Category: Columnists

  • Yesterday, today and tomorrow

    Yesterday, today and tomorrow

    As humans, we owe our existence to the almighty. We do everything by His grace-eating, sleeping and waking. Without His munificence, we cannot do these things. This is why we praise God for life, for provision and protection. We are what we are by the grace of God. It is not by our power, education or wisdom. The scripture puts it succinctly : ‘’Unless the Lord builds the house, its builders labour in vain; unless the Lord watches over the city, the watchmen stand guard in vain’’. So, every man must bear this fact in mind irrespective of his position.

    As humans, positions mean a lot to us. We like to associate with those in high offices because it pays to do so. Nobody wants to relate with the poor because they will gain nothing by doing so. I am not saying that it is not good to aspire to high office; no I am not saying that. After all, what is the essence of our being if we cannot aspire to be great. But in doing that we tend to forget that greatness comes from God. A man will become great not because he has the greatness gene in his blood nor because he works harder than his peers but because fate smiles on him.

    According to the scripture, ‘’the race is not to the swift or the battle to the strong, nor does food come to the wise or wealth to the brilliant or favour to the learned, but time and chance happen to them all’’. If this is so, why then do men play God? Why do they act as if they became what they are by virtue of their brilliance or hard work? Let them know that we have seen more hardworking and brilliant persons before without anything to show for their brilliance and efforts. What do you say to that? That they offended God? God, according to His word, will favour those that He will favour, meaning that some will be more favoured than others.

    In our society today, those at the helm of affairs can be grouped among the highly-favoured. As our leaders, we respect them and wish them all the best. Our prayer is that they succeed because their success will be for the good of us all. Since governance is a continuum, leaders come and go. We had leaders yesterday; we have leaders today and after today’s leaders, another set of leaders will come tomorrow.This is the law of nature which cannot be changed. No matter what, the leaders of yesterday and today must learn to work together in the interest of the nation. But in most cases, they don’t. Why this is so we don’t seem to know.

    But it all borders on fear of the likelihood of leaders of today exposing the misdeeds of their predecessors. When our people are in power, they tend to forget that a day will come when issues will be raised about their tenure. If there is something our leaders don’t like to do, it is being called upon to give an account of their stewardship. They can do anything to stop that process because of the fear of being exposed. What is there to be exposed if they have nothing to hide? As past leaders are afraid of probe, so are their successors afraid of criticisms. Those in power don’t like to be criticised. They want to be hailed for every decision taken, whether good or bad. Is that possible? They know that it is not, but they will never see anything good in criticisms meant for their own good.

    They demand constructive criticisms, but when such criticisms come, they pick up a fight with the critics. What is the problem with them? Are they saying that because they are in power they should not be criticised? Funny enough, some of those in power today who loathe criticism were foremost critics of government not too long ago. There is no difference between yesterday’s and today’s leaders; they are all the same. We only hear them quarrel on issues relating to their personal interests. It is then that you will see their aides firing from all cylinders. When they fight like that, it is for our own good because a lot of things are revealed.

    In some cases, the former and present leaders may be friends torn apart by their loyalty to different masters. By the time they finish abusing themselves, their masters will be meeting behind closed doors to sort out their differences. It is good for the people of yesterday and those of today to engage themselves once-in-a-while in public so that we may know some of the goings-on in government hitherto hidden to us. Since they will be talking from an advantaged position because of the facts and figures at their disposal, many things will be brought to light which we may never have heard of if not for their disagreement.

    So, these yesterday’s and today’s people should continue to wash their dirty linen in public, if that will make those in office to sit up. Being in power does not confer on one with superior knowledge. Those in power should not, therefore, see themselves as having all the answers to the problems of the country. Of course, those before them, who are today criticising them cannot claim to have found the answers for all the nation’s problems during their time. They have done their bit and left just as those in charge now will do theirs and leave. As the saying goes, ‘’no condition is permanent’’.

    In time, the people of today will become people of yesterday just as their predecessors with who they are now fighting. As I said, they should fight on as long as they tell us what they do in those secret places that have held us backward for long as a nation. Today’s office holders may find what their predecessors is doing to them repugnant, but if they are in those people’s shoes, won’t they do the same thing? Soon, very, very soon, they will leave office for the people of tomorrow. What will be their relationship with those people? Will it be different from that with their predecessors?

    Today’s people should not feel bad about what is happening now because, as my people will say ‘’na turn-by-turn’’. We are waiting to see if they will not talk if tomorrow’s office holders do certain things which they consider inimical to what today’s government stood for in its own time.

    Eagles of hope

    Like play, like play, the Super Eagles are in the final of the ongoing African Cup of Nations in South Africa. Nobody gave the team any chance of reaching this stage of the competition. Many of us believed that they would be defeated at the preliminary rounds. They survived that stage to confront the almighty Ivorian team in the quarterfinal. The Eagles defeated the Elephants of Cote D’ivoire 2-1 to meet the Eagles of Mali in yesterday’s semifinal. As I write this on Tuesday night, I am cocksure that the Super Eagles will beat Mali hands down. We are playing in the final of this tournament come what may. We may not have a superb team, but those guys are determined. They want to make a point that you don’t judge a book by its cover. Even if we don’t beat Mali, the Eagles have done something for their coach-they have saved Stephen Keshi’s job. The big boss should know the strategy to adopt against Mali having been that country’s national coach at a time. Goals, Eagles, goals, we need a basketful of them against Mali and your opponents in the final.

     

  • The aviation industry in Nigeria

    The aviation industry in Nigeria

    I have just returned from a trip to the UN in New York and during one of the committee sessions on the annual budget, there was a discussion on budgetary support for UN officials travelling in West Africa. One thing that struck me was the comment of a delegate I believe from the United States who remarked that travelling in West Africa is hazardous and that flying was particularly dangerous in Nigeria. And just as we were about to reply him, there was a news flash about the helicopter crash in which the Governor of Kaduna State, Mr Ibrahim Yakowa and the Former National Security Adviser, General Andrew Azazi died. There was no need after that time to try and challenge those who felt that travelling in West Africa was hazardous.

    Since I arrived back home a few days ago, I have been reading a report by Accenture of the challenge before the aviation industry in our country. It is sometimes with trepidation that many of us travel by air within our country. When I was much younger, I used to enjoy driving long distances in Nigeria, because this is the only way to know our country. But now with the collapse of the road infrastructure, and the high incidence of highway robbery, travelling by roads is now very unattractive. This means that we must do everything to improve the safety of air travel in Nigeria as well as wholesale rehabilitation of our road network. For a country that wants to be by 2020, one of the most developed countries in the world, the aviation industry would have to play an important role. We have heard government make pronouncement about making Lagos the hub of the aviation industry in West Africa.

