation and evaluation. It seems clearly that the federal government somersaulted forward – in a hop-step-and jump fashion – from agenda setting to implementation. Such policy rigmarole does not conjure confidence. It undermines trust; it raises more questions than it proffers solutions.” – Oseloka H Obaze in: Folly and Falsities of Ruga Settlements.

    What have I not heard? How many times have I not been stopped, right in my track in the course of a discussion, or elsewhere, and be told: se bi enyin ni Baba Fayemi who is about to, if he had not yet, sold us to the North. E je ba soro, meaning you had better talk to him. Not once, and God is my witness, have I raised these asinine accusations with governor Fayemi.

    Why?

    Simple. I know this object of their cynicism like my palm and I know that, of a million Yorubas, he needs lectures on the history of the Yoruba the least. He will, indeed, lecture you. So, when some exponents of the Yoruba PhD (Pull Him Down) syndrome come hallucinating in my ears about Afonja, I just laugh.

    Years ago, and for a very long stretch of time, some senior editors at The Nation, interestingly, dubbed me the Ekiti Editor. For that very long time, two things were happening. Fayemi was in court for upwards of three years battling the powers that be for the mandate Ekitis, as would later be affirmed by the Appeal Court, had given him as far back as 2007 but was vitiated by a former president using two of his Ekiti subalterns who worked with a few others we know very well, to change a peoples’ history- but only for a short while since it was God-ordained.

    For all of that period and with the privilege of having a column that actually preceded The Nation itself on that same stable – having been writing for The Comet since two years earlier – I considered it a divine responsibility, not only to tell the untainted story of happenings in, and around the many tribunals, but indeed, and this was far more important, to encourage the millions of Ekitis, home and abroad, who daily agonised as to whether  Fayemi had a ghost of a chance against the Abuja “constituted authority” and his party.

    One such group were the Port Harcourt-based Ekitis who would never fail to call me after morning service on Sundays to discuss the day’s article and it was always expressions of  agony any Sunday my article was not about their beloved  Ekiti. I believed then that there was a particular place in Port Harcourt they always met to socialise on Sundays.

    I committed myself so much to that assignment that it led to a very interesting incident which birthed a long lasting friendship. One Sunday, I got a very scathing reaction to my article and I replied in like manner. We exchanged similar messages and in the last one the gentle man accused me in words to this effect: Look, I am a member of the Fayemi legal team and you just keep spoiling our work since you write in your column almost everything the team was going to do at the tribunal during the week. I could barely control my laughter as I wrote back asking if he’d ever seen me at any of their meetings?

    He didn’t reply but phoned Dr Fayemi to report the old man who was playing the spoiler to their efforts at the tribunal. It was then he was advised to call that old man who, in Dr Fayemi’s words, as Mide would later tell me: “has committed his life to this struggle”.

    Dr ‘Mide Ayeni, the highly cerebral Ogun State’s immediate past Attorney -General and Commissioner for Justice, has since become my brother. Indeed, my very good aburo.

    The other reason I couldn’t stop writing about Ekiti then was the stupendous work Dr Fayemi was doing. Apart from literally turning the state to a construction site, he left not a single one of Ekiti’s 131 towns and villages with anything less than two or three projects on leaving office. In almost all the palaces to which I was on his campaign team during the 2018 election, nearly all the Kabiyesi’s reminded him he built the palace where he was being hosted.

    So when in the aftermath of the thoroughly flawed 2014 election stories went viral about how he was far from the people, I could only pray for forgiveness for those peddling such lies. Here was a man who, apart from being the first ever governor to  institute monthly stipends to the state’s elders, as state policy, established several agencies like the Youth-in Agriculture programme, to specifically cater to the needs of the youths of the state. Nor can I ever forget that his budgets were bottom up; first  going round all the local government areas which  then indicated their preferred projects for inclusion in the next budget. How more people friendly can any leader get?

    As happened shortly after he became minister, political opponents and their sympathisers are at it again trying to call Governor Fayemi what he certainly is not, arrogating to him ambitions which nobody, besides God, can make possible in the life of any human being. These are the ones who never stop telling lies about how Ruga is Fayemi’s, or the Nigerian Governors’ Forum’s baby,  even if his becoming Chairman of that body happened many weeks after the Federal Executive Council discussed Ruga  at its meeting.

