Category: Jide Osuntokun

  • Agenda for Buhari’s second term

    Pundits have done several analyses of the recent presidential and congressional elections in Nigeria. They have highlighted the fact that less than 30 million people voted which is a little over 30 percent of the over 80 million registered voters and that 18% of the electorate elected the president. My take on this is that I have always argued that the so-called 200 million population of Nigeria is a myth. We are far from that figure. In fact if I am generous, Nigeria is not more than 120 million. The problem we have is the tying of population to revenue allocation and political power. Any student of the history of Nigeria’s demography knows that this has always been negotiated whenever we conduct our census. The British started this in 1956 and since that time we have always used mathematical progression to arrive at our probable population.

    All regions and ethnic groups in Nigeria inflate their population whenever things are to be shared. I remember a time in 1978 on the eve of the federally-funded universal basic education and states were asked to supply figures of children under the age of six years for purpose of planning. One state with a population of less than four million turned in a figure of nearly three million before it was told, it was not possible for a state of four million to have pre-school population of threemillion!A friend of mine some years ago told me they were collecting money to give to enumerators during a census operation and that it was necessary for them to do this in order to get “a respectable census figure!”

    I have read some commentators of the current election saying votes in Akwa Ibom, Delta and Rivers states were deliberately suppressed because their votes this time were lower than in 2015. Their votes in 2015 were deliberately inflated by the Jonathan regime. The late Dr Gabriel Akinola of the University of Ibadan,while writing on the 2015 elections said those three states of Delta, Riversand Akwa Ibom returned over 95% of their registered votes which he said,in electoral terms and in comparison with other parts of the world was “statistically impossible”. So what happened in 2019 reflects the true reality as much as possible. I have always wondered while Oyo State’s total number of votes is always abysmally low compared with votes from Kano, Katsina, Kaduna, Rivers, Delta and Akwa Ibom yet of the 10 most populous cities in Nigeria, three are in OyoState namely Ibadan, Ogbomoso and Oyo. The point I am making is that our population data is faulty and any analysis based on them are not likely to be correct. Unfortunately this is the reality and we have to work with it until such a time the country is united enough to face its demographic daemon.

    The other myth that was broken during this election was the defeat of some of the politicians who have for ever abused the trust of their people to monopolize power in their own hands and as gods dispense this power to whoever they wish and also commandeer the resources of their states into their own pockets. Some were earning salaries as senators while also earning full salaries as former governors and collecting humongous allowances as senators as well as former governors. This went on for years while the poor seethed with anger until this last election provided them some release from their pent-up anger. Some have even said this election was some kind of struggle between the rich and the poor. There was an element of this in the election. Certainly the billionaire civil servants in Abuja and their lesser colleagues at state level do not like the TSA and BVN regime enforced by the Buhari regime and some of the oil and gas billionaires are also not sure if the searching light of poke nosing intelligence agents may smell them out. Whatever may be the fears of some politically exposed individuals, the drying up of the “awhoof” money in recent times has led to some resentment against the current regime. The election has been won by Buhari and it is left to him to write himself into the history of our country if he so desires and decides. In order for history to favour him, I suggest the president should do the following things.

    He cannot afford the mistake of the past where he allowed untrustworthy people to take the leadership of the legislative branch and frustrate his government by acting as cogs in the smooth implementation of his programmes. He and his party must impose discipline on party members and choose those who will lead the legislature so as to facilitate seamless governance.

    He must see the entire country as his own constituency and act accordingly. Therefore his ministers, advisers and security chiefs must reflect the ethnic diversity and differences of the country. It is obvious that there is a strong demand for structural changes in governance away from too much concentration of power in the centre. Without constitutional changes and with executive fiat, the president can decentralize the police force so that community, state and regional police are formed from existing police force with additional training and recruitment from able-bodied and willing young people who are currently roaming the streets.

    The federal ministry of agriculture should be abolished and its powers transferred to the states. The states should be empowered and mobilized for agricultural production in areas of their comparative advantage.Emphasis should be placed on mechanization away from the back-breaking hoe and cutlass peasant farming. Resources must also be transferred to the states to assist in the agricultural revolution towards diversifying the economy away from over dependence on oil and gas. The government must provide small and intermediate mills and other machines to add value to rice, corn,millet,cassava, sorghum and yams. Government should also subsidize farmers planting economic trees like cocoa, tea, coffee, sugar cane, cotton and gum Arabic with eye on export.The whole idea is to ensure food security and export of agricultural produce after adding value to them. The states should be encouraged to establish commodity boards to stabilize fluctuating prices and to facilitateexport, proceeds of which must go largely to producers with commodities board keeping a fraction for their operations.

    Funds of universal basic education and the entire programme should be transferred to the states for proper monitoring so that the states can see themselves as stakeholders of the programme. In conjunction with states primary and secondary school, education must be revived and their infrastructure revamped.

    The current ministry of works and housing needs to be reorganized on zonal basis and appropriate mechanisms for project funding should be provided while a regime of closer supervision and execution of projects should be put in place. Government should continue with its well-articulated transportation projects in railways, aviation and roads and bridges construction. In all these, contractors must be prevailed upon, as deliberate government policy, to hire young Nigerian engineers in large numbers for training and retraining for which government must be ready to compensate the contractors.

    The federal ministry of health needs to be better funded especially in the area of epidemiology and disease prevention. The referral hospitals made up of the university teaching hospitals need adequate funding and equipment and at least six zonal super teaching hospitals out of the university teaching hospitals should be chosen and adequately provided for. Doctors coming out of medical schools must transit seamlessly from academic programmes to their professional internship programmes.

    Within six months of the second term, the embarrassment and shame of Apapa and Tin Can ports and their roads tie up must be resolved. This should go pari passu with opening up the existing ports in the Delta and South-south zone and diverting of cargo there to relieve Lagos of the killing burden of shouldering the shipping business of Nigeria.

    There is a need for a government to have a new industrial policy that will combine private investment with state promoted industries in areas where there are no private investors. This may be frowned upon by the high priests of private enterprises and free market forces who in their countries promote their state enterprises while denouncing the same practice in weaker economies of developing countries.

    Developmental projects directed towards the oil producing communities not necessarily the states must be thought of and embarked upon.

    The fight against corruption must continue and whatever is retrieved and recovered must be accounted for. All the savings and blockage against stealing of state funds as constituted by the TSA must be accounted for and deployed in ways everybody will see and acknowledge and commend this government.  In this regard the civil service must be reduced not through sacking but through attrition and non-replacement of retirees.

    In all these suggestions, Buhari must run an open and transparent administration designed to inspire the citizens of this country. His cabinet must be the best this country can produce and could include some of the young people who have recently showed interest in politics following the president’s signing of the “not too young to rule” law.

    There is a need for the president to ask for advice from friendly nations on what to do to secure this country from marauding herders and terrorists masquerading as jihadists. In this regard, the president needs to replace his security chiefs and try new hands and adopt new tactics to tackle the incendiary problems confronting the country. All these suggestions will need considerable level of socio-political mobilization.The president should mobilize all students in tertiary institutions during their vacations and other unemployed young people for some of his programmes.

    If it is clear to everybody that the president truly belongs to them he will succeed and his name will be written in gold in the annals of this country’s history.

  • Personal feelings on presidential and congressional elections

    With the final tallies of these elections largely determined, it seems the political status quo at the presidency will be maintained after May 2019 when President Muhammadu Buhari will begin his second term. I will next week share my ideas on what the president must do to run an all-inclusive government. But for now I want to share some personal moments with my readers.

    Two members of my family were involved tangentially and frontally in these elections.  These are Akin Osuntokun and Fela Durotoye respectively. I have personal aversion for politics although I have strong political views which I have often expressed as diplomatically as I can.  I also grew up in an intensely political family. Some of my readers old enough may think I am referring to the pre-independence and post-colonial politics in Nigeria. It goes beyond that because my great grandfather, Dada, was a generalissimo in the Ekitiparapo army of the 1870s to 1880s. War of course is politics by other means. When the war ended, my great grandfather, a prince of Ajase- Ipo ancestry supported BalogunIshola  Fabunmi who even though a prince too tried to use force to overthrow the then reigning king of Okemesi. When the abortive coup failed, Fabunmi and my great-grandfather had to leave Okemesi. Fabunmi later became king of Imesi-Ile, the original homestead of Okemesi people while my great-grandfather remained in exile in Igbajo. Our family houses were burnt.

