Category: Commentaries

  • EFCC’s control complex

    EFCC’s control complex

    By Ike Willie-Nwobu

    SIR: Like one wants a woman and her wrapper at the same time, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) wants complete control of the anti-corruption war and its narrative. It wants to shoot and control the trajectory of the bullet all at once.

    Following the arrest of controversial crossdresser Idris Okuneye, aka Bobrisky, by the EFCC for naira mutilation, the commission drew a sharp rebuke from Chidi Odinkalu, a professor of law and former chairman of the National Human Rights Commission.  Odinkalu, who felt that the EFCC was abandoning weighty anti-corruption issues to chase shadows, called the commission out for misplacing its priorities. The commission fired back threatening legal action against Odinkalu.

    In criticizing the Commission, Odinkalu may have lurched out on his own, but his views represented the feelings of many Nigerians. A teacher by trade, he has easily transcended the borders of the academe to become one of Nigeria’s most polished public commentators. His deft diction and keen observation deployed in dissecting topical issues affecting the country and its citizens has regularly helped to keep the government, especially the judiciary, on its toes.

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    In the high stakes of Nigerian corruption, the EFCC is a key stakeholder and not just for the fact that it is the government agency tasked with leading the fight against corruption. It is also tasked with shaping the government narrative on fighting financial and economic crimes in the country. In this role, it usually sprinkles media duties into its role and is regularly guilty of over-sweetening the pudding, betraying rusty skills in the process.

    As an agent of the government, the commission is not just desperate to fight corruption, it is desperate to be seen doing that. But its desperation does not stop at the optics of navigating the harsh anti-corruption terrain. It  regularly redesigns its desperation to cater to its media needs.

    In recoiling from the sharks ruling Nigeria’s corruption-charged waters and hounding small fries for mere misdemeanors, the commission is showing that it craves control but not confrontation. In an age where optics are conflated with optical illusions, the collateral damage to its reputation is considerable.

    It is no big deal if the commission bristles at criticism. Even the blind know that corruption blights everything in Nigeria. This sensational knowledge of a country’s struggles with corruption is especially  available to the EFCC. So it should rage at criticisms, especially those constructed on poorly rendered arguments, but it cannot  afford to block its ears when the discerning volunteer a word of advice or two. Odinkalu doesn’t need a citation or submit his curriculum vitae before the commission knows he is well-equipped to interrogate Nigeria.

    In rebuking Odinkalu, the commission called up a familiar stereotype of what a Nigerian public officer, serving or past, should be: demure, deferring to, and defensive of every government policy no matter how offensive. The implicit reasoning in this thought is the grave but unspoken admonition that to do otherwise would be to bite the fingers that fed them. The commission clearly implied this.

    It is not unusual for governments or its agencies to be disquieted by criticism, especially when it is coming from those who should know better than publicly discussing private matters. Yet, if the lines between the persona of a private citizen and that of a past public officer is blurred in defense of the country, is it such a bad thing? It is even noble in a country where impunity is the ink with which many government agencies write.

    It is not just Odinkalu who feels that the commission despite bagging a Pyrrhic victory, majored in the minor. Many believe Bobrisky was prosecuted not for who he is or what he did but for whom he has become.

    The commission rather than join issues with Odinkalu should show that it was not merely window-dressing over a cross-dresser. It should show that it is willing to cross swords with Nigeria’s more influential suspects. It is dangerous for selective amnesia to be in such abundant supply in a sensitive agency of government.

    Fighting corruption invariably makes the news. Every invitation, arrest and prosecution by the commission is bound to draw attention, given the sensitive nature  the responsibility given to it by law. But it does not mean that the commission can be reckless or fail to choose its battles wisely.

    In discharging its responsibility, the commission must show more rigor both in its operations and optics, so that it will save what it can from its rapidly receding

    • Ike Willie-Nwobu, ikewilly9@gmail.com

  • A model of citizen civic responsibility

    A model of citizen civic responsibility

    By Mon-Charles Egbo

    This is not the best of times for Nigeria.  Every socio-economic index is a pointer that Nigeria is at its lowest level. Governments at all levels and citizens across religious, ethnic and even political divides are unanimous that Nigeria deserves better than its present status.

    Unarguably, the primary responsibility of governments is the welfare and safety of the citizenry. But a government or a nation is what the citizens make of it. In other words, Nigeria’s problem has since shifted from leadership deficit to followership failure, otherwise, how can a government deliver on its mandate when the people deliberately alienate themselves from the scheme of things?

    No one seemingly recognizes their fundamental rights and privileges and obligations to fellow citizens, the immediate community, and the country at large.

    However, in most cases where they pay attention to their rights, they ignore their responsibility to others. It is this absence of civic responsibility that has continued to undermine Nigeria’s efforts at attaining a just, virile and prosperous economy and democracy.

    But, what is civic responsibility? It is simply “a socially good behaviour to perform” towards a nation’s ordered social and economic development. It is a veritable tool in the hands of the citizenry to actualize the country of their dream. And whereas civic duty is mandatory, civic responsibility is only morally compelling yet easy to perform. Sequel to weak institutions, civic duties can be evaded without consequences, but the repercussions of citizens’ failure to discharge their civic responsibilities are enormous.

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    Succinctly put, civic responsibility, closely related to philanthropy, is all about freely giving back to society. It is about love for the country and fellow citizens. It is about selfless service to humanity. It entails doing what will inspire the government or leadership to deliver optimally on its mandate, to the advantage of the people and society. It is about patriotism and national interest. It is a global best practice.

    To further underscore the importance of citizens’ civic responsibility, the Senate at its consideration of a motion on the recent killing of Nigerian Army personnel in Okuama community, Delta State, among others, urged “the Federal Government to embark on enlightenment campaign to sensitize the public on their civic responsibilities as it affects their relationship with security agencies.”

    Also, in yet another motion on the challenges of out-of-school children in Nigeria, the Senate called on critical stakeholders to trigger “the national consciousness through sensitization and advocacy on the importance of education to the growth and development of our country and the benefits of having majority educated population.”

    Empirically, in the same manner that the legislature connects the people to governance, civic responsibility connects the citizens to the government. It facilitates popular participation in the scheme of things as it empowers citizens to demand accountability from governments and also challenge underperformance or anti-people policies at all levels and tiers of governance.

    For instance, when people do not participate in choosing their leaders or express interest in guiding governments to performance, how then do they expect democratic dividends such as a stable economy and enhanced security?

    Again, how do the masses expect national development when they downplay patriotism and nationalism, or withhold their due respect to fellow citizens and constituted authorities?

    Furthermore, why will the government not be negligent to the masses; or why will corruption, incompetence and high magnitude of wastage in governance not fester when citizens are steeped in apathy and hostility towards the government?

    Worse still, family values are today in very short supply owing to the failure of parents to be models to their children just as most religious leaders have unfortunately deviated from moral grooming of the faithful.

    In the face of the foregoing, how does Nigeria become influential to regain its place among the comity of nations? How will the world respect Nigeria’s voice when her citizens are mostly willing tools in the hands of her detractors? There is a high number of ‘enemies within’. There are fifth columnists who are resolute in their conspiracy to derail and undermine the country.

    For instance, at a time when President Bola Tinubu is making frantic efforts at attracting external investors and the recent parliamentary outburst by the President of the Nigerian Senate, Godswill Akpabio, in Switzerland is still reverberating the world over, some compatriots are dutifully, albeit ignobly, engaged in negative narratives about the country, particularly on the social media. Perhaps for political expediency, they are willfully de-marketing Nigeria, which suggests that they are yet to come to terms with the fact that politics has since been over and given way to governance. Sadly, this  is Nigeria’s greatest challenge of the moment.

    Nonetheless, there is still a ray of hope. It is quite reassuring to see a Nigerian who in a rare display of courage and patriotism has taken up the gauntlet for a place among the league of a few others who are persuaded that a new Nigeria is possible.

    Unlike the already prominent Chief Executive Officer of Air Peace, Allen Onyema, who deployed aircraft to evacuate Nigerians who were stranded and endangered during the xenophobic attack against them in South Africa in 2019, a relatively unknown Citizen Tersoo David Ukechir, the Chief Executive Officer of Tetwood Ltd., has continued to demonstrate that unconditional love for the country is strategic to national growth and development. As his modest contribution aimed at jumpstarting an innovative consciousness drive, he has been traversing the length and breadth of the country evangelising on patriotism and nationalism. This he passionately does by deploying a billboard messaging strategy across the country. Some of the messages of his advocacy include: ‘This Is The Only Country You Have, Do Not Condemn It,’ ‘Do Not Curse Nigeria,’ ‘Together, Let Us Make Nigeria Work Again!!’ ‘Support President Tinubu.’

