Tag: GDP

  • ‘Insurance sector’s under-performance slowing GDP’

    The under-performance of the insurance sector is denying the country a yearly 1.5 per cent increment in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, has said.

    At this year’s National Insurance Conference (NIC) in Abuja, the minister said the persistent under-performance of the sector was revealed at the 2014 Insurance Summit.

    The conference theme was “Expanding National Resources and Infrastructure in Challenging Times”.

    Arguing that the industry was under-performing, compared to its pension and banking counterparts, Adeosun identified low awareness as one of the factors responsible for the sector’s under-performance, pointing out that of the 57 insurance companies in the country, less than 23 advertised their products.

    “The companies put in less than 20 adverts on television, less than 10 adverts on radio and less than 10 adverts on social media. Other factors include poor distribution channels and unethical practices among operators, she said.

    The Minister added that her ministry was working vigorously with the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) to ensure that premium discounting is eliminated among practitioners. She also said there was need for recapitalisation of most insurance companies.

    “The first top three banks have over N3 billion capital base each, while the top three insurance companies’ capital base is between N20 and 25 million each,” she said.

    Adeosun said there was the need to immediately address the issues responsible for the under-performance of the insurance sector “because a 0. 33 per cent increase in insurance penetration can result to a growth of 0.5 per cent in GDP.” She pointed out that the increment was capable of creating over 70, 000 jobs yearly.

    The Commissioner for Insurance, Alhaji Mohammed Kari, praised the Insurance Industry Consultative Council for organising the conference to reposition the industry.

    Kari pledged NAICOM’s commitment to making the industry the next growth area for economic development.

  • Mining sector contributes N400b to GDP, says minister

    Mining sector contributes N400b to GDP, says minister

    Minister of Solid Minerals Development  Kayode Fayemi yesterday said mining and related services contribute only N400 billion to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and should be boosted with new investments.

    The minister, who spoke at the 2016 Stanbic IBTC Bank Iron Ore and Steel Business Session, held in Lagos, said mining should strive to match contributions of other key sectors like agribusiness at 22 per cent, and manufacturing 6.8 per cent, to the GDP.

    He said the ministry is working with banks to create low-cost funds for the mining sector, adding that banks are already working hard to establish mining desks.

    The minister described steel as the world’s most important engineering material crucial to any country’s industrialisation objectives, adding that Nigeria imports an estimated $3.3 billion of processed steel and associated derivatives, representing 80 per cent of the $4.2 billion total metal products imported per year.

    “The Federal Government of Nigeria is of the view that the steel industry can be attractive to investors due to the large untapped demand potential similar to cement in 1990s. The current market size of $3.3 billion per annum has potential to grow to $15.1 billion/annum with increased industriali-sation,” he said.

    He said that to fund the infrastructure needs of its growing economy over the next 30 years, Nigeria would need about $3 trillion. “This investment would allow Nigeria to close its current infrastructure gap and sustain an ideal infrastructure stock level of 70 per cent of GDP as it builds and maintains infrastructure assets across all its seven key sectors,” he said.

    Head of Mining at Standard Bank, South Africa, Anders Alfredson, said Nigeria market has potential to develop domestic iron ore and other steel raw material resources and as an emerging mining jurisdiction, opportunity to create stable legal framework.

    He said that Standard Bank, which is the parent company of Stanbic IBTC Bank, plays big in the mining industry, adding that there is relationship between steel production and GDP growth. “We have significant experience in funding infrastructure in Nigeria,” he said.

    Alfredson said Nigeria is not starting mining funding from the scratch, adding that Nigeria should develop a legal framework in place to get mining working.

    He said that Standard Bank provided $150 million to Kansanshi Mining Plc, and 80 per cent held subsidiary of Toronto listed First Quantum Minerals Limited as part of the $350 million five-year term loan.

    Kansanshi Mining owns and operates the Kansanshi mine, the largest copper mine in Africa and First Quantum Minerals Limited’s largest operation.

     

  • Why power contribution to GDP is low

    Infrastructural bottlenecks, such as obsolete gas pipelines, vandalism, inability of the turbines to access gas for production, dismal state of hydro power equipment, and irregular power supply, have hindered job creation in the electricity and other sectors.This is also affecting the industry’s contribution to the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Head, Oil and Gas Department, Ecobank Nigeria Plc, Mrs. Olufunke Jones has said.

    She mentioned other issues to include poor funding of the sector occasioned by the reluctance of banks to lend to the power firms, and faulty distribution equipment, adding that the output of the sector has remained low, despite its privitisation a few years ago.