    Before that, there was the issue of a government official in Ekiti who made an unauthorised announcement and was, therefore, justifiably punished. But how did detractors not frame that incident in the public space?

    What is most fascinating in all these, however, is Dr Fayemi’s incredible equanimity. Try whatever you will, you cannot easily unnerve him or make him fret. I have severally seen him demonstrate this peace of mind to a point I have come to know what underpins it and explains his reaction to several spurious allegations like him, and the wife, being rumoured as having a University in Ghana ahead the 2014 election. It is simply the fact of his innocence. In other words, his conscience; a word which a foremost Nigerian politician once described as “an open wound which only truth can heal”.

    The leitmotif for this article today is governor Fayemi’s address at Orin – Ekiti while visiting the bereaved family of Mr Ilori, the hunter who was allegedly killed by Fulani herdsmen this past week.  Despite the fact that not a few would have wagered that Ekiti must be one of the earliest states where Ruga would spring up eternal, the governor shamed them and emphatically said the following:

    “Nobody is coming to take our land in Ekiti. The governor of Ekiti State has power over the land of Ekiti and it is who the governor gives land that can use land of Ekiti. “If there are negative comments being peddled around that some people are coming to take over Ekiti land, it’s mere hearsay. It cannot happen except I am no longer the governor of Ekiti State and, indeed, there is no governor in Ekiti who will ever cede Ekiti land to outsiders when it is not even enough for our use.

    “Adequate security of our people is what concerns me most, both here in Ekiti and in Nigeria and our people should just ignore the lies some individuals are spreading around. There is nobody that will be governor in Ekiti that will allow outsiders to take over our communities from the people here or say that people coming from elsewhere should come and take over Ekiti land. Those saying this are only playing politics. This is no politics, security is an issue that concerns all of us. Some individuals have been peddling baseless rumours to cause disaffection because they are no longer in power and it is their wish that Ekiti should be consumed by anarchy.

    “I want to assure you that our government has not stopped working on security. No single individual or group can provide security; our hunters know their terrains much more than the security agents and it will serve the people well if they work together.”

    Can anything be more emphatic, or need I say anything more except to add that he who the Lord has made, nobody can un make?

  • Interrogating Southwest’s approach to ending its nascent insecurity

    Forests have names in Yoruba land: they must go and speak to the forests in the language they understand to vomit those vermins.

    I doubt if these rampaging killer Fulanis tender any herds again. They have turned professional kidnappers and since you fight fire with fire I think OPC, Agbekoya  and our hunters who hunt in the densest of forests  should be  dispatched, as first responders, to clean up our forests.

    Were Yoruba leaders, especially, traditional and political, reticent in their response to the new wave of insecurity in the region? Yes, without a doubt. Indeed, the word ‘reticent’, is very respectful in describing their response to what has become not only scary, but excessively rampant, in a region that used to be the most peaceful part of Nigeria.

    That,  of course,  was  not the case with a  particular section of  the region’s political leadership which has graduated into  making  political capital out of every issue in their attempt to  exit  the political Siberia some younger elements sentenced them a little over a decade ago. For them, every kidnap, every armed robbery incident, was an opportunity to lampoon President Buhari even if they won’t offer a word as to how to end the menace. For them, it couldn’t have been more divine that Buhari is both a Fulani and cattle owner. There was always no remembering that Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is also Fulani and a patron of Miyetti Allah.

    My observation above should not be seen as a slur on state governors who have been trying to moderate herdsmen’s/farmers’ clashes in their respective states. I am therefore saying, in essence, that the new wave of insecurity that engulfed Yoruba land in the recent past is not the same as the herders’/ farmers crisis.

    In other words, it is different from what Olugbenga, Ebenezer Olatunji described in: Peace By Pieces: The Politics Of Herdsmen’s Attacks as “incessant attacks by itinerant  herdsmen on farmers and host communities in different parts  of Nigeria  which have claimed many lives, destroyed farm crops and sacked entire communities”. He went further to observe that these attacks are dangerous to peaceful cohabitation and can threaten national peace, unity and progress”. Writing further, he posited that only a few of our politicians who are genuinely concerned about lasting peace, security and national unity have been pushing for legitimate means of bringing the attacks under control”.