    Like the biblical “lone voice in the wilderness,” Ukechir is actively complementing, if not challenging, the concerned organs of government in galvanizing positive consciousness among Nigerians towards prosperity. The thrust of his message is that Nigerians should embrace attitudinal change and value reorientation, always resist the temptation to wish the country evil, as well as shun every act of sabotage. Also, he admonishes Nigerians to dispassionately believe in the capability of the government of the day to get it right this time with citizens’ support and cooperation.

    There is no better way to discharge civic responsibility at a time like this! However, it is worth emphasizing that ‘support’ in this context is not absolute. It is a two-way action. When you demonstrate support to the government for doing good, you are invariably saying that underperformance of any kind is unacceptable. In other words, governments are to be commended and criticized when necessary. This must be noted for fairness and objectivity!

    There is a significant takeaway from this mission signed up to by Citizen Ukechir. It is selfless and devoid of partisan considerations, because the elections are since over. It is purely altruistic, borne out of love for the country and also not affiliated to a particular section of the country or individuals. Yes, it is broad-based and self-funded, understandably as a corporate social responsibility programme.

    But because a palm cannot make a clap, there is certainly a limit to the overall productivity. As such, Citizen Ukechir deserves to be complemented by others, and then be encouraged by the government to sustain this patriotic campaign. The media, clergy,  professional bodies and civil society organizations are hereby invited to offer him the necessary platforms for success. There is a need for concerted efforts to massively amplify and internalize the advocacy messages. This is imperative if indeed we desire a better Nigeria. Similarly, it is an open challenge to the government of the day if truly it is committed to providing leadership towards a Nigeria that works for all.

    In the interim, may we always be inspired to “ask what you can do for your country,” being conscious that a country and its government are what the citizens make of them. It is only in this that “the labours of our heroes past shall never be in vain.”

    • Egbo is a parliamentary affairs analyst

  • EFCC on banana peel?

    EFCC on banana peel?

    Is the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), under Chairman Olanipekun Olukayode, about slipping on the banana peel, thus in word or act bungling what is essentially duty?  This question is apt because of two different developments.

    In its showdown with former Kogi State Governor, Yahya Bello, the EFCC thundered it would pull all stops to cage the ex-governor, fleeing from its dragnet.  Bello, the self-named “white lion of Kogi” while in power, has so far been declared wanted.

    A former governor has no immunity.  Bello should have honoured EFCC’s invitation, and even after, turned himself in, as befitting of the dignity of his former high office.  But if he decides on infantile fleeing, EFCC is within its powers to arrest him and start the due process on whatever charges it may levy against him.

    But EFCC went too far, bragging it could involve the Army to arrest Bello.  That’s craven and shameful — is ex-Governor Bello so mighty the Police, with the EFCC corps, can’t arrest him?  What has the Army got to do with purely civil matters? 

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    The criminal-justice system is strictly a civil matter.  Besides, a case involving a former elected governor ought to come with far more sensitivity.  Must the military always act as a defining rod over civil matters in a democracy, given Nigeria’s terrible experience under military rule? 

    Pray, did anyone ever hear the military yield ground on its enclave courts-martial, while trying its errant officers, even if that process itself is subject to appeal and possible review by the Court of Appeal, should the convict declare himself dissatisfied?

    So, let the EFCC banish the thought of unleashing the Army to arrest anyone.  It’s a craven weakening of itself as a civil institution.  The Police and EFCC corps can do the job.

    Then, the Wale Akinterinwa matter.  EFCC announced on April 22 that Akinterinwa, Ondo’s ex-Finance commissioner and aspirant in the April 20 APC gubernatorial primary election, was in its net.

    The optics of that sucks.  How can an aspirant, in a governorship election, be in EFCC’s net on the eve of the exercise, without folks concluding — fairly or unfairly — that the EFCC was descending into politics?  Yeah, yeah: EFCC explained that  Akinterinwa “turned himself in” — maybe.  But the perception is no less rotten.

    The Ola Olukayode EFCC should be careful not to down itself with unforced errors; lest it slips on needless banana peels.  That it must do with careful comments and even more careful actions. 

    Both are imperative if it must successfully fight graft and be seen to be so.

  • Combating insecurity in the North

    Combating insecurity in the North

    By Nuhu Ribadu

    Northern Nigeria faces a daunting array of insecurity issues that are deeply rooted in socio-economic, political, ethnic, and religious tensions. At the core of Northern Nigeria’s insecurity is the pervasive issue of banditry, which has significantly evolved from its historical origins. Initially integrated into the societal structure, banditry has now transformed, becoming more violent amidst the advent of modern weaponry and the crumbling of traditional social structures.

    Beyond banditry the rise and spread of Islamist insurgencies, notably Boko Haram and its offshoots like Islamic State in West Africa Province (ISWAP), have also contributed to an insecure environment. Originating as a critique against Western education, these groups have profoundly altered the security and socio-political landscape of Northern Nigeria in the last decade and a half, intertwining with local banditry to deepen the region’s crisis. Another critical area of focus is the intensifying herder-farmer conflicts, driven by climate change, land degradation, and the subsequent competition for dwindling resources. This longstanding discord has now taken on ethnic and religious dimensions, exacerbating regional and indigene-settler divides. Unchecked religious preaching and deep-seated historical grievances have helped fuel a cycle of violence, adding layers of complexity to the security situation.

    Alongside this, an alarming rise in arms and drugs trafficking significantly compounds regional insecurity, with intricate cross-border networks facilitating illegal imports. This proliferation of weaponry has not only amplified the regions conflicts but also poses significant challenges to peace and stability efforts.

    To address this the Nigerian government’s Renewed Hope Agenda blends kinetic actions with socio-economic initiatives; underscoring the importance of community engagement and state cooperation within Northern Nigeria as critical to building peace. Under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC) government, we are actively working and will continue to do more.

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    A comprehensive approach to addressing Northern Nigeria’s security challenges is needed. This includes an integrated strategy that combines military, political, and socio-economic efforts, underlines the importance of cross-border cooperation, enhances youth empowerment and the strengthens local institutions. To do this the necessity of inclusive dialogue, prevention measures, and regional support to ensure security and stability is paramount.

    Northern Nigeria’s insecurity threats

    Nigeria faces insecurity challenges across all six geopolitical zones. This insecurity takes various forms, including insurgency, terrorism, communal clashes, banditry, kidnapping, and piracy, and is fuelled by deep-rooted socio-economic, ethnic, and religious tensions. The Northeast has been particularly affected by the insurgency led by Boko Haram and its offshoot, ISWAP, resulting in a severe humanitarian crisis that has seen millions displaced and widespread destruction. The Northwest faces challenges with banditry and kidnapping, where armed groups attack rural communities, causing significant loss of lives and displacement. Whilst the North-Central zone, or Nigeria’s Middle Belt, has experienced farmer-herder clashes driven by land disputes and environmental degradation, resulting in casualties and increased inter-communal tensions. What is clear is that Northern Nigeria is faced with a multifaceted tapestry of insecurity issues, each interwoven with the thread of history yet starkly impactful in today’s socio-political climate.

    Banditry: A Persistent Historical Scourge

    Banditry in northern Nigeria has a deep historical foundation that extends well beyond the current crisis. Historically, banditry was not just a matter of criminality but deeply woven into the socio-economic and political fabric of the region. The British conquest of the Northern Protectorate in 1903 and the subsequent amalgamation with the Southern Protectorate in 1914 were partly motivated by the desire to curb armed banditry and enhance regional security.[1] This era was characterised by widespread banditry, including armed robbery and community plundering, which influenced the decision to amalgamate. Although economic motives often dominate discussions about this amalgamation, the need to improve security, especially in the largely ungoverned Muslim North, was a significant factor. Lord Lugard, the first Colonial Officer of the Protectorate, experienced numerous confrontations with armed bandits who used ambush tactics with devastating efficiency, underscoring the security challenges of the time.

