Tag: Coup

  • Beyond trial of coup plotters

    Beyond trial of coup plotters

    Last week, the federal government finally announced its readiness to constitute military judicial panels to try some 16 coup plotters who late last year allegedly planned to overthrow the government. Their civilian accomplices, still unnumbered and identities undisclosed, will also be arraigned sometime later. The plot, military investigators revealed, involved an almost total decapitation of the country’s leadership in a manner that gave indications that Nigerian soldiers have forgotten how to plan coups. While the law will almost certainly be applied to its fullest in the trial, the plot itself presents a few lessons to the government, the military, and the people.

    The first lesson applies to the military. The last time a successful coup was planned and executed in Nigeria was actually in August 1985 by Gen. Ibrahim Babangida. The April 1990 Maj. Gideon Orkar coup failed disastrously, and the November 1993 so-called coup against the Ernest Shonekan-led interim government was not really a coup in any sense of the word, and was inspired by the courts which had declared the administration illegal. A Lagos High Court headed by Justice Dolapo Akinsanya had in November 1993 declared the Interim National Government headed by Chief Shonekan as ‘illegal and void’. Seven days later, Gen. Sani Abacha forced the illegal administrator’s resignation. And so, forty years after their last successful coup, ambitious military adventurers may have completely forgotten the dynamics of coup-making.

    The Nigerian military has also never successfully executed a coup inspired by one region against another. The January 1966 coup led by mainly Igbo officers failed despite eliminating many political actors and overthrowing the Northern-led federal administration, while the retaliatory July 1966 coup merely restored power into the hands of northerners. In addition, the coup against Gen. Yakubu Gowon was led by his own kinsmen, while the one against Shehu Shagari was also led by his kinsmen, and the one against Muhammadu Buhari was again led by his kinsmen. How the 16 coup plotters of 2025 misread the dynamics of coup-making in Nigeria by leading a group of northern officers to attempt to overthrow a southern president may in fact corroborate the findings by military investigators that the 2025 coup mastermind failed promotion examinations. In other words the plotters were not bright and could not smartly interpret Nigeria’s historical and political circumstances. Had they succeeded in decapitating the administration, it is unlikely they would have been able to manage the aftermaths, regardless of how many thousands poured into the streets to welcome them.

    A third lesson offers itself so clearly to the plotters that it is difficult to explain how they missed it. Quite apart from the internal logic of Nigerian coups aligning with ethnic consanguinity, the only two successful coups ever executed in the country came at a time when the population had not exploded to the level it is today, at over 200 million. How on earth did the plotters hope to manage such an explosive mix of people, and with how many troops, and at a time when the country is besieged on all sides by insurgents, bandits and self-determination forces? And, worse, how would they hope to accommodate intensely fragmented and fratricidal forces all over the country when democracy itself was struggling to gain and retain control? Contemporary West African coup affairs should have lent some lessons to the Nigerian plotters. Among the West African countries where successful or failed coups have taken place, none of them is considerably larger than Lagos State in population. Burkina Faso’s population is about 23.5m; Niger Republic, 27m; Mali, 24.5m; Guinea, 15m; and Benin Republic, 14.5m.

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    It was not just incompetence that propelled the Nigerian plotters; their sanity should also be examined. Yes, they may be fit to stand trial, but it may in fact be necessary to find out how their minds worked or failed to work. That other coup plotters succeeded in some parts of West Africa does not mean that they would succeed in Nigeria regardless of its huge population and combustible ethnic mix. Did they forget that the January 1966 coup also attracted initial welcome in many parts of the North, only to collapse later when ethnic suspicion and rivalry issues kicked in? The bigger lesson for the military and adventurous soldiers is to do self-introspection on how easily susceptible they are to misreading the noise and incitement on social media or even the instigation by politicians grieving over lost elections. There were indications that those who investigated last year’s coup plot found out that the plotters misread signals from the populace. The plotters believed that the fiery rhetoric on social and mainstream media as well as the street protests against economic hardship easily amounted to wholesale disaffection with the government. It is true that as the new administration’s economic reforms began, hunger and other forms of sufferings also exploded; but many sensible analysts, economists and politicians understood that in order to make an omelette, egg had to be broken. However, beguiled public commentators ignorant of the scope of the economic troubles bequeathed the new administration in 2023 simply absolved the previous administration of blame, heaped all the troubles on the new government, and began whooping for coup or revolution, whichever came first.

    The people and the government also have lessons to learn from the coup plot tragedy. It is bewildering that politicians, the media, and diverse commentators hitched on the agitation bandwagon to attempt to rewrite the country’s electoral laws after the elections by denouncing the provision of simple majority and 25 percent of two-thirds of the states, and also discrediting both the vote count in general as well as the eventual winner. They then campaigned openly and shamelessly for coup or revolution. Meanwhile, apart from being aware that some soldiers were probably listening, they also instigated children to man barricades, waved foreign flags of repressive and brutal foreign governments, and even readied themselves to tolerate and endure the collapse of democracy. It was, therefore, not surprising that eventually a group of soldiers hearkened to their cries and tried incompetently to unseat the administration. What of the people who spoke daggers on the social and traditional media? What absolution can they plead? In contrast, imagine if the First Republic had not been terminated by a coup. Imagine if the Second Republic had also not been terminated. More than four times after every coup the country had had to reboot, and each time, it had always encountered the same problems it tried to wish away or abridge.

