Category: Thursday

  • Buhari, APC and Kaduna mafia

    The general perception of some APC members including the Senate President, who should know better as one who had without grace hijacked the senate presidency, was that Buhari’s government has been hijacked by a cabal. Last week the President denied that Mamman Daura, his nephew has taken over his presidency. The problem however is that quite often perception is indeed a reflection of reality.

    At first the debate especially in the social media was the President’s perceived lopsided appointment into some sensitive positions. The focus however changed in recent months into Daura, the President’s nephiew. I am not sure if many really care about whether  Daura is treated as unofficial Vice President or Abba Kyari, a well known PDP stalwart who  who once rejected an offer to serve in President Buhari’s CPC, is now his Chief of Staff.  The President, it must be said has no constitutional limitation or moral constraints. In fact, this column once told critics of the President’s so much criticized pattern of appointment that Nigerians who earnestly wanted change and massively voted for him would not mind if agents of change come from his Daura village. But I think populating his kitchen cabinet and appointing PDP sympathizers with linkages to the all powerful “Kaduna mafia’ is what many APC members find insensitive and inattentive. Allowing the APC to be infiltrated by those with non pan-Nigeria agenda is not only a threat to the survival of the party but also the government.

    The Kaduna mafia, it was said, sprang up after the first coup that wiped out the political and military leadership of the north. Its agenda among others was to avenge the January 1966 assassination of their political and military leaders and the actualization of the dream of Uthman dan Fodio, the revered radical cleric whose dream after overrunning the Hausa states and sharing conquered territories among his sons and brothers, was to plant the sword at the sea. Although this was checkmated by Ibadan, Ahmadu Bello, the revered Sultan’s grandson, came near to achieving it  after the 1959 election when he gave Zik a horse and Tafawa Balewa, the Holy Quran  declaring with a sense of fulfillment that that he has, like his grandfather, divided Nigeria between his two trusted children.  Following the collapse of the alliance between NCNC and NPC, he had also tried to achieve the objective by exploiting the intraparty feud within the AG to prop up Akintola to whom he also gave a sword. The perception is that the mafia’s agenda which is to see Nigeria as the north with the south as its extension has been behind our crisis of nationhood since 1966.

    It is however believed by many that even if indeed the shadowy group exists, President Buhari cannot be a member neither can he be said to share its dream. First he is not trusted by the northern political and military elite. They all worked assiduously to derail his presidential ambition during his first three attempts. His only sin is preaching egalitarianism to the poor in the north. He succeeded at his fourth attempt because Bola Tinubu outwitted the group and Atiku, their candidate in their own game.

    It is also believed that the body as tested students of power simply hijacked Buhari as soon as he was elected. Observers believe it was not an accident that it was a prominent northern elite, former Minister of Finance and National Planning at different times under PDP  who  first falsely claimed Buhari  won the election without the support of Tinubu and his Yoruba votes. Northern political elite soon closed ranks to join Aminu Tambuwal the governor of Sokoto State and Atiku Ababakar to ignite a civil war within APC by encouraging Saraki and Dogara to disobey the directive of their party. And when Pa Bisi Akande, APC first chairman, alerted the nation about the dangerous game by some northern leaders with pan northern agenda, he was quickly labeled a Yoruba irredentist, the case of a pot calling the kettle black.

    It was also curious that with the President’s  kitchen cabinet in place, there was no cabinet six months after election neither were the boards of the over 500 governments the party needed to implement APC programme reconstituted. This column at a period alerted Nigerians that Buhari needed help when it appeared no one was ready to tell the President the truth. And when the ministerial list finally came out, there was no evidence the kitchen cabinet helped the President. The ministry of information clearly underscores this point.

    Lai Mohammed, a lawyer who has been in practice for close to 40 years, a former business man and a former airline cargo operator, is perhaps one of the most accomplished among the ministers. But as an APC spokesman who successfully talked his party to victory, he was a wrong candidate for the marketing of government programmes and policies. From the disposition of other ministers who fold their hands behind their back while standing before the President, the perception is that they may not be able to tell the President the truth about himself and style. Until last week’s disclosure by the Vice President that scores of Fulani herdsmen are in custody, the perception out there is that the Minister of Internal affairs was still watching the President’s body language.

    And then it was too much a coincidence that an attempt was made to rewrite history by the President autobiographers.  The perception, again, is that an attempt to downplay the contribution of Bola Tinubu to the success story of APC could only have been the handiwork of those with northern agenda. To say Professor Osinbajo became Buhari’s Vice President in spite of Tinubu as contained in the President autobiography is to say Tafawa Balewa became Prime Minister of Nigeria in 1959 in spite of Ahmadu Bello. Tinubu sacrificed his political ambition. The outcome of Buhari-Tinubu ticket would not have been different in Yoruba land where leadership is earned by service to the people and not by religious affiliation.

    There is also the perception that history is repeating itself. The first attempt at overrunning the Yorubaland was through the conspiracy of disloyal Ilorin-based Are Ona Kankanfo Afonja. The second attempt was through Fulani attempt to exploit the intra party feud between Awo and the Are Ona Kankanfo Akintola. Tinubu undoubtedly is a brilliant politician who like Awo is a political strategist who thinks very fast on his feet. Even those who do not see face to face with him are now saying an attempt to undermine his leadership of the West is a rehash of similar failed strategy designed by the Fulani to undermine Awo’s leadership of the Yoruba.

    Unlike Obasanjo who discovered only after his third term fiasco that some of his aides did not tell him the truth,  Goodluck Jonathan who claimed  after his 2015 electoral defeat  that he  was caged all through his presidency,  and unlike their wives  preoccupied with beauty therapy or building hotels and mansions and opening dollar accounts in fictitious names with  funds traceable to Dazuki’s mismanaged arms funds, I think President Buhari should regard stakeholders currently warning him about the threat to the party as patriots.

    The President must be reminded that party structure is needed not just for winning election but even more for the faithful implementation of party promises. He therefore needs to invest more on the party. He must be humble enough to accept he is not a politician, the major reason his previous platforms crumbled after every election. The party is the modernization agent through which developed societies achieved greatness. If Buhari, Tinubu, Oyegun Tony Momoh and their other colleagues mouthing change cannot build a party, they cannot build Nigeria.

  • Ex-President Jonathan at Oxford Union

    Ex-President Jonathan at Oxford Union

    On Monday, October 24, former President Goodluck Jonathan was a guest speaker at the famous Oxford Union where, at his request, he delivered a long and rambling speech on ‘Youth Empowerment, Entrepreneurship, and Corruption’ in Nigeria. The speech was intended to defend his record in office as president. I have obtained and read the full transcript of his speech in which he made some astonishing claims about the contribution of his government to job creation in Nigeria, through youth empowerment and the development of youth entrepreneurship in Nigeria. He claimed that, under his administration, the country achieved an average annual growth rate of 6 per cent, the third fastest growth rate in the world. That may be correct, but this high growth rate was fuelled largely by the stupendous growth in our oil exports and revenue, the highest ever. Sadly, it did not translate into a significant economic development of our economy; a classic case of growth without development. As we have seen in media reports of financial scandals, under his watch the rich in Nigeria got richer and the poor poorer. Today, youth unemployment and mass poverty are at highest levels in our country.

    Specifically, he claimed that his tenure in office as president marked ‘an era of unprecedented growth for Nigeria’. But where are the jobs he created through the so-called youth empowerment and entrepreneurship programme? The fact of the matter is that his so-called youth empowerment and entrepreneurship consisted largely of handing over vast sums of money to unemployed youths and warlords, the Tompolos, mostly in Bayelsa,  his state, who lacked any skills or much education to make use of the funds. Instead, the funds were diverted, possibly with his approval and knowledge, by the so-called ‘avengers; and militants to acquire weapons to wage a war against their own country, and sabotage oil installations and pipelines in the country. We were even threatened by these militant youths that unless Jonathan was re-elected in last year’s presidential election, they would make our country ungovernable. Is that not what the current violent militancy in the Niger Delta is all about? These were the youths Jonathan financially empowered to wage a war of attribution on our country.

