Category: Investors

  • NGX, PAPSS sign MoU on cross border payments

    NGX, PAPSS sign MoU on cross border payments

    Cross-border securities transactions across African capital markets yesterday received a significant boost as Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited and Pan African Payments Settlement System (PAPSS) sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to integrate the payments system into the capital markets.

    The MoU, signed in a virtual ceremony yesterday, saw attendance from notable individuals, including the President, Afreximbank, Professor Benedict Oramah and Director-General, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Mr Lamido Yuguda and Chairman, NGX, Mr. Abubakar Mahmoud.

    Chief Executive Officer, Nigerian Exchange (NGX), Mr Temi Popoola said integrating PAPSS into the cross-border capital market framework would fix issues with currency convertibility, reduce cost, shorten processing and settlement times and foster access to capital.

    “We hope that the success of this partnership will inspire other African nations to integrate with PAPSS to enable other member countries to benefit from improved efficiency,” Popoola said.

    Mahmoud said investors would enjoy a more efficient and cost-effective way of investing in African securities, thus promoting regional integration and boosting trade flows.

    Chief Executive Officer, PAPSS, Mike Ogbalu III said the signing of the MoU with a strategic partner like NGX should lead to more transactions flow into the company’s system.

    He said the company also expects more central banks to join the PAPSS infrastructure to extend the reach to millions more with the resultant positive impact on intra-African Trade.

    Oramah explained that PAPSS came about as a recognition of the need to integrate payments for goods and services in Africa amid the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA).

    “Just as we want to ensure smooth settlements for goods, capital market integration is also critical. This is why we collaborated with NGX to facilitate forging PAPSS into the cross-border securities trading framework,” Oramah said.

    Yuguda said the signing of the agreement was a significant milestone in line with the revised Capital Market Masterplan.

    He assured that SEC would support  initiatives to enhance the integrity and efficiency of the capital market.

    Chairman, Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX Group), Alhaji Umar Kwairanga said the agreement would open up new market opportunities to capital market operators across the continent.

    Chief Executive Officer, Nigerian Exchange Group, Mr. Oscar Onyema said the agreement came at the right time when Africa wants to accelerate the implementation of AfCFTA.

     “It will stimulate the development of intra-African securities trading,” Onyema said.

    President, African Securities Exchange Association (ASEA), Mr Thalepo Tsheole called on stakeholders to ensure it is executed across Africa.

    He emphasised that using the umbrella of ASEA, with nine exchanges and a market cap of $1.5 trillion, PAPSS could be instrumental to the African Exchanges Linkage Project.

  • Seplat Energy grows pre-tax profit by 15.3% to N86.7b

    Seplat Energy grows pre-tax profit by 15.3% to N86.7b

    Seplat Energy Plc maintained appreciable growths in the top-line and profitability in the 2022 business year, with pre-tax profit rising by 15.3 per cent to N86.7 billion.

    Key extracts of the audited report and accounts of the oil and energy group for the year ended December 31, 2022 released at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) indicated that cash generated from operations grew by 51.6 per cent to N242.4 billion in 2022 as against N150.9 billion in 2021. Total revenue had risen by 29.8 per cent to N403.9 billion compared with N293.6 billion. Gross profit jumped by 63 per cent from N114.2 billion to N197.2 billion.

    The board of directors of the company has recommended a total dividend per share of US7.5 cent final dividend, despite the significantly disrupted production experienced in the second half of the year. This amounted to a full-year dividend of US15 cents, representing a dividend yield of around 11 per cent at the current price on London Stock Exchange (LSE) share price.

    The board had recommended a special dividend of US5.0 cents per share and a final dividend of US2.5 cents per share

    Operation review showed that Seplat Energy’s working interest production averaged 44 kboepd, impacted by outages of key infrastructure predominantly in third quarter 2022. Use of Amukpe-Escravos Pipeline (AEP) enabled high uptime last December, exit rate of 53 kboepd.

    According to the management of the company, it completed 13 wells, including two wells for the ANOH gas processing plant. ANOH Gas Processing Plant is 95 per cent mechanically complete, awaiting third-party infrastructure completion.

    This year, the company projected full year production guidance of 45-55 kboepd, excluding ANOH, with capital expenditure expected to be $160 million. It projected that increased use of AEP will improve revenue assurance while its Sibiri appraisal wells indicating results on high side of initial oil in-place estimates, FID targeted by the end of the year.

    ANOH first gas guidance has however been moved to fourth quarter 2023 owing to delays in third-party infrastructure.

    The management of the group said it has continued to pursue a reaffirmation of the Ministerial approval received on August 8, 2022 to acquire the Nigerian assets of Mobil Oil Producing Nigeria.

    Chief Executive Officer, Seplat Energy Plc, Mr. Roger Brown said the company’s strong financial performance will enable the payment of a US7.5 cent final dividend, despite the significantly disrupted production it experienced in the second half of the year.

    “As we enter 2023, the business is in a very healthy state, with new wells coming onstream, encouraging appraisal drilling underway at Sibiri, and alternative export routes ensuring good export performance in January and February, this year. Our gas business continues to develop, with first gas expected from ANOH in Q4 this year, and we are now in the process of separating our Midstream Gas business from the Upstream unit to unlock new value for shareholders.

    “We are continuing to pursue the Presidential approval received on the 8 August 2022 for the MPNU acquisition and we remain focused on concluding the transaction within the remaining term of President Buhari before a new president is sworn into office at the end of May 2023.

    “We are implementing our roadmap to net zero and have made encouraging progress with a 35 per cent reduction in emission intensity last year. The major reduction in carbon emissions is routine flaring which we are on target to eliminate by the end of 2024. Alongside these efforts, and as part of our stated strategy to become Nigeria’s energy champion across the entire value chain, we are planning to invest in gas-to-power and solar power projects with FID targeted for later this year if the projected returns meet our internal hurdle rates.

    “We are confident in our outlook for 2023, with the new Amukpe-Escravos Pipeline working well, our drilling cost reductions and efficiencies being delivered, and ANOH’s first gas expected in Q4 once 3rd party infrastructure is completed, our business is on a firm footing to facilitate significant growth and higher returns for stakeholders,” Brown said.

    Meanwhile, the board of the company has appointed Ms. Koosum Kalyan as an independent non-executive director with effect from February 28.

    Chairman, Seplat Energy Plc, Mr. Basil Omiyi, said Kalyan has a proven track record of operating across the African continent and her experience spans over decades and cuts across the oil and gas industry as well as the wider energy industry.

    “Seplat Energy eagerly looks forward to the enormous contribution she will make towards the company’s growth plans achieving global success,” Omiyi said.

