Category: Hardball

  • Presidential pardon: Between lawfulness and expediency

    Presidential pardon: Between lawfulness and expediency

    Presidential spokesman, Doyin Okupe, yesterday confirmed that presidential pardon had been granted former governor of Bayelsa State, Diepreye Alamieyeseigha, and seven others. But the other seven, including the late Shehu Yar’Adua and Abdulkarim Adisa, and Oladipo Diya, et al, have not generated as much controversy as Alamieyeseigha has done. President Goodluck Jonathan was at a time Alamieyeseigha’s deputy. While the pardon came unexpectedly, it is, however, not too surprising that Alamieyeseigha is a beneficiary. First is the fact that the president is actually still close to the former governor, and both have sustained a good relationship.

    Second is the fact that since reelection politics began to build up late last year, all sorts of calculations have suddenly cropped up, and Jonathan is not unmindful of emerging trends, in spite of announcing last year that 2015 was still far away. And third is the fact that the president perhaps feels that he must from now on begin to gather those who would help him wage the stiff political battles ahead. This is why he manoeuvred Alhaji Bamanga Tukur through the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) mill to emerge as chairman, forced Chief Tony Anenih down the throat of the party’s Board of Trustees, and apparently needs Alameiyeseigha to take care of political business back home where revulsion against the former governor is hardly perceptible.

    The president followed the law in granting the pardon. It was done through the National Council of States, a rubber stamp body that finds it difficult to oppose the president of the day. Even though many commentators and civil society groups have expressed outrage, arguing that Alamieyeseigha’s pardon in particular subverted the fight against corruption, the fact is that the president has the right to do what he did, irrespective of the severity of the crime, and no matter how much the pardon affronts the country’s values. In fact the more severe the crime, the more important and meaningful the pardon. There is nothing that says the president should look for less severe crime to pardon. More importantly, Alamieyeseigha has served time and forfeited properties, and if the president felt the former governor deserves pardon, he has not overreached himself.

    It must be emphasised that Jonathan has not broken any law in granting the pardon that seems to offend so many, and it would be presumptuous of anybody to determine for him what kind of crime or severity of crime he can pardon. The problem, however, is that while it is lawful to pardon Alamieyeseigha, it is unfortunately not expedient. It is on the grounds of expediency that Jonathan’s pardon grates on the senses. The president has been accused of being unserious in his fight against corruption; he ought to have been mindful of taking any step that would reinforce that impression. He has been accused of showing poor judgement and poor timing in too many things; alas, he did not inspire long-suffering Nigerians with the timing of this pardon. He has been accused of refusing to consider the affairs of the country holistically; with this pardon, he has shown limited vision, preferring to see only in part, and blinded by private interest, insufferable opportunism and short-sighted goals. Indeed, this is a delicate gambit that is expected to have far-reaching consequences for the 2015 polls.

    Many activists may be tempted to compare Nigeria with China, wishing that corruption could attract capital punishment. But Nigeria is not China, and will probably never be, nor does the death penalty deter crime on the scale many angry people romanticise it, nor yet have the cathartic effect many imbue the drastic remedy with. The problem with the Alamieyeseigha pardon is the poor timing and poor judgement, both of which sadly indicate, far in excess of the inexpediency of the pardon itself, that Jonathan seems ill-suited for the lofty office he occupies.

  • Death and the seven hostages

    Death and the seven hostages

    The news about the supposed murder of seven foreign workers abducted in Bauchi State on February 16 by the Jama’atu Ansarul Musilimina Fi Biladis Sudan, otherwise known as Ansaru, is a most unusual one. The seven hostages – a Briton, Italian, Greek, Lebanese, two Syrians and one Filipino – worked for a construction company before their abduction and harrowing captivity. Their captors had warned that the hostages would be killed if there were attempts to stage a rescue operation. They reminded Nigerian and foreign security organisations of the raid on Ansaru hideout near Sokoto during which hostages Chris McManus, a Briton, and Franco Lamolinara, an Italian, were killed when a combined team of Nigerian and British forces staged a rescue attempt in March 2012. On Saturday, however, Ansaru released an internet video clip suggesting that the hostages had been executed because the sect feared Britain and Nigeria were on the verge of a rescue attempt. But while the British, Italian and Greek governments have tentatively confirmed the execution, the Nigerian government has been reluctant to confirm the killings.

