Category: Capital Market

  • Naira weakens slightly against dollar at parallel market

    Naira weakens slightly against dollar at parallel market

    The naira weakened slightly against the dollar at the parallel market on Friday as it exchanged at N321 to the dollar.

    The News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) reports that the Nigerian currency lost N1 to the dollar from N320 rate on Wednesday.

    The naira also fell against the pound sterling and the Euro on Friday to N452 and N362, respectively from their previous rates of N450 and N360.

    The naira still maintained N197 to the dollar at the official CBN segment of the market.

    Traders said that activities in the market were still low due to late implementation of the 2016 budget.

    They said that the budget would indicate the direction of the economy in 2016.

  • Angola beefs up currency controls to cope with FX shortage

    Angola’s central bank has cut the amount of hard currency travellers can take abroad, under new rules to cope with a decline in foreign exchange reserves.

     

    Under the rules made public late on Thursday, the bank cut the sum that can be taken abroad to $10,000 from $15,000.

     

    Hit by a collapse in the price of crude oil, Africa’s second largest oil exporter, has been depleting its reserves at a faster rate to fund imports and pay down government debt.

     

    Oil output represents 40 per cent of gross domestic product and more than 95 per cent of foreign exchange revenue.

     

    Brent crude traded below $39 a barrel this week, down more than 30 per cent compared with a year ago

  • Computer Warehouse: we are in a loss

    Shareholders of Computer Warehouse Group (CWG) Plc have their earni9ngs outlook outlined for them yesterday as the board of directors of the information and communication technology company alerted that the company would record a loss for the year ended December 31, 2015.

    CWG had ended the nine-month period ended September 31, 2015 with a loss of N516 million. The board of the company yesterday said investors should expect loss for the full year citing foreign exchange losses, inventory and bad debt write-offs.

    In a profit warning released at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), CWG stated that preliminary review of the group’s management account has shown that the company would incur a number of significant one-off charges that will contribute to an overall loss for the financial year ended  December  31, 2015.

    “Foreign exchange losses – principally driven by significant exchange rate volatility. The exchange rate which had been largely stable within a narrow band suddenly plummeted and remained uncertain from the first quarter of 2015, following the significant drop in Oil prices. Inventory write-offs – following technology and business model changes which made some previous investments such as the investments in VSAT and MPLS network obsolete. Bad debt write-offs – due to a significant amount of income reversal from the previous year as a result of the cancellation of earlier agreed contracts, for which cancellation penalties are yet to be secured,” the company stated.

    It noted that apart from the loss from the write-offs in the three main areas outlined above, it expects to report an operational loss stemming from a combination of a reduction in margins in her erstwhile traditional reseller business, and inability to transfer increased cost of doing business to customers due to already existing contracts.

    CWG blamed the 2015 performance on a challenging and uncertain macroeconomic environment including the general elections of 2015 and the subsequent takeover by a new administration which caused significant delays in investments by its traditional customers.

    The board of directors however said they have taken steps to reposition the company for an improved performance in 2016, driven by recent investments in cloud and subscription based business, increased efforts in making its traditional reseller business more efficient and a restructuring of operations for more focus on profitability.

  • Nigeria, 16 other SSA countries to borrow $61b in 2014

    Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services has said that Nigeria, Ghana, South Africa and 14 other Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries under its rating services will borrow an equivalent of $61 billion from long-term domestic or global commercial sources in 2014.

    This would be a 49 per cent increase in long-term commercial debt issuance compared with 2013. Standard & Poor’s (S & P) expects that $48 billion of the total commercial borrowing of $61 billion will be raised in local currencies.

    In its “Sub-Saharan African Sovereign Debt Report 2014” obtained at the weekend, S & P indicated that the end of 2014, the stock of total outstanding sovereign debt from commercial sources by rated countries would have risen to $315 billion from $273 billion in 2013.

    According to the report, about 26 per cent, or $16 billion of the sovereigns’ total gross borrowing will be to refinance maturing long-term debt, resulting in an estimated net borrowing requirement for new debt of $45 billion.

    “Consequently, we project that rated sub-Saharan African sovereigns’ commercial debt stock will reach an equivalent of $315 billion by the end of 2014, and that the total commercial and concessional debt stock will reach $392 billion, up from $342 billion, a year-on-year increase of $50 billion, or 14.6 per cent,” S & P stated.

    The report projected that during 2014 the share of commercial speculative rated sovereign debt will stand at 47 per cent of total sub-Saharan commercial debt, while the share of rated investment-grade debt–primarily issued by South Africa–will stand at 53 per cent of total commercial issuance.

    The report added that if borrowing from official lenders is included, the overall long-term borrowing will be $74 billion in 2014 as the share of non-commercial official borrowing, including bilateral and multilateral, is set to reach $13 billion.

    “According to our calculations, Nigeria and Ghana will face the highest debt rollover ratios, including short-term debt, as a percentage of total debt among rated sub-Saharan African sovereigns, reaching 28 per cent and 26 per cent respectively. The rollover ratios of sovereigns with a higher proportion of official debt tend to be lower, because official debt typically has longer maturities than commercial debt,” S & P stated.

    S & P said it believes that the conditions for debt issuance in 2014 will become less favourable because United States (US) Federal Reserve tapering may make emerging market issuance less attractive. It however noted that frontier markets have fared better than major emerging markets and this trend is likely to continue in 2014.

