Tag: Inflation

  • Inflation settled at 15.15% in Dec as Bureau adjusts methodology

    Inflation settled at 15.15% in Dec as Bureau adjusts methodology

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) yesterday said Nigeria’s Headline Inflation declined to 15.15 percent in December last year.

    Although the figure is higher than 14.45per cent reported in November, the adjustment in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased the figure to 17.33 per cent.

    The NBS in its monthly report said the December 2025 year-on-year Headline inflation rate, including all other sub-indexes, were obtained through maximisation of the index reference period, that is, using a 12-month index reference period where the average CPI for the 12 months of 2024 is equated to 100.

    According to the report, “This is a departure from the single month index reference period, in which December 2024 was set to 100, which would have produced an artificial spike in the December 2025 year-on-year inflation rate. This artificial spike is induced by the base effect, which is methodological, not structural, resulting in a rate that is not in tandem with current inflationary realities; hence the need to resort to the 12-month index reference period, by equating the entire 2024 to 100.”

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    It noted that this definitely affects the raising factor used for the re-referencing of the 2024 CPI series and the already released year-on-year inflation rates for January to November 2025.

    “This process is in line with International Best Practice as contained in the Consumer Price Index International Monetary Fund (IMF) Manual, specifically in Section 9.125 and the ECOWAS Harmonised CPI Manual, which address index reference period maximisation, following a rebasing exercise.”

    It went on to state that the 2024 re-reference CPI and the revised year-on-year inflation rates for January to November 2025 can be found in the Excel Tables published together with this report on the NBS wwebsite.

    The report further disclosed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 131.2 in December 2025, up by 0.7 points from the previous Month (130.5).

    “The December 2025 year-on-year Headline inflation rate stood at relative to the November 2025 headline inflation rate (17.33per cent)”

    It said on a year-on-year basis, the December Headline inflation rate was 19.65per cent lower than the rate recorded in December 2024 (34.80per cent) and shows that the Headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) decreased in December 2025 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., December 2024), though with a Different base year, November 2009 = 100.

    On a month-on-month basis, it said the Headline inflation rate in December 2025 was 0.54per cent, which is 0.69per cent less than the rate recorded in November 2025 (1.22per cent).

    “This means that in December 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was lower than in November 2025.

  • JUST IN: Inflation drops to 15.15% in December as NBS adjusts methodology

    JUST IN: Inflation drops to 15.15% in December as NBS adjusts methodology

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Thursday said Nigeria’s Headline Inflation declined to 15.15 percent in December 2025.

    Although the figure is higher than 14.45% reported in November, the adjustment in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased the figure to 17.33 percent.

    The NBS in its monthly report said the December 2025 year-on-year Headline inflation rate, including all other sub-indexes, were obtained through maximisation of the index reference period, that is, using a 12-month index reference period where the average CPI for the 12 months of 2024 is equated to 100.

    According to the report, “This is a departure from the single-month index reference period, in which December 2024 was set to 100, which would have produced an artificial spike in the December 2025 year-on-year inflation rate. This artificial spike is induced by the base effect, which is methodological, not structural, resulting in a rate that is not in tandem with current inflationary realities; hence the need to resort to the 12-month index reference period, by equating the entire 2024 to 100.”

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    It noted that this definitely affects the raising factor used for the re-referencing of the 2024 CPI series and the already released year-on-year inflation rates for January to November 2025.

    “This process is in line with International Best Practice as contained in the Consumer Price Index International Monetary Fund (IMF) Manual, specifically in Section 9.125 and the ECOWAS Harmonised CPI Manual, which address index reference period maximisation, following a rebasing exercise.”

    It went on to state that the 2024 re-reference CPI and the revised year-on-year inflation rates for January to November 2025 can be found in the Excel Tables published together with this report on the NBS website.

    The report further disclosed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 131.2 in December 2025, up by 0.7 points from the previous Month (130.5).

    “The December 2025 year-on-year Headline inflation rate stood at relative to the November 2025 headline inflation rate (17.33%).”

    It said on a year-on-year basis, the December Headline inflation rate was 19.65% lower than the rate recorded in December 2024 (34.80%) and shows that the Headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) decreased in December 2025 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., December 2024), though with a Different base year, November 2009 = 100.

