Category: Open Forum

  • Electronic transmission requirement not absolute

    Electronic transmission requirement not absolute

    By Wahab Shittu

    The permeation of technology in the daily lives of people stems from its dilution of the complications faced by people in their day-to-day lives. This impact is noticeably felt in human communication as the timeframe within which messages are sent and received has been made seamless and swift irrespective of the distance between the sender and the receiver. Nigeria is not stuck in the unknown on the impact of technology, as it has infiltrated various sectors of the country.

    The latest attempt at infiltration is recognised in the election process of Nigeria, particularly as it is to be utilised as a means of transmitting results from various locations in the country to a known centre. The electoral body in the exercise of its discretion through its regulation adopted the electronic means of transmitting the result of the election. Such information or data is accessed for accountability at a speed necessary to create a watertight defence from the manipulation of results.

    However, uncertainty beclouds the legal position on the extent involved in the applicability of the transfer of such election results through electronic means, most especially the impact on the manual transmission and other means of transfer of such election results.

    Nature of electronic transmission

    The Electronic Transmission of election results was introduced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) which is an independent body saddled with the responsibility of conducting elections. The establishment of the body is validly founded on the provisions of Section 153(1)(f) of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 (CFRN) thus giving legality to their existence. The INEC is vested with diverse power under Section 153(2) of the CFRN 1999 and such powers are itemised under item 15 of part 1 to the 3rd Schedule. Some of these responsibilities include the undertaking and supervision of elections, registering political parties monitoring political campaigns in the election amongst others.

    Under the item, the INEC is also obligated to carry out responsibilities imposed on it as well as exercise powers conferred on it by the Act of the National Assembly. The National Assembly in the exercise of its own power enacted the Electoral Act of 2022 and it was signed into law by the president on the 25th day of February 2022. The CFRN 1999 by the provisions of Section 160(1) empowers the INEC to create its own regulations to direct its actions; this provision is sui generis in nature as it makes the regulations valid without its subjection to the approval or control of the president. This provision recognizes the influence the president’s approval can have on the independence of the body.

    The Electoral Act 2022 also recognises this authority as the provision of Section 148 of the Act dictates that certain actions are left to the manner which will be provided by the Commission. The exercise of this power led to the creation of the INEC Regulations and Guidelines for the Conduct of Election, 2022. The INEC Regulation further asserted their discretion on the manner in which elections will be conducted; birthing Clause 38 in the Regulation which introduced Electronic Transmission of the election result. The regulation holds the status of subsidiary legislation as it was born from the primary lawmaking responsibility of the legislature which had delegated its power to the body. Any action in defiance of the regulation by those bound by it is therefore unlawful as the regulation carries the same weight and force as the law empowering it.

    The court in the case of Best Njoku v. Chief Mike Iheanatu held that a subsidiary legislation is subsequently made pursuant to the powers conferred by the principal legislation to which it is complimentary; it has the force of law. Therefore, it raises no question as to the validity of the power of INEC to make rules to regulate its own procedures, save for where the regulations made contest with the purports of the constitution or the Electoral Act empowering it; where the latter occurs, it is null and void. The electronic transmission of the election results by virtue of being in the INEC regulation receives the force of the law.

    Nigeria’s journey to the inclusion of electronic means of transmitting results in the election process began with the Electoral Act Amendment Bill 2021 which resulted in the Electoral Act of 2022. Clause 52 of the Bill sought to introduce electronic voting into the election process. Such was meant to be carried out by INEC where practicable, which consequently meant that the manual process was employed where the electronic voting was impracticable. However, such Clause failed to reach the last stage of the legislative process as it was amended with only the electronic transmission retained at the exercise of INEC discretion in the INEC regulation.

    The electronic transmission of results in Clause 38 of the INEC Regulation is in exercise of the discretion given under Section 60(5) of the Electoral Act, which enumerates that the presiding officer at the polling unit after counting votes and declaring the number is to transmit the result in accordance with the directives of the Commission. With the directives of the commission as to the manner of the transmission, the presiding officer’s disobedience to such attracts sanctions.

    While Section 60(6) of the Electoral Act fails to expressly include that the sanction also pertains to the disobedience of the presiding officer to observe the provisions of Clause 38 of the INEC regulation, it indirectly brings that INEC directive under the ambit of Section 60 through the Section 60(5). The upload of the polling unit result was an avenue to curb electoral malpractice, as it saves the result sheets (EC8A) from being manipulated during collation at the ward. The timely upload of the result sheet eliminates the weakness of the smallest unit of the electoral division being susceptible to manipulation as the human intervention is checked.

    The Electronic transmission of the result entails the upload of the result to the INEC Result Viewing Portal (IReV).  This is to ensure the availability of the result copies from the polling units to INEC. The regulation permits recourse by the electoral body to the electronically transmitted copies where it is inconsistent with the result that is physically collated. The Electronic transmission of results is limited to the polling unit as it does not extend to the wards.

    Thus, the absence of the method during the ward collation does not attract any sanction and the absence of such requirement at the ward collation helps deal with surplusage; this is because the most basic information has already been provided and any further upload at a higher level is not a necessity.  Clause 48 of the INEC Regulation reveals the status of the electronically transmitted election result where incorrectness is identified by the collation officer, with a similar purpose identified under Clause 51 which states that discrepancies in a result submitted by the presiding officer to the Ward Collation Officer will be resolved using the electronic result to identify the source of the discrepancy. The clause states that the result that is electronically transmitted will be employed for the purpose of collation and announcement of the result. Therefore, in a situation of incorrectness or suspicion of manipulation, the electronically transmitted result supersedes other forms of result appearing before the collation officer.

    Electronic transmission and other transfers

     The Electoral Act 2022 which repealed the Electoral Act 2010 virtue of the provision of Section 151 introduced various changes and its contents accede to the claim that technology is the future. Some notable inclusion highlighting Nigeria’s participation in the technological advancement includes the utilization of the BiModal Voters Accreditation System (BVAS) and the electronic mode of transmitting the election results. The electronic transmission of results adopted in the new Act is a departure from the old Act which was devoid of the electronic transmission of results. The lack of the electronic means of transmitting results was reiterated by the court of appeal in the case of Abubakar & Anor V. INEC & others, where the court stated that ‘there is no provision…for transmission of election results electronically either by the use of smart card reader or other means’.

    The exercise of the power conferred on the body to make rules guiding its actions birthed the 2022 Regulations, which amongst others provided for the Electronic Transmission of the results by the presiding officer stated in Clause 38 of the INEC Regulations of 2022. The provision highlights the incorporation of technology for an expeditious transfer of results from diverse locations and also suppresses the occurrence of electoral malpractice. However, the nascent status of Nigeria in technology which was evidenced in the connection failures when attempting to provide all presidential election results electronically has led to controversy in the interpretation of provisions pertaining to the transfer of election results.

    A faction holds the position that the manual transfer of results exists as an alternative to the electronic transmission of the result, therefore in a scenario where the electronic transmission of results fails the manual transmission of the result can be employed. The other faction opine that the electronic transmission of the result is without any alternative virtue of the purport of Clause 38, as the manual transmission is highly likely to affect by malpractice thus giving freedom to the mischief that the Regulation intends to curb.

    The drawback of the latter position that electronic transmission is the only means to be utilised in light of the reality of the technological stage of the country was revealed at the recently concluded Nigeria 2023 Presidential election where the attempt at a timely upload of results ended in futility. Therefore, the position of the manual transfer of the result was employed as it was the best practicable action at this point in time.  A common stance in both positions is the acceptance of the legality of the electronic transmission of results. This is due to the lawful exercise of the discretion bestowed on the body to make rules guiding it.

    • Shittu is a law teacher and Senior Advocate of Nigeria (SAN)

  • The Nigerian elections that I witnessed

    The Nigerian elections that I witnessed

    By Sunday Dare

    The Nigerian Presidential election was held and was fairly won by the candidate of the APC, Bola  Ahmed Tinubu. The elections were the first to spilt votes across three parties, a departure from the two party model to which we have become accustomed.

    Despite lapses noted by various observer bodies, most international as well as domestic groups found the election to be a credible and accurate reflection of the will of the electorate. As with all democratic nations, we shall continue to strive to perfect our electoral processes. Yes, this election had its imperfections but to the extent that we should obviate what was in fact the most logical and predictable result.  Was the ruling party with political leaders, structure and attestants of performance in many states, including landmark programs and projects not supposed to score votes?