    What is curious about the murder is not the announcement by Ansaru, which is simple and direct enough, even if somewhat puzzling, nor the confirmation by the three countries of their citizens’ murder. The curious irony is that Nigeria, where the abduction took place, gives the humiliating impression it is unaware of the fate of the hostages, whether they were dead or alive. While Nigerians sympathise with their government, they do not excuse its dispiritedness. The government may not be able to stage a daring rescue, and may even rightly be afraid of staging another fiasco, but it is expected it should at least be able to tell what has become of the hostages. It rankles that foreign governments seemed surer of the fate of the hostages, while Nigeria, where the crisis unfolded, watches quizzically.

    The Nigerian scepticism may, however, derive from the government’s conviction that Nigerian terror groups were not known to execute their hostages except during a rescue attempt. In addition, the government also probably suspects that Ansaru may in fact have contrived the supposed execution as a red herring to throw the government and adventurous rescuers off the scent of the terrorists. A few conspiracy theorists even believe that the foreign governments quickly confirmed the executions in order to give Ansaru the mistaken impression they would do nothing about the hostages since they were dead anyway.

    Whatever the final outcome, whether Ansaru is lying and foreign governments are conniving at the lie, or whether Nigeria is in a quandary, the only group certain to be embarrassed by the whole affair is Nigeria, which has been unable both to tame its violent sects and incompetent to fight them. Nigeria must hope that the hostages are really not dead, and that its wariness is justified. Any other outcome would be disastrous, for it would paint Nigeria as ignorant of happenings within its own borders. However, in the days ahead, the unpleasant truth about the fate of the hostages will be established beyond doubt. But whatever that truth is will not mitigate the appalling image Nigeria has cultivated and continues to nurture of its government’s unpredictability, dithering and slothfulness.

     

     

     

  • Kaduna police assault on free speech

    Kaduna police assault on free speech

    Reminiscent of the first and only police-inspired ‘coup d’etat’ Nigeria has ever witnessed, the former governor of Zamfara State, Ahmed Sani, had his freedom of speech brusquely abridged by the Kaduna State police last Saturday. The former governor, who is also a senator of the Federal Republic, was invited by the State Police Commissioner, Mr Olufemi Adenaike, to clarify some of the statements he made during a phone-in programme on Federal Radio Corporation of Nigeria (FRCN) Kaduna that same Saturday. The statements were innocuous and clear enough, but the police claimed they were bombarded with calls suggesting that the senator made threatening and inciting statements deserving of prompt police action.

    On July 10, 2003, Assistant Inspector-General of Police (AIG) Raphael Ige had led a detachment of some 200 mobile policemen to abduct former Anambra State Governor Chris Ngige, also now a senator, and kept him away from office for many hours on the pretext that he had resigned as governor. The treason collapsed the same day when no one of substance owned up to the plot to dethrone the governor. There were, however, a few civilian collaborators of the police in the state who tried to take advantage of the confusion. Ige was not only unexpectedly retired some three days later in unclear circumstances; he died in January 2004 probably from heart problems. What astounded the public was the brazenness of the plot and the amateurish manner the police led the putsch.

    Nearly 10 years after that unfortunate incident, it seems there are still some officers in the Nigeria Police Force (NPF) who have learnt little from the mistakes of their predecessors. The police are of course constitutionally empowered to, among other things, take proactive measures to prevent crime, but there is nowhere in the constitution or police regulations that entitles the police or their proxies to take steps to abridge freedom of speech or any other freedoms vouchsafed to the people by the constitution. PC Adenaike claimed to be taking proactive steps by inviting and interrogating Senator Sani, but from his account of that ignoble incident, it is clear his defence is tenuous and vexatious.