    On a month-on-month basis, it said the Headline inflation rate in December 2025 was 0.54%, which is 0.69% less than the rate recorded in November 2025 (1.22%).

    “This means that in December 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was lower than in November 2025.

  • Think tank forecasts further decline in inflation figures next year

    Think tank forecasts further decline in inflation figures next year

    The Independent Media and Policy Initiative (IMPI) has attributed its successful forecast of a 14 per cent inflation by the end of the year to a painstaking analysis of President Bola Tinubu’s economic policies in the last year.

    ‎In a statement signed by its chairman, Dr Omoniyi Akinsiju, the think tank argued that while the President himself projected an ambitious 15% inflation rate in his 2025 budget speech, its analysts were convinced in September that the country would do better using a Predictive Regression (PR) analysis.

    ‎The think tank said it was optimistic that the trend will continue into next year if the administration does not waver from its policies, which are now bearing fruit after a slow start.

    The said, “When in September we initially projected a drop in inflation by the end of 2025 to 17 percent it was based on a trend analysis of the Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) reports issued by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) since the beginning of the year in relation to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)

    ‎”But we were forced to review our position downwards, barely a month later, in our policy statement 031 issued in October, when we established a stronger pattern of increased productivity and general price reduction with higher intensity beginning from August 2025.

    ‎”So with the benefit of a new set of data available to us via the Predictive Regression (PR) model of statistical analysis, we concluded that a 14 per cent inflation rate was a more realistic figure before the end of the year than the earlier projected 17 per cent.

    ‎”We were able to establish a consistent pattern of increased productivity and general price reduction with higher intensity beginning from August 2025.

    ‎”After establishing a link between an increasing Purchasing Manager’s Index with the disinflation trend in the country, our analysts at IMPI noted that ‘the trend in the relationship and movements between the PMI and inflation is further sustained by their respective October figures with the CBN Composite PMI recording 55.4 index points, a significant increase in the PMI recorded between April and September 2025. This larger margin of difference is also reflected in the country’s headline inflation rate, which declined at a much faster rate to 16.50 per cent in October 2025 from 18.02 per cent in September 2025, a decrease of 1.96 per cent.’

    ‎”To put this in context, an increase in PMI reflects a decline in inflation because a PMI hike is suggestive of a higher growth momentum in production and productivity measured across 36 sectors of the economy.

    ‎”We were therefore not surprised that the headline inflation dropped for the eighth consecutive month in November to 14.45 per cent by nearly 200 basis points on the back of stable macroeconomics.”

    ‎it added, ‎”As many have posited, a combination of monetary, fiscal, and structural policies is necessary to consolidate the gains of the trend with a view to ensuring that more Nigerians feel the effects of the ongoing Tinubu reforms.

    ‎”We are, however, optimistic that the disinflation trend will continue deep into 2026 now that the federal government has concluded plans to move the 2,000 tractors acquired from Belarus into farms across the country from January.

    ‎”It is gratifying that rather than distribute the tractors to individuals, they are to be allocated through a transformative mechanisation service-provider model designed to ensure that each tractor covers a minimum of 500 hectares of farmland, meaning that all tractors can cultivate a combined 100,000 hectares while serving millions of farmers.

    ‎”Indeed, things have changed from the high inflationary environment of 2024 as 2025 winds down.  The economy has transmuted to a vastly improved one with more Nigerians more likely to be wheeled out of poverty as a result of the ongoing disinflation in the economic space.”

  • JUST IN: Inflation drops to 14.45 per cent in November

    JUST IN: Inflation drops to 14.45 per cent in November

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has said headline inflation eased to 14.45 per cent in November 2025 from the 16.05 per cent in October 2025.

    The reduction was the 8th time the rate eased consecutively in 2025.

    This was contained in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report released by the NBS on Monday. 

    “In November 2025, the Headline inflation rate eased to 14.45 per cent relative to the October 2025 headline inflation rate of 16.05 per cent.”

    The report said looking at the movement, the November 2025 Headline inflation rate showed a decrease of 1.6 per cent compared to the October 2025 Headline inflation rate. 

    NBS said on a year-on-year basis, the Headline inflation rate was 20.15 per cent lower than the rate recorded in November 2024 (34.60 per cent). 

    On a month-on-month basis, according to the report, the Headline inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.22 per cent, which was 0.29 per cent higher than the rate recorded in October 2025 (0.93 per cent). 

