Tag: petrol

  • ‘How growing refining capacity may affect private depots’

    ‘How growing refining capacity may affect private depots’

    Local refining of premium motor spirit (PMS) or petrol is experiencing a boost capable knocking off importation of the product.

    Analysts believed there could be dramatic changes in the structures of the downstream petroleum sector barring any disruption to local refining operations of the product.

    Data released by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) showed that out of an average 74.2 million litres of petrol supplied daily last month, imported petrol accounted for 42.2 million litres per day, while 32 million litres were supplied by local refineries, essentially due to an increased supply from the Dangote refinery. The 42.2 million litres daily import in December 2025 was a 19 per cent reduction from that of the preceding month of November which was 52.1 million litres daily.

    Although the Dangote refinery boast of the capacity to supply 50 million litres daily, the NMDPRA figures indicated that Refinery significantly bolstered depot stocks by supplying an average of 32 million litres per day in December 2025, representing a 64 per cent increase from the previous month.

    Interestingly, despite the rise of product supply from the Dangote refinery, importers brought in 1.5 billion litres of petrol in November 2025 to cover shortages in September and October 2025.

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    But the tide seems to have slowed down. So far this year, Nigeria’s imported petrol stocks in depots have seen a sharp decline as local refining capacity increases.

    The influx of locally refined products is now changing the dynamics in the sector leading to what may be termed a “price war” at private depots this year. As of early January 2026, private depots such as Eterna, Integrated and Aiteo were selling at N710 to N800 per litre.

    On the reverse, local refiners like Dangore refinery has maintained its ex gantry price at N699.

    Initially, despite lower depot prices, average retail pump prices remained higher, often between N890 to N910 per litre, however, most retailers are now being compelled by market forces to crash their price to matching that of MRS filling station- a major partner with Dangote Refinery , to sell at N739 and N770 per litre. As of early January 2026, private depots raised prices, with some selling imported petrol at around N800 per litre, while Dangote sold at lower rates.

    Beneath the pricing war is the potential danger refining locally poses for private depots. An oil and gas consultant, Mayowa Sodipo, argued that with local refining now finding its bearing in the country, private depots will be grossly affected. He explained that towards the close of last year and beginning of this year, the shift from an import-dependent model to a local supply model caused traditional, independent private depots to experience reduced throughput, shrinking margins and a loss of market share, with many facing an existential crisis as of late 2025.

    “The resurgence of local petrol refining has impacted on satellite petrol depots, fundamentally restructured their operations,’ Sodipo said.

    According to him, private depots now experience a declining throughput especially for those of such facilities located in Lagos, which he said experienced utilisation rates falling below 40 per cent in late 2024 as imports dropped.

    Besides, he noted that the involvement of the Dangote Refinery, which has shifted to selling directly to large marketers and consumers using its own fleet of 4,000 CNG trucks, bypassing traditional third-party depot intermediaries, will greatly take a toll on the depots.

    He cited reports in September 2025 which indicated that private, independent depots were being bypassed, with many marketers preferring direct, cheaper supply from the refinery. He added that the naira for crude policy for local refiners has made it possible for them to supply the market at lower prices, forcing depot owners to cut their own prices, reducing their margins and, in some cases, forcing them to sell at a loss.

    “While Dangote reduced its gantry price to N699 per litre, other marketers and independent depot owners were forced to align with higher rates or face, with some still struggling to keep up with the lower prices.

    “The era where private, independent depots held a monopoly on fuel distribution is over. Local refining has transformed these depots from essential storage and distribution hubs into, in some cases, stranded assets or underutilised facilities, as the market moves towards direct, factory-to-station delivery,” Sodipo argued.

    The National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Chinedu Ukadike, in an interview cast doubt on petrol importation at the moment. “Well, since Dangote has reduced his price, and we have not complained of a shortage of products. So, you will find out that the supply chain is stable. So, that one, literally, has also cancelled all these accusations and counteraccusations on petrol importation. I don’t think anybody is importing within this period on that regime. Nobody is importing now. I’m sure that nobody is importing. So, all the supplies we are getting now are from Dangote. You know Dangote has also opened up the market for independent marketers,’’ he said.

