Category: Sunday

  • U.S Democratic Party: between the devil and the deep blue sea

    U.S Democratic Party: between the devil and the deep blue sea

    At the very beginning,Trump’s  own words: “You knew I was a snake before you let me in.” And during the last 7+ years, Trump has proven, unequivocally,  that he is not just a snake, but the first world-class criminal buffoon that every lover of Truth, Decency, and American Democracy…

    hates. Shyt! Why wouldn’t a well-practiced crook that has succeeded at its first desecration of the office of the POTUS think of itself as having an enhanced opportunity to steal the U.S. Presidency again? The GQP base is enthralled as a result of Trump recently

    admitting an intent to inflict retribution against pro-America in addition to pardoning his insurrectionist comrades. Of course, Trump feels that his evil mission can be completed, even moreso, now that he has successfully compromised Secret Service agents, FBI, Military Intelligence, CIA, the GOP, the not-so sCOTUS, and any impressionable entity that has ever shared space with an active demagogue”-Billy Johnson –

    These are trying times for the U. S Democratic party, torn as it is between retaining President Joe Biden as its candidate for the 2024 Presidential election and jettisoning him for another candidate who, it believes, would give Donald Trump the electoral fight of his life.

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    This situation arose as a result of  President Biden’s disastrous performance at the televised debate between him and former President Donald Trump who is the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party.

    Apart from seeing it live, late as it was at 2 am Nigerian time on Thursday, 27 June, 2024, I watched it again on U-tube this past week, and I could not help pity the incumbent American President who still insists he would not quit.

    As early as the 9th minute of the debate,  President Biden has  become very uncomfortable, with former President Trump pummelling him with lies and wise cracks and would, in fact, soon poke fun at him concerning how inaudible  he had become.

    It was certainly not President Biden’s finest hour.

    He was not only listless, he seemed completely out of sync;  flummoxed.

    At the debate, Biden a slow speaker at the best of times, seemed dumbfounded and literally speechless – no thanks to a cough – as the ever loud and loquacious Trump shaded him  relentlessly many a Biden supporter must have tuned off.

    Since then the Democratic party which was already behind in opinion polls, has gone into  disarray, speaking with a thousand voices.

    President Joe Biden, born November 20, 1942

    and the 46th president of the United States (2021– ), was the 47th Vice President  (2009–17) in the  administration of President Barack Obama.

    As the 5th youngest U.S senator ever, Biden previously represented Delaware in the U.S. Senate(1973–2009).

    In April 2023 he formally announced his bid for reelection as president in 2024 and emerged the presumptive nominee garnering a total of  3896 delegates where he needed only 1,968 to win the nomination.

    But as a CNN report put it: “exactly two weeks after his incoherent and dazed debate performance, his  campaign went into a free fall”. “Every public event  turned into an excruciating examination of  his health, especially his cognitive capacity, during which any slip up, or confusion, could trigger political disaster”.

    As a result, many of those who have always had his back in his political battles, are fast thinning out – the likes of Hollywood impresario, and Democratic party mega donor, George Cloony.  Even

    former Speaker Nancy Pelosi  on MSNBC’s ‘Morning Joe’, voiced a clear signal that the recalcitrant president should rethink his options.

    For party and country, many have argued, President Biden must  step aside while there is still time because the consequences of a Trump victory, for the Democratic party, the United States and the entire world, would be too dire  as he represents a clear existential danger to all these entities.

    Why Americans, especially his MAGA captive, has not seen Trump in his true colour baffles.

    Apart from having said severally that his second coming will be an all out revenge on those who ever tried to put the wayward old man on the path of rectitude, there is the demagogic  Project 2025 which would render America an uncanny image of Putin’s Russia, if not worse.

    Of course, Trump has always venerated, if not envied, the likes of Putin, Xi Jing Ping, Kim Jong Un and the like.

    The greatest fear in America today, especially within the Democratic party, is that Trump can so defeat President Biden, indeed, effortlessly chalk up a landslide  that could “sweep conservatives to a monopoly on power in Congress, in the White House and at the Supreme Court” which the conservatives could then hold on to till the next century.

    “Right now, everything is frozen”, commented a worried observer, as donors hold back dollars as a consequence of fears over Biden’s cognitive acuity; wondering that even if he wins in November, will his health hold up for another 4 years.

    It is not being suggested here that there aren’t others rooting for  the President, no matter how decapitated, believing that he is the only Democrat who can beat Donald Trump.

    Truth be told though, of all those being speculated to replace Biden, people like Michigan governor, Gretchen Whitmer, Carlifornia governor,

    Gavin Newsom, Transportation Secretary, Buttigieg and Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro, except now that the name of Michelle Obama is  being seriously suggested, only VP Kamala Harris polls better than Trump.

    Atop Biden’s group of supporters is his wife,  Jill Biden, who is rooting for him all the way. There are also a slew of Congressmen jauntily supporting his candidature.

    Among them Sen. Chris Coons of Delaware, a Biden ally and campaign co-chair, who told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, point blank, that Biden would be the nominee at the convention. He went further: He is going to be our candidate in the fall. He is going to be the next president of the United States.”

    In like manner, Sen. John Fetterman, who represents the key swing state of Pennsylvania, told CNN “that it would be a disgrace to discard and push out an amazing president”.

    He promised to show up at Thursday’s Senate Democratic meeting, like WWE’s Logan Paul, ‘armed’ with brass knuckles to defend Biden.

    Biden’s trouble, however, remains exacerbated by the fact that many  democrats, and Americans too, listening to voters and reading polling data in their respective states are already concluding that Biden, not only can’t win, but — as Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet put it: “could hand Trump the landslide he  would use to implement his authoritarian agenda”.

    Concluding, all the above not withstanding, Americans are a very difficult people to predict.

    When you add to that the fact that Trump is a very dangerous individual, even without him promising revenge, Americans may actually come to prefer President Biden in November.

    Signals to that effect came from the following report from npr.org this past week:”

    After Biden’s debate performance, the presidential race is unchanged”.

    “The race for the presidency remains statistically tied despite President Biden’s dismal debate performance two weeks ago, a new national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds”.

    “Biden actually gained a point since last month’s survey, which was taken before the debate. In this poll, he leads Trump 50% to 48% in a head-to-head matchup”.

    Therefore, the election is an absolutely dicey game and the Democratic party has to factor in those great POSITIVES – CHARACTER & MORALS – that Biden has over and above former President Trump in making its final decision on whether President Biden stays or not.

  • Land (VIII)

    Land (VIII)

    I had no idea where this subject was going to lead when that famous Mark Twain quote popped unbidden into my head and quite impetuously, I decided to amplify it. Now, the land motif is running strongly, dragging me helplessly in its wake. I can only hope that this series has struck a chord with those who have taken the trouble to keep track of my ruminations over these two months or so.

    The central theme of these articles is that no new land is being made. Indeed, given the rather careless, if not reckless management of land all over the world, useable land is actually shrinking and in response to this its value is going up everywhere almost exponentially. Now more than ever, it makes sense to invest in land wherever it is available also because land holds immeasurable potential for utilisation and when it is managed prudently returns on investment is usually quite high. In addition, land can be passed down many generations so that descendants right down the line can still enjoy the financial benefits of investments made twenty generations before they were born. The reigning King of England is still benefitting from the proceeds of the investment in land which his grandfather twenty-six times removed left to him. Never mind that all  these lands were acquired at sword point in the manner of a brigand. It is this combination of circumstances that makes land so massively contentious especially in places where the rule of law does not sit firmly or comfortably. Looking through history and literature you will find numerous examples of deadly combat over pieces of desirable real estate, big and small. In Chinua Achebe’s Arrow of God, the protagonist, Ezeulu incurs the implacable wrath of his people because he supported the claims of a rival village to a disputed piece of land. The situation was further loaded against him because his mother came from the opposition village but the real bone of contention was that piece of land over which a war was fought and lives lost. That there were instances of marriage between people from the squabbling villages only added spice to the dish being served as the piece of land in question trumped everything including familial relationships of the closest kind.

