Category: Columnists

  • INEC’s great shame

    By now, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) under the leadership of Prof Attahiru Jega is expected to know better when it concerns elections. Elections are no small matter in this country. They are seen as war by other means by our politicians, who go to any length to ensure that they win. When former President Olusegun Obasanjo spoke about a ‘’do or die’’ election, he knew what he was saying. Baba was telling us the uninitiated that it is not the best candidate that wins an election, but the one that is ready to play dirty.

    By his statement, he was telling us that other extraneous factors come into play in deciding who wins an election. If the contestant is in power as we have seen in recent times. the contest is a walk over. Where other contestants see evil being perpetrated during the election, all he sees is a well organised election, even when many voters are disenfranchised. Our politicians fight elections with all they have. They make use of money, men and materials.

    Those who don’t have money are ready to borrow, with the hope that on winning they will repay the debt in tenfold. By now, Jega and his men should have become wise to the ways of our politicians, but it seems he has learnt nothing from all the elections he has so far conducted. Jega has integrity, he has honour and he is well respected as a man of principle. These are attributes that a man in his position should have. But what is the essence of having these qualities when they cannot come into play when it matters most : election period.

    It is during elections that the strong character of an umpire should stand him in good stead. It is during such period that the world should know the umpire as a no – nonsense person. An umpire who will look the contestants in the face, no matter who they are, and tell them that this is a contest in which the people’s votes will determine the winner, no more, no less. Of course, without saying so, we know that elections are won by the highest number of votes.

    The Electoral Act puts it succinctly : ‘’In an election to the office of the president or governor whether or not contested and in any contested election to any other elective office, the result shall be ascertained by counting the votes cast for each candidate and subject to the provisions of Sections 133, 134 and 179 of the Constitution, the candidate that receives the highest number of votes shall be declared elected by the appropriate returning officer’’. Experience has shown that the problems of our elections come from the electoral officials.

    In most instances, these officials are compromised and they do everything to favour the one paying them. Having spent three years in the system, Jega cannot claim ignorance of how our politicians use his men to do their bidding. Jega may be honest and sincere but can we say the same of his men? With what happened in the Anambra State governorship election last Saturday, there is no doubt that Jega still has a lot of house cleaning to do, if he wishes to walk the streets with his head held high after leaving the INEC job.

    What he should know is that there are many among his officials who will do anything to soil his hard – earned name for a mess of porridge. He is the only one that can stop them from doing so by making a scape goat of those black sheep. He cannot wait until these people bring shame to him during elections before he moves against them. Anambra is one state and if INEC cannot handle election in only one state, can it be trusted to hold free and fair elections nationwide in 2015. The Anambra election did no do INEC’s image any good. It was a disaster of an election.

    Having seen the handwriting on the wall early in the day, Jega should have moved swiftly to stop the election. It was a miscalculation on his part to have waited until the exercise was over for him to tell us that there is nothing he can do. He can do a lot. The election was ‘’inconclusive’’ long before the returning officer, Prof James Epoke, declared it so on Monday morning. The election was bound to end up that way when thousands of voters were disenfranchised. It was at this stage that Jega should have stopped the election if he was truly for a free and fair exercise. He had all the opportunity in the world to do that, but he lost it.

    Should we be made to pay the price for this error in judgement? The electorate should not made to pay such price by foisting a fait accompli on them. Jega and his men should carry the can for their shoddiness. Throwing the book at us that INEC can no longer do anything about the election after the declaration of result is bunkum. This is the more reason why he should have acted fast since he knew that INEC’s hands will become tied once the returning officer releases the final result.

    INEC is looking for an easy way out by asking the aggrieved to seek redress in court. This is the style of our politicians who rig elections and wait for their opponents to challenge their ‘victory’ at the tribunal. We should not allow INEC to get away that easily without clearing the mess it created. It is sad that an election in just one state ended like this. Can INEC be trusted with the 2015 general elections?

     

    The possessed governor’s convoy

    Big men in our country like to move in style. They go about with a retinue of security aides, who clear the road for them and prevent people from getting close to them. These overbearing guards act as if they are possessed. Whether the big man is a politician, a businessman or a musician, they are noisy in their public movement. On such occasion, a lot of damage is done as we have witnessed in Kogi State Governor Idris Wada’s case.

    A former pilot, Wada moves on ground as if he is flying. When his convoy passes by it does so with jet speed. His convoy does not care about other road users. Does it even care about its master? The drivers do not. If they do, they would not have driven the way they did last year that led to an accident in which Wada broke a leg. His Aide – De – Camp (ADC), Idris Mohammed, died.

    Having recovered, he has gone back to his old way of speeding as if he is in a race. Last Tuesday, his convoy was at it again. It was involved in a fatal accident with a vehicle conveying some Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) officials to Kano in Banda village, on the outskirts of Lokoja, the Kogi State capital. The lone casualty was former ASUU president Prof Festus Iyayi. The driver, according to sources, did not stop to see the damage he caused. He sped off like a mad man. Really, if the drivers of these convoys are not mad will they drive the way they do? Why should a governor’s convoy be the one involved in fatal accidents virtually all the time?

    Are these convoys not subject to traffic rules? Shouldn’t there be a speed limit for them? Does being a public officer confer on one the power to drive recklessly on the road? Shouldn’t these convoys show respect to other motorists? Since Iyayi was killed in that unfortunate accident, we have not heard about the arrest of the driver. Are these convoys above the law? Does it mean that a convoy can just kill and go? We cannot afford to continue to lose people to avoidable convoy accidents.

    All that is required to prevent such accidents is to ensure that the drivers are sane while on the road. This is where the police and the road safety come in. These institutions have an enormous role to play in calling these convoys to order while on the road. If the police and road safety can harass other motorist why should they shy away from doing their jobs when it concerns convoys? Tall order, eh!

  • Opeyemi Bamidele and his PDP promoters

    It is hard to understand the ways of a Nigerian politician. That, he is a complex entity whose actions defy logic, we have the authority of a veteran politician, Ebenezer Babatope, once a fire-eating radical, now a PDP stalwart. He recently said something to the effect that ‘to us politicians, two plus two may not always be four’. He went on to assert that President Jonathan is not just the best Nigerian leader so far, but the one that embodied all the combined virtues of all our past heroes.

    I have consulted those who are close to Opeyemi Bamidele to get an insight into the complex character of this daring, self-assured and smart young Nigerian politician without success. But one thing that is not in doubt is that Opeyemi, with a degree in religious studies from our great Ife backed up with a law degree from a foreign university, is an extremely intelligent and smart politician. We need no further proof of this than his membership of the inner circle of young professionals working for Bola Ahmed Tinubu, a leader who worships intellect and surrounds himself with only the best brains available in his environment and reaches out when circumstances demand special experts as he did during his epic judicial battle to retrieve the stolen mandates of Mimiko of Ondo and Aregbesola of Osun from PDP interlopers.

    Honorable Bamidele, representing Irepodun-Ifelodun Constituency and until recently leader of Ekitit State caucus in the House of Representatives wants to contest the 2014 governorship election in Ekiti on the platform of his party. The party’s position is that the incumbent should be allowed to go for a second term because of his acknowledged performance in terms of infrastructural development and bringing peace to a state that was for three years, besieged by PDP gangs who settled intra-party feuds through assassinations. But Bamidele is said to be daring his party leaders insisting he would seek accommodation in another party.