    His claims about creating jobs are a lot of ridiculous hogwash.  Many domestic and foreign observers have already dismissed his government as inept, inefficient and corrupt. Suffice it to say that oil revenues during his administration were the highest in Nigeria’s fiscal history, and that he could have done a lot more with this huge oil revenue to address the critical infrastructure deficit and other economic challenges in our country. As we now know, most of the vast income from oil was simply squandered and frittered away on vast public corruption and unbridled foreign imports under his watch. Little, or nothing, was done by his government to diversify the economy and start the whole process of moving the national economy away from its over dependence on its oil revenues. In his last year in office the high growth rate had begun to plummet due to the fall in oil exports and revenue. It had fallen to less than 2 per cent. A year after the country is in a deep recession. If he had been re-elected president, our economic situation would have been far worse now. We needed an urgent review of our fiscal and monetary policies to stop the financial haemorrhage. Because of powerful domestic vested interests which he tended to protect and support he did nothing about the wasteful and corruption ridden oil import subsidy, or the exchange rate adjustment that had become necessary. He chose to ignore the danger signals in the economy in the hope that he could bribe his way to re-election as president. Even the Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) of $1bn, a kind of investment abroad for the proverbial rainy day, was virtually depleted before he left office after his woeful defeat in the presidential elections.

    As regards public corruption under his watch, the most astonishing claim he made in his Oxford Union speech was that his former National Security Adviser, Col. Sambo Dasuki (retd), did not steal the $2.2bn for which he is being detained and for which he may face trial in court shortly. Instead, he said the funds in question were used to buy military aircraft and weapons for the Nigerian Armed Forces. In fact, Jonathan said the issue of public corruption in Nigeria was being ‘overblown’. But in a swift reaction to his absurd claims, the Nigerian military has said the three Alpha jets and two helicopters Jonathan bought for the Air Force were largely ‘unserviceable’. It said the jets were ‘not weaponised and the helicopters were cannibalised eventually, as they were not serviceable.

    But the real issue that Jonathan failed to address in his Oxford Union speech is where did all that money, the $2.2bn, that Dasuki improperly disbursed to Jonathan’s political hacks and cronies come from, and what purpose was it originally intended to serve? Was it not intended to procure arms for the Armed Forces to fight the Boko Haram insurgency? Why was the fund diverted instead to private pockets? The matter, as admitted by Jonathan, is sub jidice. It is for the courts, not Jonathan, to determine whether, or not, the funds were stolen. Already, in anticipation of his own trial, Dasuki has been reported as claiming that, in those sordid financial transactions, he acted solely and wholly on the instructions of President Jonathan. Well, Dasuki is better able to defend himself in the court of law. When the trial begins, as it should as soon as possible, Dasuki has said he will call President Jonathan as a star witness. The drama in the court between the two will be very interesting and exciting. As he is out of office, Jonathan can no longer claim any immunity from investigation, or trial for gross and inappropriate financial misdemeanours. Presidential immunity does not cover criminal actions by the president. It is intended merely to protect him from frivolous civil litigations for actions taken by him while in office. Dasuki’s lawyer has been reported as calling for a ‘political settlement” of the matter. This will be a terrible disservice to our nation, as the price we have had to pay collectively for this financial heist is just too high. In any case, President Buhari does not even have the constitutional power or authority to go for a political settlement of the case pending in court.  Even if he does, prudence will require him to let the sordid matter be determined by the court. Otherwise, he will undermine the fight against public corruption in our country. It will amount to a negation of accountability in governance in our country.

    The Oxford Union speech is obviously the first salvo by former President Jonathan to fight back on the allegations of corruption against him and his government. We can expect more foreign speeches by him. But he is better off giving the speech here at home. He did not impress the members of the Oxford Union as the reactions of the Union to his speech were reported to have been largely negative. Oxford students are well informed about world affairs and are very discerning. The few Nigerian students who are now able to go to Oxford and who were at the Union were reported as heckling him. As a Life Member of the Oxford Union and a former Commonwealth post-graduate scholar at Trinity College, Oxford, I was privileged to have attended and participated in some of its debates in the late 1960s and early 70s. I am proud of its noble and liberal traditions and of the fact that the Union provided Jonathan with a platform to air his views freely. That is the hallmark of the Oxford Union. Oxford students work incredibly hard. The Union provides them a relaxed place they can go to for robust debates and speeches from distinguished guests. It also has an excellent bar and a good library.

    The Oxford Union prides itself on being the world’s most prestigious debating society, with an unparalleled reputation for bringing to Oxford international guests and speakers. Steeped in history the Oxford Union was founded in 1823 as a forum for debates and discussion at a time when free speech was still largely restricted in the universities and in Britain. Many of its Presidents go on to become British Prime Ministers. One of these, William E. Gladstone, was President of the Union in 1830, and went on to become one of Britain’s greatest prime ministers in the 19th century. Because of its collegiate system, Oxford University does not have a central students’ union. The Oxford Union is independent and has no political leanings. It provides, instead, a forum for debates on controversial issues in the university. Its previous guests include Tariq Ali, Malcolm X, Richard Nixon, Gerry Adams and O.J. Simpson, all of them controversial public figures. In 1933, when Hitler and the Nazis were rising in Germany, the Oxford Union passed by 275 votes to 153 a motion that “This House will under no circumstances fight for King and Country”. Winston Churchill dismissed the motion as an unprecedented disavowal of the country. It had no effect in Britain. Every year a motion is routinely debated in the Union that “This House has no confidence in Her Majesty’s Government”. It is usually passed but has no political significance. It is merely symbolic. It is in keeping with its proud and irreverent debating reputation that the Oxford Union accepted Jonathan as a guest speaker. His speech there will not in any way influence British public opinion of him as an inept and corrupt leader. It was all done in good humour.

  • Evolution of modern Nigeria and Africa – 3

    It increasingly became clear since 1957 when a federal system was adopted that there was a built-in advantage for the northern part of the country which made competition for power in the centre lopsidedly in favour of the much bigger northern Nigeria. In this way, the federation contradicted the long accepted principle of Professor Wheare stating that in a federation, no one single unit should dominate and overwhelm the combined weight of the others. The struggle to undo this structural imbalance dominated the politics of independent Nigeria.

    This took the form of breaking the regions particularly the north into smaller units to align the new units with the ethnic and cultural fault lines as much as possible. Chief Obafemi Awolowo as part of his strategy for winning power at the centre championed state creation as a way of allaying the fear of domination of the minority ethnic groups by the majority Hausa, Igbo and Yoruba. He favoured creating what was called the Middle Belt region in the north. This Middle Belt was to be an amorphous region incorporating the Kanuri, people of Adamawa, Plateau and Benue provinces thus leaving the mostly Hausa-speaking and the Islamic north as a new region. He also favoured creation of what was called Calabar /Ogoja/Rivers State out of the Eastern region. He sometimes never mentioned the minority area of the Midwest in his own region but the logic was clearly in favour of also splitting the west into core Yoruba west and the minority areas of the Midwest. This then was the outline for future restructuring of Nigeria. How this was to be done was the challenge. This challenge was to be overcome as a result of political crisis first in Western Nigeria in 1962. The Midwest region created in 1964 was a child of the circumstance of internal political division within the ruling Action Group party in the Western Region and external meddlesomeness by the federal coalition government which saw weakening of the west as the only way to remove the troublesome presence of a radical party like the Action Group whose leaders had become desperate in its quest for power. In spite of the incarceration of Chief Awolowo and his supporters for treasonable felony in 1963, the crisis in the western region continued. By 1965, law and order had broken down in the region following a flagrantly rigged election. This led to deployment of troops in the region thus exposing the underbelly of the post-independence government as being unable to function without military support. At the time of insurgency in the west, the military was also deployed in Tiv land where there had been rebellion against the government of northern Nigeria that was trying to force indirect rule on the acephalous Tivs who refused the centralizing orthodoxy of the political elite in the north. It was in this climate of political uncertainty and economic corruption that a group of middle level army officers decided to overthrow the federal government. In carrying out the coup d’état, northern and western Nigerian political and military leaders were killed. Furthermore the loss of Sir Ahmadu Bello, the scion of the Fulani dynasty in Sokoto and Premier of northern Nigeria was badly received in the north. When the head of the military government that emerged in the person of General Johnson Aguiyi-Ironsi decreed a Unification Decree abolishing the regions on which the carefully negotiated federal system in Nigeria was based, people read ethnic agenda of Ibo domination into his action. Ironsi surrounded himself with those whom he could trust and they naturally happened to be Ibos. The triumphalist posturing of some uneducated Igbo traders in the north did not help matters. It was in this environment that military officers staged a revenge coup d’état which led to the death of Ironsi and genocidal murders of southerners particularly Ibos in the north. The shock and ferocity of what some have described as pogrom against the Ibos led the then governor of the Eastern Region, Colonel Chukwuemeka  Odumegwu-Ojukwu to demand that Nigeria become a confederal state with a very weak centre to coordinate common services like post and telegraph, railways, ports and possibly currency but certainly not police, army, the economy and education. The fear that this was merely postponing dissolution of the federal republic forced the new federal government headed by Colonel Yakubu Gowon to refuse to accede to Ojukwu’s demand. It must however be noted that the northern officers who staged the revenge coup d’état originally wanted the north to secede until it dawned on them or they were persuaded by foreign interest that secession would be economically suicidal. War then became inevitable. It was bitterly fought for almost three years.  Foreign countries manifesting their own interest intervened one way or the other. The Soviet Union sold MIG fighters piloted by Egyptians to the federal government.  The British government, headed by Harold Wilson sold military hardware to Nigeria. France of General Charles de Gaulle was decidedly on the side of Biafra. So were the Portuguese, Zambians, Ivorians and Tanzanians. Some of these countries were driven by the desire to help suffering humanity or in the case of Portugal and France, to reduce the influence of an Anglophone country that was assisting liberation movements in Southern Africa and Portuguese Cape Verde Island and Guinea -Bissau.