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     On a much larger scale, global conflicts have been precipitated by desire for land. The premium example of this is the Second World War. It was the dream of occupying the vast wheat producing lands in Eastern Europe that prodded Hitler to unleash his armed forces on Poland to set off a war which engulfed the whole world and introduced mankind to the horrors of atomic warfare; an event which more than any other has shaped the world in its present image. True, there were other sub-plots to that story such as the attempted extermination of the Jews but that was as a result of the initial success of the German army in creating a zone in which the Germans had complete control over the land as well as all the people who lived on it. The ultimate war aim as designed by the Germans was to create space within which their cherished Reich  (Empire) would reign supreme for a thousand years. In doing this the indigenous people of Eastern Europe were to be enslaved by the ‘superior’ Germans in the same way in which the indigenous peoples of America and Africa had been enslaved and are still being enslaved by Western Europeans. The outrage which this generated in Europe was because the victims of German aggression were also Europeans who under no circumstances could be allowed to be treated as slaves. That status was and is reserved strictly so for people with dark skins wherever they are found anywhere on the globe. And when talking about people who have been muscled out of their land, we must mention the indigenous peoples of Australia, New Zealand, the Pacific Islands, Indonesia and numerous countries in South East Asia as well as the Indian sub-continent. An ironic twist to the issue of people being deprived of their land is being played out right now in the Middle East where the Jews, prime victims of German aggression in the Second World War since the end of that war have step by step driven out and are still in the process of driving away the Palestinians from lands which they have called home over many generations. Right now, the Jews are building new settlements on the West Bank in violation of United Nations resolutions. It is not their business to lose any sleep over the fate of the Palestinians who used to live in those places where Jewish settlements are now going up. This situation has made a tinderbox of the entire Middle East region raising the fear that the possibility of a global and terminal conflagration can no longer be ruled out. The Jews claim in a book written by Jews several thousand years ago that God, having decided to adopt them as his chosen people had granted them the disputed territory of Palestine in perpetuity. That they voluntarily vacated their Promised land some two thousand years ago does not seem to have invalidated their claim because strongly behind them is a phalanx of Western countries with the Americans leading them and confirming the inalienable right of the Jews to occupy all of Palestine. In other words, what we are dealing with here is a power grab.

    It has to be said that land grabbing is not restricted to Europeans. In the period leading up to the Second World War, the Japanese had invaded and occupied vast areas in China and the whole of the Korean peninsula and during the war, they drove the British out of Singapore and the Dutch out of Indonesia. The occupation of India was next on the list. They did this because they reasoned that they had the military capacity to get away with a land grab in that region.

    The stark reality is that land confers power and authority on whoever owns it. That power increases with the value of the land. The converse is of course true in that people who have access to power often dispossess people who are less endowed of whatever land that belongs to them. And the value of land is determined either by it’s sheer size, location, potential for yielding crops or whatever valuable material on which the land sits.

    As far as the Europeans were concerned, all the land on the vast continent of Africa was up for grabs when they were finally able to move into various parts of the continent in the closing years of the nineteenth century. In most parts of West Africa where we call home, there was very little movement of European settlers in those colonies which were initially carved out principally by trading companies. The prime example of this phenomenon is Nigeria which was created almost single- handed by Tubman Goldie and for this reason at least is known to history as the Cecil Rhodes of West Africa. When Goldie arrived on the Lower Niger, there were many French, German and British trading companies in fierce competition with each other for local trade with the various communities found in that area. Goldie realised that British interests could only be enhanced through the consolidation of all the British companies into one so that they could be united against their French and German competitors. Thus it was that the United African Company was formed. Under the control of Goldie, the company went around concluding treaties with the local authorities but was not averse to using some force as a means of persuading reluctant rulers to come round to see Goldie’s point of view. By this process the United African Company more or less built up a presence in the Niger delta and places outside the delta. This area formed a large part of the Southern Protectorate. This process was repeated in the areas around the  confluence of Rivers Niger and Benue but going as far north as Sokoto and the area around Lake Chad, thereby creating what has come down to us as the Northern Protectorate and as everyone knows, these territories were amalgamated to form Nigeria in 1914. Up until the turn of the nineteenth century the two protectorates were governed by the company that Goldie built until the administration of that huge territory proved too difficult for the Royal Niger Company, the successor company to the United African Company to administer effectively. Their franchise was then sold to the British government for a sum just short of a million Pounds. That is how much the whole land mass of Nigeria was worth at the time.

    When Goldie was going round signing all those spurious treaties with anyone who appeared to have some form of authority, he was acting under the misapprehension that those authorities were the bona fide owners of the land they were battering away. In reality however, they were indeed not the owners of those lands but mere custodians as all those lands were communally owned.  Nobody owned the land in the sense that they could do whatever they wanted with it. The notion of private land ownership was therefore out of tune with local practice. And come to think of it, what gives anybody the right to own land? That concept, given the enormity and spiritual immensity of land was beyond the grasp of the people that Goldie was dealing with. Given that England, the whole country was owned lock, stock and barrel by William the Bastard and his nobles, it was logical for the British to assume that people here actually owned the land which had been placed in their care. Those lands were then registered in the names of the chiefs who were in charge of those lands at a particular material time and they became certified land owners. Surely another example of a land grab which created a class of people who now boast of having land and their descendants have made a career of selling what was placed in their care in the first place.

    Frankly, how can anyone own land in the same way as a loin cloth or a walking stick? The weight of the crimes committed over the private ownership of land all over the world is too large for the earth to carry. That is perhaps the real original sin which is making life on earth so uncomfortable for the vast majority of us.

    The end.

  • Ajibola Ogunshola clocks 80

    Ajibola Ogunshola clocks 80

    The actuary-turned publisher deserves accolades on joining the octogenarian club

    Although Chief Ajibola Ogunshola started out as an actuary, he has ended up being referred to more in terms of his achievements as Chairman of the Board of Directors of Punch Nigeria Ltd, a position he occupied for 24 solid years (February 1987 – April 2011), despite the significant successes he recorded in his chosen vocation.

    I doff my hat for Chief Ogunshola. I was secretary of ‘The Punch’ Chapel of the Nigeria Union of Journalists (NUJ) when he became chairman.

    He was quick to realise that the company harboured a lot of deadwood and did not spare his long knife in cutting the workforce to size. True, no miracle could have brought ‘The Punch’ back to life without pruning the bloated workforce. What was significant was the fact that these included some of Ogunshola’s family members. This was one of the steps that saved the legacy of the founding chairman of the company, Chief James Olubunmi Aboderin.

    Chief Aboderin may not be a believer in the true sense of the word, but his works are still speaking today, more than 40 years after his death in February, 1984.

    His children and children’s children, some of who might not have known him in person, are enjoying the fruits of his labour today. That is part of the good inheritance that even some of those who profess to be believers have not been able to do for their children, not to talk of generations unborn.

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    But everyone enjoying ‘The Punch’s’ success today has first and foremost God Almighty to thank. Next is Chief Aboderin; then Chief Ogunshola, because there would not have been anything to revive if the newspaper had not been established in the first place.

    Chief Ogunshola, like his elder brother, may also not be a believer; but God still chose him as the vessel to bring back the newspaper’s glory.

    He made it abundantly clear when he became chairman of the company that part of his main ambitions was to make ‘The Punch’ one of the highest-salary paying newspapers in Nigeria, if not the highest-salary paying newspaper. This sounded like squeezing bread out of stone, considering the fact that the company was perpetually in salary arrears of between three or four months at any point in time then.

    I remember how this promise almost led to friction between myself and one of our senior members of the staff then who wanted the union to “make things tough” for Ogunshola. The (then) young man thought that his promise was the height of deceit. You could hardly blame him: How could a company that could not pay salary regularly for years suddenly transform to the highest-paying newspaper? He asked me who was interested in highest salary. As far as my colleague was concerned, Chief Ogunshola should tell us how he would pay the peanut the company was paying then, rather than mesmerise us with the impossible.

    I believed money was not the only challenge facing the company then; perhaps the bigger problem was the management of the resources. Too many leakages, a thing many of us knew even before Chief Ogunshola took over. That was why you would see those running the company then always running from pillar to post, looking for money. Meanwhile, they got some money a few days before.

    Therefore, if many of us so acknowledged, why not give somebody who had a different view of not just throwing money at problems to try his own method, to revive the company?

