Category: Special Report

  • Living and dying with tuberculosis

    • Patients share heartrending encounter with drug-resistant tuberculosis
    • The buzz about Bedaquiline

    Tanimola begged her father to teach her to whistle. But much as he tried to teach her, she couldn’t. Her infant lips were too tender to hoot.

    “She kept blowing air and bathing me with spittle,” said Folajimi David, her father.

    Then, one Sunday evening, the five-year-old said, “Daddy, I can whistle with my chest.” To this, David responded with a smile, enthusing about how talented his little girl was.

    He knew she couldn’t whistle with her chest. But “kids will always be kids,” thought the widower, craning his ear against her chest to hear it ‘whistle.’

    All he could hear was the deep-seated wheezing that broke with her cough.

    He blamed it on her inability to pass out the phlegm that was stuck in her chest. It’s one of the things she inherited from him, he thought; “I have never been able to cough out phlegm no matter how hard I tried,” he said.

    Thinking she got that from him too, along with her looks, he gave her cough syrup, and then, a tincture of honey, bitter kola and mint.

    But neither the cough syrup nor the potion provided relief to the five-year-old. She couldn’t sleep and she coughed through the night. By dawn, David noticed a spatter of blood on the bed sheet, at the spot she rested her head.

    “Her symptoms got worse and she wheezed for breath like an asthmatic. But she had never been diagnosed of asthma. In the morning, she complained of fatigue, and collapsed on the way to the bathroom. That day, she didn’t go to school. I took her to a neighbourhood clinic from where she was referred to the Lagos teaching hospital,” he said.

    Early diagnosis indicated that Tanimola had pneumonia and typhoid fever, for which she was treated. But her symptoms persisted.

    “I became very scared when her teacher called, urging me to come for her; she said her cough had aggravated, and droplets of blood stained her teeth at every expiration,” said David.

    Thus precisely eight days after she was treated at the teaching hospital, Tanimola was rushed to a private hospital, where lab tests and analysis revealed that she was infected by the Multi Drug Resistant strain of tuberculosis , widely known as MDR-TB.

    David was diagnosed with the same disease, and father and daughter were advised to commence treatment at the state’s MDR-TB centre.

    “We received the result late in the day, around 6.25 pm. There was no way we could report for treatment at that hour. I intended to take her to the clinic the following morning, which was a Tuesday,” said David.

    But Tanimola would not make the trip with him. Seventeen minutes past midnight, she died in his arms.

    David should have paid good mind to his daughter. Contrary to his belief, that, the five-year-old suffered a mild cough, she was in the advanced stages of MDR-TB. It wasn’t until she died, that, he understood the reason for her protracted cough and tiredness.

    Today, David is “almost rid” of the disease. But he would never be rid of guilt.

    The bereaved widower and his late daughter, however, represent a fraction of the country’s missing MDR-TB cases.

     

    •An MDR-TB patient using his medication on the watch of a health officer at a DOT centre.

    An awful way to die

    Each year, nearly one and a half million people die from tuberculosis, that, for many years, has been treatable and curable. More than 30 million people have died since the World Health Organisation (WHO) declared TB as a global emergency in 1993.

    The devastation wreaked by the disease is best captured in the anonymous quote: “When TB wakes up and gets into the lungs, it eats them from the inside out, slowly diminishing their capacity, causing the chest to fill up with blood and the liquid remains of the lungs.

    “A wet, hacking cough is evocative of TB. The lungs, now in liquid form, are sloshing around in the chest. Cough that up, even in microscopic, impossible-to-see droplets, near other people, and they have a very good chance of getting TB too.

    “Eventually, liquid replaces the lungs; the suffering patients cannot get enough oxygen, and respiratory failure occurs. They can no longer breathe and they drown. It’s painful. It’s drawn out. It’s an awful way to die. But before any of this happens, the disease weakens you. It diminishes your capacity for work, and puts your family and friends, and anyone else you come into contact with at risk. Individual death is only part of the problem.”

    The bereaved family often inherits death from the deceased too. Or vice versa. In the case of the Davids, for instance, the father infected his daughter with the disease “because her immune system was very low, compared to his own,” said one of the doctors that attended to the deceased.

    The typical pathway of the infection according to health experts is as follows:

    When somebody coughs, it spreads through the sputum and then a susceptible host inhales it. If the person’s immune system is intact, the TB stays dormant in the lungs, without causing any harm to the body. But if the body’s immune system is compromised, the bacteria mutates aggressively in the body, corrupting and totally overwhelming the host’s immune system as a full blown infection. From a single host, TB can spread to infect between 10 and 12 people.

    The progression is worse where the hosts dwell in a slum. It spreads rapidly, and assumes the state of a pandemic.

    According to the 2017 Global TB Report, Nigeria is among the 14 high burden countries for TB, TB/HIV and MDR-TB. The country is also among the 10 countries that account for 64 percent of the global gap in TB case finding. India, Indonesia and Nigeria account for almost half of the total gap.

    Nigeria is also ranked 7th among the 30 high drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) burden countries and second in Africa, with an estimated 4, 700 patients with multi drug-resistant-TB (MDR-TB) in 2015.

     

    •A shanty kid picks her way through a river of filth in Makoko. The Lagos slum is widely known as a cesspit of diseases like tuberculosis.

    Why TB persists…

    Tuberculosis, widely adjudged to be a disease of the poor, is endemic in urban slums and communities, where the poverty level and population density is high.

    “Most hospitals in the communities are, however, not equipped with TB care and that is where you have most of the cases. Also, most of the affected areas are hard to reach,” said Dr. Babawale Victor, a Senior Health Officer with the The National Tuberculosis and Leprosy Control Program (NTLCP), in a chat with The Nation.

    Further findings revealed, that, while TB care services are supposed to be available at the Primary Health Centres (PHCs) across the country’s 774 local government areas (LGAs), they are absent in most of the target coverage areas.

    Where PHCs are present, they are ill-equipped and understaffed to contain and treat TB patients, let alone MDR-TB sufferers.

    Victor argued that prohibitive cost of treatment also delays and prevent individuals from initiating TB treatment after diagnosis. The dearth of paediatric TB specialists in areas most affected by the disease also poses an impediment to containment efforts, he said, stressing that, delay in reporting cases for treatment and lack of point-of-care laboratory capacity also hinder treatment and containment efforts, especially for multi drug-resistant TB.

    A nurse at a Lagos based directly observed treatment (DOT) centre revealed, that, in order to encourage patients to complete the full course of treatment, they are provided some token for transport fare and meals. After the intensive phase, patients are allowed to return home for the continuation phase of treatment.

     

    Why paediatric TB goes neglected

    Until very recently childhood TB has not been a priority in public health and has remained essentially a hidden pandemic. All too often, paediatric TB goes undiagnosed in children.

    While high-income countries now use sophisticated molecular tests to detect the disease, most developing countries, Nigerian inclusive, still use the method developed 130 years ago: the patient must cough up a sample of sputum, which is then checked under the microscope for the bacteria that causes TB.

    Young children, generally, are unable to produce a sample. Even if a child with active TB succeeds in providing a sample, it often contains no detectable bacteria.

    Compounding difficulties with diagnosis is the fact that children with TB have families that are poor, lack knowledge about the disease and live in communities with limited access to health care.

     

    •TB bacteria inside the human body.

    The burden of stigmatisation

    Isa Mahmud, 35, was forbidden from using the same cutlery with his parents and siblings, soon after he was diagnosed with TB.

    “Even after I started treatment, they kept their distance from me. My brothers stopped sleeping in the same room with me and my mother turned her face away from me whenever she had to talk to me, even after using a nose mask. I have been treated like a leper. They don’t even tell me sorry anymore, when I cough. Instead they frown and hiss. Sometimes, I feel like killing myself,” he said.

    Experiences like Mahmud’s have often led to non-disclosure of illness by TB patients. Even while the chronic cough persists, some simply explain it away as “chest problem.”

    Patients also dread being quarantined in the hospital, often likening it to a jail cell.

    “They will make you feel like a condemned prisoner. The nurses are particularly careless in thought and speech. They shout at you and treat you like a hardened criminal. They make you feel like you are doomed for death,” said Gladys Onuh, who quit treatment at a Lagos Direct Observation Treatment (DOT) facility to patronise a herbal doctor.

     

    The ugliness of hospital based care

    A typical ward in Nigeria would contain 24 patients with MDR-TB, who should be cared for by 10 specially trained nurses running shifts, where they provide 100 per cent of their time for this service. Additionally, doctors attend to patients for about 15 minutes weekly. This depicts an ideal situation.

    In reality, patients complain of stigmatisation by doctors, nurses and other health officers. Princewill Okeh, an outpatient in a treatment facility in the southern part of the country, complained that many TB sufferers are reluctant to come forward due to the hostility they might experience from public health officers.

    “It’s one thing to be maltreated by your family but when government doctors and nurses also treat you badly, you lose hope in the system. This disease (MDR-TB) will make nurses and doctors avoid you. My girlfriend also has TB, but she would rather treat it from home. She has witnessed my experience with family and doctors and nurses. They all treat me like a demon. This is why she will never come to DOT for treatment. She is using home remedy and antibiotics,” he said.

    Further findings revealed that some public health workers avoid the wards of MDR-TB patients thus leading to a fragmented bedside interaction and hindered service delivery.

    In a recent Focused Group Discussion (FGD) conducted by health researchers, some participants recalled that healthcare providers in other facilities, which they visited for specialised services such as audiometry and chest X-ray avoided contact with MDR-TB patients and were more resentful than the healthcare providers at the

    treatment centre.

    They also stressed that it was disparaging and unfair for patients to use an inferior quality face mask while healthcare providers used a superior type.

    “It is an inferior face mask. It is not a good type. It is the type they are selling in the market that they brought to us. They were using the better type. You see Nigerians! I argued with them seriously. They said, I argue too much because I am educated,” said a 54-year-old male patient.

     

    The cost factor

    Management of identified MDR-TB cases is based on a standardised WHO approved treatment regimen of 20 months, consisting of an eight-month intensive phase and a 12-month continuation phase.

    Patients are placed on Pyrazinamide and four second-line anti-TB drugs namely Levofloxacin, Kanamycin (replaced by Capreomycin when indicated), Prothionamide

    and Cycloserine. The five drugs are used for the eight-month intensive phase, at the end of which Kanamycin (or Capreomycin) is discontinued for the remaining 12-month continuation phase.

    A recent study revealed that three models of MDR-TB care were utilised in Nigeria between June 2013 and December 2014, and differed only in their eight-month intensive phase.

    Patients treated under Model A, were hospitalized for the complete duration of the intensive phase; patients in Model B were hospitalised for a duration of five months in the intensive phase while patients treated under Model C received the complete

    intensive phase treatment as ambulatory care in the community.

    The estimated total cost of providing diagnostic and treatment care as outlined in the Nigerian MDR-TB guidelines, was $18, 528 (N2,927,464) per patient for Model A, $15, 159 (N2,395,070) per patient for Model B and $9, 425 (N1,489,080) per patient for Model C – all 2014 figures.

    Although financing for care and prevention has increased over the last decade, there remains a funding gap – $2.3bn (£1.74bn) in 2017. The biggest donor, the Global Fund to fight Aids, TB and Malaria, allocates just 18 per cent of its resources to fight the disease.

    Babawale Victor

    Is Bedaquiline the next-best elixir?

    There is no gainsaying the emergence of multi-drug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has threatened the progress made in TB control globally; MDR-TB is the resistance to Rifampicin and Isoniazid, the most effective first line anti-TB drugs, by the disease.

    Els Torreele, executive director of Médecins Sans Frontières’ access campaign, said there has been a dearth of research and development (R&D) over many years for adequate tools for diagnosis and treatment.

    In the last few years, however, Bedaquiline (a bacterial drug belonging to a new class of antibiotics) has been released to treat patients with drug-resistant TB.

    “Before Bedaquiline, the last drug we developed was before we put a man on the moon,” said Aaron Oxley, executive director of Results UK. “Unfortunately in TB – or fortunately now – things are about to get more expensive because we’re getting tools that actually work.”

    Bedaquiline (BDQ) has a novel mechanism of action. It binds to mycobacterium tuberculosis ATP synthase, an enzyme that is essential for the generation of energy in the pathogen. Inhibiting ATP synthesis results in bactericidal activity. The atpE gene product (subunit c, a proton pump) is the target of Bedaquiline in mycobacteria.

    The distinct target and mode of action of Bedaquiline minimises the potential for cross-resistance with existing anti-TB drugs thus the buzz about its efficacy and potency as an anti-MDR-TB nullifier.

     

    Tackling the MDR-TB conundrum

    A major issue with TB in Nigeria is the low TB case finding for both adults and children. In 2017 only 104, 904 TB cases were detected out of an estimated 407, 000 of all TB cases.

    This indicates a treatment coverage of just 25.8 per cent thus leaving a gap of 302,096 cases, which were either undetected or detected but the cases were not notified especially in non DOT sites.

    A total of just 1,783 MDR-TB cases were notified out of an estimated 5, 200, according to the health minister, Prof. Isaac Adewole.

    Nigeria currently has 6,753 Direct Observation Treatment (DOT) centres compared to 3,931 in 2010. The total number of microscopy centres has risen from 1,148 in 2010 to 2,650 in 2017. GeneXpert machines installed in the country have increased from 32 in 2012 to 390 in 2017.

    Treatment centres for patients with MDR-TB expanded from 10 in 2013, to 27 in 2017, while the number of TB reference laboratories also increased from nine in 2013 to 10 in 2018. Over 90 per cent of the TB patients notified in 2016 have documented HIV test results compared to 79 per cent in 2010, according to Adewole.

    The health minister disclosed, that, in addition to this, a shorter drug regimen for the treatment of MDR-TB was introduced in the country in 2017 to reduce the treatment duration for patients with MDR-TB and ensure better treatment outcomes.

    •An x-ray of a lung damaged by TB

    “To further strengthen TB notification in some challenged states, TB Surveillance officers have been recruited in 12 states (Rivers, Delta, Imo, Anambra, Lagos, Oyo, Benue, Niger, Kaduna, Kano, Bauchi and Taraba) to work with non-NTP facilities (private Health facilities, atent medicine vendors, community pharmacists), disease surveillance and notification officers, state epidemiologists and TB programme officers, to improve TB case notification, he explained.

    In a bid to bolster Nigeria’s anti-TB campaign, the Federal Ministry of Health has also initiated an active case-finding campaign in key affected populations spanning people living with HIV, children, urban slum dwellers, prisoners, migrants, internally displaced people and facility based health care workers.

    The result has been encouraging so far, with the detection of over 11,500 TB cases through active house to house case searching in 2017.

    However, the number of TB cases detected represent a small fraction of the over 300,000 missing cases of TB in the country; that is, those that go undetected.

    Recently, Nigeria signed a $71 million agreement to support efforts to control TB in the country over the next two years (2019-2020) thus signalling the government’s intention to prioritise TB efforts.

    In the wake of the development, national TB program officials and health care practitioners converged in Lagos, as part of a training focused on building health systems’ capacity to tackle TB and multi drug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) at the national and sub-national levels.

    Prof. Isaac Adewole

    These, among other efforts, are certainly meant for the long haul. On the short-run, the government and partnering agencies would do right to increase sensitisation efforts. It’s the only way prevent an experience like the Davids.

    Sometimes, when he shut his eyes, David, 36, remembers his deceased daughter’s smile, and the pitter-patter of her feet.

    In those moments, the world peels away and the bereaved father and TB patient, experiences fresh torment; heartbroken, he relives the screaming gleam in his daughter’s eyes just before the glimmer turned clay-like, the colour of burnt mud.

    “I know she is in a better place. But I should have been more observant. My carelessness led to her death,” said David, in the tenor of a man for whom time and memory allows the gift of reflection. Until reality afflicts him with the plague of truth: Tanimola, his bubbly five-year-old daughter, lays dormant beneath cracked earth.

     

    PHOTOS: William Daniels, Olatunji Ololade, Library

  • Shagari… His dreams for Nigeria

    In his inaugural speech as President, the late Shehu Shagari laid out the Nigeria of his dream, which analysts believe, he was unable to achieve as a result of several factors, including corruption and legislative/Executive feud. The speech:

    Fellow Nigerians, we have witnessed today the birth of the Second Republic of Nigeria. With the swearing-in-ceremony this morning, I have formally assumed office as your first executive president. I want to take this opportunity to thank all of you for your patience, and support throughout the period of transition. The Second Republic has come after almost 14 years of military rule in the course of which we went through a civil war. Today, our new constitution comes into effect; a constitution carefully drawn up by ourselves for ourselves. We are assuming office as a result of a free, democratic and peaceful election. We must be proud of this, and we must be grateful to God and to all those who have worked so hard to make it possible. This is an occasion which calls for sober reflection on the problems of the First Republic in order to appreciate the magnitude of the tasks ahead. The problems of creating a national government, a viable economic base and the integration of the various ethnic groups in Nigeria in fairness and without acrimony, overwhelmed the First Republic. These problems are still with us. And, it is our determination to do our utmost to contribute to their solution. This Second Republic is a great challenge and a new opportunity for all of us.

    This administration is deter
    mined that the slogan of
    “One Nation, One Destiny” shall be translated into reality. We are not so naive as to think that nationalism is a natural phenomenon, which comes about automatically, as we grow. It has not been so in any part of the world. National integration requires hard work. There is need for a dedicated leadership and citizenry imbued with faith to cultivate a wide-spread national feeling for

    I am convinced that these goals are attainable because we are at this time operating in more auspicious circumstances. Surely, we have learnt great lessons from the past and we have no need to permit divisive factors to continue to undermine our national well-being. I urge all Nigerians to join me in working with resolution for the attainment of these goals. The first thing is for all those who have participated in the recent elections to work together, whether they won or lost. Now that the elections are over, we must act as good sportsmen, set aside differences and harness our energies to the task of nation-building. I would like to enjoin all our state governors to bear in mind that regardless of their party affiliations, the interest of the nation is supreme. The state which each of them governs is simply a part of Nigeria and a part cannot indeed be greater than a whole. I congratulate them in their new position and sincerely urge them as well as every other citizen of this great country to join hands with me in facing the great task ahead. For my part, I assure you all that the Federal Government will give equal treatment to each state of the Federation regardless of the party in power in that state.