    Although the Depot and Petroleum Products Marketers Association of Nigeria (DAPPMAN) maintains that it is not against local refining and are ready to source products locally if terms are fair, they want local refineries to provide products at competitive prices and ensure open access, similar to international market dynamics.

    Besides is the subsidy demand from local refineries they seek, especially coverage of cost on freight, NIMASA/NPA costs, to cover expenses, arguing it is necessary to compete with cheaper imported products.

    Sodipo contended that the shift to local refining threatens their import-focused depot infrastructure, especially with the Association’s members feeling their traditional role is already being diminished with local refining.

    Industrialist and business tycoon, Femi Otedola, also a former DAPPMAN member, urged depot owners to pivot from holding tanks to owning last-mile retail outlets, a strategy for the new self-sufficient era.

  • Controversy trails 15% petrol tax suspension

    Controversy trails 15% petrol tax suspension

    Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) yesterday suspended the proposed implementation of the 15 per cent of valorem import duty on imported Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and Diesel, triggering concerns across sections of stakeholders.

    According to a statement posted on its X handle earlier, Director, Public Affairs Department, NMDPRA, George Ene-Ita, stated that the 15 per cent import duty was “no longer in view”.

    “It should also be noted that the implementation of the 15 per cent ad-valorem import duty on imported Premium Motor Spirit and Diesel is no longer in view,” NMDPRA stated.

    The agency assured of adequate supply of products noting that it would continue to closely monitor the supply situation and take appropriate regulatory measures to prevent distruption of supply and distribution of petroleum products across the country, especially during this peak demand period.

    Ogun State Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (OGUNCCIMA) and Nigerian Coalition of Civil Society Organisations (NCCSO) have faulted suspension. Other stakeholders however said the decision would save the country from market distortions and potentially disruptive effects that could undermine recent gains in improvement in average living costs and disinflation.

    OGUNCCIMA’s President, Niyi Oshiyemi, described the suspension as a setback to Nigeria’s economic reform drive and a missed opportunity to protect local refiners, particularly the Dangote Refinery and other modular refining initiatives.

    “The suspension of the 15 per cent fuel import tariff is disappointing. The policy was a step in the right direction to promote local refining, reduce dependence on imports, conserve foreign exchange and create a fair competitive environment for domestic producers. Its reversal sends a wrong signal to investors who have shown confidence in Nigeria’s energy sector,” Oshiyemi said.

    He noted that implementing the tariff would have helped to stabilise the naira by curbing excessive demand for foreign exchange used in fuel importation.

    He added that local refineries need firm policy backing to thrive, warning that continuous reliance on imported fuel would make the economy vulnerable to external shocks.

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    He said: “The Dangote Refinery alone has the capacity to meet Nigeria’s domestic fuel needs and even export to other African countries. Supporting such investments with protective policies like the import tariff is not just economic common sense; it is a matter of national interest”.

    He urged the Federal Government to reconsider its decision and reintroduce the policy after consultations with key stakeholders in the oil and gas industry.

    He emphasised that sustainable industrial growth requires consistency in policy direction, noting that frequent policy reversals discourage private sector participation and hinder long-term development.

    While acknowledging the government’s concern about potential short-term price increases, Oshiyemi maintained that the long-term gains including job creation, forex savings and increased energy security far outweigh any temporary inconvenience.

    He reaffirmed OGUNCCIMA’s commitment to advocating policies that protect local industries and promote economic diversification.

    He said: “We believe in reforms that empower Nigerian investors and strengthen our productive base. The 15 per cent tariff was one of such reforms, and we urge the government to revisit it in the national interest”.

    In a statement signed by its National Spokesperson, Comrade Mustapha Ahmed, NCCSO noted that the decision to suspend the implementation of the tax has given importers time to flood the market with imported fuel, thereby undermining local production and discouraging investment.

    It added: “In fact it is a strategic victory for foreign fuel importers and their local collaborators, whose agenda is to keep Nigeria dependent on imported products and frustrate the growth of local refineries such as Dangote Refinery and other modular plants ready for operation”.