    The emeritus chairman eventually proved cynics wrong. It is to Chief Ogunshola’s credit that he was not only able to take the company out of the financial quagmire, he also bequeathed unto it an ultra-modern press and a befitting headquarters costing billions of Naira without borrowing a dime.

    Part of the reasons ‘The Punch’ is where it is today is because Chief Ogunshola kept faith with his promise to transform the newspaper’s pay. There is no argument that it is the highest-salary paying newspaper in the country today. This was not by accident. It was by design and determination. I remember there were occasions when the company did salary review twice in a year.

    I remember a particular occasion when at the management meeting we proposed a salary package that we were not sure the board would approve because it seemed outrageous. Only the then managing director, Mr Demola Osinubi, was optimistic it would be approved; of course he had a better idea of the inflows and outflows. Even then, that was not enough. That can only apply in a situation where the board chairman and members are not waiting in the wings to corner the revenue. Mercifully, ‘The Punch’ was not saddled with such board members.

    At the end of the board meeting, the proposal was approved.

    What I am saying is that the board under him seized every opportunity to review salaries. Sometimes significantly. Not many people would honour such promise. They would become something else when the money starts coming in. Ogunshola was not that kind of person.

    Another strategy the company employed was to poach people from other organisations, sometimes with some of them earning more than their bosses when they joined the company. The board gave approval for such but the situation was subsequently corrected.

    I remember too an occasion when Chief Ogunshola brought a relation for employment. He insisted on me ensuring that the person did the mandatory test for journalists. I did. Unfortunately, the person failed. I didn’t know how to tell the chairman. After waiting for the result for several days, Chief Ogunshola came to my office in the evening one day. He asked me why I had not gotten back to him on the matter and I was stammering. When I eventually summed up courage to tell him the person performed badly, he asked for the examination script. I gave him. He couldn’t believe his eyes as he adjusted his glasses intermittently when reading through the script. I then suggested that we take the person in and put him/her (I can’t remember which) in circulation department or something. Chief Ogunshola refused. He said the person could not work anywhere in ‘The Punch’ of “my dream” with such result.

    That was another good reason the paper is doing well in a market where others are struggling.

    That is Chief Ogunshola for you. A man of conviction.

    There was yet another important occasion when he demonstrated this conviction and courage. That was some years back when ‘The Punch’ engaged vendors in a fight of a lifetime. I had left the company then but was still worried because the vendors were tin gods that no one dared to step on their toes. I requested for a chat with Chief Ogunshola and we subsequently met at The Metropolitan Club on Lagos Island. We argued back and forth on the matter. He was confident of victory and eventually convinced me that, yes, it would be tough but not insurmountable. He thanked me after expressing appreciation for my worries and we parted. The company eventually succeeded in putting the vendors in their place. ‘The Punch’ is the better for it today as a substantial hole for waste was blocked by that courageous faceoff with them.

    Sometimes when I look back and think of my Odyssey at ‘The Punch’, I marvel at how I became editor of the daily title. I marvel because I never went to Chief Ogunshola even when I was in Punch, uninvited. And I never put any frivolous call to him. Not even when I was editor and people would expect that you play some politics along that line. It is not just my nature. My goal was the general good of the company. Yet, Chief Ogunshola was magnanimous to see me emerge as editor.

    Maybe that was what worked in my favour because I must acknowledge the roles played by him when I was promoted assistant editor, then acting editor and ultimately when I was made substantive editor of the daily title.

    I cannot also forget his physical presence at the burial of my paternal grandmother in 1995. Not only did he come, I was more than happy that he also ate and drank at the Evans Square in Ebute-Metta, Lagos, where we had the social party. I am not sure this was a common thing with him then.

    If he did this because I was the editor of his paper, what of 2015 when I lost my dad? Chief Ogunshola came to my father’s house in person on the day of the wake-keep. Unfortunately, I had gone out in connection with arrangements for the burial. He left a note and some money. He said he had to come because he would be travelling to Ado-Ekiti for a funeral the next day and so won’t be at my father’s burial. That was some 18 years after I had left ‘The Punch’. I know what he also gave me last year when I buried my mother. I am eternally grateful for all these kind deeds.

    I always celebrate him on occasions like this so that people would understand that uneasy lies the head that wears the crown. Sometimes you take decisions that are tough, even if inevitable. Again, with several shutdowns by different military regimes, the paper has more than paid its dues. How many newspapers are ready and willing to make the huge sacrifices that ‘The Punch’ has made?

    Born on July 14, 1944, Chief Ogunshola attended Beiyerunka Native Authority School and Ibadan Native Authority School, Aperin, then on the outskirts of Ibadan, for his primary education. He proceeded to the prestigious Government College, Ibadan, in 1956. An exceptionally bright student in the secondary school, indeed, one of the best three then. He later did his Higher School Certificate and proceeded to The University of Ibadan where he bagged a BSc in Mathematics in 1967.

    He later proceeded to London in 1967, became a Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries of England in July 1973, after completing the institute’s examination. He is the first black African to achieve this.

    Chief Ogunshola had served in various capacities, including Managing Director, Niger Insurance Company from where he ventured into private business as a consulting actuary under the business name of Ajibola Ogunshola & Co. (Actuarial and Financial Consultants) in 1986. The company later merged with Chike Oyeka & Co. to become First Actuaries Nigeria Ltd. which was also later to merge with Alexander Forbes Consulting Actuaries Nigeria Ltd. where Ogunshola was chairman in non-executive capacity for years.

    He had been Chairman, Committee of Actuaries which gives actuarial advice to the United Nations Staff Pension Fund; President, Newspaper Proprietors Association of Nigeria (NPAN), among many other distinguished services and awards.

    I wish the Baaroyin of Ibadan more glorious years on earth.

  • Zamfara’s Keshinro and North’s exclusion politics

    Zamfara’s Keshinro and North’s exclusion politics

     The dates are instructive. On June 28, presidential spokesman Ajuri Ngelale announced the appointment of eight federal permanent secretaries. Keshinro Maryam Ismaila, a paediatrician from Zamfara State, was listed as number six. However, on May 24, more than a month before the appointments were made, Zamfara State’s head of service Ahmad Liman was quoted as suggesting that Dr Keshinro was not an indigene of Zamfara, and could, therefore, not be appointed to fill the slot reserved for the state. He was both dismissive and sarcastic in couching the state’s repudiation of the paediatrician. After advancing a lengthy argument to underscore the unsuitability of Dr Keshinro, the state’s head of service concluded: “It’s against this background that I am, therefore, directed to appeal to the collective conscience of the offices of the Head of the Civil Service of the Federation and indeed all critical stakeholders to drop the candidacy of MARYAM IBRAHIM ALIYU or by whatever name called (Keshinro Maryam Ismaila) for the post of a Permanent Secretary in the Federal Civil Service in representation for the good people of Zamfara State to allow an indigene of Zamfara extraction in the Federal Civil Service to legally and positively compete for the post.”

    Once it became clear the federal government would not relent, Zamfara State made a volte face and accepted Dr Keshinro as their representative. Mannir Haidara, the state’s Information commissioner, told the Daily Trust newspaper that they had since confirmed her bona fides as an indigene of Tsafe town, in Tsafe LGA of the state. Indeed, two days after her appointment, Governor Dauda Lawal received her in his office and promised to support her, while also soliciting her cooperation in projecting the state at the federal level. It was not immediately obvious last week where the mix-up came from, or why, before May 24, when the state caused the repudiation letter to be written, Zamfara failed to do due diligence on Dr Keshinro. Simple checks later revealed it was not only her parents that hailed from Tsafe, even her paternal and maternal grandparents hailed from the same town. That feigned administrative tardiness has led to some controversies about the real motives of the state: whether they were playing politics of ethnic and religious exclusion, as many states in the core North have become adapted to for decades, or they were reinterpreting spousal rights and obligations to suit their private and exclusionary purposes.