    This means that in November 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in October 2025.

    On urban inflation, NBS said on a year-on-year basis, in November 2025, the Urban inflation rate was 13.61 per cent, lower by 23.49 per cent points compared to the 37.10 per cent recorded in November 2024.

    It added that on a month-on-month basis, the Urban inflation rate was 0.95 per cent in November 2025, down by 0.18 per cent compared to October 2025 (1.14 per cent). 

    NBS said the Rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 15.15 per cent on a year-on-year basis. 

    This, said the report, was 17.12 per cent points lower compared to the 32.27 per cent recorded in November 2024.

    NBS said n a month-on-month basis, the Rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.88 per cent, up by 1.43 per cent compared to October 2025 (0.45 per cent). 

    The report said the Food inflation rate in November 2025 was 11.08 per cent on a year-on-year basis.

    It was 28.85 per cent points lower compared to the rate recorded in November 2024 (39.93 per cent). 

    According to NBS, the significant decline in the annual food inflation figure is technically due to the change in the base year. 

    On a month-on-month basis, said the report , the Food inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.13 per cent, up by 1.5 per cent compared to October 2025 (-0.37 per cent). 

    It added, “The increase can be attributed to the rate of increase in the average prices of Tomatoes (Dried), Cassava Tuber, Periwinkle (Shelled), Grounded Pepper, Eggs, Crayfish, Melon (Egusi) Unshelled, Oxtail, Onions (Fresh), etc. 

    “The average annual rate of Food inflation for the twelve months ending November 2025 over the previous twelve-month average was 19.68 per cent, which was 18.99 per cent.”

  • Inflation declines on stable macroeconomics

    Inflation declines on stable macroeconomics

    Average prices of goods and services have continued to improve on the back of stable foreign exchange (forex), food supply and logistics.

    Ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report today by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), independent consumer surveys and econometric models surveyed yesterday showed continued disinflationary trend, with the headline inflation dropping by more than 100 basis points.

    The reports indicated that inflation rate dropped for the eighth consecutive time to around 14.00 per cent in November, as against 16.50 per cent recorded in October. It had stood at 18.02 per cent in September.

    The disinflation trend, which started in April, had seen inflation rate declining from 24.23 per cent in March to 23.71 per cent in April and thereafter steadily to 16.50 per cent in October.

    Analysts at Coronation Group projected headline inflation to drop to 14.30 per cent in November 2025.

    SCM Capital stated that forex stability would continue to support disinflationary trend.

    “Nigeria’s headline inflation is expected to ease in November, supported by forex stability that has reduced pass-through pressures on imported goods. The reopening of the borders, alongside lower input costs and improved domestic supply conditions, is projected ease food and non-food cost pressures,” SCM Capital stated.

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    Chief Executive Officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr Muda Yusuf called for a combination of monetary, fiscal, and structural policies to consolidate the gains of disinflation and ensure real welfare benefits for citizens.

    He said: “The way to convert the disinflation trend into a general gain is to focus on the prices of basic items and basic needs. If you look at the composition of the inflation drivers, even within the context of disinflation, the major drivers are things like food, energy, transport, education, and health. Those are the major drivers of inflation even within the context of disinflation.

    “So, what one would like to see for the effect to be a lot more pronounced is for the prices of these basic things to come down even further, talking about prices of food items, energy prices, cost of transportation, cost of education, cost of pharmaceutical products, and cost of health. These are the things ordinary people spend most of their income on. We need to see more deliberate policy intervention, particularly within the fiscal policy, to drive down some of those costs, so that the impact will be greater.

    According to him, government could engage in indirect subsidization of some of the basic utilities by deploying more government-owned transport vehicles and investments in mass transits and agricultural inputs.

    “This is not only a federal government issue, the state governments have very big roles to play, as well as the local governments. They should be able to provide transportation at a highly discounted cost to the citizens, they should subsidize agriculture more so that the cost of food can come down significantly and by same effect, food prices. They need to continue to subsidize education and health. That is the way we can have welfare gains for the citizens in addition to the macroeconomic gains. That’s the kind of policy mix that we should begin to deliver in order to ensure the benefits of this disinflation go down to the people,” Yusuf said.