    In my view, however, given our present circumstances in Nigeria, the federal government’s

    idea of  Ruga Settlements for herdsmen  is not one of such legitimate means.  It should, therefore, be considered dead on arrival as it ignores lessons from Nigerian history, especially, that of the Hausa –Fulani.   Fortunately, it has already been rejected by Benue and Southeast governors, as well as Taraba and Ondo.  It beats imagination that the federal government could think that a group whose activities have become so dangerous to society should be so preferentially treated.  It must, instead, go and seriously seek ways out of a problem that has everything in it to completely destroy the country.

    What then is the status of the current insecurity in Yoruba land?

    Put simply, it is Fulani bandits, rogues and kidnappers, doubling down on Yoruba land and this conclusion is the fartherest  thing from ethnic profiling, as some of my Yoruba compatriots are always eager to brand it. I do not dispute the fact that our own local criminals kidnap and steal, but certainly not in cahoots with these non-Nigerian Fulanis who show no mercy, whatever, and were, initially imported by top Fulani herd owners to protect  their cattle against rustling. They have since discovered that they could make millions, if not billions, and have since abandoned their employments.  We must thank the Emir of Anka, Zamfara State, Alhaji Attahiru Ahmad, who, like the new Zamfara governor, has called on Fulani leaders to call their people to order following the spate of crimes involving Fulani herdsmen all over the country.

    Concerning them, below is the relevant portion of the startling research findings by Professor Charles Adisa, published by the Chinua Achebe Centre for Leadership and Development (CACLAD): “Our fact finding team visited “Ama Hausa and Garki” camps in both Enugu and Abia States. They also interviewed neighbours from the local communities living within and around the Hausa communities in both states. Both the northerners and the local community were very open and volunteered valuable information to our team. There seems to be a willingness and eagerness for the violence to end.

    Below, are our findings.

    1. The Fulani herdsmen terrorists are Fulanis but mostly NON-NIGERIANS. About ten percent of them are Nigerians and they live within the Hausa Fulani communities in Ama-Hausa and Garki’s in the South East and South-south regions.
    2. They do not own cattle: This is one revelation that may come as a surprise to many. Fulani herdsmen killers’ major job description is just to kill. Most of them are employed by the cattle owners as “security men” whose job is strictly to protect the cattle. They do not however follow the cattle around, but move in separate vehicles along a defined route within the states where cattle are being reared.
    3. The Ama-Hausas and Garkis harbour 80% of the Fulani herdsmen killers: This is a very important revelation. The Garkis consist mostly Hausas and other minorities from the north, but within them, the Fulani herdsmen killers reside. The northerners were able to show us these Fulani herdsmen “security personnel”, and they were dressed differently from the normal Northern Nigerians within these settlements. They were young, less religious; most of them use drugs, and consume alcohol. They are mostly migrants from Chad, Niger, and other Fulani enclaves outside the Nigerian state”.

    Yoruba leaders, in particular, must realise that what these killers are beginning to do now is infiltrating our forests to establish those ‘Ama- Hausas and Garkis’. They should leave President Buhari and his government, the council of state inclusive, to face up to finding solution to the Fulani herdsmen/farmers problem which is common to all parts of Nigeria but squarely face how to rid  our forests  of these stranger elements who though ,  were imported as  cattle guards, are now professional kidnappers.

    In none of the reported cases of kidnapping, especially where victims were lucky enough to tell their story, were we told of these kidnappers tending any cattle. They differ from the Bororos who are mostly found in Oyo and other Yoruba states, but with their flock. With these genuine herdsmen, our leaders must continue to engage to arrive at peaceful means of co – habitation but not so with these other outright criminals whose primary motive is to make kidnap to money. They are in no way different from those the Nigerian armed forces are battling in Zamfara and other northern states, killing in droves. These killers, for that exactly is what they are, move in dozens, armed with the most sophisticated weapons, seizing highways, farms and communities, raping , killing, and yet  receiving millions in ransom. But confronted with a well prepared colony of Yoruba hunters, I am sure they will be the ones to surrender.