    This desire flows from the fact that the population of Nigeria is greater than the population of the remaining 14 countries in ECOWAS put together. The economy of Nigeria is about three times the economy of the rest of ECOWAS. If Nigeria is to realize its potentialities, we must put resources into the development of the aviation industry. I do not think starting a new national airline is the best approach. The history of the defunct Nigeria Airways should lead us into another direction. What our government should do is to assist major private airlines that have the capacity to consolidate and pull their resources together and also open credit lines to them as well as guaranteed purchase of new aircrafts. But while doing this, the present capacity of the airlines should be the deciding factor. There are only one or two airlines that meet these criteria. All the other one plane airlines should be allowed to die. It is a pity that the entrance of Virgin Atlantic into the domestic airline business in Nigeria did not succeed. Government should continue to make the aviation industry attractive for foreign investment. The kind of investment being suggested is not the type that we’ve seen before, where few Asians would use the local banks to set up airlines with disastrous consequences. It should be possible as part of our bilateral relations with countries like the USA and Germany to induce Lufthansa and Delta Airlines to engage major private sector operators in setting up airlines.

    On a final note, our current Minister of Aviation, Mrs Stella Oduah deserves some commendation and praise in her policy of transformation of Nigerian Airports, particularly the major ones in Port Harcourt, Kano and Abuja. But I am sorry to say that the current expansion of the Lagos Airport leaves much to be desired. This expansion does not meet the volume of air traffic in our country. If our minister has not been to Atlanta, Georgia before, I will advise her to make a trip and do a study tour of that airport. The Lagos Airport is about one-fiftieth of the Atlanta International Airport, which is arguably the third largest Airport in the world and is a major hub of the aviation industry in the southern part of the U.S.

    What I am trying to say is that while the effort of the minister is commendable, it is not enough. We have to plan big and not just for the moment. After being away for four weeks, I arrived back in Nigeria on January 6, at Murtala Mohammed Airport and what I saw pleased me a little bit and at the same time displeased me to a great extent. After arrival, I was pleasantly surprised that the airport had been configured in such a way that we had to walk for maybe 10 minutes which is great compared with the previous dispensations. This is important to keep the blood flowing and our circulating system back to normal. But along the narrow passage through which we walked were broken down desk and tables which should have been removed, but are left blocking the pathway. But the master of all embarrassments was that we had to wait for three hours before we could get our luggage. On enquiry about what was responsible for this, we were told that the luggage is manually removed from the plane and manually put on the conveyor belt and there was only one that was working. After hours of flying nobody likes to face this kind of delay. I could see the feeling of derision in the faces of foreigners in our midst and many Nigerians were saying unprintable things about our country and its leadership. The challenge therefore for our hardworking minister of aviation is that she must be on her toes and move round, not just sitting in Abuja, to see what’s going on at the major entry points of our country. She’s doing well, but she can do better.

    Let me say as a form of advice, that there is no need to always reduce everything in this country to politics. Aviation is a technical matter and those who should run the industry should not be politicians, but people knowledgeable and au courant in aviation know-how. From the ladies announcing the arrival and departure of airlines to flight controllers and managers of the airport; professionalism should be the yardstick of recruitment and not politics or ethnicity. On a light note, the ladies making announcements at the airports need to be tutored possibly by those who speak English and French as their mother tongue. The one who was announcing arrival and departure of flights on the night of January 6, should be given a desk job while someone who can speak English and French properly without our heavy local accent should be recruited. If she wants the job of an announcer, she should wait until Hausa, Ibo and Yoruba become languages of international and aviation communication.

     

  • A Nigerian Spring – Long Overdue

    A Nigerian Spring – Long Overdue

    I was a visiting professor in Paris last fall and it was the first day of class. I was making copies for my 10:30 class at the faculty lounge where two female professors were kibitzing by the coffee machine.

    “Oh, yeah,” one said. “Soon as I learned he’s Nigerian, I discounted everything he’d said as fraud.”

    “Smart move,” agreed the other, nodding, “nothing good’s ever come out of that country. …”

    I cringed, held my breath and skedaddled on to my classroom, where my students wanted to know my nationality. I’m American. “Bot Professa,” an African student’s hand flew up, “ware you from originally? I hear the voice of Africa.”

    I inhaled deeply, chuckled but ignored that question.

    When I left Nigeria for the United States in 1980, the plan was to earn an M.B.A., a doctorate in economics, and then return. It was my moral obligation to help develop my country, whose oil wealth financed my education. An M.B.A., a Ph.D. and 32 years later, I’m still here, abroad. In 1992, when I applied for a position at my alma mater, the University of Ibadan, the dean replied, “Why on earth would you want to return when everybody’s trying to escape?” No one’s been paid for over three months, he explained, and universities are on strike half the time.

    Twenty years later, Nigeria can still bring the crazy.

    In 1980, the naira had a very favorable exchange rate against the dollar. En route to the United States, I stopped over in London. All along King’s Road, the shopkeepers beckoned: “Nigerian? Welcome. Come inside.” I was proud to be from Nigeria and was offended when the country was confused with Niger. But, today, if I can pass for someone from Niger — sadly, I would be glad.

    Is there a person on the planet who remains unfamiliar with the Nigerian e-mail scam? As a Nigerian living abroad, I’ve become embarrassed — indeed scared — after learning that in February 2003 a Czech victim of an Internet fraud murdered an innocent Nigerian in Prague.

    That isn’t the scariest narrative — not by a long shot. In recent years, Nigerians abroad have been warned: “Don’t come home. Just send money.” But if one must, say, attend a wedding, a funeral or take a chieftaincy title, it is necessary to hire prearranged police protection from the moment you land at the airport until the moment you depart.

    Last summer, my ailing 87-year-old mother, worried that her days are numbered, called a family reunion for Christmas. My three U.S.-based siblings and I made plans to return home with all our kids. At the last minute, my brother sent an e-mail canceling the reunion. “What?” my daughter said, her glass of iced tea slipping out of her hands and shattering on the tile floor. Uncle Tony can’t guarantee our safety in Nigeria, I explained.

    “What about hired armed security like the last time?” she inquired. I showed her the link to the news report my brother had sent headlined, “Gunmen Kill U.S. Returnee in Enugu,” his hometown in Nigeria.

    Ogbo Edoga had returned from the United States to attend the meeting of an organisation of Nigerian professionals in the United States to raise funds for an ultramodern medical diagnostic center in his ancestral village. On his way, he was robbed and shot and killed with an AK-47. He had hired police protection, as had many Nigerians who visited our motherland only to be robbed and murdered. The lucky ones got kidnapped and released after their families paid a huge ransom. And now, Mom’s joined the choir: “Don’t come home.”