    Lugard’s encounters in areas like Nupeland, Kano, and Borguland, where he was wounded by bandits, highlighted the region’s precarious security situation.[3] In 1911, bandits in the Zamfara region ambushed Kano traders, killing about 210 people and stealing goods worth £165,000.[4] Additionally, persistent harassment, intimidation, and raids on herdsmen and traders around Kwatarkwashi in 1911 caused significant economic damage to the province. The collaboration between Zamfara communities and bandits from both Nigerian and present-day French territories facilitated these crimes, turning the region into a criminal haven.

    The colonial administration’s response, which included stationing armed policemen along strategic routes in Sokoto Province to ensure security and collect caravan tolls, represented an early attempt to manage rural banditry.[5] However, cross-border crimes continued in the post-colonial period, worsened by civil wars and insecurity in the wider West Africa region. The smuggling of Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALWs) across porous borders has further perpetuated violence and banditry in both rural and urban areas. The prevalence of these weapons continues to pose significant security challenges, impacting the stability and development of the region.

    The shift from historical banditry to the current crisis is marked by this growing availability of modern weaponry, the erosion of traditional social structures, and worsening economic hardships. Unlike historical banditry, which may have had elements of honour or community defence, contemporary banditry is characterised by greater violence and less discrimination in targeting victims. Today’s bandits are less likely to strictly adhere to ethnic or familial lines, though some groups may still invoke these connections.

    The phenomenon of banditry in the northwest predates the intercommunal conflict of the early 2000s and 2010s. Cattle rustling, a long-standing form of banditry in Northern Nigeria, involved nomadic and semi-nomadic groups engaging in livestock theft that was orchestrated by organised families or clans that passed down raiding techniques and routes through generations. Nonetheless, the ranks of bandits swelled significantly in the 2010s, partially as a result of increased ethnic tensions between Hausa and Fulani communities. Bandits exploited the grievances of herders, recruiting those who felt compelled to protect their lives, lands, and herds. Cattle rustlers like Buharin Daji and Kundu, for instance, conducted recruiting exercises in 2011 and 2012, and were successful in enticing young, predominantly Fulani men, with promises of cash, cows, and women. Alongside recruitment a number were simply coerced into joining their ranks.

    Other Fulani individuals took up arms to defend themselves but came to view criminal activity as the best or only means of financing this self-defence. A group of four closely aligned bandit commanders in Zamfara claimed they resorted to cattle rustling in 2011 to acquire weapons for self-defense following attacks on their communities by local vigilantes’ group, known as Yan Sa-kai.[6] They justified their actions as a necessity, though others pursued banditry purely for profit. Some repentant bandits have admitted to joining bandit groups to reclaim rustled cattle, while others have expressed dismay over unnecessary killings of both Fulani and their cattle. These concerns are exacerbated by the worsening impact of ethnic profiling and vigilante justice. The distinction between economic necessity—”I must rustle some cattle to buy guns to defend my people from Yan Sa-kai”—and economic opportunism—”The more cattle I rustle, the more guns I can buy, becoming more powerful and wealthy”—is subtle. Many herders who initially took up arms for self-defence have since become hardened criminals.

    The conflict in the north remains dynamic and mobile. The base of operations for bandits in the northwest can shift rapidly. Additionally, gangs often collaborate with other bandit groups to conduct attacks far from their camps, driven by both opportunity and necessity. For instance, bandit Dogo Gide, usually based in the Birnin Gwari forest straddling Kaduna and Niger states, targeted distant Birnin Yauri in Kebbi state for a mass kidnapping in July 2021, as many schools closer to his camps had closed due to banditry. Bandits typically move on motorcycles but also utilize waterways, especially during the rainy season, to transport themselves and their weapons via canoe.

    Zamfara stands as the epicentre of banditry, albeit local government areas (LGAs) within Sokoto, Kebbi, Katsina, Niger, and Kaduna that border Zamfara are also severely affected. For example, Sabon Birni, Isa, and Rabah, Goronyo in eastern Sokoto, bordering Zamfara’s Shinkafi LGA, have been among the hardest hit. In the Birnin Gwari region in western Kaduna high levels of violence are linked to its forest networks extending into Zamfara.

    Banditry is also evolving, with groups have expanded their operations to include kidnapping for ransom, a highly profitable tactic that fuels their activities. In a significant strategic shift, the abduction of school children has become a favoured method for bandits, notably highlighted by the audacious kidnapping of the Kankara schoolboys by Auwalu Daudawa in Katsina state in December 2020. Since these incidents, the kidnapping of school children has become a potent weapon, with the most recent being the kidnapping in Kuriga, Kaduna state in March 2024.

    Estimates suggest there are over 300 bandit warlords, each commanding at least 50 fighters operational across different regions of Northern Nigeria. Like in the pre-colonial era, kinship and community ties continue to play significant roles in banditry, with bandit groups often operating within defined ethnic or kinship lines, forming bandit families or clans. These groups rely on extensive networks of informants, safe houses, and community support to evade authorities or rival factions. The loyalty within these families and the code of silence among community members have made it challenging for authorities to effectively combat banditry.

    The importance of a bandit leader extends beyond mere strength and the size of their forces or weaponry; it also hinges on the prowess of their affiliated musicians and the popularity of their songs.  Most bandit kingpins, locally known as “Kachalla,” boasts special songs attributed to them, contributing to their myth and aura. Hausa speaking Nigerians in their 40s and above will undoubtedly be familiar with the songs of Kassu Zurmi, Gambu and other musicians who served as praise singers to bandit families and noted kingpins in  the past. Today, this trend has continued with the emergence of a new breed of bandit-musicians, including figures like the late Surajo, Adamu Ayuba, Hammadu, Makaho, Mal. Jika, and Maigari -the latter three all hail from Dunburum in the Zurmi LGA of Zamfara state. These bandit-musicians play a pivotal role in the banditry ecosystem, with their songs serving as a measure of a bandit kingpin’s power and influence.

    The menace of banditry, while historically entrenched in the socio-economic fabric of Northern Nigeria, has undergone a significant transformation. Previously confined to local skirmishes and cattle rustling, modern-day banditry in the region has escalated into a lucrative and deadly operation. This involves kidnapping for ransom and large-scale violence that destabilises entire communities. This evolution reflects broader socio-economic despair and a governance vacuum, realities that have allowed bandits to grow their tactics and access the sophisticated weaponry. To this end addressing banditry today requires not only a security response but also an understanding and addressing of its deep-rooted causes.

    Islamist insurgency: A transformative force

    The Islamist insurgency in Northern Nigeria, spearheaded by groups like Boko Haram and its offshoots including ISWAP has dramatically reshaped the region.  Founded in 2002 by Mohammed Yusuf, Boko Haram initially targeted Western education and aimed to implement Sharia law, seeking to establish an Islamic state in Nigeria. But following Yusuf’s death in 2009, under Abubakar Shekau’s leadership, Boko Haram escalated its campaign, launching widespread attacks against the government, security forces, and civilians.

    Ansaru, which emerged from Boko Haram in 2012, and ISWAP, which formed in 2016 and pledged allegiance to ISIS, represent significant fractures of the original movement. These groups have not only perpetuated the conflict but also broadened its scope from the Northeast across to the Northwest and North-Central zones of Nigeria, intertwining with local banditry and exploiting community grievances. This complex web of insurgent activity, coupled with efforts to embed within local populations and even collaborate with bandits, has fuelled a devastating humanitarian crisis marked by mass displacement and severe socio-economic disruption. The Boko Haram insurgency has directly and indirectly caused the deaths of tens of thousands of Nigerians and the displacement of millions, significantly hindering socio-economic development and altering the security, socio-economic, and geopolitical fabric of the region.

    The growth of interactions with the other insecurity challenges across Northern Nigeria is a concerning trend. In the northwest, a region already troubled by bandit groups, there is an emerging cooperation between these bandits and terrorist groups, often involving financial exchanges, in states such as Zamfara, Niger and Katsina. This collaboration, particularly around the sharing of resources but also around local terrain knowledge, poses a risk of escalating the current insecurity. For instance, the train attack in Kaduna in March 2022 was a joint operation between a Boko Haram faction and the late Ali Kawaje, a prominent bandit warlord. But Boko Haram factions are not alone in this approach. Ansaru and ISWAP’s strategies have also included providing support against bandits in exchange for community allegiance and operating in strategic locations like Dandume, Birni Gwari and the Shiroro axis. This multifaceted insurgency landscape, marked by potential for both cooperation and infighting among groups, not only has immediate impacts for residents, but significantly complicates efforts to address insecurity in Northern Nigeria.