    The S & P’s estimates focus on debt issued by a central government in its own name and exclude local government and social security debt, as well as debt issued by other public bodies and government-guaranteed obligations. This means, for example, that in Nigeria’s case, S & P did not include the issuance of Nigeria’s Asset Management Company (AMCON) to Nigeria’s borrowing figures. In terms of commercial debt instruments, S & P’s estimates for long-term borrowing include bonds with maturities of more than one year issued either on publicly listed markets or sold as private placements, as well as commercial bank loans.

    “Our estimates are informed by our expectations regarding central government deficits, our assessment of governments’ potential extrabudgetary funding needs, and our estimates of debt maturities in 2014,” the report stated.

    “We expect that Nigeria and South Africa, sub-Saharan Africa’s largest economies, will issue the lion’s share of government debt in the region, at $36 billion in total, or about three-fifths of the total. Nigeria will issue $14 billion while South Africa will issue $22 billion,” S & P said.

    According to the report, Nigeria’s average debt maturity is shorter than South Africa’s, hence its rollover ratio is higher. However, South African issuance is expected to contribute a significant share to total sub-Saharan African borrowing. Less than 20 per cent of Nigeria’s and South Africa’s debt is issued in foreign currency. However, about 40 per cent of South Africa’s debt is held by nonresidents.

    The report projected that Angola will be the third-largest issuer of commercial debt in 2014 as it will use this debt to refinance maturing debt and to continue to finance strategic projects for the country.

    The report noted that apart from Nigeria and South Africa, three other sovereigns–Uganda, Kenya, and Cape Verde–have more than one-half of their debt outstanding in local currency, while other rated sovereigns in sub-Saharan Africa have most of their debt in foreign currency, due to the dominance of official borrowing.

    It pointed out that an increasing number of sub-Saharan African sovereigns have begun accessing international debt markets. South Africa has been issuing for many years. In 2007 Ghana and Gabon also issued debt, of $750 billion and $1 billion, respectively. Senegal followed in 2009 with $500 million issuance, followed in 2011 by Nigeria, also with $500 million. In 2012, Zambia issued $750 million, while Angola issued a $1 billion structured transaction. The following year, issuance was led by Rwanda with a debut Eurobond of $400 million, followed by Ghana ($1 billion, including a $250 million buyback), Nigeria ($1 billion), and Gabon ($1.5billion). Of the sub-Saharan African sovereigns not rated by Standard & Poor’s, Namibia issued $500 million in 2011 and Tanzania issued $600 million in early 2013. In 2014, we expect that Kenya will lead issuance, with a $1.0-$1.5 billion bond, possibly followed by Ghana with an issue between $750 million and $1 billion.

  • Investors lose N353b in three days as equities drop to lows

    Investors in Nigerian equities have lost some N353 billion to the latest bearish streak as emerging earnings failed to halt a mid-week downtrend that saw several stocks dropping to their lowest values by the weekend.

    Aggregate market value of all equities quoted on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) closed at the weekend at N12.261 trillion, down by N353 billion from the opening value of N12.614 trillion recorded on Wednesday when the bearish market started.

    The three-day consecutive decline reversed earlier gains and built up a week-on-week loss of N251 billion for investors. Aggregate market value of all equities had opened last week at N12.512 trillion. The downtrend implied an average week-on-week loss of 2.01 per cent, which further depressed the average year-to-date return at the NSE to -7.64 per cent.

    The All Share Index (ASI), the main index that tracks prices of all quoted equities, depreciated by 2.01 per cent to close at 38,171.32 points as against its opening index of 38,952.47 points for the week.

    With 65 losers to 18 gainers, the widespread downtrend also impacted negatively on all the group indices at the NSE. The NSE 30 Index, which tracks the 30 most capitalised stocks, mirrored the average market with a decline of 2.19 per cent. The NSE Banking Index depreciated by 2.62 per cent. The NSE Insurance Index dropped by 2.06 per cent. The NSE Consumer Goods Index declined by 1.52 per cent. The NSE Oil and Gas Index recorded the steepest decline with 5.02 per cent while the NSE Industrial Index recorded the least depreciation with 0.68 per cent.

    Several highly capitalised stocks dwindled to their lowest values so far this year at the weekend. These included Nestle Nigeria, at N1,026.35; PZ Cussons Nigeria, N34; FBN Holdings, N11.67; FCMB Group, N3.28; Ashaka Cement, N16.16; CAP, N45; Lafarge Cement Wapco Nigeria, N111; Oando, N16.15; MRS Oil and Gas, N54.44; Flour Mills of Nigeria, N76; National Salt Company of Nigeria, N12.35 and Dangote Sugar Refinery, N9.44 among others.

    Total turnover last week stood at 1.99 billion shares worth N15.10 billion in 21,948 deals in contrast to a total of 2.15 billion shares valued at N18.49 billion that were traded in 22,697 deals in the previous week. Financial services sector remained the most active sector with a turnover of 1.61 billion shares valued at N9.64 billion traded in 12,904 deals; thus contributing 80.83 per cent and 63.87 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The conglomerates sector followed with a turnover of 149.22 million shares worth N738.89 million in 1,531 deals. The consumer goods sector placed third with 64.82 million shares worth N2.47 billion in 3,334 deals.