    He has however assured his peace loving people that he is “a child of God who would never seek power like those who have sold their soul to the devil’ or ‘step on blood to rule’. “God sees my heart”, he recently declared, “the only reason I am involved in Ekiti politics is to serve and help the people; I do not have any reason to be desperate”. He claims he is responding to the pressure from his Ekiti people. He is however yet to say if those who earnestly want him to run include those in Ekiti currently celebrating Fayemi’s achievements or those referred to a few days ago with howling newspaper headlines “Opeyemi Bamidele gets the support of USA based Ekitis”

    Contained in his manifesto is his plan to provide water closets for houses that rely on the use of pit latrines and those who still rely on nearby bushes to defecate’, provide ‘Pipe borne water for houses that still rely on well and fetching water from nearby streams’, speed up ‘access to the use of gas and electric cookers for houses that still rely on the use of firewood to cook their meals’. He also intends to come to the rescue of the blind, the deaf and those with speaking defects as well as the disable who will be provided with mobility and the mentally sick who will be taken off the streets.

    Part of his argument has not been that Fayemi is not addressing these problems but that he made Fayemi a governor by literarily dragging him down from Abuja where he was busy writing speeches for the presidency to Lagos where he was introduced to Tinubu, his godfather. While we may not be privy to the secrets between him and his friend, there is no doubt that they have been close allies who were in the trenches together for three years fighting PDP mandate-snatchers. They were both victims of violence when the state was besieged during PDP’s illegal occupation of the seat of government by assassins and kidnappers who routinely ferried prominent Ekitis including Obas to adjoining states for ransom.

    But today, Bamidele says Fayemi is a man of violence who masterminded an attack on his person in Igede while visiting their common PDP friend whose son Fayemi recently appointed a local council caretaker. And he has found support from of all places, PDP, their erstwhile tormentor. Senator Ayo Arise has decried “spate of political violence in Ekiti state in recent times”, a development he said called for urgent attention”. From Abuja came a press release by PDP’s acting National Publicity Secretary, Barr. Tony Caesar Okeke attacking Tinubu: “it is extremely wicked and undemocratic for Tinubu to order Hon. Opeyemi Bamidele, to forget his governorship ambition”; such “smacks of tyranny and outright disdain for democracy”; “it is a display of despotic tendencies and utter disdain for democratic process”; and finally, PDP is urging the Ekitis “to rise up to the occasion and defend their rights by rejecting the usual practice of allowing godfathers to select their leaders for them”. And for a good measure, they reminded the people that Tinubu is not from Ekiti.

    I am not sure if labelling a kettle black by a pot, which is exactly what a fractionalized PDP is doing, will help Opeyemi in his current futile attempt to upstage a performing governor, who also happens to be his close ally. And I also think it is doubtful if the people of Ekiti, who according to Professor Akintoye, are the most educated and informed group in Nigeria and Africa need the help of PDP to identify who their true leaders are. If others have forgotten so soon, it is doubtful if the people of Ekiti will forget so easily how President Obasanjo imposed an Ayo Fayose whose role model was Adedibu the head of Ibadan thugs as replacement for a polished, cultured and well educated Niyi Adebayo, who was rigged out as governor of the state. Obasanjo who introduced the culture of “if a mouse cannot eat the beans, it pours them in the sand” into Ekiti, went on to supervise a flawed election that saw disgruntled members of AC emerge as senators and members of the Lower house.

    That is not to say Bola Tinubu is also perfect. Because he loves the bright and smart, Bamidele can do no wrong. When the Ekiti caucus of the lower house, who know those they represent expect them to call a spade by its name, removed Bamidele as their leader not too long ago, they were over ruled. As a very discerning group, the Ekitis don’t hold those who think they are smart in high esteem. The story is told of a professor who became a federal minister and in character with PDP, erected an imposing mansion in his village. The people who know the worth of their “omowe and ojogbon (Doctors and professors) beyond mansions gleefully show visitors a mansion built by a PDP smart professor.

    Ekiti is an enchanting land of undulating hills, meandering rivers and waterfalls, a land of honour inhabited by men of character. The Ikogosi spring where warn and cold spring water oozes out of the same source and flowing side by side symbolizes the peaceful coexistence of the people. Of course that does not signify absence of conflict. In fact after their 16 years ‘kiriji’ war of independence, the Ekiti ran a confederacy of 16 kingdoms presided over by the 16 first class Ekiti Obas who met once a month during ‘pelupelu’ to resolve conflicts. And once a consensus was reached, their word was their bond.

    Ekitis are known for loyalty to friends. Fajuyi demonstrated that by dying with Ironsi his guest. It is not in our character to be subversive. Ekitis have never been known to be active participants in coups in the country. Ekitis never deny their benefactors. Their love for Awolowo even in death is without measure. We never discountenance the advice of elders because we have been taught to appreciate that no matter the size of a young man’s wardrobe, he can never have as many rags as adorned an old man’s wardrobe.

  • Election rigging in the Yoruba Southwest is poison to Nigeria

    A major part of the reason for Nigeria’s growing failure is that we do not respect the unique cultural character of each of the many nationalities of our country. In a shallow and unthinking manner, those who control power in our country are forever striving to impose cultural uniformity over Nigeria’s many nationalities – as if, in all situations of human life, what is good for the goose is good for the gander.

    This integrationist bungling is many-faceted. The federal government subtly pushes an educational programme aimed at suppressing the languages, and even the cultures, of Nigerian nationalities. Ardent Muslim chieftains, when in control of the federal government, seek to use federal power to make Nigeria a radical Muslim country. The rest of us, when a Northern Muslim state adopts Sharia Law, cry foul. Recently, federal legislators from a nationality whose culture accepts the marriage of under-age girls pushed through the National Assembly a resolution making the marriage of under-age girls law in all of Nigeria. Quite often, the integrationist bungling spills over into the realm of the absurd.

    But, worse still, they often provoke resistance – sometimes violent resistance akin to insurrection – as well as inter-group conflicts. Sudden explosions by Muslim indigenes in the towns of the North, resulting in mass killings of non-Muslims (mostly Southerners), started mostly in the years since the hot controversy over whether the Sharia should be enshrined in the Nigerian Constitution. The determined opposition from the South naturally gave the Northerners the fear that non-Muslim Nigeria was up against the way of life of the Muslim North. That fear launched an era of spasmodic eruptions by Muslim folks in the North. Islamic fundamentalist terrorist gangs and terrorism were later developments on those mass eruptions.

    It is not usually recognized that mass eruptions in the Yoruba South-west, following upon blatant rigging of elections, are also a form of culture-based resistance. About 1000 years before the coming of British rule, the Yoruba nation began to build towns and kingdoms, in which they evolved a unique political system of their own. That system was based upon the principle that power belongs to the people. From that general principle, the Yoruba developed the various details of their system. For instance, unlike the citizens of other kingdoms in the world, the Yoruba did not accept that a king should be succeeded automatically by his son, without any say by the people. Rather, the citizens of each Yoruba kingdom selected their king from the pool of their eligible princes. Usually, a standing committee of high chiefs did the selecting on behalf of the citizens; but, it was the rule that the citizens, as individuals or as groups, could freely lobby these high chiefs, and that the chiefs must be available and listen to the people. In essence, the selection was done by the people. In some kingdoms, the practice was that, after the high chiefs had decided the selection, they would stand at the palace gate and announce to the crowd of citizens, “We have given you your king” – meaning, we have chosen for you the prince that you wanted the most.