    Kalyan is a South African businesswoman and economist whose career began in the Electricity Commission in Melbourne Australia as an economist. She subsequently joined Shell South Africa as an economist and became a member of the Shell Global Scenario Planning Team after which she embarked on her expatriate posting to Shell International London for nine years. The scope of her work included projects in Nigeria, Gabon, Mozambique and Tanzania, among others. Kalyan assisted governments in transforming its energy policies and in joining the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative during her tenure at Shell and also assisted in digitising government institutions.

    She has served on the Boards of several companies where she contributed her wealth of knowledge to the progress of these companies and was recently appointed the Chairperson of Control Risk for Southern Africa.

    Kalyan has a degree in B. Com Law and a degree in Economics from the University of Durban Westville. She has also completed the Senior Executive Management Program at London Business School and a Leadership Management Program at Shell Leadership Institute.

  • Dangote gets N293b as Dangote Cement declares N340.8b dividends

    Dangote gets N293b as Dangote Cement declares N340.8b dividends

    Africa’s richest man, Alhaji Aliko Dangote will receive about N293 billion as cash dividends as his flagship cement group, Dangote Cement Plc announced that it would be distributing about N340.8 billion to shareholders.

    The Dangote-led board recommended payment of a dividend per share of N20 to shareholders for the 2022 business years after the cement group increased net profit to N382 billion. The total recommended dividend payout amounted to N340.81 billion.

    Dangote, who owns about 86 per cent majority equity stake through his holding company, Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), will receive N292.97 billion in cash dividends by April 2023 when shareholders are expected to be paid electronically.

    According to the board of the company, the dividends will become payable on April 14, 2023 to shareholders on the register of the company as at the close of business of March 30, 2023.

    Key extracts of the audited report and accounts of Dangote Cement Group for the year ended December 31, 2022 showed sustained growths across major indices, with group turnover rising by 17 per cent from N1.38 trillion in 2021 to N1.62 trillion in 2022. Gross profit rose from N832.62 billion in 2021 to N955.43 billion in 2022.

    The performance of the company was, however, moderated by considerable increase in expenses and finance costs. Administrative expenses rose from N64.35 billion to N79.88 billion. Selling and distribution expenses jumped from N191.65 billion to N295.23 billion. Operating profit thus stood at N585.88 billion in 2022 as against N582.49 billion in 2021.

    Finance costs leapt to N130.37 billion in 2022 compared with N65.71 billion in 2021. This moderated pre-tax profit from N538.37 billion in 2021 to N524 billion in 2022. The group made tax provisions of N141.69 billion in 2022 as against N173.93 billion in 2021. Group net profit increased by five per cent from N364 billion to N382 billion. Earnings per share thus improved to N22.27 in 2022 as against N21.34 in 2021.

    The balance sheet of the group also emerged stronger. Total assets increased from N2.39 trillion in 2021 to N2.62 trillion in 2022. Shareholders’ funds crossed the trillion naira mark to N1.08 trillion in 2022 as against N983.67 billion in 2021.

    On a standalone, the parent company showed stronger performance with total sales rising by 21 per cent from N993 billion to N1.21 trillion. Company’s net profit increased by 6.0 per cent N403 billion in 2022 as against N381 billion in 2021. Company’s earnings per share rose from N22.42 in 2021 to N23.87 in 2022.

    Analysts at Cordros Securities said they were impressed by the cement group’s “resilience in ensuring profitability amid the challenges that constrained operations across its Nigerian and Pan-African operations”.

    “For the 2023 financial year, we believe higher cement prices will continue to sustain Dangote Cement’s topline growth. However, we see a further slump in volumes, as the constraints hampering production levels still linger, and our expectations that electioneering activities will weigh on demand, particularly in first half 2023,” Cordros Securities stated.

    Dangote Cement is Africa’s leading cement producer with nearly 46Mta capacity across Africa. it is a fully integrated quarry-to-customer producer, with a production capacity of 29.25Mta in its home market, Nigeria. Obajana plant in Kogi state, Nigeria, is the largest in Africa with 13.25Mta of capacity across four lines; Ibese plant in Ogun State has four cement lines with a combined installed capacity of 12Mta and Gboko plant in Benue state has 4Mta.

    In addition, Dangote Cement has  operations in Cameroon (1.5Mta clinker grinding), Congo (1.5Mta), Ghana (1.5Mta import), Ethiopia (2.5Mta), Senegal (1.5Mta), Sierra Leone (0.5Mta import), South Africa (2.8Mta), Tanzania (3.0Mta), Zambia (1.5Mta).

    Dangote Cement was the first Nigerian listed company to report its financial results using IFRS taxonomy. XBRL enables companies standardise the preparation, publishing, and exchange of financial information in a machine-readable format. It is mainly used by publicly listed companies which are required to use it by law, such as companies listed in the United States, Europe, and South Africa.

    XBRL is a language for the electronic communication of business and financial data which is revolutionising business reporting around the world. It provides major benefits in the preparation, analysis, and communication of business information. It offers greater efficiency, improved accuracy, and reliability to all those involved in supplying or using financial data. It is already being put to practical use in several countries and implementations of XBRL are growing rapidly around the world.

  • Ardova: Crisis of confidence

    Ardova: Crisis of confidence

    The proposal by the majority core investor in Ardova to buy out other shareholders is causing ripples among minority shareholders. In this analysis, Deputy Group Business Editor, Taofik Salako, examines the underlying issues of discontent and shareholders’ agitation for a regulatory review.

    The majority core investor in Ardova, Ignite Investments & Commodities Limited, has launched a proposal to buyout other shareholders of the company at an offer price of N17.38 per share. It plans to subsequently delist the company from the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), after the buyout.  

    The buyout and delisting proposal is coming barely four years after the new core investor bought into the company. Incorporated in December 1964 as British Petroleum (BP), the company became African Petroleum (AP) under the nationalisation policy of the Federal Government in 1979. The then AP was listed on the Exchange in 1978. The government’s majority stake in AP was sold to Lagos businessman, Mr. Femi Otedola, during the Obasanjo privatisation programme. The then Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar was chairman of National Council on Privatisation (NCP). Otedola subsequently changed the company’s name to Forte Oil.   

    With an extensive network of some 700 retail outlets in Nigeria and significant storage facilities in Apapa, Lagos and Onne, Rivers State, the indigenous energy group procures and distributes petrol (PMS), diesel (AGO), Jet fuel (ATK) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). It also manufactures and distributes a wide range of lubricants from its oil blending plant in Apapa, Lagos.