    On stock by stock basis, the trio of UBA Capital Plc, NEM Insurance Company and Access Bank Plc were the most active. They jointly accounted for 686.25 million shares worth N2.25 billion in 1,639 deals, representing 34.50 per cent and 14.90 per cent of the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

     

    Analysts at Cowry Asset Management said they expected a positive market situation this week as investors resume bargain-hunting for several stocks that had dropped substantially.

    “We anticipate resumption in bargain hunting activities as investors accumulate beat-down stocks on their portfolio s in expectation of more corporate actions,” Cowry Asset stated.

     

  • GTBank declares N50b dividends on N107b profit

    Guaranty Trust Bank (GTBank) Plc would distribute a total of N50 billion to shareholders as dividends for the 2013 business year as the bank at the weekend announced that it made a pre-tax profit of N107 billion during the year.

    The board of directors of the bank at the weekend indicated that N42.67 billion would be distributed as final dividend, representing a dividend per share of N1.45. The bank had paid interim dividend of N7.36 billion, implying a dividend per share of 25 kobo. The total dividend stands at N50 billion, representing N1.70 per share.

    Key extracts of the audited report and accounts of GTBank for the year ended December 31, 2013 showed modest growths in the top-line and bottom-line. Gross earnings rose by 9.0 per cent from N223.06 billion in 2012 to N242.67 billion in 2013. Profit before tax inched up by 4.0 per cent from N103.03 billion to N107.09 billion in 2013. Profit after tax also rose marginally by 4.0 per cent from N86.69 billion to N90.02 billion in 2013. Earnings per share thus improved slightly from N3.06 to N3.17 per share.

    The report showed that the bank recorded 28.6 per cent growth in loan book from N783.91 billion in 2012 to N1.01 trillion in 2013 while customer’s deposits grew by 24.3 per cent from N1.15 trillion in 2012 to N1.43 trillion in 2013. Total balance sheet size closed 2013 in excess of N2 trillion while shareholders’ equity increased by 17.9 per cent from N281.83 billion in 2012 to N332.35 billion in 2013.

    GTBank also maintained top position in the industry with pre-tax return of equity of 34.9 per cent and pre-tax return on asset of 5.6 per cent. Risk management framework in the bank emerged stronger as non-performing loans ratio decreased to 3.58 per cent in 2013 from 3.75 per cent in 2012.

    Commenting on the results, managing director, Guaranty Trust Bank (GTBank) Plc, Mr. Segun Agbaje said the results reaffirm the bank’s reputation as a market leader.

    “As a growing franchise and in spite of the regulatory headwinds, our bank has posted respectable results that reaffirm our reputation as a market leader and a highly ethical financial institution. We have maintained our cost-leadership position among peers year-on-year as typified by the cost-to-income ratio of 43.5 per cent in 2013 as against 43.1 per cent in 2012,” Agbaje said.

    According to him, the acquisition of Fina Bank Limited, a Kenyan bank with significant business footprint in Rwanda and Uganda gives the bank the opportunity to commence business in three East African countries via the acquisition of one bank.

    “This will give us great mileage and an opportunity to leverage our brand equity. We hope to further tap into the growth potentials of emerging African economies thus bringing us closer to our philosophy of being ‘A proudly African and truly international’ financial brand,” Agbaje said.

     

  • Red Star Express: Red flags

    Red Star Express Plc is struggling with sluggish sales and dwindling margins as the company’s weakening profit and loss accounts become more evident. Latest audited report and accounts of the courier and logistics company for the year ended March 31, 2013 showed marginal growth in sales but this was insufficient to reverse the company’s declining bottom-line. There was noticeable decline in the company’s productivity and efficiency, although the degree of decline remained marginal. The company’s balance sheet remained steady with improvement in liquidity position counterbalancing the weakness in the financing structure.

    Notwithstanding the flat bottom-line, the company increased cash dividend by 6.7 per cent. However, intrinsic returns, like the underlying profitability margins, were generally lower. The dividend cover decreased from 1.73 times in 2012 to 1.63 times. The net assets value meanwhile inched up from N2.84 to N2.92.

     

    Financing structure

    Red Star Express Group’s total assets stood at N3.04 billion in 2013 as against N2.92 billion in 2012, representing marginal increase of 4.2 per cent. Non-current assets had increased by 10 per cent from N774 million to N852 million while current assets inched up by 2.0 per cent from N2.14 billion to N2.18 billion. Total liabilities stood at N1.32 billion, 5.7 per cent above N1.24 billion recorded in 2012. Current liabilities had declined by 9.9 per cent from N1.21 billion to N1.09 billion. Long-term liabilities however jumped from N37 million to N228 million. Paid up share capital remained unchanged at N295 million. Modest retained earnings meanwhile nudged shareholders’ funds from N1.67 billion to N1.72 billion.

    The underlying financing position of the group was steady, although emerging financial leverage raised concerns about the financing outlook. The proportion of equity funds to total assets slipped from 57.3 per cent to 56.6 per cent. Debt-to-equity ratio started at 6.7 per cent in 2013 as against the zero leverage that the company had maintained in previous years.

     

    Efficiency

    The company showed less productivity and cost efficiency during the period with higher cost per head and lower profit per head. Average number of employees increased from 1,421 persons in 2012 to 1,541 persons in 2013. Staff costs also rose from N186.19 million in 2012 to N222.24 million in 2013, indicating average staff cost per head of N0.144 million and N0.131 million for 2013 and 2012 respectively. However average contribution of each employee to pre-tax profit dropped from N0.435 million to N0.354 million. With the cost of sales and operating expenses outpacing sales growth, the total cost of business, excluding finance charges, amounted to 90 per cent of total sales in 2013 compared with 87.8 per cent in 2012.