    In fact there was only one region in the country that did not yield victory in any of its states to anyone but a candidate from that region. Many have picked on this to further suggest the prevalence of ethnicity in our politics. Yet, in the South West   the presidential candidate of the APC lost his own state, a reflection of tolerance , diversity of opinion and ethnicity. Yet, a campaign of discrediting and delegitimizing the outcome of an election has been drummed up by those who have developed an attitude of ‘me or ruins’ towards politics.

    Technology reduced the level of malpractice such as ballot box stealing and multiple voting by individuals. Violence was held to a low level. No question, Nigeria has to continue refining its electoral processes. However, it is simply unfair for the international media to ridicule this election simply because the outcome did not fit the narrative the media had constructed. Nigeria should not be made to suffer because of the media’s lack of knowledge about it.

    In all of these, some of our statesmen, a segment of both the International and National media are mute about giving credit to one man to whom it is due.  That person is President Muhammadu Buhari whose commitment to democracy, steadfastness, doggedness and overall boldness made the elections possible. This is against the backdrop of predictions by notable leaders that there will be no elections due to insecurity. President Buhari has an answer for them. He ensured maximum security for the elections. He resisted pressures to postpone or cancel the elections. He locked his doors against merchants of interim government and daresay 3rd term beguilers.  President Buhari’s lofty place in the history of Democracy in Nigeria is secured.

    President Buhari’s achievements in infrastructural development and social welfare in the past 8 years remain unequaled by any previous government safe the immediate post war era. 

    Now back to the elections proper.  As an international journalist of nearly three decades of which the larger part of my professional career was in Nigeria, I have witnessed many elections, many coups, annulments and violent ethnic, religious and political disruptions. 

    Our politics is a complex mix of party, ethnic, religious and regional factors. Yet, ideology and class identification play larger roles than generally appreciated. This multilayered situation does not lend itself to quick, simplistic portraits. Our trends cannot be accurately contextualized in a way that conforms to western political themes often inapplicable to Nigeria’s internal  dynamics. Preceding the election, western media was flush with accounts depicting the Labor Party candidate Peter Obi in a commanding lead and extolling him as the most reformed minded among the stable of contestants. Experienced observers knew both points to be inaccurate.

    The true surprise concerning Obi is not that he lost but that he did as well as he did. Tinubu’s victory might have shocked and deflated many western journalists. It did not shock western pollsters who have been gauging Nigerian political sentiment for over a decade. A month before the election, Tinubu campaign pollsters forecasted a Tinubu lead among likely voters of roughly 10 percent over both Obi and Atiku. They also measured Tinubu’s support at roughly 37 percent.  A few states registered as surprises on election day, particularly Tinubu’s loss of his populous home state of Lagos. Still, the polling was accurate in the main. Other respected surveys corrected indicated that Tinubu would come in first.

    Clearly, Peter Obi was popular in parts of the country. Yet he never enjoyed a likely path to victory. Winning the Nigerian presidency requires more than a candidate getting the highest vote total, which he did not in any event. The winner must also attain 25 percent of the votes in at least 25 of Nigeria’s 36 states and its federal capital, Abuja. Due to the oft combative religious and ethnic lean of his campaign, as well as his poor name recognition in major parts of the north, Obi had little chance of gaining 25 percent in the majority of Nigeria’s 19 northern states. Without being competitive in the north, Obi could not win the majority of votes nationwide. He had lost the race the moment he entered it as a regional and religious champion. Asiwaju took the other route deemphasizing religion by choosing a Muslim vice and focusing on specific issues.

    Portraying Obi’s candidacy as one of meaningful reform also was the offspring of imprecise analysis. Obi’s candidacy lit the imagination of many young voters. This had more to do with social media accumulation of angst following the endsars riots which continued inexplicably after the demand of ending sars was acceded to by Mr President. There are those who say this was part of a grand plan, considering the false narratives that still attend that issue till today. It is instructive that the arrow heads are seen as major feature for Mr Obis movement.

    A businessman and majority shareholder in Fidelity bank, Peter Obi was a state governor for 8 years, with different views on his tenure highlighted by MASSOP violence, allegations of warehousing state funds in a bank in which he had interests rather than spending on developmental needs of the state. In 2019, he was the vice presidential candidate of Atiku, the conservative PDP’s candidate  over the past two elections. As such, Obi is a charter member of the right-leaning segment of the political establishment. Obi’s reformism was solely limited to political style and capitalizing on discontent.

    Regarding substantive policy ideas, Tinubu was the more reform-minded candidate. The NESG engagement exposed this starkly.

    A product of the progressive politics of southwest Nigeria, Tinubu was the only left-leaning  candidate in this race. After the incumbent government’s demonetization policy came into full force, Tinubu publicly complained about the resultant economic harm. Both Obi and Atiku lauded the measure until public opinion forced them toward more ambiguous positions. 

     Tinubu, in fact, is Nigeria’s most progressive major politician and its first left-of-center president elect. To state that Tinubu reeks of the political establishment yet describe Obi as a breath of fresh air is to miss something essential in Nigerian politics.

    A coterie of retired generals and their allies in the financial sector form the core of the establishment. Search as you might, you will not find Tinubu among this group. You will find Obi and Atiku.

    In other countries, years spent in electoral politics are never used as the measure of whether a candidate is chained to the status quo. This seems to be the decisive measure used by the international media in Nigeria. Tinubu is certainly a veteran political figure. More accurately, he is a veteran of opposition politics. A cerebral and compassionate politician forged in the crucible of Democratic struggle.

    How did the media miss the fact that some  influential and their moneyed network oppose Tinubu? They supported the staunchly conservative Atiku or the fairly conservative Obi. They had no stomach for the progressive former Lagos governor. One former general and military head of state publicly explained that he supported Obi because the latter could be “pulled by the ear,” meaning he could control Obi. No former general could say this about the independent-minded Tinubu. Even if a general had uttered such a thing, no one would believe it.

    Obi had his captive audience. A mixture of young people thirsty for a new order and justifiably so, and his ethnic followers.

    Atiku’s trump card was that of ethnic and regional chauvinism in the North. Whether their campaign strategies caused their electoral limitations or their electoral limitations shaped their strategies may be matters of permanent debate.

    However, the election can be distilled to the single observation. Atiku’s appeal was limited to the three political zones of the north. Obi’s appeal to two of the three southern zones and a few other states. Tinubu carried or was highly competitive in four zones, the three northern ones and his southwestern base. In a profound way, this election confirmed the northern-southwestern electoral base as the base of our party, the APC and the prime reason for its national electoral success.

     Tinubu’s campaign, cognizant of ethnic and religious sentiment and crosscurrents, treated these issues more discretely than the other campaigns. Tinubu’s progressive appeal was dismissed by foreign journalists but not by a large number of poor and rural voters hoping for stronger government assistance to  accelerate economic development.

    Overall, Nigeria’s democracy is on course, no matter what the naysayers and jingoists say. They have piled on. The tribe of individuals and groups who want to pull the house down simply because it does not bear the color they want. The most recent election that produced Bola Ahmed Tinubu as President-Elect is on sound footing and one of Nigeria’s freest and fairest.

    Washington Post newspapers in its editorial of March 20, 2023, after recognizing the short comings, noticing the rights of other contestants to go to court, the paper rose above the noise and misdirected agitations and settles the debate over the outcome of the Presidential election declaratively with a home run thus : “… this proved to be Nigeria’s most competitive election since democracy was restored in 1999…”

    •Dare, is the Minister of Youth and Sports of Nigeria.

  • Why 25% in FCT is not required to be declared president-elect

    Why 25% in FCT is not required to be declared president-elect

    By Yomi Omoyele

    In the past couple of weeks, following the declaration by INEC of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) as the winner of the presidential election held on February 25, the Nigerian populace has been treated to a barrage of opinions by persons from all walks of life, including lawyers, on the preferred or most comforting interpretation to accord the constitutional provision set to be met by anyone seeking to be declared president-elect.

    Of all the key legal requirements in this regard, the foundational constitutional provision prescribed in Section 134(2) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999, has been the most interrogated by virtually all the commentators, and it is on this piece shall be centred.