    Fellow citizens, great challenges and opportunities are before us. While noticeable achievements have been made, the problems of our economy have become even more complicated. There has been a steep rise in the rate of inflation in Nigeria as is the case all over the world. Nevertheless, we are dedicated to building a viable economy by fostering broad mass participation and the utilization of local resources. This way, we shall enhance our economic independence. Our key domestic programmes are in the sectors of Agriculture, Housing, Education, Health, Industry and the new Federal Capital. Our first great challenge is agriculture. Throughout the election campaigns, our party, the National Party of Nigeria, made strong commitments to the people of this country to rapidly develop and improve agriculture. For centuries, generations of Nigerian farmers have struggled with technologies invented by our ancestors to meet the demands of a long gone age and to wrest a living from a weary and exhausted soil. I personally spoke many times on our policy for a Green Revolution. There is need to provide adequate food for every family. There is need to stop the current drain of foreign exchange on the importation of foodstuff. We are determined to transform Nigeria’s agriculture to the point where Nigeria will be self-sufficient in food production and ensure that the money is more effectively utilized. We shall devote more manpower and technological resources to increase our agricultural productivity and expand our agro-based industries. We shall immediately map out strategies to encourage Nigerians to engage in fruitful agricultural activities. In addition, we shall encourage joint ventures with foreign partners to establish farming as commercial and profitable enterprises to produce food as well as raw materials.

    New emphasis will be placed on modern methods of food storage, distribution and processing. Because of the importance we attach to housing, we shall establish a Ministry of Housing and Environment. Good shelter is recognised by our government as the right of every Nigerian. There is no doubt that to meet acceptable human standards, Nigeria will require millions of additional housing units in the urban, as well as in the rural areas. Our current resources and industrial base cannot immediately produce enough housing units to meet our current demand. However, we will vigorously attack the problem of housing.

    In the urban areas, we will immediately create new layouts to be serviced by adequate drainage systems, roads and other infrastructure.

    Through an improved financing system, urban dwellers will have more credit to build their own houses. In rural areas and small towns, the establishment of Rural Housing Co-operatives will be encouraged.

    Financial institutions will be encouraged to make loans available to needy low-income families who wish to build or rebuild their own houses. A primary objective is to create the right atmosphere for a rapid increase in home ownership. We strongly believe that home ownership will lead to family pride and healthy surroundings in every Nigerian community. Since the cost of building a house is directly related to the cost of building materials, our government will encourage the local production of building materials. Continuous research will be undertaken and factories will be established for the local manufacture of durable and low-cost building materials. Education is our next priority programme.

    Fellow citizens, know that the elections are over and October 1 is here, the realities of the problem of education stare us boldly in the face. This government accepts the responsibility for free education at all levels as has been provided for in the Constitution. The main problem, however, is how to make education accessible to all even the current financial constraints and inadequacy of teachers and educational facilities. We need more schools, more teachers, more laboratories, more books more desks more playing fields and numerous other supplies and equipment all of which are involved with the increase in enrolment. These cannot be found overnight. My administration is irrevocably committed to making education a priority. We shall immediately expand education infrastructure in order to cope with the demand at all levels of our educational system. We also plan to make education more qualitative and functional with a sound moral content. To this end, we shall improve the quality of teachers and conditions of service in order to attract them in the right number and quality. We shall encourage individuals and Voluntary Agencies to open schools as long as they meet government guidelines. The need for technical manpower and the rapid development of technology, demand that we maximise the use of all technical and vocational institutions in the country and establish many more. In this connection, we shall establish a Ministry of Science and Technology, which shall develop policies to be reflected throughout our educational system. I like to emphasize that our overall policy seeks to provide education that will equip all recipients with the necessary attitude, knowledge and skill to contribute to national development.

    Directly related to these priority programmes both at home and abroad, is the need to create a more suitable economic environment. There is need to transform our under-developed country into a modern industrialized society. To achieve this objective requires the energy of all of us. Our government is determined to release the creative energies of enterprising Nigerians and encourage them to help develop the economy for the good of all. I particularly call on the Labour Movement to rise up to the challenges of our time. I am aware of the constraints under which Nigerian workers have had to live in the immediate past. The wage freeze in an era of biting inflation has had to be maintained in view of the resource constraints of our developing economy; but there are certainly limits beyond which no democratic government will wish to demand sacrifices from workers. The wage freeze issue, the question of car loans, the question of labour independence and the restoration of the free collective bargaining rank as priorities in the labour policy of my government. Arrangements are on hand for a dialogue between government and the leaders of organised labour: issues will be reviewed. Thereafter, I will take necessary action to effect remedies in the interests of the nation, and of the nation’s workers. This administration stands committed to ameliorate the conditions of Nigerian workers through appropriate measures including consultation and legislation. However, we must all be determined to see that higher wages and better conditions of service are matched by higher productivity in the interest of national development. As we develop our economy, we shall be in a better position to provide the needed services and amenities for all our citizens. We shall then be better equipped to improve our health and other social services programmes for the nation.

    In the area of foreign policy, as your president, I will continue to advance and defend the cause of our great country before the world comity of nations. It is our national will that Africa shall remain the cornerstone of our foreign policy. Also it is our national will that Africa shall be free, free of racial bigotry, free of oppression, and free from the vestiges of colonialism. My government is determined to see the cause of justice and human decency prevail in Namibia, Zimbabwe and South Africa. We shall continue to support all forces of progress and oppose all forces of oppression in Africa and elsewhere.

    I hereby re-affirm our faith and support for the charter of the United Nations and the universal declaration of human rights, the charter of the Organisation of African Unity, the Economic Community of West African States, and the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Our watchword shall always be the advancement of mankind and the enhancement of the cause of peace, prosperity and progress through mutual respect and co-operation between nations.

    I wish to take this opportunity to pay tribute to members of our Armed Forces and to our immediate predecessors in office. They have successfully guided the destiny of our nation through trying conditions. Their discipline, devotion to duty and loyalty to the country have been tested and proved beyond doubt. I trust they will keep it up. You all remember when the Government of General Murtala Mohammed and General Obasanjo came to power, it gave a pledge to return this nation to civil rule on October 1, 1979. They have kept their word as true men of honour and today, the country has been duly handed over to a democratically elected government. History will indelibly record this nation’s gratitude to their exemplary leadership, dedication, statesmanship and courage.

    I want to conclude this address by greeting all Nigerians of all walks of life on this historic day. I salute our law enforcement agencies including the Police and all those working in the public and private sectors. I salute all our traditional rulers, fathers of our communities and custodians of our cultural heritage. I also salute our religious leaders, custodians of faith and morals. My fellow citizens, the task ahead is enormous and it is a task for all of us. Our government is committed to building a united, stable and prosperous nation, I need your contribution, co-operation and support. Nigeria can and must become a great and modern nation. Let us with true conscience and determination join hands and re-dedicate ourselves to the service of this great country so that it will be a place we can and shall all be proud of. We cannot afford to fail in this task and by the grace of God, we shall succeed. May God bless our country and may God bless you all.

  • Margaret Thatcher: Nigeria a leader of Africa

    On March 18, 1981, the then British Prime Minister  Margaret Thatcher hosted Alhaji Shehu Shagari to a lunch at 10 Downing Street. Her speech:

    I would like to extend a very warm welcome to you, Mr President, to your two Ministerial colleagues, and to the other members of your party.

    We are delighted to see you here on your State visit to Britain and I am glad you will have the opportunity to remain for a few days thereafter. Our two countries and peoples have longstanding close and friendly ties as fellow members of the Commonwealth. I speak for your country’s very many friends when I say how very pleased we all are that you have found it possible to come to Britain when you have so many other important matters to attend to. (I must say that I do not envy anyone who has both the functions of Head of State and of Head of Government to perform, with no less than nineteen states to keep happy!)

    This is the first time that I have had the pleasure of meeting you, Mr President. I look forward very much to our talks this afternoon and to thereafter renewing our acquaintance at frequent intervals. I hope we shall meet, for example, at the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting later this year in Melbourne.

    Mr President, you are at the helm of your great country at a crucial time in its history. We have much admired Nigeria’s carefully planned and smoothly conducted return from military to civilian rule. Your elections held in 1979 must surely have been the largest-scale expression of democracy ever held on your great continent. Your country has designed and brought into operation a new constitution adapted and suited to Nigerian needs. This experiment has great significance for the peoples of the free world, especially on the continent of Africa.

    We place particular importance on our relations with Nigeria because of the traditionally close links between us; because your country plays such a leading and influential role in the affairs of your continent; and because of our genuine and growing inter-dependence. I believe that with the start of a new decade, both our countries are embarking on a fresh and yet closer relationship.

    Since our two governments came into office, relations between our countries have strengthened considerably. Your own visit, Mr President, represents a culmination of the visits, consultations and discussions which have been taking place over the last twelve months. You have received Mr John Nott, Sir Ian Gilmour and Lord Carrington in Nigeria; and I look back with pleasure on the extremely successful visits which Professor Audu and Dr Wayas made to Britain last year.

    Mr President, I have spoken of the admiration which your many friends in Britain have for your country’s achievements. This extends not least to the great economic progress Nigeria has made over the last decade and which you are determined to carry forward pragmatically and effectively under your fourth national plan. If I may say so, your personal dedication to your country’s interests above all else, has been an inspiration to your nation. The emphasis [end p2] within your plans for the rapid achievement of self-sufficiency both in industrial capacity and a renovated agriculture, seems entirely appropriate to the new Nigeria. Moreover, your work for dialogue, co-operation and harmony not only within your own country but within the continent of Africa, has great significance.

    It is timely that your new book ‘My Vision of Nigeria’ is to be published here next Monday. I look forward to seeing it and wish it every success.

    Your country’s stature as a leader of Africa was clearly shown when you, Mr President, were host at Lagos last year to the first Economic Summit of the Organisation of African Unity at which you called so clearly for practical co-operation between nations in Africa. Your country has demonstrated its capacity for constructive leadership for the benefit of all the peoples of your continent. We greatly value the chance to consult you on matters of African and international concern.

    I would like to mention one major achievement on your continent for which we both worked so hard: Zimbabwe’s coming to independence last year. This was truly a joint effort and showed clearly the value of co-operation and endeavour within the Commonwealth.

    I hope this afternoon to be able to discuss other issues of current concern to both our countries within the continent of Africa and wider afield. We seek peaceful and internationally recognised settlement in Namibia and movement towards a free and just society in South Africa. Wider afield, the problems facing all of us today are daunting: the threat to peace, regionally and globally; the particularly grave economic circumstances in which so many developing countries find themselves; the need for better understanding between all of us on how to construct [end p3] a new world which will cater for the interests of all its peoples.

    But however serious these international problems, I am convinced that Britain and Nigeria can face them together in a positive and constructive way. I can see no substantial bilateral problems between us that will inhibit such co-operation; and am convinced that if any were to emerge, we could quickly and amicably find solutions to them. Such is the special merit of a long and close relationship and of continuing dialogue and personal contact.

    May I assure you, Mr President, that we are determined to play our part in whatever way we can to assist in your country’s economic leap forward. There is no question of us having lost faith, or interest, in your country’s future. Quite the reverse. We support you fully.

    I would like to conclude by saying again how glad we are to see you here, Mr President, I hope that your visit is a happy and a memorable one. This is certainly our own very sincere desire.

  • Taxation as elixir for budget funding

    Budget funding is a herculean task for governments at all levels. The Federal Government’s 2018 and 2019 combined budget figure of N17.93 trillion (N9.1 trillion in 2018 and N8.83 trillion in 2019) needs revenue drive from oil and non-oil sectors to be realised. But a drop in crude oil prices below the 2019 budget benchmark of $60 per barrel is an early warning that governments should explore new funding option in taxation. COLLINS NWEZE writes that poor financing options have derailed budget execution for years, pointing out the gains of exploring what he calls the untapped goldmine in taxation.

    Joe Austin, a Lagos automobile dealer, transacted over N200 million in 2017. He also has luxury cars and houses in choice locations in Lagos and Abuja. But he is not among the 35 million Nigerians captured in the tax net.

    Likewise, PX-Rated Business Solution, an Abuja-based software  company, declared a  turnover of N235 million to Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS)  for fiscal year 2017.  But independent findings showed that the company imported equipment and software development tools worth N3 billion through customs and got foreign exchange allocations of over $1.2 million through Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).  Even the shareholders and directors of the company got dividends not declared to their respective State Inland Revenue Service.

    The company, like many millions of others operating in Nigeria, is not ready to remit the right amount of taxes to government. This is bound to happen in a country where an industry and agency wide intelligence on financial and economic activities of tax payers and potential tax payers is lacking. It has adversely affected government’s efforts to drive an effective tax compliance regime and generate needed revenue to fund budget.

    Such tax-defaulting firms have explored the loophole in the nation’s tax system to evade or underpay taxes. But implementing the N9.1 trillion  2018 budget and N8.83 trillion budget estimate for 2019 would require getting tax evaders to pay the right taxes, especially with the ongoing volatility in the crude oil prices. The implementation of the 2018 budget continues in 2019.

    Already, the price of crude oil has dropped from $54 to $53 in the international market, showing $7 below Nigeria’s $60 per barrel 2019 budget reference price. The softening of oil prices is an indication that budget implementation and funding will be an uphill task for government unless it rakes in more funds through non-oil revenue via taxes.

    This means that the government projections, especially total revenue estimates and expenditure in the budget may not be realised, should the volatility continue in the oil market.

    • Voluntary Assets and Income Declaration Scheme (VAIDS) Tax Consultant, Chris Anidugbe, said Nigeria’s tax statistics is not looking good with its six per cent tax to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio, about the lowest in the world.
    • He disclosed that of 70 million economically-active Nigerians, less that 10 per cent are on the Pay As You Earn (PAYE) scheme and 96 per cent of this 10 per cent demographic have their taxes deducted at source.
    • “Only 214 Nigerians pay N20 million or more in taxes annually, and all of them are based in Lagos. At 21 per cent PAYE rate, only 214 Nigerians earn above N95.238 million annually. Fewer than 1,000 pay N10 million or more in taxes, all but two are based in Lagos,” he stated during a tax meeting in Lagos.
    • This level of tax compliance is disturbing giving the enormous level of infrastructure to be funded and implementation of new minimum wage of N30,000 monthly expected to be begin next year.

    From year to year, the implementation of the budget has not only been impacted by delays in the signing of the budget but by limited revenues.  The 2017 budget implementation report released by the Budget Office of the Federation showed an acute revenue shortage.  Gross oil revenue stood at N4.084 trillion representing 23.43 per cent below budget.  The shortfall in gross non-oil revenue for 2017 was 34.46 per cent as the country only generated N2.791 trillion.

    According to the Budget Office, the net distributable revenue shared by the three tiers of government in 2017 after cost deductions was N4.944 trillion, representing a shortfall of 41.92 per cent.  With limited revenue, the country is said to be spending over 60 per cent of its revenue on debt servicing.

    Speaking at the 2019 budget proposal presentation in Abuja, Minister of Budget and National Planning, Udoma Udo Udoma, gave a breakdown of the 2018 budget implementation and 2019 budget estimate as against revenue target.

    Udoma said at the end of the third quarter of this year, Federal Government’s actual aggregate revenue was N2.84 trillion, which is 40 percent higher than 2017 revenue.

    This includes oil revenue of N1.51 trillion (101 per cent higher than 2017); Company Income Tax (CIT) of N500.37 billion (23 per cent higher than 2017); Value-Added Tax (VAT) of N100.37 billion ( five per cent higher than 2017); and Customs collections of N229.62 billion (11 per cent higher than 2017).

    The overall revenue performance is only 53 percent of the target in the 2018 budget largely because some one-off items such as the N710 billion from Oil Joint Venture Asset restructuring are yet to be actualised and have been rolled over to 2019.

    Of the total appropriation of N9.12 trillion in 2018, N4.59 trillion had been spent by September 30, against the prorated expenditure target of N6.84 trillion. This represents 67 per cent performance.  Debt service and the implementation of non-debt recurrent expenditure, notably payment of workers’ salaries and pensions are on track but capital releases only commenced after the signing of the budget on June 20.

    “As at 14th December 2018, a total of N820.57 billion had been released for capital projects. Spending on capital has been prioritised in favour of critical ongoing infrastructural projects in the power, roads, rail and agriculture sectors. Implementation of the 2018 Capital Budget will continue into 2019 until the 2019 budget is passed into law,” Udoma said.

     

    The 2019 budget in brief

     

    The 2019 budget proposal seeks to continue the reflationary and consolidation policies of the 2017 and 2018 budgets respectively, which helped put the economy back on the path of growth after recession.

    In the budget, N30.04 billion is to be spent on Federal Government National Housing Programme, about N280.44 billion for the construction and rehabilitation of roads in every geo-political zone of the country, N51.22 billion provisioned for the implementation of the National Health Act, over N53 billion for water supply, rehabilitation of dams, and irrigation projects nationwide, N3.64 billion Support For Infrastructure, Projects and Coordination Services, over N15.66 billion for Promotion and Development of Value Chain across in more than 30 different commodities to mention but a few.

    Also, N42 billion for ongoing and planned Special Economic Zone Projects across the geopolitical zones to drive manufacturing/exports, N10 billion provided as a grant to Bank of Industry to subsidize interest rate charged on loans to SMEs. This is intended to make it possible for the Bank to give them single digit interest loans. There are also, N65 billion for reintegration of transformed ex-militants under the Presidential Amnesty Programme, N45 billion for Federal Initiative for North-East (Pilot Counterpart funding contribution) and N10 billion as take-off grant for the North East Commission, among others.