    It is too early to determine how the military tribunal would judge the plotters, or whether the true motives of the plotters would be exposed during trial. They may not give the tribunal or the public a window into their fears, whether if they had achieved partial success or even full success they could hold the country together. The country may also never know whether their private grievances or lust for power prompted their ill-fated adventure, or whether they harboured any noble motives for the country’s greatness and had a great and tested programme of social, economic and political salvation. What will be known or passed on to the public will probably be the extent of each plotter’s involvement and a confirmation of how they hoped to execute their plans. They will also probably reveal their financiers and indicate how they wished to constitute their government. As for the aftermaths of the coup, had they carried it out, they were probably too naïve to dwell on it or care.

    It is also unlikely that the coup plotters would have nursed the ambition to overthrow the government if they didn’t think they would be lionised. The factor of incitement should be emphasised in the trial to serve as a lesson to those who think it is chic to indulge in all manner of ranting and fiery rhetoric on social media in the name of free speech. Unrestrained speech, it is now clear, sometimes produces terrible consequences. Calling for a revolution or a coup is equivalent to calling for the overthrow of the constitution. The agitators cannot, therefore, turn round to plead the protection of a constitution they wish to destroy. By not calling to account those who agitate in the media for the overthrow of the constitution, the government enables the subversive campaign to continue relentlessly, while some misled soldiers begin to harbour foolish thoughts as to the practicability of seizing power by force, regardless of the terrible consequences for stability and national unity. Already, some political leaders have begun wetting the ground to germinate chaos by suggesting that the 2027 elections would be free only if the opposition won.

  • Nigeria condemns attempted coup in Benin Republic

    Nigeria condemns attempted coup in Benin Republic

    Nigeria has strongly condemned the attempted forcible seizure of power in the Republic of Benin in the early hours of Sunday, December 7.

    In a statement, the federal government described the act as a direct assault on democracy, constitutional order, and the collective will of the Beninese people.

    Nigeria reassured the government of Benin of its full support and continued cooperation.

    The statement, signed by Kimiebi Imomotimi Ebienfa, Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, reads in part, “The Government of the Federal Republic of Nigeria has received with grave concern and unequivocally condemns in the strongest possible terms the attempted forcible seizure of power in our friendly neighbour and brotherly nation, the Republic of Benin, in the early hours of Sunday, 7th December 2025.

    “This act of destabilization represents a direct assault on democracy, constitutional order, and the collective will of the Beninese people, who have consistently demonstrated their commitment to peaceful political transitions. Nigeria stands in firm solidarity with the Government and people of the Republic of Benin, and applauds the swift action taken by Beninese authorities to protect its legitimate institutions and preserve the peace.”

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    “We commend the courage and professionalism of the Beninese security forces in defending the constitutional order and guaranteeing the safety of the President. Their dedication ensured that the unfortunate attempt to subvert democracy was decisively repelled.

    “Nigeria reiterates its strong commitment to the principles of democracy, good governance, and the rule of law as fundamental pillars for peace, development, and regional stability. Unconstitutional changes of government are an unacceptable and retrogressive step that threatens the hard-earned democratic gains and socio-economic progress of our sub-region.

    “As a steadfast partner within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the African Union, Nigeria calls on all member states and the international community to unite in condemning this act and in reaffirming our shared commitment to the African Union’s Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance, and the ECOWAS Protocol on Democracy and Good Governance.

    “We urge all parties in the Republic of Benin to remain calm, uphold the rule of law, and continue to channel any political discourse through peaceful, constitutional, and democratic means.

    “The federal government of Nigeria reassures the Government of the Republic of Benin of its full support and continued cooperation as we work together, as brothers and partners, to deepen democracy and ensure lasting peace and prosperity for our peoples and the entire West African region.”

  • ICADAR condemns coup in Benin Republic

    ICADAR condemns coup in Benin Republic

    • …urges action against rising unconstitutional power grabs in Africa

    The Impacthive Centre for Accountability, Democracy and Rights (ICADAR) has condemned the military takeover in the Republic of Benin, describing it as a major setback for democratic governance and regional stability.

    In a statement issued on Sunday and signed by its Executive Director, Dr. Bello Ishaq, the organisation expressed deep concern over what it called the “unconstitutional usurpation of power,” stressing that the democratic order must be restored without delay.

    ICADAR warned that coups undermine the democratic aspirations of citizens and represent growing threats to peace and development across West Africa.

    “Such acts destabilize nations and threaten peace, stability, and development across the region,” the statement said.

    According to the group, the resurgence of military interventions in Africa is linked to bad governance, corruption, economic hardship, and the weakening of democratic institutions.

    It also cited recurring leadership crises, lack of accountability, and the breakdown of the rule of law among factors generating public frustration that military actors exploit.

    The centre stressed the need for stronger democratic institutions, transparent governance, and policies that tackle corruption and socio-economic grievances.

    It urged African leaders to prioritise accountability and inclusive governance to restore trust and reduce tensions that encourage coups.

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    ICADAR also accused unnamed external actors of sponsoring unconstitutional changes of government for selfish interests, calling for decisive measures against such interference.

    It urged ECOWAS, the African Union, and other international partners to intensify diplomatic engagement, impose sanctions on coup plotters, and support peaceful democratic transitions.

    The organisation noted that addressing unemployment, inequality, and poverty would remain central to preventing further political instability across the continent.

    It also called for wider civic participation and political inclusion, particularly for marginalised groups, to reduce feelings of alienation and disenfranchisement.

    “Africa’s progress depends on sustained democratic governance, respect for human rights and the rule of law,” ICADAR said, calling on governments, civil society, regional institutions and global partners to collaborate in safeguarding democratic systems.

  • Benin Republic arrests three for coup plot

    Benin Republic arrests three for coup plot

    Benin’s state prosecutor announced the arrest of three prominent men on suspicion of planning a “coup d’etat” in the country.