  • Think tank eyes 14 per cent inflation decline by year end

    Think tank eyes 14 per cent inflation decline by year end

    The Independent Media and Policy Initiative (IMPI) has ‎affirmed its position on a 14 per cent inflation figure by the end of the year as well as a reduction of the benchmark rate by the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee.

    The organisation established a link between the steady increase in Nigeria’s Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) and the decline in inflation in the country for the seventh consecutive month.

    ‎This, according to the policy group, is because the PMI reflects the state of health of the economy of a country.

    ‎In a statement by its Chairman Dr Omoniyi Akinsiju, IMPI posited that Nigeria’s PMI recorded eleventh consecutive month of expansion since the beginning of 2025. 

    According to the latest Consumer Price Index released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation eased for the second consecutive month in October as new base-year adjustments and moderating food prices helped pull headline pressure lower.

    The report stated that the headline inflation rate fell to 16.05 per cent in October from 18.02 per cent in September, marking a 1.96-percentage-point moderation.

    The statement by IMPI said: “Going forward, we estimate further expansion in the PMI for the months of November and December 2025 which will also reflect in the inflation rates for the two months. In consideration of this, we reiterate that the inflation rate will decline to 14% by year end as projected in our Policy Statement 030.

    ‎”In addition, we also projected in Policy Statement 029 issued before the last meeting of the CBN Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in September 2025 that we expect it to reduce the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) by 150 basis points to 26% by year end. The Committee, as a first step, reduced the MPR by 50 basis points to 27% from 27.50%.

    ‎”Again, we reiterate that the softer inflation outlook validates the expectations for additional monetary easing by the CBN at its November policy meeting. 

    ‎”We therefore expect as a follow-up to our earlier projection, that the MPC will reduce the MPR by 100bps to 26.0% when it meets on the 24th and 25th of this month to determine the country’s benchmark interest rate.”

    It explained that by adopting the Predictive Regression (PR) model which uses Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) techniques to model inflation as a function of lagged values of key drivers, such as exchange rates or the Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI), it was able to establish a consistent pattern of increased productivity and general price reduction with higher intensity beginning from August 2025.

    The statement added: ‎”By our reading, we attest to the inverse relationship between Nigeria’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and inflation rate movements. To put this in context, an increase in PMI reflects a decline in inflation because a PMI hike is suggestive of a higher growth momentum in production and productivity measured across 36 sectors of the economy.

    ‎”Since the beginning of the year, the PMI has shown consistent expansion with the latest reading for October being 55.4, indicating a strong and broad-based growth. This marks the eleventh consecutive month of expansion, driven by growth in output, new orders, and employment across various sectors.  

    ‎”The PMI has remained above the 50.0 threshold throughout 2025, signalling a sustained expansion in economic activities. 

    ‎”This, essentially, is predictive of the general movement of household items’ prices as captured in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This had been trending downward, effectively, since April 2025 when it eased to 23.71% year-on-year compared to March 2025, when it rose to 24.23% year-on-year from 23.18% in February 2025.”

    ‎It also noted that since April this year, Nigeria’s PMI had been recording sustained growth which reflected in the downward trend of inflation and added that whenever there is a slowdown, it also showed in the inflation figure.

    The statement said: ‎”Reflecting the same quantum movement, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reported a composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) of 52.40 index points for April 2025, indicating a sustained expansion in economic activities. 

    ‎”This was an increase from the 52.30 index points recorded in March 2025 and was driven by growth in both the services and manufacturing sectors.

    ‎”Nigeria’s PMI in May 2025, showed a slow uptick from a composite index of 52.1 index point for the month, indicating a 0.060 index point above the April 52.40 index point. 

    ‎”The slow upward movement in PMI is evidenced in the equally slow decline in inflation rate to 22.97% in May from 23.71%, a 0.74% difference.

    ‎”Again, in June 2025, the CBN’s composite PMI expanded by a low 0.2 index point to 52.3 from the 52.1 recorded in May 2025. In the same token, Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased to 22.22% in June 2025 on a year-on-year basis, and like the PMI movement between April and May, the reduction was by a low 0.75% from the 22.97% recorded in May 2025.

    ‎”In July, Nigeria’s economic expansion continued with the CBN PMI for the month at 52.7 showing another low 0.4% marginal growth between June and July which also reflected in the July 2025 year-on-year inflation rate that dropped to 21.88%, down from 22.22% in June with a marginal difference of 0.34%.