    History repeated itself in 1966 when after the January coup d’état, our family houses were again burnt by enemies of Chief Oduola  Osuntokun  my brother, who was a minister in the Awolowo and Akintola governments.It was then I vowed never to be involved in politics.

    It is a long history which I do not want to inflict on my readers since this is already in my autobiography since 2005.

    Now to the current politics. FelaDurotoye is a son I am very proud of. His case is that of morning shows the day as childhood shows manhood. Fela’s father, Professor Tokunbo Durotoye was more than a cousin to me; he was my elder brother whose love for me was as total and as intense as mine for him. When he passed on prematurely after having reached the status of professor of physiology, I tried my best to support his young children of whom Fela was the youngest and most precocious and in character a chip of the old block. When he was a child, without having lived in Okemesi, he spoke the dialect to the admiration of those who had lived there all their lives. He showed how much in touch he was with the local reality of his native town. When he graduated, I went to Ife to throw a cocktail party for him and when he got his first salary he shared it to all of us saying he heard that he was expected to do this. Fela’s mother, Adeline Bisi Durotoye was a professor of Geology unfortunately she died a few years ago. She was my classmate at the University of Ibadan. She was a great and gentle soul who loved everybody with the love of Christ. She came from the ruling house of Onimole in Lagos.

    When Fela told me he was contesting for president, I tried to dissuade him and sent him to have discussions with people versed in the difficult terrain of Nigerian politics. I also spoke to my brother, Professor Olu Durotoye, Fela’s uncle who agreed with me about the whole thing being a wild goose chase. But Fela is old enough and he had my prayers. I am happy he made his mark and the future belongs to him and his generation and if people in heaven can see what goes on here, Fela’s parents will be immensely proud of him as we all are.

    Akin Osuntokun in my very eyes has become a seasoned politician. Needless to say we have our political differences arising out of our age and political experiences. Akin has a great gift of the pen which he sometimes deploys with killing effect. He is more of a scholar in politics than a real politician. He is too brutal with his opinion and language. He reminds me of Chief Awolowo who in 1979 said if he was elected president he would abolish the ministry of information and tourism because there was no infrastructure to support it and that only somebody who had enjoyed so much luxury in the west and wants to have a taste of hell would come to Nigeria as a tourist! He added he would immediately ban importation of used clothes and dried Stork fish from Norway. He argued, usually with facts, that using clothes that had been worn by others was degrading and that eating dried stork (panla or oporoko) fish which was fed to slaves being carried across the Atlantic to the Western Hemisphere duringthe transatlantic slave trade brought back unhappy memories of the humiliation of our black brethren. He was right on both counts but our Igbo compatriots said he deliberately targeted those two items because he hated them. Chief Awolowo must have been shocked by the interpretation of his political opponents. Akin Osuntokun writes with academic license which as a politician he should have been avoiding. I have seen some of his well-reasoned writings and interviews and I tell myself that my nephew should go back to the university to study diplomacy. Privately, I have been urging him to go for a PhD in any area of political science which he should be able to finish within three years and instead of going back to politics he should join a university anywhere in the world and he will be able to mellow his rhetoric and argue as an academic rather than as a politician.

    Akin has an uncanny understanding of Nigerian politics and he has inherited from his illustrious father the mastery of the English language even more than many of us who have spent all our lives in academia. I try to moderate his written interventions but in recent times his verbal interventions have not always been what I would have advised or wanted. I guess what now guides my political discourse is the Yoruba adage of “Eniti Sango ba toju e wole a mope oba Ko so nikoso”. I was incarcerated for months by the Abacha regime. Needless to say it was not a pleasant experience and I won’t want my enemy not to talk of my blood relation to experience such wickedness and humiliation. When Obasanjo set up the Chukwudifu Oputa panel  in 1999,  I went before it to give testimony of what the great Nnamdi Azikiwe would have called “man’s inhumanity to man”. But nothing came out of it. The whole thing was a charade signifying nothing and did not assuage our feelings and neither was any one held to account because General Abacha did not personally and directly maltreat those of us in detention in his name.

    In this election, I supported General Muhammadu Buhari just I have supported his political career and electoral contest in the last four elections for many reasons bordering on his personal integrity and my personal knowledge of him. I first met him, I think in 1980 or thereabouts. He was a student in United States Army War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania, specializing in command and general strategic studies. Obasanjo had just handed over power to civilians in 1979 and Buhari was minister of petroleum resources in Obasanjo’s military government. Dr Olusola Saraki, father of Bukola Saraki was a senator in the Second Republic. He was chairman of senate committee on petroleum resources and had alleged that N2.8 billion was missing from the account of NNPC.  Buhari was so peeved that he wanted to abandon his programme to return home to defend his honour. Before returning home, he came to consult with Major General (Dr) Olufemi Adefope who was staying in my house in Potomac Maryland USA with his wife and was receiving medical attention. Mrs Dotun Adefope was my wife, Biodun’s aunt. It took all the medical persuasive effort of Adefope to prevail on Buhari and calm him down that he was not personally involved in keeping NNPC’s book in order. He was later cleared. He made a strong impression on me on that occasion. The second time was in 1983 in Professor Jibril Aminu’s house when Aminu was vice chancellor of University of Maiduguri and I was dean, faculty of arts. General Buhari had ordered the 23rd Armoured Brigade under the then Lieutenant Colonel Joshua Dogonyaro to pursue from Bagaacross Lake Chad, Chadian troops who had invaded Nigeria. Buhari was then GOC 3rd armoured corps division of the Nigerian army in Jos. He was allegedly reprimanded by civilian authority in Lagos for not getting approval for his action. The third time I met him  was when in 1984  as head of state, he and General Tunde Idiagbon, his deputy, hosted my brother, Professor Kayode Osuntokun and his family to a lunch in Dodan Baracks for my brother’s  national merit award  in medicine. The fourth time was in 1992 or thereabouts when as ambassador of Nigeria to the Federal Republic of Germany, I met him in Frankfurt and later went to pay courtesies to him in Hamburg. He opened up to me about how Babangida detained him and his patriotic wishes for the country. His simplicity in all these occasions was simply overwhelming. His greatest shortcoming is that his human and social horizons are severely limited. If he sees me today he will not be able to recognize me which is a terrible fault in any person in politics. But all put together he can be a battle axe to fix the problems of this benighted country if he opens up his circle of advisers and if he recruits the best people from across the country right away not  waiting until he is sworn in for another term. I hope somebody like Ken Nnamani will be made Secretary to the Government of the Federation to assuage the feeling of isolation of people of the Southeast.

  • Election panic in Nigeria

    I came to Ibadan on Thursday, February 14 to vote in the presidential election scheduled for Saturday, February 16. As I got to Ibadan I noticed that for the two days preceding the election, there was pandemonium in every market and shopping mall with hundreds of thousands of people furiously buying up all available food stuffs as if they were preparing for Christmas or Id-el Adhaor what we generally call in Nigeria Id -el Kabir (Ileya). But why people were stocking food in their homes was the fear that chaos and violence were going to accompany the elections. This was in spite of all the assurances by the authorities that all will be well. I was told the same rush on the markets and shops for the same reason of fear took place in Lagos. From this scenario, it is easy to extrapolate the fact that the people would rather be spared this awesome event associated with electoral democracy if possible. Yet democracy as defined by Abraham Lincoln is government of the people for the people by the people. But from the fear people have for this every four-year ordeal, it is doubtful if the ordinary people in Nigeria welcome this so-called democratic right to choose their representatives. Ordinary people associate elections with thuggery, violence and death. They do not see those elected as their representatives. In a country where the bill to pay workers minimum wage of N30,000 per month is being kicked around  in parliament while their  so-called representatives in the National Assembly spirit home N23 million in wages and allowances every month, it is indeed very difficult for the people to look forward to these periodic elections.