    In their towns, Yoruba people lived in large family compounds known as agbo-ile, each of which housed tens of families. The chiefs (below the king) were domiciled in the biggest and oldest family compounds. When a chief died, he was not succeeded automatically by his son; all the people of the family compound held meetings and selected one of themselves as the next chief. This process always resulted in competing candidates, factions, meetings upon meetings – and then, ultimately, the selection.

    In short, the Yoruba people have, for more than 1000 years, elected their rulers. That is their political culture. It was very important to them that their selections of kings and chiefs should be handled fairly and with integrity. That was the way they maintained order and stability in their towns. In the course of hundreds of years, fairness in the selection process became like a religion to them.

    Then came British rule, and then the British system of election of rulers – in self-governing and independent Nigeria. There is not much difference between the British system and the traditional system of the Yoruba, and the Yoruba people expect the new system to be as fair, and be done with as much integrity, as their own traditional system. Yoruba people can be very passionate about this.

    Between 1952 and 1960, the Yoruba expectations over elections were considerably well met. The party that managed to win our first regional election in 1951 and to control the regional government, the Action Group, did not try thereafter to use governmental power to manipulate or rig elections. The opposition party too, the NCNC Western Region, did not try to manipulate or rig elections. Usually, the two were close and the races were tight. Many people forget today that the NCNC actually beat the AG narrowly in the 1954 federal election in the Western Region. That is how competitive the elections were – and yet neither party (all Yoruba leaders and all Yoruba candidates) tried to cut unfair corners. Yoruba culture reigned triumphantly, and the Western Region gradually evolved into a solidly democratic modern society.

    But then came Nigeria’s independence in 1960, and a determined federal-cum-Northern determination to dominate all of Nigeria, including the Western Region. The emergence of a new party in the Western Region as a subordinate ally of the party of the Northern Region opened doors for those who sought to dominate the region. So it was that in the 1964 federal election, we in the Western Region experienced, for the first time, the kind of massive election manipulation and rigging that we had long faintly heard of from the North. Because we had never experienced these things before, we were too confused to respond adequately.

    But then the 1965 Regional Election came, and it was even more blatantly rigged in the same ways. The insult was now too unbearable, and we the youths of the Western Region refused to accept it. We erupted all over our region. And we continued to fight and resist until we dragged down all order in Nigeria – and until the military seized power.

    The youths of the Yoruba nation have had to fight the war of resistance against election rigging again and again, and in various forms, since then. They fought a shockingly bloody one in Ondo State in 1983 that again paved the way for military take-over in Nigeria; and a series of technologically sophisticated ones in 2007 – 11.

    In short, Yoruba people just cannot, and will not, tolerate the horrendous cultural insult that election rigging represents. Today again we have persons elected at our pleasure ruling our six states. We know that this kind of situation has usually tempted those who want to rig election in our land. Those who control federal power in Nigeria refuse accept that, in political culture, the Yoruba nation is different from most of the other nationalities of Nigeria. In spite of the fact that the noise over the National Conference supersedes all other things right now in Nigeria, the South-west is not careless. If there are any persons thinking of rigging in the elections that will soon be due in the South-west, they should be reminded that rigging elections in the Yoruba South-west is usually a bringer of bad news for Nigeria and Nigeria’s federal rulers.

  • Why confab of ethnic  nationalities is dangerous

    Why confab of ethnic nationalities is dangerous

    Last week, I concluded my three-part rebuttal of Professor Ben Nwabueze thesis that Northern unity is an obstacle to national unity, except for one of the several reasons he supported his thesis with. This reason, as he put it, was that “it is generally believed” the region’s “political, traditional and religious leaders” are the sponsors of Boko Haram’s insurgency “in pursuance of an agenda aimed at promoting northern domination and the supremacy of Islam in the affairs of Nigeria.”

    I said in my conclusion that of all the reasons he adduced in support of his thesis, this was the most absurd. I then promised to say why today and also to examine the misguided idea, of which he is a leading advocate, that a national conference of the country’s ethnic nationalities is the panacea for our retrogression as a nation.

    Before I do so, however, I should say again that I totally agree with the learned professor’s conclusion that “What should engage our concern and concerted effort is how to bridge the chasm resulting from the North-South Divide.” (Emphasis his).

    In reaching this conclusion he said there has never been “one pan-southern organisation to countervail those in the North” until the formation of the Southern Nigeria Peoples Assembly (SNPA) in July 2012. This is probably true. However, it is so only up to a point. What the professor forgot to add was that the absence of such an organisation was not for want of trying. Certainly, he could not have forgotten so soon the late Chief Chukwuemeka Ojukwu’s short-lived pursuit of his famous “hand shake across the Niger.”

    The professor could also not have forgotten so soon the famous First Southern Leadership Summit in Enugu in December 2005, apparently sponsored by Obasanjo’s presidency, whose primary objective was to denigrate the North. Not least of all, he could not have forgotten so soon how the South formed an alliance with the Middle-Belt which met regularly during President Obasanjo’s 2005 Constitutional Conference with the sole objective of isolating the so-called Core North.

    If all these efforts came to naught it was not because Northern unity was an obstacle. It was essentially because of bad faith among the promoters of Southern solidarity as Professor Itse Sagay, himself a member of the conference from Delta, said in several newspaper interviews at the end of the conference.

    Unity, as the Nwabueze admitted, cannot in itself be a bad thing. “The creation of a pan-southern organisation to match those in the North,” he said, “is perhaps not a bad thing in itself.” What he found worrisome, he said, was the adversarial motive of those seeking for a united southern front.

    The catch then is the motive, not the act, of unity in itself. Clearly then it amounts to double standards for the professor to say southern unity is not a bad thing in itself but northern unity is. The North may be accused of remaining united to retain power permanently but at least two facts belie such an accusation, namely (1) in one of the fairest, freest and most peaceful elections in the country in1993, the region voted solidly for a Southerner, Chief M. K. O. Abiola, as president and (2) virtually all the region’s leaders were agreed that, following the debacle of the inexplicable cancellation of that election by the military regime of General Ibrahim Babangida, the next president of the country must come from the South.

    All of which takes me to my contention that the idea of a conference of ethnic nationalities is misguided and a non-starter. Before then, however, let me explain why I said the professor’s accusation that the North sponsored Boko Haram insurgency in pursuit of the region’s hegemony and Muslim supremacy in the country is the most absurd of all the reasons he has against Northern unity. Clearly implied in this assertion is that Boko Haram is meant to undermine President Goodluck Jonathan, a southerner and a Christian.

    That this position is absurd is evident, first, from the fact that his sole evidence is the say-so of the president of the Kano State Chapter of Ohaneze, Chief Tobias Michael Idika, whom he quoted as saying in an interview in the Sunday Vanguard of August 4, 2013, “The culprits are politicians, religious leaders and traditional rulers from the North. As far as I am concerned, Boko Haram is the creation of bitter politics.”

    As a professor and a senior advocate of law, surely Nwabueze cannot deny the fact that a serious charge as that of sponsorship of mass murder requires a quality of proof higher than the mere say-so of anyone, more so someone obviously as aggrieved as an Ohaneze chieftain whose Igbo kindred have been victims of Boko Haram terror. This, I am sorry to say, is clearly shoddy scholarship.

    Secondly, Boko Haram predated Jonathan’s presidency on his own steam in 2011 by at least nine years. During most of that period the sect was completely non-violent. It became violent from 2009 only after its members had been systematically persecuted and killed by our security forces at the instance of the then Executive Governor of Borno State, its home base, Alhaji Modu Ali Sheriff, not because of their creed that Western education is sin, a creed widely regarded by most ordinary Muslims and their clerics alike as heretic, but because it became highly critical of what it said was the governor’s venality and anti-people policies and programmes.