    ‎”However, in September, the trend with both the PMI and the inflation rate took on a higher momentum with the PMI rising to 54.0, indicating a stronger pace of economic expansion for the tenth consecutive month.

    ‎”This faster pace of increase in the PMI also reflected in the inflation rate which vastly improved from 20.12% in August 2025 to 18.02% in September 2025, a 2.1% decline from the August figure and by trend analysis, a quantum leap when compared to the rate of inflation decline.

    ‎”The trend in the relationship and movements between the PMI and inflation is further sustained by their respective October figures with the CBN Composite PMI recording 55.4 index points, a significant increase in the PMI recorded between April and September 2025. 

    ‎”This larger margin of difference is also reflected in the country’s headline inflation rate which declined at a much faster rate to 16.05% in October 2025 from 18.02% in September 2025, a decrease of 1.96%.”

  • JUST IN: Inflation drops to 16.05%

    JUST IN: Inflation drops to 16.05%

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday said that in October 2025, Inflation reduced to 16.05 per cent from 18.02 per cent in September 2025.

    This was contained in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report of October.

    NBS said, “In October 2025, the Headline inflation rate eased to 16.05% relative to the September 2025 headline inflation rate of 18.02%.”

    The report said the CPI rose to 128.9 in October 2025, reflecting a 1.2-point increase from the preceding month (127.7).

    According to NBS, looking at the movement, the October 2025 Headline inflation rate showed a decrease of 1.96 per cent compared to the September 2025 Headline inflation rate.

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    On a year-on-year basis, NBS said the Headline inflation rate was 17.82 per cent lower than the rate recorded in October 2024 (33.88 per cent).

    The report said this shows that the Headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) decreased in October 2025 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., October 2024), though with a different base year, November 2009 = 100.

    NBS added, “On a month-on-month basis, the Headline inflation rate in October 2025 was 0.93%, which was 0.21% higher than the rate recorded in September 2025 (0.72%).

    “This means that in October 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in September 2025.”

    Details shortly…

  • Inflation eases further on declining food prices

    Inflation eases further on declining food prices

    The average volume of goods and services for a unit of naira continued to improve as efficient food supply and relative stability in the foreign exchange (forex) market further deflated inflationary pressure.

    Ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report today by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), independent consumer surveys and econometric models surveyed yesterday were unanimous that inflation rate dropped for the seventh consecutive time.

    Consumer surveys and economic intelligence reports surveyed by The Nation showed that headline inflation rate dropped by more than 100 basis points to around 16.35 per cent in October, as against 18.02 per cent recorded in September.

    Nigeria has seen steady disinflation since April 2025, with a combination of improved harvest, stable forex, improving security and stable logistics driving down costs of goods and services.

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    The continuing decline in inflationary pressure also raised prospects of further cut in benchmark interest rate by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the apex bank had in September signaled a reflective monetary easing, cutting the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) by 50 basis points from 27.50 per cent to 27.00 per cent. It was the first rate cut in five years, since September 2020.

    The naira appreciated by 0.5 per cent to close weekend at N1,435.00 per dollar. Nigeria’s gross forex reserves increased for the 17th consecutive week, rising by $187.11 million to close weekend at $43.54 billion.

    “We maintain a positive outlook on the naira, supported by expectations of sustained forex) liquidity. On the domestic front, rising non-oil exports and improving market confidence should underpin inflows, while externally, healthy forex reserves, a positive current account position, and a firmer global monetary easing are expected to reinforce foreign investor sentiment and stimulate additional forex market inflows,” Cordros Capital Group stated..

    Coronation Group predicted that headline inflation rate could fall to 16.29 per cent in October, citing bumper harvest from current harvest season.   

    Analysts at SCM Capital said disinflation trend reflected gains from economic reforms, foreign exchange (forex) rate stability and seasonal food supply dynamics.

    “Inflation is projected to decline further in October 2025, supported by sustained forex stability, moderating input costs, and improved domestic supply conditions. The harvest season should further ease food prices, extending the disinflation trend.

    “With inflation easing for six consecutive months, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) may consider another rate cut to stimulate growth. Overall, price pressures are expected to remain subdued, sustaining the economy’s momentum”, SCM Capital stated.

