Tag: forex

  • FG pledges to stabilise Forex

    FG pledges to stabilise Forex

    Following recurrent freefall of Naira in the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the Federal Government has assured Nigerians that it will implement macroeconomic reforms to stabilise the market.

    The Minister of Information and National Orientation, Mohammed Idris, gave the assurance on Saturday in Minna, at the 2024 Press Week of the Niger State Chapter of the Nigeria Union of Journalists (NUJ).

    Idris said government will implement reforms that will boost economic growth, curb inflation, ease the cost of living and stabilise the foreign exchange

    Represented by the Director-General of the Voice of Nigeria, Mallam Jibrin Baba Ndace, the Minister said, the year 2024 holds a lot of prospects for Nigerians as some of the promising initiatives of the administration begin to bear fruits.

    He said 2024 would be a great year for Nigeria as the  policies of President Bola Tinubu under the Renewed Hope Agenda take

    firmer roots for the growth of the nation’s economy.

    “The Tinubu administration will continue to implement macroeconomic reforms

    to achieve broad economic objectives of sustained economic growth.

    “The reforms will bring down inflation, ease the cost of living, stabilise foreign exchange

    and create jobs, among others,” he said.

    Idris said, against the backdrop of the withdrawal of fuel subsidy, liberalising the foreign exchange regime, and the fight against corruption, the Tinubu’ government

    is showing fidelity to the rule of law.

    According to him, the independence of institutions l, including the judiciary were demonstrated in the recent judgements of the courts.

    Read Also: Forex crisis: Centre demands transparency in BDC operations, asks CBN to publish beneficial owners

    The Minister explained that the recent decision to relocate certain departments of the Central Bank of Nigeria(CBN) and the headquarters of Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN) to Lagos is part of a broader strategy to enhance operational efficiency.

    He said the decision would also ensure a responsive financial system and cut operations cost.

    Idris emphasized that the government’s directive aligns with global best practices and has no political motivation what so ever as wrongly propagated.

    The Minister assured that no policy of the present administration would put any part of the country in a disadvantage position.

    (NAN)

  • Forex crisis: Centre demands transparency in BDC operations, asks CBN to publish beneficial owners

    Forex crisis: Centre demands transparency in BDC operations, asks CBN to publish beneficial owners

    The Centre for Fiscal Transparency and Integrity Watch (CFTIW) on Saturday raised the alarm over the free fall of the naira and its adverse effects on Nigerians and the economy.

    The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued regulations to mitigate the forex crisis, the recent being a circular directing the “Harmonisation of Reporting Requirements on Foreign Currency Exposures of Banks”.

    In a statement by Head of Public Relations, Victor Agi, the CFTIW urged the apex bank to spotlight the operations of Bureau De Change (BDC), particularly requesting the publication of the Beneficial Owners of all licensed BDCs . 

    The anti-corruption body said this was necessary given the opacity that surrounds BDC operations, lending credence to the speculation about potential for exploitation and manipulation within the sector which continue to weaken the naira in the free market.

    “Currently, there are no adequate data on BDC operations to understand trends and how they affect the foreign exchange market. The discrepancies between BDC buying and selling rates also raise questions about fair pricing practices and the potential for exploitative arbitrage,” the statement reads.

    “Additionally, it is unclear if BDCs operators comply with Anti-Money Laundering (AML) regulations as provided for in the Money Laundering (Prohibition) Act 2022, which mandates robust Know Your Customer (KYC) and Customer Due Diligence (CDD) procedures for BDCs.

    “Concerns exist that some operators may not be fully compliant, creating vulnerabilities to money laundering, market manipulations and other financial crimes.

    Read Also: Cadbury Nigeria improves profitability despite forex loss

    “It is on this note that we demand the public reporting of all licensed BDC transactions, including volumes, buying and selling rates. This will promote market transparency to address arbitrage trading.”

    The CFTIW further charged the CBN to strengthen the enforcement of AML regulations by conducting thorough audits and inspections of BDC operators to ensure adherence to KYC and CDD requirements, and impose swift and severe penalties for non-compliance.