    If Yorubas successfully fought the Abacha war – thanks to our thinking leaders and their subalterns who brought NADECO about, I haven’t the slightest doubt that we will beat these stragglers.  With their guns, hands down. But to successfully do this, our political leaders must give our traditional rulers and the communities, a wide canvass, and sufficiently mobilise them to press into this ‘war’, every Yoruba group, whatever name called, that has the ability to help save our land from this epidemic. O ni oruko ti igbo nje nile Yoruba. Forests have names in Yoruba land: they must go and speak to the forests in the language they understand to vomit those vermins.

    Yes technology, as in drones, should help but we should not forget that their minders would instruct them to use leaves to camouflage. After all, there are allegations out there of choppers being sited, dropping things in the Southeast forest area of Akwueke community, Enugwu, Enugu South. I am completely taken aback by our leaders’ reliance on a state police that is yet to be legalised, not to talk of being in place, as the panacea to a rampaging pestilence we should have exorcised from Yoruba land like yesterday.

    We must know that we are in a war of survival to free us from some uncircumcised criminals intent on hemming us in, turning our women to widows and making orphans of our children. These people, who show no mercy, deserve none. Whoever reads this must remember, however, that I made a distinction between genuine Fulani herders who continue to stretch southwards because of climate change, and the need to locate lush vegetation for their herds, and those non Nigerians who are here to kill and make money. But even the Nigerian Fulani herdsman must respect the local farmers who daily toil on the farms they routinely vandalise.

  • The imperative of restructuring lest Nigeria unravels

    Given our present security challenges, nothing can be worse than the state commissioner of police not being responsible to state governors.

    I do not think there are too many Nigerians out there who, deep down, are not convinced that President Muhammadu Buhari is a patriot who loves this country dearly. Not even Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, who I am sure knows him well enough, would doubt this, no matter the amount of grammar his party people would spew to prove the contrary.

    There is, therefore, in my view, no way in which he would like to be the last president of a united Nigeria as we all know it. President Buhari has a long history of demonstrating that we have no other country we can call our own and that we should, therefore, do nothing to negatively impact it.

    Apart from his incandescent incorruptibility, what further underpinned my support for candidate Buhari then, as a contestant on the APC platform, was his take on corruption.  Declared candidate Buhari: corruption will kill Nigeria if we do not kill it first.

    It was on that basis I, unabashedly, declared then, in an article on these pages, that Nigeria needed Buhari more than the obverse. For full disclosure, that made me an unwavering Buharist.

    In truth my admiration of, and preference, for him over, and above, any contemporary Nigerian politician, goes further back. In an article whose title I cannot now readily remember but which Snooper, The Nation’s inimitable columnist, as well as Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and those Atiku’s worried men, who stormed Tinubu’s Bourdillon house that Monday morning would readily remember, I had shredded Atiku’s chances against that of Buhari. It was way back 2007 when he was the presidential candidate of ACN and Buhari was ANPP’s.

    Also Read: Shareholders approve Union Bank’s N54.5b capital restructuring

    It  so happened that in three articles by this columnist, Snooper and another colleague in the same Sunday edition of the paper, all three of us so completely thrashed Atiku’s chances that his minders were beyond convincing that we had  not all sat down with the publisher to plan our onslaught, something that, of course, never happened. And to Bourdillon they rushed, protesting, believing as many Nigerians have wrongly done on several occasions, that Tinubu commissioned the articles. Even now, I shall be very surprised if there are many Nigerians who honestly believe that Atiku can hold the candle to Buhari on incorruptibility.

    But in all seriousness, bad as it is, the truth is that corruption is not Nigeria’s only problem and today, in  its potency and how it daily traumatises Nigerians,  insecurity, massive and pervasive, has beaten corruption to no.2 amongst our major challenges as a nation. So worrisome is it that  we do  not need Britain’s warning to her citizens about Nigeria to appreciate it, even though the way they put the warning, restricting themselves to 21 states , they were only being nicely diplomatic

    Today, not a single section of our country is any longer kidnap proof if kidnappers could lay siege to President Buhari’s own Katsina State as they have done now for almost a year.