    Analysts at CardinalStone noted that the “moderating inflation bodes well for Nigeria’s currency valuation”.

    According to analysts, the ongoing disinflationary trends bode well for currency valuation with the combination of a sustained current account surplus and a steady build-up in forex reserves expected to underpin further naira appreciation.

    CardinalStone projected that naira would close the year within the range of N1,400 and N1,450 per dollar.

    “The softer inflation outlook reinforces the case for additional monetary easing by the CBN at its November policy meeting. We expect a 100 basis points reduction in Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) to 26.0 per cent.

    “Lower inflation and an expected policy rate cut are likely to drive further yield compression across the naira credit market. While the curve may remain inverted, we expect a sharper adjustment at the short end of the curve.”

  • New integrated strategy to cut inflation, double incomes

    New integrated strategy to cut inflation, double incomes

    Federal Government has launched a new economic framework known as the Dis-Inflation and Growth Acceleration Strategy (DGAS), aimed at sustaining growth above 7.0 per cent, cutting inflation to single digits, and doubling national and household income to reduce poverty.

    Speaking at the 2025 Annual Executive Policy Seminar held yesterday in Abuja, Minister of State for Finance, Dr. Doris Uzoka-Anite, said the DGAS represents the “second wave of reforms” under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, following bold actions on energy pricing and foreign exchange liberalization.

    She explained that the DGAS, co-created by the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), seeks to integrate fiscal and monetary policies to deliver non-inflationary, inclusive growth.

    She said: “Traditional monetary tightening alone cannot deliver sustainable recovery, nor can fiscal expansion in isolation produce the scale of impact that our people require. “What Nigeria needs at this stage is a unified national framework that integrates both monetary and fiscal levers to drive non-inflationary growth and structural transformation.”

    According to her, the DGAS aims to achieve sustained GDP growth above 7 percent while steadily bringing inflation to single digits through supply-side expansion rather than demand suppression.

    She said the ultimate goal is to improve the quality of life for Nigerians. “National and household income will double, reducing poverty by a substantial percentage. And if we achieve more than 7 percent growth, then the period within which the income objective we are expecting will be accelerated,” she stated.

    The minister explained that DGAS will be implemented through a “single-window execution platform” that unifies development finance, private capital mobilization, project incubation, policy coordination, and performance management under one institution.

     “That platform will work hand-in-hand with the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance,” she said. “It ensures that monetary policy incentives such as targeted credit windows and FX market reforms reinforce fiscal measures aimed at industrial expansion, job creation, and export growth.”

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    Uzoka-Anite described DGAS as a framework that “bridges fiscal intent with monetary execution,” bringing coherence between policy, capital, and productivity. “It enables us to move beyond fragmented interventions to a coordinated national strategy for incentivization and accelerating growth,” she said.

    She outlined nine coordinated pillars under DGAS designed to deliver both immediate economic stabilization and long-term transformation across key sectors of the economy.

    At the heart of the framework is capital mobilization and financial innovation, which she said will attract long-term domestic and foreign financing through vehicles such as dual-stake diaspora funds, global institutional funds, and guarantee-backed investments.

     “This structure ensures liquidity, sustainability, and transparency while reducing reliance on short-term credits and volatile portfolio flows,” Uzoka-Anite said. “As productivity rises, the economy will naturally support a lower and more sustainable cost of capital, making financing more accessible for industrial expansion, infrastructure development, and economic growth.”

    She added that Nigeria must replicate successful industrial stories like the Dangote Refinery across other sectors. “If we replicate the Dangote refinery story in multiple sectors, it will result in sharp rises in job creation, tax earnings, and wealth transfers to households, investors, and entrepreneurs,” she said.

    On energy expansion, the minister said DGAS prioritizes maximizing all available energy resources—oil, gas, hydro, solar, wind, biomass, and hydrogen—to power industrial growth. She added that the plan aligns with global carbon market frameworks to attract green capital and promote sustainable industrialization.

    She further noted that the government aims to enroll 10 million young Nigerians annually in technical and vocational programs linked to priority sectors, turning “demographic pressure into productive capacity.”

    Uzoka-Anite said DGAS also redefines the role of consumers in economic development through a revitalized consumer credit system that will “allow citizens access to structured financing for housing, education, healthcare, automobile, and household goods.”