     

    Profitability

    The profit and loss outlook of the company remained tensed with sluggish sales amidst steadily increasing costs. The declining margins were evident in the underlying profitability indices as well as outward profit and loss figures. Gross profit margin slipped from about 32 per cent in 2012 to 31 per cent in 2013. Average profit before tax margin lost two percentage points at 10.3 per cent compared with 12.3 per cent in the previous year. Return on total assets dropped from 21.2 per cent to 17.7 per cent while return on equity declined from 18.2 per cent to 17.7 per cent.

    Red Star Express’s group turnover inched up by 5.2 per cent from N5.03 billion to N5.29 billion. The top-line performance of the group reflected the almost static position of its dominant courier business. While turnover in the logistics, freight and support services business segments increased from N625.29 million, N168.04 million and N765.09 million in 2012 to N751.02 million, N189.88 million and N864.38 million respectively in 2013, the dominant courier business was almost flat at N3.49 billion in 2013 as against N3.47 billion in 2012. Total cost of sales meanwhile increased by 6.8 per cent from N3.42 billion to N3.66 billion. Gross profit thus inched up by 1.9 per cent from N1.61 billion to N1.64 billion in 2013. Operating expenses grew by 11.5 per cent to N1.11 billion in 2013 as against N994 million in 2012. Notwithstanding almost a double in non-core business income from N29.51 million to N58.36 million, profit before tax declined by 11.8 per cent from N618 million to N545 million. After taxes, net profit was almost flat at N304.5 million in 2013 as against N304.8 million.

    Although basic earnings per share was flat at 52 kobo, the board of directors further raised the cash payout ceiling with gross dividend of N189 million earmarked for distribution for the 2013 business year as against N177 million distributed for 2012. Dividend per share thus improved from 30 kobo in 2012 to 32 kobo in 2013. Net assets per share also inched up from N2.84 to N2.92.

     

    Liquidity

    The liquidity position of the company improved considerably, with better financial coverage for emerging liabilities and adequate working capital. Current ratio, which essentially measures the agility of the balance sheet to meet emerging financing obligations, improved from1.77 times in 2012 to 2.01 times in 2013. The proportion of working capital to total sales increased to 20.7 per cent in 2013 as against 18.6 per cent in 2012. Debtors/creditors ratio stood at 611.2 per cent in 2013 compared with 771 per cent in 2012.

     

    Governance & structures

    Red Star Express was incorporated as a private limited liability company in 1992. It became a public limited liability company and was quoted in 2007. Wholly owned by Nigerian institutional and individual investors, the major core investor in Red Star Express is Dr. Mohammed Koguna. Koguna, through direct and indirect holdings, holds 33.25 per cent equity stake. Meanwhile, Red Star Express has some 4,361 shareholders with 589.5 million ordinary shares of 50 kobo each.

    Red Star Express generally complies with all relevant codes of corporate governance. Dr. Mohammed Koguna still chairs the seven-man board while Mr. Sule Bichi leads the executive management team as managing director. Red Star Express operates defined charity programmes including the Red Star Foundation which receives 0.5 per cent of net earnings annually for scholarships in public secondary schools.

     

    Analyst’s opinion

    The performance of Red Star Express underlines the need for the company to break new market to drive growth and improve bottom-line. With many States of the Federation either restricting motorcycles or prescribing higher capacity motorbikes, new operating costs compounded the company’s tight top-line. The company needs to increase sales substantially to provide headroom for profit growth. It particularly needs to address flagging margins, which may become more visible unless the company addresses the fundamental leakages.

    Three-month report for the period ended June 30, 2013 showed that sales rose by 10.35 per cent from N1.29 billion to N1.43 billion. Profit before tax rose marginally to N137.58 million as against N132.92 million recorded in comparable period of 2012. Profit after tax also rose slightly by 3.5 per cent from N93.04 million to N96.31 million. The underlying profitability of the company meanwhile dwindled further with average pre-tax profit margin of 9.65 per cent in 2013 as against 10.31 per cent in corresponding period of 2012.

    Red Star Express will need to strengthen its business base as it seeks to expand in another short-to-medium growth plan. It plans to raise new equity funds to finance the new growth phase, which is expected to widen the operational base of the group. It has history of managing such new growth initiatives successfully. But it will have to blend the new growth drives with the immediate concerns on existing business.

  • Changing shares’ rules of the game

    One share, one vote; that’s the norm that rules the corporate decision-making, especially in the representative management of publicly quoted companies. By poll or by show of hands, the size of shareholdings largely influences decisions at the general meetings; minority dissent is registered but the majority consensus carries the vote. That appears to be the equity of the equity holdings. But new rules being proposed by the capital market regulators are set to change the rules of the game-majority shareholders, directors and shareholders with substantial equity stakes will have almost no influence on crucial decisions at special general meetings. Capital Market Editor, Taofik Salako, reports on the wider ramification of such paradigm shift in the context of market and stakeholders’ concerns

    Public limited liability companies are owned by several investors, whose shareholdings and stakes in the companies are proportionate to their initial and subsisting capital contributions to the companies’ business operations. While the authorised share capital of a company represents the ceiling of the probable capital that it may seek in the future, fully paid up share capital refers to the capital contributions by shareholders. The fully paid up share capital is the basis for the shareholding structure, which outlines the proportionate shareholdings of each member of the company.