    The coalition argued that the deferment to first quarter 2026 was wrong and should be totally discouraged, with no further extensions.

    It stated: “The government must resist pressures from international traders and uphold its commitment to energy independence. All relevant agencies should monitor imports to prevent market distortion during the deferment period.

     “The deferment is a temporary win for importers but a setback for Nigeria’s refining future. NCCSO urges President Tinubu to remain resolute and protect Nigeria’s local industries from external manipulation”.

  • Lagos tops petrol distribution in June, Jigawa last

    Lagos tops petrol distribution in June, Jigawa last

    Lagos state led others in Premium Motor Spirit truck out in June 2025 with 205,664,228 litres,  followed by Ogun state with 88, 686, 299 litres. Jigawa state recorded the least with 9, 439,878 litres in the month under review.

    These figures are contained in a documented titled: “Report on the supply and distribution of petroleum products in June 2025” which was addressed to the Chairman of the Federation Revenue Reconciliation Committee (FRRC) dated July 10, 2025, by the Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA).

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    In the document, sighted by The Nation, which contained a detailed breakdown of both supply and distribution of petroleum products for the month of June, Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) or petrol supply in the month of June 2025 stood at 1, 478,316,745 litres in the month of June 2025. This represent a drop of 290, 496,059 litres or 16.42 per cent drop when compared to what was supplied into the market in the preceding month of May 2025, which was 1,768,812,804 litres. 

    On the distribution side, PMS supplied in the month under review, also recorded a 14.62 per cent drop or 246, 665, 430 litres with 1,440,768,129 litres was distributed in June compared to 1, 687,433,559 litres distributed in May.

    Other products listed in the supply period include AGO 432,180,605 as against 424,829,199; HHK, 7, 786,164 in june compared to 8,956,329 in May; ATK, 37,657,833 in June as against 72,364,435 in May and LPFO with zero supply in June compared to 116,401 in May.

    On the distribution side, AGO recorded 424,063,658 litres in June compared to 552,354,997 litres recorded in May; HHK, 7,786,164 in June, compared to 8,956,329 in May; ATK was 56,262,775 in June as against 67,412,938 recorded in May and LPFO with zero distribution in June as against 116,401 litres in May.

  • Petrol price stood at N1,037.66 in June- NBS

    Petrol price stood at N1,037.66 in June- NBS

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) says the average retail price of a litre of petrol increased from N750.17 in June 2024 to N1,037.66 in June 2025.

    The NBS  made this known in its Petrol Price Watch for June 2025 released in Abuja on Thursday.

    It stated that the June 2025  price of N1,037.66 represented a 38.32 per cent increase over the price of N750.17  recorded in June 2024.

    “Comparing the average price value with the previous month of May,  the average retail price increased  by 0.96  per cent from N1,027.76.”

    On state profiles analysis, the report said Jigawa paid the highest average retail price of N1,107.52, followed by  Ondo and Lagos at N1,104.80 and N1,100.29, respectively.

    “Conversely, Yobe, Kogi, and Imo paid the lowest average retail price at N950.60, N986.67, and N987.86, respectively,’’ it stated.

    Read Also: Ekiti petrol dealers hail Dangote’s initiative

    Analysis by zones showed that the North-West recorded the highest average retail price in June 2025 at N1,062.84 while the North-East Zone recorded the lowest price at  N1,020.15 per litre.

    The NBS also stated in its Diesel Price Watch Report for June 2025 that the average retail price was N1,813.81 per litre.

    It said that the June 2025 price of N1,813.81 per litre amounted to a 23.98 per cent increase over the N1,462.98 per litre paid in June 2024.

    “On a month-on-month basis, the price increased by 3.16 per cent from the N1,758.26 per litre recorded in May 2025,’’ it added.

    On state profile analysis, the report said the highest average price per litre of diesel in June was recorded in Benue at N2,541.46, followed by  Adamawa at N2,355.32 and Plateau at N2,236.42.

    On the other hand, the lowest price was recorded in Ondo at N1,365.71 per litre,  followed by Anambra at N1,391.02 and Kogi at  N1,400.00.