    These lubricants include Super V, Visco 2000 and Diesel Motor Oil. It is also the sole authorised distributor of Shell branded automotive and industrial lubricants and greases. As one of Nigeria’s leading suppliers of aviation fuel for local and international airlines, the company provides aircraft refueling services through its aviation joint user hydrants in Ikeja, Lagos and joint aviation depots in Abuja, Port Harcourt and Kano.

    In December 2018, Otedola suddenly announced that he planned to sell his 75 per cent majority equity stake in Forte Oil to Prudent Energy, which will be investing through Ignite Investments and Commodities Limited. The December 2018 announcement came after shareholders had in May 2018 approved a restructuring plan pushed by Otedola-led board of directors aimed at restructuring the group’s operations by divesting from its upstream services and power generating businesses and the sale of its downstream business in Ghana.

    Ignite Investments and Commodities Limited led by Prudent Energy Services Limited had in June 2019 completed the acquisition of 74.02 per cent majority equity stake in Forte Oil from the company’s erstwhile chairman, Otedola. The transaction was valued at about N64 billion.

    Ignite confirmed that it acquired 74.02 per cent equity stake in Forte Oil, which translated to about 964.097 million ordinary shares of 50 kobo each. Forte Oil had total issued share capital and outstanding shares of 1.302 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo each. Minority shareholders thus held 338.38 million ordinary shares of 50 kobo each. Regulatory filing at the NGX indicated that the transaction price for the Ignite-Otedola transaction was N66.01 per share. However, the shares were transferred through cross deals at the negotiated window of the NGX at N66.25 per share.

    From AP to Forte

    The divestment was, however, a major u-turn for Otedola who had earlier in May 2018 secured shareholders’ approval to divest the group’s upstream services and power generating businesses as well as its downstream business in Ghana in a restructuring aimed at streamlining Forte Oil’s operations to focus on its downstream marketing business.

    Forte Oil Group, then, included the downstream parent company, Forte Oil Plc, and three subsidiaries -Forte Upstream Services Limited, AP Oil and Gas Ghana Limited, two wholly owned subsidiaries; and Amperion Power Distribution Company Limited, where Forte Oil held 57 per cent majority equity stake. Amperion Power Distribution Company Limited then held the majority equity stake in Geregu Power Plc.

    Forte Oil subsequently entered into share sale and purchase agreements to sell its power and upstream businesses. It entered into a share sale and purchase agreement with Calvados Global Services Limited for the sale of its power distribution company, Amperion Power Distribution Company Limited.

    Forte Oil also entered into share sale and purchase agreement with Gbonka Oil and Gas Limited for the divestment and sale of its shares in Forte Upstream Services Limited. Forte Oil was, however, silent on the relationship between the bidding companies and Otedola.

    Global search then for identities of Calvados Global Services Limited and Gbonka Oil and Gas Limited did not provide any links to the companies. A market source had said the two companies might be newly incorporated firms or special purpose vehicles formed for the purpose of the acquisitions. These came as Forte Oil confirmed conclusion of divestment of its shares in AP Oil and Gas Ghana Limited to Cobalt International Services (Ghana) Limited.

    With Otedola firmly in control of nearly three-quarters of the shareholdings, the shareholders of the company in February 2019, approved major resolutions authorising the sale of the company’s subsidiaries to Otedola, with shareholders’ expectation that the proposed restructuring would lead to stable growth and recovery of investment value. At the extra ordinary general meeting (EGM) in Lagos, shareholders approved a resolution authorising the company to enter into discussions with Otedola or any company representing him in connection with assets to be divested.

    In the explanatory statement on the Forte Oil-Otedola divestment deal, the company had indicated that the highly lucrative Geregu Power Plc was the immediate focus of Otedola’s acquisition, although the resolutions at the EGM broadly covered all assets under divestment.

    In the explanatory statement, the company explained that Otedola showed interest in acquiring the Geregu Power Plc after a public tender sale organised by the board failed to produce acceptable offer.

    According to the statement, upon review of the tender sale process, the management of the company saw unexpectedly low interest in the bidding process while the offers were below expectation and the bidders unable to demonstrate adequate financing capability and capacity.

    The statement assured that the sale process to Otedola, who abstained from voting at the EGM, would be subjected to rigourous scrutiny by management and independent financial adviser to ensure that the terms are based on normal commercial terms and not prejudicial to the interests of the company and its shareholders. 

    The company stated that the divestment would provide adequate funding for additional investment in its downstream business.

    “The proceeds of this restructuring exercise will enable your company to compete more favourably and achieve its planned expansion objectives within the downstream subsector. This will also reduce our finance cost significantly and increase distributable earnings for the benefit of our shareholders,” the company had assured minority shareholders. Otedola in late 2022 listed Geregu Power on the NGX with a market valuation of N250 billion. The Fund for Export Development in Africa (FEDA), a development impact investment platform of African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), is in talks with Geregu Power to acquire equity stake in the Nigerian company. Geregu Power now generates about 10 per cent of Nigeria’s electricity supply.

    Ardova, the return of AP

    With Otedola’s divestment, Ignite Investments and Commodities Limited took over the management of the company. The new core investor changed the board of the company to reflect the new ownership structure. Mr Abdulwasiu Sowami, chairman of Ignite, replaced Otedola as the chairman while Mr Olumide Adeosun replaced Mr Akin Akinfemiwa as the chief executive officer.

    Sowami had said the acquisition was a strategic investment in his company’s quest continuously to add value to the Nigerian oil and gas industry.

    He said Forte Oil’s next phase of growth would focus on increasing volumes, diversifying business operations, widening distribution networks and extracting potential synergies with partners.

    “We look forward to working as part of the Forte Oil family to achieve this growth,” Sowami had said.

    To complete the corporate change process, shareholders of the company, led by the new core investor, at their EGM on December 17, 2019 approved a new corporate name, Ardova (AP) Plc, which brought back the historic AP sobriquet. This was subsequently registered with the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC). On February 24, 2020, the new name, Ardova, was formally subscribed as the listing and trading name for the petroleum-marketing company.

    Window for minority shareholders

    Extant capital market rules provide for a window of expression and opportunity for minority shareholders through the institution of a mandatory tender offer (MTO). Section 131 of the Investment and Securities Act (ISA) and Rule 445 of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) make it mandatory for any institution or person that acquires at least 30 per cent of a company to make an MTO to other minority shareholders. The MTO is to be made at the transaction price for the acquisition.

    The letter and intent of the provisions of the ISA, experts agreed, were aimed at protecting minority investors from arbitrary transactions by core investors. But many core investors have been exploiting the nature of the wordings to vary the size of MTO, thus limiting the extent of opportunity to minority shareholders, even if they seek to pick up MTO.