    A person in whose name a shareholding is registered is duly recognised as the person with the prima facie authority to take decisions on the shareholding. He exercises all rights relating to the shareholding including voting right, collection of cash payout and scrip issue and many other transactional and managerial decisions. But he also assumes the risks and liability that come with the business operation.

    Given the large size of shareholders, a public limited liability company (Plc) is managed by selected representatives of the shareholders. These members of management may also hold or not hold shares. Thus, the management of a company is seen as representing the views and opinions of the multitude. The logic is that since shareholders appoint the board and the board appoints the management, which determines the employment of every other person in the company, the shareholders are the ultimate decision maker. In all these, the underlying maxim is: the larger the capital, the higher the risks and vice versa. Shareholders hold the board and management to account through periodic reports and meetings.

    Investors’ meetings are broadly classified into two categories- ordinary general meeting and extra-ordinary general meeting (EGM). Ordinary general meetings, such as annual general meeting, are held to consider ordinary businesses that entail review of operational and status reports and exchange of views by investors and directors without no change to the ownership structure or basic outlines of the company. An EGM is held to enable investors consider and approve a transaction, which usually may lead to changes in ownership or holding structure of the company as well as its basic outlines and existence. Such EGM includes meetings for new or supplementary equity or debt issuance, mergers, acquisitions, shares restructurings and delisting. Issues that come under EGMs often have more pronounced impact and substance on the risk and returns profile of a company and as such EGMs usually generate more interests than ordinary meeting.

    At both the ordinary and extra ordinary meetings, decisions are reached by voting; either by show of hands or by more strenuous poll voting. Under the extant laws, voting by show of hands can only take place if all the shareholders agreed to such method; otherwise a dissent to show of hand will automatically lead to poll voting. As such, crucial and contentious issues are usually done by poll voting, equalizing the capital contribution with the number of votes. Many registrars have introduced technologies that allow electronic voting, which further eliminated the possibility of miscalculation or misrepresentation of the majority’s view.

     

    New offside rules

     

    But under new rules currently being reviewed by the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), a version of an idea earlier muted by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), major shareholders, directors and their related persons and institutions may not be allowed to vote at specially-convened meeting for significant public interest transaction that requires approval of shareholders. This, unlike the traditional view of the ‘put-your-mouth-where-your money-is’, will leave such crucial decisions to minority shareholders.

    New draft rules on “meeting convened to obtain securities holders approval” being finalized by the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) exclude all related and interested parties, entities, associates and proxies from exercising their voting rights, even where they hold fully-paid shares. The new draft rules represent major paradigm shift from the current practice where such excluded persons and entities are allowed to exercise their voting rights and runs contrary to the general principle of one share or unit, one vote. “Meeting convened to obtain securities holders approval” in capital market parlance generally includes extra-ordinary general meeting (EGM). Many companies refer to EGM as court-ordered meeting, where such meeting requires the prior approval of a court such as meeting for consideration of scheme of merger and acquisition, which requires approval of a Federal High Court.

    According to the new rules, where a transaction requires the approval of investors, such approval shall be obtained either prior to the company entering into the transaction or, if completion of the transaction is expressed to be conditional on obtaining such approval, prior to the completion of the transaction. At the meeting, none of each related party, entity or its associate or proxy and each interested person or entity or and its associates or proxy “shall exercise any voting rights in respect of the transaction nor accept appointments as proxies” even though they are holders of fully-paid shares or unit of investment.

    Where such persons or entities are representing other unrelated or uninterested persons and entities which are qualified to vote at the meeting, their representations will only be valid if they have specific instructions as to voting, according to the new rules. “The notice convening the meeting shall state that related parties or interested persons shall abstain from exercising any voting rights at the meeting,” the rules stated. Meanwhile, all other rules relating to regulatory approval, notification, publication, documentation, venue, time, period, conduct, rights and privileges and procedures amongst others in respect of general meetings will also apply to EGMs.

    While the NSE did not provide descriptive definition of “each related party, entity or its associate or proxy and each interested person or entity or and its associates or proxy”, market operators generally hold that such relate to majority shareholders and management of a company. “By related parties or interested persons, I believe the rule refers to parties related to the majority security holders and the management of the company,” deputy group managing director, BGL Plc, Mr. Chibundu Edozie said.

     

    The rule of the minority

     

    The exclusion of “each related party, entity or its associate or proxy and each interested person or entity or and its associates or proxy” from voting for their holdings appears to imply that such significant corporate decisions would be determined by the minority or non-management investors. For companies with significant bloc shareholdings with majority core investors, it means only shareholders of public float shares will be allowed to vote and determine such significant corporate decisions.

    The revised listing rules of the NSE stipulates that the public shall hold a minimum of 20 per cent of each class of equity securities of a company quoted on the main board, 15 per cent of each class of equity securities of a company quoted on the Alternative Securities Market (ASeM) and 10 per cent of each class of equity securities of a dual-listed company. This rule is known in capital market parlance as public float. Public float is technically a synonym of public shareholder and it generally refers to the shares of a quoted company held by ordinary shareholders other than those directly or indirectly held by its parent, subsidiary or associate companies or any subsidiaries or associates of its parent company; its directors who are holding office as directors of the entity and their close family members and any single individual or institutional shareholder holding a statutorily significant stake, which is five per cent and above in Nigeria.