    Here’s what is shameful: This is the Nigeria that has been one of the world’s top 10 oil exporters for decades; the presumed “Giant of Africa” when I was leaving in 1980. But three decades later, despite a half-century of billions of petrodollar inflow, in March 2011, at a World Bank-O.E.C.D. conference in Paris, I found myself sliding down my chair to hide my face behind my laptop as a fellow economist explained why Nigeria was excluded in a comparative study thusly: Since Nigeria (with South Africa) dominates the Sub-Saharan African economy and since Nigeria does so poorly at wealth creation, if included, it would render Sub-Saharan Africa’s genuine savings dwarfish vis-à-vis East Asia and Latin America.

    Here’s the thing: One doesn’t need a Ph.D. in economics to understand the correlation between poverty and today’s high crime rate in Nigeria. When corrupt politicians persistently embezzle public funds rather than produce proper policies, the result is a stagnant economy and its attendant human misery — high unemployment and massive poverty. Marginalised youths resort to Internet scams, kidnapping, or join Boko Haram. When the police go unpaid for months, the citizens become the logical prey.

    That’s where Nigeria is today. It will not change until we, the people, join in a mass outrage against corruption, demand transparent accounting of our oil revenues and economic justice. Only then will an honest leadership emerge to invest a fair share of the oil revenues in capital in such a way as to permanently raise the consumption level of the masses. Otherwise we Nigerian expatriates — the most educated immigrant group in the United States — will remain in exile, and Nigeria will remain a breeding ground for terrorism.

    Is there an Honest Ernest among Nigerians who is able to galvanise us? Can something that good come out of Nigeria? That’s a palm reader’s guess.

     

  • Rains; NASS’ women; After NASS dollars – ABCD-A Bag of Corruption Diamonds?; N23.5b- Murder charges?

    Rains; NASS’ women; After NASS dollars – ABCD-A Bag of Corruption Diamonds?; N23.5b- Murder charges?

    Another $1,000,000,000 or N155,000,000,000 or N1,550/Nigeria from Excess Crude Account. Yet governments fail to provide water, transport, education and power for business, domestic and recreation. Will the $1 billion just buy jets or diamonds?

    Nigeria’s rainy season must never again stop road maintenance work for 4-6months. Let the 2013 road maintenance motto be ‘Make Nigerian Roads Pothole-Free Year-round!’ It rains for only 50% of rainy season days. There is a quick-dry pothole filler and boots.

    The ban on network promos is a victory for citizens who have that money in the pocket estimated at N10+billion/annum. Hurray!

    When you question National Assembly (NASS) and government, you are attacked, sacked, or taken to court as a criminal or rubbished. The malignant pursuit of Oby Ezekwesili over government’s accountability for $67,000,000,000 or N10,050,000,000,000 or $670/Nigerian or N100,500/Nigerian is typical. Government should answer the question, ignoring her record or any perceived First Lady or Madam President political aspirations. Many have suffered imprisonment and execution for daring government. Remember the malicious entrapment of Professor Nike Grange and her court clearance two years later.

    Government and NASS’ ‘NASSty’ antics are like the Roman Emperor and Senate with the Roman Coliseum being both the NASS floor and ‘Public Hearings’ where citizens are torn to pieces by ‘NASS lions’. The NASS herd instinct shows against NASS’ women victims. Was Onagoruwa dismissed for ‘incompetence’ or ‘over-competence’ and stopping thieving politicians? The cases of whistle-blowing Oteh and Ezekwesili are fresh. There is Demuren thrown in for sex balancing. How much of this is ‘bad belle’ in NASS? Nigerians must be sceptical when NASS cries ‘wolf’. Too many wolves are in NASS, in sheep’s clothing and diverting attention from their irresponsibly high Salaries and Perks, ‘SAPing’ Nigeria dry. Serving NASS members give out N35-100,000,000 each as ‘constitutional grants/gifts’ totalling N15billion. Channel this money through government. The NASS investigation of the Sure –Plus also smells of NASS greed. As lawmakers, NASS in 2013 must stop being contractors, directly or by proxy.

    We need an arbitrator because the NASS should not be judge and jury and may not represent the people over its own interests and bias. We need judicial panels of enquiry, independent of NASS and government. Nigeria cannot survive many more multi-billion scams. Government since 1999 has failed responsibility for preventing stealing in its highly paid staff. Anti-corruption goes beyond rhetoric, posters, T-shirts and caps, hamstrung anti-corruption organisations and neglected police from pigsty colleges after paying N30,000 for entry form – scams exposed by NASS and Channels TV Award winning documentary. Government must think and introduce ways to prevent more ‘Financial Terrorism’ impoverishing citizens.

    Tell your children that Nigeria is wealthy, but abandoned to avaricious, malicious, unloving political, civil service and contractor robbery gangs. We are so mediocre that we over-celebrate a good flyover and most politicians call for Public Private Partnerships to cover up theft. All but a few of our leaders are short on vision, moral and fiscal probity and social responsibility.

    What level will corruption reach in 2013? Are EFCC and ICP strategising to proactively counter it? We know about bulky naira, slim dollars and sex as bribes. But as Otedola/ Lawan may know, cash is difficult to conceal even in a hat. Could we have flamboyant political wives, expensive girlfriends and political WIP, ‘Women In Power’, preferring ‘Naomi Campbell/ Taylor’ ‘love’ diamonds to dollars. They are concealable in eba and play boxes of grandchildren where EFCC may miss an ABCD – ‘A Bag of Cut Diamonds’. While you wait to see some VIP, the secretary may sing ‘Diamonds are madam’s best friend’ or ask the oga’s PA what is her favourite Bond film? You guessed it -‘Diamonds are forever’. Do not rush abroad to order ‘A Bag of Corruption Diamonds’.

    In 2013, governments must be pre-emptive and put job creating, money saving, 5-10,000 roving EFCC, ICPC financial ‘follow the money’ book keeping, computer literate audit staff and computerised auditing everywhere as ‘Preventive Anti-Corruption Drives’. Computerisation is resisted by crooked staff. Is NPA computerised? Ask Pa Anenih. Stop corruption in NPA in 2013! Jail the monitors with the crooks if they take bribes.

    ‘Catch Corruption Early’ should be the 2013 anticorruption slogan as Nigeria cannot survive such huge losses. Why was the pension fraud not discovered early, at N1m or even N10m? Find out and correct this on NPA and elsewhere now.

    The monitoring auditors and Directors should be tried for ‘dereliction of duty’ and ‘Financial Terrorism’. Nigeria’s financial incompetence has allowed one individual, with accomplices to ‘disappear’ more than N23,500,000,000 or $150,000,000 or N250/Nigerian or N80,000/serving police man and woman. Did past IGPs benefit? Are all involved being persecuted? How much did he retain? Can EFCC remain incorruptible? ‘Class action’ and individual legal cases of ‘negligence’, ‘theft’, murder’ and ‘Grievous Mental and Bodily Harm- GMBH, can be brought by police and surviving family.