    “We believe that these measures will foster trust and confidence in the market, strengthen the naira, attract foreign investment and may reveal that the forex crisis was not driven by genuine needs such as importation and legal foreign transactions but by pecuniary motives,” the statement added.

  • Report: Plan to allow uniform forex rate reporting underway

    Report: Plan to allow uniform forex rate reporting underway

    There are reports that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is working with Bureaux de Change (BDCs) to have a uniform rate reporting portal.

     The move is expected to help the apex bank narrow the widening gaps between the official and parallel markets.

     The CBN, according to Bloomberg report, has given the Association of Bureaux de Change Operators of Nigeria the go-ahead to publicly post the buying and selling rates of the naira against the dollar online.

     The naira yesterday closed at N1,370/$ at the parallel market. The local currency however closed at N878/$ at the Investors and Exporters Window- the official market where $145 million turnover was recorded.

     The naira fall worsened after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) last year,  unified all exchange rates into the I&E window last Wednesday and allowed market forces to determine exchange rate for the naira.

     The policy saw the apex bank collapse exchange rates – the International Air Transport Association (IATA) rate, parallel market rate, Interbank Exchange Rate and Bureaux De Change (BDC) rate – into the I&E window.

    Read Also: Shake up in police Intelligence Operations

     By that singular move, dollar applications for medicals, school fees, Business Travel Allowance/Personal Travel Allowance, and Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are processed through the I&E window- where rates are determined by market forces.

     The operational changes to the foreign exchange market also include the re-introduction of the “Willing Buyer, Willing Seller” model at the I&E Window.

    The current move to create uniform rates reporting portal is intended “to enhance competitiveness and price discovery in the market and challenge the parallel market,” said the group’s president, Aminu Gwadabe.

    The step reverses measures by the previous leadership of the central bank to control bureaux de change and limit the visibility of the unofficial market in an effort to shore up the official naira. That move only drove activity onto the street and into the shadows.

    Naira rates will now be broadly visible online — part of a wider effort by Africa’s most-populous nation to move away from a managed exchange rate and unify the two markets.

  • Forex reserves rise to $33.2bamid optimism on oil earnings

    Forex reserves rise to $33.2bamid optimism on oil earnings

    Nigeria’s foreign exchange (forex) reserves have risen to $33.25 billion amid optimism that the country may surpass its crude oil earnings’ projections.

    The nation’s forex reserves rose by $140 million to close weekend at $33.25 billion, sustaining a build-up that had raised expectations of a stronger outlook among analysts. The reserves, which had closed 2023 at $32.91 billion, closed penultimate week at $33.11 billion.

    Brent crude oil price inched higher by 1.6 per cent to $78.48/bbl at the weekend as escalating tensions in the Middle East and disruptions in the United States stoked fears of supply shortage.

    The International Energy Agency (IEA) had revised its 2024 demand forecast upward to 1.24mbpd.

    Analysts at Coronation Asset Management said they anticipated that global crude oil price will stay over government’s 2024 budget assumption of $77.96 per barrel.

    Nigeria’s external reserves, which closed 2022 at about $37.08 billion, had peaked at $37.211 billion on January 16, 2023. It then suffered a streak of long losses as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) struggled with extremely volatile currency depreciation.

    The naira, however, remained under pressure at the forex markets. At the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM)- the market-driven, government-recognised market, the naira depreciated by 1.3 per cent to N902.45 per dollar. At the parallel market, the extensive though undetermined “black market”, the naira was weaker by 7.6 per cent to close at N1,340.00 per dollar.

    The momentum of activities at NAFEM also dropped by 33.3 per cent to $505.8 million.

    Read Also: ‘How AFREXIM’s $3.3b crude prepayment  loan will improve forex liquidity’

    Most analysts expected the naira to remain under pressure in the meantime citing significant demand-supply mismatch.

    Cordros Capital stated that forex liquidity conditions would remain tight, pending receipt of expected forex inflows.

    “Thus, we expect the pressure on the local currency to persist in the near term. Nonetheless, we expect foreign investors to keenly watch the development in the forex space with regards to the expected forex inflows as guided by the authorities, CBN’s recent actions in clearing its forex backlogs, and firm direction of short-term interest rates,” Cordros Capital stated.