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    Governor Lawal, 58, a new breed politician and finance expert, holds a PhD in Business Administration. He is a product of some of the most prestigious business schools in the world. Courageous and charismatic, he seems to have his eyes on the future, an aspiring leader discontented with restricting himself to being a former governor. Governors Dikko Umar Radda, 54, of Katsina, Mohammed Bago, 50, of Niger, and Agbu Kefas, 53, of Taraba all belong to the class of highly educated, prospective national leaders. It would be self-destructive limiting themselves to the stultifying politics of religion and ethnicity that undid many of their predecessors. Thankfully, Dr Lawal retraced his steps, whether his recantation is heartfelt or not. Some of his predecessors, faced with similar scenarios, simply ignored the furore raised by their chauvinism, and have sunk into nothingness. Just a few years ago, in Bauchi, Gombe, and Kebbi States, indigenes belonging to minority ethnic or religious groups had been shockingly discriminated against, particularly when it came to judicial appointments. Appointees who managed to scale the caste hurdle erected in their paths had done so against the indifference and conspiracy of their governors. Such shameful discrimination was last week nearly replayed in full view of Nigerians in Zamfara State.

    From the tone of the letter preemptively addressed to the Head of the Civil Service of the Federation regarding Dr Keshinro, it is clear that the campaign of disownment predated the appointment by more than one month. It is to the credit of the federal government that it rebuffed the prejudices whipped up to arrest or stymie the career and progress of potential appointees, particularly those of the minority groups. Youthful and highly educated political leaders are emerging from the North; they have an obligation to rethink a region convulsed by banditry and Boko Haram, twin and wasteful phenomena that cannot be delinked from the decades of prejudice, oppression, intolerance and religious fanaticism instituted by past leaders. That morass has spread to the South, along with thousands of dispossessed and frustrated northern youths, causing tremors and dislocations in the more liberal but now ossifying and increasingly disoriented southern states and societies.

    By upholding Dr Keshinro’s appointment, the federal authorities demonstrated that a new regime of respect for fairness and equity must find expression in private and public sectors without consideration for ethnic or religious background. But the tragedy is that if Kano State, for instance, finds it hard to respect the rule of law in the controversies over the dethronement and enthronement of emirs, why would anyone expect that justice would be given to 74-year-old Bridgette Agbahime who was murdered by a mob in 2016 for disallowing a Muslim trader from performing ablution in front of her shop in Kano? Not only was the Imo State indigene denied justice and viewed as a loathsome expendable, it was clear that the case against her murderers was deliberately and badly botched by judicial officers. If Nigeria is to approximate the hopes of its founding fathers and the spirit that at least tenuously resonates in all of its hotchpotch constitutions from 1960, a new breed of politicians not defined by age or petty prejudices but by integrity and character must take the reins of office and ensure the workability of state police and state judiciary, where the constitution will be regarded as sacrosanct, and rules and processes will remain inviolate. At the moment, there are still too many bigoted characters in the corridors of power completely inured to the concept of justice and fair play, and who, wallowing in abject ignorance, fail to even acquaint themselves with the seismic changes taking place in other parts of the world, including Saudi Arabia and Tajikistan.

  • It’s time to discontinue Kanu’s trial

    It’s time to discontinue Kanu’s trial

    The treasonable felony case against the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) leader, Nnamdi Kanu, begun in one form or the other since 2015 is unlikely to end anytime soon. Returned once again to the trial court after many detours to the Court of Appeal and the Supreme Court, it is fated to snake its way back to the appellate courts. The charges against Mr Kanu, once 15, but now seven, will almost certainly be amended a few more times and hotly contested before its lifespan expires. Yet, it remains a case that is, strictly speaking, more political than legal. In terms of the legal side of the case, and given the jurisprudential labyrinth the case had navigated first between 2015 and 2017, and, after a clumsy and controversial three-year hiatus, between June 2021 and now, no one can tell which way the justice pendulum will eventually swing. But in terms of its politics, the case will try the patience of the federal government to its elastic limit, especially in the face of a pro-Kanu Southeast coordinated campaign which the Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration will find hard to discountenance. And who can even tell whether in the end the case will not be so stalemated that a political solution would have to be found that leaves all the honour with the undeserving Mr Kanu.

    As testy as the Kanu case may be, it has strangely not yet become a cause célèbre. It won’t be, regardless of the defendant’s histrionics and the stumping rhetoric of the Southeast political elite. First arrested in October 2015, the IPOB leader was detained for about 18 months and his trial later commenced, and was eventually admitted to bail in April 2017. A few months later in September, he fled the country, citing the invasion of his home in Abia State by rampaging soldiers. For the next three years starting from 2018, after he had caught his breath, he had kept up a fiery propaganda against the federal government and individuals who drew his ire until security operatives rearrested him in Kenya and extraordinarily renditioned him back to Nigeria in June 2021 and later arraigned him on a 15-count charge. In April 2022, the trial court struck out eight of the 15-count charge for lacking in substance. And in October of the same year, the Court of Appeal, Abuja Division, quashed the charge against him, ordered his release, but later stayed the execution of the judgement, until the Supreme Court in December 2023 voided the appeal and ordered Mr Kanu to face trial on the subsisting seven-count charge. There are still cross-appeals, and Mr Kanu’s lawyers are insisting their client cannot be tried on the grounds that his rendition violated certain international treaties. Meanwhile his bail application has just been turned down.

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    The Tinubu administration can rest assured that the legal rigmarole will know no end. The back and forth and the cut and thrust will certainly continue, legally and politically. In the interim, over the past few years, Southeast political and socio-cultural leaders, including Ohanaeze N’digbo, Igbo Union, and Southeast Governors’ Forum which met last Tuesday, have repeatedly called for Mr Kanu’s release. The campaigns, whether strident or equanimous, did not ruffle ex-president Muhammadu Buhari’s feathers. Though President Tinubu does not shirk difficult situations or political jigsaws, he must now find the wisdom and courage to contend with the vexing issue. The country will wait to find out whether he can resist the blandishments of the five Southeast governors, two of whom belong to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), and most of whom actually warm the cockles of his heart. It is a delicate situation, but not irresolvable. Whatever the president does, he cannot afford to delay a decision till close to the next general election. What he is being called upon to decide is not the legal purity of the case against Mr Kanu, whether innocent or guilty as charged, but very clearly the politics of it. A former Ohanaeze Ndigbo president, Nnia Nwodo, had in 2017 campaigned for the IPOB leader’s release. And in 2021, Southeast leaders under the aegis of Highly Respected Igbo Greats also pleaded with ex-president Buhari to release Mr Kanu. Now is the time for the president to show that he respects the region and their leaders.

    It is indeed time President Tinubu cut to the chase. The evidence against Mr Kanu is weighty and profound, but it is now time to lend a sympathetic ear to Southeast leaders, including their governors who will soon be seeking an audience with him. It will be inexpedient for the president to wait for the courts to complete Mr Kanu’s trial. He should dialogue with an expanded meeting of Southeast leaders led by their governors to determine the framework by which the IPOB leader would be released. They should give guarantees, for Mr Kanu is as flamboyant and irrepressible as he is garrulous, incitive and mendacious. The IPOB leader has little or no qualms, lacks any sense of moderation, and comes closest than any living Nigerian to the perfect definition of an anarchist. Indeed, his guarantors would be hard put to keep him mollified and untalkative. He charms crowds as well as holds them in thrall like a liege lord. Depriving him of the propagandist fuel that gives him essence would be a tough job for the region’s governors and political elite. Yes, they need him to end the security nightmare that keeps the region on edge, for he appears central to the resolution of that tricky problem in a way the Southwest’s tempestuous Sunday Adeyemo, aka Sunday Igboho, was not, but they will then have to grapple with the prohibitive cost of keeping him soundless and motionless after his release.

    If President Tinubu heeds the governors when they visit him, it will not be because he hopes to get political mileage from that munificence. Unlike the late civil war rebel leader Emeka Odumegwu Ojukwu who was pardoned in May 1982 and drafted inelegantly into the National Party of Nigeria’s reelection campaign, Mr Kanu has a visceral loathing for the president. He will neither campaign for nor support, directly or indirectly, President Tinubu. In fact, as the last elections showed, the rather insular Southeast would prefer to support their own candidate or a northern candidate for the presidency. Ebonyi and Imo State may belong to the APC column, and Anambra’s more liberal and cosmopolitan governor Chukwuma Soludo, a professor of Economics, may have inspiring view of how the Igbo can produce a credible presidential candidate, but the ordinary south-easterner appears inclined towards voting a non-Southwest candidate into the presidency for historical and perhaps cultural reasons. The president must, therefore, have no illusions about what political advantage Mr Kanu or even the entire Southeast would confer on him, as the implacable ex-president Buhari also found out in 2015. Despite all this, releasing Mr Kanu is probably the best thing to do, both at the humane and political levels, whether he acknowledges his wayward views or not.