    Hear him: “If you put yourself in my shoes, you are the commissioner of police of a state, and you start getting calls from concerned citizens of the state that somebody has made an inciting statement on the radio, will you go to burukutu (local brew) joint and start drinking? You have to make a move. All I did was to go to the radio house. And I met the distinguished Senator, and I said, ‘Please, I want to know what you said.’ He said, ‘No problem, let me finish.’ And I will come with you to the office. This is what has transpired. And I am surprised that people are saying many things. ‘CP has arrested him,’ that CP has orders from Abuja. The distinguished senator is not under arrest. The Senator is not under arrest! All we did was to find out what he said. And he said they were going to go on a peaceful demonstration. And I said, define what you mean by peaceful demonstration, considering that Kaduna State is a volatile state. I don’t what anything to happen in my domain. I am completely satisfied with what he has said. And he is free to go. There was no directive from anywhere. We were doing things on our own.”

    Senator Sani of course put the invitation in clearer perspective. According to him, all he said on the radio programme was that leaders of the yet-to-be-registered All Progressives Congress (APC) would embark on peaceful demonstration in Abuja if the party was not registered by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). How that became an incitement to warrant PC Adenaike’s imperious intervention is difficult to explain. The police commissioner also unbelievably pretended not to know what peaceful demonstration is, and needed the senator to provide the meaning. If he didn’t listen to the broadcast, couldn’t he wait until the end of the programme to secure the tape and listen to it? Why the rush? In addition, he also insensitively described Kaduna State as his domain. That he is entrusted with the responsibility of securing the state does not make it his domain. The way he used the word gave the impression he is actually a parallel authority to the governor, and even more powerful. But if anything, the state is really the governor’s domain. And though Adenaike struggled to distance Police Headquarters from his precipitate action, it is still important for police authorities to query the officer and invite him to explain what part of the democratic process and the constitution he finds difficult to understand, and show cause why disciplinary action should not be taken against him.

     

     

  • Nigeria too hasty congratulating Kenyatta

    Nigeria too hasty congratulating Kenyatta

    It is not clear what Nigeria thinks it stands to gain by speedily congratulating Uhuru Kenyatta on his election as President of Kenya. But hours after the Kenyan Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) announced the result of last Monday’s presidential election, the Nigerian government rushed out a statement congratulating the winner and applauding the peaceful nature of the poll and the appeal for calm issued by Kenyatta’s main opponent, Raila Odinga. Waiting till today to issue a statement would not have hurt relations between Nigeria and Kenya. In the poll marred by equipment malfunction and slow and laborious counting procedures, Kenyatta won by 50.07 percent of the votes to Odinga’s 43.31 percent. Turnout was estimated at 86 percent, amounting to some 12,330,028 votes shared between Kenyatta and Odinga as follows: 6,173,433 and 5,340,546 respectively.

    Nigeria was among the first few countries to congratulate Kenyatta. But even if it felt the sanctity of the poll had been upheld, and Odinga’s promised court action would not affect the final outcome, Nigeria still ought to have been mindful of the dilemma Kenyans will be facing in the coming months as their president-elect and his running mate, William Ruto, go on trial at the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague next month. The two leaders had been indicted by the ICC for crimes against humanity following accusations they had either instigated or fuelled the ethnic violence that racked Kenya immediately after the 2007 elections. Kenyatta and Ruto had backed the outgoing president, Mwai Kibaki, against Odinga, while more than 1,000 people were believed killed in the mayhem.

    Before last week’s election, Western nations had subtly hinted Kenyans would face a moral dilemma by voting Kenyatta as president in spite of knowing he would be facing charges at the ICC. Kenyatta and his supporters, however, felt the hints were an attempt to influence the course of the election. But whether there were attempts to influence the poll or not, there is absolutely no doubt that Kenyans failed to take into cognisance the embarrassment it would cause the country for their president to be put on trial in The Hague. That sort of humiliation had been exclusive to former presidents, top officials of governments, and private individuals. The trial of Kenyatta and Ruto may be the first time a president and his deputy will be facing the indignity of ICC trial.

    After failing in their quest to influence Kenyans to vote appropriately, Western nations have acknowledged they will squirm even more in the coming months in their relations with the Kenyan government under Kenyatta. By yesterday, none of them had issued a definitive congratulatory message to Kenyatta. It is not certain how they would word their messages when they get round to issuing them. Much worse, it is not only Kenya that will be embarrassed when their president goes on trial, even friendly nations will also be embarrassed. Why Nigeria does not indicate it feels queasy about the outcome of the election is hard to say at the moment. But perhaps it imagines Western fuss is merely an indication of the rampaging and seemingly inextinguishable forces of neo-imperialism. Or perhaps it considers that Kenyatta would probably be freed of all charges at the ICC trial, the sort of fait accompli the president-elect hopes his presidency would present to the court.