    In order to mobilize the rest of Nigerians, Chief Awolowo who had been in prison since 1963 was released and made vice chairman of the Federal Executive Council. He ran the war economy and apparently influenced the government to create states in the Eastern Region to weaken it and to satisfy age-long demand for the creation of states for the eastern minority. Thus Rivers and Cross Rivers were created with the Igbos given their own state of East Central State. The north was broken to Kano, North-Central, North-Eastern, Kwara, North-western and Benue-Plateau states while the western part remained as it was with some part of it ceded to Lagos State and the Midwest State remained as it was. Thus there were 12 states in the federation, six in the north and six in the south. States creation no doubt has satisfied pent-up demand for minorities’ aspiration and rapid development. But the question to ask is how many states are too many that they become a burden on national resources because of galloping administrative costs? The stupendous growth of the oil fuelled an oil-dependent economy and so did not permit for rational questions to be asked. Every new military government from Murtala Muhammed in 1976, Ibrahim Babangida 1985, to Sani Abacha 1993, created states just to ingratiate themselves to the people without much thought about viability. We now have a welter of unviable financially distressed 36-state structure including Abuja federal territory making the cost of administration very high in Nigeria. In spite of this multitude of states, people still demanded increasing the number to 52 during the National Conference on the constitution in 2014. It is of course clear that the present structure of Nigeria is not sustainable .

    What is to be done?

    Some people have suggested merging the present 36 states into six viable states, three in the north and three in the south. Others have advocated going back to the three or four regions before the advent of the military in power in January 1966. I will rather prefer going back to the Yakubu Gowon 12-state structure. To ensure fairness, the principle of fiscal federalism should also be brought into practice whereby each of the 12 states would survive on their own and contribute to fund the centre. This will remove the do or die struggle for the centre. Development activities will be at the state level while federal agencies like aviation, communication, currency, railways and defence and not police would be federally funded.   The army itself will be based on territorial structure and its personnel will be recruited on regional bases to prevent any future military promenade to power. This structure will be cast more or less in stone and would be constitutionally immutable. Democracy will be enshrined into the constitution and every device would be put in place to protect it such as citizen responsibility to defend it in times of danger or attempt to violate the democratic grundnorm on which the country is based. Once the democratic basis of our association is affirmed, we can expect under a competitive federalism to grow our economy and diversify our economy away from dependence on hydrocarbons. Each state will look inward to produce what it can produce based on comparative advantage.

  • What can we still hope from President Buhari?

    The Buhari presidency kicked off on a big note of hope – especially because President Buhari immediately embarked on a war against corruption. But, unhappily, in its one year, it has slumped badly. The eagle that the world gathered to watch soaring above the highest mountains is flapping helplessly among the lowliest shrubs.

    From the way Buhari’s political party base crystallized and fought for his election, we Nigerians had good reason to hope that he would unite our country and mobilize some of the best of our talents to move our country fast and far into success and prosperity. Instead he has chosen to retreat into building an administration led and guided almost wholly by his kinsmen. Even the formerly solid South-west base of his party is being pulverized. The Igbo of the South-east are virtually excluded. The Ijaw of the South-south and the Kanuri of the North-east are being battered by insurgency and war. The many small nationalities of the Middle Belt are being subdued by incessant brutalization by Fulani herdsmen and the herdsmen’s other kinsmen. The same herdsmen are doing all their worst to disrupt orderly farming and rural life in all the states of the South. The old animosities between North and the South have risen to great heights again.  Even in the Hausa-Fulani North-west, the Buhari presidency has managed to generate internal animosities, mostly by excluding some sections – with the result that many respectable north-western voices have been raised in condemnation of the Buhari presidency. In all essence, Nigeria is a lot more divided and more shaky today than it was only a year ago.

    In the midst of all these, and under the impact of poor understanding of economic forces and incompetent management of the economy, Nigeria’s economy is being shattered. Many Nigerians talk of recession, but we appear to be more in a depression today than in a recession. A number of times in recent months, the national electricity grid has plunged all the way close to zero. Businesses are being wiped out. Large numbers of small businesses are finding it impossible to cope. Investment is fleeing from our country, and we are experiencing a process of deindustrialization. Commodity prices are sky-rocketing. Some food prices are doubling within days. The hold of hopeless poverty on the masses of our people is tightening. The National Bureau of Statistics said some months ago that about 70% of Nigerians were living in “absolute poverty” and that that percentage was increasing. The percentage may have risen close to 80% by now.

    In spite of this condition of our country’s economy, President Buhari still opts for war to solve some of the most challenging problems of our country. The presidency says that some 3,000 troops are now fighting the people of the South-south and that the number will be increased to 10,000 by next January. He obviously thinks that those Nigerian national groups hitting now at Nigeria can only be pacified in only two ways – by subduing them with military force, or by bribing or tricking them into surrendering and reconciling with the status quo. He has no thoughts whatsoever of considering serious changes in the status quo in order to bring the troubles to an end. And, as far as we can see, his intention is to raise heavy loans to finance this policy. Some days ago, he placed before the National Assembly a request to be allowed to raise the equivalent of N9.12 trillion from abroad – a loan that will instantly raise Nigeria’s foreign debt by a staggering 150%.

    Altogether, President Buhari is pushing or pulling our country towards something truly frightening. What this will be if he continues with it, only God knows at this point. But President Buhari does not have to continue along this path. There are other options. In the interest of the country that gave him power as president, and in the interest of the over 180 million of us Nigerians, he must now consider other options.

    First, as much as possible, Nigeria must liberate the inherent energies of each Nigerian nationality, or every section of Nigeria, so that it may develop its own homeland in its own way and make its own kind of contribution to the overall progress and prosperity of Nigeria. That means, we need to restructure our federation rationally. The capricious structure given gradually to the Nigerian federation since the 1960s, and the massing of all power and resource control and development in the hands of the federal government, has not worked and it can never work. It is a path to the death of Nigeria. And it needs to be changed expeditiously.

    Secondly, Nigeria must begin to invest heavily in our youths in all corners of our country.  I mean in quality education, in modern job skills training programmes, in entrepreneurial development programmes, in leadership development programmes, in business support programmes, etc. All of these should be a mandated agenda in all our states, and should be strongly shielded from infestation by partisan political germs and viruses. The objective must be that our men and women will soon rank among the world’s best modern workers, best managers, best chief executives of companies, most prolific inventors and business starters, most professional and dignified civil servants, etc.