    It is pointless keeping Mr Kanu prancing on hot judicial coals. If he is released now, especially after years of trial, bail violation, and controversial rendition, President Tinubu will have all the honour. Mr Kanu’s captive supporters and reluctant admirers will rally triumphantly around the region, and the president may not even get the deserved credit that should accrue to him. But the region’s elites would know who to give all the honour. More than that, the ball of keeping Mr Kanu quiet and his narcissism in check would thereafter fall in their court, and they must play it deftly and sensibly lest it should tear, go offside, or go out of play. But if the president will not discontinue the trial, he will find little profit in keeping Mr Kanu in a case that could never serve as a deterrent to sensible or senseless self-determination advocates. The president may even later discover that after releasing the IPOB leader, his supporters may begin insulting the administration, arguing that he was released because it was no longer tenable to keep him. No one should bother about such posturing, especially seeing how regionwide the campaign to free him has become. It is crucial to know that the region has reached the end of its tether in finding a solution to the bloodletting orchestrated by unknown gunmen desecrating the Southeast. And since the region’s governors take Mr Kanu’s word for it when he suggested during one of his court appearances that he could end the violence in Igboland, the federal government has nothing to lose giving them what they want. After all, years of militarising the region and erecting interminable checkpoints have done little to stanch the flow of blood or win the federal government goodwill.

    More importantly, it is also time President Tinubu infused a healthy dose of populism into his politics and administration. Even if releasing Mr Kanu does not appear to be legally sound, it is sound populism. So far, the president has seemed to eschew the populist act of reaching accommodation with the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) by paying them their eight months withheld salaries. Yet, before he assumed office last year, and despite showing keen interest in placating them, he has left them holding the short end of the stick. More, he has also seemed to be in a quandary over the campaign for lower electricity tariffs. Hopefully, in the coming weeks, he will rekindle his intuitive grasp of Nigeria’s political dynamics beyond his incomparable capacity to strategise electoral triumphs. Apart from reaching an agreement with ASUU and keeping youths in school with upgraded facilities, he will also hopefully relieve the country of inflationary pressures, set personal examples starting with his office, and, after meeting the Southeast governors, release Mr Kanu. 

  • SNAPSONG 223

    SNAPSONG 223

    All Hail NEPA

    Nigeria’s God of Darkness  (1)

    The bond between Darkness and Nigeria

         Only the drastic word can break.

    One minute of flimsy flashes

         Then, a thousand hours of lightless groping

    Wingless fans mock our misery

         From powerless ceilings

    The aircon coughed into silence

         Many unhappy seasons ago

    Failing factories feed our hunger

         Our laptops run on the heat

    From our feverish groins.

         With the rays of the kindly moon

    We pen the nation’s epics

         While libraries and laboratories suffocate

    In the lampless anguish of our benighted Academies.

         So wonderfully endowed, we count our blessings

    Halfway through the surgical task

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         A medieval darkness engulfs the theatre

    The surgeon’s scalpel veers beyond the veins

         Close by, reeking mortuaries with their restless doors 

    At our ultramodern airports

         Darkness taxes faster

    Than the speed of light: blind landing gambles

         Announce our welcome to our Blackout Country  

    *NEPA: National Electric Power Authority; now re-named Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) 

                       (To be continued next Sunday)

  • An American conundrum

    An American conundrum

    Kabiyesi caravan arrives in Washington

    The unthinkable is now becoming the inevitable in America. With the doddering and dismal performance of Joe Biden at the presidential debate and the Supreme Court ruling conferring an open-ended immunity on Donald Trump’s compulsive criminality while in office, alarm bells about the grim possibility of Trump’s return to the Oval Office have started ringing in many civilized capitals around the world. The horrifying prospects, not to talk of the stark possibilities, send jitters across the globe.

    With the Supreme Court majority ruling on Monday which granted substantial immunity to actions taken by a sitting president, America is finally on the road to never-before. We say never before because America was never a traditional monarchy. For centuries, America’s political elite avoided this route back to medieval tyranny and servitude. It is the “Kabiyesi Syndrome” in America. George Washington declined to run for another term on the grounds that the American people did not disown feudal monarchy in Europe only to consecrate a similar institution on another continent.

    The Supreme Court ruling is a reflection of how bitterly polarized and inchoate America has become. The revered justices may have failed to appreciate the dangers ahead for democracy in America. In the  ideological occlusion of actual reality that  partisanship brought upon them, they even came to the paradoxical conclusion that the main threat to the nation is not the executive brigandage and deliberate terrorism represented by a leader like Trump but the possibility of a descent into legislative despotism.

    Donald Trump represents an acute danger to America’s political wellbeing. This is what happens when a solitary ruler without scruples or moral qualms but with a Rasputin-like hypnotic hold on the ignorant masses suddenly materializes with the sole vindictive purpose of upending the system. The Kabiyesi system literally means the king can do no wrong and cannot be held accountable for his deeds.

    Yet it should be noted that in traditional societies where kings held sway, there were enough checks and balances to prevent an obdurate and malignant ruler from descending into untrammeled tyranny. Among the Yoruba in Nigeria, a tyrannical ruler that has exhausted the patience of the people is advised by the conclave of wise people to do the needful by opening the sacred calabash. This meant sure suicide.

     In all this, it is profoundly ironical that it is the listless and fretful Joe Biden who has seen through the chicanery. In an insightful swipe at the Supreme Court justices, President Biden noted that America is not a land of kings. And that is putting it mildly. Quite a number of people are tempted to dismiss this as mere hysterical mush or a voter-scaring gambit. On the contrary, the evidence on ground suggests that this is not America’s finest hour.

    Where then we may ask are the remaining people of honour and inviolate integrity in the greatest and most competitive democracy the modern world has seen? It is said that all human societies are the same but for the institutions erected by each society to act as barriers against a return to barbarity and degeneracy. There is a solidarity of all human-beings in aberration, rues Albert Camus.

    America is caught in a classic conundrum, a vicious self-entrapment. The intellectual visionaries and democratic heroes who founded America did not envisage it as a warrior-nation. They sought to create a new type of nation of free people founded on democratic principles and away from the tyrannical ashes of feudal Europe. In this, they seem to have succeeded beyond their imagination and wildest dreams.

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    But as hubris gave way to a notion of American Exceptionalism and manifest destiny particularly after astounding victories over Mexico, the Spaniards in Cuba and the Philippines and the Germans in the First World War, Americans came to belief that the entire world is their oyster which they could toy with at will. As a covenanted people with a superior vision of the world, they have a right to impose their will and might on any nation or people.

      The problem with this notion of history is the fact that America failed to factor in the possibility of a countervailing logic from other equally covenanted people and societies who have produced their own heroes and their own unique societies who will refuse to be bullied around by any country no matter its fabled military might or productive capacity. Some of these civilizations have been around for more than five thousand years.

    This is the misbegotten militarism that has produced the debacles of Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, the roiling stalemate of Ukraine, the murderous maelstrom of Gaza and the gruff face-off with China. Believe it or not, it has also thrown up the explosive contradictions of a draft-dodging ruler like Donald Trump who insists that America is not founded for the weak or the weakling.

      Going forward, it is obvious that America needs a paradigm shift and a fundamental reset of values in line with emergent global realities. It will not come with a Biden presidency. Old Joe is too flustered and flummoxed by the pace of events. But rather than the malevolent and potentially catastrophic return of Donald Trump, a somnolent Biden presidency will be a watershed and a waterbed for the emergence of a new generation of American leaders.

      The piece you are about to read was written in 2004 and it is the chronicle of an American decline foretold. Happy reading to our numerous readers.

  • America, the anxious

    America, the anxious

    America gave the world a new type of nation-state. It is a befitting irony that as the nation-state paradigm itself begins to unravel at the seams, much of the rest of the world would enter into a contradiction with the most successful expression of nationality—and nationalism—that the modern world has witnessed.

