Tag: ELECTION

  • APC wins Ekiti LG election, sweeps 38 chairmanship seats

    APC wins Ekiti LG election, sweeps 38 chairmanship seats

    The All Progressive Congress (APC) has cleared all 38 chairmanship and 177 councillorship seats in Saturday’s local government election in Ekiti state.

    The election was held in all 16 local government areas and 22 Local Council Development Areas and across the 177 wards in the state.

    Announcing the result on Sunday, December 3, in Ado-Ekiti, the Ekiti state Independent Electoral Commission, Justice Cornelius Akintayo rtd, said the ruling APC won all the 38 chairmanship and 177 councilor seats in the state.

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    Akintayo who said that the election was conducted in line with the electoral law of the state, applauded the people of Ekiti for their peaceful conduct during and after the poll.

    He also commended the eight political parties that participated in the election for their sportsmanship and the electoral officials for exhibiting professionalism in the conduct of the poll.

    The parties on the ballot include the All Progressive Congress, Action Alliance Action Democratic Party, New Nigerian People’s Party, African Democratic Party Party, Labour Party, People’s Redemption Party and Zenith Labour Party.

    The main opposition People Democratic Party (PDP) and Social Democratic Party boycotted the local government election.

  • Election, unsigned ballots and law

    Election, unsigned ballots and law

    Elections worldwide are guided by laws. They are not conducted on a whim. The laws cover the contestants, the voters and the umpire. The laws are not for decoration; they are to ensure the credibility of the exercise.

    Elections are serious business. They are fought with all that the contestants have – money, men and materials. While the contestants strategise on how to win, the umpire worries about the freeness and fairness of the exercise.

    The umpire is key to the success and transparency of the election. The umpire could be an individual or an institution and integrity must be the umpire’s watchword. In Nigeria, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), which has become known by various names under different stages of our political evolution, handles elections.

    The umpire has never come under fire as it is now experiencing. What are its sins? While not defending INEC, it must be stated that in most cases, many of its accusers are just criticising the agency because they lost. Where they won, their verdict usually is, it did well. Sadly, they have transferred their aggression to the court, which is now being dragged all over the place for following the law stricto sensu.

    The laws guiding elections are unique. This is why election cases are described as sui generis (in a class of their own). To win an election case, the petitioner must prove that it was not conducted in substantial compliance with the law. But in most cases, this has become a dilemma. In the circumstance, the court has no choice than to throw out the case.

    That the court cannot take the place of the electorate is not debatable. It is not the court’s duty to elect people, but it is its job to determine the winner of an election in any dispute before it. It is not an interference when the court does that, but part of the process as enshrined in law. It is like that too in other parts of the world. But unlike us, most times, their elections end up at the polls and not in the court. Losers accept defeat and move on.

    Who do we blame that the reverse is the case here? Nobody, as it is the right of the loser to go to court. However, what is not right is not to accept the court’s verdict and then resort to malign the judges, with lawyers in full support. The judges did not enact the law; their job is to interpret it and in doing so, if they observe any flaw, they can point it out. One interesting aspect of the Electoral Act which has come under intense scrutiny of late is Section 63.

    It is on the strength of this provision that the tribunal sitting in Kano invalidated the election of Governor Abba Yusuf of the New Nigerian Peoples Party (NNPP). The tribunal found that 165,000 ballot papers did not bear the INEC seal nor were they signed by the presiding officer at the polling units where they were used. As a way of maintaining the integrity of the election, the law empowers the court to invalidate such votes and deduct them from the total scores.

    The tribunal did precisely that and Yusuf’s total votes dropped sharply. His loss became the gain of Nasiru Gawuna of the All Progressives Congress (APC), who the tribunal subsequently declared winner of the election.

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    To some senior lawyers, such as Femi Falana, that amounted to sanctioning 165,000 voters for some electoral officers’ error. How? He did not say. Does he have evidence that the electoral officers issued those ballot papers? Did they match the ones in INEC’s booklet? Where did they come from, if they were not issued by the electoral officers and did not match those in the booklet? Did Falana consider all these before lashing the tribunal for invalidating Yusuf’s election because of the unsigned ballot papers, which may eventually turn out to be fake?