    Mario Metonou, special prosecutor at Benin’s financial crimes and terrorism court made the announcement at a mews conference.

    He said former sports minister Oswald Homeky, Republican Guard Commander Djimon Dieudonne Tevoedjre, and Olivier Boko, a businessman close to President Patrice Talon, were detained on charges of plotting a coup.

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    “It appears that the Republican Guard commander in charge of the president’s security was engaged by Homeky and Boko to carry out a coup d’etat by force on Sept. 27,” the prosecutor said.

    Homeky was detained on Tuesday while handing over six bags of cash totaling 1.5 billion CFA francs (2.5 million U.S. dollars) to Tevoedjre, the prosecutor said.

    Investigations are ongoing to identify further suspects, he added.

  • “Coup” in Nigeria’s North and the Federation Account

    “Coup” in Nigeria’s North and the Federation Account

    By Yushau Shuaib

    The terrifying videos were not from Hollywood movies but scenes from Northern Nigeria during the #EndBadGovernance protest. The so-called protesters invaded a Government House, vandalised public facilities, looted an ICT training centre, carted away a Police station signpost, invaded banks, destroyed a mosque, hijacked a Personnel Armour Carrier, flew foreign flags, sought foreign intervention, and chanted “Yara Me Kuke so; Wiwi Mukeso!” in Hausa, meaning “Children, what do you want? cannabis is what we want!”

    The ‘protest’ in the North is akin to a coup targeted at Arewa leaders. As a Northerner, I feel ashamed to be represented by these scenes displayed by our children and youths. However, this is not the first time such incidents have occurred in the region. The only difference this last time was that there were no reported mass killings, unlike similar past incidents.

    In my article, “Killing in the Name of the Devil”, written after a similar act of riotous protest in Maiduguri, Borno State, in 2006, I pointed out that the marauders’ acts of violence were not in the name of the Almighty God or any just cause, but they were enacted in the name of the devil, and as possibly influenced by undesirable godfathers, selfish elites, drug addiction, illiteracy, and endemic poverty. Today, Borno State is regarded as the epicentre of terrorism in Nigeria.

    Rather than protesting injustice and the lackadaisical attitudes of their leaders, Northerners often condone their excesses. When the massacre of the Shi’ites, including pregnant women and kids, by soldiers, occurred in Kaduna in December 2015, many young miscreants sought recourse in looting from the corpses and other victims. The elite and the youths kept silent because the then President and principal security chiefs were Northerners. Kaduna today hosts the dens of kidnapping kingpins and recurrent ethnic violence.

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    The people never protested against terrorism in the North-East, banditry in the North-West, or the farmer-herder conflicts in the North-Central. They never protested over the endemic corruption of the political leaders, especially governors, who receive billions of naira from the Federation Account and utilise a chunk of these to address the relentless insecurity in the region through the so-called security votes.

    I often wonder about the correlation between security challenges and security votes as they grow together like the Siamese twins. Insecurity has become a booming business in Arewa for the perpetrators and the humanitarian groups and actors, with international bodies and NGOs competing for space to exhibit their concerns as they concentrate substantial financial resources on programmes in those areas.

    Yet, the activities of undesirable elements, including riotous protesters, have deterred local entrepreneurs from investing in the region for fear of disruption and the destruction of their businesses. Even the wealthiest Northerners would instead invest elsewhere than in the region. Currently, there is a widening gap between the Northern and Southern states regarding development.

    For instance, in the last Annual State Viability Index (ASVI) published by Economic Confidential in December 2023, Lagos generated more revenue than all the 16 Northern states combined in 2022, with its internally generated revenue (IGR) of N651 billion constituting 176 per cent of its receipt from the Federation Account of N370 billion. Even a neighbouring state, Ogun, generated an IGR of N120 billion, 106 per cent of its federal allocation of N113 billion.

    Most states in the North, including where protesters were calling for a coup and foreign intervention, hardly generate 20% of what they get from the federal government, as their own IGR. Kano, which received N226bn from the Federation Account in 2022, generated N42.5bn internally, translating to 18.7 per cent of the Manna from Abuja. Similarly, Katsina, former President Muhammadu Buhari’s home state, only made an IGR of N13bn after it collected N165bn from the Federation Account.

    As a panellist at the Wole Soyinka Centre for Investigative Journalism (WSCIJ) discussion on matters of Local Voices, I underscored the pivotal role of the media and citizens in upholding accountability among state governors and local government authorities concerning the substantial resources they receive monthly from the central government.

    With references to Northern states, I disclosed how billions are allocated to each state while their local governments (LGs) receive hundreds of millions of naira in monthly disbursements from Abuja. I cited the FAAC distributions in June 2024 as example: Borno received N10.8 billion, while its 27 LGs shared an additional N8.7 billion; Kaduna collected N12 billion, while its 23 LGs received N9 billion; Kano was given N15.4 billion, whilst its 44 LGs received N15.3 billion; and Katsina got N11.4 billion, whereas its 34 LGs shared N11 billion.

    Each state’s LG got N300 – N400 million monthly. Given these substantial allocations, the rioters must be aware of the humongous releases to their respective states. With the statutory financial interventions, it is pathetic that the Arewa region still accounts for high poverty rates (over 70% of the population living below the poverty line), high unemployment and underemployment, low Human Development Index (HDI), low literacy and education levels, high food insecurity, particularly in conflict-affected areas.

    Despite being richly endowed with natural resources, the North fails to capitalise on its various potentials. With vast agricultural land and livestock, the North can provide food security for Nigeria. Its hydroelectric power and solar energy potentials can drive industrialisation; forests and mineral resources offer significant tourism opportunities to attract foreign investment. But some communities remain vulnerable to non-state actors because the leadership prioritizes political patronage over empowering the youth with modern skills.