    In addition, the analysis by zones showed that the South-South Zone had the highest price of N1,963.86 per litre, while the South-West recorded the lowest price at N1,618.74 per litre.

    (NAN) 

  • Whose table? Why Nigeria’s petrol future needs more voices

    Whose table? Why Nigeria’s petrol future needs more voices

    By Olawunmi Farominiyi 

    When Aliko Dangote—Nigeria’s wealthiest businessman—warned of an “oil cabal” strangling the country’s energy sector, I couldn’t help but laugh. The irony was striking. 

    Here is a man whose refinery could single-handedly supply Nigeria’s petrol needs, yet he’s suing regulators to block petrol imports entirely. And still, he points fingers at unnamed elites. It’s a bit like a chef demanding a monopoly over your kitchen, then blaming the neighbours for your hunger.

    Theatrics aside, the real question is not about cabals, it’s much simpler. Who should shape Nigeria’s energy policies? At the moment, we are seeing conversations revolve around boardrooms and presidential villa meetings; spaces are dominated by billionaires and bureaucrats. 

    Meanwhile, the people who have kept petrol flowing to Nigeria, depot owners, independent marketers, and even women selling petrol in jerrycans in the hard-to-reach areas like Agbokim in Cross River state, are not in the room. That needs to change. 

    When control is an illusion 

    The Dangote Petroleum Refinery is impressive. It is a $20 billion bet on Nigerian self-sufficiency. But we need to remember that refineries are just one link in the chain. What happens when that chain snaps? Independent marketers have been accused of being exploitative in the past, but, importantly, they are adaptive. When NNPC’s supply falters, they tap into other networks. When prices swing, they adjust not out of altruism, but survival. 

    In Nigeria, where plans often serve more as polite suggestions than binding commitments, adaptability isn’t just useful,  it’s essential.

    Yet, the government’s current approach seems to view these players as relics.  At this moment, deregulation, which was supposed to level the playing field, seems to be tilting entirely towards the one mega refinery. 

    Case in point: the lawsuit to ban imports, which, if granted, will mean the refinery will not just dominate, it will dictate. What is a “Perfect” Market? Supporters of the single supplier model argue it will bring order, no price swings, no shady middlemen, just corporate efficiency. 

    But when has Nigeria, or any single-market economy, ever truly thrived on that kind of “order”? Nigerian markets are chaotic. The terrain is unpredictable. That chaos, and the networks marketers have built within it, is its own form of resilience.

    When the Dangote Petroleum Refinery slashed petrol prices, only to abruptly halt supply after the naira-for-crude deal expired, prices crept up, but depot operators and independent marketers sustained supply. In a monopolised market, if the refinery goes down for maintenance, it’s dismissed as a minor hiccup. 

    But when your only water source runs dry, that “hiccup” quickly becomes a national crisis. Compare that to the patchwork import system: if one supplier falters, others step in. It may be inconsistent, but it doesn’t collapse.

    The government’s push for standards isn’t misplaced. Fuel adulteration exists, and price gouging is real, but regulations designed without the input of independents are like rewriting traffic laws without consulting the drivers.

    An example from telecoms past

    We have learned this lesson in the past. In the 1990s, when Nitel was the only player, Nigerians were paying exorbitant prices for landlines that rarely ever worked, until deregulation unleashed Celtel (now Airtel), MTN and Glo. 

    The GSM revolution was upon Nigeria; prices plummeted, and coverage exploded. It was not seamless. There were still dropped calls, network congestion and billing fraud, but that chaos birthed innovation. 

    Today, market women use mobile banking, thanks to the innovation from properly done deregulation. Energy is more difficult, but the same principle holds. Competition breeds accountability. 

    A Dangote monopoly might offer price standardisation, but the vulnerabilities will also be standardised. What happens when global crude prices dip and Nigeria can’t pivot to cheaper imports? Or what happens when the refinery faces downtime? 

    Necessary ingenuity

    Several Nigerians have decided to transition their cars to run on both petrol and CNG. According to a taxi driver I spoke to, “Fuel prices change like the weather. I have to adapt.” This adaptation was not born from policy papers, it is a necessity–the same necessity that has depot owners keep a stockpile that is often more-than-necessary to prevent the country from entering a permanent scarcity.These players are stakeholders in a complex ecosystem. 