    The World Bank had stated that it was considering Nigeria’s request to provide $1.5 billion in financing to support key policy reforms.

    The Development Policy Financing (DPF) provides direct budget financing and supports countries with reforms to policies and institutions that boost economies and specific sectors.

    President, Association of Capital Market Academics in Nigeria, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, said Nigeria needs to curb excessive import dependence to support its forex recovery.

    “It goes without saying that export- base diversification remains the only sustainable solution to the present forex crisis.

    “The strategy of the government appears to focus on the supply side involving borrowing dollars to improve liquidity in the near term. But it may not record any significant success except the unbridled demand for forex is dealt with.

    “To curb the demand pressure, I suggest the government should compel a change in consumption behaviour by enacting  a ‘Buy Nigeria law’ akin to the ‘Buy America Act’ of 1933 and recently the ‘Build America, Buy America Act’ of 2021.

    “Also, Nigeria’s import data support revisiting and scaling up the CBN’s currency swap deal with the Peoples Bank of China.’’

    “Given that the bulk of Nigeria’s imports are from China, it stands to reason, therefore, to explore ways of bypassing the dollars and settling these transactions in the Yuan. This was the idea behind the currency swap with China which was largely inadequate in size. In order to increase the stock of Yuan in our external reserves, Nigeria can issue panda bonds, which are bonds denominated in the Chinese Yuan and are considered cheaper than Eurobonds,” Uwaleke said.

    He however explained that increase in forex reserves was a positive development for the Nigerian forex market.

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr. Olatunde Amolegbe, had also said the continuing increase in forex reserves will support government’s current efforts aimed at fostering liquidity and stability at the forex market.

    “The increase is a positive signal for improved liquidity in the forex market. This should ultimately help to stabilize the exchange rate of the naira or even strengthen it against the dollar if the increase is steady and consistent,” Amolegbe said.

    He however noted that the government would need to improve on existing forex market structure.

    According to him, a structure that is more transparent, that discourages arbitrage and rent seeking will need to be put in place as a matter of urgency.

  • Imports drop over naira depreciation, forex scarcity

    Imports drop over naira depreciation, forex scarcity

    There are indications that the continuous depreciation of the naira and high import rates have led to a massive drop in imports, a development that may likely affect the government’s revenue target.

    Some shippers told our correspondent that they have stopped importation because of the difficulty they are facing in accessing foreign currency and the recent increase in import duty rates.

    The reduction in imports, some clearing agents also said, has resulted in a lack of clearing jobs and has affected the ability of shippers to do their businesses.

    An importer, Abel Friday, and a former Vice President,  Association of Nigerian Licensed Customs Agents, Dr. Kayode Farinto,  expressed their concerns about the dwindling level of importation, stating that most imports in recent times have been raw materials for the production of other goods.

    These raw materials, they said, attract a lower duty rate of five per cent, which they said, would further impact negatively, on the N5.1 trillion revenue target for the Customs.

    To encourage importers and clearing agents to do their businesses, Farinto urged the Federal Government to introduce measures that would provide incentives. One such measure could be revising the calculation of Value Added Tax (VAT), which goes against the principles of international trade.

    Also, the former President, National Association of Government Approved Freight Forwarders (NAGAFF) and  Secretary of the Nigeria Customs Consultative Committee, Eugene Nweke said,  the economic difficulties faced by the government are a consequence of the actions of the previous administration. He believes that the monetary policy in Nigeria has been negatively influenced by preferential treatments and regulatory laxity.

    Since last July, the NCS has increased its duty rate more than seven times. The most recent was made in mid-last December, and while importers are still having difficulty finding a balance, the Customs duty tariff was raised once more.

    But a stakeholder,  Segun Oduntan, has advised traders not to blame Customs for the increase in import duty rates, as they are only implementing government fiscal policies.

    Read Also: CBN pays $2bn in outstanding Forex liabilities

    “The continuous depreciation of the Naira against the dollar, coupled with increased import duty rates, is leading to a decline in the importation of goods and services in Nigeria. This trend is worrisome for the Nigeria Customs Service, as it may struggle to achieve its revenue target for the year,” he said.