    In the case of Ardova, Ignite Investments indicated MTO of up to 500,000 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at N66.25 per share. The MTO size represents 0.04 per cent equity stake in Ardova. Minority shareholders then held some 338.38 million ordinary shares of 50 kobo each in Ardova.

    But then, the new core investor moved quickly to consolidate its other businesses with the larger, publicly quoted company.  At the post-acquisition annual general meeting, the board sought and received shareholders’ approvals on resolutions that enabled the company’s new core investor to consolidate its downstream assets through acquisition and transferred of existing downstream assets by the new core investor to Ardova.

    Shareholders approved resolutions that allowed Prudent Energy Services to sell its downstream assets to Ardova while empowering the Sowami-led board to take all necessary steps to actualise asset purchase and transfer transaction.

    In  aggressive pursuit of additional scale, Ardova also completed full acquisition of Enyo Retail & Supply Limited (Enyo). The acquisition scaled up Ardova as Nigeria’s largest indigenous publicly listed downstream company, as it added Enyo’s 95 retail stations to its existing 450 stations, growing the group’s portfolio to 545 stations nationwide. With the completion of the deal, Enyo also joined Axles and Cartage Limited as part of Ardova’s group of companies.

    Ardova also struck a new deal with Shell as the main distributor of Shell lubricants products for the automotive and industrial sectors in Nigeria. Shell has a leading presence in Nigeria’s upstream sector with oil and gas exploration, production and distribution network in the southern parts of the country and deep offshore.

    Rising losses

    Interim report and accounts of Ardova for the year ended December 31, 2022 showed continuing growth in sales, but ballooning administrative and distribution costs continued to erode the bottom-line. Group turnover rose from N201.44 billion in 2021 to N240.8 billion in 2022. Gross profit grew from N9.85 billion in 2022. The group, however, recorded loss before tax of N7.14 billion in 2022 as against N2.94 billion in 2021. After taxes, net loss rose from N3.85 billion in 2021 to N7.61 billion in 2022.

    The negative bottom-line was primarily driven by the jump in administrative and distribution expenses. Administrative expenses rose from N8.03 billion in 2021 to N12.18 billion in 2022. Distribution expenses also spiraled from N1.90 billion in 2021 to N6.39 billion in 2022. Also, net finance costs increased from N3.58 billion to N5.05 billion. Meanwhile, the group’s total assets increased from N126.88 billion to N134.42 billion. 

    Going private

    Following regulatory filings, several analysts with knowledge of the technicalities and intrigues around buyout said Ardova’s minority buyout proposal was on course.

    Analysts at Afrinvest Securities at the weekend said they expected the transaction “to be fully ratified in the coming weeks”, although the proposed transaction is still subject to approvals by SEC and shareholders. Afrinvest Securities placed a ‘hold’ on the stock, advising investors to remain neutral as the expected total returns are not expected to exceed 10.0 per cent based on the prevailing market price as at the report date.

    According to Afrinvest, potential investors should trade cautiously considering transaction related cost which could erode any potential gains given the minute markup on the takeover price relative to market price.

    “Ardova’s share price of N16.90 represents a 9.4 per cent outrun to our 12-months target price (TP) of N15.45. Nonetheless, the proposed takeover price of N17.38 per share represents a premium of 2.8 per cent and 12.4 per cent respectively to the market price and our TP,” Afrinvest Securities stated.

    But shareholders and several analysts were quick to point at Ardova’s acquisition and MTO’s prices and the historical valuations, alleging that the current price was part of attempt to undermine the company’s value.

    Chariman, Ibadan Zone Shareholders Association (IBZA), Mr. Eric Akinduro, said the planned delisting was not in the best interest of shareholders.

    He noted that the delisting and the proposed buyout price are detrimental to the interest of minority shareholders, most of who bought the shares at around N250 and N230 during public and rights issue.

    “The same stock was bought at more than N66 when Otedola sold his shares. Not only that, tell me what is our crime to lose our investment at this critical period and at such a very ridiculous price? Nigerian shareholders are suffering because the regulators are not working to protect investors. I will call on the regulators to review the offer price in favour of shareholders. There is nothing one can do when a company proposes to delist as this is a business decision, but it must be done with fairness and good price for both parties,” Akinduro said. IBZA is one of the zonal shareholders’ groups promoted by the Federal Government as a voice for minority participation and recognition in government’s privatisation programmes.

    National Coordinator, Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN), Mr. Moses Igbrude said the proposed buyout and delisting were disincentives to minority shareholders.

    “Any time a company delists from the Exchange, most shareholders are always at disadvantage or at a loss. It is unfortunate where the board and management of companies are taken over by a core investor, mismanaged and ran aground the entity with the intention to buy out the minority shareholders cheaply. This is unacceptable and should not be allowed or encouraged by SEC or government.”

    “AP, now Ardova, is a national asset sold to Nigerians then by the Federal Government. A company that the price was above N250 some time ago is now being priced at N17, they want to buy minority shareholders at a token. Is that a good proposal? So, what happened to those who bought at that high price? We are calling on the government to protect us,” Igbrude said.

    Shareholders’ activist and founding member, Nigeria Shareholders Solidarity Association (NSSA), Alhaji Gbadebo Olatokunbo, said while the rules allow delisting, regulators must ensure that such rules are not abused.

    He decried what he described as level of abuses at the capital market, noting that the absence of physical meetings due to COVID-19 in recent period, aided many unethical behavours.

    According to him, companies are being structured in ways that shareholders couldn’t really invoke their rights on the happenings in their companies.

    “I think it’s time to seriously look into the issue of free entry-free exit policy in the capital market because it is wrong for a company to use the resources of the investors to stabilise and then check out when it is big. This is very discouraging to investors and something must be done to discourage the abuses, like the current proposal on Ardoval. The capital market shouldn’t be allowed to play like a casino,” Olatokunbo said.

    National Coordinator, Pragmatic Shareholders Association, Mrs Bisi Bakare, said shareholders were not happy about the planned buyout and delisting.

    She, however, said a buyout was better than losing everything such as the case of companies that were liquidated or taken over by the industry regulators.

    She said the inclement operating environment in the oil and gas sector might have contributed to the performance and decision of the core investor to buy out minority shareholders in Ardova.

    She added that capital market authorities should also take a second look at the market architecture to see why companies are delisting and ways to encourage them to stay public, and discourage delisting.

    With growing agitations by shareholders, sources at the NGX and SEC said regulators remain committed to protecting investors in the capital market. But both regulators and the board and management of Ardova will need to do more to convince shareholders of their good intention.