    Excluding them from policy discussions overlooks the fact that Nigeria’s energy economy isn’t just about FX reserves and corporate profits — it’s also about the truck drivers on the highways, the mechanics fixing generators, and the woman selling kerosene to feed her family. Their workarounds are the system.

    What way forward? 

    This is not about demonising the Dangote Petroleum Refinery. The refinery is transformative for Nigeria and Africa, but it needs to be integrated into Nigeria’s already diversified market, not become the entire market. 

    This diversification requires intentionality: Regulate with and not against the oil independents: Involve depot unions in drafting pricing and safety standards. Use their grassroots networks to combat fuel adulteration.

    Retain and encourage imports: The more, the merrier; let refiners prove they can meet demand before shutting down alternatives.

     America guarantees its residents globally competitive oil prices because it mandates petrol importation.

    Resist the allure of “big is better”: Nigeria’s depot operators and petrol retailers are a latticework of redundancy. This is a safeguard. 

    This is deregulation in action. Whose Security? Dangote’s “cabal” rhetoric against the backdrop of Nigeria’s state house is framing our collective energy security as a war against boogeymen. But, security is about honesty, clarity and options. 

    Quick media wins by a large player, sure to gain media airtime, is not energy security. Security is the taxi driver with his dual-fuel car, marketers stockpiling reserves and planning for any eventualities. Nigeria’s energy security can not be decided by courtrooms or closed-door deals, all hands must be on deck. 

    When petrol is scarce, it is not the well-tailored suits in Nigeria that will keep power and generators humming. The question. The only question that matters and must be answered is: How do we build our energy ecosystem and keep it resilient, fair and open? How can Nigeria become Africa’s refining hub? 

    We all have that proverb. “One tree does not make a forest.” Let the Dangote refinery thrive. But let others breathe. 

    •Olawunmi Farominiyi is a public administrator and strategist working in the intersection of energy and economic sustainability. She leads Client Relations at Mosaic & House Advisory.

  • PETROAN, IPMAN differ on petrol price adjustment by Dangote

    PETROAN, IPMAN differ on petrol price adjustment by Dangote

    Two oil marketing groups, Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) and the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), yesterday differed over the impact of the alleged adjustment of the gantry price of petrol by Dangote Refinery.

    While PETROAN lamented that the development was capable of running oil marketers out of business, IPMAN said it was a good development as it aligned with the provision of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) which is the full deregulation of the downstream oil sector.

    Industry sources yesterday said the plant adjusted its Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) price from N835 per litre to N825 per litre. But Dangote has not made any formal announcement about the adjustment.

    The present adjustment and previous impromptu shift of the price jolted the players in the industry since it affected market stability.

    Predictability has become a major challenge in the petrol market, deterring numerous dealers and retailers from operating their outlets.

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    Although some of the marketers described it as a ploy to discourage importation, the PETROAN National President, Dr. Billy Harry who spoke with The Nation on phone said: “We have been holding a meeting on the price since morning to discuss how to attack this kind of thing because the way it is going, we will be run out of business.”

    Asked to respond to the state of the petrol market, he said, “It is tough.”

    Continuing, he admitted that the new gantry prices was N825 per litre, stressing  that “Dangote keeps shifting back the price everyday.”

    IPMAN National President Alhaji Abubakar Maigandi differed from PETROAN.

    He said at the time of the telephone interview with The Nation, the private refinery was still supplying the product at N835 per litre.

    The IPMAN boss, however, noted there was a likelihood of price adjustment to N825 per litre later today.

    Maigandi was elated that the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) that culminated in the full deregulation of the oil market was in full force.

    According to him, energy security was guaranteed as the retail outlets were always wet with products.

    On the incessant price adjustment, the IPMAN National President said, it usually affected marketers with old stock in the filling stations or on the way from the depots.

    He advised that the only way to cope with the situation was to keep selling the stock because it might depreciate further as Dangote Refinery would adjust the price downward unannounced at any time.