    We must acknowledge some notable peaceful protesters, like a young lady whose heart-wrenching testimony in a video at the hunger protest moved me deeply. Severely hungry, sick, and unable to afford food or medication, she spoke out for many suffering in silence while appealing to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to hear their voices and act.

    Despite efforts by NSA Nuhu Ribadu, CDS Gen. Chris Musa, Information Minister Idris Malagi, and others to contain the recent hunger protest, there are concerns that future agitations may be spontaneous and unpredictable. Northern leaders must therefore address insecurity, harness regional resources for economic growth and reduce overdependence on oil revenue. Rampant oil thefts and volatility in other mineral-producing regions highlight the need for proactive measures to ensure stability.

    What would happen if the Federation Account allocations to states were stopped or a conflict broke out that prevented the extraction and production of oil in Nigeria?

    Yushau Shuaib is the author of “Award-Winning Crisis Communication Strategies” Email: yashuaib@yashuaib.com

  • Why coup is common in Africa – UNDP

    Why coup is common in Africa – UNDP

    …as Nigeria sends 197 soldiers to Gambia on peacekeeping

    The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) has identified over-ambition of young military officers who do not want to wait for their turn as one of the major causes of coups d’état in Africa.

    The UNDP Team Lead, Governance, Peace and Security, Matthew Alao, made this known shortly after the Graduation Ceremony of the Leadership and National Cohesion Course  at Martin Luther Agwai International Leadership and Peacekeeping Centre, Jaji, Kaduna State.

    While stating that the military cannot be divorced from the society where it situates, the UNDP team lead listed over-ambition by young military officers, eroding core societal values, religious beliefs, and lack of education as the key reasons for more coups in West African countries and Africa at large.

    While warning that this leadership deficit is taking a toll on the country and should be addressed right from the family unit to the community level, Alao also described Nigeria today as very individualistic, saying, “We have lost it. Now it’s all about I and my family. And this is leading us nowhere. This is why this course is very critical at this moment.”

    Alao said the leadership course, which happened to be the brainchild of the past Commandant of the Peacekeeping Centre, Major General Obinna, was born due to the spate of coups happening in West Africa. 

    “They felt that providing leadership training to the middle-level military and civilians is an antidote to it. They felt that because that quality training, that orientation on subordination is weakening in the military and political space of West Africa. They felt that UNDP, with the funding made available by the government of Japan, is sponsoring it,” Alao added.

    On the persistent coups and counter-coups staged in Africa by military officers, Alao said the fundamental problem the world is facing today is the lack of core values. 

    “Our core values are fast breaking down. You will see agitation and expectation on so many issues that may not be reality.

    “Most people don’t go to school. Some do go to school but do not have employable skills. This contributes to what is happening. And because the military cannot be divorced from the society where it situates, they also feel part of that agitation. When that cry is going on, it speculates and overshadows the event. I think that is one of the reasons for coups.

    “Then, maybe over-ambition by the young officers. They don’t want to wait for their turn. The idea of young people wanting to be there is another cause of coups.

    “Young people need to learn. Because if young people don’t learn, we continue to somersault. After all, this country was ruled by 27-year-olds. At a point they delivered, but they didn’t deliver well. If the military of those days had the necessary experience and requisite vision when Nigeria was still in the morning, they would have planned our future and laid the foundation and we wouldn’t be where we are today. We wouldn’t be clamoring for roads, infrastructure, and all that. Suppose the people that found this country, like Chief Obafemi Awolowo, were able to do something up to the late 80s, Nigeria would have been better than this. The situation we are now is dangerous.

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    “In those days, Ibadan was flourishing, Kaduna was a hub, Lagos was a factory ground, but within a blink of an eye under the Structural Adjustment Program, everything collapsed.”

    Meanwhile, the Commandant, Peacekeeping Centre, Kaduna, Maj. Gen. Ademola Adedoja, said that 167 soldiers would be deployed to The Gambia on a peacekeeping mission.

    Adedoja announced this at the graduation of the troops from Pre-deployment Training at the Nigerian Army Peacekeeping Centre (NAPKC), Jaji, in Kaduna State on Friday. 

    He said that the officers have gone through intense training in line with the Standard UN Core Pre-Deployment Training Modules.

    The six-week Pre-deployment Training, according to him, commenced on 4 May 2024 and aimed to equip the earmarked unit with the requisite skills and knowledge to function effectively and efficiently in their deployment to The Gambia. 

    He said that as part of their training, the troops were taken through cross-cutting issues like Sexual Exploitation and Abuse, Conflict-Related Sexual Violence, Conduct and Discipline, as well as Protection of Civilians, amongst others, expressing optimism that without gainsaying, they have been adequately prepared for the mission at hand.

    He cautioned the officers to avoid any ugly incidents like trafficking of illicit substances and sexual exploitation and abuse that could tarnish the image of the country and the Nigerian Armed Forces, while explaining that the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has zero tolerance for such acts. He noted that the Nigerian government will not tolerate any contravention of these rules and regulations.

    “The Pre-Deployment Training was to equip the earmarked unit with the requisite skills and knowledge to function effectively and efficiently in their deployment to The Gambia. 

    As part of their training, the troops were taken through cross-cutting issues like Sexual Exploitation and Abuse, Conflict-Related Sexual Violence, Conduct and Discipline, as well as Protection of Civilians, amongst others. It is without gainsaying that they have been adequately prepared for the mission at hand.