    This systematic persecution and killings of its members climaxed in the July 2009 military raid of its headquarters which in turn led to the extrajudicial killing by the police of its leader, Muhammad Yusuf, his father-in-law, Baba Fugu, and Sheriff’s Commissioner of Religious Affairs, Buji Foi, both of them prominent members of the sect.

    The military raid in July 2009, ordered by Jonathan’s predecessor, Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, a Northerner and a Muslim, wiped out the sect. Or so we thought, until it returned with vengeance within a year after Yusuf’s deputy, Abubakar Shekau, who had been presumed killed in the raid, surfaced from nowhere to resume its insurgency.

    It is obvious from the way President Jonathan has surrendered himself to the military in his policy on tackling the Boko Harm insurgency that the lesson of the return of Boko Haram about a year after we all thought the sect was dead and buried, has not been learnt. The rejection of this lesson has led to widespread suspicions in the North that the authorities do not want to end the insurgency because ending it would make it difficult, if not impossible, to rig the 2015 elections in a region widely regarded as hostile to his stay in office. In other words, the professor’s accusation that Boko Haram is a political weapon cuts both ways.

    Finally, it is absurd for anyone to think, as Nwabueze obviously does, that a sect, whose creed is widely regarded as heretic by the mainstream religious and secular leaders of the North alike, will be their weapon of choice for propagating their faith; obviously, nothing can be more self-defeating than a position like Boko Haram’s which ridicules and tarnishes their faith.

    In any case it should be obvious by now from attempts on the lives of prominent traditional rulers in the North like the Shehu of Borno and the Emir of Kano and from the number of Muslims and their clerics killed or attacked by Boko Haram – a number which President Jonathan himself has acknowledged is more than the number of Christians killed – that even if anyone in the region ever sponsored the sect, those purported sponsors have since lost control over it.

    To return to our topic of today, i.e. the misguided idea that only a conference of ethnic nationalities, sovereign or otherwise, will solve our problems let me say that my reasons are simple and straightforward.

    First, all the figures of the number of ethnic groups in Nigeria are, at best, intelligent guesses. Once upon a time the figure was 250. About thirty years ago it rose to over 500. Recent estimates talk about over 600. Of these over 400 are said to be in the North.

    These numbers are intelligent guesses because they assume that ethnic groups are frozen in time and space. Nothing could be more inaccurate. As Professor Peter Ekeh, who, sadly, seems to have changed his position since the recent ascendancy of the Delta region in Nigerian politics, said in his 1980 inaugural lecture as a professor of History, the ethnic groups as we understand them today were not as they were before our colonisation by the Whites.

    “By 1820,” he said in that essay, “an Ekiti man would have been astounded if he were called a ‘Yoruba man’ whom he understood, if he were so knowledgeable, as a man from Oyo. In any case, an Ekiti man would probably need an interpreter in order to communicate effectively with a Yoruba man in 1820.”

    Even more recently the Ikwere, he said, “have rediscovered a new identity separate from the Ibo. Less than thirty years ago, the Urhobos and the Isokos were the same ethnic groups. In the early sixties, following the creation of the Middle West State, there was a separation between the two and so they are now two different groups.”

    President Jonathan himself is an epitome of this fluidity of our ethnic groups. There is widespread belief, not exactly discouraged by the man himself, that he is Ijaw. The fact is that he is not. Rather he is Ogbia, which is hardly known outside his Bayelsa home state.

    The numbers of ethnic groups we peddle are also mere guesses because they assume the dialects within each language are intelligible to each other. Again this is not true. Among the Nupe, my ethnic group, there are at least a dozen dialects such ad Bassa-Ngeh, Kakanda and Dibo, whose language, as someone from Bida, I do not understand. And what is true of Nupe is true of all the ethnic groups in the country, except perhaps the smallest ones.

    Clearly the composition of a national conference, sovereign or otherwise, would be highly problematic to say the least if it is based on ethnicity.

    Beyond this there is the more fundamental problem that no nation or society in the world has ever developed using its ethnic groups as the building blocks. On the contrary, it is only when a nation or society becomes cosmopolitan in its composition, with mutual accommodation of all the cross cutting ties of the religions, skills, and cultures, etc, by its various groups, that it becomes great. Variety, as the saying goes, is the spice of life.

    No segment of our country captures the variety of the religions, ethnic groups, etc, in our country today like our federal constituencies. So if we must go ahead with the national conference in these interesting times when we should be pre-occupied with more pressing issues like those of security and corruption, let us choose those to represent us on the basis of our federal constituencies, not ethnic groups.

  • We deserve better governance; preventable road crashes; Professor Iyayi-RIP

    The people of Nigeria have never had the government they deserve. Try the 30 kilometre Lagos bound five lane 10,000 vehicle traffic jam this past Sunday afternoon. Try the 2000-car traffic mayhem at the MM2 Airport car park and arrivals and departure areas on Friday November 15. Too many vehicles – No governance! The successive governments of Nigeria have had such malleable people to govern, a fact the governments took advantage of to bastardise the citizens and country such that corruption rose from 10% as reported by very distinguished late Princess Tejumade Alakija, Head of Service in the Western Region to 100% and even 300%. How many ID cards would we each have if all the multibillion dollar ID card megascams had been supervised for progress and service delivery and not you-chop-I-chop-for-the-boys? The problem from the ID scams to the still-in-court N26m -N34billion pension scams to the ‘hot in jail’ Oyo State pension scam or the N250m bullet proof scam point to bad governance.

    Of course the Mobutu Economic Solution (MES) applies equally to the Nigerian corrupt political and economic life. The MES revealed that if Mobutu asked for $1m, the Finance Minister asked the Zairean CBN for $2m and the ZCBN Governor signed out $3m. The ZCBN chopped $1m and sent $2m to the Finance Minister who took $1m and sent $1m to Mobutu. The whole country has for too long been at the mercy of unaudited agencies well exemplified by NNPC, NPA, NEPA alias PHCN and FERMA exclusively controlled by little people in Abuja with minds too small to grasp the significance of their abused power and responsibility to better the lives of Nigerians. Their failure to perform nationwide against the ‘Rise of the Nigerian darkness and Pothole’ has killed and injured too many ‘Fellow Nigerians’ and made millions suffer the loss of loved ones and their earning power from too costly and sometimes deadly alternative power from poisonous gases and explosions and murderous potholes. The result is often a failure to achieve full potential by offspring. Every accident deprives someone of an education and earning potential. This is why every pothole should be a top priority of normal government and not a special reward of favour to the citizenry.  They, government men and women, claim we will have power, electric power, soon. But all Nigerians should ask why did we not have electric power when Generals Buhari, Babangida, Abacha, Abdusallam and General Obasanjo had ‘General’ totalitarian and ‘General’ democratic control and were ‘in total power’? Was their failure to add a simple 500 0r 1000Mw annually to the Nigerian national grid because of their myopia, misdemeanour, incompetence, greed and corruption?  The sale of failed government agencies like PHCN is actually a failure of leadership and supervision of bad employees. Remember schools were helped to fail when we stopped listening to, or failed to fund school inspectors and they in turn always expecting gifts like goats and cash to fill their car boots in exchange for a pass mark when they visited.