    Thirdly, we must definitively crack the knotty problem of our infrastructures. In particular, we must zero in on electricity, and make partial, haphazard and spasmodic supply of electricity a thing of the past in all parts of our country. This will serve as an incentive to draw countless Nigerians out to scramble for, and push, a modern economic and industrial culture in our country. Centralization of electricity supply has failed our country; we need to diversify in various ways.

    Fourthly, we must create various incentive policies to encourage investment – investments by Nigerians and by foreigners, in all facets of our economy (industrial, commercial, service, agricultural, research and development, tourism, social services, real estate, etc). We must devise ways and means to attract Nigerians scattered all over the world to be part of this investment movement. And we must establish various incentives to encourage businesses in Nigeria to pursue an aggressive export orientation – to produce high quality products that can easily penetrate the most sophisticated markets in the world, and to evolve superior and efficient export management practices.

    Fifthly, we must de-emphasize politics as a means of livelihood among our ambitious citizens. We must drastically reduce the emoluments and perquisites earned in politics and public offices, shut down the unrestricted and uncontrolled access of public officials to public money, revive the public service rules and regulations that guided the handling of public money during the 1950s (rules and regulations that were destroyed by the military regimes in 1966-99), and institute enforceable limitations and controls over political and electoral expenses.

    All these will deal a heavy blow at public corruption in our country – in addition to whatever other methods the Buhari presidency may choose to use to fight corruption. To crush public corruption effectively and abidingly, we need to reform or change the structures, institutions and practices that uphold public corruption in our country. Merely striking at the manifestations and culprits of public corruption at the top cannot really eliminate corruption. If it subdues corruption to some extent now, it cannot ensure that corruption will not return.

    Sixthly and finally, it is time we put to rest the growing influence of religion in our political life. Our country was much more peaceful and stable in the 1950s when religion was not so much a force in our politics. Of course, all should be free to practice and propagate their faith. But the government of a country of religious plurality like Nigeria should not be involved in promoting any religion.

    The developmental strategies summarized above are by no means new to the Nigerian debate. They are from the progressive agenda which germinated in the then Western Region in the 1950s and which reached its maximum flowering in the late 1970s under Chief Awolowo’s leadership.  Though it started in a region of Nigeria, its purposes have never been regional or sectional. Its objective is to reinforce growth and development in all corners of Nigeria, to put the opportunity to prosper within the reach of all Nigerians, and to make Nigeria a prosperous, powerful and great country. It is part of our Nigerian heritage, and it is easily accessible to Nigeria’s topmost servant of today – President Buhari.

  • Amosun’s ‘Gateway of hell’

    •(A reminder to a bungling governor)

    Ogun State looms like a gothic platitude of pain and death from its transit townships but the “Gateway State” is Governor Ibikunle Amosun’s bower of bliss. There, in his stately Eden, he lives immune and insensate to the ravages of ill-will and pent-up fury tearing the natives apart from inside out. Governor Amosun must be having a blast inside the Government House at Oke Mosan. He does not have to rise and retire to his bed everyday wondering if he would die along the deadly stretch of Lagos-Abeokuta highway, particularly at the spots where innocent children, mothers, fathers – dependants and breadwinners – die like stray fowls, accidentally or by installments, in his administrative landmine.

    Governor Amosun’s loved ones are extremely lucky; unlike the mother who left home with her three children only for them to be brought back as mangled corpses from an accident, caused by bad road, to the deceased’s husband. Amosun is certainly favoured by the ‘gods,’ unlike the bereaved families who sent their wards to school only to receive news that they had been crushed to death by a steel container in a gory accident along the Sagamu-Benin expressway. Is Governor Amosun neglecting that death trap because it is a ‘federal road?’ If that is the case, is Governor Amosun solely remunerated from revenue he makes from Ogun State or from the ‘federal purse?’

    Governor Amosun is one lucky dude as he does not have to live up to the promise he made to the poor, hopeless pupils of the Community Primary School, off Agoro road, Owode-Titun, Ota, Ogun State. It’s almost two years since they lost their classrooms to a violent rain squall, yet most of the 740 pupils have been learning with tears, under a crooked shed held together by wooden poles and corrugated iron sheets. The school’s Parents Teachers Association (PTA) constructed the shed last year when it was clear that the state government will not come to the children’s rescue. Although Governor Amosun promised to rebuild the school when his campaign train visited the area to seek re-election, he has since forgotten his promise and the area.

    Thus through scorching sun blaze and violent rain squalls, the pupils huddle together helplessly, in futile lunge for comfort and cover from the ravages of nature and Governor Amosun’s ill will, tearing at their fragile frames. For the only public primary school in the community, the descent into decay started in May last year, when a rainstorm blew off the roof of the block of six classrooms and the staff room. The storm also tore off the entire side of the building. Yet Governor Amosun conveniently forgets the sad fate of the poor pupils of Community Primary School in Owode-Titun, Ota.

    Some cratered meters from the school, the stars are still a backdrop for the inhuman condition at Owode junction, just before you get to Ifo. Is Governor Amosun waiting for that expedient moment of disaster or road mishap of immense magnitude to occur before he swoops in with a bereaved mien and overzealous aides, to misappropriate anguish where he feels none?

    The natives of Ijoko, Agoro, Ijako, Iyana-Ilogbo, Ilepa, Ijoko, Alade, Oju Ore, Ilo-Awela, Elekunmefa, Imise, Onihale, Singer, Lusada, Ewekoro, Atan-Ota and Igbesa to mention a few, are still dying slowly and accidentally, from the perils of plying their muddy and badly cratered roads and there is still ugliness in Lafenwa, Aiyetoro, Olugbode and various communities along Itele road.

    From a distance, the piercing and indiscriminate glare of sunlight and moonshine desecrate these townships like tombs slipshodly carved along the graying highway that leads to Abeokuta, Ogun State’s capital city. Closer, the people and houses in the communities take shape like a stream of accidental shadows, their hard noises striking one’s face and making the senses numb with jarring clarity. It is their noiseless undertones that however, evoke intense feelings of awe and curiosity. Sad desperate glances of the natives inspire a thirst for buried narratives that they miserably learn to endure as unreal jests made by death.

    Guess his Excellency in Ogun State, has learnt to glance without flinching at the straggle of human suffering emblematic of the pale ghost of his “Gateway State.” Wonder if he is unaware of the deaths and squalor across the townships; wonder if he knows that there are schools with better structures, histories, progressive and ideological foundations that deserve as much attention and support as he is currently giving his model schools’ phantasm; wonder if he simply chooses to ignore the descent of the tourist tracts where decay and death spit venom at the hapless citizenry, like Siamese cobras every day.

    Governor Amosun is probably unmoved to affect heart-felt responses to the malaise. Perhaps he is making spirited gestures even as you read to extend citizenry-centred governance cum democratic dividends to the disillusioned natives of the state. Perhaps he just doesn’t know how to go about it.

    Ignorance is not an excuse for denying the citizenry good governance and their fundamental human rights. It is no longer tenable to hoodwink the citizenry by chants of ‘Change’ and platitudinous avowal to abolish squalor and foster general prosperity; time has revealed what section of the citizenry such ideological ‘life boat’ solutions are meant to deceive. It shall no longer be “politically expedient” to neglect a class of the governed just because, by will or circumstance, they inhabit parts of state the ruling class would rather not lose sleep over; except at the time of election or re-election.

    Governor Amosun is spending his second term in office which makes it even more dangerous for the APC to maintain dominance in Ogun State if he fails. When the party eventually presents its candidates for public offices in 2019, what glowing achievements will it point to as Amosun’s legacy and reasons why it should be given the people’s mandate again? The oft over-hyped and derided bridges and roads in Abeokuta? Or the equally contentious model school projects? These familiar arguments have gotten too old now and they are infinitely strange to the poor citizenry braving the perils of the state’s townships every day.

    Life in Ogun State’s townships is in grave decline. Together, these neglected tracts constitute an ambiguous ‘sick rose’ accentuating Ogun State’s descent into a food for worms even as you read. Though a sick rose, Ogun State is manouvered to mimic a growth cycle in the hands of Amosun and amid the rabid PR blitz launched and managed by Camp Amosun.