    I can see where Falana is coming from, though. His thinking is that the voters could not have come into possession of those ballot papers without the electoral officers’ knowledge. This will be true to the extent that the ballot papers were obtained at the polling unit and from the right source. But where the process is compromised and party faithful allowed to take over at polling centres, can the court be blamed for invoking the law accordingly?

    Clearly, something went wrong in those polling units, which may be beyond the power of the presiding officers, except if they were part of it. Where then is the fault of the tribunal in all these? I hope Falana is not  saying that it should have looked the other way and aided and abetted electoral offence in clear violation of the law?

    According to Section 63 (1) of the Electoral Act: Subject to subsection (2), a ballot paper which does not bear the official mark prescribed by the Commission shall not be counted. In Section 65 (1), the law allows the returning officer to take final decision on the issue subject to a review within seven days by INEC. After seven days, INEC becomes functus officio and can no longer so act, leaving only the court with the power to do so as contained in Section 65 (2):

    A decision of the returning officer under subsection (1) may be reviewed by an election tribunal or court of competent jurisdiction in an election petition proceedings under this Act.

    The Kano tribunal acted under the ambit of this provision. To say that the court should shut its eyes to the use of unsigned ballot papers is to encourage electoral malpractice. The user and the provider of such ballot papers should answer for their action and the beneficiary deprived the fruit of an unjust victory. 

  • Ghost of 2023 presidential election

    Ghost of 2023 presidential election

    • By Mike Kebonkwu

    At last, the ghost of the 2023 Presidential election was laid to rest with the judgment by the panel of the Supreme Court Justices which reaffirmed the election of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. At least the social media lawyers and jaundiced partisan tribal analysts can as well take a break so that we can breathe; they have been part of the problem.   They created bitter acrimony amongst ethnic nationalities and social class and religious incendiary.  The 2023 presidential election was bitterly fought not so much on principle, competence and programme of the parties but on tribal and religious grounds; thus deepening our fault lines.   It has left the country more divided than ever before. 

     As the ruling party, the APC was as disoriented as the main opposition, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) that was consumed by self-created internal strife that became its albatross.  There was fractious internal schism and treachery with the party looking to snap.  Candidate Bola Ahmed Tinubu had to literarily wrest the ticket from the party by sheer audacious tenacity because he was not anointed by the president and his cabal.  

    It therefore needed only a little coherence and coordination of the opposition to steal the show from the ruling party.

    During the electioneering campaign, the issues of moral integrity and honesty of contestants took the centre stage.   It is a known fact that an average Nigerian politician suffers from acute integrity deficit; you cannot take it to the bank. We did all the wrong things during the election but we are now bellyaching about the judiciary and justices of the Supreme Court.  We always find reasons to blame someone else and never examine ourselves and correct our failures and inadequacies.

    The outcome of 2023 presidential election was virtually determined at the primaries of the parties.  The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) prepared the ground for its failure when it entered into the election bickering and divided.  It lost it traditional support base in the Southeast with no chance in the Southwest, the home base of the ruling APC candidate.  There was not going to be a miracle for him in his supposed northern base where he was going to share the votes with New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) and the ruling APC with a formidable strength.  His vice presidential candidate from South-south had little electoral worth and it was not any surprise that the Labour Party had a better showing in the South-south.

    For the Labour Party, its emergence and influence came like a thunder. It was a protest against the status quo ante and it took the nation by storm.  However, its social media influencers hugely frittered away the goodwill of its emerging profile and growing popularity of its candidate of the Obidient Movement.  They mismanaged the ethnic and religious factors with indiscretion. They became toxic irritants in the extreme attacking everyone without discrimination and succeeded in demobilizing very significant voters population determined to turn the apple cart of the status.  However, they rocked and shook Lagos State while the party coasted leisurely to victory in Southeast, its stronghold.  It did not have significant networks in the entire north so it would have been an uphill task for it to make any impact in that region which it did not. 

    The election proper was marred by violence and ethnic stereotyping and attacks. Most people that voted did so in part on ethno-religious consideration without a unifying national interest of patriotism.  This is the bane of nation driven by tribesmen and regional loyalty. Elections are hardly free and fair in our homeland.  It is therefore not unusual that the result and outcome of elections are disputed and challenged.  Election litigations are mostly instigated by lawyers of good standing and reputation for pecuniary consideration. They do this through dubious and bogus analysis by advertising their knowledge in the media space in the form of ambulance chasing.  At the end of the day without evidence to support their claims, their case will fall flat on its face.  Not done yet, they instigate their politician clients and ignorant supporters to malign, lampoon, excoriate and blackmail the judiciary. 