    The cost of travel remains far too high in Nigeria. Every day the media is filled with stories of road attacks, mislabelled ‘accidents’. If someone crashes into you at 100+kph that is an attack by another road user, not an accident. No death is acceptable or explainable as an act of God. God may know about it and allow it but God does not create the scenario. It is the free will of sometimes drunken men at the steering wheel who speed and crash into others. So many deaths and injuries for people merely going from A to B. The Okada Epidemic claims thousands maimed and murdered. Is that an Act of God? No! We have responsibility for our actions and our lives. When the little people die, no one cares beyond a static. May you should not die with someone more ‘VIP’ than you or your death will never be remembered. You will just be ‘VIP and 23 others died yesterday’. May that not be your portion! In the sight of God ‘VIP and 26 others’ must line up in order of death time for judgement, no queue jumping, though the VIP will probably be in the first queue he did not want to jump. Who wants to rush to Heaven?

    Professor Festus Iyayi, 66, former ASUU President, Winner of the Commonwealth Prize for Literature and writer of books including Violence, The Contract, Heroes and Awaiting Court Martial was not planning on joining the queue to heaven when he headed for the ASUU meeting on Tuesday November 12, having bid farewell to grandchildren and joined in the traditional prayer for a Safe Journey and ‘Travel Mercies’. He was struck down, not by an Act of God like lightening, an earthquake, a flood, but by man in form of a reckless governor Wada’s convoy-driver who must be breathalysed and prosecuted. Some may have wondered at the need for such senior citizens to travel to solve ASUU’s protracted strike with a recalcitrant government known for reversing agreements. Note that no matter how bad tertiary education is, it would have been primary school level without ASUU’s continuous struggle and intermittent strikes. The ASUU strike has yielded death. May this and other terrible deaths yield fruit for the students and staff, now dedicated to unnecessarily late Prof Iyayi. Governor Wada had demonstrated that he is a poor supervisor of man and machine.

     

  • The road to a police state

    The road to a police state

    Just to be absolutely certain that I wasn’t missing something, I inspected President Goodluck Jonathan’s Transformation – or is it Transformative?—Agenda before writing this piece.

    The Agenda, I can report with the highest confidence, does not include turning Nigeria into a police state.

    Yet, that is what has been happening lately, sometimes brazenly and sometimes insidiously.

    With each passing day, Nigeria bears a closer resemblance to a state in which the activities of the people are strictly controlled with the help of a police force, in place of regular operation of administrative and judicial organs of government based on publicly known legal procedure.

    That is the definition of a police state.

    This ominous process probably has an earlier origin, but I would date it from the time relations between Dr Jonathan and Rivers State Governor Chibuike Rotimi Amaechi turned sour and Dr Jonathan sought to bring Amaechi to heel and to impose on the Nigeria Governors’ Forum a chairman who would be more complaisant than Amaechi and help clear the path to a second presidential term.

    To attain the first objective, he could not have found a better instrument than the Rivers State Commissioner of Police, Mbu Joseph Mbu, who owes his appointment to and takes his orders from Abuja. At every opportunity, Mbu countermanded the elected governor of the state, enforced Abuja’s will, and carried on as he was for all practical purposes the leader of the opposition.

    For the second objective, Dr Jonathan found a willing tool Akwa Ibom Governor Godswill Akpabio to engineer a split in the Governors’ Forum, in the hope that a majority fraction beholden to him would emerge. In the showdown election, Akpabio failed to deliver the majority he had promised. Undaunted, the minority crowned itself the new National Governors Forum, with the pathetic and utterly deluded Plateau State Governor Jonah Jang as chairman.

    Then came the rupture at the PDP mini convention. Seven governors elected on the party’s platform , as well as some senior party officials, broke ranks. A faction calling itself the New PDP, having no illusions about the petulance of its parent, had to confect a lie to secure a place to hold a meeting. It declared that the hall was to be used for a wedding reception. If the police had so much as suspected that the meeting was being held to elect officials of the breakaway faction of the PDP, the police would have moved swiftly to block it.

    That much was clear from the swiftness with which the police blockaded the headquarters building the new PDP rigged up. For good measure, the authorities of the Abuja Federal Capital Territory suddenly discovered that the house had been constructed in violation of the building code and would have to be pulled down. If and when the FCT gives the order, the police will be on hand to supervise the demolition.

    As for the seven dissident PDP governors – the so-called G7 — rarely have they been able to hold a meeting even in private premises without the rude intrusion of the police. The most recent of such intrusions, in Abuja, drew nation-wide condemnation. The Inspector-General of the Police, Mohammed Abubakar, told a committee of the House of Representatives that it had been carried out without his instructions.

    If this is true – and there is no reason to believe that he had perjured himself –it raises the alarming prospect that the Nigeria Police has indeed become the armed wing of the PDP, as the opposition APC has charged.

    Last Tuesday the police, kitted as for battle, sealed off the conference room of the Nicon Luxury Hotel in Abuja where the Socio-Economic Rights Accountability Project had planned to discuss Nigeria’s freedom of information law, with scheduled speakers from Europe, the United States and Nigeria.

    With Dino Melaye, a former federal legislator turned anti-corruption crusader among the organisers, there was no doubt that the participants would discuss the scandal that the Federal Government desperately wants suppressed: the illegal purchase of two armoured limousines worth $1.4 million by the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria for the use, and most likely at the behest of, Princess Oduah.

    As was the case with the intrusion on the G7 meeting, also in Abuja, senior spokespersons for the police have been quoted as saying that the authorities had “no knowledge” of the operation. This only goes to support the thesis that Nigeria is being transformed into a police state. In whatever case, the political calculations behind the intrusion point unmistakably to the self-styled “biggest party” in Africa.

    The PDP is even more deeply implicated in turning Nigeria into a police state than the foregoing suggests. Last week, the courts ordered the re-instatement of former Osun State Governor Olagunsoye Oyinlola as PDP national secretary, finding that his purported removal from that office was ultra vires.

    No sooner had Oyinlola served notice that he was set to resume work at the PDP’s Wadata Plaza national headquarters in Abuja than he was suspended afresh and the place was surrounded by battle tanks and police armed for combat. It was almost as if Boko Haram’s elusive high command had served notice that its forces had landed in the neightbourhood.

    There, you have fresh intimations of the making of a police state. I will not be surprised if the police authorities were to declare again that they had played no part in sealing off the PDP’s headquarters.

    To be sure, the court order was going to create all kinds of problems. Oyinlola was not merely one of the founders of the New PDP; he is its national secretary. To which faction would he answer if he resumed work at Wadata Plaza, which had vowed to treat him and other deserters as “criminals?”

    The brusqueness with which the PDP brushed aside the court order reinstating Oyinlola is of a piece with the impunity with which it suborns the police to do its dirty work. It is all the more disquieting that the PDP is the ruling party and its national leader is President Jonathan, who took an oath to uphold and defend the law and the Constitution.

    Only a few days ago, in the run-up to the incurably flawed gubernatorial election in Anambra, the police command in Imo State announced with breathless excitement the arrest of 180 “thugs” and “hoodlums” and “bandits” from Osun on their way to Anambra for the purpose — what else – of rigging the election.

    It claimed to have recovered from them voter ID cards and other election documents, not forgetting “other dangerous weapons”. A far more credible source insists that the 180 were accredited election monitors belonging to the Justice and Equity Organisation.

    If there was any merit at all to the arrest of the group from Osun, there was none whatsoever to the confinement of Nasir El-Rufai, to his hotel room in the Anambra State capital, Awka, by agents of the secret police. The APC chieftain was in town to monitor the poll. This shabby recourse to false imprisonment is yet another manifestation of the drift toward a police state.