    As a rampant Republican presidency and a refulgent nation continue to confound friends and foes alike, there is a profound anti-American animus abroad. The global liberal intelligentsia are still reeling from what they considered the shocking and inexplicable defeat of the democratic standard bearer in the just concluded presidential elections.

    In much of Western Europe, particularly in France, America’s foremost bete noire, the atmosphere is of funereal gloom and depression. Famously, The Mirror of England wondered how fifty eight million people could be so dumb.

    A lot of this hysteric mush boils down to pride and prejudice on both sides of the divide. It is the jaded arrogance of the old world contending with the blithe contempt of the new. In many respects, it is also the return of the repressed. Four years ago when George W Bush controversially prevailed over Al Gore despite losing the popular vote, many saw a plutocratic conspiracy to crowd out America’s democratic masses from political contention.

    This time around, it was clear that it is the son of the older Bush that has connected with the electoral mystery that is Middle America. Why then must the rest of the world feel it has the right to legislate the destiny of America for Americans? And having conceded that crucial point, why would middle Americans be so blatantly contemptuous of anti-American sentiments abroad? Is this brilliant rallying to the star-spangled banner a heroic defence of American core values against the tired cynicism of Europe or the reflex circling of the wagons by a nation under global siege?.

    The case from abroad is arguable enough. As the most powerful and militarily dominant nation the world has seen, and as the richest society in human history, America should lead the world to a more humane and civilized society. This can be done by a more multilateral approach to global issues, less belligerence abroad and a political conservatism that is at once compassionate, conciliatory, less conflictual and more consensus seeking.

    The American riposte to this stinging indictment is equally telling and bespeaks a mutual misapprehension of historic magnitude. The way to a more humane and civilized world is not through liberal flip-flopping or paying protection money to diseased despots but a proactive policy of exemplary retribution which is as retroactively punitive as it is harshly pre-emptive. There must be no dialogue with “the axis of evil”. The nations so branded must be militarily subdued and pounded to submission.

     That it is this Samurai code that has found resonance with the American moral majority, particularly after the spectacular siege of September 11, 2001, is no longer contestable, whatever the consternation of the rest of the world. When it was reported that there was a record turn out in the last presidential elections, many were the tele-pundits  who thought that the real owners of America were on the march to reclaim their nation.

    Alas, it turned out the other way round. The quiet Americans had turned out to validate the machismo mantra of the son of George Herbert Walker Bush. The world may never be the same again. Is this then the new face of an empire that has been in denial for a long time, or the evidence of a sharp divergence between European democracy and the American mutant?

    America was founded on the ruins of feudal Europe. It was a bold and brilliant attempt by revolutionary visionaries to create humanity anew. When George Washington, its first president, declined another term which could have turned him into a new type of king and the American presidency a monarchical institution, he set America on the path to becoming a radical democracy and the first truly revolutionary society the world has seen.

    This may seem a moot point, but when set within the context that succeeding revolutionary attempts to create humanity anew have often ended up with the founders dying on the throne or mutating into senile and murderous despots, the issue becomes clearer. Take a sample: Lenin-Stalin, Mao, Tito, Castro, Yong, Neto, Cabral, Mugabe etc.

    The dictatorship of the revolutionary vanguard, rather than transforming into a genuine democracy, often becomes a historic nightmare: the privatized rule of the paranoid patriarch or the protocol of berserk elders.

    George Washington might have been responding to the push and pull of a truly modern society, and the republican zeal engendered by the fact that that at that point in time, there were more lawyers in America than armed soldiers. Whatever it was, it set America on the path of a nation in which institutions and institution-building were more important than the cult of the exceptional individual.

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    The military would never dare to take over power in America, and neither would a putative tyrant survive for very long in the White House. The democratic institutions and a vigilant civil society would take care of that. The system may occasionally creak at the joints, there may be a murmur of muted disorder as new and unenvisaged historical realities intrude, but the over-ride gear prevails and America reverts to its default settings.

    The anarchic obverse of this sterling coin is the triumphalist and naïve optimism it breeds, the belief that the nation can even afford to live dangerously, and that everything would be alright eventually. Worse still, every American voter considers himself or herself to be a miniature monarch, a mini-sovereign entitled to determine the destiny of the nation.

    In periods of strive and anxiety, this may turn the presidency itself into an agenda-driven, divisive platform rather than a subtle mechanism for aggregating contending national interests. But again, this is part of the irony of the American dream in which a man’s destination is more important than where he is coming from, in which anybody can technically aspire to the greatest positions in the land without being thwarted by the circumstances of birth. What is important is how far you can push yourself.

    When it works, the American dream is a glorious advertisement for egalitarianism and the democratic empowerment of the gifted and driven individual. When Benjamin Franklin, the Philadelphia publisher and inventor of genius, arrived in Paris as the ambassador of the new nation, he affronted not a few members of the chic Parisian elite with his brashness, his brazenness, his boundless vivacity, his spontaneous bonhomie and his obvious refusal to be fazed by the frigid norms of a frozen feudal fiefdom.

    It was then sniffily observed that it was only in America that such a man could become an ambassador. It was meant as a despairing put-down, but it was also a stupendous compliment to the American dream. As it was in the beginning, so it is beginning to look in mid-day.

     Till date, the French political circles never tire of inveigling against American brashness and vulgarity, their aversion for the finer points of taste, political sophistication and diplomatic savvy, while the Americans are openly disdainful of the cloak and dagger elusiveness and unreliable political somersaults of the European political elite in general, and the French in particular.

     In a memorable diplomatic bust-up, an American secretary of state once famously dismissed his British counterpart as a duplicitous bastard while the Whitehall mandarins eternally wring their hands about the global disaster of having diplomacy conducted by American boys’ Brigade.

    This perilous background of mutual misperception explains the current European –and global—anxiety about the direction of the American nation, and it is a function of a divergent trajectory as the impact of globalization and America’s unrivalled dominance finally hits a world in denial. The American success is predicated on relentless and often manic competition: competition among individuals, competition among institutions, competition in which humans become unfeeling automatons and cyborgs on auto-pilot.

     Even eating is a competition. You do not eat a sandwich but you grab one and ram it down to go back to work. In restaurants, you are asked whether you are still “working’ on the stuff. Compare this with the epic feast of pounded yam eating in Things Fall Apart, the stupendous orgy of consumption at a Yoruba ceremony or the elaborate twenty-four course meal of the French, and you begin to sense that there is no freeloading in Uncle Tom’s cabin.

     Yet if this neo-Calvinist ethos with its harsh protestant Puritanism has produced the richest society the world has seen, it can also turn a nation into a hard and unfeeling monad. America is by far the richest country in the world, but it is far from being the happiest society. The competition and work ethics criminalize poverty, and the poor are looked upon with a mixture of disdain and pity.

    There is a Victorian prudery abroad which often provokes its own sexual pathologies, and there is a zero-tolerance for filth and squalor which often induces an obsessive neatness and primness in public places. A reflex hostility to theocracy prevents a sustained dialogue with Islam and often hardens into a puritanical contempt for the thieving fascist clerisy that dominates the Middle East. Yet no one remembers that Islam itself started as a revolutionary doctrine, a new covenant between the ruled and their rulers. A new, bible-thumping fundamentalism of the self-righteous right is in danger of unleashing on the world a technological dark age and new march of modern crusaders.

    Blissfully unaware of the danger to itself and the menace it constitutes to the global order, America romps on in rampart militarism. Honed by competition, relentless training and ceaseless self-surpassing that has turned its military into the supreme fighting machine of the epoch, buoyed by an embarrassment of riches beyond the compass of human imagination, America carries all before it in a triumphant swing which would have made the Romans wince in envy and admiration. It is a shining city on the hills, and there is no room for doubts, or for the old world philosophers of gloom and prophets of scarcity.

    Perhaps we are witnessing the stirrings of the first truly post-modern society, a post-primate order in which ordinary people achieve the extra-ordinary. Perhaps it is a prelude to a catastrophic unraveling. Whatever it is, America—and George Bush—should pause momentarily and look back at the old empires of history. If they cannot do this on their own, let them import philosophers from the old world.    