    If they are positively excited about them, why the demonstrable and manifest fear?How wonderful it would have been if we have an educated citizenry that could vote from secured computer outlets without the prying eyes of security forces, party agents, thugs, foreign and local busybodies or so-called observers who have too much leisure and money in their hands and want to come to benighted Africa to carry, in the words of Rudyard Kipling, the “white man’s burden”.

    There are people who look forward to the seasons of elections. Naturally politicians are most happy to find something doing and to make tons of money and to stock their bank accounts at home and abroad until the next elections. I must say however that foreign banks are a little bit more discriminating these days in accepting monies from people they describe as “politically exposed individuals”. But I am sure our smart politicians can always find ways around this little difficulty. Election season is also a fertile season of monetary harvests for muscle men, bouncers and thugs who are for hire for the highest bidder. These are generally unemployed or underemployed young men with little education. They have no loyalty to any one and their courage to fight is further fortified by intake of drugs, the commonest of which is marijuana, hashish and cocaine. The foot soldiers of the security organizations are also on the take from politicians while their supervisors and superior officers expect to benefit from huge and humongous budgets at the control of the parties hierarchy. Others benefiting from these periodic elections are the electoral officers who run the elections. Some years ago, an Assistant Director in INEC was indicted for having billions of Naira in cash and properties scattered all over Abuja and Lagos. Sad still are young men and women who are recruited as ad hoc staff from the National Youth Service Corps and pressed into the electoral process and exposed to the bribing spree that goes on in the process of conducting elections in Nigeria. But perhaps the saddest thing is the horde of religious charlatans and various marabouts predicting the winners and offering prayers for sale. University vice chancellors are now in recent years, being co-opted into the process by asking them to announce election results which they cannot vouch for. They cannot refuse because the state is their employer. In the entire process the ordinary people’s role is that of cannon fodder.

    I was still asking myself whether people will come out of their self-imposed fortresses to vote on Saturday, February 16 when I was stopped on my way to where to vote and told the presidential election had been postponed. I was told that an announcement had been made in the night to that effect. I am not in a position to say whether the reasons given were sufficient enough to lead to postponement of the election and there is no point in second-guessing the electoral commission.  The onus is on them to deliver the rescheduled elections and other elections as efficiently and effortlessly as possible. Nigeria is a large country with several logistical challenges. In the best of times, things go wrong in Nigeria. One can only pray that the elections will go well. Politicians of all parties have jumped into the fray blaming and accusing INEC of being in cahoots with the government to favour one party or the other. The Internet is replete with all kinds of tales of how some countries are dictating to our government and INEC what to do or not to do. People have very short memories. Is this the first time dates of elections have been shifted inNigeria? Why the desperation this time? What is a week in the life of a nation?

    What if by postponing the elections INEC delivers a near perfect election? Some of us who have global perspective know that it took months for the final tallies of the 2016 and 2018 Congressional elections in the United States to be resolved. Just as in Nigeria there were insinuations of tampering with the results but the heavens did not fall. These foreign observers should first pull out the beams in their eyes before attempting to pull out the specs in our eyes. There is no reason for foreigners and opposition parties to cry about electoral malpractices even before the commencement of the electoral process. Some of those who have been caught after the postponement of the elections of having already thumb-printed electoral materials have surprisingly come from the party shouting about rigging. There seems to be attemptsto paint everybody with electoral malpractice so that the real culprit will apparently go scot free or there is an attempt to give a perception of everybody is involved in rigging so that the equation will somehow be balanced.

    The challenge before government and INEC is that the coming elections must be so well conducted that there will be no doubt about its authenticity and fairness. No effort and no amount must be spared to deliver a transparently honest election that will reflect the wishes of the people. The work of government can only be done if the winner’s legitimacy is without doubt. Even though people say the choice between the two leading presidential candidates in the persons of the incumbent president, Muhammadu Buhari and former vice president,Abubakar Atiku is between a tweedle dee and a tweedledum, I say we cannot have a starker choice between Buhari and Atiku. The difference is between light and darkness, between day and night, between going forward to the next level and going back to the years of yore. I am clear in my mind that Nigeria would not go back to Egypt but go on to Canaan as we say in my church and as the inimitable Kenneth Ozumba  Mbadiwe would have said “forward ever backward never”.

    One of the most important things that have come out of this presidential election is the minimal use of money to try and buy votes. The government has not sent trailers to the Central Bank to bring out billions of dollars and Naira to share to its supporters and has also made it difficult for the opposition to buy people with its huge war chest.If this is the only thing that has been achieved in this regime, the people of Nigeria and those coming after us will be grateful to President Buhari, a man who has been so much pilloried because he has made it difficult for people to have huge unearned income. A lot of people were waiting for the open Sesame of the easy money thrown around during the elections. Many people, including apparently “respectable” people are not happy that they have been denied the opportunity to share the “National cake”. This group unfortunately include the common people who argue perhaps logically that the only time they share in the country’s wealth is the “empowerment money” they get during electoral campaign and while queuing to vote. This is why I have argued that our democracy would not mean much until we have a blueprint for rapid economic development and implement it so as to leapfrog this country from its present state of underdevelopment to a state where our counsel and weight will count in the comity of developed nations. In such a state, who wins or loses an election will not be a matter of life or death. In this election, for me and my house, we are voting for Muhammadu Buhari and Yemi Osinbajo.

  • Futility of elections without economic development

    The first election I was conscious of was the electoral college of 1951 through which members of regional houses of assembly were elected in Nigeria into the regional parliaments in Ibadan, Enugu, and Kaduna. It was from these regional assemblies that representatives were sent to the central parliament in Lagos. I would not have been conscious of what was happening but for the fact that one of my older brothers was one of those elected or perhaps it will be more correct to say “selected”. I was too young to know what the hullabaloo was all about at the age of nine. Even my brother, Oduola who was elected was a foreigner to me because up till that time, I had never met him. While I was growing up, he was in Fourah Bay College (a constituent college of University of Durham) and I only heard stories of him from my mother. I only knew my other brothers in Government College Ibadan and Christ School Ado Ekiti whenever they made quick visits to my mother.

    The evolution of elections in Nigeria from 1923 elections in Lagos and Calabar into Sir Hugh Clifford’s Legislative Council of Nigeria is fairly well known to deserve repetition here but it will suffice to say periodic elections which are part of democratic system has never solved our problem in Nigeria but rather they have always exacerbated our problems and have always exposed the ethnic fault lines of our country. A day after such elections involving the expenditure of huge amounts of government and personal monies, the problems always remain until another election.The question is why do the same thing over and over expecting different results? Is that not the definition of madness? Suppose there is another way of politics without the ruinous periodic elections?

    What is the purpose of these periodic elections? The purpose presumably is renewal of leadership and possibly of political and economic direction. Are there countries where this is being done without the attending ruinous violence and ethnic mayhem characteristic of elections in Nigeria? Is electoral democracy the last paradigm on political governance? Which should come first between economic development and political development?

    Are there lessons from history both past and contemporary that can help in elucidating the problems of today and foreshadowing the future? I had this kind of discussion with an academic colleague who simply dismissed me as a frustrated man who because of poor development in his country was consequently being led into the path of fascism and illiberality. My friend is probably right but I will first want to put some of my ideas forth before my readers who may find them not too crazy after all.