    It speaks volumes about the integrity of many African countries, Nigeria and Kenya in particular, that they are not discomfited by the kind of moral questions and moral dilemma the Kenyan presidential election has thrown up. More worrisomely, Kenya’s moral dilemma may in fact be a reflection of Nigeria’s sickening romance with postelection violence and the sanguinary indifference with which its leaders accommodate it. Kenya may have had a fairly peaceful election, but the election is not free of moral blemish. Indeed, the election is deeply and humiliatingly compromised by the upcoming ICC trial. By hastily congratulating Kenyatta, Nigeria once again shows how unprepared it is for African leadership; for leadership is not just a function of population or economic size, it is more importantly a function of the ennobling values a country projects.

  • PDP needs prayers? Why not try truth and justice

    PDP needs prayers? Why not try truth and justice

    Chief Tony Anenih is not known to be flippant. When he responds to reporters’ questions, he is seldom expansive, preferring instead to be straight-faced and laconic. On Wednesday, when cheeky reporters asked him what role he expected the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) Board of Trustees (BoT) to play in resolving the multifaceted crises afflicting the party, he spoke and behaved true to type. “Prayers, prayers, prayers,” he intoned. “This is what we need.” He wasn’t, of course, saying the BoT would do the praying, nor was he suggesting that our self-satisfied rulers lumbering about in the corridors of power knew how to pray. All he was telling reporters shortly after emerging from a meeting with the party chairman, Alhaji Bamanga Tukur, was that in the general sense those who knew how to pray should feel free to render that service copiously to the party. If we didn’t know better, we would think that in the PDP, whether under Chief Olusegun Obasanjo or under any other leader, politics and prayer were compatible.

    But just as Anenih was advocating prayer to resolve self-inflicted tragedies – a typical indulgence in these parts – his party was also busy enacting bigger and more pernicious unfairness and parochialism. First, President Goodluck Jonathan, exercising the powers conferred on him by the party’s constitution, directed that six governors be inducted into the party caucus. The six, grumbled some PDP governors, were the arrowheads of the president’s campaign to fracture the Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF). And two of the six, the grumblers moaned further, came from the president’s geopolitical zone, almost as if he had forgotten how to be president of Nigeria or even leader of the entire PDP. Second, other grumblers chafed at the president for causing three ministers to be invited into the same caucus without any consideration of spread or federal character, with the Minister of Petroleum, Mrs Diezani Alison-Madueke, top on the list of their complaints. (She was listed among the three ministers, thereby bringing the number of those admitted into the caucus from the president’s zone to three in one fell swoop). Surely, the grumblers wailed, there must be a better and less offensive way of stacking the cards against the enemies within.

    However, Jonathan’s caucus manoeuvres are simply a manifestation of the president’s and his party’s inattentiveness to details and to the cause of fairness. The party has an unenviable history of bitter infighting, oppression of the weak, and promotion of injustice at regional and national levels. These vices are what Anenih quaintly believes prayers could help exterminate. Alas, someday, we will understand what naïve doctrines and philosophies motivate the BoT chairman. But for now, it is unnecessary to analyse his theology or to question the beliefs of members of the BoT. We already know that prayer represents for them a charming perfunctoriness. They will advocate it half-asleep or half-awake, notwithstanding the severity of the unfairness they are meting out to their victims.

    But if the PDP and Anenih can manage to view God less as a commercial device for the satisfaction of party ambition and more as an avenger of injustice and unfairness, perhaps they would be more guarded in their actions and more balanced in their worldview. Perhaps, too, they would run a more efficient party bureaucracy and offer the country the visionary leadership Nigerians desire, but which the ruling party lacks the discipline and ethical soundness to actualise. We cannot tell whether sometime in the future the PDP will embrace prayer more reverentially and move God into hearing them. But for now, let the party try embracing truth and justice in order to restore peace within its fold. This latter option is even less costly, less demanding, and does not addle the wit of the party’s Brahmins nor tax their knowledge of God as much as the complicated theology of prayer.