    For easy reference, here is what that provision says:

    A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where there being more than two candidates for the election-

    a)    he has the highest number of votes cast at the election; and,

    b)    he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in each of, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

    In Nigeria, English is the language of law. A mastery of that language is, therefore, a fundamental requirement in understanding and interpreting all legal documents done in English, and these include the Nigerian constitution itself and all statutes regulating all affairs of government and its agencies. So, and most naturally too, the higher one’s degree or mastery of English, the better one’s understanding and easier one’s application of the law.

    There are three main canons of interpretation in law- the Literal Rule, the Golden Rule and the Mischief Rule. Recourse is usually had of the first, the Literal Rule, as a most natural primary go-to means in resolving problems of meanings of terms in legal documents. It is usually when solutions are not found in the use of this method, other canons are examined.

    By the Literal Rule, the ordinary grammatical meaning of a word should be applied in its interpretation when it occurs in a structure. It should be noted, also, that words usually generate meanings from the environment in which they appear. For example, the word “head” can be a noun and mean (1) the uppermost part of the human body; (2) the leader of a group or organisation; (3) the front or top of an object; or (4) the tip of an object like a needle, pin or nail. It could also be a verb and mean (5) to move in a particular direction as in ‘head homeward’, ‘head straight to school’, etc. It is with this basic information at the back of our minds it is intended that this matter be approached.

    Here are some of the interpretations put forward by different persons regarding what Section 134(2) of the Nigerian Constitution, 1999, says about who may be declared president-elect.

    By Section 134(2)(a), to qualify as president, a candidate in a presidential election must have scored the highest number of votes cast at that election. There does not appear to be any controversy over this leg of the provision as everyone seems to see it as simply normal, natural, expected and accepted that accords you the benefit of the first consideration of being deemed a winner, barring any other condition set by law. So, here, no further explanation is required as the provision is considered simply self-explanatory and generally well understood by all parties in the controversy.

    If Section 134(2)(a) is so clear as to not require a debate of any shade, the same cannot be said of the other leg of the section. That other leg is Section 134(2)(b).

    Section 134(2)(b) says, for any candidate to be considered as winner in the presidential election, apart from meeting the condition set out in Section 134(2)(a)  above – scoring the highest number of votes in that election- he must, in addition, have scored “not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in each of, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

    Let us try and break down some of the terms used in this provision. When we say one-quarter, what exactly do we mean? Two other names by which one-quarter is known are one-fourth and twenty-five percent. For the purpose of this discourse, we would adopt twenty-five percent as presenting the version more easily understood. So, 25 per cent is elected for use in place of one-quarter.

    Nigeria has 36 states and a Federal Capital Territory. I, therefore, identify Nigeria as having 37 geo-political components made up of “all the (36) states in the Federation AND the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

    Now, what are the arguments regarding this sub-section of the provision? A school of thought argues that, apart from scoring the highest number of votes in the election, the presumptive president must also have garnered a minimum of 25% of votes cast in, at least, 24 states AND in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. Better presented, it means the presumed winner must have:

    a.     the highest number of votes; and,

    b.     a minimum of 25 per cent of votes in, at least, 24 of the 36 states of the Federation; and,

    c.      another minimum of 25 per cent in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

    The crux of their argument is that the minimum of 25 per cent score in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, with a minimum of 25 per cent of votes in, at least, any 24 states is a mandatory requirement for being declared winner by virtue of the conjunction AND used in “…all states in the Federation AND the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.” So, here, the winner here is said to be that person who has the highest number of votes, and has 25% of the total number of votes in, at least, 25 different geopolitical components which must include the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. By this token, a failure to secure that 25 per cent minimum of the total number of votes cast in the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, automatically presents a candidate as disqualified from being considered as president-elect. The thrust of their argument is that the conjunction AND indicates that what applies to the states also applies to the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

    The other school of thought posits that the presumptive president must have scored:

    a.     the highest number of votes in the election; and,

    b.     a minimum of 25 per cent of votes cast in, at least, two-thirds of all the 36 states of the Federation AND the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, all amounting to a minimum of 25 per cent of votes recorded in any 25 different geo-political components of the country jointly made up of the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, but the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja not being necessarily part of the components where the mandatory 25 per cent minimum votes must be recorded.            

    This would mean that the winning scores could be derived from any 25 of the 37 geo-political components, with or without the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. In other words, not scoring up to 25 per cent of votes cast or any vote at all in the Federal Capital Territory is not injurious to the aspiration of anyone seeking to be declared president-elect. Well, this seems where healthier reasoning leans. My heart finds comfort here, and the reasons shall be provided as clearly as possible.

    First, what could the intention of the drafters of the constitution be in that provision? Could they be insisting that whoever must be president of Nigeria, apart from garnering the highest number of votes in the election, must also score:

    a.      a minimum of 25 per cent of the votes spread across, at least, 24 states; and,

    b.     at least, another 25 per cent of the votes in the FCT? 

    Assuming without conceding that that is the true position, it would only have been indirectly said that, even if a candidate secures the highest number of votes and also scores the minimum of 25 per cent requirement in all 36 states of the Federation but fails to have any vote in the FCT, then, he would not have qualified to be declared winner. This, certainly, is not and cannot be what the drafters would have had in mind. The simple intention of the drafters is for anyone elected president to be such a person who would command acceptance across a considerably wide segment of the country. So, the two-thirds spread, in whatever form it presents itself, with or without the FCT, is what the drafters envisaged as indicative of that spread of acceptance for the president, and that accords with the thinking that that spread can come from any 25 of the 37 geopolitical components of the country, the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, being in the status of a state for this purpose and, like any state, not specifically named as being compulsory to the winning requirement. It is, therefore, little wonder that the election of a governor attracts no such controversy. This is what the constitution says in Section 179(2)(a) and (b):

    A candidate for the Office of Governor of a State shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being two or more candidates-

    a.     he has the highest number of votes cast at the election; and,

    b.     he has not less than one-quarter of all the votes cast in each of, at least, two-thirds of all Local Government Areas in the state.”

    But, besides this, let us examine Section 134(2)(b) from the perspective of an English grammarian and see what it leaves us with, particularly in view of the Literal Rule.

    How would a grammarian interpret this?

    A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for the election – he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in each of, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

    Somehow, some have argued their preference, making the word AND the basis of their position in interpreting this provision of the constitution. According to them, AND is a conjunction and that, I must say, is one observation so beautifully made. The conclusion they have reached in spite of their ability to identify what AND is is, however, very faultily rooted on account of their firm understanding of how AND behaves, particularly taking cognisance of other elements that that conjunction may appear within a structure.

    Yes, AND is a conjunction, as someone put it, ‘performing the function of joining two expressions or sentences which would be inseparable, integrated, joint or matched.’  

    By this definition alone, the proponents of the school insisting on a minimum of 25 per cent votes score in the FCT ought to have arrived at a conclusion different from that which they promote, particularly since, according to them, whatever is applicable to the states of the Federation is applicable to the Federal Capital Territory. This position, again, is correct! So, the first question is: What exactly is applicable to the states that should be applicable to the FCT? That is very simple…the FCT should assume the status equivalent to that of a state for the purpose of this calculation! How and why is this so?

    A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for the election…he has not less than 25% of the votes cast at the election in each of, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

    To be declared winner, you must secure, at least,:

           I.            25 per cent of votes cast at the election…;

         II.            The 25 per cent must be from, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation AND the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

    From this, it is clear that the states of the Federation are not to be separated from the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, in calculating what constitutes “two-thirds of all the states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja”. The reason is that whatever is applicable to the states in the Federation IS applicable too to the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. The cases of Baba Panya v President, Federal Republic of Nigeria (2018) and Bakari V Ogundipe are instructive in this regard.

    By that token, what the provision seeks is the naming of a winner as that person who, apart from possessing the highest number of votes, is also able to garner a minimum of 25 per cent of votes from two-thirds of the combination of the 36 states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. And, what does this give us?