    We can now understand why, against the express provisions of the Constitution, retired Inspector-General of Police and a failed senatorial candidate in the person of Mike Okiro was appointed chairman of the Police Service Commission. It was certainly not on account of his stellar performance. For, as IGP, he showed a brazen disregard for conflict of interest and, as we now know, connived in hounding Nuhu Ribadu out of the EFCC and the Police Force.

    By act or omission, Okiro contributed to the dysfunction in which the police force is mired today. They did not appoint him Police Service Commission chairman to lead a determined effort to chart a path out of that dysfunction. And he knows it.

  • This way to Nigeria’s rebirth

    It is the season of football glory, with the November 8 Golden Eaglets’ fourth triumph at the FIFA U-17 World Cup at UAE 2013; and Super Eagles’ fifth qualification, beating Ethiopia, to the FIFA World Cup in Brazil 2014.

    So, a bit of football imagery is apposite.

    Right now, there is a hat trick of coincidences: a weakened presidency, a ruling party in disarray and a “North” in political retreat, despite all grandstanding to the contrary.

    These coincidences look like setbacks – great setbacks, almost tragedies – for critical segments of the Nigerian state. Yet these setbacks, if well handled, could well earn Nigeria a rebirth from its unending season of anomie; and halt its perennial crisis of nationhood.

    Never in history, perhaps, has the Nigerian Presidency been so weakened; and the Nigerian president so vulnerable to political pressure.

    In 2011, Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, Nigeria’s first president from a minority bloc, rode to stunning pan-Nigeria presidency. But two years down the line, due to presidential commission or omission, grafted with stark contradictions in the polity, the presidency is looking increasingly frail.

    Presidential royalists continue to kid themselves the president is all-powerful. But it is clear that office is, right now, far from the constitutional Leviathan power romantics claim it is.

    Linked to that presidential meltdown is the meltdown of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the federal ruling party.

    In Jonathan’s emergence, and by violently abrogating its own zoning principle, PDP overreached itself, even by its own accustomed impunity. The ensuing bitterness, from a “North” that felt cheated, is the basis of cascading bricks in the PDP house.

    Of course, the “North”! It is central to the present distemper. As that Yoruba saying goes, the consummate executioner finds no mirth in someone fumbling with a sword near his neck!

    A region versed in power dominance, if not outright domination, certainly finds it extremely reprehensible to feel dominated! So, it screams, it yells, it bawls; warning at the apocalypse to come, should such a situation continue.

    That would appear the chief driver of the North’s bid for power in 2015, aside from its not illegitimate growl of being cheated of its due in 2011, with the abandonment of PDP’s zoning formula, simply because President Umaru Yar’ Adua died in office.

    As it happens, therefore, there is a hat trick of angst, sweeping through the ruling office, the ruling party and, if not chastened by current developments, a region by its power log in Nigeria, that could easily have regarded itself as the ruling region!

    That is just as well!

    A hitherto Leviathan presidency is feeling the blues of impotence, particularly when the subject is influence (aka ‘soft power’), to change things; and not the near-brutal presidency that Olusegun Obasanjo bequeathed. Those who misinterpret Jonathan’s fascist bent for power are grandly mistaken: a dog barks out of fright, not out of power.

    A hitherto impregnable PDP is feeling real threats of collapse, simply because having rigged things against others for too long, it is now rigging things against itself and, by so doing, rigging itself out of cohesion. The ensuing schism is well and truly earned!

    And a hitherto all-conquering “North” – in any case, the tiny cabal that commits political murder in its name now endures the bitterness of feeling dominated!

    Not unlike the Achebe tortoise in Things Fall Apart, that renamed itself “All of you” to corner everything, leaving its shocked benefactors in the lurch, this power cabal raised political domination to a sickly art, while leaving their impoverished people with an empty illusion of might. Now that the chips are down, this same cabal is screaming “northern domination”!

    So now, what? A bitter fight to the end, even if Nigeria goes kaput? Or a reasonable retreat to reason, to rework Frederick Lugard’s unworkable contraption, even in the run-up to the final month of its centenary?

    There lies the way from the hat trick of present chaos to the hat trick of future opportunities.

    Indeed, in a troubled federation battered by decades of military rule, and labouring under an emerging democracy, the presidency as unquestioned and unquestionable Leviathan is as much a danger to itself as it is to the democratic republic.

    The highest office in the land, therefore, needs a tactical pare-down to ensure its strategic relevance. For Nigeria to survive despite its present challenges, a key demand is a federalism-compliant presidency. A polity reconfigured on strict federal principles holds the ace to future development and prosperity from the present retardation and chaos. A sovereign national conference could fix this nicely, if only Nigeria’s power blocs would stop playing games!

    The PDP meltdown is a metaphor for the rotten party system. That is a clear and present danger to Nigerian democracy. Parties are key drivers of democracy. So, a democracy with sick parties is itself sick, by simple logical extension.

    The hubris now consuming PDP must impress it on its members the limits of a ruling party, no matter how powerful or invincible it once felt it was. But that message is as valid for the PDP as it is for new parties hoping to kick it out of power. It would be a tragedy, indeed, to kick out the PDP and replace it with PDP with another name.

    The message for the North’s political elite, so gung-ho about 2015, is clear. The North once dominated. Now, it is being dominated, at least going by its shrill complaints. So, domination is bad for everyone. Every country should be erected on an equal-opportunity ethos, fired by equity, fair play and justice.

    So, while it is legitimate for northern lobbies to fancy their chances by 2015, it is imperative to drum it loud that the pre-12 June 1993 Nigeria, in which some miscreants, acting in the name of the “North” to cancel a valid presidential election, and sustain that high treason, is gone and gone forever. Any attempt to dream such subversive encore could well sound the death knell for the country.

    So, as political alignments are afoot, two crucial messages must be clear. One, the North, if it is really interested in Nigeria’s survival, must shun any penchant to dominate. It has enjoyed and endured domination; and can tell the honey and gall of both!

    And two, whoever are negotiating with the northern lobby must never surrender the long-term chore of building a just, fair and equitable Nigeria to the immediate gravy of winning federal power. The North must not dominate. But it must not be dominated either.

    That template should apply to every part of the country. Indeed, after walking in the wilderness for nearly 100 years (53 years of this under flag independence), with the Lugard contraption always threatening to abort, that should be the template on which sustainable Nigeria must be erected.

    Any other way would be tempting fate. If the regnant power folly continues, the tip-over point cannot be far away!

  • Reality or perception?

    That was our President Goodluck Jonathan speaking at the fifth edition of the Presidential media chat late September. As if you didn’t know already, the kernel of his submission was that corruption, among the many ills afflicting the Nigerian polity, is simply exaggerated. For proof, he referred Nigerians to the operative word “perception” in the annual rating exercise by Transparency International of which Nigeria ranks pretty among the top rung of the most corrupt nations on earth.

    Far from accepting that the unrestrained self-help that goes on in Abuja and the 36 state capitals in the name of governance is a major problem, the President chose to locate our problems in the hype that normally attends every reported incident of heist by highly placed officials!

    Just when the deliberate misdiagnosis of the problem expectedly rankled to no end, the President would, days later, further expound his treatise by insisting that Nigerians – not his administration that has made an open show of harbouring tainted officials in its ranks – were the main culprits in fostering the environment of corruption.

    I don’t think anyone should lose sleep over the specious dissection of the national pathology by a leader under whose watch the industry of graft has grown to monstrous proportions. Situated in the context of its appalling helplessness in combating the monster, the statement provides a window into why the fight against graft under the Jonathan presidency not only went tepid but ineffectual.