  • Okupe’s excuse for presidential lethargy

    Okupe’s excuse for presidential lethargy

    The Senior Special Adviser to the President on Public Affairs, Dr. Doyin Okupe, is giftedly verbose, among other lofty talents he exhibits, sometimes to our surprise, and at other times to our dismay. This column once said this special spokesman, whom some media outfits lavishly described as President Goodluck Jonathan’s attack dog, was capable of defending two contrasting positions with equal plausibility, or attacking them with equal venom. We obviously underrate him. He is in fact capable of so much more. In attacking the nine governors of the proposed All Progressives Congress (APC) who visited Borno State last week, Okupe showed his other talent for arguing without logic and saying nothing in a grand manner. Hear him: “The APC Governors’ visit was hurriedly packaged to preempt the visit of Mr. President, which had been planned and scheduled several weeks ago. This is surely an act of crass opportunism and political desperation on the part of these governors and the party they represent. We regard that visit as a media circus, stunt and photo-ops by these governors who were apparently in Maiduguri to feather their political nests.”

    Try as hard as you can, you are never going to find rhyme or reason in Mr Okupe’s statements. Assuming the president planned his visit earlier than the governors, and he needed all of the more than 21 months he has been in office to get round to it, why blame the enterprising opposition for seizing the moment? In any case, the president’s security agents knew the opposition planned to visit Maiduguri; why didn’t the president’s advisers coax his immobile majesty into bringing his own plans forward? The essence of opposition politics is to always take advantage of the ruling party’s or president’s lethargy by stealing, subverting or adapting their plans. It is a sensible and perfectly legitimate enterprise.

    But Okupe does not normally stop at bad; he must proceed to worse as unalterably as he sleeps at night. Hear him again: “If I may ask, where were these governors in the last 18 months that they had been in office? It is obvious that it is part of their mobilisation drive that took them to Borno State rather than any patriotic call to duty. These are desperate power mongers who flock together in spite of their obvious conflicting political philosophies and inordinate ambitions.” Only Okupe is capable of drawing a line in Maiduguri between mobilisation and patriotism. No one else can; not even Pythagoras.

    Yet, as everyone knows of politics, mobilisation is an integral part of winning elections. And as if justifying the pejorative label the media gave him, the presidential spokesman then abusively described the APC governors as desperate power mongers. In addition, he gleefully announced that the governors, whom he called opportunists, could not agree on a unifying philosophy nor moderate their ambitions. He gives the impression the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has agreed on a philosophy and does not suffer from inordinate ambition. Apart from not having an explanation for the president’s delay in visiting Borno State, and rather than conceding they’ve been trumped, Okupe instead added the incredible fatuousness that whenever elected officials worked, they did us a favour. Well, let Okupe continue to put his nose to the propaganda grindstone; for as his service under Chief Olusegun Obasanjo showed, he is unlikely to ever rise beyond the level of the intolerably mundane anyway.

  • Kenyan polls re-enact history’s quirkiness

    Kenyan polls re-enact history’s quirkiness

    The two leading contenders for the Kenyan presidency are Uhuru Kenyatta and Raila Odinga, sons of Kenya’s two leading nationalists, Jomo Kenyatta and Oginga Odinga. The two equally eminent children have not only followed in the footsteps of their late fathers, they have also sustained the rivalry between their fathers that hallmarked the turbulent post-independence history of their country. But much more quirkily, and as if history sometimes likes to mock its great statesmen, it is easy to imagine how things could have turned out differently had Kenyatta senior and Odinga senior taken a different fork in the road in the mid and late 1950s.

    By yesterday, Uhuru Kenyatta, 51, of The National Alliance (TNA) was leading Raila Odinga, 68, of the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) in vote count by as much as 12 percentage points after Monday’s presidential election. Before the end of today or tomorrow, it is expected that the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) would have tallied all the votes and announced the final results. Analysis of the tally so far does not fully indicate that Kenyatta, who is currently a Deputy Prime Minister, will win. This is because early returns have come from Kenyatta’s Kikuyu and allied strongholds while Odinga’s Luo and allied strongholds have been slower in reporting returns. Odinga is Prime Minister. Of the eight contestants for the presidency, the winner must win more than 50 percent of the votes to avoid a runoff.