    Herder-Farmer conflicts: Deepening divides

    The age-old conflict over scarce resources between nomadic herders and settled farmers has intensified in North-Central states such as Kaduna, Benue, and Nasarawa, exacerbated by climate change, population growth, and land degradation. These clashes are no longer mere resource disputes but are increasingly interpreted through lenses of ethnicity and religion, adding layers of complexity to an already volatile situation. In this way the conflicts in the North-Central states of Nigeria are emblematic of a broader crisis facing the country, where environmental, economic, and societal pressures converge to fuel violence.

    Historically, the relationship between nomadic herders and settled farmers was symbiotic. Herders’ cattle would graze on leftover crops from farmers’ fields, providing manure for the next planting season. But the historical migration patterns and pastoral livelihoods are now in direct conflict with modern agricultural practices and land use policies, leading to recurrent violence and community ruptures. Furthermore, this relationship has been strained by climate change, population growth, and land degradation, which have led to a reduction in available grazing land and water resources. These environmental stressors have pushed herders to migrate further south into more fertile farming lands, leading to conflicts with local farmers.

    Often referred to as Nigeria’s “food basket,” Benue has been at the epicentre of herder-farmer clashes. The state government’s attempt to mitigate these clashes through legislation – the anti-open grazing law – has led to further polarisation with herders viewing such policies as existential threats to their way of life. In Kaduna state, the conflict has seen an alarming rise in violence, with numerous attacks attributed to armed herdsmen against farming communities. The situation is further complicated by the state’s diverse ethnic and religious makeup, turning disputes over land into sectarian violence, with devastating effects on community cohesion and security.

    Herder-farmer conflicts are increasingly framed in ethnic and religious terms, with herders mostly being Fulani Muslims and farmers belonging to various ethnic groups and predominantly Christian. This framing has escalated the conflicts, making them harder to resolve as they now encompass identity and existential concerns. Northern Nigeria’s rich tapestry of religious and ethnic diversity has long been both a source of cultural wealth and a catalyst for tension. But in recent years, religious divides have intensified, frequently exacerbated by political actors, leading to violent outbreaks. The indigene-settler divide, a contest over rights and privileges anchored in historical land and identity claims, has the potential to stir social and political unrest.

    Rooted in colonial legacy, the distinction between “indigenes” – those considered native to a particular locality – and “settlers” – people who, despite having lived in the area for generations, are regarded as outsiders – fuels disputes over access to land, resources, and political representation. This dynamic has led to repeated and deadly clashes, in places like Plateau state, between indigene farmers and settler herders over land.

    Although the high-profile religious riots that characterised the last three decades in Northern Nigeria have decreased, emerging patterns of violence represent a new frontier of religious tension. These incidents underscore the volatile nature of religious sentiments and the potential for conflict. Linked to this, the proliferation of media platforms allows individuals to broadcast messages without oversight, contributing to a climate of intolerance and misunderstanding. This issue highlights a broader challenge within the Nigerian religious landscape, where inflammatory rhetoric can circulate freely, heightening tensions and sometimes leading to violence.

    Understanding the drivers: A multifaceted analysis Factors driving insecurity include:

    Land Use Disputes: The escalation of farmer-herder conflicts to unprecedented levels in recent years is partly due to conflicting land tenure systems. Traditional land distribution methods clash with formal government-granted rights, leading to widespread disputes.

    Changing Livelihoods and Climate Change: Diminishing arable land and water resources, exacerbated by inefficient farming practices, desertification, and erratic rainfall, force herders’ southwards, sparking conflicts with farmers over dwindling resources.

    Reciprocal Radicalisation: The stigmatisation of Fulani herders contributes to a cycle of violence, where negative perceptions between farmers and herders in different regions reinforce a spiral of escalating conflict.

    Security Sector Challenges: Inadequate security force capacity and professionalism, marked by under-resourcing and excessive force, undermine efforts to combat insecurity. The military and police, stretched thin and sometimes outgunned, often resort to heavy-handed tactics, exacerbating tensions.

    Access to Arms: Despite laws against unauthorised arms possession, the circulation of SALWs is rampant, with Nigeria accounting for a significant proportion of all SALWs in West Africa.

    Corruption and Injustice: Perceived injustices and corruption, filtered through ethnic, religious, or regional biases, fuel inter-communal conflict and insurgency, pushing communities toward extra-legal measures for self-protection.

    Regional overspill: Nigeria’s proximity to fragile states and the existence of numerous unofficial border crossings facilitates the movement of insurgent groups and bandits, compounding security challenges.

    These multifaceted insecurity issues confronting Northern Nigeria are intricately linked to the region’s low Human Development Index (HDI) scores, which encapsulate vital dimensions like education, health, and economic opportunities. This connection underscores a cyclic relationship where underdevelopment fuels violence, and vice versa, emphasising the intricate nature of the challenges faced.

    The educational disparities between Northern and Southern Nigeria play a significant role in the dynamics of radicalisation in the region. Lower literacy rates and school enrolment figures in the North, as reported by UNICEF and the World Bank, highlight a crucial challenge in access to and the quality of education. For instance, adult literacy rates as low as 40 per cent in certain Northern states starkly contrast with rates above 80 per cent in many Southern states.[8] Similarly, net primary school enrolment rates in the South approach 80-90 per cent, while in the North, they can dip as low as 50-60 per cent. The Northwest region has three of the four states with the lowest literacy rates in the country.[9] Conflict is reinforcing these educational divides as one million Nigerian children are estimated to be out of school due to insecurity in the northwest alone.[10] Such disparities are further exacerbated by gender, with many girls in the North not attending school due to various socio-economic and cultural barriers.

    This educational gap not only restricts economic opportunities but also heightens susceptibility to extremist ideologies. Groups like Boko Haram, have effectively exploited these vulnerabilities by offering alternative narratives that promise belonging, purpose, and sometimes financial benefits. Their ideology fundamentally opposes Western-style education, drawing on the educational inequities to fuel their narrative and recruit followers. Addressing these educational disparities is critical in countering radicalisation and fostering a more stable and prosperous environment in Northern Nigeria.

    Limited access to healthcare and the resultant population discontent in Northern Nigeria are closely linked to the region’s overarching instability. Similar disparities are observed in health outcomes as highlighted by UN data and reports from the World Health Organization and UNICEF. Life expectancy in the North lags significantly behind the South, with figures as low as 50 years compared to the South’s average of around 60 years. This divide is further deepened by child and maternal mortality rates in the North, which are nearly double those observed in the South. The scarcity of medical professionals exacerbates these health challenges. According to a report by The ICIR, Nigeria has an average of about four doctors per 10,000 people, a figure that, despite being the highest in two decades, falls short of the WHO’s recommended ratio of one physician for every 600 persons.

    Finally, stark economic disparities between Northern and Southern Nigeria manifest in various forms, including GDP per capita, income levels, and employment opportunities, creating a fertile ground for the recruitment into violence. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, Northwest Nigeria contains some of the poorest states in the country. As of 2019, each northwestern state has a higher poverty rate than the national average of 40.1 per cent, with Sokoto having the highest rate in the country: 87.73 per cent of the state’s population live in poverty. Its reports also illustrate that unemployment rates in the Northern regions can exceed 20 per cent, a stark contrast to the more industrially diverse and economically vibrant Southern regions, where unemployment rates hover around 10-15 per cent.

    The scarcity of livelihood opportunities becomes a pivotal factor driving individuals, especially the youth, towards armed groups and criminal networks. These groups exploit the economic vulnerabilities by offering financial incentives, making economic desperation a potent catalyst for individuals to join their ranks. A possibility that is aided by the availability of arms in the region, with gunrunning having evolved into a significant business operation.

    The illegal arms market in Northern Nigeria has seen a marked increase in demand and supply. The economic incentives are significant, with prices for firearms and ammunition varying widely based on type according to sources. For instance, the cost of a single bullet can range from N2,000 to N5,000, while high-calibre weapons such as AK47 rifles and rocket-propelled grenades are traded for anywhere from N1.5 million to N5 million. This price variability has catalysed a geometric rise in individuals participating in the arms trade, particularly in the Northwest, which is home to rampant criminality.