    Then he can be tried by government for financial terrorism, malignant incompetence and anti-government activities which have done more damage, killed more and caused more misery than Boko Haram and MEND together. He smiles arrogantly having taken N23.5+ billion from police known for extra-judicial killings and accidental discharge for N20.

    A country’s financial controls are as important as physical police controls to security. Pre-emptive strike forensic audit vigilance can prevent such scams. Police pensioners say no diversionary ‘Go for Verification or Biometric Data Capture’ in the sun. Pay them quickly. Nigerians must stop needless suffering!

  • Mali, not Afghanistan

    Mali, not Afghanistan

    Since the campaign by the French Army to free Northern Mali from the iron grip of the Islamic fundamentalists began a few weeks ago, the Nigerian government has been labouring profusely to justify the entry of its troops into the fray. The Malian government was rendered dysfunctional in March, last year, following a military coup which toppled the government of President Amadou Toumani Toure. Amadou Sanogo, a Captain and leader of the coup, had called for external help to enable the war-weary Malian Army to stop the temerity of the rebels who had taken over a number of key towns in the North of Mali.

    His pleas were ignored. Instead, the African Union, AU, suspended Mali. The AU later struck a deal with the coup leaders to allow President Toure to resign. Part of it was to restore civilian rule which finally saw Dioncounda Traore, the Speaker of the Parliament, sworn in as the Interim President on April 11, 2012. The army thereafter retreated from the North of the country, thereby giving a free reign for a plethora of armed groups to fill the void. These are disparate armed groups all of which have different aims and motivations. They were soon joined by Islamists, many of whom had been displaced from Libya after the fall and eventual death of Muammar Gaddafi in October 2011.

    The Islamist insurgents, who were obviously well-equipped with tested fighters, weapons and free cash, soon overwhelmed other militias and took over the whole of Northern Mali. This started the ‘balkanization’ and bastardization of Mali as various World Heritage Sites, which abound in the rebel-held areas, were systematically desecrated and destroyed. Tied to an Al-Qaeda group in the Maghreb, which in itself, is a franchise of the original Al-Qaeda, the quest of the Islamic fundamentalists was to foist their own brand of stringent Sharia laws on the whole of Mali. Of course, this portends danger for Mali, the entire West African sub-region and the world at large.

    All the AU could do was to engage in mere rhetoric while the extremists dug deeper. By January, this year, the rebels started making preparations to launch a final offensive on the south of the country. This would have brought the entire country under the control of the extremists. This would have also emboldened Al-Qaeda in North Africa to secure a launch pad for the total destruction of the weak governments in Africa, especially West Africa.

    While he held sway as Libyan leader, the late Gaddafi never hid his expansionist agenda which was to control the whole of Africa. He had sold the idea of one United Africa with one President to his other African brothers. When he saw that nobody was ready to buy this, he resorted to buying arms and ammunition which he stockpiled in several locations in the vast desert of Libya.

    With the whole of Libya now turned into one huge warehouse for weapons of mass destruction, Gaddafi planned and executed many sinister plots across the African continent and beyond. He was involved in the wars in Liberia, Cote D’Ivoire, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Somalia, Chad and other troubled spots in Africa. In other parts of the world, he actively sponsored acts of terrorism. One of it was the terrorist attack on the Pan-Am Airline Flight 103, which was brought down over Lockerbie, Scotland, in 1988, killing all the 270 people on board.

    Gaddafi’s ignominious death in 2011 opened a new bastion in terrorists’ war in Africa as all the warehouses harbouring his weapons were left at the vagaries of armed groups which plundered them. Some of them looted the armoury and got additional supplies from Gaddafi’s men who were out to make quick money.

    However, throughout his reign, Gaddafi could not properly penetrate the countries in the northern part of Africa as their economies and governments were stronger than those of the poor countries in West Africa. Charles Taylor, the disgraced former President of Liberia, was a beneficiary of Gaddafi’s poisoned chalice. Another was Blaise Campaore, the pseudo-revolutionary who holds sway in Burkina Faso. Regrettably, both Burkina Faso and Cote D’Ivoire were the routes through which Gaddafi got his weapons across to rebels in Liberia and Sierra Leone during their civil war years. Cote D’Ivoire later paid a price for this by the bloodletting that confronted the country in the recent past.

    Now, poor Mali has come under the jackboots of foreign troops fighting to liberate it from the clutches of Islamic fundamentalists. The French government, its former colonial master, took the lead by dispatching its troops, which stopped the rebels from advancing to the south of the country. Through ceaseless aerial bombardments, they have captured all the rebels’ strongholds. But the French troops will not be available to go all out on any ground assault to totally cleanse the place of the remnants of the rebels who may have taken sanctuary in the desert. Nigeria is at the head of the more than 3,000-strong African forces under the auspices of the Economic Community of West African States, ECOWAS, which have been arriving in Bamako in trickles to undertake the ground offensive.

    Currently, Nigeria is bedeviled by deadly exploits of some extremists believed to have a modicum of ties with the insurgents in Mali. Though the attacks are confined to the northern part of the country, its debilitating effects on the entire country and the West African sub-region is being felt rather than imagined.

    Therefore, the logic of Nigeria’s involvement in Mali is that it is quite easier and cheaper, in terms of human and material resources, to fight terrorism outside the shores of the country than within. In other words, it is far better to confront the growing ‘Al-Qaeda’ influence in Mali and smash it than wait for the insurgency to be exported into the country through the porous borders in the North.

    Furthermore, Mauritania, Libya, Tunisia, Burkina Faso, Niger and Algeria are quite vulnerable to attacks by these rebels. Particularly, Niger and Algeria borders are extremely porous, and neither government has had the effrontery to halt the weapon flow into and through their countries to other parts of West Africa, especially Nigeria. Nigeria shares a vast border with Niger Republic. Besides, the recent terrorists’ attack on a gas plant in Algeria has signaled what to expect in other parts of Africa if preemptive action is not taken to nip the growing insurgency in the continent in the bud.

    But one problem remains. The African troops in the Mali campaign will require enormous assistance from external bodies in terms of training, weapons and other logistics of war. It will be recalled that during the war in Liberia, some of the African troops which were brought into the theatre of war were grossly under-equipped. They had neither boots nor weapons to fight because most of the West African leaders prefer to keep their army ill-equipped to stave off coups against their regimes.