    “For me, today’s graduation ceremony once more shows the commitment of Nigeria and the Nigerian Armed Forces to global peace and security. Nigeria has since the 1960s contributed troops to different peace support operations from Congo, Yugoslavia, and Lebanon, amongst others. Also, as the powerhouse of the West Africa sub-region, Nigeria has committed both human and material resources to the attainment of peace in the sub-region,”the commandant stated. 

  • Coup attempt in separatist garb

    Coup attempt in separatist garb

    Ibadan, the political headquarters of the Southwest, has a rich history. But that enviable background is scarred by the region’s monumental crisis of the First Republic from which it derived the appellation: ‘wild, wild West’. The ancient city remains till today politically volatile because of diverse interests.

    Politics as interesting as it is can be combustible too. War, unfortunately, defined the region’s politics of that  era, following the leadership crisis that rocked the ruling Action Group in 1964. The crisis split the House of Parliament between supporters of the region’s first premier, Chief Obafemi Awolowo, and his successor, Chief Ladoke Akintola.

      Ibadan has yet to shake off this toga of trouble some 60 years after. On Saturday, the ancient city was on the boil again. This time, it was not as a result of a political crisis, but over the agitation for a Yoruba Nation! This separatist agenda was spearheaded by some elements who stormed the Oyo State Secretariat and the House of Assembly Complex close to it.

    History was not about to repeat itself though, despite the misadventure which happened on the same grounds as that of the 1964 ‘peculiar mess’ (Penkelemesi). The House of Assembly now sits in the old Parliament Building where the supporters of Awolowo and Akintola fought bitterly. The secretariat hosts Governor Seyi Makinde just as it served Awolowo and Akintola in their own time. Awolowo had handed over to Akintola as premier to be opposition leader in Lagos.

    The self-styled band of Oodua Nation Army that invaded this iconic monument in their bid to declare a Yoruba Republic are bad students of history. The place was not founded by the kind of rebellion they attempted to unleash on the nation. They should go back and read their history well. The Oyo State Secretariat and the Parliament Building are structures for the strengthening of democratic ideals.

    They stand as monuments to a nostalgic era in the region’s political epoch. The invaders tainted this history by attempting to overawe that sacred place. Nationhood is not created by force or attained by violence. It takes sound reasoning, negotiations, systematic planning and political judgement for an aggrieved people to achieve self-determination.

    Did these so-called Yoruba agitators call a meeting of the race where it was decided that they should separate (I refuse to use the more fitting word – secede – because of its negative connotation) from Nigeria before embarking on their suicide mission? They would have been killed for nothing because what they did was an attempted coup.

    Yet, instead of showing remorse, they are boasting that they have no regrets for their actions. Whatever they are high on will soon wear off and their minds will become clearer. Their cause is unpopular and the earlier they know it, the better for them and their sponsors. One of their sponsors, Mrs Modupe Onitiri-Abiola, has taken to social media to praise them as well as herald the birth of a Oodua Nation!

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    Which nation? Where? When? And how was it created? She is hiding in a video to engage in dangerous polemics, egging on some of the now arrested invaders not to capitulate. She and her ilk are daydreaming. If she really meant all the claims in her video, she should come out and prove the courage of her conviction. She cannot be in hiding and be using people, some of who should know better to push a separatist agenda that cannot stand.

    Already, leader of Yoruba Self-Determination Group Prof Banji Akintoye and his ally, Sunday Adeyemo aka Igboho, have disowned her and the agitators. If they do not have the backing of Akintoye and Igboho, who have been in the forefront of this self-determination thing, on whose behalf are they then acting?

    Let me reiterate that the pursuit of self-determination is not a crime when done legally. It becomes illegal when the agitators attempt to forcefully have their way as the Oodua ‘soldiers’ did. Where did they get the military camouflage, boots, arms and ammunition, cutlasses and other weapons that were seized from them? Are they aware that it is a crime to possess those items without licence?

    They will stay long in jail after having their day in court for levying war on the country for no just cause. The attorney-general should speed up the process for their trial so that we  can put this sad event behind us in no time. As for Onitiri-Abiola, no stone should be left unturned until she is found and brought to justice.  

  • Telling coup mongers the gospel truth

    Telling coup mongers the gospel truth

    • By Mukhtar Ya’u Madobi

    Sir: Recently, the federal government, through the Ministry of Defence, directed the intelligence community, specifically the Defence Intelligence Agency (DIA, to go after coup mongers who have been clamouring for military takeover. 

    The Minister of State for Defence, Mohammed Bello Matawalle, who issued the directive through the Director of Information, Press, and Public Relations of the ministry, Henshaw Ogubike, described those calling for an undemocratic change of government as agents of darkness and mischievous enterprise.

    Recall that in February, the Chief of Defence Staff, CDS, General Christopher Gwabin Musa, also said that those calling for coup d’état were enemies of Nigeria, saying the law would catch up with them.

    This followed the disclosure by the Defence Headquarters, DHQ, that it is being pressured from certain unnamed quarters for a takeover of the government following the lingering insecurity in the country.

    But Musa said the Armed Forces was on top of its game and would continue to do the needful in protecting democracy in the country. He described the coup as an inappropriate way of attaining power.  As such, he reiterated the continuous military support and unwavering commitment towards safeguarding and deepening democratic governance in Nigeria.

     Instead of calling for a military takeover, he emphasised that all citizens should rally behind the government to resolve the present challenges. “It is when you go through difficulties and come out of them better that you will truly appreciate what it is to build a nation. The country is going through a trying period, but I can assure Nigerians that the situation will get better.” Gen. Musa had stated.

    Also on his part, the Chief of Army Staff, COAS, Lt. Gen. Taoreed Lagbaja, said personnel of the Nigerian Army, had accepted the democratic system of government in place in the country and had no plan to truncate it. Lagbaja described the personnel of the army under his leadership as agents of democracy. He gave the assurance that soldiers would continue to carry out their mandates as contained in the constitution.