    But the Comptroller General Customs Adewale Adeniyi has called on the business community to increase export trade so as to earn more dollars and boost the value of the naira.

    Also, the Chief Executive Officer of the Center for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, CPPE, Muda Yusuf said that the trend is a reflection of the state of the economy adding weak currency is supposes to encourage export trade.

    He said: “I think it is a  reflection of the state of the economy,. You know international trade is a function of your currency and a function of the exchange rate and once you challenges with the exchange rate, especially when there is serious depreciation, particularly on imports, it will be affected significantly.

    “If we were a country that had the capacity to export perhaps that would have been an advantage because weak currency encourages export but it penalizes imports which is what is manifesting now.

    “So basically, it is a challenge of the exchange rate because even if they import these things, how are they going to sell. That is the issue because the purchasing power is just so weak. So that is a major issue and on top of that, some of our import duties are too high. If you have weak currency and import duty at the same time, it will almost cripple trade.

    “We need to review our import duty and look at areas where we can cut down, if you cut it down, you have better compliance, smuggling will be less and more people be able to bring in goods, so it will be a win-win for everybody,” he said.

  • Fed Govt determined to ease forex pressure, says Trade minister

    Fed Govt determined to ease forex pressure, says Trade minister

    Industry, Trade & Investment Minister, Dr. Doris Uzoka-Anite, yesterday restated the Federal Government’s resolve to ease the pressure on foreign exchange.

    The minister said there was no going back in the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led administration is clearing all the bottlenecks in making Nigerian environment investment-friendly.

    She dropped the hint at the opening of two factories and the extension of the Tropical General Investment Group (TGI), at the Sagamu Inter-change, Ogun State.

    Mrs. Uzoka-Anite said the government would continue to encourage industrialisation and mobilise resources, where necessary, to boost economic recovery.

    She also spoke of plans by the government to ensure the removal of all road blocks hindering the growth of businesses in the land.

    The minister said: “The challenges of unemployment, pressure on foreign exchange and economic diversification are part of the problem president has promised to conclusively tackle.

    “Manufacturing and value chain addition is necessary for the overall development of our country. There is no way around it; the cause of inaction is huge and we cannot afford it.”

    Ogun State Governor Dapo Abiodun described TGI Group as a testament that the state was moving in the right direction.

    The governor, who also lauded the sense of corporate social responsibility of the group, added that when companies engage in corporate social responsibilities, the community takes ownership and supports their overall development.

    Read Also: CBN eases forex backlog with $61.6m disbursements to airlines

    He said: “I want to thank the TGI group because you are a classical example of the success story of Ogun State; you are a reference point industry, a shining example of foreign direct investment in the country.

    “If we had not increase the ranking of the state on the ease of doing business index, you wouldn’t be expanding your business. You are a testament to the fact we are truly working the talk and we are proud to be associated with you.”

    Describing the Ogun economy as the most improved in the country and the state as one of the two most resilient in the country, the governor said that his administration would continue to put in place the needed infrastructure for more companies to thrive in the state, adding that the Agro Cargo Airport being constructed by his administration would soon commence operation.

    The Executive Director, Food Distribution, TGI, Mr. Roy Deepanjan, noted that about 80 per cent of the raw materials used by the company is sourced locally, adding that the company is proud to be associated with the state.

  • ‘Policy implementation ’ll determine forex, naira stability this year’

    ‘Policy implementation ’ll determine forex, naira stability this year’

    As the country continues to struggle to meet its foreign exchange (FOREX) demand, an economist, Dr. Muda Yussuf, said the outlook for forex in the new year would be influenced largely by the developments around the fundamentals of supply and demand of forex.

    Yusuf, who is also the Chief Executive officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), noted that such factors like the progress made in curbing crude oil theft and boosting oil output, would to a long extent, be a critical variable that would drive the supply side for forex.

    He noted other supply variable determinants to include the prospects of attracting more investment into the oil and gas sector, especially leveraging the Petroleum industry Act (PIA); the clearing of foreign exchange backlog by the CBN, a measure Yusuf noted, would impact on investors confidence and improve inflows of forex in the medium to long-term; growth in diaspora remittances and other inflows from Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment and also growth in non-oil export through leveraging new initiatives to boost investment in solid minerals and improve domestic capacity to export.