    Asked how was the petrol market, Maigandi said: “From the gantry the price is still N835 per litre. Up till now, he is applying N825 per litre. But I don’t know if it will be adjusted to N825/l in the evening or tomorrow.

    “For those with old stock, the adjustment usually cause them losses. But the joy is petrol is available. Even if you stock it because of his lower price, Dangote will still bring down the price so the best thing is to keep selling it.”

  • Reps summon ‘dry’ petrol depots

    Reps summon ‘dry’ petrol depots

    The House Committee on Midstream has summoned petroleum depots that fell short of requirements to appear before it in Abuja with comprehensive working documents within seven days.

    The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) disclosed this in its X handle yesterday.

    According to the NMDPRA, the “Federal House of Representatives Committee on Midstream led by Honorable Odianosen Henry Okojie undertook a three day facility visit to depot locations in Delta State namely Koko, Warri and Oghara, as part of the Committee’s oversight functions and core mandate.

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    “The few depots that fell short of the Committees’ requirements were summoned to appear before them in Abuja within seven days with comprehensive operations working documents.”

    The Authority did not disclose the names of the few depots that failed to meet its standards or requirements.

    NMDPRA said Okojie praised the Authority Chief Executive Engr. Farouk Ahmed and his Management Team for their effective supervision and monitoring engendering positive compliance from industry players.

  • Petrol price volatility plunges marketers to N200b losses in six months

    Petrol price volatility plunges marketers to N200b losses in six months

    Marketers of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) petrol have lost N200billion in six months owing to the volatility of prices.

    Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), National Public Relations Officer, Chief Chinedu Ukadike made this known to The Nation yesterday.

    His words: “The fluctuations have led to persistent losses for marketers especially as prices have trended downwards recently.  Marketers have lost over N200bn in the last 6 months due to price volatility.”

    The losses, he said, have resulted in depletion of the number of active traders from 70 marketers in September 2024 to less than 30 in March this year.

    Ukadike noted that competition in the market has crashed the price.

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    “This has narrowed down the number of players trading products in bulk. Active bulk traders have reduced from over 70 marketers in September 2024 to less than 30 in March 2025.

    ” Prices to retailers have been relatively low due to competition.”

    The spokesman was, however, worried that the losses may result in abandonment of the downstream business.

    Continuing, he said, “But the fear is that the capital migration from the downstream may exacerbate any supply shock in the industry.

    “For example, during the recent impasse between Dangote and FG ex-depot prices have increased to as high as N900 per liter in some states as only a few marketers are currently trading petroleum products unlike in the past. Any further structural changes may lead to severe high pump prices in the near future.”

  • Petrol import rises by 105. 3% despite local refining input

    Petrol import rises by 105. 3% despite local refining input

    Petrol imports surged by 105.3 per cent, reaching N15.42 trillion in 2024, from the N7.51 trillion recorded in 2023. This was contained in the latest data on foreign trade statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), yesterday. The development comes despite current increasing domestic refining capacity, and the ongoing rehabilitation of state-owned refineries.

    Previously, the country had spent N2.01trillion on fuel imports in 2020; in 2021, this figure more rose to N4.56 trillion, or 126.9 per cent; N7.71 trillion or 69.1 per cent in 2022, before recording a marginal decline of 2.6 per cent to N7.51 trillion in 2023.

    However, riding on the back of a 40.9 per cent depreciation of the naira, in 2024, the import a 105.3 per cent increase to N15.42 trillion, the highest on record.

    Despite the rise in local refining, production remains insufficient in meeting demands, necessitating continuous dependence on importation.

    Supply chain inefficiencies, and persistent demand-supply imbalances, foreign exchange fluctuations, among other factors, have also militated against meeting local demands, as the rising cost of petrol imports continues to strain government finances and consumer purchasing power.

    In December 2024, the Nigeria National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) announced the restart of the 125,000 barrels per day (bpd) Warri Refinery and Petrochemical Company (WRPC), which was approved for rehabilitation in 2021 for $897 million.

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    The Port Harcourt Refining Company (PHRC), with a total installed capacity of 210,000bpd, recently restarted operations at its old plant, which currently produces 60,000bpd.