    Speaking during a stakeholders’ forum in Lagos,  Jones said unlike the petroleum industry, which  provides 70 per cent of the Federal Government’s earnings  and further contributes over seven  per cent to nation’s Gross Domestic Product,  the power sector has not.

    She said: “The Federal Government, the Ministry of Power, the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN), the power firms, and other relevant stakeholders need to develop a template that is robust, adaptable and good enough to facilitate improved power supply.  When this happens, the potentials of the sector would be galvanised to create employment. Anything short of this means the sector would not be able to contribute greatly to the GDP.’’

    She said  renewable energy would provide more than 40 per cent of electricity requirement in the West African region by 2040, urging the Federal Government to maximise the opportunities in the renewable energy.

    “By 2040, the region is expected to generate 40 per cent of its electricity from renewable energy.  Nigeria needs to localise power, by using available natural resources. Where there is sunlight, coal, wind and other renewable energy sources, the country should make use of them. The combination of  both the off-grid and on-grid  means of  generating power would help in improving power supply, as well as contribution to the economy.’’ she added.

    According to her, improvement in the operation of the West African Gas Pipeline project, and others initiated to develop power and petrochemical industries is key to the growth of the region.

    The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission had in December 2014, inaugurated an 11-man advisory board that would manage deployment and use of the regulation in every facet of the power sector.  NERC’s former Chief, Dr Sam Amadi said the development was aimed at creating opportunities for Nigerians to participate actively  in the sector and further improve contribution to the nation’s GDP.

  • Govt plans 42% GDP growth

    Govt plans 42% GDP growth

    The Federal Government plans a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate of 42 per cent, with the implementation of Budget 2016, Finance Minister Mrs Kemi Adeosun has said.

    In an article, the minister said the full implementation of the budget will see to the recovery from the slowing GDP growth and forestall the remote possibility of a recession.

    Mrs Adeosun wrote: “The administration is also determined to reduce the cost of governance, extract efficiencies in public service and enhance revenue collections. The administration plans to increase government expenditure on infrastructure i.e. transport, roads, housing and power with a view to achieving a substantial increase in gross capital formation and to fund the budget deficit and the negative trade balance in a cost effective and efficient manner, which will keep the government within the acceptable debt sustainable ratio that is expected of most emerging economies.”

     The Minister, who acknowledged the impact of the sliding oil prices on Nigeria’s economy, said: “Our main macroeconomic objective is to use a government expenditure-led growth strategy in 2016, combined with a stimulant approach based on injections of more efficiently collected revenues and blocking of leakages.  The combination of these fiscal injections will have a catalytic multiplier effect on the GDP growth rate.”

     ”The budget deficit is estimated at N2.2trn or 2.16 per cent of GDP based on an estimated benchmark oil price of $38pb.  In view of present realities and the dynamics in the global oil markets, we have braced ourselves for the probability of a further decline in oil prices,” she said.

    Though the government believes the average price of oil in 2016 will recover, “we have developed a shadow budgeting process with tactical responses to build in the flexibility in our borrowing needs. This way, we will not undermine the fundamental principle of the economic stimulus model used by countries facing a contraction in economic activities and growth,” the minister said.

     She pledged the government’s resolve to go ahead with its robust commitments on infrastructure despite the oil price crash. Mrs Adeosun said: “We are firmly committed to the countercyclical budget expenditure model.  Therefore, we will not reduce our investment in infrastructure i.e. transport, roads, housing and power.  Our deficit will expand by N0.8trn to N3trn, which will be 3per cent of GDP.  This is still within the comfort zone for the international rating agencies.”

  • GDP–our national wealth delusion

    GDP–our national wealth delusion

    ‘But we are a rich county now…’ – That must be one of the greatest jokes being branded around for decades.  One of previous our rulers once said we had so much oil but knowing how to spend it was the problem.  To top that, another ruler jokingly – not sure if it was viewed as such – tried to display to the USA how Nigeria would stop oil supply to them if they ‘misbehaved’.  It would have been nice to hear their snide comments in private.

    As if that is not enough, another was pondering how we could be classed as poor considering all the Mercedes-Benz cars on our roads.  Even mobile phones have not been left out of the picture as a barometer of our wealth status by another or our wise-cracking rulers.

    But how can you say we are not rich with all the oil and gas available and earning revenue for the country. Oh, so that is the source of this delusion.  Let us break things down.  When times were good and we were rolling in dollars, we averaged 100 dollars-plus per barrel. In 30 days of an average of 2 million barrels of oil per day, the totality of what we earned amounted to 6 billion dollars a month.  Assuming we are 150 million people, we all know we are more than that, but just for round figure purposes, and we divide 6 billion by 150 million people, we would end up with 40 dollars.