    Another major thing that is worth attention is: what becomes of the rebels who have abandoned their positions in Northern Mali and took to their heels? They are probably locked up in the vast deserts and mountains of Northern Mali where they could instigate guerilla warfare at their whim to destabilize Mali from time to time. They could have also taken refuge somewhere in the Sahel, where they could regroup and carry out their attacks on any part of the West African sub-region. This is why everything must be done to forestall the rise of another Afghanistan in Africa.

    The recent pledge of an initial contribution of $50 million into the estimated $1 billion funds for the war efforts in Mali by AU members in Addis Ababa, underscores the seriousness attached to the Malian crisis by African governments. Therefore, the adventure in Mali is in Nigeria’s interest, the interest of the West African sub-region, Africa and the whole world to deal extremism a decisive blow in order to achieve sustainable peace and progress.

     

     

     

     

     

     

  • Soludo:  A quest renewed

    Soludo: A quest renewed

    The last time they talked him into bidding for the PDP ticket in Anambra State’s gubernatorial race, the quest almost ended before it got under way.

    The “He” in this case, is Charles Chukwuma Soludo, decompressing in London, still not fully recovered from being edged out of his perch as Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria.

    The “they” here is rather amorphous, but the principal figure was President Umaru Yar’Adua, the person who had signed off on Soludo’s defenestration from the CBN, with other persons of consequence in the PDP who were forever scheming to “capture “ those states not governed by the biggest party in Africa.

    In his revealing January 21, 2013, Op-Ed piece for THISDAY (“What Obasanjo and Yar’Adua told me”) Soludo recalled how, on inquiring about him, Yar’Adua had been told that he was holidaying abroad and how he had been told that Yar’Adua would like to meet with him on his return.

    Their goal, Yar’Adua told Soludo when they finally met on July 26, 2009, was to get him voted governor of Anambra State in the election scheduled for February 2010 so as to finally endow the state with the leadership it had never had the good fortune to enjoy – the kind of leadership encapsulated in the technocratic skills Soludo had applied to nation’s economy and financial system, as well as his accomplishments in those fields.

    Why then was he denied a second term at the CBN?

    But I digress.

    If Soludo thought this was a fanciful goal, considering the power of incumbency in Nigerian politics and the rugged tenacity that the incumbent, Peter Obi, of the ANPP, had displayed over the years, not forgetting the malignant influence of the Ubah clan on the political life of the state, his diffidence must have dissolved there and then.

    Himself The Fixer, Tony Anenih, he was told, had been mobilised for the project and could hardly wait to go into action, if only to demonstrate that, recent setbacks not-withstanding, he was still a past master at turning losers into winners and winners into losers.

    Soludo did not have to make any commitment then. He should go discuss the matter with his family and associates. But if he decided to run, he would enter the race knowing that Yar’Adua would “come out fully” to ensure that he won the prize.

    His wife stood resolutely against the idea, but Soludo felt sufficiently buoyed by his consultations with friends and associates to tell Yar’Adua one month later that he was in the race, though not without preconditions.

    The Federal Government would have to build an airport and dredge the River Niger to enable medium-sized ships sail all the way to Onitsha, where an international seaport would have to be constructed. The Anambra-Kogi road would have to be upgraded to a dual-carriage highway. Because one-third of its land mass was threatened by soil erosion, Anambra would have to be given special drawing rights from the Ecological Fund.

    Nor was that all.

    The Federal Government would also have to complete the Greater Onitsha water scheme, designate Anambra an oil-producing state, and as a “pilot state” for large-scale commercial agriculture. Finally, it would have to speed up construction of the second Niger Bridge.

    With these things in place, Soludo said, he was confident that, after two terms of working 24 hours a day, he would have transformed Anambra to the point that Federal allocations would be devoted wholly to capital projects. Re-current expenditure would be wholly internally generated.

    But with all these things in place, who needs Soludo’s intimidating antecedents and credentials to transform Anambra into “an international city”? And why would the Federal Government do those things for Anambra and not for other states?

    But I digress again.

    The important thing is that Yar’Adua agreed to all these demands, according to Soludo, who then asked for four more weeks for wider consultations. The deal was sealed.

    Thereafter, the waters got muddied.

    Yar’Adua fell ill, went to seek treatment in Saudi Arabia, and was never in control again. Soludo’s78-year-old father was kidnapped. His captors demanded a ransom of N500 million, but later reduced it to N300 million, warning darkly that “the worst” would happen if the demand was not met promptly.They freed him unharmed after six weeks, under terms that were never disclosed.

    Soludo’s opponents sought to envelope him in scandal, charging that he had profited from improprieties in the printing of small denomination polymer banknotes handled by an Australian company when he was CBN governor. More than 1,300 petitions were filed, their major contention being that “outsiders “ were trying to impose Soludo on the Anambra State branch of the PDP. The petitions moved the PDP to suspend the party primaries indefinitely.

    When the process finally got under way, party officials had to be imported from Benue State to conduct the election of delegates. Following a shuffling and reshuffling of the delegates, the PDP and the Independent National Electoral Commission declared Soludo winner of the ticket.

    The high court voided the outcome. That verdict was affirmed on appeal, but reversed by the Supreme Court, just in time for the election proper

    In the event, Peter Obi was reelected governor.Soludo placed third, with just under 20 percent of the vote, behind second-place winner Chris Ngige. The Fixer apparently went missing in action, or was thoroughly out-fixed.

    Running for governor of Anambra again after this ordeal should be the last thing on the mind of the average political aspirant. No outcome is guaranteed. President Goodluck Jonathan cannot even guarantee his own re-election, much less that of another. The Ubah clan feels as entitled as ever. As for the Fixer, let us just say that his victims have wised up to his tactics.

    But Soludo is not your average aspirant.

    With one deft stroke, he has served early notice of his intent to enter the fray. “The penalty good men pay for indifference to public affairs,” he wrote, echoing Plato, “is to be ruled by evil men.”

    Bravo, Chuma. May your example pervade this land of little men – and women –in big boots.

    This time around, you cannot move your father and closest relations to safe locations early enough.

     

  • Obi and security in Anambra

    Obi and security in Anambra

    Whenever the Christmas Season is approaching, the Igbos naturally look forward to it with great enthusiasm. It is not just a moment in time to travel home to enjoy the season, but it also serves as the period when relations meet to interact, organize community programmes and end of year parties and generally be at peace with one another. But unfortunately, in the past few years, the fear of kidnappers and armed robbers and their cohorts, had so haunted the society that most Igbos did not deem it safe and wise to travel home to the East for the Yuletide.

    However, this last Christmas and New Year celebrations in Anambra State, for instance, was quite remarkable for Anambrarians. Based on newspaper reports and the testimonies of some who travelled, Anambra State was very save and conducive for the celebrations. Those who were home for the first time in many years actually found time to savour the beauty and joy of Christmas because not only that security was in place, the government of Peter Obi was equal to the task.