    If Kenyatta wins, he and his running mate, William Ruto, will spend most of their time in office facing trial at The Hague for crimes against humanity as a result of their indictment by the International Criminal Court (ICC) following the 2007 polls in which more than 1000 people were killed. Kenyatta and Ruto are accused of instigating the violence that followed that year’s disputed election. Indeed, their victory would mark the first time anyone accused of crimes against humanity had been voted into office in spite of ICC indictment. In a veiled attempt to influence the direction of voting on Monday, a few Western nations sent out signals that they would be loth to interact with Kenyatta should he emerge winner today. It remains to be seen what part those subtle hints would play in the election.

    But the real quirky part of the election and rivalry between the two sons of eminent Kenyan leaders is how the pre-independence politics of the country continues to shape the current political and electoral struggles between the two families. A few years before independence, Kenya’s British colonial rulers indicated very strongly they were reluctant to hand over power to radicals or anyone associated with the Mau Mau rebellion. Jomo Kenyatta had been arrested as one of the famous Kapenguria Six in 1952 at the onset of the rebellion. After a six-month trial, the six – Bildad Kagia, Fred Kubai, Paul Ngei, et al – were jailed for leading or sympathising with the Mau Mau. But rather than offer himself to be propped up by the British, Oginga Odinga remained faithful to Kenyatta and held the fort for him until he was released in 1961.

    Not only was Odinga, an engineer, also charismatic and highly respected, he was even much truer to the sentiments that motivated the leaders of the Mau Mau rebellion, some of whom were Dedan Kimathi and Waruhiu Itote a.k.a. General China. Indeed, after independence, Kenyatta all but scorned the leaders of the Mau Mau.

    It is remarkable how history could have turned out differently had Oginga Odinga offered to be the liberal face of Kenya sought by the British between 1957 and 1961. Had he befriended the Mau Mau leaders who survived, worked the crowd as deftly as he evoked reverence from the Luo, and exploited his friendship with Tom Mboya, a fellow Luo like Barack Obama’s father, he would have stood a fair chance of replacing Jomo Kenyatta and becoming the first president of independent Kenya. He would have been aided by the fact that Kenya is an ethnic pastiche, with no tribe dominating the others. The kikuyu, the most populous ethnic group, are only 22 percent, while the Luo, Lubya and Kalenjin are 13, 14 and 12 percent respectively. But Odinga kept his principles, never became president in spite of all his subsequent efforts, and his son has struggled against even greater odds to be relevant. The younger Odinga is best placed to win today, for he is respected domestically and internationally, but he faces tough, almost insurmountable hurdles. However, it remains to be seen whether the principles his father kept during decolonisation would prove to be an enduring jinx on the family or just a mere hiatus.

     

  • Boko Haram’s Shekau confirms cyber war

    Boko Haram’s Shekau confirms cyber war

    In case anyone still thinks the Federal Government is not already warring against its enemies and opponents in cyberspace, that person had better think twice. Thanks to the recent video released by Boko Haram leader, Abubakar Shekau, we now have a confirmation that the Nigerian government is very active in the so-called fifth domain of warfare, the cyberspace. If in 2009, the United States could declare its digital infrastructure a strategic national asset, and the Pentagon could one year later also set up its U.S. Cyber Command (USCYBERCOM) to defend American military networks and attack other countries’ systems, surely it is no big deal for the Nigerian government to hack into Boko Haram’s cyber operations network and undermine it.

    The Shekau confirmation of cyberwarfare comes after he tried to explain why he took so long in refuting the claim of one Abu Abdulazeez who claimed to have had the mandate of the Boko Haram leader to declare ceasefire and request for dialogue with the Federal Government based on some tentative agreements with the Borno State Government. According to Shekau, he made several attempts to upload a video message denouncing the call for dialogue or announcement of a truce. Every time an attempt was made, he moaned, the Nigerian government either summarily removed the message from the internet or blocked it altogether. Shekau did not say whether the sect has finally got the software to override the government’s interference.