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     It is pertinent to note that any call for violent change of government by the military is absurd, preposterous, and naive, as the military has come to terms with a democratic government in Nigeria and is focused on their constitutional mandate of safeguarding the territorial integrity of the country against any threats. Therefore, it is high time for those propagating the idea of truncating the constitutional government to desist from it and face democratic reality on the ground as a means of legitimate leadership.

    It is undeniable that the current economic hardship is incredibly frustrating. But let’s be clear: military rule cannot be the path to a better Nigeria.

     The economic problems we face are complex and would not be solved by a military takeover. As such, we need well-thought-out solutions, not a forceful power grab. Citizens should be demanding better output from elected officials, not calling for the military to step in. Hold them accountable for creating an economic plan that benefits all Nigerians.

     There are better ways to address our challenges. We need strong institutions, a free press, and a vibrant civil society to hold our leaders accountable. We need to work together, through democratic means, to build a better future for Nigeria.

    Focusing on peaceful demonstrations, holding leaders accountable for their actions, and supporting and strengthening civil society organisations that promote democracy and good governance will go a long way towards providing solutions to our difficulties. 

    It is time to work together for a more democratic and prosperous future. Together, we can build a better Nigeria.

    •Mukhtar Ya’u Madobi,

    ymukhtar944@gmail.com

  • The coup scare

    The coup scare

    Last week, an online medium reported that there was a coup scare in Nigeria that necessitated an urgent meeting between President Bola Tinubu and his aides. The story had no substance, but it was strikingly inventive enough to elicit an angry Acting Director of Defence Information, Brig. Gen. Tukur Gusau, threatening to take legal action. The military needn’t bother. It would take the most impressionable person to believe the online medium’s far-fetched and clearly heedless story. The report was not only circumstantial, it was also vague and uncorroborated. It probably flowed from the Chief of Defence Staff’s earlier warning to those advocating for coup, particularly on social media, to desist from their errors. The CDS, Gen Christopher Musa, was obviously riled by the many calls on social media to the military to take over the government in the false belief that soldiers possessed the magic wand to end a few months of economic hardship.

    Gen Musa did not mince words about the irresponsibility of those campaigning for a coup; and he did not say there was a coup plot or coup attempt. Hear him: “Whoever is making that call (coup) does not love Nigeria. We want to make it very clear that the Armed Forces of Nigeria are here to protect democracy. We all want democracy and we do better under democracy. We will continue to support democracy and any of those ones who are calling for anything other than democracy are evil people and I think they don’t mean well for Nigeria. They should be very careful because the law will come after them. We can see that with democracy a lot of things are happening in Nigeria. Yes, we are going through trying periods, I mean in life nothing is hundred per cent…Everybody goes through a trying period in life and it is what you do with them. You can see the government putting efforts to ensure that we come out better. It is when you go through difficulties and come out better you will really appreciate what it is to build a nation. We are going through our trying period, but I can assure Nigerians that it will get better.”

    The media have a duty to handle sensitive national security stories responsibly. But given the discontent nationwide, and recent weeks of protest in some parts of the country, not to mention dire and threatening statements by some highly placed members of the ruling elite, there was always the temptation by the media to go overboard. Meanwhile, compounding the confusion, the dividing lines between the traditional/online media on the one hand and the social media on the other hand have either become wafer-thin or are gradually becoming obliterated. Sexed-up reports and fictionalised stories will consequently become commonplace, with devastating repercussions on the country. This may explain the defence spokesman’s exasperation with the coup scare report. The story was capable of feeding or enlivening a narrative suggesting the government’s weakness and helplessness. It could also begin to plant ideas in the minds of starry-eyed military adventurers, thus threatening democracy; or it could make the government desperate and discomfited. There was no way the story, even if it had any semblance of truth, could help strengthen democracy.

    The online medium coup scare story and social media calls for coup referenced by the CDS are a natural progression from previous administration’s ham-fisted attitude towards coup advocates. Shortly before the collation of the results of the last presidential election was completed last year, and it seemed a particular outcome was almost certain, there were some desultory marches on Abuja streets, some of them headed to the Defence Headquarters, calling for military intervention to abort the electoral process. The previous administration simply ignored the campaigners. But that was a mistake. No one who calls for insurrection or the overthrow of the constitution should ever be ignored. Then after the election was concluded and inauguration planned and scheduled, there were still calls for a coup. Again, the administration paid no heed. That was another capital mistake. The attitude of the previous administration was only a little better than the Ibrahim Babangida military government which outrightly heeded the call for a coup and went ahead to collude in the subversion of the constitution and the transition programme.

    It is not the business of the military, as the Defence spokesman tried to suggest, to arrest and prosecute insurrectionists, whether they actively plan a coup or merely verbalise it. That job is for either the police or the Department of State Service (DSS). However, the security agencies didn’t need to be ordered to do their job, nor need to be persuaded. It is indeed mystifying that the secret service and the police have balked at going after the coup advocates. Had they prosecuted a few of the coup proponents, the madness would have long been curbed. Instead, under the previous administration, the Defence Headquarters merely looked on grimly as loafers urged them to intervene. The DSS pretended to be unconcerned, while the police simply could not be bothered. As economic hardship intensifies, and with no restraint to the so-called free speech, online and social media will continue to give vent to unguarded frustrations, some of them expressed in the most bellicose and instigative language. The Defence Headquarters threatens legal action; but that is not the answer. Since hardship will continue for a little while longer, the solution to the coup hysteria is to make an example of some coup advocates. The law enforcement and security agencies know how to find culprits hiding under pseudonyms and other conspiratorially assumed identities. They should find and prosecute them, without necessarily being prompted by higher authorities.