    40 dollars is what each of us is roughly worth from a resource which is eighty to ninety percent of our foreign exchange. Imagine for this year since oil is now averaging 50 dollars.

    The only other value we command in terms of our productivity is the amount we are able to export in relation to our imports.  For now, it illustrates that our import container level is 92 percent while we export 8 percent making us only 8 percent useful for container export.

    This export is dominated by non-processed agricultural products and we are not able to add any value to what nature has bestowed on us as an agricultural resource.

    Whether on Third Mainland Bridge in Lagos, Maitama and Ahmadu Bello Roads in Abuja or Port Harcourt-Abba and Olu Obasanjo Roads in PH, whatever activities you are engaged in, all it amounts to is to contribute your quota to the 8 percent export usefulness and 40 dollars worth of our best available natural and agricultural resource. And this is what is classed as rich?

    Inside this ‘richness’, we wallow in survival of the fittest fed of course by the foreigners while they are fattening us up for the kill.  Not sure a lot of people would get this.

    All they need of us is to get the best of us from whatever natural resource we possess, exploit our human resource capital to the bones, while the rest of us are left in the consumption market for them to feed up our appetite for their products. Lovely template this is!

    We are only resource rich, not revenue rich.  If 160 million plus of us can only generate an economy of 560 billion dollars, which seems to make us float in giddy heights, mostly from riding on the back of foreigners, then we are not yet successful achievers when it comes to executing any visions we have dreamt up since independence. Brazil by the way, marginally more than our population, has an economy of over 2 trillion dollars.

    The real richness is to move away from being grand delusional people to becoming masters of our destiny by utilising products/produce already available and expand their production before venturing into the so-called potentials territory.

    We have in abundance furniture makers, metal fabricators, cattle herders, traditional textile weavers, etc. The cattle herders for instance, from each cow would come dairy milk, meat – both processed and fresh, countless products from leather hides – bags, shoes, belts, clothes, furniture, etc.

    A lot of this products can be handmade at the beginning if organised into subunits which would achieve employment, reduce rural urban migration, increase revenue, develop rural areas, reduce dependence on federal government and can ultimately earn revenue for the nation and make us worth more than the mere irrelevant 8% we are probably ignorantly proud of while proclaiming our delusional richness.

    But where are these potentially rich cows? Roaming our roads practising marathon marches through the bushes, forest and savannah lands that throng the length and breadth of the country.  I would not want to stray into the territory of the constant skirmishes that occur between cattle herders and local farmers which would just be an unnecessary sideshow accompanied with the occasional attendant fatalities. If anybody can lead this, it is the President himself.  If anyone can name any Nigerian alive who is more qualified than PMB – Fulani, language, cattle owner, authority, power, influence, etc. – then please do inform.

    This is one area PMB can make historical legacy as compared to the Petroleum Ministry where no matter what he does, the best he can achieve is nothing of historical resonance.

    Once the organisational template for this is put in place, to this can be added any technical-vocational institutes and skills acquisition centres which can have places where the skills would be utilised and not just fashioned out.

    As Nigerians fond of making excuses would portend, it is too complex, very complicated, our problems are ‘unique’, our circumstances are ‘peculiar’ –  I detest both words – but India, multiple times our size, practically more than the whole of Africa combined, can get its act together significantly much better than us.

    This is a country that got its independence in 1947 making them only 13 years older than us, was bequeathed the same civil service structure as ours, by the same colonial powers, with more people, diverse languages, religious diversity and challenges surpassing ours, but is nuclear powered, produces unbelievable number of software engineers annually, currently transforming its husbandry sector to get more yields from cows, already engages in car manufacturing and was in 2014 able to successfully launch a rocket to Mars.

    The real dream and challenge is whether we can implement our agricultural, mining, tourism, and industrial dreams – or potentials as we have been exclaiming for decades – extend same to any and every product or service we know exist in every local government all over the country.  Or maybe, the local government people are not that visionary enough.  But who can blame them, if sugar daddy in Abuja would – not always nowadays – bring home the goodies.

    • Owolowo, is an educationist, trainer and rural entrepreneur
  • Nigeria recorded 2.84% GDP growth in Q3 – Bureau

    Nigeria recorded 2.84% GDP growth in Q3 – Bureau

    Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.84 per cent in the third quarter of 2015, statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), has shown.

    This is contained in the country’s GDP report for the 3rd Quarter of 2015 released by the bureau on Wednesday in Abuja.

    The figure was higher by 0.49 per cent points from growth recorded in the preceding quarter, yet lower by 3.38 per cent points from growth recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2014.