    With the dismantling of the kidnapping gangs and kingpins in the state, Governor Obi has shown that with the necessary political will, a good leader can set an enviable precedence for others to follow. Before now, a gang of kidnappers led by Ofeakwu, a native of Oraifife in Ekwusigo Local government area of the state had held the whole state hostage. Ofeakwu’s exploits and those of his gangs were so grave and daring, that the governor quickly mustered forces with security agencies to go after them. His action was so decisive and swift that it took all by surprise.

    At the end of the day, the governor made it clear to the people of the state and indeed the while nation that for one to fight criminals as organized and as rich as the kidnappers were the best thing to do was to first of all cripple and dislodge their economic and financial powers. This was what Peter Obi did and for the first time in the history of the state, a determined governor set bulldozers and caterpillars into remote villages and towns to pull down houses built by criminals with blood and ill-gotten money.

    Governor Obi’s political resolve as a leader has indeed led to the peaceful atmosphere that exists in the state today. If you want to catch a thief, like it is usually said in Igbo land, you have to be smatter than the thief. And if you can successfully puncture his ego and source of wealth and cage those who are behind him, the rest is history. This was what happened all over the state when the government began to go from town to town based on security reports and information to fish out the criminals and drive them into the abyss. This approach shows that no single person or group of persons can be stronger than the state.

    Obi must have taken a lesson or two from the tactics employed by former president of Brazil, Lula Da-Silva. When Da-Silva took over as the first democratically elected president in the history of Brazil in many years, the economy was in shambles. Ordinarily, Brazil had no reason to be a poor nation, given that there were abundant resources to make the society great.

    But Da-Silva went to work. He promised the people that he would cripple the economic powers of their generals who had impoverished the system for far too long. As a political hawk and a no-nonsense leader, Da-Silva truly stepped on toes, very huge toes for that matter in the process of sanitizing the system. Many people kicked, while others attacked him, threatening to unleash terror on him for daring to go where angels feared to tread. But Da-Silva remained undaunted.

    By the time he left office three years ago, Brazil had become the 6th largest economy in the world. All it takes to make a system work for the good of the populace is just the application of the necessary political will. This is what Obi has done, but he needs to do more. He needs to go after the so-called untouchables and bigwigs in the state. Those super-rich people who are really the ones sponsoring crime and gaining from the socio-political and economic turbulence that prevail in the state, need to be taught a lesson.

    No one can say exactly who these people are or where they get their money from which enables them to continue to torment the state. However, Obi can equally rely on the same tactics he has been employing so far or something more superior to hoodwink these people. He has to find them wherever they are, uproot them so as to make Anambra totally free from the grip of darkness, witches and wizards.

    It was a good thing that Chief Tobias Okemadu, a prominent community leader in the state could travel home for Christmas for the first time in three years. “I went home due to the assurances given to us by Governor Obi. I must tell you that I didn’t have any regret. I had no reason to fear for my life or those of my household” he said.

    In a place like Anambra State, a leader has to have a heart of stone to be able to rule and make the desired impact. Obi has such heart, and that is perhaps why a lot of people have chosen to call him Okwute.

    Okwute simply means the rock, a man with the heart of a lion. And Christ the Messiah had told Peter the Apostle in the scripture “you are the rock, upon you I’ll build my Church… Powers of the under world cannot prevail upon you…”

    Darkness and light do not meet. They have no reason whatever to meet either, if the people can fight conscientiously to free thousands from the hold of powers and principalities. In this fight to free the state, the people have to combine forces with the government to make it work; to make freedom and peace permeate the society.

    No leader, no matter how powerful or strong or committed he is can fight crime alone. It is the people who provide the information while the government puts in place the logistics and financial muscle to make the fight effective and purposeful. Obi needs the cooperation of the people to make the state an Eldorado, an investment haven for all and sundry so that all subsequent Yuletide celebrations in the state will be crime-free.

     

    • Udeze writes from Lagos.

     

  • As Mali begins to pay off

    As Mali begins to pay off

    It is early days yet to begin to count the gains of Nigeria’s decision to send troops and military equipment to Mali to help secure that country’s territorial integrity being breached by al Qeada inspired Tuareg rebels in the north. But it is very glaring from the unexpected offer of ceasefire by a faction of the terror group that has been troubling Nigeria for some time now, that at last, President Goodluck Jonathan has done one thing right.

    With French fighter jets raining bombs on rebel targets in northern Mali and ground troops pursuing them deep into the desert, the terrorists collaborators in Nigeria under the aegis of Boko Haram suddenly announced last week they were ready for peace in their three-year long or so campaign of terror in most part of northern Nigeria.

    Why now you may want to ask especially after series of failed attempts by the Federal government to dialogue with the murderous group? Simple. With Al Qeada in the Maghreb on its way out of northern Mali, Boko Haram’s base for ideological, military, as well as financial support is on the verge of destruction and the most sensible thing for the Nigerian terror group to do is to seek peace at home or be wiped out like their brothers in northern Mali.

    So make no mistake about it, these guys are waving the olive branch now not because they are tired of killing more innocent souls or genuinely repentant but to save their necks from a brutal end that awaits them in the hands of Nigerian forces now that their main backers are on the run in northern Mali.

    It is no secret that Mali, Senegal and some other countries in that region have been a source of instability to the area now called northern Nigeria way back in history. Those conversant with the history of West Africa and its great empires of Mali, Songhai and Ghana that preceded the partitioning of Africa by European powers in the 19th century would attest to the fact that the northern belt of West Africa, the Sahara region, was so fluid that it kept on changing hands depending on which empire was rising and which one was falling.

    The Fulani from Senegal/Mali moved across the desert to destabilize the Hausa states in today’s northern Nigeria in the run up to the arrival of the British colonialists. The Trans Saharan trade of old had constantly linked the Sahara region of West Africa with the Arabs/Berbers of North Africa who largely influenced, for good or for bad, events in northern Nigeria.

    Just as an average Yoruba man could move across the border to Benin Republic, Togo and even Ghana as if he was going to the next village, so is the case with movement across the border from northern Nigeria to the other parts of the Sahara region irrespective of the artificial borders created by the Europeans.

    So spurred on by whatever was the reason for their taking up arms against the Nigerian state, Boko Haram operatives or recruits strolled across the border into Niger and Mali for training in terrorist activities and on graduation returned to Nigeria to cause havoc. It is that simple, yes. You only need to go to any of our land borders either in the east, west, north or south and witness what I am talking about. Because most of those living in the border communities most certainly have cousins, nephews and whatever relation across the border, it is often very difficult to regulate movement in those areas, so it is not a surprise that that Boko Haram could send people to northern Mali for terrorist training and they returned home even with arms undetected. So if we can’t get them here, doesn’t it make sense for us to go after them where they receive their training and indoctrination? I think that explains Jonathan’s decision to send our boys to Mali. And I think he got it right.