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    The coup calls are a product of massive ignorance regarding the background of the country’s economic crisis. The crisis did not begin last month or last year. It gestated for more than two decades, until it began to fester a few years back. The last administration borrowed heavily to paper over the cracks and mask the cancer. The administrations before it suspected that trouble was looming, but they also chose to throw caviar to the general. Rectifying the problem will take more than a few months, or even years. The new administration, which turned nine months only last month, has meanwhile felt boxed into a corner by enraged trade unions and screaming, hungry protesters. Uncharacteristically, it has begun to promise utopia, including a great turnaround in the coming months. Perhaps they can work the magic; but it will certainly not be easy. However, all indicators show that the real turnaround will not begin earlier than next year. So, they have the onerous task of mollifying street anger and working their difficult magic on the economy. To help themselves, and to create elbow room for a sound reworking of the mechanics of the economy, they should deal with social media excesses, particularly those instigating unrest and baying for coup.

    Military intervention is not an alternative to democracy, as imperfect as the constitution is, and regardless of the inability of the administration to embark on restructuring. It is nevertheless still important to comprehensively review the articles of association of Nigeria’s over 250 ethnic groups, and find durable and workable political and economic formulae to undergird that association. Meanwhile, in some states, that imperfect democracy has demonstrated its immense capacity to deliver significant developmental advancement. At least one-third of the states have many projects to show for civilian rule. Truncating those tentative developmental strides, including the free speech many now take for granted and abuse, would be both counterproductive and catastrophic. Worse, there is actually nothing to suggest that even if the insensible desire of coup advocates were granted, forceful change would be carried out seamlessly without irreparably fracturing or damaging the country, thereby predisposing it to massive state failure, and throwing the sub-region into disarray.

  • Who are those calling for coup?

    Who are those calling for coup?

    All Nigerians cannot be afflicted by collective amnesia. They could not have easily forgotten the pains of oppression and repression inflicted by jingoistic dictators. The scars of militarism have not healed. The memory of dictatorial brutality still haunts our collective psyche. The poser is: what prompted some Nigerians into suggesting the intervention of the military to resolve a transient economic crisis? Who are those calling for coups?

    In 1970, shortly after the civil war, former ceremonial President Nnamdi Azikiwe, who spoke at a symposium in Lagos, described military regime as the rule of impostors. Universally, the mandate of the military is never from the people. To whom are they (soldiers) accountable? Azikiwe queried.

    There is no accountability to the constitution and the people by those who rely on the barrels of the gun. It is a colossal assault on democracy.

    Despite the fact that many political leaders, particularly elected and appointed office holders, have not learnt their lessons – as they have continued to indulge in profligacy, theft, and graft in high places – their displacement by soldiers is not an option. Indeed, it is archaic to rejoice at the forceful seizure of power or at the hearing of martial music followed by a hoarse voice calling: “Fellow Nigerians”.

    In the current circumstance, it is gratifying that the highest military hierarchy has disowned the advocates of power hijack and reiterated the Armed Forces’ determination to tackle insecurity, defend Nigeria’s sovereignty, and the nation’s territorial integrity.

    The problem with a coup is that it breeds more coups and there will be instability.

    Barely six years after independence, some young military officers posed as modernisers and tried to convince Nigerians that they were driven by puritanical zeal. Some scholars even celebrated the putsch as an act of patriotism.

    The coup failed and senior officers capitalised on it to seal the fate of civilian leadership. Instead of clearing the mess, they compounded it through their own agenda, aptly driven by the craving for power, political relevance, and scramble for the state’s resources.

    The Head of State, Major-General Thomas Aguiyi-Ironsi, was in want of political experience. He leaned on some technocrats and scholars from his own part of the country and was advised to abolish federalism and impose unitary system through his faulty unification decree. Aguiyi-Ironsi, popularly called Ironside, acquiesced to the suggestion, and it dug the pit into which he and his government later fell.

    Already, there were complaints that the coup of 1966 had an ethnic connotation. Of the five majors, only one was Yoruba. Others were from the old Midwest and old Eastern regions, bounded by ethnic ties. While Northern, Southwest, and Itsekiri political leaders and Army officers were killed, those from the tribe of the coup leaders were spared.

    The military became a casualty at that point. It lost its unity, cohesion, and purpose. Barely six months after the first coup, some Northern officers staged a retaliatory coup to avenge the killing of their kinsmen. The retaliatory coup heralded a succession crisis.

    Since tribalism had crept into the military, the next in rank to Ironsi, Brigadier Babafemi Ogundipe, was rejected. As General Yakubu “Jack” Gowon was assuming the reins, the military Governor of Eastern State, Colonel Emeka Odimegwu-Ojukwu, rejected him, insisting that the subsisting succession pattern should be followed.

    Within a year of military rule, a civil war was foisted on the country by its soldiers. It lasted three years. Many people died. Families were displaced and dislocated. A lot of resources went down the drain. Many soldiers perished. Up to now, Igbo land, which was the battlefield, has not recovered. The animosity has not disappeared either. A full national integration is still a tall order.

    After ruling for nine years with the help of experienced politicians, some of whom later took part in the corruption that further created a hollow in the records of military regimes in the seventies, General Gowon refused to leave office. He shifted the handover date.

    The third coup, led by General Murtala Ramat Muhammed and some other officers, was bloodless. But six months later, Colonel Bukar Suka Dimka and his gang assassinated the Head of State.