    Thus, public shareholders and public float do not include shareholders or shares held directly or indirectly by any executive, director, controlling shareholder or other concentrated, affiliated or family holdings. Unless where specifically outlined, “close family members” in capital market regulatory parlance globally mean spouse, parents, grandparents, biological and adopted children, step-child, brothers, sisters, spouses of biological and adopted children, step-child, brothers and sisters; grandchildren; and any such person who is financially dependent on such directors or major shareholders, who are excluded for the delineation of public float.

     

    Practical implications

     

    If such majority-shareholder barring rule is adopted, it means that foreign and Nigerian majority individual and institutional shareholders, which owns controlling equity stakes in most listed companies not be able to vote on major corporate decisions affecting their companies. For instance, where Alhaji Aliko Dangote, and his related parties-Dangote Industries Limited, family members and associates, who owns majority equity stakes in Dangote Cement and the directors of the cement company envision an ambitious expansion plan that may include mergers and acquisition and capital restructurings and are willing, as major risk takers in the venture, to suppress their immediate urge for returns; they can only push, hope and pray that the minority shareholders, who hold less than five per cent of the company, buy into the vision. Where the minority shareholders-including speculators and short-term investors, prefer the current steady returns and are unwilling to risk any such expansive growth plan, then they can hold up the expansion and turn down the major investors by voting against it.

    While the impact may vary according to shareholding structure, the above example will ring through the entire market. Few companies will escape the chain. With the exception of GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Nigeria and Julius Berger Nigeria Plc, which hold less than majority shareholdings, all other foreign investors hold more than 50 per cent controlling majority equity stakes. These major multinationals include Unilever Plc, GlaxoSmithKline, United Kingdom (GSK UK) Plc, PZ Cussons, Nestle SA, Lafarge SA, Heineken NV, Mondel? International, Berger Bilfinger, BOC Holdings, Standard Bank Group, Leventis, Total SA, Mobil Oil Corporation, Siat NV, Affelka SA, Greif International Holdings B.V., United States’ Exxon Mobil Oil Corporation and SAB Miller. For several of the multinationals, minority shareholders with less than 30 per cent equity stakes will determine the growth momentum and there is no guarantee of the duration, motives and identity of these minority shareholders.

    Besides Dangote, other individual and institutional core investors will figuratively hand over strategic corporate decisions to the crowd. These include UAC of Nigeria, Vitafoam Nigeria, Chief Samuel Bolarinde, Dr Muhammad Koguna, Dr. Oba Otudeko, Dr Mike Adenuga Jnr, Mr Femi Otedola, Mr Tony Elumelu, Mr. Jim Ovia, the Subomi Baloguns, Fidson’s Fidelis Ayebae, Abdu Samad Rabiu’s BUA, Cutix’s Ajulu Uzodikes, among others.

     

    Impact on entrepreneurship and

    investment

     

    General Secretary, Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN), Mr Adebayo Adeleke, said the new rules will be counterproductive as they border on over-regulation of the market.

    “Till tomorrow, the rule has not changed: He who pays the piper dictates the tune. That’s what reinforced the concept of poll. You cannot restrain any shareholder-majority or minority, from voting on issues that affect their investment. It will be counterproductive and scare away foreign direct investments,” Adeleke, a director and shareholders’ representative on the Board of May & Baker Nigeria said.

    Boardroom icon and chairman of several quoted companies, Chief Olusegun Osunkeye, said such rule barring major investors from voting their shares would be counterproductive to current efforts at wooing foreign and indigenous entrepreneurs to list their companies on the stock market.

    According to him, capital market regulators and stakeholders need consider the advantages and disadvantages of such rule within the context of the economic development and state of its capital market.

    He said such rule would limit the growth of existing listed companies to minority consideration and expose entrepreneurs to undue influences of portfolio speculators and fund managers whose interests may not be in tandem with the long-term growth plan of the company.

    “We are not ripe for such a rule that majority shareholder should not vote its shares. Jurisdictions differ in terms of their development. We should look at such rule in the context of Nigerian economic evolution, it warrants re-examination,” Osunkeye said.

    Chibundu Edozie, said such rule runs contrary to underlining entrepreneurial spirit and risks and returns assumptions that drive corporate growth. According to him, besides the pride of ownership that motivates entrepreneur, one important reason for owning a majority equity stake in any company is to be involved in major decisions that can make or break the institution.

    He noted that transactions such as mergers and acquisitions have the potential of making the company bigger and more profitable or completely bankrupting the business with significant benefits and losses to the majority owner, depending on the outcome of the transaction. He added that new issues also dilute the ownership structure of the company with profit or loss potential to the owner.

    “Because the investor stands to gain or lose based on these decisions, it is fair that the investor that provides the majority capital for the company’s operation and investments contributes to the decision-making. Although the interests of the minority also need to be protected, this can be done through the process of decision-making which must be inclusive and persuasive based on factual information. While a law that seeks to bar majority core investor -like an investor owning the controlling equity stake and management, from voting their shares in support of crucial voting on corporate decision like mergers, acquisitions, new issues etc may have its merit, it also has a significant disadvantage,” Edozie stated.

    He outlined that while such majority-shareholder-barring rule may be meritorious in consideration for the protection of the minority interest in the company against dictatorial behaviour and the protection of the company from hawkish tendencies of the majority owner, it will prevent risk-taking by the investors as well as reduce the amount and the number of transactions as nobody would like to provide fund and not be able to make major decisions on how the money is spent.