  • Naira scarcity: Sterling Bank offers free transfers to customers

    Naira scarcity: Sterling Bank offers free transfers to customers

    Sterling Bank Plc yesterday announced a waiver of fees on  transfers by customers through their accounts.

    Its Chief Executive Officer, Abubakar Suleiman, in an email to customers, said the bank recognises the difficult circumstances many of customers were going through.

    He said in solidarity with the customers, from February 6 to 18, 2023, fund transfer services would be provided free to account customers.

    He added that the bank will also provide free debit cards to  customers.

    According to him, the gestures were part of the bank’s efforts to support her customers and the public as Nigeria adjusts to the availability of the new naira notes that are being distributed across the country.

    Chief Marketing Officer, Sterling Bank Plc, Dante Martins, who addressed reporters on the move, described it as the first initiative by any commercial bank in Nigeria.

    “We believe that by eliminating transaction costs for this period, we can assist our customers make their banking experience more easy by making the most of our powerful digital solutions.

    “We understand that our consumers need choices when it comes to their everyday requirements, and we want to make sure that we can serve them as best as we can during this time.”

    “We believe that removing transaction fees would allow our customers more time to focus on what’s truly important to them, while still giving them access to the same high-quality, convenient services they’ve come to expect from Sterling,” Martins said.

    He noted that the bank has received mostly positive comments on social media from message recipients, an upbeat response coming after the enthusiastic reaction to a viral video showing bank employees in many branches passing out bottles of water to customers waiting in line at ATMs and banking halls

  • NGX to attract digital sector with innovative products

    NGX to attract digital sector with innovative products

    The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) has set up a digital and technology products advisory panel as part of efforts to advance its digital transformation agenda.

    The panel would provide a forum for the Exchange to interact with the capital market community and the fintech ecosystem to enhance and increase NGX’s digital product offerings.

    Chief Digital Officer, Nigerian Exchange (NGX), Dr. Olufemi Oyenuga, yesterday stated that the responsibilities of the panel included providing insight into product innovation and proposing ways to increase technology listings on NGX.

    According to him, the panel will also be recommending ways to boost data and digital market liquidity; providing thought leadership by developing whitepapers, creating frameworks and making recommendations while also supporting the Exchange with other advisory matters like market trends, risks and sentiments.

    He noted that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had approved the rules for listing on the NGX Technology Board in December 2022, adding that the creation of the committee is part of a continuous process to further scale the capacities of NGX in the technology ecosystem.

    “Technology and innovation are the driving forces of progress, and at NGX we are committed to leveraging both to transform the Exchange into a leading force of product development in the capital market.

    “With the establishment of the committee, we are poised to explore new frontiers, pool groundbreaking ideas and strategies, unlock exciting opportunities for the future addressing creativity, innovation and sustainability,” Oyenuga said.

    Members of the panel included Tope Kola-Oyeneyin of McKinsey, Iyin Aboyeji of Future Africa, Kola Aina of Ventures Platform, Idris Saliu of Ceviant, Fope Adelowo of Helios Group, Richmond Bassey of Bamboo, Tayo Oviosu of Paga, Wale Ayeni of International Finance Corporation, Ahmad Zuaiter of Jadara Capital Partners LLC and Adedeji Olowe of LendsQr.

    Oyenuga said NGX, as the sustainable exchange championing Africa’s development, recognises the potential of diverse viewpoints and aims to leverage the extensive networks of experts across the budding technology ecosystem and the capital market in designing breakthrough frameworks to position itself for global competitiveness.

    Chief Executive Officer, Nigerian Exchange (NGX), Mr Temi Popoola, recently hinted that emerging technological firms would have the opportunity to raise funds and list their shares through the formal securities exchange.

    He said the NGX and other stakeholders were fine-tuning a specialised listing board that would enable tech firms to access funding and list their shares on the Exchange.

    He said the new “specialised technology board” for tech firms was aimed at encouraging the listing of companies in the technology space and thus provide them with increased transparency and visibility on foreign investment activities in tech companies and local tech startups.

    According to him, the tech board is being developed by the NGX in conjunction with other major stakeholders such as Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Central Bank of Nigeria ( CBN), Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) and Pension Fund Operations Association of Nigeria (PenOp).

     The African tech sector is fast growing with startups raising over $4 billion between 2015 and 2021 with combined valuations surpassing $20 billion according to a Disrupt Africa report.

  • Court sets March 16 for trial of alleged N891m Ponzi operators

    Court sets March 16 for trial of alleged N891m Ponzi operators

    Justice Zainab Abubakar of the Federal High Court, Court 4, Abuja has set March 16, 2023 for the commencement of trial of Vektr Capital Global Group along with two staff members of the company, Messrs. Solomon Edet Solomon and Zakari Haruna, for allegedly operating as fund managers without registration by the Securities and Exchange Commission, among others.

    Abubakar also directed that the two defendants be remanded at the Suleija Correctional Centre until Mr. Haruna was able to fulfil his bail conditions.

    The SEC had in March, last year sealed the Wuse Zone 5 office of Vektr Capital for illegally collecting N891 million from the public when the firm is not registered with the Commission.

    In the four-count charge brought against the company and its promoters by the Federal Government, Vektr Capital Global Nigeria is alleged to have on or between 2021 and 2022 within the jurisdiction of the court with intent to defraud, conspired among themselves with one Kayode Sal Viktor and other staff to obtain  over N891, 729,000 from the public, including Cordelia Ukomaka Ducke Eze under false pretence that they were  fund managers, thereby committing an offence contrary to Section 8 of the Advanced Fee Fraud and Fraud Related Offences Act 2006 and punishable under Section 1 (3) of the same Act.

     The charges read: “That you M/s Vektr Capital Global Nigeria Ltd, on or between the year 2021 and 2022 within the jurisdiction of this honourable court did commit a felony to wit. Conspired with Kayode Sal Viktor and your other staff to do an illegal act- to lure and offer for subscription an unregistered collective investment scheme valued over N891,000,000 to investing public, including Cordelia Ukomaka Ducke Eze and others and thereby committed an offense contrary to and punishable under Section 516 of Criminal Code Act, Laws of the Federation of Nigeria 2004.

     “That you M/s Vektr Capital Global Nigeria Ltd, on or between 2021 and 2022 within the jurisdiction of this  court did commit a felony.”

  • ‘Nigerian equities may be nearing peak of rally’

    ‘Nigerian equities may be nearing peak of rally’

    After rallying more than N1.6 trillion in net capital gains, the strong start of Nigerian equities in the year may soon decline as investors may step up profit-taking transactions ahead of the general elections.