    That is why the state government will do nothing even if foreign investors  cum fortune hunters like cement giant, LafargeWAPCO Plc, subjects its host communities to terminal death, by its dangerous production activities, in desperate pursuit of profit. (It is instructive to note that LafargeWAPCO perpetrates in Ogun State, atrocities it wouldn’t dare commit in France and other European nations but that is a discussion for another day.)

    Ogun State’s manifestation as a sick rose satirizes Governor Amosun’s preferred portraits of it as a bower of bliss. It reveals an inner hostility; the governor’s flirtatious art of concealment necessitates that truth’s approach must take the form of a rape. If not, the people of Ogun State will continue to die by the onslaught of the conqueror maggots of hypocrisy, neglect, arrant betrayal and underdevelopment afflicting the state.

    Does Governor Amosun, like too many of his peers, consider truth as he hates to see it, as a perverse fetish? Does he believe that any critique or contradiction of his gospel of ‘Change’ is a swerve from goodwill and fruitfulness? If so, his much celebrated ‘Change’ project is diametrically opposed to the APC’s gospel of ‘Change.’

     

  • Dollar don cos

    Dollar don cos

    It is not new. In fact, a senator, who is notorious for raising false alarm and not given to intellectual exertions, had mastered it as a veritable weapon of survival before fortune smiled at him. The garrulous fellow practised it dutifully like a family trade and elevated it into a money spinning venture, reaping bountiful financial rewards.

    So proud  is this cantankerous senator of his strange trade that he has been showing  off its proceeds – exotic cars and beautiful homes and women – in the social media.

    Now, cash-for-protest, otherwise known as “rent a crowd”, has become an all-comers affair, arranged by shadowy groups for shadowy clients desperate to attain some shadowy goals.

    One of such groups was at work last week in Abuja. A small crowd of old women and youths, who obviously did not know why they were protesting, carried placards bearing inscriptions many of them could neither read nor understand. Some of them looked like scavengers on lunch break from one of the city’s huge dumpsites. Others were dressed like women hassled off their beats at the throbbing local market.

    The protesters were demanding the removal of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor Godwin Emefiele. Asked why they were up in arms against Emefiele, one of them replied: Dollar don cos.

    It is true that the exchange rate has gone crazy. The naira has been so devalued that many are wondering if it will ever recover. Inflation, which averaged 9.69 per cent from 2007, has hit 17.20 per cent. Consumer prices have jumped by 17.1 per cent. Lending rate, which officially remains at 18 per cent, has gone up to as much as 27 per cent.

    Ask a roadside trader why his gari is so expensive, she would swiftly reply: Oga, dollar don cos. Do we also import gari?

    In my layman’s view, we are all guilty of fuelling the situation that has hobbled and humbled us this badly. The government did not see the wisdom in saving for the rainy day. A massive import regime ensured that foreign reserves were quickly depleted. We all developed a gluttonous taste for foreign goods, including many we never needed. Toothpicks, lipsticks, chopsticks and lolly sticks. We imported them all. And more.

    Manufacturing, subdued by high inventories buoyed by our deadly taste for foreign items and high cost of production, suffered a big slump from which it has been struggling to recover. Jobs were lost, especially in the textile sector that employed thousands. Smuggling thrived.

    Successive administrations thought oil, the mainstay of our economy, would be like a Lagos party that won’t ever end. They made no effort at diversifying the economy. No thought about developing its petrochemicals, to lay a foundation for a truly industrial economy. Today, an oil producing country spends some 40% of its forex – forex that it does not have – on importing fuel for its local needs. Besides, corruption became a buffet for which our leaders and many of those in positions of trust developed a voracious appetite, gorging themselves to death. Oil price crashed from an all-time high $147.27 a barrel in July 2012 to $100 in 2014. It is now struggling at about $50 a barrel.

    Nigeria could not at a point meet its quota as a new militant group, the Niger Delta Avengers(NDA) smashed oil facilities and threatened to cripple the economy if its requests were not granted.

    Now we are reenacting our age-old tradition of seeking scapegoats for every self-inflicted ailment, blaming it all on Emefiele. Wrong. Damn wrong. We are all guilty.

    The organisers of that protest obviously thought their push would move the government into giving Emefiele the push. That would have been rash and harsh. No government will surrender to mob mentality, closing its eyes on the international community which will lash us for being inconsistent. Besides, all the economic indicators will change for the worse and the recession into which we have plunged ourselves will get longer.

    It can’t be worse than this, I can hear you say. It is true that these times test the patience of all patriots. In fact, I don’t share the view of some experts who say the recession will not last too long. It is not a 100 metres Boltean dash for speedsters. It is, indeed, a game of endurance. A marathon? Well, too early to say.

    We should examine ourselves and think of the economy’s future and not the future of its handlers, including Emefiele, by personalising a national emergency.  Experts claim that the sure way of exiting a recession is deploying aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, including massive spending.

    Its efficacy has been proven in the American case that became a major headache in 2009. New credit lines were opened, interest rates lowered and bank debts guaranteed, among other measures. Banks were subjected to stress tests and new funds were injected into the weak ones. The government embarked on a string of stimulus measures, spending close to $1trillion.

    Housing and automobile industries were rescued. Today, American vehicles are some of the best on any road. Mortgage rates went down to save housing. There were no street protests to force out Federal Reserve chair Ben Shalom Bernanke, who President Barack Obama referred to as “the epitome of calm”.

    Finance Minister Kemi Adeosun says over N400b has been spent on capital expenditure as at August. About N60b more will be spent, she says. These, it seems, is a drop in the ocean. The thinking is that if the government pumps money into capital projects, more companies, especially in construction, will reabsorb their sacked workers who will have money to spend.

    Simple? Not quite. The government is hampered by the twin problem of revenue generation and due process, which precludes it from spending money without following some rules – to check corruption, among other reasons.

    An attempt by the President to seek an emergency law, which will enable the government to fast track its actions, has been denounced as a journey to dictatorship by critics who won’t bother about the merits of the request.

    The government is, sadly, the biggest player in the economy. If it fails to spend money, the citizens will have no money in their pockets. Many states can’t pay their workers. Local debts remain a mountainous burden. Capital projects are stuck.

    Many have blamed the high interest rates on Emefiele. I disagree. The CBN governor does not control interest rates. That is the job of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). If the banks were as patriotic as they should be, they wouldn’t jack up their interest rates too far above the Minimum Rediscount Rate (14% MRR) even as repayment rate is poor.

    These times have, indeed, demystified our banks. They used to declare incredible profits, their directors-and workers living like Hollywood stars. Not anymore. The Single Treasury Account (TSA) has stripped their vaults of government funds. Now, they funnel the forex that should have gone into importing key materials to the black market to harvest naira. The CBN recently punished 10 of them. Are they repentant?

    So far, the CBN has ensured that no bank has collapsed. Depositors have developed a high level of confidence in the system. It is left for the banks to show that they can still perform their traditional roles and that they are no trading posts for currency speculators and gamblers. Of what benefit are huge profits when factories are closing down? Even the banks are being restrained from embarking on massive layoffs.

    Amid the hunger pangs, Nigerians have found a strange sense of morbid humour. Consider this “recession joke” sent to me by a friend: “A carpenter was travelling to the next town with a coffin in his car. His car broke down. He decided to carry the coffin on his head. He got to a police check-point. The policemen wanted some roja.

    “Police: Hey, young man, why are you carrying a coffin by this time?

    “Carpenter: Sir, I don’t like where I was buried, so I’m relocating.

    Come and see speed.

    “Carpenter (laughing): Fools. All you know is bribe.”

    Despite the shenanigans of politicians who, instead of tackling budget deficit and controlling their greed, are asking the Central Bank to surrender its independence, Emefiele has remained calm. The trouble is not with him. We are all guilty- cut-throat round tripping bankers who charge killer-interest rates that make repayment impossible, the rich and their champagne life and the ordinary folks to whom local goods, including rice, are inferior.