    Sadly, the leadership of the electoral umpire appears timid, frightened and compromised and unable to do anything right. The huge investment in technology failed at the crucial time in what appears also like self-sabotage. The election itself was fought like civil war as supporters unleashed mayhem on people who do not support their candidates and political parties. The religious people took it upon themselves as an ecclesiastical battle of supremacy and number. The security agencies are not able to rein political brigands, hooligans and touts that snatch and hijack ballot boxes and kill political opponents. 

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    Making the judiciary scapegoat is not forward looking. Where allegations are not supported with material evidence, no amount of blackmail can turn the verdict in your favour.  Justice Chukwudifu Oputa of blessed memory talking about the finality of the decision of the Supreme Court said, “we are not final because we are infallible; we are infallible because we are final”.  This is to demonstrate that the Supreme Court is capable of making mistake or committing judicial errors and they do, we should accept it with philosophical equanimity because it is the final bus stop in litigation rather than the umbrage and vituperation. 

    The greatest problem with the election litigation is that we have been misled by lawyers and learned men and women who are supposed to know better with some of them behaving like comedians giving bizarre interpretation to issues without facts, evidence and sound legal principles behind them.  On matters of judicial discretion, it was amazing that even senior lawyers expected justices of the Supreme Court to exercise discretion in line with their mind-sets and fixation contrary to settled principles of law.  The judicial principle is that if discretion is predictable, it ceases to be discretion. 

    The flag bearer of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and his Labour Party (LP) counterpart have since addressed a world press conference on their take and perception of the judgment of the Presidential Electoral Commission Tribunal.  To them, the justices were biased and they were robbed of victory.  While one salutes their courage to seek redress in court, it is poor judgment to conclude that they were robbed.  Law is an art based on skill that is founded on empirical facts which are tested through the crucible of judicial process.  Technicality remains that aspect of skill that a lawyer must bring into play during trials.  Take away technicality, you rob the law of the beauty of advocacy.  The judex cannot take over the job of counsel in the name of substantive justice. 

    The future for the country does not look good enough when politicians and lawyers conspire to de-market the integrity of the judiciary when they are supposed to display ethical behaviour and professional diligence.  Even where the procedure and process appear apparently free and fair with some measure of integrity, politicians always disagree with election result when they lost the election as face saving measure.  We must agree that our leaders by their behaviours are not building a united Nigeria for the future but empires for themselves through sleaze and electoral malfeasance.  The judiciary may not have men of steel temper as in the past but within the toxic political climate we should be fair in our assessment of their performance.

    •Kebonkwu Esq is an Abuja-based attorney.

  • How guber candidate in off-season election fell out with governor

    How guber candidate in off-season election fell out with governor

    The off-season governorship elections in Kogi, Imo and Bayelsa states have come and gone, leaving pieces of drama in their wake. Among the memorable ones is the manner one of the aspirants in the November 11 elections and a sitting governor in one of the affected states turned from friends to foes.

    Unknown to many, the aspirant who was a formidable opponent and threat to the governor’s favoured candidate during the election, was best of friends with the governor in the period preceding Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s emergence as candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in the presidential poll held on February 25.

    The governorship candidate and another friend of his, a prominent governor from the North, were said to have secured juicy business deals each as rewards for services they rendered to their party during a crisis period.

    But rather than execute the deals, the governorship candidate, then a loyal associate, chose to sell them off for billions of naira. He instantly turned into a moneybag, feared and worshipped by those who knew him in Abuja as a struggling “I’m on my own businessman.”

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    In the build-up to the last presidential election, the defeated governorship candidate was said to have approached the governor of the state where he contested election and demanded billions of naira with which he would mobilise some individuals to work for the success of their party’s presidential candidate. He said he would mobilise such individuals with ‘tear rubber cars.’