     “This deepens domestic demand, expands financial inclusion, and transforms 200 million Nigerians into active participants in national prosperity,” she said.

    She also revealed that every government agency will undergo a review to ensure its regulations support value creation, noting that “at least 40 percent of existing rules can be stripped out to allow entrepreneurs to do what they do best.”

    According to her, both the Ministry of Finance and the CBN are “twin engines” driving DGAS implementation. “Together, we will ensure that our shared objectives—price stability, productive expansion, job creation, and competitiveness—are synchronized paths of national advancement,” Uzoka-Anite said.

    Also speaking at the event, CBN Governor, Mr. Olayemi Cardoso, said the bank will continue to strengthen its human capital and policy credibility to support economic transformation.

     “Gone are the days where we move staff to a branch and they get forgotten there,” he said. “You must, as much as possible, have varied experiences so that by the time you’re being considered for topmost positions, you’re somebody who’s been there and seen it all.”

    Cardoso pointed out that price stability remains at the core of the CBN’s mandate, describing a credible inflation-targeting regime as vital for enhancing predictability and investor confidence.

    “Investors run away from lack of predictability,” he said. “The more the predictability, the more the incentive for investors to come into your market. Once you get the fundamentals right and you’re doing the right things, investors naturally get attracted.”

    He said collaboration with fiscal authorities remains key to reducing production costs and boosting local industrial competitiveness.

    The CBN governor also identified services and the creative industries—including music, film, design, and digital innovation—as new export frontiers for Nigeria’s growth.

    He assured that Nigerians will no longer need connections to access legitimate opportunities within the system. “You would not have to know the government, the governor, or the directors,” Cardoso said. “Having to come to the Central Bank every day because you want one thing or the other is now a thing of the past.”

    Cardoso also cautioned against returning to unsustainable fiscal practices. “A situation where we had frightening ways and means to GDP ratios should never happen again,” he said. “Interventions flew all over the place with no results, but we shouldn’t sit down and blame others. This economy belongs to all of us.”

    He urged Nigerians to take collective ownership of economic progress, saying: “We’ve all got to put everything together to ensure that at the end of the day, we bake a bigger pie. Our GDP today relative to our population is not where we want it to be, and thank you very much to the Honorable Minister for taking time to explain that.”

    Cardoso concluded that the CBN’s ongoing reforms, working in tandem with the government’s DGAS framework, will strengthen macroeconomic stability and investor confidence, paving the way for sustainable growth in Nigeria.

  • FG, CBN launch new strategy to cut inflation, double incomes

    FG, CBN launch new strategy to cut inflation, double incomes

    The federal government and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) have jointly launched a new economic framework known as the Dis-Inflation and Growth Acceleration Strategy (DGAS), aimed at sustaining growth above 7 percent, cutting inflation to single digits, and doubling national and household income to reduce poverty.

    Speaking at the 2025 Annual Executive Policy Seminar held in Abuja on Tuesday, Minister of State for Finance, Dr. Doris Uzoka-Anite, said the DGAS represents the “second wave of reforms” under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, following bold actions on energy pricing and foreign exchange liberalization.

    She explained that the DGAS, co-created by the Ministry of Finance and the CBN, seeks to integrate fiscal and monetary policies to deliver non-inflationary, inclusive growth.

    “Traditional monetary tightening alone cannot deliver sustainable recovery, nor can fiscal expansion in isolation produce the scale of impact that our people require,” Uzoka-Anite said. “What Nigeria needs at this stage is a unified national framework that integrates both monetary and fiscal levers to drive non-inflationary growth and structural transformation.”

    According to her, the DGAS aims to achieve sustained GDP growth above 7 percent while steadily bringing inflation to single digits through supply-side expansion rather than demand suppression.

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    She said the ultimate goal is to improve the quality of life for Nigerians. “National and household income will double, reducing poverty by a substantial percentage. And if we achieve more than 7 percent growth, then the period within which the income objective we are expecting will be accelerated,” she stated.

    The minister explained that DGAS will be implemented through a “single-window execution platform” that unifies development finance, private capital mobilization, project incubation, policy coordination, and performance management under one institution.

    “That platform will work hand-in-hand with the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance,” she said. “It ensures that monetary policy incentives such as targeted credit windows and FX market reforms reinforce fiscal measures aimed at industrial expansion, job creation, and export growth.”