    We should all support the tortuous battle to diversify the economy. After all, an expert, Ha-Joon Chang, once said the economics is too important to be left to economists. Little wonder Israeli-American Daniel Khaneman was awarded the Nobel in economics without taking a course in the science.

    A state is set to ban the consumption of imported rice. Extremist? Well…that is neither here nor there. We need to start from somewhere. Will other states do something? After all, dollar don cost.

  • Maitama Sule calls for a revolution?

    Alhaji Maitama Sule is easily one of the biggest minds, and one of the biggest hearts, in our country. I became considerably close to him in the 1970s when I was a member of the National Antiquities Commission and he was chairman of it. Because I saw in him such loftiness of humanity, such talent, such broad-mindedness, and such untainted love for people, I often wondered why the northern political elite never put him forth as candidate for the position of topmost ruler of our country.  And when the northern-based NPN nominated another man as its presidential candidate in 1979, I could not resist asking openly, “Why not Maitama Sule?”

    Last week, Alhaji Maitama Sule’s mighty voice issued a call for a revolution in our country – a revolution without any violence or bloodshed, a revolution that Nigerians courageously rise up and carry out, a revolution that will completely change the way our lives are being managed in this country, a revolution that will profoundly change the structure and manner of our governance, a revolution that will wipe out the constraints that, since independence, have been treacherously imposed upon enterprise and productivity in our country, etc.

    My assessment is that Alhaji Maitama Sule has validated all those Nigerians who have been demanding in-depth change in this country. He has handed serious encouragement to them. And, at this time when our country is heading manifestly into deeper and deeper poverty and deprivation, when, indeed, our country seems to be heading for its death and to conflict and ruin, we Nigerians must not only thank God for Maitama Sule’s call for a revolution, we must, in our various ways, rise up and respond.

    Nigeria cannot – simply cannot – continue the way it is now going. Nearly six decades of crookedness and impunity have brought Nigeria to the verge of ruin. Our former president, Goodluck Jonathan, used to say that he was not the cause or beginning of Nigeria’s complicated problems, and he was right. His failure was in his inability or unwillingness to invest his presidency in real change. Our present president too is neither the cause or beginning of our problems. But he is already failing too because he allows various unworthy factors to inhibit him from pursuing real change.

    As we see him now, he seems to operate in the belief that his most important charge is to maintain, and provide for the sustenance of, his Fulani nation’s position of dominance in Nigeria. He ought to be viewing the massive loss of revenue from oil as a God-given opportunity to revive the fundamental strengths of our country’s economy. He ought to be striking boldly for the revival of those productive features that made our economy buoyant and our people reasonably comfortable before independence –  our farmers’ impressive outputs in groundnuts, cocoa, palm produce, gum-Arabic, cotton, etc. To achieve this, he ought to strike boldly for a restructuring of our federation, for the redistribution of power and resource development as between the federal and the state-local governments, and for massive encouragement and assistance to the state-local governments to revive the myriads of local support systems and traditions that used to empower our export-crop farmers. He ought to champion the decentralization of power generation, in order to make electricity available more widely and more surely in our country, and thus enhance entrepreneurial venturing and success. Rather than do any of these and other things that can boost enterprise in our country, he prefers to hold on to everything as federal ruler, so that, as far as we can see, his Fulani people may not lose power.

    For instance, some days ago, there was a report to the effect that the federal government was going to boost Nigeria’s cocoa production to about five million tons per annum. Federal government to boost cocoa production? How? Can it be that the persons responsible for these policies believe that Nigerians are ignorant of the fact that the expertise and traditions by which the producer farmers of cocoa (and groundnuts, cotton, palm produce, etc) were once encouraged belong to our state and local governments? Let them not be deceived. We remember that it was when the federal government, in its zeal to control everything, scrapped our regional produce marketing boards and took over control that our farmers almost totally gave up producing these crops. Do these barons in power in the federal government now believe that, yet again, we can be deceived that it is the federal government that will revive the production of these crops?

    Even worse, our president seems to believe that a massive build-up of federally-controlled military and security forces is the way to hold Nigeria together in the hands of his Hausa-Fulani nation. And he has put his kinsmen in charge of most critically important offices in the military and security forces. As I have said many times in this column, he has junked the political party that recommended him to us Nigerians for election, and has built up an administration almost totally manned by his kinsmen whom “he knows”.  And, by doing these things he is expanding and enhancing fear among the other peoples of Nigeria and, God forbid, he may be paving the way for some big trouble in this country.

    That is why we must not lose the opportunity to respond to the message of a very credible Nigerian elder statesman like Maitama Sule. Obasanjo and Jonathan are southerners. They are both products of peoples who lead Nigeria in the quest for sane decentralization of power and resource development in this country. But when they rose to the presidency, they both preferred to keep federal power intact, or even to build more on it. Buhari comes from a nation that is passionately, unrepentantly, determined to keep everything in the hands of the federal government, and then to control it perpetually themselves. Yes, what our country needs most now is diversification in resource development; but why should we hope that Buhari will ever do it? The obvious answer is to do what Alhaji Maitama Sule has called upon us all to do.

    As Alhaji Maitama Sule said, the word revolution is scary. It tends to conjure up images of masses of angry people pulling things down, causing mayhem and even causing injuries and death. But Alhaji Maitama Sule says that the revolution he envisages does not have to have any of these evils. He urges us Nigerians to stop being afraid to take the life of our country into our hands, and to step out with courage to bring new direction into the life and management of our country. I am sure that almost all elder citizens like me agree fully with him, because we would like to see this country return to the country which we knew when we were younger, the country that was brimming with enthusiasm and hope.  All of us Nigerians of all ages can do what Alhaji Maitama Sule has urged – courageously, resolutely, peacefully, successfully – and hand a much better country to our descendants.

  • Evolution of modern Nigeria and Africa – 2

    When the British came under the rubric of the Royal Niger Company it was not too difficult for them to knit together the disparate and puny states under them into a viable large geographical area. British penetration of Nigeria came through the coast and the bombardment of Lagos in 1851 and eventual occupation of Lagos in 1861 presaged the eventual take-over of the country in detail sometimes through diplomacy but mostly by force. The exponent of the use of force was Colonel and later Sir Fredrick Lugard. It was not accidental that the British government called on him to consolidate into one, the two British colonial holdings of southern Nigeria with the colony of Lagos and the protectorate of northern Nigeria.

    The amalgamation of the two Nigerias. Before the amalgamation of Nigeria in 1914 two separate colonial administrations existed in the Nigerian area. The northern administration was financially strapped because it depended on what was called “Native treasuries” or “Beit -el-Mal” comprising of poll tax and jangali “Cow tax” levied on inhabitants of the various Emirates in the north. It was built on existing traditional tax system that predated the coming of the British . The tax was collected in the name and authority of the emirs and divided into three parts two thirds of which went to the colonial government and the emirate councils kept the remaining one third. What was raised in this way was hardly sufficient for the work of administering the huge area under the British colonial government. Initially imperial subventions came from London but this was not sustainable. In any case the cardinal principle of British imperialism was for the mother country to benefit from its empire.

    The colonial administration in the colony of Lagos and southern Nigeria was financially self-sufficient even though the local people paid no taxes. Revenue came from custom duties levied on cheap potato gin known as “trade gin “imported into the country from the Netherlands and Germany. To discourage wide consumption of alcohol, heavy custom duties were placed on it. Because of religious reasons, this “trade gin” was forbidden in northern Nigeria. Huge amount of money was raised in this way in the south. Christian missionaries unsuccessfully campaigned against the importation of any kind of alcohol but the colonial regime obviously liked the money that came through taxation on alcohol. Lugard saw a way out of the dilemma of the impecuniosity of the northern administration and the surplus of its southern neighbour by recommending merger of the two to the home government. This was also in tune with established British tradition of federating contiguous British administered territories whether in Canada, Australia or South Africa. The only difference in the case of Nigeria was that the people were not involved and their opinions were not sought. But in fairness it would have been logistically impossible to do this. There was not a body of knowledgeable men and women who could be consulted apart from the educated gentlemen of Lagos, many of whose political horizons did not extend beyond the Yoruba hinterland.  Sir Fredrick Lugard in any case was averse to dealing with them because of their acerbic criticism of his regime. The emirs, Obas and Chiefs which were the building blocks of Lugardian indirect rule system of administration were naturally only concerned with their immediate domains. The creation of a Nigerian council of colonial officials in which the Emir of Kano and the Alaafin of Oyo sat was a caricature of local representation. Amalgamation therefore came in form of British fiat and it is arguable whether in the long run this has been good for Nigeria. The important thing to note is that the boundaries of the two Nigerias were ill-defined because sometimes the same people straddled the borders. There were also no natural barriers separating the two administrations and the pre-colonial economic relations were obvious to the British to make unification the right thing to do.