    Traffickers have developed sophisticated networks to transport illegal arms into and across Nigeria, deploying innovative methods to circumvent security checks. Concealment tactics range from hiding weapons within vehicles’ compartments, to using animals or canoes for border crossings, to disguising arms amidst legitimate cargo, such as agricultural products, to avoid detection.

    The proliferation of illegal firearms not only fuels the ongoing insecurity but also complicates efforts to restore peace and order. This issue is further complicated by corrupt elements within society and the international scope of these trafficking networks. As Northern Nigeria grapples with this escalating crisis, a multifaceted approach that includes tighter security measures, regional cooperation, and addressing the root causes of demand for illegal arms is imperative.

    Confronting the Challenges

    The administration of His Excellency President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, in its Renewed Hope Agenda, provided a holistic framework that seeks to comprehensively address various aspects of insecurity. This agenda includes provisions for bolstering security forces, implementing community-based security initiatives, promoting socio-economic development, and fostering inter-communal dialogue to address grievances and foster reconciliation. Through the Renewed Hope Agenda, the government aims to tackle the underlying causes of insecurity by addressing issues such as poverty, unemployment, social marginalisation, and ethnic tensions. By implementing targeted interventions and reforms, the government seeks to create an environment conducive to peace and stability in Northern Nigeria.

    President Tinubu was also deliberate in appointing northerners to top security positions, aiming to involve those with proximity to the issues in the crafting of solutions. The role I hold, of National Security Adviser, is a demanding job that requires dexterity, hard work, and consensus building across security and political structures. The figures we met in terms of both attacks and casualties when assuming office in May 2023 were deeply concerning. In 2022 alone Nigeria witnessed four major terrorism attacks: the attack on the Abuja-Kaduna train, an attack on the Guards Battalion in Abuja, the Kuje Prison attack, and another at a church in Owo, Ondo state. Meanwhile, many roads across the country, such as the Abuja-Kaduna, Zaria-Kano, and Lagos-Ibadan roads, were unsafe due to daylight operations by criminal elements.

    Since the coming of this administration, we have not seen any organised terrorist attack. Roads hitherto unsafe for commuters, for instance the Abuja- Kaduna , Zaria-Kano are today secure for travellers at anytime of the day. We are not out of the woods yet, but we have made serious progress in pushing down casualty figures and depriving miscreants access to weapons and free movement. Since assuming office, we have also successfully freed over a thousand individuals, many of whom were villagers held captive for as long as two to three years. We successfully secured the release of abducted students from the Federal University of Gusau and school children from Kuriga without paying ransom.

    Our non-kinetic strategies and approach are driven by evidence. We have strengthened the administration of criminal justice by reopening trials of Boko Haram terrorism suspects detained in Kanji and other locations across the country and prosecutions are now underway in eight different courts. Concurrently, we have significantly reduced the proliferation of arms nationwide by blocking the flows and arresting gunrunners. With new appointments at the National Centre on Small Arms and Light Weapons (NCSALW), we are poised to launch even more robust initiatives.

    On the kinetic front, the Nigerian military is conducting numerous operations targeting insurgent groups like Boko Haram and bandits operating in Northern Nigeria. Operations such as Operation Hadin Kai, Operation Safe Haven, Operation Whirl Stroke, Operation Hadarin Daji, and Operation Sahel Sanity have been launched to root out insurgents and criminals from their strongholds, dismantle their networks, and restore law and order in affected areas. The federal government has also established joint task forces comprising military, police, and other security agencies to coordinate efforts and enhance operational effectiveness in tackling insecurity. These task forces collaborate to conduct raids, patrols, and targeted operations aimed at disrupting the activities of insurgents and criminal elements. Nigeria has also bolstered border security measures, particularly along its porous borders with neighbouring countries, to prevent the infiltration of insurgents, weapons, and illicit goods. It has also prioritised intelligence gathering and sharing as a crucial component of its kinetic efforts to address insecurity in the region. Enhanced intelligence capabilities, include surveillance, reconnaissance, and information gathering, enable security forces to identify and neutralise threats more effectively. These efforts have been notably successful, with military personnel delivering the elimination of high-profile bandit leaders such as Ali Kawaje and Boderis,. They have also successfully disrupted existing cells of criminal terrorists, further securing the region and diminishing threats to public safety.

    The Nigerian government is also focusing more on counterinsurgency strategies aimed at winning the hearts and minds of local populations. In doing so we can isolate insurgents from their support base and prevent the recruitment of new members. These strategies involve engaging with communities, providing humanitarian assistance, and promoting reconciliation and deradicalisation programmes. Infrastructure development, job creation programmes, improved education and healthcare services, and efforts to tackle poverty and inequality are also critical parts of this approach.

    The emphasis on non-kinetic efforts alongside kinetic strategies marks a significant recognition that achieving peace in conflict zones extends beyond military might to include sustained and cooperative engagement across various sectors.  In line with this understanding, a pivotal meeting convened in March at the Office of the National Security Adviser in Abuja, saw the participation of 15 Northern Governors as well as service and intelligence chiefs. The agenda of this meeting was dedicated to formulating strategies to tackle the pressing security challenges in Northern Nigeria. A significant outcome of the discussions was the consensus on the necessity of transcending mere territorial dominance to also focus on winning the hearts and minds of the populace, thereby fostering a holistic approach to reinstating peace and stability in the region.

    Central to these discussions was the acknowledgment of the critical role that grassroots and regional initiatives play in complementing government efforts. Among strategies highlighted were the reform of the Nigerian Police Force, enhancement of local policing capabilities, implementation of peace-building programmes, and promotion of dialogue and reconciliation fora. Additionally, educational campaigns designed to counter violent extremism are increasingly being recognised as pivotal components of the broader strategy to restore peace. These initiatives collectively represent a multidimensional approach aimed at addressing the underlying causes of conflict and building a foundation for long-term stability in Northern Nigeria.

    Building on the analysis of current efforts and challenges, a roadmap for the future to ensure sustained progress in tackling insecurity in Northern Nigeria would include the following:

    A more integrated approach that combines military, political, and socio-economic strategies. This entails aligning security operations with efforts to address underlying grievances, such as poverty, unemployment, and marginalisation.

    Enhancing cross-border cooperation to address transnational threats effectively and disrupt the flow of illicit arms and goods across borders.

    Investing in youth empowerment and education is essential to prevent radicalisation and mitigate the appeal of extremist ideologies. This includes providing access to quality education, vocational training, and economic opportunities for young people in Northern Nigeria.

    Strengthening the capacity of local institutions to govern effectively and address community grievances. This involves empowering traditional and religious leaders, local governments, and civil society organisations to play a more active role in conflict resolution and peace-building efforts.

    Promoting inclusive dialogue that involves all stakeholders, including marginalised communities, to foster a holistic and durable peace. This entails creating spaces for meaningful participation and representation of diverse voices in decision-making processes.

    Prioritising prevention and resilience-building measures can help mitigate the risk of future insecurity. This includes early warning systems, community policing initiatives, and programs to address the root causes of conflict and violence.

    Engaging regional neighbours to support efforts to secure and stabilise the region.

    Conclusion

    In conclusion, it is crucial to emphasise that the complex web of insecurity engulfing Northern Nigeria is influenced by a blend of socio-economic, ethnic, and religious factors. Insights from historical examinations of banditry, the rise and growing impact of Islamist insurgencies, and the deep-seated conflicts between herders and farmers illustrate how insecurity has been exacerbated by a troubling increase in arms trafficking. To effectively address these issues, a comprehensive and cohesive response is required. The ultimate solution to the problem, however, has to be multifaceted, one that marries military, political, and socio-economic strategies with robust cross-border cooperation and deep community engagement.

    By championing an integrated strategy that equally prioritises prevention and the building of resilience, we hope to attain a pragmatic roadmap towards achieving stability and prosperity in Northern Nigeria. This comprehensive approach, aimed at mending the socio-political fabric of the region, sets a new precedent for addressing deep-seated security issues through collective determination, strategic action, and a commitment to inclusive governance.

    Nuhu Ribadu is the National Security Adviser (NSA).

    This is the text of the convocation lecture presented at the Usmanu Dan Fodiyo University, Sokoto at the 38th, 39th, 40th & 41st Combined Convocation Ceremony held at the University Auditorium, Main Campus, on Thursday, 18th April, 2024.