    And with Mali too hot for Boko Haram’s minders what do we do with their offer of ceasefire back home here, even if it came from a splinter group? Two things, Nigeria can chose to ignore the offer and go after them militarily as it has been doing for some time now albeit with limited success, or embrace the splinter group and use it to get to the other factions either to negotiate or fight them.

    While it is easier to say go after them forcefully now that the group appears to be weak it might not work out well at the end of the day especially if the group decides to damn the consequence and go for broke. I think the offer, minus the conditions attached is a window of opportunity to end this insurgence once and for all and save the nation, especially the north, from further unnecessary bloodshed.

    With France leading the successful assault against terror in Mali, the rank of the Tuareg rebels aligned with al Qeada in the north seem to have been broken with some factions distancing themselves from the main al Qeada in the Maghreb and have offered to fight alongside France and the Nigerian led West African liberation troops to drive out the main terror group. And France has not said no, in fact, these repentant factions have joined the war against al Qeada. So, why can’t we do the same?

    But in welcoming this ceasefire there is need for caution. There should be no lowering of guard and there should be no pre-conditions. If the Boko Haram faction genuinely and sincerely believes in ending their murderous ways and embrace peace it should not give any condition. It should rather engage in negotiation with the Federal Government and collaborate with the authorities to either bring the other factions on board or assist in defeating them militarily. Anything otherwise would indicate lack of sincerity in their ceasefire offer. And if the faction eventually agree to negotiate without condition, the Federal Government should also be flexible in their dealings with them and be ready to bend over backwards to accommodate them in a broader peace plan for the north. We’ve had too much bloodshed in this country that anything that could help stop it should be welcomed but not at the expense of the country.

  • Amnesia or amnesty?

    Amnesia or amnesty?

    I do not think anybody ever doubted that the federal government would, at some point, surrender to the artful manoeuvres of the Boko Haram terrorists and their hordes of sympathisers. I had predicted that it was only a matter of time before the federal government went for the old template of appeasement now described as amnesty.

    Well, that moment seems to have come, finally. On Monday last week, the sect declared a unilateral ‘ceasefire’ after a reported closed door meeting with the Borno State Governor, Alhaji Kashim Shettima and his top officials as well as religious leaders from the state.

    The commander-in-charge of North and Central Borno, Sheikh Abu Mohammad Abdulazeez Ibn Idris, who briefed the media shortly after the meeting stated that the group had agreed to lay down their arms and embrace peace after due consultation with the leader of the sect, Sheikh Abubakar Shekau, as well as intervention and pleading from respected individuals and groups in the state.

    There was also a proviso that government immediately release all their members from custody unconditionally, rebuild their places of worship, and compensate them. And as proof that the group still retained a shred of humanity, its leader would not just acknowledge but was actually quoted as lamenting that “a lot of Muslim women and children have suffered”! Really?

    Quite expectedly, it was the moment for the weary, frustrated and increasingly out-of-depth but policy-challenged federal government to swing in into frenzy. On Saturday, Vice President Namadi Sambo sneaked into Maiduguri, the Borno State capital – the first by any high official of the Jonathan presidency and perhaps the federal government since the insurgency blew into full scale terror in 2009. Earlier the pacifist Borno Elders Forum had latched on the ceasefire offer to demand that federal government accept the offer, perhaps without preconditions! The group leader and elder-statesman, Shettima Ali Mongunno was unusually ecstatic: “we expect that they (the federal government) will embrace this positive opening and capitalise on it in order to open wider space for sustainable peace”.

    Victory at last? Well, I hope.

    At this point, it seems necessary to look at the prognosis – possibly the events that have made ceasefire suddenly attractive. First, so-called war has become un-winnable in the increasing unlikelihood that the federal government will accede to the demand by the Borno Elders Forum to pull back the forces of the military Joint Task Force anytime soon. Second, the Boko Haram’s tactics, by now familiar, are such that Nigerians are far less disposed to accord them further psychological advantage that they once enjoyed. The third point is that the developments in Mali and the foul mood it has spawned in the international community has made the unilateral offer of ceasefire not only pragmatic but inevitable.

    Having said that however, the ceasefire offer seems to me the first of a two-part play. The first part involves the use of the template– the mechanism which apart from excusing the government of the rigour of multi-level engagement that had long been canvassed, fits snugly into the culture of trading peace for cash. The other half of the package is the push for blanket pardon for the class of mass murderers.

    I must say that the latter, when it finally happens as I am sure it will, can only take the nation to a new depth of low even by Nigeria’s bizarre standards of public policy and morality. Yes, Nigeria continues to sink on virtually all indices of human development. It seems to me really, a different kind of call for a self-respecting government to be asked to sit at communion table with terrorists for some payout negotiations.

    In case the federal government pretends not to know, there is a world of difference between the Niger Delta militancy and the variant of terror unleashed by the Boko Haram. At least we knew what the Niger Delta militants wanted. Theirs was a quest to control the resources beneath their soil. Their main target was the oil industry infrastructure and different classes of actors in the oil industry chain. Kidnapping and other forms of terror were merely deployed in furtherance of their objectives. That obviously explains why it was fairly easy to draw the gangs from the creeks into the open with promises of amnesty and other goodies. It is therefore given that the current peace will hold for as long as the flow of goodies to ex-militants is not disrupted or threatened.

    But the atavistic Boko Haram? How do you place a maniacal group which seeks rewards of multiple score virgins only in heaven’s tableland? Ship them to a colony of delectable virgins where they can have their heart’s content?

    Has anyone considered the difficulties in reconciling the long term demands of the sect with those of a modern, secular, self-respecting and orderly society? Do we then surrender to the crazy demand for a theocratic space within the polity without altering the notion of sovereignty as we know it?

    And the fundamentalist ideology which feeds the insurgency? What chance does the federal government have to extirpate it? Or is the current quest merely about purchasing peace at all costs?

    What happens 10, 15, 20 years from now? Where does one begin the discussion on accommodation for the crime of mass murder?

    Let’s look at what the group is putting on the table in the so-called ceasefire. They want their members released from custody – unconditionally. In other words, for the federal government to overlook the grievous crimes committed against the state. Note that the crime here is mass murder. Also, the group wants their places of worship rebuilt. They want compensation for their members. I hear the figure of N26 billion has been proposed.

    To the group and their cohorts, injury to victims and their relations, not to talk of the larger society, counts for pretty little. No, the lives of innocent citizens, many of them women and children, gruesomely terminated in their places of worship do not matter. The scores of religious houses brought down by their lethal bombs obviously means nothing? For Boko Haram and their sympathisers, justice is akin to living in mortal dread of their terror.