    The report said that real GDP increased by 9.19 per cent, quarter on quarter.

    “During the quarter, aggregate GDP stood at about N24, 313, 636 million (in nominal terms) at basic prices.

    “Compared to the third quarter of 2014 value, nominal GDP was 6.02 per cent higher.

    “Nominal GDP growth was also higher relative to growth recorded in first quarter of the year by 0.85 per cent points,’’ it said.

    According to the report, the Nigerian economy can be more clearly understood according to the oil and non-oil sector classifications.

    The report said that oil production rose to 2.17 million barrels per day in the third quarter of the year which was higher than the 2.05 million barrels produced in the second quarter.

    The latest figure is also higher than the 2.15 million barrels per day produced in the third quarter 2014.

    “Growth in the non-oil sector was largely driven by activities of crop production, financial services, telecommunications and trade among others.

    “The non-oil sector grew by 3.05 per cent in real terms in the third quarter of the year.

    “This was 4.45 per cent points lower from the corresponding quarter in 2014 and marginally lower from the second quarter of 2015.

    “ In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 89.73 per cent to the nation’s GDP.

    “The figure is marginally higher from shares recorded in the third quarter of 2014 which stood at 89.55 per cent but lower from the second quarter of the year.

    The report, however, estimated the growth in the manufacturing sector at 4. 80 per cent year-on-year compared with 21.58 per cent in third quarter of 2014.

     

  • Construction lifts GDP by 3.2 %

    The Chief Executive Officer, InstinctWave, Mr. Akin Naphtal, has said the nation’s construction industry contributes about 3.2 per cent to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

    This contribution, he noted, cannot be neglected because it has become a veritable index in terms of employment generation for both skilled and unskilled manpower.

    This, Napthal  said, is an indication that construction industry has seen considerable growth, especially considering its 1.3 per cent growth in 2012. This development has made the industry to be recognised as Africa’s sector largest market which is also expected to grow at the fastest rate in the world through 2020. Factors such as a growing population, rapid urbanisation and rising demand for housing and infrastructure, were identified for this development.

    But, laudable as this feat is,  players in the sector have not been adequately recognised for the role they play in the development of the industry, in spite of their creativity and innovativeness.

    Now, after successfully holding similar awards in Ghana- the MarketingWorld Awards and Africa Brand Conferences, InstinctWave, the publisher of InstinctBusiness magazine, is set to honour Nigerian operators in the construction sector for their contributions to the sector in the maiden edition of the Nigeria Construction Awards 2015.

    According to him, the awards, slated for November 20 at the Eko Hotel and Suites, Victoria Island, Lagos, is to recognise and honour companies and individuals for their accomplishments and contribution to the growth of the industry.

    “The construction industry plays an important role in economic growth. However, the industry has been overlooked in terms of rewarding innovation and creativity. Our goal is to celebrate the achievements of those construction companies and individuals who have made it their responsibility to transform this industry and advance the country’s infrastructure development,” he said. He hoped that the awards ceremony would present an opportunity for stakeholders to advocate for the industrialisation of the country by way of investment in the area of civil engineering, building, industrial, residential construction and beautification.

    Napthal assured that the awards ceremony will not be just another networking opportunity for participants, but one that would allow companies and individuals a platform to tell their success stories and accomplishments while opening windows for  synergies in the sector.

    Various categories of awards are being considered for different aspects of construction work, companies and individuals including Construction CEO of the Year; Industry Personality of the Year;  Lifetime Achievement Award;  Excellence Award for Women in Construction; Real Estate Entrepreneur of the Year; Best Infrastructure Development Bank Award; Construction Company of the Year; Public Private Partnership of the Year; Best Local Contractor; Concrete Producer of the Year; Block Manufacturing Company of the Year, etc.

  • ‘Broadband ‘ll drive Nigeria’s GDP growth’

    The Chief Executive Officer, West Africa’s leading broadband communications provider, MainOne, Ms Funke Opeke has said broadband penetration will drive Nigeria’s growth, urging further collaboration in the industry in order to provide broadband connectivity services to more of the Nigerian populace.

    She stressed the need for stakeholders to jointly address the challenges of low broadband penetration as a community of concerned parties with benefits from improvement poised to accrue to all.

    Speaking at a Broadband Summit held at the WheatBaker Hotel, Ikoyi, Lagos with Driving Accelerated Broadband Penetration in Nigeria as focus, she said:”The Broadband Summit provides a platform for the telecom industry to articulate its perspectives on the landscape, and devise strategies that will hasten broadband penetration in Nigeria.”