    Hardball intends no insinuation, but it is significant to note that al-Qaeda is fairly adept at cyber war and would not mind pursuing its nihilist intentions by generously distributing to agents and affiliates the skills to conduct their own successful operations in cyberspace. So, too, is Iran, which seems to be giving both Israel and US a run for their money in cyberwarfare. Who can forget that in December 2011, Iran claimed to have hacked into a US spy drone called RQ-170, compromised it, and brought it down safely in Iranian territory? Naturally, the US denied losing any drone through cyber war, insisting, however, that the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) crashed after handlers lost control of it.

    But more spectacularly, there was the recent combined US/Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear programme, particularly its uranium enrichment program, which is at the centre of its nuclear militarisation process. In 2009 and 2010, the US and Israel deployed the so-called Stuxnet computer virus to sabotage the enrichment process. After Iran recovered from that attack, the two countries deployed an even more virulent cyber weapon identified as W32.Flame said to be “capable of penetrating a system, stealing sensitive data and turning on cameras and computer microphones to obtain additional data or change settings on computer systems.” The war continues, with all manner of footloose cyber warriors, some of them young and independent, causing havoc and gloating with satisfaction.

    Nigeria’s Boko Haram commanders will be bracing up for more attacks. Let us, however, hope that they are not quite stable or smart enough to be on the offensive in the fifth domain of warfare. For if the Americans and their Israeli partners are having headaches coping with Iranian cyberspace affront, imagine what migraine the lowly placed Nigerian government cyberspace managers could have from motivated cyber militants. More importantly, while it may be in the national security interest for Nigeria’s cyberspace warriors to subvert extremist groups like Boko Haram, we must hope that the government ninjas would not be tempted to expand the frontiers of cyberspace war to undermine civil liberties and invade the privacy of citizens. To this extent, therefore, it may not be inappropriate to ask whether the National Assembly Intelligence Committees (House and Senate) are really carrying out their oversight functions in these delicate areas.

     

  • Obasanjo pontificates on leadership

    Obasanjo pontificates on leadership

    Of all the subjects Chief Olusegun Obasanjo normally speaks on, leadership is rarely one of them. The reason is not strange. Though he presided over the affairs of Nigeria twice, from 1976-1979, and 1999-2007, and has accumulated more than 11 years’ experience in leadership, it is a topic that makes him extremely uncomfortable. But finally, last Saturday, he has broken the ice and spoken zestfully on the subject, and even applied it to the Nigerian case. Speaking during the African Regional Inter-Collegiate Debate on Human Security held last Saturday at the Olusegun Obasanjo Presidential Library (OOPL), the former president pontificated on the interconnectedness between poor leadership and underdevelopment, and argued that it was necessary to arrest the situation if Nigeria’s and Africa’s development was to be assured. As he put it, “In Nigeria, with due respect, there are not many good leaders; we have many Nigerians and not good leaders, which can be extended to Africa; and leadership problem is something we have to correct because we cannot continue the way it is.”

    The former president did not expatiate on how the problem of poor leadership could be remedied, perhaps because the forum was inappropriate for such deep discourses. More realistically, however, he probably realised he was not best placed to declaim on the topic, no matter how grandly he regularly postures as a former president. Nigerians remember him as sometimes playing the role of a critic, his words often wounding his victims, many of them his successors. He lampooned Alhaji Shehu Shagari, skewered Ibrahim Babangida, excoriated Sani Abacha, needled Umaru Yar’Adua, and disemboweled Goodluck Jonathan. Hardly anyone escapes his ill-humoured attention. And he sometimes ladles out his criticisms with tons of bucolic humour and wisecracks. It hardly matters to him that his criticisms are full of contradictions or even completely misplaced. Nor does it ever bother him when his panaceas are exposed for their puerility. But on the whole he wisely sticks to criticising only rather than proffering solutions.