    Of course, a lot has happened since those statements were uttered. We have had Stellagate – a scam which not only threatened to rip the innards of the Jonathan presidency open, but has since unleashed a burst of adrenalin across the land the result of which the administration is presently utterly breathless. And now, with a related event in Ghana in which a cabinet minister got the boot from her plum cabinet position merely for dreaming about cornering some future gravy, the welter of media commentaries and the not-so-subtle prodding that the President off-load his own “damaged good” has simply reached the heavens.

    As it is, the surest evidence of how far apart the President and Nigerians are on the subject would be the deliberate stone-walling over the Stellagate affair. This is even when the evidence in the public domain has exposed several layers of graft for serious administration to act upon. Is it a case of someone being convinced that the dust would blow away sooner than later? For this, we must grant that this President should know a thing or two things about perception as a subject and its links with the messy business of corruption that the whole world is yet to know.

    To be sure, we must be clear about the President’s diagnosis of the problem particularly his rather effusive distinction between the popular perception about the cancer and the reality he sought to paint, I guess, almost entirely in his own colours. Just as the president believes that the two are miles apart, the question must arise as to whether those accusing his administration of either fuelling the cancer or is at least indifferent to it are not entirely uncharitable. Conversely too, for a menace that has not only persisted, but has earned the nation notoriety as the global capital of graft, Nigerians would also be right to wonder about the President’s line of thought which appears to suggest that negative perceptions are at least tolerable in so far as the facts are beyond establishing! The truth of course is that perceptions, no matter how exaggerated or distorted they may seem, oftentimes have more than a whiff of reality. We must also acknowledge that the business of separating facts from fantasies in a clime riddled with corrupt practices is certainly not helped by the sheer scale of impunity that borders on schizophrenia. Whether it is the latest issue infamously described as Stellagate, in which a serving minister reportedly directed a parastatal head “to do the needful” as in the purchase of two fancy cars for a whopping N255 million; or the well-reported extravaganza of another cabinet member said to have ratcheted a bill of nearly N2billion to hire private jets, the point is that the scale of impunity in these parts simply beggars belief! And the President, as the leader of the team has done pretty little to dispel the image of his administration as one that condones impunity.

    Again, it goes to the fundamental point about what facts say. Beyond deniability, I think the issue is well established that corruption is not just real but has under this presidency become the driver of governance processes. Didn’t subsidy payments balloon from N300 billion under the Umaru Yar’Adua presidency to an unprecedented N2.5 trillion under this presidency? Yes, we are talking of one product line, petrol – jumping in multiples of eight under 18 months – the sheer stuff of fairy tales happening right under our very eyes!

    How about that for perception? Today, the subsidy figure is in the neighbourhood of N1.2 trillion. Has anyone been called to account for the deviation? Now, thanks to the Swiss non-governmental advocacy group, the Berne Declaration, the nation has just begun to find confirmation of how the triumvirate of NNPC, Vitol and Trafigura –two Switzerland-based oil traders, and their local minions numbering seven, used their offshore ‘letterbox companies’ to defraud the country of over $6.8bn in subsidy payments between 2009 and 2011.

    Are the documented findings of the Swiss body also in the realm of perception? What about the jumbo loans at a time of record oil earnings? At least, to its credit, the administration of former President Olusegun Obasanjo, converted the benefits of the bumper oil earning to exit from the creditor-cartels of London and Paris Clubs. Today, not only is the nation back on the ruinous path of debt peonage even when the promise of infrastructural renewal remains undelivered.

    Former United States Ambassador Walter Carrington recently framed the issue rather succinctly when he quipped: “The question must now be asked, why is Africa’s most endowed country which earn $57billion a year in oil revenue not yet able to solve its persistent problems of electric power and infrastructure?”

    Well, the President has supplied the 10-letter answer: Perception.

    Surely, there must be something in the Villa that inures its occupants to the putrefaction.

     

  • Gowon’s Godism

    It is intriguing that General (retd) Yakubu Gowon, Nigeria’s military head of state from August 1966 to July 1975 and currently shepherd of Nigeria Prays, a Christian prayer group, is apparently consumed by his “awakening” and has surrendered his power of material analysis. It is too easy to spiritualize concrete events by appealing to so-called divine intervention, an approach Gowon adopted in his focus on a critical juncture in the country’s political history.

    Perhaps he was innocently ignorant of the underlying implications of his comments in a newspaper interview where he attributed the deaths of the dreadful dictator, General Sani Abacha, and the popular symbol of democratic resistance, Chief Moshood Abiola, to the hand of God guided by human supplication. His ahistoricity was not just simplistic; it was profoundly misleading. Such shallowness certainly should not be encouraged because it falsifies reality and promotes unawareness.

    Gowon’s incredible words: “But what the good Lord did was that, at that time, one of the serious political problems we had was Abacha/Abiola, the June 12 crisis. What happened then was that the good Lord took Abacha and paved the way for a return to civil rule and that was to give opportunity for the release of Abiola. Then Abiola, who was also at the other end of the crisis also passed on and therefore left the path for a reasonable, genuine restoration and return to a civil rule. That was achieved through some of the prayers that we did but we did not ask the good Lord for anyone’s demise.”

    There is no doubt that this was an effort at revisionism, which must fail because the essentials are incontrovertible. Against the background of a morally flawed grip on power, Abacha’s unexpected death on June 8, 1998, smacked of machination, following five years of ruthless oppression of the pro-democracy opposition including presidential claimant Abiola, and an elaborate but unpopular preparation for self-succession. Although he reportedly suffered from cirrhosis, events of his final moments suggested that he succumbed to poison. Similarly, Abiola’s abrupt passing one month later on July 7, 1998, was supremely suspicious, particularly in the context of a consistently intense campaign for his release from detention and restoration of his ruptured electoral mandate.

    It is significant to dwell on the hazy circumstances of Abiola’s death, which happened on the day he was reportedly due to be freed. According to a BBC interview at the time with US special envoy Thomas R. Pickering, an American delegation, which included Susan Rice visited the caged Abiola who suddenly fell ill, and subsequently died presumably from a heart attack. It is revealing that although the official autopsy stated that Abiola died of natural causes, Abacha’s Chief Security Officer, al-Mustapha later alleged that he was tortured to death, claiming to have video and audiotapes to back his accusation. It is instructive that 15 years after, the final report of an autopsy carried out by a team of international coroners is still treated as a secret document. Also, there is irrefutable evidence that Abiola was denied proper medical attention for his existing health conditions while he was detained for four years.

    So, to go by Gowon’s mystical logic, where does God come into the picture? Evidently, as even Gowon noted, Abacha’s death offered an opportunity for Abiola’s release, which was not effected immediately, contrary to the dictates of fairness. Abacha’s martial successor, Abdulsalami Abubakar, failed to seize the historic moment and there is little doubt that this dilatoriness possibly cost Abiola his life.

    It is noteworthy that Gowon’s flat reference to Abiola as being “at the other end of the crisis” glossed over a fundamental detail, specifically, that the wealthy businessman and politician was the victim of a crude and inexcusable power show by Abacha’s military predecessor, Ibrahim Babangida, who annulled the country’s momentous presidential election of June 12, 1993, which endorsed Abiola. Non-acknowledgement of this pivot, which amounted to a trivialisation of cause and overemphasis on consequence, is worrying, especially on account of its source who, at 79, is regarded as an elder statesman.