    So traumatised am I that some two weeks ago, that in a letter I will slightly edit, I wrote to the highly respected Lt. General Alani Akinrinade (apologies General for bringing this to the public space), as follows:”General Sir. As you well know, eemo ti wo’le Yoruba – meaning, something worse than the devil itself, has entered Yoruba land. I am writing this from Ado- Ekiti. I flew in through Akure three days ago because I no longer have the heart to travel by road and I hardly slept last night as I shall be going by road to Akure this morning to catch a flight back. Am scared stiff, and can only pray for God’s travelling mercies.

    I am sending you a video directly after this.

    What do we do General?

    How do we get Southwest  governors to  mobilise the traditional authorities  to have  groups like OPC, Agbekoya and others, to help in  sanitising  our forests  where news have it that some stranger elements have invaded and now have  hundreds of cells? Add to these our own local, and complicit, criminals and one gets the full picture of our current circumstances. Isn’t it time you convene a summit under the auspices of the Yoruba Assembly so the region can meaningfully interrogate the challenges? Time for action is now, Sir, as all we do in Yoruba land presently is wait for these miscreants  to seize the next person and we, in turn, start running round to source millions to pay as ransom.  This is one hell of a war we cannot delay. And it is far beyond politics”.

    As I indicated above, I think the time has come for traditional authorities in each Yoruba community to be mobilised by each of the six state governments to take ownership of  their own security, using all the  stratagems that have proved  their saving grace even during the  nearly  a century long war that once convulsed Yoruba land. I was not told the story of how an egg was used to burn down the FEDECO office in Akure, the Ondo State capital, in 1983 as I was based in the town then. If that is our technology for now, so be it. It can match sophisticated guns as far as it is men born of women that are ranged against our traditionalists. Every Nigerian community, North or South, certainly has such means. And no time is better than now to leverage on them for their security.

    Please let it be perfectly understood that I am not calling for a rule of the mob. Rather, I am speaking of   thoroughly organised communal responses to partner with our obviously over – stretched police. They will be responsibly led by local leaders who are respected for their valour, ingenuity and knowledge of traditional security practices. Far be it that I am recommending what the presidency  reacted to when it said: “resorting to self help is an invitation to anarchy which in turn will make everyone unsafe; noting that in a cycle  of violence, characterised by revenge and counter revenge, there are no winners”.

    No, I am not asking for a mob rule.

    Instead, I am suggesting something akin to what the civilian JTF has been doing with commendable results in the Northeast for years now. Or how  can our fighting forces on whose performance the COAS recently poured very cold water,  be expected to deal with this corrosive pandemic,  all alone? If the COAS said that of our well motivated soldiers, what would the poorly kitted policemen do, confronting herdsmen or kidnappers whose guns are top of the range?

    The truth is that our fighting men and women are doing their very best. But all these, apparently, have gone to almost nothing, mostly because of our country’s unworkable structure.

    So what has restructuring got to do with this?

    If for nothing else, it will strengthen the hands of state governors who are presently like deputies to state commissioners of police

    Given our present security challenges, nothing can be worse than the state commissioner of police not being responsible to state governors.

    Also as things stand since 1 June, 2019 – no thanks to the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU) — state governors have gotten their hands literally tied behind their backs with regards to local government finances. Local Government Areas should, in normal circumstances, be the governor’s strongest partner in administering the local communities since there are, in reality, only two federating partners, federal and state; Local Governments being an integral part of the state government. Unfortunately, they are now being ranged in opposition to the governors all in the name of a ferociously centralised federal authority.

    In a restructured Nigeria, every federating component would be at liberty to judiciously harness, and deploy, its resources. You won’t have a teetotaller Zamfara State taking more from VAT than states which generate much more because they do not ban the sale of alcohol. And by the way how has than ban positively impacted on the morality of a people whose youths have mostly turned bandits: kidnapping, raping and killing their own?

    One thing that won me over to the present Emir of Kano, and led me into writing two articles: PSYCO ANALYSING SANUSI LAMIDO SANUSI, 1 & 2, on these same pages, supporting his candidature for the CBN governorship position, was his determined opposition to political Sharia. See where it has led Zamfara, especially.