    According to the former LCCI boss, the country would further benefit from forex supply inflow considering the initiatives by the government to  boost forex liquidity through crude oil forward sales by the NNPCL.

    He is convinced that steps taken to securitise NLNG dividends to generate short term forex liquidity is another avenue the government would improve forex supply into the economy.

    He further explained that improving forex outlook on the demand side would be buoyed by factors like import substitution effects of the improved prospects of domestic refining of petroleum products. This, he argued, would reduce the demand pressure on the foreign exchange market given that there would be a drastically reduced demand for forex to import the commodity.

    “The prospects of growth in domestic petrochemical output which would reduce Import dependence by domestic manufacturing firms. The recent depreciation of the naira exchange rate is driving an inward looking strategy by many firms and households.  This may ease forex demand in the medium to long-term,” Yusuf noted in a statement obtained by The Nation yesterday.

    Responding to further enquiries by The Nation on telephone, yesterday, the CPPE helmsman, affirmed that If the measures outlined are implemented, the outlook for foreign exchange stability and growth of foreign reserves will be very positive.

    Read Also: Nigeria woos foreign investors with attractive forex repatriation, RoI

    “The truth is that some of those measures are already being implemented.  But the quality of implementation would shape the ultimate outcomes,” he said.

    Meanwhile, there are a number of risks to the positive forex outlook. Yusuf identified these to include the Persistence of crude oil theft and disruptions to oil production, which he said The government needs to sustain the current onslaught on crude oil theft.

    Besides, he further added, the persistence of importation of petroleum products at current scale would pose a major risk to a positive forex outlook as this would continue to exert pressure on the exchange rate.

    “If there is a loss of steam in the current forex and oil and gas sector reforms. It is imperative to sustain the reforms. The government therefore needs to provide all the support it could to investors in the petroleum refining space,” Yusuf said.

  • Forex availability to shape 2024 economic performance, says C & I Leasing GMD

    Forex availability to shape 2024 economic performance, says C & I Leasing GMD

    • Consumer demand to slow on higher prices  

    Availability of foreign exchange for businesses will be a deciding factor on how well the economy performs in 2024.

    Group Managing Director, C & I Leasing Plc, Ugoji Lenin Ugoji said many foreign investors were interested in coming into the country but they also want to be assured their investments in naira are safe.

    He said the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) remains at the best position to advise government on the steps to take to overcome ongoing forex crisis. He however, advised businesses to plan  their forex transaction decisions wisely. 

    He said: “There is nothing bad if 30 per cent of a company’s loans are in dollars, but it also needs dollar revenue to pay the dollar debt”.

    Ugoji, who spoke during a virtual presentation of the company’s facts behind the third quarter 2023 figures,said that C&I Leasing had to increase its forex revenues and reduce forex loans to avoid asset mismatch. “That decision gives C & I Leasing good stability to withstand turbulence,” he said. 

    C & I Leasing said Nigeria Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to reach $489.80 billion by the end of 2023, according to analyst’s global macro models and expectations. 

    In the long term, Nigeria’s GDP is projected to trend around $508.41 billion in 2024 and $525.70 billion in 2025.

    It added that consumers are expected to be pressured by higher prices causing demand to slow down.

    Read Also: Forex traders, hoarders, lose as naira gains in official,steady in parallel market

    Its Head Treasury, Babatunde Oguntunrin, said the company plans a N50 billion Commercial Paper Issuance, with most of the funding targeted at asset acquisition. He said the company will continue to maintain a weighted cost of capital that closes on government benchmark.

    According to him, the company will further ensure an optimal equity, short & long term capital mix that will maximise all stakeholders return.

    The Chief Finance Officer, Okey Nnake, said the company’s performance in the third quarter of this year, showed gross earnings of N16.3 billion, up nine per cent year-on-year ( y-o-y), driven by growth of its marine business, representing 69 per cent of total gross earnings for the nine-month period.

    Its net operating income of N8.5 billion, rose 10 per cent y-o-y mainly driven by growth in marine business.