    The question to ask is what is the purpose of government? Is it not to guarantee peace, law and order? How does government do this except through provision of good living conditions, good jobs, domestication of the environment through good infrastructure, provision of electricity, transportation grid, health and education facilities that should be able to regenerate and replicate themselves. In short, governments exist for the humanization of society in a sustainable way. In an ideal situation, all these can be done through careers open to talents of finding the right people to run things. The yardstick of success or failure will be the efficiency and performance of the system. The problem is how to find the right people in a multi-ethnic society? This can be done through wholesale decentralization with representatives chosen by acclamation, from the local communities and sent to regional assemblies or national parliament not on party basis but on the basis of their peoples’ confidence in them as well as their expertise. The unit of this representation will be the villages and towns small enough for people to be able to vouch for one another.The time they spend representing their communities will be fixed and they would be remunerated by the communities that send them so that there will be no disconnect between them and the people they represent. The rural communities will be linked to one another by mutual pact of defence which will be defended by all able men and women in some kind of a citizen army. There will be no standing army like in Costa Rica, but in time of danger, every citizen will be called upon to defend the community. There will of course be police force based on community policing.  These community police forces would be linked together city by city, region by region and the central police will merely coordinate the overall policing efforts. Essentially the unit of administration will be small like cities and a coalition of villages. The central core of my proposals will be a lean civil service at local, state, regional and central levels recruited based on transparent competition and meritocracy. Civil servants will enjoy tenure based on efficiency, performance and success of the enterprise. The purpose of the system will be economic development while politics will be totally irrelevant. My belief is that if everybody is gainfully employed there will be little time of politicking. People will be working so hard and enjoying the fruits of their labour that they would have little time for the gossips which are the core ingredients of the Nigerian type of politics where debate is only about sharing and which ethnic coalition is in and which is out and little attention is paid to technological innovations or things that would benefit society at large.

    It has been proved in countries like Italy and Belgium and even in Germany which for months and in some cases are so politically divided that they can’t form coalition governments, yet the work of development continues through their enlightened and focused bureaucracy. From my experience in Germany, the work of development and governance are done at local, city and villages levels rather than at the leviathan centre.

    There is a global trend nowadays in which people prefer governments closer to home than governments in distant regional or federal capitals.T his centre to periphery has been embraced in Europe as an administrative attempt to encourage the feeling of patriotism in areas that feel forgotten by the forces of centralization and globalization. This idea of subsidiarity has been widely embraced in the European Union where transfer of administration to the periphery is encouraged and practiced.

    In China leaders emerge through a carefully planned recruiting system albeit through the Communist Party. But somehow this system seems to throw up good material for leadership without which the great economic strides the Chinese have made in recent times would probably have been impossible. I am not advocating wholesale adoption of the Chinese system but we should take a close look at it instead  of our regular waste of resources time and lives on the western model of electoral democracy for which we have little temperament and resources and even time if we are to leapfrog several developmental stages of economic developments.

    In economically advanced countries, people do not waste their time on where people come from. This is because of their developed economies. Who wins or loses elections is not as life-threatening or nation-shaking as they are in a country like our own. As imperfect as the USA is, Barack Obama, a black man, still became president. In Canada within living memory, French Canadians like Pierre Elliot Trudeau, Brian Mulroney, Jean Chretien and now Justin Trudeau have become prime ministers in spite of being members of the minority French Canadians. What matters is what one is bringing to the table. This is because the state is already economically developed and winning elections are not matters of life or death. What is now generally referred to as the “deep state’ will take care of an errant parvenu coming to power and trying to upset the applecart. The point to make is “the economy stupid!” as president Bill Clinton said to underscore the fact that economic well-being takes precedence over politics. The devil will usually use jobless hands for evil deeds. Any system that does not guarantee fair economic well-being of the people will fail. This was why in the 19th century, emphasis in universities in Europe was placed on political economy rather than the separate studies of economics and politics. Politics is meaningless if it is not rooted in economics. We will not make it as long as we keep the wheel before the horse. No matter how many elections we have no matter the permutations and the ethnic alliances we form or forge, we will not build a nation until we build an economy that can sustain the politics of jobs and jobs for everyone so as to make sense of our constitutional preamble of building an egalitarian society.The stupendous strides the Chinese have made in recent years was not due to their politics, and not even on the totalitarian control of all levers of power by the Communist party of China but on discipline rooted in ancient Confucius ethics and national pride, determination and self-sacrifice. If we can somehow achieve national consensus about the future based on massive economic development based on exploitation of our God-given agricultural lands, abundant sunshine, mineral and water resources, homegrown innovation,then we can come up with our own unique ‘democracy’ that may or may not be based on periodic electoral process. But if it works judged on economic development, then that is what we need and we should stop monkeying around any western democratic paradigm.

  • Brief history of UN and Nigeria’s role in it

    The foundation of the United Nations in 1945 did not occur in a historical void. The idea of international government and collective security can be traced to the League of Nations formed in 1919 after the First World War. Its purpose then was securing world peace after the tragedy of the First World War which led to the death of over 20 million people from direct military action, collateral damage and disease particularly the outbreak of influenza in 1918. The situation in 1945 was even worse. Mankind had perfected greater destructive means of warfare including the release of the nuclear genii from the bottle thus presenting mankind the possibility of total self-immolation and destruction if measures were not taken to curtail man’s slippery road to collective suicide. It was this realization that made the victorious powers to begin to think even during the war of how to secure the peace that was bound to follow the global conflict. This led to the Atlantic Declaration (Charter) first made in 1941 by the leaders of Great Britain and the United States namely Winston Churchill and Franklin Delano Roosevelt respectively to set up an international organization with the aim of collectively securing global peace, a peace which will be based on fairness, equity and justice. After the charter was made in 1941, representatives of 26 nations at war with the Axis powers met in Washington DC to sign the Declaration of the United Nations. Following up on this, the British Foreign Secretary Anthony Eden and the United States Secretary of State, Cordell Hull met at the Quebec conference in Canada in August 1943 and agreed to draft a declaration that included “a general international organization, based on the principle of sovereign equality of all nations’. This was followed up with an agreement in principle to form an international organization for maintenance of world peace after a conference in Moscow in October 1943. President Franklin D. Roosevelt met in November 1943 with the USSR President Joseph Stalin in Tehran, Iran, and proposed an international organization comprising an assembly of all member states and a 10-member executive council to discuss social and economic issues. He proposed that the USA, the USSR, Great Britain and China will enforce peace as the “four policemen” of the world. What later became specialized agencies of the United Nations began to crystallize namely – Food and Agricultural Organization, (May 1943); United Nations Relief and Rehabilitation Administration (November 1943); United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (April 1944); International Monetary Fund and World Bank (July 1944); and International Civil Aviation Organization (November 1944).

    When the US, British, Soviet and Chinese representatives met in Dumbarton Oaks in Washington in August and September 1944 to draft a charter of a post-war international organization based on the principle of collective security, they recommended a General Assembly (UN-GA) of all member states and a Security Council (UNSC) consisting of the Big Four plus six members chosen by the General Assembly. Voting procedures and the veto power of permanent members were finalized at the Yalta conference in 1945. Representatives of 50 nations met in San Francisco from April to June 1945 to complete the charter of the United Nations. In addition to five permanent members – France having been added to the original four, and six elected members of the Security Council and a General Assembly of all states, there was an 18-member Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC). Other organs included an International Court Of Justice, Trusteeship Council to oversee certain colonial territories and a Secretariat under a Secretary General (UNSG). Later other specialized agencies like the World Health Organization, International Labour Organization, UNESCO became important arms of the United Nations Organization.

    To avoid the fate of Woodrow Wilson’s League of Nations which the US Senate did not ratify, Franklin Delano Roosevelt carried the bi-partisan senate along and by July 1945 by a vote of 89 to 2, the United States Senate ratified the United Nations treaty. The United Nations came into existence on October 24, 1945 after 29 nations had ratified the protocol setting it up.

    Nigeria‘s membership

    Before Nigeria became a member of the UN, African countries like Ethiopia, Egypt, Liberia, Morocco and South Africa were founding members in 1945. Libya (1955) Sudan (1956) and Ghana (1957) beat Nigeria to membership of the United Nations. There were historic reasons for the earlier African members. Ethiopia, Egypt and Morocco are older nations than many European countries not to talk about relatively new countries in the Americas. Liberia was established in 1823 as a sovereign country for liberated Black American slaves  when many of the African countries were still sovereign kingdoms and principalities before being brought together to form the present African countries. But the wave of independent African countries since late 1950s and early 1960s saw large numbers of them becoming members of the United Nations and its specialized agencies.