    In its latest equity investment review, FSDH Group said while there were still potential for the equities market to continue its upswing, the probability of a slowdown outweighs the upside potential.

    Analysts at FSDH noted that the rally at the market has been driven by a depressed yield environment, particularly in the money market, amidst elevated system liquidity.

    According to the investment banking group, the performance of Nigerian equities would be driven by three major factors including how long low rates will persist, earnings season sentiments and 2023 general election outcome.

    “For interest rates, we see room for depressed interest rates till April as a combination of the impact of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s naira redesign programme and elevated debt maturity inflows will keep money cheap, despite the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) tightening stance.

    “Furthermore, a positive earnings season in line with the first batch of results will likely provide support for increased buying appetite. The impact of the 2023 elections will be broadly defined by how peaceful the conduct and aftermath of the elections are.

    “Examining these factors indicate that there remains catalyst for further upside in Nigerian equities. However, technical indicators across all timeframes indicate the Nigerian equities market is stretched and is due a pullback. As a result, we believe the probability of downside outweighs upside probability in current market conditions.

    “We expect investors to begin to book profits earned over the past weeks ahead of the elections. Thus, while we note that a case can be made to continue to invest in Nigerian equities, we reckon the market is nearing its peak with limited upside, justifying the need to reduce portfolio exposure to Nigerian equities,” FSDH stated.

    The report, however, selected six stocks that analysts believed could yield above-average returns ahead of other stocks. These included Total Energies, Presco, Lafarge Africa, Nigerian Breweries, Zenith Bank and Access Corporation.

    The report noted that 2023 started on a very positive note for global equity investors as markets across the globe have recorded strong gains, rewarding risk-on investors.

    The Nigerian equity market started 2023 on a strong note as a combination of lower yields and decent start to the earnings season supported buying interest. Yields in the Nigerian money market has slumped significantly with average Nigerian Treasury (NT)-bills yield felling 382 basis points over the past month to 1.6 per cent due to robust financial system liquidity, occasioned by the CBN’s recall of old naira notes; banks having received N1.9 trillion in new deposits from old notes.

    Also, earnings announcements by listed corporates have encouraged investors to continue to increase stakes on Nigerian equities. Major large-cap gainers in January 2023 included MTN Nigeria Communications, 4.7 per cent; BUA FOODS, 14.6 per cent; Geregu Power, 29.9 per cent; Dangote Cement, 2.3 per cent; Airtel Africa, 1.5 per cent and BUA Cement, which appreciated by 1.7 per cent.

    From a sectorial viewpoint, market activities were broadly bullish in January as all sectors closed in the green. The NGX Banking Index rose by 7.5 per cent, due to bargain-hunting for five major stocks including Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI), which rose by 16.5 per cent in January; Zenith Bank, 4.2 per cent; Fidelity Bank, 24.1 per cent; Access Corporation, 7.1 per cent and United Bank for Africa, which rose by 7.9 per cent. The NGX Consumer Goods Index appreciated by 5.6 per cent in January. The NGX Oil and Gas Index rose by 5.4 per cent. The NGX Insurance Index returned 5.4 per cent while the NGX Industrial Goods Index rallied by 2.1 per cent.

    Globally, analysts noted that risk-on sentiments on United States (US) equities have improved significantly in the past months as inflation has shown signs of moderating, raising hopes of a less aggressive monetary policy. Interestingly, in line with market expectations, the US Fed opted to raise the fed funds target rate by 25 basis points, providing a boost for buying interest.

    However, the report noted that an unexpected surge in non-farm payroll data renewed fears that the Fed may opt to switch to a more aggressive tone as the labour market appears to remain tight.

    “That said, we reiterate our conviction communicated in our final note for 2022 that the time is right for investors to begin to raise allocation to US equities. We expect inflation to continue to trend lower, supported by simmering energy cost, effects of policy tightening on credit consumption, and a high base effect. In addition, our projections support sustained economic growth in the US with recession fears broadly minimal. As a result, we see room for the Fed to continue to slow down rate hikes with a strong case for a pause by H2-2023. In this regard, we support greater portfolio allocation to growth stocks, compared to value stocks, while investors with greater risk tolerance can consider a bias for mid to small cap stocks,” FSDH stated.

    In US, investor sentiments had been bolstered in January 2023 by macroeconomic data releases that supported sentiments that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will slow rate hikes faster than previously anticipated. At the start of the month, labour market data showed a slowdown in weekly hourly earnings growth even as unemployment slowed. In addition, ISM manufacturing index showed a contraction, following a steep decline in new orders. Investors viewed these data releases as a potential for a slower rate hike. Furthermore, better-than-expected inflation numbers corroborated investors’ optimism on slower rate hikes while modest GDP growth in Q4-2022 nearly extinguished fears of a recession in the US. Lastly, corporate earnings releases were broadly positive, further bolstering investor sentiments. Overall, all major US equity indices closed January higher with the NASDAQ Composite up by 10.7 per cent while S & P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 6.2 per cent and 2.8 per cent respectively.

    Similar to sentiments in US equities, European equities have displayed a strong start to the year despite underlying monetary policy concerns. At the start of the year, inflation data for the Eurozone came in better-than-expected as lower energy costs continued to support disinflation. As a result, investors had renewed hope that the European Central Bank (ECB) would switch to a less aggressive monetary policy posture. However, the ECB reiterated its aggressive policy stance, stating its focus is on controlling inflation lower and that it will continue to raise rates for longer. This dealt a momentary blow to investor sentiments but buying interest recovered towards the end of the month as recession fears in the Eurozone waned due to stronger manufacturing and services data in Germany. Overall, the pan-European STOXX 600 closed the month with a gain of 6.7 per cent.  Across individual countries, the French CAC 40 Index rose by 9.4 per cent, German DAX rallied by 8.7 per cent while the United Kingdom’s FTSE 100 Index rose by 4.3 per cent.

  • Access Corporation and Africa’s dream

    Access Corporation and Africa’s dream

    Africa’s dream of a globally competitive economy rests on a strong financial system. Africa needs its own Africa-origin financial institution among the world’s super financial structure. Access Corporation is focused on becoming Africa’s gateway to the world. In this report, Deputy Group Business Editor, Taofik Salako, examines corporation’s new growth plan and its implications for the continent’s global economic integration

    Africa is fast integrating its vast economic opportunities into a potent mass to compete in the global economy. The tempo of the continental economic integration has risen significantly in the past five years, despite political challenges and global uncertainties. The launch of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCTA)- the continental integration to create world’s largest free trade area and the African Exchanges Linkage Project (AELP)- which promises to integrate the continent’s capital markets into a single, borderless market, underlined the success of recent efforts at continental integration.