  • How to end school abductions

    How to end school abductions

    By Dr. Fatima Akilu

    SIR: As the world marks a decade since the Chibok abductions, the deafening silence from the international community reverberates louder than ever. In Nigeria, school abductions have become a grim reality, a terrifying routine that threatens the very foundation of our society. Yet, despite the outcry from within our borders, the global response remains woefully inadequate, condemning a generation of Nigerian youth to a fate of fear, trauma, and lost opportunities.

    Let there be no mistake: the crisis of school abductions in Nigeria is not a domestic issue to be brushed aside. It is a humanitarian catastrophe of epic proportions, demanding urgent and concerted action from the international community. Every abduction is a stain on the collective conscience of humanity, a betrayal of our shared commitment to safeguard the rights and dignity of children everywhere.

    The root causes of this crisis are well-documented: poverty, conflict, corruption, and a culture of impunity that allows criminal networks to thrive unchecked. Yet, while Nigeria grapples with these systemic challenges, the world looks on with indifference, offering little more than token gestures of solidarity while turning a blind eye to the suffering of millions.

    Diplomatic niceties and diplomatic platitudes are not enough. We demand concrete action from the international community to support Nigeria’s efforts to combat school abductions. This means providing tangible assistance, including intelligence-sharing, logistical support, and financial resources to strengthen security measures and prevent future abductions.

    Multilateral cooperation is essential in addressing the transnational nature of this crisis. Countries must put aside their differences and work together to dismantle the criminal networks that profit from the abduction and trafficking of children. We cannot allow borders to be barriers to justice; the perpetrators of these heinous crimes must be pursued and brought to account wherever they may hide.

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    Humanitarian assistance is urgently needed to support the victims and survivors of school abductions. The international community must step up and provide funding for medical and psychological care, educational programs, and livelihood support to help affected communities rebuild their shattered lives. Anything less is a betrayal of our shared humanity.

    Pressure and accountability are non-negotiable. We call upon the international community to hold Nigerian authorities accountable for their failure to protect the rights and safety of our children. No more excuses, no more empty promises—only concrete action will suffice.

    Global advocacy campaigns are essential in raising awareness and mobilizing action. We urge international human rights organizations, NGOs, and advocacy groups to join forces with Nigeria in demanding an end to school abductions. Together, we can amplify our voices and compel the world to take notice.

    The time for silence is over. The time for action is now. As we reflect on the tenth anniversary of the Chibok abductions, let us vow to never again allow such atrocities on our watch. The world’s silence is complicit; it is time to break that silence and stand in solidarity with the children of Nigeria. Their futures depend on it.

    • Dr Fatima Akilu, trained Psychologist and  the Executive Director of Neem Foundation.

  • Kaduna assembly and El-rufai probe

    Kaduna assembly and El-rufai probe

    By Ibrahim Mustapha Pambegua

    SIR: The political cold war between former Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-rufai and incumbent Governor Uba Sani has taken another interesting dimension with the Kaduna State House of Assembly constituting a 13-member committee to probe financial dealings, loans, grants and project implementation from 2015 to 2023 under the ex-governor.

    Recall that last month, during a town hall meeting with stakeholders, Governor Sani made a shocking revelation on the financial position of the state. He said he inherited a huge debt totalling $587million and N85billion, besides 115 contractual liabilities from the previous administration, making it difficult for him to pay workers’ salaries. He explained that N7billion out of the N10billion federal allocation due to the state in the month of March was deducted to service the debt.

    The disclosure about the state’s public debt had pitched the camp of former governor against the present government, leading to war by proxies.  Maryam mai Rusau, an ally and staunch supporter of El-rufai, had to pay the price for daring the governor. In an interview she granted to the media, she accused Governor Sani of biting the fingers that feed him. Maryam was later suspended by the state’s chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC).  Bashir El-rufai, a son of the ex-governor, fired salvos describing Sani as incompetent and surrounded by incompetent aides. Another El-rufai ally, Aisha Galadima, was arrested by the DSS for allegedly posting incriminating views against Sani on social media in February. She was later released.

    Sani’s outburst over the state’s indebtedness and the controversy it generated will shape the politics of the state in the coming days. Meanwhile, the state assembly’s decision to probe the last administration is nothing but an attempt to shift loyalty to the present government. When the last administration was using the loans and grants to implement infrastructural development, or diverting the funds as they want us to believe, none among them raised the alarm or called El-rufai to order. Some members of the assembly including the Speaker are not first timers, they served in the 9th assembly and failed to check El-rufai throughout his 8-year tenure in line with the doctrine of check and balances enshrined in the Constitution.

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      The lawmakers, who were merely rubber stamp during El-rufai’s administration, suddenly found their voices after he left office. This is double standard and treachery. While the lawmakers may probe the former governor, summon his officials and contractors to clarify issues, they undermined themselves by not carrying out their oversight legislative duty during the last administration. Unless the assembly is acting the script of the current governor, they should have known that he was complicit in the state’s indebtedness. As chairman of Senate committee on finance in the 9th assembly, Sani helped the ex-governor to get the loans. Therefore, he is fully aware of the state’s loans; the handover notes also explicitly stated the assets and liabilities of the state. What is the furore and fuss?

    Though the ex-governor boasted he never stole a kobo from the loans and pointed out to doubting Thomases some projects he executed with the funds, he needs to come and prove his innocence. As for the state assembly, it needs to tarry awhile and do what is expected of it at the right time. If members had exercised their constitutional right, and requested the ex-governor to explain how he spent the loans and other financial dealings during his tenure, they would have saved the state from the present political feud.

    • Ibrahim Mustapha Pambegua, imustapha650@gmail.com

  • Makings of a full blown Middle-East war

    Makings of a full blown Middle-East war

    By Sunday Onyemaechi Eze

    Iran, on April 14th, launched a much anticipated overnight reprisal attack against Israel, in response to the deadly April 1st drone strike on her consulate in Syria which resulted in the death of top Iran’s Elite Revolutionary Guard Corps officers. Members of the Guard killed included senior commanders Mohammad Reza Zahedi and Brig.-Gen. Mohammad Hadi Haj Rahimi. Consequently, Tehran fired more than 300 ballistic and cruise missiles into Israeli territory injuring at least 12, military spokesman, Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said. Israel reported that the missiles were launched simultaneously from Iran, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen, adding that almost all, if not all, of the missiles were intercepted. The successful interception of the missiles was made possible in partnership with an alliance of countries like Britain, the United States and Jordan.

    Confirming the attack, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said early April 14th that a drone and missile attack was under way against Israel. Maj.-Gen. Hossein Salami, Commander of the Guards, claimed the drone attack against Israel was “more successful than we had expected,” but warned that any retaliation by Israel would draw a more forceful response. Iran said a “new equation” in its frosty relationship with Israel had been launched, and warned of a “much bigger” assault on Israel should Netanyahu decide on a full scale attack.  “We have decided to create a new equation, which is that if from now on the Zionist regime attacks our interests, assets, personalities, and citizens, anywhere, and at any point we will retaliate against them,” Hossein Salami told Iranian state Tv.

    Aware of the capacity of Israel to preserve self and tenaciously defend national interest, Iran’s official position was restated by the Foreign Minister, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, who warned: “In case the Israeli regime embarks on adventurism again and takes action against the interest of Iran, the next response from us will be immediate and at a maximum level.” Reacting to the attack, Hamas has expressly thrown its weight behind Iran, saying it was a deserved response to the attack in Syria. Houthi rebel officials in Yemen also congratulated Iran for their action.

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    Israel’s three-man war cabinet made up of the Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Benny Gantz, former Defence Minister, is weighing commensurate options of response to Iran’s provocation which experts say is capable of pushing the middle east into a full blown regional war. This is exactly what Iran anticipates. Reacting to the attack, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said: “We have intercepted, we have contained; together we shall win.” Israel will respond to Iran’s attack, but the latitude of the onslaught is yet to be decided, an Israeli official told CNN. The official said Israel is yet to decide whether to try and “break all the dishes” or do something more measured.

    Israel and Iran have for years engaged in a shadow war to exert more influence across the middle-east. They launch proxy attacks against each other and vested interests on land, sea, in the air and cyberspace. The latest bombardment of Israel marked a turning point in the conflict. According to Ahron Bregman, a political scientist and expert in Middle East security issues at King’s College in London, “it was the first time Iran directly attacked Israel from its own territory. Before now, Iran has largely used foreign proxies like Hezbollah militia to attack Israeli interests, while one key Israeli strategy was targeted assassinations of Iranian military leaders and nuclear scientists.”