    The time has come for each component part of the country to take its affairs in its own hands while collectively  funding the few functions left in federal hands; details of which the National Assembly, now free of ‘Sarakian’ stultifying tactics, can rapidly work out.

    Happily, President Buhari, once considered the arch foe of restructuring, has now expressly professed his love for true federalism.

  • June 12 – A colloquium

    The fate that has befallen Nigeria since that date  is far worse than what befell June 12

    “Even before the Annunciation of June 12 as Democracy Day, the “same nihilist voices” were already primed to degrade it and ridicule what should be a potent signpost for future generations. Such voices even made desperate efforts to annul its history, no different from the original act of annulling an event “universally acknowledged as the fairest, the most orderly and peaceful election ever conducted in Nigerian history”. – Nobel Laureate Wole Soyinka in Democracy Day Primer (1).”

    Your Excellencies,

    I crave your indulgence to stand on existing protocols.

    The  acute  shortness of the notice to me to participate in this historic event  was happily mitigated  by the fact that, and I am not exaggerating,  given the suffocating conditions under which he was   undeservedly  incarcerated , not even Chief MKO Abiola can tell the JUNE 12 STORY, like some of the distinguished personalities on the high table here today. By the time you add the likes of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Professor Wole Soyinka, Femi Falana SAN, and Olisa Agbakoba SAN, and a few others to those of the personalities amongst who I am privileged to sit up here, you would have put together, a cast of the most qualified Nigerians to tell the June 12 story. Advance for recognition, Sir, the incomparable Lt. General Alani Akinrinade, who shone like a thousand roses throughout that entire story. So important , so crucial and respected,  but eternally feared by  General Abacha and his goons,  was the retired  general,  that only military ingenuity  saved him from being  fire-bombed to smithereens. Unfortunately, his imposing house, somewhere in Ikeja, Lagos, did not escape that fate. It was literally bombed out of its physical presence. Step forward, distinguished Hon. Wale Oshun – Member and Chief Whip, House of Representatives in the Third Republic, Secretary of NADECO, home and abroad, and now, Chairman, Afenifere Renewal Group. Whoever appreciates how critical the secretary is in any organisation, and knows that NADECO, home and abroad, was the vehicle that drove June 12, would know how critical Hon Oshun was to the event we are celebrating.

    The man who, under God, pilots the affairs of Ekiti State, the LAND OF HONOUR today, and anchors the Nigerian Governors’ Forum, Dr Kayode Fayemi, our CHIEF HOST today, was that young ‘PIRATE’ whose voice you heard at the most unlikely of  hours on RADIO KUDIRAT. He is the man who, but for God, would have had his body fed to the fishes  of the ocean had the battalion of Abacha killers looking for him, all over the world, laid their filthy hands on him.

    Needless to say, every one of this trio had to flee Abacha’s Nigeria lest the entire June 12 miscarry. They became refugees for Nigeria, but more importantly for the Yoruba nation to survive an ordeal that was primarily targeted at extinguishing it, whilst our compatriots further South, were junketing home to observe rollicking yam festivals. Professor Soyinka recently alluded to that fact when he warned against ethnicising June 12. He wrote: “After the annulment, I recall that when we tried to mobilise opposition to that sadistic impostor, fanatic voices of ethnic irredentism informed us bluntly, verbally and in print, that the Yoruba should go and solve their problems themselves, since we had let them down in the lead-up to the Biafran war of secession, and should seek no collaboration from that side of the Niger”. One recognises, in today’s renewed voices of ethnic denigration, the same chant of a hate chorus, the fanning of divisive embers. It is gratifying, therefore – and here we come to some cheering news – that this tendency has become a source of concern to many of the leaders of that former secessionist state. It led to recent counter efforts under themes such as Hands Across The Niger, later followed by Hands Across The Nation encounters that have taken place both within the nation and outside her borders. It is crucial that those laudable initiatives continue in the same spirit of civic responsibility and nationally craved closure. We must, however, sound a warning: these high-minded efforts are increasingly vitiated by the fanatic and obnoxious voices of an irrepressible handful. No, we are not speaking here of organised protests and demonstrations to keep Biafra alive – for those of my school of thought, these are both legitimate expressions of the democratic will, and cannot be suppressed”.