    As African governments muster the political will and diplomacy to negotiate the labyrinths of vested regional blocs and global interests, analysts agreed that Africa’s private sector holds important position as a nexus for the convergence. Creating a complementary financial system is also key to the continental aspiration.

    Macroeconomist and former Deputy Director at International Monetary Fund (IMF), Benedicte Vibe Christensen, identified financial depth as a major constraint to Africa’s regional development. She noted that economic developments in Africa have long been constrained by the lack of well-developed financial markets.

    According to her, regional integration in different parts of Africa as well as the spread of pan-African banking offers the prospects of deepening financial markets, making monetary policy more effective and enhancing access to financial services to a larger population and thereby promoting growth.

    Analysts have blamed Africa’s global trade representation, some three per cent of global trade, to the disconnections created by the absence of a transnational financial structure, undeveloped cross-border infrastructure and national economic barriers.

    Access Corporation aims at bridging the gap by leveraging its pan-African network and global presence to foster African trades in the global market. The group’s new five-year corporate strategy, launched last week, aimed at further consolidating the Nigeria’s strategically important banking group into Africa’s leading financial services group. The transition of Access Bank Plc into a holding company structure with the formation of Access Holdings Plc in 2022 was the highpoint of a rolling five-year corporate plan that had seen the bank grown successively over two decades.

    Over the course of four cycles of five-year strategic corporate plan, Access Bank had grown into a leading financial conglomerate with dominant market share in Nigeria and footprints across Africa and global economic centres. Now trading as Access Corporation, the group has more than 62 million accounts in more than 17 markets worldwide, with network of about 600 branches and over 6,000 professional staff. By the end of the fourth cycle of the five-year rolling plan in 2022, Access Corporation had become Nigeria’s largest bank, by total assets, leapfrogging from as low as 65th position two decades ago. The new plan, the 2023-2027 strategic growth plan, is expected to scale up Access Corporation’s relevance across Africa and global monetary centers while diversifying the group’s businesses and deepening its strengths in ancillary products and services.

    Group Managing Director, Access Holdings Plc, Mr. Herbert Wigwe, said the group has positioned itself to be at the centre of financial flows on the continent – trade, expanding and deepening financial services and serving corporates with excellence, while creating a self-sustaining ecosystem.

    He said Access Corporation’s ambitions would be supported by seven key enablers. These enablers include customer experience, digital and technology, data an analytics, risk and capital, environment, safety and governance (ESG), people and culture and communication.

    He outlined that these enablers would ensure Access Corporation executes seamlessly, becoming a top-five financial services institution in the continent by the end of the strategic cycle in terms of revenues, asset base and on a balanced scorecard basis

    According to him, the bank would continue to take advantage of the huge number of Africa’s unbanked population to drive its retail business as well as growing opportunities in trade within the continent due to the Africa Continental Free Trade Area agreement, remittances, cross border trade and digital payment.

    He noted that the group’s Africa strategy is supported by its presence in key international markets which enable the group to diversify its earnings away from the volatile operating environments in Africa, orchestrate operations as a global payments gateway, manage risk and exposures to soft currencies and enhance its profitability without excess risk.

    “Access Corporation’s footprint will grow significantly in the next strategic period. We will capitalise on our strong mergers and acquisitions capability and ability to build organically, to create value with each expansion, prioritising countries with better sovereign rating and complementary business landscape,” Wigwe said.

    He outlined that across Africa, there are opportunities for Access Corporation to extend financial services to the unbanked and deepen its financial services offerings to banked customers noting that at least, some 370 million Africans, including 60 million in Nigeria, do not have access to financial services while the banked customers are demanding a deepening of financial services including loans, payments, and insurance.

    He said the bank will continuously evolve into a leader in international trade facilitation within Africa by increasing focus on Africa-wide expansion, developing seamless person-to-person intra-Africa funds transfer, efficient system for intra and inter-Africa trades and growing international subsidiaries, which will be anchored by the group’s existing Access Bank UK.

     “By the end of 2027, we expect to be in at least 26 countries, and in at least three Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) countries supporting trades-United Kingdom, United States of America and France. The customer acquisition drive to hit 100 million for the retail business by 2027 will continue, as we migrate majority of customers to digital platforms by 2027 across all touchpoints.

    “Our primary focus on trade is to leverage established presence across trades and key financial hubs, with presence in major centres such as London, Dubai, Hong Kong, Lebanon, Beijing and Mumbai  among others; coupled with extensive footprints across the continent. 

    “Today, we have an operation in China, which we are going to convert into a branch because the new ordinance allows us to do that because of our size.

    “As part of our desire to position ourselves as Africa’s gateway to the world, we have now basically placed ourselves in the critical trade hubs across the continent and that has helped us as far as a correspondent banking and payment is concerned. More than any African bank, we are laying the groundwork for that real growth, linking the entire continent, which I think will see us get to where we want to get to.

    “We don’t want to be seen and known as just a dot in any country. So, if you go to countries like Mozambique, we have done further acquisitions. People keep asking: why are you doing all of these? But you need to get to the critical mass before you become profitable. You need to get to the critical mass before you are able to employ the right management, technology and scale, otherwise you cannot compete.

    “So, the idea is that if you are going into a country, you make sure that you have the right scale. We built on partnerships, and one of the things you will see is that the contribution from our various subsidiaries is growing and is providing a natural hedge against Nigeria, which has a soft currency as we speak.

    “Just before I got into banking, the exchange rate was 80 kobo to $1.  I was fully a banker when it was N4 to $1; I was a Manager when it was N82 to $1; we saw exchange rate go to N88 to $1 to over N200 to a dollar and now to N450 to a dollar.

    “One of the things we want to be known as, is as a global player with an African heritage, and one of the things that mitigate against anybody trying to achieve that is if you are in a soft currency country. We are a growth company and we will continue to invest in our future. So, we would continue to invest in countries that have inflation rate lower than that of Nigeria. What does that mean? It means that in the short-term, we would see elevated cost in terms of technology and people.

    “For us, the future is more important. In the next five years, what we have done is to look at Africa first of all as our continent. You have to be strong at home first before you go out and ask ourselves where are the opportunities in the continent, then you ask yourself what is there to be done internationally,” Wigwe said.

    In scaling up to the global forefront, Wigwe explained that the adoption of the holdco structure would strengthen the bank and insulate it from risks.

    According to him, the holdco plays four key roles of protecting group assets, steering the group, developing talent and servicing the subsidiaries.

    By 2027, Access Corporation expects its Nigerian bank to be contributing about 52 per cent of revenues compared to about 82 per cent by third quarter 2022. The new verticals would also be contributing about 12 per cent of total revenues while revenues from African subsidiaries are expected to double over the next five years.