    In October 1960, Nigeria became a member of the United Nations as part of its sovereign right as an independent African nation. There were high hopes that Nigeria was an emergent power in Africa. Our then prime minister who doubled as foreign minister addressed the UN in October 1960 declaring among other things, friendship with “our trading partners” and other democratic countries in the world. The prime minister also said Nigeria will defend the interest of all black peoples where ever they might be and would not compromise with forces of colonialism, racism and apartheid regime in South Africa. In this speech, Nigeria set the trajectory of its foreign policy for the next 50 years. Some have said Nigeria’s ambition was not based on political and economic realism. But there is no doubt that it was an inspirational agenda. Nigeria has distinguished itself as a troop contributory country to most UN peace-keeping operations right from 1960 to the present. Nigeria has also been elected once or twice as president of the General Assembly of the United Nations and more than twice as an elected member of the UNSC. Several Nigerians have served in executive positions in the specialized agencies of the UN such as the WHO, ICAO, WMO, ILO, the World Court, the World Bank and at the Under Secretary General level of the United Nations Secretariat. Nigeria has also been effective in the disarmament conference in Geneva and in the UN effort to ban the use of nuclear and biological weapons as well as in making the continent of Africa nuclear weapons free. Between 1988 and 1990, Nigeria championed the cause of prohibiting trans-boundary transportation of nuclear and hazardous wastes. There is no doubt that the high profile of Nigeria at the United Nations has shot her  to the front of those advocating for an overhauling of the UN  structure to reflect the present global community as well as the need for the democratization of the UNSC. Africa while supporting reform of the UN insisted that it should at least have a seat on the Security Council (UNSC) not only to represent Africa but black humanity. When those who did not want to hear this challenged Africa by saying which of the African countries should occupy the permanent chair for Africa, Nelson Mandela said Nigeria was the obvious choice because of her role in championing the cause of Africa. Others said Nigeria is an authentic African country unlike the rainbow nation of South Africa. Furthermore Nigeria has the largest concentration of black people in the world (180 million) and also the biggest economy in Africa with a GDP of around $400 billion. Compared with possible competitors like Egypt, South Africa and Morocco Nigeria’s position remains unassailable. Nigeria chaired the Decolonization and Anti-apartheid committee of the UN from its inception to the end of the odious and racist regime in South Africa. Nigeria’s troops and police contribution to UN peace-keeping and peace-enforcement operations all over the world has been third only to India and Bangladesh. On the principle of service deserving its rewards, Nigeria feels if reforms were to come, it should be considered as a permanent representative of Africa on the UN Security Council. I must say America preferred Egypt because it is a long time American ally while the Europeans preferred South Africa and Africans themselves were not united behind any particular country. The late Kofi Annan was in favour of reforms of the UN structure but the big powers particularly the United States was totally against any form of reform and since this could not be done without the United States acquiescence because of her veto power, the reform movement died a natural death.

  • Atiku’s visit to USA: Much ado about nothing

    Some weeks ago, Abubakar Atiku in a clandestine fashion visited the United States Of America for the first time since  he was denied a visa after leaving office as vice president under former President Olusegun Obasanjo in 2007. He had been denied a visa following the jailing for 13 years of his business associate, a certain Congressman, by the name of William Jefferson representing New Orleans in the US Congress for corruption. Atiku was implicated in the charges of corruption and money laundering. He has however not been convicted  yet for any offences even though he was indicted. The Congressman had hidden $500,000 in his freezer allegedly to be given to Atiku to facilitate an award of a contract in Nigeria. The burden of visa denial weighed heavily on  Atiku who wants to be president. His opponents in the ruling APC made a song and dance issue about it. It was implied that he was guilty even though he had neither been charged nor tried. This was why Atiku put so much effort and money into securing a visa to the USA. Finally after getting the visa, his party, the PDP made it look as if America was supporting their man.  Some have claimed that Atiku went under the cover of Bukola Saraki, the controversial senate president. If true, that would have been a humiliation. But whatever the case might have been, Atiku went to the USA without the threat of Nigeria’s former vice president and a presidential candidate of the most important African country being dragged before an American judge and possibly detained. But Atiku must have gotten clearance that such a scenario would not happen. It would not have surprised many people if Donald Trump’s America said it was supporting him.  Donald Trump could possibly find a soul mate in Atiku just as he praised Malaysia’s Najib Razak who with his wife,  Rosmah Manssor embezzled  $4.5 billion belonging to his country. When Najib visited him in the White House, he played the music Trump was eager to hear when during the visit, he placed orders for millions of dollars worth of goods from American companies. Donald Trump’s celebration of Najib Razak has now become an embarrassment. But this did not stop the Malaysian people  from throwing out Najib Razak  in their recent elections and bringing back to power 93-year old  Mahathir Mohammed and  Anwar Ibrahim, a former finance minister who had been disgraced out of office accused of sodomy.

    I am making this point just to say America will not determine who wins in our  elections. Trump’s America has ceased being the standard by which countries are judged on morality and integrity in global politics. In fact, no country has a moral monopoly of what is right in politics and as president, Trump has said each country should defend its own national interest.

    Never mind that those who should know better are shouting at their rooftops that the USA and Europe and the United Nations should intervene in our domestic affairs whenever they feel threatened. This constant call for outside intervention has emboldened the embassies of western nations to meddle in our domestic affairs. Recently, I read in the newspapers that the European Union ambassadors and the ambassador of the United States either called in or visited the  new Inspector-General of Police to remonstrate with him to promise them  that the police will be impartial  during the coming elections. They have done the same with the Independent National Electoral Commission. Presumably they will do the same with the leadership of our armed forces!

    By so doing they have judged our institutions as unworthy and unreliable and are only going to do the right thing when prodded by western nations. What an arrogant and a manifestation of penny pinching piece of racism. In all my life, I have never seen this kind of outright and outrageous undermining of our sovereignty. It is not their fault. It seems some of our politicians are so desperate for office that they would sell our sovereignty just to get elected. The minister of foreign affairs should call these people in and read the contents of the Vienna Act governing diplomatic relations among all countries of the world.

    How will any of these countries react if we also start meddling in their affairs? We can take public positions on Brexit and the Mueller investigation of Russian meddling in the 2016 presidential election in America. There is so much we can do to retaliate by getting involved in the politics of their nations. We are not as weak and supine as they think. We can shift our commercial and political relations from Europe and America to China, India, and Southeast Asia and Japan. As for those who usually clamour for foreign intervention, they had better be careful so that they don’t get what they wish for. They should ask themselves which country has come out better after western or American interventions in recent times. Is it Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, Libya or Somalia.

    I sometimes wonder whether the people urging Europe and America to interfere in our internal affairs know anything about our history and the sacrifices of our nationalist leaders from the 1930s to the 1960s. The humiliation of colonial domination and what our parents went through to get independence should not just be ignored for some temporary political advantage. Some of the actions of our politicians calling for intervention are simply treasonable.

    We should be grateful to God that in spite of provocation we have a level headed president who seems to give everyone incredible latitude to enjoy the fundamental right of freedom of speech but it is in our interest that this right should not be a license to be calling on foreign governments and the United Nations to interfere in our domestic affairs in peace time and whenever there is disagreement between government and the opposition.

    Respect begets respect. We should at the highest level of government call the heads of governments of some  of these countries involved in eternal meddling in the domestic affairs of African countries and tell them that we would not tolerate it again. Do they want to plunge us into civil war and political disequilibrium so that they can from their racist psychology point out to the world how people in Africa always run to them to get political direction and support whenever they have elections in their countries?

    These are the same countries that bellyache about illegal immigration into their countries. Some of their leaders like Donald Trump even publicly say the USA made mistakes by removing Saddam Hussein and Mummer Gaddafi. Nigerians want to be left alone to determine our political future. We all know that this is not the best we can have as a country but rather than plunging precipitously into an uncertain political future, we want to make haste slowly.

    I and others were responsible for the present  zonal approach to rotational presidency. Our committee headed by Professor Joseph Inikori, currently of Rochester University but then at Ahmadu Bello University recommended this to President Ibrahim Babangida. Some politicians who claim to originate it must have gotten copies of the secret report from the presidency. The report has not been properly presented or applied. It went beyond the presidency and included ministerial distribution. I will write about this report sometime later to put in historical perspective how we arrived at the zonal rotational presidency as a stop-gap measure before finally arriving at the proper destination of careers open to talent. What I want to say is that everybody knows our present structure is not too functional but we can rejig and pad it where necessary without bringing down the entire superstructure on our heads. This is my advice to all desperate politicians outside there.