    Since 1914 Nigeria has tried to translate this administrative measure into political and economic reality. Ironically the British themselves sometimes made the journey difficult. Colonial administrators in the North such as Charles Temple, the lieutenant governor in the north and Richmond Palmer, one of the most influential Residents defended northern administrative interests against their counterparts in the south to such an extent that Sir Hugh Clifford, Lugard’s successor said there was a remote possibility of a civil war breaking out between British administrators in the north and in the south of Nigeria. Some of the northern administrators became so romantically involved with their Fulani emirs that they began to romanticize the Fulani as belonging to the same Caucasian race of the British conquistadors. This was the position of Charles Temple who wanted to preserve the north as the British met it and argued the north should be allowed to develop at its own pace. Perhaps there is nothing wrong in preserving a peoples’ culture but to attempt to freeze a people’s cultural development is unreasonable because culture is dynamic and not static. This policy was also the more inappropriate if the long term aim of the British was to help cement the ties that they themselves were trying to build was to be realized. Unfortunately for Nigeria, the development of separate northern identity was passed from one British colonial governor to the other from 1914 to the very end of British colonial administration of Nigeria in 1960. British aim in Nigeria was the protection of British interest and they methodically went about doing this.

    Right from 1914, the western educated elite in Lagos had laid claim to leadership of Nigeria on the basis of their western education acquired through access to British missionary schools. Since the north was closed to missionaries for a long time, the educational chasm between the north and the south began to widen until it became almost unbridgeable. The wave of nationalism sweeping the colonized world of Asia and Africa, first after the First World War, but more after the Second World War had wide ramifications all over the world. Nigeria was also touched by this. Educated Nigerians began to demand participation in government and subsequent claim to national sovereignty became a strident call. Newspapers that had existed in Lagos in particular since the advent of colonial rule led the campaign for home rule. Students of various colleges and in particular the Yaba Higher College began to mobilize nationalist elements in the country. Educated people like Herbert Macaulay and later American educated Nnamdi Azikiwe joined the students to form the National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons in 1944 to channel nationalist agitation towards a demand for independence. This new agitation was to sweep away previous leaders like Sir Kitoyi Ajasa, Dr Adeniyi Jones, Earnest Ikoli, and Dr Kofo Abayomi who were more like assimilationists who wanted to be accepted as British citizens rather than Nigerians. The nationalists spoke in the name of all Nigerians. There were pockets of their organization in the municipal areas of Nigeria and in places like Kano, Bauchi, Kaduna and Zaria. Northerners were largely prevailed upon to shun the nationalist movement because they were told it was not in their interest. There was a growing western educated elite in the north mostly graduates of Barewa Government College and teachers college in Bauchi. In most cases these educated northerners were sent to school and paid for by the emirate councils to which they remained largely loyal. In response to southern Nigerian led nationalist movement the jamiyar mutanen arewa (Northern People’s Congress) was formed in 1951. Before this time, there began series of constitutional conferences in Nigeria and in London spanning the years 1947 to 1959 to identify structural, political and economic architectural needed to weld the country together before serious consideration could be given to granting internal autonomy and eventual independence to the regions and eventually to the country.

    The emergence of the NPC had its parallel equivalent in the South-west part of Nigeria dominated by the Yoruba people. In 1947, Chief Obafemi Awolowo and like minds had formed a cultural organization called the “Egbe Omo Oduduwa” that is, children of the eponymous ancestor of the Yoruba people. Before this organization, the Igbo, led by Nnamdi Azikiwe had formed the Ibo State Union as a cultural organization to promote and champion the cause of Igbo people. These cultural organizations in the north and south were manifestations of the differences that existed among Nigerian peoples which in spite of amalgamation continue to fester and to grow. The political dimension was the emergence of regional political parties, namely the NPC in the north, and the Action Group in the south-west while the original mass movement of the NCNC became increasingly identified and associated with the interest of the Igbo. With this came a tripartite struggle for power among the regional parties and leaders which every effort at political engineering before and since independence has been trying to resolve.

  • Letter to CJN

    Whatever happens or goes wrong in the judicial system, lawyers (particularly some senior lawyers) are involved. There are some who have the capacity to influence and intimidate the courts and they do it with relish…sometimes (and when it matters) some members of the Bar representing NBA on the NJC hardly stand up for the truth, not to talk of speaking the truth.
    – Justice Ayo Isa Salami, ex-President of the Court of Appeal.

    My Lord, the Chief Justice of Nigeria (CJN) Mahmoud Mohammed, it is with heavy heart that I start with the above quote from the parting shot of Justice Ayo Salami to the judiciary three years ago after a two-year battle to retain his seat as President of the Court of Appeal (PCA). As you are aware, Justice Salami was suspended from office by the National Judicial Council (NJC) on August 18, 2011 not for professional misconduct or corruption but for refusing to apologise to then CJN and NJC chairman Aloysius Katsina-Alu.  Though you were not then a member of NJC, which you now head, you were privy to all that happened as a Justice of the Supreme Court (JSC). My Lord, I will not bore you with details of that matter, but recent happenings in the judiciary make it imperative for me to refer to it. And I will be drawing heavily from some of Justice Salami’s remarks at the valedictory session held for him on October 31, 2013 in Abuja because he spoke a lot about NJC.

    By virtue of his position, PCA, as he then was, Justice Salami was an automatic member of NJC, but his membership amounted to nothing when he had issues with his chairman, former CJN Katsina-Alu. His fellow members disowned him in the face of glaring evidence that he did no wrong because they did not want to incur the wrath of Justice Katsina-Alu.

    Justice Salami exposed the inner workings of the NJC at his valedictory session. From what he said, it is not the august body that we all think it is. It seems that rather than stand up for what is right and just, the NJC will do anything to protect its own, especially those in the good books of its chairman. The NJC was not set up to be the tool of the CJN and his acolytes. It was established to ensure that the justice system works smoothly, with judges seen to be alive to their sacred responsibilities. Should such people become objects of scorn and ridicule? The answer is no.

    Unfortunately, this is what is happening today. Two Justices of the Supreme Court – Inyang Okoro and Sylvester Ngwuta –  the suspended Presiding Justice of the Court of Appeal, Ilorin Division, Mohammed Ladan Tsamiya, Justice Adeniyi Ademola of the Federal High Court, Abuja, Enugu State Chief Judge Justice I.A. Umezulike, Justice Kabiru Auta of the Kano State High Court, Justice Muazu Pindiga, Gombe State High Court, Justice Bashir Sukola and Justice Ladan Manir, both of the Kaduna State High Court are today fighting a battle of their lives following allegations that they desecrated their offices. They are being investigated by the Department of State Service (DSS). Six others – all of the Federal High Court – Justices Mohammed Nasir Yunusa, Hyeladzira Ajiya Nganjiwa, Musa Haruna Kurya, Agbadu James Fishim, Uwani Abba Aji and Rita Ofili-Ajumogobia are being probed by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).  These are men and women who sit in judgement over others being accused of some of the offences they try people for.

    My Lord, Justices Okoro, Ngwuta and Ademola have written to you, stating their innocence. Without their stating so, our law presumes them innocent until otherwise proven. Their letters have become subjects of public debate, with many wondering if they were actually written by those judges. Indeed if such letters should come to these judges in the course of a case what weight will they attach to them in evidence? Can they convict any felon on the strength of such letters? My Lord, their lordships, in their own words and in their own hands, admitted that there were attempts to induce  them to pervert justice and they kept quiet until they ran into trouble!