    In his Saturday bombast, there was nothing to indicate the exact time he realised poor leadership had become the bane of Nigeria’s development, or at what point he felt alarmed that the situation could not be allowed to continue. Only in 2007, and through the instrumentality of the worst election ever conducted in Africa, he foisted the Umaru Yar’Adua presidency on Nigeria, knowing full well the late president was hobbled by terminal disease. For someone concerned about poor leadership, it was passing strange that at the same time, he threw in Jonathan as Yar’Adua’s sidekick, even when he recognised that the former Bayelsa State governor suffered from poor judgement. Indeed, it would have been interesting for reporters to ask the sanctimonious Obasanjo whether he included himself in the categorisation of incompetent leaders that brought Nigeria low. For after all, in spite of his pretensions to the contrary, foisting inept successors on the country is a reflection of his own unflattering limitations.

    But notwithstanding the reactions of Nigerians to his pontification on leadership, Obasanjo is unlikely to be fazed. He will keep doing what he does best – inundating his victims with self-righteous rage. He is satisfied he is head and shoulders above his peers, and no opinion or unassailable fact to the contrary can ruffle his feathers. And if you were to bring Einstein himself to prove to him with mathematical exactitude that any object travelling near the speed of light would increase in mass, he would pooh-pooh the notion on the excuse that the image he carved for himself was not only immutable, but that it defied both the principles of logic and the laws of science.

  • Boko Haram abductions: The French approach

    Boko Haram abductions: The French approach

    In a terse statement issued shortly after Nigeria’s Boko Haram terror sect released a video recording of the seven French citizens its militants abducted from Northern Cameroun on February 19 and ferried to Nigeria, France has declared there would be no negotiation. Instead, said the statement, “France will use all possible means to secure the release of the hostages.” The statement is all the more interesting for the contemptuous manner it declared that “(France does) not negotiate on these bases with those groups.” In more than a dozen commentaries published in this place, Hardball had declared it was folly to negotiate with terrorists or kidnappers. Negotiating with Boko Haram, the column warned repeatedly, showed national weakness and mocked the memory of the innocent who were murdered in cold blood.

    After considerable dithering, the President Goodluck Jonathan government finally decided to negotiate with Boko Haram if leaders of the terror group would show their faces. And as an example of good faith, the government persuaded the rest of the world not to declare the sect a terrorist organisation, arguing that it would hurt the country and its travelling citizens more than the terrorists. Analysts even supplied the government the theoretical foundation for its indecisiveness. They urged the government to use stick and carrot approach to pacify the group and its splinter groups. Relying on economic arguments, they suggested that poverty triggered the uprising. During his recent visit to Nigeria, former United States President, Bill Clinton, also seemed to endorse this perspective, except that his endorsement was more nuanced.

    This column will not revisit the arguments he had made in this place against negotiation. But he will restate the imperative of defeating the group before an economic rejuvenation plan is enunciated for the poor regions of the country. To do otherwise is to encourage alienated groups to levy war against the state in order to wring concessions out of the government. But much more than this, the outright dismissal of negotiation by the French is relevant to the discourse to the extent that it showed character in the face of both extreme danger and direct threat to the lives of French citizens. The implication is that France will use all means to free its citizens, but that even if it feared failure was a possibility, it would still not negotiate. Nigeria needed to show this sort of steely resolve in the early days of the fight against terror. Instead, it displayed lack of national resoluteness in the face of danger. The country also showed lack of philosophical appreciation of what terror is all about and the dangerous precedents negotiating with it could set for future generations.

    By dismissing outright the possibility of negotiation, France indicated she would neither allow its policies to be undermined by fear nor its people and leaders to be blackmailed by terrorists. More, she seemed conscious of the need to set a proud precedent for future generations, and to indicate that the country was ready to rigidly stand by lofty principles rather than by expediency, no matter the cost.

    Instead of belittling the French approach, Nigeria should take a cue from that country’s spontaneous response, a spontaneity that by all considerations exhibits depth. Nigeria has seemed to stumble on what seemed to be a sensible approach against terror groups, but it is hoped that the tentative resolve to fight to the bitter end will not collapse in the face of Boko Haram raising the ante by indiscriminate and extensive projection of terror. Nigeria will also hope that the rather desperate decision of the sect to embrace a tenuous ceasefire would not be jettisoned. However, it is hard not to feel that the government has kept on fighting, no matter how inexpertly, not because it hopes to win the war but because it expects that at a point, the terror sect would lose steam either through attrition or age.