    The Major Energies Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN), may have thrown its weight behind continued importation on the grounds that it fosters competition and potentially stabilising prices.

    The Executive Secretary, MEMAN, Clement Isong, said: “What importation does for us is that it contributes to the market competitiveness. The price movements you are enjoying and the market competition are the result of importation. Importation is useful.”

    He nonetheless clarified that the Association is not against local refining, and desires it as well, but “what ensures that we have the most competitive price is that locally refined fuel prices have to compete with imported prices. That is what keeps our prices at the pump as low as possible,” he asserted.

  • Services, petrol refining sectors propel GDP growth to 3.84%

    Services, petrol refining sectors propel GDP growth to 3.84%

    • This is fastest growth rate in three years, says Edun
    • Yusuf: economy on track
    • Uwaleke: real sector still slow

    Experts last night expressed optimism about the economy with the 3.84 per cent year-on-year Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.

    The government also renewed its commitment to faithfully implementing its economic policies which it credited for this development.

    Yesterday, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the 2024 fourth quarter GDP outcome – 3.84 per cent, compared to the 3.46 per cent of Q4 2023.

    Services and petrol refining sectors were the key drivers of the growth, according to the report.

    Statistician-General of the Federation, Prince Adeyemi Adeniran, said the growth was 0.38 per cent points higher than the 3.46 per cent of Q4 2023.

    Adeniran said: “The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate in real terms (Constant price) grew by 3.84 per cent in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024 on a year-on-year basis, which is 0.38 per cent points higher than the rate recorded in Q4 2023 (3.46 per cent).

    “The annual contributions of the economic sector showed that agriculture contributed 24.64 per cent in 2024, which is lower compared to its contributions which stood at 25.18 per cent in 2023.

    “Similarly, the industry sector’s annual contribution was 18.47 per cent, which is also lower than the figure recorded for 2023 (18.65%). 

    “However, the services sector contributions for 2024 were 56.89 per cent, which exceeded the 56.18 per cent recorded for 2023.

    “The oil GDP grew by 1.48 per cent in Q4 2024, which showed a decline compared to 12.11 per cent recorded in Q4 2023, and the previous quarter of Q3 2024 which stood at 5.17 per cent.

    “The oil sector accounted for 4.60 per cent during the quarter under review.

    “The annual oil GDP for 2024 grew by 5.54 per cent, which is 7.75 per cent higher than the annual GDP recorded for 2023 (-2.22 per cent). while the annual contribution of oil stood at 5.51 per cent in 2024 higher than its contribution in Q4 2023 (5.40 per cent).

    “The fourth quarter of 2024 recorded an average daily oil production of 1.54 million barrels per day (mbpd), lower than the daily average production of 1.56 mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2023 by 0.03 mbpd.

    “On the contrary, the fourth quarter of 2024 production volume was higher than the third quarter of 2024 (1.47 mbpd) by 0.06 mbpd.

    “The non-oil sector contributes 95.40 per cent to the GDP in Q4 of 2024 in real terms.

    “This shows an increase on a year-on-year basis when compared to the same period of Q4 2023 which recorded 95.30 per cent.

    “Similarly, the quarter under review exceeds the 94.43 per cent recorded in Q3 2024.

    “The economic performance of the non-oil sector in Q4 2024 is attributed to the growth recorded in some economic activities, including rail transport & pipelines, metal ores, financial institutions, road transport, quarrying and other minerals, and insurance,

    “On an annual basis, the non-oil grew by 3.27 per cent in 2024, which is higher than the rate recorded in 2023 which stood at 3.04 per cent, while in terms of aggregate contributions, the non-oil contributed 94.49 per cent in 2024, which is lower than the 94.60 per cent reported in 2023.”

    Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, expressed his satisfaction with the report, which indicates that the economy has achieved its fastest growth rate in three years.

    In a statement for the ministry, Edun lauded the positive indicators, which he attributed to the effectiveness of President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda and the resilience of the Nigerian economy.

    “We are pleased to see the continued growth momentum, both from a quarterly and annual standpoint.

    “The expansion of the services sector and our ongoing efforts to strengthen food security through agricultural investments are yielding positive results,” the minister stated.