    “Profit after tax of N414.1 million, up 12 per cent y-o-y, was achieved through a combination of top line growth, cost reduction initiatives and optimal utilisation of assets. Basic earnings per share of 42 kobo, up 221 per cent y-o-y , due to higher earnings,” he said.  “Year-to-date growth in total assets by 25 per cent to N72.1 billion, largely driven by assets being held in currencies other than local. Capital Adequacy Ratio increased 800 basis points to 35 per cent on the back conversion of $10 million convertible note,” he said. 

  • Forex traders, hoarders, lose as naira gains in official,steady in parallel market

    Forex traders, hoarders, lose as naira gains in official,steady in parallel market

    Foreign exchange speculators and hoarders are currently groaning as they suffer major loss over the steady and  continued appreciation of the value of the naira against the United States dollar in the last five days.

    The naira appreciated both in parallel and official markets for the largest part of the week.

    For instance, in Aboki FX, the naira maintained its consistency even as it appreciated marginally against the United States dollar significantly.

    On Monday, the US dollar sold for N1,132 at the parallel market, and appreciated on Tuesday and closed at N1,125. The parallel market, however, maintained consistency by closing at N1,125 on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

    The naira also appreciated against the US dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Fixing (NAFEX), the country’s official exchange rate window.

    It appreciated to N839.48/$ on Monday and did the same on Wednesday, appreciating to N818.99/$ and closed the week on a strong footing, at N791.75.

    NAFEX is the reference rate for spot FX operations in the autonomous FX market, which comprises recognised FX trading segments, including but not limited to the inter-bank market, the I&E FX Window, and any such approved and recognised trading segment as may be defined.

    With this result, hoarders and speculators are on the losing side as naira continue to gain strength in both markets.

    Read Also: Forex traders, hoarders lose as Naira gains steady at parallel market

    However, stakeholders commended the effort of President Bola Tinubu by sourcing for investors who will bring scarce foreign exchange into the country.

    Speaking on Channels television, on Thursday, and monitored by our Correspondent, the Chief Executive Officer, Centre for Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE), Dr. Muda Yusuf, also called for local refining of crude, saying imported refined fuel is putting pressure on the dollar.

    According to him, the federal government must ensure local refineries work to reduce the pressure and as well strengthen the naira.

    “To get foreign currency can be through remittances and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which is what President Tinubu has been doing by traveling to various countries, asking them to come and invest and when they come in, they come in with capital for long term investment.”

    Speaking on local refining of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), the former Director General of Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), said spending over $1.5bn on local refining of fuel is putting too much pressure on the FX.

    “A lot needs to be done quickly about local refining of petroleum products because that’s putting pressure on the FX. If we are spending between $1 to $1.5bn on a monthly basis to import petroleum products then there will be a lot of pressure on the forex.

    “So, the point is that, it will take some time, the president has spoken to quite a number of investors but they won’t just pick their briefcase and start coming but they need their due diligence.

    “As soon as refineries come onboard, it will reduce pressure on the FX these are the things the president is pushing forward,” he stated

  • Mr President and the forex concerns: an invitation to dare

    Mr President and the forex concerns: an invitation to dare

    • By Nze Chidi Duru 

    When His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR, declared to the world on the United Nations General Assembly’s stage concerning his new vision of economic relationship with the global north, it was, indeed, an economic trend reversal that he sought when he announced that; “…the question is not whether Nigeria is open for business, but rather, that the question is how much of the world is truly open to doing business with Nigeria and Africa on an equal, mutually beneficial manner.”

     The profundity of that declaration was for me a confirmation of the substance of the character of the leadership attributes of the President that is worthy of mention. In more ways than one, the statement, among others, on that world stage, magnifies the courage of the man -Tinubu especially when viewed against the backdrop of the various challenges the Nigerian economic and those of other countries in the African continent have had to contend with over the last 10 years. And, perhaps, even more significantly, in the days immediately after the President’s swearing-in into office when he announced fundamental economic policies targeted at national economic reformation. 

    At that moment, with Mr President still holding captive, the attention of the world, I recalled the inimitable description of courage in the words of the American author, Richelle Goodrich, in which she observed that: “Courage to me is doing something daring, no matter how afraid, insecure, intimidated, alone, unworthy, incapable, ridiculed or whatever other paralyzing emotion you might feel. Courage is taking action….no matter what.”