    In terms of profit before tax contributions, the Nigeria bank’s contribution is expected to reduce from about 63 per cent as at third quarter 2022 to about 33 per cent, while the new verticals are expected to contribute about 19 per cent of the profitability by 2027. African subsidiaries would contribute about 20 per cent as their footprint grows across the continent.

    Managing Director, Access Bank Limited, Roosevelt Ogbonna, assured that the group’s core banking business remained unassailable across every financial metrics.

    “If you look at our gross revenues, they’ve beaten the market. Average market growth rate is about six per cent across Africa, Access Bank grew by 21 per cent. If you look at our profit before tax, that grew, compounded over a four-year period, starting from 2017, by about 30 per cent, compared to a market that was lagging at about 14 per cent.

    “Our total asset and our total deposits grew by about 30 per cent and 27 per cent each, again almost twice the growth rate of the market on an average basis. So, it has been a solid performance, outstripping average market growth rate. Our ratios are not different. The return on equity grew from 13.7 per cent to about 18 per cent. Non-performing loans improved from 4.8 per cent to 3.7 per cent and capital adequacy ratio remains above 20 per cent, closing at about 22.5 per cent,” Ogbonna said.

    He outlined that by 2027, net interest margin is expected to be at least six per cent as against 4.3 per cent in 2021, with the growth in net interest margin driven by increased lending within the core bank and by the growth in LendCo’s business which will typically have higher margins on average.

    He said the new strategy will deliver healthy returns on equity over the next five years as the group continues to maximise returns for shareholders.

    According to him, return on equity and return on asset are expected to grow, as a result of improvements in CIR and an increase in footprint across higher efficiency locations.

    Investors’ response to the new five-year strategic plan has been positive. Access Corporation’s share price rose by 1.12 per cent to N9.05 per share yesterday at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), the second highest gain by any banking group.

  • Positive corporate earnings outlook to drive equities’ returns in 2023

    Positive corporate earnings outlook to drive equities’ returns in 2023

    Major companies across the key sectors of the Nigerian economy will sustain steady growths in 2023 and resultant results will drive the equities market to its fourth consecutive positive return.

    Arthur Steven Asset Management (ASAM) Limited, a leading investment banking group, in its economic and financial market review and outlook, said equities remained the favoured portfolio in terms of returns given the prevailing global and national macroeconomic environments.

    The report noted that the direction of macroeconomic variable will pay a crucial role in shaping the equities market and most of these tilted towards continuing positive run at the equities market.

    Analysts at ASAM stated that they expected inflation to be on the uptick into the first quarter of 2023, with the Central Bank of Nigeria on the offensive against inflation.

    They added that the unprecedent positive close by equities in 2022, which defied its historic pre-election cycle performance, would attract foreign portfolio investment.

    The report projected that Nigeria’s GDP growth rate will slow down but remain positive.

    “Considering our expectations about the economy, the equities market is expected to maintain positive outlook in 2023. Alhough the CBN is poised to maintain its aggressive policies against inflation, lessons learnt in 2022 show that investors are most likely to remain in the equities market given the yearnings for positive real returns which can only be delivered by the equities market, given the inflation rate at a staggering 17 year high of 21.47 per cent as at November 2022.

    “On performance expectations, firms into services will perform better than those into manufacturing as they have been faced with cost problem fueled by rising input prices. In general, we expect firms in the banking, telecoms and crop production sub-sectors to perform well as input cost will have little effect on their profitability.

    “Furthermore, although industrial product is consumer discretionary which often don’t do well in a high inflationary environment, the capital expenditure of N5.35 trillion for 2023 will impact the profitability of the sector, more still, the N819.54 billion recently approve in December 2022 by the Senate will also impact the sector’s profitability.

    “In addition, the increase in Nigeria oil production and the forecast that oil will remain above $90/barrel in 2023 will have a positive impact on the revenue of exploration and production companies,” ASAM stated.

     Analysts noted the negative impact of the Russian-Ukraine war on growth globally, with high likelihood of the war being prolonged,  thus expectations  that growth will slow down in 2023.

    According to analysts, although the Nigerian economy experienced sustained growth despite the rise in inflation, hike in interest rate and foreign exchange volatility, growth is already slowing down with the manufacturing sector experiencing negative growth already, thus growth will more likely slow down in 2023.

    “In 2022, the fixed income market reacted positively to the interest hike. However as inflation remained on the uptick, positive real returns which the equities market could deliver became a priority for investors which caused yields to fall. With our expectations for an uptick in inflation we see investors underweighting fixed income securities in 2023,” the report stated.

    Analysts noted that cnsidering the fact that inflation will not likely take a huge downslide in 2023, all categories of investors should navigate the year 2023 by positioning in good dividend-paying stocks relative to their entry prices as the total return on equities securities remain the only safe haven to earn positive real returns on investment.

    The report recommended three model portfolios for investors based on their risk appetite. For return-seeking investors, analysts recommended 70 per cent equities and 30 per cent fixed incomes securities in such portfolios. For risk-averse investors, a combination of 40 per cent equities and 60 per cent fixed incomes while risk neutral investors are advised to split their funds equally between equities and fixed incomes.

    “Risk is defined as a deviation from an expected outcome to achieving an investment goal. Furthermore, risk tolerance is the amount of risk an investor is willing to accept to achieve an investment goal. When the risk tolerance is high, the investor is risk seeking. On the other hand,  lower risk tolerance means the investor is risk averse. Moreover, a risk neutral investor neither desires the guaranteed outcome nor the gamble of an investment; a return similar to a market or index return would be satisfactory. Knowledge of the degree of risk tolerance would aid the investor to know if he is either risk

    Averse, risk seeking or risk neutral. ” Risk averse investors usually opt for the least risky investment or portfolio due to the fact they seek a guaranteed outcome. This is usually a government fixed income security which has low default risk. Consequentially, this sort of investor would reduce exposure to equities and have large exposure to risk free assets such as government backed bonds.

    “On the other hand, a risk-seeking investor would usually opt for a risky security or portfolio with the rationale that this extra risk would be rewarded with extra returns. Such an investor may not be open to investing heavily in government backed fixed income securities. Corporate bonds as well as large exposure to equity would be given strong consideration by this sort of investor.

    “Lastly a risk neutral investor would be indifferent between the guaranteed income preferred by the risk averse investor as well as the risky approach taken by the risk seeking Investor. The risk neutral investor would be more interested in investing in mutual funds and ETFs and index’s due to its passive nature. This is in order to get return on what the market is offering,” ASAM stated.