     

  • Tale of two cities: Oyedepo’s Canaanland and Ota

    I visited Covenant University in Pastor Oyedepo’s Canaanland last week Tuesday, January 15, and left on Thursday 17 to participate in a weeklong mock United Nations General Assembly.

    This was a conference hosted by the university’s research clusters. The university also benefited from the United Nations Information Office in Lagos which provided information and intellectual support. Students came from many Nigerian universities such as Afe Babalola, Redeemer’s, Babcock, and the University of Liberia and several other institutions and officials of eight countries to mention a few. There were about 200 students as well as invited academics from a variety of Nigerian universities.

    I was one of the old hands invited to give a lecture at the plenary. It was an interesting and revealing experience for me. The students impressed me with their knowledge of the United Nations operations. I heard some of the students had previously participated in such conferences in Argentina and had been to the NewYork headquarters of the United Nations. Needless to say the conference which was hugely successful must have been a learning experience for the young people. I pray that some of these students will find their ways into their countries’ foreign services.

    I first visited Canaanland some 20 years ago out of curiosity. My unforgettable wife, Abiodun was then the pastor in charge of Jesus Chancery, a parish of the RCCG in Bodija Ibadan. She had heard about the magnificent edifice in Canaanland that could hold 50,000 worshippers at the same time and we were determined to see it. I drove her to the place because I knew the way to Ota which I had visited several times from 1979 onwards at the invitation of General Olusegun Obasanjo who then lived in his farm in the town. There was much traffic then between Lagos and Ota by members of the diplomatic corps who went there to visit Obasanjo as a way of escaping the boredom and chaos in Lagos. I remember the terrible state of the road leading to Ota. I wondered why the road did not catch Obasanjo’s attention before he left power in 1979. But as a Yoruba man, I understood his predicament. It is part of Yoruba morality not to favour oneself especially when one had others looking up to one in position of power. But when Obasanjo miraculously came back to power in 1999 after returning from Golgotha, I had thought he would fix the road before leaving in 2007. But nothing has changed in Ota. The motor-able road stopped at the boundary of Lagos. As one progresses to Ota, the situation becomes more and more intolerable. Finally, one gets to the flyover under which one has to turn left to the “express international highway” to the Republic of Benin and one grinds to full stop of absolute chaos with everybody struggling for the right of way while policemen and traffic wardens and highway marshals watch helplessly. The underpass under the flyover is blocked in a section while the sides of the underpass are lined by decrepit humanity at different stages of physical decay begging for alms. When eventually one makes it out of the underpass of the flyover, then one is faced with the dirtiest town on earth!

    Ota is an industrial town just outside Lagos. Several industries that cannot find space in Lagos have their manufacturing plants in Ota . This has led to flooding the town by Nigerians from everywhere in the country many bringing their dirty village ways of disposal of refuse right on the road of the town. The indigenous Awori people have been swamped and overwhelmed by the new immigrants while the people have been abandoned to their fate by the Ogun State government and the federal government. Ota is the headquarters of Ado- Odo/Ota Local Government. An international highway connecting Nigeria to Porto Novo in the Republic of Benin runs from Ota to Idi-Iroko to Benin. If only to put our best face forward, an international highway providing an opening to our West African world should not be left like this. This has security and foreign policy dimensions. My colleague,Professor Tony Asiwaju, an expert on borderlands has argued over the years that our borders should be well developed to engender the feeling of nationalism by citizens on the borders of the country so that they do not begin to look at the neighbouring country with feeling of desire. This could lead to some of them becoming fifth columnists in times of crisis. The people of Ota should not be put in a situation of this kind of temptation which will make them ask of what benefit is their remaining in Ogun State and Nigeria. Some of them, if given the chance would want to join their Awori kith and kin in Lagos State. But in the meantime Ota remains the dirtiest town in Nigeria.  Why has Ogun State abandoned the town? Is it because of the dispute with Lagos State over the manufacturing industries in Ota paying taxes to Lagos? Ogun State should force the issue by employing legal measures to collect taxes due to it.

    I suggest the whole town be closed down for some Saturdays and the inhabitants should be forced to sweep and remove their garbage from the roads while the Ogun State government should provide vehicles to remove the rubbish from collecting points. Legal action should be taken to compel the local government and the state government to discharge their responsibilities to the citizens. If this does not work, the people should be mobilized to demonstrate against their government.

    Nigeria which sees itself as the leading country in this subregion must do something on the inaccessibility of Ota to Lagos and the Republic of Benin. The road linking the two countries is a “prestige road” which cannot and must not be left in its present state of disrepair. Perception is sometimes decisive in international relations. A person coming into Nigeria from another West African country and entering Nigeria through this garbage covered town will have a wrong impression of our country.

    However, Covenant University in Ota’s dirty environment is one of the finest and most beautiful universities I have ever seen. God knows I have been to many universities in Canada, the USA and Europe. Covenant University is a cross between Simon Fraser University in British Columbia, Canada, Yale, Harvard and Cambridge universities in their exterior. It was a pleasant sight to see a Nigerian place with no potholes on the road and all the roads lined with trees. The staff buildings, student housing and auditoriums were simply impressive. I did not enter the library, the class rooms and the laboratories but saw the outside of them and the impressive stadium. I know the cloth does not make the monk but what I saw made me to pray for Bishop David Oyedepo who had the vision and followed that vision to the point of execution. Live long my dear Bishop! How I wish all our educational institutions were conceived and delivered like Covenant University. Whatever may be missing in in this citadel of learning within which academic excellence and innovation would thrive would be added to this God-inspired university as it matures. When Ota is cleaned up, many Nigerians would be able to visit and marvel at the miracle of Covenant University. If all private universities in Nigeria, 74 at the last count, were like Covenant University, the public universities would have to close down out of lack of patronage and shame of their underdevelopment.

  • Stop indiscriminate approval of private varsities

    Some years ago, l wrote an article on the growing numbers of private universities in Nigeria and I am ashamed that I have to take up the same issue again. Some two weeks or so ago, the Federal Ministry of Education announced approval of five new private universities in different parts of the country bringing the number of private universities to 74. The question to ask is where the staff will come from. Will they come from existing universities? The answer is yes because no foreign academics, not even from other African countries, will be willing to earn the ridiculously poor salaries paid in Nigerian universities.

    The existing private universities are having problems with students’ admission. It is not because there are no willing students, but the fact is that many of them are technically not qualified. They in most cases do not have the prerequisite number of credits at ordinary level. Even with the watered down variant of NECO, many still cannot meet the standard. Private universities also charge tuition fees that are in most cases beyond the purse of parents who are either peasant farmers, artisans, unemployed or sacked workers. There is a lot of frustration in the existing private universities where salaries are paid only with difficulty. Many of them are run as businesses depending solely on students’ fees. Their teachers in most cases are visiting or adjunct teachers who have full time jobs in their home universities. Greedy young people sometimes teach in two, three or four universities at the same time. Some run from one university lecture room to another university some distance away thus endangering their lives. The result of this buccaneering approach to education is poor quality of teaching, supervision and end product of unemployable and poorly educated young people.

    Currently, according to NUC report, the percentage of university teachers with doctorate degrees in their various fields is just about 60 %. The meaning of this is that many of the university teachers are not qualified and should still be students in graduate schools. The result of this is that some of the people holding professorial appointments are not up to mark. About a month ago, several professors in Federal University, Otuoke, Bayelsa State hurriedly established by former President Goodluck Jonathan were downgraded some to lecturer Grade One or even to Lecturer Grade Two! A year or so ago, thesame thing happened in Federal University, Owerri. We have no idea how widespread this malady affecting the universities is. President Jonathan a former lecturer contributed to this bastardization of university education by establishing 12 federal universities without planning the cost or staffing as part of his “dividends of democracy”.  Vice chancellors were appointed as jobs for the boys and each given N2 billion to start with no master or any plan at all. I know one of these so called “dividends of democracy” universities that spent huge amount of this money on hotel bills since it operated virtually from ahotel. It is sad to hear PDP claiming this as part of their achievements during the Jonathan regime. Needless to say that there is no correlation between the manpower needs of the country and these innumerable universities that exist as duplication of existing courses and academic facilities.I am afraid to say that this indiscriminate establishment of universities in Nigeria since 1999 has not helped Nigeria in any way.