    He assured of the government’s commitment to ensuring that economic growth translates into tangible improvements in the living standards of all Nigerians.

    In pursuit of this goal, the Federal Government is actively implementing various initiatives, including the direct benefit transfer scheme aimed at providing immediate economic relief and support to the vulnerable.

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    These efforts are designed to ensure that the benefits of economic growth are equitably distributed across the nation.

    Edun reiterated the government’s unwavering commitment to implementing policies and initiatives that foster sustainable and inclusive growth.

    According to him, the administration remains focused on creating an environment that promotes economic stability, attracts investment, and generates employment opportunities for Nigerians.

    “Efforts to ensure that economic growth translates into improved livelihoods for all Nigerians continue through initiatives such as the direct benefit transfers scheme,” Edun stated.

    An economist, Dr. Musa Yusuf, said the GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects the resilience of Nigerian entrepreneurs.

    He said: “The GDP report highlights the gradual recovery of the economy and the resilience of the Nigerian private sector.

    “It also underscores the need to consolidate on the stability gains in the macroeconomic environment and fix the productivity challenges constraining real sector performance.

    “Naira exchange has been relatively stable since then. Inflationary pressures have decelerated marginally and energy prices have declined marginally as well. 

    “Overall, the outlook for investors’ confidence has been positive over the past few months. These are the explanatory variables driving the modest GDP performance. It is noteworthy as well that the GDP growth for 2024 was 3.40 per cent.

    “The agricultural sector recorded a paltry 1.76 per cent growth; manufacturing posted 1.79 per cent, while real estate grew by mere 0.79 per cent.

    “Meanwhile financial institutions grew by 27.8 per cent; road transportation 23 per cent; telecommunications 6.8 per cent; and railway 43 per cent. However, aviation and textile sectors remained in recession.”

    President of the Association of Capital Market Academics in Nigeria, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, said a cursory glance showed that the economic activities expanded in 2024 than in 2023, reflecting the gradual easing of the impact of the severe economic shocks occasioned by the twin reforms of fuel subsidy removal and exchange rates unification.

    He, however, noted that while improvement in crude oil output in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to the third quarter of 2024 is commendable, it is worrisome that the real sectors of the economy notably agriculture and industry continue to underperform.

    Said he: “Given their job creating potentials, a raft of fiscal incentives is required at this time to boost the productive sectors of the economy.”

    Managing Director, Arthur Steven Asset Management, Mr. Olatunde Amolegbe, said the GDP growth underlined stronger prospects for the economic performance in the period ahead.

    “This is a positive development and it’s a sign that the economy is turning the corner from the pains of the reforms by the current administration.

    “The main contributor to the increment was the service sector as previously identified.

    “Now that we are seeing stability in the foreign exchange market and there is a possibility of lower interest rate on the horizon, we could see stronger contributions to GDP growth by sectors such as the industrials and consumer goods that have been lagging

    “I expect that all things being equal, the economy might put in a stronger performance than most analysts expect for 2025. There might be a need for further upward review of economic projections.”

    Managing Director,  AIICO Capital, Dr Femi Ademola explained that fourth quarter 2024 GDP growth rate of 3.86 per cent made the full year 2024 GDP growth rate to be 3.40 per cent, which is more than the 3.3 per cent projected by the World Bank and 3.1 per cent by the IMF.

    “The economic growth is quite laudable. However, in review of the structure of the growth, there are some levels of concerns.

    “Growth in agriculture declined to 1.76  per cent from 2.10 per cent in 2023 while the industry sector’s growth fell to 2.00 per cent from 3.86 per cent in 2023. The strong growth of 2024 was from the services sector,” Ademola said.

    Managing Director, Buraq Capital Limited, Hassan Usman, said the GDP growth raised hopes on the prospects of the economy.

    “This gives hope that we may be turning the corner and the economy is trying to come out of the shocks following the double-barrel reform initiatives.

    “The current stable exchange rate and slowing inflation give hope that growth targets for 2025 may be achieved.

    “These positive developments should result in improved confidence in the economy, attracting more local and foreign investors and further strengthening the upward trajectory for the economy.”