    That, however, became the sore point as the sitting governor, who was aware of the huge money the governorship candidate had already made from the sale of his business deal, turned down his request, fearing that he (governorship candidate) would become too rich and too powerful for anyone to control if his request was granted. “He would be richer than my state,” the governor was quoted as saying about the candidate, who had not disclosed his intention but known to be scheming against officialdom. 

    So, rather than give the candidate the money he requested, the governor decided to give it directly to the people listed for the mobilisation project. The move did not go down well with the governorship candidate who dismissed the governor as not trustworthy, and that marked their parting of ways.

  • Appeal Court declares Zamfara election inconclusive

    Appeal Court declares Zamfara election inconclusive

    • INEC directed to conduct rerun in three councils
    • Ruling today on Kano governorship poll

    The Court of Appeal in Abuja has declared inconclusive the last governorship election in Zamfara State which produced Dauda Lawal of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) as winner.

    A three-member panel of the court held that there was ample evidence that the election process was not concluded in Maradun Local Government Area and some polling units in Birnin-Magaji and Bukyun local government areas.

    In the lead judgment, Justice Cybil Nwaka-Gbagi set aside the return of Lawal by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and ordered the commission to conduct fresh election in the affected local government areas.

    The judge held that there was evidence that results were not fully counted and result sheets not properly endorsed, as legally required.

    She also held that INEC was wrong to have announced results from the affected polling units, based on the results it retrieved from its Results Viewing portal (IRev), which is not part of election results collation system.

    Justice Nwaka-Gbagi said IRev is a merely results viewing platform for members of the public to see the outcome of an election.

    Other members of the panel – Justices Oyebisi Folayemi and Ifeoma Jombo-Ofor – agreed with the lead judgment.

    The judgment was on the appeal filed by the APC and its governorship candidate, Bello Matawalle, who challenged the September 18 judgment of the Governorship Election Petitions Tribunal, which affirmed Lawal’s election.

    The tribunal held that the APC failed to prove the allegation of exclusion of the results from Maradun Local Government Area and that the election was not conducted in some wards in some other local government areas in the state.

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    It also held that the petitioners failed to prove that the INEC did not comply with electoral rules in conducting the election.

    The tribunal also awarded a N500,000 fine against Matawalle.

    Also, the Appeal Court in Abuja will today deliver judgment in the election dispute between Kano State Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) and Nasiru Gawuna of the All Progressives Congress (APC).

    The judgment is on the appeal filed by Governor Yusuf challenging the nullification of his election by the Kano Election Petitions Tribunal.

    Hearing of the case at the Court of Appeal was held in Abuja on November 6.

    Yusuf and the NNPP are the applicants; the APC and Gawuna are defendants; INEC is also a party in the suit.

    There is tension in Kano State ahead of the court verdict.

    This has compelled the police command to ban all forms of celebration, protests and gatherings to forestall violence.

    Police spokesman Abdullahi Kiyawa warned the residents to avoid any mass action that could suggest a violent procession, protest or celebration.

    Police Commissioner Muhammad Usaini Gumel, working with other heads of security agencies in the state, has deployed personnel and equipment in strategic locations across the state to ensure the security of lives and property as well as forestall any attempt to cause disturbance or breakdown of law and order.

  • PSC chair to police: forestall any crisis after announcement of election results

    PSC chair to police: forestall any crisis after announcement of election results

    The chairman of the Police Service Commission (PSC), Solomon Arase, has advised the police to remain on guard and prepared to forestall any breakdown of law and order after the announcement of election results.

    Arase, who monitored the election in Kogi state commended the three Deputy Inspectors General of Police who supervised Police operations in Bayelsa, Imo, and Kogi States for their quick responses to the Commission’s intermittent requests for Police intervention in troubled areas.

    The DIGs were, Frank Mba; Sani Habu, and Daniel Isokari-Pedro.

    The PSC boss advised that the police: “should remain on guard and prepared to forestall any breakdown of law and order after the announcement of the election results.”

    He also directed that in the few places where there were pockets of Police misconduct, the Police Management should quickly investigate and forward its recommendations to the Commission for immediate disciplinary action: “since every act of misdemeanour must have commensurate consequences.”

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    Arase said the Commission will continue to monitor police conduct during elections as it serves to put the police on its toes for optimal performance.