    Still want to ask what I think of the ceasefire business? Amnesia would seem to me as by far, more preferable. That way, we won’t have to worry about ever calling anybody to account for crimes against humanity, or contemptible aversion for basic universal standards of justice and humanity.

    By all means, let’s have the amnesty – a comprehensive one at that – for all manners of crimes under the sun. After all, isn’t it said that all have sinned?

    As for when the nation would rise up to say ‘no more’, I don’t think we are there yet. At least, not now or in the foreseeable future.

  • For the North

    For the North

    Three events happened last week that, if explored, could lead to useful talks on a Nigeria structured on productive federalism.

    On January 28, Boko Haram, like a bolt from the blue, declared a unilateral ceasefire, on the condition that its destroyed mosques are rebuilt, the state pay compensation for past alleged abuses on its members and a general amnesty is declared, setting its members in gaol free.

    The pronouncer of the “ceasefire” was one Sheik Abu Mohammed Abdulazeez Ibn Idris, self-announced Boko Haram “second commander” for north and central Borno (Borno is the epicentre of the insurrection), who claimed a (divine?) charter from Abubakar Shekau, his leader, to announce the “ceasefire”. He spoke in Maiduguri.

    On the same day, a conclave of “northern elders” under the aegis of the Northern Development Focus Initiative (NDFI), met in Kano to throw their weight behind the Boko Haram offer. Now, was this support a coincidence? Or was it choreographed to hustle the polity into some Boko Haram soft landing, despite the heinous crimes its members, particularly the hiding and cowardly ring leaders, have committed against innocent citizens?

    Certainly, the way NDFI glibly talked of post-Boko Haram “restoration, reformation and rehabilitation” (hardly a crime), and quickly linked that proposal to amnesty for Niger Delta militants, was highly suspicious of a well-crafted script to push the sop of convenient “peace”; over the rigour of justice that insists on punishment following crime.

    So, the Jonathan Presidency must not allow itself to be bustled into another classic Northern entitlement (that sickly rationalisation that the polity must always accommodate northern excesses) in the name of easy peace that would come back to plague everyone.

    Get this clear: when a deranged group of citizens slaughter others as Boko Haram is doing, there must be dire consequences to avert a future recurrence. But that piece of common sense appears lost on the NDFI amnesty orchestra.

    Nevertheless, it is not lost on victims whose blood and gore Boko Haram has wilfully spilled on a fraudulent creed. Neither is it lost on any putative lunatic fringe sure to plot their own mass murder, for whatever vacuous doctrine, should Boko Haram get away with a slap on the wrist.

    The third event happened the next day, January 29.

    At Enugu, the political capital of the old Eastern Region, a body that calls itself the Southern Nigerian People’s Assembly (SNPA) gathered to push for a restructured Nigeria, a national conference to bring out that restructuring along productive federal lines, fiscal federalism to form the basis of the new federation, recognition of the six geo-political zones as Nigeria’s new federating units, and shutting out the meddlesome interloper that is the Federal Government in local council business, which ought to be an exclusive state affair, among other demands.

    The triangular chair of SNPA appears credible enough: Alex Ekwueme, elder citizen and Second Republic vice president of the Federal Republic, Bolanle Gbonigi, fiery cleric and unfazed Yoruba nationalist and Edwin Kiagbodo-Clark, another elder citizen and Ijaw nationalist.

    Pa Clark is though, right now, burning nationwide bridges he built over the years in the cause of his underwhelming godson, President Goodluck Jonathan, all in the cause of the 2015 Ijaw presidency project; down from the pan-Nigeria mandate of Southern Nigeria and the Middle Belt that propelled Jonathan to power in 2011.

    But the amalgam of SNPA members would appear far less credible, with many of the hoard clambering on the southern unity campaign and the push for true federalism as a last straw to clutch for political relevance. Nevertheless, gunning for relevance in a political quicksand is no crime!

    Still, this pot-pourri of divergent interests, and the penchant for each to clutch at some gains no matter its absurdity, would appear to explain the patent contradiction in the SNPA demands. The body calls for a restructured federation. Yet in another breath, it wants additional two states, with one in the South East, to bring the South at par with the North.

    While creating additional states makes sense with the present parasitic unitary system masquerading as a federation, it makes absolutely no sense in a restructured Nigeria SNPA is pushing for – except as a Freudian slip that suggests that structure or no structure, the parasitic Nigerian power elite have a sickly consensus on feeding fat on the system!

    Or how else does one explain the multiplication of wasteful bureaucracy, which new states epitomise, when it is proved beyond any doubt that many of the so-called states are a drag on real development but only a sop for elite greed?

    But to juxtapose a body grandstanding for change with another grandstanding for the status quo, just consider the Arewa Consultative Forum, ACF’s response to SNPA’s call for two additional southern states. ACF, in a February 1 communiqué in Kaduna dismissed the call, noting rightly that it would only be wasteful bureaucracy. But if new states must come, ACF insisted, they must be based on population and land mass. How convenient!

    Still, many positives can be taken from these developments. The SNPA must avail itself sharper conceptual clarity on its mission, if it is to escape a harsh historical judgment of empty posturing for relevance, when it had the chance to push back the country from the precipice. ACF must manifest less of the sickening sense of northern entitlement. That has put both the North and the whole country in this present bind.

    But the more exciting chimes have come from the NDFI, notwithstanding its shopping for subversive sympathy for Boko Haram. The body is talking of a pan-northern free primary and secondary education. That is highly welcome, for it is telling the North to abandon its age-old system of elite education hinged on native feudalism and embrace mass education, to build a future equal-access and equal-opportunity society. That is strategic thinking.

    But in a not-so-shocking relapse into that notorious northern sense of entitlement, NDFI called on northern states to compute their Boko Haram security spends; and pass the bill to the Federal Government, since the 1999 Constitution charges that government with security. Excellent sophistry!

    Maybe Governor Babatunde Fashola and other southern governors, busy equipping the central police even when they are not effective chief security officers of their respective states, should forward their own bills to the Inspector-General of Police for settlement!

    But maybe the polity should indulge these northern states. Maybe the Federal Government should settle the bills. Surely, Nigeria needs a Marshal Plan for Northern Development, after its thieving elite had misused federal power and had beggared their region for eons.

    But that should be the final settlement in exchange for a trade-off for rigorous restructuring of Nigeria along productive federal lines. That way, the North – and the rest of the country – can look after its own interest and develop at its own pace.

    That may well save the contraption of Lord Fredrick Lugard, and its ever present threat of collapse, as it lumbers to its centenary.