Politics, geography and security

Human  values , perceptions and expectations globally are changing dramatically ,  basically  because the world  because of the internet and information technology has become a  ‘ global village’ . The  little  hand phone has become a mine of  information and knowledge  such that  someone once said that  knowledge has become democratized in a way  that even  universities  and professors have  no exclusive  monopoly  as before,  over their many  disciplines and  subjects . To  me it is a withering of geography as we know it physically or the disappearance of national borders and boundaries  that use to control  migrations and immigrations globally . That  perspective is the engine room of our discussion today .

In   Nigeria the choice of presidential  candidates has shown the importance and relevance of both geography and religion  in a  multiethnic and multicultural nation like  ours which,  because of a strive for equity and fairness in the distribution of the national wealth and largesse, . cannot afford  to  ignore  its geopolitical  zones and spread . Yet  it   is often forgotten in making  national  appointments and  acknowledging our diversity that values in these various geographical zones vary not only in terms of the six zones as we know them territorially  but also in terms of  the people  and tribes in the constituent  entities and nations in each zone . Thus making choices on geographical or  religious grounds is just  the tip of the iceberg  in arriving or achieving a national  concensus or  understanding  on who is or not a fair choice in leading the nation as President or Vice  President  .  This   is because though  geography  matters  it comes a close second to culture in fusing a nation because values in various tribes and ethnic groups prevail over anything else in political  leadership and expectations .

Today  however we look at human  values in various  settings with the above topic  in mind .  We  examine the issue of  security in Nigeria especially  with  the  attack  on the Kuje prison facility  near  Abuja  and the visit of the president to the prison thereafter .  We    examine   a rare  security  alarm   by both  the US  and UK  security  outfits   on the danger  posed   to  global  security   by the Chinese  government under the   leadership of the Chinese Communist Party .  We  look at how mendacity is decimating the cabinet system  in Britain’s Parliamentary democracy under the collapsing leadership of  PM  Boris Johnson .  We wonder why Nigerians think that a Nigerian  politician like Peter Obi  a political  light weight  nationally ,    can replicate  what happened  some time in France and Ukraine’s presidential elections ,   in the coming 2023 presidential  elections in Nigeria .

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According  to reports the Nigerian  president visited Kuje prison  after the attack  on the facility   and  complained about the security lapse that  led to the attack  and flew  out  to an international conference  immediately  .This  was after a convoy that  was going to the president’s  hometown of  Daura  preparatory  to Sallah  celebrations was attacked   by  some   terrorists . It  is my view that the president should be careful  in that the terrorists  seem  to know how to infiltrate our state security  network . Reportedly in Kuje  , Boko Haram came  to release their  leaders confined there and reportedly they freed them .  These  same terrorists have links with those involved in the  recent Kaduna train attacks  and they still  hold hostages  while asking that their leaders in prison should be freed and from all  indications they seem to know where their leaders are being kept .Which  showed that they have inside information on the security  of their leaders . That  is dangerous  for the security of the nation and the president should  just  fix the loopholes in our security apparatus on his return from the international  conference and after Sallah  , if  not before .As     the saying   goes  -‘  a  stitch  in time saves nine    and   life   has   no duplicate  , especially where presidential  and state security are both  so  precariously   involved . 

The  two  leading security  outfits of western civilization  , the   US  FBI   and UK ‘s   M 15 freezed  geography  literally as  their leaders gave a rare  joint  press  conference  in London  to alert the world on the immense threat  to global peace and stability  posed  by China, its leaders and the governing Chinese Communist Party .They accused China of stealing western technology and interfering in elections both now and in the past in both nations and putting in place strategies and plans   to rebuff or contain  economic sanctions expected against  it  , similar  to those Russia is suffering from over its invasion of Ukraine , if and when , as expected China attacks or invades Taiwan .  The  security  bosses addressed an assembly of businessmen and warned that global  business would be affected as never before if China attacks Taiwan . They  conveniently forgot the geography, history  and politics of China  which  holds  Taiwan  as an integral  part of its  territory . They also forgot that China is still  reeling from the trade sanctions  of the Trump  presidency and is heaving a sigh of relief that Trump  is out of power and  China  is chummier with the Biden presidency   ,    obviously because of the underhand deals of the US president’s  son,  Hunter ,   in both China and Ukraine, a deal  not  covered by CNN and the anti Trump  media  in the US   both  before and after the 2020 US presidential election  The two security  chiefs seem  to have forgotten   too  that  China  values  law  and order  more than  their own  political and ideological  systems especially in the US  where gender equality , sex  ,   gun rights  and   abortion   have   replaced  patriotism  ,   good governance and general  security  .