    This description, to my mind encapsulates where President Tinubu stand in the present evolving trajectory of the Nigerian nation – will he pluck the courage to dare to act in the face of a behemoth of numerous challenges, as it were? 

    Yet, more poignant for me, is that the President’s world stage performance confirms one of the reasons I decidedly took a stand on the side of history when the erstwhile National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress, Senator Abdullahi Adamu, made to involve members of the National Working Committee of the ruling party in the adoption of the candidacy of a so called Aso Villa sponsored candidate during a meeting of the NWC on 5 June, 2022. The words were not out of the mouth of the then Chairman when I felt aggravated and raised a literal storm over the apparent subterfuge the Chairman was intended upon. My declared insistence was that a level playing field should be availed all presidential contestants and, as such, no talks of an anointed candidate from anywhere will be tolerated or even discussed in the course of the meeting. 

    In that instant, history was written, the larger numbers of the NWC members, not all members, immediately took side with history and left the Chairman to his own drift. Upset with the noxious maneuvres of the Chairman, we walked out of the NWC hall and, thereafter, moved to my office in the APC National Secretariat to structure our resistance plan. In the meeting, we appointed the National Organising Secretary, H. E. Muhammad Sulaiman Argungu, OFR, as the leader and face of the resistance who will also address the press conference to publicly discountenance the move to impose a choice of presidential candidate on the party by the then National Chairman.

    The press conference was shortly addressed and two outstanding political milestones were implicated; a national party had publicly thwarted the machination of its higher echelon to hoodwink it into adopting a candidate undemocratically and, in the same breath, the resistance in the Party found congruence in the camp of the very influential Governors’ Forum of the Party with majority members who were also united behind the resistance against the Chairman. This principled position, more or less, availed a return to the path of democracy by the APC when all presidential aspirants found their ways to the Eagle’s Square venue of the presidential primary election three days after that high octane drama at the party’s national secretariat. The rest, as they say, is now history. 

    It is gratifying that that resistance consequently produced Asiwaju Tinubu, arguably one of the most prepared, the most toughened and the most politically conditioned of the presidential aspirants on parade that day at the Eagle’s Square. After the conclusion of the event of the presidential primary election and the dramatic spectacle of eminent aspirants stepping down for him, without any sort of prompting, I was, candidly, inclined to think that, perhaps, he has the destiny of running Nigeria as president written into his stars.

    In truth, I am persuaded that Mr President didn’t just happen on the national scene, rather, his emergence is the outcome of the confluence of his courage and a weather intervention requiring a Tinubu’s presidency at this critical time in the life of our dear country. It is, indeed, a time that beckons on our most courageous and thankfully, Mr President, without doubt, stands in the gap for our dear nation. Will he assume the courage required at this time? 

    By insisting the Party’s national presidential primary held, we saved our party from a possible scenario of self immolation, while, at the same time, gifting the nation, the possibility of a President that can stand his own whatever the circumstance, whatever the situation, a President that, in the words of Goodrich, ‘can dare to act.’

    It is on this count that I beseech the attention of President Tinubu to take that courageous stance that he has become renowned for in the face of the sweltering conditions our social and economic spaces have become. I do concede the onerous task Mr President have been engaged with in the pacification of the multiple trouble spots that pockmark our  national economic stratum especially the concern over our foreign exchange policy. In this regard, my observation is that if Nigerians don’t pay the right price for the right services our exposure in the foreign exchange dynamics will continue to bounce, albeit negatively.

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    It is, thus, with all sense of responsibility that I request Mr President, as a matter of urgency, to intervene in the oppressive and inequitable treatment of Nigerian international travellers. Nigerian travelers have become subjected to discriminatory ticket fares that had become not only unfair and socially suffocating but an assault on Nigeria’s economic standing. Most times, tickets to destinations in Europe and the United States of America by Nigerian travellers are more than two to three times the ticket fares from those destinations to Nigeria. Even more disheartening are the disgraceful services availed Nigerian travellers by these airlines despite the higher ticket fares paid by Nigerians.