    It is not just private universities that are being established; the federal and state governments are also doing the same. In some cases, states that cannot fund one university adequately have established two or three as in Ondo, Edo, Kano and Ogun states. Each of the 36 states of the federation excluding Abuja has a federal university.This means there are 36 federal universities and more than 36 state universities. We now have about 150 universities in Nigeria. This is just not sustainable. This situation has brought the idea of university education to disrepute. We all know that none of the universities in Nigeria is ranked in the first 1000 or perhaps 2000 in the world. Yet when people in my generation went to University of Ibadan, our degrees received global recognition. A Nigerian in those days heading for post-graduate studies anywhere in the world did not even have to study for a Master’s degree before being registered for a doctoral degree. Medical doctors from Ibadan were immediately registrable in any part of the Commonwealth. Professors and senior lecturers could spend their sabbatical years in many Commonwealth and American universities. Examinations were externally moderated and a first class degree anywhere in Nigeria was globally recognized. The standards have so fallen that it will be a miracle to go back to where we were in the 1970s.

    The reason for this apparent collapse is due largely to poor funding because of the overwhelming numbers of federally and state-funded universities.  Most of the private ones are in hopeless condition because of the tight financial situation in which they have found themselves. Some private universities like AfeBabalola University,Ado-Ekiti and Lead University, Ibadan belong to a new and different category of well-funded and well-run private universities.  Generally, the private universities established by religious and sectarian institutions like Redeemers University, Ede, Ajayi Crowther and Covenant universities are doing reasonably well.  In general, religious mission-backed universities stand better chance of survival than others. But even within these sectarian organizations, the usual Nigerian problem of ethnic division has crept in to affect the funding of their universities. Thus for example, instead of having one Anglican or Catholic university supported by the weight of national church, what you have is division of efforts between the various church organizations along regional and ethnic lines. This does not augur well for these institutions. Religious organizations that operate nationally are more likely to have better universities in the long run. But the private universities established for profit are doomed to fail and close down. The money needed to run good universities are just not what business men will invest because the dividends are not likely to manifest soon and Nigerian business men and women do not have the patience to invest in a long term project like establishing tertiary institutions. Would it not have made sense if business people are encouraged to establish technical and polytechnic colleges to train skilled artisan and technologists? Most of the current federal and state polytechnics have diverted from the right path and are now graduating people in mass communication, accountancy, business administration instead of focusing on core engineering and technical courses. The NUC and the body in charge of polytechnics should ensure that when they are licensed, they should as much as possible, avoid duplicating existing courses available in other institutions. They should be encouraged to innovate and bring up courses that are new and that would promote self-employment. The professional bodies like engineers and physicians should make it difficult for private universities and even state universities to start professional courses they do not have staff, facilities or funding for.

    I do not want to be misunderstood as wanting university education for only a fraction on Nigerians. An argument can be made for university education being an elite thing for that critical mass that can serve as leaven to change society for the better. But even if we embrace the American idea of mass university education in Nigeria, the universities our children attend must be universities in truth and indeed. We must not just call any building a university and start admitting students into it and to graduate them with their wishy washy education after a period of forgettable stay in such an institution. Whatever is worth doing at all is worth doing well. If we must have universities in every village, let us plan for them; let us determine their specialization and staff. This was what the NUC assisted universities to do in the 1970s following the first wave of tertiary education expansion in the country. We sent students to best universities in Canada, the USA and the United Kingdom for doctoral degrees. Professor JibrilAminu planned this very well and I was involved in students placement first in Canada and then in the USA between 1978 and 1982. Expansion, even though resisted at that time, was well planned and the results have borne out the far-sightedness of the policy. It was not done haphazardly and unreasonably as it is being done today. If we do not put a stop to this incessant approval of universities establishment in Nigeria, the country will suffer the unpleasant consequences of producing certificated illiterates and unemployable graduates.

  • The young shall grow

    Some 30 or so years ago when one of my nieces was getting married, I went to the ceremony with my young daughter who, having been born abroad was not familiar with our culture of deference to those who are older than us. I was already sitting on reserved chairs like all invited guests when one of my brother’s friends came in and could not find a seat shouted at me saying –”why are you sitting when there is no chair for me?” In good humour I stood up and gave him my chair. My daughter was upset and burst into tears and came to me saying I should not have stood up for the “bully”. I tried to explain perhaps unsatisfactorily that the man was “my older brother” who was exercising the right of an older sibling and that this was normal in Nigeria.

    Now the man who was a young man then is now my old self who is now the head of the extended family. That my “older brother” is still alive but blind but I will mention this article to him so that he can have a big laugh.

    I am acutely aware that times have changed and that I have no right to lord anything over even the youngest in the extended family. I can’t even decide for my own immediate nuclear family because they also belong to their own nuclear families as married people. In fact the tendency now is for my children to want to control my life because they think old age has caught up with me. Who knows? They may be right.

    It is a matter of joy seeing my children, my nephews and nieces making great strides in life.

    Some weeks ago in a phone conversation with Chief DejiFasuan from Ado Ekiti, he reminisced about the incomparable brilliance of my late brother Kayode Osuntokun while both of them were children in Christ’s School Ado Ekiti. He then asked me with concern and curiosity if any of Kayode’s children inherited his brain. He also asked with compassion for my brother’s widow, Olabopo who herself retired from the College of Medicine in Ibadan as a professor Of Ophthalmology. I told Chief Fasuan that the children were brilliant in their different ways spread across the professions of law, accountancy and medicine. None of them is in academia strictly speaking. I almost wrote thankfully when I said they are not teaching in any university where the vows of poverty would have been taken. Their father would have been disappointed about this but I do not think it would have mattered or changed the children from their carefully chosen career paths.

    One of his children has just made a mark which any parent would be proud of. Segun his third child and first son has just been appointed managing partner in London of a firm called Bryan Cave Leighton Paisner (BCLP). This firm has 1400 lawyers in 32 offices across the USA , Europe, the Middle East and Asia.

    BCLP has a turnover in excess of $900 million. Segun is the managing partner of the City of London office of the firm. The city office has a turnover of over $200 million with 600 lawyers 150 of whom are partners. To the glory of God, Segun is the first and only Nigerian to be the managing partner of a significantly-sized city law firm or company. Having been educated in the London School of Economics and Oxford University, Segun is well prepared for his march through life. Segun unfortunately did not go to Christ School! Chief Fasuan would have been disappointed about this. I am also not too happy that none of my own children was baptized by the Holy Spirit in Christ School! I suppose those of us who went to the great school can stand in the gap as we say in the Pentecostal churches for our children!

    My late brother loved Christ School so much that he wrote in his will and made provision for an annual award and a cash prize for the best science student in the school. This award has been made 23 times since his joining the saints triumphant. I am sure Chief Fasuan is now persuaded that Kayode’s children are chips of the old block.

    Remembering the old times, Professor Kayode Osuntokunmost times felt the only pursuit worth following was medicine. If he could force all his five children, he would have made them doctors. I remember how disappointed he was when his second child, Remi said that she did not want to study medicine but that she actually hated the profession. When this child later became a chartered accountant and was recruited by an international oil company and she showed her father her salary package, he could not believe it and jokingly exclaimed that the daughter’s salary was more than the combined salaries of both her parents who were professors of medicine. In spite of this, he did not think too much of any other profession and he showed disappointment in people like me who took a totally different academic path. He was particularly pleased with his two youngest sons and two of his nephews and a niece who followed him into the medical profession. He had confided in me that he wanted his youngest son to specialize in nuclear and molecular medicine because according to him, that was the future of medicine and was prepared to spend all he had to support him. His early death changed all this and perhaps the young man he wanted to build in his own image would not have wanted to have gone the way his father plotted. It is nice to have a great father and Segun who is the centre of this article was pushed hard by his father. When he realized the young boy was not going to be a doctor or a scientist, he allowed him with tender advice to plot his own professional path. A good degree in Economics from LSE provided a jump off platform for the young man who later added an M. A in law from Oxford University, thus combining radical London training with that of conservative English legal education.