    Western allies have urged Israel to de-escalate the ongoing war in Gaza, which has killed more than 33,000 Palestinians and created a big humanitarian tragedy. Although the United States of America has taken a neutral stand, promising not to join Israel in a likely offensive against Iran, President Joe Biden condemned the attack and echoed the United States’ firm support to Israeli security. Other friends including Germany, Canada, France and Britain restated their commitment to Israel but expressed fears that Tehran’s assault could further undermine peace in the middle-east.  Biden had urged Netanyahu to consider the events of Saturday night a “win” as the attacks had been largely unsuccessful, and instead validated Israel’s ability to defend self against vicious attacks.”

    However, US military warned that “we do not seek conflict with Iran, but we will not hesitate to protect our forces and support the defence of Israel.” Biden had issued a directive for deployment of aircraft and ballistic missile defense destroyers to the region in anticipation of any eventuality. “We will remain vigilant to all threats and will not hesitate to take all necessary action to protect our people,” he said.

    The European Union, United Nations and other international bodies made phone calls, appealing, meeting and also mediating to prepare grounds for peace in order to forestall impending escalation of hostilities between the two nations. Israel does not take lightly any slur on her sovereignty. Those who understood how pugnacious and assertive Israel could be in a situation like this are simply waiting for the breaking news report. The middle-east is racing against peace and peaceful co-existence. Without urgent regional interventions and sincere global actions taken on genuine peace, this imminent crisis will escalate into a full blown war. Instability in the middle-east is tantamount to elusive global world stability.

    Global leaders seem not oblivious of the calamity awaiting to befall the earth. It is right to say that global politics is seen not to be played fairly. Information churned out concerning this crisis and decisions made on middle-east issues are full of lies, biases, pretensions and subterfuge. Iran is bitter with the turn of events in the region and those who think the biases or Iranian position will fade away soon should think twice. Tehran is bent on snatching the regional dominance from Israel, which she feels is domineering by any means possible. She also feels Israel represents the interest of her longtime foes in the West. Those who are beneficiaries of the old order do everything within their reach to maintain the status quo, while the middle-east has continued to suffer endlessly as a result. Supremacy battle between the super powers has invariably had a devastating effect on the middle-east peace and stability.

    Supremacy battle, cultural and religious differences fuel the animosity between both countries. Israel is very much aware of Tehran’s involvement in sponsorship of major crisis in the middle-east by engaging Hamas, Hezbollah and Houtis of Yemen as foot soldiers. Iran positions herself as the defender of Islamic interest while she continuously benefits from the ruins and instability in the middle-east. Whatever action Iran takes in the name of protecting the interest of the entire middle-east is both for economic and religious reasons. The attack on Iranian Embassy in Syria is the usual response to the existing tension.  It was also strategic in prosecuting the war in Gaza and weakening the military capacity of Iran, which is bent on building nuclear war heads.

    Experts have in various contributions to the crisis sued for peace and recommended a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine. However, Iran sees Israel from the prism of a stranger and usurper in the middle-east.  The major casualties of war are mostly innocent women and children. They know next to nothing about plans and attacks against Gaza by Israel, or Iran against Israel. When the hostility begins and pressure mounts high, leaders in both countries will find shelter and comfort in allied states, leaving the vulnerable in the cross-fire. Global sympathy will drive the narrative based on state interests, but the damage would have been done. Israel may not be contemplating the magnitude of what happened in Gaza to repeat in Iran, but the retaliation will be devastating. The world will talk, sell their weapons and when the damage is done, they will donate part of the proceeds from the ruins of the war as aid and call for ceasefire.

    • Eze, a media and communication specialist, writes via sunnyeze02@yahoo.com

  • Issues and challenges facing Nigeria

    Issues and challenges facing Nigeria

    By Lekan Iyiola

    SIR: Nigeria is a multi-cultural and ethnically diverse federation of 36  states and the Federal Capital Territory. It is being dominated by the ruling All Progressive Party (APC) which controls the executive arm of government and holds majority seats at both the Senate and House of Representatives in Parliament and Majority of the states.

    President Bola Ahmed Tinubu emerged as the winner of the 2023 Presidential Election and was sworn into office on May 29, 2023. Nigeria continues to face so many challenges, both social and economic challenges that include insecurity such as banditry and kidnappings, especially in the Northeast region, and separatist agitations in the Southeast. President Tinubu has continuously pledged to turn around the economy and ensure security across the country.

    Nigerians are facing one of the West African’s nation’s worst economic crisis in years triggered by surging inflation, the result of monetary policies that have pushed the currency to an all-time low against the dollar. The situation has provoked anger and protests across the country. This has caused a lot of harm than good to the citizens whereby there’s persistent increase in the prize of everything and it has led to economic hardships. Citizens are lamenting because of the high increase in dollar exchange rate and this has made life unbearable for the average citizens due to the high cost of living.

    Poverty levels are projected to increase to 38.8% in 2024. Despite the low unemployment rate in the country, low consumer spending and purchasing power remains an issue, especially in the absence of commensurate increase in minimum wage to mitigate the inflationary growth in the economy.

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    Between 2000 and 2014, Nigerian’s economy experienced broad-based and sustained growth of over 7 percent annually on average, benefitting from favorable global conditions and macroeconomic and first-stage structural reforms. From 2015 to 2022, however, growth rate decreased and GDP per capita flattered, driven by monetary and exchange rate policy distortions, increasing fiscal deficits due to lower oil production and a costly fuel subsidy program, increased trade protectionism, and external shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Weakened economic fundamentals led the country’s inflation to reach a 24-year high of 31.7 percent in February 2024, which in combination with sluggish growth has pushed millions of Nigerians into poverty.

    As a result, poverty rate is expected to increase in 2024 and 2025 before stabilizing in 2026. Risks to Nigeria’s outlook are substantial, especially if reforms lose momentum or are reversed. The risks include relatively weak monetary policy, tightening failure to address imbalances in petrol pricing and to raise non-oil revenues. Risking insecurity adverse climate shocks and popular discontent with inflation would also dent economic recovery.

    Despite having the largest economy and population in Africa, Nigeria offers limited opportunities to most its citizens. Nigerians born in 2020 are expected to be future workers 36 percent as productive as they could be if they had full access to education and health, the 7th lowest human capital index in the world. Weak job creation and entrepreneurial prospects stifle the absorption of the 3.5 million Nigerians entering the labor force every year, and many workers choose to emigrate in search of better opportunities. The poverty rate is estimated to have reached 38.9 percent in 2023, with an estimated 37 million Nigerians living below the poverty line – the world’s second – largest poor population after India.

    There are so many current issues and challenges facing Nigerians. The likes of corruption, insecurity, national unity, and regional identity. Nigeria in recent times has recorded so many security challenges such as Boko Haram Terrorists attacks, militancy, armed robbery, banditry, kidnapping for ransom, herders-farmers clashes, cultism among other social vices.

    These have caused many lives to be endangered and have also made people to lose their loved ones, their hard earned money and valuable goods. Due to insecurity and economic degradation, Nigeria is yet to witness positive growth in all aspect. Citizens are complaining of lack of insecurity in the country, inflation (persistent increase in price), inadequate infrastructural facilities, lack of access to good water, good roads and good standard of living, lack of education, lack of good roads and health care center etc. all these have made citizens to be vulnerable because of lack of good access of living and it has caused more harm than good whereby people living and in aspect poverty especially average Nigerians and it has caused a lot of loss of lives due to hunger.

    The administration of President Tinubu is working to bring growth and development to the country, to make sure everything is in order and every citizens enjoy same benefits and are not deprive of individual rights.

    • Lekan Iyiola, Lagos

  • Aviation and government support

    Aviation and government support

    By Remi Animashaun

    In recognition of the critical role of aviation in national security and economic development, no government leaves aviation issues to market forces entirely. Not even the United States or the European Union. The United States government has supported the Boeing Corporation and European countries have supported Airbus unabashedly.