    She called on all stakeholders in the industry and the government to take necessary steps towards achieving the massive infrastructure rollout required to bring broadband services to more Nigerians, stressing the role of broadband in driving GDP growth in the economies of developing countries.

    The summit which featured major industry players including mobile network operators and the country’s telecoms regulator, reviewed the country’s current broadband status and brainstormed strategies to achieve more effective and pervasive broadband coverage across the country.

     

  • ‘Real estate contribution to GDP can grow to $13.65b’

    ‘Real estate contribution to GDP can grow to $13.65b’

    Accounting giant Pricewater Coopers (PwC) has projected an increase in real estate’s contribution to the gross domestic product (GDP) from $9.16 billion to $13.65 billion next year if the right environment is created.

    It urged operators to brace themselves for the challenges ahead and key into the opportunities in the sector to grow the economy.

    Managing Director, Alpha Mead Facilities and Management Services Ltd, Femi Akintunde urged facility managers to position themselves as key drivers of the real estate sector and be part of its success story.

    Speaking at an event by facility managers in Lagos, Akintunde urged them to brace themselves to sustain the anticipated growth.

    “Going by PWC revelation and the quest to meet the vision 2020 target, a lot needs to be done towards improved public infrastructure to drive the required positive change in the real estate and facilities management industry, in addition to improving the living condition of the average Nigerian.

    “For the facilities management and real estate sectors to contribute meaningfully to the economy, practitioners must embrace global standards and best practices in the execution of projects,” Akintunde said.

    He said the firm had been in the forefront of exploring ways to raise awareness, set agenda, and promote global standards in the industry.

    Former Attorney-General and Commissioner for Justice in Lagos State, Supo Shasore (SAN) said the facilities management industry was positioned for growth.

    He described as regrettable, the country’s 134th ranking of 144 economies by the World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report 2014-15.

    Shasore lamented the deficit in Nigeria’s infrastructure, saying: “The country’s core infrastructure stock is estimated at only 35-40 per cent of GDP, in contrast to international benchmarks of 70 per cent of GDP.  This low value has been driven by historically low public and private spending on infrastructure”.

    The highpoint of the event was the introduction of the British Institute of Facilities Management (BIFM), Nigeria chapter, which according to Akintunde, is a welcome development to strengthen the advocacy for best practices in the industry and encourage knowledge-sharing among members and professionals.

    The event drew participants from five major sectors of oil and gas, telecommunications, real estate, government, public services and financial services.

    Participants from the oil and gas sector said facilities management was still at its infancy stage and could not attract the right investments thereby making it difficult for the sector to engage the services of local players.

    Speaking on behalf of the financial sector, Head, Administration, Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE), Gabriel Igbeke said facilities managers lacked the financial capabilities to execute projects. He stressed the need to set up a regulatory body to oversee the operation of professionals in the sector.

    He also advocated the need to train and retrain managers for efficiency.

     

  • Miners plan 10% contribution to GDP

    Miners plan 10% contribution to GDP

    The Miners Association of Nigeria has said with the support of the President Muhammadu Buhari- led administration, it could increase mining contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to 10 per cent.

    It added that with the Federal Government’s cooperation, the sector could generate 300,000 jobs in one year.

    Its President, Alhaji Sani Shehu, presented this position in the association’s five year Strategic Development Plan for Mining Sector in a  press conference at Abuja.

    He said: “As a major stakeholder in the mining industry, the association has, as a matter of responsibility, resolved to work with the present government to actualise her aspirations of generating additional revenue for the nation and creating massive job opportunities for its teeming population.

    “For this reason, the Executive Council of Miners Association of Nigeria has developed a five-year Strategic Development Plan for Mining in Nigeria. It promises about 300,000 jobs in one year and a contribution of up to 10% to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).”

    According to him, the challenges in the sector are unfavourable conditions for access to funding, inadequate geological and bankable data, inadequate logistical support and the issues with artisanal mining.

    The association’s chief added that inadequate funding of the Ministry of Mines and Steel Development, interference of mining operations by lower tiers of government in Ogun, Oyo, Benue, Cross River and other states are still barriers to development in the sector.

    Proposing  solutions to the challenges, the association urged the Federal Government to intensify efforts at continuous data generation, proper funding of the Solid Minerals Development Fund and adequate funding of the ministry to strengthen its relevant departments to perform their statutory functions effectively.

    The association also suggested that there should be favourable conditions for access to funding for operators at single digit interest rates.

    It urged the government on extension of local content law for operators at single digit interest rate.

    Asked to mention priorities in a wish list to Buhari, Sani Shehu said funding was very critical, urging the government to funding its machinery.