    Uzoka-Anite described DGAS as a framework that “bridges fiscal intent with monetary execution,” bringing coherence between policy, capital, and productivity. “It enables us to move beyond fragmented interventions to a coordinated national strategy for incentivization and accelerating growth,” she said.

    She outlined nine coordinated pillars under DGAS designed to deliver both immediate economic stabilization and long-term transformation across key sectors of the economy.

    At the heart of the framework is capital mobilization and financial innovation, which she said will attract long-term domestic and foreign financing through vehicles such as dual-stake diaspora funds, global institutional funds, and guarantee-backed investments.

    “This structure ensures liquidity, sustainability, and transparency while reducing reliance on short-term credits and volatile portfolio flows,” Uzoka-Anite said. “As productivity rises, the economy will naturally support a lower and more sustainable cost of capital, making financing more accessible for industrial expansion, infrastructure development, and economic growth.”

    She added that Nigeria must replicate successful industrial stories like the Dangote Refinery across other sectors. “If we replicate the Dangote refinery story in multiple sectors, it will result in sharp rises in job creation, tax earnings, and wealth transfers to households, investors, and entrepreneurs,” she said.

    On energy expansion, the minister said DGAS prioritizes maximizing all available energy resources—oil, gas, hydro, solar, wind, biomass, and hydrogen—to power industrial growth. She added that the plan aligns with global carbon market frameworks to attract green capital and promote sustainable industrialization.

    She further noted that the government aims to enroll 10 million young Nigerians annually in technical and vocational programs linked to priority sectors, turning “demographic pressure into productive capacity.”

    Uzoka-Anite said DGAS also redefines the role of consumers in economic development through a revitalized consumer credit system that will “allow citizens access to structured financing for housing, education, healthcare, automobile, and household goods.”

    “This deepens domestic demand, expands financial inclusion, and transforms 200 million Nigerians into active participants in national prosperity,” she said.

    She also revealed that every government agency will undergo a review to ensure its regulations support value creation, noting that “at least 40 percent of existing rules can be stripped out to allow entrepreneurs to do what they do best.”

    According to her, both the Ministry of Finance and the CBN are “twin engines” driving DGAS implementation. “Together, we will ensure that our shared objectives—price stability, productive expansion, job creation, and competitiveness—are synchronized paths of national advancement,” Uzoka-Anite said.

    Also speaking at the event, CBN Governor, Mr. Olayemi Cardoso, said the bank will continue to strengthen its human capital and policy credibility to support economic transformation.

    “Gone are the days when we move staff to a branch and they get forgotten there,” he said. “You must, as much as possible, have varied experiences so that by the time you’re being considered for topmost positions, you’re somebody who’s been there and seen it all.”

    Cardoso pointed out that price stability remains at the core of the CBN’s mandate, describing a credible inflation-targeting regime as vital for enhancing predictability and investor confidence.

    “Investors run away from lack of predictability,” he said. “The more the predictability, the more the incentive for investors to come into your market. Once you get the fundamentals right and you’re doing the right things, investors naturally get attracted.”

    He said collaboration with fiscal authorities remains key to reducing production costs and boosting local industrial competitiveness.

    The CBN governor also identified services and the creative industries—including music, film, design, and digital innovation—as new export frontiers for Nigeria’s growth.

    He assured that Nigerians will no longer need connections to access legitimate opportunities within the system. “You would not have to know the government, the governor, or the directors,” Cardoso said. “Having to come to the Central Bank every day because you want one thing or the other is now a thing of the past.”

    Cardoso also cautioned against returning to unsustainable fiscal practices. “A situation where we had frightening ways and means to GDP ratios should never happen again,” he said. “Interventions flew all over the place with no results, but we shouldn’t sit down and blame others. This economy belongs to all of us.”

    He urged Nigerians to take collective ownership of economic progress, saying: “We’ve all got to put everything together to ensure that at the end of the day, we bake a bigger pie. Our GDP today relative to our population is not where we want it to be, and thank you very much to the Honorable Minister for taking the time to explain that.”

    Cardoso concluded that the CBN’s ongoing reforms, working in tandem with the government’s DGAS framework, will strengthen macroeconomic stability and investor confidence, paving the way for sustainable growth in Nigeria.