    On October 1, 2011, the World Trade Organization (WTO) ruled that the American government had provided subsidies worth $5.3 billion to Boeing, calling the subsidies illegal. Europe had alleged that Washington had subsidized the large aircraft manufacturer based in Seatle, Washington State, to the tune of $19 billion between 1989 and 2006. The WTO had in 2010 ruled that Airbus, based near Toulouse in the southwestern part of France, had been receiving inappropriate subsidies from European nations. 

    Against this background, it is strange to read an article by one Ope Banwo bemoaning what he called lamentation by Air Peace over the ongoing price war by foreign airlines to undermine its newly launched operations on the Lagos-London route. Banwo alleged that Air Peace initiated the price war by charging a mere N1.2m for an economy ticket on the lucrative Lagos-London route, as against N3.5m charged by European carriers. Worse, the writer stated the price war serves Nigeria’s biggest air carrier right, even if it meant the airline abandoning the London-Lagos operations. He, therefore, said that the Nigerian government should not come to the aid of our airline.

    Banwo is blissfully ignorant of the aviation industry and the role of the government in supporting its strategic interests. What could be of more interest to the Nigerian government that Air Peace can slash fares of international travel by over 50% at a time of unprecedented economic hardship?

    In business terms, the drastic reduction in fares would automatically translate to a considerable reduction in business costs. London is not just the capital of Nigeria’s erstwhile colonial master, but also the world business capital, as Tunde MacAlabi, the chief executive of the Africa International Investment and Trade Fair and Exhibition, noted recently in a statement endorsing Air Peace’s patriotic intervention on the Lagos-London route.

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    MacAlabi, for those who may not know, was deeply involved in the development of Murtala Muhammed Terminal Two in Ikeja, Lagos, under the ebullient leadership of Dr Wale Babalakin, a Senior Advocate of Nigeria (SAN). MacAlabi marketed Nigeria very well at the 78th United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) sidelines last September. Among participants in the AIITFE last year were the Minister of Aviation and Aerospace Development, Mr Festus Keyamo; the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Dr Doris Uzoka-Anite; and the Minister of State for the Federal Capital Territory, Dr Mariya Mahmud. 

    Banwo wishes Air Peace to go the way of Bellview, Arik, and Medview. What manner of man is happy to see that international aviation operations of his country are purely by alien airlines?

    While the N1.2m charged by Air Peace is cost-reflective and informed by patriotism, the far-below-market fares now charged by British Airways, Qatar Airlines, and Ethiopian Airlines, among others, are done in bad faith. These air carriers are portraying themselves as exploitative and unconscionable. For if they should succeed in chasing Air Peace out of the London-Lagos operations, as they did to other Nigerian airliners, they would quickly revert to the old exploitative rates of charging N4m for a one-way ticket to London in the economy class.

    It is axiomatic that Banwo has no clue how patriotism drives governments in countries famous for subscribing to the primacy of market forces. Amidst the Great Recession of 2008, the new President Barack Obama administration decided to rescue the three iconic American motor companies, namely, Ford Motors, General Motors, and Chrysler Motors, though Ford later opted out of the package because its situation was not as grave as its two peers.

    The package worked wonders. Hence, when Obama was campaigning for reelection in 2012, his campaign message was simple: “GM is alive, Osama bin Ladin is dead”. GM represented the wisdom of his economic management style and bin Ladin’s death was the triumph of his foreign policy. The message resonated with the Americans, and he was reelected resoundingly.

    Just on Monday, April 15, 2024, the Joe Biden administration announced the provision of a whopping $6.4 billion to Samsung Electronics of South Korea to develop a chip manufacturing and research centre in Texas! This is the extent Washington has gone to support even a foreign firm so long as it produces and researches in the United States. And someone has the guy to argue in a public forum without any sense of embarrassment that the Nigerian government should not support our own airline in the highly competitive aviation market.

    The problem with pen pushers like Banwo is not just crass ignorance of the dynamism and flexibility of global developments, but a profound lack of self-esteem. No self-respecting person can pen an article like his own advertising ignorance. A person without self-esteem cannot have patriotism.

    Even if Banwo is a hired gun, he should exhibit a bit of intelligence and maturity. British Airways, Virgin Atlantic, and other foreign airlines operating in Nigeria should search for agents who could do a fairly decent job. The article by Banwo against Air peace while extolling foreign interests could not have been lower.

    • Animashun wrote from London.

  • Which northern elders is Mafara speaking for?

    Which northern elders is Mafara speaking for?

    By Deyemi Saka

    Some few weeks ago, it was widely reported that “the Northern Elders Forum (NEF) has expressed regrets and sadness that the region voted for President Bola Tinubu in 2023”. 

    In the said report, it was further claimed that; “the region will prioritize unity and consensus in selecting a candidate for the highest office in the land.”

    This claims were made by Abdul-Azeez Suleiman, spokesman of the forum, on the strength that the president got the highest number of votes from the region among the three leading contestants at the last presidential election, and also because the region gave him the highest votes compared to other regions. 

    It is safe to say the bloated sense of entitlement, importance and obvious demonstration of poor education of nationhood was rejected, and wholesomely condemned by the region with the most appropriate response coming from the current Honourable Minister of State for Defence, HE. Bello Muhammed Matawalle. He described the group of “elders” as a burden to the region and paperweights.  

    In the wave of condemnation and denouncing of the group’s stance, an official statement was released by the group disowning the earlier report and in its denial, one will see a sense of patriotic duty and commitment to nation building and repairs.

    In the newly released statement, it was stated that; “The attention of NEF has been drawn to a statement credited to the forum by media – that the North regrets voting for President Bola Tinubu.

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    “NEF wishes to distance itself from the statement as it did not emanate from the Forum as it is the opinion of the person in his personal capacity and not that of NEF.

    “Thus, the statement credited to NEF does not reflect the position of the Forum as it has never sat and assessed performance or non-performance of Tinubu administration.

    “Similarly, NEF has never discussed, in any time, the politics of 2027, nor has it deliberated on who to support or not to support on such issues.

    “The NEF considers it too early to be engaged in such distractions when NEF, like most Nigerians, are demanding good governance and dividends of democracy.

    “NEF, for now prefers to, focus on advocating for what improves the northern region and Nigeria as a whole.

    “The NEF charges leaders to always verify and authenticate information and treat issues within their specific contexts before making public pronouncements.” 

    To all rational minds, the new statement issued by the NEF has laid the matter to rest, and this is why the recent attempt by Senator Kabiru Marafa to resurrect a dead issue is an obvious act of mischief, an effort to seek relevance, and a projection of an obscured profile into national consciousness. 

    In his (Marafa) feeble attempt at his image revival, he claimed the minister was out of order for negatively portraying the northern elders, and ought to have listed the achievements, programmes, and policies, projects of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in the north and the country as a whole in the first 10 months of the administration. 

    It is highly hypocrital that many who either lost their voice or never had it in the eight years of Muhammadu Buhari’s presidency which never dignified the live of an average northerner or interested in improving their lives through purposeful and productive leadership are now blasting like a hot furnace because the present occupier of the highest office of the land is not from their region? For how long does the North play such primitive politics? 

    It is also noteworthy to educate Senator Marafa and his co-travellers that the North alone didn’t make Asiwaju Bola Tinubu the president, and no single region can make or mar a political ambition. Our constitution made it so. 

    To also claim the North has a culture of not “disrespecting” their elders, I’d love Marafa to know that it is not only peculiar to the North, it is a common age long cultural practice among all regions and Africa. What is also a cultural practice is always speaking the truth and standing by the truth irrespective of whose ox is gored. The sustained tradition of hounding people to silence in a bid to sustain the status quo which has made the region underdeveloped with high level of poverty and illiteracy by elevating selfish politicians to the status of celestial beings is what HE Matawalle  confronted and decisively dealt with. 

    This is the height of mischief as he attempts to project himself to be on the side of the people.  I believe any and every good student of history will and should never take this media stunt by Marafa seriously or see it as an altruistic action. We are all living witnesses to how he denied his party, APC, the governorship of Zamfara State in 2019 on the altar of insatiable personal ambition. His relentless litigation in his pursuit of his selfish political agenda saw to the People’s Democratic Party and HE Bello Matawalle get into office. He was going to do the same, and there is a strong assertion among the people of Zamfara that his rising unpopularity and his greed cost the party the All Progressive Congress the governorship of Zamfara State in 2023.

    Deyemi Saka is a public affairs analyst and PR Consultant