    The issue now is : should they continue to sit while allegations of corruption are hanging over their heads like the sword of Damocles? My Lord, to you, this is a dilemma, but to the public, it is not. The judges put themselves in the position they are in today. A smart and incorruptible judge, if it is true, would have reported to the police immediately he was approached to subvert justice. His complaint would have stood him in good stead in the day of trouble. Without a police report, I am sorry to say, Justices Okoro’s and Ngwuta’s claims that some ministers sought their help in some election petition cases sound like fairy tales. But, My Lord, they claimed to have reported the matter to you. Is that so? What did you do? Did you refer the matter to the police? The world is waiting to know the steps your lordship took.

    To keep silent in the face of at tempts to bribe a judge is to encourage corruption. If a Justice of the Supreme Court does not know this, then who will? The man on the street? My Lord, you have about two weeks left counting from today to bow out of service. With November 10, your retirement date fast approaching, you have but a little time to decide how you wish to be remembered after your exit. One major decision you have to take between now and then is what to do with the embattled judges. The Nigerian Bar Association (NBA), which always side the NJC, has called for their suspension. Whatever anybody, especially some so-called senior lawyers, may say, the Bar cannot be faulted on this score. It cannot be proper for the judges to continue to sit not even while being investigated, not to talk of when their trial eventually starts.

    My Lord, you have kicked against the Bar’s demand, saying it is against the law establishing the NJC. That law, until amended, only gives NJC the power to discipline judges and recommend appropriate actions against them. It does not confer NJC with the power to conduct the sort of investigation being carried out against the judges by DSS and EFCC. My Lord, I am at a loss over your objection to the suspension of these judges. To me, suspending them will not be breaching the NJC law.

    It is misplaced fear to say that their lordships’ suspension will negate the law and also affect their integrity. To restore hope in the judiciary, their lordships must step aside to face trial. If they do not, you will be shirking your responsibility as NJC chairman. This is no time for esprit de corps. To save your own name, you must let the law take its course.

    Justice Salami may be right after all when he said : ‘’The problem with the Nigerian judiciary is that some dishonourable people not fit to be judges get into the stream and then make it to the highest level of the judicial career…’’ Will the outcome of the judges’ trial prove Justice Salami wrong? Time will tell.

  • America and the Trump challenge

    The difference between Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump, the two contestants for America presidency is clear. Nothing brought the difference home more vividly than their final appeal to the electorate after their last week final debate. Clinton advertised the record of her achievement in public service along with her manifesto: “…You know, I’ve been privileged to see the presidency up close and I know the awesome responsibility of protecting our country”, Clinton intoned with confidence.

    “I have made the cause of children and families really my life’s work; I will stand up for families against powerful interests, against corporations. I will do everything I can to make sure you have good jobs with rising incomes, that your kids have good educations from preschool through college. I hope you will give me a chance to serve as your president”.

    But from Trump, came a message of fear and of divisiveness: “We’re going to make America great. We have a depleted military. It has to be helped. We have the greatest people on earth in our military. We don’t take care of our veterans. We take care of illegal immigrants, people that come into the country illegally, better than we take care of our vets. That can’t happen… We are going to make America strong again and we are going to make America great again”.

    Perhaps the difference between the two also brought out the major weakness of democracy, the new god worshipped by more than half of the nations of the world. Free and fair elections, the hallmark of participatory democracy which often involve group bargaining or ‘a do or die’ approach – a euphemism for outright rigging as we have in Nigeria, sometimes throw up a nightmare. Here we have the experience of 2011 when we ended up with a Goodluck Jonathan who turned up to be a scourge of our nation. But even America, the home of democracy is not immune to this phenomenon. The process threw up a George Bush who did not know his left from his right and ended up committing America to two avoidable wars that turned Afghanistan and Iraq into failed states and foisted terrorism on the world.

    Writing for the New York Times back in 2008, Ian Kershaw, a professor of modern history at Sheffield University, and the author of Hitler, the Germans and the Final Solution reminded us how skilful politicians in the mode of Adolf Hitler proved adept at using democratic structures to erect forms of authoritarian rule and went on to advise on the need for international cooperation to restrain potential “mad dogs” in the world before they bite. Back then, he had Vladimir Putin of Russia and the late Hugo Chavez, of Venezuela in mind. That was long before the emergence of Donald Trump, a creation of disgruntled, racist, Islamaphobic, college uneducated white workers and their Tea Party that ignited what many have described as a civil war in the Republican Party. His emergence with is message of hate has sent fear down the spines of many in the world especially Western Europe with greater stake in who becomes the next American president.

    We must understand where Europe is coming from. The horrors of the Second World War foisted on the people through the follies of a mad man are still fresh. Unfortunately, there are just too many parallels between Donald Trump and Adolf Hitler, credited with the slaughtering of 11 million people including the six million Jews incinerated in a gas chamber.

    Let us start with the environment. There is a frightening parallel between the social dislocations in Hitler’s 1929 Germany and Donald Trump’s 2007 and 2008 US. Just as the defeat and humiliation of Germany in the First World War and the great economic depression provided a fertile ground for Hitler to exploit the misery of his compatriots for political power, Trump has tried to exploit the political divisiveness within the Republican Party following the loss of power to Barak Obama, international terrorism and economic insecurity, fallouts of George Bush misadventure and bad policies. But for Trump, the scapegoat is Obama. Lying without shame and sounding like Hitler before the Jew final solution, he says ‘we have problem in this country. It is called Muslims. We know our current president is one, he is not an American…They have training camps where they want to kill us; we want to take our country back’.

    Like Hitler, Trump does not believe in political parties. Just as Hitler used Nazism as springboard to take over power, Trump hijacked the Republican Party to secure the party’s presidential ticket. Just as Hitler didn’t believe the party needed to serve the people, Trump after using the party to achieve his aim, assaulted the core values and the soul of the Republican Party. Like Hitler, he humiliated the real leaders of GOP. And just like what Hitler did to his party leading members, Trump has attempted to stop Speaker Paul Ryan, the highest ranking Republican from getting re-nomination ticket.

    Hitler had a ‘barstadisation’ policy for children born in Germany but of non-German parents. He believed they were inferior to German children and cannot be given citizenship because citizenship was by blood of the Aryan race. Trump like Hitler is against the Fourteenth Amendment which confers citizenship on all children born in America. Trump wants all such children deported.   Reminded of his constitutional limitations, he says because the constitutional process is too slow, he would explore other methods if he wins.

    Both are against freedom of expression and the press is their whipping dog. If Trump like Hitler has his ways, the state should control the press and use it as instrument for propaganda. Both have no regard for the famous declaration of Thomas Jefferson, the American founding father and the principal author of American declaration of independence (1776) that “were it left to me to decide whether we should have a government without newspapers or newspapers without government, I should not hesitate a moment to prefer the later”.

    Trump’s ‘I am the only one who can fix America’ is not markedly different from Hitler’s delusion that he was ordained to protect the Aryan race. Just as Hitler blamed the Jews for most of the problems and evils in Germany as well as the world, Trump blames China for unemployment and Obama perhaps for stopping two wars. He then broke into lamentation: ‘Our country is in serious trouble, we used to have victories, not any more”.  How can Trump have victories when there are no more wars, if one may ask? Trump like Hitler, engages in rabid nationalism bordering on fascism.

    And finally, Trump and Hitler did not believe in democracy. For Hitler, ‘democracy will in practice lead to the destruction of a people’s true value’.  His plan as reflected in his ‘Mein Kampf’ was to “destroy democracy with the weapons of democracy”. In other words, secure power through democracy and then become a dictator because for him “One works best when alone” – a rejection of participatory democracy. Trump like Hitler probably wants democracy as a means to an end. There can be no other more compelling argument than his current attempt to undermine the foundation of the democratic process by insisting he will only accept the outcome of the coming election if he wins.

    As Matt Brundage has also reminded us, had “Hitler, the quintessential anti-democrat, who ascended to power as swiftly succeeded in World War II, he would have foisted his views and policies on an unprepared world”. American voters on November 8 have an opportunity to save their country and mankind from a dangerous man whose belligerence and ignorance may lead to Third World War.