    Through his “retirement and dismissal with effect” whereby many honest, decent and promising young civil servants, including university lecturers who were dreaded as leftist ideologues, were swept by the wave of retrenchment, the Murtala Muhammed regime cowed and shattered the civil service. Consequently, civil servants jettisoned time-tested professional ethics and started to cut corners, thinking that their career stability could not be guaranteed. It was ironic because, following the coups, the civil service had to be positioned as a dependable ally of military rulers.

    The first 13 years of military rule were full of anguish, drama, superimposed theoretical stability and hypocritical transition to civil rule guided by several decrees from the Head of State, General Olusegun Obasanjo, who said the best presidential candidate might not win the 1979 election.

    Either by design or predetermined accident, the military returned four years after, in 1983, following the failure of the civilian regime of Alhaji Shehu Shagari to live up to expectation.

    The second phase of military rule was full of horror. From January 1984 to August 1993, Nigeria suffocated under the rule of jackpot. Military decrees outlawed basic human rights. The media, which the soldiers knew could be a threat, became their target for liquidation. When reporters sought to know the position of the Head of State, Major-General Muhammadu Buhari on press freedom, he said: “I am going to tamper with that.” Decrees Two and Four were used to terrorise reporters. Some went to jail. Others were unjustly detained.

    Also, when a reporter asked when he intended to return power to civilians, Buhari said he had no plan. After a few seconds, he said: “May be, after 10 years.”

    Such was the nature of the military. Soldiers had a morbid fear of the ballot box.

    Due to the highhandedness of the regime, it was toppled by those who later did not fare better. The gap-toothed successor, military President Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida always beamed an infectious at a nation he held captive with subterfuge. He became an inveterate military fabulist who hoodwinked the nation into the false belief that he was in office for Nigerians. It became evident that Babangida was overstaying his welcome in office. The military leader took Nigeria on an experimental journey that led to nowhere. Nicknamed the Evil Genius and Maradona, IBB, as he was popularly called, pretended for over eight years as a man of the people and went on a wild goose chase.

    As politicians and civil society groups challenged him to a duel, he bought more time with a dubious transition programme, shifting the handover date three times. He banned, unbanned, and banned vociferous political actors, lawyers, and rights activists.

    IBB survived a phantom coup, allegedly masterminded by his long-standing friend, General Mamman Vatsa, and the Major Gideon Okar putsch.

    As the clamour for transfer of power intensified, the military president imposed two political parties – Social Democratic Party (SDP) and National Republican Convention (NRC) – on Nigerians. The manifestos were drawn up by the military.

    The last straw that broke the camel’s back was the criminal annulment of June 12, 1993 presidential election. The National Electoral Commission (NEC), chaired by Prof. Humphrey Nwosu, conducted a free and fair election. But the transition programme was truncated. It became a waste of time, energy, and huge financial and human resources; it was a national flop.

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    Babangida boasted that although he did not know who would succeed him, he knew those who would not. He also boasted that he was not only in office but also in power. That posturing reflected his reluctance to honestly dispense a self-acquired power and mandate secured by tricks, cajoling, and deceit.But, power, although alluring and intoxicating, is nevertheless transient. IBB was compelled to step aside in ignominy.

    But he had foisted on the country an inept and illegal Interim National Government (ING), led by the late Chief Ernest Shonekan, who was effortlessly shoved aside by General Sani Abacha, whom IBB deliberately left behind.

    Abacha had been a principal actor in all the coups that occurred post-Second Republic. His voice ricocheted throughout the country as a soldier of fortune. He gave tonnes of reasons for toppling every government and midwifing a new one in his broadcasts after each coup.

    Of all the military dictators, Abacha was the most difficult and complex. He successfully manipulated the divided political class to an advantage, stabilised his regime, used and dumped politicians and tightened his grip on the country. The hope of revalidating the June 12 poll results became illusory. In a twinkle of an eye, the maximum ruler mooted the idea of transmuting from khaki to babanriga.

    It was an era of state-organised bombings and killing of pro-democracy crusaders who were in the trenches. Civil rule agitators were falsely accused of plotting coups. Once they were roped in, prison was their next destination, if they were not hanged.

    Abacha cowed Nigerians into submission. He raised a team of chorus singers, lackeys, and confederates who campaigned for self-perpetuation.

    Also, he turned attention to the media, closing down newspaper houses, detaining editors and trying innocent people for phantom coups. Over two decades after his sudden demise, the Federal Government is still recovering Abacha loot, which runs into billions of naira. Military regimes became more corrupt than the civilian authorities they upstaged.

    After Abacha passed on and General Abdulsalami Abubakar began the implementation of his transition programme, old soldiers who dictated the tune in blissful retirement foisted one of their own, General Olusegun Obasanjo, on the country. The rest, as it is often said, is history.

    What memorable past of the soldiers of fortune in power would recommend them as a viable option in the nation’s search for a better future?

    Is it their destruction of the federal principle, which guarantees unity in diversity for the amalgam of incompatible tribes or ethnic groups?

    Is it the typical assassination of targeted political leaders and colleagues during the ritual of coups? Is it their intolerance of opposition and opinions of “bloody civilians”?

    Is it their pillaging of the state treasury, their divide and rule tactics and enslavement of the polity?

    Obviously, those threatening the polity with a coup are either principal actors in the corruption conflagration the current administration is working hard to douse or are beneficiaries of the evil system that has tied down the nation’s development. They are the corrupt elements who now see a bleak future as the current government makes things work for everybody and not where a few reap bounties from entrenched grafts and diabolical pomposity. 

    As psychologists would say, those calling for a coup now are suffering from cognitive dissonance, a feeling of conflict between their values and beliefs. They need help.