    In reflection, I am happy to witness the quiet successes of my nieces, nephews and my own children. But for the dire economic situation in Nigeria, these young people would have been at home to add to the quantum of knowledge necessary for the development of our country. It seems there are more members of my extended family outside Nigeria than in Nigeria. Well, I guess, we are in a global village but how does this satisfy the need for family ties and physical comradeship and relationship? One thing I am trying to prevent among those of us at home is letting politics spoil our family ties. People have strong views about politics. It is perhaps good that members of the family have different views and positions about the present and future of our country. My experience of growing up in a political family is not too good and if I have my way, I would not want any member of my family being involved in politics. That of course is not possible.Good and knowledgeable people’s involvement in national politics can only be profitable in the long run or else we will be ruled by idiots and nincompoops.  No one knows what the future will bring and no one can stop the march of God on earth and the future is pregnant only God knows what it will bear.

    The young shall grow indeed.

  • Great expectations for 2019

    The year 2018 has not been too great for Nigeria. Too many people died needlessly. Too much blood has been shed in the land. The souls of these people are crying to those of us who are still alive and they are saying “Never again”.The carnage in Zamfara State has gone almost unreported because the print media do not have reporters there. The tragedy in Zamfara is almost inexplicable and inexcusable. It began as a conflict of farmers versus herders but has now morphed into total breakdown of law and order almost on Hobbesian state of brutish violence.The Boko Haram insurgency seems to dominate the media and to capture all our attention. The war against Boko Haram is not only consuming our children, it is also eating into our national treasury. Killings on the Jos plateau, Adamawa, Taraba, Benue and Nassarawa states are also occasionally brought to our notice. The killings in other parts of the country by cattle herders, kidnappers, highway robbers and small time brigands are reported with embellishments and these are the ones that strike terror into the hearts of the people in the south. The tendency all over the country is to look at these problems as not our own until they strike nearer home. The fact however remains that we have never been faced with this countrywide general insecurity and pervasive fear of evil and violence lurking in the corner. There is evil in the land but this does not mean Nigeria is a failed state. There is no country in the world today that is absolutely safe. But we just cannot afford the sobriquet of Nigeria being a failed state.

    I am not surprised that the EU, Great Britain and the USA are issuing travel warnings to their people to boycott Nigeria for now. Even those of us marooned here are trying to avoid traveling unless it is absolutely necessary. Many people did not go home to their towns and villages as they would normally have done during Christmas. The reason for this is because of the general insecurity in the country. People who are over 60 years old remember with nostalgia spending Christmas holidays in the places of their birth when they were young.  I remember people liked to travel at night because of the generally low temperature in the absence of air conditioning in those days .We can only remember those days and not relive them today. Even people traveling between towns on business are nowadays unsure if they will see their loved ones again. If they are not killed by all types of criminals, the potholed roads may swallow them. These brigands always waylay people at the bad portions of our roads with our people suffering the double jeopardy of having accidents on the bad roads and being captured on these bad portions by kidnappers.

    What went wrong and where did we go wrong? One young man asked me this question at Christmas. I tried to tell him that our problem began after the civil war in 1970. Many soldiers on both sides of the war had to be demobilized and left to fend for themselves. The weapons purchased to prosecute the war also fell into the hands of wrong people. The upsurge of violence in our country after the civil war was therefore understandable. But that was several years ago. We had the opportunity and fortune of stupendous oil wealth to solve the problem of post-war violence but we took the wrong steps of indulging in rampant corruption and unnecessary expansion in administrativeinstitutions and expansion and duplication of agencies and parastatals while neglecting the infrastructure that would have provided us the foundation of a modern economy to absorb our population whichgrew in geometrical proportion. Our porous borders have also been exploited by our poorer neighbours, the Cameroons, Chad, Niger and Benin to infiltrate our country and empty their surplus population into our country thus spreading poverty in Nigeria. Many of the problems of insecurity in our northern states are traceable to the influx of people from across western and central Africa. The result of all this is that our resources are grossly inadequate to cope with this ballooning demographic burden. Even the hydrocarbons on which we have unfortunately depended in the past have become unreliable commodities to depend upon. First, oil and gas are finite assets. Secondly, they are becoming environmentally unsustainable in this era of global warming due to greenhouse gas emissions.

    What is to be done? We must build or rebuild our security architecture. This will include not only the armed forces but all armed parastatals of the customs, immigration, police and national guard. There is also a need to revamp our intelligence organizations for both internal and external surveillance. Emphasis must be placed on brilliant people because intelligence operations go beyond carrying arms. All this require spending a lot of money. We must reduce the cost of running the country by cutting the salaries and allowances of legislators and government officials. Do we really need full time legislators at federal and state levels? We have to raise the money through indirect and direct taxation. It is scandalous that out of a doubtful population of around 180 million people, less than 10 million people pay taxes compared to other countries where payment of taxes is a civil obligation.Federal allocation should be made on the basis of the number of people paying taxes in a state. This will force each state to collect internal revenue and also stop states forging their population figures.

    We must move away from over dependence on oil and gas revenues. This is because it is dangerous to depend on a single product for national revenue. On top of this, hydrocarbons are going to become superfluous in a world rapidly moving away from carbon pollution if we are going to save the global environment and reverse global warming.

    It is not only the armed forces and intelligence agencies that need reforms. The police and the national guard will need additional resources to have highway patrol vehicles to stop all those killing and kidnapping people. Anybody caught must be dealt with promptly. Those who deserve to leave civilized society for prison must be made to do so and those who have committed murder must be made to leave this world.

    China has a population six times our own they are not faced with this problem. India is also six times our size and both countries have more poor people than us and do not have this kind of crazy problems. In China, corruption attracts capital punishment. Even if we don’t go that far, we need to shake up the judiciary and our interminable legal adjudication to make it responsive to quick dispensation of justice. Even if we cannot restructure the country, we can restructure the police and have regional police in case some states cannot afford to fund state police but states that can fund state police should be allowed to establish theirs.

    We also need some kind of moral rearmament. We need to teach our young people that corruption does not pay. We must enlist the support of our religious people, Muslims, Christians and traditional religious practitioners. In order to be effective, our leaders must not equivocate on the issue of corruption and corrupt people must not be celebrated but rather disgraced. This is a matter of life or death. The country is slipping away from our hands and our country is gradually becoming ungovernable. We must have a sense of urgency because we are honestly faced with existential insecurity.

    Finally, the 2019 elections must be approached as if our lives depend on them. In actual fact they do. It is not only the presidential election that is important. All of them are important. The quality of those who go into the local councils, state assemblies, House of Representatives and the Senate and those who become governors are fundamental to good governance and development. The president is merely the apex of the political pyramid. Of course it is important to elect a man of integrity and discipline and I have no doubt that Nigerians would vote wisely.  The issue of trust is fundamental to good governance. Our leaders must again build the kind of trust people had in the leadership of Awolowo, AhmaduBello, Nnamdi Azikiwe and Abubakar Tafawa Balewa. There is no trust in the leaders of today. People generally feel unrepresented. This is why senators are ferrying home monthly humongous amount of Naira while we debate if we can afford to pay workers N30,000 a month . Times are hard for everybody but it could be worse. We must have a country, a peaceful and secure country before we can have progress. No president will deliberately impose hardship on his people and nobody has accused President Buhari of deliberate wickedness and at his age he knows history will judge him critically so it is in his own interest to leave a legacy of fairness, equity and transparency. If there are people in his government or in his inner circle who will deny him his rightful place in history, this is the time to remove them. 2019 cannot be government as usual. To me, the choice is clear between an ex-Customs man and a retired General when our country is faced with armed rebellion and insurgency.