    According to a statement issued on Sunday by the Head Press and Public Relations, PSC, Ikechukwu Ani: “The PSC Staff Monitors operated from the nine Senatorial districts while the National Coordinating team partnered the Civil Society groups and operated from the Situation Room in Abuja.

    “The Police Service Commission Staff Monitors deployed to the nine Senatorial districts of Kogi, Imo and Bayelsa states says the policemen on election duty were courageous and fairly contained intermittent cases of attempts to hijack the elections.

    He said: “The Officers in several of the Polling Units visited were said to be courteous, approachable and professional. Although there were incidents of attacks on voting units, some arrests were recorded in many places, especially in Kogi State.

    “The Police were said to have also contained pockets of attacks in Brass and some other locations in the riverine areas of Bayelsa State.

    “There were however reports of vote buying in the three states but without the connivance of Police officers on election duties.

    “The Commission monitored five of the eight local governments in Imo West. In Imo North and East, there were visible patrols of Policemen in collaboration with the Military on the major roads with Police helicopters said to have hovered over the voting space throughout the election period.

    “Police officers were said to have arrived in most of the voting units in Bayelsa very early, properly dressed and exhibited a high level of professionalism.

    “PSC Monitors sighted an average of two policemen in most of the voting units while in few others one police personnel was seen.

    “The Police were said to have sent early signals in Kogi State where it reportedly arrested several miscreants who attacked Polling Units. The Officers on election duty were complimented by Officers from sister agencies.”

  • Insecurity: Election observer group identifies Brass, Nembe, Ogbia, Southern Ijaw LGAs as flashpoints

    Insecurity: Election observer group identifies Brass, Nembe, Ogbia, Southern Ijaw LGAs as flashpoints

    An election management team, CellHub, has identified Brass, Nembe, Ogbia, Southern Ijaw, and Yenagoa local government Areas as key flashpoints that security agencies should pay attention to ahead of Saturday’s governorship election in Bayelsa State.

    The election monitoring group noted that there may be mayhem during the polls in the five LGAs of the state.

    The organisation commended the performance of security agencies involved in the pre-election operations, particularly the military.

    In a statement signed on Friday by its Executive Director, Idris Usman, the group acknowledged the commitment, professionalism, and diligence so far displayed by security personnel deployed to ensure a secure and conducive environment for the electoral process.

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    It said efforts of security agencies have contributed significantly to building public confidence and ensuring the smooth conduct of pre-election activities in Bayelsa State.

    The statement said: “However, as part of our ongoing collaboration to enhance the electoral process, CellHub urges the security agencies to concentrate their efforts on identified flashpoints within certain local government areas. These areas include Brass, Nembe, Ogbia, Southern Ijaw, and Yenagoa local government areas.

    “We have noticed over the last 24 hours, reported cases of intimidation and violence in some communities, in particularly, Brass and Nembe local government.

    “Recognising the significance of these local governments and the potential challenges they may pose, CellHub calls for heightened vigilance, strategic deployment, and effective communication among security personnel. By focusing on these flashpoints, we aim to preemptively address potential security concerns and ensure the safety of voters, electoral officials, and other stakeholders.”

    He also expressed the commitment of the team to work closely with security agencies, INEC, political stakeholders, and the international community to foster an atmosphere of transparency, fairness, and security throughout the electoral process.

    The statement added: “As it believes that a collaborative approach is crucial for the success of the democratic exercise in Bayelsa state.

    “As we move towards the governorship election on Saturday, CellHub emphasizes the importance of maintaining the highest standards of professionalism and impartiality by all involved parties.

    “We call on the citizens of Bayelsa State to cooperate with the security agencies and electoral officials, contributing to the creation of a peaceful and credible electoral environment.”

  • Coalition warns against election violence

    Coalition warns against election violence

    Coalition of Pro – Democracy Groups for a Better Nigeria, also known as JUNE 12 Veteran Activists has urged the electorate to go out enmasse and vote for the candidates of their choice in Kogi, Imo and Bayelsa State.

    In a statement by its National Coordinator, Awa Bamiji, the group advised ‘political thugs, hoodlums, election riggers, unknown gunmen and bad eggs among  INEC and security agencies’  to steer clear of the  three states during the election.

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    “We, the June 12 Activists, are master of the games when it comes to policing elections in Nigeria for three decades running.