    We are presented with 37 geo-political components, made up of the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. It is from this 37 components we seek what constitutes two-thirds. By the decision in Chief Obafemi Awolowo V Alh. Shehu Shagari & 2 Ors (SC.62/1979), we already know that ‘a state, being a corporate body or legal person, cannot be fractionalized’. It follows that, in determining what two-thirds of 37 components is, we must also note that these components are composed of corporate bodies or legal persons incapable of being fractionalized. Therefore, while, ordinarily two-thirds of 37 would be 24.67, the rule as it applies to corporate bodies or legal persons, as they are incapable of being fractionalized, is that a shift is made to round the number up in the fraction left. So, rather than have 24.67, 25 corporate bodies or legal persons is the answer we would be left with. What is then being sought in determining the winner would, apart from the highest number of votes, be a minimum of 25% of votes cast in any 25 out of the 37 component parts, noting that, by Section 299 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, “the provisions of this constitution shall apply to the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, as if it were one of the states of the Federation…” 

    Before this is concluded, there is this piece of information I consider vital and capable of providing a good degree of conviction in this regard.

    If it was the intention of the drafters of the constitution to ensure the Nigerian president must win or, at least, secure 25 per cent of votes in the FCT, Abuja, then, that provision would have looked different from what that section of the 1999 constitution currently provides. Consider these:

    1.     ”A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for the election he has not less than 25% of the votes cast at the election in each of, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

    2.     ”A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for the election he has not less than 25% of the votes cast at the election in each of, at least, two-thirds of all the states in the Federation and IN the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.”

    These are two different provisions. In each of them, there are two components: (i) the 36 states and (ii) the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

    In Provision 1, the 36 states are taken together with the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, as being on an equal legal footing and, so, the FCT here is treated as if were a state. Two-thirds of the all the 36 states AND the FCT would, therefore, mean any 25 of the 37 components made up of the 36 states and the FCT.

    On the other hand, Provision 2 prescribes the treatment for the states and the treatment for the FCT separately. The insertion of the preposition IN after AND and before “the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja is very instructive as it gives the provision a completely different, yet very clear meaning. By this seemingly innocuous insertion of another IN after AND and before “the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja”, a candidate in the presidential election is required to have a minimum of 25 per cent of votes cast in the FCT, Abuja, to qualify as winner. It follows, therefore, that the omission or non-inclusion of the preposition IN after AND and before “the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja,”in that sub-section of the constitutionis a clear indication that, by the Literal Rule, what the provision prescribes is 25% of the votes cast in any of the 37 geopolitical components of the country jointly made up of the 36 states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. The belief that a minimum of 25 per cent of votes cast IN any 24 states and IN the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja is, therefore, grounded upon a very wrong premise resulting from a very weak understanding of some basic rules of English grammar.

    ·         Omoyele is a legal practitioner based in Lagos and can be reached via yomiomoyele@gmail.com

  • Polls: Opposition sour grapes and media

    Polls: Opposition sour grapes and media

    By Ojo Emmanuel Ademola

    On Saturday, February 25, 2023, Nigerians trooped out en mass to exercise their democratic rights to elect a new President to replace incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari. The election took place in over 170,000 polling units all over Nigeria and retched up a lot of emotions; partisan, religious and tribal which revealed the deep apertures existing in our multi-ethnic country.

    The election proceeded smoothly and with minimal hitches at the various polling units. At this level, there was almost a unanimous agreement that the process was free and fair save for some noticeable observations of malfunction of BVAS machines, which were rectified and delayed the commencement of elections in some polling units until they were equally rectified. Sure, there were few reported incidences of skirmishes and minimal roughness, here and there but they were comparably few and insignificant as to affect the credibility of the election or mar its outcome. At this stage, almost all the contesting parties and observer groups, both local and international, agreed to this, and indeed confirm that Nigerians must be proud of both the process and the outcome of the election.

    Polling ended peacefully nationwide. Collation commenced at the various polling units and results were tallied, declared at each polling unit and subsequently sent to the ward collation centres. Note that at these polling unit collation centres, all the various party agents handled a truly certified and fully endorsed copy of the result sheets, signed by all verified party agents. Essentially, this process provides huge evidence of the exemplary nature of the election as it all ended peacefully as all the party agents signed copies of the verifiable outcomes.

    At the ward collation centres, results from all polling units that make up the ward were tallied and the result entered into the ward result sheet signed by the party agents and handed to all the agents present at this stage. At the local government collation centres, the results from all the wards were tallied and entered into the local government result sheets, signed by all party agents and given to all participating agents of the various parties.

    The state collation centres tallied all the results from the various local governments to arrive at the election results of the various states. Here, the results are equally entered into the state result sheets and signed by all the party agents who were given the result sheets. Evidentially, it remains an exemplary process where everything moved toward the epitome.

    The National Collation Center in Abuja then calls on the various states’ Resident Electoral Commissioners and the State Collation Officers to present the results from their various states. At the national collation centre, the National Returning Officer who is usually the Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) presides and his job is chiefly to call the State RECs and the State Returning Officers, who are usually Vice Chancellors of their respective university to present the results from the various states, with party agents and accredited observers participating. After each state presents its result, the entire state’s results are tallied to get the national election result and the INEC Chairman then declares the winner of the presidential election based on the results collated from all the states and Abuja, after taking all observations, complaints issues raised by party agents.

    I have listed the progressive stages in this long, meticulous and tedious process to show how the electoral system in Nigeria works and to bring out these salient points:

    •That the main, most critical aspect of elections happens at the polling units, which is the basic and micro level where polling takes place and that results obtained at these units determine the winner of elections.

    •That reservations, objections, and complaints about the conduct of elections first emanate and are handled at the polling units and that based on satisfaction with how these complaints and objections are raised, party agents sign the result sheets.

    •That whatever happens at the other collation centres, wards, local government, state and national tallies with the outcome at the polling units and that noticeable alterations at each level after the wards are treated in respect of their veracity at the stage or level it is noticed.

    •That the National Collation Center is just to tally the results that have been compiled from the polling units to the wards, to the local government, to the states and the national collation centre is hardly a place to raise issues that occur at the polling units.

    •That depending on the capacity of each party, it is not impossible to know the results of a presidential election, a few hours after the conclusion of polls, as the results of each polling unit are endorsed and declared.

    My reason for this detailed excursion is to expose the mendacity of the two opposition parties that are now making outlandish claims concerning the outcome of the 2023 presidential election.

    My intervention is equally targeted at a section of the international media, which gleefully jumped at the phoney claims by the opposition to thumb down such a meticulous process and perhaps the freest, fairest and most credible election ever held in this country. The penchant of a section of the international media to gobble any negative information about Nigeria, ostensibly to suit their pre-election Armageddon prediction for Nigeria, often leads them to jump at any sly effort by the opposition to rubbish the county as a result of their failed selfish projections and there was plenty of such dubious buy-in with the 2023 election.  As the opposition parrot the selfish orchestra of a ‘rigged election’ without any scintilla of evidence, so did a section of the international media parrot the tale of a ‘flawed election’ without subjecting their report to minimal enquiry.

    Let us note that the plank on which the opposition rests its wonky rigging charge was that election results were not uploaded directly on the INEC server from the polling unit, in ‘real time’ What a charge!  The opposition parties (here, it is the two losing parties, the PDP and Labour Party that are marketing this rigging charge) raised the allegation of not uploading results at the polling units in real-time at the national collation centre, during the declaration of results from the states. By this time, they had the results from all the states so they know whether they won or not before coming to the collation centre. Of course, they knew they lost the election and were therefore determined to cause obstructions that they hoped would sabotage the process and throw up a diktat. The opposition tactics themselves raise pertinent questions; Why didn’t PDP and LP raise allegations of rigging at the polling unit, ward, local government and state collation centres? Why did they wait till the results get to the national collation centre before raising allegations that results weren’t uploaded to the INEC server?

    Again, what actually does an electronic transmission of election results from the polling unit to the server actually contribute to the fairness and credibility of elections? Essentially, what is transparent at the polling units is indeed by efficacy transparent at the ward level right to the National Collation centre!

    Are PDP and LP arguing that there were differences between the results they signed and collected at the polling units, wards, local governments and states collation centres? Is the difference in the fact that results were not uploaded to the INEC server as soon as they were declared at the polling units? If there were differences between results, why did the opposition parties not raise these differences at the earlier stages of collation?

    These and many more are posers the section of the international media and other interests would have raised before magnifying the mischievous, dubious allegations of the opposition after they found out they lost an election that saw many people in positions to rig the election, losing their states and strongholds in a manner never witnessed in Nigeria before.

    As has oft been emphasized, the courts are there for those who feel the election was rigged to expose such acts of rigging and possibly get a reprieve. In Nigeria, there are legions of instances where election results had been upturned at the courts so the two aggrieved losing parties, having reluctantly elected to take this course, should channel all their energies to proving these cases of rigging during the election. The courts offer the opposition the theatre to prove before the whole world how the 2023 elections were rigged and we eagerly await such exposure for the benefit of our democracy.

    But then, why are PDP and LP so piqued by INEC’s failure to electronically transmit polling units’ results to the INEC server in ‘real time’? Why are their ludicrous charges of rigging anchored on this very thin, shaky and collapsible prop? An effort to interrogate this abnormal obsession will reveal an elaborate plot to hack and manipulate results uploaded to the INEC server, to produce dubious results that are different from the votes cast by Nigerians. Reports of the arrest of several people in various parts of Nigeria with cloned BVAS machines and other electronic accoutrements and the recent report that the INEC portal witnessed millions of attempts to hack it on election day, lends credence to this suspicion. INEC knew of this deliberate cyber attack strategy and decided that only declared, certified and endorsed results from the polling units are uploaded on the INEC server; not in ‘real time’ but after the declaration of such results. Indeed INEC has done that and this leaves those who are bellyaching over the failure of INEC to upload results in ‘real time’ to cross-check if the results they have tally with the results declared and uploaded by INEC. Who has any issue with this? Is the prejudiced section of the international media aware of this process and the underlying factors behind INEC’s refusal to upload results in ‘real time’ before they go to town with the pejorative narratives fed to them by losing and mischievous oppositions?

    Are PDP and LP, with their obsession with electronic transmission of results ‘in real time’ justifying the popular opinion that the refusal of INEC to upload results ‘in real time’ frustrated their alleged robust plan to hack the INEC server and replace real election results with their fake versions?

    It is even important to know that no law mandates INEC to upload election results from polling units ‘in real time’ as the mischievous opposition claims. A Federal High Court in January ruled that INEC cannot be compelled to electronically transmit election results from polling units. Indeed the court ruled that it is at the discretion of INEC to decide which collation method to use for the 2023 election. So how does failure to transmit results electronically from polling units to the INEC server, immediately after the announcement of results, amount to ‘rigging’, as the sly opposition claims or vitiate the outcome of the last election, as the equally sly section of the international media charge?

    Knowing the desperation of some interests to tamper with the INEC server, INEC decided to manually collate the results at all levels and then upload the vetted results to its server. That way, each party has the privilege of endorsing the results at the polling unit, ward, local government, state and federal levels and getting copies of the endorsed results. Both the PDP and LP have copies of these results and their agents endorsed them and they are critical to their vow to challenge the results at the courts. So why the hullabaloo about INEC not uploading results ‘in real time’? Who are those behind the multifarious and desperate attempts to hack and compromise the INEC server?

    So, let the prejudiced section of the international media shine their eyes (as we say in popular Nigerian lingo) and question the opposition’s inappropriate interest in uploading election results in ‘real time’ and juxtapose this against the many attacks on the INEC server on election day. The international community and its media should interrogate every propaganda from the Nigerian opposition before lapping on such to discredit a very credible election that recorded very many upsets as never ever seen in Nigeria’s electoral history.

    So surprising that the opposition has no real and tangible pieces of evidence of infraction to justify their desperate negative campaigns against the election. The only ground they trumpet is that the results of the election weren’t uploaded to the INEC server in ‘real time’ which neither was an infraction to the electoral law nor does it signify any electoral fraud.

    It is quite easy for the section of the international media that markets the jaundiced ware of the opposition on the 2023 election to hide their partiality in a nebulous and often dubious crusade for a ‘perfect election’ which itself is a utopia as no such thing as perfect election exists. The last United States election that was won by President Joe Biden, against former President Donald Trump is still in dispute today and has bred millions of Americans now fondly tagged ‘election deniers’ who emphatically believe that Biden didn’t win the election. So why should a section of the international media, bent on promoting the warped and deeply mischievous interests of the Nigerian opposition, hide under the nebulous demand for a ‘perfect election’ to demarket an election That was outstanding for the way and manner those who are in a position to rig the election, lost their strongholds?

    Nigerians, including the mischievous opposition, know that the election conducted on February 25 remains our best so far. There was no report of ballot snatching; a notorious glitching that had defaced Nigerian electoral practice for several decades. There were no reports of vote-buying, of the scale that we are used to in the country:’s electoral history. The BVAS eliminated double or multiple voting as we used to know.

    These and several reasons account for the shocking outcome of the election where both the President and the President-elect, with several governors lost in their states to the opposition. Surprisingly, the opposition PDP and LP are desperately tarring the election because they lost and unfortunately, a wing of the international media is magnifying their efforts. I advise the international media to get themselves educated on the Nigerian electoral process and electoral law, subject the last election to deeper scrutiny before they hawk the prejudiced opinions of those that lost the election and employ the same to tar a credible election, which, I repeat, remains the freest, the fairest and the most credible election ever held in this country.

    •Ademola is a professor of Cyber Security and Information Technology Management

  • Mainstream media coverage of presidential election

    Mainstream media coverage of presidential election

    By Bashir Yusuf Ibrahim

    My observation of the media coverage of the 2023 general election since it became clear APC was set to win the presidential election is that the mainstream media, particularly Channels and Arise TV, are committed to doing everything possible to delegitimize the election because it could not accept the victory of APC’s Muslim/Muslim ticket. The ticket has confounded media pundits and flies in the face of a certain ideological-cum-sectarian worldview, deeply rooted in Nigeria’s mainstream media.

    The media coverage of the presidential election continues to be terribly one-sided without any semblance of balance and objectivity. If one were to judge the quality of the election by what is reported in the mainstream media only, and not by what is actually happening on the ground across the nation, one would think APC is the only party guilty of electoral offences and that the 2023 general election was the worst election ever in Nigeria, worse than Prof Maurice Iwu’s election of 2007.

    Yet, the truth is, APC appears to be the only party in the election that failed to benefit from its incumbency both at the national and sub-national levels. Fuel scarcity, the Naira redesign policy and internal friction between the federal centre and APC-controlled states in the middle of the elections extracted a heavy electoral price on the party both at the federal and state levels.

    I’ve never witnessed an election in which the ruling party was so thoroughly trounced in its stronghold and in virtually all the areas it should’ve won hands down. It should have been obvious to those who continue to cling to the claim of election rigging that if a party cannot rig an election in its stronghold, how is it possible that it is able to rig the election in other areas?

    It should also have been obvious that APC benefited from the splitting of ranks and, consequently, of votes within the opposition and among the other contending candidates and parties – LP, NNPP, PDP and its G-5 renegade governors. All these forces were on the same side in Nigeria’s 2019 presidential election. It would have been anything short of a miracle for any of these fragmented forces to unseat a party in power at the centre and in about two-thirds of the states of the federation.

    Then, there is the claim that INEC rigged the election for APC by its failure to upload the close to 200,000 polling unit results in real time on its IReV portal. Uploading the results of the election on the IReV portal is just one of more than close to 43 public activities INEC had to undertake to deliver a successful election.

    Admittedly, this is a critical failure on the part of INEC for which it has received disproportionate and unfair criticism. INEC has made a claim that it ran into a technical glitch with this aspect of its operations. This claim is technically verifiable but little, if any attention was paid to it by the opposition and there was zero attempt to investigate it by the mainstream media.

    If any investigation by any media organisation took place, it has not been made public yet, to the best of my knowledge. Anyone remotely familiar with information technology must know that the larger the size of data, the slower the upload speed, simple. All the conspiracy theories have so far remained just that – conspiracy theories.

    The fact that INEC was able to successfully deliver on the IReV aspect of its operations during past, off-season elections, does not necessarily preclude the possibility of technical failure during the general elections, when all the results from all the polling units across the 36 states and FCT had to be uploaded at once, in real time. The only way to know for sure if this aspect of INEC’s operations was going to deliver as promised was during the general election, itself.

    Unfortunately, this did not materialise and INEC must take the responsibility and the blame for overpromising and for poor communication when it eventually ran into this technical failure. But, to date, there is no hard data to support the claim that INEC rigged the presidential election in favour of the winner. The opposition must seize the opportunity to present such hard evidence at the Election Petition Tribunal, not on the streets or at INEC Headquarters, as it attempted to do, days after the results of the elections were made official.

    Looking at the election numbers with an open mind, it is obvious APC won the election, fair and square, not in a landslide manner like other ruling parties do in Africa but by making a strong showing in areas with higher voter population and coming a close second in virtually every other area. Clearly, that was basically the strategy behind the Muslim/Muslim ticket and nothing more. Those who read other motives into it have either missed the point or else, are using it to push a worldview totally at odds with the intended purpose, which is, to win the election.

    But the mainstream media is conveniently and deliberately not looking at the numbers. It is just blindly committed to delegitimising the election so that the ticket continues to be untenable and its victory tainted by allegations of rigging. On the face of it, this blind and irrational ideological-cum-sectarian worldview, deeply rooted in Nigeria’s mainstream media, is deeply flawed.

    It is emotional and sentimental and is not in the best interest of Nigeria. Sectarian considerations are bad for elections anywhere and portend grave danger for the future of democracy in Nigeria.

    Elections are not won by the powerful deployment of the media alone and, certainly, not won and lost on the basis of sentiment and emotion but, more fundamentally, on the basis of correct demographic combinations.

     A political party or candidate that misses this point and relies solely on sentiment, emotion and the power of the media alone will continue to play second fiddle in the political arithmetic of the nation. If APC had been intimidated, browbeaten, made to succumb to the sectarian blackmail that preceded the election and made to pick the wrong combinations, it may still not have out rightly lost the election.

    But it would have been forced into a second ballot, with the potential of PDP, LP and, possibly, NNPP coming together. In such an event, the numbers suggest it would, in the final analysis, most likely, have lost the election. That would have defeated the purpose for which the party contested the election.

    It is now for those who lost the election to learn a few lessons from it, not least of which are, to dislodge a ruling party from power in a multi-party environment, the opposition needs to abandon petty internal squabbles and come together on the basis of a minimum common agenda like the Nigerian opposition did in 2013; sentiment and emotion are effective tools in political mobilization but not enough to win a nation-wide election in a multi-cultural environment like Nigeria, a lesson General Buhari learnt in 2015.

    The media is powerful but not as powerful as the voter, as we have now come to appreciate in the 2023 presidential election. A tradition of concession of defeat may not be as rewarding as winning but it can snatch moral victory from the jaws of all-around defeat as former President Goodluck Jonathan has come to learn after Godswill Orubebe almost ruined his post-election future.

    Today, Orubebe is in APC and Jonathan is basking in the glory of his wise and timely concession.

    Thankfully, not all is lost for the parties that did not make it in the just concluded presidential election. The diversity of parties in the National Assembly is good for Nigeria’s democracy. To hold the ruling party accountable is a fundamental function of the opposition, a requirement for good governance and necessary for the proper functioning of democracy.

    Also, preparations to unseat the ruling party in the next election must begin from there but these tasks are only for those elements of the opposition truly committed to the nurturing and sustenance of our democracy, not for power mongers.

  • I will run government of national competence

    I will run government of national competence

    By Bola Ahmed Tinubu

    A fair, credible election has been held and has been won. The honor of that victory and the steep responsibility it entails has fallen on me. I say this not to gloat or boast because there is no room for such behavior. I merely state the facts as they are.

     I realise  many good and well-meaning Nigerians voted for other candidates. They are naturally disappointed that their favored candidate did not win.  Other candidates have voiced their dissatisfaction, stating they will go to court to contest the election.  This is inherent to the democratic process. We defend their right to seek legal recourse. While they exercise the legal rights afforded them in our democracy, I have set my course and mind on the leadership of this nation. We have important work to do and I am committed to getting that work done for the benefit of all the people, whether or not they voted for me or even voted at all.

     This is not the time for continued acrimony and partisan recrimination. These negative things can incite strong passions; but they are not the pathway to a better nation. Only unity and national commitment can serve that purpose.. 

     Critics of Nigeria have been too quick to conclude that our political system is fragmented because of the impressive showing of new parties and their candidates. These critics are wrong. The emergence of the new parties and their candidates underscores the dynamic strength of our democracy. People want democracy to work and they want to have their voices heard and interests met within it.  This is a good thing to be promoted,  not something to be feared.

     What must concern us is not the growth of parties but the regrowth of old prejudices  and bigotries such as  ethnicity, creed and place of origin.  As a nation and as individuals imbued with the love of God and of our fellow man, we are better than this. At some point we must decide whether we shall be enticed by the ills of the past or shall we more bravely and nobly be encouraged by the eminent prospect of a brighter future.   

       There have been times in our past when our governing institutions created more questions than they answered. But the arc of our political history gives me confidence that we can overcome that past. We have walked through the thick of the night to emerge into the light of  brighter days to come. There is no good reason to retreat into the darkness of years past.

     We must begin to repair and rebuild this national home of ours. There is time to complete the task,  but time is also of the essence. We must not tarry or fret over the enormity of what we face.

     We are able of mind and body. Now, we must show the spirit and willpower to accomplish the historic things that lie within our grasp.

     As your incoming president, I accept the task before me. There has been talk of a government of national unity. My aim is higher than that. I seek a government of national competence. In selecting my government, I shall not be weighed down by considerations extraneous to abiilty and performance. The day for political gamesmanship is long gone. I shall assemble competent men and women and young people from across Nigeria to build a safer, more prosperous and just Nigeria. There shall be young people. Women shall be prominent. Whether your faith leads you to pray in a church or mosque will not determine your place in government. Character and competence will.

     To secure our nation and to make it prosperous must be our top priorities. We cannot sacrifice these goals to political expediencies. The whims of politics must take a backseat to the imperatives of governance. 

     We have bridges and roads to build not just for commerce and travel but to connect people of different faiths, parties and different outlooks in harmonious dialogue and common purpose. We have families to feed not just to eliminate hunger but to nurture enlightenment, civic responsibility and compassion.  We have jobs to create not merely to put people to work but to afford all a better standard of living by which families and communities are improved and democracy deepened. We have water to replenish not just to quench physical thirst but to ignite a thirst for creative and better solutions to society’s challenges. We have a nation to protect such that we eliminate danger and even the fear of danger. May all of our people be able to live their lives in the light of peace and the glow of broadening prosperity.

     An important step toward restoring economic normalcy has been taken by the Supreme Court’s decision on the parity of old and new notes . This restores both the rule of law and economic decency. But this is not the end of the story. It is merely the beginning of a more comprehensive solution to our economic challenges. 

     Our Renewed Hope Action Plan outlines goals for greater economic growth in our cities and rural communities. We are committed to an economy of double-digit GDP growth, greater food security and one with a strengthened manufacturing base as well as an active digital economy where young people will have ample space to fulfill their dreams and aspirations.

     I realise that I am the servant of a larger purpose. As such, I have gone straight to work.

     My team and I have been daily engaged in discussions and meetings refining our ideas and policy solutions so that we can begin actively working toward the common good the very first day we assume office.

     This great project called Nigeria beckons to us all.

     I ask that we work together as Nigerians for Nigeria. Those who voted for me, I ask that you continue to believe in our policies and plans for the country. I also ask that you reach out to your brothers and sisters who did not vote as you did. Extend to them the hand of friendship, reconciliation and togetherness. To those of you who did not vote for me, I ask you to believe in Nigeria and in the capacity of your fellow citizens, even those who voted differently than you. The better Nigeria I seek is not just for me and my supporters. It is equally yours.

     I do not ask you to abandon your political preferences. That would be undemocratic.  I do beseech you to answer the call of patriotic duty as the loyal opposition.

     Remain loyal to the cause of a greater, more tolerant and just Nigeria. I too shall keep faith with this objective.

     If we all play our proper roles, we shall begin the task of rebuilding our national home together, day by day, brick by brick notwithstanding our political differences.

     As such, the victory of national progress will belong to all of us. The triumph of our nation’s democracy shall cite all of you as its very authors.  This is how things should be.

     Dear Nigerians, this is our country. This is our moment. We dare not waste it. Nor do we back away to accept a lesser version of ourselves and of our collective fate. We can no longer be satisfied with calling ourselves the giant of Africa.  We must devote ourselves to doing those great and historic things only a giant can do. As your president elect, I shall do my utmost in this regard for this is my sworn duty.

     I call upon you to come bravely forth as well, not for me but out of abiding love of country and for the people who inhabit it with you. We are so much better than we have been.  Now is the time to stand fast and have faith in what this nation can be.

     I, for one, am standing. But this time, I shall not be the last or only one standing. Imagine how great  we can be if over 200 million other souls stand with me. Let the world see  a Nigeria that nothing can stop.

    •Asiwaju Tinubu is President -Elect

  • Hospitals obligated to treat gunshot victims

    Hospitals obligated to treat gunshot victims

    By Kunle Edun

    Christmas celebration is usually a period of joy, happiness and love.

    But December 25 may never be the same again for the family of Omobolanle Raheem, a legal practitioner and a graduate of the Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye.

    She was said to have been four months pregnant with twins when she was allegedly brutally shot in her chest by ASP Drambi Vandi on Christmas day at Ajah bridge in Lagos State.

    The President of the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA), Y.C. Maikyau (SAN), had assured the family and Nigerians that justice would be done in the case.

    The Lagos State Governor, Mr. Babajide Sanwo-Olu and the Inspector General of Police also gave the same assurances.

    Surprisingly, nothing has been heard from the Nigerian Medical Association (NMA) on the allegation that the victim was rushed to two hospitals but was rejected by the first.

    Any hospital that rejects a gunshot victim should face criminal prosecution for violating the material provisions of the Compulsory Treatment and Care for Victims of Gunshots Act, 2017.

    Section 1 of the Act states: “As from the commencement of this Act, every hospital in Nigeria whether public or private shall accept or receive, for immediate and adequate treatment, with or without police clearance, any person with a gunshot wound.”

    Section 2(2)(a) of the same Act provides: “A person with a gunshot wound shall be received for immediate and adequate treatment by any hospital in Nigeria with or without monetary deposit.”

    Therefore, it is mandatory for every hospital (the Act only mentioned hospital) to accept and treat every gunshot victim.

    There are minimum standards set by the NMA before any hospital can be set up.

    One of the conditions is that such hospitals must have minimum competent medical staff and facilities.

    Probably, if the hospitals had accepted Bolanle Raheem and offered her some form of first aid or made their ambulance available for her to be rushed to a better-equipped hospital, she could have survived.

    The Compulsory Treatment and care for Victims of Gunshots Act, 2017 made no provision for any hospital to exercise any discretion to either accept or reject a gunshot victim.

    It is a mandatory duty that has both health and security implications for society.

    It is the primary duty of doctors to save lives.

    Section 11 of the Compulsory Treatment and care for Victims of Gunshots Act, 2017 states: “Any person or facility including any police officer, other security agent or hospital who stands by and fails to perform his duty under this Act which results in the unnecessary death of any person with gunshot wounds commits an offence and is liable on conviction to a fine of N500, 000.00 or imprisonment for a term of five years or both.”

    Section 14(1) of the same Act further provides: “In addition to any other penalty under this Act, the High Court shall order a person or corporate body convicted of an offence to make restitution to the victim by directing the person or corporate body to pay to the victim an amount equivalent to the loss sustained by the victim.”

    The Compulsory Treatment and Care for Victims of Gunshots Act, 2017 has de-emphasised the payment of money before treating a gunshot victim.

    As a matter of fact, under the Act any gunshot victim can be taken to Eko Hospital, St. Nicholas Hospital or any of the top hospitals in Nigeria without paying any deposit.

    It becomes a duty imposed by law on such hospitals to treat the victim, keep a record of the treatment and notify the Police and victim’s relations within a reasonable time (the Act states 2 hours) of commencing treatment. See sections 3(1), 10 and 12 of the Act.

    The NMA should enlighten its members about their duties under the Compulsory Treatment and Care for Victims of Gunshots Act of 2017.

    The law admits no excuse on the part of the hospitals.

    Therefore, the usual excuse of lack of adequate facilities or personnel is not a ground to escape the penal provisions of the law.

    It is more like a strict liability offence.

    •Edun is a former NBA National

    Publicity Secretary.

  • Grounds for election petitions

    Grounds for election petitions

    By Cornelius Gabriel

    The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) conducted the Presidential and National Assembly Elections and has declared Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu the President-Elect.

    The declaration has since been rejected by his opponents Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi who have vowed to challenge the outcome of the election in court.

    As a result, the need to consider the grounds for challenging an election arises.

    Section 134 of the Electoral Act, 2022 provides that a party that intends to challenge the process and or outcome of an election can do so on the following grounds:

    A person whose election is questioned was, at the time of the election, not qualified to contest the election;

    (b) The election was invalid by reason of corrupt practices and non-compliance with the provisions of this Act; or

    (c) The respondent was not duly elected by the majority of the lawful votes cast at the election.

    The ground on non-qualification

    To contest an election in this context, the candidate must be qualified to do so.

    It is a constitutional requirement that must be met otherwise the candidate will be deemed not qualified to contest.

    According to Section 134(3) of the Electoral Act 2022, a person is deemed to be qualified for an elective office and his election shall not be questioned on the grounds of qualification if, with respect to the particular election in question, he meets the applicable requirements of Sections 65, 106, 131 or 177 of the Constitution and he is not, as may be applicable, in breach of Section 66,107,137 or 182 of the Constitution.

    The implication of the above is that where it is satisfactorily proven by the petitioner before the tribunal that the winner of an election is not qualified to contest the election therefore the candidate who came second will have to be declared the winner of the election.

    Ground of corrupt practices

    An election can be questioned on the grounds that it was invalid by reason of corrupt practices or non-compliance with the provisions of the Act.

    The Electoral Act, the Regulations and Guidelines for the conduct of Elections regulate the conduct of elections.

    This places a compulsory duty on INEC to adhere to the provisions of the above laws in order to have free, fair and credible elections and a breach of the Act and Guidelines has far-reaching consequences.

    For instance, the failure of INEC to upload election results to the INEC Result Viewing Portal (IREV) in real-time using the BVAS, electoral violence, disenfranchisement of voters, intimidation, manipulation of election results, mutilation of result sheets etc are all incidents of corrupt practices and non-compliance, which the Electoral Act frowns at and are grounded upon which an election can be challenged.

    The court in Iniama v Akpabio (2008) 17NWLR(pt.1116) 225; Oke V Mimiko (2014) 12 NWLR (PT. 1388) 322 etc held that a petitioner who pleads corrupt practices and non-compliance with the Electoral Act must establish by evidence their effects on the outcome of the election.

    That is, for a petition to succeed under these grounds, it must be proven that there was non-compliance and that the non-compliance substantially affected the result of the election.

    It is worthy of note that Section 137 of the Electoral Act, 2022 provides that it shall not be necessary for a party who alleges non-compliance with the provision of this Act for the conduct of elections to call oral evidence if the originals or certified true copies manifestly disclose the non-compliance alleged.

    Not having majority of lawful votes cast

    For a petitioner to succeed on this ground the evidence adduced in support of the allegation should come directly from the officers who were on the field where the votes were counted and or collated.

    This requires party agents from each polling unit where corrupt practices are alleged must be called to testify in court as evidence of a person who merely received the figures without being present is hearsay which is not admissible.

    The court is, therefore, not going to rely on the testimony of agents from other polling units or other wards.

    The attitude of our courts has been to treat the testimony of agents from other polling units as hearsay evidence which is not admissible. See: BUHARI V OBASANJO (2005) 13 NWLR (P. 941)

    Time to file

    The election petition must be filed within 21 days after the date of the declaration of the results of the elections.

    The Tribunal shall deliver a judgment in writing within 180 days from the date of the filing of the petition.

    This is as stipulated in Section 132(7 & 8) of the Electoral Act, 2022.

    Failure to comply with this time frame will be fatal to the petition of the petitioner.

    Conclusion

    The electoral process in Nigeria has not been anything close to having a world-class standard of a free, fair and credible election.

    However, the Electoral Act 2022 made some innovations that will not only help in conducting free and fair elections but also help in having a good election petition.

    The introduction of the BVAS and IREV promises to create a new dimension in proving election petitions.

    • Gabriel, a litigation and dispute resolution expert, is an Associate II at Olisa Agbakoba Legal (OAL).

  • Case for investments in renewable energy

    Case for investments in renewable energy

    By Collins Okeke

    It is estimated that about 92 million of the over 200 million people, that make up the entire population of Nigeria have no access to electricity. Where access to electricity is available, a full day of uninterrupted supply is not guaranteed.

    Despite the abundance of natural energy sources, Nigeria faces significant electricity supply challenges stifling industrial growth, limiting commercial ventures’ expansion and profitability, and the well-being of people. Presently, the primary energy sources are gas and hydroelectricity.  Although the country is diversifying to renewables, progress is extremely slow.  This article makes the case for investments in Nigeria’s renewable energy.

    Why renewable energy?

    According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) ‘Renewable 2020’ report, Renewable energy capacity is set to expand by 50 per cent between 2019 and 2024, led by solar energy. Solar, wind, and hydropower projects are rolling out at their fastest rate in four years, making the argument that the future lies in using renewable energy.

    Energy security concerns caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have motivated countries to increasingly turn to renewables such as solar and wind to reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels, whose prices have spiked dramatically.

    Global renewable power capacity is now expected to grow by 2,400 gigawatts (GW) over the 2022-2027 period, an amount equal to the entire power capacity of China today, according to Renewables 2022.

    This massive expected increase is 30 per cent higher than the growth forecast just a year ago, highlighting how quickly governments have thrown additional policy weight behind renewables.

    The report finds that renewables are set to account for over 90 per cent of global electricity expansion over the next five years, overtaking coal to become the largest source of global electricity by early 2025.

    Nigeria’s location in the tropics offers an abundance of sunshine all year round with over 2,600 hours of sunlight per year (about 7 hours of sunlight daily, on average). Experts believe Nigeria has the economic war chest and environmental conditions to tap into renewable energy sources, especially solar.

    Estimates by the World Bank suggest that investing in solar-powered plants could increase the availability of electricity to almost 80 million people who currently have none. This means transitioning to solar-based energy could help diversify Nigeria’s energy portfolio and reduce high electricity bills.

    Legal, regulatory, policy incentives

    Nigeria is not oblivious to the global trend and many opportunities and so is progressively evolving policy and regulatory frameworks to incentivize renewable energy such as the National Electric Power Policy 2001, Renewable Electricity Policy Guidelines 2006, and Electricity Power Sector Reform (EPSRA) Act 2005.

    The EPSRA is the principal law that governs the Nigerian power sector. It also establishes the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), the principal regulator of the power sector in Nigeria.

    The NERC in performing its functions has established several policies and regulations like the NERC Mini-Grid Regulation 2016, NERC Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariff Regulations 2015, and recently the Independent Electricity Distribution Network (IEDN) licence.

    Aside from laws and policies, the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) has put incentives such as the VAT (Modification Order) 2020. This exempts specified renewable energy equipment from the application of VAT with respect to the importation or in-country sale of the equipment.

    The Federal Government also launched the Solar Power Naija Project. The project focuses on providing five million households with solar home systems for off-grid communities, under the Nigeria Economic Sustainability Plan (NESP).

    The implementation of the project is facilitated by the Central Bank of Nigeria, which will make available N140 billion (approximately US$ 340 million) in direct and indirect loans to qualifying projects. Multilateral agencies and institutional investors have made impact investments in players in the sector.

    For example, the World Bank and the African Development Bank (AfDB) are currently partnering with the Rural Electrification Agency (REA) with respect to the Nigeria Electrification Programme with a US$350million commitment from the World Bank, and about US$148million from the AfDB. According to the REA, the programme has so far provided electricity to five million consumers.

    The International Finance Corporation has launched a sustainable energy financing and advisory programme, the Climate Change Investment Programme for Africa, which will provide funds and advisory services to banks to help them increase financing for private sector energy efficiency, renewable energy, and cleaner production projects.

    Similarly, the EU has committed about US$47million in funding for renewable energy projects in emerging markets, including Nigeria. These efforts appear to be yielding fruit, as many significant renewable energy projects are coming on-stream.

    In addition to a large number of mini-grids and small-scale solar Independent Power Projects (IPPs) springing up across the country, the Federal Government is also taking steps to boost the existing hydroelectric generation capacity, with the concession of Gurara Hydropower Project, the proposed concession of the Zungeru Hydropower Project and the planned development of the 3,050 MW Mambilla Hydropower Project.

    Conclusion

    Renewable energy will continue to rise in the upcoming decade, edging out fossil fuels and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Governments worldwide, including Nigeria, are making laws, policies, and regulations to diversify to renewables.

    Energy companies must work to take advantage of existing incentives and opportunities such as marketing opportunities, reduction of emissions, lower energy costs, and many others.

    •Okeke is an Associate Partner/Head of the Public Sector Practice Group at Olisa Agbakoba Legal (OAL).

  • Containing the inevitable heart breaks of democracy

    Containing the inevitable heart breaks of democracy

    By Chile Eboe-Osuji

    Since INEC’s announcement of the Nigerian presidential election results, I have sent out a tweet in my Tweeter handle @EboeOsuji. It was motivated by what must be the feelings of grave disappointment for the 14.4 million Nigerians voters who did not vote for the President-elect Asiwaju Tinubu, who received 8.7 million votes, as his supporters celebrate victory. In my tweeter, I recalled Robert Kennedy saying, “Democracy is messy and it’s hard. It’s never easy.” Richard Galen, another American political strategist agreed. “Democracy is messy,” Galen said. “It is messy whether you’ve been doing it since 1789 or whether you’re going to do it for the first time in 2005. The trouble with Democracy is, you hold elections. The trouble with dictatorships is … you don’t.”

     I added my own observation that the real trouble, of course, is that only one person will be declared the winner of any contested seat, and others who worked just as hard or even harder must put up with depressing feelings of disappointment. I commiserated with those experiencing that feeling in the outcome of the Nigerian presidential election. I urged them to accept the declared result, for the sake of the country they love so dearly. In doing so, they would have been performing the most important public service that they could possibly perform in these delicate moments.

    There will be those who will argue that part of the messiness of democracy is that there are always irregularities—be it in the United States elections or in Nigerian elections. It is unhelpful to dwell on a comparative analysis of frequency or scale. And there will be those who will argue that given such irregularities, it is impossible to envisage a scenario when the side that did not win will accept the results of an election as free and fair. That circumstance tells us that the only people who celebrate the outcome of an election are only those who are declared winners. It does not matter the margins with which they win. INEC declared Tinubu as having garnered 8.7 million votes, Atiku Abubakar 6.9 million, Peter Obi 6.1 million and Rabiu Kwankwanso 1.4 million. Naturally, the only interested Nigerians who are happy with those results are Tinubu and his supporters. It goes without saying that if the vote distribution remains the same but only the names of the candidates are switched around in any configuration, Abubakar, Obi or Kwankwanso and his supporters will now be beaming with joy for having received 8.7 million votes—Tinubu and his supports will be complaining of election irregularities. It means, in every case, that any presidential election will leave millions of Nigerians unsatisfied with the outcome. That is the primary reason that democracy is messy and unsatisfactory. We may recall Winston Churchill’s observation that “democracy is the worst form of government except for all the others that have been tried.” Perhaps, Switzerland, as they often do with things, have the best job of managing the messiness of attaining power through elections. There is no one person that is readily identified at any given time as “the” President of Switzerland. That function is served by the Federal Council, made up of seven members. The members take turns on a yearly-basis serving as the president of the Federal Council—thus serving in effect as the president of Switzerland—but only for the one year at a time. Perhaps, Nigerians (and Americans, too!) should try the Swiss approach. It diffuses the importance of political power in any individual, as it emphasises, instead, the value of sharing it.

    For now, however, we must make the best of the system we have. And it is not the Swiss system. Perhaps, the trick is to remember how we feel when the Super Eagles lose important matches—a heartbreak that every Nigerian knows all too well. It is the same feeling that any Nigerian must have if the election return certificate is presented to the candidate (s)he did not support. It is an inevitable feeling of disappointment that we must learn to live with. Nigerians must not allow those feelings to control our actions and our lives. Life will be much more difficult for us individually and for the country we love. I know, more than most, how that can be so. As a senior functionary at the International Criminal Court, I saw how some of the leading lights of Kenya and Cote d’Ivoire ended up on the docks of the ICC, when the post-election passion had cooled off, simply because they could not manage the negative emotions that is constant every election. That is not a story that any politician would want for himself. I urge all those who did not win to accept the result and to channel the same pre-election energy into the post-election demands of nation-building that Nigeria needs to become the nation of our hopes of dreams.

    •Eboe-Osuji, LLB, LLM, PhD HLF was President of the International Criminal Court from 2018 to 2021. He is now the Distinguished International Jurist at the Toronto Metropolitan University, and the recipient of the Emeka Anyaoku Life-Time Achievement Award for Outstanding Contribution to the International Community.