    He urged that the focus of rule-making should be on full disclosure and due process rather than exclusion of critical stakeholders like majority core investor.

    “I am inclined to rather support a law that will specify the process to be followed by companies when major decisions are to be made and ensure the protection of minority investors. A law can also be passed to limit the percentage of ownership of companies in sensitive sectors due to national security. Otherwise, I don’t think the proposed law is good for Nigeria or any country for that matter,” Edozie said.

    Managing Director, GTI Securities, Mr Tunde Oyekunle, said the risk-return profile of investors should continue to determine corporate decisions and votes should be proportionate to shareholdings.

    According to him, all parties that have fully paid shares or their proxies should be allowed to vote at meeting convened to approve resolutions once due compliance with proxy requirement is observed.

    A shareholders’ activist and leader, Alhaji Gbadebo Olatokunbo, however said excluding the core investors and directors from voting on their proposals would protect the interest of minority shareholders.

    “Issues before EGM were those approved by the board and management of the company, before the presentation to the general house for amendment, approval or rejection. Therefore, since the issues were their ideas, motive, vision and agenda; the other stakeholders should have the right and the opportunity to reject or accept such proposal and such opinion must be respected,” Olatokunbo said.

    Market analysts said implementing such rules abridging the voting rights of the majority shareholders may be difficult except the market regulators seek amendment to the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA), which generally serve as the operating legal mainstay for corporate management in Nigeria. According to analysts, while their operating Acts variously empower SEC and NSE to make rules for the market, such rules cannot supplant existing provisions of the law, especially as stipulated under CAMA. They cited the inability of SEC to enforce general compulsion of e-dividend and e-allotment as CAMA still empowers shareholders to receive dividend warrants and share certificates. Besides the legal challenge, the new rule may unduly politiciswe corporate governance and decision-making as directors and core majority shareholders may now have to pass major decisions through third-party windows in order to present such crucial decisions as neutral proposals and to allow them to vote their shares.

    Even without such rules that abridge their voting rights and direction of their companies, many core investors that were required by public float rules to sell down or dilute their shareholdings had opted to delist from the NSE. Ecobank Nigeria had delisted due to unwillingness of the parent company to release further shares for public float. In the latest instance, Tourist Company of Nigeria (TCN) Plc, which owns the palatial Federal Palace Hotel & Casino based in Victoria Island, Lagos, has decided to voluntarily delist after the NSE flagged the company for failing to maintain the minimum 20 per cent free float required to sustain its listing at the NSE. TCN had deficiency rate of 18.69 per cent and the core investors would have to divest some 420 million ordinary shares or issue proportionate supplementary shares to dilute their shareholdings.

    While the motives of protecting minority shareholders are laudable, market regulators need to balance the minority interests with the majority interests and risks. Shareholders’ interests can generally be protected if market regulators enforce full and transparent disclosures and hold directors and management personally to account for infringements and abuses.

     

  • Why investors shun  Nigeria’s capital market

    Why investors shun Nigeria’s capital market

    At the first public engagement with the media last Thursday, the management of the Nigeria Stock Exchange led by Oscar Onyema gave insights on how the stock faired last year, reports Bukola Afolabi

     

     

    FRESH facts have emerged as to why the nation’s stock market failed to achieve optimum growth potential in the outgoing year.

    Early last year the managers of the Nigeria stock Exchange had projected that at the end of the year 2012, a record 20 companies would be listed at the Exchange.

    An upbeat Oscar Onyema, Chief Executive Officer of the NSE in a manner somewhat reassuring had told a packed audience at the time that the prospective companies would be substantial in terms of equity and value.

    But one year down the line, the blessed assurance has turned to forlorn hope.

    The NSE boss said that much at a news conference last Thursday where he lamented the parlous state of the market. According to him, the market for IPOs and new equity listings was flat – no IPOs and there were two new listings on the main board while a total of four companies were delisted, including FinBank Plc, following its acquisition by FCMB Plc, and Ablast Products Plc, Udeofson Garment Factory Plc and Hallmark Paper Products Plc, as a result of noncompliance with the Exchanges’ post-listing standards.

    Three banks were also delisted and relisted in compliance with the holding company structure mandate by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), following the repeal of the Universal Banking Guidelines, in a move to restore regulatory and corporate governance soundness in the Nigerian Financial system.

    He said 20 companies indicated there interest at the end of year 2011 that they are coming to the stock market to be listed only 2 companies show up.

    According to Onyema besides unfavorable effects of the global financial crisis which lingered throughout the year, the country suffered fiscal challenges, double-digit inflation (12.3% in November), high lending rates (MPR of 12% in November), and a decline in GDP contributions from key sectors such as oil and gas (13.42% in Q3, down from 15.80% in Q1), to record GDP growth of 6.48% in the third quarter.

    The implementation of the nation’s policy on fuel subsidy last January also stalled economic activities at the beginning of the first quarter, the result of which was felt in the capital market through the first half of 2012.

    There was more excitement in the second half of the year with steady growth across most sectors, and the inclusion of selected Nigerian government bonds in the JP Morgan Government Bond Index Emerging Markets (GBI-EM). Consequently, international institutional investors flocked to the Nigerian bond market, while local institutional investors’ appetite for equities was reawakened.

    Notwithstanding certain prevalent, national and market-specific challenges, the NSE’s major index closed the year with its strongest performance since 2008, while other indices topped their performance pre-global financial meltdown.