    Distinguished ladies, and gentlemen, with these men on the podium today, I am sure  I need  not tell you that my job is already more than half done.

    But then, not so fast.

    Therefore, please  permit me a little excursion into  that watershed event in our national history; one  which the statesman in President Muhammadu  Buhari has now effectively cast in stone even if only as a stepping stone to greater things to follow as he promised in his Democracy Day speech.  Nation building is, after all, a marathon, not a sprint.

    God bless him, for who can ever forget that for the eight straight years that MKO’S fellow Egba, President Olusegun Obasanjo, was in office, not to mention those of the minions he inflicted on the country in succession to himself, it was taboo to mention Abiola’s name. Jonathan was, of course, immediately shut down when he ineligantly sought to name the University of Lagos after him. Nor  would it be a surprise either to note that a few weeks ago, with the June 12 anniversary approaching, we started hearing the gospel according to Fulanisation. That exactly is what bitterness can do especially when the object of your jealousy is being appropriately canonised in your very eyes.

    WHAT THEN IS JUNE 12?

    Another of the major dramatis personae of June 12 , Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu  recently put  June 12  in perspective when he said as follows in a press statement he  titled: ‘June 12: The Truth that Sets Democracy Free in Our Land. “Observing May 29 as Democracy Day delinked the country’s democratic experience since 1999 from the protracted and bitter struggle against military dictatorship from June 12, 1993, till the forced exit of the military in 1999. According to him, “without those who stoutly stood on June 12 and sacrificed life, limb, freedom, economic ruin, psychological devastation and more, in the battle against tyranny, there would most certainly not have been any May 29, 1999 handover to commemorate. He therefore urged Nigerians not to take the democracy enjoyed today for granted or do anything to threaten its existence, explaining that it was not won on a platter of gold.

    As first and foremost a historian, it behoves me to say something about that historic day, itself. June 12 is the culmination of several years of General Babangida, no, the military’s, theatrical politics of lies and chicanery, during which they dribbled Nigerians to no end. On June 12, 1993, Moshood Kashimawo Olawale (MKO) Abiola, a Chartered Accountant, business mogul and philanthropist, won the Nigerian presidential election. He ran on the platform of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) with Baba Gana Kingibe as his running mate. For the first time ever in our history, Nigerians voted without regard to religion or ethnicity, voting two Muslims as president and vice president, respectively. It was one occasion Nigerians spoke with one voice, in all parts of the country; North, South, East and West, voting into office, a man they believed would represent the interest of all Nigerians and make Nigeria truly the “Giant of Africa”.

    Unfortunately, the election results were nullified, for no cogent reasons, by General Ibrahim Babangida, who would be forced to step aside only to be succeeded by a worse ogre, General Sani Abacha, after a sham of an Interim Government headed by Chief Shonekan, another Egba man.

    The fate that has befallen Nigeria since that date is far worse than what befell June 12. Nigeria has been crawling ever since but nothing could be worse than the greatest beneficiary of June 12, Olusegun Obasanjo, willfully doing everything to bury the day, as well as dance on Chief Abiola’s grave. But God, not man, is the Almighty, and He has more than  proved himself through the instrumentality of the very last man you could ever  have adverted your mind to –President Mohammadu Buhari, a northerner and a Muslim, and certainly, not an old student of Abeokuta Grammar School, like Abiola and Obasanjo.

    Rather than Abiola being allowed to usher in an era of peace and concord, development and growth in Nigeria, it has been instability, terrorism and unprecedented insecurity; the saving grace now being the hope of every Nigerian that President Buhari would quickly restore sanity, maximally reduce insecurity, and pretty soon, translate his professed love for true federalism into reality.

    Your excellencies, my Lords, spiritual and temporal, members of the state House of Assembly, members of the State Executive Council, Body of Permanent Secretaries, gentlemen of the press, distinguished ladies and gentlemen,

    I thank you.

    • (being contribution as a discussant at an Ekiti State Government event to mark Democracy Day on Friday, 14 June, 2019)