     First published in 2004 (Excerpts) 

  • Palm oil politics

    Palm oil politics

    In his 2003 article on “The Politics of Food”, in the journal American Scientist, Michael Taylor states: “The most central and pervasive social and economic system in the world is the food system – that vast web of human interdependencies through which the planet’s six billion people feed themselves. … And, like some other social systems, it is thoroughly intertwined with public policy and politics. Governments worldwide make decisions that profoundly affect the economics of food production and marketing, and that influence the quality and safety of food.”

    In a 7 May, 2024 article titled “Imperialism: Its relevance for food systems”, published in The Developing Economics blog, Mirette Nunez also perceptively notes: “Colonizing, occupying, and dominating are blatant ways that imperialism effectively occurs in history. It has not changed significantly except that the people furthering their ‘expansion’ are not outrightly removing, killing, or taking resources from people; they now sign policies, laws, or rules, and then people follow this or follow it by force. … What people need to survive more than anything is food … To have influence or control over how it is produced and distributed, as well as who produces and distributes it, is a clear demonstration of the relevance of the concept of imperialism.”

    Palm oil is of major significance in this regard. A World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) document, titled “8 things to know about palm oil”, notes that it’s an edible vegetable oil that comes from the fruit of oil palm trees, which are native to Africa but imported into South-East Asia just over 100 years ago as an ornamental tree crop, with Indonesia and Malaysia making up over 85% of global supply of the oil. WWF also notes that palm oil is extremely versatile and has many different properties and functions that make it quite useful, and that in Asian and African countries, palm oil is used widely as a cooking oil, just like sunflower or olive is used in the UK.

    The document also notes: “Palm oil is in nearly everything – it’s in close to 50% of the packaged products we find in supermarkets, everything from pizza, doughnuts and chocolate, to deodorant, shampoo, toothpaste and lipstick. It’s also used in animal feed and as a biofuel in many parts of the world.” Moreover, the WWF document notes that, compared to other vegetable oils, the oil palm is a very efficient crop, able to produce high quantities of oil over small areas of land, almost all year round, making it an attractive crop for growers and smallholders, who can rely on the steady income that it provides.

    Palm oil is also a major foreign exchange earner for some countries. According to Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, Prime Minister of Malaysia, in his keynote address at the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) International Palm Oil Congress and Exhibition on 19 November, 2019, in Kuala Lumpur, “in 2018, palm oil and palm-based products contributed RM67.5 billion to the country’s export earnings and provided employment opportunities to more than 3 million people along its supply chain including more than half a million smallholders. Palm oil is now the largest traded vegetable oil in the world, surpassing other vegetable oils such as soya bean, rapeseed and sunflower oil. In 2018, a total of 72 million tonnes of palm oil was produced globally as compared to 56 million tonnes of soya bean oil and 25 million tonnes of rapeseed oil. Despite occupying only about 5 percent of the total land used by oil crops, oil palm contributes … about 32 percent of the world’s oils and fats production.”

    In spite of these facts, in a 17 January, 2019 report titled “Dr M endorses palm oil in video to combat commodity’s detractors”, in Malay Mail, Danial Dzulkifly notes: “Last December, France’s National Assembly voted to end tax incentives for palm oil biodiesel by 2020, followed later that month by Norway’s parliament’s plan to ban biofuels with palm oil also by 2020. In 2017, the European Union Parliament had banned the use of palm oil in all European biofuels by [2030], citing environmental concerns.”

    Reacting to the bans, at the 73rd UN General Assembly on 28 September, 2018, Dr. Mahathir Mohammad said that while the Western countries flood the markets of smaller nations with their own goods through all sorts of inequitable ‘free trade’ policies, “the simple products of the poor are subjected to clever barriers so that they cannot penetrate the market of the rich. Malaysian palm oil is labelled as dangerous to health and the estates are [said to be] destroying the habitat of animals. Food products of the rich declare that they are palm oil free. Now palm diesels are condemned because they are [said to be] decimating virgin jungles. These caring people forget that their boycott is depriving hundreds of thousands of people … jobs and a decent life.”

    Dr. Mahathir Mohamad further notes, in his 2019 MPOB speech, that the negative publicity against the palm oil industry, by anti-palm oil campaigners and Western NGOs, was baseless and unjust, and that, “in reality, to produce palm oil is more efficient compared to other oils and seeds as it requires the least land area but yet produces the highest yield. Oil palm’s average yield of 4 tonnes of oil per hectare per year is 4 times higher than rapeseed, 5.4 times higher than sunflower and 8 times higher than soya bean. Therefore, a ban on palm oil would not stop deforestation, but instead will lead to more opening of land [for] intensive oilseed crops [cultivation] to keep up with the rising demand.” The ban was, as such, seen essentially as European protectionism.

    Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, who is himself a medical doctor, therefore joined the efforts to counter the propaganda against palm oil. In a 3-minute 17 January, 2019 video, as a part of the government’s  “Love MY Palm Oil Campaign”, the Prime Minister said: “For a long, long time now, people have been consuming Malaysian palm oil. I do consume palm oil as the preferred oil when my cook prepares food for me. This palm oil was accused of having deleterious effects on consumers. … But the palm oil industry has submitted the oil for examination in several laboratories in America and they have found no evidence of any bad effect from the consumption of palm oil. Now, of course, the palm oil is accused of causing a lot of forest to be cleared in order to plant oil palms. But in Malaysia, we have been careful about preserving our forests. 50%-plus of the surface area of Malaysia is covered by forests. Of course, palm trees themselves are trees that absorb carbon dioxide. The main campaign against palm oil is because it competes with other vegetable oils and obviously in the competition, the competitors … try their level best to make palm oil rejected by the consumers.”

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    As a means of mitigating the effect of the Western assault on palm oil, the government was advised to persuade China to buy more of Malaysian palm oil. The proposal was based on the fact that as a 7 October, 2019 Asia-Palmoil.com report indicates, “palm oil makes up around 5.05 million tonnes or 58% of China’s edible oil imports. Of the total, Malaysia’s palm oil imports are around 1.92 million tonnes or 5% of China’s total edible oil consumption.” As recently as 26 September, 2023, DW.com, in an article titled, “Malaysia: Is boosting palm oil flow to China defeat for EU?”, states as follows: “Malaysia intends to double the quantity of palm oil it exports to China, in an effort to counterbalance the EU’s push to cut down on its own imports. … Investment deals between Malaysia and China to the tune of €3.9 billion ($4.1 billion) were inked earlier this month at the China-ASEAN Expo. Malaysia’s state-owned Sime Darby Oils International and China’s Guangxi Beibu Gulf International Port Group signed a memorandum of understanding for a €500 million trading and distribution center for refined palm oil in the Chinese city of Qinzhou, according to Japanese news outlet Nikkei Asia.”

    DW.com further reports: “Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said during the expo that his country will double its palm oil exports to China to 500,000 tons annually within a few years.  ‘This is the first time that China has asked for a big increase. … It will, he added, ‘undoubtedly secure the interests of smallholders and small-scale palm oil producers’ in Malaysia.” On the implication of the new deal with China, DW.com notes: “In addition, the EU’s reputation remains damaged by a policy that is “driven by protecting its own vegetable oils at the expense of Southeast Asian producers,” Welsh said, a reference to allegations that EU directives are merely intended to benefit Europe-produced biofuels such as rapeseed and sunflower oil. Because much of Indonesia’s palm oil sector is under Malaysian ownership, a shift by Malaysia towards Chinese markets would also likely affect palm oil producers in Indonesia.”

    In this regard, DW.com quoted Frederick Kliem, a research fellow and lecturer at the S Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore who admonished that “trade restrictions should be a last resort, applied very cautiously after all other avenues have been explored.” The realisation of this fact and the potentials of losing a huge and regionally important player may have accounted for the EU’s new conciliatory tone. This is reflected in the following report by DW.com: “‘The European Union remains a major consumer of palm oil globally,’ said Bernd Lange, chair of the European Parliament’s International Trade Committee. ‘Considering the EU’s vast consumer base and its affluent middle class, it’s anticipated that this market will remain attractive to exporters,’ Lange added. ‘Both the EU and nations like Malaysia share this common vision. My dialogues with representatives from Malaysia and Indonesia have been extensive on this topic.’”