    The NSE All Share Index gained 35.45% in 2012, as the Bloomberg showed, soared to 44.63% while the NSE Lotus Islamic Index, comprising Shariah-compliant equities, saw a 44.21% jump.

    Besides, the Bloomberg NSE Consumer Goods Index grew 42.29%, and the Bloomberg NSE Banking Index added 23.84% to its 2011 value.

    A few indices mimicked the negative trends affecting their respective economic sectors, including the Bloomberg NSE Insurance Index which shed 17.45%, and the Bloomberg NSE Oil/Gas Index which plunged 30.53%.

    Onyema has said entrance of local companies into the capital market was expected to improve the Exchange.

    The NSE boss, said the capital market which was dominated in the past by forging companies has witnessed increased in the presence of local companies being listed on the stock Exchange.

    “It is time that the rise of the Nigeria Stock Exchange was at the back of foreign companies and investor but we are happy to know that local companies are beginning to show interest into the market which has been responsible for the improvement of the Exchange. We are working hard to bring in new good local companies and we believe the rise in the market will encourage more local companies to come on board. Hopefully we will see companies coming into the market,” he said.

    The NSE boss also recalled that in March 2012, offered issuers greater flexibility to raise capital from the market, just as the Exchange amended its listing rules to include quantitative measurements for profit, market capitalization, price and public float, among others.

    To increase the level of market compliance, the NSE launched the Broker TraX tool at the start of the year. The tool provides transparency of broker and brokerage firm compliance with the rules of the market.

    The exchange also introduced the XCompliance Report, a transparency initiative designed to help maintain market integrity, by providing compliance related updates on all listed companies.

    This was followed by the release of the Market Quality Report (X-Qual) in November 2012, which offers brokers and analytical investors insight into how to derive best execution of orders in the market, and the quality of execution that can be expected.

    To enhance the investor experience, the NSE launched its new Web site in January 2012 with a real-time feed to a ticker, and rolled out X-Net, a virtual private network (VPN), to enhance brokers connectivity (20x faster than the previous offering) to the Exchange’s trading systems.

    The Exchange also commenced development and testing of its new trading platform, X-Gen, which will go live in 2013.

    NSE boss said that they are seeking Federal Government support to hit $1trillion capitalization mark in 2016.

    According to him, it is not impossible for the NSE, which currently has a market capitalization of N10tn, to reach $1tn (N150tn) mark by 2016, however, the support of the FG is needed in many ways to achieve this.

    He said “When we gave the target of 1trn market capitalization in five years. It was an aspiration target, we were aware that a lot of things had to align to be able to achieve this, for instance, we depended on the regulation of the power sector and the quick passage of the petroleum industry Bill.

    “And so, we need the support of the government to ensure that the 16 companies that would come out of the power privatization process would be listed on the NSE. The same goes for the telecoms companies we need government assist in getting them to list their companies also.”

    The NSE helmsman is also optimistic that this year would see gains by global investors hoping to emerge in the frontier markets.

    Despite an anticipated dip from 5.0% to 4.8% by the OECD, economies in Africa are forecasted to maintain a positive growth trajectory, underpinned by factors such as strong performance of oil-exporting countries, continued fiscal spending on infrastructures projects, and expanding economic ties with Asian economies, Onyema stressed.

    In a related development, the African Development Bank has issued the following GDP projections for key African economies: Ghana 7.7%. Angola 7.1%. Nigeria 6.6%. Kenya 5.5% and South Africa 3.6%.

    The outlook for the Nigerian economy also remains promising with a projected growth of 7.67% by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

    While the impact of government policy on fuel subsidy and other macro-economic shocks were felt last year, the CBN’s restrictive monetary policies, expectations for stable crude oil prices, and the FGN’s continued effort at fiscal conservatism should create an environment for single-digit inflation rates and MPR reduction by the CBN.

    Although existing challenges such as the security situation in the country are not expected to disappear, on-going governments initiatives to increase power generation, financial inclusion, and transformation of the agriculture sector are expected to carry over into the new year.

    The Nigerian Capital Market will continue to face challenges around liquidity and depth in 2013, however, there is a concerted effort to drive improvements in market participant experience.

    The CBN’s efforts to achieve single-digit inflation and a lower MPR should have a positive impact on the equities market. As investor confidence measures implemented by the NSE mature, we expect that a growth trend similar to that experienced in Q4 2012 will extend into 2013.

    On the fixed income side, we anticipate the relative attractiveness of FGN bonds will continue for local and global investors, as a result of record-high yields. With the upcoming inclusion of Nigerian FGN bonds in the Barclay’s Emerging Market Local Currency Bond Index, this should keep the nation’s bonds in the international spotlight.

    Furthermore, foreign issuers such as the International Finance Corporation (IFC) are expected to enter the Nigerian bond market this year.

    Other contributing factors to optimism about the capital market include early passage of the national budget, which creates an impression that fiscal policy is being prioritized.

    The pronouncement to begin investing proceeds of the Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) in March 2013.

    Besides, Onyema is persuaded that the elimination of VAT and stamp duties, which should take effect in 2013, freeing up funds for capital market investment just as continued product innovation by the Exchange, such as the commencement of secondary bond market trading, and the introduction of new indices and ETFs.

    Notwithstanding the hopeful promises, many analysts are of the view that a lot is required to turn the tide for the market.