    “The usual gimmick, lies and propaganda of the opposition and all enemies of democracy have continued to fail them day by day.

    “We must all make sure that our eyes are everywhere, before, during and immediately after the next Saturday’s gubernatorial elections coming up in Kogi, Imo and Bayelsa States.

  • ‘Election litigations should be concluded before inauguration of winners’ 

    ‘Election litigations should be concluded before inauguration of winners’ 

    The Social Democratic Party’s (SDP) flag-bearer in the last presidential election, Prince Adewole Adebayo, has called for an urgent electoral reform that would ensure that winners in any election are not sworn into offices until the cases against them in courts are concluded.

     He commended the Supreme Court for quick dispensation of justice in the last presidential election petition before it, even as he insisted that the courts could still do better by ensuring that all matters relating to elections are thrashed and done with before anybody is sworn into office.

     He lamented that what causes tension in the land most often is because the court doesn’t have what the politicians want. “So, there is no time in the history of election litigation that the politicians will be satisfied with the court because the court can only give you justice. Politicians don’t want justice. They want judgment leading to power…”

    So, they see the court as another layer of getting power. But, the court isn’t designed to give you power. The court is designed to give you justice. So, sometimes you may get justice, but if justice doesn’t land you in power, you say this isn’t justice,” he said.

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     On the Supreme Court’s emphasis on technicality rather than on the substance of the case with a particular reference to how President Bola Tinubu’s Chicago State University certificate was handled, he stressed that in election matters, there are three things to be considered.  “One, for people who are not lawyers, everything about law boils down to technicality to them. Two, election matter is said to be sui-generis; it doesn’t follow the traditional procedural, technical and substantive form because election itself is technical in nature. The whole jurisprudence of election is technical by nature. Three, the claim of the party before the court was not a substantive claim, it was a claim based on technicality because if I come to court and say I scored the highest votes and I can prove it; that is substantive.  If I come to court and say well, the other person scored higher votes than me but he is not qualified, that is technicality,” he said.

     He also raised concern about the mode appointment of both the Court of Appeal and Supreme Court justices, saying a situation where the president has the final say is not good for the country. He condemned situations where the National Judicial Council (NJC) could only recommend since the President is at liberty to accept or reject such recommendations. He said: “From my reading of the constitution, the president is even more powerful than any other person because he is the one who can appoint. The National Judicial Council (NJC) can only make recommendations to the president. If the president isn’t satisfied, he won’t appoint, and that is the end. But, if the president appoints somebody and the judiciary isn’t happy, the person stays, though the person may have a hard time.”

  • Election deniers and rear-guard actions

    Election deniers and rear-guard actions

    • By Alade Fawole

    Perhaps the easiest advice to former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and former Anambra State Governor Peter Obi is: the contest is now over, get over it! Some have actually been making the call since the seven-member Supreme Court panel unanimously affirmed the equally unanimous judgement of the five-member Presidential Election Petitions Court (PEPC) declaring Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu as the duly elected President of Nigeria. But such a call is futile, for both are election deniers a la Donald Trump.

    In Nigeria, election is always a mortal grudge match, hence, thuggery and bloodletting have accompanied all major elections, from the party primaries where candidates are nominated, through to the voting proper, counting, collation and announcement of election results. Rigging is always widespread. It is not for nothing that Professor Wole Soyinka reportedly seized a radio station in Ibadan in 1965 to prevent the announcement of the results of that year’s Western Region election known to have been brazenly rigged by the widely unpopular incumbent Ladoke Akintola government. Since independence, elections have generally been characterized by issues of multiple voting, over-voting, ballot-box snatching, attacks on election officials, kidnapping of candidates, disruption at polling units and collation centres, to brazen announcement of fake results. And ‘winners’ would then ‘advise’ their opponents to go to court while they hold on to stolen mandates. An emblematic but by no means peculiar case was the rigged 2003 governorship election in Osun State where the case dragged on for three and half years before the lawful winner was declared governor. Such instances can be multiplied across the federation. What this points to is that election is warfare conducted by both fair and foul means, corroborating the popular American saying that “winning isn’t everything, it’s the ONLY thing!” And it is the same for all elections whether at the federal, state or local government levels.