    Meanwhile, the politics of palm oil continues as Malaysia is actively courting Egypt, with its estimated over 110 million people, as stated in a 7 February, 2024 report of Bernama.com, titled “Malaysia to work with Egypt to expand palm oil export to Africa – Johari.” Another report in the New Strait Times written by Diyana Isamudin on 17 June, 2024, titled “Invitation to set up palm oil hub”, stated: “Malaysian palm oil leaders are welcomed to establish a hub in the Suez Canal Economic Zone to tap on the free trade agreements that Egypt has signed with its neighbours, Egyptian ambassador to Malaysia Ragai Tawfik Said Nasr said.”

    All of the foregoing shows how the dynamics of what Malaysian Prime Minister Dr. Mahathir Mohamad called a “simple product” in 2018 could have profound and enduring impact on efforts at food imperialism, measures to counter the deleterious dominance, and international relations in general.

  • Inflation: Tinubu’s N2 trillion Economic Stabilization Programme to the rescue

    Inflation: Tinubu’s N2 trillion Economic Stabilization Programme to the rescue

    Business mogul and the acclaimed richest African alive, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, was a particularly conspicuous figure around power this last week. Starting with his speaking-truth-to-power outing at a three-day National Manufacturing Policy Summit, held at the State House Conference Centre, Abuja, jointly organized by the federal government and the Manufacturers’ Association of Nigeria (MAN), where he made a strong statement on the difficulties facing Nigeria’s industrialization attempts and the fate of the local investor.

    In his keynote address, he highlighted the way government’s actions and inactions are affecting the industrial sector, sounding steps he expects government to take to free up the investment atmosphere for the all investors, especially the local ones. The part of his comment that drew everyone’s attention to the message was the warning against the suffocating banking interest rate, which he observed will never allow the manufacturing sector to play its roles in industrialization of the nation and job-creation, which ultimately will make economic growth and development almost a chimera.

    “Import dependence is equivalent to importing poverty and exporting jobs. No power, no growth, no prosperity. Similarly, no affordable financing, no growth, no prosperity. There is no industrialization without protection. Ignoring these facts is what gives rise to insecurity, banditry, kidnapping and abject poverty”, the experienced industrialist warned. He rounded his speech off by saying “nobody can create jobs with an interest rate of 30%. No growth will happen”.

    Though Dangote is really not a stranger to newspaper front pages, this particular outing sealed the lead of most national dailies the following day. Not only was he the topic for newspapers and their television reviewers, his message resonated with virtually all social classes of Nigeria, he was talking about what touches on all; job opportunities, purchasing power, a boisterous, self-sustaining economy.

    Dangote’s message, which he made at the door-step of the Aso Rock Presidential Villa, seemed to preempt President Bola Tinubu’s next stop in his series of stakeholder engagements targeted at reviving the economy because last week was actually reserved for a group of stakeholders he selected for the purpose of serving as his deck officers in the journey to salvaging the Nigerian economy. The President of the Dangote Industries Limited was going to be part of the group the President will be facing.

    Like when he met governors and key figures in his economic team during the National Economic Council (NEC) the upper week, to raise serious concerns about the economy, especially the inflations Nigerians are dealing with, the last week was for the Presidential Economic Coordination Council (PECC), a group of major players, drawn from different sectors of society and the economy. On Thursday, he started out with inaugurating the PECC, which he unveiled late March this year, then threw his propositions to them.

    The 31-member Council, which he is chairman over, is constituted of elements from the federal government, the sub-national governments, the National Assembly, as well as the private sector. Their task, like indicated earlier, would be to draw and pull along with the President in the task of salving the economy. He ensured to remove that psychological barrier that might want to fence members of this very critical initiative out, like they thinking all the responsibilities are for government. He said no, “it’s just me, we’re all in this together”. He came clean, told them that a lot will depend on them as the administration attempts steps that should reverse the current economic challenges facing the nation

    “I am ready to listen to you in all… You have seen us from close quarters, but we are one. We feel the market pinches differently, the price of food stuff and all of that. I can give instructions as the President from my office, but I believe so much, deeply, in the organised private sector. It is Nigeria that is calling, not a Bola Tinubu and the hope of the entire nation hangs on you people”, he said.

    His message resonated much with many of the concerns raised on Tuesday buy Dangote, agreeing that a lot is wrong with the system and requiring the urgent attention of all, especially those he has decided to bring along in the task of righting wrongs.

    “We have the challenge of energy security in Nigeria. We need to work together to improve our oil and gas sector, and we must also increase electricity generation and distribution throughout the country. We are determined to do that with your cooperation, collaboration, and recommendations. As a nation, it is so shameful that we are still generating 4.5GW of electricity. We must increase our oil production to two (2) million barrels per day within the next few months and we are determined to remove all entry barriers to investments in the energy sector while enhancing competitiveness”, the President stated.

    Like a man with methods, he did not just inaugurate, pep-talk and disperse the meeting, he issued the first task, just like he presented the National Construction and Household Support Programme to the governors at the NEC the upper week. After the matter-of-fact discussion, he went on to announce a N2 trillion Economic Stabilization Programme, a four component programme, which will run concurrently with the National Construction and Household Support Programme, to stabilize the economy, enhance job creation, and foster economic security.

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    The N2 trillion package breaks down into N350 billion funding for Health and Social Welfare; N500 billion funding for Agriculture and Food Security; N500 billion for the Energy and Power sector and general business support of about N650 billion, According to the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun.

    The component number one is Energy Security. The Energy Security initiative, which includes power, oil and gas, aims to increase on-grid electricity to be delivered to homes and businesses from about 4.5 gigawatts to 6 gigawatts in six months. It will also see to increase oil production to 2 million barrels per day within the next 12 months and remove barriers to entry for investments into the sector to enhance competitiveness.      

    The second component is Agriculture and Food Security. Under this plan, the aim is to increase staple crops grown by small-holder farmers from 127 million MT in 2023 to 135 million MT this year. It will also target bolstering production by partnering larger-scale commercial farmers and support qualified farmers with satellite imagery for land use planning, crop rotation, and monitoring of agricultural expansion.

    Component number three is Health and Social Welfare. In the health and social welfare sector, the federal government will make essential medicines available at lower cost for 80-90 million Nigerians. It will also expand healthcare insurance coverage for 1 million vulnerable people via a Vulnerable Group Fund in collaboration with state governments, redeploy 20,000 healthcare workers to provide services to 10-12 million patients in areas where they are most urgently needed as well as power up 4,800 primary healthcare centres (PHCs), second tier, and third tier hospitals, using renewable energy sources.

    The fourth component are the Fiscal Measures. Some of the interventions are to improve access to finance for the housing sector, MSMEs, and the manufacturing sector. Some of those to benefit from the fiscal measures are youth-owned enterprises, it will also provide support for new and existing youth-owned enterprises across all 36 states of the Federation, creating 7,400 MSMEs within the next 6-12 months. There is also the MSME support in this component, supported with a six hundred and fifty billion naira (N650 billion) facility to provide lower-cost short-term facilities to youth-owned businesses, manufacturers and MSMEs across various industries; food processing, pharmaceutical, agriculture, and wholesale and retail trade. This financing will be based on their current and future receivables, company rating, and market demand for products. This component has so much plans, cutting across various sectors.

    Aside from the inauguration of the PECC and the economic recovery task he gave it, President Tinubu had other equally important engagements and activities. For stance, he made some appointments into some very critical positions. On Tuesday, he appointed a ten-man board for the Family Homes Fund Limited (FHFL) and on Wednesday appointed a board for the Consumer Credit Corporation (CREDICORP).

    It was also a very solemn week for the State House Press Corps (SHPC), having lost one of its most senior and long serving correspondents, Alhaji Kabir Yusuf of Radio France International, the Hausa Service, who died in Kano after returning from Saudi Arabia earlier in the week. The President was on record as one of the first to commiserate with the Corps and the family of the deceased.

    On Friday, he rejoiced by the newly elected Prime Minister of the United Kingdom (UK), Sir Kier Starmer and went on to grant audiences to various categories of people, from ministers and heads of agencies who had files needing his attention, to political guests, like the Edo team, which visited to update him on the ongoing governorship campaigns in their state.

    It was a very loaded week for the President, although many of his activities were not out in the public, he had them anyways. This week looks like might also be having much for the President to attend to, especially as he is starting with the 65th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of ECOWAS Heads of State and Government. We just need to wait to see what the week looks like.