    Furthermore, Gowon’s argument that Abiola’s death perfected the removal of supposed barriers, and opened “the path for a reasonable, genuine restoration and return to a civil rule”, carried a ring of negative bias. Contemplating the path not taken, the question of the possible value of Abiola’s presidency, had he been allowed to rule, will continue to haunt the polity. Abiola’s “Hope 93” campaign was full of motivational vitality and the majority eagerly bought his alluring promise of constructive change. Perhaps it was a turning-point opportunity that will be difficult to regain. In addition, would Gowon seriously consider the country’s civil-rule experience since Abiola’s aborted appeal worthy of his adjectives, “reasonable and genuine”? To try a reduction to absurdity, it is apt to wonder whether Gowon regards his inglorious overthrow in a military coup d’état as an instance of divine intervention, a clearing of the path in favour of a superior arrangement.

    However, even if unwittingly, Gowon succeeded in being helpful; his remarks, by inference, again highlighted the reality that Abiola’s death particularly is far from closure. It is precisely because of the possibility of misinformation by individuals of Gowon’s ilk that Abiola’s death deserves to be further probed and its cause conclusively determined. More important, the result of such definitive investigation should be open to the public.

    In this respect, the controversial death of Palestine leader Yasser Arafat in 2004 has parallel angles. While official medical records state that he died of a stroke resulting from a blood disorder, strong speculations that he might have been murdered were apparently validated following the exhumation of his remains in November 2012. After conducting tests on samples taken from his remains, experts at the Vaudois University Hospital Centre (CHUV) in Lausanne, Switzerland, produced a report that said, “Taking into account the analytical limitations aforementioned, mostly time lapse since death and the nature and quality of the specimens, the results moderately support the proposition that the death was the consequence of poisoning with polonium-210.” A highly radioactive substance, Polonium-210 is found in low doses in food and created naturally in the body, but can be fatal if ingested in high doses.

    In Abiola’s case, it is equally crucial to pursue the truth, even if only to shame the theories of premeditated murder. Unfortunately, until the issue is satisfactorily resolved, individuals of Gowon’s mentality will soften the complexity by blaming God.

  • Orji’s belated penitence

    When two years ago the Abia State government came out with the obnoxious policy of sacking civil servants in its employ for being non indigenes, the measure had for good reasons, attracted widespread condemnations. Then, the state government rationalized the policy on the ground that it was inevitable for it to pay the minimum wage approved for workers in the public sector. It shut its eyes to pleas and the argument that the policy was imbued with the wider prospects of denting relations between it and the governments and peoples of the affected states and stultifying efforts at national integration.

    Abia State government was even quick to join issues with some other states trading words in a manner that further exposed the limitations of those who conceived that policy. Coming from a section of the country that has been upbeat in raising allegations of mistreatment from other sections of the country, the Abia incident was seen as unmitigated disservice not only to the unity of the country but that of the Igbo nation. It was very difficult to reconcile with the action, how the Igbo could still reasonably talk of alienation and marginalization in their relations with the central government when one of theirs has become the chief apostle of hate and discriminatory policy.

    The so-called non-indigenous civil servants were eventually sent packing in the most callous way. Since then, the media have been awash with the untold hardship victims have been exposed to. There was this story of a widow who had to be thrown out by her landlord because she could neither pay her rents nor any longer cater for her children on account of the sack. Some may have even died. It is not known that the government paid them disengagement benefits to cushion the debilitating effects of their sudden sack. That had been the sad tale from Abia State and their own contribution to nurturing bad blood and disunity among the people of that geopolitical zone that has not fared well within the Nigerian federation. Some of the states in the zone were so disgusted that they threatened reprisals. Ironically, this discriminatory policy came at a time some other state governments have been making concerted efforts to demonstrate that they are prepared to accommodate people from other states in their public service. Before then also, there had been heated debate on the necessity to incorporate the residency clause in the constitution to make it mandatory for those who have lived a certain number of years in a particular place to become automatic indigenes, enjoying the perquisites and privileges accruing to indigenes. These issues were raised as a way out of the increasing slide to centrifugalism and stave off the burdensome competition between the primordial units and the central government for the loyalty of the citizens. It is not surprising that the inability of this country to decisively address this key and unifying variable has been largely responsible for our failure at national integration 53 years after independence. In place of national cohesion, what we have harvested very bountifully has been the resurgence of ethnic nationalism. The Abia incident therefore had the prospects of pushing this negative tendency to a very ridiculous dimension if not checked.

    Two years thereon, we are now being told that the same government that hounded those who faulted the myopic policy has had a change of heart. Reports filtering from that state have it that the Abia State government has put plans afoot to recall the same civil servants. According to reports, the decision was arrived at during the last executive council meeting presided by Governor Theodore Orji.

    There are conflicting versions of the nature and scope of the reinstatement as well as the rationale for it. While some reports said all the workers have been recalled, some others indicated that those interested are being asked to reapply. The state commissioner for information was even quoted to have said that those who reapply may either be reabsorbed in their former positions as civil servants or posted to schools as teachers.

    Some reasons have also been adduced for this curious twist. They claim it is on account of substantial improvement in the internally generated revenue base of the state. With more money in its coffers, it can now comfortably employ its indigenes dislocated from the northern states and re-engage the sacked workers. That should be something to cheer from a government that has come under constant challenge for its neglect of its prime commercial city-Aba. Not long ago, lawyers in Aba had to embark on demonstrations to bring to the fore the sorry state of roads there. Would it surprise anyone if the purported high internally generated revenue profile of the state was raised from that neglected city?

    But that is even beside the point. There are issues to be raised if it is true that the decision to reabsorb the sacked civil servants was due to an unexpected rise in internally generated revenue. It raises the question of bad planning. Modern governments make projections of expected revenue earnings and expenditure and adjust their plans according to such indicators. Since planning is done in an incremental sense, it is possible using the projections of previous years to have a peep into the future. In other words, if Abia state really plans for its programmes, it was possible to predict that two years after, it would have a huge leap in its revenue base. Were that to be so, it would have perhaps, saved itself the embarrassment of having to sack these workers only to suddenly discover that it had no need to do so.

    Effective planning would have shown in very unmistakable terms that in two years time, it will not have problems not only with creating additional jobs but adequately taking care of those in her employ. That is the stark realty that has been raised to the fore by the reasons given by that state government for its policy summersault.

    If the purported increase in internally generated revenue is meant to justify the earlier one adduced for the exercise, I am afraid it has come with additional problems that put to task the competence and limitations of managers of that state. It is a sad commentary on the leadership quality of that state that they were incapable, using revenue growth projection of previous years to have a fair idea of what the situation will be in less than 24 months.

    That is the logical inference of what we are now being made to believe and it does no credit to that government.

    There are also problems with its plan to send some of the civil servants into its school system as teachers. It stands to be seen what point Abia state wants to make by this if it does not intend to ruin the education system.

    In all, it is either the Abia state government is playing to the gallery or it is intent on scoring cheap political points having realized the folly in sacking those workers. If it is sincere with the project, why not automatically recall the workers instead of asking them to reapply with the prospects of being sent to teach. It has the list of those it sacked and ought to have reinstated them before making public show of the matter.

    So nobody should be deceived by this subterfuge. It is all politics. With about 18 months to go, Orji may be seeking national relevance and may want to relieve himself of the political liability that policy has put on his shoulders. Even if Orji re-engages all those sacked, he deserves neither pity nor patronizing words because it is a self-inflicted baggage.