    Mr President should consider this discriminatory ticket fare as a global plot by international airline operators to purloin our foreign exchange reserves by official subtlety. It is, undoubtedly, one avenue that our foreign exchange reserve is being eroded. May I implore Mr President, working through the foreign affairs and aviation ministers, to immediately move to redress this brazen act of inequity being perpetrated by international airline operators. 

    An extension of the worries over our foreign reserves is the value of our national currency, the Naira. While I acknowledge the feverish efforts being made by the administration to strengthen the Naira-Dolla exchange rate especially in the parallel market, and while hoping the outcomes of these efforts become manifest in the shortest possible time, the worry is that beyond the prices of goods and services as reflected in increasing inflation rates, our capital market, especially, the stock market has become susceptible to hostile takeovers by so called foreign investors.

    The prices of our high valued stocks have become rock bottom prices otherwise known as penny stocks when valued in dollar terms. For instance, Seplat plc commands the highest possible price on the Nigerian stock market at N1, 980 per unit as of Tuesday, 7 November, 2023. When converted to the dollar, the price translates to a lowly $1.9 thereabouts. Meanwhile, the price of a unit of Zenith Bank, a value stock by all consideration, as at same Tuesday, 7 November, 2023 was traded at N33.80k when converted to dollar it would be traded at about 32 cents. These stock prices when reviewed on a dollar basis clearly show how undervalued the Nigerian stock market had become though we see exponential upward movements in the All Share Index and capitalisation of the market in recent times but these indicators are measured by domestic rates not the Dollar. 

    The unabating fears for stock market  players like me is that foreign corporate raiders can turn our stock market to a killing field in a moment with a portfolio as little as $20million. This will be to the detriment of domestic shareholders who had held forth in the market and had sustained the market when foreign investors took flight out of the market at the first sign of trouble in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. As a corporate player, I am quite aware of the threat of corporate invaders coming into the country and leveraging a strong Dollar relative to the Naira to pick our value stocks at extremely cheap rates. 

    The aggregation of these concerns is rooted in the limited access to foreign exchange, especially, the United States Dollar (USD) by those who want it for transactional purposes. A number of financial experts, and even some in the administration, had come forward to argue that the national economy is in this strait because of a shortage of Dollar supply into the economy. With due respect to those that hold this position, it is rather common place, lacking an indepth understanding of the use of the USD in the larger Nigerian economy. Yes, the quantum of the USD in circulation is low, yet, it should not be the reason for the near state of crisis that segment of our economy is growing into. USD scarcity does not explain the exponential increase in the  Naira – USD exchange rate in the parallel market within a very short time, rising from about N460 in June, 2023 to N1,300 in early November, 2023. This can’t be a about shortage in supply!

    Truth be told, the larger percentage of the USD that had been taken out of our reserves are used for many purposes other than transactions. It is no secret that those that have access have turned the USD into a store of value. In this league are active importers that have also become economic saboteurs who inflate the value of their Letters of Credit (LC) and process the USD officially out of the Central Bank of Nigeria. After settling their trade obligations, they criminally convert the remaining value of the LC by a fraudulent discount arrangement from which they hold on to their share of the now cash backed LC, save it in an account abroad and, in classic unpatriotic display, they pray earnestly for the continued erosion of the value of the Naira so they can bring their criminally converted USD back into Nigeria for sale in the black market. This is classic Forex round tripping. 

    This is a snapshot of just one of the many underhand deals by which some people assail the value of our national currency for their selfish commercial ends. My submission, in this regard, is that these fraudulent conduct of businesses should be declared crimes of national economic sabotage by Mr President. 

    In all these prospective and actual sabotage of our economy, nonetheless, I find succour and confidence in the investment savviness of Mr President, I am thus assured that within the shortest possible time, Mr President will deploy all possible policies to address the concerns highlighted here. I am, indeed, persuaded in the power of courage, the courage to dare and act even when the odds are heavily against acting as appropriate. That’s the Tinubu’s courage.

    • Duru is an Entrepreneur, Thought Leader and the Deputy National Organising Secretary of the ruling All Progressives Congress