    As with 2016, 2017 and 2018 budgets, the 2019 budget has been prepared on the Zero Based Budget (ZBB) principles. The 2019 to 2021 Medium Term Fiscal Framework (MTFF),  Medium Term Sector Strategies and proposed 2019 budget reflect many of the reforms and initiatives in the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP), which is the roadmap to economic recovery and a more sustainable growth.

    The distribution of expected government revenue show that oil revenue  will contribute 52.9 per cent to budget funding, Company Income Tax    will contribute 11.5 per cent; Value Added Tax,   3.3 per cent; Customs ,4.3 per cent; independent revenue, nine per cent; Signature Bonus, 1.2 per cent; Joint Venture Equity Restructuring, 10.2 per cent; grants and donor funding, three per cent; domestic recoveries and fines, 2.9 per cent and others, 1.7 per cent.

    The 2019 budget is less than approved budget by 3.22 per cent. Recurrent (non-debt) spending expected to rise by 34.17 per cent, from N3.52 trillion in 2018 to N4.72 trillion (reflecting increases in salaries and pensions including provisions for implementation of a new  minimum wage).

    Capital expenditure (inclusive of transfers, government-owned enterprises capital and project-tied loans) as per centage of government expenditure is 30 per cent. At N2.14 trillion, debt service is 24.24 per cent of planned spending. Provision to retire maturing bond to local contractors decreased by 36.84 per cent from N190 billion in 2018 to N120 billion.

    Udoma said the               the 2019 budget of continuity is intended to further reposition the economy on the path of higher, inclusive, diversified and sustainable growth, and to continue to lift significant numbers of our citizens out of poverty.

    The budget also reflects the key execution priorities of the ERGP, namely restoring macroeconomic stability; agriculture and food security; energy sufficiency (in power and petroleum products); transportation infrastructure; and industrialisation (focusing on Small and Medium Enterprises).

    He said that government will continue to create the enabling environment for private sector to increase their investment and contribute significantly to job creation and economic growth.

    But achieving these milestones requires adequate funding which resources from government alone cannot achieve.

     

    Funding the budget

     

    Stakeholders insist that harmonisation of tax data of corporate entities and individuals is first step to securing needed revenue for funding the budget.

    According to VAIDS Consultant, Anidugbe, there are multiple silos of data sited in multiple data centers across the country under the stewardship of several Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs).

    For instance, National Identity Management Commission (NIMC) has 24 million registered persons on its database. It has  received 9.3 million Bank Verification Numbers (BVNs) from Nigeria Interbank Settlement System (NIBSS) of which there is a 40 per cent match to its existing records. It has also begun direct integration with several key data points like Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), immigration, Nigerian Communication Commission (NCC) among others.

    “Therefore, there is need to identify potential tax payer through assets and income, process tax payer information and issue a tax bill and grant amnesty to VAIDS declarers. When these are done, the            tax payers will be normalized and becomes part of the tax paying society,” Anidugbe said.

     

    VAIDS project offers hope

     

    The Nigeria continues to struggle with its tax system and administration. The country’s tax authorities are still burdened with obsolete tax laws, dearth of technology in tax administration and consequently inefficiencies in tax collections and poor compliance levels. The VAIDS project, launched last year by Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo,  was meant to reverse these trends. It was also one of the major steps taken by government to lift tax revenues.

    The scheme, which was initially approved for a period of nine months, was extended for a further three months following repeated plea by taxpayers and tax advisors; happily the Government listened and granted three months extension.

    Some tax payers took advantage of the scheme to regularise their tax defaults and benefited from waiver of interests.

    The Federal Government said it had  raked in N30 billion from tax the amnesty scheme. The scheme provides an opportunity for taxpayers, or amnesty for chronic tax defaulters, to voluntarily declare their assets and income and pay taxes due on them and in return obtain some benefits.

    Chairman Federal inland Revenue Service (FIRS)  Tunde Fowler said the VAIDS windfall was championed by FIRS which was “responsible for the collection of 90 per cent of the amount, while the states were responsible for the 10 per cent collection balance.” The N30 billion so far mopped up from tax amnesty programme he said is N3 billion higher than previous N27 billion recovered few months ago.

    He reminded members of Joint Tax Board (JTB) that the beauty of VAIDS went beyond “financial gains but, rather its potential of expanding the tax net.” To this end he reiterated that the programme has also boosted the nation’s tax data base from 14 million to 19 million.

    Also, over 800,000 companies, including some government contractors, that have never paid taxes have already been identified and audited during the VAIDS implementation period .

    It was unprecedented initiative that entails cooperation between Federal and State Governments. The Federal Ministry of Finance also commenced a database project that combines data from the various arms of government including bank records, property and company ownership, and Customs records to create accurate profiles of those liable to pay taxes.

    Economist, Pricewater houseCoopers (PwC) Nigeria, Adedayo Akinbiyi, in the firm’s routine economic alert  said Nigeria’s low tax to GDP ratio at around six per cent is a consequence of a poor and inefficient tax collection system.

    “While the government has implemented specific measures to address this by expanding the tax base and increasing tax compliance using various incentives, the impact is yet to materialise. As a result, we estimate that the fiscal deficit could overshoot projections by as much as 67.7 per cent to N3.4 trillion in 2018,” he said in the report.

    He suggested that the  Federal Government would rely more on the domestic debt market to finance the budget deficit, given the availability of a stable domestic investor base, which includes the Pension Funds. Moreover, external financing could be tight in 2018 due to the uptrend in interest rates in advanced economies, particularly in the US and UK.

    However, an Abuja-based tax expert and industrialist, Azu Okorie, said taxation is not the solution to budget funding. He said  Nigeria has Since 1970, realised over $200 billion from oil, which has not been properly accounted for. “We know the our economy came out of recession not too long ago, and so, you cannot use tax as expected. If you tax people more, they are already recessed. This is not the time to be talking about increasing tax or frightening them about that. They might be scared. What we need is economic welfare. We need to introduce welfare projects that would detach the people from poverty. We also need to have a very good plan that can really take us out of poverty,” he said.

    According to him, any government that decides to do raise tax during a period of recession would lose her legitimacy.

    For him, there are various
    ways to grow an economy
    adding that now is the time to give incentives to companies in Nigeria and not to tax them. Let me give you an example, when the US economy was in recession that shook everybody, President Barack Obama told companies operating in the country that if they employ four persons, they get tax rebate for two. What happened? Unemployment responded and reduced. “If you follow same plan in Nigeria, unemployment would be addressed and budget funding will not be an issue,” he told The Nation.

    Continuing, he said: “Basically, you cannot tax those that are jobless or companies that are dying. However, if you give companies incentives to grow and remain sustainable, you can continue to tax them forever. If you kill them in two years, your ability to collect tax from them will end in two years. Still, don’t forget that today, you cannot compel people to set up their companies in Nigeria. So, the level of capital flight can be high as people can decide to take their companies to other countries. We need to encourage them to invest in Nigeria”.

    Okorie said the Nigerian economy should be inviting and government should be able to develop a programme that would see that companies get tax rebates in certain areas.

     

    New tax scheme

     

    Nigeria has also rolled out another tax amnesty scheme.  Backed by Presidential Executive Order No 8 signed on October 8, by President Mohammadu Buhari, Voluntary Offshore Assets Regularisation Scheme (VOARS) became the latest effort at combating money laundering and tax evasion.

    The next 12 months all persons and entities that hold offshore assets and generate offshore income but for which appropriate Nigeria taxes have not been paid could take the opportunity to declare those assets and income with a one-time payment of 35 per cent of the asset value.

    The scheme, which will be operated through a Swiss-based intermediary sovereign advisory services, provides immunity from prosecution for tax offences and penalties in exchange for voluntary disclosure and a one-off payment.

    Analysts said that with the number of initiatives aimed at deepening tax penetration, combating illicit financial flows and raising revenues, the country seems to be forging ahead in dealing with the serious revenue challenge that is plaguing the country’s fledgeling economy.

     

    Global trends

     

    At the global arena, countries are exploring tax options to bring development to their people.

    For instance, Singapore, a city-state much smaller than Lagos State in landmass, is often touted and rightly so, as a marvel of rapid, yet sustainable economic development and advancement.

    It’s success in transforming from a third to a first world country in a period less than 40 years has continued to impress, if not astound people.

    Singapore, before its transformation, faced the problem of overcrowding in the city, poor living conditions, a severe lack of infrastructure, and low technology, among others. Its current status as a thriving international business hub, characterised by a high standard of living, did not happen by chance. It was orchestrated through proactive and deliberate far sighted planning.

    The problems that Singapore surmounted on the path to economic development and prosperity are some of the issues that Nigeria is today tackling as it aspires to transform into an efficiently run and more productive country with vastly improved living conditions. A review of Singapore’s model reveals that, among other things, there was a systematic approach to the development of infrastructure.

    While Singapore’s experience shows clearly that infrastructure is central to socio-economic advancement, several studies by experts on other economies across the world have also identified a strong positive and even symbiotic link between infrastructure or infrastructure spending and growth. Any economy that wants to pursue sustainable growth must therefore invest in its infrastructure. However, infrastructure development requires funding

    In advanced economies, like Singapore’s, taxation constitutes a major source of government revenue and is an acceptable practice among their citizens. Taxation is also employed in other ways such as tariffs that protect local industries from foreign competition, checking undesirable practices and fostering inclusive development through asymmetric application.

    These economies also prove beyond doubt that taxation is a veritable source of funding for sustainable development, perhaps with its added advantage of empowering the citizens to demand more accountability from governments and as well constraining governments towards more transparency and efficient utilisation of funds. Apparently, making development everybody’s business fosters better growth.

    Tax to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio (total tax collected as a percentage of the market value of all officially recognised final goods and services produced within a country in a given period), and the tax contribution to a country’s revenues are good indicators of efficient tax systems. In 2016, tax revenue in the European Union was 40 per cent of GDP (France 47 per cent, United Kingdom 35 per cent) and accounted for around 90 per cent of government revenues. Tax is usually about 26 per cent of GDP in the U.S. and accounts for about 85 per cent of government revenue. In Singapore, it is about 14 per cent and 68 per cent, respectively.

    Nigeria’s tax to GDP ratio of six per cent clearly depicts the poor state of taxation in the country while at the same offering the opportunity to significantly increase government revenues.

    To raise the country’s tax revenues from the current six per cent of GDP to the dream of 20 per cent will require a complete rethinking of the taxation ideology.  There’s definitely no magic wand that could deliver the ambitious 20 per cent target overnight, it requires a holistic review of the entire tax system.

    When that is achieved, budget funding will become much more easier for government and development of key infrastructure will improve.

  • 2019: STORMY STATES brace up for governorship campaigns (2)

    The ban on electoral campaigns for the governorship polls scheduled for March 2, next year, was formally lifted last Sunday. Although the campaigns are yet to gather momentum in most states, there is palpable anxiety in many of the states over the tone the campaigns may likely take. This is based on the antecedents and circumstances surrounding the emergence of the candidates in the affected states. Numbered among such states are Ogun, Adamawa, Sokoto, Kwara, Zamfara, Kaduna, Rivers, Benue and Imo. We conclude the reports, which we began last week. Issues that that will shape governorship campaign in Rivers

    In Rivers State, there are lot of issues that will make the campaigns both interesting and stressful. The issues range from internal rancour to external issues basically following the lingering animosity between the incumbent Governor, Nnyesom Wike, and former Governor Chibuike Rotimi Amaechi, the Minister of Transportation, the leaders of the two main political parties in the state, the PDP and the APC. There is also going to be battle for supremacy in some local government areas and communities in the state as well as the issues of intimidation, display of power as campaign strategies. The problem between Amaechi and his political friend and colleague, Senator Magnus Abe, is public knowledge, and it is festering in the APC in the state. Trouble began when it became obvious to Amaechi that the Ogoniborn lawyer-turned-politician will not by any means be dissuaded this time to drop, for the second time, his dream of becoming the next governor of the oilrich state. Abe, a one-time state lawmaker, onetime commissioner for information, former secretary to the state giveenment (SSG) and two-term senator, had in 2015 planned to replace Amaechi in the state house, but the then governor was more interested in giving the riverine indigenes of the state the chance to also rule the state, which is made up of riveriners and uplanders.

    The Uplanders, have had a strectch of 16 years, featuring former governors like Dr Peter Odili, and Celestine Omeha/Amaechi. Amaechi had wanted it to take at least an eight-year turn before the Uplanders would be allowed to have another shot at the governorship. It was for this reason that the APC then featured Dr. Dakuku Peterside, a riveriner from Opobo/Nkoro extraction, but he lost to the incumbent governor, Nyesom Wike. Wike’s victory over Peterside got political analysts talking, saying that Abe would have fared better against Wike, especially as the Ogonis would have voted for their brother if Abe was given the ticket. This is apparently the reason Abe was hell bent on taking his fate in his hands, irrespective of whether the decision was okay by Amaechi or not. The result has been the factionalization of the party in the state to the point of operatiing two active party secretariats, selling party election and expression of interest forms, conducting two party primaries (direct and indirect) and declaring two different gubernatorial flag bearers, among others. While the party’s faction loyal to Amaechi produced Ojukaiye Flag- Amachree as its state chairman, the Abe faction retained Prince Peter Odike, who was the deputy party chairman under the old arrangement, as their own chairman. At the end of the primary elections, the Ojukaiye group opted for and held indirect primaries, which produced Arch.

    Tonye Dele Cole from Asari-Toru LGA (riverine) as its flag bearer, while Odike declared Abe its own candidate after the conduct of their direct primaries held in each of the 23 local government areas. However, it was learnt that while the national election umpire, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), witnessed the Amachree-led primary election, they were absent from the Odike exercise. This could have informed INEC’s publication of Tonye Cole and other candidates produced by the primary elections conducted by the Amaechree faction of the party as the authentic candidates for the 2019 general elections.

    Thinking that the action of the commission would lay to rest the issues surrounding who the rightful APC faction is in the state and who are the rightful candidates for the party, the Supreme Court judgment on the ward, LGA and state congresses and the legal battles it generated triggered another round of problems. Following the vacation of the Court of Appeal ruling on the congress and the upholding of the earlier judgment by a state high court in Port Harcourt, which nullified the party congresses and voided the executive members it produced for disobeying the order of court not to conduct the process until the suit before it on the subject matter was dispossed off, the primaries that produced Arch. Cole and others was conducted. Abe, who won the direct primaries conducted by his faction, has insisted that he be declared the party flag bearer for the 2019 election, insisting that following the decision of the Supreme Court, in the eyes of the law, the Ojukaiye Flag Amachree chairmanship does not exsist, hence the election it conducted is illegal.

    He has since returned to the Federal High Court to insist that the court issues an order declaring him the authentic governorship candidate for the APC in the forthcoming polls. Political watchers are of the projection that if Abe at the end of the day was unable to persuade the court and his party to use him in the election, he will end up engaging in a backward dance against the APC. The popularity of APC in the four LGAs of Ogoniland may have negatively been affected by these ugly developments despite that the former commissioners for works during Amaechi regime, Victor Giadom, is pairing with Arch. Cole for the deputy governorship slot. If the pair win the polls next year, it will be the first time an Ogoni person is going to smell such elevated position in the state more than 50 years after it was created. Before now Okrika area, especially the Ogu/Bolo LGA, had been a no-go area for Amaechi. It is the hometown of the former First Lady of Nigeria, Dame Patience Jonathan, and ex-militant leader, Ateke Tom, who is now the paramount ruler of Ogu.

    The issues between Amaechi and Dame Jonathan were seen as issues between the entire Okrika indigenes and not just the First Lady. As a result, Amaechi and APC were banned from holding any political rally in the entire Okrika LGAs. Again, it is not going to be easy for the two political parties in the Kalabari area of the state. It is the home state of the APC state chairman Amachree, and the party’s governorship aspirant Tonye Cole. It is also the hometown of the serving deputy governor of the state, Dr. Ipalibo Harry-Banigo, who is still pairing with Wike for next year’s poll, hence the likely intense show of supremacy in the area. Orashi is another area of concern as the campaigns begin. It is no longer news that the three senators from the state are now APC members. The position was originally won by PDP when the election was conducted in 2015, but during the rerun, Senators Olaka Nwogu and Thompson Sekibo lost their seats to Abe and Andrew Uchendu of the APC. The last Senator from the Orashi area defected to the APC after he lost the ticket to the House of Reps member representing Abua/Odual federal constituency. This development led to the refusal of Wike to visit the area, Ahoada West and Abua/Odual when flood submerged the entire communities in the areas, killing some people. Appeals and lamentations, including peaceful protest match to the Government House, failed to move Wike to visit the people at the camps. Not even the visit of Vice President Yemi Osinbajo could move the governor to change his mind about visiting the people. Analysts believe that Wike’ s action was informed by his belief that the Orashi area has no political relevance to him and the PDP as it stands now, and investing in time and resources in the area will amount to a colossal loss.

    Herdsmen attacks, workers’ salaries take centre stage in Benue In Benue State, several governorship candidates have emerged on different party platforms. But the governorship race is going to be a straight battle between the incumbent Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) candidate Governor Samuel Ortom and the All Progressive Congress (APC) candidate, Barr. Emmanuel jime. There are many factors that may decide who wins the 2019 governorship race in Benue State between the two contending political parties’ candidates. The ruling PDP and Governor Ortom have made it clear to whoever cares to listen that the battle is about invaders and land grabbers; about suspected herdsmen killing Benue farmers and occupying their lands. This is one of the reasons people believe that the campaigns may be stormy in the state. The Senior Special Assistant to the Governor on Special Duties, Hon. Abraham Kwaghngu, told The Nation that Benue people are going to resist invaders through the ballot come 2019. “Those who killed us and want to take over our land have no place in 2019.

    The only sin of Governor Ortom is that he challenged the action of the invaders,” said Hon Kwaghngu. Kwaghngu further stated that Governor Ortom took an oath to defend the people of Benue State, hence he could not have stood by and watched as his people were being massacred. For the PDP, APC is a Miyetti Allah party, and this is one issue that is expected to dominate electioneering campaign for the ruling PDP against APC. But the APC in Benue State is also known for robust and sophisticated campaign. In 2015 , Senator George Akume, who is the leader of APC in Benue State, launched a blistering electioneering campaign that sent the 16-year-old rule of the PDP packing. As usual, among the issues that are expected to dominate electioneering campaign by APC against PDP is non-payment of salaries. Governor Ortom had been owing workers before he defected to PDP, the opposition is using it as a campaign tool for 2019. Another issue that the APC is using as a campaign tool for 2019 is the mass killing that started on January 1, 2018. The APC campaign claim against Ortom is that the killings were politically-induced to bring campaign of hate against President Muhammadu Buhari-led Federal Government.

    The APC state administrative officer, Mark Hanmation, told The Nation that the PDP administration in Benue State borrowed more than N60 billion and are still owing salaries, hence cannot be trusted with another mandate. But the PDP has countered through the Special Assistant to Governor Ortom on Media, Jimin Geoffrey, who said very soon, salaries would be cleared. Kwara: Reps byelection sets tone for campaigns In Kwara State, there has been a lull in the camps of the two major political parties–the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). None of the parties in the state has launched its campaign team and none of the governorship candidates has announced his running mate at the poll. But what is crystal clear is that the parties have been trying to calm frayed nerves occasioned by their primaries at all levels. In the camp of the PDP, there is festering discrimination between the old and the new PDP members across the 16 local government areas.

    The PDP leadership, it was gathered, is working round the clock to resolve that ahead of the campaigns proper. The state PDP chairman, Engr. Kola Shittu, said: “We are making efforts to ensure that all party members are one in our activities. The primaries that we did are over, the party leadership is already calling on all the aspirants to make them understand that the consensus that we used is acceptable and nobody will be left behind in the party’s decisions and scheme of things. “The party leadership has already talked to all the House of Representatives aspirants and all the governorship aspirants. Effort is on now to talk to all the Kwara State House of Assembly aspirants. That process is a continuous one, and we are happy that we are having good response now. “My piece of advice to the candidates and ourselves is that we should work hard and continue to give the electorate reason to have confidence in us.

    The bye-election is not a true reflection of what the people want. “We want to continue to talk to them not to be discouraged. I am telling you, we are going to win the 2019 elections in the state.” As parts of a reconciliatory move, APC National Chairman, Comrade Adams Oshiomhole, had earlier apologised to some of the governorship aspirants in the state, including Hon. Moshood Mustapha. They were said to have been cleared by the National Working Committee appointed screening panel as governorship aspirants to contest for the primary election, but Hon. Mustapha’s disqualification was erroneously announced by an unknown source when voting was midway. The party, according to Oshiomhole, regretted the embarrassing mischief directed at the governorship aspirant during the primary election by a faceless individual. The letter dispatched to the aspirants reads: “The incident at the governorship primary election and the subsequent embarrassing mischief directed at your esteemed person by the faceless individual in the name of the party is deeply regretted.

    “The party regards you as an outstanding and loyal stakeholder and leader as we continue to unify and strengthen the party, particularly in Kwara State. I trust that this unfortunate incident will not in any way weaken your resolve to contribute and sustain your valuable support in the shared commitment and determination to collectively work with others to enthrone a new political order in Kwara State in the 2019 elections.” All the APC governorship aspirants in the state except former Vice-Chancellor of the University of Ilorin, Prof. Shuaib Abdulraheem, have put what transpired at the primaries in Kwara State behind them. The APC national leadership’s action seemed to have been the magic wand that assuaged the feelings and fears of majority of the aspirants.

    The tumultuous crowd that attended the APC National Assembly campaign in Omu-Aran, Irepodun Local Government Area of the state, even of the Federal Constituency by-election in Ekiti/Oke-Ero/Isin/Irepodun, attested to the unity of the party in the state. The victory of the party’s candidate, Abdulraheem Olawuyi, was a clear demonstration of the resolve of the party members, supporters and aspirants to work for the party’s success. However, Kwara North All Progressives Congress (APC) Elders Forum has urged the leadership of the APC in the state to cede the deputy governorship slot to the zone. The forum said: “The position of the deputy governor should be zoned to Kwara North in order to compensate our zone in view of the fact that the flag bearer of the party is from the central, while the state chairman is from the south. “It is only fair to have the north to produce the deputy governor. We therefore appeal that our resolution which seeks for fairness and justice be respected in order to give our zone a sense of belong

  • Atiku’s lifetime bid for driver’s seat

    The much-publicised Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) convention of the has come and gone. Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar emerged as the party’s standard bearer in next year’s presidential election. Between 1991 and now, he has contested five times for the presidential ticket on different platforms. Group Political Editor EMMANUEL OLADESU writes on how Atiku’s lifetime ambition of taking the driver’s seat.

    Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar is on a familiar terrain. In February, next year, he will, on the peoples Democratic Party (PDP) platform, be a formidable opponent to President Muhammadu Buhari of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) during the general election.

    He clinched the part’s ticket  at its convention, which held in Port Harcourt, the Rivers State capital, between Saturday and yesterday. on the platform of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) during the general election.

    His political life is full of ups and downs. But, his ability to quickly put the past behind him, strive to rise after each electoral fall and forge ahead with optimism underscores a sort of “audacity of hope”.

    The intra-party poll at the Adokie  Amesiemaka Stadium, Port Harcourt, was free and fair. It appears the PDP is now sober. It may have turned a new leaf. Gone are the days of impunity. The party appears to be putting its house in order.

    The culture of imposition is fading. PDP does not have the burden of a power-loaded president whose word is law, and who, like former President Olusegun Obasanjo, could impose his wish on the majority.

    A level playing ground was provided by the Ifeanyi Okowa-led Convention Planning Committee for the aspirants. The shadow poll was open, democratic and transparent. The advantage of the credible process was that a post-primary crisis was averted. The strengths and weaknesses of the contenders came to the fore. The losers accepted their fate in the interest of the party, promising to team up with the winner to fight for power at the centre.

    Also, the candidate embraced them and invited them to a team work.

    There will be a major political battle next year. The APC is pushing for continuity. But, the PDP is calling for power shift. Only a thin line demarcates the two divides. In the last 19 years of stable civil rule, many gladiators from both sides have cohabitated during alignment and re-alignment of forces. They are not oblivious of their strengths and weaknesses. But, certain circumstances may make next year’s poll a tough battle.

    It is Atiku’s fifth attempt at the presidency. At 72, he is not a young man. Many think that time is running out. Yet, for him, the attainment of the presidency is a critical factor in self-actualisation.

    In the aborted Third Republic, he challenged the late Moshood Abiola to a duel at the historic Jos convention of the defunct Social Democratic Party (SDP). But, many believed that he was running for the highest office by proxy. The main issue at that time was his political mentor, the late Gen. Shehu Yar’Adua, who later asked him to step down for Abiola during that tensed moment of horse trading, wheeling and dealing.

    His second attempt was in 2003 when he made a feeble attempt to contest against his boss, former President Obasanjo. Atiku was said to have the backing of many governors, including Orji Kalu (Abia) and James Ibori (Delta). It was a risky venture. The president was said to have knelt down for his deputy as he implored him to opt out of the race. That episode marked the parting of ways between the former numbers one and two citizens.

    When he defected from the PDP in 2007, he sought refuge in the defunct Action Congress (AC). He ran for the president, but without success. He was defeated by the younger brother of his mentor, the late President Umaru Yar’Adua. Atiku’s runnning mate was Senator Ben Obi. After the unsuccessful attempt, he retraced his steps to the PDP. Later, Obi followed suit. The AC family felt betrayed. They complained that he jumped ship without informing party leaders.

    In 2011, Atiku threw his hat into the ring again. At the regional selection process, he defeated former President Ibrahim Babangida. But, he could not cross the next hurdle. At the PDP primary in Abuja, the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), he was defeated by President Goodluck Jonathan, who had the backing of Obasanjo, the political coach-in-chief.

    A serial defector, Atiku later left for the APC after the formation of the party by the legacy platforms-the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP), the Congres for Progressive Change (CPC), a faction of the PDP and All Progressive Grand Alliance (APGA). During the 2015 primary, he contested along with President Buhari, Senator Rabiu Kwakwanso, Owelle Rochas Okorocha and Sam Nda Isaiah, publisher of Leadership newspaper. He came third, trailing Kwakwanso. Gen. Buhari was elected as candidate.

    Two years ago, the former vice president called it quits with the APC. He unfolded his presidential ambition, thereby drawing attention to himself as an opposition leader. By the time he returned to the PDP, he had revived his old structures and networks across the six geo-political zones. To worm himself to the politically conscious and highly enlightened people of the Southwest, he campaigned to them on the borrowed platform of restructuring. His campaign manager was former Ogun State Governor Gbenga Daniel. But, already a household name in Nigeria, Atiku needed no introduction.

    At the close of poll in the PDP national convention, which dragged into noon yesterday, he dwarfed his opponents.

    The Waziri Adamawa, the veteran aspirant, whose lifetime ambition is to rule Nigeria, smiled home with the ticket. A man of excellent gait and commanding presence, the political warhorse was the oldest among the contenders. While other aspirants spoke extempore, shortly before the commencement of voting, Atiku read his speech from a prepared text. He polled 1, 532 to beat his closest rival, Sokoto State Governor Aminu Tambuwal, who got 693. Senate President Bukola Saraki got 317.

    The odds against Atiku’s opponents

    The eminent politician has a wider experience in the mobilisation and management of delegates for presidential primaries. His group, the Peoples Front of Nigeria (PFN), has garnered a lot of skills and experience in this regard since 1990 when it beat the Peoples Solidarity Party (PSP) to seize control of the SDP.

    Besides, Atiku has tremendous resources which he deployed widely for the primary. He was ahead of other contenders because he started hitting the campaign road since 2017 when he returned to the PDP. Members of the old Peoples Democratic Movement (PDM) backed him. He also enjoyed the backing of many founding fathers.

    What also worked for Atiku was that he has tentacles across the zones. The influence of governors, leaders and elders who backed him also reduced the chances of Tambuwal and Saraki.

    To observers, Saraki started his campaign late. His camp also suggested that he suffered frequent distractions from the presidency, the police and the APC, which allegedly did not want him to emerge as a challenger to President Buhari.

    Saraki lacked experience in terms of management of presidential primaries. It was his first attempt. It is doubtful if he had resources like Atiku, the billionnaire politician and Tambuwal, who was financially supported by Rivers State Governor Nyesom Wike.

    His Northcentral zone was not in the calculation of the core North for power shift.

     

    The journey ahead

    After the convention, where the battle for the ticket was won and lost, what is next for PDP and Atiku?

    During the week, politics of substitution will replace convention blues. Tambuwal will have to return to Sokoto to regain the governorship ticket. Also, Saraki will race back to his Kwara Central base to regain the senatorial ticket.

    Atiku still needs the support of these contenders to survive at the general election. The contenders have no choice too, unless they want the APC to continue in power without a fight.

    A source said the APC may not give up on Kwakwanso and Tambuwal, who may still be urged to consider returning to the fold after their failed bid for the PDP ticket.

    To observers, Atiku has much work to do. The onus is on the flag bearer to unite the party and carry along these contenders during post-convention campaigns. All of them should have representatives on his elaborate campaign team to foster inclusion and a sense of belonging.

     

    Politics of running mate begins

    Who will be Atiku’s running mate? How will he emerge? Will he or she come from the Southwest, which is complaining about marginalisation, or the Southeast? Which of the Obis will he pick – Ben or Peter Obi? Will be go for Ike Ekweremadu?

    The campaign will be hot. What else is Atiku preaching, apart from restructuring? What is his blueprint for economic revitalisation and recovery? How will he resolve the security logjam? What are his plans for job creation and youth empowerment? What will shape his foreign policy?

     

    A united or divided house?

    Feelers at the convention suggested that PDP governors are not united. Unlike during the contest for national chairman, governors were not on the same page at the convention. They lined behind different aspirants. Consensus became an uphill task. The last minute attempt by Chairman Uche Secondus to unite them so that they could adopt a single candidate failed. They dispersed in peace and repressed bitterness. Now, they need to put the primary behind them, unite and collectively work for the success of the candidate.

    Will Atiku triumph this time around? He has followers. Last year, a minister in Buhari’s administration professed her loyalty to him. Old allies in the APC are watching his activities with keen interest. He is endowed with courage and resilience. He is goal-oriented. Atiku also believes in the judiciary and rule of law. He survived by leaning on the court when Obasanjo turned the heat on him. He was in court six times.

    What will be Obasanjo’s reaction to his emergence? Before his emergence, Obasanjo had foreclosed supporting him, saying that God will not forgive him if he queued behind Atiku for president. Almost six years ago, Obasanjo disparaged his former deputy, saying that he could not trust him with political leadership. Asked to comment on Atiku’s bid, he retorted: ‘I dey laugh o.’ Although Atiku later embarked on a peace mission to his Abeokuta, Ogun State residence, reconciliation did not take place.

    Recently, Obasanjo allegedly said God had not revealed to him that Atiku will be a good President.  The Waziri replied that his former leader needed to consult with God and spend his twilight of life in a honourable manner.

    To a large extent, Atiku has moderated the public perception of his personality and political career. But, he has maintained that he has never been tried or convicted for corruption. Critics and foes have also insinuated that he had refrained from travelling to the United States (U.S.) where corruption charges are allegedly hanging on his neck. His supporters have denied it, saying that it is a non-issue. The choice of where a person travels to, they argue, is personal. According to them, enemies are cooking up falsehoods to malign the politician.

    But, can Atiku beat President Buhari? Will the North jettison the President and opt for Atiku? Will the isolated defections from the APC to the PDP work in his favour? Who will Nigerians prefer between him and the President? Will Atiku realise his ambition? Time – the four-letter word – will tell.

  • High stakes as PDP picks governorship candidates tomorrow

    Will PDP improve on its gubernatorial rating in 2019? The opposition is doing its calculations in virtually all the states. How does the game add up for PDP? In this peep, Yusuf ALLI, Musa ODOSHIMOKE, Lagos, Oseheye OKWUOFU, Ibadan, Abdulfatah ALABELEWE, Kaduna, Bisi OLANIYI, Port Harcourt, Chris OJI, Enugu, Ogochukwu ANIOKE, Abakaliki, Kolade ADEYEMI, Kano, Nicholas KANU, Calabar and Justina ASISHANA,Minna review the intrigues in some states,the contenders and the pretenders.

    NOTHING underscores the challenge of picking PDP governorship candidate than the emergency shuttle of the President of the Senate, Dr. Bukola Saraki, to Kwara State on Monday night where he held a closed door session with all the aspirants. So far, none of the aspirants is ready to step down for the September 30 (tomorrow’s) battle.
    The aspirants include the following: ex-Governor Mohammed Sha’aba Lafiagi; ex-Minister of Sports, Bolaji Abdullahi; ex-Minister of National Planning, Prof. Abubakar Olanrewaju Suleiman; a ranking member of the House of Representatives, Alh. Zakary Mohammed; the Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly, Dr. Ali Ahmad; a former Commissioner for Finance, Hon. Razaq Atunwa; a former Attorney- General and Commissioner for Justice, Mr. Saka Isau(SAN); and a member of the House of Representatives, Hon. Ahman Pategi Aliyu; a Secretary in the FCT, Mr. Ladi Hassan and Ibrahim Ajia, who was a former Aide-de-Camp to ex-President of the Senate Anyim Pius Anyim.

    Saraki has five challenges confronting him namely: he is haunted by his pledge to allow transparency in the primaries and the need to walk the talk; his promise to give a sense of belonging to Kwara Central, Kwara South and Kwara North Senatorial districts; most of the aspirants are his core loyalists; and whether or not to gamble between Kwara Central (which held the governorship mantle in the state from 1999 to 2011) and Kwara North which has not tasted the power since 1993; Naturally, it ought to be the turn of Kwara North but the political permutations in APC will largely determine the beacon of Saraki and PDP in the state. Saraki is uncertain of the joker of the APC on where the ruling party at the centre will pick its candidate.

    If APC concedes the ticket to Kwara Central, he will have no choice than to take the battle to the same district to the ruling party. But PDP runs the risk of losing Kwara North(where President Muhammadu Buhari is popular) and Kwara South which Governor Abdulfatah Ahmed cannot deliver to him.

    KATSINA

    In Katsina State, Sen. Garba Yakubu Lado has been unanimously endorsed by all the stakeholders in the Peoples Democratic Party(PDP).

    Lado is a veteran in governorship race having contested for the same position on the platforms of the defunct Congress for Progressives Change (CPC) and the Peoples Democratic Movement(PDM). He is from the same Katsina South with the incumbent APC Governor Aminu Masari. While Masari is from Karfur Local Government Area, Lado is from Kankara in Kankara LGA. Lado faces a straightforward “family” battle with Masari because he has always been an ardent loyalist of President Muhammadu Buhari until when he dumped CPC for the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

    The deliberate choice of Lado by PDP was designed to make the race tougher in Katsina because the candidate is a man of the grassroots having been a local government chairman, a member of the House of Representatives and a Senator. Apart from the incumbency factor, Masari might have a smooth sail back to power because of the influence of President Muhammadu Buhari.

    GOMBE

    Out of the 30 governorship aspirants of the PDP in the North-East, Gombe is topping the chart with 13 aspirants who are eager to succeed Governor Ibrahim Hassan Dankwambo who has succeeded in sustaining the high standards he inherited from his predecessor, Sen. Danjuma Goje.

    Those in the race include a former Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, Sen.Bayero Nafada(who is said to have a secret pact with the governor);the Managing Director of the Tinka Point Limited, Bala Tinka who was the convener of the ‘’Talba Neighbor 2 Neighbor’’ which worked for the re-election of Dankwambo in 2015despite the formidability of APC; the state Commissioner for Finance, Hassan Muhammadu; the Commissioner for Local Government, Alhaji Ahmad Abubakar Walama; the Chief of Staff to the Governor, Alhaji Ahmed Yayari, Senator Haruna Garba; Ambassador Haruna Garba; Alhaji Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna (who is the Managing Director of the Kano Electricity Distribution Company (KEDCO).

    With a united APC in the state, it will be extremely difficult for PDP to sustain its 15-year old winning streak after the tenure of Dankwambo. The leader, who holds the aces in Gombe, is Sen. Danjuma Goje. He is anxiously waiting to dislodge PDP by installing his loyalist as the next governor of the state.
    Although Dankwmabo will have substantial say on who will get the PDP ticket, the manner in which he plays his politics will determine the success of his party. Gombe State is a politically slippery environment where zoning plays a key role.

    ADAMAWA

    The refusal of Governor Jibrilla Bindow to defect from APC to PDP has left ex-VP Atiku Abubakar with a wild card to call the shots and prop up his banker son-in-law, Adamu Modibbo which may not translate to a victory for the opposition party.
    Those who might give Atiku a headache are a former Acting Governor of Adamawa State, Ahmed Fintiri, who has been funding PDP before Atiku and others defected; Barrister Ahmed Aliyu; Jamilu Waziri, who was a former protocol officer to ex-President Goodluck Jonathan; Saad M. T. Tahir(ex- Deputy Governor) and ex-Governor James Bala Ngilari. The imposing attitude of Atiku might affect intra-party cohesion and PDP may end up not making significant gubernatorial impact in a heterogeneous state like Adamawa.

    BENUE

    Going by the negotiation which heralded his defection from APC to PDP, the main governorship aspirant to beat in Benue State is Governor Samuel Ortom. Investigation confirmed that Ortom’s return to PDP was a “wholesale” deal by the National Secretariat of the party because of what is termed as his “high electoral asset.”
    Notwithstanding, there are five others struggling for the ticket with him including a former Director-General of NAFDAC, Dr. Paul Orhii; Prof. TorIorapuu; Gabriel Nyitse; Felix Atume; David Iorhemba, and John Tondo.

    Wherever the pendulum swings, the obvious part of the race is that PDP’s ticket will certainly go to a Tiv candidate like the case with APC in view of the huge voting strength of the tribe.

    BAUCHI

    In Bauchi, the PDP is managing to find its bearing because of the cult followership which President Buhari enjoys in the state. The only notable coalition by PDP leaders is alleged gang up against Governor Mohammed Abubakar who has remained unperturbed.

    According to the Chairman of the North-East Screening Committee of PDP, Mr. John Mathew, only four aspirants had been screened in Bauchi State but only three had been prominent. The aspirants are a former Minister of FCT, Bala Mohammed; a former Majority Leader in the House of Representatives, Abdul Ningi; Sen. Ibrahim Gumba; The plot to outwit each other by power brokers in Bauchi PDP may be the undoing of the party. There are many vested interests that are unprepared for political rapprochement.

    The scramble for the slot is between Bauchi South Senatorial District and Bauchi Central Senatorial District. The incumbent APC governor, Bala and Gumba are from Bauchi South. But Ningi is from Bauchi Central. It will be politically fatal for PDP to pick its candidate from Bauchi Central in derision of the exiting power rotation agreement in the state which allows each district to spend two terms in office.

    AKWA IBOM

    By the power sharing formula of the PDP, Governor Emmanuel Udom of Akwa Ibom State enjoys the Right of First Refusal. Since he is interested in a second term ticket, he is the automatic candidate of the party. The hurdles against the governor are his estranged political relationship with his erstwhile godfather, Sen. Godswill Akpabio; the new coalition in APC which looks like a Tsunami; and his inexperience in politics. If Udom wins, he would have nailed the coffins of godfathers in the state. How he will wriggle out of this self-inflicted political problem is a riddle to be solved in 2019.

    PLATEAU

    It is a Southern affair in Plateau State PDP and it could be anybody’s chance. The party, like the APC, has zoned its governorship slot to Plateau South Senatorial District and it is unsurprising that all the 13 leaders aspiring to occupy the Government House in Rayfield in Jos are from the Southern part.

    They include the aged formerFCT Minister, Sen. Jeremiah Useni; Brig-Gen. Gently M. Gambo; Arc. Samuel Jatau; Hon. Exedos Pennam; and Engr. Jimmy Cheto. Others are Rt. Hon. Daika George; Hon. Johnbull Shakarau; Mr. Yitman Maimako; Mr. Sam Abashe; Dr. Godfrey Bawa; Hon. Kemi Nshe; Sen. Victor Lar and Engr. Ibrahim Ponyah.

    NASARAWA

    The joker of the outgoing Governor Umaru Tanko Al-Makura in ceding the APC governorship ticket to Nasarawa North Senatorial District has left the PDP stranded with no campaign issue. Al-Makura opted to create a sense of belonging for all groups in the state and if his formula works, it will be the first time that power will shift to the North in the state.

    The PDP, which also opted for Nasarawa North to pick its governorship candidate, boasts of the following aspirants: ex- Deputy Governor Solomon Ewuga; Sen. Philip Gyunka; Hon. David Ombugadu; Sen. Patricia Akwashiki and Hon. Dameshi Luka. Except for ex-Governor Abdullahi Adamu who is opposed to the emergence of APC candidate from Nasarawa North, the consensus in the state appears to be in favour of the neglected North.

    Being a volatile state with many ethnic groups, only power shift to Nasarawa North can address the security and disunity challenges facing the state.

    ZAMFARA STATE

    If there is any state where PDP is battle ready for governorship race, it is Zamfara State where the stakeholders came together to endorse former member of the House of Representatives, Bello Muhammad (Matawallen-Maradun) as the party’s governorship candidate. Although it was not easy pleading with another aspirant, Sahabi Ya’u, to step down, the interest of the party was larger than other consideration.

    With the ongoing re-strategizing of PDP in Zamfara by a former National Security Adviser, Gen. Aliyu Gusau(rtd) and other elders, the APC will have to look for a credible candidate against PDP’s choice. Since 1998, beginning with the defunct United Nigeria Congress Party (UNCP), Bello had won elections into the National Assembly. Apart from serving as a commissioner in many ministries in Zamfara State, the PDP candidate was in the House of Representatives from 2003 to 2011.

    JIGAWA

    In Jigawa State, some foxes in APC are now realigning with their old folks in PDP against Governor Abubakar Badaru . Leading the pack of PDP aspirants is Ibrahim Aminu Ringim, who was the gubernatorial candidate of the party in 2015.

    Others, who have obtained the governorship nomination form, are the first Civiilian Governor of the state, Barrister Ali Sa’adu Birnin-Kudu; Useini Namadi; Danladi Auyo and Tijjani Ibrahim Kwiya whose posters are everywhere in the state.

    LAGOS

    The Lagos State Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) may not go into its governorship primary with more than two aspirants. As at now, the aspirants jostling for the ticket of the party are Mr. Deji Doherty and Mr. Jimi Agbaje.

    Though, the news wasvrecently circulated that billionaire businessman Femi Otedola was in the race, this he had refuted. Doherty and Agbaje are not new in contesting for the governorship of the state; the only person who came close to testing his popularity is among the electorate is Agbaje. He was the standard bearer of the PDP in the 2015 election which was won by the Governor Akinwunmi Ambode of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

    The PDP has not been able to win the governorship election in Lagos State, even when it was in control at the centre. The PDP is aware that it must present a formidable candidate to slug it out with the candidate of the APC in 2019. That is why, in deciding who picks the party’s ticket at the shadow polls, the candidate must be well grounded for the position.

    As part of the preparations to ensure victory for the party in 2019, its leadership is closing ranks in order to ensure victory for the party in next month primary. The fortune of the party was recently deflated when the former Lagos State PDP chairman Chief Moshood Salvador defectef to the APC with thousands of his followers. The party is still battling to fill the wide gap.

    OYO

    It’s a straight fight between Makinde,Adeseun Businessman and philanthropist, Engineer Oluwaseyi Makinde and Senator Ayoade Adeseun are the gladiators in the Oyo state Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) governorship primary tomorrow.

    Makinde is from Ibadan while Adeseun in from Ogbomoso. Makinde is not new to the governorship race having previously bid for the PDP ticket in  2015 and lost. He soon switched allegiance to the Social Democratic Party (SDP) on which platform he contested the governorship election only to lose to incumbent governor Abiola Ajimobi. He returned to the PDP in 2017 at the invitation of the then caretaker national chairman of the party,Senator Ahmed Makarfi,spending his time and resources to rebuild the party ahead of the 2019 elections.

    His efforts have endeared him to many party supporters who are rooting for him to go all the way. His popularity and grip on the PDP structure seemed to have forced former governor Rashidi Ladoja and his supporters out of the PDP to join the African Democratic Congress (ADC). His opponent, Adeseun ,is not a push over either.

    He has been chairman , Surulere Local Government, pioneer chairman of All People’s Party (APP) in the state, member House of Representatives elected on the platform of PDP and senator elected on the platform of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) before rejoining PDP ahead of the 2019 polls.

    But the odds seem to be overwhelmingly in favour of Makinde who many party supporters adore for his generosity. The fact that majority of the votes will be coming from Ibadanland which controls close to half of the 33 local government areas of the state is a factor in deciding who,between the two, will fly the PDP ticket.

    KADUNA

    A former governor and an array of ex-commissioners and legislators.That is the line up for the Kaduna State PDP governorship primary tomorrow. Immediate past governor Ramallan Yero is slugging it out with former NEMA Director General, Sani Sidi, Dr. Mohammed Sani Bello, Sen. Suleiman Hunkuyi, former House of Representatives member, Isah Ashiru, Mohammed Kadade, Bello Kagarko, Jonathan Kish Adamu, Shuaibu Mikati, Ibrahim Dauda and Mohammed Sani. Of the lot,Yero,Sani Bello and Isah Ashiru appear to be the top three aspirants. Bello is a former Commissioner for Science and Technology and former financial controller at the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Party chieftains are well disposed to him for sustaining the party since it lost power in 2015.

    The party chiefs, according to sources,are not happy that many of the other aspirants were not there for the PDP when it needed them most in the aftermath of the last elections. They said it was only Bello that put his resources at the disposal of the party and ensured that the party did not go under. He is regarded as the godson of former governor of the state,Senator Ahmed Makarfi,who remains immensely popular in the state and is also a presidential aspirant.

    Ashiru is a grassroots mobiliser and former member of the House of Representatives. He also enjoys the support of notable party bigwigs, including the longest serving chairman of the party in the state, Alhaji Audi Yero Makama. He had defected to the APC and only rejoined the PDP recently.

    Some party members believe he can hold his own against Governor Nasiru el Rufai and that but for the support of President Muhammadu Buhari in the run-up to the 2015 elections he would have defeated el Rufai in the APC primary. Jonathan Kish Adamu is the only PDP aspirant from southern Kaduna state. Alhaji Shuaibu Idris Mikati, is a business mogul and perennial aspirant. Senator Suleiman Othman Hunkuyi, who recently defected from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC),is another perennial aspirant. He said he joined the PDP for the purpose of kicking Governor El-Rufai out of Government house.

    KANO

    Things are not looking good for the PDP in Kano state ahead of the primary. On the one hand is the struggle for the soul of the party by the Kwankwasiyya Movement, headed by a former Secretary to the State Government (SSG), Rabi’u Suleiman Bichi, and the embattled leadership of Senator Masaud El- Jubrin Doguwa, which was purportedly dissolved by the party’s national chairman, Prince Uche Secondus. There is also the nomination of Abba Kabir Yusuf by his father in law and PDP leader in the state ,Dr.Rabiu Kwankwaso who recently defected from the APC.

    He was handed 51 percent of the party leadership structure in the state by the national leadership, to the chagrin of other party stakeholders, including former Minister of Education, Malam Ibrahim Shekarau. Shekarau has since defected to the APC in protest. Many PDP supporters are opposed to Yusuf’s choice, saying he can’t win the state for the party. Professor Hafiz Abubakar who resigned as deputy governor last month and joined Kwankwaso in the PDP seems to have been left to his fate after picking his own nomination form for the PDP governorship race. Alhaji Sagir Salihu Takai,a former ally of Shekarau who decided to pitch his tent with Kwankwaso has also abandoned the Kwankwassiyya group having refused to succumb to pressure from Kwankwaso to forget the governorship ticket and instead gun for a senatorial ticket. Takai has already been screened by the PDP for the governorship race.

    Another political heavyweight who has picked the gubernatorial form and screened is Alhaji Al-Amin Ibrahim Little,an associate of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar. He has been nursing the ambition to govern Kano since 2003. He is regarded as Atiku’s eye in Kano and is mobilizing support for the former VP ahead of the PDP presidential primary. Also in the race are Sadiq Wali, son of the former Permanent Representative of Nigeria at the United Nations, Ambassador Aminu Wali and Jafar Sani Bello, a young breed politician who has served PDP in Kano in several capacities. Sources said some of the aspirants are trying to forge a common front to defeat Yusuf.

    The Nation gathered from reliable PDP sources that Sadiq Wali, Jafar Bello and Sagir Takai met for several hours last Tuesday working out how to come up with a consensus candidate that would confront and defeat Kabir Abba Yusuf. They are yet to make their decision public.

    CROSS RIVER

    Ibeshi, Udayi to challenge Ayade Governor Ben Ayade of Cross River State will have a former National Publicity Secretary of the PDP, Emmanuel Ibeshi, and a real estate developer,Paul Udayi to contend with in the party primary. The three men are from the northern senatorial district of the state.

    Some party members are reportedly unhappy with the governor for allegedly neglecting them since his assumption of office. They fear that the PDP will be taking a risk by fielding him in next year’s election. But Ayade has maintained his hold on the party structure and remains the aspirant to beat in the primary.

    BORNO

    Locked in the battle for the Borno PDP governorship ticket are Alhaji Mohammed Wakil who doubles as the state co-ordinator of the Bukola Saraki presidential campaign organization, and a former chairman of Maiduguri Metropolitan Council, Mohammed Imam. Political observers in the state consider the two not formidable enough to pose much threat to the APC and even say the PDP could be waiting in the wings to cash in on any possible disagreement that may erupt in the APC during its own governorship primary by offering aggrieved aspirants a chance to try their luck in the PDP.

    YOBE

    In it also a two -way affair in neighbouring Yobe State where two former ambassadors are gunning for the PDP ticket. They are Alhaji Umar Illya Damagum, former ambassador to Romania and Alhaji Umar El- Gash, former ambassador to Pakistan.VParty sources said Damagum stands a better chance to clinch the ticket having previously served as partysecretary for over five years and seems to have mastered the terrain. One of the sources said the non-participation of serial contestant,Adamu Waziri, is also a good omen for Damagum.

    NIGER

    Five aspirants are contesting the PDP governorship ticket in Niger State with Nigeria’s immediate past High Commissioner in South Africa,Mr.Ahmed Musa Ibeto on top of the list. Contending the ticket with him are: the party’s governorship candidate in 2015, Umar Nasko, prominent Minna hotelier Umar Ahmed, Engineer Aminu Bakar and Engineer Hannafi Sudan.

    Party sources told The Nation that it will be a straight battle between Ibeto who recently rejoined the PDP from the APC, and Umar Nasko. According to the sources, Ibeto would not have left his ambassadorial position and ditched the APC if he was not sure of clinching the ticket of PDP based on assurances from PDP kingmakers. But they also conceded that Nasko could spring a surprise as he is well respected in the party for his steadfastness.

  • Unilorin ASUU chairman faces plagiarism crisis

    Months of investigations into the academic publications, including his Doctor of Philosophy dissertation at the University of Ibadan, show that UNILORINAcademic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) chair Associate Prof.Usman Adebimpe Raheem has questions bordering on plagiarism to answer, reports Associate Editor ADEKUNLE YUSUF

    Within the precincts of University of Ilorin campus in Kwara State and far beyond, Associate Prof. Usman Adebimpe Raheem easily comes across as one public figure that is highly coveted by the high and mighty. And the reasons for this are quite obvious. Besides his sacred teaching responsibilities and headship of Department of Geography and Environmental Management in UNILORIN, he is the Chairman of the management-backed faction of the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) in the institution – making him one of the prime movers and shakers in the school’s power orbits.

    Anyone in doubt of how pervasively involved Dr. Raheem is in the affairs of UNILORIN only needs to take a trip to the peaceful campus. Whenever the school is in session, especially anytime the popular union leader is around to preside over his colleagues’ affairs, the sprawling edifice housing ASUU secretariat in the university is always a beehive of activities – a Mecca of sorts for lecturers and students, including hordes of non-teaching staff members and others who come from far and near to seek his attention on a myriad of issues. However, as UNILORIN ASUU chairman basks in the limelight and wields enormous influence that his status and office entail, not many among his numerous admirers and colleagues alike know that he is “a rampant academic robber” and “a disgrace to the academia.”

    Quite unexpectedly, multiple plagiarism checks run on Dr. Raheem’s several published works returned a guilty verdict in a magnitude and mode rare to find in the ivory tower of academia, thus unmasking him as a serial intellectual fraudster. Curiously, all this took place in the sanctuary of the same UNILORIN, which blazed the trail in 2016 when it announced that it had led six other schools to develop home-grown anti-plagiarism software for fighting academic fraud in the country. Yet, for a man who started as Assistant Lecturer in 1997 and rose to his new rank, the multiple plagiaristic escapades went on undetected for many years.

    However, as fate would have it, Dr. Raheem’s journey to comeuppance seemed to have been paved with a heavy tinge of irony. His rampant academic fraud, which had all along beaten his university’s academic integrity arm, unexpectedly came to light through an equally cavalier graduate student in another public university thousands of miles away from UNILORIN. Having assumed – wrongly though – that plagiarism was no sin in academic circuits, the student had used a few paragraphs from Dr. Raheem’s works in his ongoing Master’s degree thesis without acknowledgment, which instantly drew the ire of his eagle-eyed supervisor. All hell broke loose during a grilling session that followed. Claiming ignorance of the fact that verbatim copying without proper attribution is unethical, the graduate student insisted that many of the copied segments his supervisor complained about were actually taken from earlier articles, which Dr. Raheem himself also used elaborately but did not bother to reference. Ostensibly smelling a rat, an alarmed supervisor decided to dig deeper into his student’s claims, preferring to take a bird’s-eye view of all the published works his supervisee had copied from. Interestingly, what popped up was unbelievable, leading to the unearthing of unpalatable discoveries, which the findings of academic integrity experts that investigated the scam said may portray UNILORIN as a safe “haven for plagiarists or for persons without integrity.”

    Inside Dr. Raheem’s world of plagiarism

     When The Nation got wind of the situation over four months ago, a detailed search was quickly launched into Dr. Raheem’s published works, specifically those listed on his profile on UNILORIN website and thus accessible online. To make doubly sure, senior academics were also enlisted to separate the wheat from the chaff. Surprisingly, it was an incriminating verdict all the way. Besides the findings of academic integrity experts, investigations by this newspaper into the offending works also further confirmed the trajectory of an academic career that began on a promising note but lost focus almost immediately it took off, leaving the Head of Department of Geography and Environmental Management with a credential that is sadly brimming with outright fraud and egregious academic dishonesty unbecoming of a don.

    Findings reported, among other things, that “Dr. Raheem’s publications are generally filled with massive word-for-word copying, duplication, data fraud and so on,” describing him as “a disgrace to the academia” and “certainly a bad example for up-and-coming academics.” When viewed together, all his publishing outputs available online, especially since 2009, were subjected to plagiarism checks, with the findings in all the works generally portraying him as a scholar whose entire career is soaked in academic fraud of the worst rankings. To avoid buck-passing, special attention was given to publications where he is the sole or lead author, though other works he authored in conjunction with others were examined. While it is disheartening that UNILORIN ASUU Chairman has enjoyed promotions on the strength of undetected academic theft, senior academics found it curious that all the serious acts of plagiarism and unethical academic conducts of a man perceived as an administration crony were not discovered in the “better by far” university until the bubble eventually burst.

    Outright duplications, self-plagiarism

     Just like a miasma of stale alcohol hung around a no-good drunkard, regular duplication of articles is one sad feature that manifested ceaselessly in Dr. Raheem’s body of work, casting a huge blot on the escutcheon of the system that makes such level of brazen scam possible. It is a deceitful practice ‘invented’ by the senior lecturer for making one publication appear like two ‘different’ ones for the sole purpose of gaining undeserved promotions and other concomitant advantages over his peers.

    A thorough scrutiny of his publications showed that Dr. Raheem habitually carries out duplication of articles in two cunning ways. Ostensibly to cover his tracks, the first method is generally achieved by cleverly changing only the title of an already published article before it is published again under a different title to make one work look like ‘two’ articles. In most cases, nothing differentiates such two works except the titles. Besides taking great ‘pains’ to alter the title, the ‘prolific’ author also sometimes makes slight modifications, variations and rearrangements in some articles. What is however not in doubt, as months of investigations into his publications revealed, is that the UNILORIN don never resists the temptation to simply reproduce the same materials under new titles, packaging same as original or new works.

    The second method of article duplication is slightly different. In some works, the UNILORIN ASUU chairman simply floods his new works with massive copying from previous articles, habitually done in an excessive way without providing a link or reference to the preceding articles. Granted that it is a useful rule of thumb in the academia that there is no crime in citing one’s previous works, especially if done properly, the Associate Professor unabashedly takes liberty for mental indolence through his verbatim and duplicitous repetition of materials from previous works in ‘newer’ ones, doing so in excessively high volumes and without revealing the connections through explicit reference. According to senior academics, this amounts to multiple misdemeanours in the sense that the publications, which are usually not his originally in the first place, are also further reproduced into ‘different’ articles to make him appear as a prolific scholar that he is certainly not.

    Some examples will suffice. His “When Earth Bleeds’: Oil Exploration, Deprivation and Environmental Justice in Nigeria,” published as a sole author in the AFFRIKA Journal of Politics, Economics and Society (available at https://journals.co.za/content/aa_affrika/2/1_2/EJC128623), is hundred per cent the same in terms of content with “Violence as Adaptation: On Climate Change and Climate of Insecurity in the Nigeria’s Niger Delta,” which he published as lead author in the Journal of Sustainable Development in Africa (accessible at http://www.jsd-africa.com/Jsda/Vol15No3-Summer2013A/PDF/Violence%20a s%20Adaptation.Usman% 20Adebimpe%20Raheem.pdf). A careful reading of the two ‘works’ clearly exposed Dr. Raheem as a scholar who is only clever by half; he simply republished in 2013 the same article he had published in 2010 as sole author. But in the 2013 version, he merely changed the title and republished the same content verbatim, this time with ‘co-authors’ to give it an insignia of something new and fresh. Yet the two ‘works’ are exactly the same – all the way from the abstract to the conclusion and references!

    It did not stop there. Although it is usually the same work that is published twice as two ‘different’ works, he cunningly went a step further by having the name of the lead author in the original article reversed to be the corresponding author in the duplicated version. In other words, to make everything appear speciously real, one article is sometimes published by a single author while the reproduced work is jointly authored. Beyond this, nothing except occasional typographical errors differentiated the duplicated works.

    For example, “Urban Vulnerability and Adaptation to Extreme Weather Events: A Case Study of Rainstorms Victims in Ilorin, Nigeria,” which he published in 2013 as lead author in conjunction with Felix Olorunfemi, is the same with “Floods and Rainstorms Impacts, Responses and Coping among Households in Ilorin, Kwara State,” which he also published in 2013 (now with Olorunfemi as the lead author). While the former article was published in the journal of Geography, Environment, Sustainability (reachable at http://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/135), the latter is available on pages 135-146 in the Journal of Educational and Social Research (accessible at http://www.mcser.org/journal/index.php/jesr/article/view/435. Nothing except minor additions and rearrangements differentiated the ‘two’ articles.

    Besides enjoying the unholy alliance of containing massive word-for-word copying from other works, “Urban Vulnerability and Adaptation to Extreme Weather Events: A Case Study of Rainstorms Victims in Ilorin, Nigeria” (published in 2013 in Geography, Environment, Sustainability, accessible at https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/135) is the same with “Floods and Rainstorms Impacts, Responses and Coping among Households in Ilorin, Kwara State” (published in 2013 in the Journal of Educational and Social Research, available at http://www.mcser.org/journal/index.php/jesr/article/view/435). Although the ‘two’ articles are by the same authors, they are the same from the abstract to the premise to the introduction to the sections to sub-sections to results to discussions as well as findings and conclusions. Apart from having them published in the two different journals, the only ‘big’ difference noticed in the ‘publications’ is in how the authors’ names are inverted, with “Raheem and Olorunfemi” on one article and “Olorunfemi and Raheem” on the other one.

    As if the above academic infractions were not hefty enough, Dr. Raheem’s “Urban Vulnerability and Adaptation to Extreme Weather Events: A Case Study of Rainstorms Victims in Ilorin, Nigeria” (published in 2013, available at https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316639010_URBAN_VULNERA BILITY_AND_ADAPTATION_TO_EXTRE ME_WEATHER_ EVENTS_A_CASE_STUDY_O F_RAINSTORM_VICTIMS_IN _ILORIN_NIGERIA) is heavily loaded with enormous word-for-word copying from his earlier article, Climate Change Related Disasters and Vulnerability: An Appraisal of the Nigerian Policy Environment (published in 2011 at http://docsdrive.com/pdfs/medwelljournals/erj/2011/97-103.pdf). In a manner that reeks of sheer intellectual indolence and fraud, Dr. Raheem simply duplicated sizeable parts of the abstract, keywords and the introduction of his 2011 article word-for-word in his 2013 publication without acknowledgement or any means of linkage  or any reasons whatsoever for doing so – against all research etiquettes. Misdemeanours of varying proportions vitiate many other works published by the serial plagiarist.

    Word-for-word copying of other people’s works

     Perhaps having eaten the proverbial forbidden fruits without suffering the expected dire consequences, an emboldened Dr. Raheem quickly upped his game in egregious intellectual dishonesty, becoming more daring in copying other people’s sweat with reckless abandon. Now a scourge that is now the norm among many fledgling scholars in Nigeria’s academic firmament, ‘copy-and-paste’ publishing is universally adjudged as the worst form of plagiarism in the academia, attracting the most severe punishments, including outright expulsion and public shaming for culprits in a profession where the golden rule to “publish-or-perish” often undeniably exacts tremendous pressure to continually publish in order to further or sustain one’s career.

    But in all the offending works, Dr. Raheem did not only go beyond “wrongful appropriation” and “stealing and publication” of other authors’ “language, thoughts, ideas and expressions,” he also flagrantly copied several pages from many publications and represented them as his own original work. In all his works, evidence abounds that he stole the laborious research of other authors, including appropriating their constructions, words and usages without attribution. Months of painstaking assessment of his works showed sophisticated plagiarism in the articles, which portrayed the lecturer as a scholar whose second nature is intellectual stealing. In some offending articles, nothing less than seventy per cent was copied word-for-word from other people’s published works.

    Like a high-ranking sovereign savouring the full panoply of royalty on his exalted throne, two articles sit conspicuously on Dr. Raheem’s long list of offending publications. “‘When Earth Bleeds’: Oil Exploration, Deprivation and Environmental Justice in Nigeria” and “Violence as Adaptation: On Climate Change and the Climate of Insecurity in the Nigeria’s Niger Delta” were published in 2010 and 2013, respectively. While the former (a 20-page article) was published in the AFRIKA Journal of Politics, Economics and Society (accessible online at https://journals.co.za/content/aa_affrika/2/1_2/EJC128623), the latter (a 22-page article) was in the Journal of Sustainable Development in Africa volume 13 (2) (accessible at http://www.jsd-africa.com/Jsda/Vol15No3-Summer2013A/PDF/Violence%20as%20 Adaptation.Usman%20 Adebimpe%20Raheem.pdf).

    Besides other serious acts of academic misdemeanours swirling in the bowels of the two offending publications, they both contained massive word-for-word portions of several published works that were randomly stolen without acknowledgment. A thorough scrutiny showed clearly that the two offending articles, being products of brazen multiple plagiarism, stitched from seven publications without crediting the sources or authors. Without mincing words, pages 3-9, 11 and 13-15 of “‘When Earth Bleeds’: Oil Exploration, Deprivation and Environmental Justice in Nigeria” were heavily plagiarised. One of the works that became casualty in the itchy fingers of Dr. Raheem is “Oil Spill Disaster Monitoring along Nigerian Coastline,” published by Fatai Egberongbe (et al) in October 2006 in Shaping the Change, Munich, Germany (see especially pages 3-4, available at https://www.fig.net/resources/proceedings/fig_proceedings/fig2006/papers/ts16/ts16_02_egberongbe_etal_0223.pdf). Both “‘When Earth Bleeds’: Oil Exploration, Deprivation and Environmental Justice in Nigeria” and “Violence as Adaptation: On Climate Change and the Climate of Insecurity in the Nigeria’s Niger Delta” plagiarised Egberongbe (et al) massively.

    But Dr. Raheem did not stop there. His offending articles also illegally appropriated the research of Aigbedion I. and Iyayi S.E., “Environmental Effect of Mineral Exploitation in Nigeria,” published in 2007 in the International Journal of Physical Sciences (see pages 33-35, accessible at http://www.academicjournals.org/article/article1380203149_Aigbedion%20 and%20I yayi.pdf). Perhaps due to the seminal quality of the work, virtually 3 pages were copied from the 5-page article by Aigbedion and Iyayi, a piece on the exploitation of Nigeria’s mineral resources. The UNILORIN don and his colleagues further plummeted down the pit of infamy by stealing a table (table 1) from the short but juicy publication. Although it was stated in “Violence as Adaptation: On Climate Change and the Climate of Insecurity in the Nigeria’s Niger Delta” that the table (showing mineral deposits in Nigeria and their level of exploitation) was adapted from Aigbedion and Iyayi, a comparison showed that there was no adaptation or modification at all, as the table was plagiarised outright.

    As if that was not enough, Dr. Raheem’s “‘When Earth Bleeds’: Oil Exploration, Deprivation and Environmental Justice in Nigeria” and “Violence as Adaptation: On Climate Change and the Climate of Insecurity in the Nigeria’s Niger Delta” also benefited fraudulently from a “Niger Delta Human Development Report,” published in 2006 (see pages 59 and 61, accessible online at http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-report). The two works equally copied extensively without reference from Aderoju Oyefusi’s “Oil-dependence and Civil Conflict in Nigeria,” published in the Centre for the Study of African Economies Working Paper Series 2007(9) (see pages 9, 10 and 15; available here https://ideas.repec.org/p/csa/wpaper/2007-09.html). Dr. Raheem also plagiarised “Environmental Justice: Rights and Means to a Healthy Environment for All,” authored in 2001 by Carolyn Stephens et al (see pages 3 and 4, accessible online at https://friendsoftheearth.uk/sites/default/files/downloads/environmental_justice.pdf). It is published in the ESRC Global Environmental Change Programme Special Briefing No 7, November.

    Dr. Raheem, in the two aforementioned articles, was also guilty as charged for plagiarising Charles Quaker-Dokubo’s “Ethnic Minority Problems in the Niger Delta” and Victor Dike’s “Mismanagement of Natural Resource Rents and the Niger Delta Crisis.” While the former was published in 2000 in the African Centre for the Constructive Resolution of Disputes (available at http://www.accord.org.za/ajcr-issues/ethnic-minority-problems-in-the-niger-delta/), the latter was published in 2006 (accessible here http://www.gamji.com/article6000/NEWS6594.htm). In a capsule, Dr. Raheem’s “‘When Earth Bleeds’: Oil Exploration, Deprivation and Environmental Justice in Nigeria” and “Violence as Adaptation: On Climate Change and the Climate of Insecurity in the Nigeria’s Niger Delta” stole heavily from seven published works of other authors.

    Perhaps to further showcase his ‘sublime’ skills in intellectual stealing, the UNILORIN ASUU boss fared far worse in his next publication. His “Environment and Healthcare Delivery System in Nigeria: Issues, Challenges and Prospects,” a chapter he co-authored with Usman B.A. in General Studies in the Social Sciences: Some Fundamental Topics (edited by Adeleke B.L. and Ijaiya G.T.) is an example of a bad copy unworthy of even the smallest space in any book. Among a litany of other unethical issues that littered the publication, the offending 14-page chapter copied massively from a total of nine works without referencing!

    First on the list of publications that were mindlessly stolen from is Graham Bentham’s “Global Environmental Change and Health,” a chapter in Health and Development (edited by David R. Phillips and Yola Verhasselt, published in 2002 (see page 33, accessible at https://books.google.com.ng/books?isbn=1134885881). Next was Joseph R. Oppong and Adam Harold’s “Disease, Ecology and Environment,” a chapter in A Companion to Health and Medical Geography (edited by Brown T. et al in 2010)  (see pages 81-82, available at https://books.google.com.ng/books?hl=en&lr=&id=xRbvp GJRwzcC&oi=fnd&p g=PA81&dq=Disease,+Ecology+and+E nvironment&ots=QautA4DBMe&sig= VbaJ8qJox07BB9vNoiamm NmL1_E&redir_esc=y#v= onepage&q=Disease%2C% 20Ecology%20and%20 Environment&f=false).

    Also, “Debates in Health and Medical Geography,” a chapter in A Companion to Health and Medical Geography, (edited by Brown et al in 2002), suffered a terrible plagiaristic blow in the hands of Dr. Raheem and his co-traveller (see page 18, accessible at https://books.google.com.ng/books?isbn=1444314777). The same offending “Environment and Healthcare Delivery System in Nigeria: Issues, Challenges and Prospects” equally plagiarised the abstract and some other paragraphs in S.V. Subramanian’s “Environment and Human Health,” published in ZEF Round Table on Health (www.zef.de/fileadmin/webfiles/downloads/EnvironmentandHealthFramework.pdf); just as it copied from “Health Care Facilities Mapping and Database Creation Using GIS in Chikun Local Government Area, Kaduna State, Nigeria,” published in the Global Health Journal in 2011 (available at https://socialscienceresearch.org/index.php/GJHSS/article/view/422).

    Not done yet, Dr. Raheem also plagiarised Peter Ogunjuyigbe and Ayotunde Liasu’s “The Social and Economic Determinants of Maternal Morbidity and Mortality in Nigeria,” (published in 2007 at https://www.uaps2007.princeton.edu/papers/70155). The offending publication went further to copy page 41 of D.R. Kayang’s 1987 dissertation, “Organisation and Management of Health Services in Nigeria” (see page 41, available at https://www.stclements.edu/grad/gradkaja.pdf). The offending article capped its stealing by coping from two more publications: Yemisi Ogunlela’s (2011) “An Appraisal of Nigeria Health Sector and Its Health Care System,” published in the Journal of Food, Agriculture and Environment (see page 82, accessible at https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/10f9/ed9f58825f772512c54684fa6df83a41fa75.pdf), and Sanni Garba Mohammed’s (2008) “Management of Primary Health Care in Local Government in Nigeria: Between Community and Environmental Health Officers” (available at https://www.tsaftarmuhalli.blogspot.com/2011/07/management-of-primary-health-care-in.html).

    Also, in his (2011) “Urban and Rural Dimensions in Post-disaster Adjustment Challenges in Selected Communities in Kwara State,” Dr. Raheem clearly broke all research etiquettes by copying no fewer than seven published works in just one article. Perhaps as a way to portray himself as a don suffering from an unquenchable appetite for stealing, he copied enormously from other scholars’ intellectual property without crediting them. Published in JAMBA: Journal of Disaster Risk Studies (volume 3, number 3), the offending article (accessible at https://journals.co.za/content/jemba/3/2/EJC51187) stole from the abstract of Moniru Qader Mirza’s (2003) “Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events: Can Developing Countries Adapt?”(see pages 233-234; accessible here https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1469306203000524).

    Besides copying “Effects of Global Warming on Health” from Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_global_warming), Dr. Raheem also appropriated extensively from “Socio-cultural Engagement and Sensitivity in Disaster Risk Reduction,” published in 2009 as ICIMOD Briefing Paper 1/09 (see pages 1-2; available online at http://lib.icimod.org/record/26624), and  a 2002 DFID’s “Disaster Management,” published in 2002 (see pages 1-2, accessible online at https://www.odi.org/sites/odi.org.uk/files/odi-assets/publications-opinion-files/3197.pdf). After stealing from Rohit Jigyasu’s 2002 thesis at Norwegian University of Science and Technology, “Reducing Disaster Vulnerability through Local Knowledge and Capacity” (see page 308), Dr. Raheem cobbled pages from Ibidun Adelekan’s 2009 “Vulnerability of Poor Urban Coastal Communities to Climate Change in Lagos, Nigeria” (see page 2, accessible online at http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0956247810380141), and Action Aid (2008) “Unjust Waters, Climate Change, Flooding and the Protection of Poor Urban Communities: Experiences from Six African Cities” (see page 12, available at

    https://www.actionaid.org.uk/sites/default/files/doc_lib/unjust_waters.pdf).

     Cobbling, falsification and data fraud

     Another conspicuous stain on Dr. Raheem’s academic garment is in the area of data falsification and cobbling, which has made academic experts that examined his works to conclude that his level of “unethical behaviour is unpardonable” while his “kind of fraud in purported research is unprecedented.” In the academia where using non-existent data or fraudulent manipulation of data is an abhorrence that is often ruthlessly penalised, barefaced data cobbling routinely ran through the works of the UNILORIN don, as if accurate and appropriate data analysis is no longer an essential component of research integrity.

    Examples of these academic misdemeanours abound in the works examined. When juxtaposed, “Urban Vulnerability and Adaptation to Extreme Weather Events: A Case Study of Rainstorms Victims in Ilorin, Nigeria” and “Floods and Rainstorms Impacts, Responses and Coping among Households in Ilorin, Kwara State” are a mumble jumble of data manipulation. As a matter of fact, were a global award instituted for data falsification and manipulation in research, Dr. Raheem and his co-traveller would richly deserve such an inglorious diadem, for infractions in the two articles have set new lows in academic fraud – in a magnitude that is bad enough to vitiate research findings and conclusions.

    Although the two aforementioned articles self-professed to have covered different periods, everything – from the abstract to the data to the analysis to the conclusions to the results and discussions – is exactly the same, which academic experts said is a rarity in research. But, as condemnable as it is, that is just a tip of the iceberg of Dr. Raheem’s academic perfidy. For two ‘different’ studies that purportedly covered different periods and samples (with one claiming to have covered 2002 to 2007 while the other purportedly covered 2007 to 2009), it is highly disturbing to note that the tables in the ‘two’ works are curiously the same.

    Also, it is only in Dr. Raheem’s and his colleague’s strange world of research that it is possible for all the socio-economic characteristics of respondents as well as characteristics of affected buildings, including number, frequency and percentage to be exactly the same in two different studies that purportedly covered two different periods and samples. It is obvious that the findings in the two studies were speciously prepared and packaged, as the authors struggled to round up the percentage values in the two articles in a uniform manner, with 4.55% in one work becoming 4.6% in the other. In the almighty ‘formula’ of rounding up that left the purported percentages to disagree with purported database, males respondents in the studies, which constituted 74.55% in one work, was rounded up to 74.6% in the other; just as the percentages of married respondents, farmers, artisans, traders, educated inhabitants, household size and other demographic indicators were fraudulently cooked up to be the same in two ‘different’ studies. Also, in a number of cases, the authors forgot to apply their beloved ‘recipe’ of rounding up percentage values, thereby contradicting the data and unwittingly exposing their own fraud. According to plagiarism experts that reviewed the works, “virtually every act of research misconduct combined in a single research output.”

     False/partial citations, salami slicing

     Although some of the sources are usually indicated in his publications, the general style in Dr. Raheem’s weird world of scholarship is to copy the sources word-for-word without quotation marks and then insert the names of the sources somewhere in his own articles. With this, the lecturer perhaps wants to deceive unsuspecting readers by giving the impression that he is merely paraphrasing the sources, whereas he is copying word-for-word. But besides being a plagiarist that is serially guilty of duplicating his articles by merely changing headlines, he is also fond of cobbling publications together from his own previous individual and joint works, including individual works of his co-authors.

    As usual in his body of work, in addition to copying and pasting paragraphs word-for-word from previous works without attribution, stealing references from source texts is another academic misdemeanour that is regularly carried out on a massive scale in all his works, including retaining verbatim typographical or grammatical errors across ‘different’ articles. In all his publications, references that are inserted as notes in source texts are usually stolen from plagiarised sources and presented as sources the UNILORIN don has consulted, a practice he seems to have perfected by making all these appear different in his own texts to ward off suspicion.

    For example, direct plagiarism is heavy in “Urban Vulnerability and Adaptation to Extreme Weather Conditions: A Case Study of Rainstorms Victims in Ilorin, Nigeria,” published (with Olorunfemi F.B.) in 2013, and “Climate Change Related Disasters and Vulnerability: An Appraisal of the Nigerian Policy Environment,” also published by the duo. The two works contained massive portions of “Floods and Rainstorms Impacts, Responses and Coping among Households in Ilorin, Kwara State.” They also stole from Olorunfemi’s previous work, “Managing Flood Disasters under A Changing Climate: Lessons from Nigeria and South Africa,” published in 2011 NISER Discussion Paper 1(see pages 1, 3-5, and 8, available online at https://www.proshareng.com/admin/upload/reports/ManagingFloodDisastersUnderA Changing Climate Lessons FromNigeria AndSoutAfrica.pdf). Further searches showed that Dr. Olorunfemi, who is of Social and Governance Policy Research Department of the Nigerian Institute for Social and Economic Research in Ibadan, Oyo State, had presented the paper at a NISER seminar before publishing same in NISER Discussion Paper.

    Among other publications, the two offending works went ahead to copy from the following works: “Study on Local Coping Mechanisms in Disaster Management” (pages 3 and 6, accessible at https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/0035/02631139f080b25e018799695acea8de7826.pdf); “Disaster Risk Reduction, Climate Change Adaptation and Human Security” (see page 5 at https://www.unisdr.org/files/7946_GECHSReport3081.pdf); “Analysing Urban Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change: A Comparison of the Coastal Cities of Dhaka, Lagos and Hamburg” (see from page 24, available at https://www.unigiessen.de/fbz/fb03/institute/ifp/personen/schwindenhammer/dateien/paper1); “Climate Change: Human Vulnerability and Social Risk Management” (see pages 17-18, accessible at https://www.preventionweb.net/files/8933_SDCCWorkingPaperSRM1.pdf);  “Exploring the Social and Environmental Determinants of Child Social Health in Ilorin, Nigeria” (from page 75, accessible at https://www.ajol.info/index.php/ejesm/article/download/48268/34630).         

    Like other multiple academic atrocities swirling in the bowels of other several offending articles of his, Dr. Raheem’s “Climate Change Related Disasters and Vulnerability: An Appraisal of the Nigerian Policy Environment,” published in Environmental Research Journal (Medwell) in 2011, is littered with word-for-word copying from earlier texts (reachable online at http://docsdrive.com/pdfs/medwelljournals/erj/2011/97-103.pdf). The article massively repeated and replicated other texts without reference, thereby making it appear fraudulently as a new material or latest contribution to the ever-growing body of knowledge. Among other things, it copied extensively from “Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change and Natural Hazards in Nigeria,” a chapter contributed to a book by the trio of Olorunfemi, Gbadegesin A.S. and Raheem in 2010. The book, Coping with Global Environmental Change, Disasters and Security Threats, was edited by Hans Gunter Brauch et al (see pages 678-680, available online at https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-642-17776-7_39).

    Other offending articles were left out because of space constraints. But one thing is absolutely clear and certain: Dr. Raheem is a serial plagiarist. After a thorough reading and assessment of all publications he ‘authored’ and comparing same with legions of plagiarised sources, it is clear as crystal that the UNILORIN ASUU chairman is probably suffering from a settled habit of perusing other people’s works not to learn or broaden his intellectual horizon like his conscientious colleagues in the academia do. Rather, his itchy fingers simply move up and down the pages of other people’s works and copy sentences, paragraphs and pages, which he then uses as his own original thoughts, words and ideas.

     Findings on PhD thesis at University of Ibadan

    Dazed by the enormity of plagiaristic fraud prevalent in Dr. Raheem’s published works generally, especially how he has been able to go this far without being caught in a university system that detests academic infidelity, The Nation took a step further to procure a copy of his Doctor of Philosophy dissertation and subjected same to plagiarism checks. Among other things, the primary purpose was to find out when his addiction for intellectual stealing actually started. Unsurprisingly, what was also discovered in his dissertation is a similar trend of mindboggling plagiarism and sundry academic misdemeanours. Supervised by Professor S.I. Okafor, “Influence of Housing Quality Deprivation on Health Status of Residents in Ilorin, Nigeria,” a 242-page document, was submitted in July 2012 to the Department of Geography, University of Ibadan (UI), in partial fulfillment of requirements for the award of the highest academic degree.

    Although he also obtained his first and second degrees in Geography at UI, plagiarism checks were limited to his doctoral thesis only. Like many published articles of his, an examination of his dissertation – which is supposed to be his first major document of original research and findings – showed rampant stealing from different sources and authors, among other things. While the dissertation is also badly suffused with all manner of plagiarism (such as stealing of ideas, etc.), focus was restricted to word-for-word stealing. Throughout the work, there is figure-for-figure and note-for-note copying, a practice involving stealing the same figures used in the plagiarised sources and simply transferring from the sources into his research. Generally, references inserted by original authors are stolen from notes indicated in source texts and dubiously relocated into the thesis to make it appear as sources consulted.

    Right from the beginning of the 242-page dissertation, Dr. Raheem’s plagiaristic hand was clearly palpable, not hidden at all, as the pages were evidently laden with stolen works. Even from the opening pages and throughout the PhD work, there was a continuous thread of copying from other authors without acknowledgment, interspersed with a mixture of paraphrasing and word-for-word copying, especially in the formulation of “the central problem of this study.” Shockingly, even the so called “statement of the problem and justification for the study” were massively plagiarised, as well as the purported “central problem” of the thesis. In other words, throughout the dissertation, it was intellectual robbery galore, which calls to question the quality of PhD supervision in the nation’s universities.

    For example, pages 4-7 of Dr. Raheem’s thesis are heavily overloaded with word-for-word stealing from Olorunfemi’s “Managing Flood Disasters under A Changing Climate: Lessons from South Africa,” published in 2011 (see pages 17-18; available at https://www.proshareng.com/admin/upload/reports/ManagingFloodDisastersUnderAChanging ClimateLessonsFrom NigeriaAndSout Africa.pdf). Also, the introduction (page 2) of the dissertation also copied verbatim from Thomas C. Ricketts’ 2002 “Geography and Disparity in Health” (see pages 2-3, accessible at http://www.nationalacademies.org/hmd/~/media/Files/Activity%20Files/Quality/NHDRGuidance/DisparitiesRicketts.pdf). Not done yet, pages 2-3 of the thesis was equally stolen from “Deprivation Indices, Population Health and Geography: An Evaluation of the Spatial Effectiveness of Indices at Multiple Scales” (see pages 1-2 available at https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2219571/). It was published in 2007 in the Journal of Urban Health by Nadine Schuurman (et al). Page 3 of the thesis also stole from Mai Stafford’s “Neighbourhood Deprivation and Health: Does It Affect Us All Equally?” It was published in the International Journal of Epidemiology (see pages 2-3, accessible at https://academic.oup.com/ije/article/32/3/357/637091).

    The dissertation also copied Scott Baum and William Mitchell’s (2009) Geographic Disadvantage: The Demographics of Social Exclusion in Australia” (see page 6 accessible at http://library.bsl.org.au/jspui/bitstream/1/2852/1/Geographic%20disadvantage.pdf). If academic misdemeaours littering the opening pages of the thesis are reprehensible, other parts of the voluminous work reek of worse plagiarism, as monumental infractions are so pervasive in the 242-page dissertation that listing all the plagiarised sources will be like counting stars!

    But there is also a new discovery: Dr. Raheem is publishing his thesis in parts, though pretending to the academy that it is new research. Although self-plagiarism (where one’s previous work is reproduced without reference to the previous work) is ordinarily considered unethical, it becomes more critical when fictitious words or dates are inserted in the latter publication to make it appear like new research, thereby deceiving and misleading the world of scholarship. This, however, seems to mean nothing to UNILORIN ASUU Chairman. For example, his recent (2015) publication, “Understanding the Spatial Context of Sustainable Urban Health in Africa for the SDGs: Some Lessons from the Corridors of Deprivation in Ilorin, Nigeria,” is a reproduction of parts of his PhD thesis and other works of his. It was only made to look like a new research, which it obviously is not (see the recent article at https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/19376812.2015.1130100.). After critical analysis, it was established that the abstract of the ‘new’ work is a word-for-word reproduction of parts of the abstract of Dr. Raheem’s thesis of 2012. However, in the ‘new’ work, the year 2015 was inserted in passing to endue it with some measure of currency and newness.

     ‘I am not a plagiarist,’ says Raheem

     When contacted to clear the air on the many question marks on his publications, Dr. Raheem initially appeared obliging. He, however, flatly turned down the opportunity to defend himself, choosing to bare his mind in a telephone conversation, which he initiated, instead of responding to questions emailed to him. Although he acknowledged receipt of the emailed questions, he said he did not want to say anything. Among other complaints, the UNILORIN ASUU boss insisted that he had not been confronted with or sighted any petition that would warrant him to defend himself.

    “I am not a plagiarist and I have never been accused of plagiarism in my career. So I cannot respond in abstract,” he fired back with finality.

    Despite prodding him to change his mind, he stood his grounds. Even after he was reminded that a petition had been forwarded to the office of the Vice Chancellor since February by an Ibadan-based Centre for Academic Integrity, Dr. Raheem feigned ignorance of the matter, insisting that it was better for the university to speak on the issue.

    “Those writing petition are doing it for political reasons, but the university has its own procedure for doing things. It will be sub judice if I respond,” he said.

    When told that this was not a court matter and that it was better for him to embrace the opportunity to defend his academic integrity (since he has a list of his published journal articles and book chapters), he said he wanted it reported that he did not talk to this reporter and that “I also declined to respond to your email questions.”

    It was also a similar kettle of fish when The Nation reached out to Professor Sulyman Age Abdulkareem, Vice Chancellor of UNILORIN, who succeeded Prof Abdulganiyu Ambali last October. Surprisingly, the VC was also reticent when asked to provide updates on what UNILORIN had done regarding the petition, which detailed findings of plagiarism checks run on Dr. Raheem’s publications. Like his embattled subordinate, Prof Abdulkareem, an American-trained scholar with a track record of excellence, equally denied knowledge of the petitioners.

    “I am not aware of any organisation called Academic Integrity Group,” he replied tersely on Wednesday April 4.

    Not deterred by the VC’s response, The Nation tried to investigate further with a view to establishing one thing: whether the petition reached UNILORIN or not. Despite denials, this newspaper can authoritatively report that all available evidence suggested that the parcel (containing the petition) reached the university on March 2. Even before the parcel could reach UNILORIN via courier service delivery, the soft copy of the petition was sent as an email attachment to the VC’s official email address (vc@unilorin.edu.ng) on March 1. A copy of the attachment was also sent to the Registrar (registrar@unilorin.edu.ng) as well as the National Universities Commission, Minister of Education and ASUU national secretariat.

    As for the hard copy, there is also ample evidence that the petition was delivered safely to UNILORIN through express mail delivery of the Nigerian Postal Services (NIPOST). According to the EMS Ilorin delivery record, the petition (parcel number EE330115328NG), which was sent to UNILORIN on February 27, was received in the VC office on March 2 (exactly by 10.55am). Further checks revealed that Dare Olatoye, a Higher Executive Officer in the VC office, collected and signed for the parcel. Despite bringing all this to the attention of the VC, he still did not address the issues. Instead of digging into Dr. Raheem’s plagiarism issues with a view to ascertaining the truth and meting out appropriate punishment, the “better by far” university rewarded him with membership of a high-powered Committee on Certificate Screening to verify certificates of all staff members. The screening commenced April 24.

    But this would not be the first time a UNILORIN high-ranking academic fellow would be treated with kid gloves after being caught in the act, especially when culprits are those in the good books of the administration. A recent case was that of Dr. Abdullateef Usman, formerly of the Department of Economics in UNILORIN, whose plagiarism scandal and subsequent indictment were brazenly swept under the carpet during Professor Ambali’s reign as VC. Unlike the current case that was uncovered by external bodies, Dr. Usman’s was discovered by his own colleagues in the Faculty of Social Sciences. However, in spite of serious acts of plagiarism established against him by the Faculty of Social Sciences Investigative Committee, which probed the allegations against him and submitted its findings in 2015, UNILORIN still allowed Dr. Usman to go home and sin no more (seen The Nation of March 15, 2017 for details). Immediately after he was left off the hook through a curious resignation, an academic regarded as an administration crony during his days in UNILORIN suddenly emerged as a Professor and VC of Fountain University, a faith-based tertiary institution owned by the Nasrul-Lahi-il-Fatih Society (NASFAT), in Osogbo, capital of Osun State. Will Dr. Raheem enjoy the same reprieve or soft landing handed out to Dr. Usman during Professor Ambali’s administration? Only time can tell.

  • 12 states still in danger as Rivers Niger, Benue keep rising

    The raging flood, which has affected at least 12 states across the country, remains worrisome not only to the victims but also the government, as Rivers Niger and Benue continue to rise in volume, according to National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA)

    The current flood pattern, which experts say has shown indices of a similar natural disaster of 2012 in many parts of the country, has left hundreds of victims with tales of woes, with many others living in fear.

    A survey by the News Agency of Nigeria(NAN) showed that some lives have been lost while  farms, houses and livestock destroyed as floods ravage communities most parts of North-Central Nigeria, the region said to be most hit in this year flood.

    NAN correspondents who visited some of the affected areas in the region, report that many communities, especially those contiguous to Rivers Niger and Benue, have been submerged and in the process, victims have been relocated to camps opened by respective governments or seek refugee with relations.

    The agency reports that worst hit states are: Kogi, Niger, Taraba, Benue and Plateau with Kogi having Lokoja, Ibaji, Koton-Karfe, Bassa, Igalamela, Omala, Ajaokuta, Ofu and Idah councils so far affected.

    Residents of the affected local government areas have been relocated to the Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) camps or taking refugee with friends and relations house.

    Parts of the Lokoja-Abuja road has also been threatened by the ever increasing floods. According to Alhaji Alhassan Aiyegba, Executive Secretary,Kogi State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA), 64 communities have been submerged by the flood.

    “There are camps for the displaced persons, but the situations gets worse every minute,’’ Aiyegba said.

    Mr Sanusi Yahaya, the Commissioner for Environment and Natutral Resources, in the state also told NAN that the situation was becoming much frightening as more communities were being submerged in Lokoja, the state capital.

    “Government has set up a camp for the flood victims in Lokoja, the capital city. The worst hit areas are Wada Estate and the Old Poly Quarters,’’ he said.

    He said that the state government was collaborating with relevant stakeholders to ensure that relief materials and the essential facilities were provided in the camp.

    “We have had challenge of water supply, but that has been resolved. Light and a clinic are other challenges because the camp has not been connected to the national grid. But since it is an emergency, we will be solving the problems as they are identified.

    “Accommodation is still adequate for the number of people that are in the camp so far, and the camp can still accommodate more people.

    “Officials of NEMA visited the IDP camps in Koton-karfe few days ago and on their way to Lokoja with other team sent by the Federal Government,” Yahaya said.

    The commissioner advised residents of flood-prone communities to immediately relocate to safer places to avoid loss of lives and property.

    Yahaya noted that all the indices in place before the 2012 flood occurred had manifested.

    Mr James Ahmadu, Director of Relief and Rehabilitation of the Kogi State Emergency Management Agency, told NAN that the flood victims had been trooping into camps in Lokoja in their large number since it was set up.

    Ahmadu said that the data of the victims were being accommodated as they arrived, adding that about 100 households had arrived the camp.

    “Many victims are still coming with  majority of them being women and children,” Ahmadu said.

    Mr Umar Zakari, the Camp Leader, said that most of the victims were from Adankolo quarters where he said property, foodstuff and farms were totally destroyed by flood.

    He commended the state government for the temporary accommodation provided for victims and urged relevant stakeholders to join with government to cushion the effect of the natural disaster.

    “We thank government for providing water, but we need food, mosquito nets, light and clinic. Our children are getting sick,” Zakari said.

    NAN reports that Kogi government had earlier set up five camps in Kotokarfe, where about 64 communities have been submerged by flood.

    Among the submerged communities are highly populated settlements like Akpaku, Akpo, Ajara, Banda, Kpakpasu, Ozale, Opkakere, Agbawu and Adabode, among others.

    Meanwhile, the Chief Judge of the state, Justice Nasir Ajanah, has disclosed that the High Court complex, in Koton-Karfe was among structures submerged by flood.

    He said the court would be relocated “to ensure that the development does not affect the dispensation of justice.”

    Ajanah, while assessing the extent of damage on the submerged complex, also said that the relocation became imperative to arrest the perennial breaks in the administration of criminal justice in the area.

    “The busiest prison yard in the state is located is this town. So, it is important that we relocate the court from here to another location within the town.

    “That is the most important thing to do now because this is a very busy place”, he said.

    Ajanah said the cost of putting up a new complex for the High Court and the Chief Magistrate’s Court in Koton-Karfe would be included in the state supplementary budget.

    He expressed optimism that the supplementary budget would be approved and money released.

    As more displaced persons rush to IDPs camps in the state, the Nigerian Medical Association (NMA), Kogi chapter, has donated drugs to victims camps in Kogi and Kotonkarfe.

    Dr Kabiru Zubair, the state Chairman of the association, handed over the drugs to local government officials at the camps in Ogbakwu and Edeha communities.

    Zubair said: “We decided to visit the IDPs camps in Kotonkarfe to support and sympathise with them.

    The visit is also to educate them on hygiene in order to maintain clean environment and avoid outbreak of communicable diseases.

    “Today, we have donated drugs such as Vitamin C, anti-malaria, antibiotics to the camps’ to aid in the management of some common diseases likely to occur in this kind of situation.

    “We have also sensitised them on health education in order to avoid outbreak of cholera and other communicable diseases, because prevention is better than cure.”

    The chairman also said that the chapter was also collaborating with the state government to provide manpower in the clinics in the camps.

    According to him, doctors will be on ground in all the camps throughout the period of the flood to ensure that patients are well managed.

    The situation appears the same in Taraba where hundreds of farmlands have already been submerged.

    Our correspondent, who visited some of the areas in the state reports that the situation had been compounded by the release of water from Lagdo Dam in Cameroun with hit Local Governments being Gassol, Ibi,Lau and Karim Lamido.

    In Gassol, flood has destroyed mass of farmlands while the council Chairman, Mr Yahuza Yau, confirming that two bridges had been damaged.

    Yau said the council has set up a committee to compile the list of villages affected while residents of villages along river Benue have been advised to relocate.

    Benue, severely hit last year, flood is also facing similar experience this year, though on a much smaller scale so far.

    NAN investigation also revealed that Wadata, High Level, Wurkun, Guma, Otukpo, and Logo Local Governments, hit last year, had yet to suffer major flood damage this year. However, to forestall colossal damage, the Benue State Government has dug drainage in most parts of Makurdi and constructed several canals where flooding was massive last year.

    According to Emmamnuel Shior, Executive Secretary, Benue State Emergency Management Agency, major water channels have been opened to avoid floods.

    He said people were being sensitised to take care of the environment and avoid building near river or blocking water ways.

    NAN learnt that Makurdi International Market was being prepared for people that might be affected by floods.

    At the city centre, NAN found that people in flood-prone areas had mobilised themselves to evacuate blocked drainage.

    In Niger, NAN found a more devastating situation with Bosso Local Government with record of some deaths.

    In Shiroro Local Government, the story was devastating with communities like Nungu, Ungwan Bagudu, Rafin Gora, Mashigi, Ungwar-Abok submerged by flood while the IDPs were sheltered at the Zungeru Primary School.

    In Lapai Local Government Area, it was a picture of farms, houses and livestock destroyed but Gov Abubakar Sani, who visited the area promised to look into ways to control the menace.

    In Plateau, floods were being experienced in the traditional areas comprising Ungwan Rogo and other settlements along Bauchi road.

    Alhaji Alhassan Barde, the Executive Secretary,Plateau Emergency Management Agency, blamed the recurrent flood in the area on residents’ stubbornness.

    “People get unnecessarily stubborn; they keep building houses along waterways and in water logged areas, year after year.

    “Sometimes, they ignore advice to relocate in the face of imminent danger, until it is too late. This is sad,’’ he lamented.

    The Commissioner of Environment, Abdullahi Abbas, however, told NAN that everything was being done to check the menace.

    “The flood was devastating in the past, especially in 2012; we do not want a repeat.’’

     

    Kano State Govt. approves N100m to support flood victims

    Kano State Government has approved N100 million as direct financial assistance to victims of flood disaster which ravaged 15 local government areas of the state.

    The state commissioner for Information, Malam Mohammed Garba disclosed this while briefing newsmen in Kano yesterday.

    Garba said the state government found it necessary to give immediate direct support to flood victims in the eight affected local government areas of the state in view of the magnitude of the disaster.

    He , however, called on the federal government for special intervention to further alleviate the sufferings of the affected communities.

     

    Adamu urges Fed Govt to boost strategic reserve

    The Chairman, Senate Committee on Agriculture, Senator Abdullahi Adamu, yesterday called for enhancement of the nation’s strategic reserve following fears of food shortage owing to the spate of flooding in the country.

    Adamu (APC-Nasarawa State), made the call in an interview with NAN in Abuja.

    He said it had become necessary for the nation to enhance its strategic reserve of the various food items.

    He called on the Federal Government to ensure price tag for every commodity as a way of forestalling food shortage in the country.

     

    Fed Govt pledges more resources to areas affected by flood in Anambra

    The Federal Government has pledged to deploy more relief materials to ameliorate the plight of flood victims in Umueze Anam in Anambra West Local Government Area (LGA) of Anambra state.

    Vice President Yemi Osinbajo made the promise yesterday when he visited the state to assess the flood situation.

    “I flew over those disaster areas and I witnessed the rise especially in Onitsha, Ogbaru, Awka North, Coscharis farm and other places.

    “We have directed the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), to continue deploying relief materials to various Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camps and some settlements whose residents have refused to evacuate from their homes,” he said.

    Osinbajo, who noted that the federal government had earlier released some materials for the displaced persons, said his visit was to have an on-the-spot assessment of the real situation on ground.

    Governor Willie Obiano said his government had heeded early warnings by meteorologists and taken proactive steps to contain the eventuality.

    According to him, such steps include establishment and equipment of 29 Holding Centers across the flood-prone areas, activation of relevant emergency response activities among others.

    Obiano said government had commenced collation of data on the displaced families, adding that with support from the federal government, it will provide them succour to enable them resettle after the deluge.

     

    Edo govt directs flood victims to relocate to IDPs camp

    The Edo State government has directed  victims  of the flooding in  Etsako Central and Etsako East Local Government Areas  to relocate to the camp created for Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs).

    Deputy Governor  Philip Shaibu gave the directive yesterday in Anegbette when he toured some of the affected communities.

    Shaibu assured the victims that government had made provisions for food, relief materials, health facilities and security at the IDPs camp pending the time the floodwater would recede.

    He underscored the need for the urgent evacuation of the flood victims to a safe location, adding that flooding could cause the outbreak of diseases.

    One of the flood victims, Mr Umaru Aminu, appealed to the government at all levels to come to their aid, saying that the flood incident had adversely affected them.

    He said that the flooding had taken over their farms and stopped their children from going to school.

     

    Winners’ Chapel donates

    The Living Faith Church (Winners’ Chapel), Lokongoma, Phase One, Lokoja on Thursday donated foodstuff to flood victims at Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camps in Lokoja.

    Pastor Ben Oluyemi, the State pastor of the church, while handing over the items to the camp leader at flood hostel in Wada Estate, Lokoja, said the church was there to give help to alleviate the suffering of the flood victims.

    “We came to the IDP camp to represent our father in the Lord, Bishop David Oyedepo, whose custom is to always to help the needy. We are here with his permission to help the flood victims.

    “The church is the light of the world that is delivering the world out of poverty, lack, sickness and disease, and from all oppressions of the devil,” Oluyemi said.

     

    Bayelsa RIFAN

    The Rice Farmers Association of Nigeria (RIFAN), Bayelsa chapter, says apart from flooding, portfolio farmers are also hampering the development of rice production in the state.

    Mr Ezekiel Ogbianko, the Chairman of the association, in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) yesterday in Yenagoa, called on both the federal and state government to come to their aid.

    “We are making progress in terms of rice farming in Bayelsa, but the challenges here are very enormous; they range from flooding to portfolio farmers.

    “The association is preparing for the dry season harvest, but the rain is not helping us; some of our lands at Ondowarie, Otuokpotu in southern-Ijaw Local Government Area have been submerged by flood.

    “Accessing the lands are difficult; we want the three tiers of government to help us; in the season’s harvest, we are expecting 4, 000 tonnes of rice because our plan is to make the local rice available for our people.”

     

     Katsina

    The Katsina State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA) said it had registered 731 victims of flood in Baure Local Government Area of the state.

    Alhaji Haruna Rigoji, the SEMA Executive Secretary said in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Baure on Thursday that the houses of 75 victims were completely destroyed.

    He added that the flood, recorded in Maibara district of the local government, also left 252 properties seriously damaged and 404 with partial damages.

    He assured that the agency would provide those whose houses were completely destroyed with alternative plots in safer areas and building materials to put up new structures.

     

     NYSC: no cause for alarm

    The National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) has said that there was no cause for alarm over the safety of corps members posted to serve in the areas affected by flooding in Anambra.

    The Coordinator of the NYSC in Anambra, Mr Kehinde Aremu, gave the assurance to corps members and Nigerians in an interview with NAN yesterday in Awka.

    Aremu said the scheme had asked employers who requested for Corps members to go to the various Local Government Headquarters for proper documentation of acceptance process.

    He disclosed that those already serving in the affected places had been directed to move upland.

     

     

     

  • ‘40 percent of the world’s poor will live in Nigeria, DRC by 2050’

    A document, The Goalkeepers Report, launched yesterday by the co-founder of Bill& Melinda Gates Foundation, Mr. Bill Gates, details how nations are doing in relation to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Excerpts from the report

    We usually express our optimism by highlighting some of the recent mind-blowing improvements in the human condition—like the fact that advances in medicine have saved 50 million lives just since we started our foundation in 2000. We believe it’s worth repeating that until we’re blue in the face.

    Sometimes, though, optimism requires being candid about the hard problems that still need to be solved. That’s what this year’s Goalkeepers Data

    Report aims to do: Confront a pressing yet neglected challenge, and identify some of the most promising strategies to meet it.

    To put it bluntly, decades of stunning progress in the fight against poverty and disease may be on the verge of stalling. This is because the poorest parts of the world are growing faster than everywhere else; more babies are being born in the places where it’s hardest to lead a healthy and productive life. If current trends continue, the number of poor people in the world will stop falling—and could even start to rise.

    But the reason we started our foundation is that current trends don’t have to continue. We believe— and history proves—that poor countries can chart a new course by investing in their young people.

    Today’s booming youth populations can be good news for the economy; if young people are healthy, educated, and productive, there are more people to do the kind of innovative work that stimulates rapid growth. This helps explain the amazing progress of the past generation in most of the world, and it is the key to spreading that progress everywhere.

    Our late friend Hans Rosling brilliantly described people’s different standards of living using the metaphor of how they travel: From sandals to bicycles to cars to airplanes.

    Since 2000, more than a billion people have lifted themselves out of the extreme poverty represented by the sandal. The number is so huge that it’s almost impossible to appreciate the scale of this achievement. Above the extreme poverty line of $1.90 per day, people may still be poor, but they can begin to think beyond mere survival and look to the future.

    This progress has come in waves. The first wave centered on China; the second wave centered on India. As a result of successes in Asia, the geography of poverty is changing: Extreme poverty is becoming heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan African countries.

    By 2050, that’s where 86 percent of the extremely poor people in the world are projected to live. Therefore, the world’s priority for the next three decades should be a third wave of poverty reduction in Africa.

    One of the obstacles the continent faces is rapid population growth. Africa as a whole is projected to nearly double in size by 2050, which means that even if the percentage of poor people on the continent is cut in half, the number of poor people stays the same. Even so, for most African countries, the outlook is positive. For example, Ethiopia, once the global poster child for famine, is projected to almost eliminate extreme poverty by 2050.

    The challenge is that within Africa, poverty is concentrating in just a handful of very fast-growing countries. By 2050, for example, more than 40 percent of the extremely poor people in the world will live in just two countries: Democratic Republic of the Congo and Nigeria. Even within these countries, poverty is concentrating in certain areas.

    Poverty in these areas is unique. It’s rooted in violence, political instability, gender inequality, severe climate change, and other deep-seated crises. It’s also tied to other problems, including high rates of child mortality and malnutrition. As a result, today’s poorest people have significantly fewer opportunities than most of the billion people who escaped poverty during the first two waves.

    The conclusion is clear: To continue improving the human condition, our task now is to help create opportunities in Africa’s fastest-growing, poorest countries.

    This means investing in young people. Specifically, it means investing in their health and education, or what economists call “human capital.”

    Africa is a young continent. Nearly 60 percent of Africans are under the age of 25. Compare that to 27 percent of Europeans. The median age across Africa is 18. Compare that to 35 in North America (or 47 in Japan).

    Recently, there’s been a lot of discussion about what happens if large numbers of young people in the poorest countries are denied opportunities to build better lives. People worry about insecurity, instability, and mass migration. We wish they would also recognize young people’s enormous potential to drive economic growth. They are the activists, innovators, leaders, and workers of the future.

    Investing in young people’s health and education is the best way for a country to unlock productivity and innovation, cut poverty, create opportunities, and generate prosperity. Human capital is not a magic bullet, but it has played a pivotal role in the  success of emerging economies around the world.

    Projections show that human-capital investments can do the same for the poorest countries in Africa.

    Across sub-Saharan Africa, these investments could increase the size of the economy by nearly 90 percent by 2050, making it much more likely that the poorest countries can break through their stagnation and follow the path of China and India.

    There are blueprints for investing successfully in human capital.

    First, health: Most African countries have participated in the global revolution in child survival.