Similarly  in Britain,  the  PM  has  lost  credibility not only  in Parliament  but with  both his party and the opposition . The issue of sexual harassment  by an MP he  just  appointed has led to  the resignation of many of his ministers and his cabinet is about to collapse . Yet  the stubborn PM refuses to resign saying he has a great mandate from the electorate and he cannot abandon that now especially  now that there is war in Europe in Ukraine . He  even  tossed geography overboard  when  he refused  to consider a letter from Scotland’s First Minister to reconsider another referendum on Scotland’s  Independence saying that the Scots have rejected that recently  ,  and that  should stand for now . In  Britain  where parliament is run   mostly on unwritten rules , values and tradition ,  Boris Johnson  poses a great threat  to political stability because of his penchant for serial mendacity on many things he has said and declined  publicly . I  once  expressed a grudging respect for his confidence and audacity in the face of many  odds but  now I fear  for his political  life as leader in a political system which  has little or no respect  for  leaders who lack scant   or  no credibility . I think  Boris Johnson’s days as UK’S PM are  numbered   indeed as  he  juggles lies,  amnesia  and excuses to  remain  in power by all means .

Whilst  most  Nigerians are resigned to a battle royal  in the 2023 presidential  elections between Atiku of the PDP and the Jagaban  who is the front runner and my favourite to win , it is amazing that some people in the social   media are touting a political  light weight Peter Obi as an alternative . This reminds me of the  saying that if wishes  were  horses beggars would ride cars . This is a  man  whose negotiations for a running mate has blown  up   in his face overnight . I think  his twitter and mass media supporters are  just dreaming  of the way  that Emanuel  Macron emerged from obscurity  to become the French president and  repeated the feat in his relection this year . Or  they watch  the Ukranean President  too much on CNN and  relish the fact that  he was a mere TV actor  before  getting  elected   as president  unbelievably in Ukraine before the Russian invasion of his country . But  is that  possible in Nigeria ? I  say  no , categorically  because Nigeria  is immensely  different and  more diverse than both France and Ukraine in many  respects . Nigeria  is very much ‘ work  in progress’ and the presidential candidates of the two major parties  know the  nation like the back of their hands and   I believe that the Jagaban can fix many of  our problems especially  those of security , geography , and  the economy ,  . This is because  , as I have written recently  ,   of his experience in governance  and leadership in Lagos state which houses Nigeria’s  commercial capital . Lagos  is mini Nigeria and is a place where millions of Nigerians flock   daily  to’ find gold on the  streets ‘ of Lagos  like  the young   William   Whittington  sought for on the streets of London  in the  famous English   fable ,   ages  ago .The Jagaban  , if given the opportunity at the polls  will  fix  Nigeria’s many political potholes  and security  minefields ,  because he has the experience of keeping Lagos safe and secure  for booming business for all Nigerians irrespective of their state of origin , religion , geographical  extraction and security  concerns . For  once ,  I believe,  with him at the helm ,   we are about to  get it right and move on . This   certainly  is not a time for extravagant   experiment  with political  minions  or  lightweights ,  who  generate even more security risks  and   concerns , than  opportunities    or  experience to get us out of the rot  we are dismally  struggling in,  for  now  . A word , certainly   ,  is enough for the wise .

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