    For our politicians, the prize of office is too juicy and tempting for losers to be expected to demonstrate gallantry in defeat when winners themselves aren’t magnanimous in victory. It is a zero sum contest, so they give it whatever it would take, fight tooth and nail to win, and no weapon or tactic is too dangerous or unethical to deploy. Imagine what losers of the last Senate and House of Representative elections must be feeling now, seeing each NASS member officially gifted a N160 million SUV, and that in the same country and under the same economy where university professors at the bar earn less than six million naira annually. I should know: I have myself been at the bar for 17 years! 

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    Also, the presidency is a super imperial office that would make even medieval potentates green with envy. It is frankly laughable to advice both Waziri Atiku and Peter Obi to get over their electoral slaughter and move on. Apart from losing unrecoverable colossal sums expended on the entire electioneering process from beginning to final defeat, remaining in the doldrums outside the power loop and its gravy train could jeopardize their respective political careers. Election is a zero-sum contest in our clime; you lose everything, I mean everything, once you lose the ballot. Late Professor Claude Ake made it clear that not even personal security and entrepreneurial pursuits are secure outside power. Remember the case of a former Ekiti State governor who ordered the demolition of the petrol station belonging to a Speaker of the State House of Assembly with whom he had beef. Now imagine how riskier it could be for those outside the power loop.

    Evidence that both Waziri Atiku and Mr. Obi would resort to rear-guard battles against the man who badly drubbed them in the election contest can be gleaned from the contents of their responses to both the PEPC and Supreme Court rulings. Although couched in pseudo-patriotic language, both of them in extreme desperation wilfully rubbished the integrity of the election management body INEC, delegitimized the entire electoral process and wantonly impugned the integrity of the judiciary to boot, not also sparing the winner whom they have continued to subject to public flagellation in the eyes of the international community, a la Donald Trump and his followers who relentlessly assail the election that produced incumbent US President, Joe Biden. Nigerian politicians have never leant to accept election losses. For them, it is always robbery when they lose but ‘victory for democracy’ if only they win.

    Talking about political careers. Atiku Abubakar is 77 years old, has contested presidential elections and failed a record six times, making him a serial loser that any self-respecting political party would be wary of nominating as its flag-bearer next time. For him therefore, the desperation is palpable, the injury he suffered is rather deep. Peter Obi’s own case is slightly different. Though age is still on his side at 62, the problem is that his serial political harlotry or opportunism, absence of fidelity to any political party or faithfulness to any ideology, make him totally bereft of the requisite resilience and patience to build an enduring pan-Nigerian political party as a platform to stand on. Evidence: rather than build a nationwide political platform, he relishes being an ethno-regional champion with limited appeal outside the Southeast and the Christian community, both of which are too narrow to get anyone elected president in a populous and multicultural country like Nigeria. 

    His current dalliance with the Labour Party is opportunistic and tentative, for nothing proves that he would not abandon it at the drop of a hat, like he dumped APGA for PDP and then for LP. This serial harlotry makes him patently unreliable, and only an equally opportunistic political party would consider him a credible candidate for the 2027 presidential election. For his own sake, he needs patience, sagacity, and broad appeals across all ethnic, regional and religious persuasions, to build a solid platform on which to stand for the next election, else his political goose is also cooked. To succeed, he needs to market himself not as an Igbo presidential candidate anymore but as a Nigerian presidential candidate of Igbo extraction (apologies to Chief Ojo Maduekwe). Both he and Atiku, now confined to the margins of political relevance, might just lapse into heckling and rear-guard actions against the incumbent administration. But I doubt there is much to gain from that. Even their own supporters who have their eyes on the gravy train would soon start decamping to the ruling party rather than remain in unprofitable opposition. Nigerian politicians have no fidelity to principles or ideologies, only to where their bread will be buttered.

    Rather than expect these two losers to move on and prepare for the next election cycle, the administration is advised to brace itself for unrelenting rear-guard assaults from them and their angry supporters, but also from the army of ethnic and religious rabble-rousers, the ubiquitous foreign-funded so-called pro-democracy agitators and, of course, those self-serving civil society loudmouths whose daily preoccupation is to agitate against anything and everything. The administration surely has its work cut out for it, and the president should not expect any pity from us for, according to him, he asked for this job.

    • Prof Fawole is of Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife